Professional Documents
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P06
POWERING
THE FUTURE
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Overview
Publishing Manager
Nada Ali
Managing Editor
Peter Archer
Head of Production
Natalia Rosek
Commissioning Editor
Jim McClelland
Design, Infographics & Illustration
The Design Surgery
www.thedesignsurgery.co.uk
Contributors
JIM McCLELLAND
MIKE SCOTT
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Politics
Image: Getty
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Commercial
Commercial Feature
Feature
Former Environment
Secretary Owen
Paterson was
considered to be
a climate change
sceptic
The issue of
affordability is driving
the debate at the
moment and this has
led to a clear step
back in ambition on
renewable energy and
carbon targets
EVEN-HANDED VOLATILITY
Hydrogen is an intelligent
energy choice
Energy security and access to affordable power is essential to
the functioning of modern economies, but meeting the worlds
growing need for energy will require more than $48 trillion in
investment over the next two decades
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UK Energy Mix
A NEW MIX TO
KEEP LIGHTS ON
installed UK energycapacity
With householders
able to make up to
12 per cent return
on investment on residential
solar, its moving from niche
to mainstream
Matt Germain, associate director
in the environment group of international law firm Osborne Clarke, says
the contribution of on and offshore
wind and solar can be predictably forecast; a bit like nuclear if the new fleet
is built up. Contributions from energy
from waste and on-farm anaerobic digestions are harder to predict, yet both
can provide a decentralised source of
base-load power.
Efficiency, both industrial and domestic, will have an impact on demand and the energy mix. Mr Reader
says: Once if the poor participation
in the governments efficiency programmes are overcome, then further
increases will largely depend on the
adoption of new lifestyles, for example
self-consumption using PV [photovoltaic solar panels] and new policies,
such as those that support residential
battery storage combined with PV, as is
the case in Germany.
It is efficiency in combination with
demand response that has the greatest
potential to impact the energy mix, by
manipulating load to match demand.
The implementation of smart meters
and smart grid enable more active local
networks, which also impacts market
structure.
David Hill, business development
director of Open Energi, says: Other
new technologies, such as active network management systems and new
electricity storage techniques, are also
facilitating an entirely different way to
balance supply and demand, where demand can be as flexible as generation.
The introduction of the capacity
market should encourage the development of demand response especially where it is allowed to compete
on a level playing field with traditional
generation.
Yet its possible that demand response operators will not be able to participate in the December 2014 capacity
market auction, only in subsequent
2015 and 2016 auctions, for a capped
400-900 megawatt
(MW ) volume.
This assumes
that demand
response will
contribute
just 1 per cent
of peak demand,
with no prospect of this increasing any
time soon,
as generators
will have a 15-year
hold on capacity contracts.
The biggest question though is
the future role of energy storage.
Given the intermittent nature of
many renewable sources, demand
for grid-scale energy storage is
growing rapidly. Storage supports
the grid in terms of avoided wind
curtailment and infrastructure upgrades, reduced reserve power and
CO2 from open-cycle gas turbines,
and in absorbing reactive power.
Where's
the money?
Page 08
At the moment the UK has just
2.8GW of grid-scale storage at four
sites, all of it pumped hydro and the
most recent of which was built more
than 30 years ago. As such, the UK
has 2GW less storage than it needs
now and is expected to have a 6GW
deficit by 2020. One of the challenges is the difficulty in comparing
different types of energy storage.
There are a broad range of available technologies, with different
sizes targeting different markets,
from power management, large
scale, micro and so on, ranging from
flywheels, batteries, compressed air,
pumped storage and power-hydrogen storage.
The use of a chemical storage
solution, such as hydrogen, offers a
very viable and practical option for
mass energy storage, says Dr Hen-
ri Winand,
chief
executive
of
Intelligent
Energy.
When renewable
energy is converted
to hydrogen, using
electrolysis, it can be
used and stored in a
number of ways. For instance, it can be co-mingled into the
existing natural gas infrastructure
as a method of storage and transportation for when energy is needed most. Gas-fired power stations
could also use this natural gas/hydrogen feedstock directly for energy
production using upgraded turbine
combustion technology for gas-topower re-electrification.
The problem is there is no real
strategy for storage in the UK. In
Belgium, demand and generation
are treated as equivalent technologies, which would need to happen
in the UK for demand response to
operate at a significant grid scale.
As Turquoise Internationals Mr
Thomas points out, at grid scale, the
system is not set up for storage. In
the UK, the electricity supply chain
has been disaggregated, meaning no
one company can take full advantage of synergies across the supply
chain. Without a strategy, it is difficult to plan for a developing market.
The UK is set to lose some of
its old generators and that power
must be replaced, but the challenge
lies in how. Tomorrows energy
market will be the polar opposite
of our historical centralised distribution it will be bi-directional,
flexible, potentially distributed and
clearly varied.
To ensure the UK makes the most
of the opportunity, we must plan
for the future and that means more
than 1 per cent peaking demand for
demand response. Its time for vision and a clear path on how innovation and system integration will
transform the UKs energy mix.
levels are above 40 per cent, simply cannot produce electricity from
lower-grade, dirty methane.
Cleanergys GasBox addresses this
problem and is the only technology
able to produce both electricity and
heat from a methane gas concentration as low as 18 per cent. This
biogas is produced from manure,
food waste and plant residues at
landfill sites as well as at waste
water plants and on farms.
The technology has been installed
at closed landfill sites in the UK at
Norfolk, Shropshire and Yorkshire,
and also in Poland.
HINKLEY POINT C
EDF Energys Hinkley Point C is
going to be a 3.2GW nuclear power
plant, with two EPR water-pressure
reactors, expected to generate 7 per
cent of UK electricity or enough for
more than five million homes. The
reactors will be the first two of four
planned by EDF, with two more due
at Sizewell.
The technology used at Hinkley Point
C will be based on the European
pressurised water reactor (EPR)
design, which is a third-generation
improvement, with increased safety
and better economic competitiveness. Using 17 per cent less uranium
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Funding
LONG-TERM AGREEMENTS
CHINA
10%
42%
$226.7
$3.200
$249.5 $214.4
TOTAL TRANSACTIONS
$34.7
$53.4
$39.7
$35.8
$102.4
$1.041
$114.8
$86.4
MIDDLE EAST
& AFRICA
37%
$48.4
$36.7
INDIA
$51.9
$59.6
21%
$56.3
42%
$40.2
TRANSPORT
Passenger cars
Other road
BRAZIL
21%
M&A
transactions
$455
$32.9
$284
INDUSTRY
Non-energy intensive
$279.4
$29.8
Energy intensive
$432
$48.8
$1.293
EUROPE
23%
$39.9
UNITED STATES
21%
$1.296
BUILDINGS
Services
Residentials
COAL
Transport
Distribution
TOTAL
$40.165bn
Mining
Fossil-fuel plants
OIL
Nuclear
Refining
Renewables
Transport
Upstream
BIO FUELS
$5.857
$1.401
EQUIPMENT
MANUFACTURING
$298
Private equity
expansion capital
$3.1
$736
GAS
LNG
$320
$6.138
$736
Upstream
$1.897
$18.7
$11.5
$1.061
$986
21%
TECHNOLOGY
DEVELOPMENT
$2.6
$1.7
Venture capital
$2.5
$2.5
17%
$1.4
9%
$2.4
$0.8
Public
markets
$11.4
$10.7
51%
$3.7
Government R&D
$4.6
$4.6
$11.1
10%
$4.5
$4.6
Corporate R&D
$4.2
$5.1
4%
$5
$4.7
Project
acquisition &
refinancing
25%
POWER
Transmission
2004-13 CAGR
Assset finance
PROJECTS
2013
$7.9
$2.635
2012
19%
$5.030
2011
Corporate
M&A
$11.284
2010
19%
$1.787
New investment by
value chain (BN)
$4.9
$0.2
$0.4
$1.7
NEW INVESTEMENT
Public
markets
investor exits
FUNDING GUARANTEES
Total investments
(BN)
-3%
2013
2004-13 CAGR
TOTAL
$8,002bn
2012
$1.9
$3.2
$3.2
$0.6
New investment
bygeography (BN)
2011
Private equity
buy-outs
WHERE'S
THE MONEY?
FINANCING
GLOBAL ENERGY
2010
are holding off making large investment commitments until after next
years general election because of
the growing belief that energy policy
has become too political. The key
lesson to learn from other countries
is to rebuild the political consensus
on energy, says Mr Goodfellow.
You cannot expect large-scale investment if you are reforming the
system itself and a bipartisan approach has broken down.
In addition, the governments
Electricity Market Reform, although
welcomed by many investors, will
the more dominant players. Secondly, it empowers local communities to engage directly with the
issues they face regarding energy
supply and demand, she says.
The UK crowdfunding market
is growing fast, but remains in its
infancy. However, the potential is
shown by the German market, where
54 billion has been raised since
2005 from crowdfunding platforms,
meaning that 50 per cent of Germanys renewables capacity is now
community owned as a result.
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POWERING THAE FUTURE
EDITION
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Interview
Commercial Feature
Commercial Feature
UK IS ON COURSE TO
MEET ENERGY TARGETS
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ECONOMIC CONTRIBUTION OF
CYGNUS PROJECT IN THE UK
SCOTLAND
322.9m
1,450 JOBS
NORTH EAST
89.4m
410 JOBS
REST OF THE UK
315.8m
1,540 JOBS
UK OFFSHORE
224m
290 JOBS
LONDON
342.5m
1,120 JOBS
Image: Getty
Third-generation nuclear is
on the verge of being cost
effective compared with some
renewables, although that could
change as future renewable
energy costs fall
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Commercial
Commercial Feature
Feature
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Solar Power
Nigel Curry
Chief executive at Rhead Group
the best industry talent across the energy, power, defence and infrastructure
sectors, which has supported a high level
of client retention and expansion. Since
our formation 29 years ago, we have
retained our entrepreneurial agility coupled with an increasing strength in depth
and breadth to support some of the most
challenging construction programmes
across the globe.
As a category winner of the Ernst
and Young Award for Midlands Entrepreneur of the Year 2014, Mr Curry is
in the vanguard of project consultancy
professionals helping to drive the business agenda forward. The success of
Rhead Group in responding to current
market trends has also been formally
acknowledged, with receipt of the prestigious Queens Award for Enterprise:
International Trade, in 2014, in recognition of an increase in global business
of 20 per cent.
At Rhead Group, it is this understanding of the industry-wide need to
prioritise development of talent, creativity and innovation that has brought
forward such market-leading initiatives
as the first carbon capture and storage
(CCS) project in the UAE, National Grid
Building Information Modelling (BIM)
Bank, plus a portfolio of talent and
training initiatives.
DAZZLING RISE
OF SOLAR ENERGY
Image: Alamy
Above: Carbon
capture and
storage facility in
the United Arab
Emirates
800,000
tonnes of Carbon
Dioxide captured
each year once
the project is
complete
ll manner of analogies
invoking explosions or
meteors could be used to
describe the trajectory of solar energy over the past decade. Yet it is
unlikely that any of them would tell
the story of its astonishing progress
quite as vividly as the raw data itself.
According to figures published by
the European Photovoltaic Industry
Association (EPIA), the total solar
photovoltaic (PV) capacity installed
worldwide had grown to nearly 140
gigawatts (GW) last year from a little over 1GW in 2000 more than
10,000 per cent in 13 years. Less
stellar, but still significant, PVs near
relative, solar thermal energy (STE),
hit over 3.4GW of installed capacity
last year after seeing steady growth
since its first installation in 1984.
Both PV and STE are proven
technologies, says Maria van der
Hoeven, executive director of the
International Energy Agency (IEA).
The rapid cost decrease of PV
modules and systems in the last few
years has opened new perspectives
for using solar energy as a major
source of electricity in the coming
years and decades.
HARNESSING SUNS HEAT
Tech to
watch
Page 15
Mr Case says the companys
material, perovskite, has demonstrated the potential to significantly outperform the current
silicon-based materials used in PV
panels. Its big selling point is that
can be incorporated directly into
buildings, effectively turning them
into power stations.
It can do something that no
other material can do: it can become part of the glazing on buildings, he says. Implemented in
that way, a building like the Shard
in London becomes a 2.8-mega-
C
B
A: Families in
Southern Sudan get
power fromsolar
B: MS Turanor
PlanetSolar is the
world's biggest solarpowered boat
C: Photovoltaic
installation on the roof
of Germany's Federal
Environment Agency
inDessau
Image: Getty
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Opinion
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Case Studies
CLEAN
TECHNOLOGY
OFFERS
NEWHOPE
The Government
should choose a future
of renewable energy
and ditch carbon
pollution that is fuelling
global warming, says
Greenpeace UK climate
and energy campaigner
Lawrence Carter
ENERGY TECH
TO WATCH
01
02
03
04
05
Low-carbon
cooker
Flying
wind turbine
Energy
from seaweed
Making fuels
from thin air