Professional Documents
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McClellan
Lecture Outline
(Join Young Risk Manage YRP)
1st consideration in risk management is to gain an understanding
of the base concepts and terminology.
I.
What is Risk?
A.
2.
2. Objective Risk
1.
2.
3.
3. Subjective Risk
II.
1.
2.
Difficult to measure
Chance of Loss
A.
Objective Probability
1.
2.
B.
C.
III.
IV.
B.
Hazard
1.
2.
3.
V.
1.
2.
3.
B.
C.
Enterprise Risk
Personal Risks
1.
2.
B.
C.
D.
Property Risks
1.
2.
Liability Risks
1.
2.
Commercial Risks
1.
Property risks
2.
Liability Risks
3.
4.
B.
C.
Retention
1.
2.
C.
D.
Noninsurance Transfers
1.
Contracts
2.
Hedging
3.
Incorporation
Loss Control
1.
2.
Loss reduction (Post Loss)
Having a protocol that mitigates the damages of a
risk
E.
Pre-Loss Objectives
1.
Economy goal - Businesses desire to prepare for loss in the
most
economical means available - so one must consider all
available methods
AVOIDANCE / RETENTION / TRANSFER TO 3RD PARTY /
LOSS CONTROL / INSURANCE
Note as cost to transfer to 3rd parties increases, businesses must
consider use of Avoidance and Retention (Active) often require the
greatest effort but typically lead to the greatest ultimate savings.
2.
Reduction of anxiety - As mentioned last class - this is
certainly a societal goal but also a goal within an enterprise or
business - old Adage = A happy
worker is a productive
worker.
3.
4.
Creditors - For obvious reasons - creditors may conduct risk
analysis of
borrowers - can range from simple credit check to
a full blown on-site investigation.
5.
Legally imposed - Examples - building codes / workers
compensation
6.
Post-Loss Objectives
1.
Survival of the firm - clearly the primary objective - what
seem like small
exposures can bring catastrophic impact to
the business.
2.
Continued operations - differs from industry to industry and
within a given industry from business to business. Example utilities/medical/ energy /transportation - auto vs. perishable
goods.
3.
Stability of earnings - risk redress shareholder value as more
resources are used to handle the risk rather than for expansion
or dividends.
4.
Continued growth - must consider how loss could impact
future growth thus a business might choose to pay a high
risk cost by purchasing insurance rather than returning the risk
(and with it the chance that the risk
forecast is wrong)
5.
Social responsibility - As mentioned before - particularly
acute in small communities with dominate employer but can
clearly affect larger enterprises - recent example - BP Gulf of
Mexico disaster - huge PR
campaign geared to demonstrate
the positive attributes of BP.
Risk Management Process
Most authors identify 4 steps:
1.
2.
Analysis (measurement)
3.
4.
Implementation.
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5.
Continual Evaluation: Reevaluate the assumptions, look at
new insurance rates. Legal changes, Tunnel vision kills companies.
Revaluation is key.
Identifying Potential Losses
prevention almost
cheaper than loss. One should
consider:
A.
Cost of Risk
1.
direct loss
indirect loss
extra expenses
2.
Determine possibility of loss control and cost associated with
it - such as
increased safety measures.
3.
4.
insurance
outsourcing activity
increased line of credit (cost of
capital)
diversification - geopolitical/operational/
managerial
transaction costs - employee re-training
evaluate cost/ ramifications
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4.
installing fire
3.
Loss Financing of Residual Uncertainty pay more to
avoid
residual uncertainty pay higher premium for
financial stronger
insurance company.
C.
1.
Physical damage to property obviously can range from
small (vandalism) to large (explosion)
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2.
Loss of income - shut down of operations; loss to reputation;
product recall
3.
Liability lawsuits - as mentioned before - some potential
liability risk can be foreseen but sometimes a judicial decision
can come out of the blue
4.
Death or disability of key persons - Can not ignore the fact
that loss of a key person can be devastating - not just related
to founders for example
- loss of key marketing / sales
person / key scientist.
5.
Losses from job-related injuries or disease - Typical examples
- Asbestos /
Carpal Tunnel/ Coal Dust. Recently a court held
that exposure to diesel fumes harmful even if less than EPA
standards
6.
Losses from fraud, criminal acts, and employee dishonesty typically seen as issue to retail operations but what about trade
secrets (know-how)
Example involved banks
7.
Employee benefits loss exposures - besides actual injuries residual costs such as workers compensation insurance rates
are impacted for 3 years.
General Rule Business suffers $4 additional cost for
every $1
direct loss - so if $500,00 loss
- Total Loss =
$2,000,000 +
500,000 = $2,500,000 @10% profit
level - necessitates $25,000,000 in additional
sales.
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8.
International loss exposures (political risk) - for obvious
reasons this area is becoming increasingly important - bedsides
commodity costs - must consider local regulations and
customers - just look at recently discussed
differences between
US and Europe for Google (right to be forgotten)
D. Tools for recognizing loss exposures - Always evolving /
changing
Examples -
theft
DNA testing
1.
Physical inspection -
Scientific -
Experience
but an
overlooked in
downsizing - loss or brain
drain?
testing/sampling.
usually invaluable
element often
2.
Survey form
allows risk managers to gain
understanding of
operations. But
must be careful to ensure truthful
response
- employees can see what the expected
answer is
3.
Flow chart
appreciating the
of activities.
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depend on a
or how business or
react.
15
Example -
decrease
increase severity. By the
issue is discovered - more product
manufactured and distributed.
time
2.
Retention use when
also
umbrella policies).
3.
Noninsurance transfers
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4.
Loss control - typically used in combination with other
methods.
5.
Insurance by a wide margin - most used technique to
transfer risk but as we will start talking about insurance is multifaceted - standard
insurers but also captive
companies/risk retention groups - offer differing
protections
Definition of Insurance
Pooling of fortuitous losses by
transfer of such
risks to 3rd
parties - who agree to indemnify the
transferee (policy holders) for such losses to
provide certain services related to that risk.
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Indemnification
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1.
2.
No catastrophe loss
3.
4.
5.
Applications of Requirements
How the risk of fire to a private dwelling satisfies
the requirements
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B.
Generally
1.
Personal
1.
Market
2.
Property
2.
Financial
3.
Liability
3.
Production
4.
Political
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Types of Insurance
Private Insurance
Life and health insurance
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Government Insurance
Social insurance
Loss prevention
Enhancement of credit
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Fraudulent claims
Inflated claims
The Changing
Management
Scope
of
Risk
A.
B.
C.
Underwriting Cycle
Consolidation in the Insurance Industry
Capital Market Risk Financing Alternatives
Loss Forecasting
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A.
Probability Analysis
B.
Regression Analysis
C.
B.
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2.
B.
Types of Torts
1.
2.
3.
Law of Negligence
A.
Negligence is
B.
Elements of Negligence
1.
2.
3.
4.
C.
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1.
2.
3.
4.
D. Imputed Negligence
1.
2.
3.
4.
E.
Definition
Four elements must be present for it to apply:
1.
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2.
3.
4.
Ownership of Property
1.
Degree of care required for trespasser, licensee, or
invitee
2.
B.
Ownership and Operation of Automobiles, Trucks,
Commercial Liveries, etc.
1.
2.
C.
1.
Government Liability
Government entities can be sued if
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2.
D.
Charitable Institutions
E.
1.
Must be an
2.
Must be acting
F.
1.
Common law
2.
Today
G.
Animals
1.
Wild Animals
2.
Domestic pets
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
B.
1.
2.
C.
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Waiver
2.
Estoppel
3.
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Exclusions
Conditions
Coinsurance
Nature of Coinsurance
Purpose of Coinsurance
i.
Liability Risk
A.
Business Liability
1.
Tort / Negligence
2.
Strict Liability
3.
Product Liability
4.
Breach of Contract
Term
Defective Manufacturing
Design
Warning
Breach
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Contractual
Representation
Warranty
5.
6.
7.
Regulatory
B.
Additional Concepts
1.
Dispute Resolution -
Mediation -
Contractual
Judicial
Regulatory
Arbitration
-
Binding
Non-binding
3.
Appraisal Clauses
II.
Types of Insurers
Violation Law
Regulation
Order
34
A.
Ownership
and
stockholders
governance
2.
Status of the
nonassessable
3.
policyowner
owned
by
contracts
are
Mutual Insurers
1.
Ownership
and
policyowners
governance
owned
by
2.
3.
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2.
Captives
Lloyds Associations
1.
Lloyds of London
a.
b.
b.
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individual
2.
III.
A.
B.
1.
2.
Sources of authority -
Brokers
1.
Represent insureds
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express
implied
apparent
IV.
2.
3.
Claim Settlement
A.
B.
Basic Objectives
1.
2.
3.
Reinsurance
Key Definitions
Reinsurance shifting of part or all of the insurance to another
insurer
Ceding company insurer that initially writes the business
Reinsurer firm that accepts insurance from the ceding insurer
Net retention the amount of insurance kept by the ceding
company
Retrocession reinsurer obtains reinsurance
38
Treaty reinsurance
Advantages
Types of automatic treaties
Quota share
Surplus share
Excess of loss
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Reinsurance pool
State laws:
Federal laws;
Courts
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43
Balance Sheet
B.
C.
B.
C.
45
--
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5.Optional coverage
B. Extra Expense Coverage Form
1.The form covers
2. ___________ are not covered since the firm is still
operating.
C. Business Income from Dependent Properties
1.
2.
3.
4.
Other Commercial Property Coverage
A. Builders Risk Insurance
B. Equipment Breakdown Insurance -- fka Boiler and
Machinery Coverage
C. Difference in Conditions (DIC) Insurance
Transportation Insurance
A. Ocean Marine Insurance
1.Interests insured:
2.Implied warranties
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1.Typical insureds:
2.Provides coverage for losses that occur
D. Contractual Liability
E. Contingent Liability
F. Other Liability Exposures
1.Liability arising out of ownership or use of autos, aircraft
or watercraft
2.Occupational injury or disease to employees
3.Suits by employees alleging 4.Professional liability
5.Directors and officers liability
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50
Aircraft Insurance
Commercial Umbrella Policy
A. Basic Features
1.Excess liability insurance
2.Required underlying coverages are
3.Liability coverages: bodily injury and property damage
liability; personal injury and advertising injury
4.Self-insured retention (SIR) for losses not covered
by any underlying insurance but is covered by the
umbrella policy
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Occurrence
-
Section ICoverages
- Coverage Abodily injury and property damage liability
- Coverage Bpersonal and advertising injury liability -
- Coverage Cmedical payments - Supplementary paymentscoverages A and B - Overview of CGL Claims-Made Policy
-
Retroactive Date
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Insuring Agreement
Co-payment provision
Legal Defense
Exclusions
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2.
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3.
10.
56
That evolution was very evident with the changes in the Texas
Workers Compensation Law.
Remember -
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; or
; or
)
- Liability coverage
Commercial Umbrella Policy
- Basic Features
- Excess liability insurance
- Required underlying coverages
- Liability coverages: bodily injury and property damage
liability; personal injury and advertising injury
- ________________________(____) for losses not covered by any
underlying insurance but is covered by the umbrella policy
- Exclusions
Liability InsuranceBusinessowners Policy
- Basic Coverages
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the
Insuring Agreement
Exclusions
60
(SCRM)
(1)
(2)
(3)
-
demanding customers
Result
ever
defined as
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from sources of
Note -
that
Where to Start ?
finance
logistics
manufacturing
quality control
senior management -
Remember
Effective SCRM -
(1)
(2)
(3)
Example -
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Upstream Inputs
Distribution
Manufacture
Downstream Outputs
Sub-Categories:
Infrastructure
Utilities
Raw -
Converted
Process Functions
People
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Analysis.
(1)
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(2)
Avoidance
Retention (active / passive)
Non-Insurance transfer to 3rd
party
Loss control (pre and post
Insurance
loss)
Buffer
Eliminate /Avoid Risk
Likelihood
of Event
(________)
Acceptable Risk Frontier
Low
Minor
Major
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if low, business
decide to take no further
action - i.e._____________.
(2)
___________________.
essential because
(2)
(1)
Physical Security
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(2)
Access Control -
(3)
Personal Security
(4)
(5)
Procedural Security -
(6)
IT Security
(7)
(8)
Conveyance Security
Responding to Events
-
Definition of a Crisis
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)
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So Crisis Management
is the overall strategy and tactical
responses of business to (i) recognize; and (ii) respond
effectively, efficiently and comprehensively
to actualized threats.
recognition therefore includes pro-active
measures to detect events
As with all corporate hierarchies, Crisis Management teams
operate at all levels of the business.
Executive Crisis
Management Team
T
ECMT
_______ Incidents
affecting Business
__________ Crisis MT
Personnel __________
response
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Each level will have specific Trigger Points events that cause the
team to be activated
need to consider triggers very carefully otherwise senior
management may appear uninterested / uncaring think of BP
Gulf disaster / Head of Bears Stern playing in bridge tournament
as firm was collapsing
Important not to base all trigger points on dollars e.g.
trigger may be when the frequency reaches a pre-determined
level.
Important to avoid organizational reluctance to report
incidents avoid compensation schemes that penalize reporting
Ideal Crisis Response Process should include the following steps
1.
2.
3.
Risk Assessment
4.
5.
Communication to Stakeholders
6.
7.
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8.
Continuity of Operations
Business Continuity Plansthose activities, programs, system
developed and implemented prior to an incident used to
mitigate, respond to and cover supply chain disruptions, disasters
and emergencies
After addressing immediate concerns / needs rescue / medical
attention / shelter / protection (think international events or
looters), ________________________________ is key to resuming
operations
Continual Monitoring of Risks and their Treatment
Critical that business implement a monitoring program evaluating
plans, procedures and capabilities through
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
Testing and Adjustment of Plans
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
Discuss Examples
Boeing
Toyota
Ford
Steps to Take:
(1)
(2)
(3)
Diversify sourcing
chain failure
(4)
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e.g.
(5)
(6)
(7)
(8)
(9)
(2)
(3)
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(4)
(5)
Implement plan
(6)
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