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Integrating Theories of Motivation

Author(s): Piers Steel and Cornelius J. Knig


Source: The Academy of Management Review, Vol. 31, No. 4 (Oct., 2006), pp. 889-913
Published by: Academy of Management
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Academy o?Management Review


2006,Vol. 31,No. 4, 889-913.

THEORIESOF MOTIVATION
INTEGRATING
PIERS STEEL
of Calgary

University

CORNELIUS J.K?NIG
Universit?t

Z?rich

human
behavior
has been hindered
toward understanding
Progress
by discipline
our efforts. Fortunately,
are con
these separate
endeavors
bound
theories, dividing
on the fundamental
and can be effectively
features of
verging
integrated.
Focusing
expectancy
prospect
picoeconomics,
theory, we
theory, cumulative
theory, and need
a temporal motivational
construct
consistent
with
the
theory (TMT). TMT appears
other investigations,
and behav
from many
major
including
findings
psychobiology
iorism.

of TMT are numerous,


The potential
affecting our understanding
implications
behav
stock market
group behavior,
range of topics, including
job design,

on a wide
ior, and

goal

setting.

so
decision making,
fields of economics,
a
common
share
desire
and
ciology,
psychology
our human nature?that
to understand
is, our

sions

The

example,
motivation,

or tempera
essential
character,
disposition,
ment. This extensive, multidisciplinar/y
interest
in establishing
who we are reflects the enor
mous
As Pinker
of the endeavor.
ramifications
theories of human nature have
(2002) catalogs,
used

lamented

ers'

thankful

who

initially

passing

preference/implicit
economic
science
quate

of prior

for this present


we
agreements,

before

process
first submitted.

contributions

employed

rates]
reflection
by

these

is a

on

in

scandal
the

would-be

inade
de

this?to

of consilience.

is "a 'jumping
to
Consilience
of
the
of
facts
and
gether'
knowledge
linking
by
fact-based
to create a
theory across disciplines
common groundwork
of explanation"
(1998: 8). If
a theory can be shown to have consilience,
its

from

who provided
the edifice
dis
Despite
regular academic
to be laboring
toward a common

researchers,

publication.
all appear

these different
effectively combine
nature?we
of
human
will have
conceptions
a
common
toward
the
substantially
progressed
To use E. O. Wilson's
ory of basic motivation.
is an excellent
term, this convergence
example

the review
we

methods

interest

and

our theories also have


several
Fortunately,
and
their
inte
effective
strong commonalities,
seems
achievable
(Klein, 1989; Larrick,
gration
to
& Shoda,
1993; Mischel
1999). If it is possible

of our paper was Elizabeth


to reply to the review
comments

(e.g.,

stroyers of each other (1930: 312).

the opportunity

though
insightful
judgment. With her stewardship,
a much better paper
than what
the combined
greatly appreciate

produced
Also, we
a long chain

cause.

that the editor

gave us
critical

researchers

prominent

The fact that there are still two schools, the pro
school,
ductivity school and the psychological
constantly crossing swords on this subject [time

do

are

by many

a new
Judge & Hies, 2002), but it is by no means
issue. Consider
the words of Irving Fisher,
the
venerated
economist, which are regrettably still
far too relevant:

been hindered by the very extent of our efforts.


There is a superabundance
of motivational
the
ories. Not only does each field have its particu
lar interpretation, but there are ample
subdivi

We

for
discipline.
Psychology,
the traditions of self-regulation,
and personality,
each with its own

Barrick & Mount, 1991; Elliot & Thrash, 2002;

to direct

physical enterprise, requires positing human el


ements such as "growth need strength" (Hack
man & Oldham,
the efficacy of
1976). To ensure
our interventions, we need
to determine what
our actions.
describes,
drives, or decides
our
of behavior
has
Ironically,
understanding

Mannix,

each

has

These
structure, and etiology.
nomenclature,
our
subdivisions
divide
efforts, lim
necessarily
can
to
extent
the
which
be shared.
iting
insights
This problem has recently been recognized
and

relationships,
lifestyles, and
disastrous
effects when
governments?with
on faulty models.
based
On a smaller applied
and
treatments, training, compensation,
scale,
on our theories of human
selection
all depend
is an overtly
Even job design, which
behavior.
been

within

889

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890 Academy

of Management

it
is vastly
validity
improved, since
avenues
of
different
represents
inquiry coming
to similar conclusions.
We begin by further re
of such
the importance and advantages
viewing
scientific

integration.
four closely
related
After this, we
integrate
motivational
theories, using the insights of each
to inform the others. We start with picoeconom
ics (Ainslie, 1992), which we then subsequently
expectancy
theory (e.g., Vroom,
1964), cumulative
prospect
theory (Tversky &
Kahneman,
1992), and need theory (e.g., Dollard
& Miller, 1950). It is important to note that none of
these theories is definitive, each containing var
we are not attempt
limitations. However,
a
in
of
full
their
every detail;
integration
ing
we
are
on
these
stead,
focusing
linking together
ba
theories' most enduring and well-accepted
sic features. One of the most important of these
ious

is time.
is a critical

features

of choice or mo
component
As Drucker notes, "The time
behavior.
is inherent in management
because
dimension
is
forac
concerned
with
decisions
management
Time

tivated

tion" (1954: 15). Similarly, Luce states that "quite


of a decision
realization
clearly any empirical
tree has a strong temporal aspect," and the fail
ure to include
time "is a clear
failing of the

(1990) and
(1990: 228). Also, Kanfer
are epi
that
theories
(2001) critique
for
have
sodic and, thus,
difficulty accounting
over
events.
time
time and
behavior
Fortunately,
or delay does
feature in several motivational
is consistent where
its application
formulations,
it can be ex
included, and through integration

modeling"
Donovan

itwas

tended to other theories where


previously
we label the outcome of
absent. Consequently,
our integrative
efforts temporal motivational
on time as
of its emphasis
theory (TMT) because
a motivational
factor.
After constructing
TMT, we review its essen
tial elements and when
it, rather than its source
should be applied. We also use pro
a prototypical
crastination,
prob
performance
the workings
of TMT. As a
lem, to explicate
theories,

theory of human behavior,


general
tions of TMT are numerous. We
that might benefit by
diverse areas
in specific ways. Also, we note that
human
Some
while

the applica
identify four

employing
this model of
must strike a

like all models,


and parsimony.
precision
refinements may add undue
complexity
incremental
for only minimal
accounting
behavior,
between

it

October

variance.

We consider whether and when TMT


or too simple. Finally, we
too
may
complex
on TMT scholars
note that in future research
to
two
choose
may
exploit
powerful but under
used venues: a computerized
system of
personal
instruction and computer simulations.
be

THE CASE FOR INTEGRATION

with

extend

balance

Review

A common

theme across
the disparate
disci
of
motivation
is the
decision
and
plines
making
desire
formore comprehensive
and integrated
& Zbaracki,
theories (Cooksey, 2001; Eisenhardt
1992; Langley,

&
Pitcher, Posada,
Mintzberg,
&
1995; Leonard, Beauvais,
Scholl,
Schwartz, & Cooke,
1998). For ex

Saint-Macary,
1999; Meilers,
ample, Locke and Latham, writing about the fu
ture of motivational
that
conclude
research,
"there is now an urgent need to tie these theo

into an overall
processes
together
recommends
(2004: 389). Also, Donovan
review of motivation
that "future work
should move
towards the development
and val
of
model
idation of an integrated, goal-based
ries

and

model"
in his

the important
that incorporates
self-regulation
various
of
theories"
(2001: 69; em
components
two funda
This
desire
reflects
added).
phases
in
motivational
research.
mental
challenges
are
inade
traditional
First, many
paradigms
or
for
realistic
quate
discussing
exploring many

situations.
the very
Second,
complex
our
of
field is being hindered
progress
by seg

and

regation.

inte
yet to be a broad,
the
of
motivation,
any particular
grated theory
a
mo
deals
with
subset
of
ory necessarily
only
a theory may deal
tivational
factors. Although
it potentially will
with these factors very well,
situations.
have
trouble in intricate, realistic
a
to
situation's
very complexity, a larger
Owing
Because

there has

of forces may
be operating.
Conse
ex
no single
theory can adequately
For example,
the observed
plain
phenomena.
rationality
expectancy
theory, which represents
in economics,
is the simplest and consequently
variety

quently,

has

been

criticized

for its limitations.

Consider

that indi
been summarized
less than logically
1994;
(Lopes,
is so
Thaler,
1992). In fact, irrational behavior
"The eco
that Albanese
concludes,
pervasive
in
is violated
of rationality
nomic assumption
research
able
cates we act

the behavior

has

of every person"

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(1987: 14).

2006 Steel and K?nig 891


than
Rather
has
which
long
and has proven
more flexible by

abandon
expectancy
theory,
been
the dominant
paradigm
it much
value, we can make
integrating itwith other estab

motivational

lished

This

principles.

approach

been proposed
Akerlof
already
by George
economist. Aker
(1991), the Nobel Prize-winning

has

take salience
lof argues
that his field should
to
into account,
individuals'
salience
referring
undue sensitivity to the present and consequent
that the
of the future. He shows
undervaluing
more
to
allows
concept
expectancy
fully
theory

grasp
range of areas, such as retirement
failures, cults, crime,
savings,
organizational
and politics. Later in this paper, we also discuss
several complex
topics where a larger variety of
a broad

to be operating
factors appear
An integrated per
typically considered.
in better understanding
is invaluable
spective

motivational
than
them.

In addition,

have

scholars

observed

as well as
of our moti:

that continued
segregation
to scientific
is detrimental
theories
is
serious.
The
Steers, Mow
progress.
problem
note
and
that
the
theoretical
devel
day,
Shapiro
of
work
motivation
has
opment
significantly
lagged behind other fields, that we still widely
argued
vational

rely on obsolete
that intellectual

and

to decline

"seemed

discredited
in

theories, and
the topic has
(2004: 383). As
precipitously"
and Pintrich conclude, a ma
interest

Zeidner, Boekaerts,
jor reason for this decline

is that "the fragmen


tation and disparate,
but overlapping,
lines of
research within the self-regulation
domain have
made
any attempt at furthering our knowledge
an arduous
task" (2000: 753). Similarly, Wilson
that the
(1998), as well as Staats
(1999), argues
sciences
is
for
the
social
slow
progress
specifi
of the lack of consilience?the
cally because
lack of integration. As Wilson writes:
Social scientists by and large spurn the idea of
the hierarchical
that
ordering of knowledge
unites and drives the natural science. Split into
independent cadres, they stress precision in their
words within their specialty but seldom speak
the

same

technical

from one

language

to the next (1998: 182).


Wilson
ences

notes,
advance

however,

that

specialty

the medical

into adjacent
fields and different solu
passed
tions to be effectively harmonized.
As
economists
and psychologists.
Consider
Lopes notes, they have been less than coll?gial
in the past,
tending to view each other with
considerable

and distaste"
(1994:
"suspicion
several
198). Similarly, W?rneryd
(1988) quotes
on psychol
eminent economists
whose
words
ogy border on the vitriolic. In fact, Loewenstein
that there has long been an ac
(1992) observes
tive attempt to erase any psychological
content

tially expectancy
theory, is being supplemented
with some of the very concepts
later
that we
stress here (e.g., personality
traits, temporal dis
loss aversion).
As Camerer,
Loewen
counting,
stein, and Rabin
(2004) review, this is fundamen

the economic
field
reshaping
power by basing
improving its explanatory
more realistic psychological
foundations.
tally

and
it on

among
Consequently,
fostering
integration
is important
different motivational
disciplines
the development
and possible.
of
First, it allows
a common
scientists
social
among
language

in different fields. This should make


working
across disci
communication
and collaboration
more ef
easier.
it
much
allows
Second,
plines

to complex motivational
fective responses
prob
can
be multifaceted.
As a later
lems, which
of procrastination
self
confirms,
example
failure can occur formany
reasons,
regulatory

and effective treatment requires


investigating
all these possibilities
to find the most promising
and pliable
junctures for intervention. Third, it
allows
insights to be shared with fields overlap
(i.e.,
ping in terms of features and complexity
treatments
Psychological
"cross-pollenization").
for addiction,
for example, may inform the eco
nomic

formulations

of retirement

grams (e.g., Akerlof, 1991;


1992). As we show later,
the generation
facilitates
in a range of
hypotheses
havior

to goal

pro
saving
Loewenstein
& Elster,
an integrative
theory
of new and plausible
topics, from group be

setting.

DEVELOPING TMT

sci

of
because
rapidly primarily
can approach
consilience.
Researchers
prob
lems at many different but mutually
supporting
levels of complexity,
to be
allowing
insights

But, more recently, there has


integration, in the form of behavioral
economic
Traditional
theory, essen

from economics.

been some
economics.

To develop

TMT, we consider
of human nature:

derstandings
expectancy
theory, cumulative
and
need
(CPT),
theory. These

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four related

un

picoeconomics,
prospect
theory
four postulations

892 Academy

of Management

are

well
for consolidation,
suited
particularly
sources
common
in their de
reflect
they
terms.
share
Conse
and, thus,
many
velopment
are
areas
of overlap
quite definite. Fur
quently,
since

thermore, they can be expressed


formulaically,
transla
their integration with minimal
allowing
tion and in a relatively straightforward manner.
The terms in these formulations also provide a
fea
of each
theory's primary
ready summary
are also evident
in a variety of
tures, which

To further underscore
that
other formulations.
we are integrating motivational
fundamentals,
we begin
section by noting similarities
each
theories. We start with pi
with other prominent
coeconomics
ered, has

since it, of all the theories consid


time as its most central feature.

Review

October

and
the efforts from behaviorist
Summarizing
sev
notes
economic
Ainslie
(1992)
perspectives,
to provide an accurate
eral attempts
equation.

Of these, thematching
law is one of the first and
1967).1 The match
simplest (Chung & Herrnstein,
how frequency, magnitude,
ing law considers
and delay of reinforcement affect choices, with
the critical

delay being
nant model

feature.

It is the domi

various
among
describing
variable-interval
administered,
concurrently
schedules
(Ainslie, 1992). In other words, when
we must choose among several courses of action
that all result in a reward, albeit at different
choice

best predicts
the aggregate
times, this model
of adults
behaviors
&
Green,
(see Myerson
1995).
in
Similarly, a related version of this law used
the economic

Picoeconomics

or Hyperbolic

Discounting

Ainslie
(1992), under the title of Picoeconomics,
and Ainslie and Haslam
(1992), under the title of
a theory that
discuss
Discounting,
Hyperbolic
over time.
to
account
for
behavior
choice
of
helps
considerable
demonstrates
theory already
consilience, with Ainslie drawing support from a
variety of research literature, including sociology,
and psychodynamic
social psychology,
psychol
as
as
and eco
well
behaviorist
ogy,
psychology

The

in particular.

the personality
For example,
and
of
future orientation all
traits
impulsiveness
to
the concept of hy
have strong commonalities
recent work in
In addition,
perbolic discounting.
underscores
the importance of hy
psychobiology
nomics

discounting, with the journal of Psycho


an entire issue
recently dedicating
pharmacology
Brad
to the construct (e.g., Ho, Mobini, Chiang,
shaw, & Szabadi,
1999).
In its basic form, the theory is simple. We must
from a variety of possible
choose
rewarding ac
perbolic

In choosing
them, we have an
among
fu
innate tendency to inordinately undervalue
ture events. We
tend, then, to put off tasks lead
in favor of ones
ing to distant but valuable
goals
lesser
rewards. In
with more immediate
though
time
marches
and as the
on,
however,
evitably,
tivities.

once-future events loom ever closer, we see their


we experience
more clearly. Eventually,
we
have
if
regret
irrationally put off pursuing
this more valuable
goal to the extent that it can
no longer be realistically
achieved.
the
this
description,
Going beyond
qualitative
to
ef
the
tries
of
express
picoeconomics
theory
value

fects of temporal

discounting

mathematically.

field also shows extremely strong


& Prelec,
(see Loewenstein
1992).
validity
The simplest version of the matching
law con
tains just four components:

Utilit?

Rate

X Amount

Delay

(1)

for a course of ac
Utility indicates
preference
tion. Naturally,
the higher the utility, the greater
The next three variables
the preference.
reflect
or
of
of
action.
the
the
reward
aspects
payout

or frequency that
indicates
the expectancy
to
action
the
reward.
the
will lead
It ranges from
0 percent to 100 percent, with 100 percent reflect

Rate

indicates
the amount of
ing certainty. Amount
it
reward that is received on payout. Essentially,
indicates
the magnitude
of the incentive. Fi
one
nally, delay indicates how long, on average,
must wait
to receive the payout. Since delay
is
in the denominator
of the equation,
the longer
the delay, the less valuable
the course of action
is perceived.
There also

have

been

several

modifications

of

law. Rate is often dropped,


matching
in terms of
it can be partially
expressed
alone; over repeated
trials, rewards deliv

the basic
since

delay
ered at

create
longer
necessarily
a
new
is typi
Also,
parameter
delays.
to capture
individual
differences
cally included
to
the
The
greater
sensitivity
delay.
regarding
on
effect
the
the
have
sensitivity,
larger
delays
lower

rates

average

choice. Of all

these modifications,

Mazur's

1
This matching
law can be further decomposed
more
basic
behaviorist
(Hernnstein,
principles
invariance
and relativity.
specifically,

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(1987)

into even
1979)?

2006 Steel and K?nig 893


is likely

equation

the simplest

FIGURE 1

and most wide


Preference

spread:

Utility

Amount

(2)

z + T{T_t)

from dropping
three
rate, there are
?
from
the
t
law.
T
changes
original matching
refers to the delay of the reward
in terms of
"time reward" minus
"time now." T refers to the
to
subject's sensitivity
delay. The larger T is, the
Aside

the sensitivity. Finally, Z is a constant


from when
rewards are immediate.
It
the
prevents
equation
rocketing toward infinity
under periods of small delay and, thus, in Shiz
the
(1999) terminology, can be considered
gal's
greater
derived

determinant of instantaneous
utility. In addition,
can be used
the reciprocal
of this equation
to
instead of
predict preferences
among punishers
rewards
(Mazur,
1998). Consequently,
people
tomore instant ones.
prefer distant punishers
There have been several other attempts to fur
ther refine this equation,
but without
estab
lished success.
For example,
into
explorations
other
mathematical
using
expressions
(e.g.,

& Maruo,
1984),
functions,2 tend not to
exponential
particularly
be as accurate
& McFadden,
(Green, Myerson,
1997; Mazur,
2001), although
they are still fa
vored in economic
circles because
of their close
to a purely
resemblance
rational
discount
Logue,

Rodriguez,

Pe?a-Correal,

model.

In economics,
this phenomenon
is stud
the designation
of time preference
or
1991).
implicit interest rate (Antonides,
1 outlines picoeconomics
Figure
by display
the
ing
utility curves for two courses of action:
or immediately
an expected
saving
spending
financial bonus. From a distance,
both options
are effectively discounted,
and the benefits of
ied under

the bo
saving appear
superior. However, when
nus is received from the employer, at time tl, the
the sav
spending benefits are immediate while
benefits
remain
distant.
Because
of
ing
temporal
discounting,
changing
crossing
established

find themselves
people
likely
their original
and
this
intentions,
of utility
lines
reflects
the well

of preference
reversal
phenomenon
Loewenstein
&
(Ainslie, 1992;
Prelec, 1992; Steel,
in press). What
is planned
today does not al
turn into tomorrow's actions.
ways
2

=
e-r(T-i)Value
example,
Utility
&
stein,
2002).
O'Donoghue,
For

(Frederick,

Loewen

Saving
Cash

Reversal
Between Spending
and
As a Function of Time Remaining
to
Bonus and Hyperbolic
Discounting

High

Spending
Saving

Utility

Preference

reversal

Low
Future
t2

Now
Time

Expectancy

Theory

X value (E X
Expectancy
theory, or expectancy
V) theory, represents an extensive
family of in
dividual
formulations. Vroom
(1964) first intro
to industrial-organizational
duced
the notion

but it has an earlier history in the


psychology,
field
cognitive
(e.g., Rotter, 1954) that, in turn,
can be predated
un
by economic
investigations
der the rubric of subjective
expected utility (Ber
in several
noulli, 1954). Its core elements appear

theories. To begin with, Bandura


(1997) inte
behavior
(1991) theory of planned
grates Ajzen's
into the traditional E X V framework. In turn,
has been
self-efficacy
theory, which
champi
oned by Bandura,
is closely
to expec
related

tancy, ifnot identical in some respects (Bandura


& Locke, 2003; Skinner, 1996; Vancouver,
Thomp
son, & Williams,
when
2001). Also, Gollwitzer,

his model
of action phases,
states,
discussing
are established
"Preferences
the
by employing
evaluative
criteria of feasibility and desirabil
is related
to
ity" (1996: 289). Plainly,
feasibility
a
while
is
form
of
value.
expectancy,
desirability
E X V theories suggest
that a process akin to
rational gambling
determines
choices
among
courses of action. For each option, two consider
ations are made:
that
(1) what is the probability
this outcome will be achieved,
and (2) how much
is the expected
outcome
valued?
Multiplying
these components,
and value
(i.e.,
expectancy
E X V), the action
as
that is then appraised
largest is the one most likely to be pursued. A
is that they are
major limitation to E X V models
have difficulty ac
and, as mentioned,
episodic
over time (Kanfer, 1990).
for behavior
counting
This limitation may partially explain Van Eerde

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894 Academy

of Management

and Thierry's
(1996) meta-analytic
finding that
over time rather
E X V often predicts behavior
and significantly
than one's
less well
weakly
intention to perform. Fortunately,
its incorpora
tion into a hyperbolic discounting model
largely
rectifies

this weakness.

As mentioned,
of the original
the numerator
two
law
terms: amount
is
of
matching
composed
and rate. Respectively,
these terms are equiva
lent to value and expectancy,
reflecting a shift
from a behavioral

to a cognitive standpoint. The


view expresses
vari
the equation's
behavioral
in terms of what
should be objectively
ables

The cognitive view recognizes


that the
not
is
all
variables
uniform
but
of
the
impact
on
in
differences
among
interpretation
depends
in
the
dividuals,
difficulty
determining
although
observed.

be extreme.
Conse
may
more
in
is
described
accurately
quently,
as
attractiveness
terms
the perceived
cognitive
or aversiveness
It reflects a sub
of the outcome.
on an individual's
jective evaluation,
dependent
these

differences
amount

rate refers
perception.
Similarly,
lead to rewards
that actions
quency

of acquiring
tively, the probability
as
amount
outcome.
By describing
returning

rate

to the

fre

or, alterna
the expected

and
value
in the form of
to encapsu
begins

to the equation

expectancy,
picoeconomics
late expectancy
theory.
should be as follows:

The

final

= Expectancy X Value
utilit*?z
+ nr-o?

equation

can be argued
Of course, other modifications
Vroom
For
from expectancy
example,
theory.
down into two compo
(1964) breaks expectancy
In this
nents: expectancy
and
instrumentality.
the intended
refers towhether
case, expectancy
course of action can be completed
successfully.

refers to whether, having been


Instrumentality
rewards will be forth
the
successful,
expected
that this
indicates, however,
coming. Research
to predicting
modification
may be detrimental
behavior,

rather

&
(Van Eerde
helpful
have
other refinements
terms that account
including
than

1996). Many

Thierry,
been proposed,
for resource
allocation

(e.g., Kanfer & Acker


man,
1996; Naylor, Pritchard, & Ilgen, 1980) and
future orientation
(e.g., Raynor & Entin, 1982).
of
the
individual
formulation,
Regardless
E X V is the core aspect.

October

CPT
(1992) CPT, an up
Tversky and Kahneman's
date of Kahneman
and Tversky's
(1979) prospect
a
is
model
theory,
descriptive
closely related to
traditional

At
expectancy
theory, particularly
revision
formulation.
The
is
(1957)
major
the introduction of an "approach/avoidance"
di

kinson's

is extremely well supported by


chotomy, which
other research. Elliot and Thrash
(2002), as well
as Carver, Sutton, and Scheier
(2000), review a
of findings from a variety of motiva
its existence.
formulations
that supports
in their psy
Ito
and
(1999),
Similarly,
Cacioppo
confluence
tional

of motivation,
pro
investigation
chobiological
a
"bivariate
of
model
evaluative
pose
space,"
con
which
note also provides
they themselves
to
vergent validity
prospect
theory.
as one of the leading theories
Often described
of decision

& Wakker,
1997; Levy,
(e.g., Fennema
choice under uncer
seeks to describe
is derived, as
how value
tainty by reconsidering
well as how expectancy
should be transformed.
of
Here, we review only the pertinent aspects
1992), CPT

a full discussion
of the original and cumu
lative version of prospect
theory requires more
attention
than can be easily provided, although

CPT:

it is available

elsewhere
& Wak
(see Fennema
ker, 1997, and Tversky & Kahneman,
1992). Also,
exam
for a relevant and recent psychological
ple, see Hunton, Hall, and Price (1998), who ap
ply

(3)

Review

prospect

original

"voice"

in participative

theory

to the value

decision

of

making.

on its key theoretical elements, CPT


Focusing
is very similar
to the original prospect
theory.
across
considerable
variability
Acknowledging
in how
both
theories
people,
codify regularities
we

interpret

values

are based

and

expectancies.

First,

val

that are defined as


losses and gains in reference to some status quo
or baseline.
are transformed
outcomes
These
a
concave
is
function
that
for gains,
following

ues

convex

on outcomes

for losses, and steeper


In other words,
losses

for losses

than for

loom larger than


is
Second,
(i.e., expectancy)
gains.
probability
also
transformed
following a function that has
both convex and concave
segments. Lower prob
gains.

abilities
whereas

tend to be

convex

(i.e., overweighted),
tend to be concave
higher probabilities
to the determina
Similar
(i.e., underweighted).
tion of values,
the exact parameters
for the

differ for losses


of probability
the
utility of
expected
Consequently,

transformation
and gains.

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2006 Steel and K?nig 895


on considering
is based
the com
any behavior
and
bined utility of its possible
gains
possible
losses, with gains and losses each being esti

mated

differently.3
By itself, CPT suffers the same limitation that
out for expectancy
theo
Kanfer
(1990) pointed
is, the failure to include time as a vari
ry?that
have al
other researchers
Consequently,
various
of
prospect
integrations
ready proposed
time-discounting
theory with some hyperbolic

able.

function

& Prelec,
1992; Rachlin,
&
Groenewoud,
1997).
Schouwenburg
to
this foundation and CPT's
similarity
are
to
two
terms
needed
expectancy
theory, only
(Loewenstein

2000;
Given

incorporate

CPT

into picoeconomics.

CPTX CPT
TTx-l-x-_ V ^CPTX ^CPT+ V
_
_
Z
Utility 2, z +
r(r
t) i=k+l z + r(r
t)
i=l

(4)
n possible
one considers
For any decision,
outcomes.
The first term, containing
E?PT and
for
the ex
values
reflects
the
transformed
VqPT,
the
with
k
and
associated
per
pectancy
gains
ceived

value

of these gains.
E?PT and V?PT,

of each

The second

reflects
the
term, containing
associ
transformed values
for the expectancy
value
k losses and the perceived
ated with n

of each of these losses. Given


that losses carry
term will always
di
value, the second
negative
minish
the firstand, thus, the overall utility. The
summation
sign for each term reflects the pos
of
outcomes given any act and,
multiple
sibility
thus, multiple possible
gains or losses. It is this

summation
sign that makes CPT cumulative.
to model
Of note, although
the ability
deci
a
outcomes
sions with multiple
is
sig
possible
it takes a moment
to con
nificant improvement,
is interpreted under this
sider how expectancy
model. With CPT the decision weight or ECpt is
not absolute
of
but the capacity
expectancy

3
Mathematically,
create
expectancy
notably
ticeable

similar

the transformations

both
curves

to Fechner's

for value

reflecting
logarithmic
law (1966) describing

and

functions,
just no

law states
differences.
Fechner's
that,
perceptual
x
a
will
notice
of
Ax
that allows
k
amount,
you
given
change
to remain a constant, as in Ax/x = k. To be precise,
however,
use a related
and Kahneman
but
(1992) actually
form of psychophysical
called
"Steven's
exponential
scaling
law." Similarly,
is also modeled
expectancy
using an expo
be de
nential
these
functions may
function.
Informally,
Tversky

scribed

as

the principle

of diminishing

returns.

events.

in Tversky and
of capacity,
be
"can
words,
interpreted as the
event"
of the respective
contribution
notion

The

Kahneman's

marginal
effec
all possibilities
(1992: 301). To combine
is evaluated
incremental
tively, each outcome
to the value
of other out
is, relative
ly?that
comes. For example,
the expectancy
weighting

it
for any positive event is the weighted
chance
or an even better outcome will occur, minus
the
chance
the next better outcome will
weighted
occur (e.g., similar to 40 percent
30 percent =
It is helpful to keep
10 percent, except weighted).
inmind the simple circumstance
where only one
one
outcome
outcome
and/or
negative
positive

is considered.
In this case, the capacity of each
outcome
is equal
to ECPT, and the equation
is
more readily interpretable
as no summation
is
necessary.
available

is
Further discussion
of capacity
in the articles of Fennema
and Wak

ker (1997) and, of course, Tversky and Kahneman

(1992).

Need

Theory

theories was
psychological
a
it is
of
needs.
As
whole,
(1938)
system
Murray's
in
somewhat
but key aspects
endure
dated,
as
modern
1991),
personality
theory (Tellegen,
well as in the decision-making
(Loe
paradigm
One

of the earlier

traits
1996). For example,
personality
to be the behavioral
of needs,
expression
needs as measured
especially
by questionnaire

wenstein,
appear

(Winter, John, Stewart, Klohnen, & Duncan,


1998).
we tend to be extroverted partly
Consequently,
because
of a need for affiliation and conscien
of a need for achievement.
tious partly because
We briefly review need
theory's fundamental
components.

To begin, needs
represent an internal energy
force that directs behavior
toward actions
that
and release
of the need
permit the satisfaction
itself (i.e., satiation). This face is what drives us
can be primary or
to do whatever we do. Needs
to our biological
viscerogenic,
directly related
or they can be
nature
the
for
need
food),
(e.g.,
or
to our person
related
secondary
psychogenic,

ality. Of these secondary needs, Murray initially


that around
twenty might exist, al
guessed
Winter
that only three
(1996) suggests
though
are fundamental:
the need for achievement,
the
need

for affiliation,

need

for achievement

overcoming

and

obstacles,

the need
is deriving
the need

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for power.

The
from

pleasure
for affiliation

of Management

896 Academy

Review

October

a classic
formulation of expectancy
the
some of
ory, as well as Hull (1943), who provides
of behavior
influential
the most
formulations

from socializing
intimacy is deriving pleasure
and sharing with people, and the need forpower
is deriving pleasure
from gaining
strength or
another's
prestige,
particularly
by affecting
are
not
stable
but tend
These
needs
well-being.
to fluctuate in intensity, ranging
from a slum

theory by far (Schwartz, 1989). Of note, behavior


ism is, as mentioned,
of the original
the basis
of
law
and
Herrnstein
(1967).
matching
Chung

duce through our thoughts and behavior.


our actions
represent our needs. Of most
tance, need
intensity can be influenced

mentally
place of utility, Hull indicates excitatory poten
uses
to
tial (sEr), while
Atkinson
tendency
success
of expectancy,
achieve
(Ts). In place

to an absolute
craving.
bering satisfaction
are ruled partly by need inten
Our behaviors
that is the most in
sity. At any time, the need
tense is the one we attempt to satisfy or to re
Thus,
impor
by ex

as press. Press occurs


cues, described
we encounter
situations
that we expect
a good chance of soon satisfying a need,
and intensity of
the salience
consequently,
acute. Press has strong com
need become

ternal
when
have
and,
that

with many

monalities
hensive
to

modern
constructs.

lished

psychological
review, Tellegen

several

and

(1991) connects

theories

other

and well-estab
In a compre

press

stimulus-re

(e.g.,

theorists

(e.g., Allport, 1961).4


of need theory share numerous
aspects
formu
with our previous
strong commonalities
lations. First, need intensity appears
analogous
to utility. In the same way we pursue actions
that most reduce our strongest need, we also
sponse)
These

the most utility.


actions
that provide
pursue
to determine
Needs are related to value, helping
have. Although
that outcomes
the actual value
or
at an average
needs are often conceptualized
a trait level, they do fluctuate because
of satia

the trait
tion. To predict aggregated
behavior,
level will suffice (Epstein & O'Brien,
1985), but
for specific outcomes, we would prefer to know a
need's
specific strength. Finally, press is essen
tially a combination
lay. As we discuss

and time de
of expectancy
later, others have reviewed
in great detail.
these connections
To some extent, need
theory can be further
works
of McClelland
the
integrated
through

(1985)and Dollard and Miller (1950).McClelland

reviews

4
a

There

the theories of Atkinson

has

somewhat

tailed

review

been

criticism

simplified

view

that drive

(1964), who

or need

of reinforcement,

pro

tional

states,

that this is true. How


(2000) concludes
it has
notes
that, as a general
concept,
a wide
for organizing
range of motiva
with its use here. Also, see
is consistent
which
(1999), who recently
in motivation.
play

Hull refers to habit


son uses probability

strength (sHr), while Atkin


in
of success
(Ps).5 Finally,
of value, Hull refers to a combination
of
place
drive (D) and incentive (K), while Atkinson uses
motive
(INs).
strength (Ms) and incentive value
In McClelland's
is equiv
terms, Ms for success

In addition, At
alent to need
for achievement.
kinson proposes
that the utility of any achieve
is determined
situation
ment-oriented
by two
factors:
for
the need
individual-difference
failure. The
the need to avoid
has on overall utility is calcu
as with losses and gains
in
lated separately,
the ten
CPT, with the resulting value indicating
dency to pursue achievement.
Dollard
and Miller
(1950) provide even greater
achievement
effect each

and

need

some
connection.
They also attempt to describe
of the conflicts observed
with psychodynamic
drives or needs
Consis
through behaviorism.
tentwith the concept of press, Dollard and Miller
as we get
note that drive strength increases
of our goals. This, they
closer to the realization

is due to the combined


effect of two
explain,
more basic principles
of behaviorism:
the gradi
ents of reinforcement and of stimulus generali
zation. The gradient of reinforcement reflects the
is, the more immediately
temporal aspect?that
are expected,
the
and punishment
of
stimulus
their
effects.
The
greater
gradient
is akin to the element of expect
generalization
cues best create approach
ancy. Environmental
rewards

in a de

Savage

and Swindell
McSweeney
role that need
theory may

pectancy

and avoidance
behavior when they reliably pre
dict the occurrence of rewards and punishments.

also
Savage
invaluable
proven
ever,

of Atkinson's
and Hull's
theories
identical, both ultimately using ex
frameworks that differ funda
by value
in
in
nomenclature.
For example,
only

Core aspects
are virtually

is

reduction
and

vides

revitalized

the

5
while
their similarity, Weiner,
reviewing
Highlighting
notes
that "there was
the history of motivational
research,
some contentment
in eliminating
the term drive and
merely
of
notion
of
that
the
habit
with
(1990:
expectancy"
replacing
619).

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2006 Steel and K?nig 897


So

to be largely de
far, need theory appears
same
rived from the
fundamental
features as
picoeconomics,
expectancy
theory, and CPT. Be
havior is determined
by need strength (utility),
and long-term considerations
(delayed) are only
relevant to the extent they affect its present
in

two relatively
tensity. Need theory also provides
The first has already been
unique contributions.
mentioned?that
need theory explicates
the in
dividual
determinants
of value
need
for
(e.g.,
The second regards the discount
achievement).
is presently
which
treated as
constant,
T,
ing
identical
for both losses and gains. However,

Dollard
crease

and Miller
(1950) suggest
in drive occurs at different

that this in
rates for dif

In their words,
ferent needs.
"The strength of
more
avoidance
increases
rapidly with near
ness than does that of approach.
In other words,
the gradient of avoidance
is steeper than that of
recent research, as
(1950: 352). More
approach"
reviewed

(2003), sug
by Trope and Liberman
the
actu
however?that
losses
gests
opposite,
are
less
discounted
than
ally
steeply
gains. De
these
these
both
results
differences,
spite
T
not
indicate
that
should
be
commonly
kept at
a constant but should differ forgains and losses.
our

Consequently,
fashion:

formula

is revised

in this

tion as an example
of TMT?a
phenomenon
is uniquely
suitable
for explanation.
Fundamental

that

Features

TMT has four core features: value, expectancy,


time, and different functions for losses versus
across
gains. The first of these, value, appears
on CPT and need the
all four sources. Drawing
or
ory, value
represents how much satisfaction
is believed
to real
reduction an outcome
ize. The attractiveness
on
of an event depends

drive

both

the situation
and
individual
differences.
can
Outcomes
satisfy needs to different degrees.

can assuage
an appe
for example,
tite better than a light snack. Furthermore,
the
outcome and value
between
is cur
relationship
vilinear and relative to a reference point, as per

A full meal,

individual differences, peo


Figure 2. Regarding
differ
in
the
ple
degree
they typically experience
any need (e.g., need forpower), and there can be
fluctuations around
this baseline.
Hungry peo
are
more
motivated
ple
by food than those al

"suffonsified."
To precisely
sufficiently
a
value
for
predict
specific person and option,
we must determine
present need strength and
how satisfying that option is perceived.
If either
of these approach
zero, then value
itself will
ready

also

Utility

2j

i=l

, r+,T _ A
z7 + r+(r
-1)

^
i=k+l

become negligible.
occurs in each theory except pico
Expectancy
economics.
It represents
the perceived
probabil
ity that an outcome will occur. Like value, this is

z + r-(r -1)

(5)
we have
con
With
this final modification,
structed TMT. It is an assimilation
of the com
mon and unique
fundamental
features across
our four target theories.

TMT
TMT

is derived

above-described

influenced

differences.

by both

and

different

individual
events
have

Plainly,
of occurring. How
higher and lower likelihoods
ever, there are also stable trends regarding how

FIGURE 2
Valence
Weighted
(VCPT) As a Function of
Valence
{V). Per Tversky and
Unweighted
Kahneman's
(1992) CPT

from the core elements


of the
four well-established
theories

of motivation:

the
picoeconomics,
expectancy
and
need
TMT
indicates
that
CPT,
ory,
theory.
can be understood
motivation
by the effects of
and
weakened
value,
expectancy
by delay, with
differences

the situation

for rewards

and

losses. The theory is


and
here we review
5,
represented
by Equation
its fundamental
features. We also consider how
the use of TMT can be harmonized
with its four
source theories. Finally, we provide procrastina

CPT

=Va

Unweighted
valence
-10

10
-5

Weighted

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valence

898

Academy

these likelihoods.
perceive
ultimately
people
events
to
overestimate
We
tend
low-probability
and underestimate
events, as
high-probability
we
have generalized
expec
per Figure 3. Also,
tancies

that increase

and

decrease

estimation

1989). A few specific person


(Carver & Scheier,
are attribu
affect
traits
that
expectancies
ality
tional style (Weiner,
(Ban
1991), self-efficacy
dura,
(Carver & Scheier,
1997), and optimism

2002).

in picoeco
Being on the

appears
discounting
Temporal
nomics and need theory (i.e., press).
bottom of Equation
5, the closer temporally an
event becomes,
the greater its influence will be.
of TMT that capture
There are three components
is
time.
The
first
of
refers to
the effect
T, which
trait
to delay.
In traditional
sensitivity
and Ainslie
(1999) ar
terminology, Monterosso
to impulsive
gue that T is largely equivalent

people's

indeed, several others have gathered


their
that empirically
support
self-report data
&
Bickel,
1997;
(Madden,
Petry, Badger,
affinity
1996, 1997; Petry, 2001; Richards,
Ostaszewski,
Zhang, Mitchell, & de Wit, 1999). Impulsiveness
should never reach zero and is mostly
stable,
ness, and,

influenc
be environmental
alcohol
Steele
(i.e.,
myopia;
use
and
& losephs,
(Bretteville
1990)
drug
et al., 2002). The second is
Jensen, 1999; Giordano
itself?that
the delay
is, (T
t). Simply, it repre
or
time required to realize an
sents the nearness
that
outcome. The third is Z. This is a constant
infinite
prevents desire or utility from becoming
is effectively zero.
when delay
cal
losses and gains are separately
Finally,
there may
although
er/s such as alcohol

culated

in both CPT

and

need

theory. This

di

FIGURE 3
(ECPT) As a Function of
(E), Per Tversky and
Expectancy
Unweighted
Kahneman's
(1992) CPT

Weighted

Expectancy

EtCPT

Er

(Er+(l-Er)l/y

expectancy

2 and 3, taken from prospect


theory, in
Figures
are
how value
and expectancy
dicate
likely
between
transformed. Differences
positive and
have not yet been de
negative
impulsiveness
finitively established,
although
they do appear
et al. (2004) effectively re
to differ. As Camerer
con
view, there are a variety of methodological

in
that can affect discounting
research,
of
the
(i.e., people
presence
savoring
cluding
to delay and savor a reward), and the
wishing
can be perceived
as a loss or a
same outcome
founds

upon context. Still, we expect


gain, depending
follows the same pattern as
that impulsiveness
losses loom larger. This would be
value, where
consistent with recent psychobiological
investi
(Ito & Cacioppo,
gations
for short-term events

1999), reflecting

caution

"cold
(e.g., developing
more
be evolutionary
& Tooby, 2000). Still, this
(Cosmides
adaptive
not preclude
individuals
trend does
atypical
for gains.
who are more impulsive
feet"), which

Hierarchical
The

should

Nature

of TMT
between

TMT

and

picoeco
nomics, expectancy
theory, CPT, and need the
ory is largely that of simplicity. The latter theo
on
of TMT, focusing
ries are simplifications
or
varia
terms
fewer
eliminating
idiographic
fea
tion. However,
they also have some unique
relationship

in
tend to explore particular
aspects
for example,
theory
greater depth;
only need
Conse
the role of satiation.
closely examines
do not make
them
quently, their commonalities
redundant. As Locke and Latham also conclude,
theories "do not so much as contra
motivational
tures and

focus on different aspects


of
(2004: 389). We argue,
process"
then, that these theories are not in competition
but, rather, should be viewed hierarchically.
we mean
that each
theory
By "hierarchical,"
as

different benefits by focusing on spe


provides
This
and
levels of analysis.
cific components
in
the
is
natural
arrangement
implicit
already

0.2
0

that, for each of TMT's com


chotomy indicates
are
individual
that
affected
ponents
by
and
differences
(value, expectancy,
D, there are
on
whether
the
further differences
depending
or
outcome
is perceived
negatively
positively.

the motivational

0.8

0.6

October

dict one another

Weighted

Review

of Management

?i-1-1-1?
0.2

0.4

Unweighted

0.6
expectancy

0.8

sciences,

where

"domains

reach

across

many

from chemical
physics and
to
molecular
genetics, chem
chemistry
physical
None of
ical ecology, and ecological
genetics.
levels of complexity,

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2006 Steel and K?nig 899


more than a
is considered
the new specialties
focus of research"
1998:
(Wilson,
11). For exam
a
a
a
travel
and
ple,
globe,
guide,
housing blue
are
all
maps, and although
print
they focus on

features and levels of complexity,


they
their own purpose
and do not make
the others irrelevant.
In determining which
theory to use, we sup

different
each

have

on this matter:
advice
port Albert Einstein's
"Make everything as simple as possible,
but not
the
Choose
that
the
simpler."
theory
emphasizes
features relevant to the issue at hand. The sim
plest of these is expectancy
theory, which comes

in two primary
ploy a version
assumes
which

forms. Economists

called
"expected
no individual

typically

em

utility theory,"
re
differences

the formulation of expectancies.


Proba
situation
reflect the
entirely, which we
or
error. The theory is
perceive without inflection
should
be
normative,
reflecting how people
have, if rational.
ex
The next level of complexity
is subjective

garding
bilities

introduces cognitive
pected utility theory, which
limitations and allows
rationality to be bounded
1986; Simon,
(Furnham & Lewis,
1955). That is,
ease
for
and
it can be
accuracy
trading
speed,
rational

tomake

approach when dealing with our cogni


tive constraints. Consequently,
the
expectancy
ory and subjective
expected
utility theory are
most applicable
to situations where people
do
rational decision making,
such as
approximate
in aspects
of stock market behavior
(e.g., Plott,
rational

1986;Smith, 1991).

and need theory can all


CPT, picoeconomics,
as operating
be considered
at the next level of
is descriptive
Each
in that it is
complexity.
based on empirical
findings regarding how peo
ple actually behave, but each focuses on differ
ent determinants
of this behavior. Of these, CPT
is most closely related to expectancy
theory. Ex

theory is directly nested under CPT,


representing a special case where all the values
for the exponential
functions are constrained
to
be to the power of 1 (i.e., exponential
functions to

pectancy

the power of 1 straighten


the lines in Figures
2
CPT
how
reconcile
3).
emphasizes
people
Pi
pluses and minuses when making decisions.
and

however,

need

to all those
similar
theory has elements
but they are not always well defined.
discussed,
For example,
the theory folds expectancy
and
time into the single concept of press. The issue

this theory best represents


is value
and how
we
individual
differences
affect value. When
want to understand
how a person's
traits affect
his or her behavior,
need
theory is the most
useful.

Of note, even when


are
differences

individual
ment

limitations
tive employment.
At the highest

der which

may

does

not

consider

ex

we

that
recognize
measure
relevant,
still preclude
their effec

level of complexity
the previous
theories

all

is TMT, un
are nested.

for explaining
situa
theory is appropriate
tions where expectancy,
value, and time all af
fect decision making
and are all
simultaneously

This

influenced by individual differences. Because


it
has the most number of terms, it is also the most
to use. However,
cumbersome
in the following
section we review a common example where all
these

features are needed

not optimal

adequate
although
decisions
based on limited input and processing
(i.e., we satisfice rather than maximize).
Subjec
norma
tive expected
utility theory is partially
we
the
since
is
that
take a
tive,
assumption

coeconomics,

at all, and its treatment of value is less


But it is extremely explicit regard
sophisticated.
issues. When
time is the critical
ing temporal
is invaluable.
variable,
picoeconomics
Finally,

pectancy

An Example

for explanation.

of TMT

a prototypical
motivational
Procrastination,
that occurs in at least
problem, is a phenomenon
95 percent of the population
and chronically
in
15 to 20 percent of adults and in
approximately
33 to 50 percent of students
It
(Steel, in press).
also appears
that oniy TMT can account
for its
review in
empirical
findings. As meta-analytic
dicates
(Steel, in press), the strongest correlates
are
with procrastination
task characteristics
and

individual-difference

expectancy
value

(e.g.,

(e.g.,
need

to
variables
related
task
self-efficacy,
difficulty),

for achievement,

task

aversive

to delay
ness), and sensitivity
(e.g., impulsive
ness, temporal distance).
A viable
theory must
contain variables
that address all three of these
at both an individual
elements
and situational
does this, no other theory
a variety of other re
Furthermore,
sults support
the TMT model.
Procrastinators
demonstrate
for example,
reversal,
preference
consistent with hyperbolic discounting
(see Fig
ure 1). That is, they plan towork but change
their
minds and fail to act on their plans.
level. Since
is feasible.

TMT alone

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900

Academy

of Management

we can use a simplified


sce
Consequently,
on
to
demonstrate
nario based
procrastination
to behavior.
The archetypal
how TMT relates

for the college


stu
setting is the essay paper
to the student's
inten
dent. Counter
original
the
tions, he or she irrationally delays writing
to the
it close
then complete
paper and must
often incurring great stress and
final deadline,

Although
resulting in reduced performance.
written assignment
is given at the beginning
a semester,
the student often ignores it until
or even

last few weeks

of
the

and

and

other temptations

are

readily
there is

intrinsically
enjoyable;
in their pursuit or their rewards. Also,
are
of socializing
the aversive
consequences
an
creates
in
them
distant. Although
indulging
we
can
fore
of
work,
usually
backlog
oppressive
stall

Utility Estimation
Versus Writing an Essay over

Graph

confronting

the consequence

until much

later.

three college
Consider
students, Anne, Betty,
an essay at
and Colin, who have been assigned
on September
15. The
the start of a semester,
is due on December
15, at the end of the
essay
course. All the students like to socialize
but hate
to be overly stressed, and, conversely,
they hate
There are
to write but like to get good grades.
in other motivational
differences
elements, how
ever. Betty finds good grades
less im
somewhat
than Anne and Colin
(i.e., she has a
portant

and she has a


for achievement),
of self-efficacy
(i.e., expectancy).
Colin, however, desires good grades even more
than Anne but is the most impulsive.
smaller need
lower sense

in utility for these


the changes
Figure 4 maps
three over the course of the semester
regarding
their choices between
studying and socializing.
In the early days of the semester,
socializing's
is temporally distant, while
component
negative

is in the present. This


its positive
component
These pa
results in a high utility evaluation.
forwriting, giving
rameters are exactly opposite
it a low utility evaluation.
By the end of the

for

Students'

Socializing
of a Semester
Course

the
15

That Ends December

200
- -

150
100

Desire
Desire
? ? Desire
? ? Desire

to socialize
to study?Ann
to study?Betty
to study?Colin

50

Utility

November

29 -

-50

December

-100
Sept. 15

Oct. 8

Oct. 31

for many

cial activities

available
no delay

FIGURE 4

From a TMT per

there is no delay
students;
a pun
in itand experiencing
engaging
ishment. The reward of achievement,
however,
itmay not be felt until the
is relatively distant;
even later, when
end of the semester, or perhaps
are
the matter, so
To
compound
posted.
grades

October

of Three

the

days.
this is not surprising.
spective,
course
As TMT predicts, we pursue whatever
action
has
level
of
the highest
of
utility. Writing
an essay paper is often an intrinsically aversive

activity
between

Review

Nov. 23

Dec.

16

Time

semester, although
positive compo
socializing's
nent is still temporally unchanged,
its negative
is more
di
proximate,
component
temporally

its utility. Similarly,


the negative
minishing
imme
is
for
still
component
writing
experienced
now
its
is
but
also
component
positive
diately,
its
thus
imminent,
increasing
utility.
relatively
increas
becomes
activity eventually
Writing
occur
ingly likely as the deadline
approaches,
on November
29 forAnne,
ring, in this example,
six
later
for
but
days
Betty and Colin, on Decem
ber 5. Note that Colin's
makes
impulsiveness
motivation
him a mercurial
individual, whose
the final moments
should overshadow
during
the others' best efforts.
of TMT,
any of the components
By changing
a multitude
we could generate
of other exam

liked
if any of the students
ples. For instance,
less, they would
likely start writing
socializing
that self
this highlights
earlier.
Importantly,
regulatory failure occurs for a plethora of possi
in self-efficacy,
task aver
bilities. Differences

and
the proximity of
impulsiveness,
be
temptations all can create similar observed
we
can diagnose
root
these
havior.
Unless
causes
the effec
instead of just the symptoms,
intervention must
tiveness of any motivational
siveness,

typically be suboptimal.

APPLICATIONS AND IMPLICATIONS OF TMT


When

we

discussed
we

the advantages

highlighted
tegrative approach,
fits. First, an integrative theory should

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of an

in

three bene
provide

2006 Steel and K?nig 901


common language
among social scientists. Sec
to complex
and
ond, it should be applicable
realistic
and
situations,
improving description
it
should
the
shar
facilitate
prediction. Finally,
fields and, consequently,
ing of insights among
of novel and plausible
the generation
hypothe
ses. TMT shows these advantages.
are using
the critical
researchers
Already,

components
extremely

to investigate
topics from an
of
fields. For
variety
complex

of TMT

wide

dis
prospect
theory and
temporal
to
addictive
behav
counting have been applied
ior, attention deficit/hyperactivity
disorder, con
sumer behavior,
health
choices,
job search,

example,

soil conversation,
strategic
military deterrence,
risk behavior,
and work
project management,
violence
Laneri,
(e.g., Barkley, Edwards,
place
Fletcher, & Metevia,
2002; Be
2001; Baumeister,
1996; Das &
rejikian, 2002; Bleichrodt & Gafni,
&
2001;
2005; Fred
Paserman,
Teng,
DellaVigna
erick et al, 2002; Glasner,
2003; Glomb, Steel, &
Arvey, 2002; Hall & Fong, 2003; Krusell, Kuru??u,
& Smith, 2000; Petry, 2001; Rachlin,
2000; Thaler,
used
1991; Yesuf, 2003). Also, here we ourselves
TMT to account
for all the observed
findings

If the issue involves


regarding procrastination.
can be applied.
choice, TMT apparently
the advantages
To further demonstrate
of an
we consider
four addi
integrative
approach,
tional areas.

of these diverse topics, we


that TMT describes
fundamen
tal effects and that there are new or rarely con
sidered
In increasing
levels of
implications.
we
first
with
behavior,
group
complexity,
begin
it to emphasize
both the importance
of
using
can
and
that
TMT
be
ap
temporal discounting
Second, we
plied tomore than just individuals.
review

For each

evidence

discuss
research
indicat
job design,
reviewing
are
we
that
time
and
value
factors.
Third,
ing
consider
stock market
where
both
behavior,
ap
prospect
theory and temporal discounting
to
in effect. Finally, we examine
be
pear
goal
setting, which
TMT.

potentially

exhibits

all aspects

of

(see Figure
1) and how it is implicitly antici
in many political
insti
and
counteracted
pated
tutions. He states:
or under the influence of

In the heat of passion

some

immediate

deviate

temptation,

from prudent

do things he will
as

such

uals,

assembly,

behavior

are

plans

an
formed

individual

later regret. Groups


or members

voters
no

less

prone

can
or

in advance

of individ

of a

to such

political
irrational

(1992: 39-40).

To deal with this inherent weakness,


constitu
are
tions
often drawn
that enact forms of pre
commitment.

is lim
Part of this precommitment
to so as to
iting rules that we bind ourselves
avoid later regrettable actions. Another precom
is creating a bicameral
mitment
system, where
decision making must pass
through two cham
the electorate,
bers representing
such as a con
on the Or
(JointCommittee
gress and a senate
of Congress,
the
1993). Retelling
ganization
"saucer anecdote"
of George Washington
helps
to illustrate the wisdom
of this built-in delaying
In a conversation
mechanism.
between Thomas
Jefferson and Washington,
Jefferson asked why
a senate should be established.
"Why," Wash

"do you pour coffee into your


ington responded,
saucer?"
"To cool it," Jefferson replied.
"Even
said. "We pour legislation
into
so," Washington
saucer
to cool it" (Farrand, 1966:
the Senatorial

359). Other
In Canada,
house

countries
the Senate

of sober

offer similar explanations.


is often referred to as "the

second

thought."
is the
this political
Supplementing
analysis
issue of the central bank. Central
are
banks
to
times
at
increase
the
money supply
tempted

inflation merely to immediately


and, thus, cause
reduce unemployment
(for a review see White,
central bank may exces
1999). An unconstrained
this
sively exploit
option, to the detriment of the
health. To coun
country's
long-term economic

teract this trend, Haubrich


the
(2000) discusses
use of policy
rules and removing
the central
bank's
discretion.
The policy
rules are inter
a
as
of
form
similar
to
preted
precommitment,
as both
lashing himself to the mast...
and central banks]
face tempta
[government
tions to act at a given moment
in ways
that run
counter
to their long-range
(Haubrich,
goals"
"Ulysses

Group

Behavior

individual-level
Many
decision-making
are equally
and biases
ries, heuristics,
for describing
group behavior
priate

theo

appro
(Pious,
to be true of TMT. In an
1993). This also appears
intriguing chapter, Elster (1992) examines
pref
erence reversal created by temporal discounting

2000: 1).

in the management
arena,
However,
team research has adopted
a "punctuated
librium" model,
championed
by Gersick

This model

suggests

most

equi
(1991).
that team performance
is

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902

of Management

Academy

over time but demonstrates


not hyperbolic
sudden shift or discontinuity
around the mid
of a project. Although punctuated
equilibrium

a
life
is

a useful

to
evolutionary model and does appear
and strate
reflect some forms of organizational

gic development
1994), hyperbolic
describe
group

& Tushman,
(e.g., Romanelli
to better
appears
discounting

performance.
Specifically,
note
and Giambatista
Waller,
Zellmer-Bruhn,
in
indicate a "curvilinear
studies
that several
crease
in the rate of performance
of task perfor
over allotted work time" (2002: 1047).
In addition, we reanalyzed
the published
data
from Gersick's
Bordia, and
(1989) and Chang,
time statements,
Duck's
(2003) work on teams'

mance

which are an indication of work pace. As shown


in Figure 5, the cumulative
number of time state
ments was significantly curvilinear
(p < .0001) in
both cases,
discounting
reflecting hyperbolic
as the deadline
increases
(i.e., work pace
ap
We expect
that future research will
proaches).
find that the average
group levels of impulsive
ness will affect the degree of curvilinearity,
sim
for time ur
obtained
ilar to the results already
& Carpenter,
Gibson,
(Waller, Conte,
gency

2001).

JobDesign
is intrinsically related to selection.
Job design
a person
for the job, we
of selecting
Instead
ef
the
for
the
person.
Historically,
redesign
job
on
have
forts to redesign
focused
simplifi
jobs
cation, as exemplified
by Fredrick Taylor. Unfor
have a strong tendency
jobs
tunately, Taylorized
to improve performance

at the cost of employee

FIGURE 5
That Work Pace/Time
Graph Demonstrating
over the Course
of a Group Project
Statements
Are Not Linear But Curvilinear,
Reflecting
Hyperbolic

Cumulative

Review

October

rebellion
considerable
satisfaction,
causing
when
first implemented.
Taylor himself was
as "a soulless
slave driver, out to
characterized
health and rob him of
destroy the workingman's
his manhood"
1997: 1), a vilification
(Kanigel,
that reached

such an extent

House

of Representatives
to investigate
committee

that in 1911 the U.S.


a special
his and other similar
authorized

systems of management.
job simpli
Ultimately,
fication was made
palatable
by vastly increas
sometimes
up to 100 percent when
ing wages,

first implemented
(Taylor, 1911).
has
However,
job simplification
cannot always
be increased
Wages

its

limits.

(especially
motivation
is

with

work
global
competition),
and
diminished
by job simplification,
is a worthy
satisfaction
improving employees'

usually

in itself. Consequently,
and
improving motivation

goal

theories

satisfaction

focused on
were de

veloped.
Motivation-hygiene
theory (Herzberg,
1966) and job characteristic
theory (Hackman &
Parker and
Oldman,
1976) are two examples.
(2001) review demonstrates
of these theories aspects'
confirmed, they were
empirically

Wall's
several

both

that, despite
failure to be
still important
that tasks can

emphasizing
developments,
to be rewarding and that indi
be better shaped
vidual
differences
will affect how rewarding
these tasks will be.
TMT indicates
novel ways we can build on
this past work. As the literature summarized
we are not blank
slates. We
indicates,
with definite
tendencies.
The challenge
that is
then becomes
how to design a workplace
commensurate
with our motivational
heritage.
this would
result in intrinsically plea
Ideally,
we would
to do
tasks?tasks
choose
surable
even in the absence
of financial compensation.
As a step toward this goal, we should attempt to
here
come

our tendency
to
that recognize
settings
tasks that
undervalue
the future and to develop
satisfy our basic needs. This has yet to be done.

build

indi
To begin with, hyperbolic
discounting
in frivolous but
cates we are likely to indulge
activities
if they are easily
enjoyable workplace

Discounting

obtainable.
job design stud
Presently, however,
ies do not consider whether
tempting but infe
rior courses of actions are too readily available.
the internet and email are almost
For example,
it is not
and, consequently,
instantly accessible,
are
also influential facilita
that they
surprising

time

statements

Start

?
Project

time

Finish

tors of work procrastination


(Brackin, Ferguson,
2000; Lavoie & Pychyl, 2001;
Skelly, & Chambliss,

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2006 Steel and K?nig 903


Steel, in press), reducing productivity by billions
of dollars
Everton, & Jolton, 2002).
(Mastrangelo,
to these options could be delayed, even
Ifaccess
itwould be easier
tomake
for people
modestly,
use
rational
of them.
shows
similar ne
job design
re
glect. We have an incomplete understanding
tasks typically satisfy what de
garding what
we
sires. Essentially,
still must
link what
Needs-based

Dunnette
calls "the two worlds of human behav
ioral taxonomies"
chal
(1976: 477), a perpetual
our
for
field.
Schmitt
and
Robertson
(1990)
lenge
in virtu
reflect that this goal has been repeated
review. Even Parker and
every selection
more
in
recent chapter on work
their
note,
that
of individual
differ
design,
"knowledge
ences as contingencies
is scant" (2001: 96).

ally
Wall

is not only the


indicates, performance
of having
the appropriate
motivational
drive; itmust be stronger than other competing
In any given
drives.
tasks
job, its associated
of an em
may
strongly satisfy all the needs
As TMT

result

or perhaps
ployee
only a few. The remaining
needs must be met in other ways, perhaps
by
or daydream
ineffective socializing,
doodling,
when

ing. Consequently,
if strong needs
the job's confines

mining
within

tant. Previous

we design a job, deter


are unlikely
to be met
becomes

very impor
and Green
by Schneider
and Blanton
(1996) indicate
can detrimentally
affect per

reviews

(1977) and Cantor


that "rogue" needs
formance.

Stock Market

is largely rational, but


Stock market behavior
not entirely. Schiller
(2000) touches on several
instances of this, such as the British South Sea
of 1720 or the Japanese
bubble
real estate bub

ble of the late 1980s. More recently, in 1996, the


Dow
what
Federal
Reserve
Jones displayed
Board Chairperson
Alan Greenspan
called "irra
Economists
for the
have,
that investors do tend to be

in accordance
with prospect
theory
it appears
that the
and, thus, TMT. However,
to temporal dis
stock market is also vulnerable
risk averse,

counting.

"investors seem to attach


to short-run eco
importance

Specifically,

disproportionate
nomic developments"
1991: 259). Al
(Thaler,
though De Bondt and Thaler interpret this effect
and Tver
primarily as an instance of Kahneman
heuristic, from a TMT
sky's (1979) representative

to be an excellent
it also appears
of temporal discounting.
the effect of bad news. Unlike antic
Consider
ipated problems, sudden and surprising news of
in
misfortune
suggests an impending downturn
perspective
indication

the stock price. The company value will dimin


so will the value of the
ish and, consequently,
stock. Some selling
is, of course, then rational,
and a dip in price is to be expected.
However,
stockholders with a high discount
function will

overvalue
this imminent loss and will oversell
to minimize
it. The stock price will plunge past
it actually becomes
the optimal point, to where
more rational
to buy, given
its expected
long

term performance.
This overreaction
is formally
in the investment
called
exploited
technique
of
the
Dow"
stock
Also,
1991).
"Dogs
(O'Higgins,
seem
an
to
be
programs
repurchasing
explicit
to manage
(Sanders
sightedness

attempt

Goal

such

shareholder

& Carpenter,

short

2003).

Setting

One of the most widely used motivational


the
con
ories within an industrial/organizational
text is goal
theory (Karoly, 1993), and for good
reason. Extensive
indi
study unambiguously

that goal setting is an extremely powerful


(see Locke & Latham, 2002, fora recent
technique
it has its limitations, lacking,
review). However,
for example,
"the issue of time perspective"
2004: 400). As we will show,
(Locke & Latham,
TMT can account
for goal setting's effects and
cates

Behavior

tional exuberance."
most part, concluded

in nature.

In a series of papers, De Bondt and Thaler (see


research demonstrating
Thaler,
1991) reviewed
that the stock market, as well as stock market
to unexpected
overreact
and dramatic
analysts,
news events, both favorable and disagreeable

new hypotheses
two of its
suggests
regarding
moderators:
Im
goal difficulty and proximity.
cannot be
these novel predictions
portantly,
on the basis of previous
made
to ex
attempts
1998;
goal setting (e.g., Carver & Scheier,
& Slowik,
2004; Locke & Latham,
2002;
Raynor & Entin, 1982).
can be
The effectiveness
of goal
setting
two
of
TMT:
the
aspects
largely explained
by
plain
Fried

of diminishing
returns (see Figure 2)
principle
and
(see Figure
1). Any
temporal discounting
into several
division
of a project
smaller and

more

to take ad
immediate
appears
subgoals
two
of
these
As mentioned,
elements.
vantage

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904 Academy

of Management

a curvilinear
relationship
assessment.
Substantial
di
objective
of large goals may result in a series of

perceived
to a more
visions

value

than
al

quickly.
This state of affairs presents a potent motiva
tional opportunity. Research
has shown that the
situations
of
affects
decision
parsing
making.
For example, Rachlin
how gam
(2000) discusses
is influenced by whether people
bling behavior
consider a period of betting as several
individ
ual bets or as a single gambling
session.6
By
a large project into smaller goals,
subdividing
the sum

of the parts can be greater


than the
Essen
(to reverse a popular
aphorism).
increases
the
duration
of mo
tially, goal setting
when
tivational
drive
toward a
dominance,

whole

is likely to supercede
competing
in Figure
effect
6,
options?an
exemplified
a person
to finish a
where
has ninety days
toward a goal occur only if its
project. Actions
drive or utility exceeds
that of other pursuits?
of action

that is, background


temptations as represented
line in Figure 6. Here,
by the straight dashed
the project into three sub
goal setting divides
goals, each valued at 80 percent of the original.
find that he or
With goal setting, a person would
be working
toward the project for a
she would

it
total of thirty days. Without
setting,
goal
would be only fifteen.
There are also several moderators
that affect
the effectiveness
of goal
setting. TMT makes
the interplay be
regarding
specific hypotheses
tween two of these: goal difficulty and goal
goal
TMT

As

understood,
increasing
already
to
increase
motivation.
In
tends
difficulty
Increased
terms, this effect is due to value.

arises
from achieving
the diffi
than the easy
1997). Also,
(Bandura,
of challenging
the achievement
goals may be
come associated
with rewarding outcomes,
thus
self-satisfaction

cult rather

reinforcer

itself (Eisen
becoming
secondary
is proximity,
other
moderator
The
berger, 1992).
since increasing
the proximity of a goal tends to

See

also

Dawes'

FIGURE 6

(1998) summary

of sunk

costs.

the Superiority of Goal


Demonstrating
Dominance
Setting in Achieving Motivational
over Tempting Alternatives

Graph

90
80
70
60
50

best
inter

each
for achievement,
satisfy one's need
mediate
satiates.
step also
temporarily
Impor
can be completed
tantly, these smaller subgoals
them to be realized more
sequentially,
allowing

proximity.

October

has

each valued
subgoals,
only slightly less
whole.
For example,
that of the original
of an entire project may
though completion

course

Review

Utility

- Background
temptations
? ?; No
goal setting

Goal

setting

40
30
20
10
0

15

30

45

60

75

90

Time

increase

motivation.

Latham
and
Although
that proximity affects performance
"additional
information"
by providing
specific
a supporting explana
(1999: 422), TMT suggests
tion: temporal discounting.
Distal goals are sub
of
stantially delayed,
reducing the effectiveness
Seijts

argue

and value.
expectancy
should
There
be motivational
tension be
tween goal difficulty and proximity. By dividing
a large goal
into variously
spaced
subgoals,
each
to achieve
and,
may be easier
subgoal
there is
thus, less satisfying.
Consequently,
where
the further subdivi
likely a breakpoint

its value more than can


sion of a goal decreases
be offset by the decrease
in delay. Since TMT
formalizes
the relationship
mathematically
it should
value, and delay,
among expectancy,
indicate where
this breakpoint
should best oc
cur.

individuals
should be
Specifically,
impulsive
more motivated
It would
be best
by proximity.
for them to have more
frequent but smaller
those with a higher need for
goals. Conversely,
will more likely attend to goal dif
Their
motivation
should be maximized
ficulty.
by less frequent but harder goals. By attending
to individual
such as
differences
these, TMT
strat
should allow us to provide a goal-setting
a
to
tailored
rather
than
egy
specific person,
achievement

making

us

rely on general

heuristics

(e.g., goal
this should
difficulty, proximity).
Importantly,
in goal-setting
lead to a dramatic
improvement
the
of
duration
power, increasing
any goal's mo
tivational

dominance.
Of note, there are still other insights that TMT
can provide
for goal setting, further demonstrat

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2006 Steel and K?nig 905


that it can

novel and plausible


generate
the
of extremely
presence
hypotheses.
Briefly,
attractive alternatives
(e.g., raising temptation's
utility in Figure 6) can indicate when goal set
ting will be less effective or ineffective. Also, if
ing

there are

motivational
for
systems
to
then itmay be preferable
gains,
outcomes
both the positive
for suc
emphasize
a goal and the penalties
for
cessfully achieving
losses

and

separate

failure. Assessing
which system
an individual
indicates whether
be stressed.

should

in
is dominant
losses or gains

FUTURE RESEARCH
Aside
from improving scientific communica
tion and hypothesis
there are sev
generation,
criteria
and
for
eral qualitative
quantitative
evaluation
(Myung, Pit, & Kim, 2004). A
should plausibly
observed
find
explain
(i.e., reflect
ings, it should be understandable
it should be falsifiable
established
constructs),

model
model

its predictions
and
(i.e., may be validated),
fit the observed
should
data
of
(i.e., "goodness
fit"). TMT, by the very nature of its construction,

fulfills these standards.


to focus on
The strategy for integration was
the most important and heavily validated
parts
of the motivational
field. Its expectancy
and
value components
have already
been well as
sessed

researchers?more

by many
recently by
(1992). Its discounting
Tversky and Kahneman
function is the culmination
of extensive and var
as
ied investigations,
summarized
by Ainslie

themselves
have been studied
for
(1992). Needs
the better part of a century (e.g., Murray,
1938;
Winter et al., 1998). Consequently,
TMT has al
Also, adding
ready been validated
piecemeal.
extra adjustable
im
will invariably
parameters
fit to some degree
(Forster, 2000). TMT
prove

should account
for any observed
data better
than any of its component
theories. Still, there
are two other standards
to consider.
Part of model development
is not only to have

of fitbut to do it parsimoniously.
Con
ev
most
model
indices
for
sequently,
penalize
Akaike
Information
ery extra parameter
(e.g.,
is not desir
Criterion; AIC). Undue
complexity
to be formally shown that
able, and it remains
goodness

accounts
the full TMT model
for significantly
more variance.
it
not enough
is
for
Furthermore,
to be rarely useful. If it is to
the full TMT model
have

value

beyond

aiding

scientific

communi

cation

and

hypothesis

generalizable,
showing
riety of situations. Future
on evaluating
when and

it must be
generation,
in a va
merit
repeated

research should focus


to what degree
the in
is signif
cremental variance
that TMT provides
icant. We discuss
this further below.
there are a variety of methodologies
Finally,
can be con
with which
this future research
venues
that two additional
suggest
a computer
be strongly considered:
ized personal
system of instruction and com

ducted. We
should

also

these
puter simulations.
Although
rarely used,
venues have the advantage
of potentially being
more
more complexity
realistic
and allowing
while
research
control
of key vari
retaining
are also
Their nature and advantages
ables.
further reviewed

Model

Testing:

below.

Simplicity

Versus

Complexity

of model
testing are extensive and
the
of
scope
any
paper except a dedi
beyond
cated review (e.g., Myung et al., 2004; Navarro &
the accurate
2005). Briefly, it requires
Myung,
measurement
of the observed behavior, as well
as the constructs that are thought to give rise to
The details

the behavior
To
(i.e., specified
by the model).
we
measure
to
evaluate
would
need
then
TMT,
performance,
along with both individual and ex
variables
that reflect expectancy,
perimental
value, and delay forboth losses and gains. With
this data, we could compare
competing models
using a choice of indices, ones taking into ac
count

Akaike
perior
sets

both parsimony
and completeness
or Bayesian
information criterion).
results are again

(i.e.,

obtained

cross-validation),

(e.g.,
If su

in related data

the model

is general

izable.

We do not expect that the full TMT model will


as we
be necessary,
indicated
consistently
when discussing
its hierarchical
nature. How
ever, it is difficult to argue why only a subset of
the motivational
fundamentals
that compose
TMT ever apply. Such a position
is radical and
a new scien
unsupported,
requiring postulating
tific principle

that prevents
these fundamental
ever
in concert. Con
from
components
operating
situations
for
where
there is
sequently,
complex
an assortment
of options, considered
by a di
verse sampling
of people, more of TMT's ele

ments should come into play. We already made


the case that the full TMT model
is necessary
to
as
as
a
on
well
touched
predict procrastination,

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906 Academy

of Management

it should be appli
variety of topics where
The incremental variance potentially pro
vided by TMT will depend on what topic is being
and what
theory it is being com
investigated

wide

cable.

pared against. The more


consumer behavior)
and

the topic (e.g.,


complex
the simpler the compet
expected
utility theory), the

Review

October

and use them to compare


competing
As the number of variables
increases,
there can be technical and administrative
ob
in gathering
stacles
the requisite
data.
In the
two novel venues
following section we consider
can
assist
that
testing and applying
complex

variables
models.

(e.g.,
ing model
the
should be. Naturally,
greater TMT's value
converse
should also be true.
that TMT occasionally
It is possible,
however,

models.

or negative
side of
the avoidance
Specifically,
our nature appears
to be less than unitary. For
research, optimism appears
expectancy-related
as three factors: opti
to be better understood

(i.e., animal
research) and
parative
psychology
"casino"
where
and
situations,
expectancy
in
value were
expressed
explicitly,
typically
terms of ratios, dollars,
and deaths.
Unfortu
these situations
give a great
nately, although
deal of control, their limited realism and com

is still not complex enough. One refinement that


to reconsider
is the
future research may want
and
avoidance
A
trichotomy
duality.
approach
may be the more appropriate
representation.

and "fighting spirit" (Olason


mism, pessimism,
& Roger,
2001). For impulsiveness,
Cloninger
model, with sepa
(1987) posits a tridimensional

rate systems for gains


(i.e., novelty seeking) and
and a third sys
for losses (i.e., harm avoidance),
tem he calls "persistence."
This three-factor so
recent support
received
lution has
(Torrubia,

?vila,
nam,

Molt?,

2001; Whiteside

& Caseras,

& Ly
styles for

2001). Similarly, people's


coping
three comparable
factors
uncertainty
yield
emotional
&
2001):
(Greco
uncertainty
Roger,
and
for change
desire
(avoidance),
(approach),

(persistence).
cognitive uncertainty
From a broader
perspective,
Raghunathan
differences
and Pham
(1999) note substantive
and
of
sadness
the influences
between
anxiety
on decision making.
(1999), in
Similarly, Krueger
an examination
found that
of mental disorders,
a three-factor model
comorbidity.
explained
were best
fear and anxiety-misery
Specifically,
a
as
two
of
subfactors
understood
high-order

recent neuropsy
factor. Finally,
of
the presence
reviews do indicate
chological
other systems (Gray & McNaughton,
1996; Lang,
&
1997; Rothbart, Ahadi,
Bradley, & Cuthbert,
Evans, 2000), such as fight-or-flight. Also, differ
internalizing

the
functions, which our motivational
tend to employ separate
ories ultimately model,
as well as common components,
truly
making
an
fiction
factors
inevitable
orthogonal
ent brain

(Damasio,

1994).
of whether
Regardless
mine ifTMT is too complex

is to deter
the goal
or too simple, it is an

ap
empirical matter and the same methodology
the relevant
plies. We must accurately measure

New

Research

Venues

There are a variety of methodologies


that can
to further study TMT and its implica
be used
tions. Traditional
work on related concepts, es
relied on com
pecially
temporal discounting,

their generalizability
(Ba
suspect
plexity makes
we
recommend
zerman,
2001). Consequently,
a com
that two other venues also be considered:
instruction
of
and
system
personal
puterized
computer simulations.
traditional methodologies
Since
criticized as potentially
unrealistic,

been

a movement

have

been

there has

toward naturalistic

decision

research

making
(K?hberger, Schulte-Mecklen
&
like to
beck,
Perner, 2002). Ideally, we would
to TMT on a wide range
test further refinements
of people who are striving at their own pace
toward an important goal in a standardized
but
realistic setting where we can precisely but eas
their behavior.
this is a
Although
ily measure
there is at least one
long list of specifications,
venue
all
these fea
that presently
provides
tures?a
system of in
personal
computerized
struction (C-PSI).
or pro
of instructions
A personal
system

learning
grammed
but a computerized

has been
version

in use

has

for decades,

several

desired

As used by Steel, Brothen, and Wam


qualities.
of students
bach
simulta
(2001), hundreds
a university
toward completing
neously work
course at their own pace, allowing
choice and,
behavior. Furthermore, progress
thus, motivated
at an unparalleled
is assessed
number of points
as the course
into numerous
is broken down
all computer
(e.g., seventy-eight),
re
with
precisely
completion
and
corded. Similarly, a host of other observed
can be easily
inserted into
self-report measures

assignments
administered

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2006 Steel and K?nig 907


this framework. The only restriction is that stu
dents must finish these assignments
by the final
exam. Consequently,
it is a good venue
for de
are
if
all aspects of TMT
for
necessary
termining
of self
the efficacy
Similarly,
prediction.
on the TMT
interventions
based
regulatory
can be clearly evaluated
in this setting.
model

We can not only see the outcome but can exam


ine in detail people's
toward their
progression
if other
Future
should
consider
research
goals.
existing

realistic research settings could also be


to provide
similar benefits
(e.g., the

adapted
Kanfer-Ackerman

Air Traffic Controller

Task;

cf.

Kanfer & Ackerman,


1989).
for TMT
Another novel venue

is the
research
construction
of computer
simulations.
Recent
us
in parallel
advances
computing are allowing

to effectively model extremely complex phenom


ena, such as global weather
(Clauer et
patterns
nuclear physics
al., 2000) and applied
(Bigelow,
1995). Conse
Moloney,
Philpott, & Rothberg,
to
quently, this technology is also being applied
recondite areas of human decision making, such
as

traffic (Pursula,
1999) and market behavior
(Janssen & Jager, 2001), as well as several orga
science
nizational
topics (Hulin, Miner, & Seitz,
as
Lauded
the
"Third Scientific Discipline"
2002).

commonalities.
idating
more
progress
rapidly by
from different disciplines.
one hand,
the extremely

Our

science

would

the findings
sharing
on the
For example,
time
well-supported

function evident in behaviorist


and
discounting
nature
economic
is
of human
understanding
in other areas.
In fact, most
largely overlooked
reviews fail to refer to it (e.g., Fran
motivational
Thi
1994; Kanfer,
1990; Kleinbeck,
Quast,
1990; Mitchell,
1997). On the other
erry, & Hacker,
since at
have maintained,
hand, economists
least Stigler and Becker
(1977), that tastes or
lit
is, needs or traits?provide
preferences?that
ken,

or explanation
tle or no prediction
of human
behavior. During the 1970s, this was a plausible
even within psychology
and popular
position,
as Caplan
1973). However,
(2003)
(e.g., Mischel,
our
outlines,
empirical
findings over the last
that it is increasingly
quarter century indicate
tomaintain
outlandish
such a belief.
TMT addresses
such dysfunctional
separation

by unifying insights
ories of motivation.
definitive

model

human

from several

Importantly,
for every aspect of
accounting
but it does provide a common

behavior,
framework of essential

extensive

different the
this is not a

features.

Using
from individual

contributions

it, the
disci

(Ilgen & Hulin, 2000), with the first two being


it has
and correlational
research,
experimental
to open entirely new lines of study.
the potential
If consensus
that TMT does
indicates
indeed
of decision mak
provide a good approximation

plines may be better shared by all, such as cog


nitive psychology
how expectan
determining
or the findings
cies change
with experience
from the self-regulatory
disciplines
indicating

such as compensation
systems or
incor
job design. Already, a rudimentary model
the notion of needs, satiation, and tem
porating
exists. It is the The Sims, the
poral discounting
most popular
computer game of all time, based
on the principles
of consumer and evolutionary

ing and categorizing


empirical
findings" (1991:
can provide common ground to
23). This model
enable
the necessary
dialog.

the foundation
for a new
ing, TMT will provide
to
of simulators
that can be used
generation
in
initially test a wide variety of motivational
terventions,

psychology

(Johnson, 2002; Pearce,

2002).7

how

may be tempered. As Barrick


impulsiveness
and Mount conclude,
"In order for any field of
to advance,
science
it is necessary
to have an
classification
scheme
for accumulat
accepted

REFERENCES
G.

Ainslie,

1992. Picoeconomics:

successive

motivational

York: Cambridge

CONCLUSION
Although we have benefited by exploring hu
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from many different perspectives,
we would also gain by considering
and consol

G.,

Ainslie,
G.

mist

For an
Heath

of lifestyle

interesting
(2001), who
choices

see the political


econo
application,
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the effects

on work-family

conflict.

University

& Haslam,

N. 1992. Hyperbolic
& J.Elster (Eds.), Choice
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Sage

Loewenstein

New

York:

I. 1991. A theory of planned


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Behavior
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Akerlof, G. A.

and

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states

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In
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over time: 57-92.

Organizational
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American

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P. J. 1987. The nature of preferences:


An explora
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Allport, G. W.
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J.W.

Atkinson,

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A.

Bandura,
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goal effects
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revisited.

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G.,

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temporal
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sense
of
ing, and
deficit hyperactivity
defiant

disorder

disorder

(ODD).

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dimensions

M. K.

1991. The

and

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44: 1-26.
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sonnel

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Baumeister,
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at the Uni
is an assistant
(Piers.Steel@Haskayne.Ucalgary.ca)
professor
He
his
from the
Ph.D.
of
School
of
Business.
received
versity
Haskayne
Calgary's
of Minnesota's
program. He continues
industrial/organizational
psychology
University
as well as synthetic validity, a half-century-old
to research
endeavor
procrastination
Piers

Steel

to create

a universal

and

automated

selection

system.

in the work
is a faculty member
J.K?nig
(c.koenig@psychologie.unizh.ch)
Institut, Universit?t
Z?rich,
group at Psychologisches
organizational
psychology
in psychology
his Ph.D.
from Philipps-Universit?t
He received
Switzerland.
Marburg,
time management,
include
His research
interests
multitasking,
personnel
Germany.
Cornelius
and

selection,

and

job insecurity.

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