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Interested Parties
Pete Brodnitz, Expedition Strategies
Recent polling in Virginias 10th Congressional District
September 24, 2016

The results of our recent poll of likely general election voters in Virginias 10th Congressional District
shows that LuAnn Bennett is a strong general election candidate and is making considerable progress
towards defeating Barbara Comstock.
LuAnn Bennett Has Begun to Introduce Herself to Voters and Raise Her Name ID While
Comstocks Unfavorable Ratings Have Risen
LuAnn Bennett is successfully introducing herself to voters during this campaign. Since May, she has
raised her name ID by twenty-five points (12% in May, 37% in September). Her favorability has also more
than tripled moving from 7% in May to 24% in September. In contrast with Bennetts positive progress,
Comstock has seen her unfavorable rating rise ten points from 25% to 35% while her favorable rating has
only risen five points from 40% to 45%.
LuAnn Bennett
May
Sept.

16
16

Name ID
Very Fav
Fav/Unfav
Net Fav

12
2
7/5
+2

37
+25
10
+8
24/13 +17/+8
+11
+9

Barbara Comstock
May
Sept.

16
16

65
80
+15
13
17
+4
40/25 45/35 +5/-10
+15
+10
-5

Bennett Has Closed The Gap On The Ballot, Now Narrowly Trails Comstock
Bennetts ability to introduce herself to voters is paying dividends. While she trailed by eleven points when
we polled in May, today Bennett trails by only four points (41% say they will vote for Bennett, 45% say
they will vote for Comstock, 1% say they will vote for another candidate and 12% are undecided). When
undecided voters are pushed to see which way they lean, Comstocks lead shrinks further to two points
(45% say they will vote for Bennett, 47% say they will vote for Comstock, 1% say they will vote for
another candidate and 7% are undecided).
If the November 2016 election for Congress were held today, would you
vote for ?
May
2016

September
2016

Difference
Democrat LuAnn Bennett
Republican Barbara Comstock
Another candidate
Dont know

-11
36
47
2
15

-4
41
45
1
12

+7
+5
-2
-1
-3

Difference
Bennett w/ leaners
Comstock w/ leaners
Another w/ leaners
Dont know w/ leaners

-10
40
50
3
7

-2
45
47
1
7

+8
+5
-3
-2
0

Arlington, VA
info@expeditionstrategies.com

A Majority of Voters Are Favorable Towards President Obama and Half Approve of the Job He Is
Doing
President Obama is popular (60% say they are favorable towards him, 39% say they are unfavorable)
and half (50%) say he is doing an excellent/good job as President, while 50% say he is doing a fair/poor
job.

Positive
Negative

Obama Favorability

Obama Job Approval

60% favorable
39% unfavorable

50% excellent/good
50% fair/poor

Two-Thirds Are Unfavorable Towards Trump While Voters Are Split On Clinton and Kaine Is
Popular
Roughly two-thirds of voters in the district (64%) are unfavorable towards Donald Trump while only 35%
are favorable towards him. Voters are almost evenly split on Hillary Clinton (48% favorable, 51%
unfavorable) and Tim Kaine is popular (56% favorable, 34% unfavorable).
Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable,
somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable view of?
Name ID
Very Fav
Fav/Unfav
Net Fav

Donald
Trump

Hillary
Clinton

Tim
Kaine

99
15
35/64
-29

99
23
48/51
-3

90
31
56/34
+22

And Clinton Has a Large Lead On Trump in The District

The district heavily favors Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump in the Presidential race Clinton leads
Trump by 14% (49% say they will vote for Clinton, 35% say they will vote for Trump, 8% say they will vote
for Johnson, 1% say they will vote for Stein, 1% say they will vote for McMullin, 1% say they will vote for
another candidate, and 5% are undecided).
If the November 2016 election for President were held
today, would you vote for?
All

Difference
Democrat Hillary Clinton
Republican Donald Trump
Libertarian Gary Johnson
Green Party candidate Jill Stein
Independent party candidate Evan McMullin
Another candidate (vol.)
Dont know

+14
49
35
8
1
1
1
5

VA-10 Polling Results 2

But Voters Regardless of Party Think Comstock Will Go Along With Trumps Agenda
Making the situation in the Presidential race difficult for Comstock is the fact that regardless of party,
voters believe she will go along with Trumps agenda and support his policies. 57% of Democrats and
59% of Republicans say that Barbara Comstock will go along with Trumps agenda and support his
policies not that Barbara Comstock will stand up to Trump and block parts of his agenda.
If Donald Trump is elected President in November, which is closer to
your view?
All

Ind

Rep

+31 +35

+20

+38

54

57

47

59

23

22

27

21

23

21

27

20

Q17

Difference
Barbara Comstock will go along with
Trumps agenda and support his policies.
Barbara Comstock will stand up to Trump
and block parts of his agenda.
Dont know

Party ID
Dem

Expedition Strategies conducted 400 total interviews in Virginias 10th Congressional District September
19-21, 2016. The margin of error for overall results is 4.90%. Expedition Strategies clients include
Senator Tim Kaine (VA), Senator Mazie Hirono (HI), Congressman Adam Smith (WA), and Congressman
Tim Walz (MN).

VA-10 Polling Results 3