Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Legal Factors........................................................................................14
SWOT Analysis........................................................................................14
Strengths.............................................................................................14
Weaknesses.........................................................................................15
Opportunities.......................................................................................15
Threats................................................................................................16
Financial Analysis...................................................................................16
Sales Analysis......................................................................................16
Profitability Analysis............................................................................18
Efficiency Analysis...............................................................................22
Liquidity Analysis.................................................................................24
Investors Analysis...............................................................................26
Conclusion..............................................................................................29
Recommendations..................................................................................30
APPENDICES
APPENDIX I Profit & Loss
APPENDIX II Balance Sheet
APPENDIX III Ratios Analysis
APPENDIX IV Charts
APPENDIX V Formula sheet
I have used the annual reports of DGKC and LCL to acquire financial
their websites.
Website of ACCA and OBU info pack 2015-16 is used for guidance
regarding project preparation, fees, report layout and structure,
PESTEL Analysis
PESTEL analysis is used for determining political, economic, social, legal
and technological factors. The analysis is used for examining general
business environment that any organization is facing and helps in
reshaping its strategic and competitive position. The factors that are
responsible for affecting organizational norms and goals oriented
strategies are determined through senior management. This allows
organizations to determine threats and opportunities and take appropriate
actions accordingly. Factors associated to political environment that the
company is facing and governmental decision are political factors.
Economic factors are associated to countrys economy including GDP,
interest rate, tax policies and taxation etc. social factors include the
Ratio Analysis
All companies that are listed publicly have financial statements that
include both financial information and non- financial information. For
enhancing users understanding both qualitative and quantitative
information are added in financial statements. Ratio analysis is helpful for
users and they are able to understand qualitative information easily but it
is complicated to understand quantitative information. Ratio analysis
makes it easy to understand quantitative information. The relative
measure that involves comparison of figures obtained from past provides
the future forecasts and competitive positioning of the organization. When
these figures are expressed in percentages it is known as ratio. The
primary reason for conducting ratio analysis is to explore the current
financial standing and position of the company on the basis of past trend.
Commonly ratio analysis includes important statements such as sales
Market share
The market share of DGKC in local market of Pakistan stands constant at
11.30% while exports suffered a downfall to 9.19% (Chart 1). LCL is the
leader in cumulative market share which has 19.2% (LCL, 2015, p. 32).
Chart 1 (DGKC, 2015, p. 60)
Market Share
Local
14.96
14.41
13.01
11.57
Export
13.51
11.54
12.55
11.30
11.30
9.19
FY2011
FY2012
FY2013
FY2014
FY2015
PESTEL Analysis
Political Factors
The political environment of Pakistan has been hostile for a long period of
time and ever since the beginning of twenty-first century, the situation
has further escalated due to US led Invasion in Afghanistan on back of
Pakistan. This commitment has cost Pakistan more than 100 billion dollars
in loss to its economy, 80,000 lives of Pakistanis, social disruption, and
worsen internal & order situation (The Nation, 2015a). The successful
Economic Factors
Even though, the rise in gross domestic product of Pakistan satisfied
several intentional institutions, there are several economic problems faced
by the country such as loss making public enterprises and budget deficits
which leaves government with the choice to charge higher taxation
(Salman, 2015). The budget deficit of Pakistan during 2014-15 accounted
for 4.90% of gross domestic product which forced the government to
restrict its public sector development activities short of Rs. 88 billion
during 2013-14 (Rana, 2015). The exports of the cement sector has been
declining over the past few years due to non-tariff barriers and strengthen
of regional rivals from India, china, and Iran (Tribune, 2015). The
competitive nature of international market require cement companies to
reduce their cost of doing but the rise in import duties in coal and
imposition of Gas Infrastructure Development Cess would increase the
problems of cement companies (Tribune, 2015a). The fall in oil prices in
international prices and construction surge in the country has also eased
down the problems of cement industry (APP, 2015). The China-Pakistan
Economic Corridor (CPEC) projects worth of $45bn would increase demand
Social Factors
The imbalanced nature of taxation collection and governance system in
Pakistan has increased the gap between rich and poor. Current, almost
more than quarter of nation live below the line of poverty (APP, 2015). The
per capita income in Pakistan increased to US$1,386 from 2013 to 2014
while cost of living has also increased over the year which affected the
disposal income and saving levels in the country (BlueChip, 2013). There
is need for housing in the country which the real estate entities has seen
as opportunity to head start and increase their profitability at the loss of
agricultural lands and increased volatility. The customers seem concerned
with the price hike of cement aimed at construction growth of 11.3% from
2013 to 2014 (Tribune, 2014d).
Technological Factors
The products manufactured by most of cement companies in Pakistan are
mostly standard Portland cement which these companies are able to
produce due to the abundance of natural resources in the country. These
companies lack research and development initiative to produce other
products such as Blended and Fly-Ash Cement (Haq, 2014). The lack of
technological improvement in production capacity is also hindered due to
inconsistent regulation by government which restrict cement companies
from embarking into product development activities (DGKC, 2014).
Environmental Factors
The cement plants in Pakistan mostly operate on coal based technology
which cause severe damage to the eco system including the water
reservoirs, air, and lands (Tribune, 2014a). This has forced the regulators
to forces cement companies to improve the efficiencies of their
operational process and incorporate environment friendly technologies in
their processes (Dhakku, 2014).
Legal Factors
The industry operators are alienated by the decision of government to rise
in duty on imported coal, and imposition of Gas Development
Infrastructure Cess (GDIC) which severely affects their cost structure
(Tribune, 2014).The import duty on coal, tyres, and alternative fuel along
with imposition of GIDC and higher sales has increased the problems for
cement companies (Tribune, 2014a).
SWOT Analysis
Strengths
Market share of DGKC is its strength as the company holds 11.30%
market share in local cement market and 9.19% market share in total
cement exports of Pakistan (Chart 1). This allows DGKC to maintain its
profitability (DGKC, 2015, p. 60).
Operational capacity of DGKC is the strength as it has operational
production capacity of 4.02 metric tons for Clinker and 4.22 metric tons
for Cement which allows it to maintain the revenue stream (APCMA,
2015a).
The talented human resource of DGKC is one of the main strength
which allows it maintain the efficiency and effectiveness of its
operations (DGKC, 2014).
DGKC is subsidiary company of Nishat group of companies which one of
highly diversified group operating within Pakistan. This provides
significant support in order to maintain its profitability and market
share (Hussain, 2015).
DGKC has obtained environmental certification for its production
operations under ISO-9001 and ISO-14001 which allows the company
to maintain its environmental sustainable practice (DGKC, 2014).
DGKC has strong brand image and high liquid position which enable it
to compete with other established cement manufacturers like LCL, Fauji
Cement, and Bestway Cement (Table 4).
Weaknesses
Like other cement companies in Pakistan, one of the main weakness of
the DGKC is the lack of research & Development (Haq, 2014) and
Opportunities
The construction projects under Public Sector Development Programme
(PSDP) and China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) which DGKC and
other cement companies in Pakistan would approach as opportunity to
expand their profitability (Rehman, 2015).
The construction work in Afghanistan has been increasing which is
generating demand for cement in the country which cement companies
such as DGKC would see as opportunity to increase their export
revenue (Khan, 2015).
Research initiatives by the competitor companies would enable them in
increasing their revenue stream and market share which DGKC should
consider venturing if it intend to preserve and increase its market share
in local and international cement market (Hobbs, 2015).
The decline in oil prices has significantly affected the suitability of
other source of energy which provides the opportunity for changing the
energy mix. DGKC should see this as opportunity to move to
environmental friendly source of energy (Jafri, 2015).
Threats
Following removal of sections on Iran, export of cement is likely to
suffer due to their competitive cement products and pricing. This would
pose serious threat to cement exports of country as well as DGKC
(Khan, 2015).
Tax duties, higher power tariffs, axle load restrictions, and lack of
governments attention on cement export would serious hurt the
competitiveness of cement companies in Pakistan as well as
international market due to cost disadvantage (Khan, 2015).
Financial Analysis
Sales Analysis
Table 1
The group net turnover of DGKC increased but growth rate has decreased
by 10.38% during the same period (Table 1). The increase was due to rise
in cement prices by 12% during the period (PSL, 2014). DGKC operated at
89.18% and 94.49% of its production for Clinker and Cement, respectively
(Tribune, 2014b). In addition, local sales increased by 2.17% while its
export observed 9.31% decline from 2013 to 2014 (Chart 2). The local
sales has improved because of construction boom in the country during
2013-14 (DGKC, 2013) as well as announcement of PSDP programs by
current government (Brecorder, 2014). The exports decline due to strong
competition abroad as well as appreciation of PKR (InPaperMagazine,
2014).
Chart 2 (DGKC, 2015, p. 60) (DGKC, 2014, p. 26)
Sales (MT)
Local
661,967
3,196,103
FY2015
Export
1,021,329
1,126,174
2,954,943
2,892,266
FY2014
FY2013
The trend continues in next year where net sales increased but growth
rate was lower than previous year by 77.1% (Table 1). The increase in net
turnover due to increase in local sales by 8.16% but decline in growth rate
due lower exports by 35.19% is major factor behind lower growth rate as
well as net increase in volumetric sales. Local sales are in line with the
industry expectations as well as strong demand of cement due to number
of infrastructure projects started by federal and Provincial governments
(Jamal, 2015). While exports decline due to tough competition faced on
the basis of prices in African markets which force DGKC to shift the focus
towards local despatches. Afghanistan and India are major markets of
DGKC which accounts 35.81 and 31.79% of total exports in FY 2015
respectively while influx of Iranian cement in Afghanistan and non-tariff
barriers with India hurts exports during year (IBEX MAG, 2015).
In comparison, net turnover of LCL increased at lower rate than DGKC
(Table 1). local sales of LCL decreased by 0.8% while exports increase by
8% (LCL, 2015) which shows LCL outperform DGKC in export market while
DGKC as stated above shift in policy towards local despatches (Chart 2).
The rise in construction activities and higher cement prices pushed DGKC
sales to higher level while LCL was unable to reap the full benefit of these
circumstances (Zaheer, 2015). In volumetric terms LCL almost 3 times
higher than DGKC due higher market reach and extensive operational
capacity to meet local and international demands.
Chart 3
N e t Tu rn o ve r
90,000,000
80,000,000
82,117,802
8.30%
8.00%
7.44%
70,000,000
9.00%
7.00%
60,000,000
6.00%
50,000,000
5.00%
40,000,000
4.00%
30,000,000 25,826,642
27,748,869
28,221,467
20,000,000
10,000,000
-
1.70%
3.00%
2.00%
1.19%
1.00%
0.00%
Source: Table 1
Profitability Analysis
Table 2
37.00%
100.00%
36.49%
300.00%
400.00%
36.00%
35.00%
34.43%
34.28%
34.00%
33.00%
32.00%
31.28%
31.00%
30.00%
29.00%
28.00%
Source: (Table 2)
30.00%
100.00%
300.00%
400.00%
27.83%
25.00%
20.88%
21.71%
20.00%
17.85%
15.00%
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
Source: (Table 2)
LCL which suggest efficient profitability and control over cost. However,
LCL is market leader and has twice the size of net profits of DGKC in
volumetric terms (LCL, 2015).
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
ROCE of DGKC decreased in 2014 due to increase in PBIT by 6.90% and
increase in capital employed by 24.33% (Table 2). The PBIT increased due
to rise in gross profits by 1.35% rise in other income by 13%, decline in
distribution cost by 17%, and decline in other charges by 33%. The capital
employed increased mainly due to rise in shareholders equity by 28.21%
on account of higher profit margins and decline in non-current liabilities by
4.73% (DGKC, 2014). The decline in ROCE of DGKC is indication of
inefficient use of capital employed or perhaps high initial capital
investment for expansion projects (Brecorder, 2014).
The trend reversed in FY2015 and ROCE increased by 9% (Chart 6). This
is mainly due to higher increase of BPIT than capital employed. This
happens due to strong profitability which continuously improved over the
years that helps achieve higher figures (BMA Capital, 2015). The factors
were same mentioned in profit margins but non-controlling interest
accumulated by 86.3% as compared to previous year which push capital
employed growth of 4.5% (DGKC, 2015). This shows that DGKC were good
at utilization of its capital resources to generate returns.
Chart 6
30.00%
100.00%
ROCE
200.00%
300.00%
400.00%
28.38%
25.00%
20.00%
16.85%
15.00%
14.05%
15.31%
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
Source: (Table 2)
45.00
40.00
35.00
30.00
25.00
17.72
20.00
15.00
13.68
12.43
10.00
5.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
Source: (Table 2)
Efficiency Analysis
Table 3
Inventory Days
The inventory days of DGKC decreased by 17.17% in FY2014 (Table 3) due
to decrease in inventory by 8.10%, due to efficient forecasting of market
dynamics which helps to manufacture cement as per the requirements.
The increase in cost of turnovers by 10.94% which mainly due to higher
consumption of raw material that in turn lower down stocks (DGKC, 2014).
The decline in inventory days is indication of better inventory
management practices of DGKC and saving in finance cost (Brecorder,
2014).
The inventory days further declined in FY2015 (Chart 8) due to lower
inventories (.53%) and higher cost of sales (1.92%) which helps in
reduction in days. Inventories lower due to lower amount stuck in trade
which on the account lower productions activities during the year that
reduced 3.4% and 2% of cement and clinker. On other hand sales
increased (Table 1) which further lower down inventories. This shows that
Inventory Days
160.00
140.00
138.27
114.53
120.00
111.77
100.00
80.50
80.00
60.00
40.00
20.00
-
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
Source: (Table 2)
Receivable Days
18.00
15.44
16.00
14.00
12.00
10.00
8.00
6.81
4.00
2.00
5.58
5.52
6.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
Source: (Table 3)
Liquidity Analysis
Table 4
Current Ratio
The current ratio of DGKC increased in 2014 due to increase in current
assets by 23.13% and decrease in current liabilities by 35.29% (Table 4).
The current assets increased due 21% rise in deposit & prepayments, 37%
rise in investments, and 163% rise in cash & bank balances. The current
liabilities increased because of 51% decline in short term borrowings &
5.00
4.36
4.00
4.00
3.00
3.00
2.54
2.00
2.00
1.00
1.98
1.00
0.00
Source: (Table 4)
It is clear from the comparison that current ratio of DGKC is far higher
than current liquidity ratio of LCL (Chart 10). However, liquidity position of
LCL seem most optimum in comparison to that of DGKC (LCL, 2015).
Quick Ratio
The Quick ratio of DGKC increased in 2014 due to (Chart 11) increase in
quick asset by 38.70% and decrease in current liabilities by 35.29%. Quick
assets increased because of 37% rise in investment and 163% rise in cash
& bank balances. The current liabilities increased because of 51% decline
in short term borrowings & running finance, 50% decline in accrued markup, and 38% decline in derivative financial instrument (DGKC, 2014). The
rise in quick ratio is far above necessary level which indicates too much
resources being tied up in order to meet short term obligations in case of
emergency.
The quick ratio also follows the same pattern like current ratio and
declined in FY2015 (Chart 11). Where current liabilities increased due to
trade payables, the reasons already mentioned in current ratio while quick
assets declined by 2.23% due to decline in cash & bank balances by 80%.
The cash resources decline due to loan to suppliers which increased
almost 3 times than previous year. Overall, quick ratio is still higher than
standards and its seem good strategy to invest in supply chain (DGKC,
2015).
Chart 11
4.00
3.84
4.00
3.38
3.50
3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
3.00
2.00
1.79
1.10
1.00
0.50
0.00
Source: (Table 4)
It is clear from the comparison that quick ratio of DGKC is far higher than
LCL and liquidity position of LCL looks most optimism indicating too much
resources being tied up by DGKC at the expense of profitability (LCL,
2015).
Investors Analysis
Table 5
30.00%
25.00%
100.00%
24.14%
300.00%
400.00%
28.22%
25.58%
21.16%
20.00%
15.00%
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
Source: (Table 5)
Chart 13
100.00%
4.50%
4.00%
300.00%
400.00%
3.98%
3.58%
3.50%
3.50%
3.00%
2.50%
1.73%
2.00%
1.50%
1.00%
0.50%
0.00%
Source: (Table 5)
Price/Earnings (times)
14.00
12.21
12.00
10.00
8.00
8.06
6.73
6.43
6.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
Source: (Table 5)
Conclusion
DGKC has a strong backing from Nishat Group along with maintaining its
local despatches market share but bow down to exports due to strong
competition from African markets on prices. Overall the political and
economic situation of the country depressed it improved somehow but not
too which suitable for businesses. Rise in duties on coal imports,
imposition of GIDC and withholding taxes affects the competitiveness of
the cement industry. The market operators like LCL and DGKC are finding
it hard to compete with regional rivals in international market which is
going to intensify further after the removal of sanctions on Iran. The local
market condition for construction, infrastructure development, and energy
projects under CPEC and PSD are likely to boost the sales of cement
companies of Pakistan. This will also attract foreign cement companies to
enter into the local cement market of Pakistan. Being part of a diversified
group and having strong brand image, skilled human resource,
established distribution network, and operational strength, DGKC can
Recommendations
DGKC should focus on research & development and product
development activities in order to introduce more variety in its
product portfolio and compete in International Cement Market.
DGKC should target international cement market through separate
division in order to win back the lost faith in the potential of cement
industry of Pakistan.
DGKC should reduce its short term assets in order to ensure optimal
liquidity position and should take measures to pursue efficient mean
of utilising its capital employed.
DGKC should continue to invest in its energy generation projects
and capacity installation in order to meet the construction
requirements of local cement market in Pakistan.