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Project B
$10,000
6,000
16,000
a. Which of the two projects should be chosen based on the payback method?
b. Which of the two projects should be chosen based on the net present value method?
Assume a cost of capital of 10 percent.
c. Should a firm normally have more confidence in answer a or answer b?
1 year
Choose project A
b. NPV for Project A
Year
Cash flow
1
$12,000
2
8,000
3
6,000
Present value of inflows
Initial investment
NPV (net present value)
Both projects are attractive, but project B adds the most value to
the firm. It has the higher NPV.
c. The NPV is preferred and gives more confidence because it
incorporates the time value of money and considers all the cash
flows.
15. The Danforth Tire Company is considering the purchase of a new machine that
would increase the speed of manufacturing and save money. The net cost of this
machine is $66,000. The annual cash flows have the following projections.
Year Cash Flow
1. . . . . . . . . $21,000
2. . . . . . . . . 29,000
3. . . . . . . . . 36,000
4. . . . . . . . . 16,000
5. . . . . . . . . 8,000
a. NPV
Year
1
2
3
4
5
Cash flow
$21,000
29,000
36,000
16,000
8,000
Present value of inflows
66,000
$20,000
Since we have a positive net present value, the internal rate of return must be
larger than 10%. Because of uneven cash flows, we need to use trial and
error. Counting the net present value calculation as the first trial, we now try
20% for our second trial.
Year
1
2
3
4
5
Cash flow
$21,000
29,000
36,000
16,000
8,000
Present value of inflows
Since 20% is not high enough, we try a higher rate, say 25%.
Year
1
2
3
4
5
Cash flow
$21,000
29,000
36,000
16,000
8,000
Present value of inflows
The correct answer must fall between 20% and 25%. We interpolate.
$69,403
62,967
$ 6,436
PV @ 20%
PV @ 25%
$69,403
66,000
$ 3,403
PV @ 20%
(Cost)
$3,403
0.05 0.20 0.529 0.05
$6,436
0.20 .02645 0.2265 22.65%
%i =?
Compute:
IRR = 22.54%
c. The project should be accepted because the net present value is positive and
the IRR exceeds the cost of capital.
20. Miller Electronics is considering two new investments. Project C calls for the
purchase of a coolant recovery system. Project H represents an investment in a heat
recovery system. The firm wishes to use a net present value profile in comparing the
projects. The investment and cash flow patterns are as follows:
Project C
($25,000 investment)
Year Cash Flow
1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . .$ 6,000
2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7,000
3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9,000
4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13,000
Project H
($25,000 investment)
Year Cash Flow
1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .$20,000
2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6,000
3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5,000
a. Determine the net present value of the projects based on a zero discount rate.
b. Determine the net present value of the projects based on a 9 percent discount rate.
c. The internal rate of return on Project C is 13.01 percent, and the internal rate of
return on Project H is 15.68 percent. Graph a net present value profile for the two
investments similar to Figure 123. (Use a scale up to $10,000 on the vertical axis, with
$2,000 increments. Use a scale up to 20 percent on the horizontal axis, with 5 percent
increments.)
Outflow
$25,000
b. 9% discount rate
Project C
Year
Cash Flow
Present Value @
9%
1
2
3
4
$ 6,000
7,000
9,000
13,000
Present value of inflows
Present value of outflows (cost)
NPV (net present value)
$ 5,505
5,892
6,950
9,210
27,557
25,000
$ 2,557
Project H
Year
Cash Flow
Present Value @
9%
1
2
3
$20,000
6,000
5,000
Present value of inflows
Present value of outflows (cost)
NPV (net present value)
$18,349
5,050
3,861
27,260
25,000
$ 2,260
d)
Since the projects are not mutually exclusive, they both can be selected if they have a
positive net present value. At an 8% rate, they should both be accepted.
e)
With mutually exclusive projects, only one can be accepted; provided the project has a
positive net present value. Based on the visual evidence:
(1) 5% cost of capital - select Project C
(2) 13% cost of capital - select Project H
(3) 19% cost of capital - Do not select either project
Chapter 13 Problems
1. Myers Business Systems is evaluating the introduction of a new product. The
possible levels of unit sales and the probabilities of their occurrence are given
below:
Possible
Market Reaction
Sales
in Units
Probabilities
Low response . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
Moderate response . . . . . . . . . 40
High response . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55
Very high response . . . . . . . . . 70
.10
.30
.40
.20
a. What is the expected value of unit sales for the new product?
b. What is the standard deviation of unit sales?
a.
D DP
D
.10
.30
.40
.20
20
40
55
70
b.
P
2
12
22
14
50
D
20
40
55
70
50
50
50
50
DP
D D P
(D D )
30
10
+ 5
+ 20
(D D )2
900
100
25
400
P
.10
.30
.40
.20
210 14.49
5. Five investment alternatives have the following returns and standard
deviations of returns.
Alternative
A. . . . . . . . . .
B. . . . . . . . . . .
Returns
Expected
$ 5,000
4,000
Standard
Value Deviation
$1,200
600
(D D
90
30
10
80
210
C. . . . . . . . . . .
D. . . . . . . . . . .
E. . . . . . . . . . .
4,000
8,000
10,000
800
3,200
900
Using the coefficient of variation, rank the five alternatives from lowest risk to
highest risk.
Coefficient of variation V
A
B
C
D
E
$1,200/ $5,000
$600/ $4,000
$800/ $4,000
$3,200/ $8,000
$800/ $10,000
= .24
= .15
= .20
= .40
= .08
14. Mr. Monty Terry, a real estate investor, is trying to decide between two
potential small shopping center purchases. His choices are the Wrigley Village
and Crosley Square. The anticipated annual cash inflows from each are as
follows:
Wrigley Village
Yearly Aftertax
Cash Inflow
(in thousands) Probability
$10 . . . . . . . . . . . .1
30 . . . . . . . . . . . .2
40 . . . . . . . . . . . .3
50 . . . . . . . . . . . .3
60 . . . . . . . . . . . .1
Crosley Square
Yearly Aftertax
Cash Inflow
(in thousands) Probability
$20 . . . . . . . . . . . .1
30 . . . . . . . . . . . .3
35 . . . . . . . . . . . .4
50 . . . . . . . . . . . .2
a. Find the expected value of the cash flow from each shopping center.
b. What is the coefficient of variation for each shopping center?
c. Which shopping center has more risk?
a)
D DP
Wrigley Village
D
10
30
P
.10
.20
Crosley Square
DP
$1
6
D
20
30
P
.10
.30
DP
$2
9
40
.30
50
.30
60
.10
Expected cash flow
(thousands)
12
15
6
$40
35
.40
14
50
.20
10
Expected cash flow $35
(thousands)
b)
Find the standard deviation. Then the coefficient of variation.
D
$10
30
40
50
60
$40
40
40
40
40
Wrigley Village
(D D ) (D D )2
$30
$900
10
100
0
0
+10
100
+20
400
P
.10
.20
.30
.30
.10
(D D
$90
20
P
.10
.30
.40
.20
(D D
22.5
7.5
30
40
$180
Crosley Square
D
D
$20
$35
30
35
35
35
50
35
$13.42
0.336
$40
D
(D D )
$15
5
0
+15
(D D )2
225
25
0
225
75 8.66 thousands
Coefficient of variation V
$8.66
0.247
$35
D
45.0
$75.0
c)
Based on the coefficient of variation, Wrigley Square has
more risk (0.336 vs. 0.247).