2016 Election Poll Averages

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PartyLeadersResignationaSignofBernieSanderssInfluence,HisBackersSay
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2016 lection Poll
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ColombianDrugLord,SeekingLeniency,SaidHeTriedtoAssisttheUnitedState
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RanchersSayWallWontHelpChaosatBorder
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BernieSandersBackersMarchAgainstHillaryClintoninPhiladelphia
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Thecandidateswillfocusonseveralswingstates.Belowarethe
1.
averagesincrucialstateswithanewpollinthepastmonthandmore
thanonepollin2016.Acandidateneeds270electoralvotestowinthe
ObamaatD.N.C.:CharacterWitnessandProminentClintonConvert
presidency.
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A.F.L.C.I.O.LeaderSaysDonaldTrumpWontSwayWorkingClass
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Showmorepolls
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Pollstershaveseveralmethodstochoosefromwhenconductingapoll.
1.
Regardlessofmethod,it'shardtogetarepresentativesampleofthe
WhiteHouseLetter
populationtoanswersurveyquestions,somostpollsweighttheir
responsedatatomatchtheexpectedcompositionoftheelectorate.
1.
Aninterviewerasksquestionsofarespondentby
10.
telephone.Mosttelephonepollsconductedbyliveinterviewersinclude
bothlandlinesandcellphones.Currently,theCDCestimatesthatabout
halfofU.S.householdsdonothavealandline.
19.
2.
Mostonlinepollsarebasedonpanelsofselfselected
respondents.Internetaccessisnotyetevenlydistributedacross
socioeconomicanddemographicgroups.
11.
Interactivevoiceresponse(I.V.R.)
polls(alsoknownasrobopollsorautomatedpolls)employan
automated,recordedvoicetocallrespondentswhoareaskedtoanswer
questionsbypunchingtelephonekeys.Anyonewhocananswerthe
phoneandhitthebuttonscanbecountedinthesurvey.MostI.V.R.
20.
3.
pollscallonlylandlines.
Note:ChartsusepollsfrombeforeJan.1,2016,tostartdrawingaveragelinesonthatdate.
12.
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PollingdatafromtheHuffingtonPostPollsterAPI.
ByWilsonAndrewsandJoshKatz
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2016 Election Poll Averages

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