Program

1.3
1.4
2.1
2.2
2.3
2.4
2.5
2.6
3.1
3.5
4.1
4.2
4.3
4.4
4.5
4.6
4.8
5.1
5.2
5.3
5.4
5.5
5.6
5.7
6.1
6.2
6.3
6.4
7.2
7.4
7.6
7.7
8.1
8.2
8.3
8.4
8.5
8.6
8.5xx
8.7
8.8
8.9
8.10
9.1
9.2
9.3
9.4
9.5
9.1
9.2
10.2
10.4

Name
Pritchett Clock Repair Shop
Pritchett Clock Repair Shop
Expected Value and Variance

Source
Excel QM
Excel QM
Excel

Content
Breakeven Analysis
Goal Seek
Expected Value and Variance

Binomial Probabilities
Normal distribution
F Distribution
Exponential Distribution
Poisson distribution
Thompson Lumber
Bayes Theorem for Thompson Lumber Example
Triple A Construction Company Sales
Jenny Wilson Realty
Jenny Wilson Realty
MPG Data
MPG Data
Solved Problem 4-2
Triple A Construction Company Sales
Wallace Garden Supply Shed Sales
Port of Baltimore
Midwestern Manufacturing's Demand
Midwestern Manufacturing's Demand
Midwestern Manufacturing's Demand
Turner Industries
Turner Industries
Sumco Pump Company
Brown Manufacturing
Brass Department Store
Hinsdale Company Safety Stock
Flair Furniture
Holiday Meal Turkey Ranch
High note sound company
Flair Furniture
Win Big Gambling Club
Management Science Associates
Fifth Avenue Industries
Greenberg Motors
Labor Planning Example
ICT Portfolio Selection
Top Speed Bicycle Company
Goodman Shipping
Whole Foods Nutrition Problem
Low Knock Oil Company
Top Speed Bicycle Company
Transportation Example
Fix-It Shop
Frosty Machines Transshipment Problem
Transportation Problem - Birmingham
Fix-It Shop Assignment
Executive Furniture Company
Birmingham Plant
Harrison Electric IP Analysis
Bagwell Chemical Company

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Binomial Probabilities
Normal distribution
F distribution probabilities
Exponential probabilities
Poisson probabilities
Decision Table
Bayes Theorem
Regression
Multiple Regression
Dummy Variables - Regression
Linear Regression
Nonlinear Regression
Regression
Regression
Weighted Moving Average
Exponential Smoothing
Expo. Smoothing with Trend
Trend Analysis
Trend Analysis
Multiplicative Decomposition
Multiple Regression
EOQ Model
Production Run Model
Quantity Discount Model
Safety Stock
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Transportation
Assignment
Transportation
Transportation
Integer programming
Integer programming

10.5
10.6
10.7
10.9
10.10
10.11
10.12
10.13
12.1
12.2
12.extra
13.1
13.2
13.3
13.4
14.2
14.3
14.4
14.5
14.6
15.3
15.4
16.1
16.2
16.3
16.4
Module
M1.1
M5.1

Quemo Chemical Company

Sitka Manufacturing Company
Simkin, Simkin and Steinberg
Great Western Appliance
Hospicare Corp
Thermlock Gaskets
Solved Problem 10-1
Solved Problem 10-3
PERT - General Foundry Example
Crashing General Foundry Problem
Crashing General Foundry Problem
Arnold's Muffler Shop
Arnold's Muffler Shop
Golding Recycling, Inc.
Department of Commerce
Harry's Tire Shop
Generating Normal Random Numbers
Harry's Tire Shop
Port of New Orleans Barge Unloadings
Three Hills Power Company
Three Grocery Example
Accounts Receivable Example
Box Filling Example
Super Cola Example
ARCO
Red Top Cab Company

Excel
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Excel
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Excel QM
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Excel QM
Excel
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Excel QM
Excel
Excel
Excel
Excel
Excel QM
Excel QM
Excel QM
Excel QM

AHP
Matrix Multiplication

Excel
Excel

Integer programming
Integer programming
Integer programming
Nonlinear programming
Nonlinear programming
Nonlinear programming
0-1 programming
Nonlinear programming
Crashing
Crashing
Crashing
Single Server (M/M/1) system
Multi-Server (M/M/m) system
Constant Service Rate (M/D/1)
Finite population
Simulation (inventory)
Random #s and Frequency
Simulation (inventory)
Simulation (waiting line)
Maintenance Simulation
Markov Analysis
Fundamental Matrix & Absorbing States
Quality = x-bar chart
Quality = x-bar chart
p-Chart Analysis
c-Chart Analysis

- Regression

Rate (M/D/1)

ix & Absorbing States

Pritchett Clock Repair Shop

Breakeven Analysis
Enter
Enter the
the fixed
fixed and
and variable
variable costs
costs and
and the selling price in the data area.

Rebuilt Springs
1000
5
10

Fixed cost
Variable cost
Revenue

Results
Breakeven points
Units
Dollars $
Graph
Units

Cost-volume analysis

12
10
8
6
4
2
0
0

200
2,000.00

Costs
0
400

Data

Costs

Revenue
1000
3000

0
4000

4
Revenue

Units

10

12

Pritchett Clock Repair Shop

Breakeven Analysis
Enter
Enter the
the fixed
fixed and
and variable
variable costs
costs and
and the selling price in the data area.
Data
Fixed cost
Variable cost
Revenue
Volume (optional)

Rebuilt Springs
1000
5
10.71
250

Results
Breakeven points
Units
Dollars $

175
1,875.00

Volume Analysis@
Costs
Revenue
Profit

250
2,250.00
2,678.57
428.57

Graph
Units

$
$
$

Costs
0
350

Revenue
1000
2750

0
3750

X
5
4
3
2
1

P(X)
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.1
E(X) = XP(X) =

XP(X)
0.5
0.8
0.9
0.6
0.1
2.9

(X - E(X))2P(X)
0.441
0.242
0.003
0.243
0.361
1.290
1.136

To see the formulas, hold down the CTRL key and press the ` (Grave accent) key

X))2P(X)

= Variance
= Standard deviation

press the ` (Grave accent) key

The Binomial Distribution

X = random variable for number of successes
n=
5
number of trials
p=
0.5
probability of a succes
r=
4
specific number of successes
Cumulative probabiliP(X < r) = 0.96875
Probability of exactlyP(X = r) = ###

X is a normal random variable

with mean, , and standard deviation, .
=
100
=
20

x=
P(X < x) =
P(X > x) =

75
0.10565
0.89435

F Distribution with df1 and df2 degrees of freedom

To find F given
df1 =
5
df2 =
6

=
F-value =

0.05
4.39

To find the probability to the right of a calculated value, f

df1 =
df2 =

f=
P(F > f) =

5
6
4.2
0.0548

Exponential distribution - the random variable (X) is time

Average number per time period = =
3 per hour
t=
0.5000 hours
P(X < t) =
0.7769
P(X > t) =

0.2231

Poisson distribution - the random variable is the number of occurrences per time period
=
x
0
1
2

2
P(X)
0.1353
0.2707
0.7293

P(X < x)
0.1353
0.4060
0.6767

urrences per time period

Thompson Lumber
Decision Tables
Enter
Enter the
the profits
profits or
or costs in the main body of the data table. Enter probabilities in the first row
if
you
want
to
compute
if you want to compute the
the expected
expected value.
value.
Data
Results
Favorable Unfavorable
Profit
Market
Market
EMV
Minimum Maximum
Hurwicz
Probability
0.5
0.5
coefficient
0.8
Large Plant
200000
-180000
10000 -180000
200000
124000
Small plant
100000
-20000
40000
-20000
100000
76000
Do nothing
0
0
0
0
0
Maximum
40000
0
200000
124000
Expected Value of Perfect Information
Column best
200000
0

100000 <-Expected value under certainty

40000 <-Best expected value
60000 <-Expected value of perfect information

Regret
Probability
Large Plant
Small plant
Do nothing

Favorable MUnfavorable Market

Expected Maximum
0.5
0.5
0
180000
90000
180000
100000
20000
60000
100000
200000
0
100000
200000
Minimum
60000
100000

Bayes Theorem for Thompson Lumber Example

Fill in cells B7, B8, and C7
Probability Revisions Given a Positive Survey
State
of
Posterior
Nature P(Sur.PosPrior Prob. Joint Pro Probability
FM
0.7
0.5
0.35
0.78
UM
0.2
0.5
0.1
0.22
P(Sur.pos.)
0.45
Probability
Revisions Given a Negative Survey
State
of
Posterior
Nature P(Sur.PosPrior Prob. Joint Pro Probability
FM
0.3
0.5
0.15
0.27
UM
0.8
0.5
0.4
0.73
P(Sur.neg.
0.55

Triple A Construction C
Sales (Y)Payroll (X)
6
3
8
4
9
6
5
4
4.5
2
9.5
5

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple

0.8333

R Square 0.6944
Adjusted 0.6181
Standard 1.3110
Observat

ANOVA

df

SS

MS

Regressi

1 15.6250 15.6250

Residual

6.8750

Total

22.5

F
9.0909

1.7188

Coefficients
Standard Error
t Stat

P-value

Intercept

1.7425

1.1477

0.3150

Payroll (X

1.25

0.4146

3.0151

0.0394

Significance F
0.0394

Lower 95%
Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
-2.8381
0.0989

6.8381 -2.8381

6.8381

2.4011

2.4011

0.0989

Jenny Wilson Realty

SELL PRICE
95000
119000
124800
135000
142800
145000
159000
165000
182000
183000
200000
211000
215000
219000

SF
1926
2069
1720
1396
1706
1847
1950
2323
2285
3752
2300
2525
3800
1740

AGE
30
40
30
15
32
38
27
30
26
35
18
17
40
12

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.8197
R Square
0.6719
Adjusted R Squa 0.6122
Standard Error
24313
Observations
14
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
SF
AGE

SS
2 1.3E+010
11 6.5E+009
13 2.0E+010

MS
F
Significance F
### 11.262 0.00217877
###

Coefficients
Standard Errort Stat
###
### 5.7543
43.819 10.2810 4.2622
-2899 796.5649 -3.6390

P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%

0.0001 90545.2073
###
0.0013
21.1911
66.4476
0.0039 -4651.9139 -1145.4586

Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%

###
###
21.1911
66.4476
-4651.9139 -1145.4586

Jenny Wilson Realty

SELL PRICE
95000
119000
124800
135000
142800
145000
159000
165000
182000
183000
200000
211000
215000
219000

SF
1926
2069
1720
1396
1706
1847
1950
2323
2285
3752
2300
2525
3800
1740

AGE
30
40
30
15
32
38
27
30
26
35
18
17
40
12

X3 (ExcX4
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0

(Mint Condition
0
Good
0
Excellent
0
Excellent
0
Good
1
Mint
1
Mint
1
Mint
0
Excellent
1
Mint
0
Good
0
Good
0
Good
0
Excellent
1
Mint

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.9476
R Square
0.8980
Adjusted R
0.8526
Standard Er
###
Observation
14
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
SF
AGE
X3 (Exc.)
X4 (Mint)

SS
MS
4 2E+010 4E+009
9 2E+009 2E+008
13 2E+010

Coefficients
Standard Errort Stat
###
###
6.981
56.43
6.95
8.122
-3962.82 596.03 -6.649
33162.65
###
2.723
47369.25
###
4.448

F Significance F
###
###

P-value Lower 95%

Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
0.000
###
###
###
0.000
40.71
72.14
40.71
0.000
###
###
###
0.023 5610.43
### 5610.43
0.002
###
###
###

Upper 95.0%
###
72.14
###
###
###

Automobile Weight vs. MPG

MPG (Y) Weight (X1)
12
4.58
13
4.66
15
4.02
18
2.53
19
3.09
19
3.11
20
3.18
23
2.68
24
2.65
33
1.70
36
1.95
42
1.92

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.86288
R Square 0.74456
Adjusted R 0.71902
Standard E 5.00757
Observatio
12
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
F
Significance F
1 730.909 730.909 29.14802 0.000302
10 250.7577 25.07577
11 981.6667

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95%
Intercept
47.6193 4.813151 9.89359 1.8E-006 36.89498
Weight (X1 -8.24597 1.527345 -5.398891 0.000302 -11.64911

Significance F

Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
58.34371 36.89498 58.34371
-4.842833 -11.64911 -4.842833

Automobile Weight vs. MPG

MPG (Y) Weight (X1)
12
4.58
13
4.66
15
4.02
18
2.53
19
3.09
19
3.11
20
3.18
23
2.68
24
2.65
33
1.70
36
1.95
42
1.92

WeightSq.(X2)
20.98
21.72
16.16
6.40
9.55
9.67
10.11
7.18
7.02
2.89
3.80
3.69

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.9208
R Square
0.8478
Adjusted R
0.8140
Standard E
4.0745
Observatio
12
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
2 832.2557 416.1278
9 149.411 16.60122
11 981.6667

Coefficients
Standard Error
Intercept
79.7888 13.5962
Weight (X1 -30.2224
8.9809
WeightSq.(
3.4124
1.3811

t Stat
5.8685
-3.3652
2.4708

F
25.0661

P-value
0.0002
0.0083
0.0355

Significance F
0.000209

Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
49.0321 110.5454 49.0321 110.5454
-50.5386
-9.9062 -50.5386
-9.9062
0.2881
6.5367
0.2881
6.5367

Solved Problem 4-2

Advertising ($100) Y
11
6
10
6
12

Sales X
5
3
7
2
8

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations

0.9014
0.8125
0.7500
1.4142
5

ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
Sales X

SS
1
3
4

MS
26
6
32

F
26
2

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
4
1.5242
2.6244
1
0.2774
3.6056

Significance F
13 0.036618

P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

0.0787
-0.8506
8.8506
-0.8506
0.0366
0.1173
1.8827
0.1173

Upper 95.0%
8.8506
1.8827

Triple A Construction
Forecasting

Regression/Trend analysis

IfIf this
this isis trend
trend analysis
analysis then
then simply
simply enter
enter the
the past
past demands
demands in
in the
the demand
demand
column.
column. IfIf this
this isis causal
causal regression
regression then
then enter
enter the
the y,x
y,x pairs
pairs with
with yy first
first and
and
enter
enter aa new
new value
value of
of xx at
at the
the bottom
bottom in
in order
order to
to forecast
forecast y.
y.

Data
Period
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
Period 4
Period 5
Period 6
Intercept
Slope
Next period

Demand (y) Period(x)

6
3
8
4
9
6
5
4
4.5
2
9.5
5
2
1.25
10.75

Forecasts and Error Analysis

Forecast Error
Absolute
5.75
0.25
0.25
7
1
1
9.5
-0.5
0.5
7
-2
2
4.5
0
0
8.25
1.25
1.25
Total
0
5
Average
0 0.833333
Bias
MAD
SE

Squared Abs Pct Err

0.0625
04.17%
1
12.50%
0.25
05.56%
4
40.00%
0
00.00%
1.5625
13.16%
6.875
75.38%
1.145833
12.56%
MSE
MAPE
1.311011

7
Correlatio 0.833333

Wallace Garden Supply

Forecasting

Weighted moving averages - 3 period moving average

Enter
Enter the
the data
data in
in the
the shaded
shaded area.
area. Enter
Enter weights
weights in
in
INCREASING
INCREASING order
order from
from top
top to
to bottom.
bottom.

Data
Period
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December

Demand

Forecasts and Error Analysis

Forecast Error
Absolute Squared

Weights
10
12
13
16
19
23
26
30
28
18
16
14

Next period 15.3333333

Abs Pct Err

1
2
3
12.1667
14.3333
17
20.5
23.8333
27.5
28.3333
23.3333
18.6667
Total
Average

3.8333
3.8333 14.6944
23.96%
4.6667
4.6667 21.7778
24.56%
6
6
36
26.09%
5.5
5.5
30.25
21.15%
6.1667
6.1667 38.0278
20.56%
0.5
0.5
0.25
01.79%
-10.3333 10.3333 106.7778
57.41%
-7.3333
7.3333 53.7778
45.83%
-4.6667
4.6667 21.7778
33.33%
4.3333 49.0000 323.3333
254.68%
0.4815
5.4444 35.9259
28.30%
Bias
MAD
MSE
MAPE
SE
6.79636

Port of Baltimore
Forecasting

Exponential smoothing

Enter
Enter alpha
alpha (between
(between 00 and
and 1),
1), enter
enter the
the past
past demands
demands in
in the
the shaded
shaded column
column then
then enter
enter aa starting
starting forecast.
forecast. IfIf the
the starting
starting
forecast
forecast isis not
not in
in the
the first
first period
period then
then delete
delete the
the error
error analysis
analysis for
for all
all rows
rows above
above the
the starting
starting forecast.
forecast.

Alpha
Data
Period
Quarter 1
Quarter 2
Quarter 3
Quarter 4
Quarter 5
Quarter 6
Quarter 7
Quarter 8

0.1
Demand
180
168
159
175
190
205
180
182

Next period 178.595856

Forecasts and Error Analysis

Forecast Error
Absolute
175
5
5
175.5
-7.5
7.5
174.75
-15.75
15.75
173.175
1.825
1.825
173.3575 16.6425 16.6425
175.0218 29.97825 29.97825
178.0196 1.980425 1.980425
178.2176 3.782382 3.782382
Total 35.95856 82.45856
Average 4.49482 10.30732
Bias
MAD
SE

Squared Abs Pct Err

25
02.78%
56.25
04.46%
248.0625
09.91%
3.330625
01.04%
276.9728
08.76%
898.6955
14.62%
3.922083
01.10%
14.30642 0.02078232
1526.54
44.75%
190.8175
05.59%
MSE
MAPE
15.95065

t. IfIf the
st.
the starting
starting

Midwestern Manufacturing
Forecasting

Trend adjusted exponential smoothing

Enter
Enter alpha
alpha and
and beta
beta (between
(between 00 and
and 1),
1), enter
enter the
the past
past demands
demands in
in the
the shaded
shaded column
column then
then enter
enter aa
starting
starting forecast.
forecast. IfIf the
the starting
starting forecast
forecast isis not
not in
in the
the first
first period
period then
then delete
delete the
the error
error analysis
analysis for
for all
all
rows
rows above
above the
the starting
starting forecast.
forecast.

Alpha
Beta
Data

Period
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
Period 4
Period 5
Period 6
Period 7

0.3
0.4
Forecasts and Error Analysis

Demand
74
79
80
90
105
142
122
Next period

Forecast
Smoothed
Including
Forecast, Smoothed Trend,
Ft
Trend, Tt FITt

Error
Absolute
74
74
0
0
74
0
74
5
5
75.5
0.6
76.1
4.5
4.5
77.27
1.068
78.338
12.73
12.73
81.8366 2.46744 84.30404 23.1634 23.1634
90.51283 4.950955 95.46378 51.48717 51.4872
109.4246 10.5353 119.9599 12.57535 12.5754
120.572 10.78011 131.3521
Total
109.4559 109.456
Average
15.63656 15.6366
Bias
MAD
SE

Squared
0
25
20.25
162.0529
536.5431
2650.929
158.1395
3552.914
507.5592
MSE
26.65676

Abs Pct
Err
00.00%
06.33%
05.63%
14.14%
22.06%
36.26%
0.103077
94.73%
13.53%
MAPE

Midwestern Manufacturing
Time (X)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7

Demand (Y)
74
79
80
90
105
142
122

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.89491
R Square 0.800863
Adjusted R 0.761036
Standard E 12.43239
Observatio
7
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
Time (X)

SS
MS
F
Significance F
1 3108.036 3108.036 20.10837 0.006493
5 772.8214 154.5643
6 3880.857

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
56.71429 10.50729 5.397615 0.002948 29.70445 83.72412 29.70445 83.72412
10.53571 2.349501 4.484236 0.006493 4.496131 16.5753 4.496131 16.5753

Upper 95.0%

Midwestern Manufacturing
Forecasting

Regression/Trend analysis

IfIf this
this isis trend
trend analysis
analysis then
then simply
simply enter
enter the
the past
past demands
demands in
in the
the demand
demand column.
column. IfIf this
this isis
causal
causal regression
regression then
then enter
enter the
the y,x
y,x pairs
pairs with
with yy first
first and
and enter
enter aa new
new value
value of
of xx at
at the
the bottom
bottom in
in
order
order to
to forecast
forecast y.
y.

Data
Period
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7

Demand (y) Period(x)

74
1
79
2
80
3
90
4
105
5
142
6
122
7

Intercept
Slope

56.7142857
10.5357143

Next period

141

Forecasts and Error Analysis

Forecast Error
Absolute
67.25
6.75
6.75
77.7857
1.2143
1.2143
88.3214
-8.3214
8.3214
98.8571
-8.8571
8.8571
109.3929
-4.3929
4.3929
119.9286
22.0714
22.0714
130.4643
-8.4643
8.4643
Total
-4.263256E-014
60.0714
Average
-6.090366E-015
8.5816
Bias
MAD
SE

Squared
45.5625
1.4745
69.2462
78.4490
19.2972
487.1480
71.6441
772.8214
110.4031
MSE
12.43239

Correlatio

0.89491

Abs Pct Err

09.12%
01.54%
10.40%
09.84%
04.18%
15.54%
06.94%
57.57%
08.22%
MAPE

Turner Industries
Forecasting
4 seasons

Data
Period
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
Period 4
Period 5
Period 6
Period 7
Period 8
Period 9
Period 10
Period 11
Period 12

Multiplicative decomposition
Enter
Enter past
past demands
demands in
in the
the data
data area.
area. Do
Do not
not change
change the
the time
time period
period
numbers!
numbers!

Demand (y) Time (x)

108
1
125
2
150
3
141
4
116
5
134
6
159
7
152
8
123
9
142
10
168
11
165
12

Average

131
133
135.25
137.5
140.25
142
144
146.25
149.5

132.000
134.125
136.375
138.875
141.125
143.000
145.125
147.875

Average

Ratios
Season 1

Average

0.8506
0.8475
0.8491

Season 2

Season 3 Season 4
1.1364
1.0513
0.9649
1.1267
1.0629
0.9603
0.9626
1.1315
1.0571

Forecasts
Period
Unadjusted Seasonal Adjusted
13
155.240
0.849
131.810
14
157.583
0.963
151.687
15
159.927
1.132
180.959
16
162.270
1.057
171.535

Ratio

1.136
1.051
0.851
0.965
1.127
1.063
0.848
0.960

Seasonal Smoothed
0.8491
127.1979
0.9626
129.8589
1.1315
132.5660
1.0571
133.3841
0.8491
136.6200
0.9626
139.2087
1.1315
140.5199
1.0571
143.7899
0.8491
144.8643
0.9626
147.5197
1.1315
148.4739
1.0571
156.0878
Intercept
Slope

124.7753
2.3434

Forecasts and Error Analysis

Unadjusted Adjusted
Error
|Error|
Error^2
Abs Pct Err
127.1187
107.9327
0.0673
0.0673
0.0045
00.06%
129.4621
124.6181
0.3819
0.3819
0.1458
00.31%
131.8056
149.1396
0.8604
0.8604
0.7403
00.57%
134.1490
141.8086
-0.8086
0.8086
0.6538
00.57%
136.4924
115.8917
0.1083
0.1083
0.0117
00.09%
138.8359
133.6411
0.3589
0.3589
0.1288
00.27%
141.1793
159.7461
-0.7461
0.7461
0.5567
00.47%
143.5227
151.7175
0.2825
0.2825
0.0798
00.19%
145.8662
123.8507
-0.8507
0.8507
0.7236
00.69%
148.2096
142.6641
-0.6641
0.6641
0.4410
00.47%
150.5530
170.3526
-2.3526
2.3526
5.5346
01.40%
152.8965
161.6265
3.3735
3.3735
11.3807
02.04%
Total
0.0107
10.8547
20.4014
07.14%
0.0009
0.9046
1.7001
00.59%
Bias
MAD
MSE
MAPE
SE
1.84397092

Year

Quarter
1
2
3
4
2
1
2
3
4
3
1
2
3
4
1

Sales X1 Time PeriodX2 Qtr 2 X3 Qtr 3 X4 Qtr 4

108
1
0
0
0
125
2
1
0
0
150
3
0
1
0
141
4
0
0
1
116
5
0
0
0
134
6
1
0
0
159
7
0
1
0
152
8
0
0
1
123
9
0
0
0
142
10
1
0
0
168
11
0
1
0
165
12
0
0
1

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.99718
R Square 0.99436
Adjusted R 0.99114
Standard E 1.83225
Observatio
12
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

4
7
11

SS
MS
F
Significance F
4144.75 1036.188 308.6516 6.0E-008
23.5 3.357143
4168.25

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
Intercept
104.104 1.332194 78.14493
X1 Time Pe 2.3125 0.16195 14.27913
X2 Qtr 2
15.6875 1.504767 10.4252
X3 Qtr 3
38.7083 1.530688 25.28819
X4 Qtr 4
30.0625 1.572941 19.11228

P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
1.5E-011 100.954 107.2543 100.954 107.2543
2.0E-006 1.92955 2.69545 1.92955 2.69545
1.6E-005 12.12929 19.24571 12.12929 19.24571
3.9E-008 35.08883 42.32784 35.08883 42.32784
2.7E-007 26.34308 33.78192 26.34308 33.78192

Sumco Pump Company

Inventory

Economic Order Quantity Model

Enter
Enter the
the data
data in
in the
the shaded
shaded area
area
Data
Demand rate, D
Setup cost, S
Holding cost, H
Unit Price, P

1000
10
0.5 (fixed amount)
0

200
200
100
5

Cost ($)

Inventory: Cost vs Quantity

Results
Optimal Order Quantity, Q*
Maximum Inventory
Average Inventory
Number of Setups

12
10
8

Holding
cost

Total cost

Holding cost
Setup cost

$50.00
$50.00

Unit costs
Total cost, Tc

$0.00

$100.00

COST TABLE

Start at

25 Increment

Q
25
40
55
70
85
100
115
130
145
160
175
190
205
220
235
250
265
280
295
310
325
340
355

Setup cost

Order Quantity (Q)

15

Setup cost Holding cosTotal cost

400
6.25
406.25
250
10
260
181.8182
13.75 195.5682
142.8571
17.5 160.3571
117.6471
21.25 138.8971
100
25
125
86.95652
28.75 115.7065
76.92308
32.5 109.4231
68.96552
36.25 105.2155
62.5
40
102.5
57.14286
43.75 100.8929
52.63158
47.5 100.1316
48.78049
51.25 100.0305
45.45455
55 100.4545
42.55319
58.75 101.3032
40
62.5
102.5
37.73585
66.25 103.9858
35.71429
70 105.7143
33.89831
73.75 107.6483
32.25806
77.5 109.7581
30.76923
81.25 112.0192
29.41176
85 114.4118
28.16901
88.75 116.919

370 27.02703

92.5

119.527

Brown Manufacturing
Inventory

Production Order Quantity Model

Enter
Enter the
the data
data in
in the
the shaded
shaded area.
area. You
You may
may have
have to
to do
do some
some work
work to
to enter
enter the
the daily
daily production
production rate.
rate.
10000
100
0.5 (fixed amount)
80
60
0

12
10

Setup c
Holding
cost
Total co

8
6

Results
Optimal production quantity, Q*
Maximum Inventory
Average Inventory
Number of Setups

4000
1000
500
2.5

Holding cost
Setup cost

4
2
0

250
250

Unit costs

Total cost, Tc
COST TABLE

Inventory: Cost vs Quantity

Cost ($)

Data
Demand rate, D
Setup cost, S
Holding cost, H
Daily production rate, p
Daily demand rate, d
Unit price, P

500
Start at
Q
1000
1333.333
1666.667
2000
2333.333
2666.667
3000
3333.333
3666.667
4000
4333.333
4666.667
5000
5333.333
5666.667
6000
6333.333
6666.667
7000
7333.333
7666.667
8000
8333.333
8666.667

1000 Increment 333.3333

Setup cost Holding cosTotal cost
1000
62.5
1062.5
750 83.33333 833.3333
600 104.1667 704.1667
500
125
625
428.5714 145.8333 574.4048
375 166.6667 541.6667
333.3333
187.5 520.8333
300 208.3333 508.3333
272.7273 229.1667 501.8939
250
250
500
230.7692 270.8333 501.6026
214.2857 291.6667 505.9524
200
312.5
512.5
187.5 333.3333 520.8333
176.4706 354.1667 530.6373
166.6667
375 541.6667
157.8947 395.8333 553.7281
150 416.6667 566.6667
142.8571
437.5 580.3571
136.3636 458.3333 594.697
130.4348 479.1667 609.6014
125
500
625
120 520.8333 640.8333
115.3846 541.6667 657.0513

Order Quantity (Q)

aily
aily production
production rate.
rate.

ry: Cost vs Quantity

uantity (Q)

Setup cost
Holding
cost
Total cos t

Brass Department Store

Inventory

Quantity Discount Model

Data
Demand rate, D
Setup cost, S
Holding cost %, I

5000
49
20%
Range 1

Minimum quantity
Unit Price, P

Range 2
0
5

Range 3
1000
4.8

2000
4.75

Results
Range 1
Q* (Square root formula)
Order Quantity
Holding cost
Setup cost

Range 2
Range 3
700 714.4345083118 718.18484646
700
1000
2000
$350.00
$350.00

$480.00
$245.00

$950.00
$122.50

Unit costs

$25,000.00

$24,000.00

$23,750.00

Total cost, Tc
Optimal Order Quantity

$25,700.00

$24,725.00
1000

$24,822.50

minimum

$24,725.00

6.4

Inventory

Safety stock - Normal distribution

Select
aa model
and
then
the
data
inshaded
the
area.
The
onbottom
the
left
the
model
andenter
then enter
enter
thein
data
the shaded
shaded
area.
The model
model
the bottom
bottom
left represents
represents
the
Select
aa model
and
the
the
area.
on
left
the
SelectSelect
model
and then
then
enter
the data
data
in
thein
shaded
area. The
The model
model
on the
theon
bottom
left represents
represents
the 33 models
models described
described in
in the
the textbook
textbook under
under Other
Other Probabilistic
Probabilistic Models
Models
33 models
models described
described in
in the
the textbook
textbook under
under Other
Other Probabilistic
Probabilistic Models
Models

Model: Demand during leadtime and its standard deviation given

Data
Average demand during lead time,
Standard deviation of dLT
Service level (% of demand met)

Results
Z-value
Safety stock

Model: Daily demand and its standard deviation are given

350
10
95.00%

1.64
16.45

Data
Average daily demand
Standard deviation of daily demand, d
Lead time days
Service level (% of demand met)

Service level (% of demand met)

Results
Z-value
Average demand during lead time
Standard deviation of demand during lead time, dLT
Safety stock
Reorder point

25
0 Enter 0 if demand is constant
6
3 Enter 0 if lead time is constant
98.00%

2.05
150
75.00
154.03
304.03

325907406.xls

3
4
97.00%

Results
Z-value
1.88
Average demand during lead time
60
Standard deviation of demand during lead time, 6.00
Safety stock
11.28
Reorder Point
71.28

Models: Either daily demand, lead time or both are variable

Data
Average daily demand
Standard deviation of daily demand
Average lead time (in days)
Standard deviation of lead time, LT

15

Flair Furniture
Variables
T (Tables)C (Chairs)
Units Produced
30
40
Objective functi
70
50
Constraints
Carpentry
Painting

4
2

Profit
4100

LHS (Hours used)

3
240
<
1
100
<

RHS
240
100

Holiday Meal Turkey Ranch

Variables
Brand 1Brand 2
Units Produced 8.4
4.8
Objective functi 2
3
Constraints
Ingredient A
Ingredient B
Ingredient C

5
4
0.5

Cost
31.2

LHS (Amt. of Ing.)

10
90
>
3
48
>
0
4.2
>

RHS
90
48
1.5

High Note Sound Company

Variables
CD PlayerReceivers
Units Produced
0
20

Profit

Objective functi

2400

50

120

Constraints

LHS (Hrs. Used)

Electrician Hour

Audio Tech Hour

80
20

RHS
< ###
< ###

7.7
Enter
Enter the
the values
values in
in the
the shaded
shaded area.
area. Then
Then go
go to
to the
the DATA
DATATab
Tab on
on the
the ribbon,
ribbon, click
click on
on Solver
Solver in
in the
the Data
DataAnalysis
Analysis
Group
Group and
and then
then click
click SOLVE.
SOLVE.
IfIf SOLVER
SOLVER isis not
not on
on the
the Data
Data Tab
Tab then
then please
please see
see the
the Help
Help file
file (Solver)
(Solver) for
for instructions.
instructions.

Linear Programming
Signs
<
=
>

less than or equal to

equals (You need to enter an apostrophe first.)
greater than or equal to

x1

x2

Data
Objective
Constraint 1
Constraint 2

70
4
2

50 sign
3 <
1 <

Results
Variables
Objective

30

40

RHS
240
100

4100

Page 52

Results
LHS
Slack/Surplus
4100
240
0
100
0

A
1

er
X2
5
8500

Radio
30 sec.
X3
6.2069
2400

Radio
1 min.
X4
0
2800

Win Big Gambling Club

2
3
4
5
6

Variables
Solution
Audience per
ad

TV
X1
1.9688
5000

7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

Constraints
Max. TV
Newspaper
radio
radio
Cost
Radio dollars
Radio spots

1
1
1
800

925

290
290
1

1
380
380
1

<
<
<
<
<
<
>

RHS
12
5
25
20
8000
1800
5

1
2
3
4

Total Audience
6
67240.3017
5
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

LHS
1.9688
5
6.2069
0
8000
1800
6.2069

A
1

>
>
>
>
<

RHS
2,300
1,000
600
0
0

Management Science Associates

2
3
4
5

Variable
Solution
Min. Cost

X1
0
7.5

X2
600
6.8

X3
X4
X5
X6
140 1000
0 560Total Cost
5.5
6.9 7.25
6.1
15166

Constraints
1
8 Total Househo
1
9 30 and Younge
0
10 31-50
11 Border States 0.85
12 51+ Border St
0
7

1
0
1
0.85
0

1
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0.85 -0.15 -0.15 -0.15
0.8
0
0 -0.2

LHS
2300
1000
600
395
0

A
1
3
5
6

Fifth Avenue Industries

2
4

Variables
Values
Profit

All
silk

All
poly.

Blend 1

Blend 2

X1
5112
16.24

X2
14000
8.22

X3
16000
8.77

X4
8500
8.66

Total Profit
412028.88

7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19

Constraints
Silk available
0.125
available
available
1
Maximum silk
polyester
1
2
1
Minimum silk
polyester
1
Minimum blend
2

LHS
0.066
0.08

0.05
0.05

0.044

1
1
1
1
1
1

1200
1920
1174
5112
14000
16000
8500
5112
14000
16000
8500

<
<
<
<
<
<
<
>
>
>
>

20
21
22
23

Calculations to determine the profit per tie.

Polyes
Silk
ter
Blend 1 Blend 1
25 Selling Price per ti 19.24
8.7
9.52
10.64 Cost of material per yard
Yards of silk used
26
in tie
0.125
0
0
0.066
24
Yards of polyester
27
used in tie
0
0.08
0.05
0
6
24

Yards of cotton
used in tie
0
3
29 Material cost per t
30 Profit per tie
16.24
28

0
0.48
8.22

0.05
0.75
8.77

0.044
1.98
8.66

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19

RHS
1200
3000
1600
7000
14000
16000
8500
5000
10000
13000
5000

20
21
22
23
24

f material25per yard
26
27
28
29
30

Slack/Surplus
0
1080
426
1888
0
0
0
112
4000
3000
3500

A
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32

Greenberg Motors
Variable
Solution
Min. Cost

A1
A2
A3
A4
B1
B2
B3 B4 IA1 IA2 IA3 IA4 IB1
IB2
IB3 IB4
### 223.1 ### 792.3 ### ### 77.8 ### ### 0 ### 450
0
###
0
300
20
20
22
22
15
15 16.5 16.5 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26

Demand Constraints
Jan. GM3A
1
Feb. GM3A
1
Mar. GM3A
Apr. GM3A
Jan. GM3B
Feb. GM3B
Mar. GM3B
Apr. GM3B
Inv.GM3A Apr.
Inv.GM3B Apr.
Labor Hour Constraints
Hrs Min. Jan. 1.3
Hrs Min. Feb.
1.3
Hrs Min. Mar.
Hrs Min. Apr.
Hrs Max. Jan. 1.3
Hrs Max. Feb.
1.3
Hrs Max.Mar.
Hrs Max. Apr.
Storage Constraints
Jan. Inv. Limit
Feb. Inv. Limit
Mar. Inv. Limit
Apr. Inv. Limit

-1
1
1

-1
1

-1
1

-1

-1
1

1
1

-1
1

-1
1

-1

1
1
0.9
0.9
1.3

0.9
1.3

0.9
0.9
0.9

1.3

0.9
1.3

0.9
1

1
1

1
1

1
1

33
34
35
36
37
38
39

GM3A Units
GMBA Units
GM3A Inven
GM3B Inven
Labor Hours

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
### 223.1 ### 792.3
### ### 77.8 ###
476.9
0.0 757.7 450.0
0.0 ###
0.0 300.0
### ### ### ###

1
2
3
4 Total Cost
###
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17

LHS SignRHS
800 = 800
700 = 700
1000 = ###
1100 = ###
1000 = ###
1200 = ###
1400 = ###
1400 = ###
450 = 450
300 = 300

18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26

2560
2560
2355
2560
2560
2560
2355
2560

>
>
>
>
<
<
<
<

###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###

476.92
1322.22
757.69
750

<
<
<
<

###
###
###
###

27
28
29
30
31
32

Slack/Surplus
320
320
115
320
0
0
205
0

R
33
34
35
36
37
38
39

A
1

P3
2
32

P4
5
32

P5
0
32

Total Cost
1448

Labor Planning Example

2
3
4
5
6

Variables
Values
Cost

F
10
100

P1
0
32

P2
7
32

7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27

Constraints
9 a.m. - 10 a 1
10 a.m. - 11
1
11 a.m. - noo 0.5
noon - 1 p.m. 0.5
1 p.m. - 2 p.m 1
2 p.m. - 3 p.m 1
3 p.m. - 4 p.m 1
4 p.m. - 5 p.m 1
Max. Full tim 1
Total PT hours

1
1
1
1

1
1
1
1

1
1
1
1

1
1
1
1

1
1
1
1
4

LHS
10
17
14
19
24
17
15
10
10
56

Sign RHS
>
10
>
12
>
14
>
16
>
18
>
17
>
15
>
10
<
12
<
56

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27

Slack/Surplus
0
5
0
3
6
0
0
0
2
0

A
1

<
<
<
<
>
>
<

RHS
###
###
###
###
0
0
5000000

ICT Portfolio Selection

2
3
4
5

Variable
X1
X2
X3
X4
Solution
750000 950000 2E+006 2E+006Total Return
Max. Return
0.07
0.11
0.19
0.15 712000

6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14

Trade
Bonds
Gold
Construction
Min. Gold+Con
Min. Trade
Total Investe

1
1
1
-0.55
0.85
1

-0.55
-0.15
1

0.45
-0.15
1

1
0.45
-0.15
1

LHS
750000
950000
1500000
1800000
550000
0
5000000

Goodman Shipping
Variables
X1
X2
X3
Values
0.333
1
0
Load Value 22500 24000 8000
Constraints
Total weigh 7500
% Item 1
1
% Item 2
% Item 3
% Item 4
% Item 5
% Item 6

7500

3000

X4
X5
X6
0
0
0 Total Value
9500 11500 9750
31500

3500

4000

1
1
1
1

LHS
Sign RHS
3500 10000
< 10000
0.333333 <
1
1
<
1
0
<
1
0
<
1
0
<
1
1
0
<
1

A
1

Sign
>
>
>
>
=

RHS
3
2
1
0.425
0.125

Whole Foods Nutrition Problem

2
3
4
5
6

Variable
Solution
Minimize

Grain AGrain BGrain C

Xa
Xb
Xc
0.025
0.05
0.05
0.33
0.47
0.38

Total Cost
0.05075

7
8
9
10
11
12
13

Constraints
Protein
22
Riboflavin
16
Phosphoru 8
Magnesiu
5
Total Weig
1

28
14
7
0
1

21
25
9
6
1

LHS
3
2.35
1
0.425
0.125

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13

Slack/Surplus
0
0.35
0
0
0

Low Knock Oil Company

Variable
Solution
Cost

X100 ReX100 EcoX220 ReX220 Econ

X1
X2
X3
X4
15000 26666.67 10000 5333.33
Total Cost
30
30
34.8
34.8
1783600

Constraints
Demand Regula 1
Demand Economy
Ing. A in Regul -0.1
Ing. B in Economy

1
1

1
0.15

0.05

-0.25

LHS
25000
32000
0
0

Sign
>
>
>
<

RHS
25000
32000
0
0

Slack/Surplus
0
0
0
0

Top Speed Bicycle Company

N.O. to N.O. to N.O. to Omaha to Omaha to Omaha to
NY
Chicago
LA
NY
Chicago
LA

Variables
Values
Cost
Constraints
NY Demand
Chi. Demand
LA Demand
N.O. Supply
Omaha Supply

X11
10000
2

X12
0
3

X13
8000
5

X21
0
3

X23
7000 Total Cost
4
96000

1
1

X22
8000
1

1
1
1

1
1

LHS
10000
8000
15000
18000
15000

otal Cost

Sign
=
=
=
<
<

RHS
10000
8000
15000
20000
15000

Shipping Cost Per Unit

From\ToAlbuquerque
Boston
Cleveland
Des Moines
5
4
3
Evansville
8
4
3
Fort Lauderdal
9
7
5

Solution - Number of units shipped

Albuquerque
Boston
Cleveland
Total shipped
Supply
Des Moines
100
0
0
100
100
Evansville
0
200
100
300
300
Fort Lauderdal
200
0
100
300
300
Total receive
300
200
200
Demand
300
200
200
Total cost =

3900

Cost for Assignments

erson\Project Project 1 Project 2 Project 3
Adams
11
14
6
Brown
8
10
11
Cooper
9
12
7

Made
Project 1 Project 2 Project 3 Total pSupply
Adams
0
0
1
1
1
Brown
0
1
0
1
1
Cooper
1
0
0
1
1
Total assigne
1
1
1
Total workers
1
1
1
Total cost =

25

Frosty Machines Transshipment Problem

From\To
Toronto
Detroit
Chicago
Buffalo

Shipping Cost Per Unit

Chicago
Buffalo NYC
Phil. St.Louis
4
7
5
7
6
4
5
2
3
4

Toronto
Detroit
Chicago
Buffalo
Total receiv
Demand

Solution - Number of
Chicago
Buffalo NYC
650
150
0
300
0
450
650
450
450
450

Total cost =

9550

units shipped
Phil. St.Louis
Total shipped
Supply
800
800
300
700
350
300
650
0
0
450
350
300
350
300

9.4

Birmingham
Transportation
Enter
Enter the
the transportation
transportation data
data in
in the
the shaded
shaded area.
area. Then
Then go
go to
to the
the DATA
DATATab
Tab on
on the
the ribbon,
ribbon, click
click on
on Solver
Solver in
in the
the Data
DataAnalysis
Analysis
Group
Group and
and then
then click
click SOLVE.
SOLVE.
IfIf SOLVER
SOLVER isis not
not on
on the
the Data
Data Tab
Tab then
then please
please see
see the
the Help
Help file
file (Solver)
(Solver) for
for instructions.
instructions.

Data
COSTS
Origin 1
Origin 2
Origin 3
Origin 4
Demand
Shipments
Shipments
Origin 1
Origin 2
Origin 3
Origin 4
Column Total
Total Cost

Dest 1
73
85
88
84
10000

Dest 2
Dest 3
Dest 4
Supply
103
88
108
15000
80
100
90
6000
97
78
118
14000
79
90
99
11000
12000
15000
9000 46000 \ 46000

Dest 1
Dest 2
Dest 3
Dest 4
Row Total
10000
0
1000
4000
15000
0
1000
0
5000
6000
0
0
14000
0
14000
0
11000
0
0
11000
10000
12000
15000
9000 46000 \ 46000
3741000

Page 75

9.4

lver in
olver
in the
the Data
DataAnalysis
Analysis

Page 76

9.5

A
1

Fix-It Shop Assignment

2
3
4
5
6
7

Assignment
Enter
Enter the
the assignment
assignment costs
costs in
in the
the shaded
shaded area.
area. Then
Then go
go to
to the
the DATA
DATATab
Tab on
on the
the ribbon,
ribbon, click
click on
on
Solver
Solver in
in the
the Data
DataAnalysis
Analysis Group
Group and
and then
then click
click SOLVE.
SOLVE.
IfIf SOLVER
SOLVER isis not
not on
on the
the Data
Data Tab
Tab then
then please
please see
see the
the Help
Help file
file (Solver)
(Solver) for
for instructions.
instructions.

Data
9 COSTS
10 Adams
11 Brown
12 Cooper
8

Project 1 Project 2 Project 3

11
14
6
8
10
11
9
12
7

13
14
15
16
17
18
19

Assignments
Shipments
Project 1 Project 2 Project 3 Row Total
Adams
1
1
Brown
1
1
Cooper
1
1
Column Total
1
1
1
3

20
21

Total Cost

25

22

Page 77

Harrison Electric Integer Programming Analysis

Variables
Values
Profit

Chandeliers Fans
X1
X2
5
0
7
6

Constraints
Wiring hours
Assembly hours

2
6

3
5

Total Profit
35
LHS
10
30

Sign
<
<

RHS
12
30

Bagwell Chemical Company

Xyline (bags)Hexall (lbs)
Variables
X
Y
Values
44
20
Total Profit
Profit
85
1.5
3770
Constraints
Ingredient A
Ingredient B
Ingredient C

30
18
2

0.5
0.4
0.1

LHS
1330
800
90

sign
<
<
<

RHS
2000
800
200

Quemo Chemical Company

Catalytic Conv.
Variables
X1
Values
1
Net Present Val
25000
Constraints
Year 1
Year 2

8000
7000

Software
X2
0
18000

6000
4000

Warehouse Expan.
X3
1
NPV
32000
57000

12000
8000

LHS
20000
15000

sign
<
<

RHS
20000
16000

Sitka Manufacturing Company

Baytown
Variables
X1
Values
0
Cost
340000
Constraints
Minimum capacity
Maximum in Baytown
Maximum in L. C.
Maximum in Mobile

Lake Charles
X2
1
270000

Mobile
X3
1
290000

Baytown units
X4
0
32

1
1

-21000
-20000
-19000

L. Charles units
Mobile units
X5
X6
19000
19000
33
30

1
1

Cost
1757000
LHS
38000
0
-1000
0

Sign RHS
>
38000
<
0
<
0
<
0

Simkin, Simkin and Steinberg

Variables
X1
Values
0
Return ($1,000s) 50
Constraints
Texas
1
Foreigh Oil
California
$3 Million
480

X2
0
80

1
540

X3
1
90

X4
1
120

X5
1
110

X6
1
40

X7
0
75

1
680 1000

700

1
510

1
900

Return
360
LHS
2
1
1
2890

Sign
>
<
=
<

RHS
2
1
1
3000

Great Western Appliance

Variables
Values

MicroSelf-Clean
X1
X2
0
1000

Terms
X1
Calculated Values 0
Profit
28
Constraints
Capacity
1
Hours Available 0.5

X2
1000
21

1
0.4

X22
###
0.25

Profit
271000
LHS
1000
400

Sign RHS
< 1000
<
500

Hospicare Corp
Variables
Values

X1
###

Terms

X1

Calculated Values###

Profit
Constraints
Nursing
X-Ray
Budget

13

X2
###

X12 X1*X2 X2

X23

1/X2

###
0

###

### Total Profit

1
###

2
1
8

###
6

###
5

4
1
-2

LHS
90.00
75.00
40.33

Sign RHS
< 90
< 75
< 61

Thermlock Gaskets
Variables
Values
Cost

Value
Constraints
Hardness
Tensile Stre
Elasticity

X1
3.325
5

X2
14.672 Total Cost
7
119.333

X1

X12

X13

X2

X22

3.325

11.058

36.771

14.672

215.276

3
13
0.7

0.25

4
1
1

0.3

LHS Sign
###
>
80
>
17
>

RHS
125
80
17

Solved Problem 10-1

Variables
Values

Maximize
Constraints
Constraint 1
Constraint 2
Constraint 3
Constraint 4

X1
1
50

19
22
1
1

X2
1
45

27
13
1
-1

X3
0
48

Total
95

34
12
1
0

LHS Sign RHS

46
<
80
35
<
40
2
<
2
0
<
0

Forecasting - Exponential Smoothing

Ft+1 = Ft + (Yt-Ft)
Time Period (t)Demand (Yt) Forecast (Ft) Error = Yt - F |error|

= 0.3478

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

110
156
126
138
124
125
160

110
110
125.999999781
125.9999998571
130.1739128932
128.0264649597
126.9737815099
138.461161697

0
46.000
0.000
12.000
-6.174
-3.026
33.026
MAD=

46.000
0.000
12.000
6.174
3.026
33.026
16.704

F1 is assumed to be a perfect forecast.

MAD is based on time periods 2 through 7

General Foundry
Project Management

Precedences; 3 time estimates

Enter
Enter the
the times
times in
in the
the appropriate
appropriate column(s).
column(s). Enter
Enter the
the precedences,
precedences, one
one per
per column.
column. (Do
(Do not
not try
try to
to use
use
commas).
commas).

Data
Activity
Optimistic Likely
Pessimistic
Mean
A
1
2
3
B
2
3
4
C
1
2
3
D
2
4
6
E
1
4
7
F
1
2
9
G
3
4
11
H
1
2
3
Precedences
Immediate Predecessors (1 per column)
Activity
Time
Pred 1
Pred 2
A
2
B
3
C
2
A
D
4
B
E
4
C
F
3
C
G
5
D
E
H
2
F
G

2
3
2
4
4
3
5
2

A
Std dev
Variance
B
0.333333 0.111111
0.333333 C 0.111111
0.333333 0.111111
D
0.666667 0.444444
1 E
1
1.333333 1.777778
F
1.333333 1.777778
0.333333 G 0.111111
H
0

Slack

Early
Start

Early
Finish

0
0
2
0
4
4
8
13
Project

Early start computations

A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
Late finish computations
A
B
A
15
B
15
C
2
D
15
E
15

Late
Start

Late
Finish

2
3
4
4
8
7
13
15
15

0
12
2
4
4
10
8
13

0
0
2
0
4
4
4
7

0
0
0
0
0
0
8
13

Variance
0.111111

0
12
0
4
0
6
0
0

0.111111
1

Project
Std.dev

C
15
15
15
15
15

Slack
2
15
4
8
8
13
13
15

D
15
15
15
15
4

E
15
15
15
15
15

F
15
15
15
15
15

G
15
15
15
15
15

1.777778
0.111111
3.111111
1.763834

H
15
15
15
15
15

8
Time

Noncritical Activity

Results
Activity
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H

Gantt Chart

15
15
15
15
15

F
G
H

Graph
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H

15
15
15
2

0
0
2
0
4
4
8
13

15
15
15
15

10
15
15
4

15
8
15
8

15
8
15
8

Critical Act Noncritical Slack

2
0
0
0
3
12
2
0
0
0
4
4
4
0
0
0
3
6
5
0
0
2
0
0

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1

15
15
13
13
Graph
H
G
F
E
D
C
B
A

15
15
13
13

15
15
15
15

13
8
4
4
0
2
0
0

Critical Acti
2
5
0
4
0
2
0
2

t try
ot
try to
to use
use

Gantt Chart

lack

8
Time

Noncritical Activity

10

12

Critical Activity

14

16

Noncritical Slack
0
0
3
0
4
0
3
0

0
0
6
0
4
0
12
0

Crashing

A
3
4
5

Project Management

Crashing

Enter
Enter the
the data
data in
in the
the shaded
shaded area.
area. Then
Then go
go to
to the
the DATA
DATATab
Tab on
on the
the ribbon,
ribbon, click
click on
on Solver
Solver in
in the
the Data
DataAnalysis
Analysis Group
Group and
and then
then click
click SOLVE.
SOLVE.
IfIf SOLVER
SOLVER isis not
not on
on the
the Data
DataTab
Tab then
then please
please see
see the
the Help
Help file
file (Solver)
(Solver) for
for instructions.
instructions.

6
7

Data
Project goal

12

Results
Normal time
Minimum time

15
7

Minimum crash cost to meet project goal $

Project time

5,000.00
12

Immediate Predecessors (1 per column)

10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19

Activity
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H

Normal Normal
Time
Cost
2
###
3
###
2
###
4
###
4
###
3
###
5
###
2
###

Crash
Time
1
1
1
3
2
2
2
1

Crash
Cost
$23,000
$34,000
$27,000
$49,000
$58,000
$30,500
$86,000
$19,000

Pred 1 Pred 2

A
B
C
C
D
F

E
G

20

325907406.xls

Pred 3

Pred 4

Crash
days
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0

Intermediate
Computations
Crash
cost/da
y
Crash limit
1000
1
2000
2
1000
1
1000
1
1000
2
500
1
2000
3
3000
1
0
0

Crashing

N
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

Computations
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

325907406.xls

Crashing General Foundry Problem

Values
Minimize cost
A crash max.
B crash max.
C crash max.
D crash max.
E crash max.
F crash max.
G crash max.
H crash max.
Due date
Start
A constraint
B constraint
C constraint
D constraint
E constraint
F constraint
G constraint 1
G constraint 2
H constraint 1
H constraint 2
Finish constraint

YA YB YC YD YE YF YG YH XST XA XB XC XD XE XF XG
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
3
3
7
7
6 10
1000 2000 1000 1000 1000 500 2000 3000
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
-1
-1

1
1
1

1
1
-1

1
-1

1
-1
-1

1
1
1

1
1
-1

1
1

-1
1
1

-1
-1

XH
12

XFIN
12

1
1
-1

Totals
5000
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
12
0
2
3
2
4
4
3
5
5
6
2
0

<
<
<
<
<
<
<
<
<
=
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>

1
2
1
1
2
1
3
1
12
0
2
3
2
4
4
3
5
5
2
2
0

Arnold's Muffler Shop

Waiting Lines

M/M/1 (Single Server Model)

The
RATE
and
service
RATE
both
rates
and
use
same
Given
aa time
The
arrival
RATE
and
service
RATE
both
must
rates
and
use
the
same
time
unit.
The arrival
arrival
RATE
and
service
RATE
both must
must
be
ratesbe
and
use the
the
same
time
unit.
Given
time
The
arrival
RATE
and
service
RATE
bothbe
must
be
rates
and
usetime
theunit.
same
time
unit. Given
Given aa
such
10
convert
to
66 per
hour.
such as
as
10 minutes,
minutes,
convert ititconvert
to aa rate
rate such
such
as
persuch
hour.as
time
such
as
it
a
time
such
as 10
10 minutes,
minutes,
convert
it to
toas
a rate
rate
such
as 66 per
per hour.
hour.
Data
Results
Arrival rate ()
Average server utilization()
2
0.66667
Average
number
of
customers
in
the
queue(L
Service rate ()
3
1.33333
Average number of customers in the system(L
2
Average waiting time in the queue(Wq 0.66667
Average time in the system(Ws)
1
Probability (% of time) system is empty
(P
0.33333

Probabilities
Number
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

Probabi
lity
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###

e
Probabilit
y
0.333333
0.555556
0.703704
0.802469
0.868313
0.912209
0.941472
0.960982
0.973988
0.982658
0.988439
0.992293
0.994862
0.996575
0.997716
0.998478
0.998985
0.999323
0.999549
0.999699
0.999800

unit.
unit. Given
Given aa

Arnold's Muffler Shop

Waiting Lines

M/M/s

The
The arrival
arrival RATE
RATE and
and service
service RATE
RATE both
both must
must be
be rates
rates and
and use
use the
the same
same time
time unit.
unit. Given
Given
aa time
such
as
10
minutes,
convert
it
to
a
rate
such
as
6
per
hour.
time such as 10 minutes, convert it to a rate such as 6 per hour.
Data
Results
Arrival rate ()
Average server utilization()
2
0.33333
Average number of customers in the queue(L q) 0.08333
Service rate ()
3
Number of servers(s)

Probabilities
Number

Average number of customers in the system(L)

0.75
Average waiting time in the queue(W q)
0.04167
Average time in the system(W)
0.375
Probability (% of time) system is empty (P 0)
0.5

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

Probability
0.500000
0.333333
0.111111
0.037037
0.012346
0.004115
0.001372
0.000457
0.000152
0.000051
0.000017
0.000006
0.000002
0.000001
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14

(lam/mu)^nCumsum(n-term2
1
0.666667
1
0.222222 1.666667
0.049383 1.888889
0.00823 1.938272
0.001097 1.946502
0.000122 1.947599
1.2E-005 1.947721
9.7E-007 1.947733
7.2E-008 1.947734
4.8E-009 1.947734
2.9E-010 1.947734
1.6E-011 1.947734
8.3E-013 1.947734
3.9E-014 1.947734

Computations
n or s

Cumulative Probability
0.500000
0.833333
0.944444
0.981481
0.993827
0.997942
0.999314
0.999771
0.999924
0.999975
0.999992
0.999997
0.999999
1.000000
1.000000
1.000000
1.000000
1.000000
1.000000
1.000000
1.000000

P0(s)
2
0.3333333333
0.0634920635
0.0098765432
0.0012662235
0.0001371742
0.000012835
1.05569378546059E-006
7.74175442671098E-008
5.12020795417393E-009
3.08313597240581E-010
1.70369367459144E-011
8.69753527569206E-013
4.12575391282828E-014

0.33333
0.5
0.5122
0.51331
0.51341
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342

15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30

1.7E-015
7.3E-017
2.9E-018
1.1E-019
3.7E-021
1.2E-022
3.9E-024
1.2E-025

1.947734
1.947734
1.947734
1.947734
1.947734
1.947734
1.947734
1.947734

1.82757648408783E-015
7.59282983727312E-017
2.96998446015785E-018
1.09750556974159E-019
3.84311714656988E-021
1.27871411410371E-022
4.05275511573853E-024
1.22628006974231E-025

0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342

Rho(s)
0.666667
0.333333
0.222222
0.166667
0.133333
0.111111
0.095238
0.083333
0.074074
0.066667
0.060606
0.055556
0.051282
0.047619

Lq(s)
1.333333
0.083333
0.009292
0.001014
0.0001
8.8E-006
6.9E-007
4.9E-008
3.2E-009
1.9E-010
1.0E-011
5.1E-013
2.4E-014
1.1E-015

L(s)
2
0.75
0.675958
0.667681
0.666767
0.666675
0.666667
0.666667
0.666667
0.666667
0.666667
0.666667
0.666667
0.666667

Wq(s)
0.666667
0.041667
0.004646
0.000507
5.0E-005
4.4E-006
3.5E-007
2.5E-008
1.6E-009
9.4E-011
5.1E-012
2.6E-013
1.2E-014
5.3E-016

W(S)
1
0.375
0.337979
0.33384
0.333383
0.333338
0.333334
0.333333
0.333333
0.333333
0.333333
0.333333
0.333333
0.333333

0.044444
0.041667
0.039216
0.037037
0.035088
0.033333
0.031746
0.030303

4.4E-017
1.7E-018
6.2E-020
2.2E-021
7.2E-023
2.3E-024
6.8E-026
2.0E-027

0.666667
0.666667
0.666667
0.666667
0.666667
0.666667
0.666667
0.666667

2.2E-017
8.5E-019
3.1E-020
1.1E-021
3.6E-023
1.1E-024
3.4E-026
9.8E-028

0.333333
0.333333
0.333333
0.333333
0.333333
0.333333
0.333333
0.333333

Garcia-Golding Recycling
Waiting Lines

M/D/1 (Constant Service Times)

The
RATE
and
service
RATE
both
rates
and
use
same
Given
aa time
The
arrival
RATE
and
service
RATE
both
must
rates
and
use
the
same
time
unit.
The
arrival
RATE
and
service
RATE
bothbe
must
be
rates
and
usetime
theunit.
same
time
unit. Given
Given
The arrival
arrival
RATE
and
service
RATE
both must
must
be
ratesbe
and
use the
the
same
time
unit.
Given
time
such
as
10
itit to
aa rate
as
per
a
time
as 10convert
minutes,
it to
such as 6 per hour.
assuch
10 minutes,
minutes,
convert
toconvert
rate such
such
asa66rate
per hour.
hour.
asuch

Data
Arrival rate ()

Service rate ()

12

Results
Average server utilization()
0.667
Average number of customers in the
queue(L
0.667
Average number of customers in the
system(L
1.333
Average waiting time in the queue(W
0.083
Average time in the system(Ws)
0.167
Probability (% of time) system is empty
0.333(P

Department of Commerce
Waiting Lines

M/M/s with a finite population

The
The
arrival
rate
is
for
each
member
of
the
population.
they
go
for
service
every
20
minutes
then enter
enter 33 (per
(per
The arrival
arrival rate
rate is
is for
for each
each member
member of
of the
the population.
population. IfIfIf they
they go
go for
for service
service every
every 20
20 minutes
minutes then
then
hour).
hour).
then enter
enter 33 (per
(per hour).
hour).

Data

Results

Arrival rate () per

customer
Service rate ()

0.05
0.5

Number of servers

Population size (N)

Average server utilization()

0.436
Average number of customers in the
queue(L
0.2035
Average number of customers in the
system(L
0.6395
Average waiting time in the queue(W
0.9333
Average time in the system(Ws) 2.9333
Probability (% of time) system is empty
0.564(P
Effective arrival rate
0.218

Probabilities
Number, n
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30

Probability,
P(n)
0.5639522
0.2819761
0.1127904
0.0338371
0.0067674
0.0006767

Cumulative
Probability Number waiting
0.56395218
0.84592827
0.9587187
0.99255583
0.99932326
1

0
0
1
2
3
4

Arrival
rate(n)
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0

31

Term 1

Sum term
1
Term 2
1
1
1
0.5
1.5
0.5
0.2
0.06
0.012
0.0012

1.7732
Sum term Decum
2
term 2
P0(s)
1
0.7732
1.5
0.2732 0.563952
1.7
0.0732
1.76
0.0132
1.772
0.0012
1.7732
0

Harry's Tire Shop

Probability
0.05
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.15

NOTE: The random numbers appearing here may not be the same as the ones in th

Probability
Range
(Lower)
0
0.05
0.15
0.35
0.65
0.85

Cumulative Tires
Probability Demand
0.05
0
0.15
1
0.35
2
0.65
3
0.85
4
1
5

Results (Frequency table)

Tires
Demanded Frequency Percentage Cum %
0
0
0%
0%
1
1
10%
10%
2
2
20%
30%
3
4
40%
70%
4
1
10%
80%
5
2
20%
100%
10

Day
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

Random Simulated
Number
Demand
0.257052
2
0.858928
5
0.920262
5
0.556229
3
0.571761
3
0.555881
3
0.147062
1
0.500082
3
0.840011
4
0.22915
2
Average
3.1

not be the same as the ones in the book, but the formulas are the same.

Generating Normal Random Numbers

Random number
40.1651828907
31.4313171015
45.7301661016
39.6485715397
41.9731327856
39.6157404245
36.3608740995
35.8386988865
44.1670153559
33.0100063818
38.6897090948
38.3187592765
39.2976844327
36.9716654129
30.031431185
39.6388369865
46.2067587934
47.7608698183
39.8203323429
42.4995025033
42.5017972952
33.1315929124
41.2419898932
46.4149153028
46.033461871
31.9965017815
40.3927072138
42.1791080167
41.6329029434
33.5523323886
38.0563771234
40.0750389904
41.1055942575
40.7863540499
32.5718884892
42.5042309554
47.5670499759
37.8429048895
38.4770230121
38.3145776654
35.348209267
47.6078037123
38.6933696534
47.3830804216
38.0543289789
36.110691494
35.7824236388

NOTE: The random numbers appearing here may not be the same as the

Value
26
28
30
32
34
36
38
40
42
44
46
48
50
52
54
56

Frenquency Percentage
0
0.0%
1
0.5%
1
0.5%
11
5.5%
11
5.5%
18
9.0%
20
10.0%
34
17.0%
32
16.0%
31
15.5%
20
10.0%
13
6.5%
5
2.5%
1
0.5%
1
0.5%
1
0.5%
200

45.9359821218
34.4271168439
43.9754088187
33.1983022774
45.6385251584
36.9767900408
46.2489386032
36.5957384313
36.1796144573
39.6398846152
45.680978596
42.3762657342
44.7612992493
39.8930862527
34.5237613796
47.6028036263
46.7917857779
36.0687281369
42.4833731065
33.3389737387
35.0529008552
44.2556866608
34.3341065005
30.8453041181
45.3372701565
45.5983567793
41.1867354261
35.0413211673
40.6364868225
35.4455519838
29.3375572375
38.2541165853
41.6918434437
43.1688340672
41.3385648856
44.1729585911
26.5105543286
33.6008592726
49.0019738673
39.2520807828
42.9121705368
43.0238861429
39.3901531462
41.4683398852
37.558064251
35.9315972577
47.2241780383
35.2080173894
32.3205289649
38.2164007546

38.5973027052
42.4950178678
41.0027990921
41.9972984841
35.1762892698
42.5725289988
34.167374908
38.6252071978
31.1949821019
37.9064508885
35.3899218212
36.1716725529
38.503382119
44.6258011629
43.9399407552
35.705756253
47.6686191128
42.3543517052
40.9285357562
40.8369209719
39.4132150484
43.8491600649
40.1063865836
48.526003087
39.0851451062
39.4758781551
37.0633278552
44.8618313199
38.9731049792
48.5934366814
48.1647395768
35.808059386
47.1257360803
42.3168084893
39.252807757
42.2492686289
40.1843447477
41.1439712643
36.5247832687
41.8283485074
35.0610201773
40.0613656161
45.6579965903
52.7322585062
44.9907119022
32.2849209103
42.2107468463
42.0641595573
40.1040592284
38.4681647838

36.234827702
36.3795604795
40.2719655381
37.8213988082
37.5416833445
43.6377908217
44.0124388666
42.3555551564
54.3510635149
42.4729172223
37.7934196162
38.5221560732
34.0972928128
38.3960279182
37.4570734668
41.4739111063
41.6413457169
38.5746168006
38.7161438055
43.371705518
38.0655730033
30.1998201319
37.0903250977
42.6360824964
48.3904583965
42.4521230907
40.8318441396
40.2505935142
32.7923288475
38.0072267347
31.5355109276
40.7597181699
31.1258330387
30.3871904462
33.8200170002
41.8916973555
40.0329641457
42.9820844803
42.7265091078
42.8983473053
31.7475062478
44.4832675999
45.2143642511
38.2628425868
31.1508680344
43.2328979664
44.7645839913
41.7626876979
50.0124983445
44.5861662983

42.976108623
44.3398578143
43.9430868639

ay not be the same as the ones in the book, but the formulas are the same.

Harry's Auto Tire

Enter
you
Enter the
the values
values and
and the
the requencies
requencies in
in the
the top
top table.
table. Press
Press F9
F9 to
to run
run another
another simulation.
simulation. IfIf you
you like,
like, you
may
enter
the
random
numbers
in
the
column
labeled
"Random
number".
you
may
enter
the
random
numbers
in
the
column
labeled
"Random
number".
may
enter
the
random
numbers
in
the
column
labeled
"Random
number".
you may enter the random numbers in the column labeled "Random number".

Simulation

Data
Random Number
Sorter
Category name
0 Category 1
5 Category 2
15 Category 3
35 Category 4
65 Category 5

Expected Value
Value

85 Category 6
Total
Simulation trials
Trial
Random Number Value
1 19.0762196435
2 90.2317576576
3
13.559518382
4 61.8913863786
5 12.8206307767
6 31.5223766258
7 69.7878910927
8
6.3410711242
9 42.2426206758
10 64.4321490778
11 35.3480665479
12 58.8109685574
13 25.2759350231
14 58.6934507824
15
3.0316413613
16 70.9992556833
17 23.3627222944
18
81.858469313
19 53.4018231556
20 52.3821495008
21 34.1630692361
22 56.3088769792
23 86.1182243796
24
9.3825160759
25 40.4890813865
26
53.916655574
27
9.7080069594
28 73.0303198798

0
1
2
3
4
5

2
5
1
3
1
2
4
1
3
3
3
3
2
3
0
4
2
4
3
3
2
3
5
1
3
3
1
4

Frequency
10
20
40
60
40
30
200

Cumulative Value *
Probability Probability Frequency
0.05
0.05
0
0.1
0.15
20
0.2
0.35
80
0.3
0.65
180
0.2
0.85
160
0.15

1
Expected

150

29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74

14.358630497
29.0846493794
51.0845409473
55.3579892963
58.8855233975
26.5789330471
70.579582639
63.1500021089
45.2118484303
5.0487381406
63.4186173789
26.5545195434
90.9203005489
31.1215443304
77.0214818418
26.939074602
17.3951093107
26.8110028235
84.2142063426
98.102086829
29.9621574581
81.8513464415
2.9519547708
70.0773075921
40.0021848269
50.9992442094
90.1878242381
43.3788262773
27.2828861605
35.9924732707
44.8695754865
93.7213426456
39.8685696302
68.2679823134
76.8370816717
72.3864580737
57.5765150599
5.9796117246
56.3301268732
12.8253073199
61.4983674837
84.3395829434
10.9628441511
17.2191479476
75.241213548
32.8154358082

1
2
3
3
3
2
4
3
3
1
3
2
5
2
4
2
2
2
4
5
2
4
0
4
3
3
5
3
2
3
3
5
3
4
4
4
3
1
3
1
3
4
1
2
4
2

75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120

69.1938082688
43.8955739373
37.3361787526
48.0835476657
99.5119608007
9.9840165582
79.8432705924
7.3258321267
70.0462459587
61.3024910446
80.347177037
13.5124931345
58.3844433073
87.7517215908
40.6856183195
62.3288799543
38.2289577508
27.431572834
14.5327037433
30.1443448057
56.1130488757
78.1303043012
45.5861415481
82.342302287
64.5853100345
68.4474674286
7.490392914
13.3411923889
13.9887651429
33.7723888457
2.1329462528
31.021163892
48.899228801
23.5501237912
10.4610672453
2.7849089587
70.577708818
59.4557416625
79.10188674
59.2419400811
3.59351933
14.8937617661
63.8132068329
66.3389826193
3.9612750988
65.9489225363

4
3
3
3
5
1
4
1
4
3
4
1
3
5
3
3
3
2
1
2
3
4
3
4
3
4
1
1
1
2
0
2
3
2
1
0
4
3
4
3
0
1
3
4
0
4

121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166

50.4753727
60.6337246718
22.859189054
16.5703341365
14.7699308349
57.8475044807
42.3523369478
71.5622975724
90.6807265477
13.4763982613
43.8145179069
3.3717295853
4.7820913605
40.4999391176
47.4202738376
83.156670467
26.5138289891
93.4331734898
42.1932399506
7.2590033058
91.5776139591
3.7963354727
45.6303555053
17.3502748134
64.525508415
29.1532926261
92.9510960821
55.0940374844
94.0238580341
3.9157419465
46.9290160341
27.9845474288
96.1812498746
99.0007451037
68.6726205284
72.2143784398
34.7858850611
44.9339302024
76.9419331569
90.2376985876
45.7868149737
82.241322333
29.6097439248
66.2456970662
56.0120308073
49.4843309047

3
3
2
2
1
3
3
4
5
1
3
0
0
3
3
4
2
5
3
1
5
0
3
2
3
2
5
3
5
0
3
2
5
5
4
4
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
3
3

167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199

18.0143836653
83.3875260316
88.4381127311
31.2269852264
83.2660681568
70.8136321511
77.8647154337
87.7346049063
70.8617720287
72.0241230214
0.3838833189
48.8036243245
3.6038317718
23.8004298881
1.4092501951
43.8432483934
43.4450123925
96.6020507738
22.7470192825
37.507064105
73.6095310189
12.4425986083
10.6539424509
78.419247549
21.607104619
30.8527425863
83.0050804419
72.8771664901
45.2400144655
32.8364932444
83.6404264439
39.2383129336
69.1523437155

2
4
5
2
4
4
4
5
4
4
0
3
0
2
0
3
3
5
2
3
4
1
1
4
2
2
4
4
3
2
4
3
4

200

92.0050006127

other
you
other simulation.
simulation. IfIf you
you like,
like, you
".
mber".
".
mber".

Simulation results
Simulation
Occurrences

Value

Totals

0
1
2
3
4

13
24
36
63
44

20
200

Occurences *
Percentage Value
0.065
0
0.12
24
0.18
72
0.315
189
0.22
176
0.1
1
Average

100
561
2.805

Port of New Orleans Barge Unloadings

Day
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

Previously
delayed
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Total to
Random
be
number
Arrivals
unoaded
0.7877
4
4
0.64278
3
4
0.255879
1
2
0.365915
2
2
0.087504
0
0
0.223683
1
1
0.153291
1
1
0.139911
1
1
0.412799
2
2
0.206318
1
1

Barge Arrivals
Demand Probability Lower
CumulativeDemand
0
0.13
0
0.13
0
1
0.17
0.13
0.3
1
2
0.15
0.3
0.45
2
3
0.25
0.45
0.7
3
4
0.2
0.7
0.9
4
5
0.1
0.9
1
5

NOTE: The random numbers appearing here may not

Random Possibly
Number unloaded Unloaded
0.330994
3
3
0.211606
3
3
0.825528
4
2
0.355087
3
2
0.469205
3
0
0.114452
2
1
0.787113
4
1
0.774021
4
1
0.30136
3
2
0.909841
5
1
Unloading rates
Number Probability Lower
1
0.05
0
2
0.15
0.05
3
0.5
0.2
4
0.2
0.7
5
0.1
0.9

numbers appearing here may not be the same as the ones in the book, but the formulas are the same.

CumulativeUnloading
0.05
1
0.2
2
0.7
3
0.9
4
1
5

Three Hills Power Company

Breakdow
n number
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

Random
number
0.7236
0.8911
0.2121
0.8308
0.0733
0.0913
0.7279
0.6560
0.6820
0.7431

Demand
Time Table
between
breakdow
ns
Probability
0.5
0.05
1.0
0.06
1.5
0.16
2.0
0.33
2.5
0.21
3.0
0.19

Time
Time of
Time
between
breakdown repairperson is
breakdowns
s
free
2.5
2.5
2.5
3
5.5
5.5
1.5
7
7.5
3
10
10
1
11
11
1
12
14
2.5
14.5
15
2.5
17
17
2.5
19.5
19.5
2.5
22
22

Random
Number
0.4359
0.5135
0.3344
0.1044
0.9913
0.0687
0.0018
0.0682
0.6139
0.7935

Repair
time
2
2
2
1
3
1
1
1
2
2
Repair times

Lower
0
0.05
0.11
0.27
0.6
0.81

Cumulative
0.05
0.11
0.27
0.6
0.81
1

Demand
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3

Time
1
2
3

NOTE: The random numbers appearing here may not be the same as the ones in the book, but the formulas

Repair
ends
4.5
7.5
9.5
11
14
15
16
18
21.5
24

Repair times

Probability Lower CumulativeLead time

0.28
0.00
0.28
1
0.52
0.28
0.80
2
0.20
0.80
1.00
3

in the book, but the formulas are the same.

Three Grocery Example

Time
0
1
2
3
4
5
6

State Probabilities
American Food S Food Mart
Atlas Foods
#1
#2
#3
Matrix of Transition Probabilities
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.8
0.1
0.1
0.41
0.31
0.28
0.1
0.7
0.2
0.415
0.314
0.271
0.2
0.2
0.6
0.4176
0.3155
0.2669
0.41901
0.31599
0.265
0.419807
0.316094
0.264099
0.4202748
0.3160663
0.2636589

Accounts Receivable Example

P=

I:0
A:B

I-B=

1
0
0.6
0.4

0
1
0
0.1

0.8
-0.3

-0.2
0.8

F = (I - B) inverse

1.37931 0.344828
0.517241 1.37931

FA =

0.965517 0.034483
0.862069 0.137931

0
0
0.2
0.3

0
0
0.2
0.2

Box Filling Example

Quality Controlx bar chart

Enter
Enter the
the population
population standard
standard deviation
deviation
then
then enter
enter the
the data
data from
from each
each sample.
sample.
Finally,you
you may
may change
change the
the number
number of
of
1 Finally,
standard
deviations.
standard
deviations.
36

Number of
Sample siz
Populatio
n
standard
deviation

Data

Results
Mean

Sample 1

16

Average

16

x-bar va
16
z value
3
Sigma x 0.3333
Upper c
Center
Lower c

17
16
15

Super Cola Example

Quality Controlx bar chart
Number of
Sample si

1
5

Enter
Enter the
the mean
mean and
and range
range from
from
each
each sample.
sample.

Data

Results

Mean
Range
Sample 1
16.01
0.25
Average
16.01
0.25

Xbar
Range
x-bar valu
16.01
R bar

0.25

Upper con
16.1543 0.52875
Center li
16.01
0.25
Lower con
15.8658
0

Table

Sample
size, n
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25

Upper
Lower
Mean
Range,
Range,
Factor, A2 D4
D3
1.88
3.268
0
1.023
2.574
0
0.729
2.282
0
0.577
2.115
0
0.483
2.004
0
0.419
1.924
0.076
0.373
1.864
0.136
0.337
1.816
0.184
0.308
1.777
0.223
0.285
1.744
0.256
0.266
1.716
0.284
0.249
1.692
0.308
0.235
1.671
0.329
0.223
1.652
0.348
0.212
1.636
0.364
0.203
1.621
0.379
0.194
1.608
0.392
0.187
1.596
0.404
0.18
1.586
0.414
0.173
1.575
0.425
0.167
1.566
0.434
0.162
1.557
0.443
0.157
1.548
0.452
0.153
1.541
0.459

ARCO
Quality Control p chart
Number o
Sample s

20
100

Enter
Enter the
the sample
sample size
size then
then enter
enter the
the number
number of
of defects
defects in
in each
each sample.
sample.

Data
# Defects
1
6
2
5
3
0
4
1
5
4
6
2
7
5
8
3
9
3
1
2
1
6
1
1
1
8
1
7
1
5
1
4
1
11
1
3
1
0
2
4

Graph information
Sample 1
0.06
Sample 2
0.05
Sample 3
0
Sample 4
0.01
Sample 5
0.04
Sample 6
0.02
Sample 7
0.05
Sample 8
0.03
Sample 9
0.03
Sample 1
0.02
Sample 1
0.06
Sample 1
0.01
Sample 1
0.08
Sample 1
0.07

% Defects
0.06
0.05
0
0.01
0.04
0.02
Upper Co
0.05
Center L
0.03
Lower Co
0.03
0.02
0.06
0.01
0.08
0.07
0.05
0.04
0.11 Above UCL
0.03
0
0.04

Mean

Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample

Results
Total Sam
Total Def
Percenta
Std dev o
z value

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04

0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879

2000
80
0.04
###
3
###
0.04
0

p-chart
0.12
0.1
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
Sample

Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample
Sample

1
1
1
1
1
2

0.05
0.04
0.11
0.03
0
0.04

0
0
0
0
0
0

0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04

0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879
0.09879

chart

Sample

Quality Controlc chart

Number of

Enter
Enter the
the number
number of
of defects
defects for
for each
each of
of the
the
samples/items.
samples/items.

Data

Results
Total un
9
Total De
54
Defect rate, 6
Standard2.4495
z value
3

# Defects
Sample 1

Sample 2

Sample 3

Sample 4

Sample 5

Sample 6

Sample 7

Sample 8

Sample 9

Graph information
Sample 1
Sample 2
Sample 3
Sample 4
Sample 5
Sample 6
Sample 7
Sample 8
Sample 9

3
0
8
9
6
7
4
9
8

Upper C 13.35
Center
6
Lower C
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6

13.34847
13.34847
13.34847
13.34847
13.34847
13.34847
13.34847
13.34847
13.34847

Mean

Red Top Cab Company

c-chart
15
10
5
0
1

5
Sam

c-chart

0
1

5
6
Sample

AHP

n=

Sys.1

Sys.2

Sys.3

Sys.1

Sys.2

Sys.3

Priority

Sys.1

Sys.1

0.6923

0.7200

0.5625

0.6583

2.0423

3.1025

Sys.2

0.3333

Sys.2

0.2308

0.2400

0.3750

0.2819

0.8602

3.0512

Sys.3

0.1111

0.1667

Sys.3

0.0769

0.0400

0.0625

0.0598

0.1799

3.0086

Column Total 1.4444 4.1667

16

Hardware

Software

Wt. sum vector Consistency vector

Sys.1

Sys.2

Sys.3

Sys.1

Sys.2

Sys.3

Priority

Sys.1

0.5

0.125

Sys.1

0.0909

0.0769

0.0943

0.0874

0.2623

3.0014

Sys.2

0.2

Sys.2

0.1818

0.1538

0.1509

0.1622

0.4871

3.0028

Sys.3

Sys.3

0.7273

0.7692

0.7547

0.7504

2.2605

3.0124

Column Total

11

6.5

1.325

Vendor

Wt. sum vector

Sys.1

Sys.2

Sys.3

Sys.1

Sys.2

Sys.3

Priority

Sys.1

Sys.1

0.4615

0.4286

0.6000

0.4967

1.5330

3.0863

Sys.2

Sys.2

0.4615

0.4286

0.3000

0.3967

1.2132

3.0582

0.1667 0.3333

Sys.3

0.0769

0.1429

0.1000

0.1066

0.3216

3.0172

Column Total 2.1667 2.3333

10

Sys.3

Factor

Wt. sum vector

Hard.

Soft.

Vendor

Hardware

Software

Vendor

Priority

Hardware

0.125

0.3333

Hardware

0.0833

0.0857

0.0769

0.0820

Wt. sum vector

0.2460

3.0004

Software

Software

0.6667

0.6857

0.6923

0.6816

2.0468

3.0031

Vendor

0.3333

Vendor

0.2500

0.2286

0.2308

0.2364

0.7096

3.0011

Column Total

12

1.4583 4.3333

RI

Hardware

Software

Vendor

Priority

0.00

Sys.1

0.658

0.087

0.497

0.231

0.58

Sys.2

0.282

0.162

0.397

0.227

0.90

Sys.3

0.060

0.750

0.107

0.542

1.12

1.24

1.32

1.41

Consistency vector
Lambd

3.0541

CI

0.0270

CR

0.0466

Lambd

3.005543075

CI

0.0028

CR

0.0048

Lambd

3.0539

CI

0.0269

CR

0.0464

Lambd

3.0015

CI

0.0008

CR

0.0013

Matrix Multiplication

A=

1
1

2
2

3
0

B=

AxB =

2
1
3

1
1
2

13
4

9
3

-0.5
1

Matrix Inverse
A=

2
4

1
3

A-inverse=

1.5
-2

4
2

det(A)=

-10

Matrix Determinant
A=

3
4