Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Solutions Manual
to accompany
Prepared by
Miriam Krakovska
x
1
2
3
4
5
P(x)
.238
.290
.177
.158
.137
xP(x)
.238
.580
.531
.632
.685
(x )2
2.775556
0.443556
0.111556
1.779556
5.447556
(x )2P(x)
0.6605823
0.1286312
0.0197454
0.2811700
0.7463152
= [xP(x)] = 2.666
2 = (x )2P(x) = 1.836444
= 1.836444 = 1.355155
When the process is repeated many times, the long run average of the
occurrences is 2.666.
5.2
x
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
P(x)
.103
.118
.246
.229
.138
.094
.071
.001
xP(x)
.000
.118
.492
.687
.552
.470
.426
.007
(x )2
7.573504
3.069504
0.565504
0.061504
1.557504
5.053504
10.549500
18.045500
(x )2P(x)
0.780071
0.362201
0.139114
0.014084
0.214936
0.475029
0.749015
0.018046
x
0
1
2
3
4
P(x)
.461
.285
.129
.087
.038
xP(x)
.000
.285
.258
.261
.152
(x )2
0.913936
0.001936
1.089936
4.177936
9.265936
(x )2P(x)
0.421324
0.000552
0.140602
0.363480
0.352106
P(x)
xP(x)
(x )2
(x )2P(x)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
.262
.393
.246
.082
.015
.002
.000
.000
.393
.492
.246
.060
.010
.000
1.4424
0.0404
0.6384
3.2364
7.8344
14.4324
23.0304
0.37791
0.01588
0.15705
0.26538
0.11752
0.02886
0.00000
2 = (x )2P(x) = 0.96260
= [xP(x)] = 1.201
= .96260 = .98112
If many random samples of 6 people are taken in the city, on average 1.2 Pepsi
drinkers are expected in each sample. The sample standard deviation of the
number of Pepsi drinkers is 0.98. 90.1% of the time a sample of 6 is expected to
contain two Pepsi drinkers or less.
5.5
(a)
n=4
P(x = 3) =
(b)
(c)
4
3
p = .10
q = .90
n=7
p = .80
P(x = 4) =
7
4
q = .20
n = 10
p = .60
q = .40
P(x > 7) = P(x = 7) + P(x = 8) + P(x = 9) + P(x = 10)
10
7
(.60)7(.40)3 +
10
8
(.60)8(.40)2 +
10
9
(.60)9(.40)1
10
10
+
(.60)10(.40)0
= 120(.0280)(.064) + 45(.0168)(.16) + 10(.0101)(.40) + 1(.0060)(1)
= .2150 + .1209 + .0403 + .0060 = .3822
(d)
n = 12
p = .45
q = .55
P(5 < x < 7) = P(x = 5) + P(x = 6) + P(x = 7)
12
5
12
6
12
7
=
(.45)5(.55)7 +
(.45)6(.55)6 +
(.45)7(.55)5
= 792(.0185)(.0152) + 924(.0083)(.0277) + 792(.0037)(.0503)
= .2225 + .2124 + .1489 = .5838
5.6
By Table A.2:
(a)
n = 20 p = .50
P(x = 12) = .120
(b)
n = 20 p = .30
P(x > 8) = P(x = 9) + P(x = 10) + P(x = 11) + ...+ P(x = 20)
= .065 + .031 + .012 + .004 + .001 + .000 = .113
(c)
n = 20 p = .70
P(x < 12) = P(x = 11) + P(x = 10) + P(x = 9) + ... + (Px = 0)
= .065 + .031 + .012 + .004 + .001 + .000 = .113
(d)
n = 20 p = .90
P(x < 16) = P(x = 16) + P(x = 15) + P(x = 14) + ...+ P(x = 0)
=.090 + .032 + .009 + .002 + .000 = .133
(e)
n = 15 p = .40
(4 < x < 9)
= P(x = 4) + P(x = 5) + P(x = 6) + P(x = 7) + P(x = 8) + P(x = 9)
= .127 + .186 + .207 + .177 + .118 + .061 = .876
(f)
n = 10 p = .60
P(x > 7) = P(x = 7) + P(x = 8) + P(x = 9) + P(x = 10)
= .215 + .122 + .040 + .006 = .382
5.7
5.8
(a)
n = 20
p = .70
q = .30
= n P = 20(.70) = 14
= n p q 20(.70)(.30) 4.2 = 2.05
(b)
n = 70
p = .35
q = .65
= np = 70(.35) = 24.5
= n p q 70(.35)(.65) 15.925 = 3.99
(c)
n = 100 p = .50
q = .50
= np = 100(.50) = 50
= n p q 100(.50)(.50)
(a) n = 6
x
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
25
=5
p = .70
P
.001
.010
.060
.185
.324
.303
.118
Mean = 4.2
(b)
n= 0
x
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
p = .50
P
.000
.000
.000
.001
.005
.015
.037
.074
.120
John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd 2012
4
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
.160
.176
.160
.120
.074
.037
.015
.005
.001
.000
.000
.000
Mean = 10
(c)
n=8
p = .80
x
P
0
.000
1
.000
2
.001
3
.009
4
.046
5
.147
6
.294
7
.336
8
.168
Mean = 6.4
5.9
i)
p = 0.20
ii) p = 0.15
P ( X 5) 0.998617(using Excel)
iii) p = 0.15
b)
HP: p = 0.20
np 10 0.20 2
2 npq 10 0.20 0.80 1.6
HP or DELL:
5.10
n = 25
np 10 0.35 3.5
2 npq 10 0.35 0.65 2.275
P = .42
(a)
(b)
(c)
P(X 6) = .0495
5.11
5.12
(a)
n = 20, p = .58
P(x < 15) = P(X 14) = .9078 (Kaddstat)
(b)
(c)
n = 20, p = .53
P(X > 10 ) = P(X 11) = .5196 (Kaddstat)
(d)
(e)
Let the random variable X denote the number out of 20 who believe that
the new standards have improved confidence in financial reporting and that
the new standards have improved audit quality. Assuming that the two
events are independent, X~Bin(20,0.530.58) and we need
N = 20, p = .3074
P(X=10) = 0.0354 (Kaddstat)
(f)
p = 0.01
a)
P( X 5) 1 P X 5 0.000535
b)
n = 100, p = 0.01
E ( X ) np 100 0.01 1
c)
100
P ( X 2) 1 P ( X 2) 1 [ P ( X 0) P ( X 1) P X 2 ]
d)
n = 10, p = 0.079373
e)
5.14
(a)
P(x = 5 = 2.3)
.0538
5!
(120)
(b)
P(x = 2 = 3.9)
.1539
2!
2
P(x< 3 = 4.1)
= P(x = 3) + P(x= 2) + P(x = 1) + P(x = 0)
(4.13 )(e 4.1 )
(68.921)(.016574)
.1904
3!
6
(4.12) (e 4.1 )
(16.81)(.016573)
.1393
2!
2
(4.11) (e 4.1 )
(4.1)(.016573)
.0679
1!
1
(4.10) (e 4.1 )
(1)(.016573)
.0166
0!
1
P(x< 3 = 4.1) = .4142
(c)
(d)
P(x = 0 = 2.7)
(e)
P(x = 1 = 5.4)
(f)
.0672
0!
1
.0244
1!
1
5!
6!
7!
(1649.162)(.012277)
(7256.314)(.012277) (31927.781)(.012277)
120
720
5040
.1687 .1237 .0778 .3702
5.15
(a)
(b)
(c)
P
.0068
.0022
.0006
.0002
.0000
.0098
x
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
3<X<9
P
.1852
.1944
.1633
.1143
.0686
.0360
.0168
.7786
(d)
(e)
(f)
P
.0550
.1596
.2314
.2237
.1622
.0940
.0455
.9713
5.16
(a) = 6.3
x
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
P
.1594
.1298
.0925
.3817
mean = 6.3
Standard deviation =
P
.0018
.0116
.0364
.0765
.1205
.1519
.1595
.1435
.1130
.0791
.0498
.0285
John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd 2012
9
6.3
= 2.51
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
(b)
.0150
.0073
.0033
.0014
.0005
.0002
.0001
.0000
= 1.3
x
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
(c)
x
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
mean = 1.3
standard deviation =
1.3
= 1.14
P
.2725
.3542
.2303
.0998
.0324
.0084
.0018
.0003
.0001
.0000
= 8.9
mean = 8.9
standard deviation =
P
.0001
.0012
.0054
.0160
.0357
.0635
.0941
.1197
.1332
.1317
.1172
.0948
.0703
.0481
.0306
.0182
.0101
.0053
.0026
.0012
.0005
.0002
John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd 2012
10
8.9
= 2.98
22
(d)
.0001
= 0.6
x
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
5.17
mean = 0.6
standard deviation =
0. 6
= .775
P
.5488
.3293
.0988
.0198
.0030
.0004
.0000
= 2.8 4 minutes
(a)
P(X = 6 = 2.8)
from Table A.3 .0407
(b)
P(X = 0 = 2.8) =
from Table A.3 .0608
(c)
(d)
5.18
(a)
x 126 3.5
n
36
P ( x)
P ( X 0 3.5)
x e
x!
3.5 0 e 3.5
0.0302
0!
(b)
(c)
(using Excel)
f)
5.19
10.58 e 10.5
0.1009
8!
P(x = 0 = 5.6):
from Table A.3 = .0037
(b)
P(x = 6 = 5.6):
from Table A.3 = .1584
(c)
P
.0005
.0002
.0001
.0008
P(X = 0 = 0.6):
from Table A.3 = .5488
(b)
P(X = 1 = 0.6):
from Table A.3 = .3293
John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd 2012
12
5.21
(c)
(d)
(e)
(b)
(c)
5.22
5.23
(b)
(c)
n = 100,000
p = .00004
P(X > 7 n = 100 000 p = .00004):
= = np = 100 000(.00004) = 4.0
Since n > 20 and np < 7, the Poisson approximation to this binomial problem is
close enough.
P(X > 7 = 4) = 1 P(X 6) = 1 .8893 = .1107
p = .009
n = 200
5.25
(a)
(b)
(c)
P(X = 0) = .1653
(d)
(a)
11
4
(b)
= 1
6
0
(c)
9
8
(.85)8(.15)1 +
9
9
(.85)9(.15)0
14
3
14
0
(.70)3(.30)11 +
14
2
(.70)2(.30)12 +
14
1
(.70)1(.30)13
(.70)0(.30)14
= (364)(.3430)(.00000177) + (91)(.49)(.000000047)
= (14)(.70)(.00000016) + (1)(1)(.000000047)
= .0002 + .0000 + .0000 + .0000 = .0002
5.26
(a)
(b)
(c)
P
.028
.121
.233
.267
.200
.849
x
12
13
14
15
x > 12
(d)
P
.063
.022
.005
.000
.090
5.27
(a)
P
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
P(x = 4 = 1.25)
(1.25 4 )(e 1.25 ) (2.4414)(.2865)
.0291
4!
24
(b)
1!
0!
1
1
.0109 .0017 .0126
(c)
2 .4
2.4 0
0!
e 2 .4
2.4 1
1!
e 2. 4
2. 4 2
2!
e 2. 4
2. 4 3
4!
2. 4
2. 4 5
5!
(a)
(b)
3!
x
0
1
2
3
4
x<5
(c)
(d)
P
.1890
.0992
.0417
.0146
.0044
.0011
.0003
.0001
.0000
.3504
5.29
P
.0369
.1217
.2008
.2209
.1823
.7626
P
.1852
.1944
.1633
.5429
n = 25 p = .20 retired
from Table A.2: P(X = 7) = .111
P(X > 10) = 1 P(X 9) = 1 .9827 = .0173
Expected Value = = nP = 25(.20) = 5
n = 20 P = .40 mutual funds
P(X = 8) = .180
P(X< 6) = P(X 5) = .1256
P(X = 0) = .000
P(X > 12) = 1 P(x 11) =1 .9435 = .0565
x=8
Expected Number = = n P = 20(.40) = 8
5.30
N = 32
(a)
A = 10
P(x = 3) =
10 2
3 9
32
1 2
n = 12
(b)
P(x = 6) =
10 2
66
32
1 2
( 210)(74 613)
(c)
P(x = 0) =
10 2
0 12
32
1 2
(1)(646 646)
(d)
A = 22
10 2 10 2 10 2
5 7 4 8 3 9
32 32 32
1 2 12 12
+
5.32
P
.2466
.3452
.2417
.1128
.9463
(a)
n = 20 and p = .4
The expected number = = np = (20)(.4) = 8
(b)
The probability is small, but that is not unusual, since the expected number
of people with heart disease is 8. Our state is healthier than the Australian
average with respect to the incidence of heart disease.
5.33
(a)
(b)
(c)
5.34
5.35
(b)
P
.0241
John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd 2012
22
7
8
9
10
11
x>5
(c)
.0083
.0025
.0007
.0002
.0000
.0358
(d)