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GraduateSchool of Business
http://www.mba.itb.ac.id
INSTITUT TEKNOLOGI BANDUNG
MM5009
Decision Making and Negotiation
Prof. Utomo Sarjono Putro
&
Manahan Siallagan, Ph.D
AUGUST 2016
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Contents
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
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Ability to identify
and analyze root
causes of complex
business problem
Ability to analyze
decisions involving
multiple objectives
Ability to analyze
decisions involving
multiple criteria with
paired comparisons
Ability to analyze
decisions involving
uncertainties
Ability to use
negotiation
framework based
on distributive
and integrative
approaches
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Outcome(s)
Activity(ies)
#1:
Friday,Aug
ust 26 ,
2016
- Understanding ways of
making decisions, their
uses considering the
situation by using
heuristics and intuition
(system 1), and awareness
to potential biases and
traps
Session 1
Introduction to Decision
Making
- Ability to recognize
situations that require
action, to break apart
overlapping and confusing
issues and analyse the
problem
#2: Friday
,September2
, 2016
- Ability to understand
decision making process
to analyze situation and
analyze problem by
using KT.
Interactive Games
Lesson learn : intuition
and heuristics (Decision
making under limited
time and condition)
Preparation
Individual Reading
Facilitator
MS
Break
Session 2
Introduction to
decision making
process: Situation
appraisal and
exercise
Short Case: Exxon
Valdes
Short Case: Ragin
Cajun Chicken
Session 1
Case: Can You
Analyze This
Problem?
Short Case: New
Supplier
Introduction to
decision making
process: Problem
Analysis and
Decision Analysis
(Must and Wants
Criteria)
Individual Reading
MS
Reading:
- Chapter 1 in Kepner, C.
&Tregoe, B. (1997). The
New Rational Manager.
Princeton Research
Press: Princeton
MS
Break
Session 2
Exercise of problem
Analysis and
Decision Analysis
(Must and wants)
Reading:
- Chapter 1 in Kepner, C.
&Tregoe, B. (1997). The
New Rational Manager.
Princeton Research
Press: Princeton
MS
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Week
Outcome(s)
#3: Friday
,September9
, 2016
- Understanding how to
choose the best
alternative from one step
of decision point
- Ability to evaluate
alternative from the issues
using must and wants (DA)
- Ability to choose the best
alternative from the issues
using AHP
Activity(ies)
Session 1
Decision Making
with multi criteria:
AHP (Analytic
Hierarchy Process
(AHP))with simple
exercise
Preparation
Facilitator
Individual Reading
Assignment (submit before
class): Resume from book:
Chapter 16,Decision
Analysis for Management
Judgment (Goodwin, 2004,
3rd Edition), The analytical
Hierarchy Process.
MS
Break
Session 2
Exercise of AHP
#4: Friday
,September1
6 , 2016
Session 1
Decision Making
under Uncertainty:
Decision Tree
Short Case:
Westward
Publishing
MS
Individual Reading
Break
Session 2
Exercise: Decision
Tree
Announcement for
next week
practicum to bring
laptop and install
the software (add in
excel)
#5: Friday
,September
23 , 2016
MS
Session 1
Exercise: Monte
Carlo for Business
Decision making
problems involving
large number of
factors: Monte Carlo
Simulation
MS
Reading:
Ch. 8: Applying
simulation to decision
problems. Goodwin, P.,
& Wright, G. (2009, 4th
ed.). Decision Analysis
for Management
Judgment, pp 183-207
MS
Break
Session 2
Exercise of Monte
Carlo Simulation
MS
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Week
Outcome(s)
#6: Friday
,September3
0 , 2016
#7: Friday ,
October 7
, 2016
#8: Friday ,
October 14
, 2016
#9: Friday ,
October 21
, 2016
Activity(ies)
Preparation
Facilitator
Session 1
Decision making by
involving Group: The
Delphi Method
Individual Reading
Assignment (submit before
class):
MS
Session 2
Case of Delphi
Method
MS
Session 1
Case 1: Negotiation
Dilemma
USP
Mid Term
Ability to understand
basic of game theory
Ability to understand
how to transform
problem into games
and its strategy
Ability to have a
critical thinking and
how to think in a real
complex problem.
Break
Session 2
Interactive Decision
Making: Game
Theory
Film: Beautiful Mind
Session 1
The application of
game theory on
business
USP
USP
Break
#10: Friday
, October 28
, 2016
Session 2
Case 2: Game theory
application
Session 1
Confrontation
Analysis (Dilemma
of Collaboration)
Case 3: Film
Session 2
Practicing
Confrontation
Manager (Software
of Drama Theory)
USP
Reading:
Ch. 6 The Six Dilemmas,
pp 135-173, The Six
Dilemmas of
Collaboration: Interorganisational
Relationships as Drama,
Bryant, J., (2003).
Break
USP
USP
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Week
#11: Friday
, November
4 , 2016
#12: Friday
, November
11 , 2016
Outcome(s)
-
Understanding on key
concepts and elements of
negotiation
Ability to apply
distributive negotiation to
case Buying house
Ability to apply
distributive negotiation
strategies
Activity(ies)
Preparation
Facilitator
Session 1
Rational Framework
for Negotiation
Case 4: Claiming and
creating value
Reading:
Judgment in Managerial
Decision Making, Max H.
Bazerman and Don
Moore, 7th edition, 2009
Break
USP
Session 2
Distributive
Negotiation
Case 5: Distributive
negotiation
Reading:
Judgment in Managerial
Decision Making, Max H.
Bazerman and Don
Moore, 7th edition, 2009
USP
Session 1
Tips for Distributive
Negotiation
Case 6: Tips
Reading:
USP
Dispute Resolution
Research Center
Break
#13: Friday
, November
18 , 2016
#14: Friday
, November
25 , 2016
Session 2
Integrative
Negotiation
Case 6: Integrative
negotiation
Session 1
Case 7: Creating and
Claiming
Reading:
USP
Reading:
USP
Dispute Resolution
Research Center
Break
Session 2
Group assignment:
Lessons learned
USP
Final Test
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6. Lecturer Profile
Prof. Dr. UtomoSarjonoPutro
E-mail: utomo@sbm-itb.ac.id
Prof.Dr. UtomoSarjonoPutroreceived bachelor degree from undergraduate study program,
Industrial Engineering Department of Engineering ITB on1992, then on 1995 to 2001, he
continued to Master and Doctoral program at Department of Value and Decision Science, Tokyo
Institute of Technology, Japan.
He published papers in several international journals, such as IEEE Transaction on Systems, Man,
and Cybernetics, System Analysis Modeling Simulation, and Systems Research and Behavioral
Science, and also several chapters in Books published by Springers.
His research interests include decision science, system modelling for policy development,
confrontation analysis, negotiation, service science and agent based modelling and simulation.
Currently, he was active as an expert in Presidents Delivery Unit for Development Monitoring and
Oversight (UKP4), Secretary of Indonesian National Member Organization in IIASA (International
Institute of Applied System Analysis), and Secretary of INCASA (Indonesian National Committee of
Applied System Analysis). He has been serving as reviewer in several international journals: System
Research and Behavioural Science, and Asian Journal of Management Science and Applications
(AJMSA).
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7. Grading
Please mention how grading is determined within this course. It should be based on the
evaluation you specified in the course plan above.
Example:
Item
Weight
25%
25%
25%
25%
TOTAL
100%
Note:
You may also write something about how youre going to add students attitude or special
role in the class (e.g. class coordinator) into the final grade. However, its not easy to do
that and you have to be very clear about it in order to avoid complaints from students.
8. Students Guidance
In order to succeed, students are advised to do the followings:
1. Allocate sufficient time for self-preparation
2. Discuss concepts and cases with their syndicate
3. Elaborate practical cases apart from cases given
4. Have a proper notes of all lecture
5. Contribute actively in the class
9. References
Please mention main references that you use in this course. Make sure that they are
available for students at MBA ITB library. If not sufficient, please ask the librarian to
order it for you.
Page 11 of 13
Bazerman, M.H. (1994, 3thed.). Judgment In Managerial Decision Making. New York: Wiley
Hastie, R. & Dawes, R. (2010, 2nd ed.). Rational Choice in an Uncertain World. The Psychology of
Judgment and Decision Making.California: SAGE Publications, Inc.
Bazerman, M.H. ,& Neale, M.A. (1992). Negotiating Rationally. New York: Free Press
Bryant, J., (2003). The Six Dilemmas of Collaboration: Inter-organisational Relationships as Drama,
John Wiley & Sons Ltd., England.
Gano, D.L. (2007, 3rd ed.). Apollo Root Cause Analysis A New Way of Thinking. USA, Apollonian
Publications, LLC.
Lewicki, R. J., Barry, B, Saunders, D.M. (2007). Essentials of Negotiation. 4th ed. Boston, MA:
McGraw-Hill, 2007.
Thompson, L. (2005) The Mind and Heart of the Negotiator. 3rd edition. Upper Saddle River, New
Jersey: Pearson Education Inc.
Fisher, R., W. Ury, and B. Patton (1991). Getting to Yes. 2nd ed. New York: Penguin Books, 1991.W.
Ury. Getting Past No. New York: Bantam Books.
Goodwin, P., & Wright, G. (2009, 4th ed.). Decision Analysis for Management Judgment. Chichester,
UK: Wiley
Lax, D.A. & Sebenius, J.K. (2006). 3D Negotiation. Boston, Massachusetts: HBS Press.
Malhotra, D. & Bazerman, M.H. (2008). Negotiation Genius. New York: HBS-Bantam Books.
Howard, N., Confrontation Analysis: How to Win Operations Other than War, CCRP Publication
Series, 1999.
Bryant, J.W., The Six Dilemmas of Collaboration: Inter-organizational Relationships as Drama, John
Wiley & Sons, 2003.
Avinash Dixit and Barry Nalebuff : Thinking Strategically, Norton, 1991
Avinash Dixit, Skeath and Heiley Jr.. Games of Strategy, 2005
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