Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Aliyah Sanders
Camille Joyce Corona
Jane Sanchez
Luiz Cruz
Carlo Samaniego
March 2016
PAYBACK PERIOD
San Miguel Corporation
Year 2010-2014
Base year: 2009
Initial Outlay
Total Capital:
P240,938
Year
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Initial Outlay
Total Capital:
P23,393,839
Year
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Payback Period: 1.90 year
FCF
P125,188
P128,975
P125,507
P191,613
P258,606
P829,889
PVIF
.847
.718
.608
.515
.437
PV
106 , 034.236
92,604.05
76,308.256
98,680.695
113,010.822
486,638.059
240,938
NPV 245,700.059 Accept
PI = 486,638.059
240,938
= 2.01% Accept
DMCI Holdings
Year
1
2
3
4
5
FCF
P9,946,666
P15,065,748
P9,717,042
P24,774,495
P15,229,768
P74,733,719
PVIF
.876
.766
.671
.587
.514
PV
8,713,279.416
11,540,362.97
6,520,135.182
1,628, 628.565
7,828,100.752
36,230,506.89
23,393,839
NPV 12,836,667.89 Accept
(E +
D)
Cost of
Equity
+ D /
(E +
D)
Cost of
Debt
* (1 - Tax Rate)
1. Weights:
Generally speaking, a company's assets are financed by debt and equity. We need to
calculate the weight of equity and the weight of debt.
The market value of equity (E) is also called "Market Cap". As of today, San Miguel
Corp's market capitalization (E) is $3893.650 Mil.
The market value of debt is typically difficult to calculate, therefore, GuruFocus uses
book value of debt (D) to do the calculation. It is simplified by adding the latest two-year
average Short-Term Debt and Long-Term Debttogether. As of Sep. 2015, San Miguel
Corp's latest two-year average Short-Term Debt was $4714.70322726 Mil and its latest
two-year average Long-Term Debt was $10125.6037012 Mil. The total Book Value of
Debt (D) is $14840.3069285 Mil.
a) weight of equity = E / (E + D) = 3893.650 / (3893.650 + 14840.3069285) = 0.2078
b) weight of debt = D / (E + D) = 14840.3069285 / (3893.650 + 14840.3069285) =
0.7922
2. Cost of Equity:
GuruFocus uses Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) to calculate the required rate of
return. The formula is:
Cost of Equity = Risk-Free Rate of Return + Beta of Asset * (Expected Return of the
Market - Risk-Free Rate of Return)
a) GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate. It is
updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 1.91%. Please go to Economic
Indicators page for more information.
b) Beta is the sensitivity of the expected excess asset returns to the expected excess
market returns. San Miguel Corp's beta is -0.55.
c) (Expected Return of the Market - Risk-Free Rate of Return) is also called market
premium. GuruFocus requires market premium to be 7.5%.
Cost of Equity = 1.91% + -0.55 * 7.5% = -2.215%
3. Cost of Debt:
GuruFocus uses last fiscal year end Interest Expense divided by the latest two-year
* -2.215%
+ 0.7922
* 4.04%
* (1 - 16.785%)
(E +
D)
Cost of
Equity
+ D /
(E +
D)
Cost of
Debt
* (1 - Tax Rate)
1. Weights:
Generally speaking, a company's assets are financed by debt and equity. We need to
calculate the weight of equity and the weight of debt.
The market value of equity (E) is also called "Market Cap". As of today, DMCI Holdings
Inc's market capitalization (E) is $9454.950 Mil.
The market value of debt is typically difficult to calculate, therefore, GuruFocus uses
book value of debt (D) to do the together. As of Sep. 2015, DMCI Holdings Inc's latest
two-year average Short-Term Debt was $1204.2927443 Mil and its latest two-year
average Long-Term Debt was $2478.91650869 Mil. The total Book Value of Debt (D) is
$3683.20925299 Mil.
a) weight of equity = E / (E + D) = 9454.950 / (9454.950 + 3683.20925299) = 0.7197
b) weight of debt = D / (E + D) = 3683.20925299 / (9454.950 + 3683.20925299) =
0.2803
2. Cost of Equity:
GuruFocus uses Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) to calculate the required rate of
return. The formula is:
Cost of Equity = Risk-Free Rate of Return + Beta of Asset * (Expected Return of the
Market - Risk-Free Rate of Return)
a) GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate. It is
updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 1.91%. Please go to Economic
Indicators page for more information.
b) Beta is the sensitivity of the expected excess asset returns to the expected excess
market returns. DMCI Holdings Inc's beta is 0.84.
c) (Expected Return of the Market - Risk-Free Rate of Return) is also called market
premium. GuruFocus requires market premium to be 7.5%.
Cost of Equity = 1.91% + 0.84 * 7.5% = 8.21%
3. Cost of Debt:
GuruFocus uses last fiscal year end Interest Expense divided by the latest two-year
* 8.21%
+ 0.2803
* 0%
* (1 - 15.04%)
2005-12 2006-12 2007-12 2008-12 2009-12 2010-12 2011-12 2012-12 2013-12 2014-12
TTM
Tax Rate %
11.94
25.07
13.81
25.45
10.16
10.30
9.87
10.52
8.64
7.31 14.95
Net Margin %
35.80
13.05
22.82
7.98
15.76
18.09
20.07
18.92
33.83
19.05 23.25
0.59
0.46
0.50
0.65
0.64
0.67
0.62
0.58
0.51
0.43 0.40
21.08
6.04
11.44
5.21
10.03
12.21
12.34
10.91
17.29
8.26 9.31
1.92
2.10
1.93
2.17
2.82
2.64
2.48
2.35
2.41
2.44 2.39
Return on Equity %
40.54
12.17
22.82
10.69
25.33
33.18
31.54
26.32
41.25
20.05 22.59
30.45
8.60
17.38
7.90
14.12
21.29
18.14
15.93
23.80
11.89 13.23
7.33
Interest Coverage
Liquidity/Financial Health
2005-12 2006-12 2007-12 2008-12 2009-12 2010-12 2011-12 2012-12 2013-12 2014-12 Latest Qtr
Current Ratio
1.24
1.24
2.60
2.35
3.17
1.57
1.61
1.39
1.46
1.52
1.38
Quick Ratio
0.71
0.70
2.09
1.93
2.75
1.13
1.12
0.92
1.07
1.11
0.92
Financial Leverage
2.45
2.67
2.14
2.26
2.10
3.93
3.97
4.29
5.14
5.29
5.47
Debt/Equity
0.68
0.65
0.41
0.27
0.34
1.68
1.71
1.66
1.95
1.97
2.15
2005-12 2006-12 2007-12 2008-12 2009-12 2010-12 2011-12 2012-12 2013-12 2014-12
TTM
21.31
33.36
35.87
29.36
5.76
32.23
22.94
18.58
6.80
26.77 37.22
Net Margin %
3.96
4.23
5.57
11.95
33.18
8.16
3.27
3.95
4.27
1.10 0.16
0.79
0.73
0.49
0.54
0.45
0.39
0.62
0.72
0.68
0.66 0.56
Return on Assets %
3.13
3.07
2.71
6.40
14.86
3.17
2.04
2.86
2.89
0.72 0.09
2.45
2.67
2.14
2.26
2.10
3.93
3.97
4.29
5.14
5.29 5.47
Return on Equity %
7.26
7.86
6.50
14.11
32.21
9.56
8.04
11.82
13.61
3.75 0.47
7.26
5.81
4.71
8.14
22.12
4.75
2.98
3.46
3.40
2.83 1.81
Interest Coverage
Liquidity/Financial Health
2005-12 2006-12 2007-12 2008-12 2009-12 2010-12 2011-12 2012-12 2013-12 2014-12 Latest Qtr
Current Ratio
2.69
2.43
1.96
1.97
1.26
1.78
2.04
1.83
2.47
2.12
2.00
Quick Ratio
1.76
1.23
0.78
0.99
0.48
0.94
1.06
0.80
1.38
0.95
0.83
Financial Leverage
1.92
2.10
1.93
2.17
2.82
2.64
2.48
2.35
2.41
2.44
2.39
Debt/Equity
0.25
0.35
0.13
0.29
0.70
0.62
0.52
0.45
0.61
0.58
0.50
CONCLUSION
Based on analysis, the proponents chose to invest their 1 million pesos to San Miguel
Corporation. It was found out that the San Miguel Corp has a lower WACC and as a rule
the lower the better. The proponents also did a financial ratio analysis of the two
companies and San Miguel Corporation is better than DMCI Holdings in almost all
aspects.