Professional Documents
Culture Documents
economic
snapshots
QUARTERLY
CURRENT
ECONOMIC
SITUATION
A few short months after the Duterte administration took the helm of
government, its agenda of solving the drug problem and criminality nationwide
has touched all corners of Philippine society. Although Dutertes law and order program is not
often understood in terms of its economic impact, the administrations efforts have had positive and
negative implications on the Philippines business and economic environment.
This Quarters Economic Snapshots looks at the current macroeconomic situation, using the latest available
indicators on economic growth, investments, remittances, employment, and global confidence and
competitiveness, among others. This issue also compares indicators across selected Southeast Asian countries,
to help situate where the Philippines stands and needs to improve under a new administration.
September 2016
3rd QUARTER
ECONOMIC SNAPSHOTS
Source: BSP2
ECONOMIC SNAPSHOTS
3rd QUARTER
September 2016
September 2016
3rd QUARTER
ECONOMIC SNAPSHOTS
Source: BSP12
ECONOMIC SNAPSHOTS
3rd QUARTER
September 2016
Source: BSP19
September 2016
3rd QUARTER
ECONOMIC SNAPSHOTS
Source: BSP23
Source: BSP27
ECONOMIC SNAPSHOTS
3rd QUARTER
September 2016
The Asian Development Banks (ADB) 2016 updated outlook raised growth forecasts to 6.4% for 2016 and
6.2% for 2017, due to robust domestic demand and supported by favorable macroeconomic fundamentals.
However, ADB also cautioned against a number of development challenges. The disparity in regional
growth is pronounced, with Metro Manila and Central Luzon accounting for two-thirds of GDP growth.
Moreover, while poverty incidence has declined, it is still heavily concentrated in Visayas and Mindanao.
Underemployment is at a historical low, but labor productivity in the agriculture sector has yet to reach its
full capacity. The ADB also noted that the country needs higher revenues to support public investments,
which is crucial since the country lags behind other ASEAN nations in terms of infrastructure quality.32
Source: BSP34
September 2016
3rd QUARTER
ECONOMIC SNAPSHOTS
ECONOMIC REPORTS:
2016 WEF Global Competitiveness Report,
IMD World Competitiveness, and BSP Consumer
and Business Expectations Survey
Source: WEF36
ECONOMIC SNAPSHOTS
3rd QUARTER
September 2016
Source: IMD38
110
September 2016
3rd QUARTER
ECONOMIC SNAPSHOTS
The tables show that over the past five years, the
country has ranked the lowest or in the bottom half
among these ASEAN countries. Its performance was
particularly poor in infrastructure and government
efficiency. However, there may still be hope
for infrastructure development as the current
administration aims to spend higher on public
infrastructure with P7 trillion from 2017 until 2022.41
Next years proposed budgetary allocation for public
infrastructure is at P860.7 billion, 13.8 percent higher
than what was allocated in 2016.42
On the other hand, the consumer outlook seems
to be more optimistic of the Philippine economy.
In BSPs latest Consumer Expectations Survey,
consumer outlook improved for Q3 2016, with the
optimists outnumbering the pessimists for the first
time since the nationwide survey started in Q1
200744 with confidence index (CI) at 2.5 percent
from -6.4 percent for Q2 2016.
Source: IMD40
Source: IMD43
ECONOMIC SNAPSHOTS
3rd QUARTER
September 2016
11
Source: BSP45
112
September 2016
3rd QUARTER
ECONOMIC SNAPSHOTS
Source: BSP50
ECONOMIC SNAPSHOTS
3rd QUARTER
September 2016
13
ENDNOTES:
Philippine Statistics Authority. (August 2016). Philippine
economy posts 7.0 percent GDP growth in 2nd Quarter; 6.9
percent in first half of 2016. Retrieved from: http://psa.gov.ph/
content/philippine-economy-posts-70-percent-gdp-growth2nd-quarter-69-percent-first-half-2016
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas. (2016). Selected economic indicators: Real GDP growth rate. Retrieved from: http://www.bsp.
gov.ph/statistics/spei_new/tab48_sas.htm
Ibid.
Ibid.
Ibid.
Philippine Statistics Authority. (September 2016). Summary Inflation Report Consumer Price Index (2006=100): August
2016. Retrieved from: http://psa.gov.ph/statistics/survey/price/
summary-inflation-report-consumer-price-index-2006100-august-2016
10
11
14
September 2016
3rd QUARTER
ECONOMIC SNAPSHOTS
24
Ibid.
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas. (September 2016). FDI Net Inflows Increase by 94.9 Percent for the First Semester of 2016.
Retrieved from http://www.bsp.gov.ph/publications/media.
asp?id=4171.
25
12
Ibid.
13
Ibid.
Philippine Information Agency. (2016, July 26). DOLE finalizing memorandum to reduce endo practice by 50%
in 2016. Retrieved from: http://news.pia.gov.ph/article/
view/1141469453128/dole-finalizing-memorandum-to-reduceendo-practice-by-50-percent-in-2016
26
Philippine Statistics Authority. (September 2016). Employment rate in July 2016 is estimated at 94.6 percent. Retrieved
from:
http://psa.gov.ph/content/employment-rate-july2016-estimated-946-percent
28
1 4
38
39
Ibid.
Ibid.
2016 IMD World Competitiveness Overall Ranking and Competitiveness Factors. Retrieved from: https://www.imd.org/uupload/imd.website/wcc/Overall_ranking_5_years.pdf
40
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas. (2016). Selected economic indicators: Net Foreign Direct Investments Flows. Retrieved from:
http://www.bsp.gov.ph/statistics/spei_new/tab48_sas.htm
27
41
15
16
Philippine Statistics Authority. (September 2016). Employment rate in July 2016 is estimated at 94.6 percent. Retrieved
from:
http://psa.gov.ph/content/employment-rate-july2016-estimated-946-percent
17
18
Ibid.
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas. (2016). Selected economic indicators: Unemployment rate. Retrieved from: http://www.bsp.
gov.ph/statistics/spei_new/tab48_sas.htm
19
ABS-CBN News. (May 2016). Duterte to create department for OFWs. Retrieved from: http://news.abs-cbn.com/
halalan2016/global-filipino/05/16/16/duterte-to-create-department-for-ofws
20
21
22
Ibid.
29
30
Ibid.
42
Ibid.
2016 IMD World Competitiveness Overall Ranking and Competitiveness Factors. Retrieved from: https://www.imd.org/uupload/imd.website/wcc/Overall_ranking_5_years.pdf
43
31
44
32
45
Ibid.
46
Ibid.
47
Ibid.
48
Ibid.
33
34
35
36
Ibid.
Ibid.
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas. (August 2016). Business expectations survey: Third Quarter 2016. Retrieved from: http://www.
bsp.gov.ph/downloads/Publications/2016/BES_3qtr2016.pdf
49
50
Ibid.
51
Ibid.
52
Ibid.
53
Ibid.
54
Ibid.
37
23
ECONOMIC SNAPSHOTS
3rd QUARTER
September 2016
15
ABOUT
economic
snapshots
is a quarterly publication that presents the current economic situation of
the Philippines through various economic indicators as monitored by local and
international financial institutions. This includes the countrys most recent data
on Gross Domestic Product, Foreign Direct Investments and Remittances,
among others. In addition, studies on the economic performance and
financial forecasts for the Philippines are included in this report.