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667
ABSTRACT
Predicting useful life of organic materials has been made possible by the use of Arrhenius plots. Recently, data have become
available to show the combined effects of humidity as well as
temperature in the aging performance of moisture sensitive materials. A method is developed here to use such information to
calculate the predicted life of a material operating in enclosed
(warm) electrical equipment in a .room of known temperature
and humidity environment.
INTRODUCTlON
REDICTIONSof long-term aging of organic materials
have been made for many years with the use of Arrhenius plots [l,21. These plots are constructed by determining the time to yield equal degrees of material degradation after aging a t a number of elevated temperatures.
Degradation information has been reported in the form
of Arrhenius plots and activation energies (slopes of the
plotted curves) for a large number of materials (e.g. [3]).
One prime advantage to the method is that long-term
predictions can be made by extrapolation of results from
short-time high temperature exposures. On the other
hand, high temperature accelerated aging eliminates the
presence of moisture because the ambient vapor pressures
in the ovens are so low. Thus, it is possible that performance of moisture-sensitive materials (such as polyesters,
nylons, polycarbonates, etc.) operating in room environments may not be predicted accurately by dry accelerated aging.
It was suggested that moisture sensitive materials used
in operating (warm) electrical equipment in a room of
known environment are actually exposed to temperatures
above room temperature and reduced relative humidities
(but not zero).
The purpose of this study was to find a method of determining the anticipated life of moisture sensitive materials
operating in such an environment, with a view toward estimating a 40-year maximum operating temperature.
INPUT INFORMATION
N order to approach this problem, it was necessary to
know the conditions of the room in which the equipment was to operate. Consequently, information was provided for room ambient conditions, and consisted of numerous temperature/humidity conditions measured in a
specific location over the period of a year. Two such
rooms were reported for the analysis discussed in this report, and the d a t a are listed in Table 1. The total number
of hours was 8752, slightly less than one year.
Results of aging exposures under controlled relative humidity are available in the recent literature (e.g. [4]), and
these results have demonstrated the extent to which some
materials are sensitive to the presence of moisture. An
Arrhenius plot of the aging curves (at constant humidities) of a flame-retardant poly( 1,4 butylene terephthalate) polyester, based on 50% retention of tensile strength,
is shown in Figure 1.
0018-9367/90/0800-667$1.00
@ 1990 IEEE
668
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Eel.17EV
E-l.13EV
E-1.06EV
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X--.3;
Y----Y
6D
1 OD
TEMPERATURE.
ii
20
OEG.
1
i
i C 2 L .A
;C C
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.
j
2D
6G
TEMPEHPTU3E.
Figure 1.
DEL.
Figure 3.
Arrhenius plot for unreinforced polyester (1,4butylene terephthalate) a t various relative humidities. Based on 50% retention of tensile strength.
Table 1.
Room Conditions a t T w o Separate Locations
h
8
78
241
434
620
866
855
759
657
625
602
624
683
693
446
561
8752
E-U.36EV
I
2 / _ L - L - I
lOGS
2D
6O
TEMPERATURE.
DEG.
Figure 2.
Arrhenius curve for equal aging calculated for
Room #1 at 60'C and 26.7%, showing intersection at 8752 h.
Room #1
Room #2
T'C RH% T * C RH%
36.0
34.8
34.5
33.8
33.5
33.1
31.9
34.3
31.5
28.7
25.9
23.7
23.7
23.7
23.7
23.7
total
36.0
35.5
36.0
35.0
37.0
37.0
37.0
28.0
29.0
29.0
33.0
23.0
20.0
14.0
12.0
< 10
hours
the form
From these d a t a and from additional data, constants
were calculated for a multiple regression equation [5],
which relates temperature and moisture effects. It takes
logt=A+-
46.3
45.2
44.8
44.2
43.8
43.4
42.2
44.6
41.8
39.1
36.3
34.1
34.1
34.1
34.1
34.1
20
20
20
20
21
21
20
16
16
17
18
13
11
< 10
< 10
< 10
-ClogP
660
i
4
j
YR
__---
D3;----.6D
- -20
TEMPERATURE.
DEG.
Figure 4.
Arrhenius curves for aging condition measured in
Room #1 and calculated at three sets of temperatures to show effect of temperature selections.
1 GO
60
TEMPERATURE.
20
DEG.
Figure 5.
Arrhenius curves for aging condition measured in
Room #l. Three temperature sets, when transposed to 50% RH curve at their equivalent temperatures.
HE
logtl = A +
B
- ClogP1
(2)
Tl
B
logti = A + - -ClogPZ
TZ
(3)
1% t z =
Lz XI
---
- c(lOg pz - 1%
+ log t l
(4)
6 70
TRANSLATION OF THE
CURVE
LTHOUGH the curve calculated for Figure 2 represents
points of equal aging, the amount of aging of the material during a 1 yr exposure would be very small. In order
to achieve a significant amount of deterioration, the aging
curve must be moved upward to represent > 1 yr of aging. Of necessity, for this translation it must be assumed
that successive years of aging will occur under conditions
represented by the data in Table 1. In other words, it
must be assumed that the temperature/humidity data
were collected during a typical year.
$- -I 00
__
--
--
--I-
20
60
TEMPERATURE.
DEG.
Figure 7.
Arrhenius curves for aging condition measured in
Room #2. Curve is transposed to 25% RH curve
at equivalent temperature of 41.1-C for unreinforced thermoplastic polyester.
TEMPERATURE
ASSUM PTlONS
1
1 c3
J
20
60
TEMPERATURE.
DEG.
Figure 6.
Arrhenius curves for aging condition measured in
Room #2. Curve is transposed to 50% RH curve
at equivalent temperature of 41.1C for unreinforced thermoplastic polyester.
Lacking a definitive place to re-locate the curve, it was
necessary to make a conservative assumption that the
equivalent temperature had an associated relative humidity of 50%. This value was considered to be conservative
because the values listed for Room #1 in Table 1 were
< 50% at the equivalent temperature of 29.8C. When the
constant aging line was re-constructed a t 29.8C and 50%
R H , it intercepted the 40-yr line a t 73.9.C on the Arrhenius plot in Figure 3. Thus, it is estimated conservatively
that the material would reach 50% loss in tensile strength
in 40 yr if the operating temperature in the equipment
were 73.9-C.
D
26.7.C).
Transposing the 60143.3 curve to 50% RH (at an equivalent temperature of 26.7C) yielded an optimistic 40 yr
extrapolation of 91C (see Figure 5). The 60126.7 and
43.3126.7 pairs produced approximately equal effective
temperatures (29.8 and 29.6.C). However, the 60126.7
pair gave the more representative curve for elevated temperature operation, because the slopes decrease as the
temperature values increase. This last set of temperatures was used in the analysis described in this study,
but other selections may be more appropriate in other
applications.
I#1
relative humidity is less than 50% at the equivalent ternperature (29.8C). Therefore, the assumption of 50% RH
for the point of translation of the constant aging curve is
conservative.
When this same 50% value is used for Room #2 (Table l ) the resultant predicted life temperature a t 40 yr
is 44.4C, only slightly above the effective room temperature. This result is shown in Figure 6. However, the
relative humidities are lower in this warmer room, and a
translation to a 25% RH curve is calculated to be a more
realistic conservative value. With this conservative assumption, the 40 yr extrapolation yields 73.2C, as shown
in Figure 7.
CONCLUSIONS
LTHOUGH several assumptions must be made in this
development of predicted life, guidelines are indicated
for selecting reasonable assumptions. First, an explicit
assumption is made, that the period selected for measurement of room temperature and humidity is typical of
the room conditions over the life of the equipment under
consideration.
6 71
It should also be pointed out that, although thermal aging at controlled humidity has been conducted for some
of the materials known to be sensitive to the presence of
moisture, testing needs to be done on additional materiaging predictions On a wide range
as, in Order to
Of
REFERENCES
[l] T. W. Dakin, Electrical insulation deterioration treated as a chemical rate phenomenon, AIEE Transactions, Vol. 67, pp. 113-122, 1948.
[2] T . W. Dakin, Electrical insulation deterioration,
Electro-Technology, Vol. 66, pp. 123-130, 1960.
[3] R. R. Dixon, Thermal Aging Predictions from an
Arrhenius Plot with Only One Data Point, IEEE
Trans on Elec. Ins. Vol. 15, pp. 331-334, 1980.
[4] R. J . Gardner and J. R. Martin, Effect of Relative Humidity on the Mechanical Properties of Thermoplastic Polyesters, Society of Plastics Engineers
Annual Technical Conference Preprints, Vol. 25, pp.
831-834, 1979.
[5] W. F. H. Borman, The Effect of Temperature and
Humidity on the Long-Term Performance of Poly( Butylene Terephthalate) Compounds, Poly. Eng. &
Sci., Vol. 22, pp. 883-887, 1982.
[6] 0 . T . Zimmerman and I. Levine, Psychrometric Tables and Charts, 2nd edition, Industrial Research Service, 1964.
was received
On