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56643


(CDM)()
CDM
CDM
CDM ;
CDM CDM
CDM

CDM CDM

010-62782989

13801310933

CIP

/ .
2005.1
ISBN 7-302-10173-6
.

CIP

.
2004

2 .

. X383

135973

http://www.tup.com.cn

010-62770175

202 266 14 282


2005 1 1 2005 1 1
ISBN 7-302-10173-6/X 66
1~1500
70.00

100084
010-62776969



010 62770175-3103 010 62795704

()

CDM
CDM
CDM

7
13
15
17
19
20
20
23
25

CDM

CDM

28
28
32
35



1.1
1.2
1.2.1 CDM
1.2.2
1.3
1.3.1

1
3
3
4
4
5
5
5

1.3.2
1.3.3
1.3.4

2.1 CDM
2.2
2.2.1
2.2.2
2.2.3
2.3
2.3.1
2.3.2
2.3.3
2.3.4
2.3.5
2.4
2.4.1
2.4.2
2.4.3
2.5
2.5.1
2.5.2 ICER
2.5.3
2.5.4
2.6 CDM
2.6.1 CDM
2.6.2 CDM

3.1
3.1.1
3.1.2
3.1.3
3.1.4 CDM
3.2
3.2.1
3.2.2 CDM
3.2.3 CDM

6
6
6
8
8
10
11
12
14
14
15
16
19
21
25
26
27
27
30
30
32
32
36
37
37
38
39
41
41
41
42
43
43
44
44
44
47

3.3

3.4

3.5

3.6
3.7

3.2.4 CDM
3.2.5

3.3.1 ()
3.3.2
3.3.3 ()
3.3.4 ()
3.3.5
3.3.6

3.4.1
3.4.2 CDM
3.4.3
CDM
3.5.1 CDM
3.5.2 CDM
3.5.3 CDM

3.7.1 CDM
3.7.2 CDM
3.7.3 CDM
3.7.4 CDM



4.1
4.2
4.3
4.3.1 IPAC-Emission
4.3.2 IPAC-AIM/Technology
4.3.3 CERT
4.3.4

5.1
5.1.1
5.1.2

47
47
50
51
52
55
57
58
60
62
62
66
69
72
72
72
74
74
78
78
79
80
81
83
85
85
85
86
86
87
88
91
93
93
93
95

5.1.3
96
5.2
101
5.2.1
101
5.2.2 CERT
104
5.2.3 CERT
113
5.3 CDM
114
5.3.1
114
5.3.2
114
5.3.3 CDM
117
5.3.4 CDM
118
5.3.5 CDM
120
5.4
121
5.5
125

128
6.1 IPAC-SGM
128
6.1.1 IPAC-SGM
128
6.1.2 IPAC-SGM CDM
129
6.2
130
6.3 CDM GDP
133
6.4
134

136
7.1
136
7.1.1 CDM
136
7.1.2 CDM
139
7.1.3
140
7.2
141
7.2.1
141
7.2.2 CDM
143
7.2.3
146

1 (COP) CDM (EB) COP7 12 CDM


EB
153
2 CDM
161
3 CDM
165
4
168

172
C D-ROM
178

3-E
AAUs
ABARE
AC
ADB
AIJ
AIM
ALGAS
AMI
BAU
BJ3TPP
BP
BOF
C5
CAAS
CASS
CCAP
CDM
CDM M&P
ce

Energy Environment and Economy (Institute at Tsinghua University)


(3-E )
assigned amount units
Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics

alternating current
Asian Development Bank
activities implemented jointly
Asian-Pacific integrated model
AS Asian least-cost greenhouse gas abatement strategy

Agro-Meteorology Institute (of CAAS) ()


business as usual
Beijing No. 3 Thermal Power Plant
British Petroleum
basic oxygen furnace
China-Canada cooperation on climate change -
Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences
Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
Center for Clean Air Policy
clean development mechanism
CDM modalities and procedures CDM
coal equivalent =7kcal/kg

CERs
CERT
CERUPT
CFBC
CGE
CHP
CH4
CHN
CO2
COD
COP
COP/ MOP
CP
DA
DAE
DC
DNA
DOE
DTE
EASES

EB
EE
EEC
EEX
EF
EFSU
EIA / USDOE
EIT
EM
EN

certified emission reductions


carbon emission reduction trading model
certified emission reduction unit procurement tender

circulating fluidized bed combustion


computable general equilibrium
combined heat and power
methane
China
carbon dioxide
chemical oxygen demand
conference of the parties
conference of the parties serving as meeting of the parties to the Kyoto
Protocol
capacity of electric power
domestic action
Dynamic Asian Economies
direct current
designated national authority
designated operational entity
Department of Thermal Engineering (at Tsinghua University)

Environment and Social Development Department of the East Asia and


Pacific Region (the World Bank)

Executive Board of CDM CDM


energy efficiency
European Economic Community :
energy exporting countries
emission Factor
Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union
Energy Information Administration / U.S. Department of Energy
/
economies in transition
GHG emissions
energy consumption

EPPA

emission prediction and policy assessment model

ER
ERB
ERI

GHG emission reduction


Edmonds-Reilly-Barns ERB
Energy Research Institute NDRC

ERUs
ET

emission reduction units


emission trading

ETH
EU

Zrich Swiss Federal Institute of Technology

European Union

FDI
FSU
gC

foreign direct investment


Former Soviet Union
gram carbon

GCCI
GDP

Global Climate Change Institute (at Tsinghua University)

gross domestic product

GEF
GHG
GSCC

Global Environment Facility


greenhouse gas
gas-steam combined cycle

GTEM
GTZ
GW

global trade and environment model


Gesellschaft fr Technische Zusammenarbeit
gigawatt GW

HFCs
ICER
IEE

hydro fluoro carbons


incremental cost for emission reduction
Institute of Environmental Economics (at Renmin University)

IGCC
IMET

integrated gasification combined cycle


Italian Ministry of Environment and Territory

IND
INET

India
Institute of Nuclear and New Energy Technology (at Tsinghua University)

IPAC

integrated policy analysis model for china

IPCC
IPP
IRR
JI
JPN
KP
kVA
kWh
LA
LFG
LULUCF
MAC
ME
MFA
MOA
MOF
MOST
MP
MPa
MT
Mtce
Mtoe
MVP
MW
N2 O
NC
NCCC
NDRC
NEDO
NGCC

10

Inter-Governmental Panel on Climate Change

independent power producer


internal rate of return
joint implementation
Japan
Kyoto Protocol
kilo-volt ampere kVA
kilo-watt hour kWh
Latin America
landfill gas
land use land use change and forestry

marginal abatement cost
Middle East
Ministry of Foreign Affairs ()
Ministry of Agriculture
()
Ministry of Finance
()
Ministry of Science and Technology ()
Methodology Panel
mega Pascal [] MP
[]
million tons Mt

million tons of coal equivalent


million tons of oil equivalent
monitoring and verification plan
megawatt MW
nitrous oxide
National Communication
National Coordination Committee for Climate Change

National Development and Reform Commission of China (former SDPC)


()
New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization Japan

natural gas combined cycle

NGO
NOx
NPC
NPC
NPV
NSS
O&M
ODA
OE
OECD
OECD-P
OECD-W
OHF
OOE
PCF
PDD
PFBC
PFCs
PNNL
PPA
PR-I
PR-II
R&D
RMB
RMUs
ROW
SA
SC
SC
SD
SDPC

nongovernmental organization
nitrogen oxides
national project coordinator
The National Peoples Congress
net present value
National Strategy Study Program (sponsored by the World Bank)
()
operation and maintenance
Official Development Assistance
operational entity
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Pacific Parts of OECD
European and Canadian Parts of OECD

open hearth furnace


other OECD countries
Prototype Carbon Fund
project design document
pressurized fluid bed combustion
perfluorocarbons
Pacific -Northwest National Lab -
power purchase agreement
1st Progress Report (or PR ) of the China CDM Study Project
CDM ( PR )
2nd Progress Report (or PR ) of the China CDM Study Project
CDM ( PR )
research and development
Ren Min Bi (Chinese currency) ()
removal units
rest of the world
South Asia
steering committee
super-critical
sustainable development
State Development Planning Commission (now NDRC)
()

11

SECO
SEA
SEPA
SERC
SETC
SF6
SGM
SH
SICP
SO2
TAG
Tce
Toe
TOR
TRT
TWh
UNCED
UNDP
UNFCCC
US
VAT
WB

12

Swiss State Secretariat for Economic Affairs


South and East Asia
State Environmental Protection Administration of China

State Electricity Regulatory Commission


State Economic and Trade Commission
sulfur hexafluoride
second generation model
Shanghai
Sino-Italian Co-operation Program for Environmental Protection -

sulfur dioxide
technical advisory group
ton of coal equivalent
ton of oil equivalent
terms of reference
top gas pressure recovery turbine
terawatt-hour TWh 109 kWh
United Nations Conference on Environment and Development

United Nations Development Programme


United Nation Framework Convention on Climate Change

United States
value added tax
World Bank

(clean development
mechanism CDM)



2001 4
(MOST)
(Deutsche Gesellschaft fr
Technische Zusammenarbeit GTZ)
(Federal
Ministry for Economic Cooperation and
Development)
(Swiss State Secretariat for Economic
Affairs SECO)


CDM

CDM

50%

13


CDM
CDM

CDM


CDM

2
1
2004 7 CDM

CDM


CDM

CDM 2

14





CDM
2

Clean Development
Mechanism in China
Taking a Proactive
and Sustainable Approach
(GTZ)
(SECO)

(The
Study on the Methodologies and its
Application
of
Clean
Development
Mechanism in China) ( CDM
)

(INET)
(GCCI)

CDM
CDM

CDM

CDM

CDM

CDM

CDM

CDM
CDM

CDM
*

15


CDM

CDM

CDM

CDM

CDM

CDM

CDM /

CDM

16



CDM

CDM


CDM


(GCCI)

Ernst Basler
& Partners
GTZ
INTEGRATION
Deutsche Ges ellschaft fr Technische
Zusammenarbeit GTZ

CD-ROM




CDM




(ERI / NDRC)
(IEE) -(3-E)

(INET)
(DTE)
()
(AMI /CAAS)
( NDRC
SDPC)
(
GCCI Vendor Manager) (
GCCI ) (
GCCI )
( IEE) (
AMI) ( DTE) (
GCCI) ( GCCI)
()
( GCCI )
( NDRC) (
INET) ( INET)
( INET) (
INET) ( 3-E) (
3-E) ( 3-E)
( 3-E CDM )
( ERI)
( 3-E)(
3-E)

17


()


-



()
()
Ernst Basler & Partners INFRAS
Othmar Schwank (
) Markus Sommerhalder Gerard
Sarlos Juerg Fuessler Juerg Gruetter
INTEGRATION
Andreas Oberheitmann (GTZ )
Gert Oljeklaus
Fenno Br unken
Gunther Haupt

(project steering committee SC)


SC GTZ
SECO 1
( )
Holger Liptow ( GTZ
) Paul Suding (GTZ
) Gerrard Burgermeister (
) Peter J. Kalas Eduardo
Dopazo () Jostein Nygard (
) Andrea De Angelis
()2
Jostein Nygard Holger Liptow

2 IMET, -
,
CDM

18


CD-ROM 7

(TAG)
(
) ()
( ) Anne
Arquit Niederberger ( Policy Solutions)
Michael Rumberg (TV Sddeutschland)
2003 12


()
() (
) Franck Lecocq Neeraj
Prasad Daniel Hoornweg Todd Johnson
Masaya Inamuro Liu Feng Nuyi Tao
Salvador Rivera Chandra Shekhar Sinha
Andres Liebenthal Robert Crooks Robin
Broadfield ()(
)
Robert Livernash ()
Circle Graphics
Denise Marie Bergeron
Circle Graphics Anne Arquit
Niederberger






CDM

CDM

2010 CDM
CDM
CDM

CDM
l
CDM
CDM

l

CDM

l
CDM

l
CDM

l

CDM
2008 2012

CDM

CDM
CDM
CDM

l
CDM

CDM
l
CDM
CDM

CDM

l
/
CDM

19

CDM

CDM
(CDM)
( KP1997)
CDM
( UNFCCC)

(GHG)
(CERs)
GHG
CDM

CDM

( )
CDM

2001 11
UNFCCC 7

20

( CDM)



CDM

CDM

CDM (EB)

CDM
CDM

1992






2002 8
CDM


2004

CDM



20



1998
2002 5800
GDP 1.29%


1988 13% 16.7%

35kV
78 km 2000
7.7% 11
kVA 2000 12.2%

7% 2020 GDP
5.5%
6.0% 2010 6.5%
7.0% 1980 2000
( I.1)
2000
66%
1997 2000
2001
9.24 t 2002 10.15 t
2003 10.80 t


1990
(CO2 )

20.50 ~24.45 t CO2


0.81 ~1.04 t CO2



2001
3.386 kW 14838
kWh 6.0% 8.4% 2001
81% 2001
I.1

(%)

(Mtoe)

1980

422

72.2

20.7

3.1

4.0

1990

691

76.2

16.6

2.1

5.1

2000

912

65.9

24.5

2.5

6.7

0.4

21

I.1 CO 2

5.7~18.5Mt CH4
(LULUCF)
12.6 ~20.9 Mt CH4
1.54 ~
3.15 t CO2 1990 2002 CO2
I.1

80% CO2
I.2 CO2
(41%)
GHG ( N2 O HFCs PFCs
SF6 ) CO2

CDM
CDM
(a) GHG
(b) (c)

22

1990 2002

I.2

CO 2

CDM

CDM

CDM
CDM
I.2
CDM



CDM
CDM
GTZ
SECO

CDM
CDM

CDM
CDM
CDM

CDM
CDM


CDM CDM


CDM

CDM
(

) (CERUPT
CDM )
34.5MW 2001
9 600kW
2002 1 10 600kW
2002 2002 12
2003 9
CDM CO2
60024.8t 10
600248t


2002 CERUPT
CO2

CERs 5.4 /tCO2

(, PDD CDM
EB
)

CERUPT CDM



CDM

CDM
( XHP)

23

I. 2

WB / GTZ

(C5)

CDM
(3-E)

CDM

CDM

CDM

CDM

(MAC) CER

UNDP

CDM

BP

ADB

CDM

1. CDM

2. CDM

CDM

3. CDM,

CDM

4. CDM ,

2002

CDM

CDM

1. CDM

2004

PDD

2002

PDD

2004

2003

2002

CDM

CDM

CDM GHG

CDM

CDM CDM

2001

2005

2002

2003

2004

2006

CDM

CDM

PDD

PDD

PDD

1. CDM
2. CDM

2.

3. CDM PDD

3.

4. CDM

(WB)
(PCF) XHP

98MW
110kV
2003
2005


CDM CO2
372300t 10
CO2 3723000t

XHP
PCF 2003 10
(PCN)
2003 11


XHP
PCF
XHP CO2
4 /tCO2 PCF
PCF XHP
(ERPA) 2004

CDM
1997
(NSS)


CDM

CDM

CDM GHG

GHG


CDM
CDM
CDM
CDM (PDD)
CDM


GTZ
CDM
1

CDM

1.
CDM
CDM
2. (
)

CDM
CDM ,
3.
CDM CERs

CDM
CERs/CDM

1 / GTZ/
SECOCDM,

25


CDM
CDM
() CDM
CDM

l
CDM
CDM
CDM

l
(
)
CDM

CDM PDDs

l

CDM
CERs

(MAC)
CDM
CERs

CDM

CDM

26


CDM

(Task)

Task 1
Task 2 CDM
Task 3 CDM

I.3
Task 1 Task 2
Task 1 Task 2 CDM

Task 2 CDM
Task 2 Task 1
Task 1 CDM

Task 3 Task 2
Task 3 IPAC-AIM
2010 CO2
CO2
Task 3

Task 2

CDM

CDM Task 1
Task 2 CDM
CDM
Task 3

/ GTZ/
SECO

CDM
/
GTZ/ SECO

I.3 Task 1 2 3



(MOST )
GTZ SECO
(SICP)
Task
Task
(GCCI)
(NPC)
GCCI INET 3-E
Task 1 2 3

GCCI

CD-ROM
NPC


TOR


CD-ROM




CD-ROM

(TAG)


GTZ

27

CDM
SECO
(GTZ)

l
CDM
CERs

l
CDM

1
CDM

CDM

CDM

GHG

CDM

()

CDM

CDM

CDM

T.1 CDM

COP

CDM

UNFCCC

28

CDM
l

CDM

T.1 CDM
(project boundary)


(GHG)/
(leakage)
(GHG)

(baseline)
CDM CDM
A

(additionality)
CDM GHG CDM

(project-based incremental emission reduction cost)


CDM ()
()

CDM

(
/) CDM (CERs)

CERs (/tCO2)
CDM CERs

CDM

()

CDM
GHG

(1)
;
(2)

(3) (
)
(4)

29


/
/ (
)

AIJ





30



CDM
l


CDM


CDM


CDM






CDM


l
CDM

CDM

( CDM
)

CDM

CDM

CDM

(ICER)

CDM

CDM

CERs


CERs

CDM


/
CDM

31


CERs
(ICER)

ICER

(ICER) CDM
GHG



CERs



CDM

CDM

(CERs)
CERs

CDM
CDM , CERs
CERs
CDM

32


CDM
CDM


CER

CDM
l


CER



CDM


0.8 /t CO2

0.6 /t CO2

CDM


CDM

CDM

CDM

CDM
CDM

CDM

CDM
CDM
PDD

CDM




CDM
CDM

CDM
T.2



( CD-ROM )
CDM PDD
( CD-ROM )
CDM EB


l
EB

l
UNFCCC
PDD

l
Task

()
l


CDM



CDM

l

CDM

T.2

MW

CO 2-
( t/a)

1. -()

1136

87.6

2.
3. -()

128
404

53.4
65.0

4. ()

20

3.6

5.
6.

4
1.7

2.7
7.2

33

GHG

PDD


EB


COP7 17
(Decision 17/CP7)
48(b) 48(c)
48(a)


(operation margin)
(build margin)1
48(a)

1 operation margin build margin


, ,
: (operation margin) (build
margin),

34

CDM

CDM
(BAU the
business as usual)

T.3







T.3

CDM

CDM
2.5MtCO2
(ICER)
3.60 /t CO2 50 /t CO2
5.20 /t CO2 6.50 /t CO2
CER

l
(
)
()

ICER 10 /t CO 2

T.3

> 10 /t CO2

< 10 /tCO2


CDM

CDM


CDM

CDM




CDM
? CERs
?
?
CERs? 2

?

-

(IPAC-emission IPAC-AIM
technology) (CERT)
(IPAC-SGM)


CDM
CDM
CDM

CDM

2010
2010
1990 36.5% 2010
7.8%
2000 2010
1.18%
GHG 2000
3080Mt CO2 2010 4000Mt
CO2

(MAC) IPAC

35

T.1 CO 2 (MACs)


( T.1)
EPPA GTEM
MAC IPAC

20 90

2010 GHG
IPAC

IPAC
1371Mt CO2

(10%
) (EITs)
800Mt CO2 IPAC
MACs
() CERT

36

2010

IPAC

2010 CDM
164Mt CO2
10%
1 EFSU
30% CDM
(EU) 50%
0.54 /t CO2 CDM
EFSU
CDM

T.4
2001 WB-NSS
2003
1 2002 2 14
: , 2002 2012
18%, 13%
, 2012 1990 29%,
36% BAU +15%,
+31% +38% , 5%
((3836)/ 38 100) , BAU
,


2010 CDM
24.9 ~111.6MtCO2 CER
5.2~6.5 /tCO2
50% CDM
( 52~240 MtCO2 )
JI
JI ERUs
T.2
T.2 T.3
11% CDM
50% 2010 CDM
79.2Mt CO2
CERs
(300~600MW) CDM

2006 2007
CO2

T. 4

T.2

CDM
CDM

CDM
0~7.30 /tCO2
0~211MtCO2

GHG

CER

CDM

CER

MtCO2

MtCO2 (2010 )

/CO 2

0~161

0~6

(2010 )
IPAC ,
IPAC ,(10%)

1243
1371

0~164

0~7

Grubb 2003

415~1250**

50 - 180

0~13.8

2001 WB-NSS*

1300 ~3000

300 ~2000

1.7~10

330 ~360

6~12

(Criqui et al, 2003) **


*

1140

** 15 50%

1 : Criqui, P. et al, 2003 EU 128MtCO2 e EU B


242MtCO2 EU 10 : 36MtCO2 e B 734MtCO2 e

37

T.3

(DA)

() BAU (
)
(
) 2010 CDM
()

CDM


(RMUs CERs ERUs AAUs)

JI
CDM ET (AAU)

CDM 164MtCO2
CER

CERT
7~12 /tCO2

38

JI ET CDM ()

IPAC-AIM

(760MtCO2/a) 13.60 /tCO2


CDM 79 MtCO2 CDM


MAC
CER CDM
CDM
()5
/tCO2

CDM
(MAC)
( T.4) , /
/

T.4

(2010 )
CDM 50% 2000

24% 2010 26%


CDM (10%)
(5%)


(15%)
CO2 GHG (10%)

-




CO2 ( HFC)
CDM

( 2010 2020 )
CER (25~117Mt
CO2 ) 0.77 ~3.11
GDP
CDM

39

CDM

1.1
CDM

CDM


CDM
CDM


CDM
EB


CDM

CDM

EB
CDM

CDM

CDM
CERs
CDM

CDM

CDM
CDM
COP7

COP8 COP9
CDM

CDM

1 CDM

CDM

CDM

CDM
CDM

CDM

CDM
CDM
PDD

(1.2 )
CDM
(1.3 )

1.2
CDM

CDM


CDM
CDM

CDM

(a) CDM

(b)

1.2.1 CDM


CDM


CDM

CDM

CDM

CDM

CDM
CDM




CDM


CDM

CDM
CDM

1.3
2
3
CDM

CDM

CDM

( 2 ) (
3 )

2

1.2.2

1.3.1


CDM

CDM

1 CDM

1.3.2

CDM

CDM

1.3.4
CDM

( ICER
)
CERs

ICER ICER
ICER

3
2 3.1

3.2


25

( 1.1 )
1.1
1

1.3.3
2

CDM

CDM

CDM

CDM

3
4
5
6

-
()

()

3.3

3.4


3.5

CDM
CDM

CDM
1
(3.7 )

1 CDM

2
CDM

1997 12
COP7
CDM
CDM


CDM

CDM 2.1
CDM

2.2 2.5
CDM

2.6
CDM


CDM

2.1 CDM
CDM
2.1
CDM

1992

1997
2001



12 CDM

2 CDM

2.1 CDM

COP6 COP7

4
CDM

COP7
CDM

CDM

(COP/ MOP)

CDM

CDM

(
UNFCCC
) CDM
UNFCCC
( COP/MOP CDM
)(
)
CDM


CDM

(Oberheitmann 1999)

CDM

1 CDM

2.2 CDM/JI

PDD

CERs

2.2 CDM /JI



CDM
PCF ( 2.2)
CERs 3

2004 2007 2008
CDM

10



CDM
CDM

2.2
CDM


2.2.1
2.2.2

2 CDM

2.2.3

2.2.1
CDM
UNFCCC

CDM

(UNFCCC 2001(b))


CDM

(UNFCCC 2001(b))



()




2003 12 COP9
CDM

(UNFCCC
2003(a))

(Schwarze et al. 2002)



CDM

11

1 CDM

2.2.2

CDM
CDM



CDM

Liu Deshun 2000







CDM
CDM



2.3

CDM
CDM



10%






2.3

12

2 CDM

(Lasco Michealowa Miline 2001)








(
)




50%
5%


//

13

1 CDM






()



(IPCC 2000)



14


CERs

2.2.3









IPCC

2.3
CDM

2 CDM





(2.3.1 )
(2.3.2 )
(2.3.3 )
(2.3.4 )
(2.3.5 )

2.3.1

Matsuo

2000

Ellis

1999

UNFCCC http
//cdm.unfccc.int/methodologies

CDM


CDM

CDM


CDM

CERs

2.4
CDM

NVROM 2001

CO2

CH4 N2 O HFCs PFCs SF6

2001 2003 12

12 (
1) CDM (EB)

CDM

EB 2004

3 13
9

EB

15

1 CDM

48(b) /
(
) 48(c)

20%

2.3.2.1

2.4 CDM

2.3.2
CDM

CDM 48
CDM
48(a)

16

2 CDM

2.1
Lazarus 1999
2.1

()
(Ellis 1999)

IEA OECD 2000 Ellis and


Bosi 1999

Baumert 1998 Hargrave et
al 1999


CDM




2.2

2.2

17

1 CDM

2.3.2.2

2.3

tCO2

UNFCCC
(AIJ) 2 95 AIJ
UNFCCC 1998

Ellis
1999

Rusafor
(Michaelowa 1998)


AIJ 4
(Basler 1999)
()
2.3

18

175000

41000

430000

43000

180000

21000

195000

22000

Basler 1999

2.3


(
)
2.5

2 CDM



(CCAP)
Decin AIJ
(CCAP
1999)
3

AIJ
(Bois 2000)








(Salon 2001)
(Violette 2000)


-

2.3.3



10 2.4 2.5



(
CO2 )

19

1 CDM

2.4

CDM/AIJ

(P)

(M)

(T)

(S)

2.5

(PFBC)

(CFBC)/(CHP)

10

20

2 CDM

2.5

2.3.4

2.3.4.1

CO2

2.5

CDM
//

Michaelowa 1999



()

21

1 CDM



(Ellis and
Bosi 1999 Chomitz 1998)

2.3.4.2

Chomitz (1998)

Willems (2000)

22

(


)

(a)
(b)
(c)


20%
(1)

(2) 10

CDM

CDM
CDM

a
b
CDM-PDD


AIJ
AIJ
/

2 CDM


AIJ UNFCCC

2.3.4.3

CDM

CDM

CDM
CDM


CDM
CDM
CDM





/
/

23

1 CDM

/
/

2.3.4.4

2.6
gC/kWh
(%)

24

GCCI




CDM



2.6

gC/kWh

300

10

50

40

150

20

60

20

180

2 CDM




150gC/kWh

180gC/kWh
2.3.4.5





()

2.3.5

CDM CDM


25

1 CDM

CDM


CDM


CDM
20%





CDM
CDM



(a)

26

20%
(b)

(
) 20%


CDM




2.4


CERs (Oberheitmann

2 CDM

1999) CDM

(2.4.1 )
(2.4.2 )(2.4.3 )

2.4.1
2.4.1.1


CDM

( UNFCCC 2001(b))

2003 12 12
CDM
CDM
( 2.4.2
)
CDM



CDM

2.4.1.2
CDM


CDM

CER


CDM


2.4.2
CDM

/
l



CDM

43 44

43

27

1 CDM

44

A

37 38

CDM

COP CDM
(/)

(1)

(2)

(a)

(b)

(c)
(
CDM )
(d)
(
)
/

28

CDM



1)
43 44


CDM

CDM
CDM


( tCO2 /GWh)
( tCO2 ) CDM
8

CO2
CO2




CO2

2 CDM

IPCC

2)

CDM


(ODA)
ODA CERs

CDM


CDM

3)

CDM
CDM

CDM

CDM


(IRR)
( NPV)

CDM

CDM




CDM

4)
CDM

CDM

CDM

(1)
(2)

(3)

29

1 CDM


5)

CDM


CDM

l

/
l

2.7

30

2.7

2.4.3

CDM

CDM

2.5
CDM

2 CDM




( CDM
) CDM

CDM
CDM
CDM
CDM


/
CDM
CERs

CDM

CDM

CERs
/tCO2

CDM

CERs
CDM


CERs


CDM
CERs JI ERUs
ET AAUs

( )

CERs (Oberheitmann
2003)

CERs


:


/
CDM



CERs
(ICER)

(ICER)
CDM
GHG



CERs

31

1 CDM

CDM


(Su M 2004)


(2.5.1 ) ICER
(2.5.2 )
(2.5.3 )
3

2.5.1

CDM
CERs



CERs
2.6 2.7
CDM ICER
CERs (2-1)

2.7 CDM

ICERT CDM
CERs
CcdmDCT CDM

N

C cdmDC i
C cdmDCT =
(1+ r )i
i =1

(2-2)

Ccdm DCi CDM


i r Cbsl DCT

C bsl DC i
C bsl DCT =
i
i =1 (1+ r )

(2-3)

Cbsl DCi i

CTRN CDM

2.5.2.2
CTRN
(2-5)(2-8)
N CDM N


2.5.2 ICER
2.6

ICERT = (C cdmDCT C bslDCT ) + CTRN


(2-1)

32

2.5.2.1
CDM
(King

2 CDM

1995)
ER i CDM i

ERi = EMBSLi EMCDM i (2-4)
ICERi i

(C DC i Cbsl DCi )
ICERi = cdm
ERi
(2-5)
(Ccdm DC i Cbsl DCi )
=
( EMBSLi EMCDM i )
CDM CERs

ICERT = (C cdmDCT C bslDCT )


N
(C DC i Cbsl DCi )
ICERT = cdm
i
(1+ r )
i =1
N

=
i =1

ICERi ERi
(1 + r )i

(2-6)

CDM
ICERi ICER CDM
CERs
ICERT (2-6)
(2-7)
ICERT = (C cdm DCT Cbsl DCT )
N

=
i =1

ICER ERi
(1 + r )i

(2-7)

ERi
= ICER
(1
+ r )i
i =1
= ICER ER

(
DCT C bslDCT )
ICER = C cdm
ER
(2-8)
ERi
ER =
i CDM
i =1 (1 + r )
N

CDM

CDM
ICERT CDM
ER

CDM


N
CDM
ERi (i
)
N

ICER 6

2.8
6 (ICER)
(ICERT)
5

ICER

33

1 CDM

2.8

ICER ICERT

ICER

ICERT

( C cdm DC i Cbsl DCi )


(1+ r ) i

ICERT =

(C DCT C bsl DCT )


ICER = cdm
ER

i =1

ICERi ERi
=
(1 + r )i
i =1

(C DCT C bslDCT )
ICER = cdm
ER
j =1
2

ICERT =
j= 1
2

=
j =1

i= 1
N

i =1

(C cdm DC i , j Cbsl DC, ji )


(1+r )
ICER, ji ER, ji

(1 + r ) i

( C cdm DC i Cbsl DCi )


i
(1+ r )
N
ICERi ERi
=
(1 + r )i
i =1
N

ICERT =

(C DCT C bsl DCT )


ICER = cdm
ER

i =1

ICERT =

(C DCT C bsl DCT )


ICER = cdm
ER

i= 1

ICERi ERi
=
(1 + r) i
i= 1
N

: 1)
2)

i =1

( C cdm DC i Cbsl DCi )


(1+ r ) i

ICERi ERi
=
(1 + r )i
i =1
N

ICERT =

(C DCT C bsl DCT )


ICER = cdm
ER

i =1

( C cdm DC i Cbsl DCi )


(1+ r ) i

ICERi ERi
=
(1 + r )i
i =1
N

ICER

34

ICERT =

(C DCT C bsl DCT )


ICER = cdm
ER

( C cdm DCi Cbsl DCi )


(1+r ) i

CDM

CDM

2 CDM

Ccdm DCT CDM





(2-9)
C cdm INV i + C cdmENE i
+

C cdmMNT i + C cdm LAB i

N +
C cdmOTR i

C cdm DCT =
(1+r )i
i =1
(2-9)
Ccdm INV i i CDM
Ccdm ENE i i
Ccdm OTRi i
Ccdm MNT i i
Ccdm LABi i
r i i


(2-10)
C bsl INV i + C bsl ENE i
+

C bsl MNT i + C bsl LAB i

N +
C bsl OTR i

C bsl DCT =
i
(1+ r )
i =1
(2-10)
(2-9)

(2-9)(2-10)
CDM





CDM


CDM

2.5.2.2


AIJ CDM

CDM




CDM


(CSER) (CPDD)
(CNEG) (CVAL)
(CREG) (CMON)
(CVER)
(SOPA)1 CDM
(2-11)
CTRN = CSER + CPDD + CNEG
(2-11)
+ CVAL + CREG
+ CMON + CVER + SOPA

CDM
2

1 CERs
, Michaelowa (2003)
Michaelowa1 Jotzo (2003)
2 ,

35

1 CDM

2.9

CDM

()

35000

15000

33000

20000

30000

10000

22000

15000

10000

10000

5000

5000

8000

8000

2000

2000

225203

165203

2008 2012
()

3.6 / tCO2


2.9

2.5.3

0.8 /tCO2 (
)

0.6 /tCO2

CDM

( Michaelowa 2003)

CDM

CDM

36

CDM
(Global
Environment Facility GEF)

GEF
PRINCE Program for Measuring
Incremental Cost for the Environment
PRINCE GEF

Mintzer 1993
1993
GEF
King (1995)

2 CDM

AIJ



CDM

CERs

ICER
l
CDM

l

CDM

2.5.4
CDM
CERs

(ICER)
NPV IRR
CERs
CDM
CDM


CDM

CDM



CDM CDM


CDM


4
MAC



1)
2)

3)

2.6 CDM

CDM

37

1 CDM

CDM
(DNA)
CDM

CDM

( 2 )





( IISD(2002))
2002 8

CDM


CDM

2004 7 1

CDM
l
CER
CDM
l

l
CDM


(
)

CDM
(
)

CDM

2.6.1 CDM
CDM

CDM DNA

CDM CDM

(1)

15


1990 1998

CDM
CDM

l

()

38

1 :


2 CDM

(2)

()

l
CDM
CDM
l
CDM

l


1
(3) CDM

CDM
CDM


CDM
l
CDM
l
CDM
l

CDM
l
CDM

2.6.2 CDM

1.

1

CDM
l

l
CDM

l
CDM

l
CDM

l
CDM

l
CDM

l
CDM

2.
CDM


CDM

a)

CDM

b)
CDM

c) CDM

39

1 CDM

d)





CDM

CDM

l

CDM CDM

40

l
CDM

3. CDM
CDM
(i)
CDM
(ii) CDM
(iii)
CDM CDM
CERs
l

3 CDM

3
CDM

3 CDM
6
CDM

3.1
3.1.1
2001 338.6GW
1483.8TWh 2000
6.0% 8.4%

7%
5.5% 6%
2010 6.5%
7%

2001 2002
9% 11.7%

2003
20


2005
30GW
2005 430GW
2001 35kV
7.8105 km 2000
7.67% 1.1109 kVA
2000 12.2 %
2001 81%
CDM
3.1


3.2

35.1%
45%
2 3

41

1 CDM

3.1

CDM (2001 )

6.2
0.0

93.8
100

93.6
95.1

0.1
4.9

0.0
0.0

1.2
0.0

98.8
100.0

0.2
13.7

99.8
86.3

99.5
85.9

0.3
0.4

0.0
0.0

0.1
4.5

99.9
95.5

23.0

77.0

53.2

8.4

15.4

14.9

85.1

8.6

91.4

85.5

2.8

3.1

4.1

95.9

2001

3.2

(gCE/kWh e )

(%)

(%)

384

32.0

350

35.1

378

32.5

410

30.0

363

33.8

377

33.0

2001

3.1.2
2002

5

2003

42

()

l

1 , , ,

3 CDM



2005





CDM



25GW


300MW

3.1.3

3.1.4 CDM

3.3
CDM

()

3.3

CDM


(2004 ) 3

CDM
CDM


CDM
CDM

43

1 CDM

(
)

CDM

300 MW

,,

CDM 48. a

3.2
3.2.1
4

(1) CDM

CDM
(
25 )



(ALGAS)
(2)
CDM
;

44

(3) CDM

(4) CDM
15
25 CDM

CDM

3.2.2 CDM

3.4 25
CDM

1)

3 CDM

60%

3)

CO2


CO2

2)


46%

( 30MPa
700C )



CO2

25 CDM
2012

CDM

1)

(/CO2)

2)

. (G-SCC)
1

2 300MW G-SCC
15
300M W

2.67 Nm3

2 42MW G-SCC 25

2 200MW G-SCC 10~20

4
5

1.2 GW 4300MW 10~18

G-SCC

1 300MW G-SCC 10~20

3
3
3

2 300MW G-SCC 10~20

45

1 CDM

CDM

2012
1)

(/CO2)

2)

2 300MW G-SCC 10~20

1.4GW G-SCC

10~20

2 300MW G-SCC 10~20

10

2 600MW CFSC

2 600MW CFSC

. (CFSC)

11

12

2 600MW CFSC

13

8.5

12~20

8~18

3.2MW CFSC 12~20

2 800MW

CFSC
.
14

1600t

15
16

25~40

3500t

25~40

1000t

25~40

25~40

225GWh

70GWh
17

450t

61.2GWh

18

20~40MW 50

46~92GWh

19

45000m3/d 22

20

3
3

26GWh
15~22

20~28

4MW (41MW) 28~36

10MW (52MW)
46~92GWh

21
22

700kW

4.75GWh

20 GWh

46

3 CDM

23

24

CDM

2012
1)

2)

(/CO2)

3000t

20~40

20 0.97 M W

8~20

2 0.97 MW

25

1) 6 ,

CDM

2)

4 4

3 2

CDM

3.2.3 CDM

CDM
3.5

a) CDM b)
c)
d)

3.2.4 CDM

3.6
CDM

CDM

3.2.5
CDM

1)
CDM

( )
,
CDM CERs

CERs

CDM
CDM

2) CDM

CDM

47

1 CDM

. CDM
1

(GHG)

CDM GHG
CDM GHG
CDM
CDM ,
CDM

(CERs)

CERs (ODA)(GEF)
3

CDM ,

4
5
6

CDM /

GHG

CDM , GHG

CDM

7
8

CDM

SO2

NOx

TSP

CDM

.
9

CDM
GHG CER

10

CDM CDM
CDM

11

CDM

CDM CERs

.
12

13


CDM

1
i) ii) iii)

48

3 CDM

CDM

2 42MW 5

18

20~40MW

46~

4.92

92 GWh
3

300MW 4.9
2.67 Nm3

4
5

25
19

2 0.97 MW

4.88

4.1MW 45000m /d 4.85


26GWh

10

2 600MW CFSC

22

4MW (41MW)

2 200MW G-SCC

4.7

4 300MW G-SCC

4.7

10

21

700kW 4.75GWh

4.66

11

1 300MW G-SCC

4.6

12

20

10MW (52MW)

13

2 300MW G-SCC

14

24

20 0.97MW 4.48

15

23

3000t

4.46

16

2 300MW G-SCC

4.4

17

1.4GW G-SCC

4.4

18

2 300MW G-SCC

4.4

19

15

3500t

4.38

20

16

3000t

4.38

4.78

20GWh 4.72

4.52

46~92GWh
4.5

70GWh
21

12

2 600MW CFSC

22

17

450t 61.2GWh4.28

23

13

3.2GW CFSC 3.99

24

14

4.29

2 800MW CFSC
1600t

3.56

225GWh
25

11

2 600MW CFSC

3.37

49

1 CDM


i)
, CDM
ii)

CERs
iii) CDM ()

3)
CDM

CDM

CDM

4) CDM

CDM

CDM


CDM

5) CDM

CDM

CDM


CDM

50

3.3


CD-ROM

1


CER

2 3

CDM


4
CO2
CDM

5
CO2 CDM

3 CDM

CO2
CER

3 7
CO2

3.7





CDM

3.3.1
()


2600 MW 41.37%
24.2MPa
566C




30MPa 610C (
45 %)

CD-ROM

35.4%

3.7

MW

1136

1136

h/a

5500

5500

GWh/a

6250

6250

GWhf /a

17649

15107

35.4

41.37

5460.72

6331.01

/kW

4805

5571

CDM

51

1 CDM

/kWhf

0.018

0.018

25

25

15

15

/(kWe a)

283.26

247.81

g CO2/kWhf
g CO2/kWhe

345
973

345
833

g CO2/kWhf

CO2

kg CO2/kWhe

0.140

3 7 CO2

M t CO2

12.264

CO2

M t CO2/a

0.876

/kWhe

0.010

/t CO2

70.04

/t CO2

8.47

CDM

37

CO2
kWhf
kWhe

CO2

CO2

2000

1) kWhf
kWhe ()
kWhth

2)

3)

4)
5) = 8.27 /
6) 3 7

14

3.3.2

98

52



2005


2006 2015

3 CDM

(48b build margin)


(347GWhth /a)
4 52.5MW (528GWhth /a)

3.8




10

3.8

CDM

MW

128

128/a

h/a

4281

4281

GWh/a

548

548

875

875

1423

1423

GWhf /a

1883

694

551

1566

2811

67

33.7

70

56

734.72

675

114

789

/kW

5104

5754/b

/kWhf

0.038

0.143

10

25

25

15

15

/(kWe a)

333

1258

53

1 CDM

CDM

CO2

g CO2/ kWhf

349

g CO2/ kWhf

201

kg CO2/kWhe

0.686

CO2

CO2

0.183

M t CO2

5.3585

10 CO2

kg CO2/kWhth
CO2

MtCO 2/a

0.53585

/kWh

0.2017

CO2

/t CO2

206.29

/t CO2

24.94

2000

a/ 133MW 4%;
b/ 5524 /kWe 4%

CDM

3.9
3.9

GHG

MWh/a

TJ/a

CDM CO2
(2006

2015)

CDM

M m /a

CDM

MJ/m



(2006
CO2

54

2015)

CDM

CO2

999.39g CO2 /kWh

3 CDM

3.3.3
()



1992 1997 8 %
10%
2005
55%


30 kW
BJ3TPP


30 kW

3.10

30 kW






37

3.10

CDM

MW

404.3

404.3

h/a

3500

3500

GWh/a

1413.6

1413.6

GWhf/a

4038.8

2425.42

35

57

1454.40

1600.75

/kW

4848

4106

/kWhf

0.03563

0.116 ~ 0.143

37

25

25

15

15

/(kWe a)

141.22

131.74

g CO2/ kWhf

326

CO2

55

1 CDM

CO2

CDM

198.66

CO2

kg CO2/kWhe

0.460

37 CO2

M t CO2

9.1

CO2

M t CO2/a

0.65

/kWhe

0.086

/t CO2

124.08

/t CO2

15.00

CO2

2000

CO2

30
kW CDM


30 kW
3.11
3.12
3.11

30 kW


h/a

kWh/a

M J/t

CDM

h/a

kWh/a

m3/a

3.12

56

g CO2/ kWhf

CO2

l
(NDRC)
l

(BJMPDC)
l
(SEPA)
l
(BJMEPB)
l
(BJMWRA)
l

l
-
l


CDM


CDM
CER

3 CDM

3.3.4 ()


64.5%




3000MW

3.13

CDM

6
-6

(48b)

37


CER

3.13

CDM

MW

20

h/a

2000

GWh/a

40

GWhf/a

N/A

N/A

182.57

/kW

9128

/kWhf

0.0467

10

25

15

/(kWe a)

193.24

g CO2/ kWhf

327

g CO2/ kWhf

CO2

CO2

57

1 CDM

CO2

kg CO2/kWhel

37 CO2
CO2

Mt CO 2
Mt CO 2/a

0.5082
0.0363

/kWhel

0.372

CO2

/t CO2
/t CO2

411.73
49.79


CDM

3.3.5

58

CDM
0.91

2000



COD
70%

l
1
(48a)
l
2

(Build margin) (48b)


l
3
(Build margin)
(48b)
l
4
(Operating margin) (48b)
l
5

3 CDM

(operating margin)
(48b)
6
(operating
margin) (48b)
7
(48c)


2005 1
10
10

3.14



83%
-6
3.14

CO2
CO2
CO2
10 CO2
CO2

CO2

CDM

MW
h/a
GWh/a
GWhf/a
%

29.1
82.9
35.1

4.0
7680
29.1

/kW
/kWhf

0.228
15
-

45
11250
0.392
8
10
20
15
1180

%
a
a
a
/(kWe a)
g CO2/ kWhf
g CO2/ kWhf
kg CO2/kWhe
Mt CO 2
Mt CO 2/a
/kWhe
/t CO2
/t CO2

327
-

27.53

?
0.921
0.2676
0.02676
0.165
179.2
21.67
2000

59

1 CDM

CDM

CDM

3.3.6

(LFG)


(CH4 )

60

LFG

l
LFG

100%

GHG ;
LFG

CO2 CH4
CO2

LFG
LFG


LFG

10 2005 1
10

3.15

CDM

(a)
(b)

3 CDM

3.15

LFG

LFG

CDM

MW

1.74

1.74

h/a

5000

5000

GWh/a

8.7

8.7

GWhf/a

24.22

16.41

35

34.42

23.20

/kW

13333

/kWhf

10

10

10

10

10

/(kWe a)

920

g CO2/ kWhf

910

CO2

CO2

g CO2/ kWhf

4361.78

4042.87

CO2

kg CO2/kWhe

8.33

10 CO2

Mt CO 2

0.7247

CO2

Mt CO 2/a

0.07247

/kWhe

0.30

/t CO2

29.64

/t CO2

3.58

CO2

l
(
)
l
(
)
l

2000








CDM
l

61

1 CDM

3.4

3.4.1
l

3.4.1.1

CDM (EB)

l
CDM

CDM

CDM

GHG

3.4.1.2
3.16

2 600MW

133MW

300MW

20MW

4.1MW

1.94MW

1.

1.

1.

1.

1.

1.

2.

2.

3.

48 b)

1. 48 b)
2. 48 a)
3. 48 b)

62

48 b)

48 b)

48 b)

1. 48 a)
2. 48 a)

3 CDM

()

1.

1.

600MW

300MW

LFG,

CO2

2.

2. LFG

3.
2

CDM
CDM

l
CDM
CDM

CDM
CDM
48 (a) (c)
CDM

l
CDM
48
CDM


(operating margin) (build
margin)
OECD IEA
2002 5

l
CDM

CDM
)
l

CDM GHG

63

1 CDM

CDM

? (

CDM
)
3.4.1.3

1) 48.a)

GDP
8% GDP



,
GHG
,
,48.a)
48.a)
48.a)

2)
48.b)
48.c)


48.b)
48.c)


CDM

64

CDM
,

3)

,
,

COD



()

4)

3.17
CO2

600MW 300MW

CO2 3.17

3 CDM


CO2
CO2

2010 2030

CO2


( 2000 )
48.a)

48.b)

(GWhel/a)

40

40

40

40

40

40

(gce/kWhel)

351

392

346.7

361.1

344

360

(GWhth /a)

114.3

127.6

105.9

109.4

112.0

117.2

(%)

94.4

94.4

94.4

94.4

94.4

94.4

0.938

1.048

0.927

0.965

0.919

0.962

CO2 (t CO2 /a)

37520

41902

37049

38287

36771

38482

(%)

102.0

114.0

100.8

104.1

100

104.7

CO2
(kg CO2 e/kWhel)


CDM
CDM
CDM



CDM CDM
CDM
(1)


(2)
CDM /

65

1 CDM


CDM
CDM
CDM
a)() b)
()
b)
CDM

(3) /LFG


(
) (
) ()

(4)


CDM

CDM

3.4.2 CDM

3.4.2.1
CDM
12 5(c)
43~ 44
CDM (EB) 9 10


CDM

66


( 3.18)
3.4.2.2

3 CDM

3.18

1.
-

GHG
(Mt CO 2/a)
0.876

0.536

5.
-

0.65

0.036

0.02676

6.
-

3.

4.

-
-

2.

0.072

>1MW

2010

l
20 50

l
()

l
(NDRC)

l

67

1 CDM


CDM




CDM

CDM


()





CDM


CDM


3
(
)

GSCC

(CERs)



2008

CO2

68

3 CDM

CDM

CDM


PDD
PDD CDM
(EB) PDD
CDM



3.19

PDD ()

3.4.3
3.4.3.1

3.19
(ICER)

CDM
2
GSCC

3
GSCC

CO2
(tCO2e)

12264000

5358000

9099650

508200

267760

724700

*
CO2 (tCO2/a)

876000

535850

649975

36260

26760

72470

1.08

4.03

2.17

1.8

459.3

CO2
()

85897

110540

112908

20924

4790

2363.2

CO2

6136

11054

12175

1493

479

236.3

8.47

24.94

15.00

49.79

21.67

3.94

kW
(tCO2/kW)

(/a)

(ICER) CO2

(/tCO2)
* 1 3 4 3 7 14 14 3 2 5 6
10 10

1
5571 /kW
15% kWh

0.01 /kWh CDM


CDM
3.19

69

1 CDM

ICER 8.47 /tCO2

2 3 -

CDM

1.4 /m3 0.29 /kgce 0.154
/kWh 0.034 /kWh
23% 4.3
CDM
52%
38% CDM kWh
72%
3 CDM 4106
/kW 4887 /kW
15% 3.19
3 ICER 15.0
/tCO2 2 ICER 24.94
/tCO2
4
20MW 3.19 ICER 50
/tCO2 ICER
9128 /kW

kW
7000 /kW
23%


2000
2300~2500
CO2
ICER
5

70

COD
CDM 4MW
4500
11250 /kW


450
0.392 /kWh
0.25 /kWh 56.8%
5 ICER 21.67 /tCO2
2

6

2320 kW
13300 ICER

CH4
CO 2 72470t
ICER 3.94 / tCO2

3.4.3.2 ICER
ICER
2 5 6 10

3 4

3 7
CDM

20 GDP
7%

3 CDM

CER
ICER


67%
80% CDM

ICER
1 2 4

24.9 / toe 53.4 /toe 65.3
/toe OECD
110.2 /toe 97.76
/toe 61 /toe ( IEA
Energy Prices and Taxes)
20% 2
OECD
34% ICER
24.9/tCO2 15.3 /tCO2
39%

IEA Energy Prices and


Taxes
0.17 /m3 (1.40 /m3 )
0.09 /m3 2 3
ICER
1.40 /m3 1.13 /m3
19.3% ICER 30 /tCO2
15 /tCO2 50%
ICER
ICER (Power Purchase
Agreement PPA)





2003
(NDRC)

10 kW
kW 30000
( PPA)
10

ICER

3.4.3.3
ICER

l

CDM
ICER ;
l
CDM
ICER

;
l
CDM
, ICER
;
l
CDM

ICER ;
l
(PPA)
,
ICER;
l

71

1 CDM

(ER)
(ICER)
CDM


PPA
RPS CDM

CDM

3.5 CDM


3.20

(

CDM
3.20

CDM CDM

(1) (2)
(3)

3.5.2 CDM

3.5.1 CDM

2003

3.21

CDM

CDM

17%
33%

CER

1MW ()

72

( 5%)

3 CDM

CDM

(1) SO2

NOx

(2)

2
3.21

( CDM
CDM
) CDM CDM

a) (

6% 17%);
b)

DNA CDM

DNA

CDM ( a) CDM
) b) CDM
CDM

CDM

CDM

a) ()
b)

c)

73

1 CDM

3.5.3
CDM


CDM (EB)


2007 2008 CDM

8

CER

CDM ,

l

CDM

CER
EB
PDD EB

CDM
CER
CDM

3.6

3.1 3.22 CDM


74

BP-1 ( BP
) ADB-1 ADB-7
() 3E1 3E3
(
(NEDO)) 17
1 4
12

3.2

3.3 CO2

A B C D
ACO2
ICER A
CDM
BP-1
WB/GTZ1
3E3
() A

B CO2
ICER
3E2 (
)

3 CDM

3.1 CDM ( 2003 )

3.2 CDM

75

1 CDM

3.22

WB/

WB/

WB/

WB/

GTZ1

GTZ2

GTZ3

GTZ4

CDM

WB/

WB/

GTZ5

GTZ6

CDM
BP-1

(IPCC)

[]

(48.a; 48.b;
48.c)

48 b)

1. 48 b)
2. 48 a)

48 b)

48 b)

48 b)

1. 48 a)
2. 48 a)

48 a)

3. 48 b)

37

10

37

37

10

10

10

M We

2600

133

400

20

4.1

1.74

3700

GWhe /a

6250

548

1413.6

40

29.1

8.7

84001)

MWhth/a

875

CO2

Mt CO 2/a

0.88

0.536

0.65

0.036

0.027

0.072

3.702)

765.54

88.84

193.56

22.08

5.44

2.81

914.873)

(ICER)

/t CO2

8.47

24.94

15.0

49.79

21.7

3.94

11.624)

= 8.27 /

, : 2010 4000

CO2 /, ,

, 4000

76

8%

3 CDM

ADB-1

ADB-2

ADB-3

ADB-4

ADB-5

ADB-6

ADB-7

3E1

3E2

3E3

TRT

TRT

48 c)

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

37

10

10

12

15

12.2

12.9

2300

64

41.65

49.55

49.79

3791

14.8

14.9

0.965

0.98

1.9

3.02

8.9

N/A

N/A

0.1316

0.0428

0.0155

0.018

0.0302

0.1337

0.1786

12.04

1.02

4.12

0.91

14.22

13.28

13.28

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

77

1 CDM

3.3 CDM CO 2 (ICER)

(WB/GTZ6)

ICER 3.3

C (3E1)

D ICER

(WB/GTZ2)

(WB/GTZ4) ICER

CO2
CO2

78

3.7.1 CDM

CDM
(
)

(WB/GTZ3)

3.7

3.7.1.1
CDM
( CDM EB CDM
)

3 CDM

3.7.1.2
CDM (EB)
CDM M&P 48
a) 48 c)


48a)

48a)

48 c)

CDM




CDM


/LFG


CDM


CDM ()

()

CDM
CDM
3.7.1.3

CDM

CDM

(
)
CDM
CDM



()

CDM

3.7.2 CDM
3.7.2.1 CDM
CDM

79

1 CDM

GHG

a)
b) CER
c)
d)
e)
f)
g)
CDM

1) 2)
3)

3.7.2.2 CDM
CDM


a) CDM
CDM
b)

c)

CDM


DNA ( )
CDM

CDM
CDM

80

CER
CDM

CDM

3.7.3 CDM
(ICER)
3.94 /t CO2 (-)
8.47 () 15 (
-) 21.67 (
) 24.94 (
- GSCC) 49.79
()
ICER GWP (21)

ICER

ICER

CER
CER

ICER

2.2Mt CO2
ICER 15 /t CO2 eq
3.23

3 CDM

3.23

10 /t CO2

10 /t CO2



3.23

CDM

GTZ

3.7.4 CDM

CDM

CDM
CDM


( 5%)

CDM


CDM

CDM
CDM

CDM

CDM CER

81

II
CDM

CDM

CDM

4.1

CDM CERs ()

(MAC)
CDM

KP()
,

CDM
CERs

CDM
, CDM

CDM

CDM

4.2
CDM,
,
CDM

CDM CERs

CDM
,
,
, (IPAC- Emission
IPAC-AIM/ Technology )
(CERT)
(IPAC-SGM)


,
CDM ,
CDM
,
CDM CDM

85

2 CDM

CDM
,
CDM

, (COP7)

, CDM

1

, CDM
CDM

, -COP7
, ,

,
, ,
CDM
,

4.3

4.3.1 IPAC-Emission
IPAC-Emission ( IPAC
) ,

,
,

86

(US)
OECD (OECP-P) OECD
(OECP-W) (EFSU)
(ME) (CHN)
(SEA) (LA)
1990 2100 ,

CO2 CH4 CO HFC


PHFC SF6 , SO2 NOx
IPAC-E
,(
)

IPAC-E
, ,

(AGLU )( 4.1)
ERB (Edmonse-RillyBarns )
(Edmonds 1983),
,
GDP
,
,

(AIM) AIM


,

(PNNL)
AGLU(Agriculture and Land Use)
, MiniCAM

CDM

4.1 IPAC-Emission

GDP ,
, /
2030
2030 ,

4.3.2

IPAC-AIM/Technology

IPAC-AIM/Technology (
IPAC-AIM/)
,


4.2

( 4.1)

87

2 CDM

4.1

()


(TRT)

400
,
( 4.2, 4.3) ,
()
,


,




88

4.3.3 CERT
CERT ()
Grtter
(ETH Zrich) 2001
(Kappel , 2002) CERT
,

CDM

4.2 IPAC-AIM/Technology
4.2

()( 4.1)

()

89

2 CDM


()

4.3

()( 4.1)

( )


PFBC IGCC
NGCC

(y
), CERT
(x )
,
, y
(Kappel, 2002)

(2008 2012 ),
2010
CERT
,

90

CDM 0% x%
100%
CDM (MACs)
100%
2008 2012 ,

(Kappel , 2002)

(Kappel
, 2002)
( B

) x%
B x%
,
,

JI CDM ET
,
CERT1.3
x% BAU-

(Kappel , 2002)
CERT1.3

,
,
, (EITs)
(
), ,
EIT
B
,
,
,
,

/,
, ,

(Kappel , 2002)

CDM

CERT , 12
, 6 ,
(US) (JPN) (EEC)
OECD (OOE) (FSU)
(EIT) 6
, (CHN)
(IND) (BRA) (EEX)
(DAE)
(ROW) IPAC-E
9 , CERT
IPAC-
9

4.3.4

IPAC 2010
9

MACs ,
CERT

( CDM ),
(CERs)
IPAC-AIM/
, CDM ,

CERT
CDM IPAC-SGM
( 6 ), CDM

CDM ,
CDM

,

91

2 CDM

,
,

CDM
CDM


, IPAC
IPAC-AIM/ IPAC-SGM

4.3

92


CDM
,
IPAC-AIM/
IPAC-AIM/
CDM
IPAC , 1990 , 2000
4.3

5 CDM

5
CDM

5.1

5.1.1

2010
IPAC

AIM
UNFCCC
IEA
EIA

5.1 5.2


,
, (IEA)


(IIASA)

5.3 5.4 IPAC

()
, 2010
1990
36.5%, 5.5% 2010 ,

7.8%, 2000 2010


1.18% 2000
71%, 2010 62%,

:
(tC)
(),
(tCO2 ), ,
tC ,
tCO2
tCO2 tC
CO2 C ,
CO2 12/44 (C CO2
) ( CH4 )
()(GWP)
,
, tCO2 e tCe (CO2 GWP 1, CH4
GWP 21)

93

2 CDM

5.1

0.86

0.92

0.94

0.25

0.28

0.30

OECD

0.46

0.48

0.49

OECD

0.14

0.15

0.15

0.41

0.42

0.42

2.70

3.15

3.48

1.14

1.29

1.35

1.56

1.86

2.13

1.19

1.51

1.89

0.13

0.17

0.22

0.63

0.83

1.09

0.43

0.51

0.58

5.16

6.00

6.73

OECD

5.2

GDP

OECD

16.36

21.07

24.47

5.50

7.52

8.95

OECD

7.58

9.50

11.03

OECD

3.28

4.05

4.49

1.08

0.96

1.36

1.50

3.29

6.11

0.47

1.23

2.47

1.03

2.06

3.64

1.92

2.67

4.06

0.45

0.62

0.92

0.39

0.53

0.86

1.08

1.52

2.28

20.86

27.99

36.00

94

5 CDM

5.3

EJ

69.5

82.7

89.5

OECD
OECD

66.1
22.1

70.1
24.5

73.4
25.5

69.3

53.9

60.6

28.2
17.1

38.4
25.7

54.4
45.5

10.6

15.4

21.0

7.9
14.1

10.4
18.1

14.9
22.5

304.9

337.5

408.6

5.4

10 tC

(IPAC , )

1.33

1.50

1.62

OECD
OECD

0.47
1.11

0.46
1.20

0.47
1.24

1.25

0.95

1.06

0.66
0.33

0.84
0.49

1.09
0.86

0.18

0.26

0.36

0.15
0.22

0.20
0.29

0.28
0.37

6.02

6.68

8.22

5.1.2

IPAC ,

,,
(MACs) IPAC

MC = aQ 2 + bQ
MC 2010 ,
1990 /tC; Q , MtC;
a, b R 2 5.5

1 2010 2020
,

95

2 CDM

5.5

IPAC CO2

0.0008

0.0075

0.0017

0.0012

0.0079

0.2223

0.9913

0.9963

0.9892

0.9959

0.0008

0.0014

0.0265

0.0018

0.0003

0.1596

0.2358

1.4692

1.9744

R2

0.9972

0.9988

0.999

0.9975

5.1

0.0841

0.0773

1.7344
0.9

MACs , 2010

5.1 2010 9


/
,

,

96

5.1.3

MIT
EPPA(

5 CDM

)
GTEM ()

,
(Ellerman 1998; Tulpule
1998)
5.2 5.3 5.4
EPPA
GTEM

5.2

CD-ROM

5.5 5.6 5.7


OECD

, 550MtC
(2017MtCO2 ), IPAC
MAC EPPA,
550MtC , IPAC
MAC EPPA GTEM
,

MACs , 2010

USA

EET

BRA

JPN

FSU

EEX

EEC

CHN

DAE

OOE

OECD

IND

ROW

97

2 CDM

5.3

MACs , 2010
GTEM

5.4

MACs , 2010
(GTEM , )

98

5 CDM

5.5

MAC

5.6

OECD MAC

5.7

MAC

MAC
EPPA IPAC
OECD, IPAC
,
350MtC(1283MtCO2 ),
IPAC EPPA GTEM
MAC 350MtC

, IPAC EPPA
, GTEM MAC
,
5.8
IPAC

GTEM EPPA

99

2 CDM

5.8

MAC

IPAC ,

,
, 2010
BAU , 1094MtC (4011Mt
CO2 ) EPPA 2010 BAU
1792MtC(6571MtCO2 )
,
BAU
, MAC

MAC

EPPA
GTEM
CGE , IPAC

CGE ,
,

100

, GDP
GDP

MAC

,
,
,
, IPAC

, 2010
10GW
110GW,
,
,
20
IPAC
MAC
20 90

2000
,

5 CDM

5.2

5.2.1

IPAC 2010
GHG EPPA
GTEM

()

2008 2012
(CO2 , CH4 , N2 O, SF 6, PFCs
HFCs)
,
1990 8% 10%
,
1990 5.2%
5.6
1990
, 5.7 1990

5.8 2010 BAU


,
2002
EPPA GTEM

IPAC (EIA/USDOE
2002; Grtter, 2002; UNFCCC, 1998)
2010
, ,
5.9
378~641MtC(1386~2380
MtCO2 ) 24~85MtC(88~312MtCO2 )
9~308MtC(33~1129MtCO2 )
OECD 53~117MtC (194~429MtCO2 )

(
1 , ),
, 42~397MtC
(154~1456MtCO2 )
387~951MtC (1419~3487MtCO2 )
,
162~333MtC (594~1221Mt CO2 )
(
)
,
IPAC
530MtC
(1943MtCO2 )
152MtC (557MtCO2 )
(UNFCCC 2001)

1 ,


,
ET

101

2 CDM

5.6

1990

USA

JPN

EEC

OOE

FSU

1534

311

1056

330

1112

MtC

All with

All without

USA

USA

4691

3157


EET

348

: 1990 ,

5.7

USA

1246

JPN

288

EEC

230

1990

OOE

OECD-P

OECD-W

834

377

975

FSU

865

EET

M tC


All with

All without

USA

USA

3742

2496

279

: 1990 ,

5.8

2010 BAU

USA

1795

1835

JPN

312

OOE
EEC

M tC

2060

1946

369

385

389

309

286

428

383

951

889

1161

1065

1887

1864

1870

1669

343

359

373

341

311

331

347

305

964

1013

1066

1142

1624

OECD-P

477

OECD-W

1246

FSU

540

587

641

735

631

810

810

1029

EET

207

226

243

274

240

292

296

321

EFSU

926

()

4129

4335

4543

4693

4341

4315

4272

5140

5133

()

2334

2500

2656

2829

2472

2646

2648

3080

3187

: GTEM (NC),

102

5 CDM

5.9

, 2010

MtC

USA

549

589

641

618

624

423

378

526

412

JPN

24

55

71

85

53

74

78

OOE

81

101

117

75

79

56

98

53

EEC

130

179

232

308

117

55

105

OECD-P

100

OECD-W

271

FSU

325

278

224

130

234

EET

72

53

36

39

55
13

EFSU

302

83

52

27

218
387
162

593

801

951

599

573

530

449

442

160

333

24

150

152

77

30

(UNFCCC 2001)
3.3 3.4
: (1),
; (2), ,
COP-6 COP-7(
Z)
JI
,

, 5.10 ;
97.87MtC, 69.87MtC
CERT
, /

5.9 2010
,

Grubb (Grubb, 2003)

,

84~239MtC(308~876MtCO2 ),
Grubb
106~
196 MtC (389~719 MtCO2 ) 67~
87MtC (246~319 MtCO2 ) 10
45~75 MtC (165~275MtCO2 )
EIT 24~36MtC (88~132 MtCO2 )
Grubb , EIT
242~394MtC (887~
1455MtCO2 ), EIA
260~397MtC (953~1456MtCO2 ),
IPAC 218MtC
(799MtCO2 ) Grubb

30MtC (110MtCO2 ),
40MtC (147MtCO2 ),
5.10

103

2 CDM

5.9
5.10

JI

28

13

13.11

5.17

13.2

18.08

34.83

3.76

39

MtC


97.87

69.87

: UNFCCC, 2001

IPAC

5.2.2

CERT

CERT
, 2010
(
/)
,
,

IPAC

104

,
2% CERs
PCF CDM
, CDM

,
JI CDM
2 /tC (0.54
/tCO2 ), JI 1 /tC
(0.27 /tCO2) ( 2000
)

CDM

5 CDM

, CDM 2008
,
CDM 30%

,


, CDM JI ET
,
10%

,

,
50%,
0
0
CERT ,

, CDM ,

,

(
CDM ); CDM
;
CDM
, CDM
,
,
CDM
5.11 CDM JI ET
, IPAC
/

5.11

CDM, JI ET

USA (10%)

35

119

1369

OECD-P

86

93

3015

OECD-W

252

108

7998

374

12382

: 2000

:
OECD-P, 86MtC (315MtCO2 ); OECD-W,
252MtC (924MtCO2 ); (10%
), 35MtC (128MtCO2 ) ( 100%
350MtC (1283Mt
CO2 )) 5.10
5.9
MC=aQ2 +bQ ,
a b 5.5,

Q
1
1
TC = (aQ 2 + bQ)dQ = aQ 3 + bQ 2
0
3
2
, a b
( 1.495/1.196
1990 2000 )
a = a 1.495/1.196(1/)2
b = b 1.495/1.196 (1/)
(10% ) OECD-P
OECD-W ,
93~119 /tC (23~32 /tCO2 ),
124
5.12 5.10-1 5.10-2

,
,

105

2 CDM

, (10%) OECD-P
OECD-W 374MtC
(1371MtCO2 ) 177MtC (649Mt
CO2 ), 22 /tC(6
/tCO2 ),
55 , 69
ET
61.6MtC (226MtCO2 ),
24% JI
90.5MtC (332MtCO2 )
5.12

25 CDM
44.7MtC, 48%
CDM JI
CDM
30%, JI 100%
CDM 5
, 5%
21.6MtC (79.2MtCO2 )
CDM 2.6

177.1

649.4

USA

15.0

55.0

845

OECD-P

34.8

127.6

1670

OECD-W

127.3

466.8

4801

61.6

225.9

2495b

61.6

225.9

90.5

331.8

90.5

331.8

44.7

163.9

514

15.3

56.1

178

21.6

79.2

257

2.7

9.9

30

2.4

8.8

23

2.7

9.9

27

374.0

1371.3

EFSU
JI
EFSU
CDM

(/tC, 2000 )

22.0

(/tCO2, 2000 )

6.0

: a) ,
b) JI

106

5 CDM

5.10-1

5.10-2

/ (MtC)

(10 , 2000 )

, , 5.13
5.11 BAU

2.5 /tC(0.68 /tCO2 )
22 /tC (6 /tCO2 ),
10.6 /tC(2.9 /tCO2)
, IPAC
a) IPAC

; b)
CDM 7~95MtC
(26~348MtCO2 ) , 49MtC
(180MtCO2 ) CDM
150 7.9
, 2.99
CDM 4~57.5MtC (15~211MtCO2 )
, 30.5MtC (112MtCO2 ),
90 5.66 ,
1.87

107

2 CDM

5.13

BAU

IPAC

IPAC

22.0

44.7

21.6

256.8

EPPA

EPPA

13.0

95.3

57.5

397.7

GTEM

GTEM

9.2

35.7

25.4

96.2

EIA

EPPA

6.2

45.3

27.1

63.9

EIA

EPPA

10.2

76.5

46.1

229.1

EIA

EPPA

2.5

6.9

4.0

EIA

GTEM

11.8

47.0

33.3

175.6

EIA

GTEM

19.8

79.2

55.2

565.6

0.9

EIA

GTEM

4.0

10.6

7.6

GTEM,

GTEM,

7.4

48.9

27.1

76.8

GHGs

GHGs
10.61

49

30.5

187.0

6.36

28

18.1

181.6

7.4

: 2000

5.11

CDM
(: EIA L (M, H) EIA (, ) )


10% CDM
30% CDM 2 /tC
(0.55 /tCO2 ),
50% , ,
,

108

, ,

,
,
CDM 0
257MtC(942MtCO2 )

5 CDM

CDM
,
, CDM ,
CDM CDM
2008 ,

CDM
,
, 5.14
, CDM
CDM
10%, 24.3 /tC
(6.6 /tCO2 ), CDM
5.14

16.3MtC (60MtCO2 )
7.8MtC (28.6 MtCO2 )
50%,
18.2 /tC,
CDM 62.3MtC
(228.4 MtCO2 ) 30.3MtC(111.1 MtCO2 )

, CDM
50%
, CDM
,
10% 50%
,
1.085 2.776

10

24.3

16.3

7.8

108.5

20

22.7

30.6

14.8

185.0

30

22.0

44.7

21.6

256.8

40

20.6

56.1

27.2

294.1

50

18.2

62.3

30.3

277.6

: 2000

,
,
CDM 5.15


( CDM )

0 30%, 20~22
/tC (5.5~6 /tCO2 ),
CDM 19.8~21.6MtC (72.6~79.2Mt
CO2 ) , ,

,
030%,
0 4.4 /tC (1.2 /tCO2 )





,
5.16

109

2 CDM

CDM
,
,
1
/tC(0.27 /tCO2 ) 5 /tC
(1.36 /tCO2 ), ,
CDM 46.2MtC (169.4Mt
CO2 ) 37.7MtC (138.2MtCO2 ),
CDM 22.3MtC (81.8MtCO2 )
18.4MtC (67.5MtCO2 )
5.15

, ,
,

, CDM
5.17

21.7

44.0

21.3

247.6

21.3

43.3

20.9

238.8

10

22.0

44.7

21.6

256.8

20

19.9

40.8

19.8

208.1

30

21.2

43.1

20.9

236.6

: 2000

5.16

CDM

21.9

46.2

22.3

277.9

22.0

44.7

21.6

256.8

21.3

37.7

18.4

173.3

: 2000

5.17

EU 50%

22.0

44.7

21.6

256.8

50%

20.9

42.5

20.6

229.1

18.1

37.1

18.1

168.4

0%

: 2000

110

5 CDM

18.1 /tC (4.9


/tCO2 ), CDM
18.1MtC (49.5MtCO2 )
50%, 20.9
/tC (5.7 /tCO2 ), CDM
20.6MtC (75.5 /tCO2 )
5.12 5.14

5.12

5.13

CDM



( 0 30%)

CDM

111

2 CDM

5.14

CDM


CDM 0~
24.3/tC (0~6.6/tCO2 ) 0~95.3MtC
(0~349MtCO2 ) 0~57.5MtC (0~211MtCO2)
, CDM
0 EPPA
EPPA
CDM
EPPA ,
135MtC (495MtCO2 ) CDM
, 10%, ,
24.3 /tC(6.6 /tCO2 ) CDM
,
CDM

5.18

CDM CDM

30

10

CDM

50

30

CDM

10

112

,
CERT
,

, CERT

,
CDM CDM ,
CDM IPAC


,
5.18

5 CDM

5.19 CDM
CDM
CDM ,
19.2 /tC (5.2 /tCO2 ),
CDM 31.8MtC (116.6MtCO2 ),
10MtC (37MtCO2 ) CDM
5.19

, 23.7 /tC
(6.5 /tCO2 ), CDM
6.8MtC (24.9MtCO2 ),
0.766 ~3.108 , CDM
14.1~65.5MtC (51.7~240MtCO2 )

22.0

44.7

21.6

256.8

CDM

19.2

65.5

31.8

310.8

CDM

23.7

14.1

6.8

76.6

5.2.3

CERT

IPAC , (
) 371MtC
(1360MtCO2 ), EIA
335MtC (1228MtCO2 ) IPAC

218MtC (799MtCO2 ), EIA


260~397MtC (953~1456MtCO2 )
IPAC
378MtC (1386MtCO2 ), EIA
,
(423MtC 1551MtCO2 )
, IPAC

10%
690MtC
(2530MtCO2 ) 340MtC (1247MtCO2 )
374MtC (1371MtCO2 )

257MtC (942MtCO2 )

,
IPAC EPPA
GTEM

,
, IPAC
EPPA GTEM
IPAC

IPAC
,
10%
30% CDM
50% 2 /tC CDM
, CERT
22 /tC 6 /tCO2 ,
CDM 50%,
21.6MtC (79MtCO2 ), CERs

113

2 CDM

2.6 IPAC
,
CDM 6.8~21.6MtC
(25~79MtCO2 )

5.3 CDM

5.3.1

IPAC-AIM/
,


IPAC-AIM/
(NIES) ,
2030
,


CDM
ERI IPAC
CDM

5.20 5.21
GDP
5.20

IPAC-AIM/
CDM ,

1141

1284

1393

302

413

531

840

872

862

1 50 /tC
2 IPAC-AIM/ IPAC-
, 2000
,
IPAC-AIM/ IPAC
,

GDP

GDP

5.3.2

5.21

114

106

5.15 IPAC-AIM/


2000 (
)
,

12.10 /tC (3.30 /tCO2)
1
IPAC-AIM/


2 2010 CDM
CDM

5.16

IPAC-AIM/
5.17 ,
, Y
CO2
X 2010 CO2
(: 2000 2010
)

7.9

5 CDM

5.15

5.16

IPAC-AIM/

CO2 ,

5.17

115

2 CDM

5.18
5.22

10.7

0.3

4.4

0.4

1.2

4.4
7.7

1.0

0.0

3.3

10.4

8.1

6.8

37.3

0.4

0.6



,
,
CDM (
, )

CDM
CDM
,

GHG

116

2.9


,
CDM
,
CDM CDM

1
,
, CER ,
CERT

1 CDM

5 CDM

,
, 50/tC (13.60
/tCO2 ) 5.185.22
50/tC
IPAC-AIM /
2010 (
)()
138 MtC/a(506 MtCO2/a)

5.3.3

CDM

5.23

> 200000

0.1

20000~200000

0.4~1.3

2000~20000

13

200~2000

130

< 200

1300

,
CER
CDM

10000tCO2 /a
,
,

CDM
, ,

( 5.23 )

Michaelowa/Jotzo, 2003

CDM 79MtCO2 (21.6MtC)


CDM

5 /tCO2 CER
, 10000tCO2 /a
CDM
, ,
CER 2
( 5.19 ) 5.19
CDM
(tCO2 /a)()
()

CDM
CER ( 2 )
, CDM
( 10000tCO2 )

(
)
CDM
, 2~20
/tCO2
,
CER
6 /tCO2 (22 /tC) 5.19
, CER

117

2 CDM

5.19

CER CDM
(1

5.3.4

3-6-2 , 7~10 )

CDM

50 /tC (13.60
/tCO2 )

, 2010 170MtC
(624MtCO2 ) CER
,
: (a) 50%, 85MtC/a (312Mt
CO2 ) CO2 22
/tC(6 /tCO2 ) CER (b)
( 10000tCO2 )
CER
, (c)
+ CDM

(d)
CDM
2010
CERs, ( CDM
,
CDM ,
, )
5.20 IPAC
CERT IPACAIM/ IPAC-AIM/
, IPAC
, IPAC-AIM/
(MAC)
22 /tC (6 /tCO2 )
, IPAC-AIM/ MAC
85MtC (312MtCO2 )

1 , 10000t CO2 , 1/tCO2


30000tCO2 , 0.5/tCO2 50tCO2 , 0.2
/tCO2

118

5 CDM

, IPAC MAC
72MtC (264MtCO2 )
, IPAC-AIM/

CDM

50 /tC(13.60 /tCO2 )
170MtC (624MtCO2 )
IPAC MAC , 30% CDM
, CERT 22 /tC
, 21.6MtC
5.20 B 30%
CDM 5.20

, IPAC-AIM/
, 50 /tC(13.60
/tCO2 ) 170MtC/a (624Mt
CO2 ) CERT
, 22 /tC(6 /tCO2 )
21.6MtC/a (79.2MtCO2 )


CERT ( IPAC
) 30% ,

CDM

B CDM
(

5.20

(50 /tC) CDM (22 /tC)

5.24 22 /tC (6
/tCO2 ), CDM

CDM (
5.24)
,

MAC CER

CDM
( 6 ) IPAC-SGM
CDM ,
,
:

CERT CER

MAC ( 5.17);

119

2 CDM

CDM
, CDM
(
CDM );
(

)
;
CDM /

(, )

5.24

15% CO2 CDM


CDM 10%
21.6MtC (79.2 MtCO2 ) CDM
(CERT )
5.24
IPAC/AIM
CO2 CDM
: Michaelowa (2003)
CER
1%~2% , HFC-23
, CDM
AM0001 ,
CO2 10% CDM
5.24
,
,

CERT 21.6 MtC CDM

10

2.16

10

2.16

1.08

50

10.80

15

3.24

CO2

10

2.16

100

21.60

5.3.5

5.25
CDM ,
IPAC/AIM
85MtC(312MtCO2)(
CER 22 /tC 6 /tCO2 ),
CDM , :
(a)CDM ; (b)
, 2010 CDM
21.6MtC/a(79.2MtCO2) ( 5.25)

CDM
,
,
CDM
50%,
10%, 5%,
5.25

GHG

(TRT)

120

CDM

5 CDM

QSL
Hoffman

Colburn

LPG

(hybrid)


(IGCC)

5.4

2010
;
MACs; ;
(
)
CDM ; ,
,

()
IPAC
374MtC (1371MtCO2 )(
, CDM
30% 10%) , 2010
CDM 44.7MtC
(164MtCO2 ), CDM
50% (21.6 MtC, 79.2 MtCO2 )

CERT CDM
0~57.5MtC(211MtCO2 )
CER 0~24.3 /tC
6.6 /tCO2
CER
IPAC
CERT
Grubb (2003)
,
55~190 /tC(15~52
/tCO2 ),
0~50 /tC(0~13.6
/tCO2 )
, 55 /tC(15 /tCO2 )
18 /tC (5
/tCO2 ) , CER
, CDM
15~50MtC(54~180MtCO2 )
, Haites (1998) (1998)
Austin (1998) Ellermann (1998)

121

2 CDM

CDM ,
27~572MtC(99~2108MtCO2 ), 273~723MtC
(1001~2651MtCO2 ), 397~503MtC (1456 ~
1844MtCO2 ) 100~188MtC (367~689Mt
CO2 )
( Grubb, 2003)
Grubb (2003) , CDM

,
CDM
CDM ,
GHG()

,
CERUPT
PCF ,


,
CERs 10~20 /tC(2.5~
5 /tCO2 ), IPAC
CERT


CERUPT

, 20 CDM
2004

(EU ETS)
2005 JI
CDM
JI CDM
EU ETS
, JI CDM
2010 1 tC
(3.60 tCO2 ), CER 43

122

/tC (12 /tCO2 ) (Criqui/


Kitous, 2003)1
CDM (
CERs 55%) , 10
JI
EU ETS ,
JI
CDM

, ,
, JI
CDM ET (AAU)
,

CDM JI

(WWF)
, Grubb (2003)

, (AAUs)

CDM
,
CDM
,

CERS 2006
, IPAC 2010
CDM 44.7MtC( 164MtCO2 /a)
CDM 21.6 MtC( 79.2
MtCO2 ), ,

1 20031030
(IETA), 2010
14.3/tCO2 ( www.carbonpoint.com)

5 CDM

, ,
CDM
44.7MtC/a(164MtCO2 /a) , CER
CERT ,
20~40 /tC ( 5~10 /tCO2 )

CER
:

CDM

, 2006
CDM
2012 7

CDM

(),
,

JI CDM

(AAU) ,

CDM

2008 CDM
44.7MtC/a(164MtCO2 /a)

,
, Lecoq
and Capoor (2003),

,
,
EU-ETS
,

CER ERU
,

,

CDM

CER
,


, ,





CERs

123

2 CDM

()

, CDM
,

,

,
,
, ,
5~50MW
,

()

CDM

:
a) OECD b)
c) d)
(NGO) :

OECD

/ JI /CDM


ERU CER ,
CERUPT CDM
CDM JI
JI CDM (
KfW),

124

CDM
,
CDM

,
, -
,

CDM

,
PCF IFC
EBRD OECD

CDM JI ,

5 CDM

5.5


CDM
, ,
,

,

,

2010, ,
5.26

,

IPAC ,

(10% ),
3.74 tC(13.71
tCO2 ) IPAC
MACs CERT
,
EFSU
10%
30% 50%
2 /tC CDM ,
2010 , CDM 4470
tC(1.64 tCO2 )
5.26 ,
2001 WB-NSS
2003

CDM CER

IPAC , 30% CDM ,

IPAC , 30% CDM ,


10%
2001 WB-NSS*
IEA , EIA/US
DOE 2002
Grubb 2003

(Criqui et al, 2003)


,

Michaelowa/Jotzo, 2003

1243

0~161

0~6

1371

0~164

0~7

1300~ (3000)

300 ~ (2000)

1.7 ~ (10)

860~1540

80 ~ 465

415 ~1250**

50 ~ 180

0 ~ 13.8

11401

330 ~ 360

6 ~ 12

1105

363

<4

* , ,
** 50% 15

1 : 128MtCO2 e; B: 242MtCO2 e; , 10
: 36MtCO2 e; B734MtCO2 e

125

2 CDM

5.27

GHG
()

1371.3

374

649.4

177.1

721.6

196.8

100.0

ET: AAU/, EITs

225.9

61.6

31.3

JI

331.8

90.5

46.0

CDM

163.9

44.7

22.7

CDM,

79.2

21.6

11

CDM,

56.1

15.3

7.8

CDM,

28.6

7.8

4.0

5.27 ,
11%, CDM
50% 2010 CDM
2160 tC 7920 tCO2,
CERs
(300~600MW)
CDM ,
2006/2007
CO2 ,

CDM ,


3~5 /tCO2
IPAC CERT
(0~7 /tCO2 )
,
,
(RMUs CERs ERUs
AAUs), ,

126

Grubb(2003) Criqui Kitous


(2003)
(
5.26) ,
JI/CDM ,
: , CER
6~12 /tCO2 CERs

CDM

CER ,

2000
36%
2010 38%
(IPAC-AIM/ )
, ( )
, ,
CDM

2010 7920 tCO2 CDM 50%

5 CDM

, CERs
( CDM ,

300~600MW )
2006/2007

: ;

CO2 ( HFCs)
,
,

()

CFBC

()

CO2
CO2 CO2 ,
HFCs,

127

2 CDM

6
CDM

6.1

IPAC-SGM

6.1.1

IPAC-SGM

CDM
, IPAC
(CGE),
IPAC-SGM CGE

CGE,
CGE
,
IPAC-SGM
(PNNL) SGM( )
, 12
IPAC-SGM
SGM,
,
,
SGM
,

128

SGM,

,
CO2 CH4 CO N2 O
NOx SO2 VOCs CFCs CFC

()

3 4 5

6 CDM -

(15 )
(100 )
9 11


(6.1)
,

,
IPAC-SGM

, ,

6.1 IPAC-SGM

6.1.2

[]

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

IPAC-SGM CDM

CDM
, IPAC-

SGM, , :

CERs

, CERs
IPAC-SGM

129

2 CDM


CDM
CDM
2005 2010

CDM
, 2012
7
CDM

CDM
,

2010 ,

,
CDM


6.2

6.2

IPAC-SGM

: 2030


()
IPAC
6.2 IPAC-SGM

IPAC-SGM

1990

1067931

358554

343661

702215

476928

1995

1165023

397988

380687

778675

528857

2000

1244045

426376

407488

833863

566340

2005

1309099

453367

431687

885055

601108

2010

1357580

489652

466795

956446

649596

2015

1399020

514309

489518

1003828

681776

2020

1440727

526122

499638

1025760

696671

2025

1475316

524281

496482

1020763

693278

2030

1495370

529332

500471

1029804

699418

130

2030
CDM
,
,
CO2 SO2

1990

20002002

6 CDM -

GDP :
, 2050 GDP
1990

IPAC
IPAC-SGM
( 6.3)

6.3 IPAC-GSM GDP ( 1990 )

1990

1000291

473131

61373

218566

1753362

1995

1351561

804618

214707

218569

2589454

0.081

2000

2256274

1351287

472525

218560

4298645

0.107

7.59

2005

3624311

1945574

696229

218566

6484680

0.086

10.79

2010

5519115

2621077

1055124

284134

9479450

0.079

14.593

2015

7759009

3245157

1393635

369374

12767175

0.061

18.727

2020

10315084

3958638

1731273

369401

16374397

0.051

23.505

2025

12954654

4710539

2057167

369375

20091735

0.042

28.981

2030

15979505

5773584

2493823

369376

24616288

0.041

35.196

3.218
4.9

2002(19902000)

: 20

6.4

: ,
IPAC-SGM
( 6.4)

Mtce

1990

164.00

20.64

753.73

0.00

0.03

15.96

0.00

954.36

1995

229.50

27.32

983.40

0.00

0.10

20.15

0.00

1260.47

2000

320.50

32.57

889.55

0.00

0.44

27.32

0.27

1270.65

2005

392.42

40.71

1166.06

0.00

1.13

36.78

0.64

1637.73

2010

484.74

48.52

1301.00

0.00

1.91

46.12

1.25

1883.54

2015

590.33

57.59

1474.87

0.03

2.73

56.09

1.86

2183.49

2020

701.46

65.77

1637.01

0.27

3.31

63.58

3.00

2474.40

2025

814.98

73.70

1781.94

0.58

3.34

62.94

4.12

2741.61

2030

948.70

84.10

1972.43

1.23

3.65

68.07

5.64

3083.82

: ,

131

2 CDM

IPAC-SGM CDM
:

CDM
:
CDM/CERs

, CDM
1 (
6.5) 2010 CERT

CDM
2005 ,
2010 CER
, CDM 2005
, 2010
2010 , CDM

()
CDM
2030
, CDM 2010

6.5 CDM

2005

237.6

2010

475.2

2015

356.4

2020

237.6

CDM : CDM

1 CDM CDM
, CERs

132

CDM
,
CDM
IPAC-SGM

6.6

:
, CDM
,

IPAC

CDM

, 2010 2030

2030 ,

2010
( ,
CD-ROM
3)


6.7
,
(
)
6.8
(10%)
2010 ,
2010
20300.1%

6 CDM -

6.6 IPAC-SGM CDM

4.0

0.2

5.0

6.0

0.3

5.0

4.4

0.1

2.3

0.07

0.8

0.1

12.5

0.2

0.06

25.0

5.0

0.2

2005CDM

4.0

CD-ROM

6.7

10

12.6

15.4

22.2

25.7

0.9

1.4

2.7

2.5

: , 2002

6.8

(1)

(1)

10

240.1

261.1

343.0

26.1

27.4

36.2

6.3 CDM GDP

CDM
(
), 2010
CDMGDP0.03%, 2020
0.34%, 20300.52% (6.9)
, CDM
(CDM

),
GDP
2030 , 0.52%
(6.1) 2005203025,
CDM, CDM
0.68%GDP ,
CDMGDP0.022%
,
CDMGDP

133

2 CDM

6.9

CDM GDP

2005

750.6

750.6

2010

1109.2

2020
2030
2005

2030 GDP

2005

2030 GDP %

6.1

6.4

1109.6

0.4

0.033

1965.5

1972.2

6.7

0.34

3025.2

3040.8

15.6

0.52

2274.6

2290.2

15.6

0.68
0.022

CDM GDP

CDM
,


,
CERT IPAC-AIM/
IPAC-SGM
CDM

CDM
, CDM

, CDM

134

10

(FDI)
, CDM
FDI

CDM
CDM
, CDM

CDM CER
,
(),
CDM
,

IPAC-SGM

CGE , IPAC- SGM

6 CDM -

IPAC-AIM/

,
:

CDM

CDM
2010 GDP
0.03% 2020 0.34% 2030
0.52%

CDM
CDM ,
CDM
(Jiang
1998; Guo 2003)

,
CDM

IPAC-SGM

135

2 CDM

7.1

7.1.1

CDM

CDM
CDM

CDM

CDM
CDM

CDM
7.1.1.1

CDM :

CDM

136

( 2010 ) CDM

, , CDM

( CDM
) 2010
4.75 (
)

2005 2030 CDM


2030 GDP
0.5


2005 2010 17.8
CDM ()
GDP 21.3
CDM
1 ,
2010 , GDP 0.20

, CDM

1

:
(
),

:

2
;
CDM

,
,

7.1.1.2

10
/tCO2 ,
1 GDP ,

, SO2 NOx
CERs
2

CDM

,
,
5.2~6.5 /tCO2


CDM
,

,
CDM ,
5.2~6.5/tCO2 , 2010
25~117 MtCO2 3
, CDM
50% ( 52~240 MtCO2 )
2010 , CER
0.77 ~3.11 4
CER
CDM
CO2
( CO2 80%)
CDM
CDM (
HFC23 )
3 , 117 Mt CO2 CDM
2010
()CDM

4 , CDMCER
(
) ,

137

2 CDM


() (a) EIT
; (b)
()
; (c)
() ; (d)2010
CDM ; (e)
JI
; (f); (g)
; (h)

CDM ,
,


(
) CDM
( CDM
CERs CERs
)

7.1.1.3

CDM

2012
2012 CERs

2005
,
, CDM

2012 CERs

138

,
CDM 2012 CERs

CDM 7
2005
CER

CDM


/ 2012
CDM (
CERs , )
(
)

CDM
CER ,


CDM ,
CDM
CDM

CDM 2005 2006

( 300~600MW)


CDM
CDM
/ ,

,
CDM ,

7.1.2

CDM

7.1.2.1 CDM

( CD-ROM )

CDM
,
:


CDM

CER ,
,
CDM

CDM
(
)

PDDs,

, :

CDM
( DNA CDM

CDM
CER

(

CDM )
CDM
(

CDM )

CDM

CDM ,

(
) ,
CDM
, ,
CDM
CDM

CDM
CDM
CDM

139

2 CDM

7.1.2.2

CDM

CDM

CDM CER
;

CDM


CDM
CDM

CDM

CDM
CDM

DNA1

CDM
DNA
DNA
CDM
2004

1 : ,
DNA CDM

140

CDM

CDM

CDM

2001 2003 CDM

, 2004 2006
CDM


CDM

CDM

7.1.3

,
CDM CDM


CDM
(
)


CDM
( ) IPAC-AIM

CDM
2010 25~117Mt CO2 ,
CDM 50%
CER
6
4
(3.9 /tCO2 )
(8.5 /tCO2 )
CDM 1
6
85%~100%



, CER

(
)
CDM

/
(
CD-ROM )





CDM
CDM

CDM

CDM
( CDM
10%) (5%)
( 15%) CO2
( 10%)


,
(
)

7.2

7.2.1




CDM

141

2 CDM




CDM
(
, )

,
CDM

CDM
,

CDM, :

; SD
/ CDM
MVP ;
(,
Golden Standard)

, :


/
/

142

(
)
CDM
CDM

CDM

CER
CDM



CDM

1 CDM
(), CDM


,
CDM

CDM


CDM


CDM

CDM

/
CDM

CDM
CDM

,
CDM

7.2.2

CDM


:
7.2.2.1

1
1 200312COP9

143

2 CDM

CDM
CDM
,
1
2 CDM

/
CDM

/

CDM

CDM
,
CDM


CDM

7.2.2.2




(
2003) CDM

1 : (1)
; (2) CDM; (3)
(DNA) , CDM

2 , ,
,
, ,

144

, ,
,

CDM

, ,
CDM , /
CDM

CDM /

,
CDM PDD
,

CDM

CDM
CDM

CDM


CDM
CDM
,


PDD, CDM

CDM
CDM
CDM CDM

CDM

/

CDM
CDM

B


CDM

7.2.2.3

CDM
(1)
(2)


CDM

(
)/


CDM



CDM

CDM CDM
(1)
JI/CDM

(2)
/ CDM


CDM
CDM

2005 2007

CDM

CDM CDM

145

2 CDM

CDM

CDM


CDM
/CER

CDM

7.2.3

7.2.3.1 CDM/
CDM

CDM





,

1 Spalding-Fecher, Randall, 2002:


CDM

(The CDM
Guidebook A Resource for Clean Development Mechanism
Project Developers in Southern Africa) :

146


CDM CDM
know-how
CDM



(
) CDM

7.2.3.2


CDM

(
)

CDM

CDM CDM

CDM

CER



CDM

CDM
HFC-23
N2 O ,

()

(MAC)


CDM

(1) CER
, GHG
PPA
(2) CDM CERs PPA

()

CDM


CER

147

CDM

CDM



GTZ 2004
7 1 2
( CD-ROM
)

CDM

CDM

CDM

CDM

7 1 CDM
250

148

CDM ,
(NCCCC),
CDM
( 4)
(NDRC)
CDM (DNA)
CDM

DNA (NCCCC
, NDRC) NCCCC

CDM

,

CDM :
CDM

( 2012

),

2012


CDM 2012

NCCCC
CDM
,
CDM

,

CDM

CDM
CDM



(CERs)
(EU-ETS)

CDM

2005 1 1

CDM

CDM
CDM

CDM

CDM
,
2020
CDM

CDM





CDM CDM


CDM
CDM

CDM


CDM


CDM

CDM

149

CDM


CDM

CDM

CDM
CDM

(
4) CDM

()

()
()


CDM
:
CDM
CDM

100% CDM

,
,
, ,

150

(
HFC-23 CO2
1 )

CDM
CDM
CDM
CDM

CDM
CDM


, CDM

CDM

/,
(),

UNFCCC

(), CDM/CER
,

( CDM
) (<5 /tCO2 )
, CDM
CDM

CDM

,
CO2
78
,
CDM
CDM
CDM

CDM
(cdm.ccchina.gov.cn) CDM
( CDM )
CDM

( CER
CDM
IRR
);
CDM
CDM

CDM
CDM
/

CDM
()
CDM
( )

CDM

( 40%)
CDM

CDM

CDM

CDM
CDM

CDM
IRR

CDM

)
GTE
CDM


CDM

,
CDM

CDM

151

CDM

CDM

(
UNDP CDM ADB
CDM METI

152

GTZ ) (
KfW
)
CERs

CDM
CDM
CDM


CDM

(COP) CDM (EB) COP7 12 CDM EB

1
(COP) CDM
(EB) COP7 12 CDM EB

EB

CDM

( 2)

1. (15MW): /
/; M W MW(e) (
MW(p) MW(th))*;
2. : /;
3. 15GWh=54TJ;
4. : 1.5 tCO2

5.

(SMP)

;
*: (p) peak()

(e) electric()

(th)

thermal()
:
(i) 1.5 kW

(ii) /, 1500 kWh ;


(iii) , 1.5 tCO2
EB

(
3)

1. CDM (CDM M&P)43 ,


CDM ,
CDM M&P 44 EB ,

153

(COP) CDM (EB) COP7 12 CDM EB

43. CDM ,
CDM
44. CDM , CDM
A

CDM

, CDM M&P 37 38
EB

EB CDM M&P 48

(
) , ,
. ,
48 ,:
(a) : ,
,

(b) :
,
EB , 48(a)(c)
CDM


,
EB
COP8

CDM
CERs

COP , CDM :
(a) :
,
17/CP.7 6(c)

(b) PDD
(c)

(d) , ,

(e)

154

(COP) CDM (EB) COP7 12 CDM EB

CDM M&P B CDM


DOE B A
:
(a) : , (,
, );
(b) : , ,
, (,
, );
(c) : (
, ,);
(d) :, , , ,
, , ; ,

COP8 ()

()

. A.
. B.
. C.
. D.
2
. A. :
. B. :
. C. :
. D. :
. E. :
3 :
. A.
. B.
. C.
. D.
EB

PDD

CDM -PDD Annex 3 :

(a) :
45(e),
/(
, )
, , ,
(CDM-PDD B4 )

155

(COP) CDM (EB) COP7 12 CDM EB

(b) /:
(:,,)
(, , ,)
(, )
( CER )
(c) :
(, , , IPCC,
, )

1.

, :
(a) ;
(b) 20% ,
GHG ( CO2
)
5.
, :
(a) 5 ,
20%;
(b) 5 ,
20%
(
)

CDM

, CDM-PDD ,
(CDM -PDD A.4.2,
A.4.3, A.4.4. B E )

CDM
47

7. 47

CERs
8. /-
( CO2 ),

CDM
, () ,

156

(COP) CDM (EB) COP7 12 CDM EB

EB

1. : :
(a) CDM M&P 48 ,

(b) ,
,

EB

(c) CDM -PDD Annex3 4 ,


EB 5 8 CDM PDD
Glossary
(d) CDM -PDD
, ,

2. EB 8 , ,
CDM ,

3. :
CDM -PDD
Annex 3-4
/ ,
COP CDM (Glossary)
(/), CDM -PDD

4. Annex 3 4:
Annex
,
, ,
(, )
5. : CDM-PDD A-E
, , Annex

CDM -PDD

A-E

157

(COP) CDM (EB) COP7 12 CDM EB

EB
()

()

6. : ,
, ,
(, 5 ),
(,
)/ (,
, , )

(SI -

http://www.bipm.fr/enus/3_SI/si.html)
7. : ,

, ,

CDM

9. : , /
: CDM
, /,
/

EB

1. ,
CDM ,

2. CDM
, :
(a) ,
;
(b) CDM
;
(c)
( CDM
) ;
(d)
(
[<x%]), /

158

3. : CDM 48

(COP) CDM (EB) COP7 12 CDM EB

4. CDM 48
(a), (b) (c)
48 ,

(
2 ) CDM 48

6. (ex post)
, (ex ante)
CDM -PDD , EB
,

7.

M P
EB

:
1. Salvador da Bahia LFG ;
2. Ulsan HFC

EB

(a) (DOE) (Meth


Panel) 10 ,
Meth Panel , Meth
Panel

CDM-PDD 3 4 ,
,
EB
(b) 10

CDM

EB

( CDM 40(f))
UNFCCC CDM 8
UNFCCC CDM CDM
CDM
, CDM 8

DOE

159

(COP) CDM (EB) COP7 12 CDM EB

EB
()

CDM

CDM 40
(b)(c)

COP9

EB

CDM

Appendix B

160

,
(DOE)

CDM 37(d), DOE


, ,
CDM PDD

1. NovaGerar
2. Durban t
3. Graneros Plant
4. A.T. Biopower
FCCC/SBSTA/2003/L.27

1. I.A 1 (solar water pumps)


, I.B 9
2. I.A 6 :
, , Table
I.D.1.
3. I.D 29 (a) (ii): /
(build margin)
(in kg CO2equ/kWh);
(in MWh) 20% 5
,
4. II.E 69 ,

5. III.D (Methane Recovery).


6. III.D : (Methane
Avoidance) EB
,

1. Vale do Rosario ;
2. LFG CERUPT ;
3. El Gallo

CDM

CDM

/PROJECT PROPONENTS

CDM

CDM ,
:

CDM
CERs

PDD,

(/
NGOs)

/
/COP/MOP

(COP/MOP) CDM

(a) (b)
(c)

COP/MOP


CDM

CDM

COP8 COP9 COP


,
(UNFCCC,
2002(a) UNFCCC, 2003)

CDM /CDM EXECUTIVE BOARD


12

161

CDM

(UNFCCC, 2001(a))

,


,

,
7



, ,

7


CDM



CDM

,
COP/MOP CDM

COP/MOP
CDM


162

,
,

2004 10
16 ,
16
3 CDM
(SSC Panel)
CDM
(Meth Panel)
4
CDM

10

www.unfccc.
int/cdm

/Operational Entity

COP/MOP CDM
,
/
CDM
CERs

,

COP/MOP
,



(a)

(b)

(c)
(d)
(e)
(f)
(g) CDM

CERs
CERs CO2
( t-CO2 e )
,

, COP/MOP
,

CDM

CDM

CERs

CDM

COP/MOP

/Supporting Institutions
/ Parties
CDM

163

CDM

/Other Stakeholders

164

CDM



,

CDM

CDM

(PDD) /
Preparation of a Project Design
Document

(PDD)

PDD
1. CDM
2.

3. /
4.
5.
6.
7.
CD-ROM

,
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177

CD-ROM

CD-ROM

CD-ROM
CDM PDF
,
,

CLEAN
DEVELOPMENT
MECHANISM IN CHINA
TAKING A PROACTIVE AND
SUSTAINABLE APPROACH

PDF(
)

Annex
CD-ROM,
(1~4):

178

Annex
:
Six CDM Case Studies

Annex
:
Project Development Documents (PDDs)
for each Case Study
(PDD)
Annex
:
Methodological Annexes to Chapter 5
and 6
56
Annex
:
Matrix of Major International-Funded
CDM Studies in China
CDM

Annex
:
Relevant Materials from Other CDM
Projects in China
CDM

Annex
:
Key Literature on CDM in China
CDM

CD-ROM

Annex
:
Participants and Minutes from CDM
Stakeholder Meetings
CDM

Annex
:
Project Participants (Persons and
Institutions)
()
Annex
:
Written China CDM Conference
Materials
CDM

Annex
:
Video Presentations of the CDM
Conference
CDM
Annex
~


Annex

PDD Annex

Annex

Annex
I.2
CDM
Annex

,
(Annex
1
; Annex
2
6,
) ,
(Annex
10
Annex
7
9,
) Annex
20047
12


Power
Point Annex

Annex
Annex

CDM,
Annex
CDM
Annex

179

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