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decisions: Strategic
planning with SWOT,
PESTLE, SOAR, and So
what?
Companies have to be very schizophrenic. On one hand, they have to maintain continuity of
strategy. But they also have to be good at continuously improving. Michael Porter
As strategy thought-leader Michael Porter states in the quote above, organisations that are
successful are able to consistently focus their attention while at the same remain adaptable to
a rapidly changing environment. To do this, it helps to have a clear understanding of the
current situation.
Strategic planning is about making decisions on where you focus your attention. If you are
going to make decisions, you need information, and it helps if that information is complete,
relevant, accurate, and commonly understood by those making the decisions.
This is why most strategic planning processes include a conversation about the current
situation or context. Information helps us make the best decision to get us where we want to
go.
This conversation about our context can be involved. I hear leaders talk about the need to
simplify, in part because the environments in which they operate are becoming more
complicated and complex. Leaders deal with multiple relationships and multiple pieces of
information that are frequently changing, unpredictable, an influenced by factors outside of
the organisations control.
Many leaders intuitively know their context. This is one of the factors that makes them great
leaders. However, even the best leaders can have blind spots where they miss critical pieces
of information. Leaders also typically have teams around them, and everyone in that team
may not have the same information or agree on what the information means.
To help understand their context, leaders have available to them a suite of tools to help them
collect the information they need to make their decisions. Unfortunately, the tools can seem
as complicated and complex as the situation they are trying to understand.
The range of acronyms is impressive. A brief internet search introduces you to SWOT, SWT,
TOP, TOWS, NOISE, SOAR, SCORE, SCOPE, PEST, PESTLE, and 7S (not to be confused
with 5S). You do not have to go far to find support and criticism for any of the approaches.
Those who critique the tools that came before are keen to stake their consultancy claim on
their own approach.
My intent here is not to make an intellectual property land grab. I do not believe there is one
framework that will help all leadership teams make sense of their situation. The framework or
combination of frameworks that are most appropriate depends on a range of factors including
the maturity, personality and experience of the leaders, the complexity and urgency of the
situation, the history of the planning process in the organisation, and from a practical
perspective the time available in the workshop.
That said, there is value in having an awareness of the context analysis tools that are available
and where those tools fit. This is what I intend to do here.
Each of the models applies to a level of information. While this is not a perfect
categorisation, it provides a starting point to help put the different models in perspective.
The spheres of identity
It is important to understand the perspective from which the situation is being considered.
These include: The individual as a person, the individual as their role, the team, the
organisation, the industry, and the broader community and society.
What are the strengths an ambitions of each person? The team? The organisation? Where is
the market heading? Is there alignment? What are the areas of growth for the individuals?
How do those fit with where the company is heading?
The value is not in the information itself, but in the conversation it generates as each
participant puts themselves in the different roles. The spheres can be useful to align the
capabilities, challenges and potential at each level.
The horizon
Another question to answer when considering your context is what horizon you will use. A
typical horizon for senior leadership teams can be two to five years. Boards and those
responsible for long-term governance may look out 10 to 30 years. More operational teams
may look at a horizon of one to three years. A fast-paced start-up may forecast 6 to 18
months, with a start-up board looking at a sale process in 2 to 3 years.
The horizon is determined in part by the degree of certainty. A large 50-year transport
company has the momentum and history to be fairly certain about the future to look past the
next year or two. A 6-month old technology start-up paving new ground is learning
something new every day.
Both situations present an excuse not to plan. The large corporation can think nothing will
change and the small organisation may think the situation is changing so much that it is
impossible to plan. The response to the excuse is not to give up on planning but to change the
way planning is done.
The horizon will also determine what information about your situation is important. For
example, broad political shifts may be interesting, but those shifts may not impact an
operational team defining their one-year turn-around plan to improve efficiency and customer
service. Those same political shifts may be critical, however, for a board considering new
owners for a business in ten years.
Within each sphere, you will have different environmental factors. One of the more popular
depictions of this is the PESTLE, which stands for Political, Economic, Social,
Technological, Legal, and Environmental. Each factor can be considered to determine the
impacts on each of the spheres or the team as a whole.
The PESTLE is designed to provide a comprehensive view of a situation, which presents a
risk of capturing irrelevant information. If PESTLE is use, the information gathered can be
rated as to how relevant it is to the strategy of the team. If you are not going to use the
information to make decisions, it may be interesting but not worth your attention.
In addition to the spheres and factors, you can also consider the characteristics of the
situation. One of the more popular ways of looking at the characteristics is the SWOT
analysis. SWOT stands for Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats. Strengths
and weaknesses focuses internally and opportunities and threats are focus externally. Some
recommend switching the order to consider a TOWS in order to shift the emphasis from
internal to external.
The SWOT analysis has been criticised. Some say it is dated and that we should give SWOT
a rest, although the reasons given have perhaps more to do with the way it is facilitated more
than issues with the tool itself. Others point to an increasing rate of change to say that
opportunities and threats should simply be considered as Trends, shortening SWOT to SWT.
Another criticism of the SWOT is that it can be seen as a static one-off exercise and does not
produce relevant information. These concerns have spawned a myriad of alternatives,
including:
There is also a perspective that the SWOT analysis can have a negative focus. Rather than
dwelling on weaknesses and threats, the SOAR model aligns with an overall Appreciative
Inquiry planning framework and looks at Strengths, Opportunities, Aspirations and Results.
However, SOAR is more of a strategic planning framework rather than a context analysis,
describing a linear path to build from one aspect to another (Strengths to Opportunities and
Aspirations, then Results) as compared to the SWOT which looks at all aspects independently
(strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, threats).
Thinking frameworks
Thinking about an organisation using four characteristics can be helpful but will never be
sufficient in itself. This leads to another criticism of the SWOT which is perhaps unfair. I
suspect we may be asking the SWOT to do something it was not intended to do, and that is
for it to provide a comprehensive way of thinking holistically about the business.
For example, some criticise the SWOT and offer an alternative that looks
at capabilities across 20 variables. Others say the SWOT analysis is unable to adapt to the
complexity and rate of change, defining their own TOP analysis that looks at terrain,
operations, overseers, outliers, product, population, and players. The McKinsey
7S framework never positioned itself against the SWOT, and set out to provide a model that
looks at an organisations Shared values, Systems, Skills, Structure, Staff, Strategy, and Style.
The Business Model Canvas is another approach that considers how different parts of the
business interact with each other in consistent ways. The Canvas looks at four aspects of
revenue generation (Customer segments, Customer relationships, Channels, and Revenue
streams), four aspects of cost (Key partners, Key activities, Key resources, and Cost
structure), and the Value propositions that connect cost and revenue together.
A lot of research and thought goes into a viable thinking framework. As such, thinking
frameworks are often proprietary as intellectual property to the consultancy who develops
them and not often share publically outside of a paid engagement.
So which to use?
As I mentioned before, I do not believe there is a single best model. The question to ask is:
Do we have the information we need to make strategic decisions about our business?
Following a framework for the sake of the framework will likely not get you the results you
need. It is about the conversation that results from the framework and whether the
conversation leads you to make better decisions.
For example, here are a few ways I have mixed the tools:
Working with the team to define their personal and team challenges
an ambitions, as well as their organisational an industry pressures
and potential. This understanding allowed the team to develop a
share consensus on the current state to prioritise their strategic
initiatives.
aspect, where they would have the most significant impact. This
provided a means to measure the impact of specific strategic
initiatives.
Most any framework can produce value. The question is not whether the information can be
used, but the amount of effort that is required to make the information useful. The much
criticised SWOT remains one of the more popular tools for its ability to create clear lines of
sight to the strategic approach, be it a:
Simply having the information is meaningless unless you identify how you will exploit and
capitalise on your strengths and opportunities, and overcome or mitigate your weaknesses
and threats.
OT is a very common process used for planning. Its essentially a way to list the
Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats related to a new project or
idea youre taking on. Its supposed to lay everything out for you so that you
can achieve your goals.
It also splits these four categories into internal and external issues. Strengths and
weaknesses are internal, while opportunities and threats are external. You can apply
what is called matching and converting too. Matching is where you link strengths and
objectives together, while converting is making your weaknesses and threats into
strengths and opportunities.
Its all fairly straight forward and is a simple way to visualise different aspects of the
task ahead.
SWOT has been around for quite sometime now with its origins in the 60s. However,
as a form of analysis, it has been criticised on a number of levels.
Its been suggested the wording is misleading. Threats for example sounds overly
dangerous, while weaknesses is said to suggest inadequacy. It is thought more
effective terms may be available that better describe the issues at hand such as
replacing threats with obstacles or something similar. The inside/outside
categorisation has also been criticised for being too limiting, while its also suggested
that SWOT does not encourage a continuing use of analysis. All too often it is used at
the start of a project and then quickly discarded as things move on.
It will come as no surprise then that people have come up with alternatives.
SCORE
SCORE stands for:
Strengths
Challenges
Options
Responses
Effectiveness
You can see fairly quickly that the language has changed somewhat from SWOT.
There is a lot less negativity, with challenges the only section that really suggests any
issues. This might raise some eyebrows for being too idealistic, but if you dig a little
deeper you can see that it still manages to cover all the bases.
Challenges is quite a vague term as it includes pretty much all the tasks youll
encounter, but importantly it is not particularly defeatist. SCORE still makes clear there
will be problems, but it concentrates more on how these eventualities can be solved
rather than framing them simply as negatives and nothing more.
For example, a challenge may be dealing with a competing product backed by a much
vaster and wealthier company than yours. SWOT would list why you are weaker than
them and the threat they pose to you. That doesnt do a whole lot of good nor does it
really link smoothly to the other half of the grid.
With SCORE, once your challenge is listed youre straight into your options and
responses, finishing off with how effective they might be. This is a much more
proactive method and encourages you to start planning around future obstacles rather
than leaving a festering, menacing looking list like SWOT produces.
The intention of SCORE is to create a very clear and concise roadmap to success and
it does this very well.
SOAR
For a somewhat more New Age approach, you have something called SOAR:
Strengths
Opportunities
Aspirations
Results
Youll notice its gone even further than SCORE and removed any negative criteria
completely. This seems, at best, unwise. How do you plan for problems when you
dont include them in your analysis? Its possible you could fit some within
opportunities, but it seems forced and, ultimately, confused. It is overly idealistic, but
that doesnt mean it isnt completely without merit.
The idea is that SOAR is meant to encourage collaboration above all else. It attempts
to do this with the 5 Is:
Initiate
Inquire
Imagine
Innovate
Unfortunately, this is where SOAR starts to veer off into hippy buzzwords that lack any
real direction or worth. Imagine for example is a strange one. Surely this isnt
something you need to be told to do and would be a part of a new idea or plan
anyway. The point of this kind of analysis is to help you make sense of what you have
already imagined previously. This kind of language is helpful to some though and, for
those with the right mindset, they may find this list a good way to find motivation and
energy when it comes to their planning.
SOAR is also meant to make use of appreciative inquiry or AI. This is, in its most
simple form, a heavy reliance on positive action and the abilities of those involved in
planning. According to Wikipedia it:
people together, but it might not fit so well with the two-man plumbing business based
in Ealing.
NOISE
Created by Michael Cardus of Creative Learning, NOISE stands for:
Needs
Opportunities
Improvements
Strengths
Exceptions
For the most part, its a fairly straightforward alternative to SWOT, with some
similarities to SCORE in that it attempts to remove some of the overt negativity.
Problems would now go under the heading of needs, although that isnt exactly tidy.
While it is at first seemingly more positive, I get the impression needs may breed
more depression than you first expect.
Issues get changed into what you dont have rather than what needs to be completed.
For example, one of the future problems you envisage might be that is finding new
clients. NOISE would change that to you needing new clients. Its not a massive
change really, but if I was to choose between phrasing issues as challenges to
overcome or as needs to be met, I know which would create more enthusiasm for
the work ahead.
One of the more interesting aspects of NOISE is the exceptions category. Its defined
on Carus site as :
away from any problems and looking at what is or already has worked and go from
there. This is meant to highlight how the team has previously interacted positively in
order to show that advances and achievements can be made. It is about taking stock
of what you can already do rather than worrying about what you cant do. The idea is
that youll eradicate any negative issues by using positive past experiences and gains
as a starting point.
Its a good idea in terms of improving team cohesion, but I think that it may possibly
cause future irritation. What you can do can only go so far and looking back may not
help you move forward. By talking about how well something was done before, it may
hinder your ability to discover new solutions that may work better. It seems to suggest
that if a process worked before, theres no need to try and create a new and better
one.
So, all in all, each alternative offers a differing perspective from SWOT. They all have
an intention to encourage more positivity, although obviously some strive for this more
than others. Theyre interesting ideas and it may be worth considering tweaking or
merging them to make them fit you and your team better. None of these are set in
stone and you shouldnt feel like creating your own versions isnt an option.
In the end, its about getting the most out of your planning and there are plenty of
options to take from the analyses above.
If you think that the analysis you use to identify the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and
threats (SWOT) in your business is adequate, beware. It is intended to provide a 360-degree
view of your risks and opportunities but often fails to fill that requirement because of superficial
applications and failure to look at risks from connected systems.
If your risk and opportunity analysis techniques are lacking, you could be very unprepared for the
next recession, disruptive technology or game-changing way of thinking that could soon affect
you. Too often, the last domino that struck in the last crisis is the main focus of all future riskmitigation efforts. The whole string of triggers and threatening signals that led up to that last
publicized tipping point and bursting bubble are ignored.
Here are the 10 most common shortcomings for SWOT analysis:
1.
Underestimating the role that vertical and lateral cascading human factors can play and
having fragile back-up plans
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Absence of war gaming, stress testing and disruptive failure mode analysis testing of
your leadership mindset, strategy, work culture, processes, products and services
Lack of focus on disruptive innovations; you respond to them but do not create them with
proven innovation-on-demand techniques
Assumptions that cyber security and patents are safe, so they arent stress tested with
advanced cyber-circumvention and patent-busting techniques
Taboo talk rules; uncomfortable discussion topics are avoided or not identified with
focused and anonymously solicited inputs from employees
Ignoring Trojan horse risks that are secretly lurking in the hearts and minds of your
employees or piggy-backing on purchased technology, software, products or services
Lack of use of gamification techniques to address the most sensitive threats in a
disciplined, humane, engaging and effective manner
Failure to include effective strategies to attract and retain key human talent
Failure to identify low-profile threats that create unstoppable cascading risks from
leadership to culture to processes to bad performance to weak responses to critical situations
Lack of use of external perspectives to challenge group-think assumptions of perceived
safety and robustness
Simple SWOT analysis and risk-management techniques will not offer the protection required to
survive the next economic crisis or disruptive technology. KISS concepts (keep it simple, stupid)
have lost their ability to identify and protect against complex cascading risks. The world is a
fragile, hyper-connected and cascading system full of surprises that will punish casual optimists
and reward those who hope for the best but seriously plan for worst-case scenarios.
The World Economic Forums 2014 World Risk Report describes the global risks that can quietly
cascade across borders and affect organizations in unsuspecting and surprising ways from a
variety of threatening and linked factors. The complex dynamics that exist between developed,
developing and emerging world markets is further complicated by the fact that many
organizations know very little about the cascading system dynamics within their own four walls.
Classic methods that attempt to describe the risk and opportunity landscape for individuals and
organizations have not kept pace with the rising complexity and interactions between highly
networked workplaces, global economies and internal and external threats. We have now
entered a new era where we need new ways to describe and understand the complex world we
have created, which has outgrown the simple tools we like to describe it with.
SCOPE Planning
SCOPE -- situation, core competencies, obstacles, prospects and expectations -- attempts
to take the SWOT idea a little further. It not only analyzes internal and external factors,
but it also attempts to align the internal with the external to provide a road map of
strategic development. Situation refers to prevailing conditions under which everything
must be considered, while internal core competencies of the business are aligned with
external prospects. Obstacles and expectations can be either internal or external. This
model can present more information and has more flexibility than SWOT.
SOAR
SOAR is a positive-thinking method of analysis that identifies strengths, opportunities,
aspirations and results. It's intended for creative problem solving, and asks the user to
perform five key "I" actions when facing a decision or formulating a strategy: initiate,
inquire, imagine, innovate and implement. Proponents of SOAR say it's a way to include
the key factors of motivation and engagement into business planning.
Related Reading: How to Do a SWOT Analysis
Defensive/Offensive Evaluation
This method divides a business's aims into two basic realms. The first is defending its
existing product or market and the resulting profits. The second is the offensive aim of
gaining new products or markets and, hence, additional profits. Executives can identify
both internal and external challenges under each of these two themes. For instance, the
defensive aim includes analyzing the business's vulnerability to imitation and innovation
by competitors, but it also involves internal costs, quality assurance and the supply
chain.
CORE Assessment
Companies can use this technique in a narrower range of circumstances than a classic
SWOT analysis. It's most often used by start-up businesses and entrepreneurs as a
method to chart their plans for future growth. CORE stands for capital investment,
ownership involvement, risk assessment and exit strategy. It looks at how the business
will be funded; what its ownership structure will be and whether those owners also will be
managers, what the external and internal risks are to the basic business model and
whether the entrepreneur plans to eventually sell the company as a going concern or
continue to develop it personally.
NOISE ANALYSIS AN
ALTERNATIVE TO SWOT
STRATEGIC PLANNING
CORPORATE TEAM BUILDING, CREATIVITY, IMAGES, INNOVATION, LEADERSHIP, LEADERSHIP
AGENDA,LEADERSHIP COACHING, MANAGEMENT, MANAGER TRAINING, ORGANIZATION
DEVELOPMENT,PROBLEM SOLVING, PRODUCTS, SOLUTION-FOCUSED, SUCCESSFUL TEAMS, TEAM
BUILDING, TEAM BUILDING ACTIVITY, TEAM BUILDING AGENDA, TEAM TRAINING
December 12, 2012 mike 1 Comment
NOISE ANALYSIS
Working with companies developing strategic plans most feel that
the default method is a SWOT analysis strengths, weaknesses,
opportunities, threats, Ive never been a fan and wondered if
there was an alternative.
In the High-Performance Team Building class a smart friend Brian
Pagkos shared an idea SNOT Analysis strengths, needs,
opportunities, threats.
While preparing for a focus group meeting it came to me NOISE
Needs
Opportunities
Improvements
Strengths
Exceptions
Markers
Lots of Post-its
GROUP SIZE
5 to 20
Ive led this with larger groups you can break the group into
teams of 6 or less. Each team of 6 works independently then
get together to share (or the facilitator finds commonalities and
categorizes them) OR lead a series of focus groups with smaller
teams separately.
TIME FRAME
STRENGTHS
*
NEEDS
Organizational needs
Individual needs
*
OPPORTUNITIES
Improvements: Miracle
Question: You leave here today and go to
sleep. While you are sleeping a miracle
happens and what you need to be more
effective with your work happens, but you dont know because
you were asleep. You arrive tomorrow the 1st thing you would
notice that makes you realize this has happened is? How would
you know?
3. After illustrating plus sharing the format with the group ask
them to grab some flipchart papers, markers, and post-it notes.
Take about 45 minutes to 1 hour as a team to complete as many
responses to the NOISE analysis as possible. PLEASE ask people
just to share, this is a brainstorming-planning time we will
evaluate the ideas later; for right nowwe are looking for
quantity.
3a. If you feel people will be too judgmental.
Use the SWOT Action Plan to identify actions that are Critical to
Success.
lot of questions, only consider comparisons that are highly probable and/or
that have high impact.
A good way to do this that insures youve considered all the combinations is
to create a Post-It Note work area on the wall or paper worksheets like this.
If youre using the large Post-It Notes, then its easy to move them between
matrices.
kids.
An important skill to learn is the Art of the Quick Win. Becoming a Ninja
Master in the Art of the Quick Win is a skill that is Critical to Success. You
want to pick tasks, projects, and organizational changes that have a high
probability of success, that create visible impact, and that will gain you
more backing from stakeholders.