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Mail: Carlossempertegui@uees.edu.

ec
Project: New product that doesnt exist in Ecuador and launch here in the
market

1. Product or Service Overview


2SWOT 3Research Methodology
o 2 Focus Groups: 8-12 groups based on your consumer target, 2
minute video about the focus groups
People from 18-30
People from 31-50
o 200 Surveys
o 2 In Depth Interview: Face to face interview with expert in the
topic
Mi Comisariato employee
Costumer Service guy?
o Results of Research
Recommendations
Conclusions
Demographics to understand markets: Age, income level
Google Docs: 10 questions surveys, 10 graphics results from the questions
Focus groups: gather main idea, brainstorm, quality info about whast the
consumer wants, gather main ideas

Service: Virtual Grocery App

Demographics

Age: 18-50
Income Level: Medium, medium high, High class
People with smartphones
Male and female
Education level:

Make a competition chart with the market share of the company versus
competitors. Show which are substitute products.

Survey - close questions physical


Focus groups open questions, quality products

UEES Virtual Library Passport: Consumer trends per country

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KEdlUCmN404

Passport information

Corporacin el Rosado SA in Retailing (Ecuador)


Local Company Profile | 09 Feb 2016

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

The companys strategy is to reduce the market concentration that Corporacin Favorita
CA has obtained during recent years. The company also seeks to provide a superior customer

service, a private label portfolio and a wide retail coverage.


The company plans to continue developing according to consumer demands for more
convenient shopping. This is why it is developing smaller supermarket formats such as Mini Plus for
ease of access in more populated areas. Also, it plans to continue developing retailing concepts
which are able to provide everything a customer may need, from entertainment to basic groceries.

KEY FACTS
Summary 1 Corporacin el Rosado SA: Key Facts

Full name of
company:
Address:
Tel:
Fax:
www:
Activities:

Corporacin el Rosado SA
9 de Octubre 729 y Boyac, Guayaquil, Ecuador
+593 (4) 232 2000; 232 2555
+593 (4) 232 8196
www.elrosado.com
Operator of retailing chains, consumer foodservice
and entertainment

Source: Euromonitor International from company reports, company research

Summary 2 Corporacin el Rosado SA: Operational Indicators 2013-2015

2013
Net sales
Outlets
Selling space
Number of
employees
Sales of grocery

2014

2015

US$853.3 million US$1.0 billion US$1.2 billion*


63
64
66*
163,100 sq m
164,300 sq m 169,400 sq m*
7,680
89.6%

7,700
90.2%

7,740*
92.0%*

Source: Euromonitor International from company reports, company research, trade press
Note: *Estimates

INTERNET STRATEGY

Corporacin el Rosado is not interested in developing internet retailing yet. The company
is focused on improving its store-based retailing.

COMPANY BACKGROUND
Corporacin el Rosado is a family-based organisation that started with a couple of Polish

immigrants. They started with a restaurant and then with an import company, which led to what is
now Mi Comisariato supermarkets. Corporacin el Rosado is one of the most important companies

in Ecuador and in the national retail industry.


The companys main focus is on retailing in which it has developed supermarkets,
hypermarkets, department stores, media products stores, toy stores and DIY brands. In addition, it
also has restaurants, cinemas, a radio station and real estate branches that build and own most of

the shopping centres where the company has its stores.


Corporacin el Rosado operates solely within Ecuador. It has nationwide coverage, with a
primary emphasis on larger cities, but it still is present in smaller locations, mainly on the coast.
The company has opened several El Paseo shopping centres in cities that did not previously have
any large-scale shopping centres such as Daule, Babahoyo and Playas.
Chart 1 Corporacin El Rosado SA: Mi Comisariato, Supermarket in Guayaquil

Source: Euromonitor International

PRIVATE LABEL
The company has been very successful with its private label products. For Mi Comisariato

and Hiper Market, private label sales represent around 40% of total sales.
Corporacin el Rosado is constantly increasing its private label product lines. It already
sells its own vegetables, fruits, juices and bread, amongst other groceries. The company does not
increase the amount of new products by much each year, as it constantly tests and analyses them
before they are launched. The company launches on average five new private label products per
year.

Sales for private label products have been constantly rising with the objective of obtaining
bigger margins, although the company has not used the vertical diversification strategy that its
direct competitors established many years ago.
Summary 3 Corporacin el Rosado SA: Private Label Portfolio

Private label brand

Category(ies)

Notes

Mi Comisariato
Mi Panadera

Grocery, non-grocery
Grocery, non-grocery

Budget range
Budget range

Source: Euromonitor International from company reports, companys stock exchange report

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Corporacin el Rosados share of overall retailing retail value sales was 5% in 2015, which
placed the company second.
The companys share remained stable in 2015 because even though its current value sales
grew, so did sales of its main competitors: Corporacin Favorita and Tiendas Industriales

Asociadas.
The companys grocery retailers target middle- to low-income households. The companys
grocery brands have low prices and wide and deep product lines. Mi Comisariatos strong
competitors in supermarkets, Ta and Supermaxi, have been able to position themselves better, Ta

with the best distribution network and Supermaxi with the best-quality products.
The company is positioned in the most mature areas of retailing, but it is constantly
seeking renewal to differentiate itself from its competition by using constant discounts focused on
middle- to low-income households. This targets the companys future efforts towards shopping with
a focus on entertainment, simulating Corporacin Favoritas strategy.
Summary 4 Corporacin el Rosado SA: Competitive Position 2015

Channel

Retail Value Share

Rank

Retailing
Grocery retailers
Modern grocery retailers
Hypermarkets
Supermarkets
Non-grocery specialists
Home and garden specialist retailers
Leisure and personal goods specialist
retailers

4.8%
11.2%
20.5%
39.1%
12.0%
0.8%
1.7%

2
2
2
2
3
14
3

2.2%

Corporacin Favorita CA in Retailing (Ecuador)


Local Company Profile | 09 Feb 2016

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

The company aims to continue specialising in retail in general but focusing on product
quality and the best customer service. Ensuring the protection of the environment is also very

important for the company.


Corporacin Favorita is likely to focus more on expanding in smaller cities but at a medium
pace, so that it grows constantly but without getting highly indebted. It intends to focus on vertical

diversification and distributing private label products, and to keep its leadership in real estate
investment (ie malls).

KEY FACTS
Summary 1 Corporacin Favorita CA: Key Facts

Full name of
company:

Address:
Tel:
Fax:
www:

Activities:

Corporacin Favorita CA
Avenida General Enrique Va Cotogchoa, Sangolqu,
Quito, Ecuador
+593 (2) 299 6500
+593 (2) 299 6502
www.aki.com.ec; www.supermaxi.com
Retailing through supermarkets, hypermarkets, toy
stores, DIY, department stores, electronics and
homeshopping

Source: Euromonitor International from company reports, company research, trade press

Summary 2 Corporacin Favorita CA: Operational Indicators 2013-2015

Net sales
Outlets
Selling space
Number of employees
Sales of grocery

2013

2014

2015

US$2.1 billion
148
302,500 sq m
7,390
87%

US$1.9 billion
152
313,400 sq m
7,460
88%

US$2.2 billion*
155*
319,500 sq m*
7,550*
86%*

Source: Euromonitor International from company reports, company research, trade press, trade sources
Note: *Estimated

INTERNET STRATEGY

Internet retailing is almost negligible for the company.

Out of the 15 brands the company has, only 3 have the possibility of selling online: Tatoo,
Mr Books and TVentas. The company is not currently interested in developing its internet sales
further as consumers still seem reluctant to buy from online retailers. In 2014, it invested in a
mobile app to inform consumers about prices and to be able to make a shopping list before going
to the retailer.

COMPANY BACKGROUND

The company started as a small warehouse in Quito and slowly grew until it opened a
supermarket in the early 1960s. From then on, the company has evolved to become a producer,
distributor and retailer. All of the companys brands have been created by the company, except
Kywi and Mega Kywi, which were bought in 2005. The organisation is Ecuadors biggest in retailing

and one of the most influential in the country.


The companys core businesses are focused on the whole vertical expansion of retailing.
Corporacin Favorita has companies that range from agroindustry (which produces meat that is
sold in its supermarkets) to commercial products (it has store brands for almost every channel) and
real estate (which constructs most of the shopping centres where it has its various brands). In
addition, it possesses smaller companies in diverse industries such as securities and travel.

The company has received several awards. Merco Espaa (the Spanish Monitor of
Corporate Reputation) ranks Corporacin Favorita as the company with the best reputation in the
country. It also leads Ekos magazines rankings of the largest companies in Ecuador. In 2014 it
received the Punto Verde (Green Point) certification, which is given by the Environment Ministry
to companies that help benefit the country with better environmental policies. The firm received
this mention thanks to its own Calope hydroelectric plant, which helped reduce by 43% the energy

consumed by the company from the national electric grid.


Corporacin Favorita has stores in many parts of the country. It concentrates its outlets
mainly in larger cities, such as Quito and Guayaquil, but it is expanding to growing smaller cities
such as Playas, La Libertad, Riobamba, Latacunga and Guaranda.
Chart 1 Corporacin Favorita CA: Megamaxi, Hypermarket in Guayaquil

Source: Euromonitor International

PRIVATE LABEL

As a general strategy, the corporation wants to be able to provide a wide variety of


options for consumers, which is why it is interested in developing its private label portfolio. In this
way, consumers have access to low-priced but high-quality products, and this further develops

consumer loyalty.
The companys private label portfolio is large, as it includes grocery, personal care and
home care products. During 2011, the company added 59 new products, which meant growth in
private label of 20%. Between 2012 and 2013 the company was estimated to increase its private

label portfolio by 30%.


Since 2006, Corporacin La Favoritas private label offer has included high-quality products
at affordable prices. Private label products from Corporacin Favorita tend to be highly respected,
as those with the Supermaxi label are considered to have the highest quality in the country. The
company wants to position its private label goods as products that provide a great price-quality

ratio. In 2011, it introduced the La Original range, to compete with Supermaxi and Aki products. La

Original is positioned as offering the cheapest products which are part of the basic goods basket.
The companys sales through private label products grow at an average of 20% per year.
The main products in private label for Corporacin Favorita are rice, toilet paper, frozen seafood
and chicken.
Summary 3 Corporacin Favorita CA: Private Label Portfolio

Private label
brand
Category(ies)

Aki

Supermaxi

La Original

Supermarkets,
hypermarkets, grocery,
non-grocery
Supermarkets,
hypermarkets, rocery, nongrocery
Supermarkets,
hypermarkets, grocery,
non-grocery

Notes

Budget range

Mid-priced range
Budget range, specific for
products in the basic goods
basket

Source: Euromonitor International from company reports, companys website, trade interviews

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

The companys value share of overall retailing in 2015 was 10%, which ranked it as the
biggest retailing company in the country.
The total retail value share of Corporacin Favorita has been growing because the
companys main strategic goal is to be the countrys leader in grocery retailing, and its large
investments in expansion have been quite successful. The companys strategy to vertically
diversify and create a private label portfolio has generated better margins that have permitted it to

invest in expanding its coverage.


Supermaxi, which only operates in supermarkets, is the companys top brand. Megamaxi,
which operates primarily in hypermarkets, is its second biggest brand. It also has the Aki (including
Gran Aki and Sper Aki) brand, which is targeted at middle-low- and low-income customers. Its

stores are mostly located in highly populated areas.


Even if Corporacin Favorita is primarily positioned in the more mature areas of grocery
retailing, it still has a lot of room in which to grow, as the penetration of modern grocery retailers is
still marginally lower than that of traditional grocery retailers.
Summary 4 Corporacin Favorita CA: Competitive Position 2015

Channel

Retail Value share

Rank

Total retailing
Grocery retailers
Modern grocery retailers
Hypermarkets
Supermarkets
Non-grocery specialists
Leisure and personal goods specialist
retailers

9.7%
24.9%
45.5%
47.6%
45.4%
0.5%

1
1
1
1
1
16

12.5%

Grocery Retailers in Ecuador


Category Briefing | 09 Feb 2016

HEADLINES

Current value sales of grocery retailers grow by 5% to reach US$8.6 billion in 2015

Customs duty fees slow down growth

Outlet numbers grow amongst modern grocery retailers but decrease amongst traditional

grocery retailers
Corporacin Favorita CA remains the leader with 25% current value share in 2015
During the forecast period, value sales of grocery retailers are expected to rise at a CAGR

of 3% at constant 2015 prices

TRENDS
With the goal of mitigating the external economic impact on Ecuador, the government

decided to apply in March of 2015 a surcharge customs duty fee of between 5% and 45% which is
going to be applied to products such as fruits, meats, dairy products and construction finishings
amongst others that are part of the 32% share of imported products. During the first trimester of
the regulations validity, the imports were reduced by US$360 million, which implies a reduction of

19% in contrast with the same period in 2014.


In November of 2014 the decree for the execution of the market control law was approved
by the Superintendence of the Market Power Control (SCPM in Spanish), an institution created at
the beginning of the same year. The goal of this law is to avoid, prevent, correct, eliminate and fine
the abuse of economic operators with market power, amongst other attributions. By the end of
2014, the Superintendence had published a good practices manual for supermarkets and

hypermarkets.
Due to the accelerated Ecuadorian rhythm of life, the consumers prefer to visit retailers
where they can satisfy all of their necessities. This is with the objective of saving time and fatigue.
Generally the consumers visit establishments located close to their home or office; this has forced

the companies to locate their stores in concentration centres of families and businesses.
The Ecuadorian retail industry has focused its growth on places with high population
density and started to grow towards high purchasing power zones with the projection to obtain a
considerable population growth. Urban growth of the principal cities (ie Guayaquil and Quito) is
focused towards remote areas away from the cities central zones, which is forcing retailers to

expand their service to these zones due to the high purchasing power of their habitants.
In Ecuador, consumers with low purchasing power are used to buying in informal markets,
whilst consumers with high purchasing power often visit malls or ask someone they know to bring
them products that are bought in foreign countries or using digital platforms such as Amazon and
eBay.

In 2014, supermarkets accounted for more value sales than independent grocers for the
first time. In 2015, the tendency was maintained and it became more marked. Amongst the causes
for this tendency, the most important is that independent small grocers lose in economies of scale
compared to supermarkets; this becomes more important when the regulations to imports that the
government has been implementing affect small stores more, because they reduce their profit

margins by not having sufficient economies of scale to face the imported products price increase.
Supermarkets showed a faster value growth inside modern groceries, but grew slower in
2015 in comparison to 2014. This tendency was marked in all of the grocery retail categories due
to import regulations implemented by the government in 2015. This negative tendency was also

affected by the uncertainty generated by the market power control law.


For hypermarkets, 66% of their value sales represented the sales of grocery products in
2015, whilst for supermarkets grocery represented 86% share. The difference for each channel
represents the sales of non-grocery products. In the case of hypermarkets non-grocery sales are
larger because they have large sales of clothing, homeware products and even electronics. This
shows how people prefer to buy products in one place in order to save time (and by shopping in
hypermarkets, money as well). Still, grocery sales represent the main demand of consumers.

Private label is developing quickly, especially with grocery retailers (eg Corporacin
Favorita, Tiendas Industriales Asociadas and Corporacin el Rosado). This strategy has permitted
them to generate high profit margins in high-volume products. Also, some companies have opted
for directly producing some goods, finding a great potential in vertical diversification. An example
of diversification is Agopesa, part of Corporacin Favorita, which is dedicated to cattle slaughter to

produce high-quality meat.


In 2010, Corporacin GPF launched Oki Doki to the market, one of the first mass
convenience stores in Ecuador, which has been greatly accepted and is rapidly growing throughout
the country. As this is one of the only chained convenience stores in the country, the size of the
category remains small.

TRADITIONAL VS MODERN

Traditional grocery retailers lead in terms of outlets and selling space, as they represented
99% of outlets and 84% of the total floor space amongst grocery retailers in 2015. Traditional
grocery retailers have a big number of small stores distributed around the country and covering
remote zones which the modern channels cannot cover. However, modern grocery retailers had the
majority of value sales with 55%. This is because big modern retail companies are able to optimise
their processes by taking advantage of their economies of scale, and in some cases this permits

them to diversify and to sell private label products also.


Traditional retailers are still important in the Ecuadorian market, especially because they
satisfy specific necessities in determinate places. When the Ecuadorian consumers need to buy
something specific and urgent they always turn to a traditional store due to its proximity, despite
having slightly higher prices than modern retailers. Another reason for the traditional retailers to
be important for the Ecuadorian consumers is the extended attention that modern retailers do not

normally apply.
The government supports traditional grocery retailers. It has the Socio Tienda programme,
which was created in 2008. The independent small grocers that are able to participate benefit from
low-interest credit and training to improve the management of their outlets. The programme offers
lower-priced products from renowned packaged food manufacturers, which can be recognised
through the Socio Solidario logo. Also, local governments provide organised places such as open
markets with safer, cleaner and nicer conditions and installations so that consumers can feel more

attracted to purchase in those places.


For traditional retailers, the popularity of convenience stores such as Oki Doki is an
important threat. This channel achieves the characteristics of the traditional retailers but has more

diversity of products and similar prices to modern channel stores.


It is important to mention the role that little kiosks and street sellers accomplish in the
grocery retail sector. Since they started to be regulated by municipalities, they have formalised
their service over time so that the massive entrance of new participants in this small channel is
even more difficult. Usually they satisfy very specific necessities of executives and athletes who
frequent crowded business zones.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

Corporacin Favorita CA held the leadership in the category with 25% current value share
in 2015. Historically the company has led grocery retail due to its constant innovation in channels
and processes. Currently it has more than 18 different retail formats, the most important being
Supermaxi, Megamaxi, Aki, Gran Aki and Super Aki. It is important to emphasise that it also has
vertical diversification companies specialised in slaughter of chickens and bovine cattle; on the

other hand it is the owner of malls such as El Jardin, Multiplaza and Citymall, amongst others.
El Bodegn was the retailer with the lowest growth inside the category in 2015. In general,
food/drink/tobacco specialists have been negatively affected by the high taxes applied to alcoholic
beverages and cigarettes imports. These governmental regulations have obligated the Ecuadorian
consumers to buy fewer and cheaper products, which directly affects the total sales of the
category.

By tradition, national retailers lead the grocery retailers channel as they historically have

managed to find themselves in the top of mind of the consumer, which has complicated the
entrance of big multinationals such as Walmart. To begin with, this granted local companies the
opportunity to develop in conditions of low competition levels, but, currently, with the growth of

various national competitors, the market is beginning to establish a competitive balance.


Tiendas Industriales Asociadas is the retailer with the highest coverage thanks to its 165
establishments distributed around the country. Its strategy is based on constant discounts and is
focused on the low social stratum in small cities where big retailers such as Megamaxi or
Supermaxi are not competitive on price. In the urban areas they locate their stores in marginal
areas to take advantage of the discounts and by this strategy generate profit thanks to sales
volume.
In the absence of aggressive competition of foreign multinationals, Ecuadorian grocery

retail companies tend to expand by creating new formats to cover market segments that are not
satisfied by their actual formats. In 2013, Corporacin Favorita opened a new format called Super
Aki, which simulates a Gran Aki but in a smaller space, offering diversity of products and including
private label products.

PROSPECTS
Modern grocery retailers will keep a positive tendency in front of traditional grocery

retailers. It is expected that the negative effects of the import regulations will affect in a more

aggressive way the traditional channel due to its lack of economies of scale.
It is expected that the Ecuadorian consumers will keep the tendency of consuming in
nearby stores and in places that offer a wide diversity of products in only one format. It is also
expected that the consumers will change their buying pattern due to governmental efforts to

reduce obesity, which generate consciousness in Ecuadorians to consume healthier products.


Forecast period value sales are expected to increase at a CAGR of 3% at constant 2015
prices. This growth is equivalent to the projected 3% GDP for 2015 in Ecuador. This tendency
shows a slightly slower growth compared to the historic growth of the category, due to the
complexity about import regulations, the market power control law and the chaotic political

situation expected in the following years.


Supermarkets is expected to show the fastest value growth over the forecast period, as
sales are expected to rise at a CAGR of 7% at constant 2015 prices. Supermarkets is likely to
maintain an expansive tendency towards cities with a considerable projected population growth.
This format covers the Ecuadorians necessity to buy in a nearby place with a great variety of
goods.

Traditional grocery retailers is expected to show a negative CAGR of 2% at constant 2015


prices over the forecast period. It is expected that the negative effect of the import regulations will
considerably affect this channel. Inside this category, it is important to mention that the customs
duties to cigarettes and alcoholic beverages considerably affect food/drink/tobacco retailers. This
effect happens also because the Ecuadorian consumers are starting to develop a tendency towards

not consuming too much alcohol and tobacco as was the case before.
In the review period, it is expected that the market power control law will generate
uncertainty in the category. There are two possibilities over the future of this law; the first one is to
maintain the tendency of a slow and slight progress that it has had so far, and the second
possibility is to intensify progress due to political pressure. This law is not likely to considerably
influence the industry. The scenario is less probable in which the government implements the law
in an aggressive way in search of balancing a market where there are a few leaders which
concentrate the industrys power. This is due to the proximity to the presidential elections of 2017

when Rafael Correa will seek re-election.


It is not expected that internet retailing will develop in the Ecuadorian grocery retail sector.
There is a marked tendency linked to the consumer culture to prefer buying products in person, in
order to choose the best. Following this tendency, mobile retailing is not probable to have any
importance in the market too.

Internet Retailing in Ecuador


Category Briefing | 09 Feb 2016

HEADLINES

Current value sales of internet retailing increase by 10% to reach US$534 million in 2015

Courier taxes benefit the local internet retailing

Amazon.com Inc leads sales with a 59% retail value share in 2015

During the forecast period, value sales of internet retailing are expected to increase at a
CAGR of 5% at constant 2015 prices

TRENDS

In October 2014, a new methodology was implemented in order to charge taxes on


imported goods via courier. These products will be charged with a US$45 tax, as long as the
product costs less than US$400 and weighs less than four kilograms. It is important to highlight
that foreign credit card payments are subject to a 5% tax of the total value of the purchase. Before
this regulation, buying apparel and footwear products using a courier was very frequent due to its
lower price. Currently the consumption via courier has decreased approximately 50% and by this,
generating a benefit to the domestic internet retailing category as it stopped competing against
products bought on Amazon or eBay. Anyway, the Ecuadorian consumers prefer to buy via courier

instead of via local internet retailers.


The Ecuadorian consumers still do not trust in internet purchases due to the information
threats that are generated in web platforms. Little by little and supporting the platforms with
robust information security, the Ecuadorian consumers keep losing their fear of making credit card

purchases online.
Internet retailers are also affected by customs duties to imports because the majority of
their products are imported. Anyway, this effect has been balanced by the positive effect

generated by taxes established for purchases via courier.


Current value growth was slower than the CAGR registered over the review period. Despite
the balance between the negative effect of customs duties to imports and the positive effect of
shopping taxes via courier, the category considerably reduced its growth because the Ecuadorian

consumer is highly sensitive to prices, which increased due to customs duties.


The most popular products in internet retailing are apparel and footwear products. The
company De Prati SA leads this tendency and takes advantage of local production to avoid

customs duties to imports.


Housewares and home furnishing products are the least sold in the category due to the
marked tendency of the Ecuadorian consumers to buy these kinds of products in person.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

Digital gaming through internet retailing showed the fastest growth during 2015, at 13% in
current value terms. The size of this category is the smallest, but it has had a marked tendency to
grow because each year, the purchase of just released videogames for consoles that do not allow
the use of pirated games becomes more popular in the Ecuadorian market. The best option for this

type of consumers is internet retailing.


Amazon.com Inc led sales with a 59% retail value share in 2015. It was followed, at some
distance, by AlJapon SA, with a 1% value share. The success of the latter company resides in the

sale of electronics and appliance products with constant discounts.


The Ecuadorian consumers tend to reject internet purchases, especially because of the
fear of giving up credit card information in case of information threats. In addition, the consumers
preference to choose products personally instead of by other ways negatively affects the category.

This because they prefer to physically see the products before buying them.
The majority of internet retailers are of the bricks-and-clicks type. This due to the fact that
the channel is small and not very popular amongst Ecuadorians, which does not generate
opportunities to start a 100% internet-based business.

PROSPECTS

Forecast period value sales are expected to increase at a CAGR of 5% at constant 2015
prices. Although internet sales will be affected by customs duties on imports, they will also benefit

from taxes on shipping by couriers.


Because of the new taxes, courier sales have been harmed. Ecuadorian consumers still
consider couriers as a more popular option than buying local internet retailing products. This is
specifically due to the lack of variety of national products and their high prices compared to

products from the US and China.


It is projected that electronics and appliance products will become more popular in
internet retailing every year. There is a marked tendency of the Ecuadorian consumers of buying
technology which every year is more accessible for medium-low- and low-income households.

CHANNEL DATA
Table 1 Internet Retailing by Category: Value 2010-2015

USD million

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Apparel and Footwear


Beauty and Personal Care
Consumer Appliances
Consumer Electronics
Consumer Health
Food and Drink
Home Care
Home Improvement and
Gardening
Homewares and Home
Furnishings
Media Products
Personal Accessories and
Eyewear
Pet Care
Traditional Toys and Games
Video Games Hardware

24.2
19.2
19.8
-

60.0
22.7
23.6
-

186.
0
25.9
26.7
-

4.8
43.9

5.5
51.1

6.2
59.7

6.8
68.0

7.2
75.9

7.7
84.0

6.2
-

7.4
-

8.5
-

9.6
-

10.3
-

Other Internet Retailing

44.6
162.
6

52.2
222.
5

65.7
378.
7

79.3
432.
4

98.6
485.
9

11.3
109.
6
533.
8

Internet Retailing

208.
8
30.0
29.8
-

230.
3
31.9
31.7
-

251.
3
35.0
34.8
-

Source: Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research,
trade interviews, trade sources

Table 2 Internet Retailing by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

% current value growth, retail value rsp 2014/


excl sales tax
15

2010-15
CAGR

2010/15
Total

% current value growth, retail value rsp 2014/


excl sales tax
15
Apparel and Footwear
9.1
Beauty and Personal Care
Consumer Appliances
9.8
Consumer Electronics
9.8
Consumer Health
Food and Drink
Home Care
Home Improvement and Gardening
Homewares and Home Furnishings
6.4
Media Products
10.6
Personal Accessories and Eyewear
10.3
Pet Care
Traditional Toys and Games
Video Games Hardware
Other Internet Retailing
11.1
Internet Retailing
9.9

2010-15
CAGR
59.7
12.8
12.0
10.1
13.9
13.0
19.7
26.8

2010/15
Total
938.6
82.3
75.9
61.6
91.3
83.9
145.9
228.3

Source: Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research,
trade interviews, trade sources

Table 3 Internet Retailing GBO Company Shares: % Value 2011-2015

% retail value rsp excl sales tax

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Amazon.com Inc
AlJapon SA
Comandato SA
Others
Total

54.2
0.2
0.0
45.6
100.0

55.4
0.1
0.0
44.4
100.0

60.0
0.1
0.0
39.9
100.0

59.7
0.1
0.0
40.3
100.0

58.8
0.1
0.0
41.1
100.0

Source: Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research,
trade interviews, trade sources

Table 4 Internet Retailing GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2012-2015

% retail value rsp excl sales


tax

Company (GBO) 2012 2013 2014 2015

Amazon
Almacenes Japon
Comandato
Others
Total

Amazon.com
Inc
AlJapon SA
Comandato SA
Others
Total

55.4
0.1
0.0
44.4
100.

60.0
0.1
0.0
39.9
100.

59.7
0.1
0.0
40.3
100.

58.8
0.1
0.0
41.1
100.

% retail value rsp excl sales


tax

Company (GBO) 2012 2013 2014 2015


0
0
0
0

Source: Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research,
trade interviews, trade sources

Table 5 Internet Retailing Forecasts by Category: Value 2015-2020

USD million

Apparel and Footwear


Beauty and Personal Care
Consumer Appliances
Consumer Electronics
Consumer Health
Food and Drink
Home Care
Home Improvement and
Gardening
Homewares and Home
Furnishings
Media Products
Personal Accessories and
Eyewear
Pet Care
Traditional Toys and Games
Video Games Hardware
Other Internet Retailing
Internet Retailing

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020


251.
3
35.0
34.8
-

265.
2
37.2
37.0
-

279.
5
39.4
39.2
-

294.
7
41.8
41.5
-

310.
9
44.2
43.9
-

326.
1
46.3
46.2
-

7.7

7.9

8.1

84.0

89.6

95.4

8.4
101.
5

8.6
108.
2

8.8
114.
5

11.3
109.
6
533.
8

12.0
125.
2
574.
1

12.8
130.
7
605.
1

13.6
133.
4
634.
8

14.4
132.
2
662.
4

15.2
132.
1
689.
3

Source: Euromonitor International from trade associations, trade press, company research, trade interviews,
trade sources
Note: Forecast value data in constant terms.

Table 6 Internet Retailing Forecasts by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020

% constant value growth, retail value 2015/20 2015-20


rsp excl sales tax
16
CAGR

2015/20
TOTAL

Apparel and Footwear


Beauty and Personal Care
Consumer Appliances
Consumer Electronics

29.7
32.3
32.7

5.5
6.2
6.2

5.3
5.8
5.8

% constant value growth, retail value


rsp excl sales tax
Consumer Health
Food and Drink
Home Care
Home Improvement and Gardening
Homewares and Home Furnishings
Media Products
Personal Accessories and Eyewear
Pet Care
Traditional Toys and Games
Video Games Hardware
Other Internet Retailing
Internet Retailing

2015/20
16
2.7
6.7
6.3
14.3
7.5

2015-20
CAGR
2.7
6.4
6.1
3.8
5.2

2015/20
TOTAL
14.5
36.4
34.3
20.5
29.1

Source: Euromonitor International from trade associations, trade press, company research, trade interviews,
trade sources
Note: Forecast value data in constant terms.

Guayaquil City review


Broadband Penetration On The Rise
Due to its high income inequality, geographical obstacles and vast rural areas, Ecuador, including
Guayaquil, has one of the least developed ICT sectors in Latin America. While this means Internet
penetration rates are low, almost all digital indicators are expanding rapidly. In Guayaquil the
percentage of households possessing a broadband-enabled computer jumped from 5% in 2009 to
33% in 2014. Whilst this was still considerably below Quito (52% in 2014), Guayaquil was well
above the national average of 26%. Internationally, the city ranked on par with Salvador in Brazil
and Puebla in Mexico, but remained below the Latin American average of 36%.
Internet uptake in Guayaquil, similarly to Ecuador at large, is driven by growing household
income, which is also leading to a rise in online spending and internet retailing value. However,
monthly broadband tariffs remain expansive for many, which is a major obstacle to market
expansion. However, it is projected that around half of all homes in the metropolitan area will be
connected to broadband services by 2020, and by 2030 the share should approach 60%, unlocking
considerable opportunities for digital businesses.

Guayaquil City Review


Cities | 02 Nov 2015

Guayaquil Review at a glance

Understanding Guayaquil Review structure


Chart 1 Overview

Source: Euromonitor International

Key facts on Guayaquil


Summary 1 Key Facts On Guayaquil 2009, 2014, 2019

Indicator

2009

2014

2019

Total GDP (US$ million, current prices)

15,171

24,849

34,362

Real GDP Growth (%)

11.5

4.7

4.6

Population: January 1st ('000)

2,990

3,200

3,378

Source: Euromonitor International

Guayaquil highlights

In 2014 labour productivity in Guayaquil was 21% above the rest of the country, although
14% behind the capital Quito. While Guayaquil benefits from its advantageous location and

seaport, Quito is home to the country's best-educated population and high value-added industries.
Disposable household income in Guayaquil was 31% higher than in the rest of the country
in 2014. In addition to a labour productivity advantage over most other areas in Ecuador, the city
benefits from its relatively high labour force participation rate: 74% of its working age population

was either employed or looking for a job in 2014, versus 71% in the rest of the country.
As a result of higher income level, households in Guayaquil spend on average 20% more
on consumer goods (excluding transport and housing), as of 2014. Hotels and catering, clothing

and footwear, and recreation and culture represent the major budget categories on which

consumer spending per household is greater in Guayaquil than in the rest of the country.
Guayaquil is less affordable than the remaining part of Ecuador in terms of per household
expenditure on transport and housing, which, in combination, was 25% higher in the city in 2014.
Due to rising motorisation, transport spending is particularly pronounced in Guayaquil: in 2014
consumer expenditure on transport made up 13% of total spending, compared with a 12% share
elsewhere in the country.
History
Developed as a key port of Ecuador in the late 19th century, Guayaquil started to prosper
economically in 1950s after receiving numerous public investments thanks to revenues from rising
exports of bananas. Since the 1960s, however, Guayaquil has experienced a period of urban
decay: the population and businesses pulled out of the core urban area, infrastructure deteriorated
and the immigrant population settled in slum areas across the city. Guayaquil periodically suffered
from major floods caused by El Nio, and the city's political turmoil was turning Guayaquil into a
haven for poverty and crime.
A turnaround came in 1992 when a stronger local administration, in partnership with civic groups,
initiated the revitalisation of Guayaquil. Major infrastructure improvements followed in the 2000s,
including the launch of the BRT (bus rapid transit) system and renovation of the riverfront area.
The resurgence was so dramatic that the United Nations named Guayaquil the best-managed city
in Latin America in 2004.
Delimitation of the metropolitan region
Guayaquil metropolis covers over 6,500 square kilometres in Western Ecuador. Specifically, it is
located in the Guayas province of the Coast region (first-level administrative unit), 270km from the
country's capital, Quito, in the northeast. Via the Guayas River and the Gulf of Guayaquil, the
metropolis has access to the Pacific Ocean.
Metropolitan Guayaquil corresponds to the conurbation of Guayaquil and includes Guayaquil
municipality and six surrounding cantons. Guayaquil is the largest city in Ecuador, with a
population of 3.2 million people, or 21% of the national total as of 2014. Quito, the capital city of
Ecuador, is home to 2.5 million people.
Guayaquil municipality is divided into 16 urban parishes and five rural parishes. The urban
parishes make up the City of Guayaquil, which is the core urban area of the metropolis. The urban
core covers 5% of the metropolitan territory (345 square kilometres), but is home to 74% of the
metropolis' population (2.4 million in 2014).
Chart 2 Map Of Guayaquil Metropolitan Area

Source: Euromonitor International

Main business districts


The largest share (45% in 2014) of Guayaquil's 272,000 square meters of office space is
concentrated in Centro, the downtown area. Other important districts with substantial office space
include Kennedy (43% of office space), Urdesa district in Ceibos (9%) and La Puntilla district in
Samborondon (3%). Within the Centro area, Malecon is a vibrant urban district overlooking the
Guayas River. Under the Malecon 2000 project, the once neglected waterfront area received major
additions - a shopping mall, a cinema, a museum, walking areas and public gardens.
The city is served by Jose Joaquin de Olmedo International Airport, an important hub of commerce
in the city. After the expansion of its domestic terminal in 2014, the Airport of Guayaquil is
currently the largest in the country, with a capacity to serve over seven million passengers
annually. The airport is also home to the US$5 million Expo Guayaquil, one of the five largest
convention centres of its kind in Latin America. Numerous exhibitions, trade shows, seminars,
conferences, and corporate events are hosted on its 21,000-square meter site.
The port of Guayaquil is a major pillar of the local as well as national economy. It is the main
service point for Ecuador's export products, such as oil, shrimp and bananas. In total the port
handles around 50% of Ecuador's exports. Currently, the greatest constraint of the Port of
Guayaquil is the limited water depth of the approaches to its facilities. However, the port is the
process of receiving US$600 million in investments during the 20-year concession (started in
2007), with particular focus on expansion of its terminals and upgrading facilities with the latest
technology and machinery.

Economy of the city

Industrial make-up
Chart 3 Industrial Composition Of Guayaquil 2014

Source: Euromonitor International

Chart 4 Labour Productivity: Selected Cities 2014


GVA produced per employee in US$

Source: Euromonitor International

With the population of 3.2 million and GDP of US$24.8 billion in 2014, Guayaquil is one of the two
major economic centres in Ecuador, alongside the capital, Quito. The metropolis accounts for 25%
of national GDP, its economy being based around commerce, manufacturing and business services.
GDP per capita in Guayaquil came close to US$7,800 per year in 2014, surpassing the average in
the rest of the country by 24%. This was due in large part to the labour productivity advantage in
the city. Employee performance in the metropolis (measured at GVA per employee) was 21%
superior to the remainder of Ecuador, largely thanks to strong performance of financial and other
business services, which had the highest labour productivity among all economic sectors in the
city.
However, due to its specialisation as a city of trade and transport, Guayaquil is not as important a
player in financial and other higher value-added services as Quito. In 2014, business services
accounted for 23% of local GVA in Guayaquil, compared to a 29% share in the capital city.
Guayaquil also falls behind Quito in terms of the labour force education level: in 2014 28% of
Guayaquil's population aged 15+ had higher education, while in Quito the share reached 37%.
On the plus side Guayaquil has ambitious plans to become a major commercial hub in Latin
America. In 2014 commerce accounted for 23% of GVA and 45% of total employment in the city,
benefiting from the city's advantageous location (direct access to East Asia and the west coast of
the US, proximity to the Panama Canal) and major infrastructure facilities (Ecuador's largest port
and airport). By 2024, Guayaquil also plans to have the new international Daular airport
operational, with a capacity of seven million passengers.

The port of Guayaquil is the major infrastructural asset of the city, and one of the busiest ports in
the Caribbean and Latin American regions. The port is responsible for around 80% of the country's
imports and 50% of exports, with a particularly high importance regarding Ecuador's main export
commodities: petroleum, bananas, shrimp, coffee, cocoa and fish.
Recent developments and outlook
Summary 2 Labour Market Changes In Guayaquil 2009, 2014

Indicator

2009

2014

Labour Force (000)

1,532

1,565

Employed Population (000)

1,339

1,444

Unemployed Population (000)

193

122

Source: Euromonitor International

Chart 5 Dynamics Of Real GDP In Guayaquil, Ecuador And Other Cities In Latin America, 2009-2019
Real GDP y-o-y growth, % change

Source: Euromonitor International

Over 2009-2014 Guayaquil's real GDP grew at a 6% CAGR, surpassing the 4.7% growth in the rest
of Ecuador, thanks to stability of the local government and its urban regeneration programmes.
Indeed, construction was the fastest growing economic sector in the city, with its GVA soaring from
US$1.5 billion in 2009 to US$3.1 billion by 2014 (at constant 2014 prices).
Similarly, Guayaquil's economy profits greatly from the city's infrastructure network, especially its
port and airport. The sector of commerce generated US$5.5 billion GVA in 2014, up 30% from 2009
at constant 2014 prices, while the sectoral employment figures increased by only 6% over the
review period.
Along with Guayaquil's steep economic recovery, the unemployment rate in the city gradually fell
from 13% of the economically active population in 2009 to 8% in 2014. The most jobs were created

in service sectors: 38,000 in commerce and 32,000 in business services. Meanwhile, another
16,000 new jobs were added in manufacturing, and 10,000 in public services.
Guayaquil is forecast to sustain real GDP growth of 4.3% per year over 2014-2019, slightly above
the 3.4% annual growth rate in the rest of the country. GDP per capita is expected to increase at a
slower pace with a 3.2% CAGR over 2014-2019, due to overall demographic growth, and an
expanding elderly population. Similarly, average annual disposable household income should grow
by a 2% CAGR over the next five years, to stand at US$20,400 in 2019.

Consumer profile
City demographics
Chart 6 Population By Age 2014
% of total

Source: Euromonitor International

Chart 7 Drivers Of Population Growth In Guayaquil 2009-2014


% contribution to total growth

Source: Euromonitor International

In 2014 Guayaquil was home to 3.2 million people, or more than one-fifth of Ecuador's total
population. Over 2009-2014 the city's population increased by 1.4% annually, mimicking the
dynamics in the rest of the country. Over the next five years Guayaquil's population is forecast to
grow at a slightly slower 1.1% CAGR, reaching 3.4 million in 2019.
Natural increase is the key driver of population growth in the city, as net migration remained
negative throughout most of the review period. However, high crude birth rates (19 births per
1,000 inhabitants as of 2014) helped sustain population growth over 2009-2014. Average

household size, too, although shrinking gradually, remained at a relatively high level of 3.7
inhabitants per household in 2014, the same as in the rest of the country.
By Latin American standards Guayaquil has a relatively small working age (15-64) population. In
2014 it accounted for 66% of the total, while in the capital, Quito, the respective share stood at
67%, while the figure was 70% in Bogota and 72% in Salvador. On the other hand, the proportion
of children under the age of 15 was very high in Guayaquil, at 28% of the total metropolitan
population in 2014. Along with gradually falling birth rates in the city, the current demographic
structure is promising for the city's future labour market development. Over 2014-2019 the
population of children in Guayaquil is projected to drop by 2%, while that of working age will grow
7%. However, the fastest growth of 25% over 2014-2019 is projected for the 65+ cohort.
Household income
Chart 8 Household Distribution By Income In Guayaquil 2014 And 2019
Share of total households

Source: Euromonitor International

In 2014 average disposable household income in Guayaquil reached US$18,400: 31% higher than
the respective measure in the rest of country, and also slightly above the average in Quito. Being
an important centre of logistics and other economic activity, Guayaquil features considerable
concentration of higher value-added industries, which boosts the average salary in the city. Also,
the metropolitan area enjoys a relatively high labour force participation rate: 74% of its working
age population was either employed or looking for a job in 2014 (versus 71% in the remainder of
the country), whilst actual employment rates were also superior than in the rest of Ecuador, giving
a boost to average household earnings. Guayaquil also retains lower income inequality than
Ecuador at large, with its Gini index at 44 in 2014, compared with the national average of 48.
In an international context, however, both Guayaquil and Quito rank at the bottom among other
Latin American cities by household income measure. For example, in Lima, the capital city of
neighbouring Peru, average household earnings were 38% higher than in Guayaquil as of 2014.
Similarly, Bogota registered a 41% advantage over Guayaquil, while household income in Santiago
- arguably the most advanced of the Latin cities - was more than two times higher.
Since 2009 household income in Guayaquil grew by a 3% CAGR, surpassing the 2.6% annual
growth in the rest of the country. Similar dynamics are projected to continue in future, albeit at
slightly slower pace, with a 2.1% CAGR expected over 2014-2019 (compared with 1.7% in the rest
of Ecuador).

Consumer expenditure
Structure of household budget
Summary 3 Guayaquil Household Budget Structure By Consumer Expenditure Item, % of total,
2009, 2014, 2019

Expenditure Item

2009

2014

2019

Food and Non-Alcoholic Drinks

20.9

20.4

19.6

Alcoholic Drinks, Tobacco etc

0.8

0.7

0.7

Clothing and Footwear

8.1

7.3

6.9

Housing

10.2

10.7

11.2

Household Goods and Services

6.2

6.2

5.9

Health

6.8

7.0

7.2

Transport

13.8

13.3

13.1

Communication

6.0

6.4

6.8

Recreation and Culture

6.2

6.1

6.0

Education

8.2

8.9

9.3

Restaurants and Hotels

7.1

6.9

7.0

Miscellaneous Goods and Services

5.7

6.1

6.3

Source: Euromonitor International

Chart 9 Comparison Of Household Expenditure In Guayaquil And Ecuador, 2014

Difference in spending per household between Guayaquil and the rest of Ecuador, in %

Source: Euromonitor International

The structure of consumer spending in Guayaquil was typical to that seen in many metropolitan
areas of developing countries, with relatively low spending on food, and higher expenditure on
transport and various discretionary categories. In 2014 food and non-alcoholic beverages
accounted for 20% of total consumer expenditure in the metropolitan area, significantly below the
24% share recorded in the rest of Ecuador. The proportion of consumer spending allocated to food
and non-alcoholic drinks is expected to decrease further in Guayaquil over 2014-2019, as the
household income level rises.
Transport was the second most important budgetary item in both Guayaquil and Ecuador at large.
In 2014 it captured a 13% share of the average city household budget, compared with 12% in the
rest of the country. Housing ranked third with an 11% budget share in 2014.
In absolute value terms the greatest differences in household spending between Guayaquil and the
rest of Ecuador were recorded in the categories of hotels and catering (+31%), transport (+31%),
and recreation and culture (+32%). For comparison, housing was on average 18% more expensive
in Guayaquil compared with the rest of Ecuador.
City lifestyle
Gateway To The Galapagos
Albeit Guayaquil is often perceived as a dangerous and not particularly pleasant city to visit, its
tourism industry is sustained by the city's logistics infrastructure (a fair share of tourists to
Ecuador, and South America at large travel through Guayaquil's airport), in addition to proximity to
the Galapagos islands: a nature reserve often referred to as the 'unique living museum and
showcase of evolution'. Many of the foreign tourists who visit Guayaquil are en route to or from the
islands.
In addition Guayaquil is promoted as a destination of conferences and conventions. The city hopes
to capitalise on its location between North and South America, its relaxation options and successful
investments in municipal infrastructure. Over the last decade Guayaquil has invested in transport

and service infrastructure, airport capacities, restoration of historic neighbourhoods and parks, and
the construction of tourist attractions, such as Malecon 2000. Guayaquil is also home to one of the
largest conference centres in Latin America - Expoguayaquil - which has been constructed in what
was formerly the terminal of the Jose Joaquin de Olmedo International Airport. It is located in close
proximity to internationally renowned hotel brands, including the Courtyard by Marriot, the Hilton
Colon, the Howard Johnson, and the Sheraton Guayaquil.
Stopover Of Drugs To The Global Market
Ecuador is increasingly seen as a transit country for drugs to the US and Europe. According to a US
State Department report, 110 metric tonnes of cocaine pass through Ecuador every year. Much of
this volume makes its way through Guayaquil, taking advantage of the city's port and other
transport connections, including freeways and an international airport. The region of Guayas, in
which Guayaquil is located, accounts for around 40% of national drugs seizures.
Being part of a drug trafficking route has also resulted in high drug usage rates among young
people in Guayaquil. Drugs are often sold in neighbourhoods around schools. Drug dealers hire
sellers who are often students in targeted schools, and hand out up to 50 packs of narcotics to
them. The most common drug sold to young people is hashish, a derivative of marijuana.
According to research carried out by the National Council for Control of Narcotic and Psychotropic
Substances, the average age when children first try narcotics in Ecuador is 12 years.
Broadband Penetration On The Rise
Due to its high income inequality, geographical obstacles and vast rural areas, Ecuador, including
Guayaquil, has one of the least developed ICT sectors in Latin America. While this means Internet
penetration rates are low, almost all digital indicators are expanding rapidly. In Guayaquil the
percentage of households possessing a broadband-enabled computer jumped from 5% in 2009 to
33% in 2014. Whilst this was still considerably below Quito (52% in 2014), Guayaquil was well
above the national average of 26%. Internationally, the city ranked on par with Salvador in Brazil
and Puebla in Mexico, but remained below the Latin American average of 36%.
Internet uptake in Guayaquil, similarly to Ecuador at large, is driven by growing household income,
which is also leading to a rise in online spending and internet retailing value. However, monthly
broadband tariffs remain expansive for many, which is a major obstacle to market expansion.
However, it is projected that around half of all homes in the metropolitan area will be connected to
broadband services by 2020, and by 2030 the share should approach 60%, unlocking considerable
opportunities for digital businesses.
City affordability
Housing
Chart 10 Household Expenditure On Housing: Selected Cities 2014

As % of total

Source: Euromonitor International

In 2014 the average cost of housing in Guayaquil amounted to US$1,800 per household per year.
On average, accommodation in the metropolitan area was 18% more expensive than in the rest of
Ecuador, due to a 31% higher household income level in Guayaquil compared with the remainder
of the country.
Over 2009-2014 housing expenditure per household surged by 21% (at constant 2014 prices) in
Guayaquil: a combined effect of rising property prices and increasing utility costs, due to
improvements in the provision of services. Nevertheless, many of Guayaquil's residents cannot
afford to cover the cost of their basic housing needs. Nearly one-third of the city's population is
claimed to live in sprawling shantytowns (settlements of shacks) with limited electricity and
running water.
To improve the living conditions of low- and middle-income citizens, over the past 15 years the
municipality of Guayaquil has invested in a number of major urban renewal and housing projects.
The most important affordable housing projects are Mucho Lote 1, with 15,000 new homes, and Mi
Lote, which created 10,000 residences. In 2013 Mucho Lote 2 was launched, with the expected
completion of another 10,000 houses in 30 months. Upon completion the project aims to provide
housing for up to 140,000 poor people in Guayaquil in 35,000 new homes.
Transport
Chart 11 Household Expenditure On Transport: Selected Cities 2014
As % of total

Source: Euromonitor International

With average household spending of US$2,240 per year, transport was the second largest
budgetary item in Guayaquil after food. In 2014 transportation costs accounted for 13% of total
consumer expenditure in the metropolis, compared with 12% in the rest of Ecuador.

From 2009 average household spending on transport in the city went up by 11%, following the
increase in private vehicle ownership. The number of passenger cars in Guayaquil jumped from 38
per 1,000 inhabitants in 2009 to 65 in 2014. By international standards, however, vehicle
ownership remains low in Guayaquil. The average of 65 vehicles per 1,000 people represents one
of the lowest motorisation rates among the major Latin American metropolises. As of 2014 car
ownership in Guayaquil was above only Santa Cruz (37 cars per 1,000 people) and Bogota (62
cars), while the average for Latin metropolises was close to 200.
Around 80% of the population in the city uses public transportation, of which buses and taxis are
the primary means. Over the last decade Guayaquil has made notable investments into public
transportation and introduced a BRT (bus rapid transit) system, known as "Metrovia", which won
the Sustainable Transport Award in 2007. By 2013, two BRT routes were in operation with a
combined length of 30km and weekly ridership of 310,000 people. The total length of Metrovia is
envisaged to reach 60km, and annual patronage should rise to 270 million. The new bus system
provides a cleaner, higher quality service and reduced trip times. Meanwhile, the refurbishment of
previously deteriorating public spaces encouraged pedestrian use and underpinned an important
part of the city's resurgence.
Vehicle emissions (especially from old diesel vehicles) and industrial activity contribute greatly to
rising air pollution levels throughout Ecuador. Urban areas register especially significant levels of
particulates, ozone, oxides of nitrogen and sulphur. The city's air emission mitigation programme
includes a number of measures designed to counter emissions from mobile sources: fuel quality
improvement; improvement of the public transport system; withdrawal of automobiles exceeding
emission standards and the legal age; traffic restrictions in areas of high pollution.

Definitions
The definitions given are meant to disambiguate the references in the City Review reports. The
definitions are shortened versions and are more widely discussed in the Passport database.
Territorial Definitions:

Metropolitan region (or metropolitan area) the terms refer to an urban agglomeration
(the contiguous, built-up area) with zones not necessarily urban in character, but closely bound to
the centre by employment. The metropolitan region is referred to as the city written in lower
case in the City Review reports (ie New York city, London city). By default, all statistical data in the

report are provided for the whole metropolitan region (unless specified otherwise).
Core city (or core urban area/central city) refers to territory that emerged historically as
the most prominent in the urban area. Almost without exception, the name of the core city is also
shared with the urban area and the metropolitan area. In most cases, core city is a separate
municipality or local authority area. If the statistical data or discussion in the report apply only to
core city area, the text specifically indicates the territorial scope of the data discussed. When the
core city is referred to in the text, the term is always capitalised (ie New York City, as opposed to
New York city)
Employment:

Working age population population aged 15-64 years.


Labour force (or economically active population) all persons who furnish the supply of
labour for the production of economic goods and services (the total number of people employed

plus unemployed).
Labour force participation rate - all persons in labour force as a percentage of working age
population.

Employed population the "employed" comprise all persons above a specific age who

during a specified period, were either in: (A) "paid employment"; (B) "self-employment".
Unemployed population the ILO international standard definition of unemployment is
based on the following three criteria which should be satisfied simultaneously: "without work";

"currently available for work"; and "seeking work".


Unemployment rate represents unemployed population as a percentage of the total
labour force.
Economic growth and GDP:
Real GDP refers to inflation-adjusted measures that reflect the value of all goods and

services produced in a given year, expressed in base-year prices. The base year is 2014.
Sectors of economy:
Euromonitor International City reviews divide economic sectors into six broad aggregations, which,
in turn, are based on United Nations International Standards of Industrial Classification revision 3.1
ISIC rev. 3.1). Aggregation of industries by ISIC rev. 3.1 is implemented as follows:

Agriculture includes sectors A (agriculture) and B (fishing);

Manufacturing includes sectors C (mining and quarrying), D (manufacturing) and E

(electricity, gas and water supply);


Construction includes sector F (construction);
Commerce includes sectors G (wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles,

motorcycles and personal and household goods), H (hotels and restaurants) and I (transport,

storage and communications);


Business services include sectors J (financial intermediation) and K (real estate, renting

and business activities);


Public services include sectors L (public administration and defence; compulsory social
security), M (education), N (health and social work), O (other community, social and personal
service activities), P (activities of private households as employers and undifferentiated production
activities of private households) and Q (extraterritorial organisations and bodies).
Consumer spending:

Real disposable income per household - refers to inflation-adjusted household income,

expressed in base-year prices. The base year is 2014.


Disposable income gross income (including earnings from employment, investments,
benefits and other sources such as remittances) minus social security contributions and income
taxes.

Necessity spending (or non-discretionary spending) the proportion of household budget


used to purchase basic necessities: housing and food. Housing includes shelter and utilities, while

food excludes restaurant expenditure.


Discretionary spending (or discretionary income) the amount of household income that is
left for spending, investing or saving after taxes and necessity spending (such as food and

housing) have been paid.


Gini coefficient a standard economic measure of income inequality, based on a Lorenz
curve. A society that scores 0 on the Gini index has perfect equality, where every inhabitant has
the same income. The higher the number over 0, the higher the inequality, and a score of 100
indicates total inequality, where only one person receives all the income. In reality, cities and

countries tend to fall between 25 and 60.


City affordability burden of expenditure on housing and transport in household budget.
Density and building constraints often result in inflated housing prices in cities. Similarly, inefficient
infrastructure and urban sprawl may boost expenditure on transport. The combined share of

housing and transport expenditure corresponds to a measure of city affordability the lower the
share, the more affordable the metropolitan area.

Appendix
Summary 4 GDP Development, 2009, 2014, 2019

2009 2014 2019

Real GDP Growth (%)

11.5

4.7

4.6

Real GDP per Capita Growth (%)

9.6

3.4

3.6

Total GDP (US$ million, 2014 prices)

18,6
03

24,8
49

30,7
40

Annual Disposable Income of Households (US$ million,


constant 2014 prices)

12,3
26

16,0
73

19,2
01

Income per Household (US$, constant 2014 prices)

15,9
03

18,4
15

20,3
99

Source: Euromonitor International

Summary 5 GDP By Origin, Current Prices, US$, Million, 2009-2014

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

GDP

15,17
1

16,87
8

19,32
5

21,37
2

23,28
1

24,84
9

Taxes and Subsidies

851

827

842

916

966

1,051

Total GVA (gross value added)

14,32
0

16,05
1

18,48
3

20,45
7

22,31
5

23,79
8

GVA in Agriculture

551

630

706

740

809

864

GVA in Manufacturing

3,129

3,629

4,298

4,594

4,779

5,108

GVA in Construction

1,456

1,601

2,073

2,456

2,861

3,111

GVA in Commerce

3,448

3,885

4,407

4,837

5,280

5,551

GVA in Business Services

3,465

3,841

4,274

4,714

5,102

5,440

GVA in Public Services

2,271

2,464

2,724

3,115

3,484

3,724

Source: Euromonitor International

Summary 6 Population And Labour Force, 2009-2014

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Total Population ('000)

2,990

3,044

3,084

3,123

3,161

3,200

Population Aged 15-64 ('000)

1,934

1,976

2,007

2,040

2,073

2,105

Labour Force ('000)

1,532

1,474

1,529

1,565

1,512

1,565

Unemployed ('000)

193

142

117

96.4

86.7

122

Source: Euromonitor International

Summary 7 Employed Population By Economic Sector, % of total, 2009-2014

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Employed population ('000)

1,339 1,332 1,411 1,468 1,425 1,444

Employment in Agriculture

2.3

2.3

2.3

2.3

2.3

2.3

Employment in Manufacturing

15.0

15.3

15.0

15.1

15.1

15.0

Employment in Construction

7.2

7.2

7.2

7.2

7.2

7.2

Employment in Commerce

45.5

45.3

45.7

45.1

45.0

44.9

Employment in Business Services

8.1

8.3

8.1

9.2

9.4

9.7

Employment in Public Services

21.8

21.6

21.6

21.2

21.0

20.9

Source: Euromonitor International

Summary 8 Population By Sex And Broad Age Groups, 000, 2009-2014

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Total Male Population

1,477

1,504

1,522

1,541

1,559

1,576

Males Aged 65+

81.3

83.3

85.7

88.7

92.5

97.4

Total Female Population

1,513

1,540

1,561

1,582

1,603

1,623

Females Aged 65+

90.4

92.6

95.3

98.8

103

109

Source: Euromonitor International

Summary 9 Population Growth, 2009-2014

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Total Population ('000)

2,99
0

3,04
4

3,08
4

3,12
3

3,16
1

3,20
0

Average Household Size (number of


persons)

3.9

3.8

3.8

3.7

3.7

3.7

Population Density (persons per sq km)

459

467

473

479

485

491

Births ('000)

58.3

59.9

62.4

62.1

61.8

61.5

Deaths ('000)

14.7

15.5

16.0

16.3

16.4

16.5

Net Migration ('000)

10.3

-4.8

-7.3

-7.2

-7.3

-6.1

Migration Rate (per 1000)

3.4

-1.6

-2.4

-2.3

-2.3

-1.9

Source: Euromonitor International

Summary 10 Forecast Population Growth

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

Total Population ('000)

3,04
4

3,23
7

3,41
2

3,56
4

3,692

Total Households ('000)

801

888

953

1,00
5

1,045

Average Household Size (number of


persons)

3.8

3.6

3.6

3.5

3.5

Source: Euromonitor International

Summary 11 Population By Educational Attainment, 2009-2014

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Total Population 15+ ('000)

2,105

2,151

2,188

2,227

2,268

2,311

No Education ('000)

72.6

71.4

70.2

69.0

68.0

67.0

Primary Education ('000)

621

633

641

650

658

667

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Secondary Education ('000)

820

838

846

855

866

877

Tertiary Education ('000)

503

542

567

593

618

643

Source: Euromonitor International

Summary 12 Structure Of Consumer Expenditure By Main Category, 2009-2014

200
9

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Total Expenditure (US$ million, current


prices)

9,54 10,8
4
22

11,9
20

12,9
01

13,7
43

14,6
94

Food and Non-Alcoholic Drinks (%)

20.9 20.9

21.0

21.0

20.6

20.4

Alcoholic Drink, Tobacco etc (%)

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.7

0.7

Clothing and Footwear (%)

8.1

8.0

7.7

7.6

7.5

7.3

Housing (%)

10.2 10.2

10.3

10.3

10.5

10.7

Household Goods and Services (%)

6.2

6.3

6.3

6.3

6.2

6.2

Health (%)

6.8

6.8

6.8

6.9

7.0

7.0

Transport (%)

13.8 13.7

13.6

13.4

13.4

13.3

Communication (%)

6.0

6.1

6.1

6.2

6.3

6.4

Recreation and Culture (%)

6.2

6.2

6.1

6.1

6.1

6.1

Education (%)

8.2

8.3

8.5

8.7

8.8

8.9

Restaurants and Hotels (%)

7.1

7.0

6.9

6.9

6.9

6.9

Miscellaneous Goods and Services (%)

5.7

5.8

5.8

5.9

6.0

6.1

Source: Euromonitor International

Summary 13 Consumer Expenditure By Main Category, Per Household, Constant (2014) Prices,
US$, 2009, 2014, 2019

2009

2014

2019

Total Expenditure

14,676

16,835

18,419

Food and Non-Alcoholic Drinks

3,070

3,429

3,603

2009

2014

2019

Alcoholic Drink, Tobacco etc

115

122

124

Clothing and Footwear

1,195

1,233

1,268

Housing

1,492

1,798

2,060

Household Goods and Services

915

1,042

1,080

Health

995

1,179

1,330

Transport

2,024

2,241

2,413

Communication

874

1,078

1,260

Recreation and Culture

913

1,027

1,114

Education

1,202

1,502

1,717

Restaurants and Hotels

1,041

1,165

1,294

Miscellaneous Goods and Services

843

1,020

1,157

Source: Euromonitor International

Summary 14 Households By Income Band, % Of Total, Constant (2014) Prices 2009, 2014, 2019

2009

2014

2019

Over US$500

100

100

100

Over US$750

100

100

100

Over US$1,000

100

100

100

Over US$1,750

98.6

99.3

99.5

Over US$2,500

96.5

97.9

98.5

Over US$5,000

85.0

89.8

92.3

Over US$7,500

70.0

78.0

82.6

Over US$10,000

55.7

65.2

71.2

Over US$15,000

34.5

43.2

49.8

Over US$25,000

15.1

19.6

23.8

Over US$35,000

8.2

10.5

12.8

2009

2014

2019

Over US$45,000

5.1

6.4

7.8

Over US$55,000

3.5

4.4

5.2

Over US$65,000

2.6

3.2

3.8

Over US$75,000

2.1

2.5

2.9

Over US$100,000

1.4

1.6

1.8

Over US$125,000

1.0

1.2

1.4

Over US$150,000

0.8

1.0

1.1

Over US$200,000

0.6

0.7

0.8

Over US$250,000

0.4

0.5

0.6

Over US$300,000

0.4

0.4

0.5

Source: Euromonitor International

Summary 15 Households By Income Band, 000, Current Prices 2009-2014

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Over US$500

775

801

820

839

856

873

Over US$750

774

800

820

839

856

872

Over US$1,000

772

798

819

838

855

872

Over US$1,750

756

786

811

831

849

866

Over US$2,500

733

766

797

817

835

855

Over US$5,000

611

656

711

737

757

784

Over US$7,500

471

524

593

624

646

681

Over US$10,000

352

404

474

508

531

569

Over US$15,000

201

240

292

321

343

377

Over US$25,000

83.0

102

122

139

153

171

Over US$35,000

44.3

54.8

63.6

73.0

81.4

91.3

Over US$45,000

27.9

34.4

38.9

44.7

50.1

55.9

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Over US$55,000

19.7

24.0

26.7

30.6

34.3

38.0

Over US$65,000

15.0

18.1

20.0

22.7

25.3

27.9

Over US$75,000

12.1

14.4

16.0

18.0

19.9

21.8

Over US$100,000

8.4

9.7

11.0

12.0

12.9

14.1

Over US$125,000

6.4

7.4

8.3

9.1

9.8

10.7

Over US$150,000

5.1

5.9

6.7

7.3

7.9

8.5

Over US$200,000

3.6

4.2

4.7

5.1

5.5

6.0

Over US$250,000

2.7

3.2

3.6

3.9

4.2

4.6

Over US$300,000

2.2

2.5

2.8

3.1

3.4

3.6

Source: Euromonitor International

Summary 16 Inflation, 2009-2014

Inflation

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

4.2

3.1

4.8

4.3

2.5

3.2

Source: Euromonitor International

Summary 17 Transport Indicators, 2009-2014

2009

2010 2011

2012

2013

2014

Passenger Cars in Use ('000)

114

140

167

171

196

208

Number of Airline Passengers ('000)

3,38
2

3,59
5

4,10
3,957 8

4,311 4,507

Passenger Cars (per 1,000


population)

38.1

46.1

54.2

62.0

54.8

Source: Euromonitor International

Summary 18 Possession of Consumer Durables, % of Households, 2009, 2014, 2019

65.0

2009

2014

2019

Possession of Video Game Console

7.8

9.3

10.0

Possession of DVD Player/Recorder

42.3

56.6

60.8

Possession of Colour TV Set

97.8

99.5

100

Possession of Passenger Car

20.8

24.8

26.7

Possession of Air Conditioner

6.8

9.4

11.0

Possession of Camera

19.9

23.6

25.0

Possession of Freezer

5.3

6.6

7.2

Possession of Cooker

69.2

72.3

73.7

Possession of Hi-Fi Stereo

35.7

43.5

46.7

Possession of Dishwasher

0.9

3.2

5.0

Possession of Bicycle

28.8

24.3

22.6

Possession of Cable TV

4.8

7.0

8.7

Possession of Microwave Oven

24.8

32.4

36.8

Possession of Washing Machine

30.9

41.6

49.3

Possession of Video Camera

4.5

5.2

5.6

Possession of Telephone

37.8

44.7

43.8

Possession of Mobile Telephone

78.8

92.6

95.9

Possession of Internet Enabled Computer

9.1

40.2

50.5

Possession of Motorcycle

7.2

10.1

11.1

Possession of Refrigerator

78.5

84.2

86.6

Possession of Personal Computer

23.2

41.7

50.5

Possession of Tumble Drier

4.6

6.0

6.6

Possession of Satellite TV System

0.6

3.2

3.7

Possession of Vacuum Cleaner

16.4

20.7

22.8

Possession of Broadband Internet Enabled Computer

4.5

33.4

49.9

Source: Euromonitor International

Retailing in Ecuador
Industry Overview | 09 Feb 2016

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The performance of Ecuadorian retailing decreases
Value sales grew slower in 2015 than the CAGR during the review period. This due to the
uncertainty generated by regulations implemented by the government during the year, especially
customs duties to imports decreed at the beginning of 2015. Also, it is important to mention the
negative impact caused by the uncertainty of the market power control, inheritance and property
laws.
Ecuadorian consumers resist local internet retailing
Trust towards online payment is low amongst Ecuadorian consumers. Internet retailing has had a
long stagnation during the review period and there are no signs of innovation in the category. This
is especially caused by the consumers habit of personally choosing products and also by the lack
of trust towards online payment platforms. Following this tendency, mobile retailing has less
importance in retail than web platforms.
Local companies lead sales
This leadership happens thanks to local companies that have traditionally gained the consumers
top of mind. The retail sector keeps marking the tendency of concentrating market power in a few
national key players and thanks to the governments commercial policies, the entrance of big
multinationals in retailing is unlikely in the country. It is expected that the market power control
law will balance the share concentration in a few key players in the industry.
Supermarkets keeps gaining terrain against independent small grocers
For the first time, in 2014 supermarkets had a bigger size than independent small grocers, despite
the fact that small grocers have a wide national coverage. Independent small grocers started to
lose terrain due to the coverage extension of supermarkets and the lack of economies of scale to
permit them to compete on cost. Supermarkets are focusing on small retail formats to have a wide
coverage, thus affecting directly independent small grocers.
Slow growth expected
Due to the negative impact generated by customs duties to imports imposed by the government
and the uncertainty that the countrys power control, inheritance and property laws generates, the
growth of retailing has been reduced. However, is expected that in the mid-term, it will stabilise
and return to stable growth.

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Ecuadorian economy keeps growth but reduces speed


Ecuadorian economic growth perspectives are moderate, as a consequence of the negative price
evolution of oil and the observed contraction in the growth of investments. The Central Bank of
Ecuador (BCE in Spanish) updated the growth rate of the country from 4.3% to 3.8%, although it is
expected that, by the end of 2015, the annual growth will fall to approximately 3.1%, due to the
fall in the internal demand and deterioration in the trade balance.
However, the expansive fiscal policy implemented by the government, based on intense public
spend, is softening the negative impact on the Ecuadorian economy. The government cut its
budget for 2015 because of the fall in oils price, the main export product of Ecuador. This situation
has forced the government to revoke the wage increase predicted for the public sector and to
extend the debt with China.
Rafael Correa, president of Ecuador, has considerably reduced his popularity due to his attempt to
apply fiscal regulations to inheritance and property appreciation. He plans to approve these laws
through an executive decree and with the approval of the National Congress in which the majority
of the members are in favour of the government. This has generated discomfort amongst the
voters and has caused significant and frequent popular uprisings against the government and
especially against the president.
Outlook
A weakness in short-term economic growth is anticipated, followed by a mid-term recovery, linked
to a rising tendency in oil prices. In this context it is foreseeable for the government to hold back
the public spend, facing the presidential elections of 2017. Likewise, a decrease in consumption
and private investment is anticipated, as a consequence of the implementation of public policies
intended to reduce the public spend and the importation rate in order to benefit local production.
Finally, an improvement in exports is also predicted with the possible recovery of oil production
and the free trade agreements that are expected to be signed with the EU.
Currently, the fiscal pressure continues due to elevated public spend. The access to multilateral
financing and the debt coming from China are going to help the country keep expansive fiscal
policies to reduce the risk to the Central Bank reserves. It is expected that the recovery of oil
prices starting at mid-2016, together with the continuous collective efforts, will contribute to the
public sectors recovery. It is worthwhile to mention that the start of the climate phenomenon El
Nio is predicted for mid-2015, and it is projected that it will last until mid-2016. This means an
intense governmental spend for the prevention, control and mitigation of the effects that this
meteorological phenomenon carries.
Government imposes customs duties on imports
With the goal of mitigating the external economic impact on Ecuador, the government has decided
to apply a surcharge customs duty fee of between 5% and 45% which is going to be applied to
products such as fruits, meats, dairy products and construction finishings amongst others that are
part of the 32% share of imported products. The government justifies this as a necessary action
during 15 months, from 11 March 2015, to counteract the effect of the fall in price of Ecuadorian
oil.
The importation safeguard includes a customs duty fee that Ecuador establishes for products that
come from other countries: 5% for capital goods and non-essential raw materials; 15% for midsensitivity goods; 25% for tires, ceramics, TVs and motorcycle parts; and 45% for mass
consumption goods (including foods and beverages), TVs and motorcycles, according to a

resolution of the Foreign Trade Committee. During the first trimester of the regulations validity, the
imports were reduced by US$360 million, which amounts to a reduction of 19% in contrast with the
same period in 2014.
Outlook
In this scenario, company owners have found themselves forced to reduce foreign raw material
purchases and to stock up on national raw materials. Regulations have obligated the Ecuadorian
consumers to replace certain imported articles with domestically produced products, or in some
cases to quit consuming these products as they did not have a national substitute.
It is expected that this regulation will substitute over US$6 billion of imports by 2017, with the
objective to encourage national production and promote jobs in the country.
Government seeking to reduce obesity rates
According to the National Nutrition and Health Survey (2013), Ecuadorians register an average rate
of 9% of overweight in children under 5 years old, whilst in ages between 5 and 11 years old this
indicator more than triples to 30%. Governmental efforts are focused on palliating obesity and
developing policies such as the Sanitary Labelling of Processed Food for Human Consumption
Regulation, which establishes a new way to keep consumers informed about what they eat: 1) New
labels with traffic light colours (mandatory since August 2014) that alert whether a product is high
(red), medium (yellow) or low (green) in sugar, salt and fat; 2) labels that show the risk of
consuming the product, or a label that warns if the product has less than 50% of the natural
ingredients stated on the package.
Outlook
The governmental effort to promote healthy food consumption will allow consumers to develop
more health-conscious habits. Regulations are expected to show progress at the beginning of 2016.
As a result, the government expects that consumers will become more concerned about their
health and therefore they will consume healthy products, substituting processed ones.
Market power control law
In November of 2014 the decree for the execution of the market power control law was approved
by the Superintendence of the Market Power Control (SCPM in Spanish), an institution created at
the beginning of the same year. The goal of this law is to avoid, prevent, correct, eliminate and fine
the abuse of market power by economic operators, amongst other attributions. By the end of 2014,
the Superintendence had issued a good practices manual for the pharmaceutical sector, in a
similar way as was done with the supermarket sector.
Currently, the Superintendence executes the law in a progressive way. In supermarkets it is
imposing the location of 15% of national products in highly visible racks; it also started the
execution of an article that encourages supermarkets to pay their providers in no more than 30
days after the products delivery. An establishment coverage ratio is being established for
pharmacies to prevent big chained pharmacies from locating themselves close to small pharmacies
and using aggressive marketing and price strategies to keep them away from important
commercial zones.
Outlook

Due to the current political unrest inside the country, the execution of the law has been slowed
down to reduce the political cost that was already generated by the attempt to impose inheritance
and property appreciation laws. In spite of that, the Superintendence means an important threat
for the competitiveness and growth of big retail chains. The power of this Superintendence is still
unclear and uncertain; it is expected that, due to the upcoming 2017 elections, its execution may
be slow or even non-existent.

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Informal retailing
From the totality of the labour force, 51% was dedicated to informal sales during 2015.
From the previous year, informal sales showed a 2% increase. It is expected that due to import
regulations, the informal commerce will keep growing by taking advantage of the scarcity of

imported goods.
Municipalities have focused their efforts to generate sales spaces with the goal of
formalising retailing in places such as La Baha (Guayaquil) and Ipiales (Quito). Despite these
efforts, informal dealers are still common in new places of commercial concentration, which are
granted by the municipality. It is difficult to track which amount of sales from these dealers was

informal and did not have taxes paid.


In Ecuador, consumers with low purchasing power are used to buying in informal markets,
whilst the consumers with high purchasing power often visit malls or ask someone they know to
bring them products that are bought in foreign countries using digital platforms such as Amazon

and eBay.
Electronic products such as USB drives, CDs and DVDs are commonly sold through
informal commerce. Informal dealers also frequently sell clothes, cellphones and laptops.
Opening hours
Summary 1 Standard Opening Hours by Channel Type 2015

Channel

24 hours
present?

MondayFriday

Saturday Sunday

Supermarkets

No

09.0022.00hrs

09.0022.00hrs

10.0022.00hrs Open

Hypermarkets

No

08:3022.00hrs

09.0022:30hrs

09.0022:30hrs Open

Independent small
grocers

No

07.0022.00hrs

08.0022.00hrs

08.0022.00hrs Closed

Chained forecourt
retailers

Yes

24 hours

24 hours

24 hours

Discounters

No

09.0020.00hrs

09.0022.00hrs

09.0020.00hrs Closed

No

09.0021.00hrs

10.0021.00hrs

Open in
10.00shopping
20.00hrs centres

Majority of nongrocery specialists

Public
Holidays

Open

Channel

24 hours
present?

MondayFriday

Public
Holidays

Saturday Sunday

Pharmacies

Rotating

08.0020.00hrs

08.0022.00hrs

08.0022.00hrs Varies

Parapharmacies

Yes
(some)

09.0021.00hrs

09.0022.00hrs

09.0021.00hrs Open

Source: Euromonitor International

In the rural areas, retail outlets are accustomed to have shorter opening hours; usually
they close on Sundays because operators consider it as a day to rest. They usually close during

lunchtime as well.
In the urban areas retailers do not often close their businesses during Sundays because

the urban residents are used to shopping during weekends, especially Sundays.
It is important to mention that since 2010, stores located in gas stations are prohibited
from selling liquor all week long. Any other business, except for restaurants, cannot sell liquor on

Sundays.
Inside the retail sector, the chained forecourts are the only ones to offer a 24-hour service
all year long. Also, some pharmacies open 24 hours depending on a rotating schedule established
by the Health Minister.

Physical retail landscape


The Ecuadorian retail industry has focused its growth on places with high population
density and started to grow towards high purchasing power zones with the projection to obtain a
considerable population growth. Urban growth of the principal cities (ie Guayaquil and Quito) is
focused on remote areas away from the cities central zones, which is forcing retailers to expand
their service to these zones due to the high purchasing power of their inhabitants. In 2014,
Corporacin el Rosado built a new hypermarket on the outskirts of Guayaquil, where population
growth is prominent, especially of customers with a high purchasing power. Following the
tendency, Coral Hipermercados Ca Ltda opened another branch in the Racar zone located in the
outskirts of Cuenca. Also, in March 2015, Corporacin Favorita SA opened a Super Aki in the Sauces

9 zone of Guayaquil, which has a population of medium purchasing power inside the city.
The main malls of Quito are Quicentro Shopping, Mall El Jardin, Scala Shopping and San
Luis Mall. In Guayaquil the main ones are Mall del Sol, Mall del Sur, San Marino, Policentro and the
Rocentros. The company DK Management, owner of malls such as Quicentro and San Marino,
plans to open by 2017 a new mall in Manta called Mall del Pacfico; this one will be bigger than the

ones mentioned above.


Luxury retailers are located in zones that concentrate people with a high purchasing
power, especially in the main cities of the country (Quito, Guayaquil, Manta and Cuenca). They also
take advantage of the strategic location of certain malls that are focused on consumers with high

purchasing power.
Malls permit companies to concentrate a great variety of products in the same place; this
earns more importance when it is analysed that the human settlements in Ecuador are highly
dispersed. For consumers, it is also an advantage to cover all of their necessities in only one place.
Malls offer services such as banks, electronics stores, apparel stores and entertainment amongst
others. Consumers preference for malls directly affects traditional retailers sales.
Seasonality
Christmas

Shopping season: These festivities establish a consumption pattern during November and

December. It is especially accentuated during the week before 25 December.


Primary products bought: Ecuadorians have a wide variety of choices for Christmas

presents; they especially prefer products such as perfumes, apparel, electronics and toys.
Retailer strategy: Since 2013, malls have launched a marketing campaign to establish
Black Friday in Ecuador. The acceptance has been low but every time it grows stronger in the
consumers top of mind.
Back to School

Shopping season: September in the highlands and May in the coast.

Primary products bought: Especially school uniforms (apparel) and materials.


Retailer strategy: Usually retailers interested in this season focus their strategy on offering

sales and applying aggressive marketing campaigns.


Mothers and Fathers Day

Dates: Second Sunday of May (Mothers Day) and third Sunday of May (Fathers Day).

Primary products bought: Apparel, chocolates and roses.


Retailer strategy: Retailers offer sales discounts previous to the holiday and considerably

invest in marketing campaigns.

Payments and delivery


Electronic transfer payment still does not have significant acceptance in the Ecuadorian
market; in particular, mobile payments are not used due to the fact that the customers refuse
giving up their credit card information to digital platforms. Concerning the frequency of use, the
most relevant data show that it is utilised at least once a day by 54% of consumers and once a
week by 40%. The totality of transactions are not focused on the retail market, but it is important

to analyse the consumer tendency of using web platforms.


In Ecuador, the estimated use of credit cards is about 15% (US$5 billion) of the domestic
GDP (US$30 billion) according to Ecuadors Central Bank. From January to March of 2015,
consumer credit increased by 26%; this indicates a marked tendency of the Ecuadorian consumers
to use credit cards to buy daily goods. In the medium social stratum, the international credit cards
penetration is 33%, a superior indicator to the countrys average, but lower than the stratums
potential. The credit card with the most approval is Visa with 49%, followed by Diners Club with
21%.

In February 2015, the use of electronic money was implemented in Ecuador. This is an
electronic payment method, managed privatively by the BCE, denominated in US dollars, which is
exchanged uniquely through electronic devices, mobile devices, electromechanic devices, smart
cards, computers and other devices. The public and private banks are obligated to use this
payment method in less than a year, with the goal of popularising electronic currency. The
government defends this proposal due to the security generated by the fact of consumers not
having to carry cash to deal with big amounts of money. Behind the governments intention there
is a big uncertainty about the possibility that this will the first step to replace dollarisation. So far
the penetration of the method has been poor and the execution time has been too short to create
a serious judgement over the effectiveness of electronic money.

MARKET DATA
Table 1 Sales in Retailing by Store-based vs Non-Store: Value 2010-2015

USD million

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Store-based
Retailing

15,278.
6

16,445.
2

17,410.
7

18,773.
4

19,904.
7

21,028.
2

Non-Store Retailing

872.2

1,058.4

1,281.9

1,393.9

1,484.0

1,594.8

Retailing

16,150.
9

17,503.
6

18,692.
6

20,167.
2

21,388.
6

22,623.
0

Source: Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research,
trade interviews, trade sources

Table 2 Sales in Retailing by Store-based vs Non-Store: % Value Growth 2010-2015

% current value growth, retail value rsp excl 2014/


sales tax
15

2010-15
CAGR

2010/15
Total

Store-based Retailing

5.6

6.6

37.6

Non-Store Retailing

7.5

12.8

82.8

Retailing

5.8

7.0

40.1

Source: Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research,
trade interviews, trade sources

Table 3 Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Channel: Value 2010-2015

USD million

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Grocery Retailers

6,690.9 7,086.8 7,347.4 7,692.2 8,111.9 8,548.1

Non-Grocery
Specialists

10,778. 11,473. 12,144.


8,339.5 9,086.4 9,803.1 9
7
0

Mixed Retailers

248.2

272.0

260.2

302.2

319.0

336.1

Luxury Retailing

3.0

3.1

3.2

Store-based Retailing

15,278. 16,445. 17,410. 18,773. 19,904. 21,028.


6
2
7
4
7
2

Source: Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research,
trade interviews, trade sources

Note: Luxury retailing not included in store-based retailing total to avoid double counting as luxury retailing is a
duplicate category already accounted for within non-grocery specialists and mixed retailers.

Table 4 Store-Based Retailing Outlets by Channel: Units 2010-2015

outlet

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Grocery Retailers

82,935.
0

82,884.
0

82,375.
0

81,790.
0

81,682.
0

81,299.
0

Non-Grocery
Specialists

59,089.
0

59,929.
0

61,054.
0

61,992.
0

62,894.
0

63,869.
0

Mixed Retailers

65.0

67.0

64.0

64.0

65.0

64.0

Luxury Retailing

3.0

4.0

6.0

Store-based
Retailing

142,089 142,880 143,493 143,846 144,641 145,232


.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0

Source: Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research,
trade interviews, trade sources
Note: Luxury retailing not included in store-based retailing total to avoid double counting as luxury retailing is a
duplicate category already accounted for within non-grocery specialists and mixed retailers.

Table 5 Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Channel: % Value Growth 2010-2015

% current value growth, retail value rsp excl 2014/


sales tax
15

2010-15
CAGR

2010/15
Total

Grocery Retailers

5.4

5.0

27.8

Non-Grocery Specialists

5.8

7.8

45.6

Mixed Retailers

5.3

6.3

35.4

Luxury Retailing

3.0

Store-based Retailing

5.6

6.6

37.6

Source: Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research,
trade interviews, trade sources
Note: Luxury retailing not included in store-based retailing total to avoid double counting as luxury retailing is a
duplicate category already accounted for within non-grocery specialists and mixed retailers.

Table 6 Store-Based Retailing Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2010-2015

% unit growth

2014/15

2010-15 CAGR

2010/15 Total

Grocery Retailers

-0.5

-0.4

-2.0

Non-Grocery Specialists

1.6

1.6

8.1

Mixed Retailers

-1.5

-0.3

-1.5

Luxury Retailing

50.0

Store-based Retailing

0.4

0.4

2.2

Source: Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research,
trade interviews, trade sources
Note: Luxury retailing not included in store-based retailing total to avoid double counting as luxury retailing is a
duplicate category already accounted for within non-grocery specialists and mixed retailers..

Table 7 Retailing GBO Company Shares: % Value 2011-2015

% retail value rsp excl sales tax

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Corporacion La Favorita CA

8.5

9.4

9.8

10.0

10.3

Corporacin el Rosado SA

3.5

4.1

4.4

4.7

4.8

Corporacin GPF Ca Ltda

2.7

2.7

2.8

2.8

2.8

Tiendas Industriales Asociadas TIA SA

1.8

2.2

2.2

2.4

2.5

Grupo Difare SA

1.3

1.4

1.4

1.5

1.5

Amazon.com Inc

0.7

1.1

1.3

1.4

1.4

Almacenes La Ganga SA

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.1

1.1

Comandato SA

1.1

1.1

1.1

1.0

1.1

De Prati SA

0.9

0.9

1.0

1.0

1.0

Unique-Yanbal Group

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

0.9

Gerardo Ortiz Ca Ltda

0.9

1.0

1.0

0.9

0.9

Farmaenlace Cia Ltda

0.5

0.6

0.6

0.8

0.8

Avon Products Inc

1.0

0.9

0.9

0.7

0.7

Superdeporte Cia Ltda

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.6

Artefactos Ecuatorianos Para El Hogar SA

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.6

% retail value rsp excl sales tax

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Artefacta
Icesa-Orve SA

0.5

0.5

0.5

0.5

0.6

Corporacin Belcorp

0.6

0.7

0.7

0.6

0.5

Marcimex SA

0.4

0.4

0.5

0.5

0.5

Crditos Economicos SA

0.5

0.6

0.5

0.5

0.5

Mega Santa Maria SA

0.3

0.4

0.4

0.4

0.5

Others

71.7

69.0

67.9

67.1

66.4

Total

100.
0

100.
0

100.
0

100.
0

100.
0

Source: Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research,
trade interviews, trade sources

Table 8 Retailing GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2012-2015

% retail value rsp


excl sales tax

Company (GBO)

201
2

201
3

201
4

201
5

Supermaxi

Corporacion La Favorita CA

3.2

3.5

3.6

3.7

Megamaxi

Corporacion La Favorita CA

2.9

2.9

3.1

3.2

Hiper Market

Corporacin el Rosado SA

2.2

2.3

2.5

2.6

Ta

Tiendas Industriales Asociadas


TIA SA

2.1

2.1

2.2

2.3

Mi Comisariato

Corporacin el Rosado SA

1.4

1.5

1.6

1.7

Sana Sana

Corporacin GPF Ca Ltda

1.4

1.5

1.5

1.6

Amazon

Amazon.com Inc

1.1

1.3

1.4

1.4

Fybeca

Corporacin GPF Ca Ltda

1.3

1.2

1.2

1.3

Aki

Corporacion La Favorita CA

1.1

1.1

1.1

1.2

La Ganga

Almacenes La Ganga SA

1.0

1.0

1.1

1.1

Comandato

Comandato SA

1.1

1.1

1.0

1.1

Gran Aki

Corporacion La Favorita CA

1.0

0.9

1.0

1.0

De Prati

De Prati SA

0.9

1.0

1.0

1.0

% retail value rsp


excl sales tax

Company (GBO)

201
2

201
3

201
4

201
5

Yanbal

Unique-Yanbal Group

1.0

1.0

1.0

0.9

Coral Hipermercados

Gerardo Ortiz Ca Ltda

1.0

1.0

0.9

0.9

Cruz Azul

Grupo Difare SA

0.6

0.7

0.7

0.7

Avon

Avon Products Inc

0.9

0.9

0.7

0.7

Marathon Sports

Superdeporte Cia Ltda

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.6

Artefacta

Artefactos Ecuatorianos Para El


Hogar SA Artefacta

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.6

Orve Hogar

Icesa-Orve SA

0.5

0.5

0.5

0.6

Others

Others

74.2 73.4 72.8 72.1

Total

100. 100. 100. 100.


0
0
0
0

Total

Source: Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research,
trade interviews, trade sources

Table 9 Store-based Retailing GBO Company Shares: % Value 2011-2015

% retail value rsp excl sales tax

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Corporacion La Favorita CA

9.0

10.1

10.5

10.8

11.1

Corporacin el Rosado SA

3.7

4.4

4.7

5.1

5.2

Corporacin GPF Ca Ltda

2.9

2.8

3.0

3.0

3.0

Tiendas Industriales Asociadas TIA SA

1.9

2.4

2.4

2.5

2.7

Grupo Difare SA

1.3

1.5

1.5

1.6

1.6

Almacenes La Ganga SA

1.1

1.1

1.1

1.1

1.2

Comandato SA

1.2

1.2

1.2

1.1

1.1

De Prati SA

1.0

1.0

1.1

1.1

1.1

Gerardo Ortiz Ca Ltda

1.0

1.0

1.0

0.9

0.9

Farmaenlace Cia Ltda

0.6

0.6

0.7

0.9

0.9

Superdeporte Cia Ltda

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.7

% retail value rsp excl sales tax

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Artefactos Ecuatorianos Para El Hogar SA


Artefacta

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.6

Icesa-Orve SA

0.5

0.5

0.5

0.6

0.6

Marcimex SA

0.4

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.6

Crditos Economicos SA

0.5

0.6

0.5

0.5

0.5

Mega Santa Maria SA

0.4

0.4

0.4

0.5

0.5

Corporacin Favorita CA

0.4

0.4

Pycca SA

0.5

0.4

0.4

0.3

0.3

Comercial Etatex CA

0.4

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

Payless Holdings

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

Others

72.6

69.7

68.7

67.2

66.4

Total

100.
0

100.
0

100.
0

100.
0

100.
0

Source: Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research,
trade interviews, trade sources

Table 10 Store-based Retailing GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2012-2015

% retail value rsp


excl sales tax

Company (GBO)

201
2

201
3

201
4

201
5

Supermaxi

Corporacion La Favorita CA

3.5

3.7

3.8

4.0

Megamaxi

Corporacion La Favorita CA

3.1

3.2

3.3

3.4

Hiper Market

Corporacin el Rosado SA

2.3

2.5

2.7

2.8

Ta

Tiendas Industriales Asociadas


TIA SA

2.2

2.2

2.4

2.5

Mi Comisariato

Corporacin el Rosado SA

1.5

1.6

1.7

1.8

Sana Sana

Corporacin GPF Ca Ltda

1.5

1.6

1.6

1.7

Fybeca

Corporacin GPF Ca Ltda

1.4

1.3

1.3

1.3

Aki

Corporacion La Favorita CA

1.2

1.2

1.2

1.3

% retail value rsp


excl sales tax

Company (GBO)

201
2

201
3

201
4

201
5

La Ganga

Almacenes La Ganga SA

1.1

1.1

1.1

1.2

Comandato

Comandato SA

1.2

1.2

1.1

1.1

Gran Aki

Corporacion La Favorita CA

1.1

1.0

1.0

1.1

De Prati

De Prati SA

1.0

1.1

1.1

1.1

Coral Hipermercados

Gerardo Ortiz Ca Ltda

1.0

1.0

0.9

0.9

Cruz Azul

Grupo Difare SA

0.7

0.7

0.8

0.8

Marathon Sports

Superdeporte Cia Ltda

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.7

Artefacta

Artefactos Ecuatorianos Para El


Hogar SA Artefacta

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.6

Orve Hogar

Icesa-Orve SA

0.5

0.5

0.6

0.6

Farmacias
Economicas

Farmaenlace Cia Ltda

0.4

0.4

0.6

0.6

Marcimex

Marcimex SA

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.6

Creditos Economicos

Crditos Economicos SA

0.6

0.5

0.5

0.5

Others

Others

74.2 73.4 72.3 71.5

Total

100. 100. 100. 100.


0
0
0
0

Total

Source: Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research,
trade interviews, trade sources

Table 11 Store-based Retailing LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2012-2015

sites/outlets

Company (NBO)

2012

2013

2014

2015

Cruz Azul (Grupo


Difare SA)

Ecuafarmacias &
Asociados SA

848.0

877.0

900.0

900.0

Farmacias
Comunitarias
(Grupo Difare SA)

Ecuafarmacias &
Asociados SA

216.0

223.0

290.0

290.0

Sana Sana
(Corporacin GPF
Ca Ltda)

Econofarm SA

240.0

275.0

281.0

282.0

sites/outlets

Company (NBO)

2012

2013

2014

2015

Farmacias
Economicas

Farmaenlace Cia Ltda

115.0

207.0

207.0

282.0

Ta

Tiendas Industriales
Asociadas TIA SA

134.0

156.0

162.0

162.0

La Ganga

Almacenes La Ganga
SA

138.0

143.0

160.0

133.0

Marcimex

Marcimex SA

58.0

87.0

88.0

93.0

Fybeca
(Corporacin GPF
Ca Ltda)

Farcomed SA

120.0

125.0

128.0

91.0

Artefacta

Artefactos
Ecuatorianos Para El
Hogar SA Artefacta

72.0

77.0

90.0

91.0

Pharmacy's (Grupo Ecuafarmacias &


Difare SA)
Asociados SA

58.0

60.0

62.0

67.0

Medicity

Farmaenlace Cia Ltda

52.0

66.0

70.0

66.0

Comandato

Comandato SA

48.0

48.0

48.0

52.0

Marathon Sports

Superdeporte Cia
Ltda

39.0

41.0

43.0

43.0

Payless
ShoeSource
(Payless Holdings)

Payless ShoeSource
Ecuador CIA LTDA

38.0

38.0

38.0

43.0

Almacenes Japon

AlJapon SA

40.0

38.0

41.0

42.0

Aki (Corporacion
La Favorita CA)

Corporacin Favorita
CA

37.0

37.0

37.0

39.0

Orve Hogar

Icesa-Orve SA

41.0

40.0

40.0

38.0

Jaher

Impocomjaher Cia
Ltda

35.0

36.0

36.0

38.0

Creditos
Economicos

Crditos Economicos
SA

42.0

45.0

45.0

37.0

Supermaxi
(Corporacion La
Favorita CA)

Corporacin Favorita
CA

31.0

33.0

34.0

35.0

Others

Others

141,09

141,19

141,84

142,40

sites/outlets

Total

Company (NBO)

Total

2012

2013

2014

2015

1.0

4.0

1.0

8.0

143,49
3.0

143,84
6.0

144,64
1.0

145,23
2.0

Source: Euromonitor International from official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research,
trade interviews, trade sources

Table 12 Forecast Sales in Retailing by Store-based vs Non-Store: Value 2015-2020

USD million

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Store-based
Retailing

21,028.
2

21,562.
5

22,097.
6

22,699.
6

23,345.
2

24,005.
4

Non-Store Retailing

1,594.8

1,661.6

1,713.4

1,763.4

1,809.1

1,852.1

Retailing

22,623.
0

23,224.
1

23,811.
0

24,463.
0

25,154.
4

25,857.
5

Source: Euromonitor International from trade associations, trade press, company research, trade interviews,
trade sources
Note: Forecast value data in constant terms.

Table 13 Forecast Sales in Retailing by Store-based vs Non-Store: % Value Growth 2015-2020

% constant value growth, retail value rsp


excl sales tax

2015/20 2015-20
16
CAGR

2015/20
TOTAL

Store-based Retailing

2.5

2.7

14.2

Non-Store Retailing

4.2

3.0

16.1

Retailing

2.7

2.7

14.3

Source: Euromonitor International from trade associations, trade press, company research, trade interviews,
trade sources
Note: Forecast value data in constant terms.

Table 14 Forecast Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Channel: Value 2015-2020

USD million

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

USD million

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Grocery Retailers

8,548.1 8,777.4 9,014.8 9,298.3 9,621.1 9,965.0

Non-Grocery
Specialists

12,144. 12,438. 12,725. 13,032. 13,344. 13,649.


0
7
6
6
6
1

Mixed Retailers

336.1

346.4

357.3

368.6

379.6

391.3

Luxury Retailing

3.2

Store-based Retailing

21,028. 21,562. 22,097. 22,699. 23,345. 24,005.


2
5
6
6
2
4

Source: Euromonitor International from trade associations, trade press, company research, trade interviews,
trade sources
Note 1: Forecast value data in constant terms. Note 2: Luxury retailing not included in store-based retailing total
to avoid double counting as luxury retailing is a duplicate category already accounted for within non-grocery
specialists and mixed retailers. Note 3: No forecast data available for luxury retailing.

Table 15 Forecast Store-Based Retailing Outlets by Channel: Units 2015-2020

outlet

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Grocery Retailers

81,299.
0

80,954.
0

80,683.
0

80,375.
0

80,088.
0

79,814.
0

Non-Grocery
Specialists

63,869.
0

64,765.
0

65,556.
0

66,326.
0

67,037.
0

67,806.
0

Mixed Retailers

64.0

65.0

64.0

65.0

64.0

65.0

Luxury Retailing

6.0

Store-based
Retailing

145,232 145,784 146,303 146,766 147,189 147,685


.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0

Source: Euromonitor International from trade associations, trade press, company research, trade interviews,
trade sources
Note 1: Luxury retailing not included in store-based retailing total to avoid double counting as luxury retailing is
a duplicate category already accounted for within non-grocery specialists and mixed retailers. Note 2: No
forecast data available for luxury retailing.

Table 16 Forecast Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Channel: % Value Growth 2015-2020

% constant value growth, retail value rsp


excl sales tax

2015/20 2015-20
16
CAGR

2015/20
TOTAL

% constant value growth, retail value rsp


excl sales tax

2015/20 2015-20
16
CAGR

2015/20
TOTAL

Grocery Retailers

2.7

3.1

16.6

Non-Grocery Specialists

2.4

2.4

12.4

Mixed Retailers

3.1

3.1

16.5

Luxury Retailing

Store-based Retailing

2.5

2.7

14.2

Source: Euromonitor International from trade associations, trade press, company research, trade interviews,
trade sources
Note 1: Forecast value data in constant terms. Note 2: Luxury retailing not included in store-based retailing total
to avoid double counting as luxury retailing is a duplicate category already accounted for within non-grocery
specialists and mixed retailers. Note 3: No forecast data available for luxury retailing.

Table 17 Forecast Store-Based Retailing Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2015-2020

% unit growth

2015/16

2015-20 CAGR

2015/20 Total

Grocery Retailers

-0.4

-0.4

-1.8

Non-Grocery Specialists

1.4

1.2

6.2

Mixed Retailers

1.6

0.3

1.6

Luxury Retailing

Store-based Retailing

0.4

0.3

1.7

Source: Euromonitor International from trade associations, trade press, company research, trade interviews,
trade sources
Note 1: Luxury retailing not included in store-based retailing total to avoid double counting as luxury retailing is
a duplicate category already accounted for within non-grocery specialists and mixed retailers. Note 2: No
forecast data available for luxury retailing.

SOURCES
Sources used during the research included the following:
Summary 2 Research Sources

Official Sources

Agencia de Noticias del Ecuador y Sudamrica (ANDES)

Bolsa de Valores de Guayaquil


Centro de Investigacion y Analisis de Politicas Publicas (CIAP)
Comisin Econmica para Amrica Latina (CEPAL)
Ecuador en Cifras
INEC
Servicio de Rentas Internas
Superintendencia de Cas del Ecuador
Superintendencia de Control del Poder de Mercado
Trade
Associations

Asociacin de Almacenes de Electrodomsticos del Ecuador


(ASADELEC)
Asociacin Ecuatoriana de Empresas de Venta Directa (AEVD)
Asociacin Ecuatoriana de Franquiciadores
Ecuafranquicias

Trade Press

Amrica Economa
Diario El Comercio
Diario El Universo
Diario Expreso
Diario Hoy
Diario La Hora
Ecuador Trends
El Diario
El Financiero
Entorno Inteligente
Expreso
Revista Ekos
Revista Lideres
Revista Vistazo

Official Sources

Agencia de Noticias del Ecuador y Sudamrica (ANDES)

Other Sources

Almacenes Boyac SA
Banco Central del Ecuador
Creditos Economicos Credicosa SA
Deloitte Barometro Empresarial
Discarna
Escuela de Direccion de empresas IDE
IDE

Source: Euromonitor International

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