Professional Documents
Culture Documents
1
NOTE: Version 1.1 of the GHG emissions associated with the 40 SRES
scenarios provided here are not completely identical to those in
Appendix VII of the SRES report as published by Cambridge University
Press (2000). In a small number of cases slight corrections were made
after the publication of the document to prevent negative emissions
which occurred as a result of the standardization procedure. The
changes, which were necessary in just a few scenarios and future
years, were relatively small. The corrected numbers presented here
are recommended for use in further impacts, adaptation and mitigation
analysis. The final gridded emissions data for sulfur dioxide,
methane, carbon monoxide, nitrous oxides, and non-methane VOCs in the
six illustrative scenarios were based on the version 1.1. emissions.
Technical Support Unit IPCC-WG3
A1 AIM
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - A1 AIM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
Population
5262
6117
6805
7493
8182
8439
8704
8538
8375
8030
7528
7056
20.9
26.7
37.9
56.5
89.1
127.1
181.3
235.1
304.7
377.4
446.6
528.5
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
50
36
111
51
38
50
38
124
53
49
38
50
155
89
73
36
62
197
134
104
26
75
231
194
143
0
75
264
239
218
0
75
302
295
331
0
60
334
335
438
0
49
369
380
581
0
39
388
410
709
0
31
387
421
798
0
25
387
432
898
285
314
405
532
669
819
1002
1180
1388
1550
1643
1741
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
93
143
73
6
50
99
167
91
8
48
134
209
147
16
38
163
238
196
30
61
179
239
298
53
85
182
226
372
81
128
186
214
465
123
193
165
188
519
125
247
148
166
578
127
315
126
149
604
116
360
103
136
590
95
368
84
125
576
78
376
10
376
12
424
15
559
23
711
40
895
82
1098
167
1347
278
1574
464
1840
662
2034
808
2128
987
2226
0.1
0.1
0.1
1.1
1.7
0.9
2.2
3.6
2.1
3.7
5.8
3.8
5.4
8.2
6.3
7.0
10.2
9.3
9.1
12.7
13.9
10.5
14.4
18.2
12.2
16.3
23.9
13.6
18.0
29.8
14.7
19.4
35.5
15.9
20.8
42.2
0.0
75.3
169.6
287.2
422.8
571.9
730.6
892.5
1051.1
1205.7
1353.1
1492.1
1459
3389
0
4296
3805
12949
1466
3404
0
4237
3842
12949
1462
3429
0
4173
3886
12949
1457
3446
74
4164
3807
12949
1454
3458
158
4164
3715
12949
1448
3478
257
4177
3554
12949
1442
3498
418
4190
3400
12949
1436
3525
484
4194
3299
12949
1429
3552
560
4199
3201
12949
1424
3568
580
4202
3173
12949
1422
3572
536
4203
3213
12949
1420
3576
495
4204
3253
12949
9.68
1.20
10.88
373
7.0
87.1
791
31
43
1002
178
39
12.12
0.52
12.64
421
7.2
100.2
337
43
48
1032
222
46
14.01
0.47
14.48
466
7.3
91.0
369
61
66
1109
266
50
14.95
0.40
15.35
458
7.4
68.9
482
77
99
1160
272
49
16.01
0.37
16.38
452
7.4
64.1
566
89
119
1214
279
48
15.70
0.30
16.00
410
7.3
46.9
654
97
127
1245
284
46
15.43
0.30
15.73
373
7.2
35.7
659
106
113
1276
289
44
14.83
0.35
15.18
341
7.1
30.7
654
114
88
1357
269
43
13.94
0.36
14.30
314
7.1
29.1
639
119
84
1499
228
41
13.10
0.39
13.49
289
7.0
27.6
614
115
95
1663
193
40
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 2 of 241
5.99
1.11
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
879
139
31
6.90
1.07
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
877
141
32
A1 AIM
Page 3 of 241
A1 AIM
OECD90 - A1 AIM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
859
919
960
1002
1043
1062
1081
1086
1091
1097
1103
1110
16.4
20.5
25.3
31.0
38.0
45.4
54.1
64.1
75.9
89.2
103.9
121.1
6
10
64
25
22
1
9
74
30
27
0
9
77
40
33
0
9
82
50
40
0
8
80
63
48
0
7
77
66
58
0
6
75
68
70
0
5
74
72
87
0
3
73
76
108
0
3
71
78
129
0
2
69
78
151
0
1
67
78
175
127
142
158
180
199
209
218
239
261
282
301
321
41
76
34
5
6
41
90
47
6
1
41
92
58
10
0
35
89
70
16
4
30
78
83
23
9
29
65
89
24
17
28
54
95
24
29
22
46
99
23
37
17
39
102
23
48
12
34
102
20
54
9
32
99
18
56
7
30
96
15
57
6
167
6
191
8
209
11
226
16
239
24
253
35
267
55
293
86
321
120
348
152
372
192
397
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.4
0.9
0.4
0.9
1.8
1.0
1.2
2.7
1.6
1.6
3.6
2.4
1.8
4.2
3.1
2.1
4.9
4.2
2.3
5.3
5.0
2.6
5.8
6.0
2.7
6.2
7.1
2.8
6.5
8.0
2.9
6.8
9.1
0.0
30.1
63.4
98.4
133.6
168.1
202.0
234.1
263.6
291.1
316.9
340.9
381
760
0
1050
838
3029
380
763
0
1053
833
3029
377
771
0
1052
828
3029
376
774
11
1053
814
3029
375
776
24
1056
798
3029
372
787
39
1062
765
3029
368
797
63
1068
733
3029
364
818
73
1061
711
3029
359
839
85
1054
690
3029
356
849
88
1050
685
3029
356
847
81
1049
695
3029
355
846
75
1048
705
3029
3.41
0.05
3.45
71
2.5
9.9
110
13
14
190
39
12
3.51
0.03
3.54
69
2.6
6.9
108
11
5
205
39
12
3.48
0.02
3.50
66
2.5
6.4
115
9
6
227
38
9
3.42
0.00
3.42
58
2.5
6.3
118
8
7
234
33
7
3.36
-0.01
3.35
52
2.4
6.3
122
9
9
241
28
6
3.06
0.01
3.06
49
2.4
6.0
123
10
11
242
24
6
2.78
0.06
2.84
47
2.3
5.7
123
12
13
243
19
6
2.56
0.11
2.67
46
2.3
5.3
124
13
16
247
17
5
2.40
0.09
2.48
44
2.2
5.0
125
14
18
254
16
5
2.24
0.07
2.31
42
2.2
4.6
125
16
20
262
15
5
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 4 of 241
2.83
0.00
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
23
179
42
13
3.20
0.00
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
58
13
23
161
36
12
A1 AIM
REF - A1 AIM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
413
419
424
430
435
429
423
406
391
374
356
339
1.1
0.8
1.5
2.9
5.3
8.1
12.4
15.6
19.6
24.0
28.6
34.2
2
9
19
19
8
4
5
10
11
8
0
5
9
18
10
0
6
9
23
13
0
5
8
31
15
0
5
7
38
20
0
4
7
46
28
0
3
7
47
33
0
2
7
49
40
0
2
7
50
46
0
1
7
50
50
0
1
6
50
55
58
38
43
50
59
70
84
91
99
105
109
113
18
22
26
1
2
12
14
18
1
4
14
12
26
2
0
14
10
33
4
1
13
7
41
6
2
12
7
48
7
4
11
6
55
8
8
9
5
56
8
10
7
4
56
8
12
5
3
56
7
14
4
3
55
6
14
3
2
54
5
15
1
71
1
51
1
56
2
64
3
72
6
86
15
103
22
112
32
122
42
129
51
134
61
139
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.8
0.6
0.5
1.1
0.7
0.6
1.5
0.8
0.7
2.1
0.9
0.7
2.6
1.0
0.7
3.2
1.1
0.8
3.7
1.1
0.8
4.3
1.1
0.8
4.9
0.0
11.0
21.8
33.7
45.1
56.3
67.1
77.2
86.5
95.2
103.3
110.9
268
341
0
966
701
2276
266
361
0
950
698
2276
265
364
0
918
728
2276
265
366
3
904
738
2276
265
367
6
894
745
2276
264
368
10
899
733
2276
263
370
16
905
722
2276
262
371
19
909
715
2276
262
371
22
912
708
2276
261
372
23
916
703
2276
260
373
21
922
700
2276
260
374
20
927
696
2276
1.05
0.20
1.24
58
0.6
12.2
8
5
8
41
15
3
1.11
0.03
1.14
61
0.6
10.8
19
8
10
41
14
3
1.13
0.01
1.14
60
0.6
7.5
29
14
14
42
15
3
1.16
-0.06
1.10
51
0.6
4.3
31
20
18
42
15
2
1.18
-0.13
1.05
42
0.6
2.4
32
21
21
43
16
2
1.08
-0.11
0.97
41
0.6
2.0
33
22
19
42
17
2
0.99
-0.09
0.90
39
0.6
1.7
33
23
15
42
17
2
0.91
-0.07
0.84
38
0.6
1.6
34
24
14
42
17
1
0.84
-0.05
0.79
36
0.5
1.6
33
25
10
43
18
1
0.78
-0.03
0.75
34
0.5
1.6
31
24
11
44
18
1
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 5 of 241
1.30
0.00
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
69
16
5
0.91
0.00
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
41
13
3
A1 AIM
ASIA - A1 AIM
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2798
3261
3556
3851
4147
4183
4220
4016
3822
3541
3194
2882
1.5
2.7
5.8
12.3
26.2
40.5
62.7
85.4
116.2
147.6
174.9
207.3
28
15
11
2
5
25
22
17
3
8
18
34
30
8
15
14
44
48
17
27
4
56
65
37
44
0
56
75
51
72
0
57
87
70
117
0
47
99
90
161
0
39
112
115
223
0
31
118
136
280
0
25
115
147
319
0
20
112
160
363
61
75
105
151
205
261
331
404
495
567
610
655
30
17
4
0
28
39
27
8
0
24
64
45
17
2
19
87
62
35
6
20
108
68
66
15
19
106
59
95
26
29
104
51
137
45
46
94
44
167
47
58
86
38
203
50
75
73
33
228
46
85
59
30
235
38
87
48
27
243
32
89
1
80
2
100
2
149
4
214
10
285
24
354
58
440
101
533
177
646
261
734
323
784
399
838
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.9
0.6
0.2
1.6
1.1
0.4
2.6
1.8
0.9
3.5
2.3
1.7
4.7
3.0
3.0
5.6
3.4
4.3
6.5
3.8
6.2
7.4
4.2
8.4
8.0
4.5
10.6
8.7
4.8
13.3
0.0
17.8
44.2
81.3
128.7
183.5
241.6
301.6
362.2
422.7
481.2
537.1
438
608
0
535
583
2164
435
606
0
522
601
2164
434
609
0
512
609
2164
433
611
17
524
579
2164
432
613
37
535
547
2164
431
615
61
535
514
2164
431
617
99
535
483
2164
430
618
115
544
455
2164
429
619
133
552
429
2164
428
621
137
556
421
2164
428
622
127
555
431
2164
428
624
117
555
441
2164
2.92
0.33
3.25
145
2.6
42.1
18
8
12
358
49
13
4.11
0.05
4.16
171
2.7
54.2
45
15
19
360
70
16
5.21
0.12
5.32
207
2.8
45.6
92
23
28
430
94
19
5.46
0.17
5.64
210
2.9
19.8
153
30
42
460
99
19
5.73
0.25
5.98
214
3.0
8.4
224
35
50
492
105
19
5.86
0.16
6.02
183
2.9
7.9
292
39
55
506
112
17
5.99
0.11
6.10
156
2.9
7.5
292
43
48
520
119
16
5.89
0.10
5.99
138
2.9
7.1
285
46
35
555
111
15
5.57
0.14
5.71
127
2.9
6.7
275
48
33
614
90
14
5.27
0.19
5.46
117
2.9
6.4
262
46
37
678
73
13
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 6 of 241
1.15
0.37
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
235
33
7
1.78
0.26
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
270
37
9
A1 AIM
ALM - A1 AIM
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1192
1519
1865
2211
2557
2761
2980
3024
3067
3013
2866
2727
1.9
2.7
5.3
10.3
19.5
31.9
52.0
69.4
92.5
116.6
139.1
165.9
14
1
17
4
4
20
2
22
9
6
20
2
38
25
15
22
4
58
43
24
22
6
78
64
36
0
7
102
84
65
0
7
133
112
117
0
6
153
125
156
0
5
176
139
210
0
4
191
147
254
0
3
196
145
278
0
2
202
144
304
40
59
100
151
205
275
369
443
532
596
623
652
5
27
9
0
14
7
36
18
0
18
16
60
46
1
19
26
77
58
4
36
29
86
108
9
55
35
94
139
20
78
42
104
178
45
110
40
94
196
45
141
38
85
215
46
181
35
78
217
42
206
30
71
200
33
211
26
65
184
26
215
2
57
3
81
4
146
6
208
12
299
26
401
59
538
100
635
168
750
238
822
282
837
335
852
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.1
0.2
0.8
0.5
0.4
1.5
1.0
0.7
2.3
1.8
0.9
3.1
2.9
1.4
4.2
4.7
1.7
5.0
6.3
2.1
6.0
8.4
2.5
6.9
10.6
2.8
7.6
12.5
1.7
6.7
12.5
0.0
16.4
40.2
73.8
115.4
164.0
219.9
279.6
338.8
396.7
451.7
503.1
371
1680
0
1745
1684
5480
385
1673
0
1711
1710
5480
384
1685
0
1690
1720
5480
383
1695
42
1683
1676
5480
382
1702
90
1680
1625
5480
381
1708
147
1681
1542
5480
381
1714
240
1682
1463
5480
380
1718
277
1681
1417
5480
379
1722
321
1680
1373
5480
379
1726
332
1678
1363
5480
378
1730
307
1676
1387
5480
378
1733
284
1674
1411
5480
0.72
0.73
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
396
48
7
1.01
0.82
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
8
2.30
0.63
2.93
99
1.3
20.0
15
5
10
413
75
11
3.40
0.40
3.80
120
1.3
25.3
39
9
14
427
99
15
4.20
0.32
4.52
134
1.3
28.4
81
14
19
410
119
19
4.91
0.29
5.20
139
1.4
35.5
139
19
32
424
124
20
5.73
0.26
5.99
144
1.4
44.1
184
23
40
439
129
21
5.70
0.25
5.94
137
1.4
28.0
205
26
42
455
131
21
5.67
0.23
5.90
130
1.4
17.8
210
28
37
472
134
21
5.47
0.21
5.68
120
1.4
13.7
210
30
23
513
124
21
5.13
0.19
5.32
107
1.4
12.8
206
31
24
588
105
21
4.81
0.16
4.97
95
1.4
12.1
196
30
26
679
88
21
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 7 of 241
A1 ASF
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - A1 ASF
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
Population
5264
6117
6827
7537
8039
8526
8704
8527
8444
8022
7282
7056
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
20.9
28.9
41.3
60.7
87.9
146.0
174.3
225.7
257.3
367.8
484.9
531.9
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
56
123
51
43
68
177
63
57
87
243
93
84
105
349
154
122
89
398
196
225
74
447
237
327
59
496
278
429
53
494
268
533
48
492
257
637
43
486
229
711
39
476
183
755
35
465
137
798
273
365
507
730
907
1085
1262
1348
1434
1469
1452
1436
97
141
74
8
0
118
202
87
14
0
154
283
126
18
2
212
381
206
26
27
368
302
278
72
57
523
223
349
117
88
679
143
421
163
119
673
87
391
191
145
667
31
361
218
171
669
3
286
252
198
680
2
166
292
224
691
1
47
332
250
6
326
9
430
16
600
23
875
44
1121
65
1366
86
1611
173
1660
259
1708
312
1719
329
1693
346
1667
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.2
1.8
0.9
2.5
4.3
1.9
4.4
7.6
3.6
7.3
11.0
6.0
11.8
13.5
9.2
17.8
15.3
13.1
24.6
16.4
17.1
31.3
16.9
20.8
37.9
17.0
24.0
44.7
17.0
26.2
51.5
17.0
27.0
0.0
75.3
170.8
306.0
488.7
709.7
960.5
1216.8
1454.8
1674.9
1878.2
2065.5
-1.8
-1.8
-1.7
-1.7
-1.7
-1.7
-1.6
-1.6
-1.5
-1.5
-1.4
-1.4
5.99
1.11
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
879
139
31
6.90
1.07
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
877
141
32
10.01
1.12
11.13
377
8.1
84.7
791
31
43
1068
165
45
14.67
1.24
15.91
444
9.6
116.5
337
43
48
1248
207
66
19.49
1.13
20.62
518
10.7
110.0
369
61
66
1567
248
83
22.60
0.98
23.59
577
11.2
84.7
482
77
99
1698
274
91
25.72
0.84
26.56
636
11.8
59.5
566
89
119
1830
301
100
24.14
0.58
24.72
616
11.5
54.0
654
97
127
1837
346
94
22.55
0.32
22.87
596
11.2
48.6
659
106
113
1845
392
88
20.97
0.18
21.15
571
10.8
46.1
654
114
88
1832
442
84
19.37
0.16
19.53
540
10.2
46.6
639
119
84
1798
497
80
17.78
0.14
17.92
510
9.7
47.0
614
115
95
1763
552
77
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 8 of 241
A1 ASF
Page 9 of 241
A1 ASF
OECD90 - A1 ASF
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
849
919
961
1003
1035
1069
1081
1085
1088
1096
1106
1110
15.7
20.1
25.2
31.0
37.8
50.1
55.0
65.2
71.0
91.7
118.0
128.4
13
69
28
24
13
88
33
29
14
95
36
35
15
95
40
42
13
87
41
52
12
80
41
62
11
72
41
72
10
68
39
86
8
63
36
101
8
62
32
115
7
65
26
129
7
68
20
144
133
163
179
192
193
195
196
202
209
217
227
238
32
77
35
7
0
29
97
40
11
0
32
107
44
12
1
39
102
52
13
8
61
72
55
18
12
83
43
59
24
17
106
13
62
30
21
93
8
57
35
26
80
3
51
39
30
78
0
39
47
35
87
0
21
57
40
96
0
4
68
45
5
157
7
184
9
205
11
224
13
233
15
241
18
250
29
247
41
244
49
249
55
260
60
272
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
1.0
0.4
0.6
2.0
0.8
1.0
3.0
1.3
1.5
3.9
1.9
2.2
4.4
2.4
3.2
4.7
3.0
4.2
4.8
3.6
5.0
4.8
4.2
5.8
4.8
4.6
6.6
4.8
4.9
7.6
4.8
5.0
0.0
30.1
63.8
100.6
140.1
180.7
220.5
257.4
289.3
317.3
343.7
369.9
2.83
0.00
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
23
179
42
13
3.20
0.00
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
58
13
23
161
36
12
3.53
0.00
3.53
77
2.7
7.9
110
13
14
169
41
14
3.82
0.00
3.82
83
3.0
8.5
108
11
5
164
45
15
4.09
0.00
4.09
92
3.0
8.2
115
9
6
152
45
15
4.02
0.00
4.02
100
3.0
7.4
118
8
7
124
42
14
3.94
0.00
3.94
108
2.9
6.7
122
9
9
97
38
13
3.44
0.00
3.44
114
2.8
6.6
123
10
11
90
41
11
2.93
0.00
2.93
121
2.7
6.4
123
12
13
83
43
10
2.66
0.00
2.66
125
2.6
6.8
124
13
16
81
48
9
2.63
0.00
2.63
126
2.6
7.5
125
14
18
86
55
9
2.60
0.00
2.60
128
2.5
8.3
125
16
20
90
62
9
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 10 of 241
A1 ASF
REF - A1 ASF
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
417
419
425
431
432
425
423
406
398
374
347
339
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.0
1.0
1.4
2.2
3.6
5.9
7.0
9.1
10.3
14.8
20.1
22.2
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
18
16
16
8
12
12
13
8
12
13
18
10
12
15
24
14
10
16
26
17
9
16
29
21
8
17
31
24
6
16
28
27
5
15
26
30
3
15
22
32
3
15
17
32
2
15
12
32
58
44
53
65
70
74
79
77
76
72
67
61
23
18
27
1
0
13
13
22
1
0
15
15
29
2
0
18
17
38
2
0
18
18
38
5
0
19
19
39
7
1
19
19
39
9
1
17
12
34
10
7
14
5
30
11
14
13
1
23
11
18
12
0
15
12
21
12
0
6
13
23
5
74
5
56
6
66
6
82
7
87
8
92
9
97
13
93
16
89
18
84
18
78
18
73
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.9
0.7
0.7
1.2
0.9
0.8
1.6
1.1
1.0
2.0
1.2
1.2
2.4
1.4
1.3
2.7
1.5
1.3
3.0
1.6
1.3
3.1
1.8
1.3
3.2
0.0
11.0
21.0
32.8
45.9
58.8
70.9
81.7
90.7
98.2
104.1
108.7
1.30
0.00
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
69
16
5
0.91
0.00
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
41
13
3
1.07
0.00
1.07
45
0.6
10.5
8
5
8
42
17
3
1.29
0.00
1.29
59
0.7
10.1
19
8
10
41
25
4
1.34
0.00
1.34
81
0.7
8.8
29
14
14
47
29
5
1.25
0.00
1.25
102
0.7
6.9
31
20
18
48
28
5
1.16
0.00
1.16
124
0.7
5.0
32
21
21
49
28
4
0.99
0.00
0.99
121
0.6
4.0
33
22
19
48
28
4
0.82
0.00
0.82
118
0.6
3.0
33
23
15
47
28
3
0.67
0.00
0.67
108
0.6
2.2
34
24
14
47
31
2
0.53
0.00
0.53
91
0.5
1.7
33
25
10
48
35
2
0.39
0.00
0.39
73
0.5
1.1
31
24
11
49
40
2
Population
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 11 of 241
A1 ASF
ASIA - A1 ASF
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2780
3261
3572
3884
4073
4181
4220
4012
3913
3538
3033
2882
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.7
3.5
7.2
14.1
24.2
47.5
59.5
79.6
92.2
134.9
175.7
191.9
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
24
15
3
6
42
37
8
13
59
72
21
25
73
133
53
43
57
161
72
110
42
190
92
177
26
218
111
243
23
219
106
290
20
220
101
337
17
217
88
363
15
210
69
368
13
202
50
374
48
100
177
301
400
500
599
638
677
685
662
638
36
19
4
0
0
67
46
11
1
0
92
89
28
4
0
129
144
68
9
11
211
110
107
38
21
293
77
145
67
31
375
43
184
96
41
365
26
168
108
44
356
9
152
120
47
348
0
118
133
53
342
0
66
147
63
336
0
13
161
73
5
64
5
130
8
221
11
371
24
511
38
650
51
789
95
806
139
823
161
814
162
780
163
746
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.6
0.3
0.1
1.4
1.0
0.3
2.5
2.2
0.7
4.2
3.4
1.6
6.7
4.3
2.9
10.1
4.9
4.5
13.8
5.2
6.3
17.4
5.4
7.9
20.9
5.4
9.2
24.3
5.4
10.1
27.7
5.4
10.4
0.0
17.8
47.4
100.9
183.7
290.5
415.8
546.1
668.3
782.2
887.9
985.5
1.15
0.37
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
235
33
7
1.78
0.26
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
270
37
9
3.55
0.34
3.89
146
3.2
47.2
18
8
12
374
43
16
6.41
0.39
6.80
167
4.1
67.9
45
15
19
471
54
27
9.43
0.33
9.76
190
4.7
58.5
92
23
28
629
66
36
11.34
0.26
11.60
206
5.0
38.4
153
30
42
711
75
42
13.26
0.19
13.45
222
5.4
18.3
224
35
50
792
84
47
12.50
0.13
12.62
208
5.2
15.6
292
39
55
802
95
44
11.73
0.07
11.80
193
5.0
12.9
292
43
48
811
105
40
10.95
0.03
10.98
183
4.7
11.7
285
46
35
804
115
37
10.15
0.01
10.16
179
4.4
12.0
275
48
33
778
123
35
9.35
0.00
9.34
174
4.0
12.3
262
46
37
753
132
32
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 12 of 241
A1 ASF
ALM - A1 ASF
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1218
1519
1869
2218
2500
2851
2980
3023
3044
3013
2795
2727
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
2.6
4.3
7.4
13.3
22.3
42.5
52.8
71.8
83.8
126.6
171.2
189.4
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
1
23
5
5
2
40
9
8
3
63
18
14
5
106
37
24
8
134
56
46
11
161
76
68
14
189
95
90
15
191
95
130
15
193
94
170
15
192
87
202
15
186
71
225
14
180
55
249
34
58
98
172
244
316
388
430
473
495
497
499
5
26
9
0
0
9
45
14
0
0
15
72
25
1
1
26
118
48
2
8
77
101
78
11
24
128
85
107
19
40
179
68
136
28
56
198
42
132
38
68
217
15
128
48
81
230
2
106
61
91
238
1
65
75
100
246
1
24
90
110
5
44
5
74
7
121
8
211
13
304
17
396
22
489
49
528
77
566
96
586
108
588
120
590
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.4
0.1
0.2
1.0
0.3
0.4
1.9
0.7
0.9
3.0
1.3
1.9
3.9
2.2
3.5
4.7
3.5
5.4
5.2
4.8
7.5
5.4
6.1
9.7
5.5
7.3
12.1
5.5
8.1
14.5
5.5
8.5
0.0
16.4
38.7
71.8
119.0
179.7
253.3
331.6
406.5
477.2
542.4
601.4
0.72
0.73
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
396
48
7
1.01
0.82
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
8
1.86
0.78
2.63
109
1.6
16.1
15
5
10
483
64
12
3.15
0.85
4.00
135
1.9
27.1
39
9
14
572
82
19
4.63
0.80
5.42
155
2.3
31.5
81
14
19
738
107
27
5.99
0.72
6.71
168
2.5
29.0
139
19
32
815
129
31
7.36
0.65
8.00
182
2.8
26.4
184
23
40
892
151
36
7.21
0.45
7.66
173
2.8
24.9
205
26
42
898
183
36
7.07
0.25
7.32
164
2.9
23.3
210
28
37
904
216
35
6.68
0.15
6.83
155
2.8
22.5
210
30
23
900
249
35
6.06
0.14
6.21
145
2.8
22.4
206
31
24
886
283
34
5.44
0.14
5.58
135
2.7
22.3
196
30
26
872
317
33
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 13 of 241
A1 IMAGE
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - A1 IMAGE
1990
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
1990 US$/c
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
7047
5280
6122
6892
7618
8196
8547
8708
8671
8484
8142
7663
21.0
3971.0
26.7
4357.0
37.9
5503.0
55.9
7342.0
81.2
9907.0
116.2
13598.0
163.5
18772.0
219.4
25300.0
283.2
33383.0
365.2
44853.0
446.4
58248.0
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
54
43
106
46
39
2
289
59
44
119
55
55
4
336
65
45
146
73
88
11
429
63
52
177
84
147
29
551
59
59
198
90
220
50
677
50
66
213
100
307
68
804
40
69
209
119
373
85
895
38
65
204
134
410
93
944
35
59
200
145
427
93
959
32
52
190
154
428
92
950
29
47
175
157
408
91
907
25
40
161
156
376
85
843
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal
Oil
Gas
Non-Fossil Electric
Biomass
105
129
62
8
3
111
143
73
14
4
129
187
117
23
12
170
242
163
39
35
245
285
188
61
69
298
300
222
91
102
301
348
259
128
129
271
352
278
162
141
237
340
283
193
138
198
320
278
218
133
163
280
264
230
128
129
237
244
230
116
61
368
69
416
77
544
76
725
74
923
68
1080
59
1224
58
1262
56
1246
54
1201
51
1116
48
1002
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.1
1.3
0.6
2.3
3.0
1.6
3.7
5.1
3.0
5.8
7.8
4.8
8.5
10.7
6.8
11.6
14.0
9.2
14.5
17.5
11.9
17.0
21.0
14.7
19.2
24.3
17.5
21.0
27.3
20.3
22.4
29.9
22.8
0.0
75.3
161.5
268.4
404.0
567.1
748.7
934.5
1116.8
1291.7
1451.8
1594.1
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
2.1
1.7
2.7
4.0
5.3
5.8
5.9
5.7
5.2
5.2
5.2
Land Use
Million ha
1435
3435
8
4277
3916
13071
1382
3295
10
4266
4119
13071
1450
3313
26
4224
4058
13071
1524
3362
82
4251
3853
13071
1573
3381
177
4147
3793
13071
1571
3271
274
4132
3824
13071
1530
3064
374
4173
3931
13071
1490
2849
404
4256
4072
13071
1439
2705
391
4362
4174
13071
1355
2597
384
4490
4246
13071
1295
2505
367
4564
4340
13071
5.99
1.11
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
879
139
31
6.90
1.07
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
877
141
32
8.50
0.77
9.27
360
7.5
77.5
791
31
43
832
144
38
11.10
1.01
12.11
423
8.6
90.9
337
43
48
978
157
48
14.30
0.71
15.00
475
9.3
108.5
369
61
66
1054
163
57
17.60
0.02
17.61
499
9.9
121.0
482
77
99
913
159
63
18.70
0.02
18.71
512
10.3
119.5
566
89
119
949
158
63
18.40
0.05
18.45
523
10.3
114.8
654
97
127
1012
154
63
17.80
0.22
18.02
525
10.2
106.8
659
106
113
1089
152
61
16.40
0.56
16.96
513
9.8
95.5
654
114
88
1141
149
57
14.60
0.47
15.07
488
9.7
83.0
639
119
84
1110
142
51
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
CFC/HFC/HCFC MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
Page 14 of 241
518.8
73621.0 NOT ppp-corrected
1208 Arable land for crops excluding energy crops and grass & fodder species
2347 Permanent pasture: FAO category 'land for grass & fodder species'
334
4700
4483
13071
12.90
0.50 Approximate calculation from complex land-use module
13.39
452
9.1
71.2
614
115
95
1080
133
45
A1 IMAGE
Page 15 of 241
A1 IMAGE
OECD90 - A1 IMAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100 Remarks
799
849
890
932
965
990
1001
1005
1009
1020
1029
1032
16.5
20648.9
20.2
23840.3
26.9
30131.7
35.6
38187.4
44.3
45863.7
53.0
53609.2
62.4
62283.6
71.3
70840.8
77.9
77152.1
88.7
87018.1
101.2
98251.1
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
5
8
57
24
24
2
120
5
7
62
27
36
3
141
5
7
68
30
52
5
168
5
8
71
31
66
10
191
5
8
67
32
74
16
203
5
8
61
35
76
22
207
5
8
53
40
76
26
208
5
8
49
43
76
27
207
4
8
47
45
75
27
207
4
8
46
49
76
26
209
4
8
44
52
77
26
212
4
8
42
55
78
26
214
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal
Oil
Gas
Non-Fossil Electric
Biomass
37
67
28
7
2
47
76
36
12
3
51
84
46
19
5
51
88
52
29
10
51
84
51
36
16
48
67
51
40
23
46
65
53
42
25
42
60
55
45
28
37
57
56
46
28
35
56
58
48
27
32
54
61
51
28
30
50
64
54
24
10
151
10
183
10
216
11
240
11
248
11
240
11
242
11
240
11
236
11
235
11
237
11
233
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.8
0.7
0.7
1.3
1.2
1.1
1.9
1.7
1.6
2.6
2.3
2.1
3.4
3.1
2.5
4.1
4.3
3.0
4.8
5.5
3.6
5.5
6.7
4.1
6.1
7.9
4.6
6.7
9.1
5.1
0.0
30.1
62.6
95.4
127.6
159.5
191.6
223.7
256.0
288.6
321.4
354.6
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.6
0.9
1.2
1.5
1.6
1.6
1.7
1.7
Land Use
Million ha
379
786
3
1115
955
3238
379
676
1
1167
1016
3238
378
584
3
1215
1059
3238
385
516
9
1259
1070
3238
382
487
20
1273
1076
3238
383
479
32
1272
1073
3238
391
472
43
1263
1070
3238
394
467
51
1256
1071
3238
395
462
55
1250
1076
3238
395
458
52
1252
1081
3238
399
459
52
1245
1083
3238
2.83
0.00
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
23
179
42
13
3.20
0.00
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
58
13
23
161
36
12
3.20
0.10
3.30
78
2.7
13.4
110
13
14
177
37
13
3.20
0.06
3.26
81
2.7
12.5
108
11
5
182
37
13
3.20
-0.03
3.17
83
2.7
10.9
115
9
6
180
34
12
3.20
0.02
3.22
85
2.7
10.1
118
8
7
180
33
10
3.20
0.00
3.20
88
2.8
9.4
122
9
9
173
30
9
3.20
0.03
3.22
89
2.8
9.1
123
10
11
172
27
9
3.20
0.04
3.24
89
2.8
8.8
123
12
13
169
26
8
3.20
0.07
3.27
91
2.8
8.9
124
13
16
173
25
9
3.20
0.10
3.30
91
2.9
9.0
125
14
18
179
25
9
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
1990 US$/c
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
Page 16 of 241
114.6
111071.1 NOT ppp-corrected
394 Arable land for crops excluding energy crops and grass & fodder species
453 Permanent pasture: FAO category 'land for grass & fodder species'
43
1262
1087
3238
3.20
0.13 Approximate calculation from complex land-use module
3.33
86
2.9
8.9
125
16
20
177
23
8
A1 IMAGE
REF - A1 IMAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100 Remarks
412
429
437
443
445
443
432
419
401
384
365
347
1.0
2307.2
0.7
1657.3
1.0
2378.6
2.0
4378.7
3.5
7868.6
5.9
13380.5
9.2
21343.7
13.0
30936.4
17.2
42882.5
22.7
59159.7
28.4
77741.4
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
3
14
21
15
9
0
62
2
10
12
11
5
1
41
2
7
12
10
7
1
40
2
6
15
12
15
1
50
2
5
16
12
22
2
59
2
6
16
11
30
3
68
2
5
15
11
34
4
71
2
5
15
10
34
4
70
2
5
14
10
32
4
67
1
4
13
10
31
4
63
1
4
12
9
29
4
59
1
3
11
9
27
4
56
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal
Oil
Gas
Non-Fossil Electric
Biomass
36
28
25
1
1
19
14
15
1
1
15
16
16
1
1
16
20
23
3
2
20
23
27
6
3
27
26
28
9
6
28
30
25
11
6
25
29
22
11
6
22
27
20
12
6
18
25
17
12
7
15
23
17
12
7
11
20
13
12
9
4
95
3
52
3
52
3
67
3
82
4
99
4
103
4
98
4
90
4
84
4
77
4
70
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.5
0.3
0.4
0.7
0.4
0.6
1.0
0.5
1.1
1.4
0.7
1.7
1.8
1.0
2.4
2.3
1.2
3.0
2.7
1.5
3.6
3.0
1.8
4.3
3.3
2.1
4.9
3.4
2.3
5.4
0.0
11.0
20.1
29.7
40.0
51.7
65.4
79.5
93.0
106.4
119.4
131.9
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.4
0.2
0.5
0.8
1.2
1.4
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.4
1.4
Land Use
Million ha
278
392
1
1146
461
2278
223
307
0
1174
574
2278
229
329
1
1167
551
2278
227
339
6
1250
455
2278
224
333
19
1242
460
2278
218
310
46
1238
466
2278
207
279
84
1238
471
2278
199
258
87
1233
501
2278
189
238
92
1227
532
2278
179
234
83
1226
556
2278
169
226
83
1218
582
2278
1.30
0.00
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
69
16
5
0.91
0.00
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
41
13
3
0.91
-0.01
0.90
41
0.5
9.4
8
5
8
34
12
3
1.11
-0.09
1.02
51
0.6
9.7
19
8
10
38
12
3
1.31
-0.27
1.04
57
0.6
9.6
29
14
14
45
12
4
1.61
-0.30
1.31
58
0.7
10.6
31
20
18
52
13
4
1.61
-0.18
1.43
52
0.7
10.6
32
21
21
55
12
4
1.41
-0.03
1.38
52
0.7
9.9
33
22
19
56
12
4
1.31
0.02
1.33
51
0.7
8.9
33
23
15
56
12
4
1.21
0.15
1.36
47
0.6
7.8
34
24
14
56
12
4
1.01
0.24
1.25
43
0.6
6.8
33
25
10
54
11
3
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
1990 US$/c
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
Page 17 of 241
34.3
98993.7 NOT ppp-corrected
164 Arable land for crops excluding energy crops and grass & fodder species
221 Permanent pasture: FAO category 'land for grass & fodder species'
92
1200
600
2278
0.91
0.35 Approximate calculation from complex land-use module
1.26
40
0.6
5.8
31
24
11
52
11
3
A1 IMAGE
ASIA - A1 IMAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100 Remarks
2886
Population
Million
2781
3246
3609
3929
4142
4235
4220
4088
3871
3594
3262
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
1990 US$/c
1.4
337.2
2.7
531.9
4.7
873.7
8.7
1553.2
16.1
2837.7
28.8
5139.5
48.2
8819.4
73.2
13804.2
103.0
19837.3
139.3
27431.3
173.5
35626.4
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
29
20
12
2
4
0
68
33
24
21
8
9
1
96
33
26
29
17
20
3
127
30
29
38
23
42
12
174
26
32
49
27
75
23
232
20
35
59
30
119
33
295
14
33
58
39
150
40
334
13
30
57
45
166
42
352
11
27
55
47
173
40
352
10
23
51
49
171
38
341
8
19
46
47
159
35
314
7
15
42
43
139
31
277
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal
Oil
Gas
Non-Fossil Electric
Biomass
28
16
4
0
0
42
27
12
1
1
53
40
29
2
4
71
59
52
6
14
99
77
76
14
31
126
76
87
32
52
125
96
94
55
61
108
98
110
75
62
91
92
98
91
55
70
84
88
104
53
50
71
86
107
46
36
57
65
102
36
30
79
34
116
36
163
33
235
29
326
24
397
18
449
17
468
15
442
14
413
13
373
12
308
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.8
0.4
0.2
1.3
0.7
0.4
1.9
1.1
0.7
2.7
1.5
1.1
3.6
1.8
1.5
4.5
2.2
2.1
5.1
2.5
2.5
5.7
2.8
3.0
6.1
3.0
3.5
6.4
3.2
3.8
0.0
17.8
42.1
76.2
123.5
184.2
251.8
317.7
378.5
432.7
478.4
515.6
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.6
0.7
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.4
0.7
Land Use
Million ha
382
561
1
488
545
1976
386
664
1
397
527
1976
396
692
3
369
515
1976
413
747
15
331
470
1976
428
770
53
286
439
1976
430
778
95
252
421
1976
409
697
142
244
484
1976
394
626
141
273
543
1976
372
601
117
335
551
1976
327
560
129
403
557
1976
306
539
126
438
566
1976
2.58
0.24
2.82
136
2.9
29.9
18
8
12
294
40
12
3.68
0.32
4.00
157
3.4
33.6
45
15
19
332
45
16
5.08
0.40
5.48
181
3.8
39.5
92
23
28
406
50
21
6.38
0.29
6.66
198
4.1
42.9
153
30
42
378
51
24
6.58
0.27
6.85
206
4.1
39.4
224
35
50
403
51
23
6.18
0.16
6.33
206
4.0
35.8
292
39
55
418
49
22
5.68
0.14
5.82
202
3.9
32.2
292
43
48
426
47
21
4.88
0.15
5.02
191
3.6
27.3
285
46
35
421
44
18
3.98
0.14
4.12
183
3.5
21.9
275
48
33
420
42
16
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
Page 18 of 241
200.7
44069.4 NOT ppp-corrected
1.15
0.37
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
235
33
7
1.78
0.26
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
270
37
9
267 Arable land for crops excluding energy crops and grass & fodder species
473 Permanent pasture: FAO category 'land for grass & fodder species'
97
515
624
1976
3.28
0.06 Approximate calculation from complex land-use module
3.33
166
3.1
17.6
262
46
37
385
39
13
A1 IMAGE
ALM - A1 IMAGE
1990
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
1990 US$/c
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100 Remarks
2783
1287
1597
1954
2315
2643
2879
3055
3159
3202
3145
3006
2.1
1653.4
3.0
1901.8
5.4
2738.2
9.8
4210.1
17.3
6556.0
28.5
9905.2
43.7
14317.2
62.0
19627.9
85.2
26606.2
114.4
36388.5
143.3
47686.9
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
16
1
15
4
2
0
39
20
3
23
9
4
0
58
25
5
37
17
9
1
94
26
9
53
18
24
5
135
26
13
67
19
50
9
184
24
17
77
23
81
11
233
20
22
82
30
112
15
281
19
22
84
36
133
20
315
18
20
85
43
147
22
334
17
17
81
47
151
24
336
15
16
73
48
144
26
322
13
14
65
49
132
24
296
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal
Oil
Gas
Non-Fossil Electric
Biomass
3
17
6
0
0
4
27
10
0
0
10
47
26
1
2
32
75
37
2
9
75
101
34
5
20
97
131
56
11
21
102
157
88
20
36
97
165
91
31
45
87
165
109
43
49
75
155
115
54
45
66
132
100
60
47
52
109
102
62
46
18
43
22
64
28
114
29
183
30
266
29
344
26
429
26
456
25
478
24
469
23
428
21
391
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.6
0.1
0.2
1.6
0.4
0.4
2.8
0.8
0.9
4.4
1.3
1.8
6.3
2.0
2.7
8.1
2.8
3.6
9.8
3.8
4.3
11.5
4.9
5.0
13.0
6.2
5.5
14.3
7.3
5.9
15.4
8.4
0.0
16.4
36.8
67.2
112.9
171.6
239.9
313.6
389.3
464.0
532.6
592.1
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
1.2
1.0
1.6
2.1
2.6
2.5
2.4
2.3
1.9
1.8
1.6
Land Use
Million ha
397
1697
2
1529
1955
5579
394
1648
8
1529
2001
5579
447
1708
19
1472
1933
5579
499
1760
53
1410
1857
5579
540
1790
85
1346
1818
5579
540
1704
101
1370
1864
5579
523
1617
105
1429
1906
5579
503
1499
125
1494
1958
5579
483
1403
127
1552
2014
5579
455
1345
120
1608
2051
5579
421
1281
106
1662
2109
5579
384 Arable land for crops excluding energy crops and grass & fodder species
1201 Permanent pasture: FAO category 'land for grass & fodder species'
102
1722
2171
5579
1.81
0.44
2.25
105
1.5
21.8
15
5
10
326
55
10
3.11
0.73
3.84
134
2.0
32.0
39
9
14
425
63
15
4.71
0.60
5.31
154
2.3
45.5
81
14
19
422
67
21
6.41
0.01
6.42
158
2.5
54.4
139
19
32
302
62
24
7.31
-0.08
7.24
166
2.8
57.2
184
23
40
317
65
26
7.61
-0.10
7.51
176
2.9
57.0
205
26
42
365
66
28
7.61
0.02
7.63
183
2.9
53.9
210
28
37
437
67
28
7.11
0.20
7.31
184
2.9
48.5
210
30
23
490
68
26
6.41
-0.01
6.41
171
2.8
42.4
206
31
24
456
64
24
5.51
-0.03 Approximate calculation from complex land-use module
5.48
160
2.6
35.9
196
30
26
465
60
21
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
Page 19 of 241
169.2
60795.4 NOT ppp-corrected
0.72
0.73
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
396
48
7
1.01
0.82
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
8
A1 MESSAGE
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - A1 MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
Population
5262
6117
6888
7617
8182
8531
8704
8667
8463
8125
7658
7056
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
20.9
25.7
26.7
33.3
37.9
47.1
56.5
66.6
89.1
96.6
135.2
138.9
181.3
181.0
247.6
240.7
313.8
304.2
383.3
372.2
455.9
443.0
528.5
513.9
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
38
42
111
41
35
8
275
28
58
125
48
47
10
316
22
59
160
67
70
20
398
16
67
204
85
107
38
517
10
73
254
104
164
58
662
7
70
303
135
232
84
830
5
48
357
164
311
122
1005
0
35
396
199
414
169
1213
0
29
403
210
536
234
1413
0
26
365
202
647
320
1560
0
24
308
158
745
422
1657
0
15
254
96
859
525
1749
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
91
128
71
7
46
105
155
85
9
47
120
172
128
12
63
157
198
178
19
87
194
225
250
34
120
227
250
320
55
155
210
281
378
84
204
182
333
445
126
251
192
326
482
185
315
213
253
456
247
394
200
184
398
306
438
192
138
350
358
475
8
352
13
415
29
524
52
689
78
901
134
1141
240
1397
371
1707
534
2035
730
2292
945
2472
1172
2683
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.9
1.4
0.7
2.0
3.0
1.6
3.2
4.7
2.9
4.8
6.7
4.7
6.7
8.9
7.1
9.0
11.4
10.3
11.1
14.2
14.1
12.9
17.6
18.6
14.8
20.8
23.4
17.0
23.4
28.0
19.0
25.2
31.9
0.0
75.3
162.0
262.8
383.6
528.0
688.0
859.3
1041.9
1224.6
1390.9
1537.3
1459
3389
0
4296
3805
12949
1466
3404
0
4237
3842
12949
1462
3429
0
4173
3886
12949
1457
3446
74
4164
3807
12949
1454
3458
158
4164
3715
12949
1448
3478
288
4177
3558
12949
1442
3498
418
4190
3400
12949
1436
3525
492
4194
3301
12949
1429
3552
566
4199
3203
12949
1424
3568
581
4202
3173
12949
1422
3572
538
4203
3213
12949
1420
3576
495
4204
3253
12949
8.31
1.04
9.36
362
6.1
65.8
791
31
43
1022
164
39
10.56
0.26
10.81
418
6.1
62.2
337
43
48
1218
194
50
13.21
0.12
13.33
486
6.2
61.8
369
61
66
1412
211
60
15.51
0.05
15.56
517
6.3
59.6
482
77
99
1659
235
71
16.47
-0.02
16.45
531
6.3
49.4
566
89
119
1925
259
80
17.84
-0.03
17.81
502
6.2
45.4
654
97
127
2173
282
90
18.73
-0.03
18.70
477
6.1
43.2
659
106
113
2380
276
95
17.86
-0.03
17.83
451
6.0
40.4
654
114
88
2548
234
90
15.46
-0.01
15.44
400
5.9
35.9
639
119
84
2568
188
81
13.83
0.00
13.83
347
5.8
31.4
614
115
95
2532
137
74
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
5.99
1.11
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
879
139
31
6.90
1.07
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
877
141
32
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
Page 20 of 241
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1 marker run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
A1 MESSAGE
Page 21 of 241
A1 MESSAGE
OECD90 - A1 MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
859
919
965
1007
1043
1069
1081
1084
1089
1098
1108
1110
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
16.4
14.1
20.5
17.7
25.3
21.8
31.0
26.9
38.0
33.0
46.1
40.1
54.1
47.2
65.5
57.2
76.9
67.3
90.3
79.2
105.7
92.9
121.1
106.6
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
13
66
22
22
1
124
0
13
68
28
28
1
138
0
7
73
35
38
4
157
0
3
78
40
50
9
180
0
2
77
44
62
12
197
0
1
75
44
70
17
207
0
0
70
43
81
24
218
0
0
67
41
97
34
240
0
0
55
40
117
50
262
0
0
45
36
132
70
282
0
0
36
24
150
93
303
0
0
27
12
172
109
320
38
72
33
6
6
36
82
45
7
9
39
79
60
9
14
42
80
76
10
20
44
75
87
14
27
32
67
96
20
34
20
58
97
27
42
11
55
107
38
44
6
43
118
48
44
5
35
118
56
40
3
28
108
60
41
2
25
113
59
52
4
159
6
184
12
210
16
243
22
269
35
283
59
303
81
335
114
372
156
409
211
450
246
497
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.8
0.4
0.7
1.6
0.8
1.1
2.4
1.4
1.5
3.2
2.2
2.0
3.9
3.0
2.3
4.6
4.0
2.5
5.2
5.0
2.6
5.7
6.0
2.7
6.2
7.2
2.7
6.5
8.4
2.7
6.8
9.5
0.0
30.1
63.4
99.6
137.7
174.0
205.5
234.1
261.8
288.1
311.7
333.4
381
760
0
1050
838
3029
380
763
0
1053
833
3029
377
771
0
1052
828
3029
376
774
11
1053
814
3029
375
776
24
1056
798
3029
372
787
44
1062
765
3029
368
797
63
1068
733
3029
364
818
74
1061
712
3029
359
839
86
1054
691
3029
356
849
88
1050
685
3029
356
847
81
1049
695
3029
355
846
75
1048
705
3029
3.43
0.04
3.46
71
2.4
9.7
110
13
14
194
39
14
3.76
0.02
3.78
71
2.4
3.7
108
11
5
218
41
16
3.84
0.00
3.83
71
2.4
2.3
115
9
6
217
37
16
3.44
-0.02
3.41
68
2.4
1.5
118
8
7
217
33
15
2.94
-0.04
2.89
65
2.4
1.1
122
9
9
214
28
14
2.82
0.00
2.83
63
2.3
2.2
123
10
11
206
27
13
2.66
0.05
2.71
63
2.3
2.0
123
12
13
200
25
13
2.49
0.06
2.55
63
2.3
2.7
124
13
16
186
21
12
2.15
0.04
2.18
62
2.2
3.1
125
14
18
149
14
11
2.14
0.01
2.15
63
2.2
4.4
125
16
20
151
9
11
Population
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
2.83
0.00
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
23
179
42
13
3.20
0.00
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
58
13
23
161
36
12
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
Page 22 of 241
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1 marker run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
A1 MESSAGE
REF - A1 MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
413
419
427
433
435
433
423
409
392
374
357
339
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.1
2.6
0.8
2.2
1.5
3.1
2.9
4.3
5.3
6.0
8.8
8.8
12.4
12.4
16.2
16.2
20.0
20.0
24.4
24.4
29.3
29.3
34.2
34.2
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
9
15
14
6
7
50
0
5
10
11
6
6
38
0
4
10
15
7
7
42
0
3
10
17
10
10
50
0
2
11
20
14
12
59
0
1
10
26
20
15
72
0
0
11
29
27
17
85
0
0
10
33
32
17
92
0
0
10
32
38
19
99
0
0
11
25
45
23
103
0
0
15
16
51
26
108
0
0
21
7
56
28
112
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
19
20
27
1
2
15
15
22
1
1
12
13
30
1
1
14
12
32
1
2
17
12
38
1
3
30
12
42
2
5
32
12
50
3
8
26
13
67
4
10
13
13
81
5
14
8
9
79
6
21
17
7
63
7
32
19
5
53
8
47
1
70
1
54
2
58
4
64
6
77
9
99
16
121
19
138
26
151
37
160
49
173
55
187
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.5
0.8
0.6
0.6
1.1
0.7
0.7
1.5
1.0
0.8
1.9
1.4
0.9
2.4
1.7
1.1
3.1
1.8
1.2
3.9
1.9
1.3
4.7
2.1
1.4
5.3
0.0
11.0
21.0
31.4
41.9
54.7
69.5
85.4
101.6
116.5
130.3
143.3
268
341
0
966
701
2276
266
361
0
950
698
2276
265
364
0
918
728
2276
265
366
3
904
738
2276
265
367
6
894
745
2276
264
368
11
899
733
2276
263
370
16
905
722
2276
262
371
19
909
715
2276
262
371
22
912
709
2276
261
372
23
916
703
2276
260
373
21
922
700
2276
260
374
20
927
696
2276
0.91
0.18
1.09
44
0.6
7.5
8
5
8
53
16
3
0.96
0.01
0.97
48
0.6
4.7
19
8
10
61
20
4
1.14
0.00
1.14
55
0.6
3.0
29
14
14
79
25
5
1.50
-0.08
1.42
58
0.6
3.9
31
20
18
112
33
7
1.67
-0.15
1.52
58
0.6
3.9
32
21
21
151
41
8
1.79
-0.12
1.67
62
0.6
3.2
33
22
19
157
47
9
1.65
-0.09
1.56
60
0.6
2.6
33
23
15
152
48
10
1.49
-0.07
1.42
53
0.6
2.7
34
24
14
128
42
9
1.41
-0.06
1.35
46
0.6
2.7
33
25
10
97
34
8
1.31
-0.05
1.25
40
0.6
1.8
31
24
11
65
23
8
Population
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
1.30
0.00
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
69
16
5
0.91
0.00
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
41
13
3
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
Page 23 of 241
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1 marker run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
A1 MESSAGE
ASIA - A1 MESSAGE
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2798
3261
3620
3937
4147
4238
4220
4085
3867
3589
3258
2882
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.5
5.3
2.7
8.2
5.8
13.5
12.3
21.6
26.2
35.2
44.5
51.8
62.7
67.5
91.9
93.3
121.0
121.0
150.0
150.0
178.6
178.6
207.3
207.3
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
24
19
13
2
4
1
62
17
36
20
3
7
2
85
13
41
27
7
12
4
105
8
51
47
10
24
10
150
4
59
69
14
42
16
204
3
54
95
22
67
25
266
2
33
122
39
97
37
330
0
26
140
64
136
54
420
0
27
143
73
186
77
505
0
24
134
75
231
107
570
0
22
114
62
271
144
613
0
14
106
37
318
182
655
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
30
15
3
0
24
48
24
5
1
22
57
28
12
1
27
79
40
22
4
35
99
57
37
8
48
120
71
54
15
64
114
80
81
26
82
104
93
109
44
106
120
77
116
71
133
126
56
112
102
156
105
43
96
138
158
87
41
74
173
163
1
74
3
102
6
131
14
193
23
272
42
366
75
459
122
578
179
697
239
791
308
849
391
928
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.2
0.0
0.8
0.4
0.1
1.4
0.7
0.2
2.2
1.1
0.4
3.2
1.7
0.8
4.4
2.4
1.3
5.5
3.2
2.2
6.5
4.1
3.2
7.7
4.9
4.4
9.0
5.4
5.5
10.1
5.9
6.5
0.0
17.8
40.2
67.9
104.7
153.3
210.3
271.8
337.0
403.5
464.5
516.7
438
608
0
535
583
2164
435
606
0
522
601
2164
434
609
0
512
609
2164
433
611
17
524
579
2164
432
613
37
535
547
2164
431
615
68
535
515
2164
431
617
99
535
483
2164
430
618
117
544
456
2164
429
619
134
552
429
2164
428
621
138
556
421
2164
428
622
127
555
431
2164
428
624
117
555
441
2164
2.22
0.22
2.44
148
2.4
27.2
18
8
12
316
40
11
3.23
-0.13
3.10
180
2.4
29.7
45
15
19
413
51
15
4.39
-0.12
4.27
220
2.5
31.4
92
23
28
544
59
19
5.49
-0.04
5.44
230
2.5
30.2
153
30
42
660
66
24
5.93
0.03
5.96
237
2.5
20.9
224
35
50
776
73
28
6.38
-0.03
6.35
213
2.5
16.8
292
39
55
906
85
32
6.78
-0.09
6.69
194
2.4
15.4
292
43
48
960
79
34
6.70
-0.10
6.61
179
2.4
14.3
285
46
35
1001
73
33
5.63
-0.04
5.59
161
2.4
12.9
275
48
33
968
62
30
4.85
0.01
4.86
143
2.3
11.9
262
46
37
910
42
26
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
1.15
0.37
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
235
33
7
1.78
0.26
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
270
37
9
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
Page 24 of 241
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1 marker run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
A1 MESSAGE
ALM - A1 MESSAGE
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1192
1519
1875
2241
2557
2791
2980
3089
3115
3064
2934
2727
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.9
3.8
2.7
5.1
5.3
8.6
10.3
13.8
19.5
22.4
35.8
38.1
52.0
53.9
73.9
73.9
95.8
95.8
118.6
118.6
142.3
142.3
165.9
165.9
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
14
1
17
4
3
0
39
11
5
27
6
6
1
55
9
7
50
11
12
4
93
8
10
68
18
24
9
138
5
11
98
25
47
17
203
4
14
122
43
75
27
285
3
14
153
53
106
45
373
0
9
180
61
150
63
463
0
3
196
66
195
89
548
0
2
175
67
239
121
604
0
2
144
56
274
159
634
0
2
100
40
314
206
662
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
5
21
8
0
14
7
35
14
0
15
14
53
26
1
22
22
67
49
4
30
35
81
88
10
41
46
100
128
18
53
44
131
150
28
72
41
172
163
40
91
53
194
168
61
124
74
154
148
83
176
76
106
131
101
207
83
67
110
118
213
2
49
3
74
10
125
18
190
27
283
48
394
90
514
148
656
215
815
298
932
377
999
480
1071
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.6
0.2
0.3
1.1
0.5
0.5
1.8
1.0
0.8
2.6
1.9
1.3
3.6
3.1
1.7
4.9
4.6
2.1
6.7
6.3
2.6
8.6
7.9
3.3
10.1
9.4
4.0
11.2
10.7
0.0
16.4
37.3
63.9
99.2
146.0
202.7
268.0
341.5
416.5
484.4
543.9
371
1680
0
1745
1684
5480
385
1673
0
1711
1710
5480
384
1685
0
1690
1720
5480
383
1695
42
1683
1676
5480
382
1702
90
1680
1625
5480
381
1708
165
1681
1544
5480
381
1714
240
1682
1463
5480
380
1718
282
1681
1419
5480
379
1722
324
1680
1374
5480
379
1726
333
1678
1364
5480
378
1730
308
1676
1387
5480
378
1733
284
1674
1411
5480
0.72
0.73
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
396
48
7
1.01
0.82
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
8
1.76
0.60
2.36
99
0.7
18.5
15
5
10
459
68
11
2.61
0.36
2.96
119
0.7
21.1
39
9
14
526
82
15
3.84
0.25
4.09
141
0.7
22.2
81
14
19
572
90
20
5.09
0.19
5.28
162
0.7
21.0
139
19
32
670
102
25
5.93
0.14
6.07
171
0.8
20.6
184
23
40
785
117
30
6.86
0.12
6.98
165
0.8
20.1
205
26
42
904
124
36
7.63
0.10
7.73
160
0.7
20.2
210
28
37
1069
124
38
7.18
0.08
7.26
155
0.7
17.7
210
30
23
1233
98
36
6.27
0.06
6.32
131
0.7
14.2
206
31
24
1353
78
33
5.53
0.03
5.56
100
0.6
10.4
196
30
26
1405
63
30
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
Page 25 of 241
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1 marker run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
A1 MINICAM
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - A1 MINICAM
1990
Population
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
5293
6100
6874
7618
8122
8484
8703
8623
8430
8126
7621
7137
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
20.7
na
27.4
na
38.1
na
52.8
na
80.2
na
117.3
na
164.4
na
226.8
na
294.5
na
367.3
na
445.1
na
530.7
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
45
121
52
35
0
253
0
57
126
63
53
0
300
0
71
134
72
82
20
379
0
86
145
80
123
59
493
0
98
144
81
199
99
622
0
103
161
81
289
156
790
0
99
197
79
392
231
998
0
73
238
90
511
272
1184
0
54
279
101
628
308
1371
0
45
318
111
745
341
1559
0
46
364
73
856
280
1620
0
47
411
36
968
220
1682
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
88
131
70
24
0
116
136
85
25
5
145
144
137
33
14
174
155
226
45
26
224
141
336
60
55
255
154
437
75
87
265
194
527
89
124
216
244
611
100
148
179
291
678
112
159
156
333
728
125
156
190
387
476
218
187
225
440
224
311
219
24
336
25
392
28
500
35
661
48
865
97
1104
181
1380
311
1630
448
1866
589
2087
687
2145
785
2204
0.1
0.1
0.1
1.2
1.5
0.9
2.5
2.9
2.1
4.0
4.4
3.8
6.2
5.8
6.9
8.6
7.4
10.8
11.1
9.0
15.4
13.4
11.4
21.4
15.4
14.0
27.8
17.1
17.1
34.7
18.9
20.8
40.0
20.8
24.6
45.2
0.0
75.3
163.2
272.9
410.2
572.6
755.3
949.5
1148.9
1355.0
1552.0
1724.0
1472
3209
0
4173
4310
13164
1467
3349
1
4215
4133
13164
1472
3604
13
4141
3935
13164
1489
3974
35
3952
3715
13164
1472
4359
103
3606
3625
13164
1429
4663
178
3309
3585
13164
1361
4885
261
3060
3596
13164
1210
4731
296
3318
3608
13164
1054
4480
294
3704
3632
13164
891
4134
255
4217
3667
13164
769
3872
313
4435
3775
13164
646
3609
372
4654
3884
13164
5.99
1.11
6.90
1.07
8.51
1.10
10.74
1.59
13.45
1.68
15.88
1.48
18.18
1.01
19.11
0.53
20.07
0.17
21.05
-0.07
19.45
-1.02
17.93
-1.97
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
9.60
356
8.0
78.8
791
31
43
12.33
406
9.2
80.7
337
43
48
15.13
467
10.6
77.3
369
61
66
17.35
528
12.3
66.1
482
77
99
19.19
573
13.8
47.1
566
89
119
19.64
592
14.4
32.2
654
97
127
20.24
604
14.8
23.9
659
106
113
20.98
608
15.0
22.3
654
114
88
18.43
572
15.3
25.7
639
119
84
15.96
535
15.6
29.2
614
115
95
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 26 of 241
A1 MINICAM
Page 27 of 241
A1 MINICAM
OECD90 - A1 MINICAM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
838
908
965
1007
1024
1066
1081
1084
1090
1098
1105
1112
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
16.3
na
20.5
na
25.6
na
31.5
na
34.4
na
44.7
na
53.6
na
63.3
na
74.4
na
86.7
na
102.1
na
118.7
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
10
72
27
22
0
130
0
13
73
36
28
0
151
0
12
70
41
33
16
172
0
9
61
40
36
47
195
0
9
51
38
37
59
195
0
7
30
30
40
98
205
0
5
28
25
42
129
229
0
4
30
27
51
140
252
0
3
32
30
63
151
279
0
3
35
33
76
164
311
0
4
43
24
102
141
313
0
5
51
14
128
117
315
40
76
34
20
0
47
78
47
16
2
45
74
73
13
5
35
64
113
12
10
37
52
120
11
13
42
26
141
9
24
45
22
154
8
33
43
22
169
9
36
38
26
184
10
37
30
35
201
12
37
42
44
143
26
51
54
53
84
39
66
12
182
11
201
11
222
11
245
11
245
15
258
21
283
32
310
46
342
62
376
82
388
103
400
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.9
0.5
0.9
1.6
1.1
1.4
2.3
2.0
1.5
2.5
2.6
2.1
3.1
4.6
2.6
3.4
6.0
3.0
3.6
7.7
3.4
3.8
9.5
3.8
4.1
11.4
4.2
4.5
12.9
4.6
4.9
14.4
0.0
30.1
64.2
101.8
140.6
178.9
217.2
256.4
296.6
337.8
377.3
412.4
408
796
0
921
998
3123
411
821
1
931
959
3123
410
866
9
922
916
3123
408
931
24
894
866
3123
402
963
34
867
857
3123
378
1044
67
794
840
3123
352
1076
92
760
843
3123
309
1048
95
825
846
3123
268
1007
93
904
851
3123
229
953
86
996
859
3123
196
898
120
1028
882
3123
163
843
154
1059
904
3123
2.83
0.00
3.20
0.00
3.48
0.14
3.64
0.27
3.58
0.28
3.57
0.22
3.77
0.11
3.95
0.02
4.14
-0.07
4.34
-0.16
4.00
-0.28
3.67
-0.40
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
23
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
58
13
23
3.62
83
2.8
13.1
110
13
14
3.90
93
3.0
2.2
108
11
5
3.86
98
3.1
1.0
115
9
6
3.79
117
3.5
0.4
118
8
7
3.87
133
3.8
0.4
122
9
9
3.97
150
3.9
0.9
123
10
11
4.07
160
4.0
1.5
123
12
13
4.18
161
4.0
2.2
124
13
16
3.72
167
4.0
3.3
125
14
18
3.28
173
4.0
4.5
125
16
20
Population
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 28 of 241
A1 MINICAM
REF - A1 MINICAM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
428
425
426
433
434
431
423
408
392
374
357
340
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.1
na
1.1
na
1.4
na
2.1
na
3.5
na
5.1
na
6.9
na
10.0
na
13.6
na
17.8
na
21.8
na
26.3
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
13
18
19
6
0
56
0
10
12
15
8
0
44
0
9
9
13
13
0
45
0
9
11
15
21
1
57
0
8
12
15
33
1
70
0
8
14
15
44
2
84
0
8
16
15
56
3
98
0
6
19
16
68
4
112
0
4
21
17
79
4
125
0
4
23
18
89
4
137
0
4
23
11
94
3
134
0
4
24
5
98
1
132
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
18
20
26
3
0
17
13
20
4
1
19
11
22
6
2
22
13
34
10
3
30
10
47
11
7
34
9
53
12
10
34
12
54
13
12
24
18
58
13
14
18
22
60
14
13
17
24
60
15
12
19
25
36
23
12
22
27
12
31
12
3
70
3
58
4
64
5
87
7
111
14
132
26
151
41
169
56
184
70
197
75
191
80
184
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.5
0.6
0.4
0.7
0.9
0.5
1.2
1.2
0.6
1.7
1.5
0.7
2.2
1.8
0.9
2.8
2.0
1.1
3.4
2.2
1.3
4.0
2.4
1.6
4.4
2.5
1.8
4.8
0.0
11.0
20.4
31.8
46.8
64.8
84.0
103.1
121.6
139.8
155.7
167.5
284
395
0
1007
691
2377
294
410
0
1016
657
2377
304
454
1
996
622
2377
317
527
4
945
584
2377
322
609
17
861
569
2377
321
676
26
792
563
2377
312
729
31
738
567
2377
273
684
32
818
570
2377
230
616
28
928
575
2377
183
526
20
1066
582
2377
158
488
18
1109
604
2377
134
451
16
1151
626
2377
1.30
0.00
0.91
0.00
0.94
0.03
1.23
0.08
1.56
0.13
1.77
0.13
1.85
0.10
1.77
0.10
1.73
0.09
1.73
0.08
1.51
-0.13
1.31
-0.34
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
0.97
49
0.7
10.1
8
5
8
1.31
68
0.9
10.1
19
8
10
1.69
82
1.1
10.7
29
14
14
1.90
96
1.4
9.4
31
20
18
1.94
108
1.6
6.4
32
21
21
1.87
106
1.6
3.4
33
22
19
1.83
108
1.6
1.7
33
23
15
1.81
112
1.5
1.4
34
24
14
1.38
99
1.5
1.8
33
25
10
0.97
86
1.6
2.2
31
24
11
Population
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 29 of 241
A1 MINICAM
ASIA - A1 MINICAM
Population
1990
Million
2790
2000
3226
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
3608
3937
4115
4210
4219
4062
3852
3589
3245
2919
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.4
na
3.1
na
6.5
na
11.7
na
23.9
na
40.4
na
61.3
na
86.4
na
112.3
na
139.1
na
166.0
na
195.3
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
20
14
2
4
0
40
0
31
19
5
11
0
67
0
45
27
8
25
2
108
0
62
36
11
47
7
163
0
73
47
14
90
14
238
0
78
61
16
141
26
322
0
76
78
17
200
45
416
0
54
93
20
254
55
476
0
40
106
23
305
62
535
0
32
118
25
352
67
594
0
31
130
16
382
52
611
0
31
143
7
412
36
629
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
26
16
3
1
0
45
21
9
4
2
71
29
24
9
5
104
40
49
17
10
133
47
102
27
22
147
61
149
37
35
147
81
192
47
48
110
101
219
51
58
86
116
235
55
61
73
126
241
60
59
81
140
149
97
64
90
154
57
135
70
3
49
4
85
5
144
8
227
14
344
40
468
85
600
149
687
212
765
275
833
304
835
332
838
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.2
0.1
1.1
0.5
0.3
1.9
0.8
0.6
3.1
1.3
1.5
4.5
1.8
2.8
6.0
2.5
4.4
7.2
3.4
6.5
8.1
4.5
8.8
9.0
5.7
11.1
9.8
7.1
12.8
10.6
8.5
14.5
0.0
17.8
42.9
80.0
132.5
199.7
277.8
358.9
437.6
515.0
587.0
649.6
389
508
0
1168
664
2729
400
524
0
1144
633
2700
410
555
2
1102
600
2668
420
603
6
1041
565
2635
416
646
28
980
551
2620
405
681
51
932
545
2613
387
708
75
896
547
2614
350
704
85
925
550
2614
312
691
83
978
555
2618
273
670
67
1053
562
2626
235
641
73
1116
581
2647
198
612
79
1179
600
2667
1.15
0.37
1.78
0.26
2.79
0.20
4.16
0.27
5.78
0.31
7.07
0.29
8.03
0.22
7.86
0.11
7.75
0.03
7.70
-0.01
6.88
-0.16
6.10
-0.30
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
2.99
134
2.9
37.9
18
8
12
4.43
146
3.3
50.0
45
15
19
6.08
160
3.7
47.4
92
23
28
7.36
172
4.1
38.3
153
30
42
8.26
180
4.5
22.7
224
35
50
7.97
172
4.6
14.3
292
39
55
7.78
166
4.7
9.5
292
43
48
7.69
163
4.9
8.2
285
46
35
6.72
159
4.9
9.4
275
48
33
5.80
154
5.0
10.6
262
46
37
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 30 of 241
A1 MINICAM
ALM - A1 MINICAM
Population
1990
Million
1236
2000
1541
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1876
2241
2531
2778
2980
3068
3096
3064
2913
2766
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.9
na
2.8
na
4.6
na
7.4
na
15.4
na
27.2
na
42.6
na
67.0
na
94.1
na
123.7
na
155.2
na
190.3
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
2
17
5
3
0
27
0
3
22
7
6
0
38
0
4
29
10
11
1
55
0
6
37
13
18
4
78
0
9
43
17
38
13
120
0
10
56
20
64
30
179
0
11
75
22
94
54
256
0
9
98
27
137
74
344
0
7
120
31
182
91
432
0
7
142
35
228
107
518
0
7
167
23
279
86
562
0
8
193
10
330
65
606
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
4
20
7
0
0
6
23
10
2
1
9
29
17
4
2
13
38
29
7
3
23
44
61
11
10
31
58
93
16
19
39
80
127
21
31
38
104
165
27
41
38
127
198
32
47
37
149
226
38
49
48
177
148
72
60
59
206
71
105
72
5
35
6
48
8
71
12
102
16
165
28
246
49
346
89
464
134
576
183
681
226
731
269
781
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.5
0.2
0.2
0.8
0.5
0.5
1.3
1.0
0.7
1.8
1.8
1.1
2.5
2.8
1.5
3.4
4.4
1.8
4.6
6.2
2.2
5.9
8.3
2.7
7.7
9.9
3.1
9.4
11.5
0.0
16.4
35.6
59.2
90.2
129.3
176.4
231.2
293.1
362.4
432.0
494.5
391
1510
0
3641
1957
7499
363
1594
0
3591
1884
7432
348
1728
0
3478
1798
7352
344
1913
1
3301
1699
7259
338
2109
13
3098
1657
7216
326
2262
34
2932
1637
7192
310
2372
64
2801
1639
7186
278
2295
84
2883
1642
7183
244
2166
90
3039
1651
7190
206
1985
82
3270
1663
7207
179
1845
102
3423
1709
7257
152
1704
123
3575
1754
7308
0.72
0.73
1.01
0.82
1.30
0.73
1.72
0.97
2.54
0.97
3.47
0.84
4.53
0.58
5.53
0.30
6.45
0.11
7.27
0.03
7.05
-0.45
6.84
-0.93
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
2.03
90
1.7
14.7
15
5
10
2.69
100
2.1
15.4
39
9
14
3.51
125
2.7
15.3
81
14
19
4.31
143
3.3
15.0
139
19
32
5.11
152
3.9
14.5
184
23
40
5.83
163
4.2
10.6
205
26
42
6.56
170
4.5
8.2
210
28
37
7.30
171
4.6
7.4
210
30
23
6.60
147
4.8
8.1
206
31
24
5.91
122
5.0
8.8
196
30
26
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 31 of 241
A1 MARIA
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - A1 MARIA
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
Population
5262
6117
6888
7617
8048
8207
8704
8536
8372
8028
7527
7056
19.4
25.8
35.7
51.9
75.4
114.4
179.7
230.1
287.9
355.9
430.8
535.6
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
48
138
56
35
0
278
37
165
66
52
0
321
38
200
98
63
0
399
27
252
139
79
0
496
19
293
189
90
0
591
13
350
243
116
0
723
26
403
303
157
0
889
48
402
345
187
0
984
84
486
287
218
0
1075
140
481
303
256
0
1180
207
583
213
301
0
1303
145
651
273
363
0
1432
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
90
123
71
22
28
69
144
105
29
39
61
168
142
40
56
45
201
188
61
88
33
220
246
99
103
24
250
305
162
121
34
285
354
240
132
54
229
399
321
184
87
263
344
402
230
142
208
363
505
278
209
208
279
625
380
146
226
345
797
429
9
343
8
393
7
475
7
589
6
706
21
882
68
1113
71
1258
73
1400
73
1570
71
1770
67
2011
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.9
1.2
0.7
1.6
2.7
1.8
2.2
4.4
3.2
2.6
6.4
5.1
3.0
8.6
7.5
3.2
11.1
10.6
3.5
13.9
14.1
4.1
16.2
18.1
5.0
18.8
21.5
6.4
20.9
25.2
8.5
23.0
28.0
0.0
75.3
159.2
251.3
351.6
461.4
584.0
713.4
845.3
983.2
1132.8
1294.3
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
1451
3395
0
4138
4061
13045
1451
3395
0
4142
4057
13045
1605
3245
0
4158
4038
13045
2000
2850
0
4186
4010
13045
2174
2676
0
4217
3978
13045
2222
2604
39
4267
3914
13045
2355
2601
43
4312
3734
13045
2080
2593
326
4366
3681
13045
1810
2597
592
4366
3681
13045
1539
2597
872
4358
3681
13045
1278
2597
1572
3918
3681
13045
1162
2597
1932
3673
3681
13045
5.99
1.11
7.10
6.90
1.07
7.97
7.77
1.03
8.80
8.69
0.93
9.61
9.65
0.79
10.44
10.93
0.58
11.51
12.66
0.36
13.01
12.74
0.13
12.87
13.45
0.05
13.50
14.07
0.00
14.07
14.48
1.38
15.86
14.24
2.20
16.44
1672
32
38
883
25
40
791
31
43
337
43
48
369
61
66
482
77
99
566
89
119
654
97
127
659
106
113
654
114
88
639
119
84
614
115
95
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
CFC/HFC/HCFC MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
Page 32 of 241
A1 MARIA
Page 33 of 241
A1 MARIA
OECD90 - A1 MARIA
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
859
919
965
1007
1035
1046
1081
1085
1091
1096
1103
1110
15.6
18.9
22.7
27.0
32.0
38.2
46.0
57.7
71.3
88.4
105.8
123.9
12
71
28
21
0
132
8
76
32
28
0
145
6
71
52
31
0
160
4
68
70
36
0
177
3
65
82
39
0
188
2
64
92
42
0
199
7
59
99
47
0
212
15
51
111
52
0
230
28
80
80
59
0
248
49
73
80
67
0
269
65
92
56
77
0
290
46
89
88
87
0
309
38
71
34
18
6
28
77
55
15
4
21
71
80
18
3
16
68
105
23
2
13
65
121
28
1
10
64
135
35
1
12
59
133
43
1
19
51
147
54
0
31
80
120
68
1
51
73
124
85
1
67
92
106
105
2
47
87
143
131
3
5
171
5
182
4
198
4
217
3
232
3
247
19
267
23
294
24
323
24
357
23
395
21
431
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.7
0.3
0.7
1.5
0.9
0.9
2.2
1.7
1.0
2.9
2.7
1.2
3.5
3.9
1.3
4.2
5.3
1.4
4.8
6.6
1.6
5.3
8.1
1.9
6.1
9.3
2.4
6.8
10.5
3.1
7.7
11.6
0.0
30.1
62.8
97.2
133.1
169.7
205.3
240.4
278.6
321.5
369.4
420.0
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
778
772
2684
378
756
0
816
734
2684
378
756
0
834
716
2684
378
756
0
834
716
2684
357
756
21
834
716
2684
295
756
82
834
716
2684
237
756
141
834
716
2684
2.83
0.00
2.83
3.20
0.00
3.20
3.31
0.03
3.33
3.49
0.05
3.55
3.60
0.05
3.65
3.71
-0.04
3.67
3.64
-0.19
3.44
3.86
-0.28
3.58
4.34
-0.27
4.07
4.77
-0.26
4.51
5.30
-0.23
5.07
5.25
-0.20
5.05
19
18
23
58
13
23
110
13
14
108
11
5
115
9
6
118
8
7
122
9
9
123
10
11
123
12
13
124
13
16
125
14
18
125
16
20
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
Page 34 of 241
A1 MARIA
REF - A1 MARIA
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
413
419
427
433
432
430
423
406
391
374
356
339
0.9
1.3
1.8
2.6
4.6
8.1
13.7
18.1
22.4
27.1
32.9
40.4
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
13
17
21
7
0
58
9
14
24
8
0
55
6
12
27
7
0
52
4
11
30
7
0
53
3
12
41
9
0
65
2
13
53
11
0
78
3
12
65
13
0
93
6
8
70
14
0
98
10
14
61
15
0
100
17
16
54
16
0
102
27
26
38
17
0
107
19
23
53
18
0
113
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
19
19
27
3
1
13
14
33
2
1
9
13
34
3
0
6
12
38
4
0
4
12
52
4
0
3
13
66
5
0
4
12
80
7
0
6
8
86
9
0
10
14
77
11
0
17
16
69
13
0
27
26
53
17
0
19
23
69
21
0
1
69
1
64
1
60
1
61
1
74
1
89
4
106
4
113
4
116
4
120
4
128
4
136
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.6
0.4
0.5
0.9
0.5
0.6
1.3
0.5
0.7
1.8
0.5
0.8
2.5
0.6
0.9
3.3
0.7
1.0
4.2
0.8
1.2
4.9
0.9
1.3
5.6
1.2
1.6
6.2
0.0
11.0
19.6
27.5
35.9
46.0
57.9
70.5
83.3
96.3
110.3
124.9
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
827
710
1868
174
114
43
862
675
1868
139
114
78
862
675
1868
111
114
106
862
675
1868
89
114
128
862
675
1868
71
114
146
862
675
1868
1.30
0.00
1.30
0.91
0.00
0.91
0.79
0.02
0.81
0.75
0.01
0.76
0.93
-0.01
0.92
1.14
-0.03
1.11
1.34
-0.07
1.27
1.43
-0.17
1.26
1.50
-0.21
1.29
1.59
-0.27
1.32
1.82
-0.34
1.47
1.78
-0.33
1.45
0
7
8
4
4
6
8
5
8
19
8
10
29
14
14
31
20
18
32
21
21
33
22
19
33
23
15
34
24
14
33
25
10
31
24
11
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
Page 35 of 241
A1 MARIA
ASIA - A1 MARIA
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2642
3080
3425
3728
3861
3895
4008
3814
3632
3368
3040
2744
1.2
2.6
5.8
12.5
21.1
36.5
62.9
81.9
104.9
132.1
164.8
210.8
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
20
26
2
4
0
52
18
42
3
9
0
71
24
65
4
12
0
105
17
96
10
17
0
140
12
121
17
18
0
168
8
154
27
27
0
216
15
181
40
40
0
276
25
183
53
51
0
312
41
203
44
64
0
352
68
199
49
79
0
395
104
211
35
97
0
446
73
252
57
119
0
501
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
28
14
3
1
13
24
23
5
12
21
28
36
8
19
31
20
48
14
35
51
14
62
22
34
65
10
87
30
64
71
16
111
42
78
73
26
98
54
104
88
42
98
45
132
106
68
70
50
169
130
104
55
35
214
157
73
59
58
269
193
1
61
1
86
1
124
1
168
1
197
1
263
20
340
20
389
20
443
20
507
20
585
20
671
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.4
0.1
0.8
0.7
0.2
1.0
1.2
0.3
1.1
1.8
0.5
1.2
2.7
0.8
1.4
3.8
1.2
1.6
4.8
1.8
2.1
5.8
2.2
2.7
6.5
2.7
3.8
7.0
3.1
0.0
17.8
40.0
64.3
90.0
119.4
155.4
196.1
238.8
283.6
331.3
378.7
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
366
431
0
365
458
1621
366
431
0
367
456
1621
380
421
0
381
440
1621
380
421
0
390
430
1621
380
421
0
399
421
1621
380
382
39
406
414
1621
380
379
43
406
412
1621
379
371
52
406
412
1621
374
375
54
406
412
1621
335
375
92
406
412
1621
305
375
122
406
412
1621
266
375
162
406
412
1621
1.15
0.37
1.53
1.78
0.26
2.03
2.20
0.20
2.40
2.31
0.16
2.46
2.55
0.13
2.68
3.08
0.11
3.19
3.91
0.09
4.00
4.08
0.06
4.14
4.36
0.03
4.40
4.56
0.01
4.57
4.96
-0.01
4.95
4.58
-0.03
4.55
0
3
4
5
5
7
18
8
12
45
15
19
92
23
28
153
30
42
224
35
50
292
39
55
292
43
48
285
46
35
275
48
33
262
46
37
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
Page 36 of 241
A1 MARIA
ALM - A1 MARIA
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1348
1699
2071
2449
2720
2836
3192
3231
3259
3190
3029
2864
1.7
3.0
5.4
9.8
17.6
31.7
57.1
72.4
89.3
108.4
127.4
160.5
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
3
24
5
3
0
35
2
34
6
8
0
50
2
51
15
12
0
81
1
77
29
19
0
126
1
95
49
25
0
170
1
119
72
37
0
229
1
151
99
57
0
308
2
160
112
69
0
344
4
190
101
81
0
376
7
193
120
95
0
414
11
253
84
111
0
459
8
288
75
139
0
510
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
6
18
7
0
8
4
30
12
0
13
3
48
19
0
21
2
73
32
0
35
1
80
51
33
36
1
86
74
58
49
2
103
100
112
59
2
72
113
154
96
4
72
102
192
123
7
50
120
238
147
11
35
84
289
221
8
57
75
377
232
2
41
2
60
1
93
1
143
1
204
15
282
25
399
25
461
24
517
24
586
24
664
23
772
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.5
0.2
0.1
1.0
0.4
0.1
1.7
0.7
0.2
2.5
1.2
0.2
3.4
2.0
0.2
4.4
2.9
0.2
5.1
4.1
0.2
5.8
5.1
0.3
6.3
6.3
0.4
6.7
7.1
0.0
16.4
36.8
62.4
92.6
126.2
165.4
206.4
244.6
281.6
321.9
370.7
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
490
2095
0
2202
2086
6873
490
2095
0
2204
2084
6873
630
1955
0
2207
2081
6873
1025
1560
0
2226
2063
6873
1199
1386
0
2248
2040
6873
1247
1352
0
2268
2006
6873
1380
1352
0
2263
1878
6873
1150
1352
231
2263
1878
6873
920
1352
460
2263
1878
6873
736
1352
653
2255
1878
6873
589
1352
1240
1815
1878
6873
589
1352
1484
1571
1878
6873
0.72
0.73
1.45
1.01
0.82
1.83
1.47
0.79
2.26
2.13
0.71
2.84
2.57
0.62
3.19
3.01
0.54
3.54
3.76
0.54
4.30
3.37
0.52
3.89
3.24
0.50
3.74
3.16
0.51
3.67
2.41
1.96
4.37
2.63
2.77
5.40
0
4
3
2
4
5
15
5
10
39
9
14
81
14
19
139
19
32
184
23
40
205
26
42
210
28
37
210
30
23
206
31
24
196
30
26
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
Page 37 of 241
A1C AIM
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - A1C AIM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
Population
5262
6117
6805
7493
8182
8439
8704
8538
8375
8030
7528
7056
20.9
26.7
37.9
56.4
89.1
127.2
181.5
235.2
304.7
377.7
447.8
531.0
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
50
36
111
51
38
0
285
48
42
118
51
49
38
69
149
74
74
24
164
230
103
150
0
187
274
122
229
0
175
393
172
551
0
160
430
189
651
0
146
467
207
731
404
670
823
0
209
319
141
307
0
976
0
192
356
156
429
309
34
113
187
87
104
0
525
1134
1291
1430
1551
0
133
505
224
810
0
1671
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
93
142
72
6
50
112
155
82
9
48
195
193
112
15
38
308
227
124
23
42
474
244
139
36
55
593
232
161
52
78
750
226
191
83
115
820
193
208
98
147
898
165
230
118
187
976
140
252
135
217
1051
118
272
145
228
1134
99
294
155
240
10
374
11
418
13
565
17
742
26
973
44
1161
78
1442
138
1605
249
1848
372
2092
450
2264
546
2468
0.1
0.1
0.1
1.1
1.6
0.8
2.6
3.4
1.8
5.1
5.5
3.0
9.1
7.8
4.3
13.9
9.9
5.7
21.3
12.5
7.6
28.0
14.2
9.4
36.9
16.2
11.6
46.7
17.8
14.1
56.5
19.1
16.7
68.3
20.4
19.7
0.0
75.3
174.2
313.7
494.6
709.4
958.3
1235.4
1529.2
1841.7
2174.8
2530.6
1437
3290
0
4249
3966
12942
1487
3287
0
4120
4048
12942
1546
3477
0
3975
3944
12942
1579
3874
10
3808
3671
12942
1534
4235
227
3742
3205
12942
1454
4271
320
3778
3097
12942
1378
4307
451
3813
2994
12942
1276
4231
535
3896
2984
12942
1182
4157
635
3981
2974
12942
1079
4056
728
4071
2995
12942
971
3930
807
4166
3048
12942
873
3808
894
4264
3102
12942
10.32
1.47
11.79
395
7.5
99.1
791
31
43
1101
179
41
14.34
1.78
16.12
479
8.2
134.2
337
43
48
1320
220
51
19.28
0.78
20.06
564
8.2
156.4
369
61
66
1402
254
59
22.65
0.23
22.88
566
8.0
133.1
482
77
99
1506
254
61
26.79
0.12
26.91
568
7.8
139.0
566
89
119
1619
256
63
28.47
0.04
28.51
517
7.3
103.5
654
97
127
1710
247
61
30.29
-0.03
30.26
474
6.8
82.0
659
106
113
1806
239
59
32.30
-0.07
32.23
442
6.5
76.3
654
114
88
1937
221
59
34.48
-0.08
34.41
416
6.3
79.6
639
119
84
2110
192
61
36.84
-0.09
36.75
392
6.1
83.3
614
115
95
2298
167
63
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 38 of 241
5.99
1.11
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
879
139
31
6.90
1.07
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
877
141
32
A1C AIM
Page 39 of 241
A1C AIM
OECD90 - A1C AIM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
859
919
960
1002
1043
1062
1081
1086
1091
1097
1103
1110
16.4
20.5
25.3
31.0
38.0
45.3
54.1
64.0
75.7
89.0
103.9
121.2
6
10
64
25
22
0
127
1
10
74
31
27
0
14
80
39
35
0
31
92
37
49
0
31
94
37
59
0
23
97
36
103
0
21
102
37
118
0
19
111
39
133
168
210
220
0
30
96
36
68
0
231
0
26
97
36
85
143
0
23
87
39
42
0
192
245
259
279
303
0
17
121
41
148
0
327
41
76
34
5
6
42
89
45
8
1
60
94
54
11
0
79
97
50
15
2
102
87
46
18
6
118
70
45
20
11
137
56
44
21
22
148
44
42
22
28
161
35
41
23
36
176
30
41
24
42
196
27
43
26
44
218
24
46
28
46
6
167
6
191
7
226
9
251
12
271
17
281
24
304
38
323
58
354
78
391
91
426
105
466
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.4
0.9
0.4
1.0
1.8
0.9
1.7
2.8
1.4
2.6
3.7
1.9
3.6
4.4
2.3
5.0
5.1
2.8
6.2
5.5
3.2
7.8
6.0
3.6
9.6
6.4
4.1
11.4
6.6
4.5
13.6
6.9
4.9
0.0
30.1
65.0
105.9
152.2
202.2
255.5
310.1
363.8
417.8
474.5
535.2
410
787
0
1056
886
3140
404
758
0
1065
912
3140
389
751
0
1102
897
3140
373
785
0
1131
851
3140
345
817
47
1168
762
3140
329
825
69
1174
737
3140
314
834
100
1179
713
3140
285
812
112
1217
710
3140
259
791
124
1257
706
3140
227
757
137
1304
709
3140
192
711
149
1360
719
3140
163
668
162
1418
729
3140
3.89
-0.12
3.78
71
2.5
11.5
110
13
14
186
39
12
4.44
-0.04
4.40
73
2.7
9.0
108
11
5
213
40
13
4.94
-0.09
4.85
76
2.6
10.0
115
9
6
241
39
12
5.19
-0.02
5.16
73
2.5
10.9
118
8
7
256
33
10
5.45
0.05
5.50
69
2.4
12.0
122
9
9
271
29
9
5.42
-0.01
5.41
68
2.2
12.5
123
10
11
277
21
9
5.39
-0.06
5.33
66
2.0
13.1
123
12
13
284
14
9
5.58
-0.10
5.47
65
1.8
13.9
124
13
16
300
11
9
6.00
-0.13
5.86
62
1.7
15.0
125
14
18
329
11
10
6.44
-0.16
6.28
60
1.7
16.1
125
16
20
359
10
11
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 40 of 241
2.83
0.00
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
23
179
42
13
3.20
0.00
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
58
13
23
161
36
12
A1C AIM
REF - A1C AIM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
413
419
424
430
435
429
423
406
391
374
356
339
1.1
0.8
1.5
2.8
5.3
8.1
12.3
15.5
19.4
23.8
28.5
34.1
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
2
9
19
19
8
0
58
4
7
9
11
9
0
10
8
14
11
0
18
8
14
15
0
18
10
15
22
0
14
14
18
43
0
12
15
19
49
0
11
17
21
53
43
55
65
0
19
12
16
29
0
76
0
17
13
17
36
40
0
14
8
14
12
0
48
82
89
95
102
0
10
18
23
57
0
109
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
18
22
26
1
2
16
12
17
1
4
22
10
18
2
0
27
8
17
3
0
39
6
15
5
1
57
4
15
7
3
84
3
15
9
5
98
2
14
10
7
115
1
14
10
8
131
1
14
10
10
145
1
14
11
10
160
0
15
11
11
1
70
1
52
1
54
2
57
2
68
4
90
10
125
15
146
24
173
32
198
36
216
40
237
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.6
0.9
0.5
0.7
1.4
0.5
0.9
2.2
0.6
1.0
3.0
0.6
1.2
4.1
0.6
1.3
5.3
0.6
1.5
6.7
0.6
1.6
8.3
0.6
1.8
0.0
11.0
21.2
32.9
46.5
63.1
84.3
109.5
137.9
169.9
206.0
246.9
279
346
0
960
720
2305
284
357
0
961
703
2305
297
401
0
950
658
2305
299
468
0
950
588
2305
305
556
6
944
494
2305
293
571
11
950
477
2305
282
586
22
955
460
2305
267
585
25
966
460
2305
253
584
29
978
460
2305
233
571
38
993
464
2305
210
548
55
1010
474
2305
189
525
80
1028
483
2305
1.09
0.03
1.12
50
0.7
14.7
8
5
8
40
14
3
1.22
0.01
1.23
62
0.7
15.6
19
8
10
42
11
4
1.45
0.02
1.48
77
0.8
16.1
29
14
14
46
11
3
1.86
-0.01
1.86
80
0.7
12.7
31
20
18
50
9
3
2.39
-0.01
2.38
84
0.7
10.0
32
21
21
54
8
3
2.69
-0.02
2.67
91
0.7
9.9
33
22
19
57
7
3
3.03
-0.03
3.00
99
0.6
9.7
33
23
15
59
6
2
3.42
-0.03
3.39
103
0.5
10.6
34
24
14
63
5
2
3.88
-0.04
3.84
105
0.5
12.6
33
25
10
68
5
2
4.39
-0.05
4.34
106
0.5
14.8
31
24
11
75
5
2
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 41 of 241
1.30
0.00
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
69
16
5
0.91
0.00
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
41
13
3
A1C AIM
ASIA - A1C AIM
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2798
3261
3556
3851
4147
4183
4220
4016
3822
3541
3194
2882
1.5
2.7
5.8
12.3
26.3
40.8
63.1
85.8
116.7
148.3
176.1
209.1
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
28
15
11
2
5
0
61
24
23
15
3
7
19
40
26
6
16
4
90
55
18
54
0
103
69
25
83
0
97
119
50
220
0
89
135
59
264
0
81
148
67
298
106
220
283
0
116
84
32
113
0
345
0
107
102
41
167
72
14
62
40
9
29
0
154
416
487
546
594
0
73
161
75
333
0
642
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
30
17
4
0
28
44
21
6
0
24
85
34
11
1
19
144
46
13
3
16
234
56
23
7
11
275
51
31
12
17
324
47
42
22
27
350
40
54
31
34
379
33
68
43
43
407
28
81
54
50
435
22
91
58
52
465
18
101
64
55
1
80
2
98
2
151
2
224
3
334
6
393
13
475
30
538
69
636
120
740
159
818
210
913
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.2
0.1
1.0
0.5
0.1
2.2
0.9
0.3
4.1
1.4
0.4
6.3
1.8
0.7
9.6
2.4
1.1
12.6
2.8
1.5
16.3
3.2
2.2
20.4
3.5
2.9
24.5
3.7
3.7
29.4
4.0
4.8
0.0
17.8
45.7
90.7
157.4
241.5
337.0
442.3
555.2
675.9
804.4
940.9
390
521
0
527
576
2014
407
524
0
490
593
2014
433
547
0
451
583
2014
458
595
0
416
546
2014
447
644
42
404
478
2014
422
650
61
415
461
2014
398
656
89
427
444
2014
368
645
108
446
443
2014
340
633
130
466
442
2014
313
622
149
482
446
2014
288
611
163
493
455
2014
265
600
179
505
465
2014
3.15
0.40
3.55
165
2.8
47.2
18
8
12
389
54
13
4.99
0.46
5.45
211
3.1
72.2
45
15
19
509
77
19
7.65
0.24
7.89
262
3.2
80.0
92
23
28
599
93
25
8.78
0.15
8.93
262
3.2
39.4
153
30
42
663
97
26
10.08
0.09
10.17
261
3.1
19.2
224
35
50
734
102
26
10.83
0.07
10.89
220
2.9
19.7
292
39
55
777
104
25
11.62
0.05
11.68
184
2.8
20.2
292
43
48
822
105
23
12.41
0.06
12.47
162
2.7
21.1
285
46
35
881
98
23
13.17
0.07
13.24
149
2.6
22.4
275
48
33
956
84
23
13.97
0.09
14.06
137
2.5
23.8
262
46
37
1036
71
23
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 42 of 241
1.15
0.37
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
235
33
7
1.78
0.26
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
270
37
9
A1C AIM
ALM - A1C AIM
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1192
1519
1865
2211
2557
2761
2980
3024
3067
3013
2866
2727
1.9
2.7
5.3
10.2
19.5
31.9
52.0
69.3
92.4
116.6
139.4
166.6
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
14
1
17
4
4
0
40
18
2
21
7
6
19
6
35
15
12
20
25
75
34
32
0
35
101
45
64
0
41
163
68
185
0
38
179
74
220
0
35
191
80
246
87
185
255
0
45
127
57
97
0
325
0
43
145
62
141
53
20
14
52
25
21
0
132
391
457
510
552
0
32
204
85
273
0
594
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
5
27
9
0
14
11
33
14
0
18
28
55
29
1
19
58
75
44
3
25
99
95
55
6
36
143
107
71
14
47
205
120
90
31
61
223
107
98
36
78
243
95
107
42
100
261
82
115
47
116
275
69
124
50
122
291
57
132
53
128
2
57
2
78
3
135
5
209
8
300
16
397
31
538
55
598
98
686
142
762
164
803
191
852
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.1
0.3
0.8
0.3
0.7
1.4
0.7
1.5
2.3
1.2
2.6
3.2
1.8
4.5
4.4
2.7
6.3
5.3
3.5
8.7
6.4
4.5
11.4
7.4
5.7
13.9
8.1
6.8
1.7
6.7
12.5
0.0
16.4
42.2
84.2
138.7
202.5
281.4
373.4
472.3
578.0
689.9
807.5
357
1636
0
1706
1784
5483
391
1648
0
1604
1840
5483
427
1778
0
1472
1806
5483
449
2027
10
1311
1687
5483
437
2217
132
1226
1471
5483
410
2224
178
1239
1423
5483
384
2231
240
1253
1376
5483
356
2190
290
1266
1371
5483
330
2149
351
1279
1366
5483
305
2106
402
1292
1376
5483
280
2060
436
1303
1400
5483
257
2015
473
1314
1425
5483
2.20
1.15
3.34
108
1.5
22.7
15
5
10
486
73
11
3.69
1.36
5.05
132
1.8
34.4
39
9
14
556
92
16
5.24
0.61
5.85
148
1.6
47.2
81
14
19
516
111
19
6.82
0.11
6.93
151
1.6
67.1
139
19
32
537
114
21
8.87
0.00
8.86
154
1.6
94.8
184
23
40
560
117
24
9.53
0.00
9.53
139
1.5
58.4
205
26
42
599
115
24
10.24
0.00
10.25
125
1.5
36.1
210
28
37
641
113
24
10.89
0.01
10.90
112
1.5
27.7
210
30
23
693
106
25
11.44
0.02
11.47
99
1.5
26.6
206
31
24
757
93
26
12.03
0.04
12.06
88
1.5
25.6
196
30
26
827
82
27
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 43 of 241
0.72
0.73
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
396
48
7
1.01
0.82
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
8
A1C MESSAGE
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - A1C MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
Population
5262
6117
6888
7617
8182
8531
8704
8667
8463
8125
7658
7056
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
20.9
25.7
26.8
33.4
36.8
45.7
57.0
67.2
91.3
98.7
135.4
139.0
187.1
186.4
254.1
246.8
322.9
313.2
393.2
382.0
469.6
456.6
550.0
535.0
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
38
42
111
41
35
8
275
27
56
126
47
46
11
313
19
72
158
61
62
20
393
16
82
200
76
93
34
501
10
89
265
95
145
53
656
7
79
353
106
209
70
824
5
72
461
110
292
89
1031
0
68
569
118
395
118
1268
0
60
641
116
493
143
1453
0
55
672
119
588
164
1599
0
44
704
104
668
187
1706
0
26
685
93
726
213
1743
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
91
128
71
7
46
112
155
80
8
44
146
172
107
11
52
194
190
149
21
68
261
210
207
41
95
353
209
247
79
133
463
209
283
127
178
601
202
297
191
228
750
170
254
265
287
872
112
207
348
330
985
78
144
415
359
1062
56
118
432
376
8
352
13
411
23
511
37
659
57
870
82
1102
117
1377
166
1685
205
1931
234
2103
258
2239
281
2325
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.0
1.4
0.7
2.1
3.0
1.5
3.5
4.7
2.6
5.5
6.6
4.1
8.1
8.7
6.2
11.6
10.8
8.6
16.2
12.9
11.5
22.3
14.9
14.4
29.8
16.6
17.0
38.5
17.7
19.0
48.4
18.5
20.5
0.0
75.3
163.4
267.8
394.8
551.4
740.3
965.7
1224.8
1506.6
1805.6
2119.9
1459
3389
0
4296
3805
12949
1466
3404
0
4237
3842
12949
1462
3429
0
4173
3886
12949
1457
3446
74
4164
3807
12949
1454
3458
158
4164
3715
12949
1448
3478
288
4177
3558
12949
1442
3498
418
4190
3400
12949
1436
3525
492
4194
3301
12949
1429
3552
566
4199
3203
12949
1424
3568
581
4202
3173
12949
1422
3572
538
4203
3213
12949
1420
3576
495
4204
3253
12949
8.61
1.04
9.65
365
6.1
77.3
791
31
43
1005
166
39
10.97
0.26
11.23
427
6.1
102.4
337
43
48
1165
194
48
14.04
0.12
14.17
505
6.2
121.0
369
61
66
1415
221
62
17.11
0.05
17.16
552
6.3
126.0
482
77
99
1805
259
77
20.64
-0.02
20.62
606
6.3
120.2
566
89
119
2277
310
94
24.50
-0.03
24.47
628
6.3
106.2
654
97
127
2758
359
111
27.37
-0.03
27.33
639
6.2
97.9
659
106
113
3217
393
124
29.05
-0.03
29.03
652
6.2
79.6
654
114
88
3547
408
134
30.79
-0.01
30.78
662
6.2
67.0
639
119
84
3772
405
142
32.07
0.00
32.07
672
6.2
49.8
614
115
95
3766
373
151
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
5.99
1.11
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
879
139
31
6.90
1.07
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
877
141
32
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
Page 44 of 241
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1 marker run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
A1C MESSAGE
Page 45 of 241
A1C MESSAGE
OECD90 - A1C MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
859
919
965
1007
1043
1069
1081
1084
1089
1098
1108
1110
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
16.4
14.1
20.6
17.8
25.6
22.1
31.6
27.4
38.7
33.7
46.8
40.8
55.7
48.6
65.7
57.4
77.2
67.6
90.8
79.7
106.6
93.6
124.3
109.4
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
13
66
22
22
1
124
0
11
70
28
29
1
138
0
7
74
34
36
4
155
0
3
74
35
44
8
164
0
2
75
39
53
11
181
0
1
80
37
61
18
197
0
0
87
34
75
24
220
0
0
93
29
90
30
242
0
0
100
30
106
34
269
0
0
98
27
124
37
285
0
0
102
21
141
42
306
0
0
102
15
158
47
322
38
72
33
6
6
46
83
41
7
7
57
81
50
8
6
69
72
60
10
7
80
60
70
13
10
91
46
69
27
14
97
39
75
41
20
102
34
75
56
25
125
29
83
59
28
144
20
75
64
33
183
15
59
65
39
223
12
37
60
44
4
159
5
188
9
211
12
228
15
249
19
267
26
299
37
329
44
368
48
383
54
414
58
435
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.8
0.3
0.9
1.6
0.8
1.4
2.4
1.3
2.1
3.1
1.9
2.9
3.7
2.6
3.8
4.2
3.3
4.9
4.6
4.0
6.2
4.9
4.8
7.8
5.2
5.6
9.6
5.4
6.4
11.9
5.6
7.0
0.0
30.1
64.2
101.4
140.8
181.2
222.2
265.1
312.9
365.9
424.5
490.6
381
760
0
1050
838
3029
380
763
0
1053
833
3029
377
771
0
1052
828
3029
376
774
11
1053
814
3029
375
776
24
1056
798
3029
372
787
44
1062
765
3029
368
797
63
1068
733
3029
364
818
74
1061
712
3029
359
839
86
1054
691
3029
356
849
88
1050
685
3029
356
847
81
1049
695
3029
355
846
75
1048
705
3029
3.57
0.04
3.61
74
2.4
14.9
110
13
14
173
38
14
3.82
0.02
3.83
76
2.4
22.7
108
11
5
167
36
15
4.05
0.00
4.05
80
2.4
25.3
115
9
6
162
33
15
4.04
-0.02
4.02
85
2.4
20.2
118
8
7
188
34
15
4.22
-0.04
4.18
92
2.4
14.0
122
9
9
220
35
16
4.41
0.00
4.41
101
2.4
7.0
123
10
11
241
38
16
5.10
0.05
5.15
114
2.4
8.2
123
12
13
266
44
20
5.39
0.06
5.45
126
2.4
2.1
124
13
16
267
43
22
6.23
0.04
6.27
147
2.4
3.9
125
14
18
271
39
25
6.94
0.01
6.95
164
2.4
5.6
125
16
20
281
35
28
Population
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
2.83
0.00
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
23
179
42
13
3.20
0.00
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
58
13
23
161
36
12
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
Page 46 of 241
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1 marker run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
A1C MESSAGE
REF - A1C MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
413
419
427
433
435
433
423
409
392
374
357
339
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.1
2.6
0.8
2.2
1.0
2.5
2.1
3.7
5.4
6.0
9.4
9.4
12.6
12.6
16.2
16.2
20.0
20.0
24.4
24.4
29.2
29.2
34.4
34.4
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
9
15
14
6
7
50
0
5
10
10
5
6
36
0
3
11
12
6
6
38
0
2
15
16
8
8
48
0
2
19
19
14
11
65
0
1
23
19
19
11
73
0
0
25
18
23
13
80
0
0
25
20
27
15
87
0
0
27
16
32
16
91
0
0
32
10
37
15
95
0
0
34
4
42
18
98
0
0
32
4
45
18
98
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
19
20
27
1
2
13
14
21
1
1
13
13
22
1
1
15
15
30
1
1
21
17
41
1
3
26
19
45
2
4
31
19
47
5
6
37
12
62
6
7
49
9
61
7
10
70
6
48
7
14
104
5
19
8
15
146
4
12
8
19
1
70
1
51
2
51
3
65
5
87
6
101
8
115
10
134
13
149
15
161
17
168
19
208
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.5
0.7
0.6
0.6
1.0
0.8
0.8
1.4
1.1
1.0
1.9
1.4
1.2
2.3
1.9
1.3
3.0
2.6
1.4
3.6
3.6
1.5
4.1
4.9
1.5
4.3
0.0
11.0
21.0
32.0
45.0
60.5
77.5
96.7
119.3
145.5
175.8
214.1
268
341
0
966
701
2276
266
361
0
950
698
2276
265
364
0
918
728
2276
265
366
3
904
738
2276
265
367
6
894
745
2276
264
368
11
899
733
2276
263
370
16
905
722
2276
262
371
19
909
715
2276
262
371
22
912
709
2276
261
372
23
916
703
2276
260
373
21
922
700
2276
260
374
20
927
696
2276
0.90
0.18
1.08
43
0.6
11.3
8
5
8
45
15
3
1.12
0.01
1.13
51
0.6
12.8
19
8
10
59
19
4
1.48
0.00
1.47
61
0.6
14.0
29
14
14
82
25
6
1.70
-0.08
1.63
61
0.6
14.3
31
20
18
108
31
8
1.90
-0.15
1.75
62
0.6
14.4
32
21
21
129
36
9
2.21
-0.12
2.10
70
0.6
12.9
33
22
19
150
43
10
2.52
-0.09
2.43
74
0.6
16.9
33
23
15
144
45
11
2.88
-0.07
2.81
81
0.6
22.5
34
24
14
136
44
12
3.33
-0.06
3.27
93
0.6
20.8
33
25
10
134
37
12
4.44
-0.05
4.38
121
0.6
12.4
31
24
11
143
32
13
Population
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
1.30
0.00
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
69
16
5
0.91
0.00
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
41
13
3
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
Page 47 of 241
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1 marker run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
A1C MESSAGE
ASIA - A1C MESSAGE
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2798
3261
3620
3937
4147
4238
4220
4085
3867
3589
3258
2882
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.5
5.3
2.7
8.3
5.8
13.5
13.5
22.8
27.2
36.2
44.9
52.2
65.3
70.0
95.8
96.8
126.9
126.9
155.5
155.5
186.5
186.5
218.2
218.2
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
24
19
13
2
4
1
62
16
36
23
3
7
3
88
12
53
39
6
13
6
128
8
69
59
10
25
11
182
5
75
93
12
47
18
249
3
62
143
18
74
23
323
2
48
199
26
104
28
407
0
42
259
31
145
37
513
0
39
281
34
187
47
588
0
34
292
34
223
58
641
0
29
295
29
249
67
668
0
19
262
23
262
85
651
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
30
15
3
0
24
48
26
5
1
22
68
40
12
3
27
98
54
20
8
34
135
72
30
20
44
191
81
37
34
58
250
80
41
54
77
315
86
40
83
97
377
62
30
125
116
408
40
21
159
134
425
25
15
175
143
386
17
15
174
142
1
74
3
105
6
156
10
226
18
319
27
427
37
538
54
676
69
778
80
842
89
871
101
834
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.2
0.0
0.8
0.5
0.1
1.5
0.8
0.2
2.5
1.4
0.4
3.8
2.1
0.7
5.7
2.9
1.1
8.2
3.7
1.5
11.3
4.6
1.9
15.3
5.2
2.2
19.7
5.6
2.4
24.1
5.8
2.6
0.0
17.8
42.8
77.0
123.7
186.9
267.6
365.9
479.9
602.6
728.4
848.1
438
608
0
535
583
2164
435
606
0
522
601
2164
434
609
0
512
609
2164
433
611
17
524
579
2164
432
613
37
535
547
2164
431
615
68
535
515
2164
431
617
99
535
483
2164
430
618
117
544
456
2164
429
619
134
552
429
2164
428
621
138
556
421
2164
428
622
127
555
431
2164
428
624
117
555
441
2164
2.74
0.22
2.96
152
2.4
33.9
18
8
12
348
49
12
4.03
-0.13
3.90
186
2.4
47.1
45
15
19
463
66
17
5.54
-0.12
5.42
231
2.5
60.9
92
23
28
621
80
24
7.28
-0.04
7.23
252
2.6
69.5
153
30
42
855
101
32
8.87
0.03
8.90
275
2.6
66.1
224
35
50
1131
128
40
10.80
-0.03
10.76
274
2.5
60.7
292
39
55
1414
157
48
12.13
-0.09
12.03
283
2.5
49.5
292
43
48
1647
180
52
12.59
-0.10
12.50
278
2.5
33.7
285
46
35
1821
193
56
12.70
-0.04
12.66
277
2.5
22.4
275
48
33
1930
197
60
11.28
0.01
11.30
260
2.5
14.9
262
46
37
1778
168
58
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
1.15
0.37
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
235
33
7
1.78
0.26
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
270
37
9
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
Page 48 of 241
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1 marker run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
A1C MESSAGE
ALM - A1C MESSAGE
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1192
1519
1875
2241
2557
2791
2980
3089
3115
3064
2934
2727
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.9
3.8
2.7
5.1
4.4
7.5
9.8
13.3
20.0
22.8
34.3
36.7
53.5
55.3
76.5
76.5
98.7
98.7
122.5
122.5
147.2
147.2
173.1
173.1
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
14
1
17
4
3
0
39
10
5
23
6
5
2
51
7
9
34
10
8
4
72
8
7
53
15
16
8
106
5
11
78
24
31
12
161
4
16
107
31
56
18
231
3
24
150
32
90
26
325
0
26
193
38
133
36
426
0
21
233
37
168
47
505
0
20
251
48
204
55
578
0
15
274
50
236
60
634
0
7
289
51
262
64
672
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
5
21
8
0
14
5
31
13
0
14
7
39
23
0
18
12
50
39
2
26
24
60
66
7
38
46
63
97
15
56
86
71
120
27
75
147
70
121
46
99
199
71
81
73
133
249
47
63
118
150
273
34
52
166
162
307
23
55
191
171
2
49
4
67
7
94
12
141
19
214
30
307
46
425
65
547
79
636
92
718
99
786
102
849
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.6
0.2
0.2
1.0
0.5
0.3
1.5
0.8
0.5
2.1
1.5
1.0
2.7
2.5
1.7
3.4
3.6
2.8
4.1
4.8
4.1
4.8
5.6
5.6
5.3
6.1
7.4
5.6
6.6
0.0
16.4
35.5
57.4
85.3
122.8
173.1
238.0
312.6
392.6
476.9
567.1
371
1680
0
1745
1684
5480
385
1673
0
1711
1710
5480
384
1685
0
1690
1720
5480
383
1695
42
1683
1676
5480
382
1702
90
1680
1625
5480
381
1708
165
1681
1544
5480
381
1714
240
1682
1463
5480
380
1718
282
1681
1419
5480
379
1722
324
1680
1374
5480
379
1726
333
1678
1364
5480
378
1730
308
1676
1387
5480
378
1733
284
1674
1411
5480
0.72
0.73
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
396
48
7
1.01
0.82
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
8
1.40
0.60
2.00
97
0.7
14.1
15
5
10
438
65
10
2.01
0.36
2.37
114
0.7
16.7
39
9
14
476
73
12
2.97
0.25
3.22
134
0.7
17.9
81
14
19
550
83
16
4.09
0.19
4.28
155
0.7
19.1
139
19
32
654
94
22
5.65
0.14
5.78
178
0.7
22.7
184
23
40
798
111
29
7.09
0.12
7.20
184
0.7
22.6
205
26
42
953
120
37
7.62
0.10
7.72
169
0.7
20.2
210
28
37
1160
124
41
8.20
0.08
8.28
167
0.7
18.2
210
30
23
1323
128
44
8.53
0.06
8.59
145
0.7
16.8
206
31
24
1437
132
46
9.42
0.03
9.45
126
0.7
13.9
196
30
26
1564
138
52
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
Page 49 of 241
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1 marker run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
A1C MINICAM
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - A1C MINICAM
1990
Population
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
5293
6100
6874
7618
8122
8484
8703
8623
8430
8126
7621
7137
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
20.7
na
27.4
na
38.1
na
52.7
na
79.7
na
116.4
na
162.8
na
224.0
na
290.2
na
361.5
na
437.8
na
521.8
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
45
121
52
35
0
253
0
57
126
63
54
0
298
0
73
137
77
86
0
374
0
94
157
96
134
0
480
0
118
170
92
209
0
589
0
140
205
85
299
0
729
0
162
260
76
402
0
899
0
129
301
76
509
0
1015
0
105
338
77
608
0
1127
0
89
370
80
698
0
1236
0
80
388
68
763
0
1300
0
72
405
57
829
0
1363
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
88
131
70
24
0
116
135
85
25
6
152
146
125
34
12
199
163
190
49
19
353
125
216
82
35
543
94
231
110
54
769
68
238
133
78
805
75
251
154
123
821
83
263
175
159
818
93
274
196
186
888
63
215
204
209
958
34
157
212
232
24
336
24
391
27
496
32
653
44
854
66
1098
99
1384
160
1567
220
1721
281
1847
338
1918
395
1988
0.1
0.1
0.1
1.2
1.5
0.9
2.6
2.9
2.0
4.2
4.4
3.5
7.5
5.7
5.6
12.1
6.8
7.8
18.2
7.7
10.1
26.2
8.4
12.6
34.3
9.2
15.2
42.5
10.1
17.8
51.2
10.8
20.1
60.0
11.5
22.4
0.0
75.3
163.5
274.5
417.9
601.0
830.2
1088.4
1352.9
1618.4
1881.1
2141.0
1472
3209
0
4173
4310
13164
1466
3348
4
4214
4132
13164
1473
3601
10
4140
3939
13164
1494
3968
20
3951
3732
13164
1477
4357
58
3623
3650
13164
1432
4657
115
3348
3613
13164
1359
4869
190
3126
3620
13164
1194
4662
340
3385
3583
13164
1038
4402
445
3693
3586
13164
891
4090
505
4049
3630
13164
776
3855
575
4192
3767
13164
661
3619
646
4336
3903
13164
5.99
1.11
6.90
1.07
8.58
1.08
10.99
1.55
14.54
1.60
19.10
1.38
24.45
0.92
25.66
0.61
26.42
0.22
26.72
-0.27
27.13
-1.04
27.70
-1.81
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
9.66
359
8.0
81.1
791
31
43
12.54
414
9.3
87.8
337
43
48
16.14
482
10.9
97.5
369
61
66
20.48
563
12.7
92.3
482
77
99
25.37
636
14.4
72.1
566
89
119
26.27
651
14.8
48.1
654
97
127
26.64
663
15.1
33.7
659
106
113
26.46
672
15.3
28.9
654
114
88
26.09
682
15.8
27.9
639
119
84
25.89
693
16.2
26.9
614
115
95
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 50 of 241
A1C MINICAM
Page 51 of 241
A1C MINICAM
OECD90 - A1C MINICAM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
838
908
965
1007
1024
1066
1081
1084
1090
1098
1105
1112
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
16.3
na
20.5
na
25.5
na
31.5
na
34.3
na
44.4
na
53.1
na
62.6
na
73.3
na
85.3
na
100.4
na
116.7
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
10
72
27
22
0
130
0
12
73
36
28
0
150
0
14
74
45
37
0
170
0
14
74
54
48
0
189
0
15
69
50
54
0
187
0
17
62
40
71
0
190
0
19
68
33
85
0
205
0
16
70
31
95
0
212
0
13
74
31
106
0
224
0
12
78
32
118
0
239
0
12
82
28
130
0
251
0
12
86
24
141
0
263
40
76
34
20
0
47
78
47
16
2
49
77
67
14
4
47
75
94
16
5
59
61
92
17
6
98
25
83
19
10
130
11
76
19
14
163
5
73
21
20
203
3
72
23
26
248
2
72
27
30
344
2
51
30
35
441
1
31
32
40
12
182
11
200
10
222
10
247
11
244
13
249
16
266
23
306
31
357
39
417
50
512
61
607
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.8
0.5
1.0
1.6
1.1
1.5
2.4
1.8
1.8
2.6
2.3
3.0
3.3
3.6
4.1
3.5
4.4
5.6
3.5
5.1
7.5
3.6
5.8
9.6
3.6
6.6
12.9
3.6
7.1
16.1
3.6
7.7
0.0
30.1
64.5
103.5
145.0
188.7
236.9
289.4
346.1
407.4
477.3
559.4
408
796
0
921
998
3123
410
820
4
931
959
3123
412
866
7
921
917
3123
414
934
10
894
872
3123
408
967
16
869
863
3123
383
1050
37
806
847
3123
357
1084
53
779
850
3123
310
1043
83
845
842
3123
269
996
105
910
843
3123
233
945
119
972
854
3123
203
901
138
995
885
3123
174
857
157
1018
917
3123
2.83
0.00
3.20
0.00
3.55
0.13
3.86
0.25
3.93
0.25
4.39
0.18
4.99
0.08
5.39
0.05
5.93
-0.04
6.60
-0.20
7.88
-0.31
9.29
-0.43
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
23
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
58
13
23
3.69
84
2.8
14.0
110
13
14
4.11
97
3.0
4.8
108
11
5
4.18
104
3.2
4.0
115
9
6
4.57
126
3.7
3.9
118
8
7
5.07
145
4.0
4.2
122
9
9
5.44
159
4.0
4.1
123
10
11
5.88
178
4.1
4.3
123
12
13
6.39
201
4.1
4.8
124
13
16
7.57
236
4.2
5.3
125
14
18
8.86
270
4.3
5.8
125
16
20
Population
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 52 of 241
A1C MINICAM
REF - A1C MINICAM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
428
425
426
433
434
431
423
408
392
374
357
340
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.1
na
1.1
na
1.4
na
2.1
na
3.5
na
5.0
na
6.9
na
9.9
na
13.4
na
17.4
na
21.4
na
25.8
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
13
18
19
6
0
56
0
10
12
15
8
0
44
0
9
9
13
13
0
44
0
9
10
15
21
0
55
0
10
11
15
30
0
65
0
11
13
13
39
0
75
0
11
14
11
48
0
85
0
9
16
11
57
0
92
0
7
17
10
64
0
99
0
6
18
10
71
0
105
0
5
18
8
73
0
105
0
5
18
6
76
0
104
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
18
20
26
3
0
17
13
20
4
1
20
11
21
6
1
25
12
30
10
2
68
4
33
14
5
127
0
32
16
7
201
0
28
17
10
175
0
29
18
16
196
0
28
19
20
264
0
27
20
23
228
0
21
19
25
192
0
14
19
27
3
70
3
58
3
63
4
84
6
129
8
190
11
267
17
254
23
286
29
362
33
326
38
290
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.5
0.6
0.4
0.7
1.2
0.5
1.0
2.2
0.5
1.3
3.7
0.5
1.6
5.5
0.5
1.9
7.5
0.5
2.2
9.7
0.5
2.5
12.0
0.5
2.7
14.4
0.5
2.9
0.0
11.0
20.4
31.8
48.8
74.5
110.3
149.8
188.7
233.0
277.8
314.9
284
395
0
1007
691
2377
294
410
0
1016
657
2377
304
453
2
996
622
2377
316
525
5
945
586
2377
320
604
16
864
573
2377
315
666
29
800
567
2377
303
710
44
752
569
2377
263
655
70
827
562
2377
224
593
86
912
563
2377
186
524
91
1005
571
2377
162
491
97
1031
597
2377
138
458
102
1057
622
2377
1.30
0.00
0.91
0.00
0.94
0.03
1.23
0.08
1.97
0.12
2.91
0.12
4.05
0.09
3.67
0.09
3.93
0.07
4.84
0.02
4.20
-0.12
3.60
-0.26
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
0.97
49
0.7
10.4
8
5
8
1.31
69
0.9
10.9
19
8
10
2.09
94
1.2
14.4
29
14
14
3.03
123
1.4
14.6
31
20
18
4.14
154
1.6
11.4
32
21
21
3.76
141
1.6
6.0
33
22
19
4.01
149
1.6
2.8
33
23
15
4.87
178
1.5
2.0
34
24
14
4.08
160
1.6
2.0
33
25
10
3.34
143
1.6
2.0
31
24
11
Population
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 53 of 241
A1C MINICAM
ASIA - A1C MINICAM
Population
1990
Million
2790
2000
3226
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
3608
3937
4115
4210
4219
4062
3852
3589
3245
2919
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.4
na
3.1
na
6.5
na
11.7
na
23.7
na
40.0
na
60.5
na
85.0
na
110.3
na
136.4
na
162.6
na
191.2
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
20
14
2
4
0
40
0
31
19
5
11
0
66
0
46
27
9
25
0
107
0
64
37
13
47
0
160
0
81
49
13
82
0
226
0
97
66
14
123
0
300
0
110
88
14
170
0
381
0
86
102
15
215
0
418
0
68
113
15
255
0
451
0
56
122
16
288
0
482
0
49
124
13
308
0
495
0
42
127
11
328
0
509
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
26
16
3
1
0
45
21
9
4
2
73
29
21
9
5
111
39
40
17
9
177
33
55
32
17
252
27
67
47
26
336
21
78
62
35
362
24
82
70
51
313
28
87
78
64
191
35
92
84
73
193
18
74
85
80
195
2
55
86
86
3
49
4
85
5
142
6
223
11
327
22
442
37
568
64
653
90
661
115
590
136
586
157
581
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.2
0.1
1.1
0.5
0.3
1.9
0.8
0.5
3.6
1.1
1.0
5.8
1.4
1.6
8.5
1.7
2.4
12.1
1.9
3.2
15.3
2.2
4.0
18.0
2.5
4.9
20.0
2.7
5.7
21.9
2.9
6.5
0.0
17.8
43.0
80.3
134.4
208.0
302.3
409.4
514.9
607.5
688.5
764.9
389
508
0
1168
664
2729
400
524
0
1144
632
2699
410
555
2
1102
600
2669
420
602
5
1043
568
2637
418
648
18
986
555
2625
409
685
32
942
550
2618
392
714
49
910
553
2618
346
704
79
936
547
2612
303
687
99
976
548
2613
263
662
109
1032
556
2622
229
632
126
1079
579
2645
195
603
143
1127
601
2668
1.15
0.37
1.78
0.26
2.80
0.20
4.20
0.27
6.06
0.29
8.09
0.27
10.29
0.20
10.80
0.12
10.15
0.04
8.36
-0.03
8.01
-0.15
7.68
-0.27
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
3.00
135
2.9
38.8
18
8
12
4.47
148
3.3
52.8
45
15
19
6.36
164
3.8
57.3
92
23
28
8.36
183
4.3
50.9
153
30
42
10.49
206
4.8
33.6
224
35
50
10.92
217
4.8
21.4
292
39
55
10.19
197
4.9
14.0
292
43
48
8.33
145
4.9
11.3
285
46
35
7.87
147
5.0
10.4
275
48
33
7.41
149
5.1
9.4
262
46
37
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 54 of 241
A1C MINICAM
ALM - A1C MINICAM
Population
1990
Million
1236
2000
1541
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1876
2241
2531
2778
2980
3068
3096
3064
2913
2766
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.9
na
2.8
na
4.6
na
7.4
na
15.4
na
27.0
na
42.3
na
66.5
na
93.2
na
122.4
na
153.4
na
188.0
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
2
17
5
3
0
27
0
3
22
7
6
0
38
0
5
28
10
11
0
54
0
7
36
14
18
0
75
0
11
46
17
38
0
113
0
16
64
19
65
0
164
0
21
90
18
99
0
228
0
18
113
19
141
0
293
0
16
134
20
182
0
353
0
15
153
22
221
0
410
0
14
164
19
252
0
449
0
13
175
16
283
0
487
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
4
20
7
0
0
6
23
10
2
1
10
29
16
5
1
15
37
26
7
3
37
41
39
17
6
66
41
49
26
11
102
37
57
35
19
105
46
67
45
35
109
52
76
55
49
116
57
84
65
60
123
43
70
70
70
129
30
56
76
79
5
35
6
48
8
69
11
99
16
156
23
218
34
284
55
353
76
418
98
479
119
494
140
510
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.5
0.2
0.3
0.8
0.4
0.6
1.2
0.8
1.1
1.6
1.2
1.9
2.0
1.7
3.0
2.5
2.4
4.0
3.0
3.1
5.1
3.5
3.9
6.4
4.0
4.6
7.6
4.4
5.3
0.0
16.4
35.6
58.9
89.7
129.8
180.6
239.7
303.3
370.4
437.6
501.8
391
1510
0
3641
1957
7499
363
1594
0
3591
1883
7432
348
1727
0
3480
1800
7354
344
1907
0
3307
1707
7265
337
2105
2
3114
1668
7226
324
2256
16
2957
1649
7202
307
2361
44
2834
1649
7195
275
2260
108
2900
1631
7175
243
2126
155
3020
1631
7175
209
1960
185
3192
1649
7195
182
1830
215
3321
1706
7254
154
1701
244
3450
1762
7312
0.72
0.73
1.01
0.82
1.29
0.72
1.70
0.95
2.57
0.93
3.71
0.80
5.11
0.55
5.80
0.35
6.40
0.15
6.92
-0.06
7.03
-0.46
7.14
-0.86
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
2.01
90
1.7
14.9
15
5
10
2.65
101
2.1
16.2
39
9
14
3.51
121
2.7
18.8
81
14
19
4.51
131
3.4
19.9
139
19
32
5.67
132
4.0
19.8
184
23
40
6.15
134
4.3
13.6
205
26
42
6.55
139
4.6
9.6
210
28
37
6.87
147
4.7
7.9
210
30
23
6.57
139
5.0
7.2
206
31
24
6.28
130
5.2
6.6
196
30
26
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 55 of 241
A1G AIM
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - A1G AIM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
Population
5262
6117
6805
7493
8182
8439
8704
8538
8375
8030
7528
7056
20.9
26.6
37.9
56.6
89.7
128.2
183.4
237.8
308.4
382.3
453.3
537.3
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
50
36
111
51
38
0
285
48
34
124
60
50
37
47
159
86
71
26
83
273
150
142
0
88
342
204
220
0
74
543
348
464
0
66
589
379
523
0
57
616
396
560
400
674
868
0
93
412
258
299
0
1061
0
83
477
303
381
315
35
65
206
115
98
0
519
1245
1429
1556
1628
0
48
643
413
596
0
1700
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
93
143
73
6
50
101
167
99
10
48
140
221
146
15
38
179
290
206
26
34
218
385
285
45
35
212
472
397
69
50
206
582
560
117
75
193
600
659
140
126
180
620
778
168
210
168
640
866
192
277
155
659
910
208
286
144
679
956
226
295
10
376
11
435
13
573
16
752
24
993
37
1237
61
1601
95
1813
150
2106
200
2342
225
2442
253
2554
0.1
0.1
0.1
1.0
1.7
0.9
2.3
3.6
2.2
3.8
6.2
3.9
5.8
9.6
6.4
7.7
13.5
9.6
10.1
19.2
14.8
11.8
24.2
20.2
13.7
30.6
27.6
15.6
37.2
36.0
17.1
43.4
44.4
18.8
50.8
54.9
0.0
75.3
170.8
300.6
465.0
662.3
897.6
1161.1
1439.9
1732.0
2032.2
2337.4
1437
3290
0
4249
3966
12942
1487
3287
0
4120
4048
12942
1546
3474
0
3979
3944
12942
1580
3874
2
3816
3671
12942
1554
4315
68
3767
3238
12942
1469
4328
154
3812
3120
12942
1389
4341
348
3858
3006
12942
1266
4184
502
3952
2969
12942
1154
4032
723
4049
2933
12942
1052
3914
879
4140
2950
12942
959
3827
901
4224
3021
12942
874
3741
923
4310
3093
12942
9.67
1.45
11.11
393
7.4
87.4
791
31
43
1226
181
40
13.09
1.78
14.87
470
7.9
100.9
337
43
48
1552
230
49
17.49
0.52
18.01
541
7.8
91.4
369
61
66
1747
269
52
21.11
0.33
21.44
525
7.6
69.3
482
77
99
2008
273
50
25.58
0.05
25.62
511
7.5
64.4
566
89
119
2307
279
49
27.11
-0.03
27.08
449
7.0
47.0
654
97
127
2546
283
47
28.77
-0.10
28.67
396
6.6
35.7
659
106
113
2812
288
45
29.88
-0.11
29.76
353
6.3
30.7
654
114
88
3086
268
43
30.33
-0.07
30.26
319
6.1
28.9
639
119
84
3364
227
41
30.80
-0.01
30.79
289
5.9
27.4
614
115
95
3666
192
40
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 56 of 241
5.99
1.11
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
879
139
31
6.90
1.07
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
877
141
32
A1G AIM
Page 57 of 241
A1G AIM
OECD90 - A1G AIM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
859
919
960
1002
1043
1062
1081
1086
1091
1097
1103
1110
16.4
20.4
25.2
31.1
38.3
45.7
54.7
64.7
76.7
90.1
105.2
122.8
6
10
64
25
22
0
127
1
9
75
34
28
0
9
79
39
32
0
10
91
47
42
0
9
97
53
49
0
7
111
71
77
0
6
115
76
86
0
6
120
80
96
159
189
209
0
9
104
59
57
0
229
0
8
107
65
67
147
0
9
85
43
36
0
173
248
266
284
301
0
5
125
83
105
0
318
41
76
34
5
6
42
92
51
7
1
43
98
60
10
0
39
106
68
14
0
33
112
75
19
2
34
121
90
20
6
35
131
108
20
14
32
127
120
23
24
29
124
134
26
40
28
125
147
30
53
27
130
158
34
55
27
136
170
38
57
6
167
6
199
7
216
8
233
10
251
12
282
14
322
20
346
27
380
35
416
40
443
46
473
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.4
0.9
0.5
0.9
1.9
1.0
1.3
2.9
1.7
1.6
4.0
2.4
1.9
5.0
3.2
2.3
6.4
4.2
2.6
7.5
5.2
2.9
8.8
6.5
3.2
10.1
8.0
3.5
11.4
9.4
3.8
12.8
11.2
0.0
30.1
62.6
97.8
136.5
179.8
229.7
283.2
337.1
391.5
446.4
502.2
410
787
0
1056
886
3140
404
758
0
1065
912
3140
389
750
0
1103
897
3140
373
783
0
1133
850
3140
350
834
7
1176
772
3140
336
843
20
1183
746
3140
321
852
56
1190
721
3140
286
817
78
1231
716
3140
255
783
108
1274
711
3140
227
754
132
1312
712
3140
202
728
142
1344
720
3140
180
703
152
1378
728
3140
3.42
-0.12
3.30
71
2.5
9.9
110
13
14
175
37
12
3.78
-0.05
3.73
71
2.6
6.9
108
11
5
191
39
12
4.14
-0.12
4.02
71
2.5
6.4
115
9
6
213
39
9
4.68
-0.05
4.63
63
2.4
6.3
118
8
7
231
34
7
5.30
0.04
5.34
56
2.3
6.2
122
9
9
250
30
6
5.39
-0.02
5.37
51
2.1
5.9
123
10
11
260
25
6
5.48
-0.07
5.41
47
1.9
5.6
123
12
13
270
21
6
5.56
-0.10
5.46
43
1.8
5.3
124
13
16
286
18
5
5.62
-0.08
5.54
41
1.8
4.9
125
14
18
307
17
5
5.68
-0.07
5.61
38
1.8
4.6
125
16
20
330
16
5
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 58 of 241
2.83
0.00
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
23
179
42
13
3.20
0.00
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
58
13
23
161
36
12
A1G AIM
REF - A1G AIM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
413
419
424
430
435
429
423
406
391
374
356
339
1.1
0.8
1.5
2.9
5.3
8.2
12.5
15.7
19.8
24.2
29.0
34.6
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
2
9
19
19
8
0
58
5
4
11
14
9
0
4
11
20
11
0
6
13
27
16
0
6
14
37
20
0
4
18
52
29
0
3
20
53
30
0
3
21
53
30
47
61
77
0
6
16
46
25
0
92
0
5
17
49
27
43
0
5
11
23
13
0
53
97
102
105
106
0
2
22
53
30
0
106
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
18
22
26
1
2
12
16
22
1
4
14
17
30
2
0
14
16
35
4
0
14
18
41
5
1
14
20
52
7
1
15
23
65
9
3
13
22
69
10
6
11
22
73
10
9
9
22
75
10
12
8
23
76
11
13
7
24
76
11
13
1
71
1
57
1
64
2
71
2
80
3
98
5
121
7
126
9
135
11
141
12
142
13
144
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.5
0.9
0.6
0.7
1.2
0.7
0.9
1.7
0.9
1.1
2.3
1.0
1.3
2.9
1.1
1.5
3.6
1.2
1.8
4.4
1.3
2.0
5.1
1.4
2.2
5.9
0.0
11.0
21.0
32.1
44.1
57.9
74.2
91.6
108.2
124.2
140.0
155.7
279
346
0
960
720
2305
284
357
0
961
703
2305
296
400
0
951
658
2305
298
466
0
952
588
2305
298
551
7
951
497
2305
287
563
15
957
478
2305
276
575
31
963
460
2305
260
565
38
984
455
2305
245
555
46
1007
450
2305
225
540
46
1034
456
2305
202
521
38
1068
471
2305
181
502
31
1103
487
2305
1.06
0.03
1.09
60
0.6
12.2
8
5
8
42
15
3
1.14
0.00
1.14
66
0.7
10.8
19
8
10
45
13
3
1.26
0.00
1.26
68
0.7
7.5
29
14
14
50
13
3
1.50
-0.01
1.49
59
0.6
4.3
31
20
18
55
14
2
1.79
-0.02
1.78
51
0.6
2.4
32
21
21
61
15
2
1.74
-0.04
1.70
49
0.6
2.0
33
22
19
64
15
2
1.69
-0.06
1.63
47
0.5
1.7
33
23
15
67
16
2
1.67
-0.08
1.58
44
0.5
1.6
34
24
14
71
16
1
1.67
-0.10
1.57
42
0.4
1.6
33
25
10
76
16
1
1.68
-0.12
1.56
39
0.4
1.6
31
24
11
80
16
1
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 59 of 241
1.30
0.00
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
69
16
5
0.91
0.00
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
41
13
3
A1G AIM
ASIA - A1G AIM
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2798
3261
3556
3851
4147
4183
4220
4016
3822
3541
3194
2882
1.5
2.7
5.8
12.3
26.3
40.8
63.4
86.3
117.5
149.4
177.4
210.6
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
28
15
11
2
5
0
61
23
19
15
4
7
19
32
30
9
15
4
59
77
27
46
0
63
100
42
76
0
54
187
94
180
0
48
210
108
208
0
42
224
119
227
105
213
283
0
66
124
56
106
0
352
0
60
155
75
143
68
15
45
49
16
27
0
153
433
514
574
611
0
35
238
129
246
0
648
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
30
17
4
0
28
38
24
8
1
24
68
45
18
2
19
99
74
35
5
14
128
114
61
13
7
117
144
97
23
11
107
182
156
43
17
100
199
196
54
29
94
217
247
66
48
86
233
289
78
64
78
245
313
86
66
70
257
340
95
68
1
80
2
96
2
154
3
230
5
327
10
403
20
525
34
611
56
729
78
827
90
877
103
933
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.9
0.6
0.2
1.7
1.2
0.5
2.9
2.1
0.9
3.9
3.3
1.7
5.2
5.1
3.1
6.1
6.7
4.7
7.1
8.8
7.0
8.1
11.2
9.7
8.9
13.4
12.6
9.7
16.2
16.2
0.0
17.8
45.2
87.4
145.6
216.9
299.4
392.5
495.0
606.1
722.7
843.1
390
521
0
527
576
2014
407
524
0
490
593
2014
433
547
0
452
583
2014
457
593
2
417
545
2014
459
643
21
410
482
2014
429
647
41
423
463
2014
401
650
81
436
445
2014
363
631
116
451
438
2014
327
613
166
467
431
2014
302
601
198
478
434
2014
284
597
200
485
448
2014
268
592
201
492
462
2014
3.04
0.40
3.44
156
2.8
42.2
18
8
12
487
55
13
4.56
0.45
5.02
200
3.0
54.5
45
15
19
676
79
17
6.45
0.17
6.62
248
3.1
45.9
92
23
28
836
96
20
7.53
0.11
7.64
246
3.0
20.0
153
30
42
977
100
20
8.79
0.07
8.86
244
3.0
8.5
224
35
50
1139
105
19
9.69
0.07
9.76
202
2.8
8.0
292
39
55
1251
111
18
10.69
0.07
10.75
166
2.7
7.5
292
43
48
1373
117
17
11.39
0.08
11.47
144
2.6
7.1
285
46
35
1502
109
15
11.74
0.11
11.85
130
2.5
6.7
275
48
33
1637
89
14
12.09
0.14
12.23
118
2.4
6.3
262
46
37
1783
71
13
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 60 of 241
1.15
0.37
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
235
33
7
1.78
0.26
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
270
37
9
A1G AIM
ALM - A1G AIM
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1192
1519
1865
2211
2557
2761
2980
3024
3067
3013
2866
2727
1.9
2.7
5.3
10.3
19.8
32.3
52.8
70.4
93.9
118.6
141.7
169.4
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
14
1
17
4
4
0
40
19
2
22
9
6
18
3
39
18
12
22
9
93
49
39
0
10
131
73
75
0
10
227
132
178
0
8
244
142
199
0
7
251
145
208
90
211
299
0
12
169
96
111
0
388
0
11
198
114
144
57
20
6
60
33
21
0
140
467
546
594
611
0
6
258
147
216
0
628
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
5
27
9
0
14
8
35
18
0
18
16
62
38
1
19
27
94
68
3
20
44
142
108
8
26
47
187
158
19
32
50
247
231
44
40
48
252
273
54
67
46
257
323
65
112
44
260
356
74
148
42
261
363
78
152
40
262
371
82
157
2
57
2
82
3
138
4
217
7
334
12
455
22
634
35
729
57
861
76
957
83
980
92
1004
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.1
0.2
0.8
0.4
0.4
1.6
1.0
0.8
2.8
1.8
1.1
4.3
3.1
1.7
6.7
5.2
2.1
8.7
7.4
2.6
11.4
10.5
3.1
14.1
13.9
3.5
16.6
17.3
1.7
6.7
12.5
0.0
16.4
41.9
83.3
138.7
207.7
294.4
393.8
499.5
610.2
723.0
836.5
357
1636
0
1706
1784
5483
391
1648
0
1604
1840
5483
427
1776
0
1474
1806
5483
451
2032
0
1313
1687
5483
446
2287
33
1230
1487
5483
417
2275
77
1249
1433
5483
390
2264
180
1269
1380
5483
357
2171
269
1285
1361
5483
327
2081
402
1302
1341
5483
298
2019
501
1315
1348
5483
271
1981
520
1327
1382
5483
246
1944
539
1338
1416
5483
2.15
1.14
3.29
106
1.5
20.3
15
5
10
522
75
12
3.61
1.37
4.98
134
1.8
25.7
39
9
14
640
99
17
5.64
0.47
6.11
155
1.6
28.7
81
14
19
649
121
20
7.40
0.28
7.68
157
1.5
35.7
139
19
32
745
125
21
9.70
-0.05
9.65
160
1.5
44.2
184
23
40
857
130
21
10.29
-0.04
10.25
148
1.5
28.0
205
26
42
971
132
21
10.92
-0.03
10.89
136
1.5
17.8
210
28
37
1101
134
21
11.26
-0.01
11.25
122
1.4
13.7
210
30
23
1227
125
21
11.30
0.00
11.31
107
1.4
12.8
206
31
24
1344
106
21
11.35
0.04
11.39
93
1.4
12.0
196
30
26
1472
89
21
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 61 of 241
0.72
0.73
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
396
48
7
1.01
0.82
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
8
A1G MESSAGE
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - A1G MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
Population
5262
6117
6888
7617
8182
8531
8704
8667
8463
8125
7658
7056
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
20.9
25.7
26.8
33.4
36.8
45.7
57.0
67.2
91.3
98.7
135.4
139.0
187.1
186.4
254.1
246.8
322.9
313.2
393.2
382.0
469.6
456.6
550.0
535.0
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
38
42
111
41
35
8
275
25
57
125
47
46
11
311
20
67
157
62
64
18
387
16
75
190
76
101
29
487
10
84
241
100
161
45
640
7
88
292
132
242
55
815
5
74
374
161
344
67
1024
0
47
453
215
464
86
1265
0
39
491
235
573
106
1444
0
25
525
253
668
124
1595
0
5
525
284
749
143
1705
0
3
510
300
800
152
1765
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
91
128
71
7
46
104
155
85
8
44
130
172
119
11
54
167
194
164
17
76
220
235
236
30
107
266
279
328
54
145
272
365
449
90
193
261
451
649
128
243
259
479
796
169
311
214
506
916
225
381
153
461
1089
282
409
84
391
1239
332
414
8
352
13
409
23
509
38
657
61
889
91
1163
125
1495
165
1898
203
2217
237
2479
264
2658
277
2737
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.9
1.4
0.8
2.0
3.0
1.6
3.3
4.7
2.8
4.9
6.7
4.4
7.1
9.0
6.8
9.8
11.8
10.1
12.5
15.4
14.6
15.1
20.0
21.1
17.7
24.7
29.0
19.9
29.8
38.2
21.4
34.4
49.1
0.0
75.3
162.9
265.1
390.3
549.0
744.1
981.7
1257.3
1555.3
1863.7
2170.9
1459
3389
0
4296
3805
12949
1466
3404
0
1462
3429
0
1457
3446
74
1454
3458
158
1448
3478
288
1442
3498
418
1436
3525
492
1429
3552
566
1424
3568
581
1422
3572
538
1420
3576
495
4237
3842
12949
4173
3886
12949
4164
3807
12949
4164
3715
12949
4177
3558
12949
4190
3400
12949
4194
3301
12949
4199
3203
12949
4202
3173
12949
4203
3213
12949
4204
3253
12949
8.49
1.04
9.54
363
6.1
64.3
791
31
43
986
160
38
10.66
0.26
10.91
419
6.1
60.3
337
43
48
1123
178
46
14.00
0.12
14.12
496
6.2
63.9
369
61
66
1344
200
59
17.56
0.05
17.61
538
6.3
71.9
482
77
99
1616
237
72
21.45
-0.02
21.42
566
6.4
69.0
566
89
119
2026
297
89
26.11
-0.03
26.08
555
6.3
59.1
654
97
127
2399
370
108
29.08
-0.03
29.04
531
6.3
51.2
659
106
113
2717
416
118
30.58
-0.03
30.55
497
6.2
45.7
654
114
88
3033
459
124
31.14
-0.01
31.13
474
6.2
43.1
639
119
84
3199
474
129
30.31
0.00
30.31
436
6.2
40.5
614
115
95
3261
484
133
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
5.99
1.11
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
879
139
31
6.90
1.07
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
877
141
32
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
Page 62 of 241
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1 marker run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
A1G MESSAGE
Page 63 of 241
A1G MESSAGE
OECD90 - A1G MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
859
919
965
1007
1043
1069
1081
1084
1089
1098
1108
1110
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
16.4
14.1
20.6
17.8
25.6
22.1
31.6
27.4
38.7
33.7
46.8
40.8
55.7
48.6
65.7
57.4
77.2
67.6
90.8
79.7
106.6
93.6
124.3
109.4
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
13
66
22
22
1
124
0
11
69
28
28
1
138
0
6
77
33
35
3
153
0
3
75
34
45
5
162
0
1
73
38
58
8
178
0
1
71
41
73
10
195
0
0
79
38
89
12
218
0
0
86
33
106
16
241
0
0
87
30
124
23
264
0
0
94
25
139
27
284
0
0
100
22
153
31
305
0
0
105
18
165
32
321
38
72
33
6
6
38
84
45
7
7
45
83
55
8
7
52
75
66
10
13
57
67
78
15
19
55
64
87
26
24
40
76
101
41
29
26
80
118
53
32
20
82
140
59
36
19
91
139
68
40
17
99
156
68
43
15
99
162
74
47
4
159
5
186
9
206
12
227
16
252
22
278
28
315
35
345
44
381
49
406
54
437
57
453
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.8
0.4
0.8
1.6
0.8
1.2
2.5
1.4
1.7
3.2
2.0
2.3
3.9
2.8
2.9
4.5
3.7
3.3
5.3
4.7
3.7
6.1
5.9
4.0
6.9
7.3
4.2
7.8
8.7
4.4
8.8
10.3
0.0
30.1
63.7
99.8
137.4
175.8
214.5
253.8
294.7
337.5
382.5
428.6
381
760
0
1050
838
3029
380
763
0
377
771
0
376
774
11
375
776
24
372
787
44
368
797
63
364
818
74
359
839
86
356
849
88
356
847
81
355
846
75
1053
833
3029
1052
828
3029
1053
814
3029
1056
798
3029
1062
765
3029
1068
733
3029
1061
712
3029
1054
691
3029
1050
685
3029
1049
695
3029
1048
705
3029
3.49
0.04
3.52
73
2.4
8.9
110
13
14
172
37
13
3.67
0.02
3.69
73
2.4
1.7
108
11
5
176
35
14
3.84
0.00
3.84
77
2.4
0.8
115
9
6
173
30
14
3.87
-0.02
3.84
81
2.4
0.5
118
8
7
184
29
14
3.93
-0.04
3.89
79
2.3
0.8
122
9
9
205
31
13
3.96
0.00
3.97
75
2.3
1.5
123
10
11
214
33
13
4.17
0.05
4.22
73
2.3
2.1
123
12
13
217
36
14
4.28
0.06
4.34
66
2.3
3.4
124
13
16
228
39
15
4.61
0.04
4.65
62
2.3
4.9
125
14
18
236
43
17
4.58
0.01
4.59
56
2.3
5.8
125
16
20
234
44
18
Population
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
2.83
0.00
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
23
179
42
13
3.20
0.00
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
58
13
23
161
36
12
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
Page 64 of 241
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1 marker run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
A1G MESSAGE
REF - A1G MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
413
419
427
433
435
433
423
409
392
374
357
339
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.1
2.6
0.8
2.2
1.0
2.5
2.1
3.7
5.4
6.0
9.4
9.4
12.6
12.6
16.2
16.2
20.0
20.0
24.4
24.4
29.2
29.2
34.4
34.4
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
9
15
14
6
7
50
0
4
10
10
5
6
35
0
3
10
12
6
6
38
0
3
12
16
9
8
47
0
3
16
19
15
12
64
0
1
16
20
21
14
71
0
1
22
16
27
13
79
0
0
28
12
33
14
86
0
0
29
9
38
15
90
0
0
28
8
42
16
94
0
0
27
7
46
16
97
0
0
28
5
49
16
97
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
19
20
27
1
2
13
14
21
1
1
10
13
25
1
1
14
13
29
1
3
20
16
36
2
6
23
16
38
4
10
22
19
40
7
14
25
27
45
11
17
23
30
49
16
28
21
32
60
20
32
21
23
71
25
33
20
19
92
24
33
1
70
1
51
2
51
3
63
5
85
7
98
9
112
12
138
16
162
19
183
21
193
23
211
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.5
0.7
0.5
0.6
1.0
0.7
0.8
1.4
1.0
0.9
1.8
1.2
1.1
2.2
1.4
1.4
2.6
1.7
1.7
3.1
1.9
2.0
3.7
2.1
2.2
4.4
0.0
11.0
20.7
31.0
42.9
56.6
70.5
86.1
104.0
123.2
143.1
163.9
268
341
0
966
701
2276
266
361
0
265
364
0
265
366
3
265
367
6
264
368
11
263
370
16
262
371
19
262
371
22
261
372
23
260
373
21
260
374
20
950
698
2276
918
728
2276
904
738
2276
894
745
2276
899
733
2276
905
722
2276
909
715
2276
912
709
2276
916
703
2276
922
700
2276
927
696
2276
0.85
0.18
1.03
42
0.6
7.2
8
5
8
46
16
3
1.02
0.01
1.03
50
0.6
4.8
19
8
10
52
20
4
1.35
0.00
1.34
59
0.6
3.9
29
14
14
82
26
5
1.46
-0.08
1.39
59
0.6
4.5
31
20
18
97
32
6
1.54
-0.15
1.39
53
0.6
4.1
32
21
21
110
38
6
1.86
-0.12
1.74
52
0.6
4.2
33
22
19
115
55
6
1.94
-0.09
1.85
51
0.6
3.3
33
23
15
118
78
6
2.06
-0.07
1.99
51
0.6
3.3
34
24
14
110
96
5
2.05
-0.06
1.98
51
0.6
3.1
33
25
10
99
93
4
2.24
-0.05
2.19
50
0.6
3.3
31
24
11
81
99
5
Population
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
1.30
0.00
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
69
16
5
0.91
0.00
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
41
13
3
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
Page 65 of 241
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1 marker run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
A1G MESSAGE
ASIA - A1G MESSAGE
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2798
3261
3620
3937
4147
4238
4220
4085
3867
3589
3258
2882
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.5
5.3
2.7
8.3
5.8
13.5
13.5
22.8
27.2
36.2
44.9
52.2
65.3
70.0
95.8
96.8
126.9
126.9
155.5
155.5
186.5
186.5
218.2
218.2
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
24
19
13
2
4
1
62
15
37
22
3
7
2
87
11
52
37
6
14
6
125
8
63
55
10
27
10
174
5
71
83
17
48
16
239
3
74
116
29
79
17
318
2
56
162
43
118
22
404
0
37
188
87
167
31
510
0
28
201
105
212
38
585
0
17
213
111
253
43
638
0
3
211
117
285
52
668
0
2
198
119
298
59
676
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
30
15
3
0
24
48
26
5
1
22
67
38
15
2
28
90
55
29
4
37
124
79
49
8
47
165
108
77
14
59
176
152
116
23
80
163
170
212
36
109
145
169
287
56
127
116
172
332
87
142
79
139
381
121
151
42
103
429
143
153
1
74
3
105
5
156
12
226
21
327
30
453
42
588
56
746
69
853
81
929
91
962
96
965
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.2
0.0
0.8
0.4
0.1
1.5
0.8
0.2
2.4
1.4
0.5
3.6
2.2
1.0
5.3
3.3
1.8
7.0
4.8
2.9
8.6
6.5
5.0
10.0
8.2
7.9
11.2
9.9
11.2
12.1
11.3
15.1
0.0
17.8
42.7
76.5
123.2
189.5
276.1
379.6
494.4
614.1
732.3
843.7
438
608
0
535
583
2164
435
606
0
434
609
0
433
611
17
432
613
37
431
615
68
431
617
99
430
618
117
429
619
134
428
621
138
428
622
127
428
624
117
522
601
2164
512
609
2164
524
579
2164
535
547
2164
535
515
2164
535
483
2164
544
456
2164
552
429
2164
556
421
2164
555
431
2164
555
441
2164
2.73
0.22
2.95
151
2.4
31.2
18
8
12
345
46
12
3.94
-0.13
3.81
182
2.4
36.0
45
15
19
425
54
16
5.65
-0.12
5.54
226
2.5
40.5
92
23
28
554
63
23
7.77
-0.04
7.72
242
2.6
47.4
153
30
42
701
77
31
9.58
0.03
9.60
254
2.6
42.2
224
35
50
928
107
40
11.13
-0.03
11.09
238
2.6
31.7
292
39
55
1103
130
49
11.96
-0.09
11.87
216
2.6
24.2
292
43
48
1227
144
53
12.16
-0.10
12.07
198
2.6
19.7
285
46
35
1318
155
55
11.61
-0.04
11.57
183
2.5
17.1
275
48
33
1390
155
54
10.70
0.01
10.71
162
2.5
15.1
262
46
37
1372
150
54
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
1.15
0.37
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
235
33
7
1.78
0.26
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
270
37
9
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
Page 66 of 241
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1 marker run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
A1G MESSAGE
ALM - A1G MESSAGE
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1192
1519
1875
2241
2557
2791
2980
3089
3115
3064
2934
2727
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.9
3.8
2.7
5.1
4.4
7.5
9.8
13.3
20.0
22.8
34.3
36.7
53.5
55.3
76.5
76.5
98.7
98.7
122.5
122.5
147.2
147.2
173.1
173.1
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
14
1
17
4
3
0
39
10
5
24
6
5
2
51
9
6
33
11
9
3
71
8
6
49
16
19
6
104
5
9
70
26
40
9
159
4
13
90
43
68
14
231
3
17
111
63
110
20
324
0
10
151
83
158
26
428
0
11
174
91
199
31
506
0
8
190
109
234
38
579
0
2
186
138
266
45
635
0
1
179
159
288
46
672
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
5
21
8
0
14
5
31
14
0
14
8
39
24
1
17
12
51
41
2
24
19
72
73
6
36
23
91
126
11
53
35
119
192
18
70
47
175
273
27
86
71
197
321
38
121
59
212
385
51
168
36
199
482
68
183
8
170
555
92
182
2
49
4
67
7
96
12
142
21
225
32
335
47
481
62
670
75
822
88
961
98
1065
102
1109
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.6
0.2
0.2
1.0
0.5
0.3
1.5
0.9
0.5
2.2
1.6
0.7
3.1
2.9
1.0
4.3
4.8
1.5
6.0
7.5
2.1
8.0
10.7
2.6
10.1
14.5
2.9
12.1
19.3
0.0
16.4
35.7
57.8
86.8
127.1
183.0
262.2
364.1
480.4
605.8
734.6
371
1680
0
1745
1684
5480
385
1673
0
384
1685
0
383
1695
42
382
1702
90
381
1708
165
381
1714
240
380
1718
282
379
1722
324
379
1726
333
378
1730
308
378
1733
284
1711
1710
5480
1690
1720
5480
1683
1676
5480
1680
1625
5480
1681
1544
5480
1682
1463
5480
1681
1419
5480
1680
1374
5480
1678
1364
5480
1676
1387
5480
1674
1411
5480
1.01
0.82
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
8
1.43
0.60
2.03
98
0.7
14.0
15
5
10
423
61
9
2.03
0.36
2.39
114
0.7
14.7
39
9
14
469
70
12
3.15
0.25
3.40
134
0.7
15.8
81
14
19
535
82
17
4.47
0.19
4.66
155
0.7
16.5
139
19
32
634
98
22
6.41
0.14
6.54
180
0.8
18.8
184
23
40
782
122
30
9.16
0.12
9.28
190
0.8
18.6
205
26
42
967
152
40
11.01
0.10
11.11
192
0.8
18.7
210
28
37
1154
159
45
12.07
0.08
12.15
181
0.8
16.4
210
30
23
1378
169
49
12.88
0.06
12.93
179
0.8
14.9
206
31
24
1473
184
53
12.78
0.03
12.82
168
0.8
13.3
196
30
26
1573
191
56
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
0.72
0.73
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
396
48
7
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
Page 67 of 241
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1 marker run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
A1G MINICAM
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - A1G MINICAM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
Population
5293
6100
6874
7618
8122
8484
8703
8623
8430
8126
7621
7137
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
20.7
na
27.4
na
38.1
na
52.8
na
80.0
na
117.1
na
164.0
na
226.1
na
293.3
na
365.7
na
441.6
na
525.0
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
45
121
52
35
0
253
0
57
126
63
54
0
300
0
73
141
81
86
0
381
0
94
165
105
133
0
497
0
118
182
126
207
0
634
0
140
229
141
301
0
810
0
158
306
150
413
0
1027
0
128
366
182
525
0
1201
0
108
423
212
630
0
1373
0
99
476
242
728
0
1546
0
89
455
232
782
0
1559
0
79
435
223
837
0
1572
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
88
131
70
24
0
115
136
85
26
6
150
150
129
35
12
193
173
203
51
18
299
165
268
79
28
393
202
333
108
40
475
283
398
137
52
448
353
494
155
73
432
416
573
177
85
429
471
634
201
89
518
359
606
217
106
607
248
578
233
123
24
336
24
392
27
503
32
669
42
882
60
1135
86
1431
128
1650
169
1850
208
2032
246
2052
284
2073
0.1
0.1
0.1
1.2
1.5
0.9
2.6
2.9
2.1
4.2
4.5
3.6
7.0
6.2
6.1
10.4
8.1
9.2
14.6
10.4
12.7
19.1
13.8
17.4
23.6
17.7
22.8
27.9
22.0
28.7
32.9
25.8
34.8
37.9
29.6
40.9
0.0
75.3
163.9
276.2
420.8
601.6
820.9
1068.8
1333.7
1613.5
1899.0
2182.3
1472
3209
0
4173
4310
13164
1466
3348
4
4214
4132
13164
1474
3602
9
4140
3940
13164
1495
3970
16
3951
3733
13164
1481
4367
30
3625
3662
13164
1439
4681
47
3362
3636
13164
1369
4911
68
3162
3655
13164
1208
4730
115
3471
3641
13164
1053
4478
130
3838
3664
13164
903
4155
116
4265
3725
13164
786
3918
162
4432
3867
13164
669
3682
208
4598
4008
13164
5.99
1.11
6.90
1.07
8.65
1.08
11.19
1.55
14.61
1.57
18.66
1.31
23.10
0.80
25.14
0.55
27.12
0.16
29.04
-0.36
29.64
-1.22
30.32
-2.08
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
879
139
31
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
877
141
32
9.73
359
8.0
80.8
791
31
43
1020
166
40
12.73
416
9.3
86.9
337
43
48
1204
192
50
16.19
489
10.9
96.1
369
61
66
1436
214
63
19.97
567
12.8
94.0
482
77
99
1726
256
77
23.90
630
14.5
80.5
566
89
119
2159
322
95
25.69
655
15.0
56.3
654
97
127
2270
361
102
27.28
677
15.4
42.6
659
106
113
2483
405
109
28.68
695
15.7
39.4
654
114
88
2776
449
115
28.42
715
16.1
39.8
639
119
84
2685
435
111
28.24
735
16.6
40.1
614
115
95
2570
420
110
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 68 of 241
2100
A1G MINICAM
Page 69 of 241
A1G MINICAM
OECD90 - A1G MINICAM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
838
908
965
1007
1024
1066
1081
1084
1090
1098
1105
1112
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
16.3
na
20.5
na
25.6
na
31.5
na
34.4
na
44.6
na
53.5
na
63.2
na
74.2
na
86.4
na
101.4
na
117.7
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
10
72
27
22
0
130
0
13
73
36
28
0
151
0
14
75
47
37
0
173
0
14
77
59
48
0
197
0
14
73
60
53
0
199
0
15
70
62
70
0
217
0
17
81
62
85
0
245
0
13
87
70
95
0
265
0
12
94
80
105
0
290
0
12
102
91
116
0
320
0
12
97
90
126
0
325
0
12
93
89
137
0
330
40
76
34
20
0
47
78
47
16
2
48
79
69
14
4
45
79
100
16
5
51
71
103
17
5
70
59
112
18
7
82
70
116
18
9
86
71
131
19
11
93
72
146
22
13
104
74
160
25
13
167
34
158
29
17
231
-6
157
33
20
12
182
11
201
10
225
10
254
10
257
12
279
14
310
18
336
23
368
28
404
35
440
42
476
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.9
0.5
1.0
1.6
1.1
1.4
2.4
1.9
1.7
2.8
2.4
2.6
3.7
4.0
3.4
4.3
5.2
4.2
5.1
6.4
5.1
5.8
7.8
6.1
6.5
9.3
7.6
6.9
10.9
9.2
7.3
12.5
0.0
30.1
64.7
104.3
146.6
191.0
239.5
291.7
346.9
405.7
469.9
541.6
408
796
0
921
998
3123
410
820
4
931
959
3123
412
866
6
921
917
3123
414
935
8
894
872
3123
409
970
10
869
865
3123
385
1058
18
809
853
3123
358
1094
24
787
858
3123
312
1058
34
864
856
3123
272
1013
38
938
861
3123
238
962
36
1011
876
3123
207
918
50
1039
909
3123
177
873
63
1067
942
3123
2.83
0.00
3.20
0.00
3.58
0.13
3.95
0.25
4.03
0.24
4.46
0.16
5.02
0.05
5.34
0.02
5.76
-0.07
6.30
-0.24
7.14
-0.35
8.02
-0.47
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
23
179
42
13
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
58
13
23
161
36
12
3.72
86
2.8
13.9
110
13
14
181
39
14
4.19
101
3.0
4.7
108
11
5
199
39
16
4.27
108
3.2
4.0
115
9
6
187
32
15
4.63
131
3.7
4.2
118
8
7
211
33
16
5.07
149
4.0
5.1
122
9
9
250
37
16
5.36
172
4.1
5.2
123
10
11
269
41
16
5.69
196
4.2
5.7
123
12
13
274
45
18
6.06
223
4.2
6.5
124
13
16
304
52
20
6.78
246
4.3
7.3
125
14
18
307
55
23
7.55
270
4.4
8.0
125
16
20
319
60
24
Population
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 70 of 241
A1G MINICAM
REF - A1G MINICAM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
428
425
426
433
434
431
423
408
392
374
357
340
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.1
na
1.1
na
1.4
na
2.1
na
3.5
na
5.1
na
6.9
na
10.0
na
13.6
na
17.7
na
21.6
na
26.0
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
13
18
19
6
0
56
0
10
12
15
8
0
44
0
9
9
14
13
0
45
0
9
11
17
21
0
57
0
9
12
20
29
0
70
0
10
14
22
38
0
84
0
11
17
22
48
0
97
0
8
19
26
58
0
110
0
7
21
29
66
0
122
0
6
22
32
73
0
133
0
5
21
28
73
0
127
0
5
19
25
74
0
122
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
18
20
26
3
0
17
14
20
4
1
19
11
22
6
1
24
13
33
10
2
46
6
41
13
3
60
3
47
16
5
68
5
50
17
6
60
10
59
18
8
53
15
65
19
9
45
22
69
20
9
61
19
61
20
10
77
15
54
20
11
3
70
3
58
3
63
4
85
5
115
7
138
10
156
14
168
18
178
21
186
24
195
27
205
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.5
0.6
0.4
0.7
1.0
0.5
1.1
1.5
0.5
1.6
2.1
0.6
2.0
2.8
0.7
2.6
3.3
0.8
3.2
3.8
1.0
3.9
4.4
1.2
4.5
5.0
1.4
5.1
0.0
11.0
20.4
31.9
47.9
68.7
92.9
118.8
145.1
171.0
196.4
221.3
284
395
0
1007
691
2377
294
410
0
1016
657
2377
304
454
1
996
622
2377
316
526
4
945
587
2377
320
608
8
865
575
2377
316
673
13
804
571
2377
303
719
18
762
575
2377
263
666
25
850
573
2377
223
601
25
950
578
2377
183
525
19
1061
590
2377
159
492
23
1088
616
2377
135
458
27
1115
642
2377
1.30
0.00
0.91
0.00
0.94
0.03
1.24
0.08
1.76
0.12
2.17
0.12
2.47
0.07
2.53
0.10
2.54
0.09
2.53
0.03
2.66
-0.14
2.79
-0.32
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
69
16
5
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
41
13
3
0.97
49
0.7
10.3
8
5
8
49
17
3
1.32
68
0.9
10.5
19
8
10
63
24
4
1.88
91
1.2
13.3
29
14
14
103
32
7
2.29
109
1.4
13.4
31
20
18
136
45
8
2.55
122
1.6
10.7
32
21
21
166
57
9
2.63
123
1.6
5.8
33
22
19
151
72
8
2.63
122
1.6
3.1
33
23
15
151
100
7
2.56
120
1.5
2.4
34
24
14
130
114
6
2.52
120
1.6
2.5
33
25
10
120
113
5
2.48
121
1.6
2.6
31
24
11
89
110
5
Population
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 71 of 241
A1G MINICAM
ASIA - A1G MINICAM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2790
3226
3608
3937
4115
4210
4219
4062
3852
3589
3245
2919
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.4
na
3.1
na
6.5
na
11.7
na
23.8
na
40.3
na
61.0
na
86.0
na
111.7
na
138.3
na
164.3
na
192.6
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
20
14
2
4
0
40
0
31
19
5
11
0
67
0
46
28
9
25
0
109
0
64
39
15
47
0
165
0
84
53
20
84
0
240
0
99
74
24
129
0
327
0
111
103
29
182
0
424
0
88
123
37
232
0
480
0
73
141
43
276
0
533
0
66
156
49
314
0
584
0
57
146
46
328
0
576
0
48
136
42
343
0
569
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
26
16
3
1
0
45
21
9
4
2
73
30
22
9
5
110
42
43
18
9
165
48
71
33
15
212
66
103
49
20
251
97
137
67
26
221
126
174
74
35
200
148
200
82
41
188
165
216
91
42
194
136
200
94
48
200
107
183
98
54
3
49
4
85
5
145
6
228
11
342
20
470
33
611
52
682
71
742
88
790
102
774
116
758
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.2
0.1
1.1
0.5
0.3
1.9
0.8
0.5
3.4
1.3
1.2
5.3
1.9
2.1
7.6
2.7
3.2
9.8
3.9
4.9
12.0
5.2
6.7
13.9
6.8
8.8
15.8
8.2
10.8
17.8
9.6
12.8
0.0
17.8
43.1
80.9
135.9
210.1
303.5
407.6
513.8
621.8
727.3
826.4
389
508
0
1168
664
2729
400
524
0
1144
632
2699
410
555
1
1102
600
2669
420
602
4
1044
568
2637
422
650
8
988
557
2627
416
690
13
948
555
2622
403
721
19
922
559
2624
358
712
33
960
557
2621
316
695
37
1016
562
2625
275
669
32
1088
573
2637
238
640
44
1144
596
2662
202
610
55
1199
620
2686
1.15
0.37
1.78
0.26
2.82
0.20
4.27
0.27
6.17
0.29
8.12
0.26
10.13
0.17
10.42
0.10
10.68
0.03
10.93
-0.05
10.42
-0.19
9.92
-0.33
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
235
33
7
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
270
37
9
3.02
135
2.9
38.8
18
8
12
371
50
13
4.54
148
3.3
52.7
45
15
19
494
63
19
6.46
166
3.8
57.1
92
23
28
639
73
26
8.38
186
4.3
51.9
153
30
42
777
86
34
10.30
208
4.8
37.0
224
35
50
1030
119
44
10.52
198
4.9
24.3
292
39
55
1067
126
47
10.71
189
5.0
17.0
292
43
48
1133
133
48
10.88
179
5.1
15.1
285
46
35
1226
144
51
10.23
181
5.2
14.6
275
48
33
1242
139
49
9.59
182
5.3
14.1
262
46
37
1187
130
47
Population
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 72 of 241
2100
A1G MINICAM
ALM - A1G MINICAM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
1236
1541
1876
2241
2531
2778
2980
3068
3096
3064
2913
2766
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.9
na
2.8
na
4.6
na
7.4
na
15.4
na
27.1
na
42.5
na
66.9
na
93.9
na
123.4
na
154.2
na
188.7
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
2
17
5
3
0
27
0
3
22
7
6
0
38
0
5
29
10
11
0
55
0
7
38
15
18
0
78
0
11
49
25
37
0
121
0
15
71
32
63
0
182
0
20
105
38
98
0
261
0
17
138
49
141
0
346
0
16
168
60
184
0
428
0
16
197
71
225
0
509
0
15
192
69
254
0
530
0
14
187
66
283
0
551
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
4
20
7
0
0
6
23
10
2
1
10
30
17
5
1
14
39
27
7
2
31
49
49
16
5
50
73
72
25
8
73
111
95
35
12
80
147
131
44
18
87
180
162
54
22
92
210
189
65
25
95
171
187
73
31
99
132
185
81
38
5
35
6
48
8
70
11
102
15
165
21
249
29
355
44
464
58
563
71
652
85
643
99
634
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.5
0.2
0.3
0.8
0.4
0.5
1.3
0.9
1.0
2.0
1.5
1.5
2.8
2.3
2.3
4.2
3.5
3.2
5.9
5.0
4.0
7.8
6.7
5.0
9.5
8.6
5.9
11.3
10.5
0.0
16.4
35.6
59.1
90.4
131.7
185.0
250.8
327.9
415.1
505.5
593.1
391
1510
0
3641
1957
7499
363
1594
0
3591
1883
7432
348
1727
0
3480
1800
7354
344
1907
0
3307
1707
7265
335
2104
0
3118
1672
7229
322
2260
2
2968
1657
7210
305
2376
6
2857
1662
7206
274
2294
23
2949
1655
7196
242
2168
31
3100
1663
7204
208
1998
29
3309
1688
7232
181
1869
46
3451
1746
7293
154
1740
63
3593
1805
7355
0.72
0.73
1.01
0.82
1.30
0.72
1.73
0.95
2.66
0.92
3.91
0.77
5.48
0.50
6.86
0.32
8.13
0.12
9.27
-0.09
9.43
-0.53
9.58
-0.96
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
396
48
7
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
8
2.02
90
1.7
14.9
15
5
10
420
60
9
2.68
100
2.1
16.1
39
9
14
448
66
11
3.58
124
2.7
18.6
81
14
19
506
76
15
4.68
141
3.4
21.5
139
19
32
601
91
19
5.98
150
4.1
24.7
184
23
40
714
110
25
7.18
162
4.4
17.9
205
26
42
783
121
30
8.25
170
4.6
13.8
210
28
37
925
127
35
9.18
173
4.8
12.4
210
30
23
1117
138
38
8.90
168
5.0
12.4
206
31
24
1016
128
35
8.62
162
5.3
12.4
196
30
26
975
119
33
Population
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 73 of 241
2100
A1V1 MINICAM
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - A1V1 MINICAM
1990
Population
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
5293
6100
6874
7618
8122
8484
8703
8623
8430
8126
7621
7137
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
20.7
na
27.4
na
38.1
na
52.8
na
80.2
na
117.3
na
164.2
na
226.6
na
294.1
na
366.9
na
445.1
na
531.2
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
45
121
52
35
0
253
0
54
121
61
51
0
286
0
64
129
75
76
0
344
0
75
146
96
112
0
429
0
87
152
110
161
0
510
0
96
177
117
218
0
607
0
101
221
116
283
0
721
0
78
256
136
338
0
808
0
63
289
156
387
0
894
0
55
318
175
429
0
978
0
50
334
176
459
0
1019
0
46
350
177
488
0
1061
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
88
131
70
24
0
108
130
82
24
5
130
137
118
30
11
153
152
179
41
16
206
147
223
60
23
250
167
259
81
30
284
214
287
102
37
249
259
343
101
48
223
299
387
105
54
205
333
417
116
54
192
351
408
126
52
179
369
399
135
50
24
336
24
374
27
453
31
573
39
698
51
838
68
992
91
1091
112
1179
131
1255
146
1274
162
1293
0.1
0.1
0.1
1.1
1.4
0.9
2.3
2.8
1.9
3.7
4.2
3.3
5.7
5.7
5.4
7.9
7.3
7.9
10.5
9.2
10.5
13.1
11.7
13.8
15.5
14.5
17.5
17.6
17.5
21.4
19.6
21.0
25.5
21.5
24.5
29.6
0.0
75.3
161.0
263.6
386.8
528.1
685.7
854.0
1027.3
1203.4
1376.1
1540.2
1472
3209
0
4173
4310
13164
1466
3348
3
4214
4132
13164
1474
3603
6
4140
3941
13164
1495
3974
8
3952
3735
13164
1483
4374
10
3628
3669
13164
1442
4690
11
3372
3648
13164
1373
4923
12
3184
3673
13164
1212
4749
22
3515
3666
13164
1055
4493
21
3904
3690
13164
903
4155
10
4349
3747
13164
791
3951
6
4496
3920
13164
679
3748
3
4643
4093
13164
5.99
1.11
6.90
1.07
8.08
1.08
9.81
1.54
11.74
1.56
13.70
1.27
15.80
0.74
16.62
0.52
17.37
0.16
18.06
-0.36
18.20
-1.37
18.36
-2.37
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
9.16
355
8.0
74.2
791
31
43
11.35
405
9.3
79.5
337
43
48
13.29
462
10.8
79.6
369
61
66
14.97
523
12.6
72.7
482
77
99
16.53
567
14.3
58.9
566
89
119
17.14
585
14.8
41.5
654
97
127
17.53
599
15.2
31.4
659
106
113
17.70
611
15.3
28.6
654
114
88
16.83
625
16.0
28.5
639
119
84
15.98
640
16.7
28.5
614
115
95
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 74 of 241
A1V1 MINICAM
Page 75 of 241
A1V1 MINICAM
OECD90 - A1V1 MINICAM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
838
908
965
1007
1024
1066
1081
1084
1090
1098
1105
1112
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
16.3
na
20.5
na
25.6
na
31.6
na
34.5
na
44.7
na
53.6
na
63.3
na
74.4
na
86.7
na
102.2
na
119.1
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
10
72
27
22
0
130
0
12
70
35
27
0
144
0
12
69
44
33
0
159
0
11
69
54
41
0
175
0
11
63
54
44
0
173
0
11
55
53
53
0
173
0
12
59
49
61
0
181
0
9
61
54
64
0
188
0
7
64
60
67
0
198
0
7
68
67
70
0
211
0
7
72
69
74
0
221
0
7
75
71
79
0
231
40
76
34
20
0
44
75
45
15
2
43
73
63
13
3
36
70
90
13
4
39
63
91
14
4
48
50
92
14
5
54
52
88
15
6
51
52
95
13
7
48
56
103
14
8
42
62
109
15
8
37
68
110
17
7
32
74
111
19
7
12
182
11
192
10
206
10
223
10
221
11
219
12
226
14
234
16
243
18
254
21
261
24
268
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.8
0.5
0.9
1.6
1.0
1.3
2.3
1.7
1.5
2.6
2.2
2.2
3.4
3.6
2.7
3.9
4.5
3.2
4.4
5.4
3.7
5.0
6.4
4.1
5.6
7.5
4.5
6.2
8.5
4.9
6.9
9.6
0.0
30.1
63.8
100.7
138.7
176.2
213.5
251.2
289.1
326.5
363.1
398.6
408
796
0
921
998
3123
410
820
3
931
959
3123
412
867
5
922
917
3123
414
937
5
894
872
3123
409
972
6
870
866
3123
386
1062
8
812
856
3123
359
1100
9
792
862
3123
313
1064
13
873
861
3123
273
1019
12
951
867
3123
240
967
9
1026
880
3123
211
932
6
1053
921
3123
182
896
3
1080
962
3123
2.83
0.00
3.20
0.00
3.41
0.13
3.58
0.24
3.55
0.24
3.56
0.15
3.72
0.03
3.78
0.01
3.86
-0.08
3.94
-0.23
3.99
-0.39
4.04
-0.55
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
23
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
58
13
23
3.54
84
2.8
12.5
110
13
14
3.82
97
3.0
6.2
108
11
5
3.79
104
3.2
5.4
115
9
6
3.71
127
3.7
5.0
118
8
7
3.75
145
4.0
5.2
122
9
9
3.79
163
4.1
5.1
123
10
11
3.78
174
4.1
5.2
123
12
13
3.71
179
4.2
5.5
124
13
16
3.60
182
4.4
5.9
125
14
18
3.49
185
4.5
6.2
125
16
20
Population
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 76 of 241
A1V1 MINICAM
REF - A1V1 MINICAM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
428
425
426
433
434
431
423
408
392
374
357
340
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.1
na
1.1
na
1.4
na
2.1
na
3.5
na
5.1
na
6.9
na
10.0
na
13.6
na
17.7
na
21.8
na
26.3
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
13
18
19
6
0
56
0
10
11
14
8
0
44
0
8
8
13
11
0
41
0
7
9
15
17
0
49
0
7
9
17
21
0
54
0
6
9
16
25
0
57
0
6
10
14
28
0
58
0
4
10
15
30
0
59
0
3
10
16
31
0
61
0
3
11
17
33
0
64
0
3
11
16
33
0
63
0
2
11
15
34
0
62
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
18
20
26
3
0
17
13
20
4
1
17
10
21
6
1
19
11
29
8
2
27
7
32
10
2
32
6
33
10
3
34
8
31
11
3
26
10
32
9
4
21
12
34
8
4
18
13
34
9
4
18
13
32
9
4
17
13
29
9
4
3
70
3
57
3
58
4
73
5
83
6
90
8
93
9
91
11
89
12
90
13
87
14
85
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.7
0.8
0.5
1.0
1.1
0.6
1.3
1.4
0.6
1.6
1.7
0.7
2.0
1.9
0.8
2.3
2.1
0.9
2.6
2.3
1.1
2.9
2.5
1.2
3.3
0.0
11.0
20.1
30.3
42.7
56.6
71.0
84.9
98.2
110.7
121.7
130.6
284
395
0
1007
691
2377
294
410
0
1016
657
2377
305
454
0
996
623
2377
317
527
1
945
587
2377
321
612
1
866
577
2377
317
678
1
808
574
2377
304
725
0
769
579
2377
263
671
0
865
579
2377
221
602
0
970
584
2377
180
517
0
1086
594
2377
157
491
0
1104
625
2377
134
465
0
1122
657
2377
1.30
0.00
0.91
0.00
0.87
0.03
1.05
0.08
1.22
0.12
1.33
0.12
1.36
0.07
1.26
0.11
1.20
0.09
1.18
0.03
1.16
-0.16
1.15
-0.35
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
0.91
48
0.7
10.2
8
5
8
1.13
64
0.9
10.4
19
8
10
1.34
78
1.1
11.8
29
14
14
1.44
89
1.4
11.2
31
20
18
1.43
98
1.6
8.6
32
21
21
1.37
99
1.6
4.6
33
22
19
1.29
101
1.5
2.3
33
23
15
1.20
106
1.5
1.8
34
24
14
1.00
113
1.5
1.9
33
25
10
0.80
120
1.6
2.1
31
24
11
Population
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 77 of 241
A1V1 MINICAM
ASIA - A1V1 MINICAM
Population
1990
Million
2790
2000
3226
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
3608
3937
4115
4210
4219
4062
3852
3589
3245
2919
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.4
na
3.1
na
6.5
na
11.7
na
23.9
na
40.4
na
61.1
na
86.2
na
112.1
na
138.8
na
165.9
na
195.4
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
20
14
2
4
0
40
0
29
19
5
10
0
62
0
39
25
9
22
0
95
0
51
35
13
39
0
138
0
60
44
18
64
0
186
0
66
57
21
93
0
237
0
68
74
23
124
0
290
0
52
86
29
149
0
316
0
41
96
33
169
0
339
0
35
104
37
184
0
359
0
31
106
36
192
0
364
0
27
108
35
200
0
370
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
26
16
3
1
0
42
20
8
4
2
62
27
20
8
5
87
37
38
14
8
116
42
59
25
12
137
54
79
37
16
149
73
99
50
19
122
92
121
49
25
102
105
135
50
27
92
112
141
53
27
85
114
132
55
25
77
115
124
57
24
3
49
4
79
5
126
6
190
10
264
16
339
24
415
35
443
45
464
53
477
59
470
65
462
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.2
0.1
1.0
0.5
0.2
1.6
0.8
0.5
2.7
1.2
1.0
4.0
1.7
1.7
5.4
2.3
2.6
6.7
3.2
3.8
7.8
4.1
5.0
8.8
5.2
6.4
9.6
6.3
7.7
10.5
7.5
9.1
0.0
17.8
41.8
75.2
120.0
175.5
240.1
308.4
375.7
442.0
505.6
565.3
389
508
0
1168
664
2729
400
524
0
1144
632
2699
410
555
1
1102
601
2669
420
603
2
1044
568
2638
424
653
3
990
559
2628
419
694
3
952
557
2624
407
726
3
929
563
2627
365
719
6
973
562
2625
321
702
6
1034
567
2630
276
674
2
1113
577
2642
243
649
1
1172
607
2672
211
624
-1
1231
637
2702
1.15
0.37
1.78
0.26
2.58
0.20
3.64
0.27
4.77
0.28
5.80
0.25
6.72
0.16
6.69
0.10
6.66
0.03
6.62
-0.06
6.39
-0.23
6.17
-0.39
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
2.77
134
2.9
34.8
18
8
12
3.90
145
3.2
45.1
45
15
19
5.05
161
3.7
44.1
92
23
28
6.04
176
4.2
37.4
153
30
42
6.87
189
4.7
25.1
224
35
50
6.79
180
4.9
16.4
292
39
55
6.68
174
4.9
11.3
292
43
48
6.56
173
5.0
9.8
285
46
35
6.17
174
5.2
9.5
275
48
33
5.78
174
5.4
9.1
262
46
37
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 78 of 241
A1V1 MINICAM
ALM - A1V1 MINICAM
Population
1990
Million
1236
2000
1541
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1876
2241
2531
2778
2980
3068
3096
3064
2913
2766
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.9
na
2.8
na
4.6
na
7.4
na
15.4
na
27.2
na
42.5
na
67.0
na
94.1
na
123.7
na
155.2
na
190.4
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
2
17
5
3
0
27
0
3
21
6
6
0
35
0
4
26
9
9
0
49
0
6
33
13
15
0
67
0
9
40
21
29
0
99
0
12
56
26
47
0
141
0
15
78
29
70
0
192
0
13
99
38
96
0
245
0
11
118
46
120
0
296
0
11
136
54
143
0
344
0
10
146
55
159
0
371
0
10
156
56
176
0
399
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
4
20
7
0
0
5
22
9
2
1
8
27
14
4
1
11
34
23
5
2
22
41
40
12
4
34
57
55
19
6
48
82
70
27
9
50
105
95
29
12
52
127
116
34
15
53
146
133
40
15
52
156
134
45
15
52
166
136
50
15
5
35
6
45
8
62
11
86
15
133
19
190
24
258
33
324
40
383
47
434
53
456
60
478
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.5
0.2
0.2
0.8
0.4
0.4
1.2
0.8
0.7
1.7
1.2
1.1
2.3
1.8
1.6
3.3
2.7
2.1
4.5
3.8
2.6
5.8
5.0
3.1
7.4
6.3
3.7
8.9
7.7
0.0
16.4
35.2
57.4
85.4
119.8
161.1
209.5
264.3
324.3
385.8
445.7
391
1510
0
3641
1957
7499
363
1594
0
3591
1884
7432
347
1727
0
3480
1800
7354
344
1906
0
3308
1707
7266
334
2102
0
3121
1674
7231
320
2257
0
2975
1661
7213
303
2373
0
2868
1668
7212
272
2296
3
2970
1664
7204
240
2170
3
3128
1673
7213
207
1996
0
3341
1695
7240
180
1880
0
3487
1766
7313
152
1763
0
3633
1837
7385
0.72
0.73
1.01
0.82
1.22
0.72
1.54
0.95
2.20
0.91
3.02
0.76
4.00
0.48
4.88
0.31
5.66
0.12
6.32
-0.09
6.65
-0.58
7.00
-1.08
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
1.94
89
1.6
13.7
15
5
10
2.49
99
2.1
14.8
39
9
14
3.11
118
2.7
15.3
81
14
19
3.77
130
3.3
16.1
139
19
32
4.48
134
4.0
17.0
184
23
40
5.19
144
4.3
12.4
205
26
42
5.77
150
4.5
9.6
210
28
37
6.23
154
4.7
8.4
210
30
23
6.07
157
4.9
8.3
206
31
24
5.92
160
5.2
8.1
196
30
26
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 79 of 241
A1V2 MINICAM
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - A1V2 MINICAM
1990
Population
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
5293
5953
6597
7228
7725
8113
8393
8413
8359
8229
8001
7780
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
20.7
na
27.4
na
36.7
na
48.4
na
67.6
na
91.5
na
120.2
na
157.1
na
197.2
na
240.8
na
287.8
na
339.7
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
45
121
52
35
0
253
0
56
123
62
52
0
293
0
68
130
77
80
0
355
0
81
143
97
117
0
438
0
98
145
108
163
0
513
0
110
164
113
214
0
602
0
119
201
112
272
0
705
0
97
232
129
325
0
783
0
82
262
148
374
0
866
0
75
292
168
420
0
955
0
72
315
170
460
0
1016
0
68
337
172
501
0
1078
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
88
131
70
24
0
112
132
84
25
6
137
139
122
32
11
163
151
183
44
17
220
140
221
62
24
264
154
252
80
30
295
195
277
98
37
258
236
328
98
49
232
273
370
104
54
217
308
405
115
54
210
332
403
128
53
203
356
401
140
51
24
336
24
384
27
468
31
589
39
705
51
831
66
968
89
1057
110
1144
129
1227
148
1273
167
1318
0.1
0.1
0.1
1.2
1.5
0.9
2.4
2.8
2.0
3.9
4.3
3.4
6.0
5.7
5.5
8.4
7.2
7.9
11.1
8.9
10.5
13.8
11.2
13.7
16.2
13.7
17.2
18.5
16.6
21.0
20.6
19.8
25.0
22.7
23.1
29.0
0.0
75.3
161.4
264.6
388.4
529.0
683.3
846.2
1012.7
1181.9
1349.4
1511.4
1472
3209
0
4173
4310
13164
1456
3344
2
4215
4148
13164
1457
3588
5
4142
3971
13164
1477
3941
11
3957
3779
13164
1472
4316
14
3630
3732
13164
1439
4609
18
3376
3723
13164
1378
4820
20
3193
3753
13164
1226
4651
31
3517
3739
13164
1081
4417
31
3876
3758
13164
943
4119
20
4272
3810
13164
847
3975
15
4349
3978
13164
752
3832
10
4425
4145
13164
5.99
1.11
6.90
1.07
8.18
1.05
9.91
1.51
11.81
1.52
13.54
1.24
15.39
0.71
15.95
0.53
16.62
0.18
17.39
-0.35
17.79
-1.32
18.22
-2.29
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
9.23
353
8.0
76.3
791
31
43
11.42
400
9.2
82.8
337
43
48
13.34
453
10.7
86.0
369
61
66
14.78
504
12.4
81.7
482
77
99
16.10
541
14.0
69.9
566
89
119
16.49
545
14.6
49.2
654
97
127
16.80
550
15.0
35.3
659
106
113
17.04
556
15.3
28.2
654
114
88
16.47
565
16.2
27.0
639
119
84
15.93
574
17.2
25.7
614
115
95
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 80 of 241
A1V2 MINICAM
Page 81 of 241
A1V2 MINICAM
OECD90 - A1V2 MINICAM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
838
870
893
906
902
879
851
806
763
722
683
646
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
16.3
na
20.5
na
24.3
na
27.8
na
28.7
na
31.5
na
33.5
na
35.7
na
37.9
na
40.2
na
42.6
na
45.1
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
10
72
27
22
0
130
0
12
71
35
27
0
145
0
12
68
42
33
0
155
0
11
63
48
38
0
160
0
10
57
48
40
0
155
0
10
47
43
45
0
145
0
10
49
39
49
0
146
0
8
49
41
49
0
147
0
6
49
44
50
0
149
0
6
50
48
50
0
153
0
5
50
47
51
0
152
0
5
50
46
51
0
152
40
76
34
20
0
44
75
45
15
2
43
71
61
13
3
34
65
81
12
4
36
57
80
12
4
41
43
75
12
5
43
44
69
11
5
38
43
72
10
6
35
43
75
10
6
32
44
77
10
6
32
44
74
11
5
32
44
71
12
5
12
182
11
193
10
201
10
206
10
199
10
185
11
184
12
182
14
182
15
184
16
182
18
181
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.8
0.5
0.9
1.6
1.0
1.3
2.2
1.7
1.5
2.5
2.1
2.1
3.3
3.2
2.5
3.7
4.0
2.9
4.1
4.7
3.2
4.6
5.4
3.6
5.0
6.2
3.9
5.4
6.9
4.2
5.9
7.7
0.0
30.1
63.3
98.2
133.0
165.8
196.7
226.5
255.3
282.7
308.2
331.7
408
796
0
921
998
3123
407
820
2
931
963
3123
408
866
3
922
924
3123
410
933
3
894
883
3123
406
966
3
869
878
3123
386
1049
5
811
873
3123
362
1082
5
792
881
3123
318
1048
7
871
878
3123
281
1008
7
943
883
3123
251
962
5
1009
895
3123
226
936
4
1022
935
3123
201
911
2
1035
974
3123
2.83
0.00
3.20
0.00
3.32
0.13
3.29
0.24
3.19
0.23
3.00
0.14
3.00
0.03
2.92
0.02
2.88
-0.06
2.87
-0.21
2.82
-0.37
2.78
-0.52
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
23
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
58
13
23
3.44
82
2.8
13.1
110
13
14
3.53
92
3.0
7.9
108
11
5
3.42
96
3.2
6.5
115
9
6
3.14
110
3.6
5.5
118
8
7
3.03
120
3.9
4.8
122
9
9
2.94
127
4.0
4.3
123
10
11
2.82
135
4.1
4.1
123
12
13
2.65
142
4.2
4.2
124
13
16
2.45
146
4.4
4.3
125
14
18
2.26
151
4.6
4.4
125
16
20
Population
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 82 of 241
A1V2 MINICAM
REF - A1V2 MINICAM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
428
446
460
470
466
454
434
408
380
352
326
301
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.1
na
1.1
na
1.4
na
2.2
na
3.4
na
4.6
na
5.9
na
7.2
na
8.4
na
9.4
na
10.7
na
12.0
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
13
18
19
6
0
56
0
11
13
16
9
0
48
0
10
11
16
15
0
52
0
10
13
21
24
0
67
0
10
13
23
29
0
75
0
10
13
23
35
0
80
0
9
14
21
40
0
84
0
7
14
21
41
0
83
0
5
14
22
40
0
81
0
4
13
22
39
0
78
0
4
13
20
40
0
77
0
3
13
19
40
0
75
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
18
20
26
3
0
19
15
22
4
1
22
13
26
7
2
26
15
40
11
3
37
10
45
14
3
43
8
46
15
4
44
10
44
15
5
36
11
45
13
5
29
13
45
11
5
22
14
43
11
4
18
15
39
11
4
13
16
36
11
3
3
70
3
64
3
73
4
99
5
113
7
122
9
127
11
122
12
115
13
107
14
100
15
94
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.5
0.7
0.5
0.8
1.0
0.6
1.3
1.4
0.7
1.7
1.8
0.7
2.2
2.2
0.9
2.6
2.5
1.0
3.1
2.8
1.1
3.5
3.0
1.3
3.9
3.2
1.4
4.3
0.0
11.0
20.8
33.2
49.0
67.0
85.7
103.7
120.2
134.6
146.2
154.8
284
395
0
1007
691
2377
291
410
0
1016
660
2377
300
452
1
996
628
2377
312
521
3
946
595
2377
318
601
5
867
588
2377
315
662
6
808
587
2377
304
704
6
770
593
2377
265
652
7
863
591
2377
227
590
6
960
595
2377
189
519
2
1063
605
2377
170
505
1
1066
635
2377
152
491
-1
1069
666
2377
1.30
0.00
0.91
0.00
1.01
0.03
1.36
0.08
1.61
0.12
1.75
0.12
1.80
0.06
1.64
0.10
1.48
0.08
1.30
0.01
1.18
-0.17
1.07
-0.35
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
1.04
49
0.7
11.5
8
5
8
1.44
67
0.9
12.6
19
8
10
1.73
81
1.1
14.8
29
14
14
1.87
91
1.4
14.8
31
20
18
1.86
97
1.6
12.6
32
21
21
1.74
101
1.6
7.5
33
22
19
1.56
99
1.5
4.2
33
23
15
1.31
93
1.5
2.7
34
24
14
1.01
91
1.6
2.5
33
25
10
0.72
90
1.7
2.2
31
24
11
Population
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 83 of 241
A1V2 MINICAM
ASIA - A1V2 MINICAM
Population
1990
Million
2790
2000
3165
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
3517
3847
4078
4237
4322
4242
4123
3965
3779
3597
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.4
na
3.1
na
6.3
na
11.1
na
20.7
na
32.7
na
46.9
na
63.7
na
81.5
na
100.2
na
119.0
na
139.5
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
20
14
2
4
0
40
0
30
19
5
11
0
64
0
42
25
9
22
0
98
0
55
34
13
40
0
142
0
70
42
17
64
0
192
0
81
53
19
91
0
244
0
88
69
21
122
0
299
0
71
80
27
152
0
330
0
60
91
32
179
0
362
0
55
101
38
203
0
397
0
52
108
38
219
0
417
0
49
114
39
236
0
438
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
26
16
3
1
0
43
20
8
4
2
65
27
20
8
5
91
37
37
14
9
125
41
57
25
13
151
51
77
36
16
168
67
96
48
20
141
86
121
49
27
124
102
140
53
31
116
113
153
58
31
112
119
150
63
30
107
125
146
68
29
3
49
4
81
5
130
6
195
10
270
15
346
23
422
35
460
46
495
56
527
65
538
74
549
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.2
0.1
1.0
0.5
0.2
1.7
0.8
0.5
2.9
1.2
1.0
4.3
1.6
1.7
5.8
2.2
2.5
7.3
3.0
3.7
8.6
4.0
5.0
9.9
5.0
6.4
11.0
6.2
7.9
12.1
7.3
9.4
0.0
17.8
42.0
75.8
121.5
178.6
245.6
317.0
388.5
460.9
532.9
603.2
389
508
0
1168
664
2729
397
523
0
1146
635
2702
406
553
1
1108
606
2674
415
598
4
1052
575
2645
420
642
6
1001
569
2638
417
678
8
964
569
2636
406
706
9
943
575
2639
366
698
16
983
573
2637
326
682
18
1038
577
2641
286
658
13
1108
586
2652
259
640
11
1156
615
2681
232
622
9
1204
644
2710
1.15
0.37
1.78
0.26
2.61
0.19
3.70
0.26
4.90
0.28
5.99
0.25
6.99
0.16
7.03
0.10
7.15
0.03
7.35
-0.06
7.33
-0.21
7.31
-0.37
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
2.80
133
2.9
34.9
18
8
12
3.96
144
3.2
44.6
45
15
19
5.18
160
3.7
46.3
92
23
28
6.24
174
4.2
42.4
153
30
42
7.15
187
4.6
32.7
224
35
50
7.13
174
4.8
20.9
292
39
55
7.18
169
4.9
13.2
292
43
48
7.30
171
5.0
9.6
285
46
35
7.12
171
5.3
9.0
275
48
33
6.94
172
5.5
8.4
262
46
37
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 84 of 241
A1V2 MINICAM
ALM - A1V2 MINICAM
Population
1990
Million
1236
2000
1472
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1727
2004
2282
2543
2785
2957
3092
3190
3213
3236
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.9
na
2.8
na
4.6
na
7.4
na
13.9
na
22.8
na
33.9
na
50.5
na
69.5
na
91.0
na
115.5
na
143.1
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
2
17
5
3
0
27
0
3
21
7
6
0
36
0
4
26
10
10
0
50
0
6
33
15
15
0
69
0
8
39
22
28
0
96
0
10
51
27
43
0
132
0
12
70
31
62
0
175
0
11
89
40
83
0
223
0
10
109
50
106
0
274
0
10
128
61
128
0
327
0
11
145
64
151
0
370
0
11
161
68
174
0
413
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
4
20
7
0
0
6
22
9
2
1
8
27
15
4
1
11
34
25
6
2
20
40
40
11
4
30
53
54
17
5
40
74
67
23
7
42
95
90
26
10
44
116
111
30
12
46
137
132
36
14
48
154
140
43
14
51
171
148
50
14
5
35
6
46
8
64
11
89
14
129
18
178
23
235
30
293
37
351
44
409
52
452
59
494
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.5
0.2
0.2
0.8
0.4
0.4
1.2
0.8
0.7
1.7
1.3
1.0
2.3
1.8
1.4
3.2
2.7
1.8
4.2
3.7
2.3
5.4
4.9
2.8
6.9
6.3
3.2
8.5
7.6
0.0
16.4
35.2
57.4
84.9
117.5
155.4
199.0
248.6
303.8
362.1
421.6
391
1510
0
3641
1957
7499
360
1591
0
3597
1890
7438
343
1718
0
3494
1813
7367
340
1890
0
3329
1726
7285
333
2074
0
3150
1702
7258
321
2220
0
3010
1694
7246
306
2327
0
2911
1704
7248
277
2253
0
3011
1697
7238
247
2137
0
3158
1704
7246
216
1980
0
3351
1724
7271
192
1894
0
3464
1793
7342
168
1808
0
3576
1861
7413
0.72
0.73
1.01
0.82
1.23
0.71
1.56
0.93
2.11
0.89
2.79
0.73
3.60
0.46
4.36
0.31
5.12
0.13
5.88
-0.09
6.46
-0.57
7.07
-1.05
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
1.94
89
1.6
13.8
15
5
10
2.49
98
2.1
14.8
39
9
14
3.00
116
2.7
15.5
81
14
19
3.52
129
3.3
16.1
139
19
32
4.06
137
3.9
16.7
184
23
40
4.67
142
4.2
13.5
205
26
42
5.24
147
4.4
10.8
210
28
37
5.78
151
4.6
8.6
210
30
23
5.88
156
5.0
8.2
206
31
24
6.02
162
5.4
7.7
196
30
26
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 85 of 241
A1T AIM
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - A1T AIM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
Population
5262
6117
6805
7493
8182
8439
8704
8538
8375
8030
7528
7056
20.9
26.6
37.7
56.3
89.2
127.4
182.0
235.8
305.5
378.2
447.3
529.0
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
50
36
111
51
38
48
36
118
58
48
34
46
130
84
63
27
59
148
113
82
18
76
177
146
115
0
76
205
167
180
0
76
239
191
282
0
58
260
200
370
0
45
283
210
484
0
35
299
219
573
0
29
305
227
614
0
24
311
235
657
285
307
356
430
532
647
787
901
1032
1128
1176
1226
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
93
143
73
6
50
89
158
99
11
48
116
176
142
17
38
142
186
190
27
47
174
183
244
43
81
159
168
284
68
120
146
158
336
116
179
112
141
344
114
215
86
126
355
111
258
68
116
366
110
289
57
110
378
111
302
48
104
390
112
315
10
376
11
416
14
502
20
611
34
758
70
868
151
1086
249
1174
409
1345
550
1500
603
1561
663
1632
0.1
0.1
0.1
1.0
1.6
1.0
2.0
3.3
2.2
3.3
5.1
3.8
4.9
7.0
6.0
6.3
8.5
8.4
8.1
10.4
11.8
9.1
11.6
14.7
10.2
13.0
18.3
11.1
14.3
22.1
11.7
15.4
25.7
12.4
16.6
29.9
0.0
75.3
164.2
270.9
389.2
508.3
623.0
731.8
832.4
927.0
1018.2
1106.4
1437
3290
0
4249
3966
12942
1486
3289
0
4122
4046
12942
1548
3481
0
3965
3948
12942
1573
3846
66
3801
3655
12942
1533
4193
328
3709
3179
12942
1434
4145
494
3786
3033
12942
1341
4098
745
3864
2894
12942
1251
4062
813
3898
2908
12942
1167
4027
888
3932
2922
12942
1076
3964
949
3980
2966
12942
981
3875
993
4042
3039
12942
895
3788
1039
4106
3114
12942
8.37
1.44
9.81
393
7.4
87.4
791
31
43
1030
163
40
9.79
1.73
11.52
466
7.8
100.9
337
43
48
1160
188
49
11.28
0.87
12.15
528
7.6
91.5
369
61
66
1161
213
52
11.32
0.34
11.67
509
7.1
69.3
482
77
99
1202
209
50
11.43
-0.15
11.28
492
6.7
64.3
566
89
119
1244
206
49
10.49
0.00
10.49
442
6.2
46.9
654
97
127
1294
195
47
9.66
-0.03
9.63
397
5.7
35.7
659
106
113
1347
186
45
9.14
0.15
9.29
358
5.4
30.7
654
114
88
1402
167
43
8.85
0.12
8.97
323
5.1
29.0
639
119
84
1460
138
41
8.58
0.08
8.66
291
4.8
27.4
614
115
95
1520
114
40
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 86 of 241
5.99
1.11
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
879
139
31
6.90
1.07
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
877
141
32
A1T AIM
Page 87 of 241
A1T AIM
OECD90 - A1T AIM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
859
919
960
1002
1043
1062
1081
1086
1091
1097
1103
1110
16.4
20.4
25.2
31.0
38.1
45.5
54.3
64.2
76.0
89.3
104.0
121.1
6
10
64
25
22
1
10
72
32
27
0
10
68
38
30
0
10
69
44
33
0
10
70
47
37
0
9
71
45
46
0
8
72
43
58
0
6
72
40
72
0
5
72
38
90
0
4
73
36
105
0
3
75
36
115
0
2
76
35
126
127
142
146
156
165
173
181
194
207
219
229
239
41
76
34
5
6
36
87
51
8
1
35
82
59
11
0
31
80
65
14
3
27
68
68
18
11
26
52
68
20
19
24
40
67
22
34
18
31
62
21
41
13
24
58
20
49
10
22
55
19
55
8
22
54
20
58
7
23
52
20
60
6
167
6
189
7
194
9
203
13
205
21
205
32
220
50
223
77
242
102
264
114
276
128
291
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.4
0.9
0.5
0.8
1.7
1.0
1.1
2.6
1.6
1.4
3.3
2.3
1.6
3.8
2.9
1.9
4.4
3.7
2.1
4.7
4.2
2.3
5.0
4.8
2.4
5.2
5.4
2.5
5.5
6.0
2.6
5.7
6.5
0.0
30.1
61.4
91.8
120.4
146.6
171.0
192.7
211.3
227.4
242.2
256.1
410
787
0
1056
886
3140
402
762
0
1066
910
3140
394
764
0
1079
903
3140
377
792
19
1099
853
3140
353
827
67
1127
765
3140
327
813
102
1156
731
3140
302
799
156
1185
697
3140
281
794
165
1196
702
3140
261
790
174
1208
706
3140
237
775
182
1229
715
3140
208
750
189
1261
727
3140
183
727
195
1294
740
3140
3.14
-0.07
3.06
72
2.5
9.9
110
13
14
170
34
12
3.05
-0.05
3.00
71
2.5
6.9
108
11
5
178
33
12
2.82
-0.09
2.72
70
2.4
6.4
115
9
6
192
31
9
2.61
-0.08
2.53
61
2.2
6.3
118
8
7
199
26
7
2.41
-0.07
2.34
53
2.0
6.2
122
9
9
206
21
6
2.04
-0.03
2.01
50
1.9
5.9
123
10
11
210
14
6
1.72
-0.03
1.70
47
1.7
5.6
123
12
13
215
8
6
1.55
-0.03
1.52
44
1.5
5.3
124
13
16
222
5
5
1.48
-0.04
1.44
41
1.4
4.9
125
14
18
234
4
5
1.41
-0.07
1.34
39
1.3
4.6
125
16
20
245
3
5
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 88 of 241
2.83
0.00
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
23
179
42
13
3.20
0.00
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
58
13
23
161
36
12
A1T AIM
REF - A1T AIM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
413
419
424
430
435
429
423
406
391
374
356
339
1.1
0.8
1.5
2.9
5.3
8.1
12.4
15.6
19.6
24.0
28.6
34.1
2
9
19
19
8
4
4
10
13
9
0
4
8
18
10
0
5
7
20
11
0
5
7
22
12
0
5
8
25
18
0
4
9
28
26
0
3
9
26
31
0
2
10
24
37
0
2
10
22
40
0
2
11
21
40
0
1
11
20
39
58
40
39
42
46
56
67
70
74
75
73
72
18
22
26
1
2
8
13
22
2
4
8
10
27
3
0
9
8
29
4
1
10
7
30
5
3
10
7
32
7
5
10
7
34
10
8
7
6
31
9
10
5
5
27
8
12
4
5
26
8
13
4
4
25
9
13
4
4
25
10
14
1
71
1
51
1
50
2
52
2
57
6
66
14
83
21
83
31
89
37
93
34
91
32
90
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.3
0.5
0.3
0.4
0.8
0.4
0.5
1.1
0.5
0.5
1.4
0.6
0.6
1.7
0.7
0.7
2.0
0.7
0.7
2.3
0.8
0.8
2.6
0.8
0.8
2.8
0.9
0.9
3.1
0.0
11.0
20.3
29.6
39.0
48.4
57.6
66.1
73.1
79.1
84.9
90.7
279
346
0
960
720
2305
284
356
0
961
703
2305
295
398
0
954
657
2305
299
462
0
960
585
2305
308
550
6
953
488
2305
300
565
11
958
466
2305
292
581
24
963
445
2305
273
577
30
974
448
2305
255
574
38
985
451
2305
235
566
46
997
459
2305
215
553
52
1009
473
2305
196
541
59
1021
488
2305
0.92
0.02
0.94
59
0.6
12.2
8
5
8
39
13
3
0.93
-0.01
0.92
65
0.6
10.8
19
8
10
40
11
3
0.92
0.03
0.95
68
0.7
7.5
29
14
14
43
10
3
0.93
0.00
0.93
59
0.7
4.3
31
20
18
46
10
3
0.94
-0.01
0.93
51
0.6
2.4
32
21
21
49
9
2
0.78
-0.02
0.76
49
0.6
2.0
33
22
19
50
7
2
0.66
-0.03
0.63
48
0.5
1.7
33
23
15
51
6
2
0.61
-0.03
0.58
45
0.5
1.6
34
24
14
52
5
1
0.61
-0.03
0.58
43
0.4
1.6
33
25
10
54
4
1
0.60
-0.03
0.58
41
0.4
1.6
31
24
11
55
4
1
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 89 of 241
1.30
0.00
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
69
16
5
0.91
0.00
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
41
13
3
A1T AIM
ASIA - A1T AIM
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2798
3261
3556
3851
4147
4183
4220
4016
3822
3541
3194
2882
1.5
2.7
5.7
12.2
26.2
40.6
62.9
85.5
116.4
147.7
174.9
207.0
28
15
11
2
5
24
20
16
4
7
17
29
23
8
13
11
39
29
16
22
3
53
41
29
40
0
52
49
36
67
0
51
59
45
111
0
39
67
53
148
0
31
77
63
197
0
24
83
73
236
0
20
83
82
254
0
16
83
91
272
61
70
91
118
166
210
265
315
373
417
439
462
30
17
4
0
28
38
24
9
1
24
58
35
18
3
19
79
40
33
5
17
108
44
58
13
17
92
37
76
25
26
79
32
99
47
41
62
28
111
47
49
48
25
125
46
59
38
22
138
46
66
31
20
151
45
69
25
18
165
45
73
1
80
2
97
2
135
4
178
9
250
23
281
58
357
98
395
166
469
227
537
251
568
278
604
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.8
0.5
0.2
1.5
0.9
0.5
2.5
1.3
0.9
3.3
1.6
1.5
4.3
2.1
2.5
4.9
2.3
3.4
5.5
2.6
4.6
6.0
2.8
6.0
6.3
3.1
7.4
6.7
3.3
9.1
0.0
17.8
42.9
76.8
119.8
166.4
210.9
253.5
294.3
333.3
371.0
407.4
390
521
0
527
576
2014
408
523
0
490
593
2014
432
546
0
453
582
2014
448
584
21
420
540
2014
432
620
88
406
469
2014
401
618
123
419
446
2014
372
615
172
432
423
2014
349
611
189
437
426
2014
328
606
209
442
428
2014
307
599
224
448
435
2014
286
589
233
456
448
2014
267
580
242
464
462
2014
2.59
0.39
2.98
156
2.7
42.2
18
8
12
342
48
13
3.36
0.44
3.81
196
2.9
54.5
45
15
19
397
61
17
4.51
0.27
4.78
238
3.0
45.9
92
23
28
421
73
20
4.40
0.14
4.54
235
2.8
20.0
153
30
42
444
73
20
4.29
0.07
4.36
233
2.7
8.5
224
35
50
468
73
19
4.06
0.10
4.16
197
2.5
8.0
292
39
55
484
74
18
3.85
0.13
3.99
167
2.4
7.5
292
43
48
500
76
17
3.69
0.14
3.83
146
2.3
7.1
285
46
35
512
68
15
3.57
0.13
3.70
131
2.1
6.7
275
48
33
522
55
14
3.45
0.13
3.58
118
2.0
6.3
262
46
37
532
43
13
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 90 of 241
1.15
0.37
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
235
33
7
1.78
0.26
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
270
37
9
A1T AIM
ALM - A1T AIM
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1192
1519
1865
2211
2557
2761
2980
3024
3067
3013
2866
2727
1.9
2.7
5.3
10.3
19.6
32.1
52.4
69.8
93.0
117.2
139.8
166.8
14
1
17
4
4
18
2
21
8
6
17
3
31
19
11
16
5
43
33
17
15
9
59
48
26
0
10
76
60
47
0
12
99
75
87
0
9
111
80
118
0
7
124
84
159
0
6
133
87
191
0
5
137
88
205
0
4
141
89
220
40
55
80
115
156
206
274
321
377
417
435
454
5
27
9
0
14
7
34
18
0
18
14
48
38
1
19
22
58
64
3
27
29
63
88
6
50
31
71
109
15
69
33
79
135
37
96
26
75
140
37
115
20
72
145
37
138
16
67
147
37
154
14
63
148
36
161
12
59
148
36
168
2
57
2
80
3
124
5
179
9
246
21
316
47
427
80
472
135
545
184
606
203
625
225
648
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.1
0.2
0.7
0.4
0.3
1.3
0.9
0.6
1.9
1.7
0.9
2.5
2.6
1.2
3.3
3.9
1.5
4.0
5.1
1.7
4.7
6.6
1.9
5.5
8.1
2.1
6.1
9.5
1.7
6.7
12.5
0.0
16.4
39.6
72.7
110.1
146.9
183.5
219.5
253.8
287.1
320.1
352.1
357
1636
0
1706
1784
5483
392
1647
0
1605
1840
5483
426
1773
0
1478
1806
5483
449
2009
26
1322
1677
5483
441
2196
167
1223
1456
5483
406
2149
257
1253
1391
5483
374
2103
393
1284
1328
5483
348
2080
428
1291
1333
5483
323
2057
466
1297
1338
5483
297
2024
497
1305
1357
5483
272
1982
520
1316
1390
5483
248
1941
543
1327
1424
5483
1.71
1.11
2.82
106
1.5
20.2
15
5
10
479
68
12
2.45
1.35
3.79
133
1.7
25.7
39
9
14
545
84
17
3.02
0.66
3.69
152
1.5
28.8
81
14
19
506
99
20
3.39
0.28
3.67
154
1.4
35.8
139
19
32
513
101
21
3.80
-0.15
3.65
155
1.3
44.2
184
23
40
521
103
21
3.60
-0.05
3.55
145
1.2
28.0
205
26
42
550
100
21
3.42
-0.11
3.31
136
1.2
17.8
210
28
37
582
97
21
3.29
0.06
3.35
123
1.1
13.7
210
30
23
615
88
21
3.20
0.05
3.25
108
1.1
12.8
206
31
24
650
75
21
3.11
0.05
3.16
94
1.1
12.0
196
30
26
688
63
21
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Page 91 of 241
0.72
0.73
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
396
48
7
1.01
0.82
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
8
A1T MESSAGE
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - A1T MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
Population
5262
6117
6888
7617
8182
8531
8704
8667
8463
8125
7658
7056
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
20.9
25.7
26.8
33.4
36.8
45.7
57.0
67.2
91.3
98.7
135.4
139.0
187.1
186.4
254.1
246.8
322.9
313.2
393.2
382.0
469.6
456.6
550.0
535.0
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
38
42
111
41
35
8
275
25
60
125
48
48
12
317
20
66
157
66
66
18
393
16
71
193
83
100
33
495
10
72
246
107
153
48
634
7
46
300
135
209
61
757
5
31
344
155
275
83
893
0
27
357
180
349
108
1020
0
22
354
177
424
138
1115
0
15
346
159
483
179
1182
0
2
343
132
534
220
1231
0
1
311
100
589
268
1270
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
91
128
71
7
46
106
155
87
8
46
125
172
124
11
55
151
193
166
17
75
180
223
231
40
104
153
241
288
78
137
119
250
324
115
183
87
236
344
145
235
60
205
324
175
280
53
143
291
175
324
40
113
240
153
353
25
77
196
114
370
8
352
15
416
25
513
48
649
73
850
122
1018
222
1213
358
1407
544
1588
756
1743
985
1884
1239
2021
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.9
1.4
0.8
2.0
3.0
1.6
3.2
4.7
2.9
4.7
6.6
4.5
6.5
8.9
6.8
8.1
11.3
9.7
9.3
13.8
13.0
10.1
16.1
16.4
10.7
18.2
19.6
11.3
19.6
22.6
11.7
20.8
25.0
0.0
75.3
162.1
260.3
373.4
498.6
623.1
741.3
847.6
937.0
1008.4
1061.3
1459
3389
0
4296
3805
12949
1466
3404
0
1462
3429
0
1457
3446
74
1454
3458
158
1448
3478
288
1442
3498
418
1436
3525
492
1429
3552
566
1424
3568
581
1422
3572
538
1420
3576
495
4237
3842
12949
4173
3886
12949
4164
3807
12949
4164
3715
12949
4177
3558
12949
4190
3400
12949
4194
3301
12949
4199
3203
12949
4202
3173
12949
4203
3213
12949
4204
3253
12949
8.33
1.04
9.38
362
6.1
64.7
791
31
43
1003
164
39
10.00
0.26
10.26
415
6.1
59.9
337
43
48
1147
190
46
12.26
0.12
12.38
483
6.2
59.6
369
61
66
1362
212
56
12.60
0.05
12.65
495
6.2
46.6
482
77
99
1555
229
60
12.29
-0.02
12.26
500
6.1
40.2
566
89
119
1770
241
61
11.41
-0.03
11.38
459
6.0
34.4
654
97
127
1944
242
60
9.91
-0.03
9.87
404
5.7
30.1
659
106
113
2078
229
52
8.05
-0.03
8.02
359
5.6
25.2
654
114
88
2164
199
43
6.27
-0.01
6.26
317
5.5
23.3
639
119
84
2156
167
35
4.31
0.00
4.32
274
5.4
20.2
614
115
95
2077
128
28
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
5.99
1.11
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
879
139
31
6.90
1.07
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
877
141
32
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
Page 92 of 241
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1T run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1T run
A1T MESSAGE
Page 93 of 241
A1T MESSAGE
OECD90 - A1T MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
859
919
965
1007
1043
1069
1081
1084
1089
1098
1108
1110
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
16.4
14.1
20.6
17.8
25.6
22.1
31.6
27.4
38.7
33.7
46.8
40.8
55.7
48.6
65.7
57.4
77.2
67.6
90.8
79.7
106.6
93.6
124.3
109.4
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
13
66
22
22
1
124
0
13
69
28
29
1
139
0
6
74
33
36
3
152
0
3
73
34
44
6
160
0
1
72
35
55
7
171
0
1
70
35
65
10
180
0
0
66
32
74
13
185
0
0
65
27
83
17
193
0
0
62
21
95
22
201
0
0
61
19
104
29
212
0
0
60
15
112
38
225
0
0
55
12
118
48
233
38
72
33
6
6
36
83
45
7
9
36
81
57
8
11
32
72
70
10
17
25
63
79
22
21
11
55
78
43
24
4
46
76
56
31
3
39
66
64
37
2
30
59
67
41
1
23
56
58
45
1
20
45
45
52
1
14
34
28
55
4
159
6
186
10
202
15
214
20
230
27
238
44
257
65
275
98
297
143
325
194
356
245
377
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.8
0.4
0.7
1.6
0.8
1.1
2.4
1.4
1.4
3.1
2.1
1.7
3.8
2.9
1.7
4.3
3.6
1.8
4.8
4.4
1.8
5.2
5.0
1.8
5.5
5.6
1.8
5.7
6.2
1.8
5.9
6.6
0.0
30.1
62.9
95.6
126.4
153.0
174.5
192.9
208.6
221.9
233.0
241.2
381
760
0
1050
838
3029
380
763
0
377
771
0
376
774
11
375
776
24
372
787
44
368
797
63
364
818
74
359
839
86
356
849
88
356
847
81
355
846
75
1053
833
3029
1052
828
3029
1053
814
3029
1056
798
3029
1062
765
3029
1068
733
3029
1061
712
3029
1054
691
3029
1050
685
3029
1049
695
3029
1048
705
3029
3.31
0.04
3.35
71
2.4
8.3
110
13
14
183
38
14
3.18
0.02
3.20
68
2.4
2.1
108
11
5
190
38
13
2.96
0.00
2.96
66
2.4
0.6
115
9
6
184
33
13
2.38
-0.02
2.35
60
2.3
0.6
118
8
7
186
30
11
2.00
-0.04
1.96
56
2.3
0.0
122
9
9
202
27
9
1.71
0.00
1.72
52
2.3
0.4
123
10
11
210
26
7
1.38
0.05
1.43
48
2.2
0.8
123
12
13
206
23
6
1.17
0.06
1.24
47
2.2
1.3
124
13
16
206
20
5
0.95
0.04
0.98
45
2.2
1.9
125
14
18
208
16
4
0.66
0.01
0.67
43
2.1
2.3
125
16
20
190
10
2
Population
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
2.83
0.00
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
23
179
42
13
3.20
0.00
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
58
13
23
161
36
12
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
Page 94 of 241
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1T run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1T run
A1T MESSAGE
REF - A1T MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
413
419
427
433
435
433
423
409
392
374
357
339
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.1
2.6
0.8
2.2
1.0
2.5
2.1
3.7
5.4
6.0
9.4
9.4
12.6
12.6
16.2
16.2
20.0
20.0
24.4
24.4
29.2
29.2
34.4
34.4
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
9
15
14
6
7
50
0
5
11
11
6
6
38
0
4
10
14
7
6
41
0
3
12
17
10
9
51
0
2
14
22
14
13
65
0
0
14
26
20
13
72
0
0
12
27
23
12
73
0
0
13
26
26
12
76
0
0
13
23
28
11
76
0
0
14
19
32
11
76
0
0
16
13
34
12
75
0
0
17
9
34
13
73
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
19
20
27
1
2
14
15
23
1
1
11
13
29
1
1
13
14
32
1
1
17
15
40
4
3
16
14
44
9
4
11
12
50
10
7
4
12
63
9
10
2
8
72
5
12
1
6
70
3
14
8
5
46
3
16
8
3
31
2
19
1
70
1
54
2
56
4
65
6
84
7
95
12
101
14
112
19
117
26
120
42
119
52
116
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.5
0.8
0.5
0.6
1.1
0.7
0.8
1.5
0.9
0.9
1.9
1.0
1.0
2.4
1.1
1.1
3.1
1.1
1.2
3.8
1.1
1.3
4.5
1.2
1.3
5.0
0.0
11.0
20.9
31.3
42.4
54.4
65.2
75.7
86.7
97.4
106.8
114.1
268
341
0
966
701
2276
266
361
0
265
364
0
265
366
3
265
367
6
264
368
11
263
370
16
262
371
19
262
371
22
261
372
23
260
373
21
260
374
20
950
698
2276
918
728
2276
904
738
2276
894
745
2276
899
733
2276
905
722
2276
909
715
2276
912
709
2276
916
703
2276
922
700
2276
927
696
2276
0.88
0.18
1.06
42
0.6
7.5
8
5
8
49
16
3
1.00
0.01
1.01
49
0.6
4.9
19
8
10
61
20
4
1.22
0.00
1.22
58
0.6
5.2
29
14
14
82
25
5
1.24
-0.08
1.17
58
0.6
4.5
31
20
18
98
31
5
1.16
-0.15
1.01
54
0.6
4.1
32
21
21
112
34
5
1.20
-0.12
1.09
52
0.6
1.8
33
22
19
121
39
5
1.20
-0.09
1.11
48
0.6
1.2
33
23
15
118
37
4
1.11
-0.07
1.03
43
0.6
0.7
34
24
14
105
33
4
0.91
-0.06
0.84
36
0.6
3.0
33
25
10
90
30
3
0.66
-0.05
0.61
30
0.6
3.1
31
24
11
75
26
2
Population
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
1.30
0.00
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
69
16
5
0.91
0.00
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
41
13
3
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
Page 95 of 241
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1T run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1T run
A1T MESSAGE
ASIA - A1T MESSAGE
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2798
3261
3620
3937
4147
4238
4220
4085
3867
3589
3258
2882
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.5
5.3
2.7
8.3
5.8
13.5
13.5
22.8
27.2
36.2
44.9
52.2
65.3
70.0
95.8
96.8
126.9
126.9
155.5
155.5
186.5
186.5
218.2
218.2
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
24
19
13
2
4
1
62
15
38
22
3
8
3
88
11
51
38
8
15
5
128
8
60
56
14
30
11
178
4
63
86
22
51
15
241
3
38
120
40
70
18
289
2
24
152
54
98
25
356
0
21
157
73
128
35
414
0
21
156
77
160
46
459
0
13
149
72
183
59
476
0
1
142
62
201
74
479
0
0
131
45
222
89
486
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
30
15
3
0
24
51
26
5
1
23
71
39
14
2
27
96
55
28
4
33
122
76
48
8
44
102
91
74
15
59
79
102
98
27
83
57
95
108
43
108
39
90
101
65
123
40
60
88
74
132
26
45
81
65
132
12
31
68
48
142
1
74
3
108
6
160
15
231
26
323
44
385
79
467
130
540
191
609
261
655
343
692
435
736
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.2
0.0
0.8
0.4
0.1
1.6
0.8
0.2
2.5
1.4
0.5
3.7
2.1
1.0
4.8
3.1
1.7
5.6
4.1
2.7
6.1
5.0
3.8
6.5
5.9
4.8
6.9
6.5
5.7
7.2
7.0
6.5
0.0
17.8
42.7
76.3
120.8
173.1
225.8
275.0
317.9
353.7
381.9
401.6
438
608
0
535
583
2164
435
606
0
434
609
0
433
611
17
432
613
37
431
615
68
431
617
99
430
618
117
429
619
134
428
621
138
428
622
127
428
624
117
522
601
2164
512
609
2164
524
579
2164
535
547
2164
535
515
2164
535
483
2164
544
456
2164
552
429
2164
556
421
2164
555
431
2164
555
441
2164
2.73
0.22
2.95
152
2.4
32.3
18
8
12
340
47
12
3.90
-0.13
3.77
185
2.4
35.4
45
15
19
422
58
17
5.26
-0.12
5.14
225
2.5
35.8
92
23
28
564
70
23
5.36
-0.04
5.32
226
2.5
22.8
153
30
42
663
75
26
5.19
0.03
5.22
227
2.5
16.3
224
35
50
784
82
28
4.65
-0.03
4.62
200
2.4
13.4
292
39
55
853
82
26
4.06
-0.09
3.97
167
2.3
11.6
292
43
48
896
83
22
3.29
-0.10
3.19
147
2.3
8.8
285
46
35
914
76
18
2.47
-0.04
2.43
130
2.2
6.6
275
48
33
866
63
15
1.52
0.01
1.53
110
2.2
5.1
262
46
37
777
41
12
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
1.15
0.37
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
235
33
7
1.78
0.26
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
270
37
9
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
Page 96 of 241
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1T run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1T run
A1T MESSAGE
ALM - A1T MESSAGE
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1192
1519
1875
2241
2557
2791
2980
3089
3115
3064
2934
2727
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.9
3.8
2.7
5.1
4.4
7.5
9.8
13.3
20.0
22.8
34.3
36.7
53.5
55.3
76.5
76.5
98.7
98.7
122.5
122.5
147.2
147.2
173.1
173.1
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
14
1
17
4
3
0
39
10
4
24
6
5
2
52
9
5
35
11
9
4
73
8
5
52
18
17
7
106
5
6
75
27
33
12
157
4
8
97
35
54
21
217
3
7
114
43
81
33
279
0
6
122
54
111
44
336
0
2
123
56
140
59
379
0
1
122
49
165
80
418
0
1
125
42
188
96
452
0
1
109
36
215
118
478
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
5
21
8
0
14
5
31
14
0
13
8
40
23
1
17
10
53
37
2
24
16
69
65
6
36
24
81
91
12
50
26
90
101
23
62
24
89
107
30
81
18
77
92
38
104
12
54
78
40
134
5
43
69
40
153
4
28
63
35
153
2
49
4
68
8
96
14
139
21
213
44
301
87
389
150
480
236
565
326
644
406
717
508
791
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.6
0.2
0.2
1.0
0.5
0.3
1.5
0.8
0.4
2.2
1.5
0.7
3.0
2.4
0.9
3.9
3.4
1.2
4.8
4.5
1.4
5.6
5.4
1.4
6.1
6.2
1.5
6.5
6.8
0.0
16.4
35.6
57.1
83.8
118.2
157.6
197.8
234.3
263.9
286.7
304.3
371
1680
0
1745
1684
5480
385
1673
0
384
1685
0
383
1695
42
382
1702
90
381
1708
165
381
1714
240
380
1718
282
379
1722
324
379
1726
333
378
1730
308
378
1733
284
1711
1710
5480
1690
1720
5480
1683
1676
5480
1680
1625
5480
1681
1544
5480
1682
1463
5480
1681
1419
5480
1680
1374
5480
1678
1364
5480
1676
1387
5480
1674
1411
5480
1.01
0.82
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
8
1.41
0.60
2.01
98
0.7
13.7
15
5
10
431
63
10
1.92
0.36
2.28
114
0.7
14.6
39
9
14
474
74
12
2.82
0.25
3.07
133
0.7
15.0
81
14
19
533
83
15
3.62
0.19
3.81
150
0.7
15.7
139
19
32
608
92
18
3.94
0.14
4.07
162
0.7
16.8
184
23
40
671
98
20
3.84
0.12
3.96
155
0.7
15.7
205
26
42
760
95
21
3.26
0.10
3.36
141
0.6
13.5
210
28
37
858
87
19
2.48
0.08
2.56
123
0.6
11.3
210
30
23
938
69
15
1.94
0.06
2.00
105
0.5
8.8
206
31
24
992
58
13
1.48
0.03
1.51
90
0.5
6.8
196
30
26
1035
50
12
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
0.72
0.73
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
396
48
7
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A1 marker land-use data
Page 97 of 241
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM A1T run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A1 marker run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A1T run
A1T MARIA
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - A1T MARIA
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
Population
5262
6117
6888
7617
8048
8207
8704
8536
8372
8028
7527
7056
19.4
25.9
35.9
52.0
75.1
113.5
177.4
226.2
282.1
347.5
418.0
518.5
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
48
138
56
35
0
278
38
152
65
48
0
302
39
185
84
56
0
364
27
234
110
67
0
439
19
269
156
80
0
525
13
310
201
96
0
621
9
357
250
128
0
744
11
363
278
148
0
800
17
429
213
160
0
819
26
416
232
177
0
852
39
475
177
197
0
888
27
512
179
215
0
934
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
90
123
71
22
28
69
132
101
28
31
61
154
134
33
41
44
187
169
44
64
32
190
222
72
100
23
213
266
117
111
16
239
303
162
128
16
190
331
225
180
21
209
268
252
227
29
152
289
298
270
41
169
235
351
313
29
190
239
404
329
9
343
8
370
7
431
7
515
6
620
17
747
65
913
67
1010
69
1044
69
1106
67
1175
65
1255
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.9
1.2
0.7
1.6
2.5
1.7
2.2
4.1
3.1
2.6
6.0
4.8
3.0
7.9
7.0
3.2
10.0
9.6
3.3
12.4
12.7
3.5
14.3
16.0
3.7
16.4
18.7
4.0
17.9
21.5
4.4
19.6
23.9
0.0
75.3
158.7
249.1
345.2
447.3
556.5
665.0
766.4
861.5
952.1
1042.3
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
1451
3395
0
4138
4061
13045
1451
3395
0
4142
4057
13045
1613
3236
0
4157
4039
13045
2001
2851
0
4177
4017
13045
2170
2682
0
4208
3985
13045
2213
2645
0
4244
3944
13045
2344
2606
40
4301
3754
13045
2069
2597
324
4374
3681
13045
1802
2597
592
4375
3681
13045
1545
2597
848
4375
3681
13045
1287
2597
1107
4375
3681
13045
1182
2597
1212
4375
3681
13045
5.99
1.11
7.10
6.90
1.07
7.97
7.66
1.04
8.70
8.41
0.99
9.39
8.95
0.87
9.82
9.88
0.70
10.58
10.80
0.47
11.26
10.25
0.18
10.43
9.76
0.09
9.85
9.15
0.03
9.18
8.98
-0.04
8.94
9.14
-0.04
9.10
1672
32
38
883
25
40
791
31
43
337
43
48
369
61
66
482
77
99
566
89
119
654
97
127
659
106
113
654
114
88
639
119
84
614
115
95
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
CFC/HFC/HCFC MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
Page 98 of 241
A1T MARIA
Page 99 of 241
A1T MARIA
OECD90 - A1T MARIA
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
859
919
965
1007
1035
1046
1081
1085
1091
1096
1103
1110
15.6
18.9
22.8
27.1
32.0
38.1
45.7
57.0
70.0
86.1
102.5
119.9
12
71
28
21
0
132
8
64
35
25
0
133
6
57
48
27
0
139
4
53
57
29
0
144
3
51
65
31
0
150
2
49
70
32
0
154
1
49
75
36
0
161
5
47
84
40
0
176
11
74
60
45
0
190
19
58
78
51
0
206
30
76
55
57
0
219
21
71
74
63
0
229
38
71
34
18
6
28
64
53
15
4
20
58
73
12
3
15
53
85
15
2
12
51
97
18
1
9
49
105
23
1
6
49
101
29
1
9
47
111
36
1
13
74
91
45
1
21
58
112
56
2
32
76
94
68
3
22
70
114
83
5
5
171
5
168
4
170
4
175
3
183
3
190
16
202
20
223
21
245
21
270
20
292
18
313
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.7
0.3
0.7
1.4
0.9
0.9
1.9
1.6
1.0
2.5
2.4
1.1
3.0
3.4
1.2
3.5
4.5
1.3
4.0
5.5
1.4
4.4
6.6
1.5
5.2
7.5
1.7
5.8
8.6
2.0
6.5
9.5
0.0
30.1
62.2
94.3
126.8
159.6
190.8
220.8
252.7
287.3
324.9
364.4
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
796
754
2684
378
756
0
834
716
2684
378
756
0
834
716
2684
331
756
47
834
716
2684
266
756
112
834
716
2684
213
756
164
834
716
2684
2.83
0.00
2.83
3.20
0.00
3.20
3.19
0.03
3.22
3.16
0.05
3.21
3.20
0.08
3.28
3.21
0.05
3.27
3.09
-0.10
2.99
3.27
-0.25
3.02
3.62
-0.27
3.35
3.81
-0.24
3.57
4.17
-0.21
3.96
4.12
-0.19
3.94
19
18
23
58
13
23
110
13
14
108
11
5
115
9
6
118
8
7
122
9
9
123
10
11
123
12
13
124
13
16
125
14
18
125
16
20
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
A1T MARIA
REF - A1T MARIA
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
413
419
427
433
432
430
423
406
391
374
356
339
0.9
1.3
1.8
2.6
4.5
7.9
13.4
17.6
21.7
26.1
31.5
38.7
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
13
17
21
7
0
58
9
13
23
8
0
53
6
12
26
7
0
51
4
11
30
7
0
53
3
12
41
9
0
65
2
13
52
11
0
78
2
13
64
13
0
92
2
12
69
14
0
98
3
15
66
15
0
99
5
11
68
15
0
99
7
17
61
16
0
101
5
28
53
16
0
102
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
19
19
27
3
1
13
14
31
2
1
9
12
34
2
0
6
11
39
2
0
4
12
53
3
0
3
13
68
3
0
2
14
81
4
0
2
13
88
5
0
3
15
85
7
0
6
11
86
8
0
7
17
79
10
1
5
28
70
13
1
1
69
1
63
1
58
1
60
1
73
1
89
4
105
4
112
4
114
4
115
4
118
3
121
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.6
0.4
0.5
0.9
0.5
0.6
1.3
0.5
0.7
1.8
0.5
0.8
2.5
0.6
1.0
3.3
0.6
1.1
4.2
0.6
1.2
5.1
0.7
1.3
5.9
0.8
1.5
6.7
0.0
11.0
19.7
27.9
37.0
48.0
60.8
74.3
87.7
100.9
113.7
126.8
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
827
710
1868
174
114
43
862
675
1868
139
114
78
862
675
1868
111
114
106
862
675
1868
89
114
128
862
675
1868
78
114
139
862
675
1868
1.30
0.00
1.30
0.91
0.00
0.91
0.80
0.02
0.82
0.80
0.03
0.83
0.97
0.02
1.00
1.19
0.01
1.20
1.38
-0.03
1.35
1.46
-0.12
1.34
1.50
-0.15
1.35
1.48
-0.20
1.29
1.54
-0.25
1.28
1.58
-0.24
1.34
0
7
8
4
4
6
8
5
8
19
8
10
29
14
14
31
20
18
32
21
21
33
22
19
33
23
15
34
24
14
33
25
10
31
24
11
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
A1T MARIA
ASIA - A1T MARIA
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2642
3080
3425
3728
3861
3895
4008
3814
3632
3368
3040
2744
1.2
2.6
5.8
12.3
20.8
35.9
61.8
80.3
102.5
128.8
159.8
204.1
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
20
26
2
4
0
52
18
42
3
9
0
72
25
65
4
11
0
106
17
97
8
16
0
139
12
120
16
19
0
168
8
146
25
24
0
203
6
168
35
34
0
243
4
172
41
41
0
257
3
190
29
46
0
267
2
200
24
52
0
277
2
212
17
59
0
289
1
214
22
64
0
301
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
28
14
3
1
13
24
23
5
12
21
29
36
8
18
31
20
51
14
26
51
14
51
20
28
80
10
72
28
50
81
7
92
38
55
81
5
72
42
79
104
3
56
30
89
137
2
39
25
103
162
2
45
17
122
168
1
41
22
133
174
1
61
1
86
1
124
1
163
1
195
1
243
20
293
20
322
20
335
20
352
20
373
20
391
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.4
0.1
0.8
0.7
0.2
1.0
1.3
0.3
1.2
1.8
0.5
1.3
2.5
0.8
1.3
3.4
1.2
1.4
4.1
1.6
1.4
4.7
1.9
1.4
5.1
2.1
1.4
5.5
2.3
0.0
17.8
40.0
64.6
89.4
115.7
146.5
177.4
203.4
224.3
242.5
260.4
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
366
431
0
365
458
1621
366
431
0
367
456
1621
380
421
0
380
440
1621
380
423
0
388
430
1621
380
423
0
397
421
1621
380
423
0
404
414
1621
380
384
40
404
412
1621
377
375
52
404
412
1621
373
375
57
404
412
1621
336
375
93
404
412
1621
305
375
124
404
412
1621
263
375
167
404
412
1621
1.15
0.37
1.53
1.78
0.26
2.03
2.20
0.20
2.40
2.36
0.16
2.53
2.31
0.12
2.44
2.73
0.10
2.83
3.21
0.09
3.31
2.82
0.07
2.89
2.27
0.04
2.32
1.83
0.02
1.85
1.81
0.00
1.80
1.80
-0.03
1.77
0
3
4
5
5
7
18
8
12
45
15
19
92
23
28
153
30
42
224
35
50
292
39
55
292
43
48
285
46
35
275
48
33
262
46
37
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
A1T MARIA
ALM - A1T MARIA
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1348
1699
2071
2449
2720
2836
3192
3231
3259
3190
3029
2864
1.7
3.1
5.5
10.0
17.8
31.7
56.5
71.4
87.9
106.5
124.2
155.9
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
3
24
5
3
0
35
2
33
4
6
0
45
2
50
6
10
0
68
1
72
14
15
0
103
1
86
35
21
0
143
1
103
54
29
0
186
0
127
75
45
0
247
0
132
84
53
0
268
0
150
59
54
0
263
0
148
63
59
0
270
0
171
44
65
0
280
0
199
31
72
0
302
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
6
18
7
0
8
4
30
12
0
6
3
48
19
0
7
2
71
32
0
11
1
75
51
23
18
1
79
65
40
28
1
84
83
74
46
0
59
90
105
75
0
63
63
112
88
0
44
65
130
105
0
31
46
151
141
0
50
32
174
149
2
41
2
53
1
79
1
117
1
170
12
226
25
313
24
353
25
351
24
369
24
392
24
430
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.5
0.2
0.1
1.0
0.4
0.1
1.7
0.7
0.2
2.4
1.2
0.2
3.2
1.9
0.2
4.1
2.7
0.2
4.6
3.6
0.2
5.3
4.2
0.2
5.7
4.9
0.2
6.0
5.3
0.0
16.4
36.8
62.3
92.0
123.9
158.4
192.4
222.6
249.1
270.9
290.7
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
490
2095
0
2202
2086
6873
490
2095
0
2204
2084
6873
639
1946
0
2207
2081
6873
1026
1559
0
2218
2070
6873
1195
1390
0
2241
2047
6873
1238
1352
0
2268
2014
6873
1370
1352
0
2274
1878
6873
1141
1352
229
2274
1878
6873
913
1352
457
2274
1878
6873
767
1352
603
2274
1878
6873
627
1352
742
2274
1878
6873
627
1352
742
2274
1878
6873
0.72
0.73
1.45
1.01
0.82
1.83
1.47
0.79
2.26
2.09
0.74
2.83
2.47
0.64
3.11
2.74
0.54
3.28
3.12
0.50
3.62
2.70
0.48
3.19
2.37
0.47
2.84
2.03
0.45
2.48
1.46
0.43
1.89
1.64
0.42
2.05
0
4
3
2
4
5
15
5
10
39
9
14
81
14
19
139
19
32
184
23
40
205
26
42
210
28
37
210
30
23
206
31
24
196
30
26
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
A2 ASF
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - A2 ASF
1990
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
5282
6170
7188
8206
9170
10715
11296
12139
12587
13828
14743
15068
20.1
25.2
31.9
40.5
51.2
72.3
81.6
101.9
114.1
159.3
218.4
242.8
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
52
117
49
41
51
150
53
48
58
187
65
63
65
246
92
85
61
275
124
125
58
304
155
164
55
334
187
204
58
371
209
247
61
408
231
290
63
469
246
343
65
552
254
405
67
635
262
468
257
303
373
488
585
682
779
884
990
1120
1276
1431
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
92
134
71
8
0
90
172
74
13
0
106
220
89
14
6
129
291
126
17
12
184
270
176
32
32
239
249
225
47
52
294
228
275
62
71
415
148
297
87
92
536
69
319
112
112
658
23
330
147
130
781
12
331
190
146
904
0
331
234
162
8
313
11
360
15
450
20
595
27
720
34
846
42
971
49
1088
56
1204
65
1353
75
1535
86
1717
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.0
1.7
0.8
2.0
3.6
1.6
3.2
6.2
2.7
4.7
9.0
4.2
6.9
11.6
6.2
9.5
13.9
8.7
13.1
15.7
11.6
17.9
16.7
14.7
31.1
17.0
17.9
38.3
17.2
21.3
46.8
17.2
24.6
0.0
75.3
163.1
272.2
407.1
561.1
728.6
911.5
1111.7
1332.2
1579.1
1855.3
-1.8
-1.6
-1.5
-1.3
-1.1
-0.9
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
5.99
1.11
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
879
139
31
6.90
1.07
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
877
141
32
8.46
1.12
9.58
370
8.1
74.7
785
41
50
977
155
39
11.01
1.25
12.25
424
9.6
99.5
292
51
64
1075
179
50
13.53
1.19
14.72
486
10.7
112.5
258
64
75
1259
202
61
15.01
1.06
16.07
542
11.3
109.0
291
77
89
1344
214
66
16.49
0.93
17.43
598
12.0
105.4
312
92
104
1428
225
71
18.49
0.67
19.16
654
12.9
89.6
384
113
122
1545
238
75
20.49
0.40
20.89
711
13.9
73.7
457
129
129
1662
251
80
22.97
0.25
23.22
770
14.8
64.7
549
148
135
1842
275
87
25.94
0.21
26.15
829
15.7
62.5
662
168
153
2084
309
98
28.91
0.18
29.09
889
16.5
60.3
753
178
165
2326
342
109
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
A2 ASF
A2 ASF
OECD90 - A2 ASF
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
851
923
975
1027
1072
1131
1151
1202
1228
1323
1451
1496
15.3
18.7
22.3
26.0
30.0
37.1
39.9
46.3
50.0
63.1
80.7
87.6
12
67
27
23
12
85
30
27
12
93
29
33
13
99
33
39
13
97
37
46
14
94
41
52
14
92
46
59
15
95
49
69
15
98
52
79
16
109
54
93
16
128
57
112
16
146
60
130
130
154
167
184
193
202
211
227
244
272
312
352
33
76
34
7
0
29
94
37
10
0
32
107
37
11
1
37
116
43
11
4
55
94
52
14
10
74
72
61
17
16
92
49
69
20
23
115
31
72
27
23
138
12
74
34
23
164
2
75
45
24
191
1
76
58
26
218
0
77
72
29
5
155
6
176
7
194
8
220
10
235
11
250
12
266
13
281
15
296
17
326
20
372
23
418
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.9
0.4
0.6
1.9
0.8
1.0
3.1
1.2
1.4
4.1
1.6
2.1
4.9
2.2
2.9
5.5
2.9
4.0
5.9
3.6
5.3
6.1
4.3
6.8
6.1
5.0
8.6
6.1
5.8
10.6
6.1
6.6
0.0
30.1
63.7
101.0
142.9
187.8
234.4
282.7
333.0
386.3
445.2
510.9
2.83
0.00
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
23
179
42
13
3.20
0.00
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
57
13
23
161
36
12
3.51
0.00
3.51
78
2.7
7.9
107
14
25
168
40
14
3.96
0.00
3.96
84
3.0
8.7
103
14
28
175
44
16
4.42
0.00
4.42
91
3.1
9.3
111
14
29
175
46
17
4.58
0.00
4.58
98
3.1
9.5
116
14
29
158
44
17
4.74
0.00
4.74
105
3.0
9.8
125
14
28
141
42
16
4.93
0.00
4.93
113
3.2
9.3
130
13
26
147
44
16
5.11
0.00
5.11
121
3.3
8.8
135
11
20
154
45
16
5.55
0.00
5.55
133
3.5
9.1
142
13
12
174
50
17
6.23
0.00
6.23
149
3.7
10.5
151
15
14
209
58
19
6.91
0.00
6.91
166
3.9
11.8
160
17
16
243
67
21
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
A2 ASF
REF - A2 ASF
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
418
421
438
454
473
507
519
551
568
622
684
706
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
0.9
0.8
1.0
1.4
2.1
3.2
3.7
4.9
5.7
8.5
12.5
14.2
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
17
15
15
8
10
10
11
6
10
11
13
8
11
13
17
11
11
14
22
14
11
16
27
16
11
17
32
19
11
19
36
22
11
22
40
26
11
25
42
31
11
31
44
37
11
37
46
43
55
38
43
52
61
70
79
89
99
110
123
137
23
17
25
1
0
12
12
19
1
0
13
13
22
1
1
17
15
29
2
0
19
17
33
3
0
21
19
37
4
0
23
21
40
6
0
26
16
43
8
5
30
11
46
10
9
37
7
49
14
12
48
3
51
18
14
59
0
52
22
15
1
67
1
45
1
52
2
64
2
74
3
84
3
93
4
102
4
111
5
124
6
139
7
155
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.7
0.6
0.6
1.0
0.8
0.8
1.4
1.1
1.0
1.8
1.3
1.1
2.2
1.6
1.3
2.6
9.1
1.3
3.1
9.5
1.3
3.6
10.1
1.3
4.1
0.0
11.0
20.7
31.9
45.0
59.3
74.3
90.0
107.0
125.3
145.8
168.7
1.30
0.00
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
69
16
5
0.91
0.00
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
41
13
3
1.03
0.00
1.03
41
0.6
11.1
8
8
7
40
15
3
1.22
0.00
1.22
46
0.7
12.0
13
10
10
40
19
4
1.40
0.00
1.40
57
0.7
12.0
20
14
12
47
25
5
1.46
0.00
1.46
67
0.8
11.1
27
17
15
51
28
5
1.52
0.00
1.52
78
0.8
10.2
31
20
19
56
31
5
1.63
0.00
1.63
92
0.8
8.2
37
25
24
63
29
5
1.75
0.00
1.75
106
0.9
6.2
41
30
28
70
27
6
1.93
0.00
1.93
119
0.9
4.8
44
35
32
83
29
6
2.17
0.00
2.17
131
0.9
4.0
48
40
36
101
33
7
2.41
0.00
2.41
143
1.0
3.2
52
42
38
119
37
8
Population
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
A2 ASF
ASIA - A2 ASF
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2791
3295
3801
4308
4779
5500
5764
6137
6333
6858
7214
7340
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.4
2.3
3.5
5.3
7.6
12.6
15.0
20.0
23.1
34.9
50.5
57.1
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
21
13
2
5
28
24
5
9
33
39
9
13
38
64
19
20
33
77
28
42
27
90
36
64
22
103
45
86
22
118
51
104
23
134
56
121
23
156
59
140
23
185
60
160
23
215
60
181
42
65
95
141
179
218
256
295
334
379
429
479
32
17
3
0
0
43
30
6
1
0
52
48
13
2
1
62
77
24
3
3
86
70
42
11
10
110
64
60
19
16
134
57
79
26
23
181
35
85
37
22
227
13
91
47
21
272
1
93
60
20
313
1
88
75
20
355
0
84
90
20
1
53
2
82
3
119
5
174
8
228
12
281
16
335
18
378
21
421
25
470
28
526
32
581
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.9
0.6
0.1
1.5
1.3
0.3
2.2
2.0
0.7
3.2
2.7
1.2
4.4
3.3
1.9
6.0
3.7
2.7
8.1
3.9
3.6
10.6
4.0
4.5
13.5
4.0
5.4
16.9
4.0
6.3
0.0
17.8
42.0
75.7
120.2
173.8
234.9
303.5
379.5
463.6
556.6
659.2
1.15
0.37
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
235
33
7
1.78
0.26
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
270
37
9
2.47
0.34
2.81
144
3.2
36.2
11
11
11
321
41
12
3.52
0.39
3.92
163
4.0
51.5
18
15
16
361
46
16
4.64
0.35
4.99
184
4.6
56.6
27
20
20
435
50
20
5.45
0.28
5.73
205
4.9
52.7
38
25
27
479
53
23
6.27
0.22
6.48
227
5.3
48.9
54
32
34
522
56
26
7.08
0.15
7.23
241
5.8
40.1
77
42
43
576
60
28
7.90
0.08
7.98
255
6.2
31.3
100
49
49
630
64
30
8.79
0.04
8.83
272
6.6
25.6
130
56
55
707
69
33
9.75
0.03
9.78
290
6.9
23.1
167
64
62
806
76
36
10.71
0.02
10.74
308
7.2
20.5
204
67
67
906
82
40
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
A2 ASF
ALM - A2 ASF
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1222
1530
1974
2417
2846
3578
3862
4250
4458
5025
5394
5526
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
2.4
3.4
5.1
7.8
11.5
19.3
23.0
30.6
35.4
52.9
74.7
83.8
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
1
21
5
4
1
31
8
6
2
45
13
9
3
70
24
15
5
87
37
23
7
104
50
32
8
121
64
40
10
138
73
52
12
155
83
64
13
178
89
79
14
208
93
97
16
238
96
115
31
47
69
112
153
193
234
273
313
359
411
464
4
24
8
0
0
7
36
11
0
0
9
53
17
0
2
14
82
29
1
5
24
88
48
4
12
35
94
68
7
19
45
100
87
9
25
92
67
97
15
43
140
34
107
20
60
185
14
114
28
74
228
7
116
39
86
272
0
118
50
98
1
38
2
56
3
85
5
137
7
184
9
231
11
278
13
327
16
376
18
433
21
498
25
563
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.8
0.2
0.3
1.4
0.5
0.4
2.3
0.9
0.7
3.2
1.5
1.1
4.2
2.2
1.8
5.0
3.2
3.0
5.5
4.2
4.6
5.7
5.3
6.7
5.8
6.4
9.2
5.8
7.6
0.0
16.4
36.7
63.6
99.0
140.1
185.0
235.2
292.3
357.1
431.5
516.5
0.72
0.73
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
396
48
7
1.01
0.82
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
8
1.45
0.77
2.23
107
1.6
16.5
19
8
7
448
60
10
2.31
0.85
3.16
132
1.9
24.4
32
12
10
499
70
14
3.08
0.84
3.92
153
2.2
31.7
49
16
13
603
81
19
3.52
0.78
4.30
171
2.5
32.6
69
21
18
656
89
21
3.96
0.71
4.68
188
2.8
33.5
98
26
23
709
96
24
4.84
0.52
5.36
208
3.1
29.0
139
34
29
758
106
26
5.72
0.32
6.04
229
3.5
24.4
181
39
32
808
115
29
6.70
0.21
6.91
246
3.8
22.1
233
45
37
877
127
32
7.79
0.18
7.97
259
4.1
21.9
295
50
41
968
142
36
8.87
0.16
9.03
272
4.4
21.8
336
52
43
1058
156
40
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
A2 AIM
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - A2 AIM
1990
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
5262
6132
7165
8198
9231
10208
11287
12008
12776
13536
14281
15068
20.1
25.1
31.8
40.2
50.7
63.9
80.7
101.2
126.9
157.7
194.3
239.4
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
50
36
111
51
38
57
48
115
56
51
69
65
135
80
69
68
79
162
101
88
69
95
190
129
116
62
108
204
147
145
55
121
220
167
181
36
131
244
177
226
24
141
270
186
283
0
150
308
201
348
0
157
360
220
420
0
165
421
241
507
285
327
418
499
599
668
744
824
911
1024
1169
1334
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
93
143
73
6
50
119
155
96
9
48
177
179
133
11
38
230
182
170
14
66
301
176
216
16
99
344
163
244
27
119
396
152
276
48
143
477
134
292
65
161
575
121
309
88
181
692
107
334
116
194
837
92
368
150
199
1016
80
406
195
203
10
376
11
438
13
551
15
677
20
829
25
921
31
1046
45
1173
67
1341
91
1535
112
1758
140
2040
0.1
0.1
0.1
1.2
1.6
0.9
2.6
3.3
2.1
4.7
5.1
3.6
7.3
6.9
5.5
10.2
8.3
7.6
14.3
10.2
10.4
18.5
11.4
12.9
23.9
12.7
16.0
30.4
14.0
19.4
38.1
14.9
22.8
47.7
16.0
26.9
0.0
75.3
166.3
274.2
399.6
544.8
707.5
891.0
1098.6
1335.8
1610.5
1930.7
1459
3389
0
4296
3805
12949
1484
3411
0
4248
3805
12949
1518
3446
0
4217
3768
12949
1551
3478
89
4254
3577
12949
1586
3510
194
4301
3359
12949
1623
3546
252
4307
3220
12949
1660
3582
311
4314
3082
12949
1702
3611
316
4306
3013
12949
1744
3640
322
4299
2944
12949
1787
3664
314
4292
2892
12949
1833
3683
291
4285
2858
12949
1879
3701
268
4277
2823
12949
5.99
1.11
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
879
139
31
6.90
1.07
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
877
141
32
9.30
0.92
10.22
362
7.3
86.7
785
41
50
983
183
37
11.29
0.07
11.36
385
7.4
105.0
292
51
64
952
205
42
13.70
0.02
13.72
412
7.6
132.8
258
64
75
1029
230
47
15.05
0.26
15.31
422
7.9
135.1
291
77
89
1101
225
48
16.60
0.64
17.23
434
8.1
140.7
312
92
104
1179
221
50
18.73
0.74
19.47
457
8.4
151.9
384
113
122
1268
208
53
21.20
0.87
22.07
481
8.8
165.1
457
129
129
1366
197
56
24.41
0.97
25.38
505
9.1
148.0
549
148
135
1500
186
60
28.56
1.00
29.56
526
9.5
113.3
662
168
153
1679
177
65
33.43
1.04
34.47
549
9.8
92.9
753
178
165
1881
169
71
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
A2 AIM
A2 AIM
OECD90 - A2 AIM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
859
914
966
1018
1071
1111
1152
1218
1288
1357
1425
1496
15.3
18.6
21.9
25.5
29.7
34.2
39.4
45.8
53.2
62.3
73.4
86.6
6
10
64
25
22
2
14
69
31
27
1
16
72
38
32
0
18
82
44
37
0
20
88
49
44
0
21
87
51
50
0
21
87
52
57
0
22
88
52
66
0
23
89
51
76
0
23
95
53
88
0
24
106
57
102
0
25
118
61
118
127
142
158
181
201
209
217
228
240
259
289
322
41
76
34
5
6
46
83
46
7
1
60
84
54
8
0
70
84
62
9
6
80
74
70
9
15
86
61
72
11
20
92
50
75
14
27
106
36
73
18
31
122
26
71
22
35
147
19
73
28
37
187
13
79
35
38
238
9
85
45
39
6
167
6
189
7
211
8
238
10
257
12
262
13
272
18
281
23
299
28
331
31
383
34
450
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.9
0.4
1.0
1.7
0.9
1.6
2.5
1.5
2.4
3.3
2.2
3.1
3.9
2.8
4.1
4.6
3.6
5.1
4.9
4.3
6.2
5.3
5.0
7.6
5.5
5.8
9.4
5.7
6.5
11.5
5.9
7.4
0.0
30.1
63.9
101.2
141.9
185.2
230.6
277.8
326.6
378.4
436.9
504.5
381
760
0
1050
838
3029
384
765
0
1062
818
3029
391
775
0
1080
783
3029
398
786
17
1109
720
3029
405
797
37
1137
652
3029
413
813
48
1137
617
3029
422
830
59
1136
582
3029
432
841
61
1136
560
3029
442
853
62
1135
537
3029
453
860
60
1133
522
3029
465
864
56
1131
513
3029
477
867
51
1128
504
3029
3.62
-0.07
3.55
74
2.7
11.1
107
14
25
189
37
12
4.08
-0.18
3.90
74
2.8
8.6
103
14
28
216
38
12
4.41
-0.18
4.23
75
2.7
9.2
111
14
29
251
39
12
4.48
-0.04
4.44
69
2.8
9.6
116
14
29
265
35
10
4.55
0.10
4.65
64
2.8
10.1
125
14
28
280
32
9
4.70
0.10
4.80
66
2.8
11.0
130
13
26
294
26
9
4.86
0.10
4.95
67
2.9
12.0
135
11
20
307
21
10
5.32
0.10
5.42
70
2.9
13.7
142
13
12
331
20
10
6.17
0.10
6.27
73
3.1
16.1
151
15
14
365
22
11
7.15
0.10
7.26
76
3.2
19.0
160
17
16
404
24
13
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
2.83
0.00
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
23
179
42
13
3.20
0.00
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
57
13
23
161
36
12
A2 AIM
REF - A2 AIM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
413
428
444
460
476
497
519
555
593
630
667
706
0.9
0.8
1.1
1.5
2.0
2.7
3.7
4.9
6.4
8.4
10.8
13.9
2
9
19
19
8
4
7
9
13
9
1
10
8
18
12
0
11
8
22
14
0
13
8
27
16
0
14
8
31
20
0
15
7
36
25
0
15
8
37
30
0
16
9
39
37
0
16
10
42
44
0
16
12
46
52
0
17
14
51
61
58
43
48
55
64
72
82
91
101
113
127
143
18
22
26
1
2
17
13
21
1
4
23
11
27
2
0
28
10
32
2
1
33
9
37
2
3
36
8
40
4
5
39
7
44
7
6
49
5
46
9
7
62
3
47
12
8
83
2
51
15
9
118
1
56
19
9
166
1
61
24
9
1
71
1
58
1
63
1
75
2
85
2
94
3
106
5
121
7
141
10
170
13
215
16
277
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.5
0.7
0.4
0.8
1.0
0.5
1.1
1.3
0.6
1.5
1.7
0.6
1.9
2.1
0.7
2.3
2.7
0.7
2.8
3.5
0.8
3.3
4.6
0.8
3.9
6.0
0.8
4.5
0.0
11.0
21.2
32.7
45.2
59.4
75.3
93.5
114.9
140.5
172.2
212.1
268
341
0
966
701
2276
270
362
0
950
694
2276
276
366
0
936
698
2276
282
370
4
938
682
2276
288
373
9
941
665
2276
295
376
11
942
651
2276
302
379
14
942
638
2276
309
382
14
936
634
2276
317
385
14
929
630
2276
325
387
14
924
626
2276
333
390
13
920
621
2276
341
392
12
915
615
2276
1.11
0.01
1.13
48
0.6
14.8
8
8
7
41
14
3
1.30
-0.14
1.16
47
0.7
17.4
13
10
10
43
14
4
1.47
-0.12
1.35
45
0.7
15.3
20
14
12
46
14
4
1.59
-0.09
1.50
46
0.7
10.4
27
17
15
47
13
4
1.73
-0.05
1.68
46
0.8
7.0
31
20
19
48
13
4
1.98
-0.01
1.97
53
0.8
6.4
37
25
24
50
13
4
2.27
0.04
2.31
60
0.8
5.9
41
30
28
53
12
3
2.73
0.07
2.80
69
0.8
6.8
44
35
32
57
12
3
3.45
0.08
3.54
79
0.8
9.5
48
40
36
62
12
3
4.36
0.10
4.45
90
0.9
13.0
52
42
38
68
12
3
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
1.30
0.00
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
69
16
5
0.91
0.00
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
41
13
3
A2 AIM
ASIA - A2 AIM
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2798
3278
3783
4288
4793
5255
5762
6065
6385
6701
7013
7339
1.4
2.3
3.4
5.1
7.4
10.4
14.5
19.4
25.9
33.7
42.9
54.7
28
15
11
2
5
31
24
16
3
8
37
33
22
6
14
35
41
30
9
21
35
50
41
14
33
30
57
47
17
42
26
67
54
21
55
14
72
62
24
72
7
79
71
26
94
0
84
83
28
119
0
90
99
30
147
0
95
118
31
181
61
82
114
136
172
196
223
250
281
320
369
426
30
17
4
0
28
46
24
9
1
24
72
34
16
1
19
95
37
23
2
21
130
38
36
3
21
148
36
46
7
26
168
33
58
15
33
203
28
64
21
37
245
24
71
30
42
291
20
78
40
45
338
15
85
53
46
393
11
92
70
47
1
80
2
106
2
144
2
180
4
233
5
267
7
314
12
365
20
431
29
502
37
574
48
662
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.2
0.1
1.0
0.5
0.2
1.8
0.9
0.4
3.0
1.2
0.7
4.2
1.6
1.0
6.0
2.0
1.6
7.7
2.2
2.1
10.0
2.5
2.8
12.7
2.7
3.6
15.8
2.9
4.4
19.7
3.1
5.3
0.0
17.8
42.7
74.4
114.7
164.6
221.9
288.3
365.1
453.7
555.2
671.2
438
608
0
535
583
2164
440
607
0
523
593
2164
451
612
0
515
586
2164
462
616
21
529
537
2164
473
621
45
542
484
2164
485
625
58
544
452
2164
497
629
72
546
421
2164
509
633
73
546
402
2164
522
637
74
547
384
2164
535
641
72
548
368
2164
549
644
67
548
356
2164
562
648
61
548
344
2164
2.68
0.26
2.94
141
2.7
38.6
11
11
11
304
51
11
3.44
-0.03
3.41
154
2.7
52.7
18
15
16
302
60
14
4.59
0.07
4.65
171
2.8
71.2
27
20
20
352
70
17
5.16
0.16
5.31
181
3.0
70.2
38
25
27
383
69
19
5.80
0.37
6.16
192
3.1
69.2
54
32
34
417
69
21
6.71
0.41
7.12
203
3.2
70.0
77
42
43
452
65
22
7.77
0.47
8.24
214
3.4
70.7
100
49
49
491
62
22
8.96
0.51
9.47
223
3.5
56.8
130
56
55
543
57
23
10.30
0.53
10.83
229
3.7
36.3
167
64
62
615
52
24
11.83
0.55
12.38
236
3.8
23.4
204
67
67
696
47
25
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
1.15
0.37
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
235
33
7
1.78
0.26
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
270
37
9
A2 AIM
ALM - A2 AIM
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1192
1512
1972
2432
2892
3338
3854
4169
4510
4847
5176
5527
2.4
3.4
5.4
8.1
11.5
16.3
23.1
30.8
41.1
53.2
66.9
84.2
14
1
17
4
4
20
3
22
9
7
31
6
33
18
11
33
9
42
27
16
34
13
53
39
23
32
16
62
48
32
29
19
72
58
44
22
21
85
64
58
17
24
100
70
76
0
26
119
78
96
0
27
143
87
119
0
29
171
97
146
40
60
99
126
163
190
221
253
289
332
384
444
5
27
9
0
14
10
35
20
0
18
23
50
37
1
19
37
52
53
1
37
58
55
74
2
60
75
59
86
5
68
97
62
100
12
76
119
65
109
17
86
145
67
120
24
97
171
66
133
33
104
194
62
149
43
106
220
58
167
56
109
2
57
2
85
3
132
3
184
4
254
6
297
7
354
11
406
17
470
24
531
31
586
41
651
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.8
0.4
0.5
1.3
0.9
1.0
1.8
1.5
1.6
2.3
2.2
2.6
3.0
3.3
3.6
3.6
4.2
4.9
4.2
5.4
6.5
4.9
6.7
8.3
5.5
8.1
1.7
6.7
12.5
0.0
16.4
38.5
65.9
97.8
135.6
179.6
231.2
292.0
363.2
446.3
542.8
371
1680
0
1745
1684
5480
390
1677
0
1712
1700
5480
400
1693
0
1686
1701
5480
409
1706
47
1678
1639
5480
419
1719
103
1680
1558
5480
430
1732
134
1685
1499
5480
440
1744
166
1689
1440
5480
451
1755
169
1689
1416
5480
462
1765
172
1688
1392
5480
474
1775
168
1687
1376
5480
486
1785
155
1686
1368
5480
498
1794
143
1685
1359
5480
1.88
0.71
2.59
99
1.3
19.3
19
8
7
449
80
10
2.47
0.42
2.89
109
1.3
23.4
32
12
10
391
94
12
3.23
0.26
3.49
121
1.3
34.2
49
16
13
380
107
14
3.83
0.24
4.06
126
1.4
42.0
69
21
18
405
107
15
4.52
0.22
4.75
131
1.5
51.4
98
26
23
434
107
17
5.34
0.24
5.58
135
1.6
61.5
139
34
29
472
104
19
6.29
0.27
6.57
140
1.7
73.5
181
39
32
516
102
21
7.39
0.30
7.69
143
1.8
67.8
233
45
37
569
97
24
8.64
0.29
8.93
145
1.9
48.3
295
50
41
636
91
27
10.10
0.28
10.38
148
2.0
34.5
336
52
43
714
86
30
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
0.72
0.73
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
396
48
7
1.01
0.82
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
8
A2G IMAGE
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - A2G IMAGE
1990
Population
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
5297
8225
11298
14719
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
21.0
0.0
45.3
0.0
111.3
0.0
248.5
0.0
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
50
40
98
50
35
0
272
40
44
145
108
91
0
428
22
65
203
229
262
0
781
16
99
191
341
444
0
1092
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
Non-commercial
NTE (Nuclear/Solar) & Hydro
Total
82
116
78
101
175
187
253
235
396
237
178
458
1
6
17
344
6
40
37
546
46
22
107
1059
71
16
344
1304
0.1
0.1
0.1
2.3
4.3
3.8
7.4
10.5
12.2
21.6
21.5
35.5
0.0
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
CFC/HFC/HCFC MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
5.99
1.11
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
879
139
31
75.3
6.90
1.07
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
877
141
32
165.3
7.98
2.04
10.02
408
9.6
69.9
785
41
50
812
154
37
275.8
9.07
3.01
12.08
493
12.2
70.7
292
51
64
748
166
42
408.2
12.10
2.29
14.39
537
12.7
83.8
258
64
75
713
165
55
563.6
15.14
1.56
16.70
581
13.3
96.9
291
77
89
678
163
68
742.1
18.17
0.84
19.01
625
13.9
110.0
312
92
104
642
161
82
932.8
18.05
1.07
19.12
653
14.5
104.9
384
113
122
669
167
80
1124.5
17.93
1.30
19.23
681
15.0
99.7
457
129
129
696
172
78
1317.3
17.81
1.53
19.34
709
15.6
94.6
549
148
135
723
177
77
1511.3
17.69
1.76
19.45
737
16.2
89.4
662
168
153
750
183
75
1706.3
17.57
1.99
19.56
765
16.7
84.3
753
178
165
776
188
73
A2G IMAGE
A2G IMAGE
OECD90 - A2G IMAGE
Population
1990
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
801
953
1068
1393
16.5
30.7
57.7
109.6
6
7
51
34
21
4
7
55
49
46
2
9
56
66
70
2
17
57
103
111
119
161
201
289
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
Non-commercial
NTE (Nuclear/Solar) & Hydro
Total
24
55
51
17
62
96
23
58
119
36
50
151
1
6
10
147
2
4
22
202
6
2
40
248
11
2
80
330
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.5
1.1
2.1
1.0
2.4
5.1
2.5
4.4
11.4
0.0
30.1
63.7
100.3
139.8
181.8
226.2
273.2
322.9
375.4
430.6
488.4
2.83
0.00
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
23
179
42
13
3.20
0.00
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
57
13
23
161
36
12
3.40
0.11
3.51
88
2.8
13.4
107
14
25
123
35
11
3.60
0.22
3.82
103
3.0
9.8
103
14
28
85
34
9
3.77
0.30
4.07
107
3.0
10.7
111
14
29
87
36
10
3.95
0.37
4.32
111
3.1
11.6
116
14
29
89
37
11
4.12
0.45
4.57
116
3.2
12.6
125
14
28
91
38
11
4.29
0.55
4.84
121
3.3
13.7
130
13
26
96
40
12
4.45
0.66
5.11
127
3.4
14.8
135
11
20
102
43
13
4.62
0.76
5.38
133
3.6
15.9
142
13
12
107
45
13
4.78
0.87
5.65
139
3.7
17.1
151
15
14
113
48
14
4.95
0.98
5.92
144
3.8
18.2
160
17
16
118
50
14
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
A2G IMAGE
REF - A2G IMAGE
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
413
421
391
405
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.0
1.5
3.5
6.4
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
2
11
18
12
7
1
5
15
10
10
1
3
12
12
18
0
4
9
12
21
50
41
46
46
26
26
21
12
21
19
14
21
27
12
12
21
0
2
2
78
0
1
4
58
1
1
9
71
2
0
14
61
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.9
1.1
1.2
1.6
1.8
2.6
0.0
11.0
18.9
24.2
28.7
34.0
39.9
46.2
52.1
57.8
63.1
68.2
1.30
0.00
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
69
16
5
0.91
0.00
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
41
13
3
0.65
0.01
0.66
44
0.6
7.5
8
8
7
25
12
3
0.39
0.02
0.41
50
0.6
4.1
13
10
10
10
11
3
0.44
0.05
0.49
49
0.6
4.1
20
14
12
11
10
4
0.49
0.08
0.56
48
0.6
4.2
27
17
15
12
10
4
0.53
0.10
0.64
48
0.6
4.3
31
20
19
13
10
4
0.47
0.14
0.61
47
0.6
4.2
37
25
24
12
10
4
0.41
0.17
0.58
47
0.6
4.0
41
30
28
11
10
3
0.35
0.21
0.55
46
0.7
3.9
44
35
32
10
10
3
0.28
0.24
0.52
45
0.7
3.8
48
40
36
10
10
2
0.22
0.28
0.49
45
0.7
3.7
52
42
38
9
10
2
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
Non-commercial
NTE (Nuclear/Solar) & Hydro
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
A2G IMAGE
ASIA - A2G IMAGE
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2790
4294
5746
7284
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.4
5.8
25.6
69.0
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
28
20
14
2
4
25
26
36
35
24
11
35
62
110
113
7
48
39
144
170
68
145
331
409
29
17
3
56
40
53
147
50
172
114
20
170
0
28
2
79
4
25
6
184
28
11
41
449
26
7
141
477
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.2
0.8
0.8
4.1
2.2
4.0
11.9
3.8
13.8
0.0
17.8
41.6
72.1
114.3
173.0
248.1
329.8
408.3
483.6
555.7
624.6
1.15
0.37
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
235
33
7
1.78
0.26
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
270
37
9
2.48
0.23
2.72
156
3.0
28.4
11
11
11
252
40
12
3.19
0.21
3.40
186
3.4
31.5
18
15
16
235
42
16
4.78
0.27
5.04
216
3.8
35.5
27
20
20
269
46
23
6.36
0.32
6.69
245
4.2
39.6
38
25
27
304
51
31
7.95
0.38
8.33
275
4.5
43.6
54
32
34
339
55
39
7.62
0.39
8.01
285
4.6
38.1
77
42
43
346
56
37
7.29
0.40
7.69
295
4.8
32.6
100
49
49
353
56
35
6.96
0.41
7.37
305
4.9
27.1
130
56
55
360
57
32
6.63
0.42
7.05
316
5.0
21.5
167
64
62
368
57
30
6.30
0.43
6.73
326
5.1
16.0
204
67
67
375
58
28
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
Non-commercial
NTE (Nuclear/Solar) & Hydro
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
A2G IMAGE
ALM - A2G IMAGE
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1293
2557
4093
5637
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
2.1
7.3
24.5
63.5
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
14
2
15
3
2
10
6
40
14
12
9
17
74
42
61
7
30
87
83
142
35
81
203
349
4
18
3
16
51
19
69
107
78
75
96
117
0
14
3
41
1
10
5
103
11
9
18
291
32
7
109
437
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
1.9
0.4
1.4
4.9
1.8
5.6
11.5
7.6
0.0
16.4
41.2
79.1
125.3
174.9
228.0
283.6
341.2
400.6
461.9
525.1
0.72
0.73
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
396
48
7
1.01
0.82
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
8
1.45
1.69
3.14
120
3.2
17.6
19
8
7
412
67
11
1.89
2.56
4.45
154
5.2
22.4
32
12
10
419
79
14
3.12
1.67
4.79
165
5.3
30.4
49
16
13
346
72
18
4.34
0.79
5.13
176
5.5
38.5
69
21
18
273
65
23
5.56
-0.09
5.47
187
5.6
46.6
98
26
23
201
58
28
5.67
-0.01
5.66
200
5.9
45.9
139
34
29
215
60
28
5.78
0.07
5.85
212
6.2
45.3
181
39
32
230
63
28
5.89
0.15
6.04
225
6.5
44.7
233
45
37
245
66
28
6.00
0.23
6.22
237
6.8
44.0
295
50
41
260
68
28
6.11
0.31
6.41
250
7.1
43.4
336
52
43
274
71
29
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
Non-commercial
NTE (Nuclear/Solar) & Hydro
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
A2 MESSAGE
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - A2 MESSAGE
1990
Population
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
5262
6170
7188
8206
9170
10715
11296
12139
12587
13828
14743
15068
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
20.9
25.7
25.2
31.2
31.9
39.7
40.5
50.5
51.2
63.3
72.3
82.2
81.6
106.0
101.9
132.2
114.1
155.2
159.3
180.1
218.4
208.0
242.8
225.6
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
38
42
111
41
35
8
275
23
39
137
51
46
11
306
26
27
181
58
60
17
368
24
20
235
68
82
28
457
22
13
279
85
109
44
552
20
24
284
105
147
65
645
18
32
296
132
184
88
750
17
30
302
162
230
113
855
16
21
352
145
277
137
947
16
9
391
156
337
158
1066
15
7
456
143
397
180
1197
15
6
501
161
459
200
1342
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
91
128
71
7
46
83
171
86
9
41
97
208
108
13
42
122
253
135
17
50
157
274
173
22
69
211
244
208
34
97
273
205
245
47
141
342
146
292
62
194
458
109
268
79
245
569
86
285
97
271
735
64
281
116
287
871
47
289
136
299
8
352
14
404
21
489
34
610
50
745
77
871
103
1014
132
1168
165
1323
196
1504
228
1710
280
1921
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.9
1.5
0.8
1.7
3.2
1.6
2.7
5.3
2.7
3.9
7.8
4.0
5.5
10.5
5.8
7.6
13.0
7.9
10.3
15.0
10.3
13.7
16.5
13.2
18.3
17.6
15.9
24.0
18.4
18.8
31.4
19.1
21.6
0.0
75.3
162.5
267.0
391.0
530.7
683.4
848.2
1027.2
1227.6
1459.2
1725.2
5.99
1.11
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
879
139
31
6.90
1.07
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
877
141
32
8.34
1.11
9.45
363
6.4
68.3
785
41
50
972
170
38
10.32
1.14
11.46
418
6.3
79.8
292
51
64
1100
204
47
12.28
1.05
13.33
489
6.3
94.2
258
64
75
1246
229
56
13.66
0.96
14.62
592
6.6
106.5
291
77
89
1396
239
61
15.11
0.81
15.91
671
6.8
103.6
312
92
104
1585
242
66
16.46
0.59
17.05
743
7.1
99.0
384
113
122
1810
241
71
18.38
0.38
18.76
803
7.3
83.8
457
129
129
2075
247
78
21.10
0.22
21.32
900
7.6
74.3
549
148
135
2250
262
87
24.90
0.10
25.00
993
7.9
68.1
662
168
153
2426
281
97
28.21
-0.02
28.19
1069
8.1
68.7
753
178
165
2646
311
110
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A2 land-use data
Page 122 of 241
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (IS92f)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A2 run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A2 run
A2 MESSAGE
A2 MESSAGE
OECD90 - A2 MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
851
923
975
1027
1072
1131
1151
1202
1228
1323
1451
1496
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
15.3
14.1
18.7
16.0
22.3
18.5
26.0
20.8
30.0
23.1
37.1
28.2
39.9
30.8
46.3
36.2
50.0
39.0
63.1
49.5
80.7
63.8
87.6
69.8
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
13
66
22
22
1
124
0
9
72
26
28
1
136
0
5
88
22
35
1
151
0
3
102
16
43
4
168
0
1
105
19
53
7
185
0
1
99
23
65
10
197
0
0
88
28
75
14
205
0
0
78
33
88
18
217
0
0
79
27
101
25
232
0
0
80
26
117
28
251
0
0
85
26
133
33
277
0
0
94
27
153
39
314
38
72
33
6
6
40
89
38
7
6
47
99
42
9
6
56
105
43
11
8
71
96
52
13
12
91
83
52
17
16
112
62
58
19
21
126
41
77
25
29
151
31
80
31
32
195
23
72
36
35
232
16
81
42
37
240
11
99
50
41
4
159
6
185
7
209
11
233
15
259
21
280
27
300
32
328
39
363
43
404
48
457
55
496
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.8
0.4
0.8
1.7
0.7
1.3
2.7
1.2
1.8
3.7
1.6
2.5
4.7
2.1
3.4
5.5
2.6
4.6
6.1
3.2
5.9
6.5
4.0
7.7
6.8
4.8
10.1
7.1
5.5
13.0
7.2
6.3
0.0
30.1
64.2
102.2
143.7
188.3
235.3
284.9
339.0
401.1
473.9
553.5
2.83
0.00
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
23
179
42
13
3.20
0.00
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
57
13
23
161
36
12
3.61
0.00
3.61
72
2.6
11.0
107
14
25
170
37
14
3.98
0.00
3.98
72
2.5
5.9
103
14
28
180
36
15
4.33
0.00
4.33
78
2.5
4.0
111
14
29
185
35
16
4.58
0.00
4.58
89
2.5
3.1
116
14
29
200
35
17
4.83
0.00
4.83
99
2.6
2.1
125
14
28
208
30
17
5.08
0.00
5.08
111
2.6
1.9
130
13
26
226
27
18
5.74
0.00
5.74
126
2.7
2.8
135
11
20
223
25
19
6.70
0.00
6.70
149
2.7
3.9
142
13
12
229
24
20
7.86
0.00
7.86
176
2.8
5.1
151
15
14
233
24
22
8.06
0.00
8.06
175
2.9
5.7
160
17
16
243
26
25
Population
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A2 land-use data
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (IS92f)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A2 run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A2 run
A2 MESSAGE
REF - A2 MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
418
421
438
454
473
507
519
551
568
622
684
706
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
0.9
2.6
0.8
2.6
1.0
3.2
1.4
4.2
2.1
5.0
3.2
6.2
3.7
9.0
4.9
10.9
5.7
13.0
8.5
12.5
12.5
12.8
14.2
13.8
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
9
15
14
6
7
50
0
4
13
14
6
6
43
0
3
15
16
7
5
46
0
2
18
17
9
7
53
0
1
22
18
11
10
62
0
0
21
18
15
13
67
0
0
21
20
19
14
74
0
0
24
19
24
18
85
0
0
29
18
27
21
94
0
0
33
18
31
22
104
0
0
38
19
37
24
117
0
0
45
19
43
24
131
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
19
20
27
1
2
11
18
28
1
1
11
18
30
1
1
13
20
33
0
1
17
21
39
1
2
18
18
45
1
4
23
13
52
2
6
34
12
47
4
11
47
9
35
5
18
50
6
39
7
28
64
5
45
9
26
82
2
51
10
24
1
70
1
60
2
62
3
70
5
84
8
95
10
107
13
121
16
131
19
148
22
170
27
195
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.6
0.9
0.5
0.8
1.2
0.7
1.0
1.6
0.9
1.2
2.0
1.2
1.3
2.6
1.5
1.4
3.0
2.0
1.5
3.4
2.5
1.6
3.8
3.1
1.6
4.2
0.0
11.0
20.4
30.7
42.7
56.2
71.0
87.2
104.7
122.8
143.6
169.3
1.30
0.00
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
69
16
5
0.91
0.00
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
41
13
3
0.96
0.00
0.96
41
0.6
10.9
8
8
7
43
16
3
1.09
0.00
1.09
44
0.6
12.5
13
10
10
51
19
4
1.31
0.00
1.31
51
0.7
15.3
20
14
12
61
21
5
1.40
0.00
1.40
58
0.7
18.2
27
17
15
68
24
5
1.54
0.00
1.54
66
0.7
20.7
31
20
19
75
23
6
1.71
0.00
1.71
69
0.7
23.3
37
25
24
82
20
7
1.78
0.00
1.78
72
0.7
18.2
41
30
28
100
20
7
1.86
0.00
1.86
78
0.8
11.8
44
35
32
114
21
7
2.30
0.00
2.30
94
0.8
6.2
48
40
36
145
25
8
2.84
0.00
2.84
113
0.8
6.4
52
42
38
183
32
9
Population
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A2 land-use data
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (IS92f)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A2 run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A2 run
A2 MESSAGE
ASIA - A2 MESSAGE
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2791
3295
3801
4308
4779
5500
5764
6137
6333
6858
7214
7340
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.4
5.3
2.3
7.4
3.5
10.3
5.3
14.3
7.6
19.5
12.6
27.3
15.0
36.8
20.0
47.5
23.1
57.1
34.9
66.1
50.5
74.7
57.1
79.9
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
24
19
13
2
4
1
62
16
19
26
4
6
4
75
17
15
42
8
10
7
100
17
12
61
17
17
11
135
15
9
85
21
25
17
172
14
21
93
19
35
25
207
12
29
105
26
46
35
252
11
28
104
46
58
44
291
11
18
119
43
75
53
319
10
6
133
53
96
62
360
10
4
155
49
114
71
402
9
2
180
45
131
78
445
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
30
15
3
0
24
27
31
7
1
21
33
47
15
2
24
42
67
23
3
29
54
86
27
5
36
82
80
23
8
47
104
71
29
13
63
128
47
50
17
77
187
27
47
22
77
235
16
56
29
79
310
10
49
34
82
390
4
41
39
84
1
74
3
90
6
125
9
173
14
222
22
262
31
312
42
361
57
417
73
489
81
566
90
648
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.2
0.0
0.6
0.5
0.1
0.9
1.0
0.3
1.3
1.6
0.5
1.9
2.5
0.7
2.7
3.3
1.0
3.7
4.0
1.2
4.9
4.5
1.8
6.9
4.8
2.2
9.4
4.9
2.8
12.8
5.0
3.3
0.0
17.8
41.1
71.3
109.2
153.2
202.0
255.3
316.5
389.3
477.3
583.8
1.15
0.37
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
235
33
7
1.78
0.26
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
270
37
9
2.36
0.26
2.62
153
2.4
27.8
11
11
11
335
49
12
3.16
0.27
3.42
190
2.4
36.7
18
15
16
422
63
16
3.93
0.22
4.15
232
2.5
44.3
27
20
20
497
72
19
4.48
0.17
4.66
283
2.6
52.9
38
25
27
538
73
21
4.97
0.12
5.10
319
2.7
47.2
54
32
34
589
75
23
5.48
0.09
5.57
356
2.9
40.7
77
42
43
653
82
25
6.61
0.05
6.66
394
3.0
30.8
100
49
49
746
91
28
7.90
0.01
7.91
444
3.1
27.5
130
56
55
859
102
33
9.72
-0.03
9.69
487
3.2
26.8
167
64
62
968
113
38
11.69
-0.08
11.62
523
3.3
26.8
204
67
67
1107
128
43
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A2 land-use data
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (IS92f)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A2 run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A2 run
A2 MESSAGE
ALM - A2 MESSAGE
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1222
1530
1974
2417
2846
3578
3862
4250
4458
5025
5394
5526
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
2.4
3.8
3.4
5.2
5.1
7.7
7.8
11.2
11.5
15.7
19.3
20.4
23.0
29.4
30.6
37.5
35.4
46.1
52.9
52.0
74.7
56.7
83.8
62.2
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
14
1
17
4
3
0
39
8
7
26
6
5
1
53
9
4
36
11
8
3
71
7
3
54
19
14
6
101
6
2
68
27
20
10
134
6
2
71
45
33
18
174
6
3
83
58
45
25
219
6
2
96
64
61
33
262
6
2
125
57
75
39
303
6
3
145
59
92
45
350
6
3
178
50
113
52
402
6
3
183
70
133
59
454
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
5
21
8
0
14
5
34
13
1
13
7
44
22
1
12
11
62
36
2
12
15
71
55
4
18
19
62
89
7
31
34
59
107
12
50
53
46
119
17
78
73
42
107
21
117
90
41
118
26
129
129
34
107
31
141
159
30
98
37
151
2
49
3
69
7
93
11
134
16
179
26
234
35
296
45
358
53
412
60
463
75
517
107
582
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.6
0.2
0.2
1.1
0.4
0.3
1.7
0.8
0.4
2.4
1.4
0.6
3.0
2.2
0.9
3.6
3.3
1.4
4.1
4.5
1.8
4.5
5.5
2.1
4.9
6.7
2.5
5.2
7.8
0.0
16.4
36.8
62.9
95.4
133.0
175.1
220.8
267.1
314.3
364.3
418.5
0.72
0.73
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
396
48
7
1.01
0.82
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
8
1.40
0.85
2.25
99
0.8
15.6
19
8
7
424
68
10
2.10
0.87
2.97
112
0.7
21.7
32
12
10
448
86
12
2.71
0.83
3.54
128
0.7
27.6
49
16
13
503
101
15
3.19
0.79
3.98
163
0.7
29.4
69
21
18
591
108
18
3.77
0.68
4.45
187
0.8
30.6
98
26
23
712
113
20
4.18
0.51
4.69
207
0.9
30.2
139
34
29
848
112
22
4.25
0.33
4.58
212
1.0
29.1
181
39
32
1007
112
24
4.65
0.20
4.85
229
1.0
28.1
233
45
37
1048
115
27
5.02
0.13
5.16
235
1.1
27.0
295
50
41
1081
119
29
5.61
0.06
5.67
259
1.1
26.9
336
52
43
1113
125
32
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM A2 land-use data
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (IS92f)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM A2 run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM A2 run
A2 MINICAM
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - A2 MINICAM
1990
Population
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
5293
6208
7174
8192
9250
10284
11296
12238
13108
13905
14508
15124
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
20.7
na
27.4
na
35.4
na
44.7
na
55.6
na
69.5
na
86.4
na
108.7
na
135.2
na
165.9
na
204.1
na
246.6
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
45
121
52
35
0
253
0
58
125
62
53
0
299
0
73
131
72
78
0
353
0
88
139
80
109
0
416
0
100
136
82
144
0
462
0
114
150
77
190
0
532
0
131
183
67
246
0
628
0
131
216
64
320
0
732
0
136
257
66
410
0
869
0
145
306
71
517
0
1039
0
150
354
66
643
0
1214
0
155
403
62
769
0
1388
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
88
131
70
24
0
117
135
84
25
6
144
139
113
30
11
170
144
155
39
17
239
111
173
53
25
325
91
181
71
37
429
84
179
93
52
529
69
186
105
77
629
68
201
123
99
729
79
222
148
116
858
72
202
181
139
988
64
183
214
163
24
336
24
392
27
465
31
556
39
640
52
757
70
907
108
1074
153
1272
206
1501
279
1732
353
1964
0.1
0.1
0.1
1.2
1.5
0.9
2.5
2.8
1.9
4.0
4.3
3.2
6.3
5.4
4.9
9.2
6.5
6.6
12.8
7.3
8.4
17.9
8.1
10.3
23.7
8.8
12.2
30.3
9.5
14.3
38.6
10.2
16.4
46.9
11.0
18.4
0.0
75.3
160.8
260.5
375.7
506.4
656.9
829.9
1026.2
1246.9
1494.4
1771.9
1472
3209
0
4173
4310
13164
1481
3348
4
4214
4118
13164
1531
3554
8
4137
3934
13164
1620
3828
15
3942
3759
13164
1689
4074
38
3685
3678
13164
1729
4274
75
3503
3584
13164
1739
4427
126
3396
3476
13164
1676
4373
201
3591
3323
13164
1629
4348
251
3717
3220
13164
1598
4351
277
3772
3166
13164
1585
4411
336
3636
3195
13164
1573
4471
396
3500
3224
13164
5.99
1.11
6.90
1.07
8.06
1.06
9.40
1.44
10.81
1.38
12.77
1.18
15.24
0.91
17.62
0.82
20.34
0.48
23.41
-0.09
26.28
-0.09
29.39
-0.09
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
9.12
348
7.9
81.1
785
41
50
10.83
381
8.8
82.7
292
51
64
12.19
415
9.7
91.4
258
64
75
13.96
452
10.8
100.7
291
77
89
16.15
485
11.7
110.6
312
92
104
18.44
508
12.1
112.1
384
113
122
20.83
540
12.7
108.7
457
129
129
23.32
580
13.5
100.2
549
148
135
26.19
621
14.6
89.7
662
168
153
29.30
663
15.6
79.3
753
178
165
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
A2 MINICAM
A2 MINICAM
OECD90 - A2 MINICAM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
838
916
980
1030
1053
1116
1151
1197
1253
1319
1405
1493
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
16.3
na
20.5
na
24.5
na
28.3
na
29.6
na
34.2
na
38.4
na
42.5
na
47.6
na
53.8
na
62.4
na
71.6
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
10
72
27
22
0
130
0
12
72
35
28
0
147
0
13
70
42
35
0
160
0
13
67
47
43
0
170
0
13
62
46
47
0
167
0
14
53
39
59
0
166
0
16
57
32
69
0
173
0
15
57
28
74
0
174
0
14
61
27
83
0
185
0
15
68
28
96
0
206
0
15
76
26
112
0
229
0
16
83
24
128
0
251
40
76
34
20
0
46
76
46
15
2
47
73
62
13
4
43
68
82
14
4
51
56
82
14
5
75
28
76
16
8
94
18
68
18
11
112
10
63
18
14
131
5
62
19
16
152
5
63
22
18
194
4
52
27
22
236
3
40
32
26
12
182
11
196
10
209
10
221
10
218
12
216
14
223
18
236
24
259
31
292
42
341
53
390
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.8
0.5
0.9
1.6
1.0
1.4
2.3
1.7
1.7
2.5
2.1
2.6
3.2
3.3
3.4
3.4
4.0
4.5
3.5
4.7
5.7
3.6
5.3
7.1
3.7
5.9
9.0
3.7
6.5
10.8
3.8
7.0
0.0
30.1
63.8
100.3
137.7
175.7
215.6
257.8
302.3
349.7
402.2
461.8
408
796
0
921
998
3123
414
819
4
930
955
3123
427
854
6
921
915
3123
447
899
8
892
875
3123
452
916
13
875
866
3123
461
961
29
836
835
3123
457
984
41
829
811
3123
440
979
50
877
777
3123
429
978
56
906
754
3123
424
981
60
916
742
3123
419
989
72
894
749
3123
414
996
85
872
756
3123
2.83
0.00
3.20
0.00
3.42
0.13
3.53
0.21
3.54
0.20
3.71
0.16
3.99
0.14
4.17
0.14
4.51
0.07
4.98
-0.07
5.68
-0.09
6.44
-0.11
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
23
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
57
13
23
3.54
81
2.7
16.2
107
14
25
3.74
88
2.9
8.3
103
14
28
3.74
90
3.0
7.5
111
14
29
3.86
99
3.3
6.6
116
14
29
4.12
105
3.5
5.8
125
14
28
4.31
114
3.5
5.4
130
13
26
4.57
123
3.6
5.4
135
11
20
4.91
133
3.8
5.7
142
13
12
5.60
148
4.0
6.5
151
15
14
6.33
163
4.2
7.3
160
17
16
Population
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
A2 MINICAM
REF - A2 MINICAM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
428
430
439
455
474
495
519
550
585
623
664
707
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.1
na
1.1
na
1.2
na
1.5
na
1.8
na
2.2
na
2.7
na
3.7
na
4.9
na
6.4
na
8.3
na
10.5
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
13
18
19
6
0
56
0
10
12
15
8
0
44
0
8
8
12
11
0
39
0
7
7
10
14
0
39
0
7
7
10
16
0
41
0
8
7
9
20
0
43
0
9
8
7
24
0
48
0
9
9
7
32
0
57
0
9
11
7
41
0
68
0
9
14
8
51
0
81
0
9
16
7
62
0
94
0
9
17
7
73
0
106
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
18
20
26
3
0
17
14
20
4
1
17
10
18
5
1
18
9
20
6
2
34
3
20
7
3
53
0
19
8
4
76
0
17
10
6
123
0
17
11
9
169
0
19
12
12
214
0
21
14
14
290
0
18
17
17
367
0
16
19
19
3
70
3
58
3
55
4
59
5
72
6
91
8
116
11
171
16
227
21
283
28
370
34
457
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.6
0.8
0.4
0.8
1.3
0.4
1.0
1.9
0.4
1.2
3.0
0.4
1.4
4.5
0.4
1.6
6.3
0.4
1.8
9.1
0.4
1.9
11.8
0.4
2.1
0.0
11.0
19.8
28.6
39.0
51.8
67.5
88.5
116.8
151.9
196.1
252.6
284
395
0
1007
691
2377
297
410
0
1016
655
2377
317
444
1
995
621
2377
345
498
2
942
590
2377
368
548
7
879
576
2377
382
585
14
836
559
2377
388
611
23
815
541
2377
368
586
39
871
514
2377
353
573
49
906
496
2377
345
572
54
919
487
2377
348
594
64
879
493
2377
350
615
74
839
498
2377
1.30
0.00
0.91
0.00
0.81
0.03
0.83
0.09
1.05
0.10
1.34
0.08
1.68
0.03
2.42
0.06
3.15
0.03
3.90
-0.06
5.03
-0.03
6.31
0.00
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
0.84
45
0.7
10.4
8
8
7
0.92
55
0.8
10.0
13
10
10
1.16
65
1.0
11.8
20
14
12
1.42
74
1.1
13.6
27
17
15
1.72
83
1.3
15.4
31
20
19
2.47
99
1.3
16.1
37
25
24
3.18
118
1.3
16.4
41
30
28
3.84
140
1.4
16.2
44
35
32
5.00
171
1.6
14.9
48
40
36
6.31
203
1.7
13.6
52
42
38
Population
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
A2 MINICAM
ASIA - A2 MINICAM
Population
1990
Million
2790
2000
3296
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
3802
4308
4817
5302
5763
6180
6558
6898
7133
7372
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.4
na
3.1
na
5.5
na
8.7
na
13.0
na
18.3
na
24.6
na
33.0
na
43.1
na
54.8
na
69.1
na
85.2
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
20
14
2
4
0
40
0
33
20
5
11
0
70
0
46
26
8
22
0
103
0
60
32
11
37
0
139
0
68
35
11
49
0
163
0
78
42
10
67
0
197
0
88
54
10
88
0
240
0
88
66
10
120
0
284
0
92
80
11
159
0
341
0
99
96
12
204
0
412
0
102
112
12
259
0
485
0
106
128
11
314
0
559
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
26
16
3
1
0
48
22
9
4
2
71
28
18
8
5
96
34
31
13
8
121
28
38
19
12
154
24
43
27
17
192
22
48
38
23
225
16
52
43
33
252
15
58
50
41
273
17
67
61
48
273
14
63
75
57
272
10
58
89
65
3
49
4
89
5
135
6
187
9
227
15
280
23
345
38
407
57
474
80
546
111
591
142
637
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
1.1
0.5
0.2
1.9
0.8
0.5
3.0
1.1
0.8
4.4
1.3
1.2
6.1
1.6
1.7
8.3
1.7
2.2
10.6
1.9
2.7
13.2
2.1
3.4
16.0
2.2
4.0
18.7
2.3
4.6
0.0
17.8
41.9
74.8
115.7
163.8
220.7
286.4
360.5
443.3
532.6
626.3
389
508
0
1168
664
2729
403
523
0
1141
630
2697
421
546
1
1100
599
2668
444
578
4
1043
570
2640
461
605
12
991
557
2626
472
630
22
944
542
2610
476
653
33
904
525
2592
462
659
47
899
501
2568
452
665
56
896
484
2553
445
670
60
895
476
2545
439
673
71
885
481
2550
433
676
83
876
486
2554
1.15
0.37
1.78
0.26
2.60
0.20
3.50
0.27
4.14
0.28
4.96
0.25
5.97
0.19
6.85
0.13
7.77
0.06
8.72
0.00
9.14
0.01
9.57
0.01
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
2.79
133
2.8
36.8
11
11
11
3.77
143
3.1
46.0
18
15
16
4.42
152
3.4
51.1
27
20
20
5.21
163
3.7
55.8
38
25
27
6.16
176
3.9
60.2
54
32
34
6.98
180
4.1
59.5
77
42
43
7.84
184
4.3
56.1
100
49
49
8.72
186
4.5
50.1
130
56
55
9.15
179
4.8
43.5
167
64
62
9.59
172
5.0
36.9
204
67
67
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
A2 MINICAM
ALM - A2 MINICAM
Population
1990
Million
1236
2000
1566
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1953
2399
2884
3372
3862
4311
4712
5065
5306
5552
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.9
na
2.8
na
4.3
na
6.2
na
9.9
na
14.7
na
20.7
na
29.5
na
39.5
na
50.9
na
64.3
na
79.3
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
2
17
5
3
0
27
0
3
22
7
6
0
38
0
5
27
10
10
0
52
0
7
33
13
16
0
68
0
11
37
17
28
0
93
0
15
48
19
45
0
126
0
19
65
18
65
0
167
0
20
83
19
94
0
216
0
22
104
20
128
0
274
0
23
128
23
166
0
340
0
24
151
21
210
0
406
0
25
174
20
254
0
472
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
4
20
7
0
0
6
23
10
2
1
9
28
15
4
1
13
33
22
6
2
26
35
34
12
4
44
38
42
19
8
67
44
46
27
12
69
43
53
33
22
77
48
62
41
30
91
57
72
50
36
101
54
70
62
44
112
51
68
74
53
5
35
6
48
8
66
11
89
15
126
20
171
26
223
40
261
56
313
74
380
98
430
123
480
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.5
0.2
0.2
0.8
0.4
0.5
1.1
0.7
0.9
1.5
1.1
1.4
1.9
1.5
2.1
2.4
2.0
2.8
2.8
2.6
3.6
3.3
3.3
4.6
3.9
4.0
5.6
4.4
4.7
0.0
16.4
35.2
56.9
83.3
115.0
153.0
197.1
246.7
302.1
363.5
431.1
391
1510
0
3641
1957
7499
368
1596
0
3585
1878
7427
365
1710
0
3478
1800
7353
384
1853
0
3318
1723
7279
403
1989
0
3161
1688
7241
414
2097
10
3028
1647
7196
418
2179
28
2920
1599
7145
405
2149
65
2930
1532
7081
394
2132
90
2936
1486
7038
384
2128
104
2939
1461
7016
379
2156
129
2890
1473
7027
375
2184
153
2841
1484
7037
0.72
0.73
1.01
0.82
1.24
0.70
1.54
0.87
2.08
0.80
2.77
0.69
3.61
0.54
4.18
0.49
4.91
0.32
5.81
0.04
6.42
0.02
7.07
0.00
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
1.94
89
1.6
14.7
19
8
7
2.41
96
1.9
15.4
32
12
10
2.88
108
2.3
18.1
49
16
13
3.46
116
2.7
21.7
69
21
18
4.15
120
3.1
26.1
98
26
23
4.67
114
3.3
28.1
139
34
29
5.24
115
3.5
27.8
181
39
32
5.84
121
3.8
25.2
233
45
37
6.44
123
4.2
21.9
295
50
41
7.07
125
4.6
18.5
336
52
43
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
A2-A1 MINICAM
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - A2-A1 MINICAM
1990
Population
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
5293
6007
6762
7558
8332
9054
9723
10217
10696
11161
11620
12090
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
20.7
na
27.4
na
33.0
na
37.6
na
41.8
na
48.8
na
58.6
na
76.4
na
98.2
na
123.8
na
158.1
na
197.3
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
45
121
52
35
0
253
0
60
128
64
55
0
308
0
70
130
73
74
0
346
0
73
128
78
90
0
369
0
80
116
81
103
0
380
0
90
124
91
128
0
433
0
103
151
110
164
0
528
0
102
198
128
237
0
665
0
106
253
155
317
0
831
0
116
314
191
406
0
1027
0
125
381
208
523
0
1237
0
135
447
225
640
0
1447
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
88
131
70
24
0
121
138
87
27
6
136
138
111
30
10
133
133
142
32
13
148
114
149
37
16
167
118
171
47
18
189
145
209
64
22
196
200
263
95
34
213
260
328
123
44
239
327
405
149
51
266
395
444
214
55
294
464
483
278
59
24
336
24
403
27
452
31
485
36
499
43
564
51
679
70
857
92
1061
118
1289
151
1525
183
1761
0.1
0.1
0.1
1.2
1.5
0.9
2.5
2.9
1.9
3.8
4.2
3.1
5.3
5.4
4.6
6.9
6.6
6.3
8.6
7.9
8.1
10.6
9.8
10.6
12.6
12.1
13.6
14.8
14.9
17.1
17.5
18.7
21.5
20.1
22.5
25.8
0.0
75.3
157.1
241.6
326.7
415.4
516.8
634.7
771.7
936.4
1128.7
1345.1
1472
3209
0
4173
4310
13164
1461
3343
4
4214
4142
13164
1463
3464
8
4155
4074
13164
1478
3572
14
3995
4106
13164
1423
3545
16
4092
4088
13164
1359
3524
17
4252
4012
13164
1285
3508
18
4475
3878
13164
1214
3557
45
4571
3777
13164
1174
3703
65
4436
3787
13164
1165
3948
75
4069
3908
13164
1107
4091
71
3925
3970
13164
1050
4234
67
3782
4032
13164
5.99
1.11
6.90
1.07
7.62
0.76
7.89
0.62
8.13
0.37
8.89
0.35
10.46
0.58
12.40
0.13
14.83
0.04
17.77
0.31
20.28
0.10
23.00
-0.11
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
8.39
339
7.8
73.9
785
41
50
8.51
354
8.6
65.7
292
51
64
8.50
363
9.1
66.6
258
64
75
9.24
379
9.9
70.8
291
77
89
11.05
402
10.6
78.1
312
92
104
12.52
428
11.5
81.4
384
113
122
14.87
473
13.0
84.0
457
129
129
18.08
537
15.1
86.2
549
148
135
20.38
582
17.2
85.4
662
168
153
22.89
627
19.3
84.5
753
178
165
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
A2-A1 MINICAM
A2-A1 MINICAM
OECD90 - A2-A1 MINICAM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
838
874
903
924
926
924
913
895
883
877
882
886
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
16.3
na
20.5
na
23.5
na
25.5
na
26.1
na
27.9
na
29.5
na
31.4
na
33.7
na
36.4
na
40.1
na
44.1
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
10
72
27
22
0
130
0
12
73
36
28
0
149
0
13
71
43
34
0
161
0
12
66
47
40
0
166
0
12
61
47
42
0
161
0
12
51
48
48
0
159
0
11
54
52
53
0
170
0
9
57
52
57
0
175
0
8
60
55
61
0
185
0
8
64
61
64
0
198
0
9
69
62
72
0
212
0
9
73
64
80
0
226
40
76
34
20
0
47
77
46
16
2
46
75
62
14
4
38
68
80
13
4
39
60
80
13
4
42
47
81
14
5
42
49
86
15
5
39
53
87
16
6
37
57
90
18
7
35
61
97
19
7
38
65
98
24
7
40
69
99
30
7
12
182
11
199
10
210
10
213
10
207
10
198
11
207
12
213
14
223
17
236
19
251
22
267
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.8
0.5
0.9
1.6
1.0
1.4
2.3
1.7
1.6
2.6
2.1
2.2
3.4
3.3
2.6
3.9
4.1
3.0
4.4
5.0
3.4
4.9
5.9
3.7
5.5
6.8
4.1
6.2
7.8
4.5
6.8
8.8
0.0
30.1
63.1
96.5
128.8
160.1
191.7
223.7
255.4
288.3
322.6
358.3
408
796
0
921
998
3123
408
819
4
931
961
3123
408
838
6
924
946
3123
406
854
7
902
954
3123
395
849
8
919
952
3123
365
840
9
976
933
3123
349
842
9
1020
903
3123
329
848
15
1048
882
3123
317
873
18
1029
886
3123
311
915
18
963
915
3123
285
930
16
962
930
3123
259
944
15
961
945
3123
2.83
0.00
3.20
0.00
3.37
0.03
3.33
-0.05
3.23
-0.05
3.10
-0.03
3.22
0.03
3.21
-0.06
3.28
-0.09
3.43
-0.05
3.58
-0.08
3.74
-0.11
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
23
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
57
13
23
3.40
81
2.7
15.0
107
14
25
3.27
85
2.9
9.2
103
14
28
3.19
85
2.9
7.8
111
14
29
3.08
87
3.1
6.6
116
14
29
3.25
92
3.3
5.6
125
14
28
3.15
100
3.4
5.0
130
13
26
3.19
109
3.7
5.0
135
11
20
3.37
120
4.2
5.6
142
13
12
3.50
131
4.5
6.3
151
15
14
3.63
143
4.9
7.0
160
17
16
Population
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
A2-A1 MINICAM
REF - A2-A1 MINICAM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
428
446
462
475
480
480
475
470
466
464
470
475
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.1
na
1.1
na
1.1
na
1.2
na
1.3
na
1.4
na
1.6
na
2.2
na
3.0
na
3.9
na
5.1
na
6.4
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
13
18
19
6
0
56
0
11
12
16
9
0
48
0
10
9
13
11
0
43
0
8
8
11
13
0
40
0
7
6
10
13
0
36
0
6
6
10
13
0
35
0
6
6
11
14
0
37
0
6
8
12
20
0
45
0
5
9
15
26
0
55
0
5
11
18
32
0
66
0
6
13
19
39
0
77
0
6
15
20
47
0
88
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
18
20
26
3
0
19
15
21
4
1
19
11
20
6
1
17
9
21
6
2
18
6
19
6
2
19
5
18
6
2
20
6
18
6
2
18
8
23
8
3
18
11
28
10
3
20
13
33
11
4
22
15
35
15
4
24
17
37
19
4
3
70
3
64
3
60
4
58
5
55
5
54
6
57
8
67
9
79
11
92
13
105
16
118
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.5
0.6
0.4
0.7
0.8
0.5
0.9
0.9
0.5
1.0
1.1
0.6
1.2
1.3
0.7
1.4
1.5
0.8
1.7
1.7
0.9
2.0
1.9
1.0
2.3
2.1
1.2
2.7
0.0
11.0
19.8
28.0
35.5
42.3
49.2
56.2
63.9
73.7
85.2
97.5
284
395
0
1007
691
2377
293
410
0
1016
659
2377
301
430
1
999
646
2377
310
458
2
956
652
2377
298
450
2
978
649
2377
281
441
2
1018
636
2377
260
428
2
1075
612
2377
247
436
6
1093
595
2377
244
473
9
1054
598
2377
251
539
9
958
621
2377
242
571
7
925
633
2377
232
604
5
891
644
2377
1.30
0.00
0.91
0.00
0.81
0.03
0.74
0.07
0.67
0.03
0.65
0.02
0.66
0.04
0.75
-0.04
0.88
-0.03
1.04
0.07
1.16
0.03
1.29
-0.02
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
0.83
43
0.7
10.3
8
8
7
0.81
49
0.8
8.9
13
10
10
0.70
51
0.9
8.8
20
14
12
0.66
55
0.9
8.8
27
17
15
0.70
61
1.0
8.8
31
20
19
0.71
67
1.1
9.3
37
25
24
0.84
78
1.3
9.8
41
30
28
1.11
94
1.6
10.1
44
35
32
1.19
107
1.9
10.3
48
40
36
1.27
120
2.2
10.5
52
42
38
Population
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
A2-A1 MINICAM
ASIA - A2-A1 MINICAM
Population
1990
Million
2790
2000
3193
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
3603
4022
4396
4723
5004
5179
5343
5496
5663
5833
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.4
na
3.1
na
4.5
na
5.6
na
6.9
na
9.6
na
13.6
na
22.0
na
31.9
na
43.4
na
58.1
na
75.1
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
20
14
2
4
0
40
0
34
21
6
12
0
72
0
43
24
7
19
0
93
0
48
24
8
24
0
104
0
54
24
8
28
0
114
0
63
30
10
40
0
143
0
76
41
15
59
0
191
0
77
62
21
100
0
260
0
80
84
29
145
0
338
0
88
107
39
193
0
426
0
94
132
43
250
0
517
0
99
156
47
306
0
608
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
26
16
3
1
0
49
22
10
4
2
63
26
16
7
4
68
26
21
8
6
75
24
24
11
7
87
28
34
17
9
105
39
51
27
11
112
64
79
45
18
124
90
109
60
24
141
115
140
75
29
154
140
154
105
31
168
165
168
135
34
3
49
4
92
5
121
6
136
8
148
11
186
15
249
25
344
37
444
51
550
67
652
83
753
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
1.0
0.5
0.2
1.7
0.7
0.4
2.4
1.0
0.6
3.2
1.2
0.9
4.2
1.6
1.3
5.3
2.1
2.1
6.5
2.9
3.0
7.8
3.9
4.2
9.3
5.3
5.7
10.8
6.6
7.2
0.0
17.8
40.2
65.7
92.8
122.9
160.1
206.6
263.7
333.5
415.0
506.3
389
508
0
1168
664
2729
399
523
0
1145
634
2701
406
535
1
1124
622
2689
411
545
4
1104
628
2693
403
548
5
1108
625
2689
390
554
6
1114
613
2677
373
562
7
1122
592
2657
351
570
21
1125
575
2642
339
583
32
1114
576
2644
336
601
39
1090
597
2663
327
621
39
1075
609
2672
319
641
38
1061
621
2680
1.15
0.37
1.78
0.26
2.27
0.17
2.48
0.18
2.66
0.10
3.19
0.07
4.08
0.09
5.10
0.03
6.27
0.02
7.59
0.08
8.59
0.04
9.65
0.00
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
2.44
129
2.8
31.5
11
11
11
2.66
128
3.0
30.8
18
15
16
2.76
131
3.2
32.3
27
20
20
3.27
133
3.4
36.0
38
25
27
4.17
136
3.7
41.9
54
32
34
5.13
139
3.9
43.4
77
42
43
6.29
146
4.3
43.8
100
49
49
7.67
159
4.9
43.1
130
56
55
8.63
168
5.5
40.1
167
64
62
9.64
176
6.1
37.1
204
67
67
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
A2-A1 MINICAM
ALM - A2-A1 MINICAM
Population
1990
Million
1236
2000
1494
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1795
2136
2528
2926
3331
3673
4004
4323
4605
4896
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.9
na
2.8
na
3.9
na
5.2
na
7.0
na
9.9
na
13.9
na
20.8
na
29.6
na
40.2
na
54.8
na
71.7
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
2
17
5
3
0
27
0
3
22
7
6
0
38
0
4
26
9
9
0
49
0
6
30
12
13
0
60
0
8
30
16
19
0
73
0
9
37
23
27
0
96
0
10
50
32
38
0
130
0
11
72
42
60
0
184
0
12
99
56
86
0
253
0
15
132
74
117
0
337
0
17
168
84
162
0
431
0
20
203
94
207
0
525
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
4
20
7
0
0
6
23
10
2
1
8
27
14
4
1
10
30
20
5
2
14
31
27
7
3
18
38
38
11
3
22
51
53
16
4
27
75
75
25
7
34
104
102
35
9
42
138
135
45
11
52
175
157
69
13
61
212
178
93
15
5
35
6
48
8
63
11
78
14
95
16
125
19
166
25
233
32
315
40
411
51
517
63
622
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.5
0.2
0.2
0.8
0.4
0.4
1.1
0.6
0.5
1.4
1.0
0.7
1.9
1.4
1.0
2.6
2.1
1.3
3.5
3.0
1.7
4.6
4.1
2.1
6.3
5.7
2.6
8.0
7.2
0.0
16.4
34.1
51.5
69.6
90.0
115.8
148.2
188.5
240.9
305.8
382.9
391
1510
0
3641
1957
7499
362
1592
0
3595
1887
7436
348
1660
0
3539
1859
7407
350
1716
0
3474
1872
7413
339
1703
0
3495
1864
7401
323
1690
0
3525
1830
7368
303
1676
0
3565
1771
7315
287
1702
3
3560
1725
7277
275
1775
6
3498
1727
7279
267
1892
9
3379
1775
7323
253
1969
10
3306
1799
7336
239
2045
10
3232
1822
7349
0.72
0.73
1.01
0.82
1.17
0.54
1.35
0.42
1.57
0.28
1.95
0.29
2.50
0.43
3.33
0.21
4.41
0.13
5.71
0.21
6.96
0.11
8.33
0.02
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
1.71
87
1.6
14.1
19
8
7
1.77
91
1.9
13.7
32
12
10
1.85
96
2.1
14.7
49
16
13
2.24
104
2.4
16.4
69
21
18
2.92
113
2.7
18.9
98
26
23
3.54
123
3.1
20.6
139
34
29
4.54
140
3.7
22.4
181
39
32
5.92
164
4.5
24.4
233
45
37
7.07
176
5.3
25.7
295
50
41
8.35
187
6.1
27.0
336
52
43
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B1 IMAGE
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - B1 IMAGE
1990
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
1990 US$/c
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
7047
5280
6122
6892
7618
8196
8547
8708
8671
8484
8142
7663
21.0
3971.0
26.8
4372.0
37.3
5416.0
52.6
6900.0
73.1
8916.0
100.7
11783.0
135.6
15569.0
171.7
19803.0
208.5
24577.0
249.7
30667.0
290.1
37856.0
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
54
43
106
46
39
2
289
57
43
117
52
54
4
327
60
41
137
66
83
10
398
53
42
152
70
122
23
462
46
43
156
71
168
38
523
37
44
151
74
223
52
581
27
44
135
79
260
64
608
24
40
115
82
270
70
601
22
35
102
83
266
69
576
19
30
93
82
255
65
544
16
25
84
80
240
59
505
14
21
75
76
220
52
458
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal
Oil
Gas
Non-Fossil Electric
Biomass
105
129
62
8
3
109
141
71
14
4
120
176
108
22
11
134
206
138
33
29
163
230
153
49
54
181
236
166
73
77
167
228
173
105
95
133
199
168
132
102
101
167
154
151
99
76
143
136
163
90
58
119
121
168
79
44
99
103
165
67
61
368
68
407
71
508
66
606
61
710
54
788
46
813
44
778
42
715
41
650
39
584
36
514
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.1
1.3
0.6
2.2
2.9
1.5
3.5
4.8
2.8
4.9
7.0
4.2
6.7
9.3
5.8
8.5
11.6
7.5
10.0
13.8
9.2
11.1
15.6
10.8
12.0
17.2
12.3
12.7
18.5
13.6
13.2
19.6
14.7
0.0
75.3
161.6
261.1
369.8
483.9
599.0
704.1
793.7
868.0
928.1
975.9
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
2.1
1.7
2.8
3.8
4.5
4.3
4.2
3.9
3.6
3.5
3.7
Land Use
Million ha
1436
3435
8
4277
3916
13071
1371
3316
10
4261
4114
13071
1445
3424
24
4179
3999
13071
1499
3404
68
4258
3843
13071
1516
3292
134
4274
3853
13071
1486
3052
209
4375
3950
13071
1429
2785
268
4551
4038
13071
1360
2500
294
4711
4207
13071
1288
2293
287
4897
4305
13071
1209
2142
262
5130
4327
13071
1124
2023
227
5349
4348
13071
5.99
1.11
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
879
139
31
6.90
1.07
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
877
141
32
8.50
0.78
9.28
349
7.5
73.9
784
29
36
789
141
36
10.00
0.63
10.63
377
8.1
74.6
291
32
37
751
140
40
11.20
-0.09
11.11
385
8.2
78.2
257
33
47
603
131
42
12.20
-0.48
11.72
381
8.3
78.5
298
37
58
531
123
43
11.70
-0.41
11.29
359
8.3
68.9
338
42
68
471
116
39
10.20
-0.46
9.74
342
7.7
55.8
337
47
71
459
111
34
8.60
-0.42
8.18
324
7.4
44.3
333
45
62
456
103
30
7.30
-0.60
6.70
293
7.0
36.1
327
43
46
426
99
26
6.10
-0.78
5.32
266
6.4
29.8
315
46
43
399
96
22
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
CFC/HFC/HCFC MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
328.4
46598.0 NOT ppp-corrected
1038 Arable land for crops excluding energy crops and grass & fodder species
1899 Permanent pasture: FAO category 'land for grass & fodder species'
194
5543
4398
13071
5.20
-0.97 Approximate calculation from complex land-use module
4.23
236
5.7
24.9
299
45
43
363
87
19
B1 IMAGE
B1 IMAGE
OECD90 - B1 IMAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100 Remarks
799
849
890
932
965
990
1001
1005
1009
1020
1029
1032
16.5
20648.9
20.2
23841.8
25.9
29100.0
32.4
34761.7
38.2
39587.5
43.9
44382.4
49.9
49810.4
55.4
55070.9
59.8
59257.3
66.3
65005.4
73.8
71721.0
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
5
8
57
24
24
2
120
5
7
60
27
36
3
137
5
7
60
28
47
5
152
4
6
58
27
54
8
159
4
6
51
27
58
13
159
4
6
41
27
58
18
153
3
6
32
27
57
21
146
3
5
25
28
55
22
138
3
5
20
28
52
22
130
3
5
19
28
51
20
125
2
4
17
28
50
19
121
2
4
16
28
49
17
116
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal
Oil
Gas
Non-Fossil Electric
Biomass
37
67
28
7
2
46
73
36
12
3
46
74
42
18
5
40
72
44
24
8
36
64
41
29
14
30
50
38
32
18
24
39
37
35
21
19
31
35
37
22
15
25
34
37
23
13
22
33
37
21
11
20
32
37
20
10
19
31
37
19
10
151
10
178
10
195
10
199
10
193
10
178
10
166
10
154
10
144
10
136
10
131
9
126
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.8
0.7
0.6
1.2
1.1
1.1
1.7
1.5
1.5
2.1
1.9
1.9
2.5
2.3
2.2
2.9
2.9
2.5
3.1
3.5
2.8
3.4
4.0
3.0
3.6
4.5
3.2
3.8
4.9
3.4
0.0
30.1
63.1
96.4
126.6
152.1
173.3
190.4
204.7
217.1
228.3
238.6
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.6
0.8
1.1
1.2
1.4
1.4
1.3
1.3
Land Use
Million ha
379
785
3
1115
956
3238
354
704
1
1165
1015
3238
344
619
2
1215
1058
3238
349
553
8
1259
1069
3238
348
498
16
1299
1077
3238
349
459
27
1328
1076
3238
352
428
36
1351
1072
3238
351
418
42
1361
1065
3238
347
408
42
1378
1063
3238
345
402
37
1401
1054
3238
343
396
31
1423
1045
3238
2.83
0.00
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
24
179
42
13
3.20
0.00
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
58
13
23
161
36
12
3.30
0.10
3.40
75
2.6
11.8
108
12
16
153
35
12
3.20
0.06
3.26
72
2.6
7.9
103
10
5
137
33
10
2.80
-0.02
2.78
68
2.5
5.4
109
8
6
116
29
8
2.40
-0.07
2.33
63
2.4
3.6
112
7
6
100
24
6
2.00
-0.09
1.90
56
2.4
2.5
116
7
7
85
21
5
1.60
-0.08
1.52
52
2.3
2.0
117
7
7
72
18
4
1.40
-0.06
1.34
50
2.3
2.0
117
7
8
64
16
3
1.30
-0.14
1.16
46
2.2
2.1
119
7
8
63
16
3
1.20
-0.12
1.07
42
2.2
2.3
120
7
8
59
15
3
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
1990 US$/c
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
82.3
79765.3 NOT ppp-corrected
339 Arable land for crops excluding energy crops and grass & fodder species
389 Permanent pasture: FAO category 'land for grass & fodder species'
26
1451
1033
3238
1.10
-0.11 Approximate calculation from complex land-use module
0.99
40
2.0
2.6
120
6
8
56
13
2
B1 IMAGE
REF - B1 IMAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100 Remarks
412
429
437
443
445
443
432
419
401
384
365
347
1.0
2307.2
0.7
1675.8
1.0
2335.2
1.7
3864.4
2.8
6258.7
4.3
9702.5
6.2
14328.5
8.2
19522.7
10.3
25650.8
12.8
33306.4
15.4
42087.4
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
3
14
21
15
9
0
62
2
10
12
11
5
1
40
2
6
11
10
7
1
37
2
5
12
10
11
1
40
1
4
12
10
14
2
42
1
4
11
9
18
2
46
1
4
10
9
20
3
46
1
3
8
8
20
3
45
1
3
7
8
19
3
41
1
3
6
7
18
3
38
1
2
6
6
17
3
35
1
2
5
6
16
3
32
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal
Oil
Gas
Non-Fossil Electric
Biomass
36
28
25
1
1
18
13
15
1
1
13
14
15
1
1
12
16
18
2
2
12
16
19
4
2
14
18
20
5
4
14
18
18
6
5
12
16
17
7
5
9
13
15
8
5
8
11
13
8
5
6
10
11
8
5
5
8
10
8
5
4
95
3
52
3
48
3
52
3
56
3
63
3
64
3
60
3
54
3
48
3
43
3
39
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.1
0.2
0.5
0.2
0.3
0.7
0.4
0.6
0.9
0.5
1.0
1.1
0.6
1.4
1.3
0.7
1.9
1.5
0.9
2.3
1.7
1.0
2.8
1.8
1.1
3.2
2.0
1.2
3.5
2.0
1.3
3.8
0.0
11.0
19.6
27.7
34.7
40.5
46.1
51.0
54.1
55.9
57.0
57.9
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.4
0.2
0.5
0.8
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.3
Land Use
Million ha
278
392
1
1146
461
2278
217
300
0
1177
583
2278
219
321
1
1175
562
2278
209
319
4
1282
463
2278
190
286
12
1295
495
2278
173
248
28
1310
519
2278
154
211
41
1350
521
2278
141
187
51
1378
521
2278
128
170
57
1410
512
2278
117
162
58
1443
498
2278
106
155
50
1459
507
2278
98 Arable land for crops excluding energy crops and grass & fodder species
148 Permanent pasture: FAO category 'land for grass & fodder species'
46
1480
506
2278
1.30
0.00
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
69
16
5
0.91
0.00
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
41
13
3
0.81
-0.01
0.80
38
0.6
9.0
9
6
4
28
12
3
0.91
-0.10
0.81
42
0.6
7.7
15
6
7
23
12
3
0.91
-0.31
0.60
44
0.6
6.9
20
7
7
20
11
3
0.91
-0.35
0.56
40
0.6
7.0
24
8
8
19
11
3
0.91
-0.36
0.55
34
0.5
6.5
26
9
9
19
11
3
0.81
-0.38
0.43
33
0.4
5.6
27
10
9
17
10
2
0.61
-0.41
0.20
30
0.4
4.6
27
9
7
15
9
2
0.51
-0.36
0.15
27
0.4
3.9
27
8
6
13
9
2
0.41
-0.34
0.06
24
0.3
3.0
27
8
4
12
9
2
0.41
-0.29 Approximate calculation from complex land-use module
0.12
21
0.3
2.5
26
8
4
9
9
1
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
1990 US$/c
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
18.1
52209.7 NOT ppp-corrected
B1 IMAGE
ASIA - B1 IMAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100 Remarks
2886
Population
Million
2781
3246
3609
3929
4142
4235
4220
4088
3871
3594
3262
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
1990 US$/c
1.4
502.0
2.7
836.8
4.8
1336.1
8.7
2206.5
15.1
3651.1
24.9
5885.3
37.9
8980.9
51.4
12579.4
64.8
16732.0
78.7
21889.1
91.7
28118.6
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
29
20
12
2
4
0
68
31
23
22
6
9
1
92
30
23
29
13
19
3
117
24
23
34
17
36
9
144
19
23
38
19
56
16
171
14
22
39
20
80
23
198
9
20
35
22
93
27
205
8
17
30
23
95
28
200
6
14
26
23
93
26
189
5
12
24
23
88
24
175
5
10
21
21
84
21
162
4
8
19
20
77
18
144
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal
Oil
Gas
Non-Fossil Electric
Biomass
28
16
4
0
0
41
27
11
1
1
51
39
25
2
3
58
51
42
5
11
67
63
56
11
23
74
61
63
24
34
64
56
59
40
40
48
49
52
52
38
35
40
45
60
37
24
33
38
65
31
17
27
31
68
26
11
21
25
67
22
30
79
33
113
32
153
27
195
23
244
18
273
13
272
12
251
11
227
10
200
9
178
8
154
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.8
0.4
0.2
1.2
0.7
0.4
1.7
1.1
0.6
2.2
1.4
0.8
2.7
1.6
1.2
3.2
1.8
1.5
3.5
2.0
1.8
3.7
2.1
2.1
3.8
2.2
2.4
3.9
2.3
2.6
0.0
17.8
42.1
73.2
110.1
151.3
191.9
227.4
256.7
280.2
298.1
310.2
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.5
0.2
-0.2
-0.1
0.2
Land Use
Million ha
382
561
1
488
544
1976
392
652
1
403
528
1976
405
734
3
348
486
1976
419
748
12
330
468
1976
422
753
32
316
454
1976
411
753
71
300
441
1976
393
723
94
302
464
1976
362
600
110
334
570
1976
327
531
95
383
640
1976
288
471
84
489
645
1976
252
431
63
599
631
1976
216 Arable land for crops excluding energy crops and grass & fodder species
386 Permanent pasture: FAO category 'land for grass & fodder species'
50
671
653
1976
2.58
0.24
2.82
136
2.9
29.0
11
7
11
286
40
11
3.18
0.22
3.40
148
3.2
29.1
20
9
17
289
40
13
3.78
0.21
3.98
154
3.3
29.2
34
11
23
280
40
15
4.08
0.19
4.27
161
3.4
27.6
56
14
27
285
40
15
3.68
0.18
3.85
157
3.3
21.4
93
17
30
245
37
13
3.08
0.16
3.24
149
3.0
15.3
90
20
32
238
36
11
2.48
0.15
2.62
141
2.7
10.7
85
18
26
233
33
9
1.98
0.11
2.09
128
2.5
7.7
79
18
19
228
32
8
1.58
-0.09
1.49
118
2.1
5.8
72
18
16
222
32
7
1.28
-0.35 Approximate calculation from complex land-use module
0.93
105
1.9
4.2
64
18
16
214
29
5
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
103.1
35726.2 NOT ppp-corrected
1.15
0.37
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
235
33
7
1.78
0.26
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
4
5
7
270
37
9
B1 IMAGE
ALM - B1 IMAGE
1990
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
1990 US$/c
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100 Remarks
2783
1287
1597
1954
2315
2643
2879
3055
3159
3202
3145
3006
2.1
1653.4
3.1
1933.0
5.6
2839.5
9.8
4243.2
16.9
6406.6
27.6
9580.8
41.6
13623.6
56.7
17954.7
73.6
22996.3
92.0
29243.6
109.1
36311.8
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
16
1
15
4
2
0
39
19
3
23
8
4
0
57
24
5
36
15
10
1
91
23
7
48
16
21
4
119
21
10
55
16
41
8
150
18
12
60
17
67
9
183
14
14
58
21
90
13
211
13
14
53
23
100
17
219
11
12
48
25
101
18
216
10
10
45
25
97
18
205
9
8
40
25
89
17
187
7
7
35
23
79
15
165
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal
Oil
Gas
Non-Fossil Electric
Biomass
3
17
6
0
0
4
27
10
0
0
10
48
25
1
2
24
68
33
2
7
48
87
36
5
14
64
107
45
12
23
65
114
59
24
29
54
103
64
36
36
42
89
60
46
33
32
77
52
53
33
24
62
47
55
28
18
51
37
53
22
18
43
22
64
27
112
26
160
25
216
23
273
20
312
19
313
19
290
18
265
16
232
15
196
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.6
0.1
0.2
1.5
0.4
0.3
2.6
0.7
0.7
4.0
1.2
1.3
5.5
1.7
1.9
6.9
2.3
2.4
8.2
2.9
2.8
9.1
3.5
3.1
9.9
4.0
3.3
10.6
4.5
3.4
11.1
4.9
0.0
16.4
36.8
63.9
98.4
140.0
187.7
235.4
278.2
314.8
344.7
369.2
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
1.2
1.1
1.7
2.1
2.1
1.7
1.3
1.1
1.0
0.9
0.8
Land Use
Million ha
397
1697
2
1528
1955
5579
408
1660
7
1517
1987
5579
477
1750
18
1441
1893
5579
521
1784
44
1386
1844
5579
558
1755
74
1365
1827
5579
553
1592
84
1437
1915
5579
530
1424
96
1548
1981
5579
506
1295
90
1639
2050
5579
486
1184
94
1726
2090
5579
460
1108
84
1798
2130
5579
423
1041
83
1868
2165
5579
385 Arable land for crops excluding energy crops and grass & fodder species
975 Permanent pasture: FAO category 'land for grass & fodder species'
74
1940
2205
5579
1.81
0.45
2.26
100
1.5
21.2
16
5
5
321
54
10
2.71
0.45
3.16
115
1.8
26.8
28
6
8
301
55
13
3.71
0.04
3.75
119
1.9
33.7
42
7
12
186
51
16
4.81
-0.25
4.56
117
2.0
37.4
64
8
17
126
48
18
5.11
-0.13
4.98
112
2.2
35.6
98
9
22
121
47
18
4.71
-0.15
4.56
108
2.1
29.9
102
11
24
131
47
17
4.11
-0.10
4.01
103
2.1
24.0
102
11
21
143
45
15
3.51
-0.21
3.30
92
2.0
19.5
101
11
14
121
42
13
2.91
-0.22
2.69
82
1.9
15.7
96
12
14
105
40
11
2.41
-0.22 Approximate calculation from complex land-use module
2.19
70
1.6
12.6
89
12
14
83
36
10
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
124.9
44869.7 NOT ppp-corrected
0.72
0.73
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
2
396
48
7
1.01
0.82
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
8
B1 AIM
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - B1 AIM
1990
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
5204
6056
6741
7426
8112
8368
8631
8465
8301
7957
7453
6982
20.9
27.4
37.3
51.9
73.9
99.7
134.5
165.9
204.8
245.7
286.6
334.3
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
50
36
111
51
38
46
39
119
59
50
30
47
130
82
63
24
56
152
104
81
17
62
173
131
103
0
65
186
149
138
0
67
200
170
186
0
52
202
161
228
0
41
204
152
279
0
31
204
137
314
0
24
200
117
324
0
18
196
100
334
285
311
353
417
485
549
623
652
683
688
668
648
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
93
143
73
6
50
93
161
104
10
48
126
176
143
11
38
162
177
183
14
56
195
170
229
15
77
198
152
264
23
94
204
137
308
38
117
168
125
288
36
133
138
115
270
33
150
113
108
241
30
162
92
106
204
27
166
75
103
172
25
171
10
376
11
427
14
508
19
610
29
715
49
781
87
892
138
887
220
926
290
944
316
911
344
890
0.1
0.1
0.1
1.0
1.7
1.0
2.1
3.4
2.2
3.5
5.1
3.8
5.3
6.9
5.9
7.0
8.2
8.1
9.3
9.9
11.3
10.8
11.0
13.7
12.5
12.3
16.6
13.9
13.5
19.3
14.9
14.5
21.5
16.0
15.7
23.8
0.0
75.3
162.2
260.5
368.0
482.6
602.8
718.7
821.3
910.7
987.0
1053.0
1459
3389
0
4296
3805
12949
1466
3407
0
4255
3820
12949
1464
3432
0
4231
3822
12949
1461
3453
59
4264
3711
12949
1458
3474
137
4335
3545
12949
1452
3510
187
4404
3382
12949
1447
3547
254
4475
3226
12949
1442
3591
260
4522
3131
12949
1437
3635
266
4570
3039
12949
1433
3668
260
4619
2968
12949
1431
3688
242
4668
2917
12949
1429
3709
225
4719
2868
12949
8.47
0.93
9.39
358
6.9
76.3
784
29
36
968
157
35
10.05
0.23
10.28
391
6.9
89.2
291
32
37
981
177
38
11.50
-0.29
11.22
426
6.8
92.9
257
33
47
1076
176
41
12.00
-0.31
11.69
437
6.8
60.7
298
37
58
1146
171
41
12.59
-0.24
12.35
449
6.8
42.3
338
42
68
1223
167
40
11.12
-0.28
10.84
429
6.7
33.1
337
47
71
1241
141
36
9.86
-0.19
9.67
410
6.6
26.3
333
45
62
1260
119
31
8.29
-0.09
8.20
364
6.5
22.8
327
43
46
1278
97
28
7.27
-0.21
7.06
300
6.3
21.4
315
46
43
1296
78
26
6.40
-0.26
6.15
248
6.2
20.1
299
45
43
1314
62
24
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
5.99
1.11
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
879
139
31
6.90
1.07
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
877
141
32
B1 AIM
B1 AIM
OECD90 - B1 AIM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
801
857
896
935
973
991
1008
1013
1018
1023
1029
1035
16.4
20.7
25.5
31.3
38.5
44.9
52.4
59.1
66.7
74.0
80.5
87.7
6
10
64
25
22
2
11
70
31
27
0
10
67
37
29
0
10
70
40
31
0
9
68
43
33
0
8
66
41
38
0
7
64
40
43
0
6
60
35
50
0
4
56
31
59
0
3
53
27
64
0
2
50
23
66
0
2
47
19
68
127
141
144
151
153
154
154
153
152
148
142
137
41
76
34
5
6
34
88
51
7
1
37
85
58
8
0
38
81
61
8
4
38
69
63
7
9
36
56
62
8
14
33
46
62
8
20
26
39
54
8
23
21
33
47
7
26
17
29
40
6
28
14
28
34
5
28
11
26
28
5
29
6
167
6
187
7
195
9
201
13
199
17
192
22
192
32
182
48
181
60
180
65
174
70
170
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.4
0.9
0.5
0.8
1.8
1.0
1.1
2.6
1.6
1.5
3.4
2.2
1.8
3.9
2.8
2.2
4.5
3.5
2.5
4.9
4.0
2.7
5.3
4.5
3.0
5.6
5.0
3.1
5.9
5.3
3.3
6.2
5.7
0.0
30.1
62.0
93.7
124.5
153.8
181.5
206.5
228.0
246.3
261.8
274.8
381
760
0
1050
838
3029
380
765
0
1059
826
3029
378
772
0
1074
805
3029
376
779
10
1094
770
3029
374
787
23
1117
728
3029
370
809
32
1133
682
3029
366
832
44
1149
639
3029
361
862
45
1154
605
3029
357
893
46
1159
574
3029
354
912
45
1167
551
3029
353
918
41
1179
536
3029
352
924
39
1192
522
3029
3.24
-0.06
3.18
71
2.5
10.4
108
12
16
172
34
11
3.27
-0.12
3.15
69
2.5
7.8
103
10
5
183
31
10
3.16
-0.14
3.02
66
2.5
7.5
109
8
6
200
28
9
2.96
-0.11
2.85
60
2.4
7.2
112
7
6
205
23
7
2.77
-0.08
2.69
54
2.3
6.9
116
7
7
210
18
6
2.34
-0.03
2.31
50
2.2
6.2
117
7
7
209
11
6
1.97
0.01
1.98
46
2.2
5.5
117
7
8
209
5
5
1.68
0.00
1.68
43
2.1
4.9
119
7
8
209
1
5
1.45
-0.03
1.42
41
2.0
4.3
120
7
8
210
1
4
1.25
-0.06
1.19
38
2.0
3.8
120
6
8
212
1
4
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
2.83
0.00
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
24
179
42
13
3.20
0.00
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
58
13
23
161
36
12
B1 AIM
REF - B1 AIM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
413
419
424
430
435
429
423
406
391
374
356
339
1.1
0.8
1.2
1.8
2.5
3.9
5.9
7.8
10.2
12.9
15.7
19.1
2
9
19
19
8
5
6
9
13
9
0
5
7
16
9
0
5
5
17
9
0
4
4
18
9
0
4
4
21
12
0
4
4
26
17
0
3
4
23
21
0
2
3
21
25
0
2
3
17
27
0
1
3
13
27
0
1
2
10
27
58
42
37
36
35
42
51
51
52
50
45
40
18
22
26
1
2
13
12
22
1
4
13
9
25
1
0
12
7
26
2
3
11
6
25
1
8
12
5
29
2
12
13
4
33
3
17
11
3
30
3
19
9
2
26
3
22
7
1
22
3
24
6
1
17
2
24
5
1
13
2
25
1
71
1
54
1
50
2
51
2
53
4
63
8
79
13
78
20
82
25
82
26
76
28
73
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.8
0.5
0.4
1.0
0.7
0.5
1.3
0.8
0.5
1.6
0.9
0.5
1.9
1.0
0.6
2.2
1.1
0.6
2.4
1.1
0.6
2.6
1.2
0.6
2.8
0.0
11.0
20.2
28.3
34.5
39.6
44.0
47.3
49.7
50.0
48.8
47.7
268
341
0
966
701
2276
266
362
0
951
696
2276
266
364
0
934
711
2276
266
366
9
933
702
2276
265
368
20
934
688
2276
265
370
27
953
658
2276
264
372
37
973
630
2276
264
374
38
983
617
2276
263
376
39
993
604
2276
263
378
38
1005
592
2276
263
380
35
1018
580
2276
262
382
33
1031
568
2276
0.88
0.05
0.93
48
0.6
10.6
9
6
4
36
12
3
0.78
-0.10
0.68
50
0.6
9.2
15
6
7
34
11
3
0.65
-0.10
0.56
49
0.6
6.9
20
7
7
33
10
2
0.66
-0.19
0.47
46
0.6
4.3
24
8
8
33
9
2
0.66
-0.26
0.40
43
0.6
2.7
26
9
9
33
9
2
0.48
-0.20
0.28
34
0.6
2.2
27
10
9
32
7
2
0.35
-0.15
0.20
26
0.6
1.9
27
9
7
32
6
1
-0.11
-0.02
-0.14
20
0.5
1.7
27
8
6
31
4
1
-0.05
-0.07
-0.12
16
0.5
1.7
27
8
4
30
3
1
0.02
-0.11
-0.10
12
0.5
1.6
26
8
4
29
1
1
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
1.30
0.00
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
69
16
5
0.91
0.00
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
41
13
3
B1 AIM
ASIA - B1 AIM
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2798
3261
3556
3851
4147
4183
4220
4016
3822
3541
3194
2882
1.5
2.9
5.2
9.2
16.2
24.0
35.8
46.0
59.2
73.5
88.2
105.9
28
15
11
2
5
22
20
15
4
7
20
30
26
10
15
16
39
35
18
25
8
46
45
24
38
0
49
51
28
54
0
52
58
33
78
0
40
59
32
96
0
31
60
31
119
0
24
60
28
133
0
18
58
24
135
0
14
57
20
137
61
69
101
134
162
189
220
232
244
246
236
227
30
17
4
0
28
39
29
9
1
24
66
39
21
2
19
95
42
37
3
18
122
44
52
4
15
119
40
67
8
19
116
35
87
16
24
94
31
81
15
27
76
28
76
14
31
61
25
67
13
33
49
24
55
12
34
38
23
45
10
35
1
80
2
103
2
148
4
199
7
244
16
269
34
314
56
306
92
317
122
321
131
304
141
293
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.9
0.6
0.2
1.7
1.0
0.5
2.8
1.4
0.9
3.8
1.8
1.5
5.2
2.2
2.3
6.0
2.5
3.0
7.0
2.8
3.8
7.7
3.1
4.6
8.3
3.3
5.2
8.8
3.6
5.8
0.0
17.8
43.8
79.5
124.5
176.0
230.6
282.6
327.2
365.9
399.0
427.5
438
608
0
535
583
2164
435
606
0
525
598
2164
435
609
0
518
602
2164
435
612
12
535
571
2164
434
614
28
551
536
2164
434
617
39
557
516
2164
434
619
52
563
496
2164
434
622
54
577
477
2164
433
625
55
593
458
2164
433
628
53
604
446
2164
433
631
50
610
441
2164
433
634
46
616
436
2164
2.87
0.29
3.16
142
2.6
40.0
11
7
11
335
51
12
3.99
0.00
3.99
160
2.6
56.5
20
9
17
366
63
15
4.97
0.05
5.02
183
2.6
58.2
34
11
23
438
59
18
5.19
0.10
5.29
196
2.7
31.2
56
14
27
473
60
19
5.42
0.22
5.63
209
2.7
16.7
93
17
30
510
61
19
4.74
0.03
4.77
205
2.7
11.4
90
20
32
511
51
16
4.15
0.01
4.15
200
2.6
7.8
85
18
26
511
42
13
3.57
0.00
3.58
177
2.6
6.0
79
18
19
510
33
11
3.03
0.02
3.05
143
2.6
5.3
72
18
16
507
24
9
2.57
0.08
2.66
114
2.5
4.7
64
18
16
504
17
8
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
1.15
0.37
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
235
33
7
1.78
0.26
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
4
5
7
270
37
9
B1 AIM
ALM - B1 AIM
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1192
1519
1865
2211
2557
2761
2980
3024
3067
3013
2866
2726
1.9
3.0
5.4
9.6
16.7
26.0
40.4
52.5
68.2
85.1
101.7
121.7
14
1
17
4
4
17
2
24
10
7
9
2
31
19
11
8
2
41
29
16
8
3
55
46
23
0
4
64
57
33
0
4
75
71
48
0
3
79
70
61
0
3
84
69
77
0
2
88
65
89
0
2
89
57
95
0
2
90
50
102
40
60
71
97
135
163
198
215
235
245
244
244
5
27
9
0
14
7
33
22
0
18
11
44
39
1
19
16
47
59
1
31
24
51
89
2
45
31
51
106
5
50
41
52
126
10
56
36
52
123
9
63
32
52
121
9
72
28
52
112
9
77
24
53
98
8
79
21
54
86
8
81
2
57
2
83
3
115
5
159
7
219
13
257
23
308
37
322
61
346
82
360
93
356
105
355
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.7
0.5
0.3
1.2
1.0
0.5
1.7
1.7
0.7
2.1
2.6
1.1
2.7
3.8
1.4
3.1
4.9
1.8
3.7
6.2
2.1
4.2
7.4
2.4
4.7
8.4
1.7
6.7
12.5
0.0
16.4
36.2
59.1
84.5
113.1
146.6
182.2
216.4
248.4
277.4
303.0
371
1680
0
1745
1684
5480
385
1675
0
1720
1700
5480
385
1686
0
1704
1704
5480
385
1696
29
1702
1669
5480
384
1705
66
1732
1593
5480
384
1714
89
1761
1526
5480
383
1723
121
1790
1461
5480
383
1732
124
1808
1432
5480
383
1741
127
1825
1403
5480
383
1750
124
1843
1379
5480
382
1760
115
1861
1360
5480
382
1769
107
1880
1342
5480
1.48
0.65
2.13
97
1.3
12.2
16
5
5
425
60
9
2.02
0.44
2.46
112
1.2
12.6
28
6
8
398
72
10
2.73
-0.10
2.63
128
1.1
17.3
42
7
12
405
80
12
3.20
-0.11
3.08
135
1.2
15.0
64
8
17
436
79
12
3.75
-0.11
3.63
143
1.2
13.1
98
9
22
470
79
13
3.56
-0.08
3.48
141
1.2
10.3
102
11
24
489
73
13
3.39
-0.05
3.34
138
1.2
8.1
102
11
21
508
67
12
3.14
-0.07
3.08
124
1.2
7.2
101
11
14
528
59
12
2.84
-0.12
2.72
101
1.2
7.1
96
12
14
548
50
11
2.56
-0.17
2.39
84
1.2
7.0
89
12
14
569
42
11
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
0.72
0.73
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
2
396
48
7
1.01
0.82
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
8
B1 ASF
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - B1 ASF
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
Population
5264
6117
6827
7537
8039
8526
8704
8527
8444
8022
7282
7056
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
20.6
27.6
38.0
53.5
73.8
114.9
134.3
167.2
186.9
252.2
314.9
339.3
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
55
121
50
42
66
170
58
55
80
228
82
77
89
304
124
104
76
308
149
149
62
311
174
195
49
314
198
241
42
280
185
283
35
247
171
325
30
221
157
343
28
203
143
339
25
186
129
334
269
350
467
621
682
742
802
790
778
752
712
673
97
139
74
7
0
119
198
83
10
0
149
272
118
8
0
191
354
179
7
14
262
289
231
9
43
332
225
283
11
73
403
160
335
13
102
354
103
303
11
125
305
46
272
10
148
259
14
242
9
167
215
8
213
8
183
172
2
184
8
198
10
326
14
424
23
570
30
774
46
879
61
984
77
1090
135
1031
192
973
223
914
226
853
229
791
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.2
1.8
0.9
2.5
4.2
1.9
4.2
7.3
3.3
6.5
10.5
5.4
9.5
13.0
8.0
13.2
14.9
11.1
16.9
16.1
14.3
20.2
16.8
17.1
23.0
17.0
19.7
25.3
17.1
21.9
27.2
17.2
23.9
0.0
75.3
169.0
295.1
451.7
624.0
803.6
971.7
1109.4
1219.9
1309.9
1382.6
-1.8
-2.0
-2.1
-2.3
-2.5
-2.7
-2.9
-3.1
-3.2
-3.3
-3.4
-3.4
5.99
1.11
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
879
139
31
6.90
1.07
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
877
141
32
9.65
1.12
10.76
373
8.1
83.6
784
29
36
1039
162
44
13.22
1.24
14.46
430
9.5
112.3
291
32
37
1162
193
59
15.72
1.13
16.85
479
10.5
104.7
257
33
47
1338
218
70
16.61
0.98
17.59
513
11.0
76.4
298
37
58
1316
228
71
17.50
0.84
18.33
546
11.5
48.1
338
42
68
1293
237
72
14.71
0.58
15.29
513
11.2
38.1
337
47
71
1199
255
62
11.93
0.32
12.24
481
10.8
28.1
333
45
62
1105
272
52
9.68
0.18
9.86
447
10.4
23.4
327
43
46
1029
295
45
7.98
0.16
8.13
412
9.9
24.0
315
46
43
971
322
40
6.27
0.14
6.41
377
9.3
24.6
299
45
43
913
349
35
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B1 ASF
B1 ASF
OECD90 - B1 ASF
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
849
919
961
1003
1035
1069
1081
1085
1088
1096
1106
1110
15.5
19.2
23.4
27.7
32.4
40.4
43.5
49.7
53.0
64.7
78.7
84.1
12
68
27
24
13
86
29
27
12
91
31
33
12
88
35
37
12
77
36
40
11
66
37
43
11
55
38
46
9
48
35
54
8
41
33
63
7
37
31
69
7
37
31
74
6
36
31
79
131
155
167
172
165
157
150
147
144
144
148
152
33
77
35
6
0
32
97
38
8
0
34
106
42
6
0
39
102
50
4
4
52
75
54
4
10
66
47
59
3
15
79
20
63
3
21
66
12
57
3
24
52
5
51
3
27
44
1
47
2
30
40
1
45
2
34
36
0
43
3
38
6
156
7
181
10
198
11
211
13
208
15
205
16
202
27
189
38
176
46
171
50
173
55
175
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
1.0
0.4
0.7
2.0
0.8
1.1
3.0
1.3
1.5
3.9
1.8
2.1
4.5
2.3
2.8
4.8
3.0
3.6
4.9
3.6
4.1
5.0
4.1
4.6
5.0
4.6
5.0
5.0
5.1
5.4
5.0
5.5
0.0
30.1
63.7
99.8
137.5
174.8
210.1
241.4
266.9
287.5
305.9
323.2
2.83
0.00
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
24
179
42
13
3.20
0.00
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
58
13
23
161
36
12
3.51
0.00
3.51
77
2.7
7.6
108
12
16
165
40
13
3.72
0.00
3.72
81
2.9
7.5
103
10
5
154
43
14
3.82
0.00
3.82
86
3.0
7.0
109
8
6
135
41
14
3.63
0.00
3.63
90
2.9
6.3
112
7
6
100
36
13
3.43
0.00
3.43
93
2.8
5.6
116
7
7
66
32
11
2.84
0.00
2.84
90
2.7
5.1
117
7
7
54
32
9
2.24
0.00
2.24
88
2.6
4.6
117
7
8
42
31
7
1.89
0.00
1.89
85
2.5
4.8
119
7
8
35
33
6
1.78
0.00
1.78
81
2.4
5.5
120
7
8
34
37
6
1.68
0.00
1.68
78
2.3
6.3
120
6
8
32
40
5
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B1 ASF
REF - B1 ASF
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
417
419
425
431
432
425
423
406
398
374
347
339
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.0
0.9
1.3
1.9
2.9
4.6
5.3
6.6
7.4
10.0
12.8
14.0
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
18
16
16
8
11
11
12
7
11
12
15
9
9
13
18
11
8
12
17
10
6
11
17
10
5
11
16
10
3
9
14
10
2
8
11
10
1
7
9
10
1
7
8
9
1
7
6
8
57
42
47
51
48
44
41
36
32
28
25
21
23
18
26
1
0
13
13
22
1
0
14
14
26
1
0
14
15
30
0
0
14
14
27
1
0
13
13
24
1
0
12
13
21
1
1
9
9
17
0
2
5
6
14
0
4
3
4
11
0
6
2
2
9
0
8
2
1
7
0
9
1
69
2
50
3
57
3
64
3
59
3
55
3
50
5
43
6
36
7
31
6
28
6
25
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.8
0.6
0.6
1.1
0.7
0.7
1.3
0.9
0.9
1.6
1.0
1.0
1.7
1.0
1.0
1.9
1.1
1.1
2.0
1.1
1.1
2.1
1.1
1.1
2.2
0.0
11.0
20.6
31.2
41.5
50.5
57.7
62.9
66.1
67.6
68.0
67.6
1.30
0.00
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
69
16
5
0.91
0.00
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
41
13
3
1.01
0.00
1.01
43
0.6
10.4
9
6
4
41
16
3
1.09
0.00
1.09
53
0.6
9.6
15
6
7
38
22
4
0.98
0.00
0.98
67
0.7
8.0
20
7
7
41
27
3
0.81
0.00
0.81
78
0.7
5.7
24
8
8
38
26
3
0.63
0.00
0.63
89
0.7
3.4
26
9
9
35
25
2
0.42
0.00
0.42
77
0.6
2.5
27
10
9
31
24
2
0.22
0.00
0.22
65
0.6
1.6
27
9
7
28
22
1
0.07
0.00
0.07
54
0.5
1.0
27
8
6
25
22
1
0.00
0.00
0.00
46
0.5
0.7
27
8
4
24
25
1
-0.08
0.00
-0.08
37
0.5
0.4
26
8
4
23
27
0
Population
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B1 ASF
ASIA - B1 ASF
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2780
3261
3572
3884
4073
4181
4220
4012
3913
3538
3033
2882
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.6
3.4
6.7
12.5
20.5
37.9
46.6
60.0
68.2
94.3
115.9
124.2
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
24
15
3
6
41
36
8
13
55
67
19
23
64
114
41
36
50
124
55
68
36
134
70
100
22
144
85
133
18
130
78
149
15
116
71
165
12
104
63
167
10
93
56
155
8
83
48
143
47
97
163
255
298
340
383
375
366
346
314
282
36
19
4
0
0
65
45
10
1
0
88
85
27
1
0
116
134
56
2
5
154
110
89
4
18
193
86
121
6
30
232
62
154
8
43
201
38
137
7
54
170
13
120
6
65
141
1
103
5
72
112
0
86
4
76
83
0
69
4
80
1
61
3
124
6
207
9
323
19
395
29
466
39
537
67
504
95
470
107
429
102
381
98
333
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.5
0.3
0.1
1.3
1.0
0.3
2.3
2.1
0.7
3.7
3.3
1.4
5.5
4.3
2.5
7.6
5.0
3.8
9.7
5.5
5.3
11.6
5.7
6.6
13.1
5.7
7.7
14.4
5.7
8.6
15.3
5.7
9.4
0.0
17.8
46.6
95.3
164.8
248.0
340.2
430.3
507.0
571.2
624.6
668.1
1.15
0.37
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
235
33
7
1.78
0.26
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
4
5
7
270
37
9
3.38
0.34
3.72
145
3.2
47.3
11
7
11
363
43
16
5.63
0.39
6.02
163
4.0
66.7
20
9
17
438
51
25
7.54
0.33
7.87
179
4.6
58.2
34
11
23
537
58
31
8.51
0.26
8.77
190
5.0
37.6
56
14
27
549
63
33
9.48
0.19
9.67
202
5.3
17.0
93
17
30
561
67
35
8.21
0.13
8.34
187
5.1
12.1
90
20
32
521
72
30
6.93
0.07
7.00
173
4.9
7.2
85
18
26
482
76
25
5.81
0.03
5.84
158
4.6
4.9
79
18
19
445
80
20
4.83
0.01
4.85
142
4.3
5.2
72
18
16
411
84
17
3.86
0.00
3.86
126
3.9
5.4
64
18
16
376
88
14
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B1 ASF
ALM - B1 ASF
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1218
1519
1869
2218
2500
2851
2980
3023
3044
3013
2795
2727
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
2.5
4.0
6.7
11.3
18.0
32.0
38.9
50.9
58.2
83.3
107.4
117.1
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
1
22
5
4
2
38
9
7
3
58
17
12
4
89
31
20
7
94
40
31
9
100
50
42
11
105
60
54
11
94
58
71
11
82
56
88
10
73
53
98
10
66
49
101
10
60
44
103
33
56
89
144
172
201
229
233
237
234
226
217
5
25
8
0
0
9
43
13
0
0
14
67
23
0
0
21
102
42
0
4
41
90
60
1
15
61
77
79
1
26
81
65
97
1
38
79
43
92
1
45
77
21
87
1
53
71
8
80
1
59
61
5
72
1
65
51
1
64
1
71
2
40
3
68
5
108
7
177
10
218
14
259
18
300
35
295
53
291
63
283
67
271
71
259
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.4
0.1
0.2
0.9
0.3
0.4
1.8
0.6
0.7
2.7
1.1
1.2
3.5
1.8
1.9
4.2
2.7
2.7
4.8
3.7
3.5
5.1
4.6
4.2
5.2
5.4
4.9
5.3
6.2
5.4
5.3
6.8
0.0
16.4
38.1
68.9
108.0
150.7
195.6
237.0
269.4
293.6
311.4
323.7
0.72
0.73
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
2
396
48
7
1.01
0.82
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
8
1.74
0.78
2.52
108
1.6
15.2
16
5
5
470
63
11
2.79
0.85
3.64
132
1.9
25.4
28
6
8
532
77
17
3.37
0.80
4.17
147
2.2
28.5
42
7
12
626
92
21
3.66
0.72
4.38
155
2.5
23.8
64
8
17
629
103
22
3.95
0.65
4.59
163
2.7
19.1
98
9
22
631
113
24
3.24
0.45
3.69
159
2.7
15.4
102
11
24
592
128
21
2.53
0.25
2.78
155
2.8
11.7
102
11
21
553
143
19
1.91
0.15
2.06
149
2.7
9.8
101
11
14
523
159
18
1.36
0.14
1.50
142
2.7
9.6
96
12
14
503
176
16
0.81
0.14
0.95
136
2.6
9.4
89
12
14
482
193
15
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B1 MESSAGE
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - B1 MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
Population
5262
6117
6888
7617
8182
8531
8704
8667
8463
8125
7658
7056
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
20.9
25.7
26.8
33.3
36.2
44.6
52.1
61.6
73.1
82.2
100.7
108.4
135.6
140.0
171.6
171.8
208.5
204.1
249.8
242.5
290.0
281.3
328.4
318.8
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
38
42
111
41
35
8
275
27
52
123
47
44
10
303
22
61
155
61
61
18
379
16
59
185
71
87
33
450
10
55
214
74
117
52
522
8
39
239
73
148
75
581
6
23
243
63
172
98
604
0
18
220
53
194
123
608
0
9
190
47
204
136
585
0
3
153
45
213
144
556
0
2
131
39
209
138
520
0
1
114
31
200
124
469
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
91
128
71
7
46
91
155
84
8
45
109
172
119
11
55
110
189
161
15
70
97
203
221
20
89
71
198
278
27
111
37
192
297
36
121
21
161
302
42
129
15
132
281
47
150
16
95
267
48
174
18
64
232
46
215
22
46
215
41
235
8
352
13
395
23
488
41
586
62
692
103
788
156
837
211
865
239
865
248
848
239
813
197
755
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.9
1.4
0.7
1.8
3.0
1.6
2.9
4.7
2.8
4.0
6.6
4.4
5.0
8.6
6.6
5.7
10.6
9.4
6.1
12.5
12.3
6.3
14.1
15.3
6.4
15.4
18.2
6.6
16.4
20.8
6.8
17.0
23.2
0.0
75.3
160.4
251.5
343.6
436.2
525.3
606.8
679.2
741.9
794.0
837.4
1459
3389
0
4296
3805
12949
1466
3407
0
1464
3432
0
1461
3453
59
1458
3474
137
1452
3510
196
1447
3547
254
1442
3591
260
1437
3635
266
1433
3668
261
1431
3688
243
1429
3709
225
4255
3820
12949
4231
3822
12949
4264
3711
12949
4335
3545
12949
4405
3386
12949
4475
3226
12949
4522
3133
12949
4570
3040
12949
4619
2968
12949
4669
2918
12949
4719
2868
12949
8.26
0.79
9.05
356
6.0
65.6
784
29
36
1001
164
38
9.19
-0.03
9.16
386
5.8
55.2
291
32
37
1120
180
44
9.93
-0.65
9.27
421
5.7
47.5
257
33
47
1233
183
47
9.91
-0.66
9.25
442
5.6
38.7
298
37
58
1326
180
46
9.24
-0.67
8.57
453
5.6
31.0
338
42
68
1331
175
40
8.36
-0.62
7.74
436
5.5
25.4
337
47
71
1268
154
33
7.32
-0.57
6.75
424
5.4
20.2
333
45
62
1288
141
27
6.36
-0.57
5.79
392
5.4
16.5
327
43
46
1307
121
23
5.24
-0.61
4.63
334
5.4
13.9
315
46
43
1409
93
20
4.68
-0.65
4.04
279
5.3
12.2
299
45
43
1436
70
17
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
5.99
1.11
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
879
139
31
6.90
1.07
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
877
141
32
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM B1 land-use data
Page 158 of 241
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM B1 emulation run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
B1 MESSAGE
B1 MESSAGE
OECD90 - B1 MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
859
919
965
1007
1043
1069
1081
1084
1089
1098
1108
1110
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
16.4
14.1
20.6
17.7
26.0
22.4
32.4
28.1
38.3
33.3
43.9
38.3
49.9
43.6
55.4
48.5
59.8
52.5
66.3
58.4
73.9
65.1
82.3
72.7
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
13
66
22
22
1
124
0
10
69
28
28
1
136
0
6
75
34
35
2
152
0
3
73
35
43
5
159
0
1
69
33
49
7
159
0
0
65
29
53
8
154
0
0
61
21
54
9
146
0
0
57
14
56
12
139
0
0
52
10
57
13
131
0
0
44
9
60
13
126
0
0
42
7
61
12
123
0
0
39
5
62
11
117
38
72
33
6
6
33
85
45
7
8
36
83
57
8
10
37
73
68
10
13
31
62
80
11
15
14
53
87
14
18
5
44
84
21
20
4
36
75
25
26
2
29
73
27
31
1
21
77
24
39
1
15
76
20
50
0
12
78
15
53
4
159
5
183
8
202
13
213
17
215
22
207
24
198
27
192
29
191
31
192
32
193
32
190
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.8
0.4
0.7
1.6
0.8
1.1
2.5
1.4
1.4
3.2
2.0
1.7
3.8
2.9
1.9
4.3
3.7
1.9
4.8
4.5
2.0
5.1
5.3
2.0
5.4
6.0
2.0
5.6
6.8
2.0
5.8
7.6
0.0
30.1
62.7
95.5
126.4
153.6
176.1
195.1
211.9
227.1
240.7
253.0
381
760
0
1050
838
3029
380
765
0
378
772
0
376
779
10
374
787
23
370
809
33
366
832
44
361
862
45
357
893
46
354
912
45
353
918
42
352
924
39
1059
826
3029
1074
805
3029
1094
770
3029
1117
728
3029
1133
684
3029
1149
639
3029
1154
607
3029
1159
574
3029
1167
551
3029
1179
537
3029
1192
522
3029
3.40
-0.07
3.32
73
2.4
8.9
108
12
16
177
38
14
3.35
-0.13
3.22
70
2.4
2.3
103
10
5
181
36
14
3.13
-0.16
2.97
67
2.3
0.6
109
8
6
160
31
13
2.60
-0.14
2.46
62
2.3
0.6
112
7
6
145
27
10
2.16
-0.12
2.04
57
2.3
0.6
116
7
7
125
23
7
1.84
-0.08
1.76
54
2.2
0.6
117
7
7
123
21
5
1.63
-0.04
1.58
52
2.2
0.3
117
7
8
121
21
3
1.50
-0.04
1.46
51
2.1
0.6
119
7
8
122
20
2
1.35
-0.08
1.27
50
2.1
0.9
120
7
8
139
14
1
1.31
-0.12
1.19
51
2.1
1.5
120
6
8
134
9
1
Population
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
2.83
0.00
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
24
179
42
13
3.20
0.00
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
58
13
23
161
36
12
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM B1 land-use data
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM B1 emulation run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
B1 MESSAGE
REF - B1 MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
413
419
427
433
435
433
423
409
392
374
357
339
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.1
2.6
0.8
2.2
1.1
2.6
1.7
3.3
2.8
4.3
4.3
5.3
6.2
6.4
8.2
8.2
10.3
10.3
12.8
12.8
15.3
15.3
18.1
18.1
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
9
15
14
6
7
50
0
5
10
10
5
6
36
0
3
10
11
6
6
37
0
2
13
10
7
7
40
0
1
15
9
9
9
43
0
0
17
8
12
9
46
0
0
18
6
14
9
47
0
0
16
4
15
10
45
0
0
13
4
15
10
41
0
0
10
4
15
10
39
0
0
9
3
15
9
35
0
0
8
2
15
7
32
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
19
20
27
1
2
12
14
21
1
1
9
13
25
1
1
6
15
28
0
1
4
17
33
0
2
3
16
40
0
3
2
16
43
0
3
1
15
49
0
3
1
11
53
0
3
1
9
48
1
3
1
6
40
1
6
2
5
31
1
9
1
70
1
51
1
49
3
53
4
59
5
67
6
70
6
74
6
74
7
69
9
63
10
57
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.5
0.7
0.4
0.6
1.0
0.5
0.8
1.3
0.5
0.9
1.8
0.5
1.1
2.3
0.5
1.3
2.8
0.5
1.4
3.4
0.6
1.5
4.0
0.6
1.5
4.4
0.0
11.0
20.0
28.2
35.6
42.9
50.0
57.4
65.7
73.7
80.4
85.5
268
341
0
966
701
2276
266
362
0
266
364
0
266
366
9
265
368
20
265
370
29
264
372
37
264
374
38
263
376
39
263
378
38
263
380
35
262
382
33
951
696
2276
934
711
2276
933
702
2276
934
688
2276
954
659
2276
973
630
2276
983
617
2276
993
604
2276
1005
592
2276
1018
580
2276
1031
568
2276
0.85
0.04
0.89
40
0.6
7.1
9
6
4
45
15
3
0.85
-0.11
0.73
40
0.6
4.6
15
6
7
46
17
3
0.87
-0.12
0.75
41
0.6
3.0
20
7
7
51
20
4
0.92
-0.20
0.72
43
0.6
2.0
24
8
8
60
23
4
0.97
-0.28
0.69
43
0.6
1.5
26
9
9
65
27
4
1.03
-0.23
0.81
39
0.6
1.4
27
10
9
60
29
4
1.02
-0.17
0.85
37
0.6
1.3
27
9
7
50
31
3
0.90
-0.15
0.75
33
0.6
1.4
27
8
6
38
28
2
0.73
-0.14
0.59
30
0.6
1.5
27
8
4
34
21
1
0.56
-0.14
0.42
26
0.6
1.6
26
8
4
30
14
1
Population
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
1.30
0.00
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
69
16
5
0.91
0.00
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
41
13
3
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM B1 land-use data
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM B1 emulation run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
B1 MESSAGE
ASIA - B1 MESSAGE
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2798
3261
3620
3937
4147
4238
4220
4085
3867
3589
3258
2882
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.5
5.3
2.7
8.2
4.8
12.0
8.7
17.3
15.1
24.6
24.9
34.1
37.9
46.1
51.4
57.4
64.8
67.7
78.7
79.3
91.7
91.7
103.1
103.1
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
24
19
13
2
4
1
62
16
33
22
3
6
2
82
12
47
35
7
11
6
117
8
48
50
11
19
11
146
5
46
65
11
30
18
175
3
32
82
14
42
27
199
2
19
87
11
49
34
202
0
14
78
10
57
45
204
0
6
68
10
60
49
193
0
2
55
10
64
52
182
0
1
45
10
63
50
170
0
0
38
10
58
45
150
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
30
15
3
0
24
42
26
5
1
22
57
38
13
1
26
58
52
24
3
30
51
66
36
5
39
44
68
51
9
49
24
72
53
11
54
13
61
53
13
61
8
52
50
14
63
8
37
46
17
67
9
25
34
17
72
10
17
27
17
73
1
74
3
98
6
141
12
178
20
217
35
256
54
268
77
278
83
270
85
260
87
244
74
218
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.2
0.0
0.7
0.4
0.1
1.3
0.8
0.2
1.9
1.3
0.5
2.4
2.0
0.8
2.8
2.7
1.3
3.1
3.4
1.8
3.2
4.0
2.2
3.3
4.5
2.6
3.4
4.9
3.0
3.5
5.1
3.3
0.0
17.8
41.7
69.7
99.4
131.0
161.6
187.6
208.6
225.6
238.9
249.5
438
608
0
535
583
2164
435
606
0
435
609
0
435
612
12
434
614
28
434
617
40
434
619
52
434
622
54
433
625
55
433
628
54
433
631
50
433
634
46
525
598
2164
518
602
2164
535
571
2164
551
536
2164
557
516
2164
563
496
2164
578
477
2164
593
458
2164
604
446
2164
610
441
2164
616
436
2164
2.56
0.20
2.75
145
2.3
31.8
11
7
11
345
48
12
3.01
-0.17
2.84
164
2.3
29.9
20
9
17
421
56
14
3.27
-0.18
3.09
183
2.3
26.3
34
11
23
511
58
16
3.33
-0.10
3.23
196
2.3
19.3
56
14
27
597
59
17
2.93
-0.03
2.90
201
2.2
13.1
93
17
30
632
57
15
2.41
-0.10
2.31
194
2.2
9.3
90
20
32
621
46
12
2.06
-0.17
1.89
189
2.2
6.7
85
18
26
603
40
10
1.69
-0.18
1.51
172
2.2
4.4
79
18
19
587
32
8
1.29
-0.14
1.15
141
2.2
3.1
72
18
16
583
25
7
1.06
-0.10
0.96
109
2.2
2.1
64
18
16
559
20
6
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
1.15
0.37
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
235
33
7
1.78
0.26
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
4
5
7
270
37
9
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM B1 land-use data
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM B1 emulation run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
B1 MESSAGE
ALM - B1 MESSAGE
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1192
1519
1875
2241
2557
2791
2980
3089
3115
3064
2934
2727
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.9
3.8
2.7
5.1
4.4
7.6
9.3
12.8
17.0
20.1
27.6
30.6
41.6
44.0
56.7
57.8
73.6
73.6
92.0
92.0
109.1
109.1
124.8
124.8
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
14
1
17
4
3
0
39
11
4
22
6
5
1
49
11
5
34
10
9
5
73
8
6
48
15
17
10
105
6
7
64
22
29
18
145
4
7
75
22
42
32
182
3
4
77
25
54
46
210
0
4
69
25
66
56
220
0
3
57
23
72
65
219
0
1
44
22
74
69
209
0
1
35
18
70
67
192
0
1
29
14
65
61
170
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
5
21
8
0
14
4
30
12
0
14
8
39
24
1
18
10
49
42
2
25
12
59
73
4
33
10
62
100
4
42
6
59
116
4
44
3
50
125
4
39
4
40
106
6
54
6
29
96
6
65
7
18
81
7
88
9
12
79
8
101
2
49
4
65
7
96
13
141
22
201
42
259
72
301
100
321
121
330
125
327
111
313
81
290
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.6
0.2
0.2
0.9
0.5
0.3
1.4
0.9
0.4
2.0
1.6
0.5
2.6
2.6
0.5
3.2
3.8
0.6
3.7
5.0
0.6
4.1
6.1
0.7
4.4
7.0
0.7
4.6
7.8
0.0
16.4
35.9
58.1
82.3
108.7
137.6
166.6
193.0
215.5
234.0
249.4
371
1680
0
1745
1684
5480
385
1675
0
385
1686
0
385
1696
29
384
1705
66
384
1714
93
383
1723
121
383
1732
124
383
1741
127
383
1750
124
382
1760
116
382
1769
107
1720
1700
5480
1704
1704
5480
1702
1669
5480
1732
1593
5480
1761
1527
5480
1790
1461
5480
1808
1432
5480
1825
1403
5480
1843
1379
5480
1862
1361
5480
1880
1342
5480
1.46
0.62
2.08
98
0.7
14.8
16
5
5
434
63
10
1.98
0.38
2.36
112
0.6
15.4
28
6
8
472
70
12
2.66
-0.19
2.46
130
0.5
14.8
42
7
12
510
74
14
3.05
-0.22
2.83
141
0.5
13.8
64
8
17
523
71
15
3.18
-0.25
2.94
151
0.5
12.9
98
9
22
509
68
14
3.08
-0.22
2.86
149
0.5
11.1
102
11
24
465
58
12
2.61
-0.19
2.43
146
0.5
8.9
102
11
21
513
50
11
2.27
-0.20
2.07
135
0.5
7.1
101
11
14
559
42
11
1.86
-0.24
1.62
114
0.5
5.4
96
12
14
654
33
10
1.75
-0.29
1.46
93
0.5
4.1
89
12
14
714
27
9
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
0.72
0.73
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
2
396
48
7
1.01
0.82
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
8
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM B1 land-use data
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM B1 emulation run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
B1 MARIA
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - B1 MARIA
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
Population
5262
6117
6888
7617
8048
8207
8704
8536
8372
8028
7527
7056
19.4
25.5
34.2
46.0
60.0
80.7
110.2
135.8
169.8
214.5
275.5
348.5
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
48
138
56
35
0
278
34
148
54
46
0
282
24
167
79
53
0
323
17
188
111
61
0
377
12
215
142
70
0
438
8
247
171
80
0
507
6
288
197
98
0
590
4
349
175
105
0
633
3
368
173
115
0
658
2
400
165
131
0
697
1
410
185
150
0
747
1
448
177
164
0
791
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
90
123
71
22
28
64
134
91
18
30
46
146
129
17
37
34
158
169
15
55
25
177
205
16
75
19
192
237
26
104
14
186
251
43
136
12
177
228
70
198
9
156
223
114
231
7
158
212
173
257
5
147
231
237
276
5
170
219
283
291
9
343
8
345
7
382
7
438
6
504
5
583
57
687
63
747
64
797
64
873
63
959
62
1030
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.9
1.2
0.7
1.5
2.6
1.6
2.0
4.0
2.9
2.4
5.6
4.6
2.6
7.4
6.6
2.8
9.3
9.0
2.9
11.2
11.5
3.0
12.9
13.8
3.1
14.5
16.0
3.2
16.1
18.2
3.3
17.5
20.5
0.0
75.3
156.4
241.2
331.3
427.1
524.5
616.7
701.0
780.7
859.5
940.0
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
1451
3395
0
4138
4061
13045
1451
3395
0
4142
4057
13045
1454
3392
0
4170
4029
13045
1689
3160
0
4199
3997
13045
1809
3040
0
4231
3965
13045
1821
3029
0
4265
3930
13045
1912
2773
164
4310
3886
13045
1713
2609
528
4361
3835
13045
1527
2609
713
4408
3788
13045
1363
2609
877
4412
3784
13045
1240
2609
1000
4412
3784
13045
1145
2609
1095
4412
3784
13045
5.99
1.11
7.10
6.90
1.07
7.97
7.25
0.99
8.25
7.80
0.91
8.71
8.49
0.82
9.31
9.13
0.72
9.85
9.11
0.53
9.64
8.49
0.31
8.80
7.94
0.12
8.05
7.77
0.11
7.88
7.79
0.12
7.90
8.06
0.13
8.19
1672
32
38
883
25
40
784
29
36
291
32
37
257
33
47
298
37
58
338
42
68
337
47
71
333
45
62
327
43
46
315
46
43
299
45
43
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
CFC/HFC/HCFC MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
B1 MARIA
B1 MARIA
OECD90 - B1 MARIA
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
859
919
965
1007
1035
1046
1081
1085
1091
1096
1103
1110
15.6
19.6
24.7
31.0
36.4
43.3
50.6
55.3
60.3
66.5
72.2
78.3
12
71
28
21
0
132
8
74
27
26
0
136
6
66
44
29
0
145
4
60
58
32
0
155
3
59
66
34
0
162
2
58
71
37
0
168
1
57
77
39
0
175
1
78
59
41
0
179
1
72
68
42
0
182
0
66
76
44
0
186
0
62
81
46
0
189
0
59
85
47
0
191
38
71
34
18
6
28
74
47
15
4
21
66
72
12
3
16
60
94
11
2
12
59
107
13
1
10
58
117
15
1
8
57
115
19
1
7
78
99
21
1
6
72
106
26
2
5
66
112
32
3
4
61
116
40
4
4
57
117
48
7
5
171
5
171
4
178
4
187
3
196
3
204
14
214
14
221
16
227
17
235
16
242
16
248
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.7
0.3
0.7
1.5
0.8
0.9
2.1
1.5
1.0
2.7
2.5
1.1
3.3
3.5
1.2
3.9
4.7
1.3
4.5
5.8
1.4
5.2
6.8
1.5
6.0
7.9
1.5
6.6
9.0
1.6
7.2
10.2
0.0
30.1
62.5
95.9
130.4
166.0
201.4
236.4
271.7
306.8
341.6
376.0
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
768
782
2684
378
756
0
780
770
2684
378
756
0
780
770
2684
303
756
75
780
770
2684
243
756
134
780
770
2684
195
756
182
780
770
2684
2.83
0.00
2.83
3.20
0.00
3.20
3.25
0.03
3.27
3.35
0.05
3.40
3.43
0.08
3.51
3.50
0.11
3.61
3.40
0.05
3.46
3.55
-0.01
3.55
3.51
0.01
3.52
3.46
0.04
3.50
3.40
0.07
3.46
3.33
0.09
3.43
19
18
24
58
13
23
108
12
16
103
10
5
109
8
6
112
7
6
116
7
7
117
7
7
117
7
8
119
7
8
120
7
8
120
6
8
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
B1 MARIA
REF - B1 MARIA
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
413
419
427
433
432
430
423
406
391
374
356
339
0.9
1.1
1.5
1.9
2.6
3.6
5.2
6.2
7.9
10.3
13.0
16.5
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
13
17
21
7
0
58
9
12
20
7
0
48
6
11
23
7
0
47
4
10
25
6
0
45
3
10
30
7
0
49
2
10
35
7
0
54
2
10
40
8
0
60
1
10
41
8
0
60
1
9
43
9
0
62
1
9
46
9
0
65
0
12
45
9
0
67
0
20
39
10
0
68
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
19
19
27
3
1
13
13
27
2
1
9
12
30
2
0
6
10
32
1
0
4
10
39
2
0
3
10
45
2
0
2
10
50
3
0
2
10
51
3
0
1
9
53
4
0
1
9
55
5
0
1
12
54
6
1
0
20
47
8
1
1
69
1
57
1
54
1
51
1
56
1
61
3
68
3
68
3
71
3
74
3
77
3
80
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.8
0.5
0.5
1.2
0.5
0.6
1.6
0.5
0.7
2.0
0.6
0.8
2.5
0.6
0.9
3.0
0.6
1.0
3.5
0.6
1.1
4.1
0.6
1.2
4.6
0.0
11.0
19.8
27.9
36.1
44.9
54.4
64.0
73.4
82.9
93.0
103.6
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
174
114
43
815
722
1868
139
114
78
815
722
1868
111
114
106
815
722
1868
89
114
128
815
722
1868
79
114
138
815
722
1868
1.30
0.00
1.30
0.91
0.00
0.91
0.82
0.02
0.83
0.76
0.03
0.79
0.80
0.05
0.85
0.86
0.06
0.93
0.91
0.06
0.97
0.90
0.04
0.94
0.91
0.02
0.94
0.94
0.04
0.98
0.97
0.05
1.03
1.02
0.07
1.09
0
7
8
4
4
6
9
6
4
15
6
7
20
7
7
24
8
8
26
9
9
27
10
9
27
9
7
27
8
6
27
8
4
26
8
4
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
B1 MARIA
ASIA - B1 MARIA
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2642
3080
3425
3728
3861
3895
4008
3814
3632
3368
3040
2744
1.2
2.0
3.4
5.9
10.1
17.0
28.8
39.0
52.6
70.5
97.3
126.4
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
20
26
2
4
0
52
14
33
3
7
0
57
10
49
4
8
0
72
7
68
8
11
0
93
5
86
14
13
0
118
3
107
21
16
0
147
2
131
24
23
0
180
2
152
17
24
0
194
1
165
12
29
0
207
1
178
8
35
0
221
1
186
11
42
0
240
0
187
19
45
0
251
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
28
14
3
1
13
20
22
5
1
20
14
30
7
3
27
10
39
11
2
41
7
49
17
2
55
5
56
23
6
72
3
61
25
13
85
2
49
18
18
114
2
46
13
38
127
1
45
9
61
138
1
45
12
79
145
1
46
19
87
144
1
61
1
68
1
81
1
104
1
129
1
163
17
204
20
222
20
245
20
274
20
301
20
315
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.4
0.1
0.6
0.7
0.2
0.7
1.1
0.3
0.8
1.5
0.4
0.8
2.1
0.7
0.9
2.7
0.9
0.9
3.2
1.1
0.9
3.7
1.2
0.9
4.1
1.3
0.9
4.6
1.4
0.0
17.8
38.0
58.6
80.5
103.9
128.7
151.9
172.4
191.6
210.2
229.3
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
366
431
0
365
458
1621
366
431
0
367
456
1621
369
428
0
380
444
1621
380
420
0
390
430
1621
380
420
0
399
421
1621
380
420
0
407
414
1621
379
422
0
407
414
1621
375
387
39
407
414
1621
362
387
51
407
414
1621
326
387
88
407
414
1621
285
387
129
407
414
1621
248
387
166
407
414
1621
1.15
0.37
1.53
1.78
0.26
2.03
1.81
0.20
2.01
1.95
0.15
2.10
2.16
0.11
2.27
2.35
0.08
2.42
2.45
0.07
2.52
2.05
0.08
2.13
1.91
0.06
1.97
1.82
0.04
1.86
1.84
0.02
1.86
1.96
0.01
1.97
0
3
4
4
5
7
11
7
11
20
9
17
34
11
23
56
14
27
93
17
30
90
20
32
85
18
26
79
18
19
72
18
16
64
18
16
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
B1 MARIA
ALM - B1 MARIA
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1348
1699
2071
2449
2720
2836
3192
3231
3259
3190
3029
2864
1.7
2.7
4.6
7.2
10.9
16.8
25.6
35.3
49.0
67.1
93.0
127.4
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
3
24
5
3
0
35
2
29
4
6
0
40
2
41
7
9
0
60
1
51
19
13
0
84
1
61
32
16
0
110
1
73
44
20
0
138
0
90
56
28
0
175
0
110
57
32
0
199
0
122
49
35
0
207
0
148
35
43
0
225
0
150
48
53
0
252
0
182
36
62
0
280
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
6
18
7
0
8
4
25
12
0
6
3
38
19
0
7
2
49
32
0
12
1
59
42
0
19
1
68
51
3
31
1
58
61
9
51
0
40
61
27
83
0
28
52
47
102
0
38
36
76
116
0
29
50
111
126
0
47
37
140
139
2
41
2
48
1
69
1
95
1
123
1
155
22
202
25
236
25
254
24
290
24
339
24
386
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.8
0.4
0.1
1.3
0.7
0.2
1.9
1.1
0.2
2.6
1.6
0.2
3.2
2.3
0.2
3.6
2.9
0.2
3.8
3.4
0.2
4.2
3.7
0.2
4.5
4.2
0.0
16.4
36.1
58.8
84.4
112.2
140.1
164.5
183.5
199.3
214.8
231.1
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
490
2095
0
2202
2086
6873
490
2095
0
2204
2084
6873
490
2095
0
2220
2068
6873
714
1870
0
2239
2050
6873
834
1750
0
2261
2027
6873
846
1739
0
2288
2000
6873
939
1482
164
2321
1967
6873
787
1352
445
2360
1928
6873
648
1352
584
2407
1881
6873
623
1352
609
2411
1878
6873
623
1352
609
2411
1878
6873
623
1352
609
2411
1878
6873
0.72
0.73
1.45
1.01
0.82
1.83
1.37
0.75
2.12
1.75
0.67
2.42
2.11
0.58
2.69
2.41
0.47
2.88
2.35
0.34
2.69
1.99
0.19
2.18
1.60
0.02
1.62
1.55
-0.01
1.54
1.58
-0.02
1.55
1.74
-0.04
1.70
0
4
2
2
4
5
16
5
5
28
6
8
42
7
12
64
8
17
98
9
22
102
11
24
102
11
21
101
11
14
96
12
14
89
12
14
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
B1 MINICAM
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - B1 MINICAM
1990
Population
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
5293
6100
6874
7618
8122
8484
8703
8623
8430
8126
7621
7137
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
20.7
na
27.4
na
37.5
na
51.0
na
73.0
na
100.7
na
134.1
na
172.7
na
211.9
na
251.8
na
289.9
na
330.8
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
45
121
52
35
0
253
0
50
112
57
46
0
264
0
55
109
66
63
0
294
0
60
113
82
85
0
341
0
66
113
86
113
0
378
0
66
123
86
147
0
421
0
61
142
81
185
0
469
0
43
152
78
219
0
493
0
32
162
78
247
0
518
0
25
172
79
270
0
546
0
24
176
81
272
0
553
0
22
181
84
273
0
561
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
88
131
70
24
0
98
120
76
22
5
107
116
100
24
9
113
119
144
29
13
131
115
162
41
17
136
123
169
49
20
127
144
165
54
23
93
156
160
51
26
68
167
155
46
27
51
177
148
38
24
49
183
149
40
23
47
188
151
41
22
24
336
24
345
28
384
33
451
44
509
76
573
129
642
185
672
234
696
277
716
257
701
238
687
0.1
0.1
0.1
1.1
1.4
0.8
2.1
2.6
1.8
3.2
3.7
2.9
4.4
4.9
4.5
5.7
6.1
6.1
7.1
7.4
7.8
8.1
8.9
9.4
8.9
10.6
11.0
9.5
12.3
12.5
10.0
14.1
14.0
10.5
15.9
15.5
0.0
75.3
157.1
246.7
345.0
445.3
542.3
634.2
719.3
794.0
858.8
915.5
1472
3209
0
4173
4310
13164
1467
3349
1
4214
4133
13164
1456
3590
2
4144
3972
13164
1439
3933
1
3963
3828
13164
1377
4240
1
3737
3810
13164
1287
4443
0
3611
3823
13164
1168
4544
0
3584
3868
13164
989
4268
0
4038
3870
13164
833
3976
0
4428
3928
13164
699
3668
0
4754
4043
13164
598
3522
0
4796
4250
13165
496
3375
0
4837
4458
13166
5.99
1.11
6.90
1.07
7.39
1.00
8.23
1.30
8.99
1.14
9.23
0.72
9.30
0.15
8.58
0.36
8.06
0.02
7.73
-0.86
7.83
-1.75
7.92
-2.64
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
8.38
351
8.1
69.0
784
29
36
9.53
399
9.5
69.0
291
32
37
10.13
439
11.1
65.6
257
33
47
9.94
483
13.0
57.1
298
37
58
9.45
512
14.8
43.7
338
42
68
8.94
506
15.4
30.4
337
47
71
8.08
505
16.1
21.6
333
45
62
6.87
510
16.8
17.3
327
43
46
6.07
535
18.5
16.9
315
46
43
5.28
561
20.2
16.6
299
45
43
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B1 MINICAM
B1 MINICAM
OECD90 - B1 MINICAM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
838
908
965
1007
1024
1066
1081
1084
1090
1098
1105
1112
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
16.3
na
20.5
na
25.1
na
30.1
na
32.0
na
38.8
na
44.6
na
50.3
na
56.5
na
63.2
na
71.0
na
79.3
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
10
72
27
22
0
130
0
11
63
31
24
0
128
0
10
55
36
25
0
126
0
7
48
41
27
0
123
0
7
43
39
28
0
117
0
6
34
35
31
0
107
0
6
35
32
35
0
108
0
5
35
30
38
0
108
0
4
36
30
42
0
112
0
3
38
32
46
0
118
0
3
39
33
47
0
122
0
3
41
35
47
0
126
40
76
34
20
0
38
67
40
13
2
32
58
50
9
3
22
49
64
8
3
22
43
61
8
3
23
32
54
8
3
23
32
49
7
3
18
33
46
7
3
13
35
45
6
4
9
38
45
6
3
10
40
47
6
3
11
41
49
7
3
12
182
11
171
10
162
10
155
10
148
14
133
20
134
27
134
34
137
42
143
41
147
39
150
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.4
0.8
0.4
0.8
1.4
0.9
1.1
1.9
1.4
1.2
2.1
1.7
1.5
2.7
2.6
1.7
3.0
3.1
1.9
3.3
3.6
2.1
3.7
4.0
2.2
4.0
4.5
2.3
4.4
4.9
2.4
4.8
5.4
0.0
30.1
61.8
92.5
121.6
148.0
171.6
193.8
214.8
233.9
251.1
266.9
408
796
0
921
998
3123
410
821
1
931
959
3123
407
867
1
923
925
3123
399
933
0
897
894
3123
386
960
0
883
893
3123
343
1022
0
862
896
3123
305
1037
0
873
907
3123
259
988
0
968
908
3123
221
939
0
1040
922
3123
193
891
0
1090
949
3123
158
850
0
1117
998
3123
124
809
0
1145
1046
3124
2.83
0.00
3.20
0.00
3.04
0.10
2.83
0.16
2.71
0.13
2.43
0.00
2.37
-0.09
2.23
-0.05
2.13
-0.11
2.08
-0.28
2.16
-0.51
2.24
-0.74
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
24
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
58
13
23
3.14
82
2.8
12.2
108
12
16
2.99
93
3.1
6.8
103
10
5
2.84
100
3.2
5.8
109
8
6
2.43
119
3.8
4.9
112
7
6
2.28
132
4.1
4.2
116
7
7
2.17
140
4.3
3.7
117
7
7
2.02
143
4.4
3.4
117
7
8
1.80
143
4.7
3.4
119
7
8
1.65
155
4.9
3.6
120
7
8
1.50
167
5.1
3.8
120
6
8
Population
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B1 MINICAM
REF - B1 MINICAM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
428
425
426
433
434
431
423
408
392
374
357
340
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.1
na
1.1
na
1.4
na
2.0
na
3.0
na
4.1
na
5.3
na
7.1
na
9.2
na
11.5
na
13.4
na
15.6
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
13
18
19
6
0
56
0
10
12
15
8
0
44
0
8
8
14
11
0
40
0
7
8
16
15
0
46
0
6
8
16
17
0
47
0
5
8
14
19
0
46
0
4
7
12
21
0
45
0
3
7
10
22
0
42
0
2
7
9
23
0
40
0
2
6
8
22
0
38
0
1
6
8
21
0
36
0
1
6
7
20
0
34
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
18
20
26
3
0
17
13
20
4
1
16
10
20
5
1
15
10
28
7
2
16
9
28
7
2
16
8
26
7
2
15
8
21
6
2
9
8
18
5
2
6
8
15
4
2
5
7
13
3
2
4
7
12
3
2
3
6
11
3
2
3
70
3
57
4
56
5
66
6
68
10
69
16
69
20
63
23
58
24
54
21
49
19
44
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.7
0.7
0.5
1.0
0.8
0.6
1.2
1.0
0.6
1.5
1.1
0.7
1.7
1.2
0.8
1.8
1.2
0.9
2.0
1.3
1.0
2.1
1.3
1.0
2.2
0.0
11.0
19.9
29.3
39.5
49.3
57.9
65.3
71.6
76.1
78.7
80.1
284
395
0
1007
691
2377
294
410
0
1016
657
2377
300
452
0
997
628
2377
304
522
0
948
604
2377
295
587
0
893
602
2377
278
627
0
867
606
2377
251
643
0
869
614
2377
205
564
0
994
615
2377
166
493
0
1093
626
2377
133
430
0
1167
647
2377
117
428
0
1147
685
2377
101
426
0
1127
724
2377
1.30
0.00
0.91
0.00
0.83
0.03
0.93
0.08
0.94
0.09
0.89
0.06
0.78
-0.01
0.60
0.10
0.48
0.08
0.40
-0.07
0.38
-0.17
0.35
-0.28
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
0.86
46
0.7
9.6
9
6
4
1.01
60
0.9
8.9
15
6
7
1.03
70
1.2
9.5
20
7
7
0.95
78
1.4
8.6
24
8
8
0.77
84
1.6
6.5
26
9
9
0.71
78
1.6
3.6
27
10
9
0.56
78
1.6
1.8
27
9
7
0.33
84
1.6
1.0
27
8
6
0.20
90
1.8
1.2
27
8
4
0.07
97
2.0
1.3
26
8
4
Population
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B1 MINICAM
ASIA - B1 MINICAM
Population
1990
Million
2790
2000
3226
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
3608
3937
4115
4210
4219
4062
3852
3589
3245
2919
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.4
na
3.1
na
6.4
na
11.5
na
21.7
na
34.1
na
48.6
na
63.3
na
77.6
na
91.5
na
103.9
na
117.1
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
20
14
2
4
0
40
0
27
18
5
10
0
59
0
34
23
8
19
0
84
0
42
29
13
32
0
115
0
46
34
15
47
0
141
0
46
40
16
63
0
165
0
41
47
16
81
0
185
0
29
50
16
95
0
189
0
20
53
15
105
0
194
0
16
55
15
113
0
200
0
14
55
15
111
0
196
0
13
55
15
109
0
193
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
26
16
3
1
0
39
19
8
3
2
53
25
18
7
4
68
32
33
11
7
79
35
44
18
9
79
41
51
23
11
68
49
54
26
12
47
53
52
24
14
33
56
48
21
14
25
57
44
17
13
22
58
43
17
12
20
58
42
17
11
3
49
4
75
5
111
7
157
12
197
28
232
54
263
79
269
100
272
117
272
105
257
94
242
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.9
0.4
0.2
1.4
0.7
0.4
2.2
1.0
0.9
3.0
1.4
1.3
3.7
1.9
1.9
4.2
2.4
2.4
4.6
2.9
2.9
4.9
3.5
3.3
5.2
4.1
3.8
5.4
4.6
4.2
0.0
17.8
40.7
70.1
105.6
144.3
182.7
217.8
248.3
274.5
297.7
318.9
389
508
0
1168
664
2729
400
524
0
1144
633
2700
406
554
0
1108
606
2674
408
600
1
1060
584
2652
399
641
1
1027
583
2650
381
671
0
1012
587
2651
354
691
0
1017
596
2657
302
673
0
1086
597
2659
255
648
0
1159
608
2671
213
615
0
1236
628
2692
186
593
0
1283
665
2728
160
572
0
1330
701
2763
1.15
0.37
1.78
0.26
2.36
0.19
3.08
0.24
3.58
0.22
3.78
0.16
3.68
0.07
3.20
0.07
2.84
-0.01
2.59
-0.16
2.52
-0.30
2.46
-0.45
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
4
5
7
2.55
133
2.9
31.2
11
7
11
3.32
144
3.3
36.9
20
9
17
3.79
154
3.8
34.1
34
11
23
3.94
161
4.3
27.8
56
14
27
3.75
165
4.8
18.0
93
17
30
3.27
158
5.0
11.1
90
20
32
2.83
153
5.1
6.7
85
18
26
2.42
148
5.3
4.7
79
18
19
2.22
149
5.8
4.4
72
18
16
2.01
150
6.4
4.1
64
18
16
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B1 MINICAM
ALM - B1 MINICAM
Population
1990
Million
1236
2000
1541
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1876
2241
2531
2778
2980
3068
3096
3064
2913
2766
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.9
na
2.8
na
4.6
na
7.4
na
14.4
na
23.7
na
35.6
na
52.0
na
68.6
na
85.6
na
101.5
na
118.8
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
2
17
5
3
0
27
0
3
19
6
5
0
33
0
4
23
9
8
0
43
0
5
28
13
12
0
57
0
7
33
18
21
0
79
0
8
41
21
33
0
103
0
9
52
22
48
0
131
0
7
60
22
63
0
153
0
6
67
23
77
0
172
0
5
73
24
89
0
190
0
5
76
25
93
0
199
0
5
80
27
96
0
207
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
4
20
7
0
0
5
20
8
2
0
6
23
13
3
1
8
29
20
4
2
14
33
30
8
3
18
42
38
11
4
21
54
42
14
5
18
62
44
15
7
15
69
46
14
7
13
75
46
13
7
13
79
48
14
6
13
83
49
14
6
5
35
6
42
8
55
11
73
15
103
24
138
39
176
59
205
77
229
94
247
89
249
85
251
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.4
0.2
0.2
0.7
0.3
0.3
1.0
0.6
0.5
1.4
1.0
0.7
1.9
1.4
0.8
2.5
1.8
1.0
3.1
2.2
1.2
3.8
2.7
1.3
4.6
3.2
1.4
5.4
3.6
0.0
16.4
34.7
54.8
78.2
103.7
130.1
157.3
184.6
209.6
231.2
249.7
391
1510
0
3641
1957
7499
363
1594
0
3591
1884
7432
342
1717
0
3493
1813
7366
329
1879
0
3348
1746
7301
309
2025
0
3218
1733
7285
285
2123
0
3137
1734
7280
258
2174
0
3105
1750
7286
223
2043
0
3271
1749
7286
190
1897
0
3453
1771
7311
160
1733
0
3650
1818
7361
136
1651
0
3756
1902
7445
111
1568
0
3862
1987
7528
0.72
0.73
1.01
0.82
1.15
0.68
1.38
0.82
1.77
0.71
2.13
0.49
2.48
0.18
2.55
0.24
2.62
0.06
2.67
-0.35
2.77
-0.76
2.87
-1.17
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
2
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
1.83
90
1.7
13.0
16
5
5
2.20
102
2.2
13.4
28
6
8
2.47
116
2.9
13.3
42
7
12
2.62
126
3.6
12.8
64
8
17
2.65
131
4.2
12.0
98
9
22
2.79
131
4.6
9.0
102
11
24
2.67
132
5.0
6.7
102
11
21
2.31
135
5.3
5.2
101
11
14
2.01
141
6.0
4.8
96
12
14
1.70
147
6.6
4.4
89
12
14
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B1T MESSAGE
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - B1T MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
Population
5262
6117
6888
7617
8182
8531
8704
8667
8463
8125
7658
7056
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
20.9
25.7
26.8
33.3
36.2
44.6
52.1
61.6
73.1
82.2
100.7
108.4
135.6
140.0
171.6
171.8
208.5
204.1
249.8
242.5
290.0
281.3
328.4
318.8
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
38
42
111
41
35
8
275
27
51
123
47
44
10
303
22
58
158
63
62
16
379
16
52
192
73
89
27
449
10
47
224
87
120
36
524
8
38
250
101
151
47
593
6
21
261
97
174
57
616
0
16
244
92
196
68
616
0
6
215
76
204
84
586
0
2
191
52
208
96
548
0
1
156
41
203
103
503
0
1
131
33
193
95
452
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
91
128
71
7
46
91
155
84
8
45
109
172
119
11
53
109
189
159
16
68
98
203
212
27
86
77
197
258
43
107
39
190
258
48
123
19
159
258
42
138
7
124
234
24
148
4
96
210
17
148
2
68
183
18
138
2
48
166
21
128
8
352
13
395
24
488
43
583
62
687
97
779
161
819
230
846
303
840
347
822
372
780
348
714
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.9
1.4
0.7
1.8
3.0
1.6
2.9
4.7
2.8
4.0
6.6
4.3
5.0
8.6
6.5
5.8
10.6
9.0
6.1
12.5
11.6
6.3
14.1
14.2
6.4
15.3
16.5
6.4
16.3
18.6
6.5
16.9
20.5
0.0
75.3
160.5
251.1
342.1
432.4
516.2
588.4
648.3
696.7
735.2
765.4
1459
3389
0
4296
3805
12949
1466
3407
0
1464
3432
0
1461
3453
59
1458
3474
137
1452
3510
196
1447
3547
254
1442
3591
260
1437
3635
266
1433
3668
261
1431
3688
243
1429
3709
225
4255
3820
12949
4231
3822
12949
4264
3711
12949
4335
3545
12949
4405
3386
12949
4475
3226
12949
4522
3133
12949
4570
3040
12949
4619
2968
12949
4669
2918
12949
4719
2868
12949
8.26
0.79
9.05
357
6.0
64.7
784
29
36
1000
164
39
9.11
-0.03
9.08
387
5.8
52.4
291
32
37
1129
183
45
9.77
-0.65
9.11
426
5.7
44.5
257
33
47
1271
192
51
9.61
-0.66
8.95
455
5.7
37.8
298
37
58
1414
199
53
8.48
-0.67
7.81
465
5.6
30.3
338
42
68
1460
194
49
7.26
-0.62
6.63
446
5.6
25.0
337
47
71
1426
171
44
5.92
-0.57
5.35
427
5.5
19.2
333
45
62
1333
143
36
4.92
-0.57
4.35
385
5.4
15.9
327
43
46
1192
114
28
3.96
-0.61
3.35
326
5.4
13.3
315
46
43
1063
87
21
3.33
-0.65
2.68
268
5.3
11.4
299
45
43
966
68
16
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
5.99
1.11
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
879
139
31
6.90
1.07
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
877
141
32
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM B1 land-use data
Page 176 of 241
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM B1 emulation run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
B1T MESSAGE
B1T MESSAGE
OECD90 - B1T MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
859
919
965
1007
1043
1069
1081
1084
1089
1098
1108
1110
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
16.4
14.1
20.6
17.7
26.0
22.4
32.4
28.1
38.3
33.3
43.9
38.3
49.9
43.6
55.4
48.5
59.8
52.5
66.3
58.4
73.9
65.1
82.3
72.7
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
13
66
22
22
1
124
0
10
69
28
28
1
136
0
6
74
34
36
2
151
0
3
72
35
44
5
158
0
1
64
38
50
5
158
0
0
58
36
53
5
153
0
0
55
28
56
6
145
0
0
52
21
57
7
137
0
0
48
14
59
8
129
0
0
45
11
61
8
124
0
0
41
9
63
7
120
0
0
37
7
63
7
114
38
72
33
6
6
33
84
45
7
8
35
81
58
8
10
35
71
67
10
14
30
56
76
15
16
14
45
75
27
17
5
36
73
30
19
3
30
70
23
23
1
24
74
8
27
1
18
71
3
33
0
14
62
6
37
0
10
53
8
42
4
159
5
182
9
200
14
211
17
211
22
200
31
194
41
189
55
188
61
186
64
182
64
176
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.8
0.4
0.7
1.6
0.8
1.1
2.4
1.4
1.4
3.1
2.1
1.7
3.7
2.8
1.8
4.2
3.5
1.8
4.5
4.2
1.8
4.8
4.9
1.8
5.1
5.6
1.8
5.2
6.2
1.8
5.4
6.8
0.0
30.1
62.6
94.8
124.4
148.7
167.5
183.6
198.7
212.8
224.6
233.7
381
760
0
1050
838
3029
380
765
0
378
772
0
376
779
10
374
787
23
370
809
33
366
832
44
361
862
45
357
893
46
354
912
45
353
918
42
352
924
39
1059
826
3029
1074
805
3029
1094
770
3029
1117
728
3029
1133
684
3029
1149
639
3029
1154
607
3029
1159
574
3029
1167
551
3029
1179
537
3029
1192
522
3029
3.37
-0.07
3.29
72
2.4
8.9
108
12
16
177
38
14
3.28
-0.13
3.15
70
2.4
2.4
103
10
5
183
37
14
2.93
-0.16
2.77
67
2.3
0.4
109
8
6
167
32
13
2.22
-0.14
2.08
62
2.3
0.4
112
7
6
151
27
11
1.80
-0.12
1.69
58
2.3
0.4
116
7
7
137
24
9
1.61
-0.08
1.53
55
2.2
0.4
117
7
7
129
22
7
1.54
-0.04
1.50
52
2.2
0.1
117
7
8
119
20
6
1.36
-0.04
1.32
51
2.2
0.5
119
7
8
113
18
4
1.12
-0.08
1.04
50
2.1
1.1
120
7
8
104
14
2
0.90
-0.12
0.78
49
2.1
1.6
120
6
8
103
10
1
Population
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
2.83
0.00
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
24
179
42
13
3.20
0.00
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
58
13
23
161
36
12
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM B1 land-use data
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM B1 emulation run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
B1T MESSAGE
REF - B1T MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
413
419
427
433
435
433
423
409
392
374
357
339
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.1
2.6
0.8
2.2
1.1
2.6
1.7
3.3
2.8
4.3
4.3
5.3
6.2
6.4
8.2
8.2
10.3
10.3
12.8
12.8
15.3
15.3
18.1
18.1
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
9
15
14
6
7
50
0
5
10
10
5
6
36
0
3
10
12
6
6
37
0
2
13
12
7
7
40
0
1
14
12
9
7
43
0
0
16
12
12
7
47
0
0
18
9
14
7
48
0
0
17
7
15
7
45
0
0
14
5
15
6
41
0
0
13
4
15
6
38
0
0
12
3
15
5
35
0
0
10
2
15
5
32
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
19
20
27
1
2
12
14
21
1
1
9
13
25
1
1
6
15
28
1
1
3
16
33
1
1
1
16
39
1
2
-1
18
39
1
4
0
16
38
1
6
0
11
39
0
7
0
9
39
0
8
0
7
34
0
9
0
5
30
0
9
1
70
1
51
1
50
3
53
4
58
5
65
6
67
8
68
8
66
9
64
9
59
10
54
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.5
0.7
0.4
0.6
1.0
0.5
0.8
1.3
0.5
0.9
1.7
0.5
1.1
2.1
0.5
1.3
2.5
0.5
1.4
3.0
0.5
1.5
3.4
0.5
1.5
3.8
0.0
11.0
20.1
28.2
35.5
42.5
48.7
54.7
60.7
66.6
72.0
76.3
268
341
0
966
701
2276
266
362
0
266
364
0
266
366
9
265
368
20
265
370
29
264
372
37
264
374
38
263
376
39
263
378
38
263
380
35
262
382
33
951
696
2276
934
711
2276
933
702
2276
934
688
2276
954
659
2276
973
630
2276
983
617
2276
993
604
2276
1005
592
2276
1018
580
2276
1031
568
2276
0.86
0.04
0.90
40
0.6
7.2
9
6
4
46
15
3
0.84
-0.11
0.72
41
0.6
4.7
15
6
7
50
18
3
0.86
-0.12
0.74
44
0.6
3.0
20
7
7
58
21
4
0.86
-0.20
0.66
46
0.6
2.1
24
8
8
72
25
4
0.86
-0.28
0.59
45
0.6
1.3
26
9
9
81
28
4
0.83
-0.23
0.60
40
0.6
1.1
27
10
9
72
27
4
0.78
-0.17
0.61
35
0.6
0.8
27
9
7
54
26
3
0.73
-0.15
0.58
31
0.6
0.6
27
8
6
48
25
2
0.62
-0.14
0.48
28
0.6
0.5
27
8
4
35
19
2
0.52
-0.14
0.38
25
0.6
0.4
26
8
4
25
14
1
Population
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
1.30
0.00
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
69
16
5
0.91
0.00
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
41
13
3
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM B1 land-use data
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM B1 emulation run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
B1T MESSAGE
ASIA - B1T MESSAGE
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2798
3261
3620
3937
4147
4238
4220
4085
3867
3589
3258
2882
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.5
5.3
2.7
8.2
4.8
12.0
8.7
17.3
15.1
24.6
24.9
34.1
37.9
46.1
51.4
57.4
64.8
67.7
78.7
79.3
91.7
91.7
103.1
103.1
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
24
19
13
2
4
1
62
16
32
22
3
6
2
82
12
45
37
7
12
5
117
8
42
55
11
21
9
145
5
39
73
13
32
12
173
3
31
94
17
44
15
203
2
17
99
20
49
16
204
0
13
92
25
57
20
206
0
5
82
23
59
24
193
0
1
74
15
60
27
176
0
0
62
10
58
30
159
0
0
50
8
53
28
139
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
30
15
3
0
24
42
26
5
1
22
57
39
13
2
25
58
53
24
3
30
49
67
35
7
39
44
71
48
9
50
24
71
48
10
53
12
58
48
11
61
4
47
45
9
61
2
37
38
8
62
1
26
31
7
59
0
18
24
7
50
1
74
3
98
6
142
12
179
20
217
33
255
53
258
75
266
92
259
101
249
113
237
110
208
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.2
0.0
0.7
0.4
0.1
1.3
0.8
0.2
1.9
1.4
0.5
2.4
2.0
0.8
2.8
2.7
1.3
3.1
3.4
1.8
3.2
4.0
2.3
3.2
4.5
2.7
3.3
4.9
3.1
3.3
5.1
3.4
0.0
17.8
41.9
69.9
99.3
130.3
159.5
183.1
200.7
213.9
223.9
231.4
438
608
0
535
583
2164
435
606
0
435
609
0
435
612
12
434
614
28
434
617
40
434
619
52
434
622
54
433
625
55
433
628
54
433
631
50
433
634
46
525
598
2164
518
602
2164
535
571
2164
551
536
2164
557
516
2164
563
496
2164
578
477
2164
593
458
2164
604
446
2164
610
441
2164
616
436
2164
2.58
0.20
2.78
146
2.3
30.9
11
7
11
343
48
12
3.01
-0.17
2.84
163
2.3
27.3
20
9
17
422
56
15
3.21
-0.18
3.04
183
2.3
22.9
34
11
23
523
60
18
3.26
-0.10
3.16
196
2.3
18.2
56
14
27
624
64
19
2.72
-0.03
2.69
203
2.2
12.4
93
17
30
654
61
17
2.13
-0.10
2.03
197
2.2
9.0
90
20
32
661
53
15
1.66
-0.17
1.49
192
2.2
6.3
85
18
26
622
43
13
1.32
-0.18
1.14
172
2.2
4.6
79
18
19
558
30
10
1.00
-0.14
0.86
138
2.2
3.2
72
18
16
512
21
8
0.75
-0.10
0.65
105
2.2
2.2
64
18
16
451
16
6
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
1.15
0.37
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
235
33
7
1.78
0.26
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
4
5
7
270
37
9
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM B1 land-use data
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM B1 emulation run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
B1T MESSAGE
ALM - B1T MESSAGE
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1192
1519
1875
2241
2557
2791
2980
3089
3115
3064
2934
2727
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.9
3.8
2.7
5.1
4.4
7.6
9.3
12.8
17.0
20.1
27.6
30.6
41.6
44.0
56.7
57.8
73.6
73.6
92.0
92.0
109.1
109.1
124.8
124.8
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
14
1
17
4
3
0
39
11
4
22
6
5
1
49
11
4
37
10
9
3
73
8
5
53
15
18
7
106
6
7
72
24
29
12
149
4
6
82
36
42
19
190
3
4
90
40
55
27
219
0
3
83
39
68
34
228
0
1
72
34
71
46
224
0
1
59
22
72
56
210
0
1
42
19
68
61
190
0
1
33
16
62
56
168
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
5
21
8
0
14
4
30
12
0
14
8
40
23
1
17
11
50
39
2
24
15
64
68
4
30
18
65
96
5
37
11
66
98
7
47
5
55
101
8
48
2
42
76
8
53
2
32
62
6
46
1
22
56
5
32
2
15
60
7
27
2
49
4
65
7
96
14
140
21
201
37
259
70
300
106
322
148
328
176
322
186
302
165
275
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.6
0.2
0.2
1.0
0.4
0.3
1.5
0.8
0.4
2.1
1.5
0.6
2.7
2.5
0.7
3.4
3.5
0.8
4.0
4.5
0.8
4.4
5.3
0.8
4.7
5.9
0.8
4.9
6.5
0.0
16.4
35.9
58.2
82.9
111.0
140.4
167.0
188.1
203.4
214.8
224.0
371
1680
0
1745
1684
5480
385
1675
0
385
1686
0
385
1696
29
384
1705
66
384
1714
93
383
1723
121
383
1732
124
383
1741
127
383
1750
124
382
1760
116
382
1769
107
1720
1700
5480
1704
1704
5480
1702
1669
5480
1732
1593
5480
1761
1527
5480
1790
1461
5480
1808
1432
5480
1825
1403
5480
1843
1379
5480
1862
1361
5480
1880
1342
5480
1.46
0.62
2.08
98
0.7
14.8
16
5
5
434
64
10
1.98
0.38
2.36
112
0.6
15.0
28
6
8
475
72
13
2.76
-0.19
2.57
133
0.5
15.2
42
7
12
522
80
16
3.27
-0.22
3.05
151
0.5
14.1
64
8
17
568
83
19
3.09
-0.25
2.85
159
0.5
13.1
98
9
22
588
81
19
2.69
-0.22
2.47
154
0.5
11.4
102
11
24
564
68
18
1.94
-0.19
1.75
148
0.5
9.0
102
11
21
538
54
14
1.50
-0.20
1.31
132
0.5
7.1
101
11
14
473
41
11
1.22
-0.24
0.97
110
0.5
5.4
96
12
14
412
33
10
1.16
-0.29
0.87
89
0.5
4.1
89
12
14
387
28
8
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
0.72
0.73
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
2
396
48
7
1.01
0.82
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
8
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM B1 land-use data
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM B1 emulation run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
B1HIGH MESSAGE
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - B1HIGH MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
Population
5262
6117
6888
7617
8182
8531
8704
8667
8463
8125
7658
7056
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
20.9
25.7
26.8
33.3
36.7
45.7
56.5
66.9
88.5
96.0
126.0
130.3
166.0
166.8
212.3
208.9
253.8
246.1
290.1
281.7
322.7
313.4
350.3
340.2
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
38
42
111
41
35
8
275
25
52
123
47
44
10
302
20
54
152
58
57
17
359
16
58
180
66
83
32
434
10
58
212
71
116
52
519
8
44
238
75
152
76
593
6
29
259
74
186
104
659
0
24
262
67
231
139
723
0
14
242
62
264
173
755
0
11
208
58
291
201
768
0
2
179
53
307
218
758
0
1
161
45
313
213
732
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
91
128
71
7
46
91
155
83
8
44
100
172
110
10
47
111
188
149
14
60
103
204
215
20
79
87
197
273
30
101
64
191
306
45
123
50
162
324
66
159
43
139
304
79
203
47
100
287
81
245
60
70
263
80
280
60
53
244
82
316
8
352
13
393
21
460
39
560
63
682
112
798
183
911
272
1033
348
1117
406
1167
431
1184
404
1157
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.9
1.4
0.7
1.8
3.0
1.6
2.8
4.7
2.7
3.9
6.6
4.1
5.0
8.6
6.3
5.8
10.6
9.0
6.5
12.5
12.1
7.0
14.1
15.3
7.4
15.5
18.4
7.9
16.5
21.2
8.5
17.2
23.9
0.0
75.3
158.6
246.9
338.3
432.9
528.1
620.1
704.9
780.4
847.6
907.9
1459
3389
0
4296
3805
12949
1466
3407
0
1464
3432
0
1461
3453
59
1458
3474
137
1452
3510
196
1447
3547
254
1442
3591
260
1437
3635
266
1433
3668
261
1431
3688
243
1429
3709
225
4255
3820
12949
4231
3822
12949
4264
3711
12949
4335
3545
12949
4405
3386
12949
4475
3226
12949
4522
3133
12949
4570
3040
12949
4619
2968
12949
4669
2918
12949
4719
2868
12949
7.90
0.79
8.69
351
6.0
62.0
784
29
36
951
157
37
8.99
-0.03
8.96
385
5.8
53.8
291
32
37
1065
177
42
9.97
-0.65
9.32
423
5.7
48.1
257
33
47
1193
184
47
10.27
-0.66
9.61
449
5.7
40.4
298
37
58
1323
190
47
10.11
-0.67
9.44
468
5.6
33.3
338
42
68
1470
199
45
9.57
-0.62
8.94
452
5.5
26.9
337
47
71
1549
185
40
8.60
-0.57
8.03
441
5.5
24.1
333
45
62
1658
173
35
7.63
-0.57
7.06
411
5.4
20.6
327
43
46
1731
152
29
6.99
-0.61
6.38
359
5.4
17.8
315
46
43
1793
125
26
6.33
-0.65
5.68
302
5.4
15.5
299
45
43
1871
103
23
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
5.99
1.11
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
879
139
31
6.90
1.07
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
877
141
32
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM B1 land-use data
Page 182 of 241
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM B1 emulation run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
B1HIGH MESSAGE
B1HIGH MESSAGE
OECD90 - B1HIGH MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
Population
859
919
965
1007
1043
1069
1081
1084
1089
1098
1108
1110
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
16.4
14.1
20.6
17.7
25.5
22.1
31.1
27.0
37.2
32.4
43.5
37.9
49.8
43.5
56.2
49.2
63.0
55.3
70.5
62.1
78.6
69.3
86.9
76.8
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
13
66
22
22
1
124
0
10
69
28
28
1
136
0
5
75
31
34
1
146
0
2
75
30
42
5
155
0
1
73
31
50
7
162
0
0
70
30
58
9
168
0
0
71
25
64
11
171
0
0
68
20
70
15
173
0
0
66
14
76
17
174
0
0
62
12
83
19
175
0
0
58
10
88
19
175
0
0
55
7
92
18
173
38
72
33
6
6
33
84
45
7
8
34
83
53
8
8
35
75
62
9
13
30
64
81
11
17
14
55
91
16
20
7
48
95
27
23
7
38
86
42
31
4
31
90
50
40
1
24
104
47
50
1
18
114
38
62
1
14
116
32
68
4
159
5
182
8
194
13
207
17
220
27
224
34
233
37
240
37
252
39
264
41
275
43
274
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.8
0.4
0.7
1.6
0.8
1.0
2.5
1.3
1.4
3.2
2.0
1.7
3.8
2.8
1.8
4.4
3.7
1.9
4.9
4.6
2.0
5.3
5.5
2.0
5.6
6.5
2.0
5.8
7.5
2.0
6.0
8.7
0.0
30.1
62.4
94.3
124.9
152.7
177.3
199.4
219.6
239.1
258.4
277.3
381
760
0
1050
838
3029
380
765
0
378
772
0
376
779
10
374
787
23
370
809
33
366
832
44
361
862
45
357
893
46
354
912
45
353
918
42
352
924
39
1059
826
3029
1074
805
3029
1094
770
3029
1117
728
3029
1133
684
3029
1149
639
3029
1154
607
3029
1159
574
3029
1167
551
3029
1179
537
3029
1192
522
3029
3.32
-0.07
3.25
71
2.4
9.1
108
12
16
166
36
13
3.27
-0.13
3.14
69
2.3
2.2
103
10
5
170
35
13
3.14
-0.16
2.98
66
2.3
0.6
109
8
6
163
32
13
2.73
-0.14
2.59
62
2.3
0.6
112
7
6
162
31
11
2.46
-0.12
2.34
59
2.3
0.6
116
7
7
157
30
9
2.16
-0.08
2.08
56
2.2
0.0
117
7
7
164
29
7
2.00
-0.04
1.96
53
2.2
0.5
117
7
8
171
29
6
1.99
-0.04
1.94
53
2.2
0.9
119
7
8
177
29
4
2.01
-0.08
1.93
53
2.1
1.5
120
7
8
180
24
3
1.96
-0.12
1.84
53
2.1
1.9
120
6
8
166
18
2
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
2.83
0.00
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
24
179
42
13
3.20
0.00
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
58
13
23
161
36
12
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM B1 land-use data
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM B1 emulation run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
B1HIGH MESSAGE
REF - B1HIGH MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
413
419
427
433
435
433
423
409
392
374
357
339
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.1
2.6
0.8
2.2
1.0
2.5
2.0
3.6
4.9
5.7
7.9
7.9
9.9
9.9
11.9
11.9
13.8
13.8
15.6
15.6
17.4
17.4
19.0
19.0
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
9
15
14
6
7
50
0
5
10
10
5
6
36
0
3
11
11
6
6
37
0
2
14
11
7
7
42
0
1
17
11
10
9
48
0
0
17
10
12
9
48
0
0
15
8
14
9
47
0
0
14
5
15
10
45
0
0
14
4
16
11
45
0
0
12
4
17
11
43
0
0
11
3
18
10
41
0
0
10
2
18
8
38
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
19
20
27
1
2
13
14
20
1
1
9
13
23
1
1
6
16
28
0
1
4
18
35
0
2
3
16
40
0
3
3
13
44
0
3
3
11
49
0
3
4
10
50
1
5
5
8
46
1
8
5
8
37
2
13
4
7
27
2
18
1
70
1
50
2
48
3
55
4
64
5
68
6
70
8
74
9
78
11
77
12
76
13
71
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.5
0.7
0.4
0.6
1.0
0.5
0.8
1.3
0.5
1.0
1.8
0.6
1.1
2.2
0.6
1.2
2.8
0.6
1.3
3.4
0.7
1.4
3.9
0.7
1.5
4.4
0.0
11.0
20.0
28.1
36.1
44.0
51.2
58.4
66.4
74.5
81.7
87.4
268
341
0
966
701
2276
266
362
0
266
364
0
266
366
9
265
368
20
265
370
29
264
372
37
264
374
38
263
376
39
263
378
38
263
380
35
262
382
33
951
696
2276
934
711
2276
933
702
2276
934
688
2276
954
659
2276
973
630
2276
983
617
2276
993
604
2276
1005
592
2276
1018
580
2276
1031
568
2276
0.84
0.04
0.88
39
0.6
7.1
9
6
4
44
15
3
0.87
-0.11
0.76
41
0.6
4.6
15
6
7
49
18
4
0.96
-0.12
0.84
43
0.6
3.0
20
7
7
58
21
4
0.95
-0.20
0.75
45
0.6
1.7
24
8
8
63
23
4
0.96
-0.28
0.69
46
0.6
2.0
26
9
9
60
25
4
0.98
-0.23
0.76
41
0.6
1.9
27
10
9
53
27
3
1.01
-0.17
0.84
38
0.6
2.7
27
9
7
49
30
2
0.93
-0.15
0.78
36
0.6
3.2
27
8
6
40
30
2
0.79
-0.14
0.65
32
0.6
3.4
27
8
4
35
23
1
0.62
-0.14
0.48
27
0.6
2.8
26
8
4
33
15
1
Population
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
1.30
0.00
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
69
16
5
0.91
0.00
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
41
13
3
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM B1 land-use data
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM B1 emulation run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
B1HIGH MESSAGE
ASIA - B1HIGH MESSAGE
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2798
3261
3620
3937
4147
4238
4220
4085
3867
3589
3258
2882
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.5
5.3
2.7
8.3
5.9
13.7
14.0
23.5
28.0
36.7
44.1
51.2
60.5
65.4
81.5
84.4
99.6
99.6
112.8
112.8
123.9
123.9
131.7
131.7
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
24
19
13
2
4
1
62
15
33
22
3
6
2
82
12
42
37
7
11
6
114
8
49
55
11
21
11
155
5
52
74
13
35
21
198
3
39
94
16
49
31
234
2
26
111
18
63
44
264
0
21
113
17
83
59
293
0
13
106
17
96
75
306
0
10
85
16
104
86
302
0
1
68
17
107
95
288
0
0
58
16
106
91
271
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
30
15
3
0
24
41
26
5
1
22
52
40
14
1
25
64
57
24
3
31
64
72
39
7
41
63
74
55
11
53
46
77
68
16
64
32
69
74
19
75
23
66
68
22
82
24
48
52
24
95
34
31
44
27
98
29
23
34
32
99
1
74
3
98
5
138
12
191
25
247
44
300
75
346
124
393
159
419
183
425
183
417
169
386
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.2
0.0
0.7
0.4
0.1
1.3
0.9
0.2
1.9
1.4
0.5
2.5
2.1
0.8
3.2
2.9
1.3
3.6
3.7
1.9
3.9
4.3
2.4
4.2
5.0
2.9
4.4
5.5
3.3
4.8
5.8
3.5
0.0
17.8
41.4
70.5
104.0
141.6
180.1
215.9
246.9
272.6
294.5
313.4
438
608
0
535
583
2164
435
606
0
435
609
0
435
612
12
434
614
28
434
617
40
434
619
52
434
622
54
433
625
55
433
628
54
433
631
50
433
634
46
525
598
2164
518
602
2164
535
571
2164
551
536
2164
557
516
2164
563
496
2164
578
477
2164
593
458
2164
604
446
2164
610
441
2164
616
436
2164
2.49
0.20
2.69
144
2.3
30.2
11
7
11
338
47
12
3.29
-0.17
3.12
166
2.3
31.5
20
9
17
432
60
16
3.78
-0.18
3.60
188
2.3
29.6
34
11
23
543
65
18
4.01
-0.10
3.90
203
2.3
23.3
56
14
27
645
68
20
3.84
-0.03
3.81
212
2.2
16.1
93
17
30
764
75
19
3.44
-0.10
3.33
203
2.2
11.5
90
20
32
792
69
17
3.04
-0.17
2.87
197
2.2
9.4
85
18
26
800
61
14
2.46
-0.18
2.28
180
2.2
6.3
79
18
19
775
48
12
2.23
-0.14
2.09
152
2.2
4.0
72
18
16
773
40
10
1.79
-0.10
1.70
118
2.2
3.0
64
18
16
751
34
9
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
1.15
0.37
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
235
33
7
1.78
0.26
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
4
5
7
270
37
9
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM B1 land-use data
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM B1 emulation run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
B1HIGH MESSAGE
ALM - B1HIGH MESSAGE
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1192
1519
1875
2241
2557
2791
2980
3089
3115
3064
2934
2727
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.9
3.8
2.7
5.1
4.3
7.4
9.3
12.8
18.3
21.2
30.5
33.3
45.7
47.9
62.7
63.4
77.5
77.5
91.1
91.1
102.9
102.9
112.7
112.7
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
14
1
17
4
3
0
39
10
4
22
6
5
1
48
9
4
28
9
7
4
61
8
4
36
13
13
8
82
6
4
49
17
21
15
111
4
4
57
18
33
27
143
3
3
63
22
46
40
178
0
3
66
24
63
55
211
0
1
57
27
76
70
231
0
1
49
26
87
85
248
0
1
43
23
94
94
254
0
1
39
19
96
96
251
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
5
21
8
0
14
4
30
12
0
13
5
35
20
0
13
5
41
34
1
16
5
49
60
2
19
6
52
87
2
25
7
52
100
3
33
10
44
114
5
50
13
31
96
7
77
17
20
86
10
94
21
13
68
13
108
26
8
67
16
131
2
49
4
63
7
80
11
108
17
152
35
206
67
262
103
326
143
368
174
400
194
417
179
426
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.9
0.4
0.2
1.3
0.8
0.2
1.8
1.4
0.3
2.3
2.3
0.4
2.8
3.3
0.5
3.3
4.6
0.6
3.6
5.6
0.8
3.8
6.5
1.0
3.9
7.3
0.0
16.4
34.9
54.0
73.2
94.6
119.4
146.3
172.0
194.1
213.0
229.9
371
1680
0
1745
1684
5480
385
1675
0
385
1686
0
385
1696
29
384
1705
66
384
1714
93
383
1723
121
383
1732
124
383
1741
127
383
1750
124
382
1760
116
382
1769
107
1720
1700
5480
1704
1704
5480
1702
1669
5480
1732
1593
5480
1761
1527
5480
1790
1461
5480
1808
1432
5480
1825
1403
5480
1843
1379
5480
1862
1361
5480
1880
1342
5480
1.25
0.62
1.87
97
0.7
12.7
16
5
5
403
59
9
1.56
0.38
1.95
109
0.6
12.5
28
6
8
414
64
10
2.10
-0.19
1.90
125
0.5
12.0
42
7
12
429
67
12
2.58
-0.22
2.36
138
0.5
11.8
64
8
17
453
67
12
2.85
-0.25
2.60
151
0.5
11.6
98
9
22
489
68
13
2.99
-0.22
2.77
153
0.5
10.4
102
11
24
540
60
13
2.55
-0.19
2.36
153
0.5
8.5
102
11
21
638
53
12
2.26
-0.20
2.06
143
0.5
7.2
101
11
14
738
45
12
1.96
-0.24
1.71
122
0.5
5.9
96
12
14
806
39
11
1.96
-0.29
1.67
104
0.5
4.8
89
12
14
922
36
11
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
0.72
0.73
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
2
396
48
7
1.01
0.82
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
8
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM B1 land-use data
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM B1 emulation run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM B1 emulation run
B1HIGH MINICAM
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - B1HIGH MINICAM
1990
Population
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
5293
6100
6874
7618
8122
8484
8703
8623
8430
8126
7621
7137
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
20.7
na
27.4
na
37.5
na
51.0
na
73.0
na
100.7
na
134.0
na
172.6
na
211.9
na
251.7
na
289.7
na
330.6
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
45
121
52
35
0
253
0
54
118
59
49
0
279
0
62
117
64
69
16
328
0
69
119
67
97
47
400
0
71
113
64
143
73
465
0
70
118
58
189
107
542
0
65
132
50
235
148
630
0
47
152
55
281
167
701
0
34
170
59
322
182
768
0
28
187
63
360
194
832
0
28
197
65
370
201
861
0
27
208
67
381
209
891
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
88
131
70
24
0
106
127
79
23
5
122
125
118
26
11
134
127
186
31
20
146
116
261
35
36
153
118
310
41
54
155
133
334
48
74
119
158
371
49
81
94
179
399
46
81
80
197
419
41
75
80
210
429
43
75
81
222
438
46
74
24
336
24
365
28
430
33
532
41
635
68
743
113
857
169
946
224
1023
278
1089
265
1101
253
1114
0.1
0.1
0.1
1.1
1.4
0.8
2.3
2.7
1.9
3.5
3.9
3.3
5.0
5.1
5.8
6.4
6.3
8.6
8.0
7.5
11.7
9.2
9.1
15.4
10.3
10.8
19.2
11.2
12.6
23.3
12.0
14.7
27.5
12.8
16.7
31.8
0.0
75.3
159.3
255.8
366.8
485.8
607.1
729.8
852.6
972.4
1086.5
1194.0
1472
3209
0
4173
4310
13164
1467
3349
0
4215
4134
13164
1455
3591
6
4144
3968
13164
1435
3935
18
3963
3813
13164
1373
4239
47
3720
3785
13164
1284
4439
83
3568
3790
13164
1167
4537
125
3506
3829
13164
992
4270
125
3931
3847
13164
833
3979
109
4339
3904
13164
691
3665
79
4731
3999
13164
592
3479
70
4805
4219
13164
493
3293
61
4879
4438
13164
5.99
1.11
6.90
1.07
7.81
1.01
9.15
1.34
10.49
1.22
11.28
0.82
11.93
0.25
12.00
0.36
12.15
0.05
12.40
-0.66
12.81
-1.73
13.22
-2.79
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
8.82
352
8.1
73.4
784
29
36
10.48
398
9.5
75.6
291
32
37
11.70
443
11.0
67.0
257
33
47
12.09
489
12.9
56.1
298
37
58
12.18
521
14.6
42.8
338
42
68
12.35
524
15.3
29.8
337
47
71
12.21
529
16.1
21.4
333
45
62
11.74
536
16.8
17.6
327
43
46
11.08
558
18.2
17.7
315
46
43
10.43
579
19.7
17.9
299
45
43
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B1HIGH MINICAM
B1HIGH MINICAM
OECD90 - B1HIGH MINICAM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
Population
838
908
965
1007
1024
1066
1081
1084
1090
1098
1105
1112
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
16.3
na
20.5
na
25.1
na
30.1
na
32.0
na
38.8
na
44.6
na
50.2
na
56.4
na
63.1
na
71.0
na
79.3
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
10
72
27
22
0
130
0
12
66
33
25
0
136
0
10
57
34
27
12
141
0
7
45
32
26
37
146
0
6
37
29
25
43
140
0
4
20
20
24
61
129
0
4
16
14
23
73
131
0
3
17
15
26
75
135
0
2
18
16
29
77
141
0
2
19
17
32
80
150
0
2
20
18
33
83
155
0
2
21
19
34
85
160
40
76
34
20
0
41
71
42
14
2
36
61
60
10
4
23
47
87
7
7
23
38
89
6
8
22
18
91
4
13
24
14
89
4
17
20
15
92
4
17
16
17
97
4
16
11
20
101
3
15
12
22
104
4
15
13
23
107
4
15
12
182
11
181
11
180
10
181
10
173
10
159
13
160
17
165
21
171
26
177
26
183
25
188
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.8
0.4
0.8
1.4
1.0
1.1
2.0
1.7
1.2
2.2
2.1
1.6
2.6
3.5
1.8
2.7
4.4
2.0
2.9
5.3
2.2
3.1
6.2
2.3
3.2
7.2
2.5
3.5
8.2
2.6
3.7
9.3
0.0
30.1
62.4
94.6
125.4
153.3
178.1
202.0
225.7
248.5
269.9
289.7
408
796
0
921
998
3123
411
822
0
931
959
3123
406
866
4
923
924
3123
394
929
13
897
890
3123
382
955
17
881
888
3123
340
1014
30
850
888
3123
303
1028
42
853
897
3123
258
983
38
941
902
3123
219
937
34
1017
916
3123
187
890
28
1079
938
3123
156
841
27
1110
989
3123
125
793
26
1140
1039
3123
2.83
0.00
3.20
0.00
3.15
0.11
2.99
0.18
2.85
0.15
2.54
0.03
2.46
-0.07
2.44
-0.05
2.44
-0.11
2.47
-0.24
2.56
-0.50
2.65
-0.75
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
24
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
58
13
23
3.26
82
2.8
12.1
108
12
16
3.17
91
3.0
5.1
103
10
5
3.01
96
3.2
3.6
109
8
6
2.57
114
3.7
2.6
112
7
6
2.39
127
4.0
2.2
116
7
7
2.39
137
4.2
2.1
117
7
7
2.33
143
4.4
2.2
117
7
8
2.22
145
4.6
2.4
119
7
8
2.06
153
4.8
2.7
120
7
8
1.90
161
5.0
3.0
120
6
8
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B1HIGH MINICAM
REF - B1HIGH MINICAM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
428
425
426
433
434
431
423
408
392
374
357
340
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.1
na
1.1
na
1.4
na
2.0
na
3.0
na
4.1
na
5.3
na
7.1
na
9.2
na
11.4
na
13.4
na
15.5
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
13
18
19
6
0
56
0
10
11
15
8
0
44
0
8
8
13
11
0
40
0
7
8
13
16
1
44
0
5
8
11
20
1
45
0
4
7
9
23
1
44
0
4
7
7
24
2
43
0
2
7
6
24
1
41
0
2
6
6
23
1
39
0
1
6
5
23
1
36
0
1
6
5
22
1
35
0
1
6
5
21
1
33
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
18
20
26
3
0
17
13
20
4
1
16
10
20
5
1
16
10
28
6
2
16
8
31
6
4
16
7
30
5
4
17
7
24
5
5
9
7
22
4
4
6
7
19
3
4
5
7
17
2
3
5
7
16
2
3
5
6
15
2
3
3
70
3
57
4
56
5
67
6
69
8
70
13
69
16
62
18
57
19
53
17
50
16
46
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.7
0.7
0.5
1.0
0.8
0.6
1.3
1.0
0.6
1.6
1.1
0.7
1.8
1.2
0.8
2.0
1.2
0.8
2.2
1.3
0.9
2.3
1.3
1.0
2.5
0.0
11.0
19.9
29.4
39.7
49.8
58.8
66.6
73.5
78.7
82.2
83.9
284
395
0
1007
691
2377
293
410
0
1016
657
2377
300
453
1
997
628
2377
304
523
2
948
602
2377
297
588
5
889
598
2377
282
631
7
857
600
2377
259
652
7
851
609
2377
211
576
3
973
613
2377
169
502
1
1081
624
2377
131
428
0
1177
642
2377
115
417
0
1163
682
2377
99
406
0
1150
722
2377
1.30
0.00
0.91
0.00
0.84
0.03
0.95
0.08
0.95
0.09
0.91
0.07
0.82
0.00
0.65
0.11
0.53
0.09
0.46
-0.04
0.44
-0.19
0.43
-0.34
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
8
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
0.87
47
0.7
9.9
9
6
4
1.02
63
0.9
9.5
15
6
7
1.04
72
1.2
9.1
20
7
7
0.97
82
1.4
8.1
24
8
8
0.82
92
1.6
6.5
26
9
9
0.75
86
1.6
3.8
27
10
9
0.62
86
1.6
2.1
27
9
7
0.42
90
1.5
1.3
27
8
6
0.26
100
1.7
1.4
27
8
4
0.09
111
1.9
1.6
26
8
4
Population
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B1HIGH MINICAM
ASIA - B1HIGH MINICAM
Population
1990
Million
2790
2000
3226
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
3608
3937
4115
4210
4219
4062
3852
3589
3245
2919
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.4
na
3.1
na
6.4
na
11.5
na
21.7
na
34.1
na
48.6
na
63.3
na
77.6
na
91.5
na
103.9
na
117.1
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
20
14
2
4
0
40
0
29
19
5
11
0
64
0
40
25
8
22
2
97
0
51
33
11
40
6
140
0
53
39
13
68
12
185
0
53
47
13
96
21
229
0
49
54
13
123
33
271
0
35
60
14
143
38
290
0
25
66
15
161
41
308
0
20
70
16
176
43
326
0
19
73
16
179
43
330
0
18
75
16
182
44
335
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
26
16
3
1
0
43
20
9
4
2
62
27
23
8
5
84
36
45
13
9
92
41
87
17
16
93
47
115
21
24
87
55
129
27
32
65
63
140
26
35
49
70
146
24
34
41
74
147
21
31
40
78
147
21
30
39
81
147
22
29
3
49
4
81
5
129
7
194
11
264
26
327
52
381
80
408
107
430
132
446
124
440
116
434
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.2
0.1
1.0
0.5
0.3
1.6
0.8
0.6
2.6
1.1
1.3
3.5
1.6
2.3
4.4
2.1
3.5
5.1
2.7
4.9
5.6
3.4
6.3
6.1
4.1
7.8
6.5
4.9
9.2
6.9
5.6
10.7
0.0
17.8
41.8
74.9
117.9
167.8
220.7
272.8
322.1
368.9
413.9
457.6
389
508
0
1168
664
2729
399
524
0
1144
633
2700
406
554
1
1107
605
2674
408
599
4
1058
581
2650
395
636
16
1020
578
2645
373
663
30
999
580
2645
343
680
44
995
587
2650
296
666
44
1056
591
2653
254
646
36
1126
602
2664
215
620
22
1207
620
2683
186
593
16
1268
659
2721
158
565
10
1329
697
2759
1.15
0.37
1.78
0.26
2.58
0.19
3.61
0.24
4.51
0.23
5.06
0.18
5.27
0.08
4.99
0.07
4.79
0.01
4.68
-0.12
4.71
-0.27
4.75
-0.43
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
4
5
7
2.77
133
2.9
34.7
11
7
11
3.86
144
3.3
43.5
20
9
17
4.74
155
3.8
37.6
34
11
23
5.24
160
4.2
29.4
56
14
27
5.36
161
4.7
19.1
93
17
30
5.06
157
4.9
11.7
90
20
32
4.79
155
5.1
7.1
85
18
26
4.56
154
5.4
5.3
79
18
19
4.44
151
5.8
5.3
72
18
16
4.31
148
6.3
5.3
64
18
16
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B1HIGH MINICAM
ALM - B1HIGH MINICAM
Population
1990
Million
1236
2000
1541
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1876
2241
2531
2778
2980
3068
3096
3064
2913
2766
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.9
na
2.8
na
4.6
na
7.4
na
14.3
na
23.7
na
35.6
na
52.0
na
68.6
na
85.6
na
101.5
na
118.7
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
2
17
5
3
0
27
0
3
21
7
6
0
36
0
4
26
9
10
1
50
0
6
33
12
15
4
70
0
7
37
15
30
11
101
0
8
44
17
47
24
139
0
9
55
16
65
40
185
0
7
68
19
88
52
235
0
6
80
22
109
63
280
0
5
91
25
129
70
321
0
5
99
26
137
75
341
0
5
106
27
145
79
362
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
4
20
7
0
0
6
22
9
2
1
8
27
16
3
2
11
34
27
5
3
16
38
52
7
7
22
46
74
10
13
28
57
93
13
20
26
72
117
15
25
24
85
137
15
27
22
96
153
15
26
23
104
161
16
27
25
112
169
17
27
5
35
6
46
8
65
12
91
15
136
23
188
36
246
57
311
78
366
101
413
98
429
96
446
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.5
0.2
0.2
0.8
0.4
0.4
1.2
0.9
0.6
1.6
1.5
0.8
2.1
2.3
1.1
2.8
3.5
1.3
3.6
4.7
1.5
4.4
6.1
1.8
5.5
7.7
2.0
6.5
9.3
0.0
16.4
35.1
56.9
83.7
114.8
149.5
188.3
231.4
276.3
320.5
362.8
391
1510
0
3641
1957
7499
363
1594
0
3592
1884
7432
342
1719
0
3492
1812
7365
329
1884
0
3343
1740
7296
311
2033
5
3203
1724
7276
289
2131
16
3111
1722
7269
263
2177
33
3065
1736
7273
226
2045
39
3227
1740
7277
191
1895
38
3415
1762
7300
157
1727
30
3629
1799
7343
134
1628
27
3753
1890
7431
111
1528
25
3876
1980
7520
0.72
0.73
1.01
0.82
1.24
0.68
1.59
0.84
2.18
0.74
2.78
0.54
3.38
0.23
3.92
0.23
4.40
0.06
4.79
-0.27
5.09
-0.77
5.40
-1.27
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
2
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
1.93
90
1.7
13.7
16
5
5
2.43
101
2.2
14.5
28
6
8
2.92
120
2.9
13.7
42
7
12
3.31
134
3.6
12.9
64
8
17
3.62
142
4.3
12.1
98
9
22
4.15
143
4.6
9.1
102
11
24
4.46
145
5.0
7.0
102
11
21
4.53
147
5.3
5.6
101
11
14
4.32
154
5.9
5.3
96
12
14
4.13
160
6.5
5.0
89
12
14
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B2 MESSAGE
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - B2 MESSAGE
1990
Population
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
5262
6091
6891
7672
8372
8930
9367
9704
9960
10158
10306
10414
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
20.9
25.7
28.3
34.8
38.6
46.9
50.7
60.2
66.0
75.5
85.5
93.2
109.5
113.9
134.8
136.8
161.5
160.7
186.3
183.8
210.3
207.4
234.9
231.8
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
38
42
111
41
35
8
275
27
47
134
46
47
11
311
27
40
167
50
62
17
362
24
36
200
59
85
25
429
18
29
236
70
113
41
507
14
30
255
86
150
51
586
11
19
268
105
188
63
654
10
17
273
119
227
78
723
9
16
267
130
272
90
783
8
16
270
130
321
104
848
7
13
289
118
366
116
909
7
7
294
111
409
123
951
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
91
128
71
7
46
91
168
84
8
43
98
195
107
11
46
98
214
150
16
53
96
240
194
23
61
93
238
251
32
79
86
227
297
48
105
91
201
356
61
136
119
146
390
83
184
170
101
402
99
236
231
72
385
120
280
300
52
336
142
315
8
352
14
408
22
479
34
566
54
667
80
773
107
869
131
976
153
1074
176
1184
197
1285
212
1357
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.9
1.4
0.7
1.8
3.1
1.6
2.8
5.1
2.7
3.8
7.2
4.2
4.7
9.6
6.1
5.7
12.0
8.6
6.5
14.3
11.6
7.4
16.3
15.1
8.6
17.7
19.0
10.3
18.7
23.1
12.6
19.5
26.9
0.0
75.3
159.1
248.3
343.0
446.0
554.5
667.0
782.5
901.4
1026.1
1156.7
1459
3389
0
4296
3805
12949
1481
3409
0
4252
3806
12949
1510
3436
0
4225
3778
12949
1540
3454
14
4251
3690
12949
1570
3473
92
4292
3522
12949
1598
3508
190
4323
3330
12949
1626
3543
288
4353
3139
12949
1656
3577
313
4380
3023
12949
1687
3611
338
4407
2907
12949
1718
3641
342
4441
2807
12949
1751
3668
325
4482
2723
12949
1784
3696
307
4522
2639
12949
7.99
0.80
8.78
349
6.2
65.9
786
42
48
935
159
37
9.02
0.03
9.05
384
6.1
61.3
299
55
55
1022
180
43
10.15
-0.25
9.90
426
6.1
60.3
272
70
60
1111
199
49
10.93
-0.24
10.69
466
6.2
59.0
315
88
76
1220
214
53
11.23
-0.23
11.01
504
6.3
55.7
346
107
79
1319
217
54
11.74
-0.24
11.49
522
6.4
53.8
413
120
80
1423
214
56
11.87
-0.25
11.62
544
6.6
50.9
483
128
74
1570
202
56
12.46
-0.31
12.15
566
6.7
50.0
548
130
63
1742
192
59
13.20
-0.41
12.79
579
6.8
49.0
603
127
65
1886
178
61
13.82
-0.50
13.32
597
6.9
47.9
649
121
69
2002
170
61
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
5.99
1.11
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
879
139
31
6.90
1.07
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
877
141
32
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM B2 land-use data
Page 194 of 241
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM B2 run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM B2 run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM B2 run
B2 MESSAGE
B2 MESSAGE
OECD90 - B2 MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
859
916
953
982
994
988
976
965
951
941
934
928
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
16.4
14.1
21.1
18.3
26.5
23.0
30.3
26.3
33.1
28.8
35.8
31.3
38.3
33.5
40.9
35.9
44.4
39.2
47.9
42.4
52.0
46.1
56.6
50.4
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
13
66
22
22
1
124
0
9
71
24
29
1
133
0
4
79
26
36
2
146
0
3
86
25
44
4
162
0
1
92
27
50
7
177
0
0
88
31
56
8
183
0
0
76
35
61
10
182
0
0
68
38
65
12
183
0
0
64
34
71
14
183
0
0
60
29
76
16
182
0
0
60
24
83
17
184
0
0
58
17
89
18
182
38
72
33
6
6
34
86
41
7
7
36
91
50
9
6
39
90
61
11
7
33
90
71
13
8
24
81
86
15
9
20
65
99
17
12
19
54
114
16
15
23
42
113
21
22
26
30
123
21
28
29
23
127
25
31
34
17
121
29
33
4
159
5
180
8
200
11
219
15
230
20
234
25
236
29
248
33
253
36
265
39
273
41
274
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.8
0.3
0.7
1.7
0.8
1.1
2.6
1.3
1.5
3.5
1.9
1.8
4.4
2.6
2.0
5.2
3.4
2.2
5.8
4.3
2.4
6.4
5.4
2.6
6.8
6.6
2.9
7.1
7.8
3.3
7.3
9.2
0.0
30.1
63.5
99.1
135.5
170.8
204.1
236.1
267.0
297.0
326.8
356.3
381
760
0
1050
838
3029
384
764
0
1059
822
3029
391
770
0
1069
799
3029
398
773
2
1082
774
3029
406
776
17
1095
734
3029
411
787
36
1104
691
3029
417
798
54
1113
647
3029
423
812
59
1125
611
3029
429
826
64
1136
575
3029
435
838
64
1151
540
3029
442
849
61
1171
506
3029
449
860
58
1190
471
3029
3.50
-0.02
3.48
72
2.5
11.3
105
14
25
163
37
13
3.71
-0.06
3.64
71
2.4
6.7
99
13
23
173
39
15
3.70
-0.08
3.62
68
2.5
5.7
102
12
17
180
42
16
3.51
-0.06
3.45
67
2.5
4.9
101
11
13
187
45
16
3.26
-0.05
3.22
69
2.5
4.1
102
10
13
185
43
15
3.25
-0.06
3.19
69
2.5
3.7
101
8
11
185
41
15
3.08
-0.08
2.99
70
2.5
3.4
100
7
10
195
38
14
3.10
-0.11
2.99
72
2.6
3.3
98
7
11
213
36
13
3.14
-0.15
2.98
75
2.6
3.3
98
7
10
207
33
12
3.10
-0.19
2.91
78
2.6
3.5
97
7
10
197
30
11
Population
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
2.83
0.00
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
24
179
42
13
3.20
0.00
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
57
13
23
161
36
12
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM B2 land-use data
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM B2 run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM B2 run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM B2 run
B2 MESSAGE
REF - B2 MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
413
415
417
418
416
411
406
396
389
384
381
379
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.1
2.6
1.0
2.4
1.2
2.7
1.8
3.3
2.8
4.3
4.5
5.6
6.6
7.2
8.6
9.5
10.5
11.6
11.9
13.3
13.2
14.8
14.5
16.2
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
9
15
14
6
7
50
0
5
14
14
6
6
45
0
3
17
12
6
6
44
0
2
17
15
7
7
49
0
1
17
18
9
10
55
0
1
19
19
13
11
63
0
0
19
19
18
12
68
0
0
18
18
21
14
71
0
0
18
16
24
15
73
0
0
19
15
27
16
76
0
0
20
12
30
16
78
0
0
22
10
32
15
79
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
19
20
27
1
2
15
18
26
1
1
11
20
24
1
1
7
19
31
1
1
9
18
38
1
2
10
18
49
1
2
12
20
51
2
4
8
16
59
3
6
11
7
66
4
10
15
5
63
6
13
21
4
52
7
16
29
0
43
9
22
1
70
1
62
2
57
3
62
4
73
6
86
8
97
10
102
12
111
16
117
19
119
21
125
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.6
0.8
0.5
0.8
1.1
0.6
1.0
1.5
0.7
1.1
2.0
0.8
1.3
2.5
0.9
1.5
3.2
1.1
1.6
3.9
1.3
1.6
4.6
1.5
1.6
5.2
0.0
11.0
19.5
26.7
33.8
42.9
54.0
65.7
77.4
89.4
101.2
112.8
268
341
0
966
701
2276
269
362
0
951
693
2276
274
366
0
939
697
2276
280
368
1
944
683
2276
285
370
6
947
668
2276
291
373
12
944
656
2276
296
377
18
941
644
2276
302
380
20
940
634
2276
308
383
21
939
624
2276
314
386
22
941
613
2276
320
389
20
945
601
2276
327
392
19
949
589
2276
0.80
-0.01
0.79
36
0.6
7.1
9
8
5
43
14
3
0.81
-0.18
0.63
40
0.6
3.5
15
10
7
48
16
3
0.94
-0.14
0.80
45
0.6
1.6
21
14
9
59
21
4
1.11
-0.09
1.02
50
0.6
1.3
25
19
12
69
28
5
1.24
-0.04
1.20
53
0.6
2.9
25
25
15
74
32
5
1.18
-0.04
1.15
50
0.7
2.8
26
28
16
73
31
5
1.22
-0.03
1.19
47
0.7
2.9
26
30
15
68
30
5
1.24
-0.03
1.21
47
0.7
3.1
26
30
14
72
30
5
1.21
-0.04
1.17
46
0.7
3.4
27
28
14
70
27
4
1.18
-0.04
1.14
47
0.7
3.6
27
27
14
79
26
4
Population
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
1.30
0.00
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
7
69
16
5
0.91
0.00
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
41
13
3
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM B2 land-use data
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM B2 run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM B2 run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM B2 run
B2 MESSAGE
ASIA - B2 MESSAGE
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2798
3248
3649
4008
4312
4538
4696
4790
4856
4902
4938
4968
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.5
5.3
3.5
9.3
7.2
15.1
13.2
22.4
21.3
30.7
30.7
39.3
41.8
49.3
52.7
59.0
64.1
68.7
75.0
78.5
85.8
89.2
97.1
100.4
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
24
19
13
2
4
1
62
16
30
26
3
8
3
86
16
29
41
5
14
7
111
13
28
60
9
24
10
144
11
24
81
13
37
16
181
9
25
96
18
53
20
220
7
17
112
22
70
25
252
6
14
117
30
87
31
284
5
12
109
38
108
35
308
5
12
107
37
131
43
335
5
9
114
34
151
51
363
4
2
122
33
169
55
385
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
30
15
3
0
24
38
32
6
1
22
47
45
16
2
25
47
63
31
4
28
48
82
43
7
32
53
88
55
13
41
48
93
61
21
54
56
82
72
29
68
71
61
79
38
88
105
41
66
47
109
144
27
51
56
123
180
21
39
65
129
1
74
4
103
7
141
12
185
21
233
31
281
43
319
52
359
61
397
71
439
81
482
88
521
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.2
0.0
0.7
0.5
0.1
1.2
1.0
0.3
1.7
1.6
0.6
2.1
2.4
1.0
2.7
3.3
1.5
3.1
4.2
2.1
3.7
5.0
2.7
4.3
5.6
3.4
5.3
6.1
4.0
6.7
6.3
4.5
0.0
17.8
41.1
68.5
100.2
137.4
177.8
219.4
261.8
305.7
353.4
406.7
438
608
0
535
583
2164
439
607
0
525
593
2164
448
611
0
518
587
2164
457
615
3
533
557
2164
466
618
21
548
512
2164
475
623
43
553
471
2164
484
627
65
558
430
2164
494
632
70
563
406
2164
504
636
76
567
382
2164
514
640
77
571
362
2164
524
644
73
575
348
2164
535
647
69
580
333
2164
2.42
0.20
2.62
146
2.4
30.1
21
14
12
314
44
12
3.02
-0.15
2.87
171
2.4
32.9
40
22
18
375
53
15
3.62
-0.16
3.46
201
2.5
33.3
66
30
25
428
59
18
4.07
-0.09
3.98
219
2.5
32.0
95
38
32
472
60
20
4.12
-0.03
4.10
234
2.6
26.4
130
46
36
518
59
19
4.26
-0.03
4.22
241
2.6
24.3
164
51
36
549
56
20
4.30
-0.04
4.26
251
2.7
22.1
199
54
33
579
52
20
4.57
-0.05
4.53
260
2.8
21.5
233
54
27
598
45
22
5.07
-0.05
5.01
265
2.8
21.3
267
53
29
617
41
24
5.69
-0.06
5.63
272
2.9
20.6
302
51
30
651
39
26
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
1.15
0.37
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
235
33
7
1.78
0.26
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
270
37
9
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM B2 land-use data
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM B2 run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM B2 run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM B2 run
B2 MESSAGE
ALM - B2 MESSAGE
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1192
1511
1872
2263
2649
2992
3289
3554
3764
3931
4053
4139
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.9
3.8
2.7
4.9
3.7
6.2
5.5
8.2
8.8
11.7
14.6
17.0
22.8
23.9
32.6
32.4
42.6
41.2
51.4
49.6
59.3
57.2
66.8
64.9
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
14
1
17
4
3
0
39
10
4
23
5
5
1
47
11
3
30
8
7
3
61
11
3
37
10
11
4
75
7
3
46
14
16
8
95
5
3
53
19
28
12
120
4
2
61
28
40
17
152
4
3
71
34
54
21
186
3
4
76
42
70
25
219
3
4
83
48
86
30
255
3
4
95
48
102
32
284
3
5
93
52
119
35
306
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
5
21
8
0
14
5
32
11
0
13
4
40
18
0
14
5
42
27
0
17
6
50
41
1
20
6
51
62
3
28
6
50
87
8
36
7
50
111
13
46
14
36
132
20
64
24
25
150
26
86
37
18
155
32
111
58
14
133
39
132
2
49
3
63
6
81
8
100
13
131
23
172
32
217
40
267
47
314
53
364
58
411
62
437
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
1.0
0.4
0.2
1.4
0.6
0.2
1.9
1.1
0.3
2.4
1.7
0.4
2.9
2.7
0.5
3.4
3.9
0.6
3.8
5.2
0.8
4.0
6.6
1.1
4.2
8.1
0.0
16.4
35.0
54.0
73.6
94.8
118.6
145.7
176.3
209.3
244.6
280.9
371
1680
0
1745
1684
5480
389
1676
0
1717
1698
5480
397
1689
0
1699
1695
5480
405
1699
7
1692
1676
5480
413
1709
48
1701
1608
5480
421
1725
100
1721
1513
5480
429
1741
151
1740
1419
5480
438
1754
164
1752
1372
5480
446
1766
177
1765
1326
5480
455
1777
179
1777
1292
5480
464
1787
170
1790
1269
5480
474
1797
161
1803
1246
5480
1.26
0.63
1.90
94
0.7
14.4
12
7
5
416
65
9
1.48
0.42
1.90
102
0.6
15.2
20
10
7
427
72
10
1.88
0.12
2.01
112
0.5
16.7
32
14
9
445
78
11
2.24
0.01
2.25
129
0.6
17.8
54
20
20
492
81
13
2.60
-0.11
2.49
149
0.6
19.4
84
27
16
542
83
15
3.04
-0.11
2.94
162
0.6
20.0
120
33
17
616
86
16
3.27
-0.10
3.17
175
0.7
19.6
157
37
15
728
82
17
3.55
-0.12
3.43
187
0.7
19.1
190
39
11
860
80
19
3.79
-0.16
3.63
193
0.7
18.0
211
39
13
992
77
20
3.84
-0.20
3.64
200
0.8
17.2
223
37
14
1075
75
20
Population
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
0.72
0.73
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
396
48
7
1.01
0.82
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
8
Emissions correlated to land-use change and deforestation were calculated by using AIM B2 land-use data
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (MESSAGE data)
CO2 emissions from land-use changes (AIM B2 run)
Non-energy related CH4 emissions were taken from AIM B2 run
Non-energy related N2O emissions were taken from AIM B2 run
B2 AIM
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - B2 AIM
1990
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
5262
6091
6851
7612
8372
8855
9367
9638
9917
10129
10271
10414
20.9
28.2
36.4
48.4
66.9
86.3
111.2
133.7
160.7
186.9
210.5
237.1
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
50
36
111
51
38
38
43
118
54
50
34
54
132
74
65
30
66
146
97
81
26
77
168
123
105
18
82
191
148
135
13
88
217
179
175
0
84
225
193
215
0
80
234
209
266
0
76
241
221
311
0
72
246
228
344
0
69
251
236
381
285
304
359
420
499
578
671
730
795
850
892
936
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
93
143
73
6
50
105
160
93
9
48
141
175
123
13
38
180
185
153
19
38
214
188
187
29
53
242
178
226
35
79
278
173
277
46
120
272
154
297
53
144
268
139
320
63
173
262
126
337
72
198
254
113
344
79
215
247
102
352
88
233
10
376
11
427
13
502
16
590
22
693
32
793
48
941
79
1000
132
1095
186
1181
222
1227
264
1285
0.1
0.1
0.1
1.1
1.6
0.9
2.3
3.3
2.0
3.9
5.1
3.4
5.9
7.0
5.1
8.0
8.6
7.0
10.8
10.6
9.7
13.1
12.0
12.2
15.9
13.5
15.4
18.7
14.9
18.8
21.2
16.1
22.0
24.0
17.3
25.9
0.0
75.3
162.3
261.8
373.7
500.0
642.7
794.1
944.4
1093.2
1239.1
1381.3
1459
3389
0
4296
3805
12949
1481
3409
0
4252
3806
12949
1510
3436
0
4225
3778
12949
1540
3454
14
4251
3690
12949
1570
3473
92
4292
3522
12949
1598
3508
163
4322
3325
12949
1626
3543
288
4353
3139
12949
1656
3577
312
4380
3019
12949
1686
3610
337
4407
2904
12949
1718
3641
341
4441
2805
12949
1751
3668
324
4481
2721
12949
1784
3696
307
4522
2639
12949
8.51
0.92
9.43
358
7.1
78.3
786
42
48
953
161
35
10.21
0.26
10.47
391
7.1
77.6
299
55
55
941
179
38
11.83
0.07
11.90
429
7.3
69.8
272
70
60
1002
186
39
13.24
0.12
13.36
453
7.4
51.9
315
88
76
1086
191
40
14.96
0.24
15.20
482
7.5
44.2
346
107
79
1180
197
42
14.82
0.24
15.07
485
7.6
38.4
413
120
80
1224
181
40
14.75
0.26
15.01
489
7.7
34.2
483
128
74
1272
167
38
14.56
0.19
14.76
485
7.8
32.8
548
130
63
1332
153
37
14.24
0.17
14.41
475
7.9
33.3
603
127
65
1407
141
36
13.93
0.10
14.04
465
8.0
33.8
649
121
69
1487
130
34
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
5.99
1.11
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
879
139
31
6.90
1.07
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
877
141
32
B2 AIM
B2 AIM
OECD90 - B2 AIM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
859
916
942
968
994
985
976
964
952
943
935
928
16.4
21.1
24.5
28.3
32.8
35.3
37.9
41.0
44.3
48.0
52.1
56.7
6
10
64
25
22
0
12
71
30
27
0
12
70
36
31
0
12
71
41
34
0
11
72
45
38
0
10
70
46
40
0
9
67
47
43
0
8
62
45
48
0
7
58
44
53
0
6
55
43
59
0
5
54
43
63
0
4
52
43
68
127
141
148
157
166
166
166
164
163
163
165
168
41
76
34
5
6
39
88
48
7
1
44
84
55
8
0
46
82
59
11
1
46
73
62
13
6
48
58
64
12
11
49
47
66
11
23
43
38
63
11
27
38
31
60
12
33
34
27
58
13
37
32
25
58
14
40
30
24
57
15
44
6
167
6
189
7
198
8
206
10
210
12
204
14
208
20
202
29
202
37
206
42
212
49
219
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.4
0.9
0.4
0.9
1.8
1.0
1.3
2.6
1.5
1.8
3.4
2.1
2.2
3.9
2.7
2.7
4.6
3.4
3.1
4.9
4.0
3.5
5.3
4.6
3.9
5.6
5.2
4.3
5.9
5.8
4.6
6.1
6.4
0.0
30.1
62.6
95.9
129.3
162.0
194.0
223.7
249.8
273.1
294.4
314.2
381
760
0
1050
838
3029
384
764
0
1059
822
3029
391
770
0
1069
799
3029
398
773
2
1082
774
3029
406
776
17
1095
734
3029
411
787
31
1104
689
3029
417
798
54
1113
647
3029
423
811
59
1124
609
3029
429
826
63
1136
574
3029
435
838
64
1151
538
3029
442
849
61
1171
504
3029
449
860
58
1190
471
3029
3.32
-0.02
3.30
71
2.6
10.3
105
14
25
174
34
11
3.41
-0.05
3.36
67
2.6
7.4
99
13
23
186
32
10
3.37
-0.06
3.31
64
2.6
7.2
102
12
17
203
29
9
3.27
-0.04
3.24
59
2.6
7.3
101
11
13
210
25
8
3.18
-0.02
3.16
54
2.6
7.4
102
10
13
216
21
6
2.81
-0.03
2.78
52
2.5
7.0
101
8
11
215
15
6
2.49
-0.05
2.45
51
2.5
6.6
100
7
10
214
10
5
2.28
-0.07
2.21
49
2.5
6.4
98
7
11
216
7
5
2.16
-0.11
2.05
48
2.5
6.2
98
7
10
221
6
5
2.04
-0.14
1.90
47
2.5
6.0
97
7
10
227
6
5
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
2.83
0.00
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
24
179
42
13
3.20
0.00
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
57
13
23
161
36
12
B2 AIM
REF - B2 AIM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
413
415
416
416
416
411
406
398
390
385
382
379
1.1
1.0
1.4
1.9
2.7
4.2
6.5
8.0
10.0
11.7
12.9
14.3
2
9
19
19
8
3
7
10
13
9
0
7
9
18
11
0
7
8
22
12
0
6
8
25
14
0
6
9
30
17
0
5
10
36
20
0
4
10
36
24
0
4
10
37
28
0
3
10
37
31
0
3
10
35
32
0
2
9
34
33
58
42
45
49
53
61
71
75
80
81
80
79
18
22
26
1
2
15
15
22
1
4
17
13
28
2
0
19
11
31
3
0
19
10
33
4
2
19
9
38
5
4
20
8
44
6
8
19
7
44
6
9
19
6
44
7
11
18
5
43
7
12
16
4
41
7
14
15
3
39
8
15
1
71
1
58
1
61
2
65
2
69
3
78
6
91
9
95
14
102
19
105
21
103
23
102
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.8
0.7
0.5
1.1
0.9
0.6
1.5
1.1
0.7
1.9
1.3
0.8
2.3
1.5
0.9
2.7
1.7
0.9
3.2
1.8
1.0
3.6
2.0
1.0
4.0
0.0
11.0
20.6
30.1
39.2
49.0
59.8
71.0
81.9
92.1
101.3
109.8
268
341
0
966
701
2276
269
362
0
951
693
2276
274
366
0
939
697
2276
280
368
1
944
683
2276
285
370
6
947
668
2276
291
373
10
944
656
2276
296
377
18
941
644
2276
302
380
20
940
634
2276
308
383
21
939
624
2276
314
386
22
941
613
2276
320
389
20
945
601
2276
327
392
19
949
589
2276
1.01
0.00
1.01
47
0.6
11.7
9
8
5
40
13
3
1.05
-0.16
0.89
48
0.6
9.7
15
10
7
40
13
3
1.06
-0.12
0.94
47
0.6
6.9
21
14
9
42
12
3
1.11
-0.09
1.02
48
0.6
3.4
25
19
12
45
12
3
1.17
-0.03
1.14
48
0.6
1.6
25
25
15
48
12
2
1.13
-0.02
1.10
44
0.6
1.8
26
28
16
50
11
2
1.09
-0.02
1.08
40
0.6
2.1
26
30
15
51
10
2
1.02
-0.07
0.95
36
0.7
2.3
26
30
14
53
9
2
0.91
-0.02
0.89
32
0.7
2.5
27
28
14
55
9
1
0.82
-0.02
0.80
28
0.7
2.6
27
27
14
57
8
1
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
1.30
0.00
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
7
69
16
5
0.91
0.00
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
41
13
3
B2 AIM
ASIA - B2 AIM
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2798
3248
3603
3958
4312
4500
4696
4768
4842
4897
4932
4968
1.5
3.5
6.5
12.1
22.7
31.8
44.5
54.4
66.4
78.3
89.2
101.6
28
15
11
2
5
18
23
17
4
8
17
33
27
8
15
14
44
37
17
25
8
54
51
31
40
0
59
62
41
54
0
65
74
55
75
0
63
76
62
94
0
60
79
71
118
0
58
81
79
140
0
56
82
85
157
0
54
83
91
176
61
69
100
137
184
222
268
298
330
358
381
404
30
17
4
0
28
44
26
8
1
24
69
41
17
2
19
98
53
33
4
15
125
63
56
9
11
142
61
76
14
17
161
59
103
20
27
157
48
115
24
33
154
39
128
29
39
151
33
138
33
45
147
29
145
37
48
144
25
153
41
53
1
80
2
104
2
150
3
206
6
269
10
319
18
388
31
408
56
444
82
481
99
506
120
536
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.2
0.1
1.0
0.6
0.2
1.8
1.0
0.4
2.9
1.6
0.9
4.1
2.1
1.5
5.8
2.8
2.5
7.1
3.2
3.4
8.7
3.7
4.6
10.3
4.1
6.0
11.8
4.4
7.4
13.4
4.7
9.0
0.0
17.8
43.5
79.1
125.8
183.7
251.9
325.8
399.9
474.0
547.7
620.9
438
608
0
535
583
2164
439
607
0
525
593
2164
448
611
0
518
587
2164
457
615
3
533
557
2164
466
618
21
548
512
2164
475
623
37
553
469
2164
484
627
65
558
430
2164
494
631
70
563
405
2164
503
636
76
567
381
2164
514
640
77
571
362
2164
524
644
73
575
347
2164
535
647
69
580
333
2164
2.82
0.29
3.11
148
2.7
40.1
21
14
12
332
50
12
4.00
0.01
4.00
176
2.7
44.9
40
22
18
356
66
15
5.26
0.06
5.33
209
2.9
36.2
66
30
25
412
72
18
6.13
0.13
6.26
224
3.0
19.0
95
38
32
455
77
18
7.13
0.25
7.38
240
3.1
9.8
130
46
36
503
83
19
7.15
0.25
7.40
241
3.1
10.0
164
51
36
521
78
17
7.17
0.24
7.42
243
3.2
10.3
199
54
33
538
74
16
7.15
0.25
7.40
239
3.3
10.5
233
54
27
563
69
15
7.09
0.25
7.35
230
3.3
10.6
267
53
29
594
62
14
7.03
0.26
7.29
221
3.4
10.8
302
51
30
627
56
14
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
1.15
0.37
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
235
33
7
1.78
0.26
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
270
37
9
B2 AIM
ALM - B2 AIM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1192
1511
1891
2270
2649
2952
3289
3502
3729
3904
4020
4139
1.9
2.7
4.1
6.0
8.6
13.9
22.3
29.7
39.6
48.9
56.2
64.4
14
1
17
4
4
17
2
20
7
6
18
3
25
12
8
16
4
29
17
10
18
6
36
22
14
15
7
49
30
23
13
9
66
42
36
0
9
75
49
49
0
9
86
56
65
0
9
95
62
81
0
9
100
65
91
0
8
106
68
103
40
52
66
77
96
126
166
191
221
246
265
285
5
27
9
0
14
7
32
15
0
18
11
37
23
0
19
17
39
31
1
22
24
43
37
2
35
34
50
49
4
47
48
59
64
9
63
52
61
76
12
76
57
63
89
15
91
59
61
97
19
104
58
55
100
21
112
58
49
103
24
122
2
57
2
75
3
94
3
113
5
145
7
191
11
254
19
295
33
348
49
388
59
406
72
428
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.1
0.2
0.7
0.3
0.3
1.1
0.6
0.5
1.5
0.9
0.8
1.9
1.3
1.2
2.5
1.9
1.6
3.0
2.6
2.2
3.7
3.4
2.8
4.3
4.3
3.3
4.8
5.3
1.7
6.7
12.5
0.0
16.4
35.6
56.7
79.4
105.2
137.0
173.5
212.8
254.1
295.7
336.4
371
1680
0
1745
1684
5480
389
1676
0
1717
1698
5480
397
1689
0
1699
1695
5480
405
1699
7
1692
1676
5480
413
1709
48
1701
1608
5480
421
1725
85
1721
1510
5480
429
1741
151
1740
1419
5480
437
1754
163
1752
1371
5480
446
1766
176
1765
1325
5480
455
1777
179
1777
1291
5480
464
1787
170
1790
1268
5480
474
1797
161
1803
1246
5480
1.36
0.65
2.01
93
1.3
13.2
12
7
5
408
64
9
1.76
0.46
2.22
100
1.2
12.6
20
10
7
359
69
9
2.14
0.18
2.32
108
1.2
16.4
32
14
9
345
72
10
2.73
0.12
2.84
123
1.2
19.2
54
20
20
376
77
12
3.48
0.03
3.52
139
1.3
22.4
84
27
16
413
81
14
3.73
0.05
3.78
147
1.3
16.6
120
33
17
439
77
15
3.99
0.08
4.07
156
1.4
12.3
157
37
15
468
73
16
4.11
0.08
4.20
162
1.4
10.7
190
39
11
501
68
16
4.07
0.04
4.12
165
1.5
11.0
211
39
13
536
64
15
4.04
0.00
4.04
168
1.5
11.3
223
37
14
576
60
15
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
0.72
0.73
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
396
48
7
1.01
0.82
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
8
B2 ASF
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - B2 ASF
1990
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
5256
6091
6870
7650
8277
9072
9367
9632
9771
10132
10341
10414
20.3
26.1
33.8
43.3
54.8
76.3
85.7
104.8
116.3
158.9
214.6
237.9
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
53
118
49
41
55
156
55
50
66
194
70
67
71
254
98
89
64
271
121
116
57
288
144
144
49
305
167
171
49
317
177
185
48
329
187
199
48
353
190
216
48
391
186
234
48
428
183
253
261
316
397
512
572
632
692
727
763
807
859
912
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
94
136
73
8
0
99
181
78
11
0
124
232
99
10
4
146
305
140
9
8
197
273
180
12
28
247
240
220
15
49
297
207
260
17
69
363
136
268
19
88
430
65
276
21
108
489
24
273
22
125
541
13
258
24
141
594
2
243
25
156
8
319
11
380
16
486
24
633
31
721
39
809
46
897
52
927
58
957
70
1002
86
1062
103
1122
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.0
1.7
0.8
2.2
3.8
1.7
3.5
6.5
2.9
5.3
9.4
4.5
7.5
11.9
6.5
10.2
14.1
8.9
13.5
15.8
11.6
17.5
16.7
14.3
22.1
17.1
17.1
27.3
17.2
19.7
33.0
17.3
22.2
0.0
75.3
165.1
278.6
415.9
567.3
726.2
890.1
1056.7
1227.3
1405.3
1592.1
-1.8
-1.8
-1.8
-1.9
-1.9
-1.6
-2.0
-1.6
-2.0
-1.9
-1.5
-1.8
5.99
1.11
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
879
139
31
6.90
1.07
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
877
141
32
8.85
1.12
9.97
367
8.0
77.2
786
42
48
984
157
41
11.48
1.25
12.73
414
9.5
101.3
299
55
55
1077
180
52
13.60
1.15
14.75
459
10.5
108.1
272
70
60
1233
199
61
14.51
1.00
15.51
493
11.0
97.4
315
88
76
1275
205
64
15.42
0.85
16.27
527
11.5
86.8
346
107
79
1318
211
66
15.93
0.60
16.52
545
11.7
68.1
413
120
80
1361
221
66
16.43
0.35
16.78
563
11.8
49.4
483
128
74
1405
230
66
17.13
0.22
17.35
579
11.9
38.7
548
130
63
1485
248
68
18.03
0.21
18.24
593
12.0
36.0
603
127
65
1600
276
72
18.93
0.20
19.13
607
12.0
33.3
649
121
69
1716
304
77
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B2 ASF
B2 ASF
OECD90 - B2 ASF
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
848
916
947
978
990
979
976
963
957
941
930
928
15.4
19.1
23.1
27.0
30.9
37.0
39.4
43.8
46.2
54.3
64.2
68.0
12
68
27
23
12
86
30
27
12
92
32
33
12
97
35
39
13
91
38
41
13
85
40
43
13
78
43
45
13
75
45
47
12
72
47
49
12
73
48
53
12
77
46
58
12
82
45
62
130
156
168
183
182
181
180
180
181
185
194
202
33
77
35
6
0
30
97
38
9
0
34
108
41
8
1
39
117
48
6
2
54
94
55
6
8
68
71
61
6
13
83
47
68
6
18
92
29
69
6
19
102
11
69
7
21
109
2
68
7
23
116
1
64
8
25
122
0
60
8
28
5
156
6
180
8
200
10
223
11
227
12
230
13
234
14
229
15
225
17
226
21
235
25
244
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
1.0
0.4
0.7
2.0
0.8
1.0
3.1
1.2
1.5
4.2
1.8
2.1
5.0
2.3
2.9
5.5
3.0
3.8
5.9
3.7
4.7
6.1
4.4
5.8
6.1
5.0
6.9
6.1
5.7
8.1
6.1
6.3
0.0
30.1
64.0
101.8
143.3
186.1
228.5
270.1
310.4
349.9
389.7
430.3
2.83
0.00
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
24
179
42
13
3.20
0.00
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
57
13
23
161
36
12
3.57
0.00
3.57
77
2.7
8.0
105
14
25
167
40
14
3.99
0.00
3.99
81
3.0
8.5
99
13
23
170
43
16
4.30
0.00
4.30
85
3.1
8.7
102
12
17
161
43
16
4.26
0.00
4.26
87
3.0
8.5
101
11
13
135
39
15
4.22
0.00
4.22
89
2.9
8.3
102
10
13
110
36
14
4.09
0.00
4.09
90
2.8
7.5
101
8
11
105
35
13
3.97
0.00
3.97
91
2.8
6.8
100
7
10
100
34
12
3.94
0.00
3.94
93
2.7
6.7
98
7
11
102
35
12
4.02
0.00
4.02
96
2.6
7.4
98
7
10
110
37
12
4.10
0.00
4.10
99
2.5
8.1
97
7
10
119
40
13
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B2 ASF
REF - B2 ASF
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
416
415
416
417
415
408
406
398
394
385
380
379
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.0
0.9
1.1
1.6
2.3
3.5
4.1
5.1
5.7
7.9
10.8
11.9
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
18
16
15
8
11
11
11
7
11
11
14
9
10
13
17
11
9
14
19
11
8
14
21
11
7
15
23
11
6
15
22
11
5
15
21
11
4
16
20
10
4
18
18
10
3
19
16
10
56
39
44
51
52
54
55
53
52
50
50
49
23
18
26
1
0
12
12
21
1
0
14
13
24
1
1
15
16
30
1
0
16
16
30
1
0
16
17
29
1
0
16
17
29
1
0
14
14
27
1
5
11
10
25
1
9
12
6
23
1
12
15
3
21
1
13
19
0
18
1
15
1
68
1
48
2
55
2
64
2
65
3
66
3
67
3
63
3
59
3
57
4
57
4
58
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.8
0.6
0.6
1.1
0.8
0.8
1.3
0.9
0.9
1.6
1.1
1.1
1.9
1.2
1.2
2.2
1.3
1.3
2.4
1.5
1.3
2.6
1.6
1.3
2.8
0.0
11.0
20.7
31.7
43.7
55.4
66.4
76.5
85.7
94.0
102.1
110.2
1.30
0.00
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
7
69
16
5
0.91
0.00
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
41
13
3
1.03
0.00
1.03
41
0.6
10.9
9
8
5
40
15
3
1.17
0.00
1.17
46
0.7
10.9
15
10
7
39
20
4
1.21
0.00
1.21
55
0.7
9.6
21
14
9
45
25
4
1.14
0.00
1.14
63
0.7
7.5
25
19
12
46
26
4
1.06
0.00
1.06
71
0.7
5.3
25
25
15
48
27
4
0.96
0.00
0.96
76
0.7
4.5
26
28
16
49
25
3
0.86
0.00
0.86
82
0.6
3.6
26
30
15
51
22
3
0.81
0.00
0.81
87
0.6
2.8
26
30
14
55
22
3
0.81
0.00
0.81
91
0.6
1.9
27
28
14
61
25
3
0.81
0.00
0.81
95
0.6
1.0
27
27
14
67
27
3
Population
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B2 ASF
ASIA - B2 ASF
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2776
3248
3617
3986
4270
4584
4696
4769
4806
4899
4951
4968
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.5
2.5
4.1
6.6
9.7
16.5
19.7
26.3
30.4
46.2
67.6
76.7
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
22
14
2
6
31
26
5
10
41
43
10
16
46
72
22
24
38
83
32
43
29
95
42
62
21
106
51
81
20
115
55
86
19
124
60
92
19
138
61
97
18
156
59
103
17
174
57
108
43
72
110
163
195
227
259
277
295
314
335
356
33
17
4
0
0
49
34
7
1
0
65
55
15
1
1
77
88
29
2
3
101
79
50
4
7
126
71
71
6
12
151
63
92
9
17
184
38
96
9
18
218
14
100
10
20
245
1
97
11
22
265
1
89
11
24
286
0
80
11
26
1
55
2
92
4
140
6
205
11
253
15
302
19
351
22
368
24
386
29
404
35
425
42
445
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.3
0.1
1.0
0.7
0.2
1.7
1.4
0.4
2.6
2.3
0.8
3.8
3.0
1.4
5.2
3.7
2.2
6.9
4.2
3.2
8.9
4.4
4.1
11.2
4.4
5.1
13.8
4.4
6.1
16.5
4.4
6.9
0.0
17.8
43.3
80.4
129.2
186.8
251.1
320.8
394.3
471.6
552.7
637.6
1.15
0.37
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
235
33
7
1.78
0.26
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
270
37
9
2.73
0.35
3.07
144
3.2
39.6
21
14
12
326
41
13
3.94
0.40
4.34
159
4.0
56.4
40
22
18
369
46
18
5.08
0.34
5.42
176
4.5
59.3
66
30
25
438
50
22
5.84
0.26
6.10
191
4.9
52.1
95
38
32
470
52
24
6.59
0.18
6.77
206
5.2
45.0
130
46
36
502
54
27
7.03
0.13
7.16
212
5.3
31.7
164
51
36
533
57
27
7.47
0.07
7.54
217
5.4
18.4
199
54
33
565
60
28
7.89
0.04
7.92
220
5.5
11.0
233
54
27
611
64
29
8.27
0.02
8.30
221
5.6
9.3
267
53
29
672
70
30
8.66
0.01
8.67
221
5.6
7.7
302
51
30
734
76
32
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B2 ASF
ALM - B2 ASF
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1216
1511
1890
2269
2603
3100
3289
3502
3615
3908
4080
4139
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
2.4
3.6
5.4
8.2
11.8
19.2
22.6
29.7
34.0
50.5
72.1
81.2
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
1
21
5
4
1
33
8
6
2
47
14
10
3
72
25
16
5
83
33
22
7
94
41
28
9
106
49
35
10
112
54
41
11
117
59
48
13
127
62
55
14
139
63
64
15
152
65
73
31
49
74
115
143
171
198
217
235
257
281
305
4
25
8
0
0
7
38
12
0
0
10
56
19
0
2
15
85
32
1
3
26
83
45
1
13
37
81
58
1
23
48
79
71
2
34
73
54
77
2
46
99
30
82
3
58
123
14
84
3
69
145
8
84
4
79
167
1
84
4
88
1
39
2
60
4
91
5
141
7
176
9
210
12
245
14
267
16
288
20
314
26
345
31
375
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.1
0.2
0.8
0.3
0.3
1.5
0.5
0.5
2.4
0.9
0.8
3.2
1.4
1.2
4.0
2.1
1.8
4.6
2.8
2.7
5.0
3.6
3.8
5.2
4.5
5.2
5.3
5.3
6.7
5.4
6.1
0.0
16.4
37.0
64.6
99.8
139.0
180.1
222.7
266.3
311.8
360.7
414.1
0.72
0.73
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
396
48
7
1.01
0.82
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
8
1.52
0.78
2.30
105
1.6
15.6
12
7
5
451
61
10
2.38
0.85
3.22
128
1.9
22.5
20
10
7
499
71
14
3.00
0.82
3.82
143
2.2
27.5
32
14
9
590
81
18
3.28
0.74
4.02
151
2.5
26.3
54
20
20
624
88
20
3.55
0.66
4.21
160
2.7
25.2
84
27
16
658
95
22
3.84
0.47
4.31
166
2.9
21.4
120
33
17
674
104
23
4.13
0.28
4.41
173
3.0
17.5
157
37
15
689
114
24
4.50
0.18
4.68
179
3.1
15.2
190
39
11
717
127
25
4.93
0.19
5.12
185
3.2
14.4
211
39
13
757
143
27
5.36
0.19
5.55
191
3.3
13.5
223
37
14
797
160
29
Population
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B2 IMAGE
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - B2 IMAGE
1990
Population
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
5297
7869
9875
10360
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
21.0
0.0
41.2
0.0
75.7
0.0
198.7
0.0
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
50
40
98
50
35
0
272
35
36
106
102
99
0
377
15
46
124
143
177
0
504
9
73
128
160
355
0
726
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
Non-commercial
NTE (Nuclear/Solar) & Hydro
Total
82
116
78
113
130
182
197
133
212
168
86
187
1
6
17
344
6
35
41
506
34
15
90
679
76
9
322
846
0.1
0.1
0.1
3.1
3.3
3.5
8.0
7.3
9.6
17.9
12.3
19.6
0.0
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
CFC/HFC/HCFC MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
5.99
1.11
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
879
139
31
75.3
6.90
1.07
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
877
141
32
161.1
7.68
1.50
9.19
396
9.3
52.6
786
42
48
755
147
36
259.1
8.47
1.94
10.40
469
11.5
47.7
299
55
55
632
152
39
366.4
9.39
1.67
11.06
491
11.8
42.4
272
70
60
615
151
43
480.2
10.31
1.40
11.71
514
12.2
44.8
315
88
76
597
149
47
600.6
11.23
1.13
12.36
536
12.5
41.7
346
107
79
580
147
51
722.6
10.84
1.20
12.04
540
12.5
42.5
413
120
80
596
149
49
841.7
10.52
1.26
11.78
544
12.6
43.3
483
128
74
612
151
48
958.2
10.20
1.33
11.52
548
12.6
41.7
548
130
63
630
154
46
1072.1
9.87
1.39
11.26
551
12.7
37.9
603
127
65
648
156
44
1183.5
9.55
1.46
11.01
555
12.7
34.0
649
121
69
665
158
43
B2 IMAGE
B2 IMAGE
OECD90 - B2 IMAGE
Population
1990
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
801
993
1022
1005
16.5
27.9
39.2
65.7
6
7
51
34
21
5
6
40
53
48
2
6
38
64
57
1
8
25
78
68
119
152
166
179
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
Non-commercial
NTE (Nuclear/Solar) & Hydro
Total
24
55
51
22
45
96
27
39
97
17
20
88
1
6
10
147
2
5
25
195
6
2
35
206
10
1
62
197
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.9
0.8
1.8
1.6
1.7
4.6
2.6
2.5
9.1
0.0
30.1
63.2
98.6
135.4
172.8
210.7
248.4
285.2
321.1
356.0
390.0
2.83
0.00
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
24
179
42
13
3.20
0.00
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
57
13
23
161
36
12
3.30
0.13
3.42
87
2.7
10.2
105
14
25
119
36
11
3.40
0.25
3.65
101
2.9
7.5
99
13
23
77
36
9
3.40
0.31
3.71
101
2.9
6.5
102
12
17
79
36
9
3.40
0.36
3.76
102
2.9
5.6
101
11
13
80
36
9
3.40
0.42
3.82
103
2.9
4.8
102
10
13
82
35
9
3.25
0.47
3.73
102
2.9
4.3
101
8
11
83
35
8
3.10
0.53
3.63
100
2.9
3.8
100
7
10
84
35
8
2.96
0.58
3.54
99
2.9
3.4
98
7
11
84
34
8
2.81
0.64
3.45
98
2.9
3.1
98
7
10
85
34
8
2.66
0.69
3.35
97
2.9
2.8
97
7
10
86
33
7
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B2 IMAGE
REF - B2 IMAGE
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
413
432
435
407
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.0
2.1
3.5
5.7
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
2
11
18
12
7
1
4
15
9
13
0
3
10
9
14
0
3
7
9
13
50
41
36
31
26
26
21
16
21
19
13
13
16
6
8
13
0
2
2
78
0
1
5
63
3
0
8
53
3
0
10
40
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.6
0.6
0.5
1.1
1.0
1.1
1.6
1.5
2.0
0.0
11.0
19.1
24.9
29.3
32.8
35.5
37.6
39.7
42.3
45.2
48.4
1.30
0.00
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
7
69
16
5
0.91
0.00
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
41
13
3
0.68
0.01
0.69
45
0.6
5.0
9
8
5
26
12
4
0.46
0.02
0.48
50
0.6
3.6
15
10
7
10
10
4
0.34
0.05
0.39
48
0.6
2.7
21
14
9
8
10
3
0.23
0.08
0.31
45
0.5
1.8
25
19
12
6
9
3
0.12
0.10
0.22
42
0.5
1.5
25
25
15
3
9
2
0.06
0.14
0.20
41
0.5
1.2
26
28
16
2
9
1
0.06
0.18
0.23
39
0.5
0.9
26
30
15
1
8
1
0.06
0.21
0.27
38
0.5
0.7
26
30
14
1
8
1
0.06
0.25
0.31
36
0.5
0.4
27
28
14
1
8
0
0.06
0.29
0.34
34
0.5
0.2
27
27
14
1
8
0
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
Non-commercial
NTE (Nuclear/Solar) & Hydro
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B2 IMAGE
ASIA - B2 IMAGE
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2790
4123
4956
4783
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.4
5.7
17.7
70.6
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
28
20
14
2
4
21
22
26
34
31
7
26
32
59
79
3
39
28
48
164
68
134
203
282
29
17
3
63
32
60
120
22
82
64
3
48
0
28
2
79
3
21
7
185
19
7
34
284
28
3
163
309
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.4
0.7
0.9
4.3
1.5
3.1
9.4
1.9
5.9
0.0
17.8
41.6
72.4
109.7
153.1
202.6
252.7
298.2
339.0
375.1
406.6
1.15
0.37
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
235
33
7
1.78
0.26
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
270
37
9
2.51
0.22
2.73
153
3.0
20.5
21
14
12
247
39
12
3.24
0.19
3.43
180
3.4
18.1
40
22
18
225
41
16
3.80
0.24
4.03
194
3.6
17.6
66
30
25
237
43
19
4.36
0.28
4.64
209
3.8
17.1
95
38
32
249
45
22
4.92
0.33
5.25
224
4.0
15.3
130
46
36
262
46
25
4.46
0.32
4.78
225
4.0
15.2
164
51
36
262
46
22
4.00
0.31
4.31
226
4.0
15.0
199
54
33
263
46
20
3.54
0.31
3.85
227
4.0
14.0
233
54
27
263
46
17
3.08
0.30
3.38
228
4.0
12.1
267
53
29
264
46
15
2.62
0.29
2.91
229
4.0
10.2
302
51
30
264
46
13
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
Non-commercial
NTE (Nuclear/Solar) & Hydro
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B2 IMAGE
ALM - B2 IMAGE
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1293
2321
3462
4165
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
2.1
5.5
15.3
56.7
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
14
2
15
3
2
8
4
25
6
7
6
10
45
11
26
4
24
68
25
111
35
51
99
233
4
18
3
12
31
8
38
59
17
80
55
38
0
14
3
41
1
8
4
64
5
6
12
137
36
4
86
300
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
1.2
0.3
1.0
3.0
0.8
4.4
6.4
2.5
0.0
16.4
37.2
63.1
92.0
121.5
151.8
183.8
218.5
255.8
295.8
338.4
0.72
0.73
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
396
48
7
1.01
0.82
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
404
55
8
1.19
1.15
2.34
111
3.0
14.1
12
7
5
362
60
9
1.37
1.47
2.85
138
4.7
15.6
20
10
7
320
64
10
1.84
1.08
2.92
148
4.8
12.8
32
14
9
291
62
12
2.32
0.68
2.99
158
4.9
17.2
54
20
20
262
59
14
2.79
0.28
3.07
168
5.1
17.1
84
27
16
233
56
15
3.07
0.26
3.33
173
5.1
18.8
120
33
17
249
59
17
3.36
0.24
3.60
179
5.2
20.5
157
37
15
265
62
18
3.64
0.22
3.86
184
5.2
20.7
190
39
11
282
65
20
3.93
0.20
4.13
189
5.3
19.2
211
39
13
298
68
21
4.21
0.19
4.40
195
5.4
17.8
223
37
14
315
71
23
Primary Energy
EJ
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
Non-commercial
NTE (Nuclear/Solar) & Hydro
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B2 MARIA
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - B2 MARIA
1990
Population
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
5262
6091
6891
7672
8372
8930
9367
9704
9960
10159
10306
10414
19.5
27.2
37.0
49.7
64.0
83.1
108.0
130.5
156.3
182.0
206.2
232.9
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
48
138
56
35
0
278
40
159
56
49
0
305
45
180
87
60
0
371
55
204
119
71
0
449
80
229
141
84
0
535
124
261
144
95
0
625
174
292
132
116
0
714
234
308
118
125
0
784
287
301
115
141
0
844
328
317
96
152
0
893
333
348
86
158
0
925
264
375
148
159
0
946
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
90
123
71
22
28
71
140
99
21
32
68
150
147
28
40
72
167
190
26
62
93
172
222
27
97
135
181
248
44
107
182
197
217
69
114
239
189
196
112
132
291
152
188
180
159
331
131
164
228
192
335
141
147
264
212
265
185
202
233
225
9
343
8
372
7
441
7
523
6
617
6
721
58
837
62
931
61
1031
60
1107
59
1159
58
1169
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.9
1.2
0.7
1.6
2.6
1.7
2.3
4.1
3.2
3.0
5.8
5.1
3.9
7.5
7.3
5.3
9.3
9.8
7.1
11.3
11.9
9.5
13.2
13.9
12.4
14.7
15.8
15.7
16.0
17.4
19.1
17.4
18.9
0.0
75.3
159.4
253.3
358.2
476.9
608.9
750.2
897.7
1048.3
1200.1
1351.8
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
1451
3395
0
4138
4061
13045
1451
3395
0
4138
4061
13045
1457
3392
0
4138
4058
13045
1743
3114
0
4138
4051
13045
1937
2944
0
4138
4027
13045
2049
2904
0
4122
3970
13045
2079
2904
0
4124
3937
13045
1999
2904
81
4138
3924
13045
1868
2904
219
4138
3916
13045
1701
2904
396
4138
3907
13045
1578
2904
519
4138
3907
13045
1500
2904
597
4138
3907
13045
5.99
1.11
7.10
6.90
1.07
7.97
7.75
1.09
8.84
8.85
1.08
9.93
10.00
1.05
11.05
11.66
1.04
12.70
12.74
0.96
13.70
13.72
0.83
14.55
14.19
0.77
14.96
14.46
0.70
15.16
14.49
0.71
15.20
14.42
0.73
15.15
1672
32
38
883
25
40
786
42
48
299
55
55
272
70
60
315
88
76
346
107
79
413
120
80
483
128
74
548
130
63
603
127
65
649
121
69
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
CFC/HFC/HCFC MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
B2 MARIA
B2 MARIA
OECD90 - B2 MARIA
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
859
917
953
982
994
988
976
965
952
941
934
928
15.6
20.7
26.1
30.2
33.4
37.1
41.1
43.8
47.9
52.9
57.7
62.7
12
71
28
21
0
132
8
80
26
28
0
142
6
74
45
32
0
157
4
67
61
35
0
167
13
62
62
37
0
174
29
58
53
38
0
178
50
55
37
40
0
182
65
52
26
41
0
184
76
51
18
43
0
188
83
50
13
44
0
190
89
50
9
45
0
194
75
50
20
46
0
192
38
71
34
18
6
28
80
49
15
4
20
74
79
12
3
15
67
102
13
2
22
62
107
16
1
36
58
100
20
1
56
55
75
24
1
69
52
63
30
0
79
51
55
38
0
85
50
49
45
0
90
50
43
54
1
76
50
51
65
1
5
171
5
180
4
193
4
202
3
212
3
218
15
225
14
230
14
237
14
244
14
252
13
255
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.7
0.3
0.7
1.5
0.8
0.9
2.3
1.6
1.0
2.9
2.6
1.2
3.5
3.7
1.6
4.1
4.7
2.2
4.7
5.5
2.8
5.2
6.1
3.6
5.7
6.6
4.5
6.2
7.1
5.4
6.7
7.6
0.0
30.1
63.0
97.3
132.9
170.2
208.4
247.3
287.4
328.6
370.5
411.5
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
303
756
75
756
794
2684
243
756
134
756
794
2684
2.83
0.00
2.83
3.20
0.00
3.20
3.36
0.03
3.38
3.42
0.05
3.47
3.59
0.07
3.66
3.76
0.04
3.80
3.81
0.02
3.83
3.93
0.01
3.95
4.04
0.04
4.07
4.09
0.06
4.16
4.13
0.09
4.22
3.86
0.12
3.98
19
18
24
57
13
23
105
14
25
99
13
23
102
12
17
101
11
13
102
10
13
101
8
11
100
7
10
98
7
11
98
7
10
97
7
10
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
B2 MARIA
REF - B2 MARIA
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
413
415
417
418
416
411
406
396
389
384
381
379
0.9
1.2
1.4
1.7
2.6
4.1
6.7
8.1
10.0
11.5
12.9
14.5
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
13
17
21
7
0
58
9
13
24
8
0
54
6
12
30
8
0
56
4
11
36
9
0
60
9
12
40
10
0
71
16
13
43
12
0
84
27
14
44
15
0
100
45
14
31
16
0
105
58
14
22
17
0
110
66
14
15
17
0
112
72
14
11
17
0
113
68
14
12
17
0
111
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
19
19
27
3
1
13
14
33
2
1
9
12
40
2
0
6
11
47
2
0
10
12
55
3
0
17
13
62
3
0
28
14
65
4
0
45
14
53
5
0
58
14
44
7
0
67
14
37
8
0
72
14
31
10
0
68
14
32
13
0
1
69
1
64
1
64
1
68
1
81
1
96
3
114
3
120
3
126
3
129
3
130
3
130
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.6
0.4
0.4
1.0
0.5
0.6
1.5
0.6
0.7
2.0
0.7
0.8
2.6
1.0
1.0
3.3
1.5
1.1
3.8
2.1
1.2
4.2
2.7
1.4
4.6
3.4
1.5
4.9
0.0
11.0
20.1
29.1
39.3
52.0
67.7
86.1
106.4
127.9
149.8
171.7
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
174
114
43
815
722
1868
139
114
78
815
722
1868
111
114
106
815
722
1868
89
114
128
815
722
1868
89
114
128
815
722
1868
1.30
0.00
1.30
0.91
0.00
0.91
0.88
0.02
0.90
0.90
0.01
0.91
1.14
-0.01
1.13
1.44
-0.03
1.41
1.78
-0.05
1.73
2.04
-0.09
1.95
2.25
-0.13
2.12
2.36
-0.19
2.16
2.40
-0.18
2.22
2.32
-0.16
2.16
0
7
7
4
4
6
9
8
5
15
10
7
21
14
9
25
19
12
25
25
15
26
28
16
26
30
15
26
30
14
27
28
14
27
27
14
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
B2 MARIA
ASIA - B2 MARIA
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2642
3062
3450
3796
4089
4316
4479
4613
4720
4813
4851
4888
1.2
2.9
6.3
13.0
19.9
28.1
37.8
46.9
57.0
67.2
77.1
87.9
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
20
26
2
4
0
52
20
39
2
8
0
70
31
66
4
12
0
113
43
93
7
18
0
160
51
109
15
24
0
198
68
125
15
27
0
236
79
139
14
35
0
266
93
148
15
37
0
293
102
146
23
43
0
314
111
148
27
47
0
333
96
162
38
49
0
345
67
176
64
48
0
355
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
28
14
3
1
13
26
23
5
5
22
36
38
8
14
33
46
57
14
11
53
54
54
21
9
85
70
58
29
21
89
80
69
23
35
85
94
72
22
49
86
102
52
27
76
101
111
43
30
94
110
96
42
40
105
124
67
65
65
81
128
1
61
1
82
1
130
1
181
1
222
1
266
17
309
20
343
20
379
20
408
20
426
19
427
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.4
0.1
0.9
0.8
0.2
1.4
1.3
0.3
1.9
1.9
0.5
2.6
2.4
0.8
3.4
3.1
1.0
4.3
3.9
1.2
5.3
4.4
1.5
6.5
4.8
1.8
7.4
5.2
2.2
0.0
17.8
41.0
70.6
104.8
143.3
186.8
234.3
283.1
331.7
379.2
426.0
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
366
431
0
365
458
1621
366
431
0
365
458
1621
373
428
0
365
455
1621
380
425
0
365
451
1621
380
426
0
365
449
1621
380
426
0
365
449
1621
380
426
0
365
449
1621
380
426
0
365
449
1621
380
426
0
365
449
1621
380
426
0
365
449
1621
361
426
19
365
449
1621
343
426
37
365
449
1621
1.15
0.37
1.53
1.78
0.26
2.03
2.36
0.25
2.61
3.07
0.23
3.31
3.33
0.22
3.55
3.94
0.21
4.15
4.34
0.21
4.55
4.75
0.19
4.94
4.66
0.16
4.82
4.76
0.14
4.90
4.50
0.12
4.62
4.61
0.11
4.72
0
3
4
5
5
7
21
14
12
40
22
18
66
30
25
95
38
32
130
46
36
164
51
36
199
54
33
233
54
27
267
53
29
302
51
30
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
B2 MARIA
ALM - B2 MARIA
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1348
1697
2071
2476
2873
3214
3506
3730
3900
4021
4141
4220
1.7
2.4
3.2
4.9
8.1
13.8
22.4
31.6
41.4
50.4
58.5
67.8
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
3
24
5
3
0
35
2
27
4
6
0
38
2
28
7
8
0
45
4
34
15
10
0
63
7
47
24
14
0
91
11
65
32
18
0
127
19
85
37
26
0
167
31
94
46
31
0
202
51
91
52
39
0
233
68
105
41
44
0
258
76
122
29
47
0
274
54
135
51
48
0
288
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
6
18
7
0
8
4
23
12
0
6
3
26
19
0
4
4
32
28
0
7
7
44
40
0
11
12
53
58
0
17
19
60
55
5
28
31
50
58
27
46
51
35
61
59
57
68
25
47
81
82
76
35
33
95
88
54
57
54
74
96
2
41
2
46
1
53
1
72
1
103
2
141
23
190
25
238
24
288
24
326
23
350
23
357
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.7
0.4
0.2
1.0
0.7
0.2
1.4
1.1
0.4
1.9
1.6
0.6
2.5
2.2
0.9
3.0
2.8
1.4
3.4
3.4
2.1
3.6
3.9
2.8
4.0
4.2
0.0
16.4
35.3
56.3
81.1
111.3
146.0
182.5
220.8
260.2
300.5
342.7
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
490
2095
0
2202
2086
6873
490
2095
0
2202
2086
6873
490
2095
0
2202
2086
6873
768
1820
0
2202
2083
6873
963
1648
0
2202
2060
6873
1075
1609
0
2186
2004
6873
1105
1609
0
2188
1971
6873
1067
1609
37
2202
1958
6873
972
1609
141
2202
1950
6873
832
1609
290
2202
1941
6873
825
1609
297
2202
1941
6873
825
1609
297
2202
1941
6873
0.72
0.73
1.45
1.01
0.82
1.83
1.16
0.80
1.96
1.46
0.79
2.24
1.95
0.77
2.72
2.52
0.81
3.33
2.81
0.78
3.60
2.99
0.72
3.71
3.24
0.70
3.94
3.25
0.69
3.94
3.46
0.67
4.14
3.63
0.66
4.29
0
4
3
2
4
5
12
7
5
20
10
7
32
14
9
54
20
20
84
27
16
120
33
17
157
37
15
190
39
11
211
39
13
223
37
14
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
B2 MINICAM
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - B2 MINICAM
1990
Population
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
5293
6147
7009
7880
8640
9304
9874
10216
10453
10585
10501
10418
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
20.7
na
27.4
na
36.3
na
47.4
na
62.1
na
80.3
na
102.0
na
127.9
na
156.0
na
186.3
na
219.2
na
255.1
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
45
121
52
35
0
253
0
55
121
60
51
0
286
0
67
127
73
73
0
339
0
79
140
91
102
0
411
0
90
138
101
137
0
465
0
97
156
107
181
0
541
0
103
192
109
234
0
637
0
85
228
118
292
0
723
0
75
264
132
352
0
823
0
73
300
152
413
0
937
0
73
327
157
470
0
1027
0
72
355
162
527
0
1117
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
88
131
70
24
0
110
130
81
24
5
128
134
111
28
10
143
145
159
34
15
176
134
186
46
19
201
147
209
62
24
218
185
229
82
28
191
228
260
93
38
175
270
292
105
43
170
309
325
120
45
169
338
330
150
44
167
367
335
181
43
24
336
24
375
32
443
47
542
65
626
88
731
116
858
155
965
195
1080
234
1203
255
1286
275
1370
0.1
0.1
0.1
1.1
1.4
0.9
2.3
2.8
1.9
3.7
4.1
3.1
5.3
5.5
4.9
7.2
7.0
6.9
9.3
8.6
9.1
11.2
10.8
11.6
13.1
13.3
14.4
14.8
16.1
17.4
16.5
19.4
20.7
18.2
22.7
24.0
0.0
75.3
159.6
256.5
366.4
485.3
612.6
747.7
888.7
1033.7
1180.7
1328.5
1472
3209
0
4173
4310
13164
1473
3347
2
4214
4128
13164
1491
3572
4
4140
3956
13164
1526
3885
6
3952
3795
13164
1525
4175
6
3705
3753
13164
1493
4393
7
3547
3724
13164
1431
4540
8
3480
3706
13164
1295
4391
22
3818
3639
13164
1175
4245
25
4092
3628
13164
1070
4101
16
4304
3673
13164
988
4067
10
4278
3821
13164
906
4033
4
4252
3970
13164
5.99
1.11
6.90
1.07
7.86
1.03
9.11
1.38
10.24
1.27
11.35
0.92
12.73
0.45
13.29
0.56
14.11
0.23
15.20
-0.53
15.86
-1.13
16.54
-1.72
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
8.88
350
8.0
76.6
786
42
48
10.48
391
9.1
80.6
299
55
55
11.51
430
10.4
85.2
272
70
60
12.27
469
11.9
87.1
315
88
76
13.18
498
13.2
86.4
346
107
79
13.85
499
13.7
71.9
413
120
80
14.34
509
14.4
59.0
483
128
74
14.67
528
15.3
47.7
548
130
63
14.73
548
16.7
41.1
603
127
65
14.82
569
18.1
34.6
649
121
69
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B2 MINICAM
B2 MINICAM
OECD90 - B2 MINICAM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
838
907
958
993
1003
1024
1023
1013
1006
1002
1003
1004
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
16.3
na
20.5
na
24.5
na
28.5
na
29.5
na
33.2
na
36.3
na
38.4
na
40.9
na
43.7
na
47.4
na
51.3
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
10
72
27
22
0
130
0
12
69
34
26
0
141
0
12
66
42
31
0
151
0
11
63
50
36
0
160
0
11
57
50
38
0
156
0
11
47
48
44
0
149
0
11
49
45
50
0
154
0
8
49
44
52
0
153
0
7
50
45
54
0
156
0
6
52
49
56
0
163
0
6
53
49
59
0
168
0
6
55
49
63
0
173
40
76
34
20
0
43
73
43
15
2
40
69
59
12
3
31
64
79
11
3
32
56
79
11
4
35
42
76
11
4
37
44
73
12
4
33
44
72
12
5
30
45
72
12
5
29
47
75
13
5
28
49
74
16
5
27
51
73
20
5
12
182
11
188
12
194
15
203
15
197
18
187
19
190
22
189
25
191
28
197
30
201
32
206
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.8
0.4
0.9
1.5
1.0
1.2
2.2
1.6
1.4
2.5
2.0
1.9
3.2
3.2
2.3
3.6
3.9
2.6
4.1
4.6
2.9
4.5
5.4
3.2
5.0
6.1
3.5
5.4
6.8
3.8
5.9
7.6
0.0
30.1
63.1
97.3
131.2
163.1
193.4
223.1
251.9
279.4
305.5
330.4
408
796
0
921
998
3123
412
820
2
931
958
3123
417
861
3
922
920
3123
423
918
3
894
885
3123
419
942
3
878
881
3123
399
1002
4
847
871
3123
375
1025
4
850
868
3123
339
998
8
926
853
3123
309
974
8
980
851
3123
286
955
6
1014
862
3123
261
945
3
1016
897
3123
236
935
1
1018
932
3123
2.83
0.00
3.20
0.00
3.28
0.12
3.26
0.19
3.16
0.17
2.98
0.07
3.02
0.00
2.90
0.03
2.86
-0.03
2.88
-0.21
2.90
-0.35
2.91
-0.49
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
24
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
57
13
23
3.39
82
2.8
13.2
105
14
25
3.45
92
3.0
7.0
99
13
23
3.33
95
3.1
6.2
102
12
17
3.05
106
3.5
5.6
101
11
13
3.02
114
3.8
5.0
102
10
13
2.94
120
3.9
4.5
101
8
11
2.82
128
4.0
4.3
100
7
10
2.68
138
4.2
4.5
98
7
11
2.55
148
4.5
4.9
98
7
10
2.42
158
4.8
5.3
97
7
10
Population
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B2 MINICAM
REF - B2 MINICAM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
428
425
427
435
438
438
435
429
423
418
412
407
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.1
na
1.1
na
1.3
na
1.8
na
2.3
na
2.9
na
3.4
na
4.5
na
5.7
na
7.0
na
8.3
na
9.8
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
13
18
19
6
0
56
0
10
12
15
8
0
44
0
8
8
13
10
0
39
0
7
8
13
14
0
42
0
6
7
13
15
0
42
0
5
7
12
17
0
41
0
5
7
11
19
0
41
0
4
7
10
20
0
41
0
3
7
11
22
0
43
0
3
8
12
25
0
47
0
3
8
12
27
0
50
0
3
9
12
29
0
52
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
18
20
26
3
0
17
13
20
4
1
16
10
19
5
1
15
9
23
6
2
20
6
23
6
2
22
4
22
6
2
22
5
19
7
2
16
6
19
6
2
13
8
20
6
3
12
9
21
7
3
10
9
21
8
2
9
10
20
9
2
3
70
3
57
4
54
7
61
8
64
10
66
11
66
13
63
15
63
16
67
17
67
17
68
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.6
0.7
0.4
0.9
0.9
0.5
1.1
1.1
0.5
1.3
1.3
0.6
1.5
1.4
0.7
1.7
1.6
0.8
1.9
1.7
0.8
2.1
1.8
0.9
2.3
0.0
11.0
19.8
28.5
38.0
47.5
56.5
64.9
72.9
80.0
86.2
91.8
284
395
0
1007
691
2377
295
410
0
1016
656
2377
308
448
0
996
625
2377
324
511
0
945
597
2377
330
572
0
885
591
2377
326
615
0
850
587
2377
313
640
0
841
584
2377
277
592
0
935
573
2377
245
553
0
1008
571
2377
217
520
0
1060
580
2377
203
529
0
1038
607
2377
189
539
0
1017
633
2377
1.30
0.00
0.91
0.00
0.80
0.03
0.84
0.08
0.87
0.10
0.87
0.07
0.85
0.01
0.74
0.08
0.70
0.06
0.72
-0.06
0.71
-0.12
0.70
-0.18
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
7
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
0.84
46
0.7
10.2
9
8
5
0.92
60
0.9
9.6
15
10
7
0.97
69
1.1
10.5
21
14
9
0.94
76
1.2
11.0
25
19
12
0.85
81
1.4
11.1
25
25
15
0.83
80
1.4
8.8
26
28
16
0.76
81
1.5
6.7
26
30
15
0.66
84
1.5
5.0
26
30
14
0.59
87
1.7
4.1
27
28
14
0.52
91
1.9
3.2
27
27
14
Population
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B2 MINICAM
ASIA - B2 MINICAM
Population
1990
Million
2790
2000
3261
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
3707
4127
4463
4739
4953
5037
5070
5052
4932
4814
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.4
na
3.1
na
6.0
na
10.3
na
17.5
na
25.9
na
35.6
na
46.6
na
58.4
na
71.0
na
84.5
na
99.3
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
20
14
2
4
0
40
0
30
19
5
11
0
66
0
42
26
9
22
0
99
0
55
35
13
37
0
140
0
64
41
17
55
0
176
0
69
50
19
77
0
216
0
72
64
22
102
0
260
0
59
78
25
131
0
293
0
52
91
30
160
0
332
0
50
103
35
189
0
377
0
50
111
35
215
0
411
0
50
119
36
241
0
445
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
26
16
3
1
0
44
21
9
4
2
64
28
19
8
5
86
37
35
12
8
104
39
48
20
10
116
48
62
29
13
121
62
75
40
15
103
80
90
45
20
92
95
103
51
23
88
109
114
57
24
88
117
114
71
24
87
126
114
84
24
3
49
4
83
7
130
12
190
21
243
33
300
48
361
67
405
86
450
105
498
114
528
123
558
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.2
0.1
1.0
0.5
0.2
1.7
0.8
0.5
2.7
1.2
0.9
3.8
1.6
1.5
5.0
2.1
2.1
6.0
2.9
3.0
7.0
3.8
4.0
7.9
4.8
5.0
8.8
5.9
6.2
9.7
7.1
7.3
0.0
17.8
41.7
74.1
114.9
162.1
214.7
269.8
325.9
383.7
442.7
502.1
389
508
0
1168
664
2729
401
523
0
1143
632
2699
413
550
1
1104
603
2671
425
589
3
1052
577
2646
430
625
3
1010
572
2639
428
655
3
981
568
2634
417
679
3
965
566
2630
381
674
10
1000
555
2620
349
666
12
1039
554
2619
321
655
8
1082
562
2628
300
649
6
1110
588
2653
279
643
4
1139
614
2678
1.15
0.37
1.78
0.26
2.55
0.19
3.48
0.25
4.18
0.25
4.82
0.20
5.39
0.10
5.45
0.09
5.64
0.03
5.96
-0.08
6.11
-0.19
6.26
-0.29
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
2.74
133
2.9
35.9
21
14
12
3.73
142
3.2
45.6
40
22
18
4.43
154
3.6
48.5
66
30
25
5.02
163
4.0
48.2
95
38
32
5.49
171
4.4
44.7
130
46
36
5.54
164
4.5
34.6
164
51
36
5.67
160
4.7
26.2
199
54
33
5.88
160
5.0
19.4
233
54
27
5.92
163
5.4
16.0
267
53
29
5.96
167
5.8
12.5
302
51
30
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B2 MINICAM
ALM - B2 MINICAM
Population
1990
Million
1236
2000
1554
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1917
2326
2725
3104
3463
3737
3953
4113
4153
4192
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.9
na
2.8
na
4.4
na
6.8
na
11.8
na
18.4
na
26.8
na
38.5
na
51.1
na
64.6
na
78.9
na
94.7
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
2
17
5
3
0
27
0
3
21
7
6
0
36
0
4
27
10
9
0
50
0
6
34
14
15
0
69
0
9
40
21
27
0
97
0
12
52
27
43
0
134
0
15
73
31
63
0
182
0
14
94
38
89
0
235
0
14
116
46
116
0
292
0
14
138
56
143
0
351
0
14
155
61
169
0
399
0
14
173
65
195
0
448
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
4
20
7
0
0
6
23
9
2
1
8
28
14
4
1
11
35
22
5
2
19
40
36
9
3
28
53
50
16
5
37
75
62
23
7
39
98
80
29
10
40
122
98
36
12
42
145
115
43
13
43
163
122
55
13
45
181
129
68
13
5
35
6
46
9
64
13
88
20
128
28
179
37
241
53
309
68
376
84
441
94
490
103
538
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.5
0.2
0.2
0.8
0.4
0.4
1.2
0.7
0.6
1.7
1.2
0.9
2.3
1.7
1.3
3.2
2.5
1.7
4.3
3.3
2.1
5.6
4.4
2.6
7.2
5.6
3.0
8.8
6.8
0.0
16.4
35.1
56.5
82.4
112.6
148.0
189.8
238.0
290.7
346.3
404.3
391
1510
0
3641
1957
7499
365
1594
0
3589
1882
7430
353
1713
0
3487
1808
7361
355
1867
0
3334
1735
7291
351
2012
0
3190
1714
7266
341
2121
0
3085
1698
7246
326
2197
0
3018
1688
7229
299
2127
4
3114
1658
7201
272
2052
4
3218
1651
7197
246
1970
2
3330
1669
7217
224
1943
1
3379
1730
7276
202
1916
-1
3428
1791
7336
0.72
0.73
1.01
0.82
1.22
0.69
1.53
0.85
2.03
0.75
2.68
0.58
3.47
0.34
4.19
0.35
4.92
0.17
5.64
-0.18
6.14
-0.47
6.67
-0.76
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
1.91
89
1.6
14.2
12
7
5
2.38
97
2.0
15.3
20
10
7
2.78
112
2.6
16.9
32
14
9
3.26
123
3.1
19.3
54
20
20
3.82
131
3.7
22.6
84
27
16
4.54
135
3.9
21.0
120
33
17
5.09
140
4.3
18.7
157
37
15
5.46
146
4.6
15.8
190
39
11
5.67
149
5.1
13.2
211
39
13
5.91
153
5.7
10.5
223
37
14
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B2HIGH MINICAM
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - B2HIGH MINICAM
1990
Population
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
5293
6147
7009
7880
8640
9304
9874
10216
10453
10585
10501
10418
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
20.7
na
27.4
na
36.3
na
47.3
na
61.8
na
79.8
na
101.1
na
126.5
na
154.0
na
183.6
na
215.7
na
250.7
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
45
121
52
35
0
253
0
57
124
62
53
0
295
0
72
131
72
80
0
355
0
89
143
84
116
0
433
0
104
143
81
159
0
486
0
118
159
74
209
0
560
0
131
193
62
268
0
654
0
119
225
58
339
0
740
0
111
258
57
415
0
841
0
108
292
60
497
0
957
0
105
318
52
574
0
1049
0
102
344
44
651
0
1141
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
88
131
70
24
0
115
133
83
25
6
145
139
115
31
12
178
149
165
42
17
263
114
180
60
27
362
91
185
79
40
474
80
181
100
56
540
74
183
108
86
592
77
191
121
110
630
88
206
142
128
700
72
173
161
150
771
57
140
180
172
24
336
24
386
27
468
32
582
40
684
55
812
75
966
115
1105
158
1248
202
1395
254
1510
305
1625
0.1
0.1
0.1
1.2
1.5
0.9
2.5
2.8
1.9
4.1
4.3
3.2
6.5
5.5
5.0
9.7
6.5
6.8
13.7
7.4
8.6
19.0
8.1
10.5
24.6
8.9
12.4
30.6
9.7
14.3
37.5
10.5
16.1
44.4
11.2
17.9
0.0
75.3
161.4
264.0
385.8
525.4
684.8
863.1
1055.4
1256.8
1464.6
1679.0
1472
3209
0
4173
4310
13164
1473
3347
3
4214
4127
13164
1491
3570
8
4140
3955
13164
1526
3880
13
3952
3794
13164
1522
4164
36
3701
3742
13164
1488
4370
74
3531
3701
13164
1423
4501
128
3441
3672
13164
1284
4326
233
3733
3588
13164
1163
4168
308
3962
3562
13164
1060
4027
352
4129
3596
13164
975
3957
430
4093
3710
13164
890
3886
507
4058
3824
13164
5.99
1.11
6.90
1.07
8.20
1.03
9.92
1.38
11.77
1.29
13.87
0.99
16.44
0.57
18.03
0.62
19.52
0.28
20.92
-0.44
21.97
-0.88
23.10
-1.32
7.10
310
6.7
70.9
1672
32
38
7.97
323
7.0
69.0
883
25
40
9.23
353
8.0
81.6
786
42
48
11.30
397
9.2
86.9
299
55
55
13.06
439
10.4
97.7
272
70
60
14.86
483
11.9
104.4
315
88
76
17.02
520
13.2
107.0
346
107
79
18.65
533
13.7
86.4
413
120
80
19.80
549
14.3
69.1
483
128
74
20.47
567
15.2
55.0
548
130
63
21.09
590
16.3
45.6
603
127
65
21.78
613
17.5
36.2
649
121
69
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B2HIGH MINICAM
B2HIGH MINICAM
OECD90 - B2HIGH MINICAM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
Population
838
907
958
993
1003
1024
1023
1013
1006
1002
1003
1004
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
16.3
na
20.5
na
24.5
na
28.4
na
29.4
na
32.9
na
35.9
na
38.0
na
40.4
na
43.0
na
46.6
na
50.3
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
10
72
27
22
0
130
0
12
71
35
28
0
146
0
13
69
42
34
0
158
0
13
65
47
42
0
166
0
13
59
44
44
0
160
0
13
47
34
52
0
146
0
14
47
26
58
0
146
0
12
46
22
61
0
140
0
11
45
20
64
0
139
0
10
46
20
67
0
143
0
10
47
17
72
0
145
0
9
47
14
76
0
146
40
76
34
20
0
45
76
45
15
2
46
72
61
13
4
41
66
82
13
4
47
53
79
14
5
67
23
67
15
8
82
13
57
15
10
93
7
50
14
14
104
4
46
14
16
113
3
44
15
18
136
3
36
17
21
159
2
27
18
24
12
182
11
195
10
206
10
216
10
208
11
190
13
189
16
194
20
203
24
217
29
241
34
265
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.8
0.5
0.9
1.6
1.0
1.4
2.3
1.7
1.6
2.5
2.1
2.5
3.1
3.2
3.2
3.3
3.8
4.1
3.3
4.3
5.1
3.4
4.8
6.1
3.4
5.3
7.5
3.5
5.6
8.8
3.5
6.0
0.0
30.1
63.6
99.4
135.5
170.2
204.4
239.0
273.4
307.2
341.1
376.0
408
796
0
921
998
3123
412
819
3
931
958
3123
416
859
6
922
920
3123
422
915
7
894
885
3123
417
938
11
877
879
3123
397
993
24
843
866
3123
374
1013
36
840
860
3123
337
984
53
907
842
3123
308
960
65
954
837
3123
285
940
71
980
846
3123
260
924
84
981
874
3123
235
908
97
981
902
3123
2.83
0.00
3.20
0.00
3.39
0.12
3.46
0.19
3.39
0.17
3.30
0.09
3.42
0.03
3.41
0.05
3.44
-0.02
3.52
-0.18
3.73
-0.29
3.95
-0.40
2.83
73
2.6
22.7
19
18
24
3.20
74
2.6
17.0
57
13
23
3.50
82
2.8
14.8
105
14
25
3.65
91
3.0
6.7
99
13
23
3.56
95
3.1
5.5
102
12
17
3.39
105
3.5
4.8
101
11
13
3.45
113
3.8
4.4
102
10
13
3.47
117
3.8
3.5
101
8
11
3.43
123
3.9
3.2
100
7
10
3.33
130
4.1
3.7
98
7
11
3.44
141
4.4
4.3
98
7
10
3.55
152
4.6
5.0
97
7
10
Million
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B2HIGH MINICAM
REF - B2HIGH MINICAM
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
428
425
427
435
438
438
435
429
423
418
412
407
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.1
na
1.1
na
1.3
na
1.8
na
2.3
na
2.8
na
3.4
na
4.4
na
5.6
na
6.9
na
8.2
na
9.6
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
13
18
19
6
0
56
0
10
11
14
8
0
44
0
8
8
12
11
0
38
0
7
8
11
15
0
41
0
6
7
10
16
0
39
0
6
6
8
18
0
38
0
6
6
5
19
0
37
0
5
7
5
22
0
39
0
5
7
5
26
0
42
0
4
8
5
29
0
45
0
4
8
4
31
0
46
0
4
8
3
33
0
47
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
18
20
26
3
0
17
13
20
4
1
17
10
18
5
1
18
9
22
7
2
38
3
20
7
3
61
0
17
7
3
86
0
13
7
5
113
0
12
7
7
147
0
11
7
9
188
0
12
8
10
236
0
9
8
12
283
0
6
8
13
3
70
3
57
3
55
4
62
5
76
6
94
7
117
9
149
12
187
14
231
16
280
18
328
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.6
0.9
0.4
0.8
1.4
0.4
1.0
2.1
0.4
1.2
3.1
0.4
1.3
4.5
0.4
1.4
6.1
0.4
1.5
8.3
0.4
1.6
10.6
0.4
1.7
0.0
11.0
19.9
29.0
40.1
53.5
69.4
88.7
112.3
140.5
174.0
213.7
284
395
0
1007
691
2377
295
410
0
1016
656
2377
308
448
1
996
625
2377
324
510
2
945
597
2377
331
569
5
884
589
2377
328
611
9
846
583
2377
317
636
15
831
578
2377
281
588
28
915
564
2377
250
551
36
979
561
2377
225
524
38
1023
568
2377
211
529
43
1005
590
2377
198
534
47
987
612
2377
1.30
0.00
0.91
0.00
0.83
0.03
0.90
0.08
1.13
0.10
1.39
0.08
1.69
0.02
2.06
0.08
2.53
0.05
3.11
-0.06
3.75
-0.11
4.45
-0.16
1.30
47
0.6
17.0
0
7
7
0.91
39
0.6
11.0
4
4
6
0.86
47
0.7
10.3
9
8
5
0.98
61
0.9
10.3
15
10
7
1.22
75
1.1
12.6
21
14
9
1.47
88
1.3
14.3
25
19
12
1.71
99
1.4
15.3
25
25
15
2.14
108
1.4
12.8
26
28
16
2.59
123
1.5
10.3
26
30
15
3.06
144
1.5
7.7
26
30
14
3.64
162
1.7
5.9
27
28
14
4.29
179
1.9
4.1
27
27
14
Population
Million
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B2HIGH MINICAM
ASIA - B2HIGH MINICAM
Population
1990
Million
2790
2000
3261
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
3707
4127
4463
4739
4953
5037
5070
5052
4932
4814
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.4
na
3.1
na
6.0
na
10.3
na
17.4
na
25.6
na
35.2
na
45.9
na
57.4
na
69.7
na
82.9
na
97.2
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
20
14
2
4
0
40
0
32
20
5
11
0
68
0
46
27
9
24
0
106
0
62
36
13
43
0
153
0
74
43
13
64
0
193
0
83
53
13
88
0
237
0
91
67
12
115
0
284
0
81
79
12
147
0
319
0
75
91
13
182
0
361
0
73
104
14
220
0
410
0
70
112
12
253
0
447
0
68
119
11
287
0
484
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
26
16
3
1
0
47
22
9
4
2
72
29
20
9
5
104
39
37
15
9
142
33
48
25
14
182
28
56
36
20
224
25
61
47
27
251
21
63
50
38
254
21
68
56
48
234
25
75
65
55
226
19
62
73
63
218
12
49
81
71
3
49
4
87
5
141
6
210
10
272
17
339
27
411
45
470
65
513
86
540
109
551
132
562
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
1.1
0.5
0.2
1.9
0.8
0.5
3.2
1.1
1.0
4.9
1.4
1.5
6.8
1.7
2.0
9.3
1.9
2.7
11.8
2.2
3.3
14.2
2.4
4.0
16.5
2.6
4.7
18.8
2.8
5.3
0.0
17.8
42.6
78.0
125.1
182.5
250.2
326.2
406.6
488.2
568.4
646.7
389
508
0
1168
664
2729
401
523
0
1143
632
2699
413
550
2
1104
603
2671
425
588
5
1052
577
2646
426
621
15
1007
569
2637
418
647
28
973
563
2630
403
668
43
951
559
2624
365
662
67
972
545
2611
332
654
84
997
541
2608
304
642
95
1026
547
2614
278
628
117
1043
565
2632
252
615
139
1060
584
2650
1.15
0.37
1.78
0.26
2.72
0.19
3.92
0.26
4.97
0.26
6.05
0.22
7.14
0.14
7.80
0.11
8.14
0.04
8.18
-0.05
8.04
-0.11
7.90
-0.17
1.53
113
2.3
17.7
0
3
4
2.03
125
2.6
25.3
5
5
7
2.92
134
2.9
38.4
21
14
12
4.18
145
3.2
50.6
40
22
18
5.23
155
3.6
57.0
66
30
25
6.26
166
4.0
59.1
95
38
32
7.28
178
4.4
56.9
130
46
36
7.90
183
4.5
43.7
164
51
36
8.19
179
4.7
32.8
199
54
33
8.12
166
4.9
24.3
233
54
27
7.93
160
5.2
19.4
267
53
29
7.73
154
5.4
14.4
302
51
30
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B2HIGH MINICAM
ALM - B2HIGH MINICAM
Population
1990
Million
1236
2000
1554
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1917
2326
2725
3104
3463
3737
3953
4113
4153
4192
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
1.9
na
2.8
na
4.4
na
6.8
na
11.8
na
18.4
na
26.6
na
38.2
na
50.6
na
63.9
na
78.0
na
93.6
na
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
0
2
17
5
3
0
27
0
3
22
7
6
0
37
0
5
27
10
10
0
52
0
7
35
13
17
0
72
0
11
41
17
32
0
101
0
15
54
19
51
0
139
0
20
73
19
76
0
188
0
20
94
19
109
0
242
0
20
114
20
144
0
299
0
21
135
22
181
0
359
0
21
152
20
218
0
411
0
21
170
17
255
0
463
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
4
20
7
0
0
6
23
10
2
1
10
28
15
4
1
14
36
24
7
3
30
37
36
14
5
53
40
45
22
9
83
42
50
31
15
82
46
58
37
27
86
52
66
44
37
96
59
75
54
44
103
51
66
64
55
110
43
58
73
65
5
35
6
47
8
67
11
95
15
137
21
189
28
249
44
293
61
345
79
407
100
439
122
471
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.5
0.2
0.3
0.8
0.4
0.5
1.2
0.7
1.0
1.6
1.2
1.6
2.0
1.6
2.4
2.4
2.2
3.3
2.9
2.8
4.2
3.5
3.5
5.2
4.0
4.2
6.2
4.5
4.9
0.0
16.4
35.3
57.5
85.2
119.2
160.8
209.3
263.0
320.8
381.1
442.6
391
1510
0
3641
1957
7499
365
1594
0
3589
1882
7430
353
1713
0
3487
1808
7361
355
1867
0
3333
1735
7290
353
2013
1
3186
1710
7263
344
2118
12
3074
1690
7239
330
2183
34
2996
1675
7217
301
2091
85
3067
1636
7182
274
2004
123
3147
1623
7171
247
1921
148
3234
1635
7185
226
1875
186
3263
1681
7230
205
1829
223
3292
1727
7275
0.72
0.73
1.01
0.82
1.27
0.69
1.64
0.85
2.28
0.77
3.13
0.61
4.18
0.39
4.76
0.38
5.40
0.20
6.11
-0.15
6.45
-0.37
6.81
-0.59
1.45
77
1.2
10.5
0
4
3
1.83
85
1.3
12.8
2
4
5
1.96
90
1.6
15.1
12
7
5
2.49
99
2.1
16.2
20
10
7
3.05
114
2.6
19.5
32
14
9
3.74
124
3.1
23.3
54
20
20
4.58
129
3.7
27.5
84
27
16
5.14
125
4.0
23.4
120
33
17
5.60
124
4.3
19.7
157
37
15
5.96
127
4.6
16.4
190
39
11
6.08
127
5.1
13.1
211
39
13
6.22
128
5.6
9.7
223
37
14
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
Land Use
Million ha
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
B2C MARIA
IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1
World - B2C MARIA
1990
Population
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
5262
6091
6891
7672
8372
8930
9367
9704
9960
10159
10306
10414
19.5
27.2
37.0
49.8
64.1
83.2
108.1
130.5
156.2
181.5
205.4
231.7
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
48
138
56
35
0
278
48
148
61
49
0
305
67
158
88
60
0
373
107
187
87
71
0
451
161
217
75
84
0
537
221
251
60
97
0
629
277
248
79
114
0
718
322
284
58
124
0
788
356
291
67
134
0
847
381
325
47
143
0
895
394
354
33
147
0
928
395
377
23
153
0
949
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
90
123
71
22
28
79
134
105
19
27
90
141
151
16
34
124
158
170
13
47
175
191
183
11
47
232
197
193
10
76
287
162
198
8
101
331
178
197
7
117
363
163
223
12
136
387
172
223
10
158
399
185
223
9
172
400
206
228
8
173
9
343
8
372
7
438
7
519
6
613
5
714
58
815
63
893
66
962
66
1015
64
1052
62
1077
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.9
1.2
0.7
1.7
2.6
1.8
2.6
4.0
3.3
3.8
5.6
5.0
5.6
7.5
6.8
7.9
9.4
8.7
10.8
11.1
10.7
14.1
12.8
12.7
17.7
14.5
14.9
21.6
16.2
17.2
25.6
18.0
19.4
0.0
75.3
160.8
259.8
377.4
515.4
666.7
828.4
1001.1
1182.7
1371.4
1565.7
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
1451
3395
0
4138
4061
13045
1451
3395
0
4138
4061
13045
1458
3392
0
4138
4058
13045
1744
3113
0
4138
4051
13045
1940
2925
0
4138
4043
13045
2051
2904
0
4100
3990
13045
2079
2904
0
4099
3963
13045
2013
2904
66
4131
3931
13045
1906
2904
173
4138
3924
13045
1777
2904
302
4138
3924
13045
1691
2904
388
4138
3924
13045
1691
2904
388
4138
3924
13045
5.99
1.11
7.10
6.90
1.07
7.97
8.03
1.09
9.12
9.56
1.11
10.67
11.73
1.12
12.85
13.49
1.26
14.76
14.28
1.23
15.51
15.73
1.09
16.81
16.65
1.09
17.74
17.46
1.11
18.57
18.04
1.12
19.16
18.57
1.14
19.71
1672
32
38
883
25
40
786
42
48
299
55
55
272
70
60
315
88
76
346
107
79
413
120
80
483
128
74
548
130
63
603
127
65
649
121
69
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
CFC/HFC/HCFC MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
B2C MARIA
B2C MARIA
OECD90 - B2C MARIA
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
859
917
953
982
994
988
976
965
952
941
934
928
15.6
20.7
26.1
30.2
33.4
37.1
41.2
43.8
47.9
52.8
57.5
62.5
12
71
28
21
0
132
8
74
32
28
0
142
6
68
51
32
0
157
21
63
48
35
0
167
44
59
34
38
0
175
62
56
24
39
0
180
73
53
17
40
0
183
81
51
12
41
0
185
88
50
8
42
0
189
92
50
6
43
0
191
96
50
4
44
0
194
96
50
3
45
0
194
38
71
34
18
6
28
74
55
15
4
21
68
85
12
3
33
63
91
11
2
53
59
84
9
1
70
55
78
8
2
81
50
63
7
4
88
47
61
6
5
94
42
58
6
9
98
36
59
5
14
101
27
61
5
23
100
34
63
5
16
5
171
5
180
4
193
4
203
3
210
3
216
14
219
14
221
17
225
16
229
15
232
15
233
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.7
0.3
0.7
1.5
0.9
0.9
2.1
1.7
1.2
2.8
2.6
1.7
3.4
3.5
2.4
3.9
4.2
3.2
4.4
4.9
4.1
4.9
5.5
5.1
5.3
6.1
6.0
5.7
6.7
7.0
5.9
7.3
0.0
30.1
63.0
98.4
137.2
179.3
222.6
265.8
309.6
353.8
397.8
442.5
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
378
756
0
756
794
2684
354
756
23
756
794
2684
312
756
65
756
794
2684
251
756
127
756
794
2684
202
756
176
756
794
2684
202
756
176
756
794
2684
2.83
0.00
2.83
3.20
0.00
3.20
3.35
0.03
3.38
3.64
0.05
3.69
3.99
0.08
4.07
4.25
0.11
4.36
4.21
0.08
4.29
4.29
0.06
4.36
4.32
0.09
4.40
4.31
0.12
4.42
4.24
0.14
4.39
4.39
0.17
4.56
19
18
24
57
13
23
105
14
25
99
13
23
102
12
17
101
11
13
102
10
13
101
8
11
100
7
10
98
7
11
98
7
10
97
7
10
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
B2C MARIA
REF - B2C MARIA
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
413
415
417
418
416
411
406
396
389
384
381
379
0.9
1.2
1.4
1.7
2.6
4.2
6.8
8.2
10.0
11.5
12.9
14.5
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
13
17
21
7
0
58
9
13
24
8
0
54
7
12
29
8
0
56
15
11
26
9
0
60
26
12
24
10
0
72
43
12
17
12
0
85
61
9
17
15
0
101
68
7
15
16
0
106
75
5
15
16
0
111
78
7
10
16
0
113
80
9
7
16
0
113
81
11
5
17
0
113
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
19
19
27
3
1
13
14
33
2
1
10
12
39
2
0
17
11
38
1
0
27
12
40
1
0
44
12
38
1
0
61
9
40
1
1
69
6
40
0
1
75
4
40
0
1
79
7
36
0
0
81
9
33
0
0
81
11
32
0
0
1
69
1
64
1
65
1
68
1
81
1
96
3
114
3
119
3
124
3
126
3
126
3
126
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.6
0.4
0.4
1.0
0.6
0.6
1.4
0.9
0.7
1.8
1.3
0.8
2.1
1.9
0.9
2.5
2.6
1.0
2.9
3.3
1.0
3.3
4.1
1.1
3.7
4.9
1.2
4.0
0.0
11.0
20.1
29.9
42.1
58.0
78.2
101.4
126.2
152.2
178.9
206.2
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
217
114
0
815
722
1868
174
114
43
815
722
1868
139
114
78
815
722
1868
111
114
106
815
722
1868
103
114
114
815
722
1868
103
114
114
815
722
1868
1.30
0.00
1.30
0.91
0.00
0.91
0.89
0.02
0.91
1.02
0.03
1.05
1.33
0.05
1.38
1.74
0.06
1.81
2.16
0.08
2.24
2.30
0.10
2.40
2.44
0.11
2.55
2.52
0.13
2.65
2.56
0.15
2.70
2.58
0.16
2.74
0
7
7
4
4
6
9
8
5
15
10
7
21
14
9
25
19
12
25
25
15
26
28
16
26
30
15
26
30
14
27
28
14
27
27
14
Population
Million
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
B2C MARIA
ASIA - B2C MARIA
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
2642
3062
3450
3796
4089
4316
4479
4613
4720
4813
4851
4888
1.2
2.9
6.3
12.9
19.9
28.1
37.8
46.8
56.9
67.0
76.7
87.3
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
20
26
2
4
0
52
28
34
2
8
0
71
48
54
1
12
0
115
61
82
1
16
0
161
75
100
1
23
0
199
89
119
1
27
0
237
98
135
1
34
0
267
109
148
0
36
0
294
116
158
0
40
0
314
123
167
0
42
0
333
126
176
0
44
0
346
126
183
0
46
0
355
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
28
14
3
1
13
34
23
5
2
17
52
38
8
1
26
64
55
14
1
42
77
76
21
1
43
91
70
28
1
70
99
58
29
0
91
110
58
35
0
100
116
56
41
6
110
123
56
49
4
116
126
74
54
3
105
126
101
59
3
85
1
61
1
82
1
127
1
176
1
219
1
260
17
295
20
324
20
349
21
369
20
383
20
393
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.6
0.4
0.1
1.1
0.8
0.2
1.8
1.3
0.3
2.6
2.1
0.5
3.5
2.8
0.8
4.4
3.3
1.1
5.5
3.9
1.4
6.7
4.5
1.8
7.9
5.0
2.3
9.2
5.8
2.9
0.0
17.8
42.2
74.3
114.3
160.2
207.5
256.6
308.4
362.9
421.4
485.3
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
366
431
0
365
458
1621
366
431
0
365
458
1621
373
428
0
365
455
1621
380
425
0
365
451
1621
380
426
0
365
449
1621
380
426
0
365
449
1621
380
426
0
365
449
1621
380
426
0
365
449
1621
380
426
0
365
449
1621
379
426
1
365
449
1621
350
426
30
365
449
1621
350
426
30
365
449
1621
1.15
0.37
1.53
1.78
0.26
2.03
2.61
0.25
2.85
3.33
0.23
3.56
4.21
0.22
4.43
4.54
0.21
4.75
4.53
0.19
4.72
4.90
0.18
5.08
5.11
0.18
5.29
5.43
0.17
5.61
5.94
0.15
6.09
6.54
0.14
6.69
0
3
4
5
5
7
21
14
12
40
22
18
66
30
25
95
38
32
130
46
36
164
51
36
199
54
33
233
54
27
267
53
29
302
51
30
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN
B2C MARIA
ALM - B2C MARIA
Population
1990
Million
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
1348
1697
2071
2476
2873
3214
3506
3730
3900
4021
4141
4220
1.7
2.4
3.2
4.9
8.1
13.9
22.3
31.7
41.4
50.2
58.2
67.3
Final Energy
EJ
Non-commercial
Solids
Liquids
Gas
Electricity
Others
Total
3
24
5
3
0
35
2
26
4
6
0
38
5
25
7
8
0
45
10
31
12
10
0
63
17
45
16
14
0
91
28
63
18
18
0
127
46
51
45
25
0
167
64
77
31
31
0
203
77
77
43
36
0
234
87
100
30
41
0
258
92
118
21
43
0
275
94
133
15
46
0
287
Primary Energy
Coal
Oil
Gas
Nuclear
Biomass
6
18
7
0
8
4
23
12
0
6
7
22
19
0
4
11
30
28
0
3
17
44
39
0
2
28
60
50
0
4
46
45
67
0
6
64
68
62
0
10
77
61
84
0
17
87
73
78
0
27
92
74
75
0
44
94
61
74
0
72
2
41
2
46
1
53
1
73
1
103
1
142
24
188
25
228
26
264
26
291
25
310
24
325
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.4
0.2
0.2
0.6
0.4
0.3
0.9
0.7
0.4
1.4
1.1
0.7
2.0
1.6
1.2
2.4
2.2
1.8
3.1
2.8
2.6
3.7
3.7
3.5
4.4
4.5
4.4
5.2
5.2
0.0
16.4
35.4
57.2
83.8
117.8
158.4
204.6
256.9
313.8
373.2
431.7
Carbon Sequestraction
GtC
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Land Use
Million ha
490
2095
0
2202
2086
6873
490
2095
0
2202
2086
6873
490
2095
0
2202
2086
6873
769
1818
0
2202
2084
6873
965
1630
0
2202
2076
6873
1076
1609
0
2164
2024
6873
1104
1609
0
2163
1997
6873
1104
1609
0
2195
1965
6873
1075
1609
30
2202
1958
6873
1036
1609
68
2202
1958
6873
1036
1609
68
2202
1958
6873
1036
1609
68
2202
1958
6873
0.72
0.73
1.45
1.01
0.82
1.83
1.18
0.80
1.98
1.57
0.79
2.36
2.19
0.77
2.96
2.96
0.88
3.84
3.39
0.87
4.26
4.23
0.75
4.98
4.78
0.71
5.49
5.20
0.69
5.90
5.30
0.68
5.98
5.07
0.66
5.73
0
4
3
2
4
5
12
7
5
20
10
7
32
14
9
54
20
20
84
27
16
120
33
17
157
37
15
190
39
11
211
39
13
223
37
14
GNP/GDP (mex)
Trillion US$
GNP/GDP (ppp) Trillion (1990 prices)
EJ
Other Renewables
Total
Cropland
Grasslands
Energy Biomass
Forest
Others
Total
Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized)
Fossil Fuel CO2 GtC
Other CO2
GtC
Total CO2
GtC
CH4 total
MtCH4
N2O total
MtN2O-N
SOx total
MtS
HFC
MtC eq.
PFC
MtC eq.
SF6
MtC eq.
CO
MtCO
NMVOC
Mt
NOx
MtN