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condemnation and concern, but the plots organized and executed by the
Islamic State usually prompt greater concern from the authorities.
On Saturday, a bulletin on the Islamic States Amaq News Agency channel
described Mr. Lahouaiej Bouhlel as a soldier of the Islamic State who
answered a call to attack nations involved in the military campaign against
the group. But the bulletin gave no specifics about the extent of the
attackers ties to the terrorist network.
On one hand, there is now good reason for government officials to make
immediate assumptions after some mass killings that the Islamic State has
played a role, however indirect. The groups ideology, spread widely
through social media and slick propaganda videos, appears to have
inspired a scourge of violence for more than a year: including the shooting
in December in San Bernardino, Calif.; the mass killings last month at a
gay nightclub in Orlando; and the deadly attack early this month at a cafe
in Bangladesh. These were in addition to attacks that top Islamic State
operatives apparently planned directly, like the Paris assaults in
November and the Brussels bombings in March.
In September 2014, the spokesman for the Islamic State put out a call for
the groups followers to attack Westerners by any means possible, and to
do so without awaiting further instructions from the groups leaders.
INTERACTIVE MAP
Smash his head with a rock, or slaughter him with a knife, or run him
over with your car, or throw him down from a high place, or choke him, or
poison him, the spokesman, Abu Muhammad al-Adnani, said during a
42-minute recorded statement.
At the same time, governments also see a benefit in linking the Islamic
State to what are sometimes random and unconnected acts of violence. It
is a way to project order amid chaos, and to try to assure jittery citizens
that there is a strategy to end the violence. For example, in the days since
the Nice attack, French officials have pledged to increase the resources
that the country is devoting to the bombing campaign against the Islamic
State in Syria and Iraq.
Even if Daesh doesnt do the organizing, Daesh inspires this terrorist
spirit against which we are fighting, the French defense minister, JeanYves Le Drian, said Saturday, using an Arabic acronym for the Islamic
State, which is also known as ISIS or ISIL.
Similarly, American officials have cited progress in the military campaign
as a measure of success in draining the Islamic States power, resources
and influence. Brett H. McGurk, President Obamas special envoy in the
fight against the Islamic State, recently told Congress that the group had
lost 47 percent of its territory in Iraq and 20 percent in Syria: territory
used to extract oil from the ground and taxes from residents, as well as to
plot attacks against the West. Top representatives of nations participating
in the bombing campaign will meet this week in Washington to assess the
progress in the fight.
But terrorism experts caution that because the Islamic State seems to have
broad appeal to the mentally unbalanced, the displaced and others on the
fringes of society, there are limits to how much any military campaign in
Syria and Iraq can reduce violence carried out in other countries on the
groups behalf.
William McCants, a scholar at the Brookings Institution and the author of
The ISIS Apocalypse, said there was a large cadre of men and women
who have no organizational ties to ISIS but murder in its name. These
irreligious criminals and social misfits, whom he described as ISIS-ish,
are rebels looking for a cause, he said.
During congressional testimony last week, Nicholas J. Rasmussen, the
director of the National Counterterrorism Center, gave a sober assessment
of the broad campaign against the Islamic State. It is our judgment that
ISILs ability to carry out terrorist attacks in Syria, Iraq and abroad has
not to date been significantly diminished, he said.
Either lone actors or small, insular groups continue to gravitate toward
simple tactics that do not require advance skills or outside training, he
said.
The murderous truck-driving rampage by Mr. Lahouaiej Bouhlel, 31, a
Tunisian living in France, is the embodiment of this phenomenon. The
authorities in France are still trying to piece together what direct ties, if
any, Mr. Lahouaiej Bouhlel had to the Islamic State.
On Saturday, the Islamic States Bayan radio station said Mr. Lahouaiej
Bouhlel had used a new tactic to wreak havoc.
The crusader countries know that no matter how much they enforce their
security measures and procedures, it will not stop the mujahedeen from
striking, the station said.
Such ominous warnings about indiscriminate violence create formidable
challenges for world leaders, who must strike a balance of raising
awareness about the terrorist threat without gratuitously stoking fears.
168
COMMENTS
As for how governments can calm their citizens, Im at a loss, Mr.
McCants said. Every attack is discussed endlessly on television and social
media, which heightens fear of future attacks, makes citizens scared of one
another and puts pressure on governments to look tough, he said.
And, he added, it gives politicians a cudgel to club their governing
opponents when they dont react strongly enough.
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Susan Weiss
15 minutes ago
This is a hugely important story. If we label every act as terrorism, we amplify the
power of terrorist groups like ISIS, we amplify our...
JL
15 minutes ago
Simply deranged? What a hideous combination of words. There is nothing simple at
all about being deranged. An inexcusable and unnecessary...
WRITE