Professional Documents
Culture Documents
25
CAGR: 20.1%
20
10
0
FY2012
FY2022
FY2012
800
FY2022
CAGR: 2.4%
600
600
400
377
200
0
2011
2031
2011
2031
800.0
CAGR: 6.1%
600.0
400.0
649.5
360.0
200.0
0.0
2010
2010
2020
2020
Market
size:
USD78.5
billion
Attractive opportunities
Growingdemand
demand
Growing
201213
2020E
Market
size:
USD180.0
billion
Advantage
India
Policy support
Increasing Investments
Source: BMI (Business Monitor International), Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion, Aranca Research, News articles
Notes: FDI - Foreign Direct Investment; NHB: National Housing Bank, 2020E - Estimate for 2020
Residential space
Commercial space
Retail space
Hospitality space
SEZs
Source: Cushman & Wakefield, Knight Frank, CRISIL, www.sezindia.com, Aranca Research, ^As of 17 July, 2013
Notes: SEZ - Special Economic Zone. IT - Information Technology, ITeS - Information Technology Enabled Services, * - As of March 2013
180.0
180
160
CAGR: 11.2%
140
120
100
80
60
50.1
53.3
55.6
66.8
FY2008
FY2009
FY2010
FY2011
40
20
0
FY 2020E
47.4
34.0
26.5
30.1
26.0
26.7
24.7
19.3
18.4
20.5
18.8
15.1
2001
2005
2007
Urban
2008
2010
2012
Rural
Scenario
Scenario
presents
530
520
520
510
510
500
500
490
490
480
480
470
460
2013
2014
2015
775
315
270
400
245
250
165
230
Ahmedabad
500
Pune
750
105
Kolkata
Mumbai
Bengaluru
Hyderabad
Developers now focussing on affordable and midrange categories to meet the huge demand
Chennai
Notable
trends
2017
2016
NCR
Key
Key drivers
Rapid urbanisation
Growth in population
Rise in the number of nuclear families
Easy availability of finance
Repatriation of NRIs and HNIs
Rise in disposable income
Scenario
Scenario
30
25
22
23
2013
2014
28
28
27
2015
2016
2017
20
15
10
5
0
30
20
15
13
10
4
Ahmedabad
Bengaluru
Chennai
Hyderabad
Kolkata
Mumbai
0
Pune
Notable
trends
32
26
16
NCR
Key
Key drivers
Scenario
Scenario
12
10
10
8
6
4
2011
2012
2
2013
2014
2014
Bengaluru
Chennai
Hyderabad
Kolkata
0
Mumbai
trends
2010
NCR
Notable Trends
Notable
Pune
Key
Key drivers
2015
Scenario
Scenario
140
120
100
114
118
120
2015
2016
2017
100
82
80
60
40
20
Key
Key drivers
of
Indian
0
2013
2014
70%
40
68%
30
66%
Stock (RHS)
Ahmedabad
Mumbai
Pune
Hyderabad
0
Kolkata
60%
NCR
10
Chennai
Notable
trends
62%
Bengaluru
20
64%
Competitive Rivalry
Threat of New
Entrants
(Medium)
Substitute Products
No specific substitutes available
Substitutes are mainly governmentprovided housing, mostly limited to
the economically backward class
Bargaining
Power of
Customers
(Medium)
Competitive
Rivalry
(High)
Substitute
Products
(Low)
Bargaining
Power of
Suppliers
(Medium)
Superior execution
Risk management in
land sourcing
Diversified portfolio
Backward integration
Rationalising of costs
Joint venture with land owners instead of amassing land banks. For e.g.: Oberoi Realty,
Mumbai based realty firm adopted this strategy while entering the NCR region
Revenue, area and profit sharing agreement with the land owner
An architectural, structural and interior studio and a metal and glazing factory
Interiors and wood working factory and a concrete block making plant
Growth in tourism
Epidemological
changes
Easier financing
Urbanisation
Growth drivers
Growing economy
Policy support
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F
Advanced Economies
China
Emerging Economies
India
1,470
1,400
1,210
1,200
1,028
1,000
846
800
590
600
400
200
377
286
217
1991
2001
Urban Population
2011
2030E
Total population
8.0
6.0
4.0
1.0
CAGR: 4.9%
7.0
5.8
5.1
5.3
6.6
6.8
6.3
5.2
5.0
3.1
3.0
2.0
0.0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014*
20.0
16.0
18.1
16.6
14.2
14.0
12.0
17.7
CAGR: 9.1%
18.0
10.7
11.8
11.1
10.0
8.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014*
9.2%
8.0%
5.9%
6.0%
5.1%
4.0%
2.0%
FY 11
FY 12
FY 13
FY 14
Target
Caraf Builders
Acquirer
Value
(USD million)
Year
696.5
2009
Lodha Group
513.6
2011
Jeff Morgan
320
2011
318
2011
223.1
2012
Blackstone
200
2012
Indiabulls Real
Estate Ltd
187
2013
Embassy Property
Farallon Capital
Source:
Cushman & Brookfield
Wakefield, Venture
Candor
Investments
Asset Intelligence, Aranca Research
337.4
2014
Inc
Management Inc
Investment
(USD million)
Investor
Investee
Blackstone Group,
HDFC, Embassy Group
367.0
Blackstone
169.0
Blackstone
81.8
58.9
IFC
50.0
Tata Housing
21.0
Total inflows in the real estate sector for the first quarter
of 2014 was approximately USD460.0 million, an
increase of 28 per cent* from those in the previous
quarter and nearly 2.5 times the investments in the first
quarter of 2013
This is the highest quarterly investment recorded since
the second quarter of 2009. The increase was primarily
due to higher investments in leased office assets and
stable investments by developers in the residential
asset class
Blackstone, Standard
Vrindavan Tech Village
Charted, Embassy Group
Xander Group
Peninsula Brookfield
Investee
Proprium Capital
Investment
(USD million)
1,907.8
Nitesh Estates
497.7
Mantri Developers
414.7
Parsvnath Developers
348.4
88%
10%
12%
FY08
FY09
74%
72%
75%
71%
72%
26%
28%
25%
29%
28%
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY 14*
SEZ % of exports
Other % of exports
Ease in housing
finances
Housing for
economically weaker
sections
FDI
The government has allowed FDI of up to 100 per cent in development projects for
townships and settlements
FDI of up to 100 per cent is allowed in the hotel and tourism sector through the automatic
route
SEBI released draft guidelines for investments by Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
in non-residential segment
Upon implementation, this would widen the real estate market and boost funds entering
the organised real estate sector
2014F
16
2013F
15.5
2012F
15
2011F
2010
14.5
14
NCR
4
3
Hyderabad
Mumbai
2
1
0
Bengaluru
Pune
Kolkata
Chennai
Healthcare
The healthcare sector is estimated to grow at an annual rate of 15 per cent to USD100
billion by 2015
India is expected to need additional 937,000 beds by 2015
India still needs to add 3 million hospital beds to meet the global average of three for every
1,000 people
Service apartments
Emergence of nuclear families and growing urbanisation have given rise to several
townships that are developed to take care of the elderly
A number of senior citizen housing projects have been planned; the segment is expected
to grow significantly in future
Growth in the number of tourists has resulted in demand for service apartments
This demand is likely to be on uptrend and presents opportunities for the unorganised
sector
10.0
9.0
CAGR: 11.7%
8.5
9.2
2014F
2015F
8.0
7.0
6.6
6.8
2012
2013
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
Ahmedabad
Bengaluru
Room demand is expected to be driven by commercial and office space projects in the city
Projects like Light Rail Transport System, Mono Rail, Eco-Park, Airport expansion etc. are
likely to boost travel which would result in increase in demand for hotel industry
Improved infrastructure, new airport terminal and upcoming airport in Navi Mumbai
expected to provide growth to hotel industry
Higher Floor Space index, inclusion of hotel projects in infra lending lists provide a positive
outlook to hotel market in NCR
IT parks are attracting global players and increasing traffic. New business units are likely
to increase business conferences, events which in turn would boost hotel demand
Chennai
Hyderabad
Kolkata
Mumbai
NCR
Pune
Hyderabad
40.0
Delhi
39.5
Pune
39.5
Mumbai
38.0
Bengaluru
33.0
Chennai
17.5
0
10
20
30
40
50
30
20
10
0
Bengaluru Hyderabad
2013
Delhi
2014
Mumbai
Chennai
Pune
2015
20%
20
16%
15
12%
10
8%
4%
0
Note: * - Projections by Jones Lang LaSalle
0%
2002
2004
Supply
2006
2008
2010
Net absorption
Market capitalisation of
Founded by
Chaudhary
Raghavendra
Singh
Alliance with
Hilton
International
Ventures into
grade A office
spaces
FY06
USD238
million
turnover
Development of 22 Urban
colonies
FY14
USD1.4
billion
turnover
Commenced
development of
DLF Cyber City,
Gurgaon
1940 1950 1980 1990 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Source: Company website, Aranca Research,
Note: sq ft - Square Feet
Key Facts
15.3%
Residential
Commercial
84.7%
250
60
52.6
50
190.7
200
CAGR: 34.4%
150
178
161.3
40
33.1
26.4
30
99.1
23.1
100
18.7
20
50
46.8
CAGR: 12.1%
40.6
44.7
10
0
FY 09
FY 10
FY 11
FY 12
FY 13
FY 14
FY 09
FY 10
FY 11
FY 12
FY 13
FY 14
UNITECH
SOBHA DEVELOPERS*
The Company was founded in 1995
It has completed 47 residential, 13 commercial and 166 contractual projects
Currently has a land reserve of 4,300 acres
Source: Company website, Aranca Research,
Note: sq ft - Square Feet
Year
Year
200405
44.81
2005
43.98
200506
44.14
2006
45.18
200607
45.14
2007
41.34
200708
40.27
2008
43.62
200809
46.14
2009
48.42
200910
47.42
2010
45.72
201011
45.62
2011
46.85
201112
46.88
2012
53.46
201213
54.31
2013
58.44
201314
60.28
Q12014
61.58
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