Professional Documents
Culture Documents
05
Pipeline
development
plan
Pipeline networks form the infrastructure backbone for transporting large volumes of liquid petroleum
and gas. The networks play a strategic role in the logistical supply chain to ensure security of supply to
inland markets, in a cost-effective, efficient and environmentally sustainable manner. Global economic
trends require pipeline infrastructure to provide capacity ahead of demand, while allowing sufficient
flexibility to adapt to change.
South Africa has a strong emerging market with its major business hub situated 600 kilometres away
from the coastline. Appropriate long-term planning for pipeline and associated infrastructure is
therefore fundamental to support South Africas progressive long-term economic growth, while taking
advantage of market opportunities, providing equitable access to participate and lowering the cost of
logistics in South Africa. A key planning goal in the petroleum and gas environment is to align planning
initiatives with National Government, the oil and gas industry and other key stakeholders, particularly in
providing diverse and sustainable energy sources.
Ms Sharla Pillay
Chief Executive: Transnet Pipelines
222
LTPF 2014
LTPF 2014
223
1. INTRODUCTION
This chapter of the Long-term Planning Framework
(LTPF) summarises the national pipeline development
plans for South Africa, comprising the pipelines owned
and operated by Transnet and pipelines owned and
operated by other entities (private terminal operators,
oil companies and freight logistics operators).
Table OF contents
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
INTRODUCTION
225
225
225
226
226
229
229
230
231
234
236
236
237
239
245
245
246
249
249
251
253
254
254
254
5.3 Biofuels
255
INVESTMENT OVERVIEW
256
256
256
257
1.2
Key issues
The key issues that influence long-term pipeline and
terminal planning have been identified as:
Governments Clean Fuels 2 Programme and the
impact on security of supply;
Product specifications vs pipeline specifications;
Slow-down in local economy and lower fuel demand;
Worldwide trend towards greater specialisation,
centralisation and economies of scale;
Implementation of new refining capacity and
strategic reserves (stocks);
Developments of alternative routes by landlocked
countries;
Restructuring of logistics networks, and improvement
in dealing with capacity constraints at terminals and
intermodal transport links;
Transport and handling of alternative forms of energy,
such as liquid natural gas (LNG), natural gas (NG) and
compressed natural gas (CNG);
The need for sustainability in developing
infrastructure solutions, as well as increased
stakeholder engagement on key issues; and
The award of leases by Transnet National Ports
Authority (TNPA) in the existing Durban port and
impact on the rationalisation of the oil industry
infrastructure in Island View and the proposed new
Durban Dig-out Port (DDOP).
Planning goals
The following general planning goals were used to
inform the development of South Africas long-term
pipeline and terminalplans:
Follow a common user principle in developing an
integrated liquid fuels supply system;
Meet the market demand and provide equitable
access and capacity for all parties that want to
participate in the oil and gas business sector;
224
LTPF 2014
LTPF 2014
225
1. Introduction (continued)
1.3
Regulatory fr amework
The regulatory framework within which pipelines for liquid fuels and gas operate in South Africa is depicted below.
Department of Energy
Department of
Environmental Affairs
National Environmental
Management Act (Act
No 107 of 1998)
National Environmental
Management:
Biodiversity Act (Act No
10 of 2004)
National Environmental
Management: Protected
Areas Act (Act No 57 of
2003)
National Environmental
Management: Air
Quality Act (Act No 39
of 2004)
Department of Labour
Occupational Health
and Safety Act (Act
No 85 of 1983)
Department of Safety
and Security
The National Energy Regulator of South Africa (NERSA) regulates pipelines within the ambit of the Petroleum Pipelines Act
and the Gas Act as well as associated regulations; thus NERSA functions as:
Gas Regulator in terms of the Gas Act;
Petroleum Pipeline Regulator under the Petroleum Pipelines Act;
Regulator and overseer of all of Transnet Pipelines activities; and
Authority on Transnet Pipelines tariffs based on the allowable revenue principle.
1.4
National
pipelines
The following
diagramnetwork
illustrates the existing national pipeline network as well as potential future new pipelines within South
Africa, including non-Transnet-owned pipelines.
Figure 2: National pipeline network
Petroline (proposed)
Petroline RSA (Pty) Ltd together with Petroline
SARLS.A.R.L (Mozambican) are shareholders of
Transnets
pipelines
network
Transnet pipeline
network
The following diagram depicts Transnets existing pipeline network within South Africa:
Figure 3: Transnets pipeline network
Transnets
pipelines
Transnets
pipelines
Inland
Durban
Alrode (Gauteng)
distribution network
Inlandcapacity
distribution
Current
4,5blpa network
NMPP24
adds
26 blpa 4,5blpa
at full expansion
Current
capacity
Crude oil pipeline
Durban Natref
Durban
Avtur
pipeline
Natref
Natref
Airport
(ORTIA)
Current
capacity
5,3blpa
Avtur pipeline
Secunda Durban
Current
capacity
1,2blpa
Current
capacity
23MGJ
pa
Other
pipelines
Methane-rich
gas pipeline
pipeline
Ngqura-Gauteng
Secunda Durban
delay
Current
capacity
23MGJ
part of
the MPP24
Phase 2pa
from 2014
to 2035, and subsequent phases
Other pipelines
Maputo-Gauteng pipeline
Private-sector
Ngqura-Gauteng
pipeline
(Petroline) pipeline
Additionalnot
15blpa
capacity from 2018 could
Construction
yet started
delay part of the MPP24 Phase 2 from 2014
to 2035, and subsequent phases
226
LTPF 2014
Maputo-Gauteng pipeline
LTPF 2014
227
228
LTPF 2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2023
2033
2043
2,6
13,6
13,5
4,5
2,6
14,2
13,6
4,5
2,7
14,8
13,7
4,5
2,8
15,5
13,8
4,5
2,6
16,2
14,0
4,7
2,8
16,9
14,1
4,6
2,9
17,7
14,2
4,5
3,1
20,2
14,6
4,6
3,9
31,9
16,0
4,8
4,9
52,5
17,6
5,1
34,1
2,8%
34,9
2,3%
35,7
2,3%
36,6
2,4%
37,5
2,4%
38,4
2,5%
39,4
2,5%
42,5
2,6%
56,6
3,1%
80,1
3,7%
The graph on the right below shows the liquid fuel demand (including other products) for South Africa and non-South African
supplied from or via South Africa for the period 2014 to 2043.
Figure 4: South Africa and cross-border refined fuel demand, by fuel type
90
90
80
80
70
70
60
2043
2041
2039
2037
2035
2033
2031
2043
2041
2039
2037
2035
2033
10
2031
10
SA
Demand
2029
20
2027
20
2025
30
Other
2023
30
2021
40
Jet
40
2019
Petrol
50
Non-SA
Demand
2017
50
2015
Diesel
2013
60
2029
Total
Annual growth
2014
2027
2025
Table 1: South Africa and cross-border refined fuel demand, by fuel type (billion litres per annum)
2023
The graph on the left below shows the demand per fuel
type for the period 2014 to 2043. From the graph below
it is evident that the market for diesel is growing while
the petrol market remains relatively constant.
2021
2019
2017
2015
2013
1. Introduction (continued)
The inland demand area is defined as per the following figure and tables. Each of the demand enclaves are linked to a demand
point being part of the existing oil industry depot infrastructure.
LTPF 2014
229
Durban - Sasolburg
Saldanha Bay - Cape Town
Total Crude Pipelines
Annual Growth
5,3
4,8
10,1
3,5%
5,5
4,8
10,3
1,7%
5,7
5,4
4,8
4,8
10,5 10,2
2,6% -3,3%
5,5
5,4
4,8
4,8
10,4 10,2
1,6% -1,0%
5,7
5,3
4,8
4,8
10,5 10,1
2,6% -4,0%
5,4
4,8
10,2
1,2%
2.3
2.2
2014
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2043
Jet
Diesel
Petrol
2,51
11,91
12,27
2,57
12,47
12,36
2,86
15,67
12,86
3,19
19,75
13,38
3,57
25,02
13,93
3,99
31,92
14,52
4,48
41,15
15,15
4,81
48,24
15,55
Total
Annual growth
26,69
3,3%
27,40
2,7%
31,39
2,9%
36,32
3,1%
42,52
3,4%
50,43
3,7%
60,79
4,1%
68,60
4,3%
Figure 7: South Africa refined fuel: Petrol, diesel and jet fuel demand
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2023
2033
2043
5,3
5,5
5,7
5,4
5,5
5,4
5,7
5,3
5,4
5,5
4,8
4,8
4,8
4,8
4,8
4,8
4,8
4,8
4,8
4,8
10,1
10,3
10,5
10,2
10,4
10,2
10,5
10,1
10,2
10,3
For the crude oil pipeline from Saldanha Bay to Cape Town, it is assumed that the Chevron refinery will maintain production
at current installed capacity for the planning period. The utilisation of the Chevron crude pipeline from Saldanha Bay will
therefore remain constant at current capacity.
230
LTPF 2014
LTPF 2014
231
5
4
10
0,5%
2015 (2014
2020
Table 4: Inland refined fuel supply and2014
demand forecast
to 2043)2025
Annual Growth
2014
18437
3,2
9080
9356
251
2433
6673
18 437
18 944
21 817
25 386
3,2%
2,7%
2,8%
3,1%
2015
2020
18944
2,7
9 080
9348
9596
3 940
5 140 319
3231
6046
21817
2,8
9 348
9590
12227
3 861
5 487299
3054
8873
2025
2030
25386
3,1
9 590
9520
15866
4 178
5 413325
3087
12454
29889
3,3
9 520
9362
20527
4 236
5 284355
3438
16734
2030
3035
29 889
3035
3,3%
35663
3,7
9 362
9715
4 25948
186
1127
5 176
3830
20991
2040
35 663
2040
43 246
2042
3,7%
2042
47 141
2043
3,9%
43246
3,9
9 715
9659
433587
113
2588
5 602
4289
26711
4,5%
47141
4,5
9 659
9364
437776
368
3822
5 291
4519
29435
49077
3,9
9 9404
364
440673
188
5 3978
177
4840
31855
Supply from
Coast
527
2543246
948
33 587
776
Total
supply to inland
18437 9 356
18944 9 596
21817 12 227
25386 15 866
29889 20 35663
47141 3749077
Supply from Coast by Road
251
319
299
325
355
1 127
2 588
3 822
The
following
The inland
production
is supplemented
by4 519
Supply
fromgraph
Coastshows
by Railthe supply required
2 433 to satisfy
3 231 the inland
3 054 demand.
3 087
3 438
3 830
4 289
product from the coast, transported by road, rail and pipelines. The pipeline supply consists of the Durban-Johannesburg
Supply (DJP),
from Coast
Pipeline
6 046
8 873
12 454
16 734
20 991
26 711
29 435
Pipeline
MPP24by
and
or the NGP. 6 673
Figure 8: Inland refined fuel supply and demand forecast (2014 to 2043)
18 437
18 944
21 817
25 386
29 889
35 663
43 246
47 141
2014
3,6
3,1
0,0
6,7
2015
0,0
6,0
0,0
6,0
2016
0,0
6,1
0,0
6,1
2013
3,5
3,1
0,0
6,7
2017
0,0
6,8
0,0
6,8
2018
0,0
3,3
4,6
7,9
2019
0,0
3,2
5,3
8,5
2020
0,0
3,2
5,7
8,9
2023
0,0
2,9
7,9
10,8
2033
0,0
6,3
12,9
19,2
2043
0,0
19,7
11,2
30,9
35
2043
49 077
3,9%
9 404
4 113
5 291
40 673
3 978
4 840
31 855
30
25
20
Ngqura-Gauteng (NGP)
15
Durban-Gauteng (MPP24)
Durban-Johannesburg (DJP)
10
49 077
The following table shows the various pipeline utilisations for the period 2014 to 2043 for scenario 2 based on the forecasted
demand requirements.
Table 6: Refined fuel pipeline demand: Scenario 2 with coastal shipping
Refined fuel
pipeline
Refined
fuel pipeline 2013
DJP
DJP
3,5
MPP24
MPP24 NGP
3,1
NGP
0,0
Total
Billion litres per annum.
Total
6,7
20142014 2015
2017
2015 2016
2016
2017
3,6 3,6 0,0 0,0
0,0
3,1
6,0
6,1
6,8
3,1 0,0 6,0 6,1
6,8
0,0 6,7 0,06,0 0,06,1
0,0
6,8
6,7
6,0
6,1
6,8
2018
2018
0,0
7,6
7,6
0,0
7,6
7,6
Figure 10: Refined fuel pipeline demand: Scenario 2 with coastal shipping
2019
0,0
8,2
8,2
0,0
8,2
8,2
2019
2020
0,0
8,5
8,5
8,50,0
8,5
2020
19,0
30,6
10,5 0,0 19,0 0,030,6 0,0
10,5
19,0
30,6
2023
35
30
The following table shows pipeline utilisation for period 2014 to 2043 for scenario 1 based on the forecasted demand
requirements.
25
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2023
2033
2043
DJP
MPP24
NGP
3,6
3,1
0,0
0,0
6,0
0,0
0,0
6,1
0,0
0,0
6,8
0,0
0,0
3,3
4,6
0,0
3,2
5,3
0,0
3,2
5,7
0,0
2,9
7,9
0,0
6,3
12,9
0,0
19,7
11,2
Total
6,7
6,0
6,1
6,8
7,9
8,5
8,9
10,8
19,2
30,9
20
15
10
Ngqura-Gauteng (NGP)
Durban-Gauteng (MPP24)
Durban-Johannesburg (DJP)
5
0
232
LTPF 2014
LTPF 2014
233
2013
1486,0
320,0
2351,9
4158
2014
1486
331
2352
4169
0,3%
2015
1486
344
2352
4182
0,3%
2016
1486
361
2352
4199
0,4%
2017
1486
363
2352
4201
0,0%
2018
1486
372
2352
4210
0,2%
2019
1486
382
2352
4220
0,2%
2020
2023
2033
1486
1486
1486
392
421
538
2352
2352
2352
4229 4258,4 4376,2
0,2%
0,2%
0,3%
2043
1486
689
2352
4527,0
0,4%
Table 7: Jet fuel supply and demand for inland area for the period 2014 to 2043
Billion litres
per annum
Jet fuel
demand
Demand
growth(%)
Jet fuel
logistics
capacity
SasolburgOrtia avtur
line
Durban-Ortia
rail
Road
MPP24Jameson
Park-Ortia
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2032
2042
2043
1,9
1,94
1,98
2,03
2,07
2,12
2,16
2,21
2,26
2,81
3,53
3,61
2,7
2,2
2,2
2,2
2,2
2,2
2,2
2,2
2,2
2,2
2,3
2,3
2,15
2,15
2,15
7,41
7,41
7,41
7,41
7,41
7,41
7,41
7,41
7,41
1,31
1,31
1,31
1,31
1,31
1,31
1,31
1,31
1,31
1,31
1,31
1,31
0,83
0,01
0,83
0,01
0,83
0,01
0,83
0,01
0,83
0,01
0,83
0,01
0,83
0,01
0,83
0,01
0,83
0,01
0,83
0,01
0,83
0,01
0,83
0,01
5,26
5,26
5,26
5,26
5,26
5,26
5,26
5,26
5,26
The South African gas market is currently small in relation to other energy sources. It does, however, have the potential for
significant growth if commercially viable gas discoveries are developed.
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2023
2033
2043
Gas pipeline
1 486
331
2 352
1 486
344
2 352
1 486
361
2 352
1 486
363
2 352
1 486
372
2 352
1 486
382
2 352
1 486
392
2 352
1 486
421
2 352
1 486
538
2 352
1 486
689
2 352
4 169
0,3
4 182
0,3
4 199
0,4
4 201
0,0
4 210
0,2
4 220
0,2
4 229
0,2
4 258,4
0,2
4 376,2
0,3
4 527,0
0,4
234
LTPF 2014
LTPF 2014
235
Scenario 1:
Ngqura-Gauteng pipeline
(billion litres pa)
Scenario 2:
Coastal shipping to Durban
(billion litres pa)
2010
8,8
8,8
2020
8,8
11,9
2024
8,8
16,9
2030
8,8
22,3
2036
11,9
23,8
2038
11,9
26,3
2039
16,9
26,3
2042
18,3
26,3
The key issues that will impact the timing of the expansions are:
The inland market demand growth;
The ability of the inland refineries to supply a minimum base load of fuel;
The building of a new pipeline from the proposed Mthombo refinery which could delay part of the phase 2 expansion to the
2030 to 2035 period; and
Security of supply considerations.
It should be noted that based on the timing of the Mthombo refinery decision, only part or the full phase 2 expansion
investments will be incurred (TM2 tanks will have to be built as well as the Kroonstad to Sasolburg pipeline leg). It is thus
critical that the investment decisions be coordinated at a national level between the government entities involved.
236
LTPF 2014
LTPF 2014
237
NGP 3.
and
MPP24 pipeline
capacity utilisation
for(continued)
scenario 1
PIPELINE
DEVELOPMENT
PLANS
The following graph shows the utilisation of the MPP24 and NGP (scenario 1) and the impact on the timing of the planned
MPP24 expansion phases.
The figure below shows the phased expansion of the MPP24 through time as product demand increases and supply is
imported through Durban either from Mthombo or other sources (scenario 2).
MPP24
pipeline capacity utilisation for scenario 2
With the delay in the implementation of the Mthombo refinery now expected well post 2020, it is evident from the below
Figure 13: NGP and MPP24 pipeline capacity utilisation for scenario 1
graph that the MPP24 phase 2 expansion will be required before the refinery is built.
This will put additional pressure on a no pipeline scenario for Mthombo as the MPP24 phase 2 will increase capacity to 11,9
billion litres per annum and as indicated in the figure above will be underutilised for at least 10 years until demand growth has
caught up with installed capacity.
Figure 14: MPP24 pipeline capacity utilisation for scenario 2
The figure above shows the delayed expansion of the MPP24 as product is transported inland in the new NGP from the
Mthombo refinery. During the period until the capacity of the NGP is reached, the MPP24 volume will show a steady decline
where after it would pick up and take up the growth in the inland market.
The following table shows the volumes transported in each of the pipelines for the 30-year planning period.
3.3
Network diagram
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2023
2033
2043
DJP
Petrol
Diesel
3,02
0,57
MPP24
Petrol
Diesel
Jet
3,08
2,57
3,48
2,58
3,56
2,71
4,08
1,94
1,35
1,92
1,26
1,91
1,23
0,03
1,86
0,86
0,20
1,69
4,11
0,45
2,44
16,02
1,23
Total
6,67
6,05
6,14
6,80
3,28
3,18
3,17
2,91
6,25
19,69
(2)
10
11
19
Petrol
Diesel
Jet
1,23
3,24
0,17
1,45
3,67
0,21
1,47
4,01
0,22
1,77
5,90
0,20
2,98
9,48
0,49
3,34
7,41
0,41
Total
4,63
5,33
5,70
7,87
12,95
11,16
15
(52)
(3)
(2)
The following two diagrams indicate the schematic layout of the pipeline system for 2014 and 2020. The key difference is the
decommissioning
of the DJP.
Refined fuel
pipeline network
diagram for 2014
Waltloo
LTPF 2014
Witbank
Waltloo
Witbank
Kendal
Kendal
Airport
Rustenburg
Tarlton
Airport
Langlaagte
Alrode
Klerksdorp
Sasolburg
(2)
238
Figure 15: Pipeline network diagram for 2014 and 2020: Scenerio 2
Secunda
Jameson
Park
Rustenburg
Tarlton
Langlaagte
Alrode
Klerksdorp
Coalbrook
Sasolburg
Kroonstad
Kroonstad
Bethlehem
Bethlehem
Ladysmith
Ladysmith
Durban
Durban
Secunda
Jameson
Park
Coalbrook
LTPF 2014
239
Network utilisation
The
following diagrams
indicate theutilisation
pipeline utilisation
the various liquid fuels pipelines in the network for 2014, 2034 and
Refined
fuel pipeline
forfor2014
2043 based on average monthly pipeline demand.
Witbank
Waltloo
90%
Figure 16: Network utilisation for 2014 based on average monthly pipeline demand: Scenario 2
Airport
22%
%18
114
%
Witbank
Waltloo
Kendal
47% (petrol)
Airport
15%
Rustenbur
g
124
%
Tarlto
n
20% (diesel)
Langlaagt
e
1%
Jameson
Park
49%
Sasolburg
Coalbrook
89%
100
%
Durban
Note
that in thefuel
2034 pipeline
diagram the MPP24
pipeline isfor
running
more that 80% of capacity and in 2043, the Jameson Park
Refined
utilisation
2034
Kendal line section, Tarlton Rustenburg line section and the MPP24 exceed the installed capacity.
Figure 17: Network utilisation for 2034 based on average monthly pipeline demand: Scenario 2
Jameson
Park
Secunda
77%
Coalbrook
Kroonstad
Ladysmith
Bethlehem
Ladysmith
Alrode
Sasolburg
71%
Kroonstad
0%
96% (diesel)
Langlaagt
e
Secunda
67%
Klerksdorp
Alrode
Tarlto
n
50%
30%
Rustenbur
g
19%
48%
Klerksdorp
1% (petrol)
19%
26%
Kendal
Average Demand
Durban
1% -59%
50%
2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039 2041 2043
PIPELINE SECTION 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023
60% -79%
61%
NMPP
36% 69% 78% 36% 25% 21% 15%
9% 10% 17% 24% 31%
40% 51% 61% 75%
80%-100% 85%
Coega Pipeline
0%
0%
0% 61% 78% 60% 75% 81% 86% 88% 87% 85%
84% 82% 79% 75%
Multi-product Pipeline
>100%
101%
The
Peakfollowing
Seasonaldiagrams
Demand indicate the pipeline utilisation through time (2014 to 2043) and show when the regional sections of
the pipeline network become constrained. The average and peak seasonal demand is shown for the MPP24 (trunk line) and the
PIPELINE SECTION 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039 2041 2043
utilisation for average demand in the eastern, western and northern sections of the pipeline system. Each pipeline section is
MPP24
44% 81% 92% 42% 29% 23% 16%
9% 11% 20% 28% 37%
48% 61% 74% 90%
shown separately for the various network regions.
Coega Pipeline
0%
0%
0% 72% 93% 72% 90% 97% 104% 105% 104% 101% 100% 97% 93% 89%
Figure 19: MPP24 trunk line and Ngqura pipeline capacity utilisation: Scenario 1
Average Demand
1% -59%
50%
PIPELINE SECTION 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039 2041 2043
Average Demand
60% -79%
61%
MPP24
36% 69% 78% 93% 78% 75% 70% 53% 58% 66% 72% 79%
87% 96% 105% 116%
-59%
50%
PIPELINE SECTION 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039 2041 2043 1%80%-100%
85%
60% -79%
61%
NMPP
36% 69% 78% 36% 25% 21% 15%
9% 10% 17% 24% 31%
40% 51% 61% 75%
>100%
#####
Peak Seasonal Demand
80%-100% 85%
Coega Pipeline
0%
0%
0% 61% 78% 60% 75% 81% 86% 88% 87% 85%
84% 82% 79% 75%
PIPELINE SECTION 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039 2041 2043
>100%
101%
MPP24
44% 81% 92% 110% 92% 88% 82% 63% 68% 78% 86% 94% 104% 115% 125% 139%
Peak Seasonal Demand
PIPELINE SECTION 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039 2041 2043
Regular pipeline expansions (additional pump stations and tanks) are scheduled for the MPP24 to alleviate any constraints
MPP24
44% 81% 92% 42% 29% 23% 16%
9% 11% 20% 28% 37%
48% 61% 74% 90%
that might occur. The pipeline only becomes constrained for scenario 2 in 2042 and 2038 for the peak demand case.
Coega Pipeline
0%
0%
0% 72% 93% 72% 90% 97% 104% 105% 104% 101% 100% 97% 93% 89%
Figure 20: MPP24 trunk line capacity utilisation: Scenario 2
Average Demand
PIPELINE SECTION
MPP24
2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035
36%
69%
78%
93%
78%
75%
70%
53%
58%
66%
72%
79%
1% -59%
50%
60% -79%
61%
80%-100%
240
LTPF 2014
>100%
85%
#####
LTPF 2014
241
The northern network comprises the pipeline running from Jameson Park though the Alrode node to Rustenburg and
ORTambo International Airport (ORTIA).
Witbank.
Figure 21:Products
Eastern network
refined products (average demand)
Refined
Eastern Network
1% -59%
50%
60% -79%
61%
80%-100%
1% -59%
>100%
60% -79%
85%
50%
101%
61%
80%-100%
85%
PIPELINE SECTION
2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039
2041 2043
Pipeline
Section
Design
Capacity
Utilisation
Average
Demand
>100%
101%
Secunda-Kendal (20")
25% 25% 25% 22% 22% 21% 21% 20% 20% 19% 20% 19%
19% 18% 18% 17%
Secunda-Kendal
(12")
15%
9%
5%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
PIPELINE SECTION
2013 14%
2015 13%
2017 2019
2021
2023
2025
2027
2029
2031
2033
2035
2037
2039
2041
2043
Jameson
Park-Kendal
14%
16%
20%
30%
37%
46%
50%
57%
63%
70%
77%
87%
97%
97%
120%
126%
Secunda-Kendal (20")
25% 25% 25% 22% 22% 21% 21% 20% 20% 19% 20% 19%
19% 18% 18% 17%
Secunda-Jameson
Park
5%
Secunda-Kendal (12")
15% 0%
14% 0%
13% 0%9% 0%5% 0%0% 0%0% 0%0% 0%0% 0%0% 0%0% 0%0% 0%0% 0%0% 0%0% 0%0%
Kendal
Waltloo
31% 33% 36% 38% 41% 44% 47% 50% 54% 59% 59% 69%
75% 76% 79% 97%
Jameson
Park-Kendal
14% 16% 20% 30% 37% 46% 50% 57% 63% 70% 77% 87%
97% 97% 120% 126%
Kendal-Witbank
23% 21% 23% 28% 32% 36% 39% 43% 47% 50% 55% 60%
67% 74% 82% 90%
Secunda-Jameson Park
5%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Kendal Waltloo
Kendal-Witbank
31%
33%
36%
38%
41%
44%
47%
50%
54%
59%
59%
69%
75%
76%
79%
97%
23%
21%
23%
28%
32%
36%
39%
43%
47%
50%
55%
60%
67%
74%
82%
90%
1% -59%
50%
60% -79%
61%
80%-100%
1% -59%
85%
50%
>100%
60% -79%
101%
61%
80%-100%
85%
PIPELINE SECTION
2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039
2041 2043
Secunda-Kendal
(20") Capacity Utilisation
27% 27%- Peak
27% Demand
24% 24% 23% 23% 22% 22% 21% 22% 20%
21% 19%
Pipeline Section Design
>100% 20% 18%
101%
Secunda-Kendal
(12")
19% 17% 16% 11%
6% 12%
8%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
PIPELINE SECTION
2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039 2041 2043
Jameson
Park-Kendal
17% 20% 25% 36% 45% 56% 61% 69% 76% 79% 94% 99% 117% 131% 146% 154%
Secunda-Kendal (20")
27% 27% 27% 24% 24% 23% 23% 22% 22% 21% 22% 20%
21% 19% 20% 18%
Secunda-Jameson Park
5%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Secunda-Kendal (12")
19% 17% 16% 11%
6% 12%
8%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Kendal
Waltloo
36% 39% 41% 44% 47% 51% 55% 59% 64% 69% 75% 76%
79% 97% 99% 99%
Jameson Park-Kendal
17% 20% 25% 36% 45% 56% 61% 69% 76% 79% 94% 99% 117% 131% 146% 154%
Kendal-Witbank
27%5% 26%0% 28%0% 33%0% 39%0% 43%0% 47%0% 51%0% 56%0% 61%0% 66%0% 73%0% 82%0% 90%0%100%0%110%0%
Secunda-Jameson Park
Kendal Waltloo
36% 39% 41% 44% 47% 51% 55% 59% 64% 69% 75% 76%
79% 97% 99% 99%
Refined
products
(average
and
peak
demand)
TheKendal-Witbank
eastern network will
only experience
capacity
constraints
towards 2040.
27% 26% 28% 33% 39% 43% 47% 51% 56% 61% 66% 73%
82% 90% 100% 110%
Refined products
(average and peak demand)
Western
network
Western
network
Western
network
The western
network comprises pipelines running from Natref in Sasolburg to Jameson Park, south to Kroonstad and west to
Klerksdorp. It also includes the dedicated Avtur pipeline.
1% -59%
60%
-79%
1% -59%
PIPELINE SECTION
Natref-Kroonstad
PIPELINE SECTION
Natref-Klerksdorp
Natref-Kroonstad
Natref-Ortia
(Avtur)
Natref-Klerksdorp
Natref-Jameson
Park
Natref-Ortia (Avtur)
Jameson
Park-Natref
Natref-Jameson
Park
Jameson Park-Natref
50%
61%
50%
80%-100%
60% -79%
>100%
80%-100%
85%
61%
101%
85%
>100%
101%
2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035
0% 2015
22% 2017
22% 2019
15% 2021
15% 2023
15% 2025
16% 2027
16% 2029
17% 2031
17% 2033
18% 2035
19%
2013
19% 2039
20% 2041
21% 2043
22%
2037
48%
0%
50%
22%
51%
22%
53%
15%
54%
15%
55%
15%
57%
16%
59%
16%
61%
17%
62%
17%
64%
18%
66%
19%
69%
19%
71%
20%
74%
21%
77%
22%
85%
48%
85%
50%
85%
51%
85%
53%
85%
54%
85%
55%
85%
57%
85%
59%
85%
61%
85%
62%
85%
64%
85%
66%
85%
69%
85%
71%
85%
74%
85%
77%
12%
85%
33%
85%
31%
85%
34%
85%
30%
85%
38%
85%
25%
85%
16%
85%
20%
85%
16%
85%
15%
85%
19%
85%
16%
85%
15%
85%
18%
85%
15%
85%
0%
12%
0%
33%
0%
31%
0%
34%
0%
30%
0%
38%
0%
25%
3%
16%
3%
20%
17%
16%
18%
15%
19%
19%
20%
16%
21%
15%
22%
18%
23%
15%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
3%
17%
18%
19%
20%
21%
22%
23%
1% -59%
60%
-79%
1% -59%
1% -59%
50%
60% -79%
61%
80%-100%
1% -59%
>100%
60% -79%
85%
50%
101%
61%
PIPELINE SECTION
2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039
2041 2043
80%-100%
85%
Jameson
Park-Ortio
(Jet)
0%
0%- Average
0%
4%
6%
7%
9% 11% 13% 16% 18% 20%
23% >100%
25% 28% 31%
Pipeline Section
Design
Capacity Utilisation
Demand
101%
Jameson Park-Alrode (Petrol) 3% 36% 36% 37% 38% 39% 39% 40% 41% 42% 43% 43% 44% 45% 46% 47%
PIPELINE SECTION
2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039 2041 2043
Jameson Park-Alrode (Diesel) 19% 21% 23% 26% 28% 32% 35% 39% 44% 49% 55% 61% 68% 77% 86% 96%
Jameson Park-Ortio (Jet)
0%
0%
0%
4%
6%
7%
9% 11% 13% 16% 18% 20%
23% 25% 28% 31%
Alrode Langlaagte
19% 19% 19% 20% 22% 23% 25% 27% 29% 31% 33% 35%
38% 42% 46% 50%
Jameson Park-Alrode (Petrol) 3% 36% 36% 37% 38% 39% 39% 40% 41% 42% 43% 43% 44% 45% 46% 47%
Langlaagte Tarlton
19% 18% 18% 19% 21% 22% 24% 26% 27% 29% 32% 34%
37% 40% 44% 48%
Jameson Park-Alrode (Diesel) 19% 21% 23% 26% 28% 32% 35% 39% 44% 49% 55% 61% 68% 77% 86% 96%
Tarlton Rustenburg
24% 27% 30% 33% 37% 41% 45% 51% 56% 62% 69% 78%
87% 98% 109% 124%
Alrode Langlaagte
19% 19% 19% 20% 22% 23% 25% 27% 29% 31% 33% 35%
38% 42% 46% 50%
Langlaagte Tarlton
19% 18% 18% 19% 21% 22% 24% 26% 27% 29% 32% 34%
37% 40% 44% 48%
Tarlton Rustenburg
24% 27% 30% 33% 37% 41% 45% 51% 56% 62% 69% 78%
87% 98% 109% 124%
Jet Fuel
1% -59%
50%
60% -79%
61%
80%-100%
1% -59%
>100%
60% -79%
85%
50%
101%
61%
PIPELINE SECTION
2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039
2041 2043
80%-100%
85%
Jameson
Park-Ortia
(Jet)
0%
0%- Peak
0%Demand
5%
7%
9% 11% 13% 16% 18% 21% 24%
27% >100%
30% 33% 37%
Pipeline Section
Design
Capacity Utilisation
101%
Jameson Park-Alrode (Petrol) 3% 40% 40% 41% 41% 42% 43% 44% 45% 46% 47% 47% 48% 50% 51% 52%
PIPELINE SECTION
2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039 2041 2043
Jameson Park-Alrode (Diesel) 24% 26% 28% 32% 35% 39% 44% 49% 54% 61% 67% 76% 85% 95% 106% 119%
Jameson Park-Ortia (Jet)
0%
0%
0%
5%
7%
9% 11% 13% 16% 18% 21% 24%
27% 30% 33% 37%
Alrode Langlaagte
21% 22% 22% 24% 25% 27% 29% 31% 34% 36% 39% 42%
45% 50% 55% 60%
Jameson Park-Alrode (Petrol) 3% 40% 40% 41% 41% 42% 43% 44% 45% 46% 47% 47% 48% 50% 51% 52%
Langlaagte Tarlton
22% 21% 21% 23% 24% 26% 28% 30% 32% 35% 38% 41%
44% 48% 52% 57%
Jameson Park-Alrode (Diesel) 24% 26% 28% 32% 35% 39% 44% 49% 54% 61% 67% 76% 85% 95% 106% 119%
Tarlton Rustenburg
28% 32% 35% 39% 44% 49% 54% 60% 67% 75% 83% 94% 105% 118% 132% 150%
Alrode Langlaagte
21% 22% for
22% 24%
25% and
27% 29%
31% 34% 36% 39% 42%
45% 50% 55% 60%
Pipeline
schematic layout
2014
2020
Langlaagte
22% 21%
21% until
23% 2035,
24% where
26% 28%
32% 35% 38% 41% section
44% 48%
52% additional
57%
The
northernTarlton
network has sufficient
capacity
after30%
the Tarlton-Rustenburg
requires
Tarlton Rustenburg
28% 32% 35% 39% 44% 49% 54% 60% 67% 75% 83% 94% 105% 118% 132% 150%
capacity.
50%
61%
50%
80%-100%
60% -79%
>100%
80%-100%
85%
61%
101%
85%
>100%
101%
PIPELINE SECTION
2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039 2041 2043
Natref-Kroonstad
0% 2015
26% 2017
26% 2019
17% 2021
18% 2023
18% 2025
19% 2027
19% 2029
20% 2031
21% 2033
22% 2035
22% 2037
23% 2039
25% 2041
26% 2043
27%
PIPELINE SECTION
2013
Natref-Klerksdorp
57%
82%
Natref-Kroonstad
0% 59%
26% 60%
26% 62%
17% 64%
18% 66%
18% 68%
19% 70%
19% 72%
20% 74%
21% 76%
22% 79%
22%
23% 85%
25% 88%
26% 92%
27%
Natref-Ortia
(Avtur)
85%
85%
Natref-Klerksdorp
57% 85%
59% 85%
60% 85%
62% 85%
64% 85%
66% 85%
68% 85%
70% 85%
72% 85%
74% 85%
76% 85%
79%
82% 85%
85% 85%
88% 85%
92%
Natref-Jameson
Park
14%
17%
Natref-Ortia (Avtur)
85% 38%
85% 36%
85% 40%
85% 34%
85% 45%
85% 28%
85% 18%
85% 21%
85% 18%
85% 17%
85% 20%
85%
85% 16%
85% 20%
85% 16%
85%
Jameson
Park-Natref
0% 38%
0% 36%
0% 40%
0% 34%
0% 45%
0% 28%
0% 18%
4% 21%
4% 21%
24%
Natref-Jameson
Park
14%
18% 22%
17% 23%
20%
17% 26%
16% 27%
20% 29%
16%
Jameson Park-Natref
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
4%
4% 21% 22% 23%
24% 26% 27% 29%
The western network will not experience capacity constraints for the 30-year period.
242
LTPF 2014
LTPF 2014
243
The introduction of biofuels in 2015 will require mitigating measures to ensure that there is no cross contamination of jet fuel
with fatty acid methyl ester (FAME) when transported in MPP24.
The building of a jet fuel pipeline to supply the King Shaka International Airport (KSIA) at La Mercy in Durban should be
investigated in future when demand increases to warrant the capital investment. Current demand at the airport is low and jet
fuel is supplied by road tankers.
3.4
The following diagram indicates the jet fuel pipeline utilisation for the 2014, 2024, 2034 and 2043:
Figure 26: Jet fuel pipeline utilisation 2014 to 2043
Pipeline utilisation map 2014
The diagram
below indicates
the crude
oil pipeline system.
Although the section from Vrede to Secunda was part of the
Crude oil pipeline
schematic
and
utilisation
map
original system to Ogies (near Kendal) it is currently not in service. The various line sections, diameters and flow rates are
shown in the adjacent table.
Figure 28: Crude oil pipeline schematic and pipeline information
The current dedicated jet fuel pipeline from Sasolburg will continue to be run at full capacity for the 30-year planning period
with increased volumes through time in the MPP24.
A key issue for the transport of jet fuel in the MPP24 is the compliance to the CF2 product specification. Jet fuel has high
sulphur content
and hence ajet
technical
to be found
the next two years to transport jet fuel and very
Option
to manage
fuelsolution
fromneeds
Durban
towithin
ORTIA
low sulphur (10ppm) refined products in the MPP24. The below figure depicts the options to manage the impact on jet fuel
toORTIA.
Figure 27: Option to manage jet fuel from Durban to ORTIA
Option for managing jet fuel ex coast into ORTIA
1.
jetJet
in MPP24
and
find
a solution
CF2 else
els move
1. Transport
Transport
in MPP24
and
find
solutionfor
for quality
quality before CF2
moveto
toRail (clean-up issues
2. thereafter...)
Use DJP until CF2 or end of life date whichever is earlier and then move back to rail or MPP24 if
2. Use
DJP until
CF2 or
end of life date whichever is earlier and then move back to rail or MPP24 if
quality
solution
found.
quality solution found.
2014
2017
1% -59% 50%
The capacity utilisation map below indicates that sufficient capacity exists in the system for
the 30-year planning period.
PIPELINE SECTION
2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039 2041
60% -79% 61%
Crude
pipeline
Fynland-Newcastle Figure 29:71%
67%oil 74%
73% capacity
74% 72%utilisation
74% 73%map
74% 74% 74% 74%
74% 74% 74%
80%-100% 85%
Newcastle-Coalbrook
71% 67% 74% 73% 74% 72% 74% 73% 74% 74% 74% 74%
74% 74% 74%
>100% 101%
1% -59%
PIPELINE SECTION
Fynland-Newcastle
Newcastle-Coalbrook
2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035
71%
67%
74%
73%
74%
72%
74%
73%
74%
74%
74%
74%
74%
74%
74%
71%
67%
74%
73%
74%
72%
74%
73%
74%
74%
74%
74%
74%
74%
74%
50%
60% -79%
61%
80%-100%
85%
>100% 101%
MPP 24
RAIL
DJP
244
LTPF 2014
Sasols natural gas is supplied via the 865km ROMPCO natural gas transmission pipeline from the Pande and Temane Gas
Field in Mozambique, to Sasols plants in Secunda and Sasolburg. The pipeline is 50% owned by Sasol, 25% by the South
African Government (CEF) and the other 25% by the Mozambique Government.
During 2010, construction of a new compressor station was completed at Komatipoort on the border of Mozambique and
South Africa. The new station increases capacity by approximately 7MGJ per annum. In 2012 Sasol applied for tariffs for an
additional 27MGJ per annum to be delivered to customers. The ramp up to 147MGJ will be done over a seven-year period.
LTPF 2014
245
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2,57
2,58
2,71
1,94
1,92
MPP24split between
Diesel
3,08
3,48and
3,56
4,08 scenario
1,35
1,361
Volume
MPP24
NGP:
Jet
Pipeline
capacity utilisation
for MPP24
and3,28NGP3,18
Total
3,08
6,05
6,14
6,80
Growth from the previous year
ay - Durban
-Richards Bay
Newcastle
34%
36%
39%
41%
43%
46%
48%
50%
53%
55%
58%
61%
64%
67%
71%
69% 2013
72% 2015
76%201780%
88% 2025
92%2027 97%
107%2035
113%
1% -59%85%
50%
2019 84%
2021 2023
2029 102%
2031 2033
2037118%
2039 2041 80%-100%
85%
34%
41% 103%
43%
89% 36%
94%39%98%
46% 48%
53% 126%
55%
109%
114%50%120%
65%
69%
72%
76%
80%
97% 102%
70%
75%
80%
85%
89%
94%
88%
92%
71%
61%
84%
58%
67%
132% 61%
139%64%146%
57%
60% -79%
61%
>100%
101%
80%-100%
85%
>100% 101%
10%
2%
11%
LTPF 2014
2040
2043
1,91
1,23
0,03
1,86
0,86
0,20
1,69
4,11
0,45
2,44
16,02
1,23
3,17
2,91
6,25
19,69
(2%)
19%
9%
(52%)
(3%)
1,23
3,24
0,17
1,45
3,67
0,21
1,47
4,01
0,22
1,77
5,90
0,20
2,98
9,48
0,49
3,34
7,41
0,41
11,16
Total
4,63
5,33
5,70
7,87
12,95
15%
7%
5%
1%
(2%)
The table above indicates the anticipated split in volumes transported between the MPP24 and proposed Ngqura pipeline.
Asper the demand forecast, the Ngqura pipeline is required by 2018, though it is anticipated to be completed later with the
delay in the implementation of Mthombo. The building of the Ngqura pipeline would postpone the expansion plans for the
MPP24 line and reduce the need to invest in additional berth capacity for liquid fuels at Ngqura and Durban.
The figure below illustrates the utilisation for both the MPP24 and NGP pipelines, for scenario 1.
Figure 33: Pipeline capacity utilisation for MPP24 and NGP (average demand)
PIPELINE SECTION 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039 2041 2043
NMPP
36% 69% 78% 36% 25% 21% 15%
9% 10% 17% 24% 31%
40% 51% 61% 75%
Coega Pipeline
0%
0%
0% 61% 78% 60% 75% 81% 86% 88% 87% 85%
84% 82% 79% 75%
246
2030
Petrol
Diesel
Jet
Coega Pipeline
From the forecast it is evident that the section between Secunda and Newcastle will become constrained towards 2017.
1% -59% 50%
2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039 2041
Figure 31: Lilly pipeline capacity utilisation 2014 to 2043 (average demand)
60% -79% 61%
(2%)
2020
1% -59%
50%
60% -79%
61%
80%-100%
85%
>100% 101%
LTPF 2014
247
accumulates
product
the MPP24
Construction
of TM1
at from
Island
ViewandinInland
Suppliers (eg Secunda and Natref) and facilitates the
supply of product into the inland network linked to the
and tank configuration
The petroleum storage facility at Nelspruit will have a
capacity of 30 000m3: 10 000m3 for petrol and 20 000m3
for diesel. Despatch from the facility will be by road and
rail. The despatch gantries will be capable of handling 1,5
billion litres of product per annum.
Durban
Terminal 1: Island View in the Port of Durban
Durban
2014
Figure 35: Construction of TM1 at Island View in Durban and tank configuration
Tank capacity m
Tank capacity m
ULSD
LSD
18 000
ULSD
18 000
2014
20 000
LSD
1
3
20 000
ULP 95
ULP 93
Jet
ULP 95
ULP 93
Jet
2
2
196 000 m
Total volume
196 000 m
The planned
capacity of the terminal
is 354 450m3 excluding any capacity to provide for product import capability in Durban.
TM1 Expansion
programme
2012 byto2043
2030
The figure below depicts the planned expansion programme for the Island View accumulator terminal (TM1). As existing
leases expire in the areas adjacent to the terminal, it would be expanded to meet the planned capacity indicated in the
figurebelow.
Figure 36: TM1 Expansion programme 2012 to 2030
2012 2015
2015 2020
ULP93
LSD
ULP95
JET A1
2020 2025
ULSD
2025 2030
248
LTPF 2014
LTPF 2014
249
Table 12: Jameson Park accumulator terminal TM2 tank capacity utilisation for period 2013 to 2040
2013-2015
2016-2020
2021-2025
2026-2030
2031-2035
2036-2040
Table 11: Island View accumulator terminal TM1 tank capacity utilisation for period 2013 to 2040
10
20
6
2
10
1
1
20
7
1
10
2
20
8
3
10
1
1
20
10
3
10
1
3
20
13
2
10
1
5
11
13
15
2013-2015
Tank capacity m3
(000)
2016-2020
2021-2025
2026-2030
2031-2035
2036-2040
18
20
16,45
18
20
26
16,45
18
20
26
16,45
20
26
16,45
20
26
16,45
20
26
Tanks for
average demand
Tanks available
for peak demand
10
11
Total planned
tanks
11
13
13
13
Tanks available
for peak demand
Total planned
capacity
2013-2015
2016-2020
2021-2025
2026-2030
2031-2035
2036-2040
120000
138000
222450
222450
278000
314450
76000
100450
40000
132000
76450
40000
196000
238450
262450
354450
354450
354450
39
58
18
59
28
13
Spare capacity %
4.2
20
16
1
17
6
2013-2015
2016-2020
2021-2025
2026-2030
2031-2035
2036-2040
120000
150000
180000
210000
270000
330000
60000
30000
60000
70000
70000
70000
180000
180000
240000
280000
340000
400000
33
17
25
25
21
18
Privately-owned terminals
The large commercial liquid fuels terminal storage facilities in South Africa are mainly owned and operated by oil majors
including Sasol. These facilities are either linked to refineries, pipelines or ports. Independent terminal operators have
entered the liquid fuels market to provide storage and handling facilities to new entrants.
As South Africa is short of refined product, large volumes of product need to be imported via our ports. The following table
indicates forecasted imports into key regional ports for the period 2014 to 2043 for scenario 1 NGP.
Table 13: Import forecast of refined fuels into southern Africa for period 2014 to 2043 (Scenario 1)
The total installed capacity will be 180 000m . The design made provision for two grades of petrol and two grades of diesel.
With the implementation of the CF2 programme only one grade of diesel (10ppm sulphur) will be required.
3
2014
10 000
Tank capacity m
20 000
ULSD
LSD
ULP 95
ULP 93
Jet
Total volume
8
180 000 m
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2030
2040
2043
Port
Cape Town
Durban
Maputo
Walvis Bay
1 711
4 382
411
1 817
4 632
526
863
4 933
592
1 098
953
5 829
603
1 123
1 827
2 126
431
1 200
3 523
18 541
990
1 929
4 194
26 236
1 065
2 078
Total
6 504
6 975
7 486
8 509
5 584
24 982
33 573
The site has been designed to expand to 400 000m3 by 2043. The table below indicates the number of tanks and volumes in
TM2 required over time to meet the average monthly forecasted demand and additional capacity required to meet the peak
demand requirements for the period.
For the period 2016 to 2020, additional capacity will be required at TM2 to meet peak demand. For all other periods sufficient
capacity would be available to meet the peak demand requirements. The above planning numbers assume jet fuel will be
transported in the MPP24.
250
LTPF 2014
LTPF 2014
251
4. TERMINAL
STORAGE FACILITIES (continued)
Durban Gauteng MPP24 pipeline coastal supply and inland
terminal network
Figure 38: Durban Gauteng MPP24 pipeline coastal supply and inland terminal network
WALTLOO
EMAHALENI
TARLTON
LANGLAAGTE
SECUNDA
REFINERY
OR TAMBO
INTERNATIONAL
DJP
RUSTENBURG
KENDAL NODE
ALRODE
ALRODE NODE
TM2
JAMESONPARK
GAUTENG
3rd Party
KLERKSDORP
NATREF
REFINERY
MPP24
Legend
KROONSTAD
Oil Industry
NATCOS crude
tanks
BERTH
5
BERTH
6, 7, 8
PORT OF DURBAN
BERTH
9
Transnet
ENREF
REFINERY
ENREF IV
S
TM1
ISLAND VIEW DURBAN
SAPREF IV
TOTAL IV
VOPAK
IVS
NATCOS IV
SAPREF
REFINERY
Consider Sapref
expansion and
operating options
Engen options
Maintain pipelines
to feed NMPP
New pipelines to
dug out port
252
LTPF 2014
LTPF 2014
253
Engine technology
Fuel demand will continue to be impacted by
improvements in engine technology with diesel being
recognised to be significantly (>50%) more energy
efficient than petrol engines. Sales of diesel passenger
vehicles still battle with perceptual issues concerning
noise and pollution and with the increases in price of
diesel relative to petrol the current cost of ownership
isequitable.
Petrol engine developers employ as many of the diesel
technologies as possible, eg direct injection, increased
combustion pressures, etc. Turbo technology and
energy recovery systems (ERS) boost petrol engine
performance, leading to reduced fuel consumption, eg
Formula One 2014 expect racing cars to complete races
with 38% less fuel than in 2013.
Hybrid technology
Developments in aviation
The improvement in aircraft design and engine
technology, turbine and reciprocating, will impact
demand for jet fuel and Avgas. Light aircraft engine
manufacturers are introducing diesel options using jet
fuel (kerosene) to replace high octane gasoline engines.
The replacement of old aircraft with new fuel efficient
models will reduce fuel consumption over the next
decade. Greater reductions in fuel consumption will be
achieved through radical new designs ie incorporating
blended wing concepts, estimated to reduce fuel
consumption per seat by up to 38%.
254
LTPF 2014
LTPF 2014
255
6. INVESTMENT OVERVIEW
Scenario 2: Mthombo refinery with coastal shipping to Durban
The investment summary below indicates the expenditure for the scenario where the Ngqura to Gauteng pipeline is not
built, and the refined fuel from the Mthombo refinery is transported via coastal shipping to Durban and into the MPP24.
Theexpenditure includes the expansion of the MPP24 to full capacity, by adding various pump stations and auxiliary
equipment to the system and additional accumulator tanks at TM1 and TM2. The capital cost is based on the original MPP24
design basis.
The MPP24 phase 2 expansion will be impacted on by the timing of the Mthombo refinery, if scenario 1 is implemented, being
the NGP.
Figure 43: Investment Scenario 2: Mthombo refinery with coastal shipping to Durban
R3107
R1505
2017
2016
2018
2017
2019
2018
2020
2019
TOTAL
2020
(Million)
year
(millions)
Total
R 7 609
R 961
R 905 R 6 387
R129R 961
R5 022
R321
R961
R961
R905 R 59R3 147
R 43
R43
R 450
R 961
R 961
R 905 R 14 054
R 129
R281R 321
R324
R 450
R961
R961
R905
R8 212
(Million)
year
2021
2022
2045 2050
2050 TOTAL
Total
(millions)
YEAR
2021
2022
2023 2023
2024 20242030 20302035 2035 20402040 2045
TRANSNET
PIPELINE
7
TO
30
YEAR
PLAN
Mthombo
Case
with
NGP
Transnet Pipeline seven- to 30-year
plan Mthombo
R 6 387
R 6 387
MPP24
Phase 2case with NGP
MPP24 Phase 2
R6 387
MPP24
Phase 3
R 2 150
R R2 6387
150
MPP24 Phase 3
R2 150
R 2150
MPP24
Phase
4
R
10
368
R
10
368
MPP24 Phase 4
R10 368
R 10368
MPP24
R 12R12
209209R 12
209
MPP24Phase
Phase 5
5
R 12209
Total
R0
R0
R0
R0
R 0 R0
R 6 387
R 2 150
R 10 368 R 12 209 R 31 114
Total
R0
R0
R0
R0
R6 387
R 2 150 R10 368 R12 209 R 31114
256
LTPF 2014
2021
2035
2040
YEAR
2021
2022 2022
2023 20232024 2024 20302030 2035
2040
Transnet Pipeline
sevento 30
30-year
TRANSNET
PIPELINE
7 TO
YEAR PLAN - Mthombo shipping case
plan Mthombo shipping case
R 646
R 341
MPP24
Phase 2
R 1 285
R 967
MPP24 Phase 2
R1 285
R967
R646
R341
MPP24
Phase
3
R 2 150
MPP24 Phase 3
R2 150
MPP24
Phase44
R 10R10
368368
MPP24 Phase
MPP24 Phase
R12
209
MPP24
Phase55
R 12
209
Total
R 1 285 R1 285
R 967 R967
R 646 R646R 341 R341
R 2 150
R 10R10
368368R 12
209
Total
R2 150
R12
209
6.3
2045
2045
2050
2050
Total
TOTAL
R 3 239
RR0
0
R3239
R 2 150
R2150
R 10 368
R10368
R12209
R 12 209
R
R 27 966
R00 R27966
LTPF 2014
257
2014
258
LTPF 2014
R0
2015
2015
R1134
R1 134
R529
R529
R1664
R1 664
2016
2016
R1134
R1
134
R529
R529
R5 130
R5130
R2 929
R2929
R762
R762
R2500
R2 500
R12985
R12 985
2017
2017
R2269
R2
269
R1
059
R1059
R6
270
R6270
R5
857
R5857
R762
R762
R2500
R2
500
R18717
R18
717
2018
2018
2019
2019
2020
2020
R2269
R2R2269
269
R2 269
R1R1059
059
R1 059
R1059
R5R5857
857
R653
R653
R3328
R9R9838
838
R3 328
R0
Total
Total
R9 075R9075
R4 235R4235
R11 400R11400
R14 643
R14643
R2 178R2178
R5 000R5000
531
R46531
R46