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INTRODUCTION
Discussions of the efficient structure of a corporation date at least from Berle and Means (1933).
Their focus was the supposed inefficiency of the
separation of ownership and control. Empirical
investigation of the efficient corporate structure
has become prominent recently. For example,
Demsetz and Lehn (1985) find that ownership
structure varies based on firm size, profit instability, regulation, and amenity potential. They propose that external forces are the determinants of
corporate structure. In a very real way, corporate
ownership structure is a response to market
forces. We adopt that perspective here. We control for firm size and industry and test whether
* Correspondence to: Department of Finance, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ. Tel.: + 1 520 5237355.
CCC 01436570/97/070587-13$17.50
1997 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
anything else matters in the frequency of accounting fraud. We separate our investigation into external (market determined) and internal
(endogenous responses to the market) forces that
could vary between those firms accused of fraud
and those not accused. Our results support the
concept that market forces shape corporate activities more that internal structures.
In a window around the commencement of
accounting fraud, we find evidence that stock
performance increases relative to an industry
match firm. Fraud seems to fool the market, at
least in the short term. We also find that the
announcement of SEC charges of accounting
fraud result in statistically significant average cumulative abnormal returns of 3.05% during a 3
day window surrounding these announcements.
These results document that SEC charges impose
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Reputation gives auditors incentives to be independent. It is costly to establish a track record and
reputation for discovering and reporting contract
breaches, but once established, reputation increases the demand for the auditors services and
fees If found to have been less independent than
expected, the auditors reputation is damaged and
the present value of the auditors services is reduced. He bears the cost. Thus the auditors reputation (a valuable asset) serves as a collateral bond
for independence.
Table 1.
591
Summary Statisticsa
Firm characteristic
Accused firm
Control firm
p-Value on difference
Total assets
R&D expense
Big 8 auditor (proportion)
Classified board (proportion)
Number of directors
% Directors insider
% Directors outsiders
Audit committee (proportion)
Compensation committee (proportion)
Nomination committee (proportion)
ESOP (proportion)
Accounting bonus plan (proportion)
Stockholdings, largest board holding
Total board holdings
Number of 5% stockholdings
Age of directors
Dispersion of age (S.D.)
Tenure on board
Dispersion of tenure (S.D.)
$3980.28 (mil)
$19.42 (mil)
0.803
0.158
10.05
0.566
0.395
0.667
0.579
0.228
0.089
0.446
14.30
24.39
1.38
53.88
7.79
7.02
5.07
$2592.12 (mil)
$22.56 (mil)
0.831
0.121
9.67
0.576
0.373
0.569
0.466
0.293
0.121
0.310
17.46
27.65
1.30
53.77
8.69
8.22
5.91
0.423
0.874
0.681
0.564
0.760
0.910
0.809
0.278
0.220
0.426
0.584
0.131
0.289
0.420
0.722
0.929
0.789
0.120
0.870
The means here are of all firms for which data was available. Means will differ in matched pairs tests
performed later due to the necessity that both the accused and control firms must have the relevant data
available.
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statistically different from zero (Wilcoxon t-statistic of 1.34). The average difference in the ratio of
current to total assets is not statistically different
from zero (Wilcoxon t-statistic) for the sample of
non-banks.5
A fraud is not material if there is no reliance
upon the information by an unsophisticated investor. We examine materiality by looking at
stock price performance near the beginning of the
fraudulent period as well as stock price performance upon the announcement of the fraud. We
find that, on average, the cases in the sample were
material.
To examine materiality, we examined a window
surrounding the beginning of the firms accounting fraud. The choice of a date for the commencement of fraud was somewhat tenuous, but we
chose the release date of the first 10-K or 10-Q
that the SEC claimed was fraudulent. We found
for a sample of 23 matched pairs of firms for
which data existed, in the 150 trading days prior
to the commencement of fraud the accused firms
performed 7.4% worse6 than their industry match
firm. In the 150 trading days following the commencement fraud, the offender did as well as the
industry match (difference in CARs 0.004). It
seems that the market was fooled by the fraud, at
least in the short run.
To verify that SEC charges of accounting fraud
actually impose costs on firms, we estimated the
average effect that the announcements of these
charges had on the stock prices of firms in our
sample. Various editions of the Wall Street Journal Index (WSJI) were used to identify the first
public announcement of the SEC charges. If no
announcement was contained in the WSJI, the
date on which the SEC announced the charges
was used. These announcement ranged from rumors of SEC charges to definitive announcements
of SEC charges. Conventional event study
methodology is used to estimate the stock price
effects of these announcements over a three day
period: the day before through the day after the
announcements. Sufficient stock return data for
the event study are available for only 37 of the 62
companies. This sample of 37 firms contains 18
NYSE and AMEX firms and 19 NASDAQ firms.
The average cumulative abnormal return for
the 37 firms over the 3 day window surrounding
these announcements is 3.05%, which is statistically different from zero (t-statistic = 1.89).
The 3 day CARs ranged from 34.39% (Flo 1997 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Table 2.
593
Twenty 3-digit SIC Codes with Smallest and Largest Difference between Actual and Expected
Number of Fraud Cases
Actualexpected
number of cases
Description
Miscellaneous investing
Crude petroleum and natural gas
Electronic components
Eating and drinking places
Telephone communications
Misc plastic products
Gas production and distribution
Grocery stores
Resh, development, testing services
Trucking
Motion picture production
Scheduled air transportation
Soap, detergent, toilet preps
Steel work, roll & finish mill
Fabricated structural metal
Apparel, other finished products
Electrical goods-wholesale
Refrig & service ind machines
Misc amusement & rec svcs
Constr, mining, matl handling eq
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Table 3.
Summary of Results
% Both
% Neither
% Off only
% Control only
Big 8 auditors
70.9
4.8
11.3
12.9
% Off only
% Control only
10.6
13.4
8.5
7.7
62
52
52
52
52
52
47
52
t-Test
0.016
0.038
0.021
0.096
4.512
0.431
0.917
1.211
0.689
1.793
% Both
% Neither
53.2
3.8
26.7
75.0
Z-score
5.7%
6.2%
5.7%
2.54
2.14
1.78
1 Year later
2 Years later
3 Years later
0.1623
0.1720
0.1007
0.198
0.2312
0.2696
0.1740
0.663
0.2587
0.3444
0.2320
1.401
Panel D
Not bad performing accused
Poor Performing accused
Control Sample
Z-statistic (null is not bad
performing equals poor
performing)
INTERNAL DETERMINANTS OF
ACCOUNTING FRAUD
We turn our attention to an evaluation of the
effects of the structure of internal monitoring and
reward systems on the probability of a firm committing accounting fraud. The governance structure of firms has been suggested as a variable that
Manage. Decis. Econ. 18: 587599 (1997)
Some legal scholars and regulators have applauded the proliferation of outside directors and
audit committees, on the grounds that they raise the
probability of detecting, and hence increase the
expected cost of accounting fraud. Alternatively,
others argue that outside directors and audit committees are largely perfunctory and have little or no
effect on corporate governance.
An additional part of a firms governance structure that is thought to affect the incentives of
directors to monitor managers is whether or not the
board is classified. Boards of directors are classified
(sometimes referred to as staggered) if in any year
only a subset of directors stand for election or
reelection. Usually, with classified boards, onethird of the directors stand for election or reelection
to a 3 year term every year. Consequently, classified
boards impede quick transfers of control, and are
frequently viewed as anti-takeover devices.
1997 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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(1988) define full time employees and ex-employees as insiders, those with business dealings as
grays and others as outsiders. Rosenstein and
Wyatt (1990) define outsiders as those not
presently or formerly employed. Bryd and Hickman (1990) as well as Baysinger and Butler (1985)
define employees and ex-employees as executives,
investment bankers and bankers as instrumental
directors, and all others as monitoring directors.
We adopt the convention that those with monetary gains at stake are insiders, those with possible
outside business-oriented brand names (e.g.
bankers and investment bankers) are professionals, and those with no contractual relationship
other than their membership are outsiders.
The data, shown in Table 3, panel B, reveal no
significant difference in the mix of outside and
inside directors for the offenders and their corresponding controls. The average differences in the
number of inside directors, expressed as a percentage of all directors, is negative (meaning that
there are fewer inside directors on the boards of
offenders), although this difference is not significantly different from zero (Wilcoxon t-statistic of
0.43). Similarly, the average difference in the
number of outside directors, expressed in the
same way, is positive (more outside directors on
boards of offenders), but this difference is not
statistically significant (Wilcoxon t-statistic of
0.917). The null hypothesis that the likelihood of
accounting fraud is not related to the mix of
outside to inside directors cannot be rejected.
Next we turn to the question of whether the
presence of audit committees affects the likelihood of committing accounting fraud. We examined the proportion of offenders that had audit
committees in the year before the SEC charges, to
see if that proportion was lower than the corresponding proportion for the control firms. Since
the NYSE mandates audit committees, we excluded five matched pairs from this analysis because one of the two firms traded on the NYSE
while the other did not. This leaves 47 matched
pairs for this analysis.
Table 3, panel B, contains the empirical results
on audit committees. In 53.2% of the matched
pairs both firms had an audit committee, and in
27.6% of the matched pairs neither firm had an
audit committee. For more than 80% of the
matched pairs, the presence or absence of an audit
committee was identical for both the offenders
and the control firms. In 10.6% of the matched
1997 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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CONCLUSION
This paper empirically investigates the causes and
consequences of accounting fraud. Adopting the
perspective that the commission of accounting
fraud is governed by rational choice, several hypotheses are tested. We divide these hypotheses
broadly into external and internal forces that
effect the choice to commit accounting fraud. We
find evidence suggesting that the cost of valuing
assets influences the choice to commit accounting
fraud. Furthermore, evidence suggests that the
immediate effect of the instigation of accounting
fraud does increase stock prices, while the announcement of charges by the SEC significantly
lowers stock prices. Corporate governance structures, auditor reputation, and the use of accounting based executive compensation schemes appear
unimportant in affecting the decision to commit
this type of fraud. We do, however, find that the
concentration of ownership in a single individual
mitigates the probability of accounting fraud. Finally, directors of firms committing accounting
fraud appear to be punished in the managerial
labor market.
In general, we find significant effects from external forces, and minimal effects from internal
forces. Given that internal compensation and
monitoring plans are choice variables for equity
owners, while external forces are market determined, it is not surprising that in equilibrium the
choice variables would have little influence while
external forces would drive the choice to commit
accounting fraud.
Acknowledgements
The majority of this work was done while both authors were
in the Office of Economic Analysis, Securities and Exchange
Commission. This work does not express the views of either
the Commission or the authors colleagues at the commission.
The authors wish to thank D.B. Johnson, C.M. Lindsay, M.T.
Maloney, L. Morweis, J.H. Mulherin, S. Rosenstein, K. Scott,
an anonymous referee, and seminar participants at Clemson
University and the Arizona Finance Symposium for comments
on earlier drafts.
NOTES
1. Litigation Release No. 9842/December 21, 1982, Securities and Exchange Commission v. McCormick &
Company, Incorporated, et al. (United States District Court for the District of Columbia, Civil Action No. 82-3614).
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