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DEFINITIONS
Economics has been defined by various economists as a science of wealth or study of man in ordinary business of life or study of wealth or of
man or of human welfare etc. There are various sets of definitions of economics, as under:
Wealth definition : given by Adam Smith, David Recardo, J.V. Say and J.S. Mil.
Welfare definition : given by A Marshal.
Scarcity definition : given by L. Robbins.
Growth oriented definition :
given by Henry Smith and Samuelson.
Definition of A. Smith : Economics is study of wealth.
Definition of A Marshal : Economics is a study of mankind in ordinary business of life.
Definition of L. Robbins : Economics is the science which studies human behaviour as a relationship between ends and scarce means which
have alternative uses. It can be concluded that:
Human wants are unlimited. Means to satisfy the wants are limited. All economic activities are undertaken to satisfy human wants.
Resources have alternative uses also. With Rs.loo with you, you can have food or you can see a movie and not both. 4 Consumers have to
make choice to make use of limited resources.
Micro and Macro Economics
The micro economics studies the basic or individual units, say a consumer or a household, in .the economy and includes:
Price determination of a commodity (demand theory and supply theory).
1)) Reward determination for factors of production i.e. land, labour, capital and enterprise (Distribution theory covering rent, wages,
interest profit respectively)
Micro economics - It is the study of individual units, small variables and individual pricing. But it is helpful in understanding the working of
whole economy and including of private sector. Micro economics studies :
r) how the firms and house holds take decisions to allocate resourceS how their decisions and behaviour affect the supply and demand for
goods/services, which determine price
how price determines the demand and supply.
Macro economics - The macro economics on the other hand, takes into account the entire economy. Accordingly, it deals with
employment theory, income theory, theory of price level,
theory of growth and theory of distribution. As a result, it studies national income, national output, national expenditure, the level of
savings and investment and level of employment.
Central Problems of Economy
There are 3 problems before economic organisation:
1) what to produce and when to produce 2) how to produce (what resources to be used, what technology to use)3)for whom to
produce (who will be consumer of these goods)
Types of economics
Each economic structure takes in to account, 3 basic parameters i.e. (0 what to produce (2) how to produce (3) for whom to produce.
The economies are organized in two different ways of organizing and economy i.e. Govt. managed 11(1 market managed. These economics
are:
1. Market economy or capitalistic economy: In many countries of the world the economic st,.11-. follow the market economy
system. In this system, the firms and individual decide about
production and consumption. Firms produced commodities that earn for them the highest amount profit. Consumption is decided by
individual decisions. A market economy, where the govt. does not interfere is'called LAISSEZ-FAIRE economy.
Socialistic or Command Economy: In a command economy, all decisions regarding production and distribution are taken by the govt. The
govt. owns most of the factors of production..
Mixed economy: In the present set up none of the above two economic systems actually function. Rather there is a mixed system. The
production and consumption decision are left to market but Govt. regulates the overall economic activities by enactment of rules, laws,
guidelines.
Mixed Economy
Market
or
Socialistic or
capitalistic Economy Command Economy
Who is to take decisions about Firms and individuals Govt.
production and consumption
Whatis
the
Govt.
Interference
Minimum. Overall
regulations of
economy
level of
Nil
Complete
Demand
The amount of a commodity that the consumers buy, depends on a no. of factors major being the price. Normally, higher the price of a
commodity, lower the quantity that consumers will buy. Hence, there is a relationship between the price of a commodity and quantity
demanded. This relationship can be expressed in the form of a demand schedule or demand curve.
Demand Schedule: It is a statement depicting the quantity demanded of a commodity at different prices. Demand can be drawn
based on demand schedule.
Law of demand (or Law of downward-sloping demand): As per this law, the quantity demanded of a commodity is related to its price
(other things remaining same). At a higher price, the quantity demanded is lower and at lower price, the quantity demanded is higher.
(There is inverse or negative relationship between two).
The quantity demanded may also be affected because of 2 other reasons (I) Substitution Effect, called Cross Demand (2) Income Effect
called income demand.
Cross demand relates to the effect on quantity demanded of a product, dueto~ehangeinprice of-a related commodity. (Example : Effect on
demand for petrol, due to change in price of cars).
Income demand relates to the effect on quantity demanded of different-products, due to change in the income of the consumers.
Compiled by Mr. Sanjay Kumar Trivedy, Sr. Mgr., RSTC, mumbai
3
causes of movement of demand curve (or fortes being the demand curve) : The demand curve movement is affected by the following
reasons:
1. Change in average income of the consumer affects the demand for commodities (increase in income leading to high demand).
2. Size of the market also affects the quantity demanded. (Delhi market for a particular commodity is much larger than the Patna market)
3. Price and availability of related commodities (increase in price of its substitute commodity, increases the demand for a commodity).
4.Taste and preference of certain goods, also affect their demand.
5. Seasonal factors also affect demand (say demand for umbrella in rainy season). Shift in demand
When there is change in demand of commodities due to factors other than the price, it is called shift in demand. These factors can
be change in income of consumers or change in prices of related commodities. This has been shown in the diagram given below.
In this case, there is increase in average income of the consumers, leading to increase in quantity demanded.
Supply Schedule: It shows relationship between the market price of a commodity and the quantity supplied by producers /
suppliers. Higher the price of a commodity, higher the quantity, the suppliers would like to supply. Lower the price, the
producers will tend to supply lower quantity.
Factors behind Supply Curve movement : The following factors affect the movement of a supply curve:
Cost of production to the manufacturer.When cost is low compared to market price, there is high profit and producers tend to
supply more. When cost is high, profit is low and producers will switch over to other products.
Prices of inputs : When input prices are high, it leads to low profit. Hence low production. Technological advancements : Better
technology brings the cost low. Hence more profit and more production. Prices of related commodities : If production of onesubstitute
increases, the production of other will decrease. Govt. policy : Environment and health issues determine the technology to be used. Tax and
wages laws increase the cost of production.
Shift in supply : Whenever there is change in supply of a commodities due to factors other than the price of that commodity, this is
called shift in supply, as reflected below:
Equilibrium of supply and demand
Depending upon their prices, the consumers demand different quantity of goods and sellers offer different quantity of commodities.
But the demand and supply interact to produce an equilibrium price and quantity or market equilibrium. In other words, the
market equilibrium is a situation where the forces of demand and supply are in balance. At that point there is no reason for
change in price, other things remaining same.
MONEY SUPPLYMEASURES
Money Supply refers to amount of money in circulation. The working group under the chairmanship of Dr. V.V. Reddy, the thbn Deputy
Governor RBI, has suggested four new money measures (Mo, M1, Mz, M3) and three liquidity measures (Li, L2. L3). A ) MONETARY
AGGRECATES
Mo = Currency in Circulation + Bankers Deposits with the RBI + 'Other' Deposits with the RBI;
M1 = Currency with the Public + Demand Deposits with the Banking System + 'Other' Deposits with the RBI = Currency with the Public
+ Current Deposits with the Banking system + Demand Liabilities portion of Savings Deposits with the Banking System + 'Other'
Deposits with the RBI;
M2 = M1 4- Time Liabilities portion of Savings Deposits with the Banking System + Certificates of Deposit issued by Banks + Term
Deposits (excluding FCNR (B) deposits) with a contractual maturity up to and including one year with the Banking System; and
M3 = M2 + Term Deposits (excluding FCNR (B) Deposits) with a contractual maturity of over one year with the Banking System + Call
borrowings from 'Non-Depository' Financial Corporations by the Banking System.
M1 is known as Narrow Money ; M3 is known as Broad Money; Demand Deposits are those deposits which are payable on demand. It
includes current deposits, demand liabilities portion of liabilities, etc.
B) LIQUIDITY AGGREGATES
M3 + all deposits with the Post Office Savings Banks (excluding National Savings Certificates).
L2 = L1 + Term Deposits with Term Lending Institutions and Refinancing Institutions (Fls) + Term Borrowing by Fls + Certificates of
Deposit issued by Fls, and
L3 = L2 + Public Deposits of Non-Banking Financial Companies
Sources of money supply include net bank credit to the govt., net bank credit to commercial sector, net foreign exchange assets of banking
sector, Govt. currency liabilities to the"public,_net non monetary liabilities of RBI and the banks.
Inflation
Inflation refers to regular increase in the general price level of prices of goods and services, in an economy, over a period of time. Inflation
leads to fall in purchasing power,' because with rise in price of goods and services, the same amount of money, can purchase fewer goods and
services.
Inflation has positive as well as negative impact on the economy. Inflation helps in bringing an economy out of recession. The
negative effect is loss in real value of money.
Demand pull inflation: It is a general increase in prices of goods and services due to increasing aggregate demand for goods and services.
The increasing demand is the result of increased quantity of money in the hands of consumers. Demand --> Supply--> Shortage of goods &
Services--> Increase in Price
Cost-push inflation: It is caused by substantial increase in the prices of inputs used to produce goods and services. In such cases, the
producers adjust the production. Either they increase the price of the goods produced by them or they produce less that leads to shortage
and inflation.
Measures of inflation
The increase in general price level is measured by a price index. The price index is a weighted average of the prices of selected goods and
services, in comparison to the prices prevailing in the base year.
Inflation = (Price index in the current year price index in the base year) / price index in the base year x 100
Compiled by Mr. Sanjay Kumar Trivedy, Sr. Mgr., RSTC, mumbai
4
THEORIES Of INTEREST
INTEREST
As per Marshall, 'Interest is the price for the use of capital in a market'. In other words, interest is that part of national income which is paid
to capitalists as a reward of the services of capital. However, in Keynes opinion, interest is a reward for parting with liquidity for a specified
period.
Three distinct elements can be distinguished in interest:
a)
Reward for the risk involved in making the loan;
b)
Payment for the trouble involved;
c)
Pure interest, i.e., price of the capital.
GROSS INTEREST = Net interest + reward for risk + reward for inconvenience + reward for pains + reward for management.
NET INTEREST
= (Gross Interest) (Reward for Risk + Reward for inconvenience + Reward for Pains +
reward for management).
Liquidity Preference Theory of Interest: Prof J.M. Keynes in his book, the General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, has
viewed rate of interest as a purely monetary phenomenon and is determined by demard for money and supply of money. According to this
theory, rate of interest is determined by liquidity preference, i.e., demand of money on one side and the supply of money on the other.
Demand of money means the demand for keeping money in liquid form. Thus, demand of money means liquidity preference. The term
liquidity preference means the habit cf persons to keep their money in liquid form. When a person gets his income, he has to take two
important decisions:
a) How much to spend and how much to save, and
b) How much to save in liquid form and how much to save in non-liquid form.
The term liquid form means to keep money in the form of ready purchasing power i.e. cash or gold or any such way as can readily be
converted into cash. The term non-liquid form means to invest money in iong term securities and capital goods
FACTORS AFFECTING LIQUIDITY PREFERENCE
Keynes explained interest in terms of purely monetary forces. Keynes assumed a simplified economy where there are two assets which
people can keep in their portfolio balance. These two assets are:
a) Money in the form of currency and current deposits in the banks which earn no interest,
b) According to Keynes, rate of interest and bond prices are inversely rlated. When bond prices go up, rate of interest rises and vice versa.
The demand for money by the people depends upon how they decide to balance their portfolios between money and
bonds. This decision about portfolio bal?nre ran he influenced by two factors.
First, the higher the level of nominal income in a two-asset economy, more the money people would want to hold in their portfolio balance.
This is because of transactions motive according to which at the higher level of nominal income, the purchases by the people of goods and
services in their daily life will be relatively larger, which require more money to be kept for transactions purposes.
Second, the higher the nominal rate of interest, the lower the demand for money for speculative motive. This is firstly because a higher
nominal rate of interest implies a higher opportunity cost for holding money. At higher rate of interest, holders of money can earn more
incomes by holding bonds instead of money. Secondly, if the current rate of interest is higher than what is expected in the future, the, people
would like to hold more bonds and less money in their portfolio. On the other hand, if the current rate of interest is low (in other words, if the
bond prices are currently high), the people will be reluctant to hold larger quantity of bonds (and instead they could hold more money in their
portfolio) because of the inherent fear that bond prices would ne fall in the future causing capital losses to them.
Prof. Keynes cites three motives to explain why people prefer to keep their money in liquid form. These motives are as under
1.Transactional Motives: People keep a part of their income in liquid form so that they can pay their regular expenses. Liquidity preference
for transactional motives will depend upon the size of income, time of receipt and number of transactions.
2.Precautionary Motives: People keep some part of income to provide for contingencies, such as illness, accident, unemployment etc.
Liquidity preference for such motives depends upon the level of income, size of family, living conditions and habit of individuals etc.
3.Speculative Motives: Some persons like to keep their money in liquid form for speculative purposes also so that they can get the advantage
of changes in the rate of interest.Thus, Demand of money = Transactional motive + Precautionary motive + Speculative motive.
Liquidity preference depends upon the income and rate of interest. There is an inverse relationship between rate of interest and demand for
money (liquidity preference). If the rate of interest is high, liquidity preference will be less because the people would like to invest more and
more amount. If the rate of interest is low, liquidity preference will be more because the people would like to keep the money with them
selves.
Compiled by Mr. Sanjay Kumar Trivedy, Sr. Mgr., RSTC, mumbai
5
SUPPLY OF MONEY
Supply of money, as assumed by Prof. Keynes, includes both types of money: currency notes and coins as well as bank credit. Since the
supply of money depends upon the monetary policy of government and Central Bank, it can be assumed to remain fixed, at least over a
short period. According to this theory, rate of interest is determined at the point at which the demand and supply 9f money are equal.
D) Modern Theory of Interest (Hicks & Hensen Theory):
Hicks and Hensen theory has bought the synthesis between Keynes and Classical theory of rate of interest. IS curve is derived from
Classical theory, whereas LM curve is derived from Keynes liquidity preference theory of interest. Rate of interest is determined at the
point at which IS curve and LM curve intersect each other.
IS curve
= Investment Saving Schedule
LM curve
= Liquidity preference and money supply equilibrium.
IS curve is locus of different combination of rate of interest and income which shows equilibrium in goods market and also shows
the saving investments equality.
LM curve shows the different combination of rate of interest and income, which shows equilibrium in money market.
' Equilibrium of Liquidity Preferences (L) and supply of money (M) of Keynesian theory produces LM curve, which implies money
market equilibrium.
Equilibrium of Investment (I) and savings (S) of classical theory produces IS curve which implies goods market equilibri6m.
IS curve slopes downward to the right inverse relationship between the level of income and rate of interest.
LM CURVE MOVES UPWARD TO THE RIGHT ( DIRECT RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN RATE OF INTEREST & LEVEL OF INCOME ).
5.Business Cycles
Business cycle or economic cycle
The business cycle is the periodic but irregular up-and-down movements in economic activity, measured by fluctuations in real
GDP and other macroeconomic variables. In other words, a business cycle or an economic cycle refers to economy-wide
fluctuations in economic activity (including production of goods and services), over several months or years. Such cycle pass
through phases of prosperity and depression. A business cycle is not predictable, regular or repetitive. Its timing is random and
unpredictable. The business cycles influence the business decisions and lead to impact on individual firms and the economy as a
whole. Characteristics of a business cycle: It is synchronic : The upward or downward movement tend to occur almost at the same
time, in all industries. Prosperity or depression in one industry will have impact in other industries, almost immediately. It shows a
wave-like movement : The period of boom and depression comes alternatively. Cyclical fluctuations are recurring in nature:
Various phases are repeated. A boom is followed by depression which is followed by prosperity again.
Downward movements are more sudden, than the upward movements There is no indefinite depression or boom period. Phases
of a business cycle A business cycle has 4 phases namely (i) Boom (2) Recession (3) Depression (4) recovery
1.Boom : Production capacity is fully used. Products fetch more than normal price giving higher profits. This attracts more
investors. Increasing use of factors of production leads to increased cost of production. The fixed income groups find it difficult to
cope with the increase in prices. They are forced to reduce their consumption which leads to lower demand, which results in
recession.
2.Recession : In economics, a recession is a business activity contraction, a general slowdown in economic activity over a period
of time. During recessions, many macroeconomic indicators vary in a similar way. Production as measured by Gross Domestic
Product (GDP), employment, investment spending, capacity utilization, household incomes, business profits and inflation all fall
during recessions; while bankruptcies and the unemployment rate rise.
Recessions are generally believed to be caused by a widespread drop in spending.
Govt. policy in recession : Governments usually respond to 'recessions by adopting expansionary macroeconomic policies, such
as increasing money supply, increasing government spending and decreasing taxation.
3.Depression : In economics, a depression is a sustained, long-term downturn in economic activity in one or more economies. It is
a more severe downturn than a recession. A rare and extreme form of recession, a depression is characterized by its length, and
by abnormally large increases in unemployment, falls in the availability of credit quite often due to some kind of banking/financial
crisis, shrinking output and investment, numerous bankruptcies including sovereign debt defaults, significantly reduced amounts
of trade and commerce especially international, as well as highly volatile relative currency value fluctuations most often due to
devaluations.Common elements of depression : Price deflation, financial crisis and bank failures.
4. Recovery : The depression phase does not continue indefinitely. The retrenched workers offer their services at lower wages.
Prices.are,at,the -lowest level. Hence consumers start purchasing. Banks having surplus funds, startiending at low interest rates.
With increase in demand, the piled up stock get exhaust. The economic activity starts again. Increased incomes lead to increasing
demand, increasing production, investment, employment.
6. INDIAN ECONOMY
ECONOMIC SURVEY 2013-14
The Union Minister for Finance Arun Jaitley presented the Economic Survey for 2013- 14 in Parliament on 9th July 2014. Highlights of the
Economic Survey are given below: State of the Economy and Prospects
1. Growth slowdown was broad based, affecting in particular the industry sector. Aided by favourable monsoons, agricultural and allied
sector registered a growth of 4.7 per cent in 2013-14.
2. Economy to grow 5.4-5.9% in 2014-15, overcoming the sub-5 percent growth of the last two years.
3. Growth rate of 7-8% can occur after 2015/16.
4. Poor monsoon, external factors pose risk to growth. Public Finance
1. Fiscal deficit for 2013-14 contained at 4.5 percent of the GDP compared to 4.9 percent in 2012-13.
Compiled by Mr. Sanjay Kumar Trivedy, Sr. Mgr., RSTC, mumbai
6
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
Primary deficit for fiscal 2014-14 estimated at 1.2% of the GDP; revenue deficit pegged at 3.2 percent.
Disinvestment programme had limited success due to subdued market conditions and yielded Rs.27,555 crore
Fiscal consolidation recommended through higher tax-GDP ratio then merely reducing the expenditure-GDP ratio.
Need subsidy reforms for fiscal consolidation.
Cutting capital expenditure not good for economy.
Changes in tax administration required.
Need sharp fiscal correction, new FRBM Act.
Government needs to move towards low and stable inflation through fiscal consolidation Prices and Monetary
Management
1. High inflation, particularly food inflation, was the result of structural as well as seasonal factors.
2. IMF projects most global commodity prices are expected to remain flat during 2014-15.
3. Wholesale Price Index inflation fell to three-year low of 5.98 percent during 2013-14. Consumer Price Inflation also showed signs of
moderation. Both Wholesale and Consumer Price Inflation expected to go downward
Financial Intermediation:
1. Passage of PFRDA Act, shift of commodity futures trading into the finance ministry and the presentation of the FSLRC report were the
three major milestones of 2013-14.
2. RBI has indentified five sectors -- infrastructure, iron and steel, textiles, aviation and mining as the stressed sectors. Public sector banks
(PSBs) have high exposures to the 'industry' sector in general and to such 'stressed' sectors in particular.
3. The New Pension System (NPS), now National Pension System, introduced for the new recruits who join government service on or after
January 2004, represents a major reform of Indian pension arrangements.
4. The next wave of infrastructure financing will require a capable bond market.
5. The speed of reforms in the financial sector has not kept pace with financial innovation.
6. As against the farm credit target of Rs 7,00,000 crore for the year 2013-14, an amount of Rs 7,30,766 crore was disbursed during the year.
Because of the slowdown and high levels of leverage, some industry and infrastructure sectors, namely textiles, chemicals, iron and steel,
food processing, construction, and telecommunication are experiencing a rise in NPAs. Overall NPAs of the banking sector increased from
2.36% of total credit advanced in March 2011 to 3.90% of total credit advanced in March 2014.
7. The increase in NPAs has been particularly sharp for the infrastructure sector, with NPAs as a percentage of credit advanced increasing
from 3.23 per cent in March 2011 to 8.22 per cent as in March 2014.
8. GNPAs of public-sector banks (PSBs) have shown a rising trend, increasing by almost four times from March 2010 (Rs 59,972 crore) to
March 2014 (Rs 2,04,249 crore). As a percentage of credit advanced, NPAs were at 4.4 per cent in March 2014 compared to 2.09 per cent
in 2008-09.
9. Increase in NPAs of banks is mainly accounted for by switchover to system-based identification of NPAs by PSBs, slowdown of economic
growth, and aggressive lending by banks in the past.
10. Some recent initiatives taken by the government to address the rising NPAs include (a) Appointment of nodal officers in banks for
recovery at their head offices/zonal offices/for each Debts Recovery Tribunal; (b) Thrust on recovery of loss assets by banks and
designating asset reconstruction companies (ARC) resolution agents of banks; (c) Directing the state-level bankers committees to be
proactive in resolving issues with the state governments; (d) Sanction of fresh loans on the basis of information sharing amongst banks; (e)
Conducting sector / activity-wise analysis of NPAs; (f) Close watch on NPAs by picking up early warning signals and ensuring timely
corrective steps by banks including early detection of sign of distress, amendments in recovery laws, and strengthening of credit appraisal
and post credit monitoring.
11. Financial Sector Legislative Reforms Commission (FSLRC), in its report, has proposed Draft Indian Financial Code. The IFC articulates
clear objectives for financial regulation, where government intervention is required. These are: consumer protection, micro-prudential
regulation, resolution, systemic risk reduction, market abuse in organized financial trading, consumer redress, debt management, capital
controls, and monetary policy.
Financial Inclusion
1. The objective of financial inclusion is to extend financial services to the large hitherto unserved population of the country to unlock its
growth potential.
2. PSBs opened 7840 branches in 2013-14 as compared to 4432 in 2012-13. They had a total of 96,853 automated teller machines (ATMs) by
January 2014 as compared to 69,652 at the end of 2012-13.
Insurance penetration and density:
1. Insurance penetration is defined as the ratio of premium underwritten in a given year to the GDP. Likewise, insurance density is defined
as the ratio of premium underwritten in a given year to the total population. Insurance penetration has grown from 2.3 per cent (life 1.8
per cent and non-life 0.7 per cent) in 2000 to 3.96 per cent (life 3.17 per cent and non-life 0.78 per cent) in 2012
Pension sector
1. The New Pension System (NPS) now called National Pension System was introduced by replacing the existing defined benefit pension
system for the new recruits joining government service on or after January 2004. From May 2009, the NPS was opened up for all citizens
in India to join on a voluntary basis.
2. The Swavalamban Scheme for workers in the unorganized sector launched in 2010, extended to five years for the beneficiaries enrolled in
2010-11, 2011 12, and 2012-13 and the benefits of co-contribution under the Scheme would be available till 2016-17.
3. The Pension Fund Regulatory and Development Authority (PFRDA) Act 2013 made effective from 1 February 2014.
4. Till May 7, 2014 67.11 lakh members have been enrolled under the NPS with a corpus of Rs. 51,147 cr. Balance of Payments:
1. Balance-of-payments position improved dramatically in 2013-14 with the current account deficit (CAD) at $32.4 billion (1.7 percent of
GDP) as against $88.2 billion (4.7 percent of GDP) in 2012-13
2. Foreign exchange reserves increased from $292 billion at end-March 2013 to $304.2 billion at end-March, 2014. RBI intervention in
forex market behind accumulation of reserves "generally".
3. Long-term external debt accounts for 78.2 percent of total external debt at end-December 2013 against 76.1 percent at end-March 2013.
Long-term debt at end-December 2013 increased by $25.1 billion (8.1 percent) over the level at end-March 2013 while short-term debt
declined by $4 billion (4.1%), reflecting a fall in imports
4. CAD to be contained at 2.1% of GDP in 2014-15.
5. Annual average exchange rate of the rupee went up from 47.92 per dollar in 2011-12 to Rs.54.41 per dollar in 2012-13 and further to
Rs.60.50 per dollar in 2013 14. But now Rupee has stabilized, reflecting an overall sense of confidence in forex and capital markets.
International Trade:
1. Exports grew 4.1 percent over negative growth of 1.8 percent in 2012-13. Imports dropped by 8.3 percent after steep slowdown during FY
2012-13; trend continues in April-May, 2014 as imports fell by 13.2%.
2. Following government intervention, gold and silver imports fell by 40.1 percent to $33.4 billion in 2013-14
3. The sharp fall in imports and moderate export growth in 2013-14 resulted in a sharp fall in India's trade deficit by 27.8 per cent. In AprilMay 2014, trade deficit declined by 42.4 per cent. Gold & silver imports dropped 40 percent to USD 33.4 bn in 2013/14
Agriculture and Food Management:
1. Record food grains and oilseeds production of 264.4 million tonnes (mt) and 32.4 mt estimated in 2013-14.
2. Horticulture production estimated at 265 mt in 2012-13 exceeded the production of foodgrains and oilseeds for the first time.
3. Due to higher procurement, foodgrain stocks in the Central Pool stood at 69.84 million tonnes as on June 1, 2014; India in anomalous
situation with large stocks of foodgrain with high food inflation
4. Agricultural exports grew by 5.1% in 2013-14 over 2012-13 to $37,292 million; exports of marine products alone increased by 44.8
percent in the same period
5. Since opening of rice exports in 2011, there has been a surge from $2,575 million in 2010-11 to $7,742 million in 2013-14. Exports of
total dairy, poultry, meat, and marine products doubled their share in agricultural exports between 2008-09 and 2013-14
6. During the five years ending 2012-13, food processing sector grew faster than the agriculture sector at an average annual rate of around
8.4 percent.
7. Agricultural credit flow achievement was Rs.730,765 cr against the target of Rs.700,000 crore in 2013-14.
Industrial Performance: Industry grew by just 1 per cent in 2012-13 and slowed further in 2013-14, posting a modest increase of 0.4%
Services Sector:
1. India ranked 12th in terms of services GDP in 2012 among the world's top 15 countries in terms of GDP (at current prices). India has the
second fastest growing services sector with its CAGR at 9.0 per cent, just below China's 10.9 per cent, during 2001 to 2012.
2. In 2013-14, FDI inflows to the services sector (top five sectors including construction) declined sharply by 37.6 percent to $6.4 billion
compared to an overall growth in FDI inflows at 6.1 percent.
3. Services constitute a 57 percent share in GDP at factor cost (at current prices) in 2013-14, an increase of 6 percent over 2000-01.
4. India's increase in share in world services exports from 0.6 percent in 1990 to 3.3 percent in 2013 faster than goods exports.
5. Despite deceleration, services GDP growth at 6.8% was above the 4.7 percent overall GDP in 2013/14.
Energy, Infrastructure and Communications: Major sector-wise performance of core industries and infrastructure services during 2013-14
shows a mixed trend. While the growth in production of power and fertilizers was comparatively higher than in 2012-13, coal, steel, cement,
and refinery production posted comparatively lower growth. Crude oil and natural gas production declined during 2013 14. From the
infrastructure development perspective, while important issues like delays in regulatory approvals, problems in land acquisition &
rehabilitation, environmental clearances, etc. need immediate attention, time overruns in the implementation of projects continue to be one of
Compiled by Mr. Sanjay Kumar Trivedy, Sr. Mgr., RSTC, mumbai
7
1951-80
1980s
1990s
2000-09
2.1
5.4
4.5
4.4
6.4
3.2
5.7
2.8
6.5
Not available
Not available
Not available
6.3
7.1
9.0
I Services
Total GDP
0.7%
3.5
5.6
5.7
7.2
Agriculture
Industry
Structural changes in share in GDP for various sectors of Indian Economy (in %age)
1950-51
1961-70
1970-71
1980-81
Agriculture
55
51
44
industry
11
13
15
Services
e
34
36
Total GDP
100
100
1990-91
2008-09
38
31
17
17
20
19
41
45
49
64
100
100
100
100
7. Economic Reforms
Transformation
Transformation of Indian economy has taken place in the era of economic reforms, with service sector share in GDP having gone to 64%, while
that of agricultuire shrinking to 17% (from 38%) and industry share remaining around 19%. Further, the domestic economy is far more
integrated with global economy, which is visible from increasing trade volumes, financial inflows etc. Timing of reforms: The economic
reforms introduced during 1991 have been outcome, mainly of fiscal crisis and external payment crisis.
Economic Transformation Real Sector
Real sector: Initially, the real sector policy measures mainly focused on manufacturing sector which included:
a) deregulation of industry by way of removing licensing requirement, b) overhauling public enterprises,c) enhanced role for private
sector,d) abolition of MRTP Act,
e) automatic approval route for FDI, f) reduction in import tariffs, g) removal of quantitative restrictions on imports etc. Services sector:
Entry of private sector and FDI introduced competition and state of the 'at technology which brought sea change in the services sector. The
boom in Information Technology Enabled Services led to an era of services led growth and India emerged as global hub for BPO/KPO services
in the world. The boom in information technology (IT) and information technology and Enabled Services CITES) resulted in services-led
growth. India emerged as global hub for BPO / KPO services.
Agriculture sector : A series of measures were taken in agricultural sector also which include free movement of agriculture commodities,
APMC Act permitting farmers to bypass the mandatory requirement of sale in the regulated markets, relaxation of restrictions under
Essential Commodities Act 1955 introduction of future trading. (c) and (d) brought major changes in the pricing mechanism and national
level commodity futures markets discover price instead of manipulation by local traders.banks started allowing loans to farmers against
warehouse receipts. 0 large companies directly source agriculture produce from farmers.
With economic growth and rise in disposable incomes, the consumption basket has changed significantly.
Economic Transformation Financial Sector
Financial sector reforms were carried as per recommendations of Narasimham Committee (1991 and 1998). Transformation of this sector
helped in improving the services sector growth in a big way. The segment that covered the financial sector reforms are:
Money market: The measures included a) freeing of interest rates in money market,
h) introduction of money market instruments like Cr) mnicrci al paper, certificate of deposits, collateralized lending and
borrowing obligations,
introduction of screen based trading, making call money, a pure inter-bank market etc.
Govt. securities market: Before reforms, the govt. was able to borrow at sub-market rates.
a) The concessionary financing to govt. was eliminated with introduction of market auction system and phasing out of automatic monetization
with ways and means advances.
b) Yield on g-securities provides a benchmark for pricing of securities in other markets.
Forex market : The reforms include,
a) introduction of market based exchange rate regime, b) adoption of current account convertibility and relaxation on capital account,
led to emergence ofactive and vibrant forex market. c) Exchange rates are market driven now.
Capital market:
a) The primary market witnessed a significant movement away from Controller of Capital Issue, b) introduction of free pricing and book
building system, c) mandatory disclosure,d) creation of SEBI,e) in the secondary market, the measures include corporatization of
exchanges, screen based
trading replacing the open outcry system, introduction of options and futures replacing the earlier Badla system, rolling settlement
replacing the 14 days settlement cycle,
dematerilisation of securities with Depositories etc.
Credit market: Prior to reforms, the banking operations on asset and liability side were broadly governed by RBI. In such situation
competition was almost absent. The broader approach of reforms to this sector was to :
bring more competition, allow operational autonomy to banks,
c) building of risk management capacities, d) introduction of prudent norms on capital adequacy, asset classification, income
recognition andprovisioning, in line with best international practices. These measures transformed the banking system and
brought soundness and operationalefficiency.
Payment system : The measures include a) enactment of Payment and Settlement Systems Act 2007 which empowered RBI to regulate
the payment and settlement system,
b) introduction of ECS, RIGS, NEVI% cheque truncation system, free access policy for ATM. This made the payment system robust and
sound.
The economic reforms process facilitated integration of Indian economy with the global economy. This increased the participation in
international trade and capital inflows. India's share of world exports increased to 1.5%. The gross volume of capital inflows amount to $ 428
billion in 2007-08. The important measures taken, in this respect include:
Trade liberalization : De-licensing of intermediary inputs and capital goods, progressive reduction in tariff rates, acceptance of IMF Article VIII
obligations, thus making rupee convertible on current account.
Capital account ThP appro ach to move towards full convertibility on capital was a cautious one. Many recommendation of SS Tarapore
committee recommendations, have already been implemented.
Foreign Direct Investment: The policy to attract FDI started with introduction of automatic approval route, as per which RBI was
empowered to approve investment up to 51% in select 34 priority industries. Presently, under this route, :00% foreign investment is
permitted except for limited categories like atomic energy, lotteries business etc. (in retail this has been allowed in the year 2012).
Portfolio investment: Such investment through FII, was opened up in 1992. Around this time, the Indian companies were also
permitted to raise equity through GDR and ADR in Europe and American markets. The policy was liberalized by raising the 24% cap to
total sectoral cap for foreign investment.
External commercial borrowing: Access to ECB, by Indian companies, further integrated the Indian economy to the world economy.
Outward flows: Outward capital flows were also permitted progressively. This has resulted into emergence of Indian MNCs.
Though the structural transformation of Indian economy has brought improvement in terms of efficiency, competitiveness and
productivity, but there are a no. of issues, that remain to be addressed.
Poverty : Measured on the basis of consumption expenditure, there has been improvement in reducing the incidence of poverty. There
has been 7-8%age points decline in poverty ratio in 200405, compared to 1993-94. But Gini Coefficient, a standard measure of income
and expenditure inequality, has deteriorated to 36.2% in 2004 compared with 32.9% in 1993. This means, there is lot to be done, on this
issue.
Socio-economic development : Human Development Index, a widely used indicator of socioeconomic conditions has placed India at 128 out
of 18o countries of the world. Compared to other nations India needs to bring improvement in terms of health and education services.
Agricultural investment: While the structural transformation from agriculture to services has been a positive feature, but the
dependence of large population (about 65%) on agriculture, is keeping large majority of Indian population, in poverty. There is need
to integrate the rural sector with urban economy, by creating infrastructure such as roads in rural areas, provision for electricity, cold
storage chains to provide farm producers access to urban markets.
Labour reforms: There is need to review the labour laws so that these help in bringing market efficiency and productivity, promote
entrepreneurship, create positive investment environment. Further, the disparity between the organized and unorganized sectors in
terms of working conditions and protection of employees' rights also needs to be bridged.
Demographic dividend (share of working age group 15-64, around 65% in the population): To take advantage of this dividend, large
investment in human capital formation is required.
Financial inclusion : There is still a large portion of our population, which does not available banking facilities for various reasons including
cost, availability etc. There is need to offer banking facilities to this poor section of the society to provide banking facilities at reasonable cost.
Extent of CRR
Under RBI Act 1934 (Section 42(1) all scheduled banks are required to keep certain minimum cash reserves with RBI. Important features
are: Wef June 22, 2006 (as per RBI Amendment Act 2006), RBI has been empowered to fix CRR (without any floor or ceiling) at its discretion
(instead of earlier 3 to 2o% range by notification) of the net demand and time liabilities. It is to be maintained at fortnightly average basis
(Saturday to following Friday- 14 days) on reporting Friday (advised by RBI to banks at the commence of the year).on a Bail yhasi8 it should be
70% of the average balance wef Dec 23, 2002.
In order to check inflation, when RBI intends to reduce money supply with the banking system, it increases the CRR. On the other hand in
recessionary situation, when RBI wants to increase the liquidity, it reduces the CRR.
STATUTORY LIQUIDITY RATIO
Section 24 (2A) of Banking Regulation Act 1949 requires every banking company to maintain in India equivalent to an amount which shall not
at the close the business on any day be less than as prescribed by RBI (earlier 25%) as a percentage of the total of its net demand and time
liabilities (to be computed as in case of CRR) in India, which is known as SLR.
RBI powers - RBI can change SLR with minimum at its discretion and maximum 4o%).
SLR is to be maintained as at the close of business on every day i.e. on daily basis based on the NDTLs as obtaining on the last Friday of the
2nd preceding Fortnight.
Components of SLR : RBI issued the notificationdated Sept 08, 2009 giving the list of assets to be maintained by the banks (or Sec 24
of Banking Regulation Act, 1949, as under:
(a) Cash, or (b) Gold valued at a price not exceeding the current market price, or (c) Unencumbered investment in the following instruments
which will be referred to as "Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) securities":
Objective of maintaining SLR :
1 It helps RBI to control the growth of bank credit. By changing SLR, RBI can impact the availability of funds with the banks for lending
purpose. Maintenance of SLR enhances the solvency position of the banks RBi can compel banks to meet the govt. borrowing program by
subscribing to Govt. securities. Open market operationsIt refers to buying and selling of govt. securities by RBI in the open market. By
its impact on the reserves of banks, OMO help control the money supply in the economy.When RBI sells Govt. securities to banks, the lendable
resources of4h&latter aze reduced and banks are forced to reduce or contain their lending, thus curbing the money supply. When money supply
is reduced, thaeonsequeattsiaerease=in,theinterest rates tends to limit spending and investment.
Compiled by Mr. Sanjay Kumar Trivedy, Sr. Mgr., RSTC, mumbai
10
FISAL POLICY
Govt. uses fiscal policy, to influence the level of aggregate demand in the economy, with a view to achieve economic objectives of price
stability, full employment and economic growth. Fiscal policy is the process of policy decision making in relation to the financial structure
of the govt. receipts and payment. It includes the actions and strategies on tax policy, revenue and expenditure, loans and borrowing,
deficit financing etc.
Primarily, it is the budgetary policy of the Govt. and is reflected through the annual budget formulation.
The objective of the policy are:
1 Moblisation of resources for meeting the financial requirements for economic growth. 2 Improve savings & investment rate to
improve the capital formation. 3 To initiate steps to remove poverty and unemployment and improve the standard of living of the people. 4
To reduce regional disparities.
FI$CAL RESPONSIBILITY & BUDGET MANAGEMENT ACT 2002
With a view to bring the Central finance under discipline, The Fiscal Responsibility & Budget Management Act (FRBM) notified on July 02,
2004 has come into fore w.e.f July 5, 2004 (recommendations of Dr. EAS Sarma Committee). The Act provides for an institutional framework
binding the Government to pursue a prudent fiscal policy. It casts responsibility on the Central Government to ensure fiscal management and
long-term macroeconomic stability by achieving sufficient revenue surplus, removing fiscal impediments in the conduct of monetary policy
and prudential debt management through limits on borrowings and deficits.
Targets :
The Act provides for the following targets for the Central Govt.:
Reduce the fiscal deficits to 3% of GDP. To eliminate revenue deficit by March 31, 2009 (to be reduced minimum by 0.5% point beginning
the financial year 2004-05 (Zero to be achieved by 31.3.2010 as per Budget 2008).To set a ceiling on guarantees - 0.5% of GDP.Total debt
increase capped at 9% of GDP during 2004-05.
Report to the Parliament: Government is required to place before the Parliament, 3 statements each year along with the Budget, covering
Medium Term Fiscal Policy, Fiscal Policy Strategy and Macro Economic Framework. The Parliament is also to be informed through quarterly
reviews on the implementation. No deviation permitted without approval of Parliament.
Borrowing from RBI : The Act prohibits the Centre from borrowing from RBI (i.e. restriction on deficit financing through money creation.
Temporary Ways and Means Advances to tide over cash.
flow problems are permitted till April, 2006.
9.GDP CONCEPTS
National income is the sum total of output of commodities and services produced by the economy as a whole during a given period of time
generally one year counted without duplication. In India, National Income estimates are related with the financial year i.e., 15t April to 31st
March. National Income is used as a measure of economic growth.
National Income includes the contribution of three sectors of the economy namely:
a) Primary Sector: Agriculture, Forestry, Fishery, Mining.
b) Secondary Sector: Industries, manufacturing, construction, electricity, gas, water.
c) Tertiary Sector: Trade, Banking, Insurance, Transport and Communication, Real Estate etc. The National Income is compiled by Central
Statistical Organisation (CSO) and presently is based on 1993-94 as base year. CONCEPTS OF NATIONAL INCOME
A) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) :
GDP is the market value of the final goods & services produced within the domestic territory of a country during one year.
B) Gross National Product (GNP): GNP = GDP + Net factor Income from abroad (X M).
Where X = Income earned due to exports and money value of goods and services produced by nationals outside the country; M = Income
paid due to Imports and Income received by foreign nationals from within the country.
If Export minus imports = 0, Then GNP = GDP
C) Net Domestic Product (NDP):
NDP = GDP - Depreciation
D) Net National Product (NNP):
NNP = GNP - Depreciation
E) National Income: NNP is computed at factor cost. Further when we use a term national income we imply NNP at factor cost.
F) NNP at Factor cost
= NNP at Market Price Indirect Taxes + Subsidies Or = NNP at Market Price - Net Indirect Taxes Where
Net Indirect taxes means (Indirect taxes - Subsidies)
Market Price is the economic price for which goods and services offered in the market.
G) Per Capital Income: It is ratio between national income of the country & population of that country Per Capita Income = National Income /
Population.
H) Green GDP : GDP which factors in cost of its environment degradation.
MEASUREMENT OF NATIONAL INCOME: There are three methods of measuring the national income
a) Product Method (Value Added Method) b) Income Method I Distribution Method
c) Expenditure Method (Consumption Method)
a) PRODUCT METHOD: Under this method, national income is equal to net national product at factor cost. This method
used fe'r agriculture and animal husbandry, forestry & mining & quarrying, registered manufacturing. In this method, net value o final goods
and services produced in a country during a year is obtained and the total obtained value is called total final product This represents GDP.
Real GDP or GDP at constant Price: Real GDP is calculated by tracking the volume or quantity of production after removing the influence of
changing prices or inflation. It reflects the real growth. It is the value of today's output at yesterday price.
Nominal GDP or GDP at current Prices: represents the total money value of final goods and services produced in a giver year, where the values
are expressed in terms of the market prices of each year. Simply it is the value of today's output a today's price.
b) INCOME METHOD: This method measures national income from the side of payment made to the factor of production lik
land, labour, capital and entrepreneur. This method is used to calculate gas, electricity & water supply banking & insurance transport,
communication and storage, unregistered manufacturing, trade, hotel, restaurants, public administration and defence In broad sense, by
Income method, national income is obtained by adding receipts of total rent, total wages, total interest an total profit.
c) EXPENDITURE METHOD: This method measure national income from the angle of expenditure of whole community. Thi method is basically
used for estimating income in construction activity. GDP = Consumption + Gross investment + Government spending + (Exports - Imports) and
the formula is GDP = C+I+G + (X-M)
The first compilation of national income in India was prepared by Dadabhai Narjii for year 1867-68. The first official estimates national income
Compiled by Mr. Sanjay Kumar Trivedy, Sr. Mgr., RSTC, mumbai
11
for Indian union were prepared by the Ministry of commerce, govt. of India in year 1948-49. The Central Statistical Organisation (CSO) has been
entrusted with the work of estimating national income of India. CSO has introduced new series on national income with 1993-94 as the base
year In India methods combination of product method and income method is used for estimation of National income. Product method is
particularly used in primary sectors and in manufacturing sectors, and Income Method is used in territory sector or service sector.
10.Union Budget
The Union Budget is a statement of financial position for a future period, setting out proposed expenditure and means of financing it. It lays
down the statement of the estimated receipts and expenditure of the Govt. of India for the coming financial year. It sets out exactly how the
Govt. proposes to allocate the financial resources among the various agencies that make claim on it and how it proposes to raise the finances
for this. A no. of documents are annexed to the budget, which also include:
a Receipts budget - which details tax, non-tax revenues and capital receipts b Expenditure budget - details revenue and capital
expenditure Terms relating to receipts and expenditure
a Revenue receipts - Receipts by way of direct and indirect taxes, interest, dividends and profits from investments, fees and other receipts
from services rendered by the Govt. b Capital receipts - Receipts by way of loans raised from the market, borrowing from RBI, external
assistance from foreign Govts, recoveries of loans and advances. c Revenue expenditure - These are expenses incurred for the normal running
of the Govt. departments, interest charges on debt and subsidies.
d Capital expenditure - It is the expenditure incurred on acquisition of assets and investments, loans and advances to State Govts. e Plan
expenditure - It is the outlay on schemes and program formulated by various Ministries under the 5-year plan. f Non-plan
expenditure - It is the expenditure outside that incurred in keeping with the program formulated under the 5-year plan.
CONCEPTS OF BUDGET DEFICITS IN INDIA
REVENUE RECEIPTS
1. Tax Revenue : Direct- Corporate tax, Income tax, Wealth tax, Interest tax, Expenditure tax, Gift tax, Estate duty, VDIS,IndirectCustoms, Union Excise duties Services tax, Taxes of UTs.
Less- States share - Income tax, Union excises duties.
Non- Tax Revenue: Dividends & Profits from PSUs, Interest receipts or loans,External grants, Other non-tax revenue, Receipts of Union
Territories,
REVENUE EXPENSES Expenses not resulting in asset creation
1. Plan Expenditures : Central plan, Central assistance for State /UT plans.
2) Non-Plan Expenditures: Interest payments, Defense spending, Subsidy payments, Grants to states and UTs, Pensions, Police, Postal
deficit, Economic, social & other services,Grants to Foreign Governments. i Expenditure of UT without legislature, etc.
RevenueDeficit Revenueexpenses Revenuereceipts
,101=11/
CAPITAL RECEIPTS 1. Loan recoveries,Disinvestment of Equity shares,Borrowings,, Small Savings, State Provident funds,Special
Deposits,Market Borrowings, External Assistance, Draw down on cash balance, etc
Capital Deficit Capital expenses Capital receipts
CAPITAL EXPENSES 1. Plan Expenditures, Central plan, C e n t r a l a s s i s t a n c e f o r S t a t e s & U T p l a n s . 2 ) N o n - P l a n
E x p e n d i t u r e s : Defense capital, Loans to Public Enterprises / States / UTs , Loans to Foreign Governments, Other non-plan Capital outlay
etc
Budgetary Deficit called Conventional Deficit = Total EXPENSES Total receipts
Deficit Concepts :
Revenue deficit - It is the excess of Govt. revenue expenditure over revenue receipts. Gropsyiscal deficit : It is excess of total
expenditure over revenue receipts and capital reteipig-after excluding borrowing 3 Net fiscal deficit : Gross fiscal deficit net
lending
Primary deficit - It is the fiscal deficit reduced by expenditure on interest ("ivppyrnent.!Primry deficit - It is the net fiscal
deficit reduced by expenditure on net interest 4/ 4 payment.
Net RBI credit to Central Govt. : It is total of increase in RBI holding of Treasury Bills, dated securities, rupee coins and loans &
advances from RBI to Central Govt. since 1.4.2007 adjusted for RBI's cash balances with RBI.
BUDGET 2014-15
The Finance Minister presented his maiden national budget for the government. He expressed concerns over economic slowdown
while promising steps to ensure a course correction with bold measures. The budget aims at 7-8 per cent growth over the next
three-four years, lower inflation, less fiscal deficit and a manageable current account deficit.
The budget reflects the pragmatic outlook of the govt. which has taken initial steps for revival of sustainable economic growth. The
new Govts. first budget has tried to balance the objective of the growth revival and fiscal consolidation without trying to be too
ambitious. The budget reveals the govt. priority both near- term and over the medium term.
While the budget is lacking in major policy announcement, it lays out a road map for reforms and policy priorities. The welcome
measure include a road map for fiscal consolidation of 3% of GDP by financial year 2016-17, GST road map by the end of the year,
controlling non plan expenditure and a stable and predictable tax regime.
OVERVIEW OF THE ECONOMY
GROWTH ESTIMATES:
CHALLENGING SITUATION: Two years of sub five per cent growth in the Indian economy has resulted in a challenging situation. The task is very challenging
because the growth has to be revived, particularly in manufacturing and infrastructure to raise adequate resources for the developmental needs.
SUSTAINED GROWTH OF 7-8 PER CENT: The main aim of the budget is to lay down a broad policy indicator of the direction towards a sustained growth of 7-8 per
cent along with macro-economic stabilization that includes lower levels of inflation, lesser fiscal deficit and a manageable current account deficit.
GLOBAL OVERVIEW: The slowdown in India broadly reflects the trend in many economies. In contrast to the aftermath of the crisis of 2008-09 when restoration
of growth in advanced economies was the primary concern, the continuing slowdown being presently witnessed in many emerging economies has posed a threat
to a sustained global recovery.
GREEN SHOOTS & HEAD WINDS: There are green shoots of recovery being seen in the global economy. As per IMF, the world economy is projected to grow at 3.6%
in 2014 vis--vis 3.0% in 2013, with the Euro area expected to register a positive growth after the contraction witnessed in 2012 and 2013. However, the performance of
the US economy is pivotal to the fate of global recovery in the coming years. These are the head winds against which the Indian economy would have to maneuver its
FISCAL DEFICITS:
FISCAL PRUDENCE: Fiscal prudence is of paramount importance to generate more resources to fuel the economy. For this the tax to GDP ratio must be improved and
non-tax revenues increased. The decline in fiscal deficit from 5.7 per cent of GDP in 2011-12 to 4.8 per cent in 2012-13 and 4.5 per cent in 2013-14 was mainly achieved
by reduction in expenditure rather than by way of realization of higher revenue.
ROAD MAP FOR FISCAL CONSOLIDATION: Following targets have been stipulated:
2014 -15
4.1%
2016 -17
3.6%
2016 -17
3.0%
The current year target is challenging especially in view of the situation in the middle-east which continues to be volatile and also monsoon this year appears more
unpredictable.
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT (CAD):
TURN-AROUND IN CAD: Although, the external sector witnessed a turn-around with the year ending with a Current Account Deficit of 1.7 per cent of the GDP against 4.7
per cent in 2012-13, this was mainly achieved through restriction on non-essential imports and slowdown in overall aggregate demand.
SECTORAL ANALYSIS:
AGRICULTURE:
CONTRIBUTES NEARLY 1/6TH TO GDP: Farming as an activity contributes nearly 1/6th to the countries National GDP and a major portion of our population is
dependent on it for livelihood. It has risen to the challenge of making India largely self-sufficient in providing food for a growing population.
GROWTH TARGET OF 4%: As per the Budget, the Govt. is committed to sustaining a growth of 4% in Agriculture and for technology driven second green revolution with
focus on higher productivity.
AGRICULTURE CREDIT: Banks are providing strong credit support to the agriculture sector. A target of Rs.8 lakh crore has been set for agriculture credit during 201415.
INTEREST SUBVENTION SCHEME: Under the Interest Subvention Scheme for short term crop loans, the banks are extending loans to farmers at a concessional rate of
7%. The farmers get a further incentive of 3% for timely repayment. The Budget proposes to continue the Scheme in 2014-15.
RIDF: NABARD operates the Rural Infrastructure Development Fund (RIDF), out of the priority sector lending shortfall of the banks, which helps in creation of
infrastructure in agriculture and rural sectors across the country. The Budget proposes to raise the corpus of RIDF by an additional Rs.5,000 crores from the target given
in Interim Budget to Rs.25,000 crores in the current financial year.
ACTION PLAN & INITIATIVES
AGRICULTURE: To make farming competitive and profitable, the Budget has highlighted need to step up investment, both public & private, in agro-technology development
& creation and modernization of existing agri-business infrastructure.
Agricultural Research Institutions: Government will establish two more
Agricultural Research Institutions in Assam and Jharkhand on pattern of Agriculture Research Institute, Pusa. Rs.100 cr has been set aside for this.
Agri-Tech Infrastructure Fund: An amount of Rs. 100 crores is being set aside for setting up an "Agri-Tech Infrastructure Fund".
Agriculture Universities: Propose to establish Agriculture Universities in Andhra Pradesh and Rajasthan and Horticulture Universities in Telangana and Haryana. An
initial sum of Rs. 200 crores has been allocated for this purpose.
Soil Health Card: To provide to every farmer a soil health card in a Mission mode. For this 100 Mobile Soil Testing Laboratories will be set up.
National Adaptation Fund: Agriculture as an activity is most prone to the vagaries of climate change. To meet this challenge, the budget proposes "National Adaptation
Fund" for which Rs. 100 crore has been earmarked.
Bhoomi Heen Kisan: As a very large number of landless farmers are unable to provide land title as guarantee, institutional finance is denied to them and they become
vulnerable to money lenders' usurious lending. The budget proposes to provide finance to 5 lakh joint farming groups of Bhoomi Heen Kisan through
a)
b)
c)
FINANCIAL SECTOR:
BANK CAPITALIZATION: To be in line with Basel-III norms there is a requirement to infuse Rs. 2,40,000 crore as equity by 2018. While preserving the public ownership,
the capital of these banks will be raised by increasing the shareholding of the people in a phased manner through the sale of shares largely through retail to common
citizens of this country.
CAPITAL MARKET:
Financial sector is at the heart of the growth engine. Globalization helps channelize external savings to India to bridge the resource gap but also renders the financial
sector vulnerable to the vagaries of the global economy. Therefore it is essential to strengthen and modernize the legislative regulatory framework. Some of the important
recommendations of the Financial Sector Legislative Reforms Commission are:
a)Advise financial sector regulators to take early steps for a vibrant, deep and liquid corporate bond market and deepen the currency derivatives market by eliminating
unnecessary restrictions.
b)Extend a liberalized facility of 5% withholding tax to all bonds issued by Indian corporate abroad for all sectors and extend the validity of the scheme to 30-6-2017.
c)Liberalize the ADR/GDR regime to allow issuance of depository receipts on all permissible securities.
d)Allow international settlement of Indian debt securities.
e)Completely revamp the Indian Depository Receipt (IDR) and introduce a much more liberal and ambitious Bharat Depository Receipt (BhDR).
f) Clarify the tax treatment on income of foreign fund whose fund managers are located in India to resolve a long-standing problem.
Single Demat A/c: Introduce one single operating demat account so that Indian financial sector consumers can access and transact all financial assets through this
one account.
WD&RA: As part of strengthening the regulatory framework for commodity markets, the Warehouse Development and Regulatory Authority (WD&RA) has begun a
transformation plan to invigorate the warehousing sector and significantly improve post-harvest lending to farmers against negotiable warehouse receipts.
International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS): The budget proposes for adoption of the new Indian Accounting Standards (Ind AS) by the Indian companies
from the financial year 2015-16 voluntarily and from the financial year 2016-17 on a mandatory basis. Based on the international consensus, the regulators will separately
notify the date of implementation of AS Ind for the Banks, Insurance companies etc.
BANKING
Consolidation of Public Sector Banks: There have been suggestions for consolidation of Public Sector Banks. Government, in principle, agrees to consider these
suggestions.
Financial Inclusion Mission: To provide all households in the country with banking services, particularly focus to empower the weaker sections of the society,
including women, small and marginal farmers and labourers. Two bank accounts in each household are proposed to be opened which will also be eligible for credit.
Minimum Regulatory pre-emption such as CRR, SLR and Priority Sector Lending: Long term financing for infrastructure has been a major constraint in encouraging
larger private sector participation in this sector. On the asset side, banks will be encouraged to extend long term loans to infrastructure sector with flexible structuring to
absorb potential adverse contingencies, sometimes known as the 5/25 structure. On the liability side, banks will be permitted to raise long term. funds for lending to
infrastructure sector with minimum regulatory pre- emption such as CRR, SLR and Priority Sector Lending.
After making suitable changes to current framework, a structure will be put in place for continuous authorization of universal banks in the private sector in the current
financial year. RBI will create a framework for licensing small banks and other differentiated banks.
In view of rising Non Performing Assets of Public Sector Banks, six new Debt Recovery Tribunals would be set up at Chandigarh, Bengaluru, Ernakulum, Dehradun,
Siliguri and Hyderabad.
INSURANCE SECTOR: Both insurance penetration and density are very low. Govt. proposes to multi-pronged action which would include suitable incentives, using
banking correspondents, strengthening micro-offices opened by public sector insurance, legislative initiatives to bridge the regulatory gap under the Prize Chits and
Money Circulation Scheme (Banning) Act, 1978. This step is expected to facilitate effective regulation of companies and entities which have duped a large number of poor
and vulnerable people in this country.
SMALL SAVINGS: To address the concerns of decline in savings rate and improving returns for small savers, the budget propose to revitalize small savings. A special
small savings instrument to cater to the requirements of educating and marriage of the Girl Child will be introduced. A National Savings Certificate with insurance cover will
also be launched. In the PPF Scheme, annual ceiling will be enhanced to Rs.1.5 lakh p.a. from Rs. 1 lakh at present.
ENVIRONMENT:
PSU Capital Expenditure: To give a thrust to investment in the economy, PSUs will also play their part constructively. PSUs will invest through capital investment a total
sum of Rs. 2,47,941 cr in the current financial year to create a virtuous investment cycle. Smart Cities: As the fruits of development reach an increasingly large number of
people, the pace of migration from the rural areas to the cities is increasing. A neo middle class is emerging which has the aspiration of better living standards. Unless,
new cities are developed to accommodate the burgeoning number of people, the existing cities would soon become unlivable. The budget proposes developing 'one
hundred Smart Cities', as satellite towns of larger cities and by modernizing the existing mid-sized cities.
e-Visa: In order to boost to tourism in India, the facility of Electronic Travel Authorization (e-Visa) would be introduced in a phased manner at 9 airports in India where
necessary infrastructure would be put in place within the next 6 months. REITs & InvITs: Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITS) have been successfully used as
instruments for pooling of investment in several countries. The budget proposes to provide necessary incentives for REITS which will have pass through for the purpose of
taxation. As an innovation, a modified REITS type structure for infrastructure projects is also being announced as Infrastructure Investment Trusts (InvITs), which would
have a similar tax efficient pass through status, for PPP and other infrastructure projects.
Kissan Vikas Patra: Kissan Vikas Patra (KVP) was a very popular instrument among small savers. The budget proposes to reintroduce the instrument to encourage
people, who may have banked and unbanked savings to invest in this instrument.
Skill India: A national multi-skill programme called Skill India is proposed to be launched to skill the youth with an emphasis on employability and entrepreneur skills. It
will also provide training and support for traditional professions like welders, carpenters, cobblers, masons, blacksmiths, weavers etc.
BUDGET TERMS
BUDGET: It is the Annual Financial Statement by the Finance Ministry in accordance with provisions of Article 112 of the Indian Constitution, giving details of proposed govt expenditure and how money will be
raised. *CENTRAL PLAN: It consists of the Governments budget support to the Plan and the internal and extra budgetary resources raised by public enterprises.
Plan Expenditure: It includes both revenue and capital expenditure of the government on the Central Plan, Central assistance to States and Union Territory plans.
Non-Plan Expenditure: It includes both revenue and capital expenditure on interest payments, the entire defence expenditure (both revenue and capital expenditure), subsidies, postal deficit, policy, pensions,
economic services, loans to public enterprises and loans as well as grants to State Govt., UT and foreign Govt.
BUDGET IS DIVIDED IN TO TWO PARTS: CAPITAL AND REVENUE:
CAPITAL BUDGET: It consists of capital receipts and payments. It also incorporates transactions in the Public Account. It has two components: Capital Receipt and Capital Expenditure.
Capital Receipt: Include loans raised by the government from public which are called market loans, borrowings from the RBI and other parties through sale of Treasury Bills, loans received from foreign
governments, recoveries of loans granted by Centre to State and UT governments and other parties.
Capital Expenditure: Payments for acquisition of assets like land, buildings, machinery, equipment, as also investments in shares etc, and loans by the Centre to States, Govt. companies, corporations and
other parties. *REVENUE BUDGET: Revenue receipts of the government (tax revenues plus other revenues) and the expenditure met from these revenues. It has two components: Revenue Receipt and
Revenue Expenditure. Revenue Receipt: It includes proceeds of taxes and other duties levied by the Centre, interest and dividend on investments made by the Govt. fees and other receipts for services
rendered by the government.
Revenue Expenditure: It is meant for the normal running of government departments and various services, interest charges on debt incurred by the government and subsidies. Broadly speaking, expenditure
which does not result in creation of assets is treated as revenue expenditure. All grants given to State Govt. and other parties are also treated as revenue expenditure even though some of the grants may be for
creation of assets.
* STEPS IN BUDGET PRESENTATION:
Budget Speech: It is the first step in presentation of budget. The Speech is presented every year by the Finance Minister in the Lok Sabha, usually on last working day of February.
Expenditure Budget: Contains expenditure estimates made for a scheme or programme under both revenue and capital heads.
Finance Bill: This contains the governments proposals for levy of new taxes, modification of the existing taxstructure or continuance of the existing taxstructure beyond the period approved by Parliament.
Demands for Grants: It is a statement of estimates of expenditure from the Consolidated Fund and is required to be voted by the Lok Sabha. Generally, one Demand for Grant is presented by each
Ministry. Appropriation Bill: It is presented to Parliament for its approval, so that the government can withdraw from the Consolidated Fund the amounts required for meeting the expenditure charged on
the Consolidated Fund. No amount can be withdrawn from the Consolidated Fund till the Appropriation Bill is voted and enacted.
*TYPES OF DEFICIT: Excess of Expenditure over Receipts is known as Deficit.
Budgetary Deficit: It is the excess of total expenditure over total receipts.
Capital Deficit: It refers to the excess of capital expenditure over capital receipts.
Revenue Deficit: It refers to the excess of revenue expenditure over revenue receipts.
Fiscal Deficit: It is the difference between the revenue receipts plus certain non-debt capital receipts and the total expenditure including loans (net of repayments). This indicates the total borrowing
requirements of the government from all sources.
Primary Deficit: It is the difference between fiscal deficit and interest payments.
Monetised Deficit: It indicates the level of support extended by the RBI to the Govts borrowing programme.
VARIOUS GOVT ACCOUNTS:
Consolidated Fund: It is made up of all revenues received by the government, loans raised by it, and also its receipts from recoveries of loans granted by it. All expenditure of the government is incurred from the
Consolidated Fund and no amount can be withdrawn from the Fund without authorisation from Parliament.
Public Account: It is an account in which money received through transactions not relating to the Consolidated Fund is kept. Besides the normal receipts and expenditure of the government relating to the
Consolidated Fund, certain other transactions enter government accounts in respect of which the government acts more as a banker, for example, transactions relating to provident funds, small savings
collections, other deposits etc. Such money is kept in the Public Account and the connected disbursements.
Contingency Fund: It is an imprest placed at the disposal of the President and is used by the government to incur all its urgent and unforeseen expenditure. Parliamentary approval for such expenditure and for
withdrawal of an equivalent amount from the Consolidated Fund is subsequently obtained and the amount spent from the ContingencyFund is recouped to the Fund.
a)
b)
c)
d)
a) Extension of demand
b) Increase of demand
c) Contraction of demand
d) Decrease of demand.
73) Other things being equal a decrease in demand can be caused by:
a) A rise in the price of the commodity
b) A rise in the income of the consumer
c) A fall in the price of the commodity
d) A fall in the income of the consumer
74) An increase in demand can result from:
a) A decline in market price
b) An increase in income
c) A reduction in the price of substitutes
d) An increase in the price of complementary goods
e) All the above
75) Which of the following circumstances would be likoly to bring about a change in the demand schedule for a product?
a) A fall in the price of the product
b) An increase in the number of potential consumers
c) A new method of producing the product
d) An increase in the quantity produced.
e) Both a &b
76) If the price of good A affects the demand for good B, then:
a) A is a substitute for B
b) B is complement of A
c) Changes in the price of A will cause movement along the demand schedule for A
d) Changes in the price of B will not change the demand for A.
e) Changes in the price of A will shift or change the demand for B.
77) Cross demand is the change in the quantity demanded of a given commodity in response to the:
a) Change in the utility of another commodity
b) Change in the price of another commodity
c) Change in the nature of another commodity
d) Change in the size of another commodity.
78) The law of demand states that:
a)
Demand increases with increase in income
b)
When income and prices rise. the demand also rises
c)
When income and prices rise. the demand also rises
d)
When price increases, demand increases
79) A consumer's equilibrium choice or position is one at which:
a)
His savings are maximised
b)
His assets are maximised
c)
His satisfaction is maximum
d)
Price of goods is maximised
80) For most consumers, milk and tea are substitute goods. Ther-fore, we should expect a rise in price of milk to lead to:
a) A rightward shift in the supply curve of tea.
la) A leftward shift in the supply curve of tea.
c)
A fall in the price of tea.
d)
An upward shift in the demand curve for tea.
81) Other things being equal, a fall I contraction in demand can be caused by a:
a)
Rise in prices of the substitute
a)
Rise in prices of the substitute
b)
Rise in prices of the substitute
c)
Rise in the income of the consumer
d)
Rise in the price of the commodity
82) The demand for a good is elastic if:
a) The demand for that good increases when price falls
b) A decrease in price results in a decrease in total expenditure
c) The quantity demanded increases less than proportionately with the decrease in price level
83) A rightwards shifts in supply schedule indicates:
a)
A decrease in Supply
b)
A decrease in quantity supply
c)An increase in quantity supply
d)
An increase in supply.
84) A rightwards shift in supply curve indicates:
a) A decrease in supply
b) An increase in quantity supplied
c) An increase in supply
d) None of the above
85) A supply curve will generally take an upwardsslopin9 form left to right because:
a) Market price is normally above total costs of production.
b)
Consumers' income tend to increase in the long period.
c) Producers' costs tend 'to increase as their output expands
d) Supply of most goods is essentially a short-term phenomenon.
86) Other things being equal an increase in supply can cause by:
a) A rise in the price of the commodity
b) An improvement in the techniques of production
c) A rise in the income of the consumer
d) An increase in the income of the seller.
87) The shift of the supply curve for a commodity to the left may indicate, other things being equal, that:
a) Shares in the producing firms are in great demand on the Stock Exchange.
b) Producers of the commodity wish to make and sell less at same price.
c) Prices raw materials used in the production of the
commodity have fallen.
d) Wages paid to the producers' employees have fallen.
88) Ceteris paribus, a decrease in quantity supplied of a commodity can be caused by:
a) A fall in its price
b) Fall in income
c) Rise in price
d) Fall in raw material
89) The supply schedule for a commodity is usually assumed to be directly open to influence by all the following except:
a)
The quantity demanded
b)
The prices of the factors of production
c)
The costs of production
d)
The prices of other goods
90) Which of the following could explain why the supply curve for a commodity slopes downwards?
a) Producers do not like increasing production.
b) Producers have to lower price to induce consumers to buy more
c) Costs fall as production increases
d) Diminishing marginal utility is in operation
91) "Free Trade Area" denotes:
a) Pitlicy of Laissez faire
b) A group of countries which have decided to impose no duties of any kind on imports from other members of the group
c) Free Exports & Imports
d) All the above
92) Temporary control of inflation can be effected by:
a) Lowering Bank Rate
b) Purchasing of securities by RBI
c) Restraint on the growth of money supply
d) None of these
93) The term "hyper-inflation" is used to denote:
a)
b)
c)
d)
Creeping inflation
Step by step inflation
A "Runaway" or "galloping" inflationary situation where the monetary unit becomes almost worthless
None of these
. 94) In calculating a country's GNP at market prices one of the following is not included:
a) Depreciation
b) Net factor income from abroad
c) Net indirect taxes
d) Transfer Payment
95) Indian Economy can be best described as:
a) Developed economy
b) Undeveloped economy
c) Developing economy
d) Underdeveloped
96) The term "balance of trade" means:
a) Difference between exports & imports
b) Net Exports including merchandise
c) The difference between the cost of the imports and exports of a country.
d) a and c
97) The open market operations refer to the sale and purchase by the RBI of:
a) Foreign exchange
b) Gold
c) Government securities
d) All c' the above
98) At full employment level, which of the following would be most likely to lead to inflation?
a) A fall in taxation with no changes in gevemment expenditure
b) An increase in productivity without any increase in wages
c) A fall in investment with no change in prosperity to consumer
d) A rise in the prosperity to save with no change in investment
99) Deflation is:
a) Deficit budget
b) Reduction in taxation
c) Contraction in volume of money or credit that results in a decline of price level
d) Increase in public expenditure
100) Bank rate means:
a) Interest rate charged by moneylenders,
b) Interest rate charged by the scheduled banks
c) Rate of profit of the banking institution
d) The official rate of interest charged by the central bank of the country
TEST PRACTICE 1
1
10
12 B
13 A
14
15
16 C
17 C
18 B
19
20
21 C
22 C
23 A
24
25
26 A
27 B
28 B
29
30
32 D
33 B
34
35
36 B
37 A
38 D
39
40
41 B
42 B
43 D
44
45
46 C
47 B
48
49
50
51 D
52 A
53 A
54
55
56 D
57 C
58 D
59
60
61 C
62 D
63
64
65
66 C
67 B
68 D
69
70
72 B
73 D
74
76 E
77 B
78 C
81 D
82 C
83 D
86 D
87 B
88
91 B
92 C
96 D
97 D
7 A
11 B
31
71
D
C
C
75 E
79
80 D
84
85 C
89
90 C
93
94
95 C
98
99
100 D
TEST PRACTICE 02
1) In the Keynes model above, which is independent:
,..4) Investment
b) Consumption
c) National income d) Consumption and investment
2) How many motives for demanding money has been given by Keynes:
a) 1
b) 2
c) 3
d) 4
3) Recession is associated with fall in:
a) Demand
b) Supply
c) Disinvestment
d) Investment
4) Devaluation means:
a) Fall in Marginal utility of Money
b) Fall in printing of currency
c) Risk in black money
d) Fall in the value of money in terms of foreign currency
5) Acute inflationary situation:
a) Makes savings in the form of bank deposits less attractive
h) Makes savings more attractive
c)
Arises due to liquidity trap
d)
All the above
6) Inflation means:
a) Increase in price b) Decrease in value of money
c) Boom
d) All of the above
7) The problem of unemployment in rural areas is mainly due to:
a)
Seasonal and under employment
b)
Frictional unemployment
c)
Structural unemployment
d\ Technical Lriernpleyrnent
8) NNP for a given year can be defined as:
a)
Market value of final goods only
b)
The market value of all final goods and services
c)
The market value of all final services only
d)
None of the above
9) LiqUidity preference is the term, which is used to refer to:
a) The Reserve Bank of India's shareholdings in other financial institutions
b) The extent to which investors prefer to keep their assets in money
c) The community's preference for a gold-backed currency
d) An inducement to save.
10) Which of the following are among the major determinants of the interest rate in the Keynesian theory?
a) People's desire to hold money and to keep their wealth in liquid form
b) The available stock of money
c) The intensity of speculation on the stock exchange
d) The value of gold and silver on the world's markets
11) The famous book written by J.M. Keynes is entitled:
a)
Principles of Economics
b) Law of Markets
c)
The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money d)None of the above.
12) To's layman, investment means putting his money in a financial asset like bonds, fixed deposit etc. What does it mean to an economist:
a) Purchase of machines
b) Stock of durable goods
c)
Purchase of real capital assets
d) All of the above
13) The liquidity preference arises due to:
a) Transaction Motive
b) Precautionary Motive
c) Speculative Motive
d) All of these
14) Liquidity trap is likely to result when:
a) Rate of Interest at its lowest
b) Rate of Interest at its highest
c) No change in supply of money
d) When an increase in the supply of money fails to reduce the rate of interest
15) Which theory is called the Neo-Classical theory of rate of interest?
a) Risk Theory
b) Liquidity Preference Theory
c) a and b
d) Loanable Funds Theory.
16) The agency estimating the National Income of India is:
a) Reserve Bank of India
b) Planning Commission
c) Ministry of Finance
d) Central Statistical Organisation
17) The goals of monetary policy do not include
a) Maximum output b) Full ernploymeot
c) Price stability
,d) Maximum tax revenue
18) Gross National Product (GNP) is:
a) The total output of goods and services produced by the country's economy
b) The total domestic and foreign output claimed by residents of the country
c) The sum of gross domestic product and investment
d) National income minus national expenditure
19) If an economy is in equilibrium at the point where plans to save and to invest are equal, then government expenditure must be:
a) Curtailed
b) Equal to government income
c) Increased
d) None of the above
20) Which of the following is correct regarding the gross domestic savings in India?
a) Contribution of corporate sector is largest
b) Contribution of government sector is the largest
c) Contribution of household sector is the largest
d) None of these
21) NNP (Net National Product) or National Income is the money value of
a) Final goods and services produced annually in the economy
b) Annual service generation in the .00nomy
c) Tangible goods produced annually in the economy
d) Tangible goods available in the economy
22) Which of the following is included in the calculation of gross domestic product?
a) Personal consumption expenditure
b) Gross domestic investment
c) Purchase by the government
d) All of the above
23) Gross National Product is greater than gross domestic product when:
a) NFI (from abroad) > 0 b) NFI < 0
c) NFI = 0
d) NFI = -1
24) Which of the following is deducted from gross national product in order to estimate net national product?
a)
Depreciation
b)
compensation of employees
c)
expenditure on buildings
d)
expenditure on raw material
25) Changes in the standard of living in a country are best reflected in changes in the:
a)
Social Welfare
b)
Economic Welfare
c)
Per capita income at current prices
d)
Per capital income at constant prices
26) Whicl: is the primary indicator to recognise a country's rate of economic growth?
a)
Increase inter per capita income
b)
Setting of more industries
c)
Rate of growth in national income
d)
More exports
27) National Income is based on:
a)
Total Production x prices
b)
Rent + wages + Interest ,+ Profit
c)
Domestic Income + NFI
d)
The sum of all factor incomes
e)
All the above
28) Net National Production excludes:
a)
Gross Investment
b)
Net investment
c)
Foreign Investment
d)
Replacement investment
29) Here are four statements about various national income / expenditure I product relationships. Which one of the following is true:
a)
GNP less NIT = NNP
b)
GNP less NFI = NNP
c)
GNP plus depreciation = NNP
d)
GNP less depreciation allowances = NNP
30) The term GDP incorporates the economic activity:
a) Taking place within the geographical boundary of the country
b) Within the land territorial
c)Within water territorial
d) Within air space
31) The term "Hindu rate of growth" refers to the 3.5% per annum growth rate achieved by the Indian economy over the first six Five-Year Plans. The
term was coined by
a) Chakravaty b) J.N. Bhagwati c) Raj Krishna
d) K.N. Raj
32) Essential services owned and controlled by government is called:
a) Public monopoly b) Public utility c) Public Sector
d) All of the above
33)
c)
d)
a)
b)
c)
d)
d) Deflation
36) Which Plan recommended Zero-Based Budgeting (ZBB) as a step to control public expenditure? a) Fifth Plan
b) Sixth Plan
c) Seventh Plan
d) Eighth plan
37) All revenues received, loans raised and money received in repayment of loans by the Union Government go into.
a) Public Account of India
b) Contingency Fund in India
c) Consolidated fund in India
d) none of the above
38) Which one of the following is not directly the concern of the economist?
.a) Choices relating to location of a steel plant
b) Bargaining between the workers' unions and the employers
c) Effects of a change in money supply.
d) Imposition of tax to discourage cigarette smoking
39) Customs duties, export duties, corporation taxes, taxes on capital value of assets (excluding agricultural land of individuals and companies) ate:
a) Taxes and duties levied by the Centre but wholly appropriated by the States
b) Taxes and duties levied by the Centre but collected by the States
c) Taxes and duties that accrue wholly to the Union Government
d) Taxes levied and collected by the Union but which are shared with the States.
40) "Funded debt" means:
a) All Government securities which are marketable on the stock exchange market
b) All private securities
c) Shares of Companies
d) KisanVikasPatras
41) "Annual Financial Statement" is another name of:
a) Balance of payment
b) Fiscal Budget
,c) Budget
d) Debt & Credit
42) "Multi-Currency Basket" means:
a) Relationship with world bank
b) Currency + coins
c) Number of major international currencies to which the external value of the Indian rupee is linked
d) None of the above
43) Which of the following is not a seiective credit control measure?
a) Rationalizing of Credit
b) Open market observations
c) Changes in the statutory liquidity ratio
d) a and c
44) Public finance is said to be:
a) Science of taxes and pending
b) Science of demand and supply of money
c) Science of money and cost
d) Science of income and expenditure
45) One of the distinctions between public finance and private finance is that:
a) The State adjusts "income to expenditure' while an individual adjusts "expenditure to income"
b) The State maximizes the general welfare of the public while an individual maximizes his own satisfaction
c)
The State has no coercive powers while the individual has
d) The State cannot borrow money while the individual can get loans
46) A tax takes away a higher proportion of one's income rise is termed is:
a) Proportional Tax b) Indirect Tax
c) Regressive Tax
d) Progressive Tax
47) Corporate tax is imposed by: a) Local Government b) Central Government
State Government
Both Central and State Government
48) Which of the following are direct taxes?
a) Gift tax
b) Income tax
c) Corporation tax d) All of the above
49) From the following, which is not a direct tax?
a) Tax on wealth
b) Tax on entertainment
c) Tax income
d) Tax on expenditure
50) An Direct tax is one where:
Tax is levied always on property
Points of impact and incidence are different
Tax is levied on wealth
Points of impact and incidence are the same
51) The name of Indirect tax is:
a) Income tax
b) Sale tax
c) Corporate tax
a) Wealth tax
52) A regressive tax will tend to redistribute income more:
a) Equally
b) Equitably
c) Unequally
d) Inequitably
53) Which of the following does not grant any tax rebate?
a)
b)
c)
d)
a)
b)
c)
d)
a) Indira VikasPatra
b) Public Provident Fund
c) National Saving Scheme d) National SavingCertificate
54) The Indian Income tax is:
a) Direct and progressive u, , id re arid oevu;essive
c) Indirect and proportional d) Direct and proportional
55) Temporary tax levied to obtain additional revenue is called:
a) Fee b) Surcharge c) Cess
d) Rate
56) Which of the following taxes is/are levied by the Central Govt. and collected appropriated by the States?
a) Estate Duty
b) Stamp Duties
c) Passenger and goods tax
d) Taxes on Newspaper
57) Taxes raised are credited into:
a) Consolidated Fund
b) Public Accounts
c) Contingency Accounts
,
d) Private Accounts
58) Generally tax on production are:
a) Indirect taxes
b) Both A and B
c) Direct taxes
d) None of the above
59) Tax on incomes is:
a) Indirect
b) Both A and B
c) Direct
d) None of the above
60) Which of the following taxes is levied on services?
a) Personal tax
b) Value added tax
c) Capital gains tax
d) Corporate tax
61) Income tax is raised by:
a) Local Government b) Central Government
c) Municipality
d) State Government
62) Sales tax is levied by:
a) Local government b) State government
c) Central government d) None of the above
63) Union Excise Duties are a part of Central Government's:
a) Tax revenue
b) Capital receipts
c) Non-tax revenue d) None of the above
64) All taxes come under:
a) Capital receipts
b) Revenue receipts
c) Public debt
d) Both A and C
65) In India, the States gets maximum income from:
a) Sales tax
b) State Excise duties
c) Land Revenue
d) Agricultural Income tax
66) Progressive tax in India is:
a) Income tax
b) Wealth tax
c) Corporate tax
d) Sales tax
67) Which of the following is a direct tax?
a) Sales tax
b) Entertainment tax
c) Excise duty
d) Estate duty
68) Which of the most important source of revenue to the State Government of India ?
Land Revenue
Agriculture Income-tax
State excise duties
Sales tax
69) A budget is the summary of:
Proper allocation of resources
Income reallocation
Resource reallocation
Revenue and expenditure
70) The budget deficit refers to the difference between all-revenue and expenditure of:
a) Revenue account only
b) Increased government expenditure
c) Capital account only
d) Both revenue and capital accounts
71) Borrowing from capital market is a part of:
a) Revenue budget b) Capital budget
c) Both a and b
d) None of these
72) Revenue deficit in India is:
a) Negative
b) Positive
c) Zero
d) None of 'he above
73) Capital deficit in India, is:
a) Positive
b) Zer .3
c) Negative
d) None of the above
74) Funds, which do not belong to the government, are?
a) Consolidated fund b) Contingency fund
c) Public accounts
d) None of the above
75) Which budget in India is passed separately?
a) Airlines
b) Railways
c) Defence
d) Atomic energy
76) Which one of the following cannot be influenced by budgetary policy?
a) Power of private monopolies
b) Balance of trade
c) General level of prices
d) Regional distribution of employment
77) Which budget is measured in financial terms only?
a) Dominance budget
b) Programme performance budget
c) Zero-base budget
d) Central budget
78) Deficit Financing means:
a) Government spends in excess of revenue and capital receipt to that budget deficit in incurred which is financed by borrowing from the RBI.
h) niffpropra of total expenditureincome anti.. income
by revenue from all sources.
c) Difference in borrowing an internal and external resources
d) Capital expenditure on items of public construction, public enterprises and public borrowings.
79) The need for deficit financing in India arises due:
a) Failure of the government to mobilize the desired volume of surplus for the public sector plans.
b) The rapidly growing expenditure incurred by the government
c) Neither A nor B.
' d) Both A and B
80) Deficit financing leads to:
a) Inflation
b) Capital formation
c) Neither A nor B d) Both A and B
81) Deficit financing means:
a) Difference in borrowing and internal and external resources
b) Capital expenditure on items of public construction, public enterprises and public borrowings
c) Government spends in excess of revenue and capital receipts so that budget deficit is incurred which is financed by borrowing from the RBI.
d) Difference of total expenditure and income by revenue from all sources
82) The effect of deficit financing is:
a) Never inflationary
b) Always inflationary
c) Sometimes inflationary and sometimes not so depending cn conditions of the economy and the dose of deficit financing.
d) None of these
83) The direct effect of deficit financing is:
a) Deficit financing leads to extra money supply which in turn pushes up prices
b)
4 D
5 A
10 C
.
11
C 12
13 D
14
15 D
16
D 17
18 B
19
20 C
21
A 22
23 A
24
25 D
26
C 27
28 D
29
30 A
31
C 32
33 C
34
35 B
36
C 37
C
..
38 A
39
40 A
.
41
C 42
C 43
44
45 A
46
D 47
B 48
49
50 B
.
52
C 53
54
55 B
1
6
51
A 2
B
A 58
59
60
63
64
65 A
A 67
68
69
70 D
71
B 72
73
74
75 B
76
A 77
78
79
80 D
81
C 82
83
84
85
86
A 87
88
89
90
91
A 92
93
94
95
96
.
C 97
- -
C
-
98
99
100 B
56
A 57
61
B 62
66
If internal rate of return (i.e. acceptable discount rate at which net present value is zero) is greater than the opportunity cost of capital, the
investment can be made.
Ibbotson and Sinquefield's Study:
Ibbotson and Sinquefield conducted a study of returns on investment in bonds and stock between the period 1926 - 1992. It was found
that average return on stocks was 12.4%, on treasury bonds 5.2%, on treasury bills 3.6%. If investment is made in these 3 instruments at
above rates of return, with a time horizon of 40 years, the future value of investment at 12.4% in stock will be 12 times more than
investment in treasury bonds at 5.2%
at 12.4% in stock will be 25 times more than investment in treasury bills at 3.6% This snows that if the time horizon is longer, the gap between
the return will be greater.
Conversion of nominal cash flows of future period, to real cash flows. Real cash flow = (Nominal cash flow) / (1+ inflation rate) If the inflation
rate is lo% per annum and an investor expects Rs.io lac, what will be his real cash flow. Real cash flow = (Nominal cash flow) / (1+ inflation
rate) io,00,000 / 1+1o% = 10 lac / 1.10 = Rs. 909091
Calculation of future value of a present (simple) cash flow: This can be done by way of compounding by using the formula
CF o (1+0 where (1 = at the end of period 0 (CF o = present cash flow) and ( r = rate of discount)
Example : X deposited Rs.i0000 with bank at 10% rate of interest for 2 years. What is the future value (maturity value) of this amount: =
10000 (1+10)2 = 10000 x 1.10 x 1.10 = 12100
Rule of 72
By using this method, we can find out as to, in how much period (appx), an amount will become double at a particular interest rate. If 72 is
divided by the interest rate, the resultant product, is the time period during which the amount will be doubled. For example if the
interest rate is 8%, the amount will double in 9 years.
Concept of effective rate of interest
It is the actual rate of interest that takes into account the compounding effect of interim interest payment, if any. At more frequent
compounding, the effective rate of interest would be more.
Determination of effective rate of interest It can be done by using the following formula:
(1+ given annual RoI /N )n - 1 (where N = no. of compounding periods. Say42= months).
Where the annual interest rate is 20%, what will be effective rate, where the compounding is on half-yearly (semi-annual) basis.
(1+ 'given annual Rol /N )n - 1
(1.10 2 - 1) = 1.21 1.00 = 21%
Effective rates for various compounding frequencies for 10% RoI:
Where compounding frequency is annual Effective Rol = 0.10 = 10% Where the compounding frequency is semi annual: Effective Rol = (1
+ 10/2) 2 - 1) = 10.25% Where the compounding frequency is monthly : Effective RoI = (1 + 10/12) 12 -1) = 10.47% Where the
compounding frequency is daily : Effective Rol = (i + 10/365)35 - 1) = 10.5156% Where the compounding frequency is on continuous
basis: Effective Rol = e,1 - 1) = 10.5171% Continuous compounding & calculation of effectiveinterest rate :It can be computed as = exp r
- 1 (where 'exp' means exponential number and 'r' means given interest rate).
Impact of frequency of compounding on effective rate of interest:
Effective rate increases and present value of future cash flows decreases if compounding is more frequent. ANNUITYIt is a constant cash
flow, accruing at regular intervals of time, for a pre-fixed period.It can occur at the beginning of each period (called annuity due) or at the
end of each period (called ordinary annuity)
Present value of amend-of-the period annuity (Ordinary ann ty):
= PV (A,r,n) = A fi-(1/ (1+r) n) r
(Alternative formulae : PV = A / r [{(1+r)n -1} / (1+r)n j
(A = annuity r=discount rate n=no. of years.
Example-1: Calculate the PV of Rs.9000 each year for 5 year/5 where R41$12%.
= PV (A,r,n) = A {1-(1/ (i+r) n r
\ C) 'k
= 9000 {141/ (1+12)s) / 0.12 = 32442.98
Example-2 : X deposits Rs.i000 at end of each year for 4 y ars at io rate of Hite t. is the present value of the amount, +.1D be deposited:
= A + A/r [1-1/(i+r) n-i /(i+r) = moo+ 1000 / 0.1 [1-1/(1+0.10)4-1] / (Li) = 1000+ moo / 0.1 [1-1/(1.331)] (1.1) = woo+ moo / 0.1 [1-0.7513)]
(1.1) = 1000+ 10000 [0.2487] (1.1) = woo + 2487 = 3487 (Li) = 317
Future value of an end-of-the period annuity (Ordinary annuity):
= FV (A,r,n) = A {(i+r)n -1} r
(Alternative formulae : FV = A / r {(1+1)n --1} (A = annuity r=discount rate n=uo. of years.
Example - Z deposits Rs.i0000 annually for next 5 years. At 10% rate of interest, what will he be getting?
= A [ (1 +r) n - 1] / r = 10000 [ (1 +0.10) 5 / 0.10]
= 10000 [1.61051-1/ 0.10] = 10000 [0.61051 / 0.10] = Rs.61051
Present value of beginning-of-a-period annuity (Annuity due) over n years : = A + A/r {[1-1(i+r)ni] (A= cash flow per period or annuity, r= rate of interest, n= no. of payments)
Example : X deposits Rs.i000 at beginning of each year for 4 years at 10% rate of interest. What is the present value of the amount, to be
deposited:
= A + A/r [1-1/(t+r) n -1] = 1000+ 1000 / 0.1 [1-1/(1+0.10) 4-1 ]
= 1000+ 1000 / 0.1 [1-1/(1.331) = 1000+ 1000 / 0.1 [1-0.7513)]
= 1000+ 10000 [0.2487] = 1000 + 2487 = 3487
Future value of beginning-of-a-period annuity (Annuity due):
= C {[(i+r) n -1]
r } x (i+r) OR A / r [(i+r) {(1+r)n-1)11
Example - Z wants to deposit Rs.10000 in a recurring deposit account for 3 years in the
beginning of the year. At io% p.a., how much will he be getting? =A/r{(1+r)[(i+r)n-i]}
10000/0.10 +0.0 [(1 +0.1) 3 = 10000 / 0.10 [(1 +0.1) (1.331) - 1]
= 10000 / 0.10 [1.1 x .331] = 10000 / 0.10 x 0.3641 = Rs.36410
Calculation of Annuity given future value : = A(FV,r,n) = FV{r / (i+r)n - 1} Z wants to
receive Rs.61051 and wants to deposit an equal amount for 5 years at 10% p.a.. How
much should deposit regularly?
= 61051{0.10 / (i+0.10)5- 1}
= 61051{0.10 / (1.61051)- 1}
Compiled by Mr. Sanjay Kumar Trivedy, Sr. Mgr., RSTC, mumbai
25
2.Sampling Methods
Population means an aggregate of items to be studied for an investigation. Population may be finite or infinite. Finite population means
limited no. of items say 14 banks, roo branches. Infinite population means unlimited items bank customers, bank borrowers etc. Sample on
the other hand mearis that part of the population (or universe) which is selected for the purpose of investigation. The technique of statistical
investigation based on sample data is called sample method.
Census and sampling: In census, the information is obtained from all items but in sampling it is done front limited items. Census is suitable
where the area of investigation is relatively small. There is greater degree of accuracy in census. On the other hand its cost is very high and
cost of sampling is smaller. Verification of information collected under sampling is possible.
Statistics : It is a measure that describes the characteristics of a sample. Parameter : It is the value that describes the characteristic of a
population. Expressing Population & Statistics:
Roman letters in lower case are used for sample statistics and Greek or Capital letter are used to denote population characteristics.
Symbols used for population parameters: Population size = N Population Mean = p Population standard deviation : a
Symbols used for sample statistics:Sample size = n
sample mean = x (called X-Bar)
Sample standard deviation = S
VARIOUS SAMPLING METHODS
There are two methods used in sampling. (1) Random or probability sampling (where any item has the possibility of being selected) and (2)
non-random or judgement sampling (where identification is done on personal knowledge or opinion).
Purposive (deliberate) sampling: it is the method in which the investigator himself makes the choice of the sample items that in his opinion
are best represent the universe (population). (-fence, the items are not left to the chance factor.
Judgement sampling : A method for selection of samples from a population where personal knowledge is used to identify the items for
including in the sample.
Quota sampling : Under this method, the population is divided into different groups or classes according to different characteristics of the
population. Some percentage of different groups in total population is fixed.
Methods of Random Sampling
Selection of elements in systematic sampling : These are selected from the population at a uniform level that is measured in
time, order or space.
Simple random sampling: Where samples are selected by a methOd that permit each possible sample to have an equal probability of
being picked up and each item in the entire population has an equal chance of being included in the sample.
Stratified or mixed sampling: Under this method, sampling is generally adopted when the population consists cidifferent groups with
different characteristics. Population is divided into different partsr(strata) having different characteristics and some of the items are selected
each strata, to ensure proper
representation.
Systematic sampling : As per this method, the units of population are numerically, geographically and alphabetically arranged. Every
nth item of the numbered items is selected as a sample item. If to out of ioo students are to be taken, every loot items would be selected.
Cluster sampling : When population is divided into groups or clusters and selection is made on a random basis out of these clusters. It
can produce a more precise sample at considerably less cost than that of simple random sampling. Those groups which are similar, within a
population. Such groups could have wide internal variation.
Sampling Distribution
Sampling distribution is the distribution of all possible values of a statistic from all possible samples of a particular size drawn from the
population. Any probability distribution (and hence sampling distribution) can be partially described by it means and standard deviation.
Sampling distribution of the mean : It is the probability distribution of all the possible means of samples of a given size say n, from
the population.
Sampling distribution of a statistic : It is probability distribution of all possible means that a statistic may take .Sampling error
It is variation (or error) among sample statistics due to chance, between each sample and the population and among several samples, that are
due the selected elements only.
Sampling fraction: It the proportion (or fraction) of the population in a sample.
Standard error of the mean: The standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the mean.
Compiled by Mr. Sanjay Kumar Trivedy, Sr. Mgr., RSTC, mumbai
26
Central Limit Theorem It is a theory that states that the sampling distribution of the mean approaches normality as the sample size
increases. This is regardless of the shape of population distribution from which the sample is selected.
Example : Distribution of mean of earning of bank tellers with 5 year experience is Rs.19000 and standard deviation of RS.2000. A sample
of 3o tellers is taken. What is the probability, that their earning will average more than Rsag5o0.
First calculate the standard error of the mean:
(j = (a)/ n = 2000 / J30= 2000 / 5.477 = Rs.365.16
When dealing with sampling distribution, it is mandatory to use the equation for Z value and the standard normal probability distribution i.e.z*Xic - ujJ.ctx
Z = (19750 19000) / 365.16 =2.05 Hence, there is 2% chance of the average earning being more than Rs.19750.
Finite population: A population that has a size which is already stated or limited. Infinite population :A popillMion in which it is not possible
to observe all elements
Statistical inference : It is the process of drawing inferences about populations from information available in samples
Relationship between standard error and sample size : If dispersion decreases i.e. if a R becomes smaller, the value taken by the sample
mean tend to cluster more closely around .t. On the other hand if the dispersion increases i.e. if a x becomes larger, the value taken by the
sample mean tend to cluster less closely around 1..t. Inother Words when the standard error decreases, the value of any sample mean
will probably be closer to the valueof the population mean.
Relationship between the standard error and equation: Where n increases, standard error (a $) decreases. In equation, a larger
denominator on the right side would produce smaller (a 5) On the left side.If the population standard deviation (a) is 100 and n = 10 and
in other situation n = 100, what would be standarderror of the mean. (43
= (a )/ 4 n = 100 J 10 = 100/3.162 = 31.63 (Is' case) (o)0. =
nd
(a ) / 4 n = 100 4 100 = 100/10 = 10 (2 case)
Calculation of standard error of finite population : (a = ((a ) / J n) / 4 {(N-n) / (N -1)}
(N = size of population and n = size or sample)
Formula for finite population multiplier. 4 {(N-n) / (N -1)}
1.chere (N = size of population and n = size of sample)
If there ale 20 bank branches having excess staff and there is standard deviation of the distribution of annual turnover of 75 employees. What
would be the standard error of the mean if the sample size is 5 branches..
75/'15 x 4 {20-5) / 20/1)) = 75/45 x 4 15 /19 33.54 x 0.888 = 29.8
(a = ((a ) / 4.n) / 4.{(N-n) / (N -1 )}
Hence, the multiplier 0.888 has reduced the standard error from 33.54 to 29.8 In the above example if the total branches are 1000 and
sample branches 20, what would be finite population
J friltitOON= 41000-20) / 1000 -1)} = 4 4980) / 999)}
= 4 0.981 = 0.99
When from the large population size (N) only a small sample size (n) is taken, the value of finite population multiplier shall be close to 1.0.
Fxample - In a sample of 25 observation from a normal distribution, with mean 98.6% and standard
deviation 17.2, find out (1) what is P(92 < X < 102) (2) the corresponding probability given a sample of 36. Solution : (1) Here N=25 p = 98.6
and a = 17.2
(5
)= {(u )/
n /N/25 = 3.44
= 17.2
Pi
92 < < 102) = P [92 -98.6) / 3.44 < (5 - p) /ji <1003.44]
98.6) +/0.3389 = 0.8115
1' [-19.2 <
>0.99) = 0.4726
Solution : (2) N =36.
(a
= 1(a )/1/n= 17.2 /
= 2.87
P(92 < 102) = P [92 -98.6) / 2.87 < (5 - p) / a k <(100- 2.87]
= P [-2.30 < z >1.18) = 98.6)
0.4893/ + 0.3810 = 0.8703
normal
Example : Kamala, an auditor for a large credit card company, knows that, on average, the monthly balance of any given customer is Rs.112
and the standard deviation is Rs.56. If Mary audits randomly selected accoufits, what is the probability that the sample average monthly
balance is (1) below Rs.100 (2) between Rs.100 and Rs.130.
Solution : The sample size of 50 is large enough to use the Central Limit Theorem. (I) Here N=50 u = 112 and a = 56
)lein
(0
[(a)/4n=56/
=7.920
I)
< 100) = P
p) /
<(100-112) / 7.92]
- PI 7 <-1.52) = 0.5 -0.4357 = 0.0643
(2) P(100 << 130) = P [100-112) / 7.92 < O( - p) / a ;.( <(130-112) / 7.92] ( / MEANS SQUARE ROOT )
('1-1.52 < z >2.27) = 0.4357 I 0.4884 = 0.9241
Objective Questions
1 Where items are induded in a sample, based on the judgement of the person who is selecting the sample, it is
called non-random. (Trife/False)
2 The statistic is a characteristic of a population (True/FalSe)
3 A sampling plan that selects members from a population at uniform intervals in time order or space is called
stratified sampling. (True/False)
4 As a general rule, it is not necessary to include a finite population multiplier in a computation for standard error
of the mean when the size of the samples is greater than 50. (True/False)
5 The probability distribution of all the possible means of samples is known as the sample distribution of the mean.
(True/False)
6 The principles of simple random sampling are the theoretical foundation of statistical inference. (True/False)
7 The standard error of the mean is the standard deviation of the distribution of sample means (TrUe/False)
8 A sampling plan that divides the population into well defined groups from which random samples are drawn is
called as duster sampling. (True/False)
9 With increasing ,sample size, the sampling distribution of the mean approaches normality, regardless of the
distribution of the population (True/False)
Compiled by Mr. Sanjay Kumar Trivedy, Sr. Mgr., RSTC, mumbai
27
10 The standard error of the means decreases in direct proportion to sample size. (True/False)
11 To perform a complete enumeration, one would need to examine every item in a population (True/False)
12 In everyday life, we see many examples of infinite populations of physical objects. (True/Fall)
13 To obtain a theoretical sampling distribution, we consider all the samples of a given sizs, (True/False)
14 large samples are always a good idea because they decrease the standard error. (TrUF/False)
/15 if the mean for a certain population were 15, It Is likely that most of the samples we could take from that
population would have means of 15 (True/False)
16 the precision of a sample is determined by the no. of items in the sample and not the proportion of the total
population that is sampled. (True/False)
17 the standard error of a sample statistic is the standard deviation of its sampling distribution. (True/False)
18 judgement sampling has the disadvantage that it may lose some representativeness of a sample (True/False)
19 the sampling fraction compares the size of a sample to the size of the population. (True/False)
20 Any sampling distribution can be totally described by its mean and standard deviation. (True/False)
21 the predsion with which the sample mean can be used to estimate the population mean decreases as the
standard error increases. (True/False)
22 Which of the following is a method of selecting samples from a population
a: judgement sampling b:
random sampling c:
probability sampling d: a and b but not c
23 Choose the pair of symbols that best completes this sentence :
is a parameter, whereas is d statistics:
a: N, p
b:
a, S c:
N, n d:
all the above
24 In random sampling, we can describe mathematically how objective our estimates are. Why is this 7a: we always
know the chance that any population element will be included in the sample
o: every sample always has an equal chance of being selected
all the samples are exactly the same size and can be counted
none of the abovee:
a and b but not c
25 Suppose you are performing stratified sampling on a particular population and have divided it into strata of
different sizes. How can you make your sample selection?
select at random an equal no. of elements from each stratum
draw equal no. of elements from each stratum and weigh the results CI draw no. of elements from each stratum
proportional to their weights in the population
d: a and b only
e: . b and c only
26 In which of the following situations would a x = a / d n be the correct formula to use for computing:
sampling is from an infinite population
sampling is from a finite population with replacement
sampling is from a finite population without replacement
a and b only
e:
b and c only.
27 The dispersion among sample means is less than the dispersion among the sampled Items themselves
because:
each sample is smaller than the population from which it is drawn.
very large values are averaged down and very small values are averaged up
the sampled items are all drawn from the same population
none of the abovee:
b and c and not a.
28 Suppose a population with N = 144 has p = 24. What is the mean of the sampling distribution of the mean for
samples of size 25:
a: 24 2
c:
4.8 d:
cannot be determined from the information given
20 71 le Ltlii.rdi iimit tneorem assures us that the sampling distribution of the mean :
is always normal
is always normal for large sample sizes,
approaches normality as sample size increases :J. appears normal only when Nis greater than 1000
30 Suppose that for a certain population a X is calculated as 20 when samples of size 25 are taken and as 10 when
samples of size 100 are taken. A quadrupling of sample size, then, only halved a X. We can conclude that increasing
sample size is:
a:
always cost-effective
b:
sometimes cost-effective
:lever cost-effective
d:
none of the above
31 For the above questions, what must the value of a for this infinite population
.
a: 1000
b:
500 c:
377.5d:
100
Fill-in the blanks:
37 A portion of the elements in a population chosen for direct examination or measurement is a
38 the proportion of the population contained in a sample is the
39
is the process by which inferences about a population are made from information about a sample
rtto The
is the distribution obtained by finding the sampling distribution of all samples of a given size of a population.
41
sampling should be used when each group considered has small variation within itself but there is wide variation
between
different groups.
42 A method of random sampling in which elements are selected from the population at uniform intervals is called
sampling.
43
is the degree of accuracy with which the sample mean can estimate the population mean.
44 Within a population, groups that ara similar to each other (although the groups themselves have wide internal variation) are
called
45 A sampling distribution of the proportion is a probability distribution of the
State whether the following is true or false
A rupee to be received in future has less value than a rupee available today (f/F)
Compiled by Mr. Sanjay Kumar Trivedy, Sr. Mgr., RSTC, mumbai
28
Money has been invested in capital. of a firm instead of investment in bonds. The return on bonds is called
opportunity cost of capital (T/F)
When there are inflationary conditions the discount rates are low (T/F1.
Present value of a perpetuity is expressed as = 1/r (TM
The difference between cash outflows and present value of inflows is called net present value (T/F) Answers
01
T
02
F
03
F
04
F
05
T
06
T
07
T
08
F
09
T
10
F
11
T
12
F
13
T
14
F
15
F
16
T
17
T
18
T
19
T
20
F
21
T
22
d
23
b
24
e
25
e
26
d
27
b
28
a
29
c
30
b
31
d
32
e
33
d
34
d
35
d
36
b
37
sample 38 sample fraction 39
statistical inference
40
theoretical sampling distribution
46
41
T
47
T
48
F
stratified 42systematic 43
49
T
50
T
precision 44cluster 45
sample propo
The coefficient of correlation is independent of scale and origin the variable x and y
Coefficient of correlation is the geometric means of two regression coefficient.
The degree of relationship between the two variables is symmetric i.e. rxy = ryx
ILLUSTRATION -1
The following data o the scores obtained by 9 salesmen of a company in an intelligence test and their weekly sales in thousand rupees:
Salesmen intelligence I
1 El C 1 DI E -IF 1 G __I H 1
Test 50 60 50 60 80 50 16 40 -A
t
I 30 1 60140-1_50 60 [ 301 70 1.. 50 I 60
1 Weekly Sales
Obtain the regression equation of sales on intel igence test scores of the salesmen.
If the intelligence test score of a salesman in 65, what would he his expected weekly sales? Solution: Let intelligence test score be denoted by X and
weekly sales by Y
CALCULATION OF REGRESSION EQUATIONS
X
50
60
50
60
80
50
80
40
70
EX = 540
IX-60)
x
40
0
-10
0
+20
-10
+20
-20
+10
Ex = 0
x2
100
0
100
0
400
100
400
400
100
2
Ex = 1600
Y
30
60
40
50
60
30
70
50
60
y = 450
(Y-50)
y
-20
+10
-10
0
+10
-20
+20
0
10
Ey = 0
y2
,
400
100
100
0
100
400
400
0
100
Eye= 1600
xy
+200
0
100
0
200
200
400
0
100
Exy =1200
4.Time Series
The statistical technique applied to measure the time based data over a period of time is known as time series analysis. It is a
set of data and values depending on time. In other words Time Series is an arrangement of statistical data in accordance with
its time occurrence. For example daily closing rate of stock market index, weekly position of the deposits and advances of a
bank branch etc. Mathematically, a time series is expressed as:
Y =1.(t) where Y is the value of variable at time t.
If the values of a variable at time L I, t2, t3
tn are Y I, Y2, Y3
Yn respectively, the time series would be:
t= t1
t2
t3
tn
Y = Y 1 Y2
Y3
Yn
Time series has two variables one of which shall be time, the independent variable and other, a dependent variable Y, at
different points of time. The value of t may be hourly, daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly, half-yearly or yearly. The time
series are generally studied with the help of diagram, where time is shown on X-axis and the quantity variable on Y-axis.
Objectives : Time series helps in review of current achievements, study the past behaviour, facilitate comparison,
predict future behaviour, forecast the trade cycle etc.
Components of time series : Value of time series shows various types of fluctuations (also called variations or the movements).
A time series has components such as secular trend or long term variation, seasonal variations, cyclical variations, irregular
variations or random variations
Secular trend : It refers to general tendency of the time series data to increase, decrease or remain constant during a long time
period. Hence a general rise in time series is a secular trend. The trend can be upwards or downwards. It can be linear (when rate of
change remains constant) or non-linear (where rate is not constant).
Trend can be linear or curvilinear. Where the trend can be described by a straight line, it is called linear trend. The equation for estimating a
straight line : = a + b x
Y is the estimated value of the dependent variable, x is the independent variable.
a =y-intercept (the value of y. when x = 0) h = slope of the trend line.
In time series, the independent variable x, is time.
=a+bx where
b=
n x bar y bar} / {Ex2 n x bare }
a = mean y b mean x
The independent variable time is measured in terms of years, months etc. Example: The production record of a firm in the last few years is as
under:
Year
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
No.
of 980
1050
1160
1190
1350
1560
1770
2080
Units
Estimate the no. of unit, it may produce in the year 2013?
T m (by using the c.time =
x
Ti me T
code time)
(to
remove the
2003
-3.5
-7
2004
-2.5
-5
r-1.5
-3
2006
-0.5
-1
2007
0.5
I
2008
1.5
3
2009
2.5
5
2010
3.5
7
Xy
.
x.x
-6860
-5250
-3480
-1190
1350
4680
8850
14560
49
25
9
1
1
9
25
49
* 980 x 7 =
M = v T / n = 2006.5 v xy = 12660 v x2 = 168
y= 11140
y bar= 1392.50
x bar = 0
h = 12660 / 168 = 75.36
a = 1392.50
The general equation for annual production is y bar = 1392.50 + 75.36 x
x is coded time. When we have to predict for a particular year say 2013, we will convert it to the coded time as
under:
x = 2 (2013 2006.5) = 13
Now Si = a + b x = 1392.50 + (75.36 x 13) = 1392.50 + 979.70 = 2372.20 = say 2372 units
This means the prediction for 2013 is 2372 units.
Analysis of time series:
As per classical time series analysis. multiplicative relationship between four components of time series (i.e. trend, seasonal
components, cyclical components, irregular components) is assumed. Accordingly:
0 =17 x S x C x I (where 0 stands for original data, T for trend, S for Seaton& component, C for cyclical component and I for
irregular component.
Example : If T = 800, S=1.4, C=1.5 and 1=2.6, then 0 = 800x1.4x1.5x2.6 = 4368
In another approach, each observation of time series is the sum of these four components: 0=T+S+C+I
Example : If T = 800, S=50, C=30 and 1= -40, then 0 = 840
Measurement of trend:
There are various methods for measurement of trend component in a time series that include graphic, semi averages & moving
averages and least squares or curve fitting by principle of least squares.
Graphic or free hand curve fitting method:
It is the simplest method and consists of following steps:
Obtain a histogram by plotting time series value on a graph paper Draw a free hand smooth curve through the points and then a straight
line on the basis of judgement.
It would show the long term tendency of the data.
Semi averages method:
Secular trend can be obtained by semi-averages by dividing the original data into two equal parts. The value of each part is summed up and
then averaged. The average of each part is centred in the period of time of the part from which it has been calculated and then plotted on
the graph. A line is drawn to pass through the plotted points.
Moving averages method:
It includes averaging of seasonal and other short term variations from the series so that only trend is left in the series. The no. of items
taken for averaging will be the no. required to cover the period over which the fluctuations occur. This average is taken as the normal or
trend value for the unit of time falling at the middle of the period covered in the calculation of the average. The averaging gives a
smoother curve, reducing the influence of the variations that pull the annual figures away from the general trend.
Least Square method:
This mathematical method is widely used with the help of which a trend line is fitted to the data in such a way that the two
conditions are satisfied i.e.
E re-yo = 0 (i.e. the sum of deviations of the actual values of Y and computed values of Y is Zero)
E (Y-Yc)2 is minimum. (i.e. the sum of squares of deviations of the actual and computed values is minimum from this line. It is for
this reason that the method is known as least squares method.
This line which we get by this method is called Line of Best Fit. The straight line trend is shown by the equation: YC = a + bX. (Yc
is the trend value to distinguish from the actual Y values, a is the intercept of the values of the Y variables when X =- 0. b is the
slope of the line, X refers to time.
Seasonal variations
Seasonal variation in a time series will be there if the data are recorded quarterly, monthly, weekly, daily etc. In a time series data,
where only annual figures are given, there are seasonal variations. Consumption, production of commodities, interest rates, bank
clearing etc. are marked by seasonal variations.
Cyclical variations :In some time series, there may be periodic up and down movements in economic data which are called cyclical
variations. These cycles are repeated at time intervals ranging from abbut 3 to 10 years. Cyclical variations help in formation of a
business policy, estimate of future behaviour, ideal of irregular fluctuations etc
OBJECTIVE QUESTIONS ON TIME SERIES
1 Ups and downs in the economy due to trade cycles are called:
a: cyclical variations
b:
seasonal variations
c:
secular tends
d:
none of the above
2
Which one of the following is the indication of seasonal variation:
a: improvement in techniques b:
demand of woolen clothes in winter c: purchase of books during the beginning
of the academic sessions
d:
none of the above
3
Y = ? in series:
a: TxS+C+ 1
b:
T-S+C-1
c:
T-SxCx1
di
TxSxCx1
4 The fluctuations which complete the whole sequence of change within the span of a year or has some pattern
year after year is known as:
a: secular trend b:
seasonal variation c:
cyclical fluctuation
d:
none of the above
5
Cyclical fluctuations are also known as :
a: oscillatory variations b:
business cycle fluctuations
c:
either a or b
d:
none of the above
6 The period of moving average is to be decided on the basis of :
a: length of the cycle b:
policies of the company c:
both the above d:
none of the above
7
Method of leaSt squares is:
a: flexible in nature
b:
non-flexible in nature c:
semi-flexible in nature d: none of the above
8
Method of least squares cannot be used to fit:
d: Gompertz curve
b:
logistic curve
c:
both the above d:
none of the above
9
In shifting the trend origin, the value of 'b':
a: changes b:
remains unchanged
c:
badly fluctuates
10 ,The moving average may constitute a satisfactory trend for a series that is of:
Compiled by Mr. Sanjay Kumar Trivedy, Sr. Mgr., RSTC, mumbai
31
a: linear duration
b:
whose cycles are regular in duration c: -- both the above
11 To convert an annual trend equation to a monthly basis, when original data are given as totals:
'a' is divided by 12 and 'b' by 144
b:
'a' is divided by 12 and 'b' by 12
c:
'a' is divided by 144 and 'b' by 12
d:
'a' is divided by 144 and 'b' by 144
12 changes that have taken place as a result of such forces that could not be predictel !Ilse floods etc. are known as:
a:
seasonal variationsh:
erratic variation
c:
cyclical variation
d:
none of the above
13 Seasonal variations repeat during a period of:
4; 12 months b;
24 months
c:
36 months
d;
46 months
14 Tha most important factors covering Magna' variations are:
a growth of population h:
technological improvements
c:
change in Wilton d; - weather
16 Seasonal moments are:
a: rapalitiVi h;
predictable around the trend time
e; -l
d tren value .... di none of the above
16 The general movement persisting over long period Is called:
a; - secular trend
b;
seasonal trend e;trend value d:
none of the above
17 The most widely used method of measuring seasonal variations Is ;
a:' ratio to moving averages method ---- -----
- - --. b: ratio to trend method
c: link relative method
d:
method of simple averages
18 irregular variations are caused by:
a: floods
b:
strikes c:
wars d:
all the above
19 A time series Is a set of observations taken at specified time, usually at:
a: equal Intervals b:
unequal intervals -c:
only at short-term intervals d:
nort6Of the above
20 Which one of the following is a component of time series:
a: secular trend
b:
seasonal variations c:
cyclical variations d:
all the above
21 In Yc 3: a + bx, if b is positive, it shows:
a: .. rising trend
b:
seasonal variations c:
cyclical variations d:
all the above
22 We find irregular variations due to:
a: lock outs b:
transport bottlenecks
c:
floods d:
all the above
23 How can be remove seasonal variations:
a: reducing prices in seasons
b:
introducing different products having different seasons
c: both the above
d:
none of the above
24 What is the sequence of the following phases in business (i) depression, ii) prosperity, iii) recovery, iv) recession):
a:./ ii, iv, i, iii
b:
iv, ii, I, iii
c:
iv, i, if, iii
d:
iii, II, iv, I
25 Which period give more tangible trend:
a: shorter period
b: /
long period c:
medium period
d:
none of the above
26 The seasonal changes are always:
a: periodic but not regular b:
not periodic c:
periodic and regular d: none of the above
27 Which is the feature of prosperity:
a:
inflation
b:
optimism
c:
high profits d:
all the above.
Fill In the blanks:
Cyclical fluctuations are caused by r (trade cycle)
If in Y = a +bx, b is +ive;it indicates trend (rising)
If in Y = a +bx, b is -ive, it indicates trend (declining)
To reduce an annual rend equation to a monthly trend, a Is divided by and b is divided by
: (12, 144)
The test is satisfied when (Pio) (P12) (P20) = 1 (circular)
The trend is linear if the growth rate is
( constant)
Seasonal variations repeat during a period of
(one year)
The most important factors causing seasonal variations are (weather and customs)
Cyclical fluctuations are caused by (business cydes)
Of the 4 components of the time series, the one that has primary use for long term forecasting Is the component (trend)
The time series comprises data arranged in ^ order. (chronological)
The additive model of time series Is shown as
(arithmetic straight line)
shows long term fluctuations: (secular trend)
The line obtained by the method of least squares is called (line of best fit)
The method of moving average is satisfactory for a series that is linear and cycles of which are _____ In amplitude and duration.
(regular)
By shifting the trend origin, the value of 'b' (remains constant)
A seasonal variation comprises of
no. one for each
of a year. ( 12, months)
A time series is a set of items taken at specified usually at
intervals. ( time, equal)
variations are repetitive and predictable movements around the trend line in a year. (seasonal)
State, if true or false:
Secular trends refer to one long term movement. (TRUE / FALSE)
When we shift the trend origin, the value remains the same. (TRUE / FALSE)
The multiplicative model assumes that the vlue of original data is the product of the values of the 4 cam,,.,. its. (TRUE / FALSE)
Trend refers to a lona term tendency to either inci ease or aecrease. (TRUE / FALSE)
A time series is affected by economic factors alone. (TRUE / FALSE)
It Is always necessary to edit the time series data. (TRUE / FALSE)
Secular trend cannot be curvilinear. (TRUE / FALSE)
A monthly or quarterly trend equation cannot be converted Into yearly trend equation. (TRUE / FALSE)
Deseasonalisatlon of data means eliminating the seasonal components from the data. (TRUE / FALSE)
Moving average can give objective project to the future. (TRUE / FALSE)
The multi-purpose model assumes the 4 components to be independent of each other. (TRUE / FALSE)
Climate and weather are significant factors for seasonal variation In the time series. (TRUE / FALSE)
131 Trade cycles have 4 phases, ire. prosperity, recession, depression and recovery, (TRUE / FALSE)
Compiled by Mr. Sanjay Kumar Trivedy, Sr. Mgr., RSTC, mumbai
32
Answers
01
a
06
11
a
18
21
a
26
c
1:
6:
11:
16:
01
11
02
c
12
d
22
27
b
09
b
19
d
d
03
b
13
a
23
d
10
a
20
d
04
c
14
d
24
05
06
07
15
16
17
25
2:
Answers
rising '
3:
declining
4:
12, 144
7:
one year
8:
9:
business cycles
14:
trade cycle
drcular
constant
10:
trend
chronological
regular
remains constant
12:
17:
T
08
F
T
09
F
12, months
Answers
03
T
F
10
13
T
02
F
12
13:
18:
04
T
secular trend
time, equal
05
06
19:
seasonal
07
5:
15:
5.Estimation
In statistics, estimation refers to the process by which one makes inferences about a population, based on
information obtained from a sample.
Statisticians use sample statistics to estimate population parameters. For example, sample means are used to
estimate population means; sample proportions, to estimate population proportions. An estimate of a population
parameter may be expressed in two ways:
Point estimate. A point estimate of a population parameter is a single value of a statistic. For example, the sample mean
x is a point estimate of the population mean p.. Similarly, the sample proportion p is a point estimate of the
population proportion P. (Example - The accountant of a company, on the basis of past performance expects that the .firm will sell 500
units of its product in the forthcoming year)
Interval estimate. An interval estimate is defined by two numbers, between which a population parameter is said to lie. For
example, a s. x <h is an interval estimate of the population mean 1.1.. It indicates that the population mean is greater
than a but less than b. It indicates the error in 2 ways (i) by the extent of its range and (ii) by the probability of the true
population parameters lying within that range.
(Example : The accountant of a company, on the basis of past performance expects that the firm will sell between 500 to 550 units of its
product in the forthcoming year)
What is estimator : The sample statistics which is used to estimate a population parameter is called an estimator. The sample
mean x can be estimator of the population mean (p). The sample proportion can he used as an estimator the
population proportion.
When a specific numerical value of the estimator is observed, it is called estimate. For example, if mileage of a
used car is 100000 and this mileage of 10000 is taken as the basis to estimate the mileage of similar type of used
cars, it will be called an estimate.
Criteria of good estimator: The quality of an estimator can be judged on the basis of 4 parameters:
Unbiased An estimator can be taken as unbiased if on average it tends to assume values that are above the population
parameter being estimated as frequently and to the same extent as it tends to assume values that are below the population
parameter being estimated.
Efficiency It refers to the size of the standard error of the statistic. When 2 statistics from the same sample are compared, to decide as
to which one is more efficient estimator, the statistic which has smaller standard error would be pickedsup.
Consistency A statistic is considered consistent if, with increase in sample size, it becomes almost certain that the value of
the statistic comes very close to the value of the population parameter.
Sufficiency An estimator is sufficient if it makes so much use of the information in the sample that no other estimate could
extract from the sample additional information about the population parameter being estimated.
Point estimates:
The sample mean x is deemed to be best estimator of the population mean (p), because it is unbiased, efficient and
consistent. As long as the sample is sufficiently large, its sampling distribution can be approximated by the normal
distribution. For,example, the cartons of match-boxes contain 97 to 103 match-boxes. There are 40 cartons and
the total no. of match-boxes packed in these cartons is 4000. This means the sample mean is 100 (4000 /40).
Point estimate of the population variance and standard deviation : The most frequently used estimator of the population
standard deviation a is the sample standard deviation of s
Point estimate of the total population : The proportion of units having a particular characteristic in a given population is
denoted by p. If the proportion of units in a sample having same characteristics is known, it can he used an estimator of
p. For example. a firm want to know as to how many carton are damaged in transit. It takes a
sample of 100 carton and finds that 5 cartons are damaged. Hence it estimate that the proportion of damaged cartons is 5% i.e. 0.05.
Interval estimates: It describes the range of values within which a population parameter is likely to be.
Suppose a firm wants to know as to what is the average life of battery the firm is manufacturing for cars. It can take a sample of say 300
users of the battery and calculate the sample mean. Let us suppose the sample mean is 36 months. if the management also wants to
know as to what extent there can be uncertainty tagged with the estimate. For this purpose, the standard error of the mean will be required
to be calculated for the infinite population, by using the following formula.
a x bar = a n
Interval estimates and confidence intervals:
Compiled by Mr. Sanjay Kumar Trivedy, Sr. Mgr., RSTC, mumbai
33
Confidence level - The probability that is associated with an interval estimate is called the confidence level.
The probability indicates the level of confidence that the interval the interval estimate will include the population parameter. The higher
probability indicates more confidence. In estimation, the most commonly used confidence levels are 90%, 95% and 99%.
Confidence interval : The confidence interval is the range of the estimate being made. For example if we are 90% confident that mean
of the population of incomes of persons in a particular community lies between Rs.15000 to 20000, the range Rs.15000 to Rs.20000 is
the confidence interval. The confidence interval will be expressed in standard errors instead of numerical value.
Confidence limits : These are the upper and lower limits of the confidence interval. Relationship between confidence level and
confidence interval: There is a direct relationship between these two for any given estimate. A high confidence levels seems to signify
a high degree of accuracy in the estimate. But high confidence levels will produce large confidence intervals and the large intervals
will not be precise and will provide not so accurate estimates.
6.Bond Investment
Loans can be raised by the Govt. and corporations in the form of Bonds.
Bonds are the instrument of borrowing with fixed period maturity, fixed value at maturity and interest payment. In return, the Govt.
promise to pay interest on the bonds (normally annually) called coupon. On maturity the bond holder receives the face value (or par
value) of the bond. The bond is debt instrument in which the investor lends a certain amount of money for a certain period at a certain
interest rate.
Example - A 6% bond is issued by RBI with a face value of Rs.i000 with a maturity period of 3 years. Investor gets Rs.i000 on maturity in
addition to annual payment of Rs.6o being the coupon. Bonds can be issued by National Govt. in rupees. When these are issued in foreign
currency, these are called sovereign bonds.
Different kinds of bonds
Convertible bonds : These bonds can be converted into shares at a specified rate and time period. Such bonds provide an opportunity to the
investor to participate in equity.
Callable bonds : When the issuer reserves the right to call back the bond and pay a fixed price (may be with premium). Since interest yield
declines ,in such bonds, these are less attractive.
Floating rate bonds : When the interest rate can be changed over a time period and yield is linked to current market rate by reset of the
interest rate. This ensures that the yield on the bonds is near the current market returns.
Negotiable bonds : These bonds are traded in the market and their face value changes depending on the current interest rates.
Zero coupon bonds: These bonds are priced at a nominal value below their face value and are redeemed at their face value. The investor gets
return as difference between the purchase price and face value.
Other terms
Coupon amount and coupon rate : Coupon amount is the amount of interest received periodically till maturity. Coupon rate is interest rate
specified in the bond.
Yield to maturity: It is the discount rate which makes the present value of the bond's payment equal to its price. It is a measure of the
average rate of return an investor earns over the bond's life, if it is held till maturity.
Current yield : It is the current return and does not take into account the bond price fluctuations.
Effective yield : Actual yield (instead of the nominal amount) compared to the market situation. It can be less or more than the current yield.
Rate of return : It is calculated for any particular holding period and is based on the actual income after taking into account, the capital gain or
loss on the bond over that period.
Bonds prices and yields
In certain cases, the bonds are listed on stock exchange, where trading takes place, in these bonds. Let us calculate the bond price with the
help of an example.
Example - A 6% bond is issued by RBI with a face value of Rs.i000 with a maturity period of 3 years. Investor gets Rs.moo on maturity in
addition to annual payment of Rs.6o being the coupon. If prevailing interest rate is 5.6% on such bonds, what is present value of the bond?
Solution : The interest shall be received on yearly basis and Rs.i000 will be available after 3 years. The present value of cash flow has to be
worked out. It is presumed that the prevailing interest rate on 3-year maturity offers a compounded return of 5.6%. Present value would be:
PV = PV of 1st year coupon + PV of 2nd year coupon + PV of 3rd coupon + PV of face value receivable on maturity at end of 3rd year.
PV = Rs.60 + Rs.6o + Rs.io6o
(i+r) (i+r) 2(1+r)3
r = compounded rate
PV = Rs.6o + Rs.6o + Rs.1060
(1.056)
(1.056)2 (1.056)3PV = Rs.1010.77
Hence the 6% bonds is worth 101.077 % of the face value. Its price would be quoted around this amount.
Value calculation on the basis of annuity formula:
The value can be calculated on the basis of annuity formula as Rs.6o which are received every year for 3 years.
PV = PV of Coupons + PV of face value OR PV = PV (A, r, n) + PV (face value) (A ---- amount, r = rate of interest, n= no. of time intervals)
= 6o ( 1 - 1
( 0.056
0.056 (1.056)3 = 161.57 + 849.20* = 1010.77
*
it is PV of Rs.l000 to be received at the end of 3rd year.
Bond prices with half-yearly coupon
In the above case, the coupon payment was yearly. But if the payment is on a half yearly basis, the compounded return would be halved i.e.
5.6 / 2 = 2.8% and time interval would be doubled. In this case the value would be Rs.1010.91 as calculated as under:
PV = Rs.30 + Rs.30 + Rs.3o
+ Rs.3o + Rs.lo + Rs.1030
2
3
(1.028) (1.028) (1.028) (1.028)4 (1.028)5 (1.028)6PV = Rs.1olo.91
It will be observed that with reduction in compounding intervals (say from annual to half-yearly), the yield increases.
Bond prices and varying interest rates
With change in interest rates, bond prices change. The price can be worked out if the discnunt rate is 6%
PV at 6% = Rs.6o + Rs.6o + Rs.io6o
(1.06) (1.06)2 (1.06)3 PV = Rs.i000.00
It means that if interest rate is same as the coupon rate, the bond sells for face value. If the interest rate change from 6% to say, 15%, the
bond price would be Rs.794.51 as under:
PV at 15% = Rs.6o + Rs.6o + Rs.1060
Compiled by Mr. Sanjay Kumar Trivedy, Sr. Mgr., RSTC, mumbai
34
PV at 4% = Rs.6o + Rs.io60
(1.04) (1.04)2
PV = Rs.io37.72
The investor gets Rs.6o + 26.95 (1037.72 1010.77) = 86.95.
His rate of return would be: 86.95 / 1010.77 = 8.6%
The YTM in the beginning of the year was 5.6% but due to fall in interest rate, the rate of return increased to 8.6%.
Relationship between rate of return and YTM during a particular period : It should be noted that :
If the bond's YTM remains unchanged during an
period, its rate of return will be
equal to that YTM.
If the bond's YTM increases during an investment period, its rate of return will be less than YTM.
If the bond's YTM decreases during an investment period, its rate of return will be more than )(TM.
Different types of Risk in Bond Investment
Interest rate risk
The YT'M of bond fluctuate with the interest rate movement due to which the bond investment carries interest rate movement
risk. With market interest rate falling, the investors of a bond, gain. On the other hand with increase in current market interest
rates, the investors are bound to lose.
Default risk
Bonds are issued by Central Govt., State governments and also the local bodies and corporates. Bonds can be issued in different
currencies also.
In case of bonds issued by Govt., normally there may not be default. But bond issued by corporates earn' risk of default also
due to possible non-payment on due date. Hence, there is credit risk. To compensate for this risk, the companies have to offer
relatively high rate of interest. The difference between the coupon rate on a Govt. bond and the corporate bond is called default
premium or risk premium.
Price risk : The risk arising on account of fluctuation in the bond prices, that effects the return is called price risk. It also needs
to be noted that longer the period of -maturity, higher is the risk.
18) When interest rates rise, the corporation's cost of borrowing through bonds issued at an earlier time will increase.
a) True
b) False
19) There is no advantage to a corporation for early retirement of bond debt.
a) True
b) False
20) An Underwriter provides the same basic services to corporations selling stock as they do for corporations selling bonds.
a) True
b) False
21) If the market rates go up, the price of the Bond already held by you also go up:
b) a) True b) False
22) The Internal rate of return (IRR) is also called the YTM of the bond:
c) a) True
b) False
23) Wiiich of the following is true about Bonds?
Bonds are securities that establish a creditor relationship between the purchaser (creditor) & the issuer (debtor).
The issuer receives a certain sum of money in return for the bond, and is obligated to repay the principal at the end of the lifetime
of the bond (maturity).
.
c) At times bonds also require coupon or periodical interest payments.
Since all these payments are part of the original contract, bonds are also called fixed income securities.
All of the above
24) Which of the following is true about Straight bonds?
a) A straight (normal or with interest) bond is one where the purchaser pays a fixed amount of money (principal) to buy
the bond.
At regular periods, he/she receives an interest payment, called the coupon payment.
The final interest payment and the principal are paid on date of maturity. d) All of the above
25) Zero Coupon bonds are those
Which do not make a coupon payment
These bonds are bought for less than their face value (at a discount).
When issued by treasuries, are mostly issued in Auctions
d) All of the above
26) Treasury securities are:
Debt obligations of the Government, issued by the treasury department.
They are backed by the full faith and credit of the government.
They are considered to be free of default risk d) All of the above
27) Debentures are
Normal types of bonds issued by Corporates
It is unsecured debt, backed only by the name and goodwill of the Company.
In the event of the liquidation of the corporation, holders of debentures are repaid before stockholders, but after other
secured creditors d) All of the above
28) Convertible debentures
Have the features of a Straight Bond (Normal)
Can be exchanged for stock of the Company on a given future date.
Instruments for raising long term Capital for the Company ' d) All of the above
29) Bonds maybe
a) Secured by Fixed charges on assets
b) Floating charge on assets
c) Unsecured debentures can also be issued
d) All of above
30) The Value of a bond is
a) Its Face Value b) Present value of its future Cash flows c) Market Price
a) Issue price
31) Coupon rate means
Market rate of return of a bond / Debentt ire
The rate at which the bond would pay interest at stipulated periods
The total amount (Principal+ Interest) that a bond would pay
d) Yield to maturity of the bond
32) It the Coupon rate & the Discount rate ( Market based ) or the expected rates of return are same:
a) The bond will be trading at par b) Bond will trade at a discount
c) Bond will trade at a premium
d) Coupon rate & discount rates have no connection with each other
33) The value, which a bond holder gets on maturity, is called Redemption value.
a) True
b) False
34) When the expected rate of return (market discount rate) is lesser than Coupon rate bond prices will rise.
a) True
b) False
35) The Price at which the bonds are bought or sold (in other words traded ) is called the Market Value or the Market
price of the bond.
a) True
0) False
36) Zero coupon bonds do not promise periodical interests:
a) True
b) False
37) Zero coupon bonds normally are available at a discount to their face value:
a) True
b) Faise
38) In the case of Zero-Coupon bonds. face value is equal to the redemption value:
a) True
b) False
39) In Perpetual bonds, there is
date and no maturity value but interest r 3;nl3,-.J rates
perpetually:
a) True
b) False
40) Current yield of a bond is measured using the current market price and coupon rate:
a) True
b) False
41) Yield to maturity of a bond is its internal rate of return:
a) True
b) False
42) A bond's price is inversely proportionate to its yield to maturity:
Compiled by Mr. Sanjay Kumar Trivedy, Sr. Mgr., RSTC, mumbai
37
a) True
b) False
43) The period for which if the bond is held (holding period), the interest rate risk on the bond is eliminated is
called-Duration of a bond:
a) True
b) False
44) The concept of Duration is also called Macaulay's Duration:
a) True
b) False
45) Duration of a bond is less than its maturity period or term
a) True
b) False
ANSWERS (BOND VALUATIONS)
1
6
11
16
21
' 26
31
36
41
A
D
B
A
B
D
B
A
A
2
7
12
17
22
27
32
37
42
D
C
A
A
A
D
A
A
A
3
8
13
18
23
28
33
38
43
B
C
A
B
E
D
A
A
A
4
9
14
19
24
29
34
39
44
B
C
A
A
D
D
A
A
A
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
C
A
B
B
0
B
A
A
A
7.Linear Programming
Linear programming is a mathematical technique for allocating scarce resources in an optimum manner. The word linear
means that the relationships are represented by straight lines and the word programming means a procedure that is used to
get the best solution to a problem that implves limited resources. There are certain important aspects concerning linear
programming such as: Decision variables like products, services etc. compete with each other for scarce resources. These
variables should not have negative values. If a bank provides three services, the non-negativity condition would be RA? 0,
Ru > 0 , Rc > 0. This means that these products are being rendered or not rendered. But it cannot be negative. There
must be proportional relationship between the variable to give the linearity. The no. of activities should also be finite.
Basic variable: The non-zero variables in a basic feasible solution are called, basic variable.
Slack variables: If a constraint has a sign <, something positive has to be added to the left side to make it equal.
The positive variable, that is added is, called slack variable.
Surplus variable: If a constraint has a sign >, something positive has to be subtracted from the left side to
make it equal. The positive variable, that is added, is called surplus variable.
Steps : Formulation of Linear Programming problem, involves the following steps: I Identify the unknown variables to be
determined and assign symbols to them.
2 Identify all the restrictions or constraints in the problem and express them as linear equation or inequalities of
decision variable.
3 Identify the objective or aim and represent it also as a linear function of decision variables.
Problem : A firm manufactures two types of cables i.e. general use cables and special use cables. The general use
cable tukes one man hour per meter and the special use cable takes double time than the general use cable. The
firm has available 3000 man hours per day. Raw material is adequate to manufacture only 2500 metres of cable
per dais. The special use cable also requires special enameling for which the facility is available for 800 metres
per day.
Make out a linear programming problem (LPP), to maximize the profits, if the profit from general use cable is Rs.4
and from special use cable, it is Rs.6 per metre.
Solution:
Let us assume the production of general use and special use cable is xl units and x2 units respectively.
Hence. Profit function Z = 4xi and 6x2
The maximum man hours per day are 3000 and man days per day requirement is xl + 2x2 Hence, xl + 2x2 5 3000.
Raw material is available for producing 2500 metres xl + x2 < 2500
Enameling facility is available for 800 metres per day for special purpose cable: x2 5 800
Hence, the LPP would be Z = 4xi and 6x2
Subject to: xl + 2x2 <3000, xl + X2 <2500, x2 < 800 and xl + X2 >0 (non-negativity constraints).
Solution of linear programming problems:
methods are generally used for the solution i.e. Geometrical (or graphical) method and Simplex method.
Geometrical (or graphical) method : This method can be used where Z is function of 2 variables only as with increase
in variables, the calculations become complicated. The following steps are involved:
te.1)-1: formulate linear programming problem by restating the given information in mathematical form i.e. an
equation for the objective function.
Step-2: plot the constraints on the graph.
Step-3: identify feasibility region and ascertain coordinates for its corner points.
Step-4: test which corner point is most suitable. Find a point in the permissible region as obtained in Step-3,
that gives the optimum value of Z
Simplex method: This technique also known as Simplex Algorithm is an iterative procedure (i.e. doing
repetitively) for solving a linear programming problem in finite number of steps. The method is an algebraic procedure
that progressively approaches the optimal solution. The method assumes that the variables arenon-negative. The
value of the objective function is increased at each step of iteration till further
improvement is not possible. The method begins at the point of no production or zero solution. It involves the
following steps:
Step-1: Write the program relating to the given problem.
Compiled by Mr. Sanjay Kumar Trivedy, Sr. Mgr., RSTC, mumbai
38
Step-2: To eliminate the inequalities add slack or surplus variable and rewrite the program.
Step-3: Determine the first basic feasible solution by starting at the origin (i.e. starting with zero solution)
Step-4: Write the initial simplex Tableau
Step-5: Calculate Zj (which is inner product of cj and xj)
Step-6: Calculate Zj Cj and select the greatest absolute value with negative sign in index row
Step-7: Highest number with negative sign determines the key column and also determines the entering variables.
Step-8: Develop ratio column where R = bi / for the column of entering variables.
Step-9: Select the least positive ratio (or value of R) and determine the exiting variables. The row containing
the least positive ratio is the key row and variable corresponding to it is the exiting variable.
Step-10: Determine the key figure which is the number at the intersection of the key column and key row.
Step-I 1: Obtain new tableaus for entering variable, divide the figures in the row of leaving variable by key figure.
Step-12 Repeat the step 5 to 1 1, till no negative numbers exist in the index row.
Maximisation problems : Simplex method is suitable for the solution of maximistion problems such as profit
maximization or product maximization. The iteration process given above gives the requirement ofmaximization
problem. Constraints here are of type <.
Minimisation problems: Where the constraints are of the type = or > signs and the objective function may be of
minimization (say cost reduction, time reduction), the above method is used with certain modifications.
Primal problem : It is the original problem in the linear programming problem.
Dual problem : It is the other linear programming problem intimately related to the original problem. Either of these
problems can be primary problem, where the other will become dual problem.
Importance of linear programming :
1 It can provide insight into problem situations. 2 It leads to optimum utilization of productive factors by providing
information base.3 Different solutions are generated and best could be adopted by the management.4 Bottlenecks in
the production process can be identified for removal.5 It introduces an element of flexibility in analysis of variety of
multi-dimensional problems.
Limitations of linear programming :
It assumes linear relationship between variables, but in real business situations, the constraints may not be expressed
linearly.LP does not take into account the effect of time and uncertainty.3 Parameters in LP are taken as constants but in
real situation, that is not the case.4 Solutions provided by LP are good in static conditions and not in dynamic
situation because the effect of time is not taken.
Application of linear programming :
It can be used in various applications such as:
1 Management applications : Portfolio selection, staffing problem, profit planning, equitable salaries, traveling
salesman problems, finance mix strategy, media selection etc.2 Administrative applications : Optimal use of resources,
work allocation for optimal efficiency, evaluation of various schemes.
3 Industrial applications Product mix, blending mix, production scheduling, trim loss, transportation problems. 4 Nonindustrial applications : Agriculture, contract awarding, environmental protection
8. Simulation
Simulation : Simulation is the method of studying the effects of changes in the real system through models. A model
is manipulated to know the end result. The method is more appropriate to situations where the size and/or complexity of
the problem makes the use of other techniques difficult or impossible.
Use of simulation : The simulation can be used in Air traffic control queuing, air craft maintenance, assembly line
scheduling, inventory order designing, rail freight carriers, facility layout etc.
In a simulation model, the system's elements are represented by arithmetic, analog or logical processes that can be
executed, to predict the dynamic properties of the real system. In this model, the time can be increased by fixed time
increments (say on hourly, daily, weekly basis) or variable time increments. At each point of time, the system is scanned
to determine if any event has happened. Then the events are simulated and time is advanced. Time is advanced by one
unit, even when the events do not occur. Why use simulation? : Some situations do not lend themselves to precise
mathematical treatment. Others may be difficult, time-consuming, or expensive to analyze. In these situations, simulation
may approximate real-world results; yet, require less time, effort, and/or money than other approaches. How to Conduct
a Simulation
The steps required to produce a useful simulation are presented below.
1 Defining the problem (i.e. define objectives and variables)
2 Construct the simulation model (specify the variables, parameters, decision rule)
3 Specify the values of parameters and variables.
4 Run the simulation (determine the starting conditions and run length)
5 Evaluate the result and propose new experiment. (determine statistical tests and compare with other information).
Advantages:
Simulation is useful where the experiments on real system (a) would disrupt ongoing activities (b) would be too costly to
undertake (c) require many observations over an extended period of time (d) do not permit exact replication of events
and (e) do not permit control over key variables.
It is preferable when a mathematical model (a) is not available to handle the problem (b) is too complex (c) is beyond the
capability of available personnel (d) is not robust enough to provide information on all factors.
Disadvantages :
I. It is time consuming
2. It requires computer experience and expertise on the part of the user
3. There are very few principles to guide the user in making decisions on what to include in the model and the length and
no. of simulation runs. The user has to use his intuitive judgment.
Compiled by Mr. Sanjay Kumar Trivedy, Sr. Mgr., RSTC, mumbai
39
a champion for employees representing their concerns to senior management and working to increase employee contribution.
an agent of continuous transformation, shaping processes and a culture that improve an organization's capacity for change.
What should the HR professional do ? acquire additional professional qualifications relevant to their role.
Holding regular meetings of study circle. Exchange ideas with personnel fraternity from different organisations. Association with and
participation in activities organised by other professional bodies. Interaction between HR and technology experts. 6. Undertake problem
based project studies.
Things to remember: i. The role of HR functionaries has undergone qualitative change
HR functionaries have total responsibilities about the management of human resource in the organization
HR functionaries are responsible for development of HR related systems.
HR
professionals must have qualification in HRM
5. Line managers should not meddle with the management of HR
DEVELOPMENT OF HR FUNCTIONS IN INDIA
In India, by the 6os, the demand for personnel. professionals start emerging. Around that time, institutions like Indian Institute of Personnel
Management (IIPM) and National Institute of Labour Management (NILM) were established.
The objective of establishing IIPM was to develop and spread the ideas concerning the human values and serve as a forum for exchange of
ideas and experiences and collection and dissemination of the principles, practices, techniques and methods regarding Personnel
Management.
The objective of establishment of NILM was to encourage and promote the development of cordial relations between the employers
and employees, conduct investigations in to different labour problems, undertake study of existing labour legislation for
improvement, organize training and instruction in personnel management.
Later on these two bodies were merged as National Institute of Personnel Management during 1982.
In the earlier phases, India had visionaries like JN Tata who established TISCO at Jamshedpur. This organization took a no. of steps in
the area of HRM based on which, some of important legislations were later on passed in India. These initiatives of TISCO and
following legislations are as under:
Aspect / Area
By TISCO
8-hour working da
Free medical aid
Establishment of Welfare Deptt
School facilities for children
Formation
of
committees for
handing
complaints concerning service conditions and
__grievances
Leave with pay
EPF Scheme
Workmen's Accident corn sensation scheme
Tech. Institute of apprentices, craftsmen and Engg.
Graduates
Maternity benefits
profit sharing Bonus
Retiring gratuity
1912
1915
1917
___
1917
1919
Enforced
Law
1948
1948
1948
by
1947
1920
1920
1920
1921
, 1948
1952
1923
1961
Factories Act
EPF Act
Workmen's Compensation Act
Apprentices Act
1928
1934
1937
1946
1965
19'2
In addition to the above, the other provisions of law include: Article 16(1) of Indian constitution provision for equal opportunity for
employment. Employment Exchanges (compulsory Notification of Vacancies) Act 1959 required the employers to notify the vacancies
Apprentice Act 1961 provision for training linked to employment Child Labour Act 1986, Bonded Labour System Act 1976, Inter-state
Migrant Workmen Act 1979 for safeguarding the interest of specific groups. In 198os, the Govt. started introducing employee
participation and allocating shareholding to workers. HRD as a sub-system of HRM emerged as afeature. In the 9os few organizations such as
Larsen & Toubro, BHEL, MARUTI, HDFC etc. started using innovative practices. Among Indian banks, SBI, BoB, Cana ra Bank also took
initiatives in HRM.
Other developments in India: Establishment of National HRD Network during 1985. Establishment of Indian Society for Traing &
Development in 197o. 5th Pay Commission that made recommendations for making performance appraisal open,
improvement in motivational skills etc.
Organizational development HR information system HRM has three sub-systems viz. administrative, developmental and maintenance.
Job analysis :
Job analysis is a technique that facilitates the listing of what is required to perform a task. It
comprises ofjob description, (2job specification and ) job evaluation.
Job
To record each and every activity an individual is to perform in a given set-up
description
Job
A list of requirements in terms or educational qualification, age, work experience, specific
specification
knowledge, skills, expertise, temperament etc.
Job
Used to compare similarity between jobs within an organization or between organizations or
evaluation
even in an industry.
Role
Work
Task
Job
Position
Training a Development - Role & Impact of Training : The objective of training and development is to comprehend how
this concept of learning could be applied to the organizational context. Establishment of training and development system as part of the HRD
effort involves (a) identification of training needs (b) conducting of the training (c) evaluation of training and (d) selection and development of
trainers.
Objective of Training and Development: Employees should be provided with learning opportunities to enable the
organizations and individuals to achieve their goals. The organizations have to. analyse their requirement. The need of the
organization can be linked to the career progress of the individuals that could lead to: i. Improved performance of the individual on
his present job. His preparation for an identified job in a not-too distant future. His general growth not related to any specific job.
Training : It is the learning related to the present job. When goal is to improve performance, it should be conducted and evaluated to
check the improvement.
Education: It is the learning to prepare the individual for a different but identified job. If the goal is futuristic, it would be required to be
provided.
Development : It is the learning for growth of the individual not related to a specific present or future job. No direct impact may be seen
on the performance.
Theories of adult learning: Lindeman's work was the first instance of defining the perspective of adult learning. It is defined as a
cooperative venture in non-authoritarian & informal learning, the chief purpose of which is to discover the meaning of experience, a
quest of mind which digs down to the roots of the preconceptions which formulate our conduct.
There are a no. of theories to explain as to how we learn. Nadler categorizes them in three sets: Mechanistic (or behaviouristic) theories :
learner is passive in the process of learning. Learning occurs only when a learner is conditioned to give the right response.
Cognitive theories : The purpose of learning is to teach the brain to engage in such critical thinking and problem solving.
Organismic (or Humanistic) theories - Learning occurs when learners have the freedom to learn what is particularly relevant to their personal
life situation. As per Decenzo and Robbins: i. Learning is enhanced when the learner is motivated. Learning requires feedback.
Reinforcement increase the likelihood that a learned behavior will be repeated. Practices increase a learner's performance.
Learning must be transferable to the job.
APPROACH TO TRAINING : For proper training, a systematic approach has to follow certain logical processes for enhancing
knowledge, skills and attitudes of their personnel, which include: Step 1 - Analysis and identification of training needs. Step 2 Preparation old training plan. Step 3 - Conduct of the training program which includes designing the program in terms of the
time, duration, target group, sequence of inputs and methodology. The teaching methodology include readings, lectures,
experimental lectures, discussion, participation training, case studies, role plays. Step 4 - Evaluation of the training program and the
plan (there are various levels for evaluation i.e. reaction level, learning level, the behavior level, functioning level).
Step 5 - Selection and development of trainers.
ATTITUDE DEVELOPMENT
Attitude can be defined as a persistent tendency to feel and behave in a particular manner towards different situations.
Components:
Attitude has three basic components i.e. emotional, informational & behavioural.
Emotional component : This involves person's feeling that may be positive or negative. Information component : A belief
may be founded on insufficient observation or information or opinion. A branch manager is of the opinion that a 2 weeks' training
may be adequate for a person to work effectively as a System Administrator, which actually may be 4 weeks. The belief of the manager
represents his attitude toward training.
Behavioural component: It consists of person's tendency to behave in a particular way towards the object. The behaviour of the
manager in the above situation has impact on the workplace.
Significance of attitude at workplace : Attitudes help predict work behaviour. It also helps people adapt to their work
environment. Attitude serve 4 important functions: The adjustment function - which helps a person to adjust to his work environment.
The ego-defensive function - which helps a person to defend his self-image (example - a young officer questioning the wrong decisions taken
by a senior - the senior develops negative attitude towards the young officer. The value-expression function - which helps a person with a
basis for expressing their value (a manager strongly believes in work ethic. He often tells his subordinates to work hard). The knowledge
function - which helps a person to organize and explain the world around.
Changing attitude: Though it is difficult but it is not impossible to change the attitude of the people. The major barrier against such
change are prior commitments and lack of information. These barriers can be come over by providing new information, by resolving the
discrepancies between attitude and behaviour. To an extent, the change is possible by co-opting
getting people involved in improving
Compiled by Mr. Sanjay Kumar Trivedy, Sr. Mgr., RSTC, mumbai
42
the things. (a union leader is not satisfied with the staff welfare benefits. He is co-opted in the committee. Then he comes to know
about how the benefits are determined and what effort is put by the committee to formulate and balance the scheme, he changes his
attitude).
CAREER PATH PLANNING : Individuals expect certain changes or advancements to take place in a time bound period and when such
changes do not occur, they get frustrated or aliened. Erik Erikson has divided life into R stages (4 in childhood and 4 in adulthood).
The adulthood stages are relevant in understanding, as to what the individuals expect in the organizational careers. These
stages are: Adolescence where individual's development is to achieve an ego identity. Young adulthood where the individual starts
developing relationship with individuals, groups or occupation. Adulthood where the individuals starts guiding the next generation and
passes on values and knowledge to others. Maturity where the individual attempts to achieve ego integrity. Levinson's age-specific
transitions correspond to Erikson's 4 adult stages. Dalton, Thompson and Price have emphasized roles. and relationship, an individual may
experience in the 4 career roles such as : apprentice this is beginning of the career. Individual is doing routine work at this stage.
colleague beginning of making an independent contribution. Mentor where individual develops ideas, manages others and Sponsor
individual broaden his perspective and think long term as he is now a part of the top management.
Career pattern : Driver (1985) has listed these patterns as CAREER CONCEPTS. These include: a) Linear career where the
individual enter into an occupation and plans for upward movement using the organizational hierarchy. b)S t e a d y s t a t e c a r e e r
where the individual enters into an occupation, acquires skills but decides not to move upward.
( c ) T r a n s i t o r y c a r e e r w h e r e i n d i v i d u a l s s h i f t t o n e w j o b s . (d) Spiral career where individuals shift to new jobs,
move up in status and rank.
Schein has given another framework of 3 dimensional movement i.e. (a) vertical i.e. along with the hierarchy,(b) circumferential along
with the different divisions and functions,(c) radial towards the centre of the organization. In a bank situation, three types of
movements may be as under:
Vertical Movement
Scale
Management level
Minimum years of experience before
promotion to next grade
I
Junior Management Middle
7 years
Management
5years
II
III
Middle Management
5 years
Iv
Senior Management
3 years
V
Senior Management
2 years
VI
Top Management
2 years
VII
Top Management
2 year
Horizontal movement
Major business dimensions
Branch size
Branch Manager
Personal Banking, agriculture, priority
Small
Scale I (JMG_)
sector
Medium
Scale II (MMG)
Personal
Banking,
agriculture,
priority
sector,
commercial
credit
Large
Scale III (MMG)
SSI, Industrial and institutional credit
Very Large
Scale IV-V (SMG)
SSI, Industrial, institutionalcredit
and foreign
exchange
Inclusion movement
n
office
Regional Office
Regional office
Zonal Office
Zonal Office
Central Office
trtentral Office
Central Office
i
Central Office
Management level
Scale III
Responsibilities
Incharge
of
functions like
credit,
staff,
Scale IV (Regional Manager)
Coordination,
control
and
development of the
Scale IV (Chief)
Incharge
of
functions like
Scale V
credit staff.
Scale VI (Zonal Manager) Scale IV - Coordination, control and development of
Chief Manager
the zone
development, inspection
Head of functions like credit, staff,
development, inspection Overall
supervision and policy review function
Scale V - AGM
Overall control and policy review for
_
Scale
VI - DGM
modifications
Scale VII - General Manager
Strategic management for a function :
review,
concepts refers to a personal sense of type of work individual wants to pursue and what that irk
implies about the individual. It has three components: Self perception of the talents and abilities based on one's performance.
Self perceived motives and needs based on self-diagnosis and feedback. 3. Self perceived attitudes and values based on interactions
with the norms and values implicit in the organization. As per Schein there are 5 types of career anchors: Technical / functional
competencies, Managerial competencies, Security,Creativity,Autonomy,
career Path Planning System.In general, the career development has two distinctive phases i.e. prior to acquiring qualification
and after acquiring qualification.Career planning is primarily an HRD sub-system. It establishes the linkage between
other sub Systems like manpower planning, job rotations, transfer, placement, training and performance appraisal.
Implementing the career plan, the organization has to see that: . Policy.of career planning is made explicit. Benchmarks are laid down.
Career path is a facility for growth and not a right for advancement. Career path should be made known to the employee. Career path is
followed uniformly for all employees without bias. Career path should be flexible to accommodate variation.
For effective implementation of career path, the organizations have to: Define the career stages in relation to the organizational levels.
Identify the core jobs at each level,Define and spell out the criteria for each successive level.Placement is the next career role.
Compiled by Mr. Sanjay Kumar Trivedy, Sr. Mgr., RSTC, mumbai
43
SELF DEVELOPMENT :
Organisations are required to bring about strategic changes involving business diversification, expansion
and structural changes in response to emerging demands. Organisations are not able to bring total change of mindset of their people.
For creating learning organizations, the people in the organization have to be sensitized to the need or self-renewal. To achieve a
lasting effect, the organizations have to concentrate on how the HR could be reoriented towards such self-renewal. Unless the
individuals change, they would not be able to survive. The change in the organization comes only when the individuals sense that
change is occurring and he has to take corrective steps to ensure that he does not become a misfit. For self-development of the
individual in the context of an organization, the under-noted aspects require consideration: At individual level : motivation pattern,
locus of control and power bases. At inter-personal level : Interpersonal needs, Transactional Analysis At group level : Being
effective member in the work group
Interpersonal interactions
There are a very large no. of situations in an organization, when people interact with each other and influence each other. Accordingly, people
can acquire influencing styles. According to Schutz, there are 3 basic interpersonal needs implied in interaction among people i.e. inclusion,
control and affection. ( Satisfactory relationship includes (a) a psychologically comfortable relationship with people on a dimension of
initiating interaction and (b) a psychologically comfortable relationship with people with respect to eliciting the behaviour from others.
Transactional Analysis
Transactional Analysis (or TA) is the process of analyzing and understanding the beheviour of a human being. It helps in understanding the
behaviour of the self and others, improve the interpersonal relationship and ensures effective communication.
The concept was developed by Eric Berne based on the concept of Freudian Psychology suggested by Sigmund Freud. He made the Freudian
ego and superego simple by replacing with 3 ego states of human mind having no relationship with the age of a person. These ego states are:
Parent- 2 types egos are (1) nurturing parents (it is that part of a person which is understanding and caring about other persons and (2)
critical parents behaviour criticizes others for their undesirable behaviour. In this state a person is very evaluative and judgmental and makes
others feel that they are not OK. Adult
This state evokes behaviour that is logical, rational, having control over emotions,
eagerness for problem solving, rational decision making. Such persons try to find alternatives based on facts and figures and probabilities
prior to engaging in behaviour.
Child-It is a state where a persons behaves emotionally, irrationally and his decision making normally not based on logic and
rationale. A person's child contains the natural impulses and attitudes learnt from experiences. This state can be classified into 3 (a)
Adopted child (it adapts to what must be done to other to get along) (b) natural child (tries to enjoy every bit and take the things as they
come) (c) little professor (it is thinking part and is creative, intuitive, imaginative and indulging in experimentation).
Life positions : People make basic assumptions about their own self-worth and also about the other people in the environment. Harris called
these combinations as Life Positions which are described in the form of OKAYNESS.
PERONALITY TRAITS UNDER TRANSACTIONAL ANALYSIS
Based on the ego states, there are 4 personality traits of a person. The most appropriate under these is considered to be "I am OK. You are
OK".
Working in teams : Synergy creates new untapped alternatives. It exploits the mental, emotional and psychological differences between
people.
Team: It is a group of people with high degree of interdependence for achievement of a goal. The term group and team are used
interchangeably.
Group dynamic : This term was given by Kurt Lewin in 193(3. It refers to (1) internal nature of the group (2) how group is formed (3).structure
and process of group GO how the group functions and affect individuals and organisation.: Stages in group formation and group
behaviour: There are 5 stages:
1. Forming (awareness) members with varied experiences get to know each other. Understand the team's goals and its role..
2
' Storming (conflict) the conflict amongst members. Through conflict, the team attempts to define itself.
Norming (cooperation) - Norms for accomplishment of task are laid. The rules and regulations follow.
Conforming (adjustment) individuals adjusting with team expectations and norms S. performing (productivity) Members focus on
accomplishment of goal by devoting full energy.
Self-awareness : Understanding self, helps in self-development and using one's potential better. SWOT analysis is beneficial to
understand one's strengths, weaknesses, safeguard against threats and capitalizing the opportunities.The concept of Johari Window by Luft
and Ingham, explains what is meant by self-awareness. There are two dimensions (a) how much of one's behaviour is known to him (b) how
much he feels others know him.
These two dimension give 4 windows called (a) arena (b) blind (c) closed and (d) dark.
Known to self
Known to others
Blind
Closed
Dark
Arena : Area of personality known to self & known to others. Dark - Area of personality of a person not known to self and not known to
others. Closed- Area of personality of a person known to self and but not known to others. Blind - Area of personality of a person not
known to self but known to others. The size of arena is critical for improving effectiveness. More a person feels that other know him,
more conducive the environment becomes and the better he is equipped, to face the challenges. The Person becomes receptive to the
feed back and he discloses more and more about himself.Such persons are more trustworthy, open to ideas and suggestion given by
others.
Emotional intelligence:As per Daniel Goleman link between IQ test scores and the achievements in life is dwarfed (dusted) by the
totality of other characteristics that one brings to life. These characteristics are called emotional intelligence (i.e. abilities such as being
able to motivate oneself and persist in the face of frustration, to control the impulse and delay gratification, to regulate one's moods
and keep away distress from swamping the ability to think. There are ye components of emotional intelligence:
Self Awareness: ability to recognize, understand emotions and their effect on others. It includes self assessment and self confidence.
Self : ability to control disruptive impulse, to think before It includes self control
Compiled by Mr. Sanjay Kumar Trivedy, Sr. Mgr., RSTC, mumbai
44
regulation
Motivation
acting.
Passion to work for reasons that go beyond money or
status.
It
Empathy
drive.
It
means understanding
others
Social skills
It covers influencing
Proficiency in managing relationships and building
networks and ability to fund common ground and build
rapport.
includes
achievement
Morale : Morale is a mental state and spirit of a person or group which depends on a no. of intangible factors. High morale
contributes significantly to the achievement of organizational goals. It is reflected through confidence, cheerfulness, discipline and
willingness to perform assigned tasks. Positive morale is highly dependable on employee motivation, reward and recognition. Poor
morale impacts every aspect of the business.
Employees' Morale Boosters : There are a no. of initiatives that boost the employee morale, which include the following.
Welcome ideas
Sharing and implementing the innovations and ideas of employees
Keep score
Putting a score board to recognise top performers and motivate those on the bottom line
Inspect
Thank you notes
Huddle
Open up
Have fun
'
Description of the theory
FW Taylor contributed much to this theory. Theory states that: Physical work could
be scientifically studied to determine the optimal method of performing a job.
Workers can be made efficient by giving prescription. Workers would be willing to
accept these prescriptions, if paid on a differential piece work basis.
Relations As per Elton Mayo, social contracts at workplace are important in addition to money.
Workers can be motivated by acknowledging their social needs and making them feel
and important.
Maslow's useful
He identified
five levels of needs:
Abraham
Need Hierarchy
Theory
1:Physiological needs: Food, rest, exercise, shelter etc. 2:Safety needs: Protection
against danger, threat, deprivation. 3:Social needs: Need for belonging, for association,
for acceptance, for giving and receiving friendship and love. 4:Ego/esteem needs:
Need for self confidence, for dependence, for achievement, for knowledge and need
for status, recognition, appreciation. 5:Self-fulfillment or self-actualisation needs: To
realise one's own potentialities, to experience conrini 'err self-development, to be
creative.
_ __
Frederick Herzberg's It states that there are two sets of motivating factors i.e. hygiene or maintenance factors
Two Factor Theory
relating to job environment and other the motivators relating to contents of the job.
Motivational factors
include
recognition, advancement,
responsibility,
achievement, possibility of growth & work itself. Maintenance factors include
company policy and administration, technical supervision, salary, job security, personal
life, working conditions, status, inter-personal relations with peers and supervisors.
Clayton
Aiderfer's It is based on existence, relatedness and growth (ERG). People have needs in a hierarchy
ERG Theory
and these needs determine the human behaviour. ERG theory has three levels of needs
compared to 5 in case of Maslow. As per ERG theory, more than one need may be
Achievement
According to DC McCelland, there are three needs i.e. for achievement, for power
Motivation Theory
and for affiliation.
VictorH
Vroom's
Expectancy Model
'
This theory is known by other names also such as instrumentality theory, path-goal
theory, valence-instrumentality-expectancy theory.
As per theory, motivation is
determined by the nature of reward people expect to get as a result of their job. Man
being rational tries to maximize his perceived value of such rewards. There are three
elements in the model i.e. expectancy, instrumentality and valence (value a person
assigns to the desired reward).
Theory proposes that motivation to act, develops after the person compares the inputs /
outcomes with the identical ratio in comparison to the other person. Upon feeling inequity,
the person is motivated to reduce it.
It states that the motivation does not equal satisfaction and performance. These are
all separate variables. Effort does not lead to performance directly. The reward that
follows will determine the satisfaction.
i The consequences of an individual's behaviour in one situation influences that
individual's l behaviour in a similar situation.
Motivation and behavior : Behaviour is generally influenced by a desire to achieve some goal and goal may be known to the individual or
it may not be known to him. Each activity is supported by motivation.
Motives Individuals carry a set of inner motivations and drives that influence the way he behaves much more radically than he
realizes. Motives are needs, wants, drives or impulses within the individual.
Goals These are outside an individual. These are the hopes for rewards towards which the motives are directed.
Motivation To Work
There are several ways of motivating people at work such as money, appreciation, job enrichment, job rotation, participation.
Money
It is important motivator as money has the capability to meet several needs of a person.
Maslow's physiological needs like food, clothing and shelter can be met by money. Money
has a limited impact as motivator and it has diminishing returns.,
Appreciation
An effective non-monetary benefit is the recognition and appreciation for good job. It
satisfies self esteem need. It also has impact on other group members.
Job enrichment
Job rotation
Shifting an employee from one job to another keeps his interest in the job intact.
Besides, there is lot of learning opportunity in job rotation.
Participation
Adequate and fair compensation, safe and healthy environment, jobs aimed at
developing and using employee's skills and abilities, integration of job career and family
all contribute in improvement in quality of work life.
Role concept and analysis :Role refers to a set of expected behaviour patterns attributed to someone occupying a given position
in an organization. Role and position are different concepts. Role is a position a person occupies in an organization and it is an
obligational concept . Position is a relational and power related concept. The concept of role widens the meaning of work and
relationship of the employee with other significant persons in the system. There are few import4nt aspect of role such as role
stagnation, inter-role distance, role set conflict (which has various forms such as role ambiguity, role expectation conflict, role overload,
role erosion, role inadequacy, personal inadequacy etc.)
regulations, procedures, communication channel, delegation.) Responsibility (employees' feeling about being your own boss, clarity of
role) Reward (employees' feeling about being rewarded for good job, perception about reward and punishment system),Risk (sense of
riskiness and challenge in the job and in the organization),Warmth (general feeling of fellowship, informal supporting culture)
Support (perception about helpfulness of managers),Standards (perceived importance of implicit and explicit goals and
performance standards),Conflict (employees' feeling that the managers and others want to hear different opinion)
Identity (employees' feeling of belongingness to the organization and perceived value).
Reward and compensation
The wages as compensation is viewed as the main attraction to join or change a job. Compensation should be reasonable and
justifiable to keep the employee happy and devoted in the organization. Basic aim of an individual is to earn satisfactory wages
and perform well to be recognized for other financial and non-financial rewards.
Types of compensation : Compensation refers to a monetary reward for the performance of the job plus other benefits. It
include wages or salary, bonus, cash allowances, benefits such as accident, health insurance cover, employer' contribution to
the retirement funds, provision for accommodation.
Certain important information for questions on MINI (Common for all Chapters):
1.Attitude has emotional, informational, behaviourial dimensions.
2 Attitude though difficult, but it can be changed.
3 One of the weapons to change the attitude is by arousing fear.
4 Attitude changes can be tried through influence of friends and peers, opinion leaders and co-opting people in the decision making process.
5 Career roles such as sponsor, colleague, apprentice and mentor can be arranged in the ascending order as sponsor,
colleague, mentor and apprentice.
6 In transaction analysis, the transaction is blocked when a transaction takes place between parent to parent.
7 An individual's personality has a combination of child, adult and parent ego status.
8 In transactional analysis "I am not OK, you are OK' stands for I do not have value. You have value.
9 Every member of the group has to work out the task of the group, maintain the cohesiveness of the group and understand the
decision making process of the group.
10. HR professionals must have concern for people and their development.
11. HR professionals must have ability to work as a team member
12 National Institute of Labour Management was started mainly for promotion and development of cordial relationship between employees
and employers.
13 Howthrone Studies revealed that productivity depends on emotional state, relationship with colleagues, kind attention of the supervisors.
14 Application of IT to serve customers of a bank has tremendous potential.
15 The main task of knowledge management is to capture tacit knowledge of people for future use. i6 Andragogy refers to adult learning.
Labour unrest and formation of unions was started because more emphasis was laid on work, there was mechanical approach
towards the workers, behaviour of the workers was totally ignored.
8 The central theme of Human Approach in Management is that the individuals are motivated by sense of achievement.
19 Human relations movement replaced 'rational economic man' by 'social man'. Social man means development of relationships through
organisational interaction.
20 Learning requires feed back, motivation and practice.
5.Performance Management
The basic objective of HRM is to create an environment, where the individual contributes his best to meet the corporate goals and gets
satisfaction, out of what he does. Their performance is measured to examine their contribution and also for compensation.
Definition of performance Appraisal:
As per Heyel, performance appraisal is a process of evaluating the performance and qualifications of the employees in terms of
requirement of the job for which they are employed, for the purpose of administration including placement, selection for promotion, for
financial rewards and other actions.
Appraisal system :
Performance appraisal is an important tool both for the organization and the employee. It is a process by which the management
finds out how effective it has been in hiring and placing the employees. It is an important tool to review employee performance,
take corrective steps through training, interventions or placement decision, reward good performance and attempt to take the
employee performance at a higher level. The appraisal system may be formal or informal depending upon the requirements of the
organization.
Objectives of the system: According to McGregor, the performance appraisal plans meet 3 needs: r. Judgmental for salary increases,
transfers and promotions. Developmental telling an employee hoe is he doing and suggesting changes in his skills, attitude and behaviour.
Counselling by the superior. The specific objective, the system should serve are: To enable the organisation to maintain an inventory of
the quality and skills of people and identify and meet their training needs. To determine the performance linked increments and provide
data for promotions and transfers.To maintain individual and group development and fulfill their aspirations by sharing with them, their
standard of observed performance and help them reach the benchmarked by skill upgradations programs.
Benefits of performance appraisal
Making employee comparable at common footing as uniform rating scale is used.
It provides critical input to decide on promotion, compensation, training etc.
It provides input on weak areas relating to the employee to initiate corrective action
If implemented with openness and trust, the system provides better interpersonal relations between employees and supervisors.
Process of evaluation:
The process of evaluation has to take care of the following aspects: Organization sets up the performance standards, that should be
clear, realistic and measurable. Standards are required to be conveyed to the employees. For measurement of performance, data is
collected. Based on data/information, the performance is measured. Outcome of the appraisal is discussed with the employee
emphasizing the strong points and counseling him on the weak point Corrective steps are taken.
Appraisal methods:
Management by objective method (MBO):
This system emphasizes on goal achievement rather than the method involved. The process is: Setting up of organizational goals.
Compiled by Mr. Sanjay Kumar Trivedy, Sr. Mgr., RSTC, mumbai
47
Goal setting is a joint process. Frequent reviews of performance through one to one meeting. Sharing of feedback in altering the course
of action, if required.
Advantages Involves participative approach in goal setting. (b) enhances motivational skills (c) creates an environment of competition
within the organization for enhanced performance (d) provides objective appraisal method (e) early identification of problems.
Disadvantages (i) concentrates on results and not processes (2) leads to unhealthy competition amongst employees (3) creates
conflicting situation at the time of goal fixation (4) soft targets may be fixed to show high performance.
Performance appraisal method in Banking Industry : It runs in 3 parts
(i) First part consists of self appraisal by the employee which ensures participation of employee.
, (2) Second part is appraisal by the reporting authority
(3) 3rd part is review by the senior authority to reduce subjectivity or bias.
Potential assessment:
The performance appraisals emphasizes the past performance and does not help much in making assessment about the potential
performance. For this purpose, the organizations may make use of Potential Appraisal Report. The assessment centre method (of
performance appraisal) used in conjunction with the performance appraisal system, can help in determining the potential.
and the consultants were not able to deliver the desired results even after several months. In fact the Consultants were of the view
that it may never be possible to implement the project with 100% success as they seemed to be facing resistance from the
employees at multi-levels. The employees at all levels seemed reluctant to co-operate. Their fear of Role erosion seemed palpable.
42) What does "Role erosion" mean in this context?: a)The fear of the employee that he will be sent out b)Fear that the responsibility
and the power will reduce c)Fear that he will no more be an indispensable d) a & b
43) The critical issue in this case is:a)Attitudes of individuals b)Training of people c)Group behavior due to a sense of the unknown d)All
the above
44) How could this situation have been managed better?: a)By issuing project details and time frame mentioning punishments in
case of delay b)By roping in the HR professionals to act as coordinator c)By recognizing that any change brings its own reactions
and co-opting the managers even before the Consultants moved in d)b & c
45) The Bank should deal with the employee resistance by: a)Co-opting the employees b)Communicating strategically about the
potential benefits c)Conducting simultaneous training to familiarize the staff with the new software d)All of the above
46) Mr. Ganguli is a brilliant manager in ABC Bank. He is one of the few persons picked up by the top management from an IIM
after MBA. Always on two phones at a time, he boasts about having no patience with tt laggards. Often, he can be heard
aggressively yelling at people on small issues. What type of person is Mr. Ganguli?: a)Type B personality b) Type A personality
c) Type C person d) Type D person
47) What is most essential for achieving Work-Life balance?: a) Time management b) Efficiency c) Assertiveness d) Emotional
maturity
48) A sales man in a shop showed a suit piece and told the customer that the cloth is very good, but costly. He was using the
following transaction: a) Duplex b) Angular c) Complementary d) None of the above
49) A prominent politician was heard saying that that people state was incapable of joining the army. He was :a)Stereotyping b)
Projecting c) Hallucinating d) All of the above
50) Mr. A is the Branch Manager in ABC Bank. He makes it a point to visit the prominent deposit customers himself to deliver
their deposit receipts. He does not even take the "Relationship Manager" appointed for this purpose. Mr. A believes that none of
the new generation staff is good enough to deal with such tasks. What is the "Life position" taken by Mr. A as regards the
"Relationship Manager" as per the "Theory of Lifr position" propounded by Dr. Thomas Harris?: a) I are OK, you are OK b) I
am Ok, You are not OK c) I am not OK, you are not Okd) I am not OK, you are not OK
51) Translation losses are significant for banks as they affect the Bank's:a) Markel value
b) Interest income c) Both (a) & (b)
aboved) All of the above
ANSWER
1
6
11
16
21
26
31
36
41
46
D
C
A
C
B
B
C
D
A
A
2
7
12
17
22
27
32
37
42
47
C
D
D
A
B
C
C
B
D
D
3
8
13
18
23
28
33
38
43
48
C
A
B
B
B
A
A
A
C
B
4
9
14
19
24
29
34
39
44
49
B
A
C
D
C
0
A
B
D
A
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50-B
D
B
B
D
A
D
A
C
0
51-A
ANSWER
CASE STUDY - 01
Mr. Mihir is the AGM in charge of Bank street, Hyderabad branch of ABC Bank. He is approached by XYZ Company
regarding a TT remittance
the Company has to make urgently in favour of Siemens, Singapore for USD One million on
Thursday, the 250 of Oct. This is the first time the Company is making such a remittance. it is an advance remittance
for import of services. The Chairman of XYZ Company is particular that the transaction should go through smoothly.
In this regard, please answer the following:
49) ABC Bank should call for and verify the IlE code of the Company. a) True
b) False
50) The exchange rate that would be applicable for this transaction is: a)TT buying b) TT selling c) Bill buying d)Bill selling
51) The Company has to produce a Bank guarantee or Standby Letter of Credit from a First class Bank backing up the
remittance because: a)The Advance payment is for a sum exceeding USD 100,000 b)The Advance payment is for a sum
exceeding USD 500,000 c)All Advance remittances require BG/SBLC d)BG/SBLC not required any more
52) What is the form that the Company has to submit to the Bank for such an Advance remittance?: a) Form A-2b) Form
A-1 c) Form A-3 d) Form ETX
CASE STUDY - 02
Mr. Mihir, AGM of ABC Bank has arranged for a "Customer Awareness" programme in his branch on 25th Oct. The
meeting is attended by customers from all categories such as Exporters, Importers, NRIs etc. A question answer
session as follows takes place. Please mark the answers that Mr. Mihir must give in correct response to the
customers:
53) Mr. Amrit, CEO of one of the big four auditing firms is a VIP customer residing in Hyderabad. He wishes to know
whether he can invest in a residential property in the USA as house prices have become very attractive there now:
a)Yes, he can invest and buy the house. b)No, he cannot invest in a house abroad. c)Yes, he can buy a house abroad but the
maximum remittance per calendar year is USD 100,000 under LRS. d)Yes, he can buy a house abroad. Maximum remittance
per FY is USD 200,000 under LRS
54) Mr. Amrit says that he will definitely make a remittance in the next few months towards the house purchase within
the permitted limit. However, he is worried that the Dollar: Rupee rates are not moving in his favour: a)He can book a
forward contract for USD 200,000 b)He can book a forward contract for USD 100,000 c)The maximum tenor of the contract is
12 months d)He should be informed of both a & c .
Compiled by Mr. Sanjay Kumar Trivedy, Sr. Mgr., RSTC, mumbai
53
55) Mr. Anand is a NRI living in Richmond, U.S.A. Currently he is on a visit home. He has saved money
in dollars in
FCNR deposits maturing in three months time. He wishes to know whether he can book a ForwarrtiF contract to receive
the maturity proceeds in GBP. He also wants to know whether the Bank can make a remittance in GBP on maturity date
to a third party directly (to his son studying in London School of Economics).: a)No, he cannot book a Forwara contract
and has to receive the proceeds in dollars only. b)Yes, he can book a Cross currency forward contract such that the proceeds can
be paid in GBP. c)Bank can pay in GBP but to him only.d)Bank can make a direct remittance to his son in GBP as third party
remittances are now allowed. e)Mr. Anand has to be informed of b & d
56) Mr. Mohandas from Omni exports wanted to know whether the interest subvention is applicable to his packing
credit. His firm deals with manufacture of pickles and has an original investment of Rs.4 crore in plant and
machinery:a)Yes, interest subvention of 2% applicable because it is food-processing industry b)No, interest subvention not
applicable. c)Yes, interest subvention is applicable because it is a SME unit. d)Interest subvention scheme has been scrapped
now.
57) Mr. Mohandas also wanted to know if he can give some credit (time to pay) to his buyers abroad. He has sent his
export bill on collection bask through the Bank. His unit is situated in the vicinity of the branch and not in SEZ:a)Yes,
time limit for realization of export proceeds is 180 days b)Yes, time limit for realization of export proceeds is 12 months c)Yes,
time limit for realization of export proceeds is 15 months. d)Yes, there is no time limit for realization of export proceeds now for all
exporters.
ANSWER
1
8
15
22
29
36
43
50
E
B
C
A
D
C
A
B
2E
9
16
23
30
37
44
51
D
A
B
D
B
B
B
3
10
17
24
31
38.8
45
52
lA
B
E
B
D
D
B
4
11
18
25
32
39
46
53
E
B
E
B
B
,
D
D
5
12
19
26
D33
40
47
54
A
E
E
E
D
A
B
D
6E
13
20
27
34
41
48
55
A
B
D
A
D
E
7
D
14
C
21
B
28
A
35
C
B
B42
49
A
56-C, 57-B
a)
b)
c)
d)
55) Which of the following statement is correct? a )Foreign Exchange markets are localized markets.b)Exchange markets
operate within a country's time zone.c) Exchange markets are dynamic and round the clock markets.d) Exchange markets
are used only for trade related transactions.
56)Which of the following definitions is most correct? UCPDC 500 is: a)- La of rules applicable to CC transactions
b)Set al rule having 500 articles.C) Set of rules framed by ICC governing LC business globally.d) Set Of universally applicable rules
governing LC business in India only.
57) W market quotes USDIINR as 43.61163, at what rate can you buy USD at the given quote: a) 43.61 b) 43.62
c) 43.63 d)
None of the above
58) A correspondent in Japan wants to fund his Vostro account for Rs 10.00 million. At USD/INR at 63.56157 and JPY at
109.60/70, how much JPY should the correspondent pay into your Nostro account with him, assuming no margins are loaded: a)
91157.70
b) 251636
c) 229515
d) 251762
Q. 59-63) Read the following situation carefully and tick the answer which is considered most appropriate on the issues raised
therein.
11 January 2000, Mr Mohan, a resident of Mumbai, was offered a job in Muscat by a construction company, as Sr. Civil Engineer on a 2
year job contract. He left India on 15.2.2000, after completing Visa formalities and joined the company in Muscat on 18.2.2000. His family
joined him in May 2000. He worked with the company till March 2002, and returned back to India bag and baggage. In May 2002, he joined
a large construction company in Mumbai, which also undertook large construction projects at overseas centers. He was posted at one of the
local construction sites initially, but in October 2003, he was deputed to a Hotel construction site in Moscow, by his employers. He stayed in
Moscow for a year, and returned in November 2004 on completion of the project work. On returning India, he resigned from the company to
go to Riyadh for taking up another job. He left for Riyadh in December 2004 and got a job with a large company immediately and continues
to be there until now. He had following accounts in India:
A Savings bank account with XYZ Bank opened in 1998.
A Savings Bank account with XYZ Bank opened in 2000, from the monies sent from Muscat, used for payment of monthly sustenance to
his old parents in India,
A Term Deposit with a Foreign Bank in India, made out of funds he received by selling his ancestral property in Goa.
A Term deposit account with an ABC Bank, for USD 5000.00, sent from Muscat, when he received his annual bonus. Answer the
following questions based on the above facts.
59) What do we call the savings account of Mr. Mohan with XYZ Bank between the period March 2000 and March 2002.
a) Ordinary savings account
b) Resident Rupee account c) Non resident Ordinary Rupee A/c d) Non resident
External Rupee A/c
60) What do we call the savings account of Mr. Mohan with XYZ Bank, opened in 2000, until March
2002?:a) NRNR Account
b) NRO savings account c) NRE savings account d) FCNR savings account
AReturning resident Indian c)
61) What was the status of Mr. Mohan, during May 2002 and May 2003: a) Non resident Indian b)
Temporary resident Indian d) Resident Indian
62) What do we call the Term deposit account of Mr. Mohan with the foreign bank during his stay in India?:
a) NRO account
b) NRE account c) Ordinary resident term deposit account d) Domestic term deposit a/c
63) What do we call the deposit of Mr. Mohan made in US Dollars, when opened?: a) NRE USD account b) Foreign Currency Resident
account c) Foreign Currency Non-Resident a/c d) Non Resident Foreign currency a/c
64) ECGC of India Ltd is a corporation set up by the Government of indfa to encourage exporters & help the Exporting
community and the financing bankers to mitigate the risks involved in their business of Exporting. The corporation does so by
issue of: a) Financial guarantees to banks b) Policies to exporters c) Offering factoring services d) All of the above
65) You are the Manager of Indian Progressive bank. Your branch has a target to sell 1000 credit cards in year 2006-07. Your
NRI customer Mr Yash Mittal is willing to buy your card for use in India. You advise him
that he can pay the bills from
:a) Inward remittance b) Balance in FCNR I NRE a/c c) Non-Resident (Ord) Rupee account d) All as
above
66) Omni Exports ltd have availed PCFC from you. They were however not able to export as their order was cancelled. Your
bank has to now adjust the PCFC as no export has taken place within the stipulated extended period. At what rate would the
bank convert the PCFC outstanding in to converted in to rupee liability for recovery: a) Bill buying rate
b) TT buying rate c)
Bills selling rate d) TT selling rate
67) Diamond dollar account (DDA) scheme is available for companies dealing in purchase & sale of rough /cut diamond if
they have a good track record of at least three years in business of diamonds &have
Annual turnover of at least& above in preceding three licensint years, and should have been the bank's customer for at least three
years.: a) Rs 10 crores b) Rs 100 crores c) Rs 5 crores d) USD Onemillion
68) Recently RBI has granted Authorised dealer Category II status to This means they can not only purchase FX brought in
the formof TCs, Currency but also sell TCs, Currency/make outward remittances: a) UAE Exchange Centre
b) Thomas Cook (I)
Ltd. c) Western Union Money transfers Ltd d) All of the above
69) Which amongst the following Foreign currency accounts is like a current account in nature: a) EEFC b) RFC (D) c) FCNR d) A &
B
70) Export vendor development programme is a programme by
: a) EXIM bank b) ECGC India c) RBI
d) Export corporation
Compiled by Mr. Sanjay Kumar Trivedy, Sr. Mgr., RSTC, mumbai
54
of India
71) The term "Personal Efficacy" means: a)Self belief in one's own ability to complete a task efficiently b)Personal effectiveness c)
Personal efficiency d) None of the above
72) Johari Window is most useful for: a) Understanding others b) Self-Awareness c) Working in Teams d) Improving inter-personal
relations
73) A major limitation of the VaR is that: a) It requires long term historical data b) It is a tedious process c) It assumes extreme conditions
d) It assumes normal market conditions
74) The sensitivity of an investment's return to market movement is called :a) Alpha
b) Betac Haircut d)None of the above
ANSWERS
/10
QTA
59
60
64
65
1)
70
71
66
,
72
CIA
55
56
57
58
61
62
63
67
68
69
73
74
QA
C
A
_D
56
62
68
74
A
B
B'
A
57
63
69
7
5
Q
A
B
A
A
59
A
60
58
C
C
66
64
A
65
A
72
70
A
71
Advice of eider taste bitter first
later
A
B
D
D
sweet
37) Mandatory feature of a Letter of Credit: A)Must have an applicant and a beneficiary b)Should have an advising bank and a
confirming bank c)Should be confirmed to be operative d)Must be confirmed by the reimbursing bank
38) Which of the following statement is correct?: a)Forex markets are localized markets.b)Forex markets are international markets
only c)Forex markets are dynamic & round the clock markets. d)Forex markets are used only for trade transactions.
39) What type of computer system is used for ledgers positing using ALPMs?: a)Stand alone
b) Multi user c) WAN
d) None
40) If market quotes USD/INR as 43.61/63, at what rate can you buy USD at the given quote?:
a) 43.61
b) 43.62
c) 43.63 d) 4360
41) The main role function of the Welfare secretary was tomeet the needs of the workers and prevent them from : a) Forming
Unions
b) Leaving the job c) Gossiping during duty d) disturbing other workers
42) The Concept of career path relates to -------- of movements and deciding the____
for each stage.:a)Sequence. time period b)
Number, candidates c) Decision, number d) Type, time period
43) Johari Window is most useful for: a) Understanding others b) Self-Awareness c) Working in Teams
d) Improving
inter-personal relations
44) The process of capturing the tacit knowledge of peoplein a systematic manner for future use is called :a) Data entry b)
Information technology c) Knowledge management d) All of the above together
45) The three alternatives in collecting data for marketing research to: a)Sampling, questionnaire and door to door survey
b)Books & publications, interviewing of customers & experiment c)Economic surveys, industry reports and library reference
d)Observation, experiment and survey
46) Union formations were seen in the phase of development of HRM: a)First phase b) Second Phase c) Third phase d) Unions have been
present even before HRM came in to existence
47) Climate Management is possible by using HRIT. Climate information is gathered using:
a) Job satisfaction surveys b)Performance appraisals by superiors c)Studying attendance patterns in different weathers d)All of the above
48) Closed and Open Stored Value Card is also known as: a) Electronic Purse b) Electronic Wallet c) Both a and b d) Magnetic
Strip Card
49) Job Analysis technique involves: a) Job Description
b) Job Specification c) Job Evaluation d) All of the above
50) Mechanistic (or Behaviorist) theories, cognitive theories and Organismic humanistic) theories are three theories of
learning. Which one of these theories equates man with his brain?: a) Behaviorist or mechanistic theories b) Cognitive theories
c) Organismic or humanistic theories
d) All of the above
51) VSAT system enables to carryout: a) Electronic funds transfer b) EFT / POS c) Asynchronous Transfer Mode (ATM) traffic d) All
of the above
52) The class of the IP Address and the subnet mask determine: a)As to which part belongs to the network address b)As to which
part belongs to the node address c)Both a and b d) None of these
ANSWERS
36
37
38
C
B
39
44
A
C
40
15
C
A
41
42
43
46
47
48
49
_50
51
52
33)
34)
35)
The open market operations (0M0) refer to the sale and purchase by the RBI of: a) Foreign exchange b) Gob c) Government securities
d) All of the above
Which of the following is a direct tax?: a) Sales tax b) Entertainment tax c) Excise duty d) Estate duty
Capital deficit in India is: a) Positive
b) Zeroc) Negative d) None of the above
ANSWERS
1
6
11
16
21
C
A
C
A
C
26
31
D
D
2
7
12
17
22
27
B
E
E
B
A
A
32
3
8
13
18
23
28
33
A
B
A
A
C
B
D
4
9
14
19
24
29
34
A
B
D
D
A
A
- D
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
B
B
A
C
A
C
A
04 As part of financial sector reforms, the previous office of Controller of Capital Issues has been replaced by:
A CCI
B
SEBI
C BCSBI
D CIBIL
05 W hich of the following centersis the first in India, where the cheque truncation system has been introduced:
A Delhi BC h e n n a i C M u m b a i D B a n g a l o r e
06 Which of the following features, is not correct regarding National Electronic Funds transfer:
A it functions on a batch system
B the settlement takes place on a net basis C
of the above
07 Free and compulsory education to all children of 6 to 14 years of age, is a fundamental right. This provision was made by way of
Constitution of India:
A 80 B 82 C 84 D 86
amendment to the
C no linear correlation
D no correlation
15 Calculate the correlation coefficient based on the following data relating to demand and price:
Demand In quintals 65 66
67
68
70
72
Price InRs.
67
68
65
72
69
71
A no correlation B0.6812 C 0.5781 D 0.9221
16 In regression analysis, within the equation y = a + bx, a is :
A the y-intercept
B the x-intercept
C The b-intercept Dindicator of slope of the line
17 You are given the following data:
DEMAND IN QUINTALS 65
66
67
68
PRICE IN RS
67 68
65
72
If the value of x = 80, find out the value of y
A88.49 B 75.29 C 64.08 D Value cannot be calculated.
70
69
72
71
18 Which of the following represents the observed and predicted values and help to get the feel of the situation:
A dependent variable B scatter diagram C trend analysis D correlation analysis
19 The following information relating to no. of ships loaded in aharbour has been provided: 2005 (98 ships), 2006 (104 ships), 2007 (115 ships), 2008 (118
ships), 2009 (131 ships), 2010 (152 ships) and 2011 (174 ships). It is observed that there is increase in the no. of ships loaded over 7 years. Such variations
come under which type of time series
A secular trend B cyclical fluctuation C seasonal variations D irregular variations
20 Of the 4 variations of time series, which represents the long term direction:
A secular trend
B cyclical fluctuation
C seasonal variations
D irregular variations
21 Which of the following is the benefit to study the secular trend (1) historical pattern can be described (2) future change can be projected I(3) trend
components and seasonal components can be separated. (4) accurate predictions can be made.
A 1 to 4 all
B 1 to 3 only
C 1 and 3 only
D 2 and 3 only
22 Cyclical variation, as a component of time series, tends to oscillate above and below the secular trend line for how much time period:
A up to one year
B one year
C longer than one year D longer than 2 years
23 Which of the following is a component of emotional intelligence (1) self-awareness (2) self regulation (3) self motivation (4) empathy (5) social
skills
A1, 3 and 5 only
B 2 and 4 only
D 2, 3 and 5 only D 1 t o 5 a l l
24 Human behaviour is a complex phenomenon. It is result of many factors including (1) biological process (2) psychological process (3)
social process (4) nformation process
A 1 to 4 all
B1 to 3 only
C 2 to 4 onl y
D 2 and 3 only
25Which of the following factors falls in organizational factors so far the influence on behavior of an individual is concerned:
A cultural, social, economic factors
B age, sex and education
C Personnel policies, reward and compensation system
and attitude
D 'values, perception
26 The cabin of a bank branch manager gives an untidy look and messy appearance. His table is full of papers. He is exhibiting:
A type A behavior
B type B behavior
C a mix of type A and type B
Dneither type A nor type B
27Which theory of personality believes that the traits of a person which determine his personality and behavior, are basically inherent to a person:
A Psycho-analytical theory B Trait Theory
C Self concept theory D Social learning theory
28__________________theory of personality believes that the personality development is more a result of social variables than biological factors.
A Psycho-analytical theoryB Trait Theory
C Self concept theory D Social learning theory
29Split brain (right vs left) psychology is closely related to ESB. Which of the following is not controlled by the left side of the brain:
A speech B emotions
C reading and writing
D sequential ordering
30 According to personality job fit theory of John Holland, there are 6 types of personality. Which of the following is not such personality (1) realistic (2)
investigative () social (4) conventional (5) enterprising (6) artistic:
A 1 and 3
B 2 and 5 C 6 only
D
none of these
31 The human resources systems are largely designed by banks and other organizations for:
A a heterogeneous workforce Ba homogenous workforceC a diverse workforce
D according to their need
32 Which of the following approach acknowledges the existence of cultural distance and attempts to teach individual members about cultural differences
through training:
A diversity enlargement
B diversity sensitivity
C cultural audit
D all the above
33 The term motivation has been derived from :
A Roman word
B an English word
C a Latin wor
Da Devnagari word
D 5
37 In the balance sheet of a bank, the term loans and bank guarantees are shown as under:
A term loan in the asset side and DPG on the liability side
B term loan and DPG both on the asset side
loan as an asset
D none of the above
38 At times a small change in the price of one variable say, raw material, may impact the profitability drastically. This is examined through:
A break-even analysis
Bsensitivity analysis
C profitability analysis
Dall the above
39. If a bank finances the promoters for acquisition of an infrastructure company, the maximum amount should be restricted to of finance
required for acquiring promoter's stake in the company being acquired.
A15%
B 20% C 25%
D 50%
41 What is the maximum amount of commission or brokerage fee that the borrowers can pay to the guarantors as consideration for the guarantee:
A 0.25% of the guaranteed amount
B 0.50% of the guaranteed amount C 0.75% of the guaranteed amount
D such payments cannot be made
by the borrowers
42If a borrower is availing working capital facilities with one bank and wants to open current account with another bank:
A it can do so at its discretion
B it can not do so in any circumstances
C it can do so with permission of the financing bank
discretion of the bank, with whom it wants to open the account.
D it can do so at the
43 Under Loan system of Credit delivery, the permanent portion called working capital demand loan (WCDL) should normally be:
A 80% of the MPBF
B 75% of the MPBF
C 50% of the MPBF
D 20% of the MPBF
44 With a view to restrict the happening of frauds in consortium or multiple banking loans, RBI made it mandatory to obtain declaration from borrowers
availing limits of and above, about limits availed from other banks:
A Rs.5 cr and above
B Rs.10 cr and above
CRs.15 cr and above
D Rs.20 cr and above
45 If a firm provides wrong information about its debtors to avail the cash credit limits, it can be detected with the help of
A receivable audit
B verification of receivables from books
C cross-checking of information from the balance sheet data
46 If inventory (stock position) details are wrongly mentioned by a borrower, which of the following cannot be used to detect, incorrect mention of stocks in
the stock statement:
Aanalysis of balance sheet and profit/loss account
B stock audit C physical verification of stocks
D cross-checking of information from the balance
sheet data
47Credit risk can be defined as:
A possible willful default by borrowers in meeting their loan repayment obligations
B possible genuine inability of the borrowers in meeting their
loan repayment commitments
C possibility of loan account becoming NPA.s_
D all the above
48 Which of the following is not part of micro level risk mitigation step:
A following policies where the risk is evenly spread over all geographical areas
B monitoring of individual loan account effectively
standards of appropriate loan documentation
D obtaining collateral securities to secure the loans properly
C following
b
c
d
a
02
07
12
17
d
d
b
b
03
08
13
18
b
b
d
b
04
09
14
19
b
c
c
a
05
10
15
20
a
B
C
A
21
26
31
36
41
46
b
a
b
b
d
a
22
27
32
37
42
47
c
b
b
c
c
d
23
28
33
38
43
48
d
d
c
b
a
a
24
29
34
39
44
49
b
b
d
d
a
d
25
30
35
40
45
50
C
D
A
D
D
C
02 The goal before RBI is to help the economy to come out of ongoing depressed economic activity. What type of monetary policy it should follow:
A tight money policy
B contractionary policy
C expansionary policy
D adhoc policy
03In a contractionary monetary policy, which of the following action is not initiated by RBI:
A increase in CRR
B increase in Repo rate C increase in interest rates
D none of the above
05The rate at which the banks park their short term excess liquidity is called:
A repo rate
B r e v e r s e r e p o r a t e C bank rate
D base rate
06 When RBI finds that there is too much money floating in the banking system, which of the following is initiated by RBI:
10Banks that have declared a borrower as a willful defaulter, are required to send report to (which is not correct):
A RBI for non-suit filed cases with outstanding of Rs.25 lac and above on a quarterly basis i.e. Mar, June, Sept and Dec
B CIBIL for suit-filed cases with
outstanding of Rs.25 lac and above on a quarterly basis i.e. Mar, June, Sept and Dec
C SEBI of all cases of willful defaulter on a half yearly basis i.e.
Mar and Sept
D none of the above
11 When application is filed with DRT by the bank under provisions of RDDB Act, DRT sends notice to the defendant (borrower) within
relief should not be granted to the bank:
A 7 days
B 15 days
C 30 days
D 45 days
, as to why the
12A firm had estimated sales of Rs.25 lac for 2009, Rs.40 lac for 2010 and Rs.60 lac for 2011. The actual achievement is Rs.30 lac, Rs.40 lac and Rs.55
lac. What is relative cyclical residual for 2010 in this case:
A0 %
B 100%
C 40 lac
Dinadequate information
13The index for measuring seasonal variation in time series, is based on
A0
B 10
C 100
D it varies from time to time.
14 Which of the following is a type of estimate (1) point estimate (2) interval estimate (3) range estimates (4) general estimate.
A 1 to 4 all
B 1 and 2 only
C 3 and 4 only
D 1,3 and 4 only
15Which of the features of a point estimate is not correct?
A A point estimate is often insufficient
B a point estimate is either right or wrong
an estimate of the error that might be involved.D none of the above
16 Which of the following statement is correct (1) sample mean can be estimator of the population mean (2) sample mean cannot be estimator of the
population mean (3) Sample proportion can be used as an estimator of the population proportion (4) Sample proportion cannot be used as an estimator of
the population proportion
A1 and 4
B1 and 3
C2 and 4
D2 and 3
17 The sample size is increased. It is almost certain that the value of the statistic is very close to the value of the population parameter. This represents
which of the following features of a good estimator:
A unbiased
B efficiency
C consistency
Dsufficiency
18 the bank branches maintains 10 very high networth individual deposit accounts. The balance in these accounts are ( Rs in lacs
1
2
3
4
5
190
198
212
187
What is the standard deviation
A 8.03
B 6.80
C 5.40
206
D 4.70
19 the average life of flash light of car is 26 months and standard deviation is 5 months. If a sample of 400 cars is taken to
know the range in which theaverage life falls calculate the range
A 26 months
B 24.2 months to 27.2 months
C 25.6 months to 26.4 months
D information is not adequate
20 The simplex method in the linear programming is an iterative process which approaches an optimum solution in such a way that an objective function of
maximization or minimization is fully reached. Which of the following statement is correct in this connection:
AEach iter ation in this process increases the distance (mathematically and graphically) from the objective function
B E ac h iter ation in
this pr oc es s s hor tens the dis tanc e (mathematically and graphically) from the objective function.
C There is no change in the distance
(mathematically and graphically) from the objective function.
D no statement can be drawn.
21In linear programming, the slack variables enter the objective function but receive a coefficient of
A 1.0
B 0.5
C zero
D -0.5
2 2 T h e o p t i m u m m i x o f a f i r m a s s u m e s a g i v e n s e t o f constraints. If a constraint
the contribution margin per unit or in costs thereby results.
A is added
B is relaxed
C is not changed
D none of the above
23 Dynamic programming is best suited for decisions that must be made in and that influence future decisions in the sequence.
A promptness
Bsequence
Cemergency
D haste
24India Manufacturing Company has several plants in different cities and serves customer in various other cities. It wants to know the best way to schedule
shipments from various plants to various customers and has been advised that the problem can be solved using linear programming. In transporting cost
minimization problem, the usual coefficients of the objective function would be:
A Usage rates for transportation facilities
B Restrictions on transportation facilities
C Shipping costs
D Time estimates for the critical
path
25In a system of inequalities for a linear programming model, to equalize an inequality such as 3x + 2y 15 what will be required to be done?
A Invert the inequality
B Add a slack variable C Add an artificial variable
D Multiply each variable by -1
26As, per
on motivation, the motivation to act develops after a person compares the input / outcome with the identical ratio in comparison to the other
person.
A Adam's Equity Theory B Achievement Motivation theory
C Victor H Vroom theory
D Reinforcement Theory
27means higher responsibility. It gives more decision
making, planning and controlling powers.
A job enrichment
B job enlargement
Cjob satisfaction
D job rotation
28A set of expected behavior patterns attributed to someone occupying a given position in a social unit is called:
A job
B role
C power
D assignment
29The role set conflicts take which of the following Inns (1) role ambiguity (2) role expectations conflict (3) role overload (4) role erosion (5) role isolation
A 1 to 5 all
B 1 to 4 only
C2 to 5 only
D 1,3 and 5 only
30 When a person finds that certain functions which he would like to perform are being done by some other person having a different role. It is called:
A role expectation conflict
B role overload C role erosion
Drole isolation
31Type of compensation in which of the following is not matched properly:
A top or middle management salary
B supervisors salary
Cclerical or administrative staff - salary
highly skilled staff wages
32The compensation should be adequate which takes into account the following (1) minimum wages (2) living wages (3) fair wages (4) needbased minimum wages.
A 1 to 4 all
B 1 to 3 only
C 2, 3 and 4 only
D 2 and 4 only
33 What is meant by the term job evaluation?
A it is a method for fix the compensation
B it is method of appraising the value or worth of one job incomparisonto other jobs in the organization. C it is
method of appraising the value or worth of one job in L-,comparison to other jobs in other organisations D it is a method for fix the compensational aid for
appraising the value or worth of one job in comparison to other jobs in the organisations.
34Find out the incorrect statement:
A wages, salary and remuneration mean the same thing false
B where the reward is linked to the performance, it helps in improvement of motivation level
of employees true
C uniform wage structure helps in improving the performance false
D the remuneration to managerial position is referred to as
salary - true
35 There are 2 methods for performance appraisal. Which of the following is correct, in this connection:
A the traditional methods emphasize on rating the individual personality traits
B the traditional methods lay importance on job achievement
C the modem methods lay emphasize on rating the individual personality traits D none of the above
36 In the assessment center workshops method, in a job related simulated situation, the behavior of the employees is assessed through their. performance
of different exercises such as
A group discussions, psychometric tests B business games, committee meetings
C in-basket
exercises
D all the above
37 In the 360 degree appraisal method, the appraisal of an employee is done by:
A seniors
B colleagues
C subordinates
38 What is the objective of review by the superior of' the reporting authority in performance
A to eliminate the subjectivity
B to ensure the objectivity
C to minimise / reduce the
the bias
appraisal:
bias or subjectivity
D to eliminate
44 The due date for repayment of a term loan installment expires on feb 10, 2009 but borrower fails to make payment. The account becomes sub
standardwef
A May 13, 2009
B May 12, 2009
C May 11, 2009
D May 10, 2009
45Which of the following is correct in connection with classification of an account: A if account is out of order for more than 12 months, it becomes doubtful
advance
B if account was sub standard for more than 3 months, it becomes doubtful advance
C if account was sub standard for more than 12
months, it becomes doubtful advance
D if account was sub standard for more than 36 months, it becomes loss account
46 A loan. account shows a balance of Rs.10 lac but the overdue recoverable amount is Rs.3.20 lac only beginning Oct 12, 2007. The borrower
deposited Rs.3.40 lac on Feb 12, 2009. : A account will be classified standard wef Feb 12, 2010
B account will be classified standard wef Feb 12,
2009
C account will be classified standard wef Feb 28, 2009
D account will be classified standard wef Mar 31, 2009
47 Which of the following is not correct regarding CDR Standing forum: A it is CDR policy making body
B Chairmen of all participating institutions
/ banks are its members
C RBI representative heads the CDR Forum
D it meets once in a 6 months period to review progress.
48 Which of the following cases are eligible under CDR mechanism: A cases pending with Board for Industrial and Financial Reconstruction (BIFR)
B suit filed cases
C cases involving willful defaulters unless these are reviewed , D cases involving fraud / misfeasance
49Which of the following is correct regarding restructuring of SME accounts: A package to be approved by the bank within 60 days
B accounts with
potential viability within 10 years and repayment of restructured debt within 7 years are eligible
C additional amount of loan will be standard
account for one year
D all the above
50 Sale of security under SARFAESI Act is possible when the possession of security is taken. Before Taking possession, a notice ofis to be given:
A one week
B 30 days
C 60 days
D at discretion of bank
a
d
c
b
c
a
a
d
02
07
12
17
22
27
32
37
c
d
a
c
b
a
a
d
03
08
13
18
23
28
33
38
d
b
c
c
b
b
b
c
04
09
14
19
24
29
34
39
d
d
b
c
c
a
d
c
05
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
b
c
D
B
B
C
A
B
41
46
c
b
42
47
a
c
43
48
c
b
44
49
b
b
45
50
C
C
39 The bankers make analysis of financial statements with the objective of (a) assessment of performance and financial position (b) estimate for future
performance (c) detection of dangersignals (d) assessment of credit needs (e) improving profits of the financed firm
A a, c and e Bb, c and e
C a, b and d only D a to d all
40 Financial statements contain the percentage of a key figure alone without the corresponding amount figures:
A trend analyzed B funds flow C common size D
ratio analyzed
41 As regards the debt equity ratio, the banks prefer:
A high debt equity ratio Bincreasing debt equity C high and increasing ratio D low and declining ratio
42 Debtor turnover ratio indicates which of the following: A how fast the loans are paid Bhow quickly the loans are available C how quickly the trade debtors
are recovered D how quickly the trade debtors are recovered
43 Which of the following is most important ratio to assess liquidity, for making assessment of working capital bank limits:
A debt equity ratio Bdebt service coverage ratio current ratio
D working capital turnover ratio
44 The cash budget method is used where the amount of working capital limits is
A Rs.1 cr or above B Rs.2 cr or above C Up to Rs. 1 cr D none of the above
45 Under projected turnover method of Nayak Committee, the working capital operating cycle is equal to min ___________projected sales
A one month B one month C three months D four months
46 If the bank provides guarantee to the beneficiary that bank will reimburse the loss arising on account non performance or under performance of a contract
by the customer (applicant), such guarantee is called:
A deferred payment guarantee B performance guarantee C financial guarantee D continuing guarantee
47 W hich among the following is an im portant factor for determining the amount of LC limits for working capital purpose (a) average amount of
each LC (b) frequency of opening the LC (c) amount of LC outstanding at a particular period.
A a and c only B a a n d b o n l y C b and c only D a to c all
48 The minimum and maximum time for which CP can be issued is
A 15 days, 6 months
B 15 days, 12 months C 7 days, 6 months D 7 day, 12 months
49 Term loans are repaid
A by sale of fmanced assets B by additional contributions from promoters C by future profits / cash generations from the project D all the above
50 The term Knowledge Management refers to (which one is more appropriate):
A gaining knowledge B creating knowledge and storing it C a process of creating, storing, distributing and pooling the knowledge D a process of
converting knowledge into information
D
A
C
A
A
B
D
B
D
B
02
07
12
17
22
27
32
37
42
47
C
A
B
B
B
B
D
A
C
D
03
08
13
18
23
28
33
38
43
48
C
C
D
C
C
B
B
A
C
D
04
09
14
19
24
29
34
39
44
49
C
C
C
A
D
B
B
D
D
C
05
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
B
A
C
C
C
C
A
C
C
C
14 Repayment of house loan installment for a pre-determined period on EMI basis is an example of
A single cash flow B annuity C perpetuity D any of these
15 Z rented his house for 2 years at a monthly rent of Rs.15000 to be received in advance. This is an example of?
Aordinary annuities B annuities due C initial annuities D base period annuities
16 Z is to invests Rs.100000 by end of each year for 5 years at 5% rate of interest. How much amount he will receive?
A Rs.555236 BRs.562461 C Rs.552563 D R s . 5 2 6 4 7 7
17 XYZ purchased machinery of Rs.100000. Rate of depreciation is 10%. At WDV value method, what is the amount of depreciation for 4 years.
A 34390 B 33291 C 33109 D 33012
18 A person wants to receive Rs.1250 every quarter for 5 years at 12% p.a. rate of interest. How much he should invest now.
A Rs.18969.85 B Rs.18956.58 C Rs.18596.85 D Rs.18695.85
19 X wants to receive a fixed amount for 15 years by investing Rs.9 lac at 9% interest rate. How much he will receive annually.
A Rs.101659 B Rs.110983 C Rs.111653 D Rs.114282
20 To calculate value of a sinking fund, which of the following formulae can be used:
11
A A [ { (l+r)" -1} / r] B A /[{ ( 1 +0 "- 1} /r ] C A [ { (1+0 +1} / r] D A [ (l+r)"-1} x r]
21 X wants to send his daughter to a management school after 5 years and will be needingone time payment of charges amounting to Rs.7 lac. At 12%,
how much he should invest annually?
A Rs.111105.21 B Rs.110186.81 C Rs.109672.22 D Rs.109486.89
22 X obtained a loan of Rs.92820 at 10%, which he is to pay in 4 equal annual instalment. Calculate the amount of instalment?
A Rs.28283 BR s . 2 9 2 8 2 C Rs.29476 D R s . 2 9 8 2 2
23 The Landmarks of Tomorrow, a book on human resources management has been authored by:
A Peter.Drucker BEdgar Schein C Frederick Taylor D Abraham Maslow
24In the years 1856-1915, who conceptualized and pioneered the scientific management approach
A Charles Babhage B Robert Owen C Frederick Taylor D Abraham Maslow
25 Which of the following is part of human resources management (HRM):
A routine functions B organizational development C employee development D all the above
26 The HR professional's role includes creating necessary
culture and values in the organization, diagnosing the problem at organization level and taking corrective steps. These fall, in which of the following
category:
A role of developing competence B process role C supportive role D supportive role
27 Which of the following statement is correct?
A HR functions in banks are generally performed professionally like other corporates B HR functions in banks are generally performed professionally like
other corporatesC HR functions in banks are generally not performed professionally like other corporatesD HR functions in banks are professionally
performed unlike other corporates
28 Which of the following enhanced the role of HR professional (1) growth of unionism (2) state interventions through a no. of legislations (3) stress on
statutory welfare
A 1 to 3 all B 1 to 3 all C 2 and 3 only D all
29 Which of the following aims at safeguarding interest and controlling exploitation of specific groups (1) Child Labour Act 1986 (2) Bonded Labour System
Act 1976 (3) Interstate Migrant Workmen Act 1979.
A 1 to 3 all B 1 and 3 only C 1 and 2 only D 2 and 3 only
30 In the present context, the objective of HRD (which one is correct)
A to develop capabilities of each employee as an individual to B develop team spirit and functioning in every organizational unit C collaboration amongst
different groups in the organization D all the above
5
31 The first decade of 21 ' century saw extensive competition in the banking activity due to (1) liberalization (2) globalization (3) deregulation. (4) privatization
A 1 to 4 all B 1 to 3 only C 2 to 4 only D 1, 3 and 4 only
32 Job role or job analysis comprises
A job description only B job description and job evaluation only C job specification and job description only job D description, job evaluation and job
specification
33 __________ is primarily used to compare similarity between jobs within an organization or between organisations or even in an industry:
A job description Bjob role or job analysis C job specification D job evaluation
35 As per explanation of the need hierarchy, need for an individual to realize his potential and self-actualization is as strong as satisfying physical needs.
A Robert Owen BCharles Babbage C Abraham Maslow D Douglas McGregor
36 According to Nadler, the learning for growth of the individual not related to a specific present or future job is known as:
A training B education C d e v e l o p m e n t D s e m i n a r
th
37 Whose work can be cited as the first instance of defining the perspective of adult learning in the 20 century:
A Socrates BC o n f u c i u s C L i n d e m a n D Aristotle
38 In the history of credit flow from banking system to the poor persons of society, the
was a major event:
A opening of bank branches B nationalization of banks in 1969 C selective credit control of RBI D all the above
39 The trusts can be regulated by (a) Indian Trust Act (b) Public Trust Act (c) Religious and Charitable Endowments Act (d) Wakf Act
A a to dall B a and b only C a and c only D a, b and d only
40 Which of the following category is required to be adopted by banks as business segment for public reporting purposes, as per RBI guidelines (a) treasury
(b) corporate/wholesale banking (c) retail banking (d) other banking business
A a, b and c only Ba and d only C b and c only D a to d all
41
As per low value of individual exposure criterion for retail banking segment, the maximum aggregate exposure, to one counterparty should not
exceed:
A Rs.1 cr B Rs.2 cr C Rs.3 cr D Rs.5 cr
42The working capital limits such as cash credit or overdraft can be used for which of the following purposes
A purchase of fixed assets B investments in other firms and companies C purchase of current assets D investment in capital market
43Lending target for agriculture within priority sector is (which one is not correct)
A 18% ANBC or credit equivalent of off-balance sheet exposure whichever is higher B 25% of priority sector C for foreign banks there is no target for such
advances D indirect advance is also part of agriculture subject to certain conditions.
44 Within 60% target for micro enterprises within MSE advances, there are further targets for micro enterprises. Which of the following is correct:
A 40% points out of 60% points, should be given to micro enterprises with investment in plant and machinery and equipment up to Rs.5 lac B 40% points out
of 60% points should be given to microenterprises with investment in plant and machinery and equipment up to Rs.2 lac C 20% points out of 60% points,
should be given to micro enterprises with investment in plant and machinery and equipment above Rs.5 lac D 20% points out of 60% points, should be
given to micro enterprises with investment in plant and machinery above Rs.5 lac and equipment above Rs.2 lac
45 For a small enterprise in manufacturing, which of thefollowing investment criteria is correct:
A investment in equipment above Rs.25 lac but up to Rs.5 crB investment in plant & machinery of Rs.25 lac but up to Rs.5 crC investment in equipment
of Rs.25 lac but up to Rs.5 cr, Dnone of the Above
46 Which of the following can be included in micro credit:
A aloans of very small amount not exceeding Rs.25000 B loans of small amount not exceeding Rs.50000 C loans of amount up to Rs.1 lac D loans of small
amount up to Rs.20000
47 Advances allowed by banks to directors can be written off (remitted) by banks:
A under provisions, of Section 20 (A) of Banking Regulation Act B under provisions of Section 20 (A) of Banking Regulation Act with permission of RBI or
Govt. C under provisions of Section 20 (A) of Banking Regulation Act with permission of RBI D cannot be written off at all
48Which of the following statements is not correct with regard to Selective Credit Control directives of RBI:
A objective of directives is to prevent speculative holding of essential commodities with the help of bank credit B presently the directives are applicable on
pulses, food grains, oil seeds etcC bank have been given discretion to consider advances against sensitive commodities D selective credit directives are still
applicable on buffer stock of sugar with sugar mills and unreleased stocks of sugar with sugar mills representing levy sugar and free sale sugar
49 Under group exposure norms of RBI, the ceiling on such credit exposure in respect of single borrower is:
A 15% of the capital fund of the bank which can be relaxed to additional 10% for infrastructure projects. B 15% of the capital fund of the bank which can be
relaxed toadditional 5% for infrastructure projects. C 15% of the net worth of the bank which can be relaxed to additional 5% for infrastructure projects D
15% of the capital up capital + reserves of the bank whichcan be relaxed to additional 5% for infrastructure projects.
50 beneficiary of an LC wants to negotiate the documents under LC with a bank other than his own bank. Which of the following are RBI guidelines in such
cases
A since bills are being negotiated under LC, such transactions can be encouraged B since this restrict the cash flows to the loan accounts of the bank which
is regular bank of the beneficiary, banks should not encourage such negotiations to non-constituents C since LC is opened as unrestricted, the banks may
allow such facilities D none of the above
c
a
d
c
b
b
d
c
d
b
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07
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C
C
C
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D
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A active debts means which we owe B passive debts means what is due to us C passive debts means which we owe and active debts means what is due
to us D active debts means which we owe and passive debts meanswhat is due to us
10 The present value of a bond is equal to:
A the amount of interest it will earn B the amount of future cash to be received in future till maturity of the bond C the present value of cash to be received in
future tillmaturityof the bond D the amount to be received on maturity
11 A bond has been issued with a face value of Rs.20000 at 12% coupon for 3 years. The required rate of return is 10 %. What is the value of the bond?
A Rs.20689.70 B Rs.20988.80 C Rs.20898.30 D Rs.20918.40
12 Current yield of a bond can be calculated as under:
A current interest / current market price B coupon interest / face value C coupon interest / current market price D current interest / face value
13 A 10%, 6 years bond, with face value of Rs.1000 has been purchased by Z for Rs.900. What is his yield till maturity
A 12.50% B 12.20% C 11.80% D 11.60%
14 When the required rate of return is less than the coupon ratethe value of the bond is :
A less than face value B more than face value C equal to face value D maturity value
15 For a given difference between the YTM and the coupon rateof a bond, the longer the term to maturity, the with a change in YTM:
A smaller will be the change in the price B greater will be the change in the price C greater will be the change in the maturity value D smaller will be the
change in the maturity value
16 A change in the YTM affects the price of the bonds with aYTM more than it does the price of bonds with a YTM.
A lower, higher B higher, lower C lower, lower D higher, higher
17 X purchased a Bond with face value of Rs.1000 and coupon of 8% and maturity of 6 years. If YTM is increased by 1%, the change in price of Bond-2
would be:
A Rs.44.83 increase B Rs.44.83 decrease C Rs.48.33 increase D Rs.48.33 decrease
18 Z invested in 10% 3 year bond of face value of Rs.1000 each. The expected market rate is 12%. What is the duration of the bond
A 2.73 years B 2.93 years C 2.63 years D 2.83 years
19 An increase in the frequency of coupon payments
duration and a decrease in frequency of coupons
A decreases, increases B decreases, decreases C increases, increases D increases, decreases
20 D x YTM/1 + YTM gives: (D means duration and YTM means yield to maturity)
A duration of the bond B bond price elasticity C yield to maturity of the bond D interest rate elasticity
21 Z purchased 8%, 5 years bonds of Rs.10 lac, with annual interest payment and face value payable on maturity. The YTM is assumed at 6%,. Calculate
percentage change in the price of the bond when the decrease in YTM is 100 basis points from 6% to 5% and the duration is 2.79% and modified duration is
2.63%
A 2,63% B 2 . 7 3 % C 2.83% D 2 . 9 3 %
22 Z is to receive Rs.60000 from bank at the end of 3 years, being the maturity value of a term deposit. How much he is depositing now, if the interest rate is
10%?
A R s . 4 4 0 9 7 B Rs.45079
C Rs.47075 D Rs.49059
23 Learning occurs when learners have the freedom to learn, what is particularly relevant to their personal life situation. It is stated by which of the following
theory:
A mechanistic theories B cognitive theories C organismic theories D behaviourist theories
24 The training needs can be identified by an organization on the basis of (1) performance appraisal (2) productivity norms fixed by the organization (3)
larger rejects for the job done by
the employee (4) inspection reports
A 1 to 4 all B 1 to 3 only C 2 to 4 only D 1, 3 and 4 only
25 W hile conducting the training programs, which of the following methodology is used:
A lectures and experimental lectures B reading and discussions C case studies and role plays D all the above
26 The evaluation of training is done at 4 levels. At one of these levels, the participants learn knowledge, skills and attitudes about the subject matter,
which is evaluated through some test conducted before and after the training. This level is called:
A reaction level B learning level C behavior level D functioning level
27 The trainer in a bank should be:
A practicing managers only B operational people only C specialists recruited as core faculty only D a mix of practicing managers, operational people
andspecialist recruited as core faculty.
28 The persistent tendency to feel and behave in a particular way, towards some object, is called:
A behavior B attitudeC habit D any of the above
29 Which of the following components of attitude, involve the feeling of an employee or their affect-positive, neutral or negative-about an object:
A emotional B informational C behavioral D all the above
30 Which of the following function is served by the attitudes (1) the adjustment function (2) the ego-defensive function (3) the value-expression function (4)
the knowledge function.
A 1 to 4 all B 1 to 3 only C 2 to 4 only D 1, 3 and 4 only
31 W hich of the following can play a great role in attitude change (1) friends (2) peers (3) opinion leaders a1 to 3 all
A 1 and 2 only B 2 and 3 only C 1 and 3 only
32 A stage when a person attempts to achieve ego integrity by examining whether life has been meaningful or satisfying, in the context of career planning, is
called:
A adolescence Byoung adulthood C adulthood D m a t u r i t y
33 According to Dalton, Thompson and Price, in the career path, which of the following is required to define the direction in which the entire organization or
at least a majorsegment of the organization would develop:
Aapprentice Bcolleague C m e n t o r s D s p o n s o r s
34 According to Driver, in the an individual takes a new job, works hard, performs well, moves up in status and rank and then moves on to another type of work and
follows the same pattern of development and performance.
A steady state careers B transitory pattern C spiral career D plateau career
35 Under career pattern, Schein has given comprehensive framework of 3 dimensional movements. The movement is along the hierarchy of the organization
A vertical
B circumferential C radial D cervical
36 According to Schein, there arE _______type of career anchors
A two B three C four D five
37Which of the following career anchor category, as per Schein concept, does not match
A some individuals want to create something new autonomy B some individuals are not comfortable with organization life They like to start something and
want to make it a success autonomy C some individuals want to create something new creativity D none of the above
38 The loansystem of credit deliveryis not applicable incase of:
A activities cyclicalandseasonal innatureactivities B carrying higher risk weightactivities carrying lower C risk weight activities which are of regular nature
39 Whatis themaximum exposure abank canhavefor equipmentleasing, hirepurchase or factoring services:
A total exposure to these cannot exceed 10% of total advances B exposure to each of these cannot exceed 10% of total advances C exposure to each of
these cannot exceed 15% of total advances D total exposure to these cannot exceed 15% of total advances
40 The objective of introducing Base Rate by RBI is (a) at enhancing transparency in lending rates of banks (b) enabling better assessment of transmission
of monetary policy (c) keeping interest rates low.
A a to c all B a and b only C a and c only D b and c only
41 For which of the following category of loans the bank canlend at below base rate?
A corporate loans B priority sector loans C loans below Rs.2 lac D none of these
42 What is the periodicity of charging interest in loans by banks:
A monthly basis B quarterly basis C half-yearly basis D at discretion of banks
43 Which of the following is an basic financial statements (a) balance sheet (b) profit and loss account (c) funds flow statement (d) statement of bank
account
A a to d B a to cC a, c, d Da a n d b
44 When, the promoter of a business withdraws certain goods from the business for his personal use, his drawing account is debited. This is done due to
application of :
A going concern concept Bcost concept C business entity concept D realization concept
c
a
b
b
a
b
a
d
d
c
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B
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A