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INTRODUCTION
Agenda
Conclusions16:30-17:30
April 16th 2012
Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
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Introduction - Objectives
Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
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Resources
Resources categories:
Contingent Resources
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Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
Contingent Resources
Demonstrated by drilling, testing, sampling and/or logging hydrocarbon gas content
(e.g., coal sample or gas flow) and coal thickness sufficient to establish the existence
of a significant quantity of potentially moveable hydrocarbons (i.e., there should be
data indicating sufficient permeability for flow within the coal seam).
Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
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Gas rates may be undemonstrated or uneconomic, gas composition may or may not
support marketability, significant distance from existing well locations that have
demonstrated commercial potential, outside coal fairway or acceptable depth limits
(typically 200 to 1000 m) may require as yet unproven well technology, (e.g., untried
stimulation techniques or horizontal/multilateral wells), outside areas that can be
accessed legally (e.g., protected land), development plan immature or sub economic,
market not assured, lack of approvals.
Lorraine basin
Some Prospective resources
within Alsting anticline
Perimeter:
Minimum distance to major faults:
3C: 0 m
2C: 25 m
1C: 50 m
Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
1C 2C 3C
1C=P90
2C=P50
3C=P10
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Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
IGIP
distribution
Resources
distribution
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Vcoal
distribution
Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
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10
K (mD) P90/P50/P10
300-1000 mTVD
1000-1500 mTVD
1500-2000 mTVD
Lorraine Folquemont
1,3/2,2/5,0
0,5/0,9/1,3
0,15/0,3/0,5
0,4/1,0/3,0
0,1/0,15/0,4
0,02/0,05/0,1
Lorraine Alsting
NPdC
April 16th 2012
Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
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11
Gas composition
Lorraine:
Source: INERIS and DMT Diebling ST1 gas analysis
89% methane, 3,8% ethane, 1,2% propane, 6% CO2
=> Gross Resources as well as Net Resources could be evaluated
NPdC:
Source: unknown
To be investigated
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Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
12
Lorraine:
Only one available pressure data derived from Folshviller 2 testing.
:: 1266 psia @ 974 mTVD (694 mss)
=> gradient (from ground level ~ +280 mss) = 0,914 (0,391 psi/ft)
NPdC:
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Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
13
Abandonment pressure
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Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
14
Contents
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Recommendations
Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
16
Contents
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Recommendations
Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
17
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Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
18
Valenciennois Permit
Dsire
Model
Area
Valenciennois
Model Area
Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
@Beicip-Franlab
Dsire Permit
19
Bruay-Bouvigny
Study area limits VS Permits : Bruay-Bouvigny
608000
612000
616000
620000
624000
628000
632000
320000
320000
604000
312000
316000
312000
316000
Bruay model
304000
304000
308000
308000
Permit Poissonire
-23,4%
292000
292000
296000
296000
300000
300000
604000
608000
612000
0
616000
2000
620000
4000
6000
8000
624000
628000
632000
10000m
1:190735
Symbol legend
Permit Sud-Midi Bruay
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Bruay Model
Permit Poissonire Bruay
Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
20
Desiree
658000
660000
662000
664000
666000
668000
670000
302000
298000
298000
300000
300000
302000
Desiree model
304000
304000
296000
294000
294000
292000
290000
290000
296000
292000
Permit Poissonnire
288000
656000
658000
660000
662000
0
1000
664000
2000
3000
666000
4000
-51.9%
288000
Permit Desiree
668000
670000
5000m
1:103017
Symbol legend
Permit Poissonire
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Desiree Model
Permit Desiree
Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
21
Lens
Study area limits VS Permits : Lens
632000
636000
640000
644000
648000
652000
656000
316000
308000
308000
312000
312000
316000
Lens model
304000
-17%
288000
288000
292000
292000
296000
296000
300000
300000
304000
Permit Poissonire
632000
636000
640000
0
2000
644000
4000
648000
6000
8000
652000
656000
10000m
1:201205
Symbol legend
Permit_Poissonire_Lens
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Lens model
Sud_Midi_Permit_Lens
Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
22
Valenciennois
672000
676000
680000
684000
688000
692000
696000
312000
308000
304000
304000
Permit Valenciennois
Permit Poissonnire
288000
288000
292000
292000
296000
296000
300000
300000
308000
Permit Desiree
672000
676000
680000
0
2000
684000
4000
688000
6000
8000
692000
696000
-15,4%
284000
284000
312000
Valenciennois model
316000
316000
10000m
1:201205
Symbol legend
@Beicip-Franlab
Valenciennois Model
Permit Valenciennois
Permit Desiree
Permit Poissonnire Valenciennois
Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
23
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Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
24
Contents
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Recommendations
Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
25
The overturned syncline between the Faille du Midi and the Cran de Retour
Fault is not overturned in the Model (Dsire Model Area)
Cran de Retour
Faille du Midi
Prevost Flt
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Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
26
57000
58000
59000
60000
61000
62000
63000
64000
65000
66000
67000
68000
69000
70000
71000
73000
72000
73000
72000
55000
-800
-800
-1600
-1600
-2400
-2400
59000
60000
61000
62000
0
63000
1000
64000
2000
65000
3000
66000
4000
67000
68000
5000m
1:78125
Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
69000
70000
71000
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-3200
-4000
-4800
-5600
58000
-5600
57000
-4800
56000
-4000
55000
-3200
Dinantien
Westphalien C above Gavion
Below Gavion
Westphalien C below Gavion
Westphalien B below Gavion
Zone 3
Westphalien A below Gavion
Namurien Sup below Gavion
Zone 4
Namurien Inf below Gavion
Dinantien
Zone 5
Westphalien C below Provost
Westphalien B below Provost
Zone 6
Westphalien A below Provost
Namurien Sup below Provost
Zone 7
Namurien2 isochore
Dinantien
27
Contents
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Recommendations
Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
28
EGL
(BIAS)
Desiree
Lens
Valenciennois
Logs
2.78
1.55
3.02
2.19
Upscaled
2.87
1.34
2.88
2.16
Logs
2.78
1.55
3.02
2.19
Upscaled
2.78
1.36
2.85
2.19
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BF
(No BIAS)
Bruay
Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
29
Kriging
Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
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GRFS
30
0.0
Min
0.0
Max
0.2406
Max
0.2254
Mean
0.0245
Mean
0.0283
576000
578000
580000
582000
584000
586000
590000
592000
572000
578000
580000
582000
584000
586000
588000
590000
592000
500
500
576000
500
500
590000
592000
-500
-1500
-2000
-2500
-3000
-3500
-1000
-500
-1000
-1500
-2000
-2500
-3000
-3500
588000
572000
574000
576000
578000
580000
0
1000
582000
2000
3000
584000
4000
586000
5000m
1:97656
Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
588000
590000
592000
-3500
586000
0.225
0.2
0.175
0.15
0.125
0.1
0.075
0.05
0.025
0
-3000
5000m
Net/Gross
-2500
1:97656
584000
4000
-2000
3000
-1500
582000
2000
-3500
1000
-3000
580000
0
-2500
578000
-2000
576000
-1500
574000
-1000
-1000
0.225
0.2
0.175
0.15
0.125
0.1
0.075
0.05
0.025
0
-500
-500
Net/Gross
572000
574000
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572000
31
Wells and 5 main Cross-sections (from CdF -300 map) taken into account
We note most wells do not touch the lower zones such as Dinantien and
Namurien, hence less structural control exists.
Faults are generally properly modeled and their extension appears in good
agreement with geological concepts.
The overturned syncline is not properly represented, however impact is low
as it has been mostly exploited in conventional mining in the past.
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Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
32
Discretization method:
The upscaling method will not affect drastically the coal percentage at wells.
Simulation
The geostatistic method used to extend the coal percentage will affect only
the coal distribution in layers.
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A simulation based on kriging appears more geological than the pixelbased gaussian simulation.
Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
33
Contents
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Recommendations
Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
34
15200
16000
16800
17600
18400
19200
20000
20800
21600
22400
23200
24000
24800
25600
26400
13600
General discrete
-200
-400
-600
-600
-800
-800
-400
-1000
-1000
-200
Above Topo
Topo to -100m
Topo to -200m
Topo to -300m
Topo to -400m
Topo to -500m
Topo to -600m
Topo to -700m
Topo to -800m
Topo to -900m
Topo to -1000m
Topo to -1100m
Topo to -1200m
Topo to -1300m
Topo to -1400m
Topo to -1500m
Topo to -1600m
Topo to -1700m
Topo to -1800m
Topo to -1900m
Topo to -2000m
16000
17600
18400
19200
20000
20800
21600
22400
23200
24000
24800
25600
26400
-1400
-400
-800
16000
16800
17600
18400
19200
20000
20800
21600
22400
23200
24000
-2000
13600
14400
15200
16000
16800
17600
18400
0
19200
500
20000
1000
1500
20800
2000
2500m
21600
22400
23200
24000
24800
25600
26400
500
1000
1500
2000
2500m
1:57709
1:57709
Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
24800
25600
26400
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15200
-2000
14400
-1800
13600
-2000
-1600
-2000
-1000
-1200
-1800
-1400
-1400
-1800
Above Topo
Topo to -100m
Topo to -200m
Topo to -300m
Topo to -400m
Topo to -500m
Topo to -600m
Topo to -700m
Topo to -800m
Topo to -900m
Topo to -1000m
Topo to -1100m
Topo to -1200m
Topo to -1300m
Topo to -1400m
Topo to -1500m
Topo to -1600m
Topo to -1700m
Topo to -1800m
Topo to -1900m
Topo to -2000m
-1200
-1600
-1000
-1800
-1600
General discrete
-800
-1600
-600
-600
-400
-1400
-200
-200
16800
-1200
15200
14400
-1200
35
Volumetric results
9000
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
Valenciennois
Lens
BF
Valenciennois
Lens
Dsire
Bruay
Nord-Pas-de-Calais
April 16th 2012
BF (106m3)
7122
7432
336
4498
19388
Dsire
Bruay
EGL
EGL (106m3)
8237
8452
493
6074
23256
%
14%
12%
32%
26%
Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
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106m3
36
Contents
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Recommendations
Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
37
Recommendations
We recommend in future version of the models to model the full NPC area
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Evaluation of Coal Bed Methane Resources for Lorraine and NPdC basins
38
Agenda
Density.
Isotherm (Langmuir curves).
Recovery Factor.
GIP results..
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Resources results..
40
m3/Ton
m3/Ton
m3/Ton
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41
Westphalien B
EGL Value = 8,50 m3/ton
Gas content WB :
P90 = 6,48 m3/Ton
P50 = 8,50 m3/Ton
P10 = 10,42 m3/Ton
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42
Westphalien C
EGL Value = 8,04 m3/ton
Gas content WC :
P90 = 5,00 m3/Ton
P50 = 7,50 m3/Ton
P10 = 11,00 m3/Ton
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43
Namurien
EGL Value = 6,00 m3/ton
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44
Density
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Triangular distribution:
Min
= 1,38 ton/m3
Max
= 1,42 ton/m3
Likeliest = 1,40 ton/m3
45
Isotherm WA
Coal Saturation:
25
20
Triangular distribution:
Min
= 20%
Max
= 80%
Likeliest = 30%
15
10
5
0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Pressure (bar)
Moyenne totale
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Langmuir regression
46
Isotherm WB
Coal Saturation:
25
20
Triangular distribution:
Min
= 35%
Max
= 45%
Likeliest = 60%
15
10
5
0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Pressure (bar)
Moyenne totale
@Beicip-Franlab
Langmuir regression
47
Isotherm WC
Coal Saturation:
25
20
Triangular distribution:
Min
= 25%
Max
= 40%
Likeliest = 60%
15
10
5
0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Pressure (bar)
WC
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Langmuir regression
48
EGL Assumptions
= 5 psig (psia ?)
= 10 psia (psig ?)
= 1m3/ton
> 86%
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Wellhead Pressure
Abandonment Pressure
Gas content @ abandonment pressure
Fraction of gas recovered
49
WA
Abandonment pressure (absolute psi)
Abandonment pressure (absolute bar)
Abandonment Gas content
P90= 3,12
Gas content (Sample)
P50= 6,45
P10= 12,26
300 - 1000 m
32
2,21
4,34
0%
33%
65%
1000-1500 m
33
2,27
4,45
0%
31%
64%
1500 - 2000 m
34
2,34
4,56
0%
29%
63%
WB
Abandonment Gas content
P90= 6,48
P50= 8,50
P10= 10,42
EGL
1,57
76%
82%
85%
300 - 1000 m
4,34
33%
49%
58%
1000-1500 m
4,45
31%
48%
57%
1500 - 2000 m
4,56
30%
46%
56%
WC
Abandonment Gas content
P90= 5,00
P50= 7,50
P10= 11,00
EGL
1,48
70%
80%
87%
300 - 1000 m
4,05
19%
46%
63%
1000-1500 m
4,15
17%
45%
62%
1500 - 2000 m
4,25
15%
43%
61%
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50
Recovery Factor
after 25 years of Production
(Material Balance approach)
Triangular distribution:
Min
= 20%
Max
= 80%
Likeliest = 30%
Triangular distribution:
Min
= 35%
Max
= 45%
Likeliest = 60%
Triangular distribution:
Min
= 25%
Max
= 40%
Likeliest = 60%
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51
Recovery Factor
after 25 years of Production
(Material Balance approach)
Triangular Distribution
K aquifer East
K aquifer others
Kcoal
Kcoal
Kcoal
Likeliest
Max
0
0
0,4
0,1
0,02
10
0
1
0,15
0,05
20
1
3
0,4
0,1
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300-2000
300-2000
300-1000
1000-1500
1500-2000
Min
52
Recovery Factor
after 25 years of Production
(Material Balance approach)
Rf from Material Balance
WA
With aquifer (Valencienois)
300 - 1000 m 1000-1500 m 1500 - 2000 m
P90
P50
P10
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Without aquifer
300 - 1000 m 1000-1500 m1500 - 2000 m
0%
0%
0%
P90
P50
P10
10%
41%
62%
0%
8%
31%
0%
0%
0%
WB
300 - 1000 m 1000-1500 m 1500 - 2000 m
P90
P50
P10
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
P90
P50
P10
35%
48%
57%
0%
10%
32%
0%
0%
0%
WB
P90
P50
P10
April 16th 2012
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
21%
39%
53%
0%
5%
22%
0%
0%
0%
@Beicip-Franlab
53
GIP results
GIP results from a Monte Simulation
Uncertainty parameters :
Density
Gas Content
Cut off
P10
3613
429
1983
2094
6625
7971
P10
2944
354
1649
1676
6517
5579
3956
5121
EGL Results
GIP
Valenciennois
Bruay-Bouvigny
Lens
Desiree
NPC Total Gas In Place
1313
772
1387
128
GROSS BCF
2104
1529
2380
156
2841
2334
3276
163
3600
6169
8614
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54
P10
744
86
0
90
894
319
534
EGL Results
GAS RESOURCES
Valenciennois
Bruay-Bouvigny
Lens
Desiree
NPC Producible Gas
1000 m
474
279
501
46
1500 m
1026
746
1161
76
2000 m
1659
1363
1913
95
1300
3008
5030
@Beicip-Franlab
Area
NET BCF
55