Houston Public Media - UH Center For Public Policy - Super Tuesday Republican Primary Poll - Houston Public Media PDF

8/12/2016
HoustonPublicMedia/UHCenterforPublicPolicySuperTuesdayRepublicanPrimaryPollHoustonPublicMedia
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Houston Public Media/UH Center for Public

Policy Super Tuesday Republican Primary Poll
Abou
Conta
TheHoustonPublicMedia/UHCenterforPublicPolicySurveyof2016TexasRepublicanPrimary
Voters
CoDirectors:RichardMurray&RobertM.Stein
ThesurveyoflikelyRepublicanTexasPresidentialprimaryvoterswasconducted(February1222,2016)
withtwosamplesofeligiblevotersbytheUniversityofHoustonHobbyCenterforPublicPolicysSurvey
ResearchCenter.Thefirstsample(N=315)includedregisteredvoterswhovotedinoneofthreeelections
includingthe2008,2012RepublicanPrimaryelectionandthe2015Generalelection.Thesecondsample
(N=100)includedallotherregisteredvoters(i.e.thosewhodidnotvoteintwoormoreoftheselected
elections).Resultsarereportedforthecombinedsamples.Themarginoferrorforcombinedsample
https://www.houstonpublicmedia.org/news/polls/electionpoll/
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1/11
8/12/2016
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elections).Resultsarereportedforthecombinedsamples.Themarginoferrorforcombinedsample
(N=415)is4.8%.
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Topic
Republican Primary Voting
Progr
Ifthe2016TexasRepublicanprimaryelectionforpresidentwereheldtoday,whichofthefollowing
possiblecandidateswouldyouvotefor,orareyouundecidedatthistime?
Suppo
Frequency
Percent
TedCruz
144
35%
DonaldDrumpf
84
20%
MarcoRubio
34
8%
BenCarson
30
7%
JebBush
20
5%
JohnKasich
18
4%
Undecided
79
19%
Refused
2%
415
100%
Total
Event
UH
Abou
Conta
InchoosingaRepublicanpresidentialcandidatethisyear,whichofthefollowingismostimportantto
you?Thatthecandidate
Frequency
Percent
Ishonestandtrustworthy
145
35%
Sharesmyvalues
95
23%
Caresaboutpeoplelike
yourself
63
15%
CanwininNovember
54
13%
Hastherightexperience
43
10%
2/11
8/12/2016
Dontknow/Refused
15
4%
Total
415
100%
AmongtheRepublicanpresidentialcandidatesisthereanyoneyoucouldnotvotefor?
Frequency
Percent
TedCruz
33
8%
DonaldDrumpf
109
26%
MarcoRubio
13
3%
BenCarson
2%
JebBush
56
14%
JohnKasich
12
3%
Undecided
138
33%
Refused
45
11%
Total
415
100%
Whichbestdescribesyoursupportfor(chosencandidate)?
Frequency
Percent
Istronglysupport
155
47%
Isomewhatsupport
145
44%
Or,Isupport(candidate)
mostlybecauseIdislikethe
othercandidates
24
7%
Dontknow/Refused
2%
Total
330
100%
Didnotanswer
85
Total
415
Texas Primary
3/11
8/12/2016
Texas Primary
TheTexasDemocraticandRepublicanpartieswillholdtheirprimariesforstateandlocalofficeson
March1st.LookingaheadtotheMarchprimary,howlikelyareyoutovoteinthatelection?Areyou
certaintovote,likelytovote,probablywontvote,orwillyouskiptheprimaryelections?
Frequency
Percent
Certaintovoteorvotedearly
319
77%
Likelywillvote
96
23%
Probablywontvote
0%
Skiptheprimaryelections
0%
Dontknow
0%
Refused
0%
415
100%
Total
Ifyoudovote,intheTexasprimary,willyouvoteintheDemocraticorRepublicanprimary?
Frequency
Percent
Republican
415
100%
Democratic
0%
Dontknow
0%
Refused
0%
415
100%
Total
Voter Concerns
Whichofthefollowingissueswouldyousayismostimportanttoyou?
Frequency
Percent
Terrorism
115
28%
Jobs/TheEconomy
102
24%
GovernmentSpending
98
24%
4/11
8/12/2016
GovernmentSpending
98
24%
Immigration
72
17%
NoAnswer
19
5%
Refused
2%
415
100%
Total
Howworriedareyouaboutthedirectionofthenationseconomy?
Frequency
Percent
VeryWorried
198
48%
Somewhatworried
174
42%
Nottooworried
30
7%
Notworriedatall
10
2%
Dontknow/Refused
1%
415
100%
Total
HowworriedareyouaboutamajorterroristattackintheU.S.?
Frequency
Percent
VeryWorried
156
38%
Somewhatworried
197
47%
Nottooworried
45
11%
Notworriedatall
12
3%
Dontknow/Refused
1%
415
100%
Total
WhatdoyouexpectforthenextgenerationofAmericans?Willtheirlifebe
Frequency
Percent
5/11
8/12/2016
Worse
250
60%
Same
82
20%
Better
52
13%
Dontknow/Refused
31
7%
Total
415
100%
Voter Opinions on Immigration
DoyoufavortemporarilybanningMuslimswhoarenotU.S.citizensfromenteringtheU.S.?
Frequency
Percent
Yes
212
51%
No
155
37%
Dontknow
37
9%
Refused
11
3%
Total
415
100%
WhatdoyouthinkshouldbedonewithrespecttoillegalimmigrantsworkingintheU.S.?Shouldthey
be
Frequency
Percent
Offeredachancetoapplyfor
legalstatusiftheyhavea
cleanrecordandpayafine
237
57%
Deportedtothecountrythey
camefrom
139
34%
Dontknow
31
7%
Refused
2%
415
100%
Total
6/11
8/12/2016
Outlook on Federal Government
HowwouldyoudescribeyourfeelingsabouthowthefederalgovernmentinWashingtonworks?
Frequency
Percent
Veryangryabouthowthe
federalgovernmentworks
188
45%
Somewhatangry
135
33%
Havemixedfeelings
71
17%
Aresomewhatsatisfied
15
4%
Orverysatisfiedwithhowthe
federalgovernmentworks
0%
Dontknow/Refused
1%
415
100%
Frequency
Percent
PresidentObamaandthe
Democrats
85
45%
TheRepublicanmajoritiesin
theU.S.SenateandHouse
2%
Ordotheyshare
responsibilityequally
90
48%
NotSure/Refused
5%
Total
188
100%
Didnotanswer
227
Total
415
Total
Whodoyoumostblameforthis?
Party A
liations
7/11
8/12/2016
Generallyspeaking,doyouusuallythinkofyourselfasaRepublican,aDemocrat,anIndependent,or
what?
Frequency
Percent
Republican
334
81%
Independent
68
16%
Democrat
1%
Noanswer/Refused
2%
415
100%
Total
WouldyoucallyourselfastrongDemocrat/Republican/Independentornotverystrong?
Frequency
Percent
Strong
190
56%
Notstrong
101
30%
Lean
42
12%
Noanswer/Refused
2%
Total
340
100%
Didnotanswer
75
Total
415
DoyouleantotheRepublicanParty,leantotheDemocraticParty,orareyouastrictIndependent?
Frequency
Percent
LeanRepublican
46
61%
StrictIndependent
14
19%
LeanDemocratic
8%
Noanswer/Refused
12%
Total
75
100%
8/11
8/12/2016
Didnotanswer
340
Total
415
Whenitcomestopolitics,doyouconsideryourselfveryconservative,conservative,moderate,liberal,
orveryliberal?
Frequency
Percent
Veryconservative
98
24%
Conservative
203
49%
Moderate
95
23%
Liberal
1%
VeryLiberal
1%
Noneofthese
0%
Noanswer/Refused
2%
415
100%
Total
Survey Demographics
Inwhichcategorywouldyouplaceyourhouseholdincomelastyear?
Frequency
Percent
Lessthan$25,000
15
4%
$25,000to$50,000
53
13%
$50,000to$75,000
97
23%
$75,000to$100,000
77
19%
$100,000to$150,000
42
10%
Morethan$150,000
35
8%
Noanswer/Refused
96
23%
Total
415
100%
9/11
8/12/2016
Whatisthehighestlevelofeducationyoureceived?
Frequency
Percent
Lessthanhighschool
1%
Highschooldegree
76
18%
Somecollege
85
21%
Twoyearcollegedegree
49
12%
Fouryearcollegedegree
134
32%
Postgraduatedegree
57
14%
NoAnswer/Refused
2%
415
100%
Total
DoyouconsideryourselftobeabornagainorevangelicalChristian?
Frequency
Percent
Yes
243
58%
No
157
38%
Dontknow/Refused
15
4%
Total
415
100%
Frequency
Percent
White
331
80%
AfricanAmerican
10
2%
Hispanic/Latino
42
10%
Asian/PacificIslander
1%
NativeAmerican
1%
Whatracedoyouconsideryourself?
10/11
8/12/2016
NativeAmerican
1%
Multiracial/other
2%
Noanswer/refused
15
4%
Total
415
100%
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