Capitol Weekly ProbolskyResearch CAPoll June Primary Election Report On Results

CAPITOL WEEKLY/PROBOLSKY RESEARCH

CALIFORNIA POLL
JUNE 2010 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY ELECTION

REPORT ON RESULTS
June 2, 2010
Prepared for Anthony York
PUBLIC POLL WITH DISTRIBUTION CONTROLLED BY CAPITOL WEEKLY

TABLE OF CONTENTS
I. Interview Schedule . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1
II. Executive Summary and Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3
III. Cross Tabulations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6
-Gender
-Party
-Age
-Gender/Age
-Party/Gender
-Party/Age
-Vote Propensity
-Voter Type
-Registration Date
-Ethnicity
-Geography
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CAPITOL WEEKLY/PROBOLSKY RESEARCH CA POLL

JUNE, 2010 PRIMARY ELECTION SURVEY INTERVIEW SCHEDULE
Field Dates: May 30 – June 1, 2010

N = 750
Margin of Error = +/- 3.7%
Universe: Likely June 2010 Republican Primary Election voters: 10NPC - Voted in at least 3 of 11-06, 2-08, 6-08, 11-08, 5-
09 OR (Reg. after 6-08 & voted both 11-08 & 5-09) OR (Reg. after 11-08 & voted 5-09) OR Reg. after 5-09. (Represents
47.2%)
Language: English
Due to rounding, some figures may be higher or lower by less than one-half of one percent
Hello, may I speak with __________? [IF NOT AVAILABLE—SCHEDULE CALLBACK]

This is __________ with the Western States Policy Research Center a regional opinion research organization. We are
conducting a survey about issues facing your community. Your opinion is important.
[Q1: DECLINE TO STATE VOTERS ONLY]

1. As someone who has registered to vote as DECLINE TO STATE, you have the ability to choose a Republican or
Democratic ballot in the 2010 Primary Election. If the Primary Election were held today, would you choose to vote
in the Republican or Democratic Primary Election or not in either?
[ROTATE] [PRESS FOR LEAN IF UNSURE]
Republican 86.2%
Lean Republican [DO NOT READ] 13.8%
[REMAINDER OF SURVEY: REGISTERED REPUBLICANS AND THOSE WHO RESPONDED “REPUBLICAN” IN Q1]
2. June 8th is Election Day for California Governor. If the Republican Primary Election for Governor were held today,
for whom would you vote?
[PRESS FOR LEAN IF UNSURE]
Meg Whitman, Businesswoman 48.4%

Lean Meg Whitman [DO NOT READ] 6.0%
Steve Poizner, Businessman 19.9%
Lean Steve Poizner [DO NOT READ] 4.1%
Someone else [DO NOT READ] 3.9%
Unsure [DO NOT READ] [PRESS FOR LEAN] 16.4%
Refused [DO NOT READ] 1.3%


3. June 8th is Election Day for U.S Senate. If the Republican Primary Election for U.S. Senate were held today, for
whom would you vote?
[PRESS FOR LEAN IF UNSURE]
Carly Fiorina, Business Executive 36.5%

Lean Carly Fiorina [DO NOT READ] 3.5%
Chuck DeVore, Assemblyman/Military Reservist 12.0%
Lean Chuck DeVore [DO NOT READ] 0.9%
Tom Campbell, Economist/Business Educator 22.0%
Lean Tom Campbell [DO NOT READ] 2.5%
Someone else [DO NOT READ] 0.7%
Unsure [DO NOT READ] [PRESS FOR LEAN] 20.3%
5. And finally for demographic purposes only, which of the following best describes your ethnic background?
Latino/Hispanic 5.5%
White/Caucasian 82.1%
Black/African American 0.1%
Asian 3.9%
Other 4.3%
Thank you for your time. Have a great (day/evening).


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS

CAPITOL WEEKLY/PROBOLSKY RESEARCH CALIFORNIA POLL
From Sunday, May 30 through Tuesday, June 1, 2010

Probolsky Research conducted a telephone survey of
likely June, 2010 Republican Primary Election voters
throughout California.
Our research revealed that Meg Whitman continues to
widen her strong lead in the Republican Primary Election
race for Governor, capturing over one-half (54.4%) of
respondents.
In a dramatic improvement for the Fiorina Campaign
since our last California survey, Carly Fiorina enjoys a
sizable lead in the Republican Primary Election for U.S.
Senate, capturing 40.0% of the vote.
Charts indicate aggregate responses to each question.
We have provided additional commentary to illustrate
those instances where certain demographics differ
significantly from the aggregate response.
A total of 751 voters were surveyed. A survey of this
size yields a margin of error of +/- 3.7% with a 95%
degree of confidence. Appropriate ratios were obtained
such as for gender, age group, ethnicity and geographic
area.
Interviews were conducted in English.
Probolsky Research LLC specializes in opinion
research on behalf of government, corporate,
political and media clients.


Meg Whitman holds a strong lead in the Republican Primary Election race for California Governor with over
one-half (54.4%) of the vote.
Steve Poizner 24.0%
Meg Whitman 54.4%
Unsure/refused/someone else 21.6%

Reflecting a continuous increase since we began tracking in January ‘09
90%
80% Tom Campbell, Law Professor

70%
Meg Whitman, Businesswoman
60%
50%
Steve Poizner, Entrepreneur/Educator
40%
30% Someone else
20%
Unsure/Refused
10%
0%
Jan-09 May-09 Oct-09 Apr-10 Jun-10
Whitman performs particularly well among women aged 55+ (59.6%), though that proportion slips to 46.7% of women
aged 18-54.
More DTS men support Whitman (55.0%) than DTS women, who are evenly divided in their support (40.0% Whitman;
40.0% Poizner).
More Republicans aged 55+ support Whitman (58.3%) than those aged 18-54 (49.4%, a plurality). Similarly, more DTS
voters aged 55+ support Whitman (62.5%) than those aged 18-54 (41.5%, a plurality).
23.5% of Latino/Hispanic voters are unsure.
65.6% of Central Coast voters support Whitman. Poizner exhibits slightly greater support within the San Francisco Bay area
(30.6%) than other regions, though he still trails Whitman who captures 48.8% of the vote.


Carly Fiorina enjoys a sizable lead in the Republican Primary Election for U.S. Senate.
Carly Fiorina 40.0%
Chuck DeVore 12.9%
Tom Campbell 24.5%
Someone else 0.7%
Unsure/refused 21.9%
Reflecting a dramatic gain since April 2010
45%
40.0%
40%
37.8% Carly Fiorina
35% 30.6%
30%
Chuck DeVore
25%
22.5%
20% 24.5%
Tom Campell
17.1%
15%
12.9%
14.5%
10% Unsure/Refused/someone else
5%
0%
Apr-10 Jun-10

A plurality of DTS voters (35.5%) support Campbell.
51.1% of those aged 65+ support Fiorina, while this proportion slips to 31.5% (a plurality) among those aged 35-54 and
27.0% (a plurality) of those aged 18-34.
More men aged 55+ support Fiorina (44.3%) than men aged 18-34 (28.2%, the same proportion that supports Campbell).
Similarly, more women aged 55+ support Fiorina (48.9%) than do women aged 18-54 (32.7%, a plurality).
More Republicans aged 55+ support Fiorina (47.1%) than Republicans aged 18-54 (31.3%).
Latino/Hispanic support is split evenly among the candidates (29.4% for each candidate).
Campbell enjoys a plurality of support (39.7%) in the San Francisco Bay Area.


CAPITOL WEEKLY - PROBOLSKY RESEARCH CALIFORNIA POLL / MAY 2010

Table 1-1
Q1. As someone who has registered to vote as DECLINE TO STATE, you have the ability to choose a Republican or Democratic ballot in the 2010 Primary Election. If the Primary
Election were held today, would you choose to vote in the Republican or Democratic Primary Election or not in either?
BASE: TOTAL SAMPLE
GENDER PARTY AGE GROUP GENDER/AGE
============= ============= =========================== ===========================
MEN WOMEN
------------- -------------
TOTAL Male Female Rep DTS 18-34 35-54 55-64 65+ 18-54 55+ 18-54 55+
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
TOTAL 65 40 25 0 65 17 24 14 10 26 14 15 10
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
REPUBLICAN 65 40 25 0 65 17 24 14 10 26 14 15 10
---------- 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
REPUBLICAN 56 35 21 0 56 13 22 11 10 23 12 12 9
86.2 87.5 84.0 86.2 76.5 91.7 78.6 100.0 88.5 85.7 80.0 90.0
LEAN REPUBLICAN 9 5 4 0 9 4 2 3 0 3 2 3 1
13.8 12.5 16.0 13.8 23.5 8.3 21.4 11.5 14.3 20.0 10.0



Table 1-2
BASE: TOTAL SAMPLE
PARTY/GENDER PARTY/AGE VOTE PROPENSITY
=========================== ========================================= =======================================================
GOP DTS GOP DTS DEM
------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- -------------
100%
not New
having Regis-
TOTAL Men Women Men Women 18-54 55+ 18-54 55+ 18-54 55+ 5/5 4/5 3/5 2/5 1/5 0/5 chance trant
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
TOTAL 65 0 0 40 25 0 0 41 24 0 0 16 20 23 0 1 0 5 0
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
REPUBLICAN 65 0 0 40 25 0 0 41 24 0 0 16 20 23 0 1 0 5 0
---------- 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
REPUBLICAN 56 0 0 35 21 0 0 35 21 0 0 15 16 20 0 0 0 5 0
86.2 87.5 84.0 85.4 87.5 93.8 80.0 87.0 100.0
LEAN REPUBLICAN 9 0 0 5 4 0 0 6 3 0 0 1 4 3 0 1 0 0 0
13.8 12.5 16.0 14.6 12.5 6.3 20.0 13.0 100.0



Table 1-3
BASE: TOTAL SAMPLE
TYPE OF REGISTRATION
VOTER DATE ETHNICITY GEOGRAPHY
============== ============================= ======================================= ===================================================
San Other
Per- North- Fran- South-
manent Up To Up To Up To Black/ ern cisco ern Central
Absen- <1 5 10 20 >20 Latino/ White/ African Cali- Bay Central Los Cali- Moun- Central
TOTAL tee Other Year Years Years Years Years Hispanic Caucasian American Asian Other fornia Area Coast Angeles fornia tain Valley
------ ------- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -------- --------- -------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------- ------- ------ ------- -------
TOTAL 65 25 40 1 21 21 15 7 4 54 0 7 0 1 19 6 4 22 0 13
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
REPUBLICAN 65 25 40 1 21 21 15 7 4 54 0 7 0 1 19 6 4 22 0 13
---------- 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
REPUBLICAN 56 21 35 1 19 14 15 7 4 49 0 3 0 1 16 6 2 19 0 12
86.2 84.0 87.5 100.0 90.5 66.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 90.7 42.9 100.0 84.2 100.0 50.0 86.4 92.3
LEAN REPUBLICAN 9 4 5 0 2 7 0 0 0 5 0 4 0 0 3 0 2 3 0 1
13.8 16.0 12.5 9.5 33.3 9.3 57.1 15.8 50.0 13.6 7.7



Table 2-1
Q2. June 8th is Election Day for California Governor. If the Republican Primary Election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote?
BASE: TOTAL SAMPLE
============= ============= =========================== ===========================
MEN WOMEN
------------- -------------
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
TOTAL 750 375 375 685 65 74 232 215 229 156 219 150 225
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
MEG WHITMAN 408 204 204 376 32 34 114 117 143 78 126 70 134
----------- 54.4 54.4 54.4 54.9 49.2 45.9 49.1 54.4 62.4 50.0 57.5 46.7 59.6
MEG WHITMAN, 363 184 179 336 27 30 96 106 131 65 119 61 118
BUSINESSWOMAN 48.4 49.1 47.7 49.1 41.5 40.5 41.4 49.3 57.2 41.7 54.3 40.7 52.4
LEAN MEG WHITMAN 45 20 25 40 5 4 18 11 12 13 7 9 16

6.0 5.3 6.7 5.8 7.7 5.4 7.8 5.1 5.2 8.3 3.2 6.0 7.1
STEVE POIZNER 180 89 91 158 22 18 64 55 43 43 46 39 52

------------- 24.0 23.7 24.3 23.1 33.8 24.3 27.6 25.6 18.8 27.6 21.0 26.0 23.1
STEVE POIZNER, 149 80 69 130 19 15 53 49 32 39 41 29 40

BUSINESSMAN 19.9 21.3 18.4 19.0 29.2 20.3 22.8 22.8 14.0 25.0 18.7 19.3 17.8
LEAN STEVE POIZNER 31 9 22 28 3 3 11 6 11 4 5 10 12

4.1 2.4 5.9 4.1 4.6 4.1 4.7 2.8 4.8 2.6 2.3 6.7 5.3
SOMEONE ELSE 29 16 13 26 3 1 7 13 8 3 13 5 8
3.9 4.3 3.5 3.8 4.6 1.4 3.0 6.0 3.5 1.9 5.9 3.3 3.6
UNSURE 123 61 62 115 8 20 46 27 30 30 31 36 26

16.4 16.3 16.5 16.8 12.3 27.0 19.8 12.6 13.1 19.2 14.2 24.0 11.6
REFUSED 10 5 5 10 0 1 1 3 5 2 3 0 5
1.3 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.4 0.4 1.4 2.2 1.3 1.4 2.2



Table 2-2
BASE: TOTAL SAMPLE
=========================== ========================================= =======================================================
GOP DTS GOP DTS DEM
------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- -------------
100%
not New
having Regis-
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
TOTAL 750 335 350 40 25 265 420 41 24 0 0 336 206 171 0 2 0 30 5

100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
MEG WHITMAN 408 182 194 22 10 131 245 17 15 0 0 189 119 85 0 1 0 11 3

----------- 54.4 54.3 55.4 55.0 40.0 49.4 58.3 41.5 62.5 56.3 57.8 49.7 50.0 36.7 60.0
MEG WHITMAN, 363 165 171 19 8 112 224 14 13 0 0 170 111 69 0 1 0 9 3

BUSINESSWOMAN 48.4 49.3 48.9 47.5 32.0 42.3 53.3 34.1 54.2 50.6 53.9 40.4 50.0 30.0 60.0
LEAN MEG WHITMAN 45 17 23 3 2 19 21 3 2 0 0 19 8 16 0 0 0 2 0

6.0 5.1 6.6 7.5 8.0 7.2 5.0 7.3 8.3 5.7 3.9 9.4 6.7
STEVE POIZNER 180 77 81 12 10 65 93 17 5 0 0 75 49 43 0 1 0 12 0

------------- 24.0 23.0 23.1 30.0 40.0 24.5 22.1 41.5 20.8 22.3 23.8 25.1 50.0 40.0
STEVE POIZNER, 149 69 61 11 8 53 77 15 4 0 0 64 43 31 0 1 0 10 0

BUSINESSMAN 19.9 20.6 17.4 27.5 32.0 20.0 18.3 36.6 16.7 19.0 20.9 18.1 50.0 33.3
LEAN STEVE POIZNER 31 8 20 1 2 12 16 2 1 0 0 11 6 12 0 0 0 2 0

4.1 2.4 5.7 2.5 8.0 4.5 3.8 4.9 4.2 3.3 2.9 7.0 6.7
SOMEONE ELSE 29 14 12 2 1 6 20 2 1 0 0 11 8 9 0 0 0 0 1
3.9 4.2 3.4 5.0 4.0 2.3 4.8 4.9 4.2 3.3 3.9 5.3 20.0
UNSURE 123 57 58 4 4 61 54 5 3 0 0 55 29 32 0 0 0 6 1
16.4 17.0 16.6 10.0 16.0 23.0 12.9 12.2 12.5 16.4 14.1 18.7 20.0 20.0
REFUSED 10 5 5 0 0 2 8 0 0 0 0 6 1 2 0 0 0 1 0
1.3 1.5 1.4 0.8 1.9 1.8 0.5 1.2 3.3



Table 2-3
BASE: TOTAL SAMPLE
============== ============================= ======================================= ===================================================
San Other
------ ------- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -------- --------- -------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------- ------- ------ ------- -------
TOTAL 750 371 379 7 130 212 209 192 51 669 0 24 6 19 121 61 132 248 9 160
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
MEG WHITMAN 408 212 196 3 60 110 123 112 20 371 0 13 4 11 59 40 71 138 7 82
----------- 54.4 57.1 51.7 42.9 46.2 51.9 58.9 58.3 39.2 55.5 54.2 66.7 57.9 48.8 65.6 53.8 55.6 77.8 51.3
MEG WHITMAN, 363 195 168 3 48 101 106 105 19 331 0 10 3 10 55 35 61 121 7 74
BUSINESSWOMAN 48.4 52.6 44.3 42.9 36.9 47.6 50.7 54.7 37.3 49.5 41.7 50.0 52.6 45.5 57.4 46.2 48.8 77.8 46.3
LEAN MEG WHITMAN 45 17 28 0 12 9 17 7 1 40 0 3 1 1 4 5 10 17 0 8

6.0 4.6 7.4 9.2 4.2 8.1 3.6 2.0 6.0 12.5 16.7 5.3 3.3 8.2 7.6 6.9 5.0
STEVE POIZNER 180 88 92 2 45 47 47 39 16 158 0 5 1 4 37 11 31 55 1 41

------------- 24.0 23.7 24.3 28.6 34.6 22.2 22.5 20.3 31.4 23.6 20.8 16.7 21.1 30.6 18.0 23.5 22.2 11.1 25.6
STEVE POIZNER, 149 74 75 2 37 40 37 33 11 132 0 5 1 4 30 10 25 45 0 35

BUSINESSMAN 19.9 19.9 19.8 28.6 28.5 18.9 17.7 17.2 21.6 19.7 20.8 16.7 21.1 24.8 16.4 18.9 18.1 21.9
LEAN STEVE POIZNER 31 14 17 0 8 7 10 6 5 26 0 0 0 0 7 1 6 10 1 6

4.1 3.8 4.5 6.2 3.3 4.8 3.1 9.8 3.9 5.8 1.6 4.5 4.0 11.1 3.8
SOMEONE ELSE 29 15 14 1 3 10 9 6 3 25 0 1 0 2 8 0 6 8 0 5
3.9 4.0 3.7 14.3 2.3 4.7 4.3 3.1 5.9 3.7 4.2 10.5 6.6 4.5 3.2 3.1
UNSURE 123 51 72 1 19 41 29 33 12 105 0 5 1 2 16 10 19 45 1 30

16.4 13.7 19.0 14.3 14.6 19.3 13.9 17.2 23.5 15.7 20.8 16.7 10.5 13.2 16.4 14.4 18.1 11.1 18.8
REFUSED 10 5 5 0 3 4 1 2 0 10 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 2 0 2
1.3 1.3 1.3 2.3 1.9 0.5 1.0 1.5 0.8 3.8 0.8 1.3



Table 3-1
Q3. June 8th is Election Day for U.S Senate. If the Republican Primary Election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote?
BASE: TOTAL SAMPLE
============= ============= =========================== ===========================
MEN WOMEN
------------- -------------
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
TOTAL 750 375 375 685 65 74 232 215 229 156 219 150 225
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
CARLY FIORINA 300 141 159 281 19 20 73 90 117 44 97 49 110

------------- 40.0 37.6 42.4 41.0 29.2 27.0 31.5 41.9 51.1 28.2 44.3 32.7 48.9
CARLY FIORINA, BUSINESS 274 134 140 256 18 18 65 82 109 40 94 43 97

EXECUTIVE 36.5 35.7 37.3 37.4 27.7 24.3 28.0 38.1 47.6 25.6 42.9 28.7 43.1
LEAN CARLY FIORINA 26 7 19 25 1 2 8 8 8 4 3 6 13

3.5 1.9 5.1 3.6 1.5 2.7 3.4 3.7 3.5 2.6 1.4 4.0 5.8
CHUCK DEVORE 97 61 36 88 9 5 38 34 20 30 31 13 23
------------ 12.9 16.3 9.6 12.8 13.8 6.8 16.4 15.8 8.7 19.2 14.2 8.7 10.2
CHUCK DEVORE, 90 55 35 83 7 4 34 33 19 26 29 12 23
ASSEMBLYMAN/MILITARY 12.0 14.7 9.3 12.1 10.8 5.4 14.7 15.3 8.3 16.7 13.2 8.0 10.2
RESERVIST
LEAN CHUCK DEVORE 7 6 1 5 2 1 4 1 1 4 2 1 0

0.9 1.6 0.3 0.7 3.1 1.4 1.7 0.5 0.4 2.6 0.9 0.7
TOM CAMPBELL 184 103 81 161 23 17 61 47 59 45 58 33 48

------------ 24.5 27.5 21.6 23.5 35.4 23.0 26.3 21.9 25.8 28.8 26.5 22.0 21.3
TOM CAMPBELL, ECONOMIST/ 165 92 73 145 20 14 59 41 51 42 50 31 42

BUSINESS EDUCATOR 22.0 24.5 19.5 21.2 30.8 18.9 25.4 19.1 22.3 26.9 22.8 20.7 18.7
LEAN TOM CAMPBELL 19 11 8 16 3 3 2 6 8 3 8 2 6

2.5 2.9 2.1 2.3 4.6 4.1 0.9 2.8 3.5 1.9 3.7 1.3 2.7
SOMEONE ELSE 5 5 0 5 0 0 2 1 2 2 3 0 0
0.7 1.3 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.4
UNSURE 152 59 93 138 14 30 57 40 25 32 27 55 38

20.3 15.7 24.8 20.1 21.5 40.5 24.6 18.6 10.9 20.5 12.3 36.7 16.9
REFUSED 12 6 6 12 0 2 1 3 6 3 3 0 6
1.6 1.6 1.6 1.8 2.7 0.4 1.4 2.6 1.9 1.4 2.7



Table 3-2
BASE: TOTAL SAMPLE
=========================== ========================================= =======================================================
GOP DTS GOP DTS DEM
------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- -------------
100%
not New
having Regis-
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
TOTAL 750 335 350 40 25 265 420 41 24 0 0 336 206 171 0 2 0 30 5

100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
CARLY FIORINA 300 130 151 11 8 83 198 10 9 0 0 148 80 59 0 0 0 11 2

------------- 40.0 38.8 43.1 27.5 32.0 31.3 47.1 24.4 37.5 44.0 38.8 34.5 36.7 40.0
CARLY FIORINA, BUSINESS 274 123 133 11 7 73 183 10 8 0 0 133 73 55 0 0 0 11 2

EXECUTIVE 36.5 36.7 38.0 27.5 28.0 27.5 43.6 24.4 33.3 39.6 35.4 32.2 36.7 40.0
LEAN CARLY FIORINA 26 7 18 0 1 10 15 0 1 0 0 15 7 4 0 0 0 0 0

3.5 2.1 5.1 4.0 3.8 3.6 4.2 4.5 3.4 2.3
CHUCK DEVORE 97 53 35 8 1 40 48 3 6 0 0 43 33 18 0 1 0 2 0
------------ 12.9 15.8 10.0 20.0 4.0 15.1 11.4 7.3 25.0 12.8 16.0 10.5 50.0 6.7
CHUCK DEVORE, 90 49 34 6 1 36 47 2 5 0 0 42 32 14 0 1 0 1 0
ASSEMBLYMAN/MILITARY 12.0 14.6 9.7 15.0 4.0 13.6 11.2 4.9 20.8 12.5 15.5 8.2 50.0 3.3
RESERVIST
LEAN CHUCK DEVORE 7 4 1 2 0 4 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 4 0 0 0 1 0

0.9 1.2 0.3 5.0 1.5 0.2 2.4 4.2 0.3 0.5 2.3 3.3
TOM CAMPBELL 184 90 71 13 10 62 99 16 7 0 0 84 50 40 0 1 0 8 1

------------ 24.5 26.9 20.3 32.5 40.0 23.4 23.6 39.0 29.2 25.0 24.3 23.4 50.0 26.7 20.0
TOM CAMPBELL, ECONOMIST/ 165 80 65 12 8 58 87 15 5 0 0 76 43 37 0 1 0 7 1

BUSINESS EDUCATOR 22.0 23.9 18.6 30.0 32.0 21.9 20.7 36.6 20.8 22.6 20.9 21.6 50.0 23.3 20.0
LEAN TOM CAMPBELL 19 10 6 1 2 4 12 1 2 0 0 8 7 3 0 0 0 1 0

2.5 3.0 1.7 2.5 8.0 1.5 2.9 2.4 8.3 2.4 3.4 1.8 3.3
SOMEONE ELSE 5 5 0 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 0 0 0 0 0
0.7 1.5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.5 1.8
UNSURE 152 51 87 8 6 75 63 12 2 0 0 54 39 48 0 0 0 9 2
20.3 15.2 24.9 20.0 24.0 28.3 15.0 29.3 8.3 16.1 18.9 28.1 30.0 40.0
REFUSED 12 6 6 0 0 3 9 0 0 0 0 6 3 3 0 0 0 0 0
1.6 1.8 1.7 1.1 2.1 1.8 1.5 1.8



Table 3-3
BASE: TOTAL SAMPLE
============== ============================= ======================================= ===================================================
San Other
------ ------- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -------- --------- -------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------- ------- ------ ------- -------
TOTAL 750 371 379 7 130 212 209 192 51 669 0 24 6 19 121 61 132 248 9 160
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
CARLY FIORINA 300 157 143 3 53 69 82 93 15 274 0 8 3 11 33 28 45 108 7 68

------------- 40.0 42.3 37.7 42.9 40.8 32.5 39.2 48.4 29.4 41.0 33.3 50.0 57.9 27.3 45.9 34.1 43.5 77.8 42.5
CARLY FIORINA, BUSINESS 274 149 125 3 50 59 71 91 15 249 0 7 3 9 30 25 38 104 7 61

EXECUTIVE 36.5 40.2 33.0 42.9 38.5 27.8 34.0 47.4 29.4 37.2 29.2 50.0 47.4 24.8 41.0 28.8 41.9 77.8 38.1
LEAN CARLY FIORINA 26 8 18 0 3 10 11 2 0 25 0 1 0 2 3 3 7 4 0 7

3.5 2.2 4.7 2.3 4.7 5.3 1.0 3.7 4.2 10.5 2.5 4.9 5.3 1.6 4.4
CHUCK DEVORE 97 47 50 0 14 30 30 23 5 89 0 1 2 1 17 6 14 39 0 20
------------ 12.9 12.7 13.2 10.8 14.2 14.4 12.0 9.8 13.3 4.2 33.3 5.3 14.0 9.8 10.6 15.7 12.5
CHUCK DEVORE, 90 46 44 0 13 27 28 22 3 84 0 1 2 1 17 5 14 34 0 19
ASSEMBLYMAN/MILITARY 12.0 12.4 11.6 10.0 12.7 13.4 11.5 5.9 12.6 4.2 33.3 5.3 14.0 8.2 10.6 13.7 11.9
RESERVIST
LEAN CHUCK DEVORE 7 1 6 0 1 3 2 1 2 5 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 1

0.9 0.3 1.6 0.8 1.4 1.0 0.5 3.9 0.7 1.6 2.0 0.6
TOM CAMPBELL 184 95 89 1 33 43 63 44 15 162 0 7 0 1 48 13 36 48 1 37

------------ 24.5 25.6 23.5 14.3 25.4 20.3 30.1 22.9 29.4 24.2 29.2 5.3 39.7 21.3 27.3 19.4 11.1 23.1
TOM CAMPBELL, ECONOMIST/ 165 88 77 1 28 37 59 40 15 144 0 6 0 1 44 12 30 45 1 32

BUSINESS EDUCATOR 22.0 23.7 20.3 14.3 21.5 17.5 28.2 20.8 29.4 21.5 25.0 5.3 36.4 19.7 22.7 18.1 11.1 20.0
LEAN TOM CAMPBELL 19 7 12 0 5 6 4 4 0 18 0 1 0 0 4 1 6 3 0 5

2.5 1.9 3.2 3.8 2.8 1.9 2.1 2.7 4.2 3.3 1.6 4.5 1.2 3.1
SOMEONE ELSE 5 1 4 0 0 2 2 1 1 3 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 2
0.7 0.3 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.5 2.0 0.4 4.2 0.8 0.8 1.3
UNSURE 152 64 88 3 28 62 31 28 14 130 0 7 1 6 22 13 32 48 1 30

20.3 17.3 23.2 42.9 21.5 29.2 14.8 14.6 27.5 19.4 29.2 16.7 31.6 18.2 21.3 24.2 19.4 11.1 18.8
REFUSED 12 7 5 0 2 6 1 3 1 11 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 3 0 3
1.6 1.9 1.3 1.5 2.8 0.5 1.6 2.0 1.6 1.6 3.8 1.2 1.9



Table 5-1
Q5. And finally for demographic purposes only, which of the following best describes your ethnic background?
BASE: TOTAL SAMPLE
============= ============= =========================== ===========================
MEN WOMEN
------------- -------------
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
TOTAL 750 375 375 685 65 74 232 215 229 156 219 150 225
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
LATINO/HISPANIC 41 24 17 37 4 11 16 9 5 17 7 10 7
5.5 6.4 4.5 5.4 6.2 14.9 6.9 4.2 2.2 10.9 3.2 6.7 3.1
WHITE/CAUCASIAN 616 297 319 571 45 48 194 174 200 114 183 128 191
82.1 79.2 85.1 83.4 69.2 64.9 83.6 80.9 87.3 73.1 83.6 85.3 84.9
BLACK/AFRICAN AMERICAN 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1
0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.4
ASIAN 29 14 15 19 10 8 9 9 3 10 4 7 8
3.9 3.7 4.0 2.8 15.4 10.8 3.9 4.2 1.3 6.4 1.8 4.7 3.6
OTHER 32 23 9 27 5 4 8 13 7 10 13 2 7
4.3 6.1 2.4 3.9 7.7 5.4 3.4 6.0 3.1 6.4 5.9 1.3 3.1
REFUSED 31 17 14 30 1 3 5 10 13 5 12 3 11
4.1 4.5 3.7 4.4 1.5 4.1 2.2 4.7 5.7 3.2 5.5 2.0 4.9



Table 5-2
BASE: TOTAL SAMPLE
=========================== ========================================= =======================================================
GOP DTS GOP DTS DEM
------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- -------------
100%
not New
having Regis-
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
TOTAL 750 335 350 40 25 265 420 41 24 0 0 336 206 171 0 2 0 30 5

100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
LATINO/HISPANIC 41 21 16 3 1 23 14 4 0 0 0 10 10 19 0 0 0 1 1
5.5 6.3 4.6 7.5 4.0 8.7 3.3 9.8 3.0 4.9 11.1 3.3 20.0
WHITE/CAUCASIAN 616 271 300 26 19 216 355 26 19 0 0 283 173 130 0 2 0 24 4

82.1 80.9 85.7 65.0 76.0 81.5 84.5 63.4 79.2 84.2 84.0 76.0 100.0 80.0 80.0
BLACK/AFRICAN AMERICAN 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
0.1 0.3 0.2 0.6
ASIAN 29 9 10 5 5 9 10 8 2 0 0 10 6 11 0 0 0 2 0
3.9 2.7 2.9 12.5 20.0 3.4 2.4 19.5 8.3 3.0 2.9 6.4 6.7
OTHER 32 18 9 5 0 10 17 2 3 0 0 16 9 6 0 0 0 1 0
4.3 5.4 2.6 12.5 3.8 4.0 4.9 12.5 4.8 4.4 3.5 3.3
REFUSED 31 16 14 1 0 7 23 1 0 0 0 17 8 4 0 0 0 2 0
4.1 4.8 4.0 2.5 2.6 5.5 2.4 5.1 3.9 2.3 6.7



Table 5-3
BASE: TOTAL SAMPLE
============== ============================= ======================================= ===================================================
San Other
------ ------- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -------- --------- -------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------- ------- ------ ------- -------
TOTAL 750 371 379 7 130 212 209 192 51 669 0 24 6 19 121 61 132 248 9 160
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
LATINO/HISPANIC 41 9 32 2 9 16 13 1 29 12 0 0 0 1 4 2 12 16 0 6
5.5 2.4 8.4 28.6 6.9 7.5 6.2 0.5 56.9 1.8 5.3 3.3 3.3 9.1 6.5 3.8
WHITE/CAUCASIAN 616 312 304 5 103 171 169 168 16 591 0 3 6 14 93 47 107 210 8 137
82.1 84.1 80.2 71.4 79.2 80.7 80.9 87.5 31.4 88.3 12.5 100.0 73.7 76.9 77.0 81.1 84.7 88.9 85.6
BLACK/AFRICAN AMERICAN 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.8
ASIAN 29 18 11 0 5 13 5 6 0 9 0 20 0 0 10 2 6 10 0 1
3.9 4.9 2.9 3.8 6.1 2.4 3.1 1.3 83.3 8.3 3.3 4.5 4.0 0.6
OTHER 32 16 16 0 6 6 14 6 4 27 0 1 0 0 5 6 2 9 0 10
4.3 4.3 4.2 4.6 2.8 6.7 3.1 7.8 4.0 4.2 4.1 9.8 1.5 3.6 6.3
REFUSED 31 15 16 0 7 6 8 10 2 29 0 0 0 4 8 4 5 3 1 6
4.1 4.0 4.2 5.4 2.8 3.8 5.2 3.9 4.3 21.1 6.6 6.6 3.8 1.2 11.1 3.8



Table 6-1
GENDER
Base: Total Sample
============= ============= =========================== ===========================
MEN WOMEN
------------- -------------
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Total 750 375 375 685 65 74 232 215 229 156 219 150 225
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Male 375 375 0 335 40 37 119 107 112 156 219 0 0

50.0 100.0 48.9 61.5 50.0 51.3 49.8 48.9 100.0 100.0
Female 375 0 375 350 25 37 113 108 117 0 0 150 225

50.0 100.0 51.1 38.5 50.0 48.7 50.2 51.1 100.0 100.0



Table 6-2
GENDER
Base: Total Sample
=========================== ========================================= =======================================================
GOP DTS GOP DTS DEM
------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- -------------
100%
not New
having Regis-
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Total 750 335 350 40 25 265 420 41 24 0 0 336 206 171 0 2 0 30 5

100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Male 375 335 0 40 0 130 205 26 14 0 0 178 99 78 0 1 0 16 3

50.0 100.0 100.0 49.1 48.8 63.4 58.3 53.0 48.1 45.6 50.0 53.3 60.0
Female 375 0 350 0 25 135 215 15 10 0 0 158 107 93 0 1 0 14 2

50.0 100.0 100.0 50.9 51.2 36.6 41.7 47.0 51.9 54.4 50.0 46.7 40.0



Table 6-3
GENDER
Base: Total Sample
============== ============================= ======================================= ===================================================
San Other
------ ------- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -------- --------- -------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------- ------- ------ ------- -------
Total 750 371 379 7 130 212 209 192 51 669 0 24 6 19 121 61 132 248 9 160
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Male 375 171 204 5 66 105 103 96 26 332 0 13 4 9 63 33 60 122 5 83

50.0 46.1 53.8 71.4 50.8 49.5 49.3 50.0 51.0 49.6 54.2 66.7 47.4 52.1 54.1 45.5 49.2 55.6 51.9
Female 375 200 175 2 64 107 106 96 25 337 0 11 2 10 58 28 72 126 4 77

50.0 53.9 46.2 28.6 49.2 50.5 50.7 50.0 49.0 50.4 45.8 33.3 52.6 47.9 45.9 54.5 50.8 44.4 48.1



Table 7-1
PARTY
Base: Total Sample
============= ============= =========================== ===========================
MEN WOMEN
------------- -------------
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Total 750 375 375 685 65 74 232 215 229 156 219 150 225
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Republican 685 335 350 685 0 57 208 201 219 130 205 135 215
91.3 89.3 93.3 100.0 77.0 89.7 93.5 95.6 83.3 93.6 90.0 95.6
Decline To State (DTS) 65 40 25 0 65 17 24 14 10 26 14 15 10

8.7 10.7 6.7 100.0 23.0 10.3 6.5 4.4 16.7 6.4 10.0 4.4
Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0



Table 7-2
PARTY
Base: Total Sample
=========================== ========================================= =======================================================
GOP DTS GOP DTS DEM
------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- -------------
100%
not New
having Regis-
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Total 750 335 350 40 25 265 420 41 24 0 0 336 206 171 0 2 0 30 5

100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Republican 685 335 350 0 0 265 420 0 0 0 0 320 186 148 0 1 0 25 5

91.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 95.2 90.3 86.5 50.0 83.3 100.0
Decline To State (DTS) 65 0 0 40 25 0 0 41 24 0 0 16 20 23 0 1 0 5 0

8.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 4.8 9.7 13.5 50.0 16.7
Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0



Table 7-3
PARTY
Base: Total Sample
============== ============================= ======================================= ===================================================
San Other
------ ------- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -------- --------- -------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------- ------- ------ ------- -------
Total 750 371 379 7 130 212 209 192 51 669 0 24 6 19 121 61 132 248 9 160
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Republican 685 346 339 6 109 191 194 185 47 615 0 17 6 18 102 55 128 226 9 147
91.3 93.3 89.4 85.7 83.8 90.1 92.8 96.4 92.2 91.9 70.8 100.0 94.7 84.3 90.2 97.0 91.1 100.0 91.9
Decline To State (DTS) 65 25 40 1 21 21 15 7 4 54 0 7 0 1 19 6 4 22 0 13

8.7 6.7 10.6 14.3 16.2 9.9 7.2 3.6 7.8 8.1 29.2 5.3 15.7 9.8 3.0 8.9 8.1
Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0



Table 8-1
AGE GROUP
Base: Total Sample
============= ============= =========================== ===========================
MEN WOMEN
------------- -------------
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Total 750 375 375 685 65 74 232 215 229 156 219 150 225
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
18-34 74 37 37 57 17 74 0 0 0 37 0 37 0
9.9 9.9 9.9 8.3 26.2 100.0 23.7 24.7
35-54 232 119 113 208 24 0 232 0 0 119 0 113 0

30.9 31.7 30.1 30.4 36.9 100.0 76.3 75.3
55-64 215 107 108 201 14 0 0 215 0 0 107 0 108

28.7 28.5 28.8 29.3 21.5 100.0 48.9 48.0
65 AND OLDER 229 112 117 219 10 0 0 0 229 0 112 0 117

30.5 29.9 31.2 32.0 15.4 100.0 51.1 52.0



Table 8-2
AGE GROUP
Base: Total Sample
=========================== ========================================= =======================================================
GOP DTS GOP DTS DEM
------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- -------------
100%
not New
having Regis-
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Total 750 335 350 40 25 265 420 41 24 0 0 336 206 171 0 2 0 30 5

100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
18-34 74 26 31 11 6 57 0 17 0 0 0 12 19 27 0 0 0 12 4
9.9 7.8 8.9 27.5 24.0 21.5 41.5 3.6 9.2 15.8 40.0 80.0
35-54 232 104 104 15 9 208 0 24 0 0 0 84 69 71 0 2 0 6 0

30.9 31.0 29.7 37.5 36.0 78.5 58.5 25.0 33.5 41.5 100.0 20.0
55-64 215 97 104 10 4 0 201 0 14 0 0 99 63 45 0 0 0 7 1

28.7 29.0 29.7 25.0 16.0 47.9 58.3 29.5 30.6 26.3 23.3 20.0
65 AND OLDER 229 108 111 4 6 0 219 0 10 0 0 141 55 28 0 0 0 5 0

30.5 32.2 31.7 10.0 24.0 52.1 41.7 42.0 26.7 16.4 16.7



Table 8-3
AGE GROUP
Base: Total Sample
============== ============================= ======================================= ===================================================
San Other
------ ------- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -------- --------- -------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------- ------- ------ ------- -------
Total 750 371 379 7 130 212 209 192 51 669 0 24 6 19 121 61 132 248 9 160
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
18-34 74 32 42 5 36 24 7 2 9 56 0 8 1 0 12 8 14 26 1 13
9.9 8.6 11.1 71.4 27.7 11.3 3.3 1.0 17.6 8.4 33.3 16.7 9.9 13.1 10.6 10.5 11.1 8.1
35-54 232 90 142 0 36 85 81 30 24 200 0 6 2 6 40 17 31 85 3 50

30.9 24.3 37.5 27.7 40.1 38.8 15.6 47.1 29.9 25.0 33.3 31.6 33.1 27.9 23.5 34.3 33.3 31.3
55-64 215 100 115 1 28 57 67 62 10 194 0 9 2 5 39 17 50 60 1 43

28.7 27.0 30.3 14.3 21.5 26.9 32.1 32.3 19.6 29.0 37.5 33.3 26.3 32.2 27.9 37.9 24.2 11.1 26.9
65 AND OLDER 229 149 80 1 30 46 54 98 8 219 0 1 1 8 30 19 37 77 4 54

30.5 40.2 21.1 14.3 23.1 21.7 25.8 51.0 15.7 32.7 4.2 16.7 42.1 24.8 31.1 28.0 31.0 44.4 33.8



Table 9-1
VOTE PROPENSITY
Base: Total Sample
============= ============= =========================== ===========================
MEN WOMEN
------------- -------------
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Total 750 375 375 685 65 74 232 215 229 156 219 150 225
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
5/5 past elections 336 178 158 320 16 12 84 99 141 53 125 43 115
44.8 47.5 42.1 46.7 24.6 16.2 36.2 46.0 61.6 34.0 57.1 28.7 51.1
4/5 past elections 206 99 107 186 20 19 69 63 55 47 52 41 66

27.5 26.4 28.5 27.2 30.8 25.7 29.7 29.3 24.0 30.1 23.7 27.3 29.3
3/5 past elections 171 78 93 148 23 27 71 45 28 43 35 55 38

22.8 20.8 24.8 21.6 35.4 36.5 30.6 20.9 12.2 27.6 16.0 36.7 16.9
1/5 past elections 2 1 1 1 1 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 0

0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.7
100% Not Having Had The 30 16 14 25 5 12 6 7 5 9 7 9 5

Chance 4.0 4.3 3.7 3.6 7.7 16.2 2.6 3.3 2.2 5.8 3.2 6.0 2.2
New Registrant 5 3 2 5 0 4 0 1 0 3 0 1 1
0.7 0.8 0.5 0.7 5.4 0.5 1.9 0.7 0.4



Table 9-2
VOTE PROPENSITY
Base: Total Sample
=========================== ========================================= =======================================================
GOP DTS GOP DTS DEM
------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- -------------
100%
not New
having Regis-
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Total 750 335 350 40 25 265 420 41 24 0 0 336 206 171 0 2 0 30 5

100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
5/5 past elections 336 167 153 11 5 89 231 7 9 0 0 336 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

44.8 49.9 43.7 27.5 20.0 33.6 55.0 17.1 37.5 100.0
4/5 past elections 206 87 99 12 8 76 110 12 8 0 0 0 206 0 0 0 0 0 0

27.5 26.0 28.3 30.0 32.0 28.7 26.2 29.3 33.3 100.0
3/5 past elections 171 64 84 14 9 81 67 17 6 0 0 0 0 171 0 0 0 0 0

22.8 19.1 24.0 35.0 36.0 30.6 16.0 41.5 25.0 100.0
1/5 past elections 2 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0

0.3 0.3 4.0 0.4 2.4 100.0
100% Not Having Had The 30 13 12 3 2 14 11 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 0

Chance 4.0 3.9 3.4 7.5 8.0 5.3 2.6 9.8 4.2 100.0
New Registrant 5 3 2 0 0 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
0.7 0.9 0.6 1.5 0.2 100.0



Table 9-3
VOTE PROPENSITY
Base: Total Sample
============== ============================= ======================================= ===================================================
San Other
------ ------- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -------- --------- -------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------- ------- ------ ------- -------
Total 750 371 379 7 130 212 209 192 51 669 0 24 6 19 121 61 132 248 9 160
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
5/5 past elections 336 194 142 0 37 78 113 108 18 308 0 6 4 11 56 34 51 113 2 69
44.8 52.3 37.5 28.5 36.8 54.1 56.3 35.3 46.0 25.0 66.7 57.9 46.3 55.7 38.6 45.6 22.2 43.1
4/5 past elections 206 101 105 1 25 74 53 53 13 189 0 4 0 7 34 12 45 62 4 42

27.5 27.2 27.7 14.3 19.2 34.9 25.4 27.6 25.5 28.3 16.7 36.8 28.1 19.7 34.1 25.0 44.4 26.3
3/5 past elections 171 57 114 1 36 60 43 31 16 142 0 12 1 1 26 13 32 61 1 37

22.8 15.4 30.1 14.3 27.7 28.3 20.6 16.1 31.4 21.2 50.0 16.7 5.3 21.5 21.3 24.2 24.6 11.1 23.1
1/5 past elections 2 1 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1

0.3 0.3 0.3 1.5 0.3 0.8 0.6
100% Not Having Had The 30 16 14 0 30 0 0 0 3 25 0 2 0 0 5 2 2 10 2 9

Chance 4.0 4.3 3.7 23.1 5.9 3.7 8.3 4.1 3.3 1.5 4.0 22.2 5.6
New Registrant 5 2 3 5 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 2
0.7 0.5 0.8 71.4 2.0 0.4 16.7 0.8 0.8 1.3



Table 10-1
TYPE OF VOTER
Base: Total Sample
============= ============= =========================== ===========================
MEN WOMEN
------------- -------------
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Total 750 375 375 685 65 74 232 215 229 156 219 150 225
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Vote-By-Mail Voter 371 171 200 346 25 32 90 100 149 55 116 67 133
49.5 45.6 53.3 50.5 38.5 43.2 38.8 46.5 65.1 35.3 53.0 44.7 59.1
Election Day Voter 379 204 175 339 40 42 142 115 80 101 103 83 92
50.5 54.4 46.7 49.5 61.5 56.8 61.2 53.5 34.9 64.7 47.0 55.3 40.9



Table 10-2
TYPE OF VOTER
Base: Total Sample
=========================== ========================================= =======================================================
GOP DTS GOP DTS DEM
------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- -------------
100%
not New
having Regis-
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Total 750 335 350 40 25 265 420 41 24 0 0 336 206 171 0 2 0 30 5

100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Vote-By-Mail Voter 371 158 188 13 12 107 239 15 10 0 0 194 101 57 0 1 0 16 2

49.5 47.2 53.7 32.5 48.0 40.4 56.9 36.6 41.7 57.7 49.0 33.3 50.0 53.3 40.0
Election Day Voter 379 177 162 27 13 158 181 26 14 0 0 142 105 114 0 1 0 14 3
50.5 52.8 46.3 67.5 52.0 59.6 43.1 63.4 58.3 42.3 51.0 66.7 50.0 46.7 60.0



Table 10-3
TYPE OF VOTER
Base: Total Sample
============== ============================= ======================================= ===================================================
San Other
------ ------- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -------- --------- -------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------- ------- ------ ------- -------
Total 750 371 379 7 130 212 209 192 51 669 0 24 6 19 121 61 132 248 9 160
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Vote-By-Mail Voter 371 371 0 3 62 112 98 96 18 334 0 17 2 10 76 29 36 132 6 82

49.5 100.0 42.9 47.7 52.8 46.9 50.0 35.3 49.9 70.8 33.3 52.6 62.8 47.5 27.3 53.2 66.7 51.3
Election Day Voter 379 0 379 4 68 100 111 96 33 335 0 7 4 9 45 32 96 116 3 78

50.5 100.0 57.1 52.3 47.2 53.1 50.0 64.7 50.1 29.2 66.7 47.4 37.2 52.5 72.7 46.8 33.3 48.8



Table 11-1
REGISTRATION DATE
Base: Total Sample
============= ============= =========================== ===========================
MEN WOMEN
------------- -------------
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Total 750 375 375 685 65 74 232 215 229 156 219 150 225
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Less Than A Year 7 5 2 6 1 5 0 1 1 4 1 1 1

0.9 1.3 0.5 0.9 1.5 6.8 0.5 0.4 2.6 0.5 0.7 0.4
Up To 5 Years 130 66 64 109 21 36 36 28 30 37 29 35 29

17.3 17.6 17.1 15.9 32.3 48.6 15.5 13.0 13.1 23.7 13.2 23.3 12.9
Up To 10 Years 212 105 107 191 21 24 85 57 46 58 47 51 56

28.3 28.0 28.5 27.9 32.3 32.4 36.6 26.5 20.1 37.2 21.5 34.0 24.9
Up To 20 Years 209 103 106 194 15 7 81 67 54 43 60 45 61

27.9 27.5 28.3 28.3 23.1 9.5 34.9 31.2 23.6 27.6 27.4 30.0 27.1
More Than 20 Years 192 96 96 185 7 2 30 62 98 14 82 18 78

25.6 25.6 25.6 27.0 10.8 2.7 12.9 28.8 42.8 9.0 37.4 12.0 34.7



Table 11-2
REGISTRATION DATE
Base: Total Sample
=========================== ========================================= =======================================================
GOP DTS GOP DTS DEM
------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- -------------
100%
not New
having Regis-
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Total 750 335 350 40 25 265 420 41 24 0 0 336 206 171 0 2 0 30 5

100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Less Than A Year 7 4 2 1 0 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 5

0.9 1.2 0.6 2.5 1.5 0.5 2.4 0.5 0.6 100.0
Up To 5 Years 130 56 53 10 11 57 52 15 6 0 0 37 25 36 0 2 0 30 0
17.3 16.7 15.1 25.0 44.0 21.5 12.4 36.6 25.0 11.0 12.1 21.1 100.0 100.0
Up To 10 Years 212 89 102 16 5 94 97 15 6 0 0 78 74 60 0 0 0 0 0

28.3 26.6 29.1 40.0 20.0 35.5 23.1 36.6 25.0 23.2 35.9 35.1
Up To 20 Years 209 94 100 9 6 81 113 7 8 0 0 113 53 43 0 0 0 0 0

27.9 28.1 28.6 22.5 24.0 30.6 26.9 17.1 33.3 33.6 25.7 25.1
More Than 20 Years 192 92 93 4 3 29 156 3 4 0 0 108 53 31 0 0 0 0 0

25.6 27.5 26.6 10.0 12.0 10.9 37.1 7.3 16.7 32.1 25.7 18.1



Table 11-3
REGISTRATION DATE
Base: Total Sample
============== ============================= ======================================= ===================================================
San Other
------ ------- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -------- --------- -------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------- ------- ------ ------- -------
Total 750 371 379 7 130 212 209 192 51 669 0 24 6 19 121 61 132 248 9 160
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Less Than A Year 7 3 4 7 0 0 0 0 2 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 3

0.9 0.8 1.1 100.0 3.9 0.6 16.7 0.8 1.2 1.9
Up To 5 Years 130 62 68 0 130 0 0 0 10 115 0 5 0 0 15 11 19 46 3 36

17.3 16.7 17.9 100.0 19.6 17.2 20.8 12.4 18.0 14.4 18.5 33.3 22.5
Up To 10 Years 212 112 100 0 0 212 0 0 17 184 0 9 2 4 31 14 39 72 2 50

28.3 30.2 26.4 100.0 33.3 27.5 37.5 33.3 21.1 25.6 23.0 29.5 29.0 22.2 31.3
Up To 20 Years 209 98 111 0 0 0 209 0 18 183 0 7 1 9 39 16 30 70 3 42

27.9 26.4 29.3 100.0 35.3 27.4 29.2 16.7 47.4 32.2 26.2 22.7 28.2 33.3 26.3
More Than 20 Years 192 96 96 0 0 0 0 192 4 183 0 3 2 6 36 20 43 57 1 29

25.6 25.9 25.3 100.0 7.8 27.4 12.5 33.3 31.6 29.8 32.8 32.6 23.0 11.1 18.1



Table 12-1
ETHNICITY
Base: Total Sample
============= ============= =========================== ===========================
MEN WOMEN
------------- -------------
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Total 750 375 375 685 65 74 232 215 229 156 219 150 225
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Latino/Hispanic 51 26 25 47 4 9 24 10 8 17 9 16 9
6.8 6.9 6.7 6.9 6.2 12.2 10.3 4.7 3.5 10.9 4.1 10.7 4.0
White/Caucasian 669 332 337 615 54 56 200 194 219 129 203 127 210
89.2 88.5 89.9 89.8 83.1 75.7 86.2 90.2 95.6 82.7 92.7 84.7 93.3
Asian 24 13 11 17 7 8 6 9 1 8 5 6 5
3.2 3.5 2.9 2.5 10.8 10.8 2.6 4.2 0.4 5.1 2.3 4.0 2.2
Other 6 4 2 6 0 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 1
0.8 1.1 0.5 0.9 1.4 0.9 0.9 0.4 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.4



Table 12-2
ETHNICITY
Base: Total Sample
=========================== ========================================= =======================================================
GOP DTS GOP DTS DEM
------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- -------------
100%
not New
having Regis-
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Total 750 335 350 40 25 265 420 41 24 0 0 336 206 171 0 2 0 30 5

100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Latino/Hispanic 51 22 25 4 0 29 18 4 0 0 0 18 13 16 0 0 0 3 1
6.8 6.6 7.1 10.0 10.9 4.3 9.8 5.4 6.3 9.4 10.0 20.0
White/Caucasian 669 299 316 33 21 225 390 31 23 0 0 308 189 142 0 2 0 25 3

89.2 89.3 90.3 82.5 84.0 84.9 92.9 75.6 95.8 91.7 91.7 83.0 100.0 83.3 60.0
Asian 24 10 7 3 4 8 9 6 1 0 0 6 4 12 0 0 0 2 0
3.2 3.0 2.0 7.5 16.0 3.0 2.1 14.6 4.2 1.8 1.9 7.0 6.7
Other 6 4 2 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 4 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
0.8 1.2 0.6 1.1 0.7 1.2 0.6 20.0



Table 12-3
ETHNICITY
Base: Total Sample
============== ============================= ======================================= ===================================================
San Other
------ ------- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -------- --------- -------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------- ------- ------ ------- -------
Total 750 371 379 7 130 212 209 192 51 669 0 24 6 19 121 61 132 248 9 160
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Latino/Hispanic 51 18 33 2 10 17 18 4 51 0 0 0 0 0 11 2 12 18 0 8
6.8 4.9 8.7 28.6 7.7 8.0 8.6 2.1 100.0 9.1 3.3 9.1 7.3 5.0
White/Caucasian 669 334 335 4 115 184 183 183 0 669 0 0 0 19 99 58 113 224 9 147
89.2 90.0 88.4 57.1 88.5 86.8 87.6 95.3 100.0 100.0 81.8 95.1 85.6 90.3 100.0 91.9
Asian 24 17 7 0 5 9 7 3 0 0 0 24 0 0 10 1 6 5 0 2
3.2 4.6 1.8 3.8 4.2 3.3 1.6 100.0 8.3 1.6 4.5 2.0 1.3
Other 6 2 4 1 0 2 1 2 0 0 0 0 6 0 1 0 1 1 0 3
0.8 0.5 1.1 14.3 0.9 0.5 1.0 100.0 0.8 0.8 0.4 1.9



Table 13-1
GEOGRAPHY
Base: Total Sample
============= ============= =========================== ===========================
MEN WOMEN
------------- -------------
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Total 750 375 375 685 65 74 232 215 229 156 219 150 225
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Northern Califirnia 19 9 10 18 1 0 6 5 8 1 8 5 5
2.5 2.4 2.7 2.6 1.5 2.6 2.3 3.5 0.6 3.7 3.3 2.2
San Francisco Bay Area 121 63 58 102 19 12 40 39 30 26 37 26 32

16.1 16.8 15.5 14.9 29.2 16.2 17.2 18.1 13.1 16.7 16.9 17.3 14.2
Central Coast 61 33 28 55 6 8 17 17 19 11 22 14 14
8.1 8.8 7.5 8.0 9.2 10.8 7.3 7.9 8.3 7.1 10.0 9.3 6.2
Los Angeles 132 60 72 128 4 14 31 50 37 26 34 19 53

17.6 16.0 19.2 18.7 6.2 18.9 13.4 23.3 16.2 16.7 15.5 12.7 23.6
Other Southern California 248 122 126 226 22 26 85 60 77 52 70 59 67

33.1 32.5 33.6 33.0 33.8 35.1 36.6 27.9 33.6 33.3 32.0 39.3 29.8
Central Mountain 9 5 4 9 0 1 3 1 4 2 3 2 2
1.2 1.3 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.3 0.5 1.7 1.3 1.4 1.3 0.9
Central Valley 160 83 77 147 13 13 50 43 54 38 45 25 52

21.3 22.1 20.5 21.5 20.0 17.6 21.6 20.0 23.6 24.4 20.5 16.7 23.1



Table 13-2
GEOGRAPHY
Base: Total Sample
=========================== ========================================= =======================================================
GOP DTS GOP DTS DEM
------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- -------------
100%
not New
having Regis-
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Total 750 335 350 40 25 265 420 41 24 0 0 336 206 171 0 2 0 30 5

100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Northern Califirnia 19 9 9 0 1 6 12 0 1 0 0 11 7 1 0 0 0 0 0
2.5 2.7 2.6 4.0 2.3 2.9 4.2 3.3 3.4 0.6
San Francisco Bay Area 121 51 51 12 7 36 66 16 3 0 0 56 34 26 0 0 0 5 0

16.1 15.2 14.6 30.0 28.0 13.6 15.7 39.0 12.5 16.7 16.5 15.2 16.7
Central Coast 61 28 27 5 1 21 34 4 2 0 0 34 12 13 0 0 0 2 0
8.1 8.4 7.7 12.5 4.0 7.9 8.1 9.8 8.3 10.1 5.8 7.6 6.7
Los Angeles 132 59 69 1 3 43 85 2 2 0 0 51 45 32 0 1 0 2 1

17.6 17.6 19.7 2.5 12.0 16.2 20.2 4.9 8.3 15.2 21.8 18.7 50.0 6.7 20.0
Other Southern California 248 107 119 15 7 100 126 11 11 0 0 113 62 61 0 0 0 10 2

33.1 31.9 34.0 37.5 28.0 37.7 30.0 26.8 45.8 33.6 30.1 35.7 33.3 40.0
Central Mountain 9 5 4 0 0 4 5 0 0 0 0 2 4 1 0 0 0 2 0
1.2 1.5 1.1 1.5 1.2 0.6 1.9 0.6 6.7
Central Valley 160 76 71 7 6 55 92 8 5 0 0 69 42 37 0 1 0 9 2

21.3 22.7 20.3 17.5 24.0 20.8 21.9 19.5 20.8 20.5 20.4 21.6 50.0 30.0 40.0



Table 13-3
GEOGRAPHY
Base: Total Sample
============== ============================= ======================================= ===================================================
San Other
------ ------- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -------- --------- -------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------- ------- ------ ------- -------
Total 750 371 379 7 130 212 209 192 51 669 0 24 6 19 121 61 132 248 9 160
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Northern Califirnia 19 10 9 0 0 4 9 6 0 19 0 0 0 19 0 0 0 0 0 0
2.5 2.7 2.4 1.9 4.3 3.1 2.8 100.0
San Francisco Bay Area 121 76 45 0 15 31 39 36 11 99 0 10 1 0 121 0 0 0 0 0

16.1 20.5 11.9 11.5 14.6 18.7 18.8 21.6 14.8 41.7 16.7 100.0
Central Coast 61 29 32 0 11 14 16 20 2 58 0 1 0 0 0 61 0 0 0 0
8.1 7.8 8.4 8.5 6.6 7.7 10.4 3.9 8.7 4.2 100.0
Los Angeles 132 36 96 1 19 39 30 43 12 113 0 6 1 0 0 0 132 0 0 0

17.6 9.7 25.3 14.3 14.6 18.4 14.4 22.4 23.5 16.9 25.0 16.7 100.0
Other Southern California 248 132 116 3 46 72 70 57 18 224 0 5 1 0 0 0 0 248 0 0

33.1 35.6 30.6 42.9 35.4 34.0 33.5 29.7 35.3 33.5 20.8 16.7 100.0
Central Mountain 9 6 3 0 3 2 3 1 0 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0
1.2 1.6 0.8 2.3 0.9 1.4 0.5 1.3 100.0
Central Valley 160 82 78 3 36 50 42 29 8 147 0 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 160

21.3 22.1 20.6 42.9 27.7 23.6 20.1 15.1 15.7 22.0 8.3 50.0 100.0


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Capitol Weekly ProbolskyResearch CAPoll June Primary Election Report On Results

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CAPITOL WEEKLY/PROBOLSKY RESEARCH

JUNE 2010 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY ELECTION

PUBLIC POLL WITH DISTRIBUTION CONTROLLED BY CAPITOL WEEKLY

II. Executive Summary and Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3

III. Cross Tabulations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6

Probolsky Research LLC

CAPITOL WEEKLY/PROBOLSKY RESEARCH CA POLL

Field Dates: May 30 – June 1, 2010

Hello, may I speak with __________? [IF NOT AVAILABLE—SCHEDULE CALLBACK]

[Q1: DECLINE TO STATE VOTERS ONLY]

Meg Whitman, Businesswoman 48.4%

Probolsky Research LLC

Carly Fiorina, Business Executive 36.5%

Thank you for your time. Have a great (day/evening).

Probolsky Research LLC

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS

From Sunday, May 30 through Tuesday, June 1, 2010

Probolsky Research LLC

Steve Poizner 24.0%

Meg Whitman 54.4%

Unsure/refused/someone else 21.6%

80% Tom Campbell, Law Professor

30% Someone else

Probolsky Research LLC

Carly Fiorina 40.0%

Chuck DeVore 12.9%

Tom Campbell 24.5%

Someone else 0.7%

Reflecting a dramatic gain since April 2010

Probolsky Research LLC

CAPITOL WEEKLY - PROBOLSKY RESEARCH CALIFORNIA POLL / MAY 2010

Probolsky Research LLC

CAPITOL WEEKLY - PROBOLSKY RESEARCH CALIFORNIA POLL / MAY 2010

Probolsky Research LLC

CAPITOL WEEKLY - PROBOLSKY RESEARCH CALIFORNIA POLL / MAY 2010

Probolsky Research LLC

CAPITOL WEEKLY - PROBOLSKY RESEARCH CALIFORNIA POLL / MAY 2010

LEAN MEG WHITMAN 45 20 25 40 5 4 18 11 12 13 7 9 16

STEVE POIZNER 180 89 91 158 22 18 64 55 43 43 46 39 52

STEVE POIZNER, 149 80 69 130 19 15 53 49 32 39 41 29 40

LEAN STEVE POIZNER 31 9 22 28 3 3 11 6 11 4 5 10 12

UNSURE 123 61 62 115 8 20 46 27 30 30 31 36 26

Probolsky Research LLC

CAPITOL WEEKLY - PROBOLSKY RESEARCH CALIFORNIA POLL / MAY 2010

TOTAL 750 335 350 40 25 265 420 41 24 0 0 336 206 171 0 2 0 30 5

MEG WHITMAN 408 182 194 22 10 131 245 17 15 0 0 189 119 85 0 1 0 11 3

MEG WHITMAN, 363 165 171 19 8 112 224 14 13 0 0 170 111 69 0 1 0 9 3

LEAN MEG WHITMAN 45 17 23 3 2 19 21 3 2 0 0 19 8 16 0 0 0 2 0

STEVE POIZNER 180 77 81 12 10 65 93 17 5 0 0 75 49 43 0 1 0 12 0

STEVE POIZNER, 149 69 61 11 8 53 77 15 4 0 0 64 43 31 0 1 0 10 0

LEAN STEVE POIZNER 31 8 20 1 2 12 16 2 1 0 0 11 6 12 0 0 0 2 0

Probolsky Research LLC

CAPITOL WEEKLY - PROBOLSKY RESEARCH CALIFORNIA POLL / MAY 2010

LEAN MEG WHITMAN 45 17 28 0 12 9 17 7 1 40 0 3 1 1 4 5 10 17 0 8

STEVE POIZNER 180 88 92 2 45 47 47 39 16 158 0 5 1 4 37 11 31 55 1 41

STEVE POIZNER, 149 74 75 2 37 40 37 33 11 132 0 5 1 4 30 10 25 45 0 35

LEAN STEVE POIZNER 31 14 17 0 8 7 10 6 5 26 0 0 0 0 7 1 6 10 1 6

UNSURE 123 51 72 1 19 41 29 33 12 105 0 5 1 2 16 10 19 45 1 30

Probolsky Research LLC

CAPITOL WEEKLY - PROBOLSKY RESEARCH CALIFORNIA POLL / MAY 2010

CARLY FIORINA 300 141 159 281 19 20 73 90 117 44 97 49 110

CARLY FIORINA, BUSINESS 274 134 140 256 18 18 65 82 109 40 94 43 97

LEAN CARLY FIORINA 26 7 19 25 1 2 8 8 8 4 3 6 13