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Country Overview
Argentina is the 8th largest and Spanish speaking country in the world. The
country is sub divided into 23 provinces and 1autonomous city Buenos Aires
which is the federal capital of the nation and has their own constitution. In 1816,
independence was declared from Spain by the United Provinces of the Rio Plata.
After separating from Bolivia, Paraguay and Uruguay the remaining land became
Argentina. The constitution of Argentina defines a system of checks and balances.
The federal government is composed of 3 branches: The Legislative, The
Executive and The Judicial. Argentina has 91.8% (2015) of the total population
living in the city along with 97% literacy among men and women. In 2012, 20.3%
of the GDP accounts for manufacturing. Argentinas one fourth of exports of about
US$86 billion in 2011 was composed of unprocessed agricultural primary goods,
mainly soybeans, wheat and maize. A further one third was composed of processed
agricultural products, such as animal feed, flour and vegetable oils. The country
exports and imports goods from Brazil, China, Chile, US, Netherland, Spain,
Germany, Italy, Uruguay, Iran, Venezuela, Canada, India, Columbia, Mexico and
may other nations in the world.
Countrys Economy
Argentina has the 3 rd largest economy in latin America. The nations GDP were
$540.2 Billion in the year 2014 making it the 24th largest economy in the world.
Argentina has a variety of natural resources with a well educated population and a
export oriented agriculture sector with a diversified industrial base. Argentina is
still an emerging market. Argentina suffered from the Economic crisis during the
20th century. The country suffered from severe depression, growing public and
external indebtedness. The economy rebounded from the 2009 recession in 2010
even if the country continued to rely on the expansionary monetary and fiscal
policy, the economy slowed down in the year 2011and the inflation rate has
drastically increased. In the year, the government expanded various restrictions on
Import and Export. The country continues with a mix expansionary monetary and
fiscal policy and foreign exchange imports and exports in 2013, since the inflation
rate remained 25% and the GDP increased by 3%. In 2014, Argentina introduced
many changes in the economic, monetary and fiscal policy which resulted in the
devaluation of Peso by 20%.
History of Currency
Exchange rates
Money market decisions are taken by The Central Bank of Argentina. The
interest rates refer to the inter-bank rates. Average interest rate in Argentina from
1979 until 2016 was 67.45%. The highest rate was recorded in 1990 of 1389.88%
and the lowest in March 2004 of 1.20 %. The graph shows an continuous increase
in the inter-bank rates.
Economic Crisis
The Argentina economy suffered a deep crisis during 2001
and 2002. Both the financial crisis and the public debt default
undermined both local and foreign investors confidence. It was
believed that the crisis caused due to the existence of 4 main
causes which includes, inappropriate Fiscal policy, wage and price
rigidities inconsistent with a fixed exchange regime, a
considerable external shock and political turmoil. In the decade,
1991-2001 the government expenditure rose by 77%while the
Argentina GDP rose by 57% and the prices fell of the dollar
denominations.
Argentina traded intensively within the region, exported
agricultural and industrial commodities, and relied heavily on
capital inflows. From the year 1997, all these factors fell behind. A
drop of 15% in the export prices was seen between 1996-2000.
Argentinas condition worsened due to the depreciation in the
currency of their main trading partners (Europe, Brazil, and Chile).
The peso was pegged rigidly to the USD.
Monetary Policy
In March 2012, the legislature and the president approved a new Ley
Organica for the central bank that incorporates an unambiguous growth mandate.
This exchange-rate regime included a fixed peg to the U.S. dollar, unlimited and
unconditional conversion of the national currency (the peso) into foreign
currencies, and the requirement that the central banks holdings of foreignexchange reserves be equivalent, at least, to the domestic components of the
countrys monetary base. The appointment of a new governor has been
accompanied by the introduction of a new legal framework for the central bank
that institutionalizes its ability to implement counter-cyclical monetary policies.
This new law eliminates the strict link between the countrys foreign exchange
reserves and its money supply, which had led invariably to deflationary monetary
policies.
The importance of this change cannot be over-estimated because it provides
an enabling environment for rational economic policy-making. Argentinas new
stance enables counter-cyclical monetary policy to function as a valuable
complement to counter-cyclical fiscal policy. It also simultaneously enables
rational debt management, rather than artificially linking national debt to the stock
of foreign-exchange reserves. The new Ley Organica institutionalizes the principle
that the function of monetary policy is to help achieve long-range development
goals, and to coordinate with fiscal policy in selecting and prioritizing such goals.
Unemployment Rates
According to INDEC, the 3rd highest unemployment percentage is in South
America of 7.55%.Despite the recent decline, Argentina does have an
unemployment rate that is higher than most of the countries in the continent. The
data corresponds to INDECs numbers for the third quarter of last year,
representing the percentage of the working-age population which tried to get a job
during that time, but failed. Until the 1990s, unemployment was never an issue in
Argentina but until late 2000 the unemployment rate increased drastically and after
the crisis everything started to fall apart. The unemployment rate in the year 2012
was 7.2% which has increased up to 7.5% in the year 2013.
Inflation Rate
Inflation Rate in Argentina averaged 203.46 percent from
1944 until 2015, reaching an all time high of 20262.80 percent in
March of 1990 and a record low of -7 percent in February of 1954.
In Argentina, the most important categories in the CPI basket are
Food and Beverages (37.9 percent of the total weight) and
Transportation and Communications (16.6 percent). Housing and
Basic Services account for 12.1 percent; Clothing for 7.3 percent
and Other Goods and Services for 6.3 percent. The remaining
include: Health Care (5.6 percent); Leisure (5.1 percent); House
Maintenance Items (4.9 percent) and Education (4.3 percent). The
CPI index has a base of 100 as of April of 2008 and covers the
Buenos Aires metropolitan area and its 24 districts.
National Debt
In Argentina, external debt is a part of the total debt that is owed to creditors
outside the country. In 2014, Argentinas national debt increased by 85279 million
dollars from 330876 million dollars. It means that the debt in 2015 reached
56.51%of Argentina GDP, and 11.41% rise in 2014 , when it was 45.10%of GDP.
Argentina per capita debt in 2015 was 5716 dollars per inhabitant. The debt has
increased by 398 dollars to 6114 dollars in 2014.In the year 2015, the positioned of
Argentina has worsened as compared to the rest of the world.
The above graph shows an increase in the total external debt of Argentina over a
period of time.
Tax Rate
Derivatives Market
The derivatives market flourished between the 1970s and 1980s because of
trade increase in forwards, futures and options. According to a study by the Bank
of International Settlements, the value of outstanding positions of over the counter
(OTC) was over USD 99 trillion.
In Argentina, transaction of forwards on agriculture started in the beginning
of the 20th century. Futures have been traded in the Buenos Aires Future market
similarly exchange has taken place at the futures market of Rosaria, Argentinas 2 nd
largest city. The most actively future traded were those on agricultural and
livestock, which included grains, oilseeds, cattle and hogs. Only call options on
individual stocks are traded at the Buenos Stock Exchange. Traded in a relatively
small volume.
All the procedures related to the futures and options contracts were handled
by each individual Exchange. On trading of Forwards, futures and options contract
regulatory duties is assumed by National Commission of Securities. It is allowed
for the foreign entities to participate in the derivatives market through the CNV or
broker. The contracts available at the MATBA were futures on corn, soybean,
sunflower seeds and wheat, and options on corn futures, soybean futures,
sunflower futures and wheat futures. The top three agricultural exchanges in 2001
were the CBOT (74.3 percent), Tokyo Grain Exchange (14.6 percent), and Kansas
City Board of Exchange Trade (4.35 percent). Trade on Exchange increased in the
decade of 1920s. At the beginning of the 1990s, it was allowed by the government
to negotiate future contracts in grain denominated in USD. The Rosafe Soybean
Index (RSI) futures and Option contracts were cashed settled at the spot price of
Soybean at Rosario. The most actively traded contracts were futures and options.
Reference Links:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Argentina
http://www.indexmundi.com/argentina/background.html
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foreign_trade_of_Argentina
https://www.angloinfo.com/argentina/how-to/page/argentina-moving-country-filecountry-overview
http://www.economywatch.com/world_economy/argentina/
http://www.indexmundi.com/argentina/economy_overview.html
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/argentina/interest-rate
https://www.soas.ac.uk/cdpr/publications/dv/progressive-monetary-policy-inargentina-a-return-to-democratic-control.html
http://www.buenosairesherald.com/article/181890/clar%C3%ADn-argentina'sunemployment-rate-is-one-of-the-highest-in-the-region
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/argentina/inflation-cpi
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taxation_in_Argentina
https://internationalliving.com/countries/argentina/argentina-taxes/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Argentine_peso
https://www.oanda.com/currency/iso-currency-codes/ARS
https://en.santandertrade.com/establish-overseas/argentina/foreign-investment
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/argentina/gdp-per-capita-ppp
http://www.dii.uchile.cl/~ceges/publicaciones/ceges36.pdf
http://object.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/serials/files/cato-journal/2003/5/cj23n13.pdf