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IranTurkey Relations,
19792011
Both Turkey and Iran are large and important countries in the Middle East;
how these two countries relate to each other is of crucial importance both for
the region and for the wider world. This book explores the diplomatic, security
and energy relations of these two middle-power states since 1979, analysing
the impact of religious, political and social transformation on their bilateral
relationship. It considers the nature of TurkeyIran relations in the context of
middle-power relations theory, and goes on to look at diplomatic crises that
have taken place between Turkey and Iran since 1979. The author analyses
Turkey and Irans security relations with the wider Middle East, including the
KurdishTurkish War, the KurdishIranian War and the KurdishArab War,
and their impact on regional politics.
Suleyman Elik is currently Visiting Research Fellow at the Energy Institute,
and School of Government and International Affairs, Durham University, UK.
IranTurkey Relations,
19792011
Conceptualising the dynamics of
politics, religion and security in
middle-power states
Suleyman Elik
Dedicated to my mother
Contents
Foreword
Preface and acknowledgements
List of abbreviations
viii
ix
x
Introduction
35
49
65
94
129
161
176
Notes
Bibliography
Index
200
219
235
Foreword
In the past few months, decades have happened in the Middle East! The realm
of Middle East politics is changing and in this the international relations of
MENA states could not be a more important subject for analysis. In this rapidly
changing environment two Muslim countries seem to be best placed to
influence and shape the emerging geopolitics of the region these being Iran
and Turkey. Indeed, in post-Mubarak Egypt there is already talk of the
implementation of a Turkish model for its burgeoning democratic forces,
and that is all the while that Tehran has been insisting that the regions new
revolutions thirty-two years after its own are validations of its own antiimperial and pro-Islamist message. Which of the two countries is better at
projecting and applying soft power in this really new Middle East? It is very
hard to tell, but what is not in doubt is Tehran and Ankaras real interests in
the changing nature of politics in the Middle East, albeit clearly for rather
different reasons and from very different starting points.
The role of Iran and Turkey will become increasingly important in this new
Middle East and yet deep knowledge of their bilateral relations and the ways
in which domestic and regional forces may have affected their interactions
has not been widely studied. How politics, security and economics may have
helped shape their bilateral relations is a critical set of questions; and also
critical are their perceptions of each other over the past few decades. What is
now being provided here in the really excellent book by Dr Suleyman Elik is
analytical answers to a wide range of questions about how and why Tehran
and Ankara interact. Suleyman has masterfully crafted a durable framework
for our better understanding of this relationship. Here we have a full and
dynamic account of the forces that have influenced the recent convergence in
TurkishIranian relations, but Suleyman is also very careful to draw the reader
to the multitude of problems that could potentially derail the partnership
between them. The complexities of the relationship are laid bare in this
fascinating book and as it has deep analytical roots its assessments and
judgements are likely to outlast the regions latest political earthquakes for a
considerable time.
Anoush Ehteshami
Durham, UK
March 2011
Abbreviations
ACG
AEOI
AIOC
ANF
ASALA
bb/d
Bcm
BLACKSEAFOR
BOTA
BSEC
BSNC
BTC
BTE
BTK
CAC
CASCO
CDC
CENTO
CIS
CNPC
CPC
CST
CSTO
CUP
D-8
ECO
EEZ
EIA
ESDI
EU
GCC
GME
GU(U)AM
AzeriChiragGunashli (oilfield)
Atomic Energy Organization of Iran
Azerbaijan International Operating Company
Azerbaijani Nationalist Front
Armenian Secret Army for the Liberation of Armenia
billion barrels per day
billion cubic metres
Black Sea Naval Cooperation Task Group
Turkey State Pipeline Corporation
Black Sea Economic Cooporation Organisation
Black Sea Naval Commanders Committee
BakuTbilisiCeyhan (pipeline)
BakuTbilisiErzurum (pipeline)
BakuTehranKhark (pipeline)
Central AsiaCentre (pipeline)
Caspian Sea Cooperation Organisation
Caspian Development Cooperation
Central Treaty Organization
Commonwealth of Independent States
Chinese National Petroleum Company
Caspian Pipeline Consortium
Collective Security Treaty
Collective Security Treaty Organisation
Committee of Union and Progress
Developing Eight (Islamic countries)
Economic Cooperation Organisation
exclusive economic zone
(US) Energy Information Agency
European Security and Defence Identity
European Union
Gulf Cooperation Council
Greater Middle East
GeorgiaUkraine(Usbekistan)AzerbaijanMoldova
Abbreviations xi
IAEA
IHD
IISS
IJG
ILSA
IMF
IMU
INSS
ISAF
ITF
ITGI
ITTO
JEC
KCP
KDP
KDPI
KKK
KMG
KOMALA
KRG
KTI
LEU
LNG
MAD
mb/d
MEDO
MESC
MGK
MIT
MKO
MoU
MTN
NATO
NICO
NIGC
NIOC
NIS
NKR
NPT
NWFZ
OIC
OPC
OSCE
xii Abbreviations
PfP
PJAK
PKF
PKK
PSA
PUK
QDR
RATS
RCD
RDF
RRF
RSCT
SCO
SCP
SEATO
SEE
SOCAR
SP
TAF
TAP
TAPI
TAV
TCGP
TCO
TCP
TGNA
THB
TICA
TIT
TPAO
TSF
UNCLOS
UNOMIG
UNSC
US
WMD
WMEI
WMENAI
WP
WTO
Introduction
Now is not the time for business as usual with Iran. We urge all of our friends
and allies, including Turkey, to not reward Iran by investing in its oil and gas
sector, while Iran continues to defy the United Nations Security Council
(UNSC) by continuing its nuclear research for a weapons capability.1
(Nicholas Burns, Under Secretary for Political Affairs)
Why cant we establish a mechanism of unrestricted trade with Iran similar
to the one we have with Europe? I personally dont see any reason why we
should not be able to accomplish this.2
(Tayyib Erdoan, Turkish Prime Minister)
Turkey and Iran, two neighbouring states with one of the worlds longest
common borders (529 km), have preserved their position as two crucial
countries in the Middle East with common geopolitical locations, historical
heritages, populations and rich cultures, while maintaining a distance in their
fundamental politics, security priorities and economic and trade cooperation.
Similar circumstances can hardly be found between any other two countries
in the world. The perceived disarray of relations between Turkey and this
distant country on its doorstep remains an option for diversifying the direction
of foreign policy for both states in the twenty-first century. Turkey and Iran
both have the option to either draw closer together or move further apart.
However, despite the tumultuous relationship that occurs from time to time,
they have managed this fragile relationship successfully with considerable
state diplomacy by recognising the mutual legitimacy of each regime and the
interests common to both states since the signing of the Qasr-i Shirin Peace
Treaty in 1639. The relationship of polarity between the leadership of Asia
Minor (now modern Turkey) and Persia (Iran) dates back to experiences
throughout the ancient and middle ages. There was continuous rivalry between
Constantinople, based in Anatolia, and the Sassanian Empire of Persia. Both
empires struggled and fought for control of Mesopotamia, now known as Iraq.
In the seventh century, Muslim Arabs from the Hejaz destroyed the Persian
Empire and the Persian people converted to Islam. However, the coalition
of Iranian and Seljuk Turks protected them from Arabic assimilation.
Introduction
Introduction 3
Ali Khamenei, is an Azeri Turk and, by tradition, chiefs of Irans armed forces
tend to be Azeri Turks. On the other hand, Iran has managed to block Turkeys
Turanist ambitions to link with the Turkic State in Central Asia by closely
cooperating with Russia and Armenia. Iran has considerable geographical
advantages as an energy corridor stretching from Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan and
Turkmenistan to eastern Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Oman.
However, with the Western alliance, Turkey has been reconfigured as a
regional energy hub for Central Asian, Caspian, and Russian and Middle
Eastern hydrocarbon transportation. Nevertheless, shunning competition,
Ankara and Tehran increased mutual cooperation on energy and trade matters
with the completion of a 2,577 kilometre natural gas pipeline stretching from
Tabriz to Ankara in 2001. Iran is now the second largest natural gas supplier
(20 per cent, which constitutes almost 75 per cent of TurkishIranian external
trade) for Turkey after Gazprom. The preliminary agreement and a series of
memoranda of understanding (MoU) between Iran and Turkey in July 2007,
including Tehrans approval for Ankara to develop phases 22, 23 and 24 of
Irans South Pars gas field and pumping of Iranian and Turkmen gas to
Europe via Turkey through the Nabucco pipeline project, has been backed by
Europe. This would reduce dependence on Russia by gaining access to Central
Asian natural gas resources, which run across Turkey to Hungary and Austria
through the eastern Balkans. It will eventually be able to carry 31 Bcm of gas
a year to big consumers in Europe. Turkeys increasing energy cooperation
with Iran and its mediatory role between Iran and Europe has been viewed by
a Washington spokesman as troubling. However, it is compulsory for Turkey
and Iran to cooperate in relations with regard to common problems and
interests brought along by their joint and geopolitical obligations. This neither
sacrifices Irans anti-Westernism and anti-US attitudes nor Turkeys concerns
that stem from the historical past, namely the threat posed by attempts to import
the Iranian revolution.
Following the post-9/11 paradigm shift, many events have culminated in
an international political situation in which resorting to military action is no
longer viewed as a non-option. These events include the rising power of Iran
as a pariah state, its call to wipe Israel from the map, its expanding sphere
of influence in Afghanistan and Central Asia and the Caucasus, its attempts
to incite Shiites in the Gulf region and Afghanistan, the home to two-thirds
of the oil reserves in the world, the threats against the free passage of ships
through the Strait of Hormuz, its revelation of a bridgehead for China and
Russia to project power in the Middle East, proxy war through Hezbollah and
Hamas, and Washingtons policy of curbing Iran by isolating its leadership
in the international system and formulating contingency air strike plans. Iran
produces 4 million barrels of crude oil each day and 2.5 million barrels of this
is exported to Asian markets via the Straits of Hormuz. It additionally provides
84 Bcm of natural gas annually. Hence, air strikes from Washington to
paralyse Irans nuclear energy and communications infrastructure have already
been considered. The situation is critical as Turkey cannot afford to stand idly
Introduction
Introduction 5
Iran Relations (TurkeyIran Relations in History). Ustad Robert Olsons
contribution to the pre-modern history of IranianTurkish relations is more
constructive, especially regarding geopolitical competition in Iraq in his
book entitled The Siege of Mosul and OttomanPersian Relations, 17181743:
A Study of Rebellion in the Capital and War in the Provinces of the Ottoman
Empire. Furthermore, his subsequent work, The Emergence of Kurdish
Nationalism and the Sheikh Said Rebellion, 18801925 applies the event
analysis method for modern historiography. He exemplified his theory,
particularly with regard to the impact of Kurdish nationalism on Turkish
Iranian relations in his two important books: The Kurdish Question and
TurkishIranian Relations: From World War I to 1998 and TurkeyIran
Relations, 19792004: Revolution, Ideology, War, Coups, and Geopolitics.
His other book, named Turkeys Relations with Iran, Syria, Israel, and Russia,
19912000: The Kurdish and Islamist Questions, highlights the geopolitics
of IranianTurkish relations in the wider context, to include Central Asia and
the Middle East. He offers a deep analysis of Kurdish ambitions to establish
an independent state in KurdistanIraq in his last book titled The Goat and
the Butcher: Nationalism and State Formation in KurdistanIraq Since the
Iraqi War. The systematic approaches to IranianTurkish relations are mostly
focused on Kurdish nationalism. Olson applied omnibalancing theory in his
previous work. Additionally, there is only one relevant doctoral study,
conducted by Rengin Gun in his dissertation Uluslararas atma ve atma
zm temelinde Trk-ran ilikileri (TurkishIranian relations on the basis
of international conflict and conflict resolution). This analysis does not provide
any concrete solutions but describes the conflict between the two countries.
Adding greater depth to IranianTurkish relations is Turel Yilmazs study
titled Turkiyenin Orta Doudaki snr komular ile ilikileri, 19701997
(Turkeys relations with its border neighbours in the Middle East.). Turkish
sociologist Alev Erkilet Basers work is a significant comparative contribution
looking at three important countries, Egypt, Turkey and Iran. Her doctoral
research, Ortadouda modernlesme ve Islami hareketler: Turkiye, Msr, Iran
(Modernization and Islamic movements in the Middle East: Turkey, Egypt,
Iran) explains the process and influence of ideology in the Middle East.
There have been no scholarly monographs dealing with Turkey and Iran
relations since 1950. The only article that compares the regimes of both
countries is Republican Trajectories in Iran and Turkey: A Tocquevillian
Reading written by Jean-Francois Bayart. There is a smattering of articles
and edited books, but no full length monographs. I note a few: Tschangiz
Pahlavan, TurkishIranian relations: An Iranian view, pp. 7192 in the
Henri J. Barkey edition, Reluctant Neighbour: Turkeys role in the Middle
East (1996) is one of the few studies addressing the two countries; Gkhan
etinsayas Rafsanjaniden Hatemiye: Iran Dis politikasina Bakislar in
Turkiyenin Komsulari one of the few articles that devotes considerable
attention to TurkeyIran relations. His other article Essential friends and
Introduction
natural enemies: The historic roots of Turkish Iranian relations was published
in MERIA in 2003. It is unfortunate that his latest work with Talha Kose
reused this article, namely the Iran File published in SETA, a conservative
Turkey think tank. Another prominent article, The Islamist Iran and Turkey,
19791989: State pragmatism and ideological influence was written by
Unal Gurdogan in 2003. There are some important articles focusing on the
conflict and cooperation in TurkishIranian relations. John Calabreses article
Turkey and Iran: Limits of a stable relationship drew the main outline
of bilateral relations. Similarly, a Turkish academic, Nilufer Narli in her
article, Cooperation or competition in the Islamic World: TurkishIranian
relations from the Islamic Revolution to the Gulf War and after makes a
clear contribution to the general modern historiography of TurkishIranian
relations. Though there are many articles on the general politics of Central
Asia and the Caucusus, the impact of regional competition on TurkishIranian
relations seems limited. Henri J. Barkeys article Iran and Turkey:
Confrontation across an ideological divide, edited by Rubenstein in his book,
Regional Power Rivalries in the New Eurasia provides a general analysis
of the first stage in regional competition. Professor Blent Aras, director of
Middle East studies at ISIK University, also focuses on Middle East and
Central Asian politics in general while also paying some attention to Turkey
Iran relations. Similarly, Patrick Clawsons and Soner Caqaptays comparative works under the auspices of the Washington Institute are valuable for the
modern political historiography of the Turkish and Iranian states.
Most of these works involve the reviewing of official records that are yet
to be de-classified by both sides and consequently are not available for firsthand inspection. The primary sources reviewed for this study include: public
statements of governments, foreign ministries and other interested ministers;
agreements between Turkey and Iran; joint communiqus announced at the
end of official talks between the two states; statements from officials from
both sides; the statesmens memoirs; parliamentary discussions in Turkey and
congressional hearings in Iran; and foreign ministries bulletins. In additional
to this, I have reviewed thirty-two years worth of archival material in the form
of Turkish and Iranian newspapers, journals, magazines and parliamentary
records. Durham University library collections were particularly useful,
particularly the microfiche copies of the Turkish newspapers: Cumhuriyet,
Milliyet and also the Tehran Times, Ittalaat and Kayhan International.
This book is the first to conduct a micro-level analysis on middle-power
state scholarship within this specific time frame and scope in the wider
regional context. Considering too the influx of modernisation, this study provides a new interpretation of the patronage and political clientelism of Turkey
and Iran as middle-power states. The key significance of this book is that it
contributes to a new definition of middle-power states and also identifies the
boundaries of middle-power statecraft in international politics.
Introduction 7
The foundations of
IranianTurkish relations
An alternative approach to the
politics of middle-power states
Introduction
An integrated approach towards TurkishIranian relations will present a new
model for the relations between Middle Eastern middle-power states. This
holistic approach employs systemic, regional and domestic international
theories, influencing continuity and change and explaining the long tradition
of TurkishIranian politics that history has recorded so far. The logic of this
foreign policy brings together domestic inputs, cultural, ethnic and state
identity within a regional and systems-based approach. The study attaches these
dimensions to integrated theories by adding transnational factors such as
ethnic identity and state identity (regime) to explain the evolution of continuity
and change processes. Three main areas are utilised in order to signify the
applicability of the theory, namely identity policy, regional and systemic
alignment, and economic policies. In this model a more comprehensive and
more explanatory framework than that seen in previous studies will be used,
to be discussed further in subsequent sections. This chapter utilises different
key concepts from various disciplines for the contextualisation of the
proposed model of theory. It also uses multivariate assumptions that allow for
conclusions to be made about how two or more variables are related; a positive
and direct relationship between two variables produces one variable and
causes the other to rise. The relationship between two variables also implies
that the cases are not distributed randomly, and rather indicates the presence
of an identifiable pattern.
This chapter will first overview TurkishIranian diplomacy to demonstrate
its placement in world politics, modify the definition of a middle-power state,
explain the nature of TurkishIranian relations and identify variables to offer
an alternative integrated approach to the relations of middle-power states in
international politics.
10
century, the French and Spanish Empire was the major balancer of power in
Europe, while the Ottoman state maintained its great power status quo. The
discovery of new trade routes and the rising of sea power in Europe had also
overridden Ottoman control over trade routes in the Mediterranean belt and
Eurasia. Hence, the defeat of the Ottomans by Russia in the north and by the
AustriaHungarian Empire in Vienna (1683) was further hastening the decline
of the Islamic empire.9
Changing the balance of power increased pan-European sentiment in
Richelieus system, which suspected a united Germany might dominate
Europe and overwhelm Frances interests.10 At one end, Great Britain was
revealed as a balance of power and dominated European diplomacy in the
eighteenth century. After the victory of the Napoleonic War, Great Britain,
Russia and Metternichs system reconstructed the Concert of Europe at the
Vienna settlement in 1815. This system offered a power-based multi-polarity
system.
The pessimistic approaches to power first became a subject of diplomatic
discussion in international politics, because the Russian advancement westwards further challenged the status quo of both Poland and Ottoman Turkey,
which were no longer a mortal threat for Europe. Rather, Ottoman states
became known to the cabinets of Europe as the Eastern Question.
As buffer states, Turkey and Poland blockaded the Russian advancement
into Europe during the interwar period. The question of intervention in middlepower states such as Turkey and Iran dominated the European diplomatic
environment. The Great powers, Britain, Russia and France agreed that if
there was to be any intervention into those countries, it should be a collective
intervention, not a sole competitive intervention. Therefore, the collective interference of Britain, France and Russia in Turkeys internal affairs resulted in
Greek independence in 1827 and economic bankruptcy in the Ottoman Empire
and Egypt at the end of the nineteenth century.
The RussiaIran and RussiaTurkey treaties resulted in territorial loss for
Iran, mostly in Armenia and Transcaucasia. The most important of these were
the Treaties of Gulistan (1813) and Turkmanchay (1828) with Russia, the
Erzurum treaties of 1823 and 1847 with the Ottoman Empire and the Paris
treaty with Britain. Britain was alarmed by Russian expansion into the region
and therefore the great game between Russia and Britain in Afghanistan
(1838, 1881 and 1919) became an intense rivalry in Persia and Tibet for control
of Indian, Eurasian and Middle Eastern natural resources.
The colonial dispersion of European states destroyed the Eastern state
system and they have not found any chance to recover from this. At the end
of the nineteenth century, modernity also challenged the Turkic and Muslim
peoples when the Caucasus and Eurasian steppes fell completely under Russian
and Chinese colonial occupation. The continuity of the colonial entity
introduced the new face of Orientalism and the New Oriental approach towards
Middle Eastern states, and society imposed the tragic colonial policies that
fragmented identities in the post-Ottoman societies.11
12
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