Professional Documents
Culture Documents
-3-
INTRODUCTION
In October 1993 I stood in front of the managing director of an international computer company. I was
terrified, but prepared to deliver my presentation. After weeks of product analysis, market research,
drawing up organisational structures and constructing financial models, I was ready to present a
comprehensive business plan.
My aim was to convince the director that we - the financial company I was working for and a local
computer company - were the best suited to become sole distributors of his product in South Africa.
Shortly after I started the slide show, he cut me short. "I have read your business plan in great detail," he
said. "I'm here to ask you questions, not to hear a repeat of your written proposal."
This was my first lesson in business development. I had become so wrapped up in compiling the
business plan that I had forgotten why I had done it. The aim of any plan - whether it is to obtain money
for a venture, or to convince a buyer that your company is the only firm worth looking at - must never be
neglected. This director had flown from Paris to see how we ran our operations, to ask questions and to
make up his mind about whether we were capable of selling his products.
Afraid that his irritation had hampered our chances of winning the contract, I switched the slide
projector off and awaited his questions. After we had answered the queries, he stood up, shook our hands
and said our application had been successful.
Often, however, the person or people you are presenting your plan to might want time to think
about the proposal. It is advisable, therefore, to ask when you can expect to receive an answer. This will
enable you to assess whether they are interested in financing your plan.
Toasting our new venture later with cocktails, the Frenchman told me he had made up his mind to
go into business with us before the presentation. He said he wanted to be associated with a company
which could draw up a plan in such "a concise, literate and logical form."
His comments were the last things on my mind when I was drawing up the business plan, but
there is no doubt that these issues are crucial. However, they would be worthless if the financial
institution you have approached for aid does not read your plan. If a document is 300 pages long, contains
spelling errors and obvious inaccuracies, you can be sure it will not even be read by the clerk assigned to
the project.
This book is in three parts. Part One looks at factors which limit and impede entrepreneurs from
entering business and obtaining funds for their ventures in South Africa and explains differences between
business plans, feasibility studies, due diligence, business profiles and information documents. Part Two
discusses how to conduct business and market analysis, which factors to include in your plan and how to
pull it all together. Part Three is an example of a business plan.
Jacques Magliolo
January 1996
CONTENTS
-4-
PAGE
Introduction
10
10
10
10
11
11
11
12
13
14
14
15
16
16
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32
-5-
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39
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48
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48
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52
53
53
55
58
62
62
62
62
63
64
66
-6-
External factors
Final note
67
67
67
70
71
72
73
75
76
76
77
77
79
80
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80
81
82
82
83
84
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92
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-7-
101
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111
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123
124
125
126
128
129
132
132
133
134
134
134
-8-
138
139
140
140
141
Glossary
166
Bibliography
173
Assembling data
Structure of the report
PART 1
WORKING IN A DIFFICULT BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
-9-
- 10 -
- 11 -
In South Africa, there are thousands of things that can go wrong. Entrepreneurs often give up too
easily, rather than persevere in the face of difficulties. A document by international accounting firm, Ernst
& Young, entitled How to prepare a business plan, says: In the heat of daily operations, you may find it
difficult to take an objective look at the performance of your business. Often, the trees you encounter
daily obscure your view of the forest in which your company operates.
The bottom line is that a business plan can provide management with pre-determined, well set out
objectives to assess whether the venture is on track to meet the goals and objectives you have set.
A marketing mechanism
A well prepared business plan is not only an idea for a venture, but it can also be used to successfully
market yourself as an individual. Financial institutions will not fund a project solely if the idea is good.
All aspects of the venture should be clearly outlined and understood.
If your plan is badly written or illogical, it will be assumed that you are incapable of successfully
running a business. First impressions count. The plan, therefore, is your means of marketing your
professionalism and abilities.
The plan should communicate how all the functions of your company will fit together as a single
operation, which can attain its goals and objectives.
- 12 -
The term "companies" includes private and public companies and the term "firm" includes sole
proprietorships, partnerships and closed corporations
Companies represent large-scale operations, while closed corporations are smaller businesses
The figures for 1995 have been annualised for comparative purposes
Registrations
REGISTRATION OF COMPANIES AND CLOSED CORPORATIONS: 1990 TO 1995
000
70
+ 65,7%
60
50
40
Companies
30
CCs
20
Total
10
0
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
Actual numbers
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
5-year growth
Companies
7711
7421
7469
7957
10906
13629
+ 5918
CCs
36197
33069
33681
31881
42747
52399
+ 16202
Total
43908
40490
41150
39838
53653
66028
+22120
Growth (%)
1990 to 1991
91 to 92 92 to 93 93 to 94 94 to 95
5-year growth
Companies
-3,8
0,6
6,5
37,1
25,0
+ 76,7
CCs
-8,6
1,9
-5,3
34,1
22,6
+ 44,8
Total
-7,8
1,6
-3,2
34,7
23,1
+ 50,4
Total number of companies and closed corporations registered in South Africa increased by over 65
percent between 1993 and 1995, which stopped a slow decline over the previous three years and coincides
to a turnaround in the economic upswing. A five-year trend indicates a 50 percent rise in total firms
registered since 1990, while a breakdown shows that there are 76,7 percent more companies registered in
1995 than in 1990 and 44 percent more closed corporations.
The higher growth in company registration over that of the cheaper and smaller closed
corporations illustrates the strong desire of individuals to opt for the more expensive type of business
organisation as their starting point in business. This is usually not the way to go, which will be explained
in Chapter 4. In addition, it is important to note that these figures can be misleading, as displayed by the
table depicting de-registrations.
- 13 -
If figures are taken annually, instead of using a five-year trend, it can be clearly determined that
there is very little difference between growth in registration of companies and closed corporations.
Between 1993 and 1994 each experienced similar high growth, which was repeated in 1995. A possible
explanation for the distortion in five-year growth statistics could be that the number of companies
registered in 1990 was small - about 17 percent of the total number of firms registered, i.e. off a low base,
a relative growth in numbers could be distorted if percentages are used.
For the prospective entrepreneur, the graph and table highlight the vast number of new businesses
which start up every year. Years of sanctions against South Africa, strike action and other fundamental
factors have lead to a substantial increase in unemployment figures. Consequently, it is not surprising that
so many people want to have their own business.
However, the optimism of a rise in registrations is tempered by equally startling figures for the
number of companies and closed corporations that have de-registered during this five-year review.
De-registrations
DE-REGISTRATION OF COMPANIES AND CLOSED CORPORATIONS:
1990 TO 1995
000
- 8,3%
18
16
14
12
10
Compani es
CCs
8
6
4
2
0
Total
1990
1991
1 992
1993
1994
1995
Actual numbers
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
5-year growth
Companies
6575
7329
8419
8256
7056
6024
- 551
CCs
4978
6840
9092
8587
9413
10038
+ 5060
Total
11553
14169
17511
16843
16469
16062
+ 4509
Growth (%)
1990 to 1991
91 to 92 92 to 93 93 to 94 94 to 95 5-year growth
Companies
11,5
14,9
-1,9
-14,5
-14,6
- 8,4
CCs
37,4
32,9
-5,6
9,6
6,6
+ 101,6
Total
22,6
23,6
-3,8
-2,2
-2,5
+ 39,0
In sync with the economic upswing in 1993, the number of de-registrations in companies and closed
corporations started to fall and in that year 1,9 percent less companies and 5,6 percent less closed
corporations de-registered. Between 1993 and 1995, the total number of de-registrations fell by some
eight percent.
However, the 44 percent increase in the number of closed corporations that registered between
1990 and 1995 was offset by a doubling of de-registrations, i.e. there were twice as many de-registrations
in 1995 than in 1990. Total de-registrations during this period rose by nearly 40 percent.
- 14 -
These figures suggest that South Africa is not an easy country in which to operate a business.
However, to get a better picture, it is important to relate de-registrations to the number of companies
which register and, secondly, to compare the two in a ratio of de-registered firms to registered firms. This
latter will highlight how many new firms stop operating annually and this estimated figure is a warning to
new entrepreneurs of the difficulties of operating a business.
000
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Registered
De-registered
Net
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
Actual numbers
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
5-year growth
Reg. - de-registered
32355
26321
23639
22995
37184
49966
+ 17611
Growth (%)
1990 to 1991
Reg.- de-registered
-18,6
91 to 92 92 to 93 93 to 94 94 to 95 5-year growth
-10,2
-2,7
61,7
34,4
+ 54,4
Using the same statistics, it is possible to look at the numbers in a different manner. If the annual number
of de-registered firms are subtracted from the number of re-registered firms, one can work out net growth
per year and also establish a five-year trend.
Between 1990 and 1993, the net amount of companies registered in South Africa fell, indicating
the extent of financial strain placed on entrepreneurs to keep their businesses afloat. With the economic
upswing came a renewed optimism in business circles and a massive 61,7 percent rise in net registered
firms indicates the strong desire of individuals to work for themselves. However, this growth fell to 34,4
percent the following year and reflects the difficulty in finding a bank which is prepared to finance
projects.
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
5-year trend
Company
CC
85
14
99
21
113
27
104
27
65
22
44
19
Total
26
35
43
42
31
24
79
21
32
This is the most pertinent statistic to use to determine success rates. The following table shows that over
five years 79 percent of all companies and 21 percent of closed corporations ended up being deregistered. This gives us an average failure rate of nearly one in three companies.
- 15 -
Another trend is a decline in the net growth rate in the number of closed corporations registered
from 1993. Despite an economic upswing in that year, volumes started to slide. A similar trend is
observed for company registrations. The reason is that many individuals believe an economic upswing is
the answer to their prayers and the right time to register a company. Many believe an economic upswing
is a guarantee of success. The problem lies in inadequate planning, poor business plans and lack of
discernible direction. Individuals fail to get the funding they expected and end up de-registering their
firms - many even before they have a chance of opening the doors to their business.
-3.0%
1000
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
JSE statistics
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995*
Listed companies
781
740
683
647
640
627
- 16 -
political organisations. Strong belief that South Africa would become an international player, that
sanctions would immediately be lifted and that international funds would return to our shores sent the JSE
equity market into a bull run. That jubilation was extremely short lived. In contrast to the previous year,
1990 saw the number of companies formally removed from the JSE board double to 30 across all sectors.
In 1991, this number rose to about 43 and then climbed to 55 the following year.
For an entrepreneur to list his fledging company, even if he fulfilled JSE listing requirements,
would be foolhardy. If you have a solid product and a line of credit, why should you expose yourself to
public scrutiny? In addition to unnecessary media and public demands, you would also be placing your
company in the line of fire for those managers who would, without a second thought, target your
companys products and skills. After all, it is easier to take over someone elses resources, than to
develop your own.
Self-evaluation questionnaires
The need to start a business
The aim is to determine whether you are in a suitable frame of mind to start your own business. You
should not have to spend more than 20 seconds per question. There are no right answers, only
guidelines. If there are more combined No and Unsure answers than Yes answers, it would be wise
to shelve your business concept until a more suitable time.
QUESTIONS
1
Are you confident beyond doubt that your plan will succeed?
Are you able to successfully manage your time and that of others?
YES
NO
UNSURE
- 17 YES
NO
UNSURE
- 18 -
entrepreneurs, but these are thus by no means carved in stone. It is, however, good to know how you fare
against those who have preceded you.
Although obstacles may deter entrepreneurs and at times knock them off their objectives (which
causes a variation in the business plan), strength in personal determination results in obstacles not killing
the company. New businesses die for a variety of reasons, but if entrepreneurs possess most of the
characteristics listed here, they tend to succeed. If entrepreneurs possess only 50 percent of these
characteristics, but have perseverance, determination and courage, the company will thrive.
The table is divided into five categories. The first describes general appearance and the next
section looks at the entrepreneurs origins, which are important in determining whether he has the drive,
the strong desire to become rich and to do financially better than his or her parents did. The next step is to
assess how the entrepreneur was brought up, whether he had the support of his parents and their
attendance at functions which would be important to him or her.
The table also shows whether successful entrepreneurs have to obtain a string of academic
qualifications and the important intangible characteristics which most possess. It is this latter section
which should be carefully studied, as these are traits which ultimately lead to success or failure.
PERSONALITY TRAITS
Age and Marital status: Between 27 and 33 years of age; married or divorced (but never a bachelor)
Appearance: Dress simply with no tie pins or pocket handkerchiefs. They have short hair and
frequently have beards and moustaches. Speak quickly to save time
Origins: Poor to middle-class homes. In deprived families, upward mobility is often replaced by the
obvious need of making ends meet. This drives some children to achieve more than their parents. Rich
surroundings can create an environment where children have a need to create a world for themselves,
but rather look to ultimately moving into the family business
Childhood:
Parents: Those who do not attend functions which are important to their children (e.g. sports or
school) learn to live without a safety net. Successful entrepreneurs are generally raised in homes
where parents are absent to cheer great and small achievements. This can in later years be converted
to entrepreneurial drive and perseverance
Deprived childhood: A highly successful corporate trouble-shooter once told me: I had three
older bothers and, when my father died, my mother had to support us. When she sent me to the
shop to buy a bottle of milk, the owner would loudly tell me in front of other customers,
Remember to tell your mother that she owes me money. Ive been chasing that grocer ever
since.
Education:
Graduates: many entrepreneurs are university drop-outs
Guilty feelings: entrepreneurs feel guilty for not meeting parents expectations of being
professionals
Driving force: not to disappoint those important to them (spouse, parents, friends). Trying to prove
themselves as socially useful tends to make them workaholics. The greater their feeling to prove
themselves, the more powerfully they drive themselves
- 19 -
As David Padwa, founder of the US Agrigenetics Corporation, once said about the entrepreneurs
attitude towards obstacles: Shoot at me. It doesnt matter. Im going to do it anyway.
Creative: entrepreneurs see market opportunities, see various levels of demand and then create
They can hire people to do things right. They have a sixth sense about their customers
Happy people: While entrepreneurs may be too busy for cocktail parties, hobbies or even a good
book, they are still happy people, because any victory (from bartering for flowers at a market to
getting a bank loan) drives them and makes them happy
Source: The Entrepreneurial Life: How to go for it and get it by A. David Silver
CHAPTER SUMMARY: Operating a business in South Africa is not easy, as shown by the past
five years. During this period, an average of one out of three companies were de-registered.
Ultimately, the same was found for small, medium and large public companies.
If you strongly believe that you have the characteristics and ability to be a successful
entrepreneur, you now have to decide what market to enter into. The next chapter deals with
types of industries and highlights important factors that relate to those industries.
- 20 -
Economic activity
In using statistics, the entrepreneur faces some problems. These can be interpreted in various ways and,
therefore, there is a risk that he or she could unintentionally (or intentionally) misinterpret the results of
statistics. For instance, an entrepreneur who wants to set up a research company to provide information to
a number of select clients may base his business plan on limited quality research in South Africa caused
by years of 'brain drain'. His argument may be sound if he already has a qualified staff. If he hasnt,
where will he find the professionals to produce the research? Even if he does have professional analysts
working for him, will he be able to retain their services as demand for quality research - and therefore
salary packages - spiral?
Alternatively, excessive use of statistics can dampen brilliant and profitable ideas to a point where
the entrepreneur is so disillusioned that he does not pursue his plan. Similarly, to avoid any statistic which
outlines supply and demand for goods and services in the various sectors of the economy is as senseless.
To highlight the importance of using statistics, two sets of GDP figures are used. The first is a
breakdown of economic activity for the period 1988 and 1991 (graph 1) to show the split in growth of
wages and in net profit for the various sectors of the economy. In South Africa, entrepreneurs simply
cannot avoid undertaking a thorough investigation of the effect of wages on bottom-line profits,
especially in an environment prone to massive strike action, violence, stayaways and go-slows.
Stores listed company Pick n Pay is a prime example of a company which for decades provided
investors with steady capital growth. In 1994, wage negotiations stalled and workers went on strike, and,
in some instances, violence erupted. The strike lasted for nearly eight months and not only did the share
price halve during this period, but the company suffered a net profit decline of nearly 40 percent.
Two methods to assess wages are outlined in the following section. The second set of GDP figures
show growth in the various sectors of the economy between 1987 and 1994 (graph 2) and is used to
determine which sectors have future growth potential.
- 21 -
Using statistics
Graph 1: Labour to profit split
1988
1991
Labour
R'billions
Operational
Operational
70
120
60
100
50
80
40
Labour
R' billion
60
30
40
20
20
10
0
Primary
Secondary
Primary
T ertiary
Sectors (%)
Secondary
1988
Tertiary
1991
Labour
Operational
Labour
Operational
Primary
34,5
65,5
40,9
59,1
Secondary
55,2
44,8
54,0
46,0
Tertiary
68,0
32,0
69,8
30,2
Total
57,6
42,4
60,5
39,5
Figures: taken at current prices and relate only to income , i.e. not net of expenditure
Labour = Total gross salaries & wages + employers contributions to staff funds
Operational = Net interest payments, depreciation allowances and net profit
While the overall value of economic activity increased between 1987 and 1991, a greater percentage of
overall wealth went to satisfy increasing demands for wages; businesses were faced with declining gross
operating surpluses (net profit, interest payments and depreciation allowances). Only the secondary sector
of our economy revealed a decline in remuneration compared to operational surpluses.
- 22 -
These figures are the latest available from Central Statistical Services (CSS) and the entrepreneur
can use the same approach for future updates - figures can be obtained directly from the CSS (see contact
list in Appendix 1).
1996
1995
(Rm)
(Rm)
52,5
54,6
528,0
475,5
498,6
444,0
Notes
TOTAL VALUE ADDED
1
2
3
4
5
Value
1996
Value
1995
(%)
(Rm)
(%)
(Rm)
72,2
11,6
8,4
37,9
6,1
4,4
69,8
17,6
7,5
38,1
9,6
4,1
3,2
3,0
1,2
1,1
7,8
4,1
5,1
2,8
100,0
52,5
100,0
54,6
Employees
Government
Providers of capital
- 23 -
Employees
Government
Payment of taxes
Providers of capital
Retained growth and replace- Calculated as follows: Total value added - (Employees + Government
ment of goods
+ Providers of capital). Once all these have been paid, if there are any
funds left over this will be used to maintain and develop operations
Comment:
While in 1996, 72,2 percent of this firms total value created went to fund wages and salaries, only 7,8
percent has been retained for future growth and repairs. While this may be a fictitious company, large
numbers of South Africas large organisations have shown similar trends in recent years, particularly after
the volume of strike action in the late 1980s, which ended in substantial wage increases. Examples of
such companies include company Boumats 1994 annual results, which show the company paid nearly 77
percent of all value added to workers. Similarly, Amic paid 67 percent of its value added to employees in
that year.
This type of assessment does not take a long time, is relatively simple and the information is
readily available. Annual reports can be obtained directly from listed companies public relations
departments or from their transfer secretaries (see Appendix 1), which act as an intermediary between the
company and shareholders. They undertake, among other things, to send letters to shareholders (dividend
payments, change of name, updates on corporate issues) and help produce and distribute annual reports.
Index
110
Labour productivity
105
100
95
90
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
- 24 -
Businessmen prefer to start up a new business or undertake corporate finance negotiations at the
beginning of an economic upswing. They believe they are assured of a surplus demand for their product
over available supply, which usually helps to establish the firm in its market niche.
However, entrepreneurs who are just starting out have no safety net from a holding company,
which would help it along if the new operation ran into difficulties. One such difficulty would be to pay
for increasing labour costs which accompany an economic recovery.
The above graph highlights the importance of wages and productivity in a business plan. While
this type of graph is limited to the period between 1989 and 1994, the entrepreneur will be able to assess
future trends from economic statistics. This graph shows that real remuneration declined from a high of
19,5 percent in 1993 in line with the start of the economic upswing, but the year-on-year rate of increase
in remuneration per employee rose sharply to 14,0 percent in 1994.
The rate of increase in nominal remuneration per employee slowed to 13,0 percent in the second
half of 1994. As a result of rising labour costs, the real remuneration per employee began to rise rapidly in
1994.
These statistics enable the entrepreneur to ascertain average levels of wage increases and factor
these into his business plan. This is especially important when assessing pay per employee relative to
productivity.
Internationally, businessmen would be less concerned with these statistics if productivity was
high. This means that the ratio between sales and operating profit is such that it affords the company room
to grow, spend money on improving sales turnaround and also enables them to offset unexpected falls in
turnover. Take the example of ABC Company Ltd.:
Can the entrepreneur maintain operating profits and what happens to productivity?
Half of turnover has literally burned to the ground and, therefore, we can theoretically deduce that the
company will make half of its annual operating profits. Or can we assume this? Surely, if productivity is
maintained at 10 percent then 10 percent of R500,000 is R50,000, which is half of the forecast R100,000.
Not so. While the factory burned down, ABC still has to pay the workers at Factory 1. These
employees cannot be incorporated into Factory 2 as it is already operating at full capacity. So they are
paid without producing a single item. If the company undertakes a retrenchment programme, this cost
would not be included as an operating expense, but the likelihood of workers from Factory 2 going on
strike is high.
Whichever way the businessman looks at this problem, he can expect a diminished turnover and
operating profit, and thus net profit, for that year. However, a 10 percent profit margin has afforded him
the luxury of being able to absorb the fall in turnover.
What would happen if the company has a profit margin of one percent? These are factors which,
among others, have to be set out in a business plan. High labour costs are expected to continue for at least
the next five years and, therefore, the improved productivity level achieved between 1993 and 1994 (in
line with an economic upswing), will diminish if strike action and man hours lost continue. The June
1995 Reserve Bank Bulletin puts it this way: Growth in labour productivity tapered off sharply from a
year-on-year rate of increase of 4,0 percent in the fourth quarter of 1993 to 1,8 percent in the third
- 25 -
quarter of 1994, when widespread labour unrest resulted in a significant increase in the number of mandays lost because of strikes and other work stoppages.
Another reason for assessing the effects of rising labour costs is that these force up the rates of
increase in both the production and consumer price indices. This means that, ultimately, everything costs
more and factors of production needed to run a business have a greater negative impact on revenue.
Factors which the entrepreneur will have to look at before he can determine a pricing structure
will depend on the type of company he intends to set up. For instance, if he wants to operate in the food
sector, he will have to look at the impact of adverse weather conditions on food prices.
Or, if he intends to operate across borders, he will have to assess how a depreciation of the value
of the rand will affect his business and have a plan to offset these negative movements. Another factor
would include international crude oil prices, which - together with a weaker exchange rate - were the two
main forces driving import prices higher in 1994.
If the entrepreneur intends to fund the major portion of an operation with bank loans, how will an
increase in the Bank prime overdraft rate affect his business? In an income statement, operating profit is
reduced by interest payment and taxes to calculate income before extraordinary items. This means that the
higher your debt, the higher the annual interest bill will be and thus the lower the profit. These issues are
outlined in Part 2.
R'billion
250
200
150
100
50
0
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
92 - 93
14,9
9,3
12,0
93 - 94
12,2
10,7
10,7
- 26 -
Primary
Sector
Industries
Primary
Between 1994 and 1995, both agricultural and mining production contributed to the decline in the real
value added by the primary sectors. The real output of the agricultural sector contracted at an annualised
rate of 12 percent in the first quarter of 1995; caused by lower gross income from field-crops in the
summer rainfall areas. This was a result of poor weather conditions and higher input costs.
If an entrepreneur plans to buy a piece of land, equipment to farm and the required seeds or
animals without a clue of weather conditions, knowledge of planting techniques or soil sampling, he can
still succeed. It is possible that the business plan will include management structures which will convince
a bank to finance such a project. However, If economic trends are adverse, if weather conditions do not
bode well for the future and if input costs are prohibitive, then the business plan is unlikely to be
accepted. The issue is to display knowledge in a business plan, but not to exaggerate to the point where
you will not be able to answer questions from the banks business analyst. If you do not have the required
knowledge, then find personnel (or partners) who do. If this cannot be achieved before submitting the
plan to the bank, then state how you intend to go about finding the required expertise, i.e. advertise,
headhunt, train etc.
Another primary sector area the entrepreneur may want to enter is mining. Statistics show that the
sector declined by two percent in 1994 and in the first quarter of 1995 decreased at an annualised rate of
eight percent. This was caused by a substantial contraction in the output of gold mines, which more than
offset increases in the real value added by the rest of the mining sector.
As difficult as it may be to believe, there are still mines which can be purchased in South Africa
and, while the sector does not show promise for the immediate future - quantity and quality of ore milled
is declining - an aspiring businessman can still develop a plan which can make a fortune. Originality
seems to be the key to succeed in business.
Consider the following actual case studies. While working as a business development analyst in
1992, I met two determined individuals who, against all expert advice, were convinced that the primary
sector was the area to make money.
- 27 -
Secondary
Sector
Industries
Secondary
Manufacturing
Electricity, gas and water
Building and construction
The secondary sector of the economy deals with the construction of infrastructure. While the primary
sector is committed to production of raw materials (forestry and mining), the secondary sector consists of
actual building of, among others, hospitals, roads and laying down of electricity. This area rests in the
Investment Phase of the economic cycle, which is the last phase of the upswing. This is best explained by
highlighting the three different phases of an economic cycle.
The cycle usually undergoes the same process. At the commencement of an upswing, individuals
enjoy little purchasing power, with almost no surplus funds. As they find it difficult to meet expenditure,
they are unlikely to buy more than just basics. However, as overseas demand for local goods increase,
exports rise and capital flows into our country. This causes a chain reaction; the greater demand for these
goods from overseas has to be met somehow, so businesses expand, hire more staff and increase numbers
of shifts.
Greater purchasing power in the hands of employees means greater demand for goods and
services. As demand for these goods continue to exceed supply, manufacturers borrow more from banks
to expand operations. So the cycle continues, to a point where demand for houses increase. Building and
construction companies come into the picture. At the point, bank reserves have diminished and eventually
reach a point where - as a means to dampen demand for loans - interest rates are increased.
And so the downswing starts. Of course, the above explanation is simplistic and does not take into
account a host of economic factors, like government interference, closed markets and monopolistic
control.
In 1995, the above cycle was evident. The rate of increase in the real value of the secondary sector
accelerated as expansion of electricity services and building and construction activities continued.
For the entrepreneur to assess whether he is in a position to enter the building and construction
sector, he needs to look at a number of other economic variables, including GDP, Gross Domestic Fixed
- 28 -
Investment, building plans passed and building plans completed. These statistics will help him assess
whether he is in a position to enter the secondary market, and to display what his chances are to obtain
financing for his project. The following data is an example of statistics pertinent to companies operating
in the Building and Construction industry:
PERCENTAGE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN 1995 AND 1996
Gross Domestic Product (real average growth)
3,2
9,9
9,0
General industry
8,3
ii.
7,0
Residential
i.
Dwelling houses
10,5
ii.
26,9
Non-residential
6,7
11,7
27,7
Residential
i.
Dwelling houses
ii.
10,8
3,9
Non-residential
2,8
6,1
4,3
- 29 -
Tertiary sector
Sector
Industries
Tertiary
Other producers
This sector of the economy is difficult to assess, as there are literally hundreds of factors which could
affect your business. From strike action to factories burning down, problems with suppliers, transport
delays, diminishing natural resources and lack of expertise. Remember that the initial problem is to get a
- 30 -
bank to accept your business plan and to provide finance, so dont state hypothetical problems in the plan,
but concentrate on how you intend to set up your business and how you will run it.
For instance, if you dont have a personnel officer, state that you intend to employ one as soon as
your firm has expanded to more than, say, 10 staff members. Dont say that due to a lack of expertise in
South Africa, I intend to incorporate this function into finance. This argument is seeing as postulating
and shows up any inability to lead. Your job must be perceived as one of leadership, not one to
continually plug holes. This is also called "crisis management" and is when the owner is continually
running around trying to solve problems instead of enhancing and expanding his business.
In terms of the economic cycle, the tertiary sector is affected most during the second phase of the
economic upswing. As individuals purchasing powers improve, so do their spending on essential and
luxury goods. They tend to go on holiday (accommodation services), businesses expand (financing,
transport) all improve. Transport, storage and communication sectors improved in the first quarter of
1995 due to the rise in international trade.
General perceptions
The Registrar of Companies does not keep a breakdown of target markets of new companies registered.
While specific trends cannot thus be outlined, discussions with economists, analysts and companies which
compile statistics show a number of trends.
Among the thousands of would-be entrepreneurs hoping to make it in business, the most popular
activity is constantly the retail sector, while the next few favourites are the building industry, the
professions, transport, wholesaling and - for sole proprietors - cafs and catering.
The following text is an outline of these general perceptions.
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In 1994, the Competition Board declared that South Africas largest cement cartel was an unfair
labour practise and had to close down.
These two factors could lead to an investment-lead economic recovery. The first allows smaller
enterprises into a market which was previously closed and the second is expected to have to advantages
for builders. The RDP is estimated at R135 billion and every facet of its focus deals with building. From
inexpensive homes to new schools and hospitals, upgrading existing infrastructure such as roads and
building new ones, i.e. electrification of previously designated black townships.
In addition, to create jobs it is expected that government will stipulate that tenders be awarded to
companies with RDP focus, affirmative action in place and those which are labour intensive. Therefore,
the reality is not quite as bad as popular folklore suggests. A well-organised, financially astute
businessman with a keen eye for the opportunities available in this sector could find himself on the road
to a fortune. Property has traditionally been seen as a way of making a lot of money in a relatively short
period. But losing it quickly is also possible. Remember that to ultimately succeed the entrepreneur has
to have a long term vision. Without one, you are unlikely to survive in the world of business.
Manufacturing
The new entrepreneur faces a daunting task of competing against established manufacturing companies,
which have entrenched lines of communications with retailers, filled order books and economies of scale.
Indirectly, retailers demand that items are made in large volumes so that their business benefits from the
accompanying discounts obtained from economies of scale. To produce in such quantities requires largescale financing, which can be derived either from profits or from investment.
The usual method of entering this market is to start in cheap industrial premises. However, with
the merging of Europe into the European Economic Community and South Africa lifting trade barriers
with other countries and with Southern African nations, the trend is to allow competition across borders
and even for that competition to set up shop within this country.
This reduces the availability of cheap (and safe) premises as these are quickly taken up by
foreigners. Business development analysts would today be prone to advise new entrepreneurs, who want
to design and produce goods, to manufacture items for which the public is prepared to pay a high
premium. However, manufacturers who produce such products must accept that these items have limited
lifespan before large-scale operations produce a similar product at a fraction of your cost.
A business plan must, therefore, show how you will keep one jump ahead of the competition, i.e.
that you have a number of other high premium products which you can manufacture with the existing
machinery - without too many changes.
The advantage of setting up a new company - as opposed to buying a going concern - is that it
enables the entrepreneur to use the latest in hi-tech equipment, which does make short runs of small
batches economical and profitable. These are issues which have to be set out clearly and to the point in a
business plan.
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Market opportunities
Taking advantage of a transitional phase in our history
The essence of success is not simply spotting a gap in the market or a need that was not being either
partly or fully supplied. Spotting that market opportunity is the first step to success, but ultimately real
success rests in how quickly you can secure project financing to execute your business plan and to do this
without delay. As an old journalist friend used to repeatedly say: If I can think of a front page story idea,
Im sure somebody else has thought of it too. To delay is simply to give up your potentially fabulous
profit making opportunity away to somebody else.
- 33 -
Since 1990, South Africa has undergone rapid and, to say the least, extreme change. At the
beginning of that year the ruling National Party Government started a process of negotiations, which
resulted in the release of political prisoners, the unbanning of their parties and finally bringing full
democracy to this country. However, it took four years of intense negotiations to bring us the 1994
election.
During this time, Government also started a process of moving away from controlling the
economy. They began to de-regulate the oil industry, they broke up a long standing cement cartel and
have recently announced plans to undertake infrastructure development that will lead to a sell-off of State
owned assets, i.e. Telkom, Eskom and Transnet.
What does this mean for entrepreneurs? A transitional period means benefits and disadvantages
for businessmen. Firstly, the difference between de-regulation and privatisation is that, in the former, the
State controls the sector through legislation, but does not own organisations operating in those sectors. In
the latter, the State transfers ownership of its assets to the private sector by selling these assets.
De-regulation offers advantages to both big business and to individuals. For instance, prior to the deregulation (in part) of the South African telecommunication sector, Telkom was the only organisation
permitted to sell telephones in South Africa. With de-regulation, individuals could set up and operate
businesses offering the public an alternative to Telkoms coin-operated telephones. Another example
is the introduction of cellular telephones, which only came about once the State had made necessary
changes to South African legislation. This led to a multi-million industry springing up, creating
thousands of new jobs. For big business, the industry offered them an opportunity to diversify into a
new area of electronics. It also offered individuals the opportunity to establish manufacturing plants to
produce the various cellular telephone components and retailers to sell these telephones. Alternative
advantages are the creation of small businesses making leather telephone covers etc.
Privatisation also offers business and individuals an opportunity to establish their own businesses.
For multi-million rand organisations, the sale of State assets means being able to enter sectors of our
economy. Full privatisation of Telkom could see the introduction of more satellite technology, leading
to cheaper products on the market and ultimately new jobs. However, the extent of benefits tends to
depend on the mechanism that the State will use to sell its assets. If they opt for privatisation via the
stock exchange, then individuals can benefit from owning shares in the new company. Another
possibility is for the State to sell its assets directly to a consortium of businesses.
Disadvantages are numerous during de-regulation and privatisation. While the entrepreneur can set
up divisions to tackle new opportunities, with a changing market comes changing market demands,
i.e. if a market is de-regulated or privatised, it becomes part of the private sector and, as such, is
usually streamlined. This means retrenchments, change in pricing structures and demand-supply
mechanisms. Isolated, these issues are not normally a problem for businessmen. In fact, higher
unemployment should mean cheaper labour and, therefore, less strain on company income statements,
but businesses do not operate in isolation. Retrenchments and higher cost structures are almost always
met with union resistance. This affects not only firms directly involved in the sector, but also those
dependent on these firms, i.e. If Telkom is privatised and retrenchments undertaken, a strike in the
telecommunication industry could bring the whole country to a standstill.
- 34 -
Important issues and trends that usually takes place during a transitional phase include:
1. The introduction of new Government structures that could offer entrepreneurs
opportunities. In South Africa, the New Constitution Bill will - from 1999 - replace the Senate
with a National Council of Provinces. This means that the nine provinces will have a say in
Parliament and we can expect a re-distribution of wealth from the wealthier provinces to the
poorer one.
2. It is important to understand and keep abreast of changing political structures. The ANCs
announcement (in June 1996) of a new economic policy for South Africa - called Growth,
Employment and Redistribution - will provide ample opportunities for entrepreneurs,
including greater access to foreign markets as a result of a lifting of exchange controls etc.
3. A greater Government focus on economic growth means changing relationship between the
State, business and labour. If you can understand how these factors will affect sectors and
your potential or existing business, you are likely to stay ahead of other entrepreneurs.
4. More details are provided in Chapter 5.
As a general rule, when normal patterns of trade are changing, or are about to change, the chance of
providing new services presents itself. In todays difficult working environment, opportunities are being
created every day. Those with imagination and quick wits are more likely to win. This applies in every
sector, from gambling to fishing and from mining to State enterprises.
CHAPTER SUMMARY: Look around and notice how many companies have hived off specific
tasks to independent companies. These include building security, cleaning staff and even, in some
instances, accounting staff. At one time or another, these were all departments within
corporations. To employ independents to do these jobs requires less effort, no maintenance of
pension funds and less personnel problems. What is stopping you from offering such a service?
The answer: there is nothing stopping you. If there is a market, act on it. Draw up a
business plan, get finance for the project and submit your proposal to the business. The point is
that finding a target market should not be difficult. There are enough problems associated with
setting up a company and running it successfully, without creating initial mind set problems.
It may take time to get money, and signed contracts, but persevere. Nothing worthwhile
ever comes easily.
- 35 -
- 36 -
- 37 -
room for an additional service, level of availability of skilled labour and what the factor costs of
production are. Of course, if you product is unique, a number of the above facts are obviated, but replaced
with potential consumer demand for such a product. Always remember that walls have ears and that a
secret today could become someone elses business tomorrow. The bottom line is not to waste time.
Gather the information quickly, assess the data and move on.
As the business plan takes shape, it will often necessitate changes in initial market and customer
perceptions. This is normal and means that drafting a plan has worked. It has given the team new insight
into their intended target markets which they would not have obtained if a consultant had drafted the
entire business plan.
Financial advice
The difference between business and financial advisors is marginal. While the business expert will outline
issues like where to locate your business, which management structure to adopt and advice on sales,
personnel, marketing and other such issues, the financial advisor will tell you how to spend your money
efficiently. He will be able to advise you on taxation, pension or provident funds, customs and excise, the
benefits and drawbacks of different forms of business enterprises, how to deal with staff, annual returns
and audited accounts.
The best advice will come from someone who is thoroughly versed in accounting methods and
financial management techniques. While you may believe you are qualified to handle your own affairs,
there is no substitute for a good financial advisor. Establishing contact with a good advisor is an essential
step to successful financial management. It is crucial to find someone who is adept at your particular type
and size of business.
He could be a local bank manager, a merchant banker or some other financial consultant - as
outlined in the list of consultants set out in Appendix 1.
Once you have found business and financial advisors, the next step is to contact your bank
manager. You have no choice; you will have to deal with him on a continuous basis so it is advisable to
outline your plans at an early stage. If you are unhappy with your personal bank manager, you could
approach another bank. You will be surprised at how helpful the manager can be, providing you with
- 38 -
practical and sound advice on who to contact for loans. He could make useful suggestions and arrange
introductions to contacts who can help you, such as suitable accountants for your firm.
You may be able to judge from his general demeanour and level of enthusiasm for your project or lack of it - whether you want his bank to manage your business account. Just because he is your
personal banker does not mean he has to handle your corporate work as well. Of course, much will
depend on your existing relations, such as your track record regarding bank cheques and re-payment of
loans. Have you always kept him in the picture about your financial affairs - warning him, for instance
about when you needed an overdraft? Much of his judgement about your business will be based on your
record of dealing with his bank.
In the past, investment gurus used to advise smaller businessmen to rely on their accountant,
especially when it came to issues relating to money. However, today investment advice is usually split
into business and financial roles. How you view these functions will affect the extent to which you will
need and use an accountant. For instance, if you use a tax consultant, your accountant is limited to
compiling accounts books and is no longer required to provide advice on important financial decisions.
The more limited role for the accountant is usually adopted when a company has a partner who has
extensive financial expertise or when the company can afford to have a financial director to co-ordinate
an accounts department.
Your decision will depend on financial constraints. However, accountants are usually well versed
in drawing up business plans and introducing sources of finance, so it may be prudent for the aspiring
businessman to use his accountant's advice on the setting up of accounts, budgets and reporting structures,
the appointment of key financial staff and the taxation implication of any given decision.
Legal advice
Whatever type of business structure you ultimately use to run your business - from sole proprietorship to
public company - there will be some form of legislation involved. Depending on the type of enterprise
you choose, you will need to register the company. In addition, a time will come when you will need a
lawyer to draw up sales/purchase agreements, register trademarks, copyright and patterns or you may
have to sue debtors for unpaid accounts. You must therefore have a lawyer on your books as an advisor,
but find out which lawyers deal with corporate issues, particularly those who practice and understand
your area of specialisation.
For instance, if you are involved in producing or supplying goods or services to the public, you
will need a lawyer with experience in consumer protection and product liability law. If you become
involved in major takeover or merger deals, expertise in contracts is essential. When your company has
expanded to require more staff, experience in employment law is desirable. If you will be dealing in
property, conveyancing skills will be needed. Your accountant will probably be able to recommend an
attorney; alternatively names can be obtained form the Law Society, though you may need to dig to
discover areas of expertise. In addition, depending on the type of product you intend to sell, you may need
an attorney who is well versed in patent laws and legislation on trade marks.
- 39 -
Other advisors
MULTITUDE OF ADVISORS
Experts
Property
Part of the business plan deals with the location of your business and you will,
therefore, need an estate agent. It is important to choose an agent who specialises in
the type of property you need - office, shop, industrial or agricultural. It is also better
to choose an agent in the area where you intend operating from as this person will
know the advantages and disadvantages of certain locations - traffic, access to
highways and levels of crime
The estate agent can also give advice on a range of other pertinent issues, such
as rentals and even negotiate these for you. He should be knowledgeable about
planning regulations, rates & taxes and insurance valuations. In addition, ask the estate
agent for the name of a reputable surveyor and architect, so that if you need to
expand or change the layout of the premises to suit your needs, you will have an
experienced advisor on your contact list
Insurance
These companies will gladly provide a wide range of diverse insurance against theft,
fire, water damage etc. It is a commodity which is fairly easy to obtain, but it is crucial
that you go to a reputable insurer. This reduces the risk of future problems in the
eventuality of the insurer being declared insolvent. These agents will be able to give
general advice on property, equipment, employers liability and specialist advice on
life assurance and pension/provident matters
Advertising
An agency will be best suited to provide advice on which media to focus on. Should
you use radio, television or the print media? They provide a full service and will
prepare the advert for you
Business
confidence
Marketing
To gather and assess data about the marketplace, customers and their needs, approach
marketing companies. Self assessment can be done through analysis of government
survey statistics (see Chapter 2)
Personnel
Stockbroker You are unlikely to need their services in the near future, but is important to establish
& merchant contact with a reputable stockbroker, who also has a research team. As a client, you
would receive their research, which enables you to keep abreast of market and sector
banker
movements. For instance, if you want to set up a furniture shop, stockbrokers reports
on the furniture sector and on specific listed furniture companies (e.g. Ellerines, JD
Group) will provide you with added insight into the industry
- 40 -
CHAPTER SUMMARY: Find advisors whom you trust and respect and who understand your
particular business needs. While it will take time to build up a solid, trusting relationship with
advisors, the benefits of having these contacts cannot be emphasised enough. It is, therefore,
beneficial to appoint them at an early stage and - if finances permit - to pay them a retainer for
ongoing service. This helps to keep advisors fully informed on how the business is progressing,
which will enable them to continually respond with the best advice.
- 41 -
Least complex/expensive
Most complex/expensive
No legal status
Legal status
1. Sole proprietorship
1. Closed Corporation - CC
2. Partnership
2. Co-operative
3. Company
> Private - (Pty) Ltd.
> Public - Ltd.
4. Utility - State-controlled organisation
> eg. Eskom, Transnet, Telkom
Most beneficial
Least beneficial
Least beneficial
Most beneficial
- 42 -
Before I outline forms of business structures, here are some issues to consider before selecting the
framework which would best suit your needs.
Factors to consider
The kind of business structure you choose depends on a number of factors, which have to be scrutinised
before a final decision is made. If you are in a high risk environment and could incur high profits, but
equally high losses, it would be wise to protect yourself by choosing a business form which has limited
liability. Weigh up a simple, cheap structure against any possible tax advantages, protection from
financial losses or the ability to raise finance on the open market all enter into the equation.
You should discuss this with expert advisors (as outlined in Chapter 3) at an early stage in the
planning of your venture.
Financial factors
Financing the firm
The cost of setting up a firm increases as the organisational structure becomes more complex. In a sole
proprietorship, the firm is owned and run by one person, while in a partnership more than one person
makes a financial contribution in setting up the firm and to daily expenses. A co-operative usually obtains
its funds from the share capital of members. These funds may be supplemented from two sources:
Institutions e.g. Land Bank. The government maintains a fund to pay for problems encountered in
the financing of activities; and
On-going capital. A percentage of a members contributions is retained every year by the cooperative to finance operations.
It must be noted that the function of co-operatives is changing worldwide and is no longer used to the
extent it was during the 1970s and 1980s. Many free market countries are moving away from Stateassisted ventures.
The owner of a private company has to approach investors directly for funds, while a public
company uses a marketplace to sell its shares; called a stock exchange. This form of enterprise is selected
in cases where the company can fulfill stock exchange listing requirements and where it is difficult to
persuade investors to fund a private company.
To obtain funds from the public, a company would have to fulfill strict stock exchange listing
requirements (outlined under Companies with Limited Liability). Certain sectors of the JSE - in particular
those listing under the Development and Venture Capital Markets - have requirements which are less
tough to fulfill.
Tax
Three of the forms of enterprises available in South Africa have particular tax implications for the owner
of a firm. Sole proprietorships and partnerships are not legal entities (they do not have a separated,
independent legal status from the owners) and, therefore, taxes which the owner or partner has to pay on
business profits increase on a progressive scale. Much the same way as individuals pay taxes, the higher
your annual income, the higher the tax bracket you fall under.
In contrast, a company with limited liability pays a fixed rate of income tax on profits, regardless
of the size of the profit. If a company thus has a marginal operating income (after interest charges) of less
than R10, 000, a far larger portion of this is paid out in tax than would be the case for the owner of a sole
proprietorship or a partner.
As the companys profits and an individuals annual income increases, the opposite applies. If
there are no other deductions and the net profit/net annual income to be taxed is, say R14,000 and
R500,000, the full tax implication is outlined in tables on the next page:
Taxable income
Company
Individuals
- 43 -
@ 1995 rates*
R14,000
R4,900
R2,510
R500,000
R175,000
R215,100
Taxable income
Tax rate
Tax payable
R10,000 to R15,000
R1,750
+ 19%
R1,750
+ R760
= R2,510
R26,100
+ 45%
R26,100
+ R189,000
= R215,100
For the entrepreneur who aims at low net profits, it would be better to use a sole proprietorship or
partnership to get tax advantages, but the entrepreneur who believes his enterprise will continuously yield
high profits, an organisational structure which has limited liability (i.e. private or public company) would
be the better choice.
State succour
Companies with strategic minerals or products (military or hospital equipment) can at times secure State
support in developing the product or enterprise through grants. For instance, if a pharmaceutical company
was close to finding a cure for the HIV virus, it could approach government for funds to increase research
and development. Whether it would receive such funds would be determined by the strength of the
companys argument for funding, which would have to be in the form of a business plan.
In terms of types of companies which would be most likely to obtain State financial aid, it can
safely be said that it would be easier for a co-operative or a large company to persuade the State to
support a particular development or enterprise.
Operational considerations
Management structures
Depending on the type of operation an entrepreneur decides to enter into, he could be limited in his choice
of management structures. For instance, if the amount of daily operational decisions which have to be
made are vast, he will have to hire staff. To offset losses incurred as a result of human error, negligence or
fraud, he would have to establish a company with some form of limited liability. If certain technical skills
are required, a partnership could be the answer.
A practical rule to follow when looking at management criteria is that volume of transactions is
usually smallest in the case of a sole proprietorship and largest with companies. It therefore follows that
the larger the firm becomes, the more advantages the entrepreneur will glean from adopting a company
structure.
In addition, as the firm grows, more skilled managers will be needed as departments are formed,
staff requirements grow and the firm moves into new product ranges. Ultimately, the benefits of
diversification into new fields could lead to new subsidiary or associate companies being formed. A
company which is expanding, particularly if growth is rapid, places pressure on firms which have no
legal status to become private or public companies.
- 44 -
Constancy
A firm can either have legal status or not. This means that an entrepreneur can choose to register his firm
in such a manner that it has its own identity. In South African law, if a business has its own identity, then
it is a legal person, incurring debts and profits apart from the natural person (the owner).
In the spectrum of business enterprises, a sole proprietorship and partnership do not have legal
status, which means all company debts are coupled with those of the owner/s. If this type of company is
declared bankrupt, the owner/s's assets would be sold to recoup losses.
Another advantage of operating a firm with legal status, is that its lifespan is not limited to that of
the owner. This means that if the businessman dies, the firm would not be closed down until the estate has
been wound up, but would continue operating under a curatorship until the estate and wills were wound
up..
In the case of a co-operative, company and utility all have legal status.
Delegation of responsibility
The entrepreneur who wants to run his own business, and not use professional managers, would prefer to
use a sole proprietorship. This may be fine while the firm is small, but to expand the business he would
have to delegate some of the responsibility if the firm is to run efficiently. A businesss activities have to
be continually checked against a business plan, the firm has to have a captain at the helm to guide it and
this cannot be achieved he is worrying about menial tasks.
Therefore, if an entrepreneur wants to start his business with total control, he would choose a
company with no limited liability.
Legal aspects
When determining which form of business enterprise to adopt, there are a number of legal requirements
and procedures which have to be undertaken. If the entrepreneur does not want to become involved with
the volume of requirements which accompany forms of enterprises with limited liability, he may select a
sole proprietorship. No specific legal requirements are prescribed for a sole proprietorship, except for the
normal agreements which would have to be signed to operate a business, e.g. lease forms for the place of
business and agreements with suppliers. However, these relate to the actual operations of the firm and not
directly to the formation of the business enterprise.
The same can be said of partnerships, except that the partners need to have clear cut agreements
drawn up to outline their respective responsibilities and obligations and how profits and losses will be
handled.
The procedures for the establishment of a co-operative, company and utility are prescribed by
legislation and thus have their own legal personalities. It is, therefore imperative that certain aspects of
the running of its operations and how profits and losses are distributed, are legislated for greater
shareholder transparency and accessibility. In the case of a private company, the shareholders would have
sole access to the financial statements, while in a public company these results have to be published in a
newspaper and are available for all to scrutinise.
Similarly, utilities can only be formed through legislation as their creation may impact on the
general public. For example, if a statutory body was formed to market and sell all fresh water fish
harvested in South African rivers, all producers of that product would be compelled to use set channels
and to pay certain levies to government. This interference in the free market mechanism would
undoubtedly affect the general public in some way. Legislation would thus be necessary to ensure that
such State intervention would be warranted, that it would be in the interest of the majority of producers
concerned that such a body was formed and that it is, if not beneficial, at least not harmful to the general
public.
- 45 -
Partnerships
When a group of individuals or a sole proprietor decides to merge his business with one or more other
individuals, this is called a partnership. It usually takes place when there is a need to merge skills or assets
(or both) to establish a single, larger and more powerful firm. This new structure has the same
characteristics as the sole proprietorship in terms of ownership, liability, profit and losses and legal status.
In some countries there are legal prerequisites to govern the registration of partnerships, but in
South Africa the norm is for all partners to be jointly and severally liable for all debts of the partnership.
This means the company does not have its own legal status and, therefore, the debts of the firm would
have to be paid out of the partners private funds.
However, there are exceptions to this rule. In certain cases, a partnership can be formed to limit
the liability of certain partners. This is usually carried out when a particular partner wants to contribute
more funds to the partnership, but will only do so if the additional exposure is excluded from possible
liabilities.
- 46 -
Such a person is called a limited partner. Under these conditions, the partner cannot incur
expenditure or sign agreements on behalf of the partnership. With the exception of the limited
partnership, the partnership enjoys much the same advantages and disadvantages as the sole
proprietorship, but the main difference rests in each partners responsibility to each other and to the firm
as a whole.
Where the individual took full responsibility for his actions, in a partnership each partner is
expected to contribute funds, a product or service, specific managerial or other skills, carry out the labour
or have expert knowledge which will help the firm operate efficiently. The total skills level should be of
benefit to all the partners and the objective of the business should be to make a profit. This would, in turn,
be divided equally among all partners.
Legal contracts are not required to set up a partnership and the only statutes the partners have to
be concerned with, other than those mentioned under the sole proprietorship, are the Stamp Duties Act of
1968 and the Companies Act of 1973.
However, when more than one person is involved in any form of business deal, it is crucial that
some sort of legal agreement exists between the partners and the terms and conditions of ownership and
areas of responsibility of each of the new partners should be outlined in writing. While the contract may
be written, verbal or tacit, corporate lawyers will always advise that contracts be written down clearly,
each page initialled and that the contract is dated and signed by all partners and then submitted to an
attorney for safekeeping.
A partnership agreement should thus at least include the following aspects:
It is important to set out each partners rights and obligations in writing. That way, if one partner does not
wish to be a part of a certain function, he can stipulate that in the contract, called a management
agreement. For instance, a businessman who is asked to become a partner in ABC Partners - for his
- 47 -
invaluable skills in corporate finance - can stipulate that he will only provide industrial advice and not be
a part of the daily operational functions of the business.
The members of a partnership are free to choose their own relationship to the business by means
of this management agreement. Unless otherwise stated, each partner has certain rights and obligations
which are automatic and inherent in the formation of a company and which cannot be excluded in a
partnership agreement.
For instance, he has the right to undertake transactions with outsiders on behalf of the partnership,
take part in management decisions, use partnership assets, have constant access to accounting records
and, if the firm is liquidated, to share in the final division of assets.
In addition, each partner shares in the profits of the partnership as stipulated in a partnership
agreement. For instance, if the partners contributed different amounts and skills to the firm, it could be
stipulated that each partner participates equally in all profits and losses. This is illustrated in the following
example.
The partners of ABC Retailers contributed the following to the partnership:
Partner
L. MacKenzie
25,0
25,0
25,0
S. Malebe
100,000
12,5
25,0
B. Wilson
500,000
62,5
25,0
Total
800,000
100,0
100,0
K. Lorrie
It does not seem fair that L. MacKenzie will receive the same proportion of profits as he contributed to
the firm, nor does it seem right that B. Wilson will receive only 25 percent of profits after contributing
62,5 percent of the partnership funds. At first glance, it seems that S. Malebe and particularly K. Lorrie
will ultimately be the main beneficiaries. After all, they contributed less (or nothing) to start the
partnership and yet will each obtain a quarter of the profits.
Not so. The above example does not outline what skills each of the partners have to contribute. K.
Lorrie may have been the one who drew up the business plan and approached the others for their money
or skills or both.
One way to sort out such inequalities is to state in the partnership agreement that these funds are
loans to the firm and will be repaid to the partners over a stated period of time and a specified interest
rate. In the absence of any particular clauses in the agreement, the general rule is that profits/losses will
be shared in the proportion of contributions made by each partner. However, if specific contributions
cannot be assessed, profits are shared equally.
In terms of obligations, each partner must adhere to the partnership contract and management
agreements. He must at all times act in the best interests of the firm and fulfill his fiduciary duties with
care and diligence. While they have the right to use company assets, each partner must provide details of
these transactions to the other partners.
It is important to understand that the rights and obligations set out above belong to the partners
and not to the partnership. As such, the partnership cannot own land or other assets and cannot buy or sell
products and services. The partnership is merely the conduit for the partners to trade through.
Some of the benefits/drawbacks of using a partnership as a form of business enterprise are
outlined:
- 48 -
Less expensive and easier to establish than companies with legal status
Greater source of funds available (from a number of people) than in a sole proprietorship
Various skills from different partners can contribute to the success of the firm, i.e. various
partners can focus on specific tasks
Unlimited liability status places partners personal wealth and assets at risk
Petty jealousies may arise. This could affect efficiency, trust and good faith in each other
Who manages the firm?
There is no constancy in business operations and, ultimately, the structure will have to be
disbanded
Financial statements have to be audited. This can lead to creative accounting methods
- 49 -
Memorandum of Association
Articles of Association
The Statute
The Prospectus
- 50 -
Closed Corporations
Before the Close Corporation Act was promulgated in 1984, there was a chasm between partnerships and
private companies. The difference between the two types of organisational structures was so vast that it
was often difficult for businessmen to move out of unlimited liability status companies to that of
establishing a company with legal status.
While the partnership structure is relatively easy to establish, there are a host of formalities
regarding formation, function and running of a private company. An intermediary structure was thus
formed to bridge the gap between the two forms of enterprises and a close corporation was established to
provide entrepreneurs with a means of trading through a company with its own legal persona and
constancy.
However, legal personality does not exempt members from prosecution if they commit fraud and,
therefore, the Act provides for creditor protection.
Some general characteristics are outlined:
Limited liability
Name of closed corporation has the suffix CC (e.g. ABC Retailers CC.)
Owners are called members and not shareholders
Members are limited to between one and 10 persons
Membership is restricted to natural persons (i.e. not companies)
A membership can be bought with the assistance of the CC
CCs do not have to be audited, but financial statements have to be prepared
Annual general meetings are not required
embers are free to transfer their interest to other natural persons
A CC can only be formed by submitting the required documentation to the Registrar of
- 51 -
Steps
What to do
Name of CC
Incorporation
Other factors
Trading as a CC
type of operation
Abbreviated form of name: If the shortened version of the
name is to be used, it is important to include it in the
registration, i.e. register both South African Business
Organisation Software and SABOS
Description of principal business: A complete description is
required
Once your registration has been successful, the Registrar will issue a
Certificate of Incorporation (includes a registration number), and thus the CC
has been incorporated and you commence business
- 52 -
Co-operatives
This form of enterprise is used by a group of people who do not have business skills (marketing,
management or financial) but who want to concentrate on their product. Through a co-operative,
members can use their time on their product, while the organisation markets, prices and sells the product
on behalf of the members.
The gist of forming a co-operative is to voluntarily bring together people who need to have a
particular product sold in an efficient and economical way. This form of organisational structure is not
suitable for entrepreneurs who want to run their own operations, who desire high profits and who have to
share equally in the rewards of the business.
Institutions usually avoid financing this type of operation, as experience has proved that they
seldom achieve their desired target, which is to market and sell a common product for its members at the
best price it can possibly obtain.
In this country, co-operatives are usually linked to the trade of products and seldom to services.
Under the Co-operatives Societies Act, there are two general types of co-operatives (close consumer cooperative and the open co-operative), but these take three forms, namely agriculture, special and trading
co-operatives.
Different formation provisions exist for each type of co-operative, but all obtain limited liability
status through registration and are subject to provisions laid down by the Co-operatives Societies Act as
well as the Co-operatives Statute.
- 53 -
The closed consumer co-operative trades solely with its members and, as such, benefits from tax
exemptions. This form is not usual and more an exception than the norm. Consumers co-operatives
main objective is to obtain and pass on to their members the advantages of bulk buying. The capital to
set up this type of co-operative is obtained through members buying shares in the organisation.
The open co-operative is the more conventional type of co-operative and is owned and set up by
members to trade with outsiders.
To set up an agricultural co-operative, the members have to both fulfill the requirements of the Cooperative Act and actually be farmers. The main aim of the co-operative is to market members
produce, but it can help farmers with packing and storing goods and generally provide information
and counselling services for farmers.
Special co-operatives, such as those in the service industry, have been established in South Africa,
but are not often successfully set up. There does not seem to be any real, set out format or special
requirements laid down by the Act for the membership of such co-operatives, except to state that the
organisation has to have a minimum of seven natural persons as members.
Similarly, there seems to be no special requirements for trading co-operatives, which targets the
manufacturing of products for sale. It also has to have at least seven natural persons as members.
- 54 -
Steps
What to do
Application for
registration
Statute
Minister can:
1. approve document
2. reject document
3. provide conditional approval, i.e. prescribe conditions
for its function
4. ask for more information
When Minister grants approval, sends document back to
registrar
Registrar registers the co-operative
Some of the benefits/drawbacks of using a co-operative as a form of business enterprise are outlined:
BENEFITS OF USING A CO-OPERATIVE STRUCTURE
- 55 -
Note: The Registrar of Companies (Co-operatives) can supply information on how to form and control
such ventures. To date, these services have been free of charge.
Private companies
An entrepreneur who wishes to use the private company structure to run his business has three ways of
finding the capital. He can obtain loans and set up the firm on his own, which would give him total
control. He could offer shares to a select number of persons or place an advert in the local press asking for
private subscribers. The latter should not be construed as a public offer of shares (this is the premise of a
public company), but should be worded as asking the public to invest directly in the firm. A financial and
legal expert would provide advice.
There are a limited number of methods of raising capital, but this form of business has benefits
when drawing up a business plan. The individual is taken more seriously by a financial institution and it
seems to be the right vehicle to finance a venture.
While the Companies Act regulates the formation of such an enterprise, the entrepreneur may
encounter additional acts and provisions. This is dependant on the sector he has chosen. For instance,
control boards regulate the establishment and running of about 20 statutory bodies in South Africa and, if
your business falls within this ambit, you would have to fulfill the requirements of that specific board.
It would thus be wise to contact your business advisor or the Registrars office (Appendix 1) and
ask whether these restrictions apply to your business. There are two general ways in which the individual
can assess for himself whether his company would be bound to some additional form of regulation:
- 56 -
the entrepreneur cannot get this support and protection from the market, his
business may fall within a control board
Can your business be construed to be of national interest? For instance, if you
intend to buy and sell oil, has the State de-regulated the industry to allow private
individuals into that market or would you have to obtain special Government
clearance to operate your business?
Under the private company status, entrepreneurs have to understand that there are strict rules and
regulations to adhere to and that they can no longer consider the organisation as theirs. Even if they own
the entire shareholding, the company still has its own legal personality, which separates it from the
entrepreneur. Such a shareholding only permits him to control the firm and to give it direction without
interference from other shareholders, but it does not allow him to merge the firms assets with his own.
Another problem rests with future transactions. If additional capital requirements are needed, the
entrepreneur may have to get additional shareholders, which would necessitate some audited accounting.
If you do not get used to the idea that the company has a life of its own, you could run into serious
problems when those accounts are requested from prospective shareholders or the Receiver of Revenue.
General characteristics are outlined:
Shareholders enjoy limited liability as the company has its own legal status. This enables it
to sign contracts and do business in its own name. The exception is a private company formed
under Section 53b of the Companies Act. In this form of private company, the directors and
the company are completely, jointly and severally liable for debts incurred during their term
The private company does not have strict requirements in terms of the disclosure of
information
Shares are made available (not to the public) in the private company through which capital is
raised
A certificate on incorporation is necessary before the company can commence business
- 57 -
Documentation
What it means
The constitution
The memorandum of
incorporation
Capital
Share capital
Loan capital
- 58 -
Public companies
To establish a public company, the entrepreneur has no choice but to get assistance from a corporate
financier as there are severe and restrictive listing requirements (set out by the Johannesburg Stock
Exchange), which have to be fulfilled before an individual can list his company to obtain funds from the
public. This advice can be obtained from a stockbroking firm, which has a corporate finance department,
or from most merchant banks.
Once the entrepreneur has decided on a public enterprise, he has to choose what type of public
company he wants. The most common form is the companies with share capital, but another form exists
in the limited liability public company.
This form of company is limited by a guarantor, where the shareholders stipulate that they will
undertake to contribute a specific amount in the event of liquidation and this is stated in the companys
constitution.
The following general characteristics of public companies outline the complexity of using a public
company structure and highlights the need for professional help:
GENERAL CHARACTERISTICS OF PUBLIC COMPANIES
A number of documents have to be competed prior to the company being incorporated and these are
highlighted on the next page:
- 59 -
Documentation
What it means
The Constitution
must be registered
must be displayed at place of business, on
letterheads and all documentation
will
- 60 -
DRAFTING A PROSPECTUS
Must include:
Declaration of registration on the cover page
Provisional expenses
Contracts engaged in before the issue date of the prospectus
A copy of the prospectus must be signed by all the directors and submitted to the Registrar
within two weeks. Auditors, bankers and stockbrokers agreements must be in writing and
they must be submitted with the application
Once registered, the prospectus can be distributed to the public. This has to take place
within three months of being registered and applications for shares must be received within
Type of capital
Explanation
Own capital
Ordinary shares
Shares are issued to the public at a nominal value. This is called issued
share capital in the balance sheet
Preference shares
Loan capital
Loans include long and short-term debt, bonds and letters of credit
- 61 -
Legal personality enables the company to enter into contracts and to act in its own name.
This provides limited liability to its members
The public company has unlimited continuity
Shares in the public company are freely transferable. This makes expansion fairly easy
The management functions are divided between the directors and shareholders
Financing possibilities are favourable, as this can be obtained by issuing shares
The cost of issuing shares could be very expensive. Listing fees are also payable
Disclosure of financial statements and other records as prescribed by the constitution makes
the business of the company public knowledge. Hence competitors will know about its
activities
The Companies Act lays down requirements which must be compiled with. Failure to do so
can lead to criminal proceedings and civil liability
Employees may not have the same measure of interest in the success of the business,
especially if they do not own shares in the company
The company does not receive the same measure of tax rebates as the personal taxpayer.
The taxable income of a company is calculated at a fixed rate. The dividends are taxed in
the hands of the shareholders. Thus a double tax is paid
CHAPTER SUMMARY: Taken individually, each of the forms of enterprise hold benefits and
drawbacks for an entrepreneur. However, the general principle is to use the form of enterprise
which best suits your personal needs. Do not take on a structure simply because your family or
fiends have one. Rather be an individual and choose the structure which makes you most
comfortable, both financially and in ability to control.
- 62 -
Essential steps
Note key issues: Once all the research has been completed, use all available managerial and
consultant skills to identify what the important issues are and set them out in the manner outlined in
Part 2 of this book. Elaborate only on issues which the lender will find important. For instance, you
do not need to write a five page outline on staff, when a single page will suffice. However, a five page
review of operations or of future profitability would make more sense.
Identify target audience: It is pointless undertaking months of research if the reader has no intention
of funding the project, i.e. the lender is known to finance only certain types of ventures. Writing the
report is not meant to impress friends and colleagues, but to raise finance. The bottom line is to ask
yourself what the reader wants to know and then to highlight this in a concise, well written document.
External factors: Assess how the political, economic, financial, social and technical environment
will affect your existing or proposed business. Take this into account in your plan and highlight how
you intend to offset potential problems. The manner in which you say how you intend to resolve
external factors can be highlighted in a plan as operating strategic decisions.
- 63 -
Log Book 1
01/09/95
Project: Takeover of Pharm Land
Log Book 1
Project: Takeover of Pharm Land
Date Subject
2/9
Collected historic data re. PL
Date Subject
20/9 Arranged
5/9
7/9
7/9
12/9
15/9
-1-
22/9
23/9
24/9
meeting
with
01/09/95
business
-2-
It is useful to note that institutions prefer to see that a team is involved in the formulation of a plan. The
general belief is that no individual can possibly know everything there is to know about business and it is
thus doubtful that one person can do a full analysis well. If you try to impress the lender by claiming that
you did all the research yourself and drew up the plan, you could end up being the loser. Of course, if you
did do all the work, tell the lender that, but only if he asks.
However, the unbreakable rule is that the entrepreneur writes the report. One way to avoid
duplication in a report, or saying something that is nonsensical, is for the entrepreneur to complete the
report and then have it reviewed by a professional business consultant. You will find that this prevents
you from being ridiculed by business development analysts or directors - it depends how far down the
lenders selection process your report has reached. Remember, if you are not prepared, the discussion is
less effective and your application is less likely to be successful.
First step
Assuming the entrepreneur has already established the fundamentals for his business (taken essential
steps), one way to start the research writing process is to initially concentrate on two issues. Firstly, start
collecting historical financial information on the target company and market. Secondly, while waiting for
the information to arrive, start negotiations, phone and arrange meetings etc. It is relatively easy to obtain
historical data and you can thus commence with the plan.
However, the entrepreneur may find that no matter how much work he does on a particular sector,
he will probably need more information before he can complete his plan. If this occurs, it means he has
been reviewing his base assumptions and, as such, his strategies have in the process been altered. Another
possibility is that negotiations can unwittingly change direction at any given stage.
In 1994, a Johannesburg businessman had spent a week wining and dining a group of Korean
businessmen, had taken them to potential business sites, shown them warehousing and management
structures, business plans for various options and the deal was ready for signing. The businessman
suggested lunch and drinks before finalising the agreement. Within this period the entire business deal
collapsed and all further negotiations were suspended. What happened? Unforeseen and unexpected, the
- 64 -
Inkatha Freedom Party decided to march to Shell House, the headquarters of the African National
Congress. The ensuing violence, sniper attack and resulting deaths shocked the Koreans and they
immediately left South Africa - without even collecting their luggage.
The lesson is that it is important to be firm and to set strict deadlines for all aspects of the business
plan. Dont delay, otherwise you will simply never finish the research, negotiations or the plan. To
obviate wasting time and going around in circles, complete the historical financial statements and this
should provide you with a solid foundation for drafting business strategies. Once again, make sure that, as
the financial statements are developed, you keep detailed notes on your assumptions in the log book. This
will assist you when preparing notes to financial statements, which banks will insist on when looking at
the business plan.
Part 2 will set out what details are needed to write the business plan.
By asking What, Who, When, How and Why Jones was able to get a clear picture. A man had been
standing and a number of bricks broke loose and fell on his head, killing him. That is a basis, now he
needs to go an do the research, which would include interviewing the owners of the scaffolding, the
mans family, competitors to find out if this sort of accident took place often or not at all and contact
suppliers and enquire as to the reasons for such an accident having taken place.
The same can be said about a planned takeover. Before undertaking major research, it is necessary
to determine whether it would be beneficial or not. To achieve this, the entrepreneur undertakes a Swot
analysis and asks the same questions, but - of course - related to the business at hand. The following
example is of a fictitious company. An entrepreneur wants to expand his aeroplane service, which flies
hunters between Johannesburg to inaccessible areas of the wild. His business consists of four aircraft and
- 65 -
the business that he is considering buying has a further six. In addition, the owner is willing to remain as
manager for a period of one year after the sale of the business.
Question
Who
Strengths
Who has the main
strengths in this industry?
Weaknesses
Who would offer
the lest resistance
in a take-over?
What
Why
How
When
Opportunities
Who offers the best
opportunities
for
external growth in
this business?
What opportunities
will the addition of
this company offer
me? If I dont buy
this company, will
I ever be able to regain these opportunities
Why do they offer
my business an opportunity to grow?
Threats
Who offers the
greatest threat to
my survival, if I
dont expand?
Will the buy-out
threaten the existence of my own
business?
What
threats are there in
not pursuing the
venture?
The analysis will give you a starting point picture of whether the project is worth following up and
undertaking time-consuming research or whether the threats and weaknesses of the company (venture,
takeover, expansion) are so vast that they swamp any strength or opportunity the venture might offer.
Take note that it is easy to fall into the trap of doctoring the Swot analysis in favour of Strengths and
Opportunities - of a company that an entrepreneur really wants. That is not only a stupid thing to do, but
would also render all research totally useless.
The sample results of the entrepreneur's Swot analysis is outlined on the next page:
- 66 -
Strengths
Weaknesses
service
agents kiosks
professional
all functions
Opportunities
Threats
New
political
dispensation:
growing
- 67 -
There are always factors outside the proposed business plan which need to be investigated even
before a plan is drawn up. Businesses and institutions have to compete in an environment which is strewn
with political, socio-economic and business risks, so they have become wary of investing in companies
which are not listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange. Institutions are even hesitant to fund projects
brought about by well-known and respected businessmen, if they are not linked to their businesses. The
reason is that public companies provide structure and financial history and thus offer a measure of
protection against risk.
External factors
If the business plan was a theoretical, economic study, you could use the term all else being equal. But
it is not and therefore you have to assess external factors which have and could affect your companys
development.
There is, however, no need to panic. Forecasting these external (also called environmental factors)
is a little like forecasting the weather. No matter how technical you get, it is still a doubtful operation. All
that is really required is to show the lender you are aware what these external factors are and that you
know how to steer your company through them, i.e. try to determine which issues are likely to continue
and what possible impact they could have on each aspect of the business.
To show professionalism, you need to assess both the local and international market, as they are
becoming more integrated (and difficult to distinguish in some instance). In investigating these factors,
ask four questions:
Will the external factors continue? Will violence in South Africa subside or will it continue to worsen.
Are these factors volatile?
What will the impact of these factors be on your industry and business?
Do these factors have a multiplier affect on other external factors?
For instance, a change in the economic cycle often means growing or worsening personal disposable
incomes, which boils down to changing demand patterns. This could affect your company positively (if
customers buy your product) or negatively (if customers buy another product).
Political violence could see individuals aspirations change, see professionals move to other areas
or changing technology could improve or worsen demand for your product.
- 68 -
Stock Exchange
Capitalisation
June 1995
R'billions
Liquidity*
%
Ranking by:
Capitalisation
New York
16,524
50
1
Tokyo
5,472
30
2
London
4,176
80
3
Nasdaq
2,880
170
4
Paris
1,728
40
5
Germany
1,548
140
6
Hong Kong
1,224
30
7
Toronto
1,188
40
8
Switzerland
1,008
80
9
Austria
792
30
10
Johannesburg
737
10
11
* Shares traded as % of market capitalisation. Currency rate R3,0 = US$1.00
Source: United States-based equity research firm Innova Securities
liquidity
4
6
3
1
5
2
6
5
3
6
7
Compared to the Nasdaq, the JSE has no trade and it is, therefore, not surprising that under such illiquid
conditions investors are often unwilling to sell shares and use the money for potentially more profitable
projects - such as funding an entrepreneurs business venture. Note that this also takes place when a
company has become overvalued on the JSE and displays bearish signs. The philosophy of many
investors is that they will be unable, at a later stage, to re-establish their control of the company through
shareholding.
However, as stated before, things are not equal and nor are they static. The JSE has recently
adopted a Big Bang approach, i.e. they have moved from the open cry system of trading to a
computerised Electronic Trading system, which will see liquidity improve in the near term. By the end of
1997, we can expect a lifting of exchange controls, which should free our markets and see liquidity climb
to about 15 percent.
- 69 -
Industrial Index
5000
4000
Overall Index
3000
2000
1000
0
88
90
91
93
94
95
97
POLITICAL QUAGMIRES
1990: The ANC, PAC and the SACP were legalised in Parliament and the Overall Index fell from 2795
(Jan.) to 2640 (Oct.), but moved to above the 3500 level by year-end after Nelson Mandela was released
from prison.
1991: Nelson Mandela was released from prison after 27 years, South African President FW de Klerk
repealed apartheid laws, the National Peace Accord was signed and Codesa was launched. The Index moved
to 4047 in July from the 1990 high of 3500 and continued to climb to 4500 by year-end.
1992: Last all-white referendum was announced, Cosatu held stayaway and talks slowed down. The index
fell back to 4031.
1993: Resumption of talks, multilateral negotiations began and a date for the general election was set and
renewed focus on SA offset negative effects of the death of Communist Party general secretary Chris Hani.
In addition, Mandela called on the international community to lift sanctions against South Africa and an
agreement was reached on the interim constitution. Consequently, the markets boomed - lifting the Index
from 4359 to 5742 by year-end.
1994: Markets became volatile as the IFP withdrew from the election, the Shell House sniper attacks and
deaths took place, a State of emergency was imposed on KwaZulu-Natal. These factors moved the Index
from 5596 in January to 6140 in March, but fell to 5617 in April. After the IFP rejoined the elections and
Buthelezi signed the election deal, the first democratic general elections took place in South Africa and the
Index recovered to 6977 by year end.
1995: Despite arguments over municipal boundaries, markets moved strongly that year, increasing by over
1000 points - from 6975 in January to 7987 by year end.
1996: Markets became volatile as political factors moved swiftly between positive and negative. President
Nelson Mandela admitted that he had ordered the protection of Shell House, and the ANC announced their
Growth Plan. Markets. The Index moved from 8009 in January to 8794, back to 8528, falling to 8123,
climbing to 8611 and back down to 8037. All in the space of six months.
- 70 -
To assist you in determining how political factors can influence your company, answer the following
questions:
Does government interfere with business? Do they control the reforming of the economy (how),
creating a more competitive business environment, removing tariff and duty barriers, to stimulate
growth or to redistribute wealth?
Is there a health and safety act? Does the State concern itself with external (environmental)
factors and consumer protection?
Is there national legislation relating to pensions/provident funds and fuel prices?
Does the State legislate and set out minimum employment conditions such as wages? Do you
have to deal with a particular union?
How militant are unions in your sector? Will union demands affect your business?
Does legislation force you to train staff, i.e. in addition to that relating to work?
Does government legislate over equality of opportunity, i.e. affirmative action?
What government departments are particularly relevant to your business? In what areas are they
developing policies that should be of interest to your firm?
To get answers to the above questions, ask political analysts (at banks, stockbrokers or universities) or
telephone trade unions or source government statistics or pose these questions to relevant government
departments - see list of Appendix for contact numbers.
Economics
When looking at economic factors and how they could affect your business, the first step is to assess what
stage of the economic cycle your product has reached. There would be little chance of persuading an
institution to invest in your company if your product was a highly cyclical one, with the cycle already past
maturity stage. Or, if you intend setting up a construction company, dont bother looking for finance
during the Investment Stage of the economic cycle. One bank manager put it this way: Come back when
you understand fundamentals.
The second step is to understand that economics in South Africa is always volatile and must be
monitored. In your planning, you have to consider how you will deal with different economic scenarios.
One method of doing this is to put alternative figures (for example, for inflation, interest rates, exchange
rates) into your calculations and see what effect they have on, say, cash flow, profit margins and net
income. This technique has a number of names, but the most popular are what if or sensitivity
analysis. The first is a way of answering questions before they are asked, e.g. What if interest rates are
increased? How will it affect your net income? These are issues which are usually asked by a lender and
you need to complete the analysis - if you cant, ask your business consultant to do it for you.
In this example, an increase in interest rates would be negative if you have borrowed funds to start
up your business, i.e. the interest bill is subtracted from operating income in an income statement, which
gives you income before tax. The higher the loan account, the greater the reduction in pre-tax income.
The other side of the coin is that if you have no loans and this is the first time you are approaching
a financial institution, a rise in interest rates would affect pre-tax profits marginally. Of course, if you
have capital in the company and the loans you are requesting dont exceed the capital (the bank loan is
less than the cash you have with the bank), a higher interest rate would be better.
Sensitivity analysis enables you to see how sensitive your business is to a change in external
factors. There are many computer software packages which will do the analysis for you and all that you
need to do is plug the figures into the spreadsheet. Any business consultant of note can do this or - if you
wish to plug figures into a computer model yourself - one of the best software packages available in
South Africa at present is the Financial Analyst produced by McGraw-Hill.
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The following graph best expresses how entrepreneurs have to operate under dismal economic
levels of expenditure in South Africa. It shows percentage growth rates in durable, semi-durable, nondurable goods and services. For the businessman, a falling level of expenditure means fewer buyers for
his product and thus less income.
GROWTH RATES FOR REAL PRIVATE CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE : 1961 TO 1994
Percentage
8
7
6
5
4
Durables
Semi-durables
Non-durables
Service
Total
1
0
1961 - 1969
1970 - 1979
1980 - 1989
1990 - 1994
-1
Note how the line expressing total growth has fallen sharply since the 1980s. Entrepreneurs must take
note that spending patterns are unlikely to return to levels achieved in the 1960s and 1970s. While
economists say the economic upswing started in 1993 and should continue for at least another 12 months,
entrepreneurs have to look at their particular product and assess how likely it would be for a bank to
finance the venture.
people?
How does the removal of influx control affect your industry and company?
Is there a movement of workers geographically and how does this affect demand for your goods?
Which province offers the most opportunities relative to skills levels, high budgets?
It is also crucial to assess future economic development by investigating whether Government intends to
make significant changes to economic policies. In June 1996, the ANC announced a plan to restructure
our economic model, so that jobs would be created, high growth achieved and investment stability
achieved. Ask yourself: How do these factors affect my business? How will these factors benefit or
weaken my business?
- 72 -
1985
Pep Group
1995
Other
Government
Overseas
Anglovaal
Directors
Liberty Group
Market participants
SA Mutual
Rembrandt
Sanlam
0
4
6
8
Percentage control
10
12
14
1985
1995
Anglo
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
A technological age
An obvious, but often neglected, external factor is the rapidly changing field of technology. Many
businessmen are now finding it difficult to operate without cellular telephones, when these were but a
dream at the beginning of 1990. There are still fewer firms which operate without fax machines - these
were not in existence in the 1970s and today are already becoming obsolete. Computer fax/modems
enable businessmen to communicate internationally - at the price of a local telephone call - through the
Internet.
What is next? That is a question which you do not have to answer in your business plan. What you
have to do is to state how a change in technology could affect your business. This would be most relevant
for companies which are highly capital intensive.
- 73 -
Is there a chance that communication methods will improve in the short, medium and long term?
How will this affect the way in which you communicate with customers and suppliers?
Will such communication changes affect other people? For instance, if a housewife can buy an air
ticket via her home computer, will this affect travel agencies?
Will technology change to the extent that it will affect jobs i.e. retrenchments due to fewer labour
needs or upgrading to higher skilled levels.
Can improvements help in reducing stock and other internal controls?
Final note
At first, the thought of drawing up a business plan seems daunting. There are many topics to cover, far
too many specific skills required, too much time needed to write the plan and so on. While all these
statements are true, if you are serious about starting up a business, then you (or the team) must gather the
information, delve through it, identify those bits which are pertinent to you and your company and then
write it down. You have no choice!
A list of issues is outlined on the next page to help you get started. It can be used as a list of
issues that will ultimately be covered, so get stuck in. Once your business plan has been completed - as
outlined in Part Two - this itemised schedule can be used as a check list against a completed plan or
against an existing business. It is a useful means of seeing that nothing has been left out of the final plan.
However, this list does not represent the full plan, but a means of commencing your research.
Remember that the plan can always be revised, changed, reduced or lengthened. The point is that
you will not get it right the first time, but without starting, there is no hope - and no business!
Have you fully considered the following issues
1
10
11
12
13
Completed
Date
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
Risk calculation
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Will you need consultants/what kind and how much they cost
32
33
34
35
Application of capital
36
- 74 -
Completed
Date
PART 2
THE BUSINESS PLAN
- 75 -
- 76 -
METHODOLOGY
A general statement is made at the start of a section to highlight the main reason for including the
text in the business plan. This is an overview of the text that follows
The main body of the sections will mostly be in the form of questions, rather than answers. It is up
to you to undertake and complete the analysis
It is crucial to remember that the final business plan which is submitted to the lender will be a
condensed form of the original. The latter is always more comprehensive and includes information
which is for your eyes only. This section looks at many of the important points, but it is up to you to
omit those which you feel are not relevant to you or your company
Note:
This section is a guide on how to write a plan and does not purport to have all the answers.
Each business plan has its own peculiarities, which depend on the nature of business, the people
involved, scarcity of resources etc.
The general principle used is that anything that is superfluous should be left out.
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Financial institution
Assessment
Department
Head of Investments
STAGE ONE:
The Filter
STAGE TWO:
Business Development
STAGE THREE:
Strategic
Analysts
Considerations
Project rejected/shelved
Project rejected/shelved
PASSED
PASSED
Project rejected/shelved
PASSED
While institutions have varying forms of selection processes, the above diagram is merely an example to
highlight the complicated process which new entrepreneurs face to get financing from lenders. Obviously,
the more successful businessman has less steps to face.
Here is an example of an entrepreneur submitting a business plan to a financial institution:
John Mullens is a young man with a brilliant idea which he hopes to develop into a full business.
He has drawn up a business plan and has made an appointment with Gauteng Bank to see a consultant,
hoping to get funding for his idea. His appointment date finally comes and he dresses conservatively in a
dark suit as he is aware that institutions tend to be old-fashioned. He arrives at the Bank with a slide
show, sales, marketing and financial forecasts, curriculum vitae of senior personnel and other relevant
data.
- 78 -
What a disappointment he is in for. He is ushered into a small waiting room and a clerk asks him
for general information. Some banks will ask for personal banking details and will run a personal credit
check while the entrepreneur is waiting. The consultant, who is in reality only a clerk assigned to collect
information, promises to have "an answer" within the next few weeks. Mullens leaves the bank
disappointed.
But the process is more complicated than that. This first check point - conducted by an
assessment department- can include credit checks, verify that it contains essential items such as
executive summary, financial details, outline of sales and marketing plans and so on and checks on legal
and financial contracts. Some institutions insist that the first 10 percent of the requested loan is made by
the entrepreneur before the plan is even assessed. This first check point would make this request and the
entrepreneur would have to submit a bank note to that effect before the plan proceeds through the flow
chart.
It must be noted that the criteria is set by the lender and venture capitalists have different sets of
rules. Mullens is one of the lucky ones and his plan makes it through the first stage. Out of the 100 reports
submitted to the bank's consultants weekly, less than 50 make it through to the head of investments. This
person tends to read only the executive summary, as this is only one of the many reports he has to read
daily. If the summary appeals to him, he would set it aside to assess later.
The head of investments would assess reports bearing in mind a set of rules which have been
drawn up by a combination of directors' wishes, economic, political and financial circumstances (drawn
up by experts in these fields) and his gut feel that these plans will make a profit. For instance, a plan that
has all the necessary information - as assessed in Stage One - may not have pre-determined institutional
targets. The institution might only be willing to fund projects in excess of R1 million or only established
companies not new ones.
He would then decide which of the plans he would like his department to pursue and hand these
over to his clerks to place the reports through a "filter" system. This is the first part of a three phase
system to detect whether the proposed project will suit "the present needs" of the institution.
The filter is a method of cutting off those projects which are not worth pursuing. These filters are
set up at the discretion of the institution and can often seem illogical. For instance, if one filter states that
the institution will not invest in companies with forecast profit margins of less than 10 percent, it does not
mean that the proposed venture will not be profitable. All it says is that anything below that margin will
not be financed by the lender.
This filter enables the lender to quickly sift through the continuously growing pile of business
plans and to concentrate on those they are interested in pursuing. Once the business plan has been placed
through this filter and passes these tests, it is then handed to the business development analysts to
conduct a feasibility study, which is a means of testing the actual project for future viability. The analyst
looks at the project in much greater detail and is concerned with the owner's ability to make the project
successful, to repay the loan, to expand the company and to continue to do so until all debt has been
repaid.
Once he has assessed the viability of the plan, he will look at strategic considerations. What does
the owner want? Is he looking for partners or just funding? How the bank handles the business plan
depends on the project and its future potential to generate cash and profits.
Strategic considerations relate to the external environment and they are continually changed.
Sometimes the emphasis is on financing business which is "politically correct," while at other times it is a
matter of economic cycles. For instance, a financial institution would not put cash into building a steel
mill at the end of the world steel cycle.
Once the analyst has determined that a project is sound in all respects (which could take months of
interviews with the owner and waiting for more information to be supplied by the owner ) and the
business plan has been set off against the institution's strategic considerations, it is submitted to a
Decision-Making Panel. This board has the final say as to whether the plan will be funded, rejected or
re-submitted to the business analysts for more information.
It is important to note that, at times, the different stages are merged, while at other times the
business development analyst is only expected to assess the viability of the plan without undertaking time
consuming feasibility studies. Some institutions will have business analysts completing filters, while
others have a simple filter - invest only in listed companies.
- 79 -
The above diagram is an example to highlight the lengthy process to get your plan passed through
all the stages. The following guidelines will help the inexperienced entrepreneur set up the business plan
in a structure which will be easy for the lender to read and, therefore, capture his interest.
Guidelines
To give you assurance that the business plan will at least get through the initial stages of the selection
process, a set of guidelines have been set out, i.e. to get the plan to the business development analyst and
to encourage him to read it by getting the executive summary right.
Approach prospective lenders: Before you submit your business plan it would be wise to ask a
number of institutions what criteria they require. You can then incorporate these into your plan and
not delay the selection process by waiting for the lender to ask for more information.
Keep the summary short: Up to two pages. The summary must be more than just a list of key
points. It is your opportunity to stress your business's main features and strengths. As such, it is
prudent to include at least one graph on profits and some ratios. Make the summary interesting, but
don't provide too many details.
Salient issues: Without a clear-cut definition of what your business is about, who you are targeting or
what your location will be, the reader of your business plan will not read any further. He will simply
return the plan to you, often without an explanation of why his organisation will not fund your project.
Provide a Business Plan Accent chart: Highlight important elements of the business plan, such as
turnover, operating profit and profit margin. This would be best placed under the Company Profile,
which is outlined in this chapter.
Don't waste time: While fancy and distinctive fonts, graphs and charts do give the report a look of
professionalism, you could waste an inordinate amount of time with extravagant computer layout
programs. It is more important to get the report to the lender on time than to delay the process because
you have employed a layout artist to improve your report. Most computer software packages
incorporate a link between spreadsheets and word processors and most incorporate systems within the
word processor to create tables, charts and other graphs.
The mission statement: If you cannot conclude what your mission is, don't include it in the plan.
Usually a mission is related to doing things for mankind and are associated with "higher goals" like
helping staff fund their own homes or setting aside sums of money to build schools. Missions are not
objectives. However, if your company does have a mission and you have historic proof that you are
achieving your mission, then state what it is in at most a paragraph.
Objectives: Business goals are objectives and it is important to set out your goals in point form. Don't
elaborate as you already do that in the business plan. Common objectives include market share, sales
targets and profit objectives. It is important to be specific and to state percentage levels where
possible. Never be obscure and don't say something which cannot be backed up, i.e. stating an
objective as "I intend to be the main player in this field by the year 2000," is asking for your plan to
quickly hit the dust bin.
Where to find the summary: It is the fourth item in a business plan. After the title page,
introduction and contents page, the executive summary is set out. And, as odd as it may seem, it is
usually before the contents page. Some analysts place the summary on the first page. It is up to you.
- 80 -
The Introduction
This section is simply a precursor to the business plan and is a means of introducing the
company and yourself to the lender. It sets the tone of the report and must be clear, brief and
state what you intend to achieve in the business plan.
It must not be confused with a covering letter, which would be a way of introducing yourself. The
Introduction usually consists of the aim of the report, its objectives, timeframe and explains how the
report will be set out, i.e. the structure of the business plan. The following is an example of a business
plan drawn up to assess the possibility of undertaking a hostile takeover of a small Central African oil
producing company.
Introduction
This report was written without interviewing the directors of New African Oil, without seeing its
oil fields or talking to major shareholders. Recent political upheaval in Central Africa has placed
pressure on the company's share price, which has fluctuated wildly since the beginning of May
1995.
To assess the strengths and weaknesses of the Central African
Aim of report:
petroleum industry, with specific reference to New African Oil, which
is a petroleum company listed on both Wall Street and on the London
Stock Exchange.
This business plan includes an analysis of the economic, financial and
Objective
political environment of New African Oil, looks at the viability of
acquiring a major stake in this company and a final recommendation
will be outlined to determine whether such a venture is plausible.
Structure of re- The report assumes a logical approach to analysis, starting with New
Oil World's recent performance, followed by economic variables (and
port
how such factors could affect the venture), fundamental, ratio and
technical analysis. The latter looks at timing and future performance of
the share price. All the information is used to assess the group's future
Time frame
potential and to forecast financial results. In this report the forecast is for
the group's financial year to end-August 1996.
State when the report is due and what period the report covers
While the Introduction sets the tone of the report and the Executive Summary is important as a means
of highlighting all crucial elements of a plan, the Contents Page is a list of headings and subject matter
that is contained in the body of the business plan.
The Contents Page should be designed to help readers (particularly as you are targeting lenders) in
finding specific sections and points in the plan. This page is found either before or after the Executive
Summary, i.e. it is up to the writer of the plan where to place the Contents Page.
- 81 -
It should be clear, concise and not longer than a page. The main chapter headings should be in bold
and in slightly larger type setting. In addition, make sure that each section is marked to indicate
specific page numbers, even though the main heading and sub-headings may have the same number.
CONTENTS
PAGE
Introduction
Executive summary
Company Profile
1
2
3
1.
Analysis of environment
1.1
1.2
4
5
2.
Financial forecast
2.1
2.2
2.3
3.
Political trends
Economic cycles
Historical perspective
Pro-forma statements
2.2.1 Income statement
2.2.2 Balance sheet
2.2.3 Cash flow
Forecast for 1996 and 1997
7
7
8
12
14
15
19
Appendices:
21
A.
B.
21
22
- 82 -
Company information:
Development:
Financial Data:
- 83 -
Similar to the executive summary and contents page, the company profile should be brief and even in
point form. The general principle is to leave out anything in the profile that will be described in detail in
the main body of the business plan and this can be done in two main methods.
The first is in tabular form and is often preferred by lenders over the second method, which is a
written summary of the report. Either way, the profile must be kept to a maximum of two pages.
Tabular method
This method provides a birds eye view of the company and does not give details, organagrams,
shareholder structures, fancy graphs or detailed market and company financial forecasts. These are
subjects which should be adequately covered in the main body of the business plan.
Remember that an overview of the entire venture has already being outlined in the Executive
Summary. In addition, the contents page will tell the reader exactly where to find every section and subsection of the business plan, so the Company Profile should be a taste of the "juicy bits" of the whole plan
and, therefore, show potential investors that you are the only one worth investing in as there is no doubt
that you will succeed.
Put simply - institutions dont need you. They have hundreds of other viable projects to invest in,
so it is up to you to show that your chances of success are better than any alternative they are thinking of.
The Company Profile should include the following:
COMPANY PROFILE
Necessary details
Business and market Outline the nature of the operation and sector targeted, e.g. Building
& Construction sector - to serve Free State municipalities.
information
Products/services
information
List all products/services and markets targeted and explain why you
are targeting these markets, e.g. The 1995 State survey shows there
are 1,5 million individuals in the Northern Province without water
facilities. I have approached the Minister of Housing and obtained a
tender to supply piping for this project. We expect this to generate
about R700,000 net profit per year for a period of five years.
the Have you secured contracts, what expertise do the directors have to
institution fund your offer and state future plans, e.g. Our skills in software technology
enables us to convert/upgrade outdated machines into more
project
sophisticated systems at less than the cost of buying a new system.
Why
should
- 84 -
1,00
Net profit
0.80
Cash Flow
0.60
0.40
0.20
0
1993
1994
1995
- 85 -
5.
Entrepreneurs should not undermine the importance of including past performance items as these
are frequently used by lenders to compare past to projected future performance. Lenders can assess even before they read the full plan - whether forecasts are realistic. Under Company Profile only the
highlights should be included and not the entire statements. These are outlined in Chapter 10.
6.
Location of the company, its main operating plants and all its subsidiaries must be outlined preferably in tabular form; including nature and function of each firm, size in metres square and
lease arrangements. The following is an example of the type of table which would be useful to
lenders, as they can then see that the plan is real and has substance. If the plan is for a new firm,
highlight prospective business locations and state whether they have been secured. (See Chapter 9).
Item
Location
Headquarters
Owned by company.
Annex
Building is owned by
company.
Utility
Factory
& 76 Robben Avenue, Warehouse, assembly, product 26,300
assembly plant Cape Town
testing, and shipping.
Other considerations
Like the Introduction, Executive Summary, Contents Page and Company Profile, there are other
considerations to consider before submitting the report to a lender. These are important as getting these
incorrect would negate the good work carried out in the window to the business plan.
Consider the following:
Be careful not to be guilty of "passing off" when naming your business. This occurs when it is
perceived that you are trying to ride on the success of another company, e.g. You name your
company "AA Hunters" and is based in the same city as another extremely successful firm called
"AA Huntors." Two things can happen if you are considered to be passing off your company as
another. Firstly, the lender could stop all negotiations and, secondly, the company you are
pretending to be could sue you. It is totally irrelevant whether you are aware that the other company
exists or not.
There are two ways in which to avoid this happening. Firstly, register the name of the company with
the Registrar of Companies before you complete the business plan and, secondly, make sure that the
name is distinctive in some personal way, such as naming the company after yourself, like Disney
Studios.
The business plan must be printed using at least 1,5 times spacing and have the plan bound.
Keep a careful check and record of the number of business plans printed and distributed. Plans
should only be distributed to co-entrepreneurs and lenders. They should not be given to friends,
- 86 -
family or colleagues Make sure it is marked "Private and Confidential" to limit the number of people
who see it.
Mark the plan with a (copyright) so that the plan will not be taken and used by someone else.
New authors have the problem in South Africa of having to trust that a publisher will not steal his
work as there is no means of registering a copyright in this country. The best advice to protect
yourself to ensure that someone does not take the business plan (or book) and use it themselves is to
post an original copy (registered mail) to yourself, but do not open it once you receive it. That way
you would have proof that the piece of work was yours to start off with. There is, however, no
means of protecting yourself against someone stealing an idea.
When drawing up appendices, ensure that different topics are placed on different pages. In addition,
appendices should include at least curriculum vitae of key owners/managers, references from
professional contacts, significant contracts and a copy of your market study. Optional appendices
can include pictures of the product, copies of promotional material, articles from trade journals and
other pertinent published information and patents.
CHAPTER SUMMARY: This section sets out the process by which an entrepreneur can ensure
a large amount of success in getting a lender to at least read his plan. Given the vast quantity of
business plans lenders receive daily, it is important to write the plan in such a manner that the
lender will be interested enough to proceed with his own due diligence study. The chapter sets
out the window to the plan, which is established through an Introduction, Contents Page,
Executive Summary and Company Profile.
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Technology
There are two important issues which have to be made absolutely clear in this section and
should be set out in the first paragraph. Firstly, explain what type of technology your product
needs to operate, e.g. special computer software. Secondly, make sure that the technology and
designs are legally protected with appropriate patents, copyright and trademarks.
Information, services and production techniques change so rapidly in the business world that a specific
technology proposed in a business plan today may be obsolete tomorrow. It is thus extremely important to
start this section of the business plan with an outline of your technology.
However, if you are operating a company which does not require any special technology, leave this
section out of the business plan or, alternatively, set out the method of operation that you intend to use,
e.g. service company that distributes information via the Internet. If the business plan outlines the
manufacture of a product it would be best to answer a number of questions, as outlined in the following
table.
Technical issues
Questions
Operation
Work
methodology
Competitive
advan-tages
Set out the different cost levels for each item manufactured or sold.
What is the maximum level of work orders that present structures can cope
with and what is your present level of order books?
In the case of a new firm, have contracts been secured?
Can present capacity be expanded in the short, medium and long term?
- 88 -
Technical issues
Questions continued
Technical environ-
ment
Products/services
This section must include a description of the product/service that your company intends to
sell, an outline of the target market, highlight a product comparison and how that product
will be created in terms of labour and capital costs.
Set the section out as follows:
1. The first paragraph should be a summary of the entire product section. It should consist of a single
paragraph which starts with a product description.
2. The second paragraph starts with an outline of the target market. For instance, to whom do you
intend to sell and where will you sell the product. Do you have the funds to market your company, are
there enough potential clients and are there export opportunities to ensure viability. This section is not
a market analysis, but an outline of your product - Market Analysis is dealt with later in this chapter.
TARGET MARKETS
Sections to highlight in a Business Plan
Individuals
Businesses
Combination
Directly to end-users
Combination
See Product Comparison Matrix
Domestically
Internationally
Combination
5. When do you intend to...
Nationally
Regionally
Combination
Start selling your product
Expand:
i. product range
ii. product into foreign markets
iii. business into different fields
- 89 -
Target market
Explanation
1. To whom do you intend Explain whether you are targeting sales to the public, directly to
to sell your product?
businesses or whether you will use a combination of the two.
2. Where do you intend to Will you be selling your product locally? If so, state whether you will
sell your product?
concentrate on particular areas and why. Is there enough demand for
your product? Do you have to look elsewhere? If you have overseas
contracts, state where these are.
3. How do you intend to Describe whether you company will sell the product directly to the enddistribute your product?
user and how you intend to achieve this. If you intend to use middle
men explain what the advantages are of using such a system.
4. Why will the market See Product Comparison Matrix.
respond to your product?
5. When do you intend to:
start selling your product: give a brief outline of your product and
economic cycles. If you estimate the market will respond to your
product in 10 months - when the cycle reaches a trough - state this.
It shows research and professionalism.
expand existing product range and into new markets. Briefly
outline what your plans are for the future.
3. Outline why your commodity is saleable, i.e. do you have any competitive advantages in terms of
price, quality or quantity? Overseas, the trend is to compare your product with your competitors'. This
diagram should include a contrast of price, where the product was made, product quality, delivery
times and follow up service, as shown in the following example of a company named XYZ Limited
which produces and sells computer software to link computers to telephones:
Quality
Delivery
time
Follow up
service
XYZ Limited
89.00 Local
Good
Excellent
Excellent
Jack Partners
89.00 Local
Good
None
Average
Software House
95.00 Local
Poor
Average
Poor
ABC Limited
100.00 Imported
Average
Good
Good
Computers Limited
Excellent
Excellent
None
Software Tools
255.00 Imported
Average
Poor
Poor
- 90 -
Notes
XYZ Limited
Jack Partners
Offers the product at the same price, but does not deliver the product to clients and
follow up service is at best average
Software House
ABC Limited
This product is imported from a neighbouring country and is thus only slightly
more expensive and its service is reasonable
Computers
Limited
The product software is formatted in the US and the product is assembled in South
Africa. While it has excellent delivery time, its diverse operations limits follow up
service only to those operating the product in the US and thus provides no follow
up service in this country
Software Tools
SUMMARY: Before setting up XYZ Limited, no domestic company in this country could produce and
rapidly distribute a software programme to link computers and telephones, which was inexpensive, of
good quality and had an excellent follow up service.
4. Outline the ratio between labour and capital costs in creating the product. This section should not
be a detailed financial analysis, but an outline of the split between labour and capital in producing the
item. The importance of highlighting this is outlined in Chapter 5. The information shown will depend
on the type of company you are proposing. For instance, manufacturers should set out standard costs
and overheads, while distributors should show discount and margin structures. Service companies
should highlight costs of service obligations. The following table is an example of Company QAZ,
which produces three items.
Products
- 91 -
Components
Product 1
100.00
50.00
150.00
2.0 : 1.0
Gadget 2
12.00
6.00
18.00
2.0 : 1.0
Gadget 3
5.30
2.60
7.90
2.0 : 1.0
Gadget 4
4.00
1.90
5.90
2.1 : 1.0
121.30
60.50
181.80
Gadget 1
110.00
115.00
125.00
1.0 : 1.1
Gadget 2
12.50
18.90
31.40
1.0 : 1.5
Gadget 3
15.30
19.00
34.30
1.0 : 1.2
137.80
152.90
290.70
Gadget 1
300.00
200.00
500.00
1.5 : 1.0
Gadget 2
149.00
130.00
279.00
1.2 : 1.0
449.00
330.00
779.00
Total cost
Product 3
Capital : Labour
Gadget 1
Total cost
Product 2
Labour Total
Ratio
Total cost
SUMMARY:
Product 1
121.30
60.50
181.80
2.0 : 1.0
Product 2
137.80
152.90
290.70
1.0 : 1.1
Product 3
449.00
330.00
779.00
1.4 : 1.0
Total
708.10
543.40 1251.50
1.3 : 1.0
Labour
Skills
Reference
required,
i.e.
unskilled etc.
Cost of acquiring equipment
Cost of labour
See Chapter 10
Space
required
to
install -
See Chapter 6
equipment
Availability of skills to operate Availability of staff
equipment
See Chapter 9
- 92 -
6.
- 93 -
State whether the target market is large enough to fulfill your supply? Most ventures lack the
resources and skills to market their product effectively. This is particularly significant in the light of
smaller markets and the need in many ventures to develop export markets to obtain a viable scale of
population. This section of the business plan should consider both the domestic and export markets
available to the company, where the domestic market is too small to ensure the products ideas
viability.
7. Do you have a strategy for the future? Do you have a long term product strategy? Do you plan to set
up a product development division? When? Have you determined whether there is a link between
your product, market demand and consumer needs for your product?
Market Analysis
This section should focus on recent market performance, projected growth and the value of the
total market. The latter should be stated in both quantity and value.
1. The first paragraph should be used to summarise your full market analysis, from recent market
performance to forecast market growth.
2. This section of the business plan should start with general industry information such as an outline
of clients, trends and target markets. Once you have answered the questions set out below, you have
established a basis for your market forecast.
3. The general industry information should reflect your understanding of the industry and present an
analysis of your market research. Answer questions outlined in the following three tables, but note
that these tables do not represent your in-depth analysis. This should be included in the appendices.
Clients
Without someone to sell to, the lender will be dubious that you can get your product off the ground in a
reasonable time, which means a delay in participation of future profits etc.
Provide the following details
businesses (listed or private companies or cross border conglomerates etc.)
Type
individuals
both
signed contracts?
Initial target
Reaching clients
- 94 -
Trends
Once it has been established who your clients are, the next step is to outline trends to show when you
intend to sell your product, what the best times are, whether there is potential for growth and so on.
Provide the following details
Industry
general cyclical, market trends and age of industry i.e. define maturity
stage
Product
Competition
Target market
Once you have persuaded the lender that you have clients lining up to buy your product and that it is the
right time to produce and sell it, you have to explain what the market is all about, why you have targeted a
particular segment of the population and why they will buy from you and not from a competitor.
Provide the following details
Characteristics
Numbers
actual location
factors which influence consumers
number of possible buyers
where these buyers are
number of similar products/services on the market
- 95 -
Regulations
what market regulations will affect your company, e.g. licences, permits,
patents etc.
how you will meet these requirements
Price structures
Common errors
When compiling a market analysis, a number of common errors are often made. In undertaking market
analysis many entrepreneurs make a number of assumptions which are fundamentally incorrect and,
consequently, the entire business plan falls flat. For instance, in many segments of the business world, a
minor portion of the client base represents the majority of demand for a particular product, e.g. High
income households consist of less than 20 percent of all households, but represent more than 80 percent
of all purchasing power in most Western countries. Therefore, if 20 percent of the entire market buys 80
percent of a specific product, to believe that this market is sown up and not penetrable in any way is to
tell the lender that you do not believe you can succeed. At the very least, you would have placed your
market analysis in doubt.
Another common mistake is to be unrealistic when assessing the amount of market share you
could control, or believe you can control. There are some extremely successful companies in South Africa
and around the world which have a small slice of the market cake and the directors of these companies are
never loath to admit they have only a small portion of market share. It would be better to say that you can
control two percent of a R1 million industry and to capture 10 percent by the end of the first year of
operation, than to say 10 percent and end up with two percent at the end of the first year. It is common
among new entrepreneurs to define the market as broadly as possible instead of determining the true
target market.
For instance, to say your new shoe design will be successful "because all women wear shoes" is
not only a truism, but bluntly stupid. A lender would look at this statement and immediately throw the
plan into the dustbin. However, to define the market through carefully assessment of the type of women
who would be interested in your shoe design would be to filter and isolate a target market that is true and
real.
- 96 -
The following table emphasises other common pitfalls in conducting and compiling market analysis:
To discuss a product/service at length without first (or at all) providing a clear definition as to what
the item is, what it does and who would use it and why
Write about the product in a vague and illogical manner. This gives the impression you are unsure
of your goods
To avoid providing profitability estimates for each product/service. It creates uncertainty in the
mind of the lender about your confidence in your product
To make assumptions without thoroughly checking these out first. For instance, to assume that the
size of your customer base will be normal is fatal, i.e. the average customer will not necessarily be
the average earner of the distribution graph you have drawn up. If distribution is abnormal, as much
as half of the customers may not be average earners and only three percent of earners in your
distribution graph may be able to afford your product
To ignore factors that prohibit entry into a market could result in a business without a market
To ignore an analysis of political, economic and financial factors which affect your country would
show navet
Other factors
1. How are goods distributed in this industry? Is it dominated by a cartel, monopoly, oligopoly, the
State, or does it have reasonable access? Is it dependant on large direct sales to corporations to survive,
or can it prosper on sales to individuals. Will you have to set up, train and run your own sales force or
will you work with product representatives? Remember not to repeat what you have stated under
previous sections of this chapter.
2. What are the keys to brand name success in this industry? Include factors such as brand names,
customer loyalty to particular products, what these products are and do, why they succeed and where
you find these products (in shopping centres or only through mail order?).
3. Undertake a SWOT analysis of your main competitors (see Chapter 5) and include product, price,
distribution channels, reputation, management, financial position and technology and in what segments
of the market they operate.
Sales Forecast
In the business plan it is possible display the market forecast (also called Sales Forecast as it deals with
units of your product sold and the price it is sold for) as either a table or as graphs. However, it is easier to
start by creating a spreadsheet. Divide the information into three sections; the first represents quantity of
items sold or expected to sell in the future, the second section outlines the price of items sold and the third
is a multiplication of the first two figures, which equals the market value of that item.
The information typed onto the spreadsheet can be copied onto a word processor as a table,
divided into the three sections with a row to highlight a total market value for the company's products
(addition of Products A to C in the following table). Notes to the product must be provided to explain
how figures were derived, as highlighted by the following fictitious company market forecast table.
- 97 -
Forecast
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
Sales
Product A
1.1
10,000.00
14,000.00
18,000.00
22,000.00
26,000.00
Product B
1.2
10,000.00
22,000.00
32,000.00
42,000.00
52,000.00
Product C
1.3
33,000.00
53,000.00
73,000.00
93,000.00 113,000.00
53,000.00
Total
Price (Rands)
Product A
2.1
10.00
11.00
12.10
13.30
14.60
Product B
2.2
100.00
105.00
110.25
115.76
121.55
Product C
2.3
120.00
126.00
132.30
138.92
145.86
Product A
3.1
100.00
154.00
217.80
292.60
379.60
Product B
3.2
1000.00
2,310.00
3,528.00
4,861.92
6,320.60
Product C
3.3
3,960.00
6,678.00
9,657.90
12,919.56
16,482.18
5,060.00
9,142.00
13,403.70
18,074.08
23,182.38
Total
NOTES
1
1.1
Sales:
Product A
1.2
Product B
- 98 -
NOTES CONTINUED
1.3
Product C
Total
Equals the total volume of sales per year and shows that the market
has a high growth of above 20 percent a year.
Price (Rands)
This is the price charged for the goods and does not represent net
income, i.e. it omits costs involved in selling the products
2.1
Product A
2.2
Product B
Pricing for this product is based on a five percent annual increase. The
low yearly rise is due to a low cost base, with little chance of labour
unrest and, as such, the product represents a significant portion of total
annual income.
2.3
3
Product C
Similar to Product B.
Gross Sales Value (R000) This is the multiplication of units sold and price charged for those
units. It is equal to the income derived from the sale of your products.
3.1
Product A
3.2
Product B
Similar to Product A.
3.3
Product C
Total
Equals the total income derived from the sale of Products A , B and C
and shows a market value forecast in 1997 of R23 million - a 358
percent increase since the economic turnaround of 1993..
SUMMARY: This table shows the number of units sold and prospects for growth in the future. It
displays the value of each item sold and, from these two figures, a market value can be calculated. This is
not an income statement Turnover figure, but a Gross Sales figure for the market.
- 99 -
100
80
Product A
60
Product B
Product C
40
20
0
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
Forecast
Note: The figures for Product C were multiplied by a factor of 10 for display purposes
10000
Product B
8000
Product C
6000
4000
2000
0
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
Forecast
Note: The figures for Product C were multiplied by a factor of 10 for display purposes
- 100 -
As the business plan develops, you will re-write (several times) different sections of the plan. This is quite
natural, particularly as you start paying more attention to the end-user of the plan. Too much and
laborious detail will have a negative impact on most external users of the plan. The same must be said
about product development.
In drawing up a research and development section of the business plan, two problems can very
easily be done.
The first is that this section can be turned into a policy and procedures manual for your
employees, instead of a practical outline of the present status of your technology, whether
and what company patent and copyrights are, if you have contracts with specific staff
members and what future product developments are.
The second is to compare your future technology with what the competition has now. You
should compare what you will have by the time you are in the market with what others will
have then. After all, competitors also have Research and Development departments which
are also working on a future product.
The following diagram provides a minimum outline of the type of information a lender would require:
Issue
Status of technology
Product/economic cycle
Patents, copyrights
Contracts
Restrictions
- 101 -
Issue
Future
CHAPTER SUMMARY: The aim of this chapter is to get the lender to understand your
product, to show that you understand the technology, to establish that there is a market for the
product and that all factors, such as trends, pricing and forecasts have been taken into account
when drawing up the business plan. It establishes a foundation for Chapter 10, which
concentrates on the financial aspects of your company.
- 102 -
- 103 -
The entrepreneur, who is proposing a strategy to introduce expensive, new, highly technical
machinery run by computers, says: "There is little short-term benefit because the price of the machinery is
high. But in five years we will see substantial profits."
What is wrong with his answer? In a simple one line answer, he killed the entire project. A
strategy must have short, medium and long-term benefits, otherwise the strategy is not complete. It is
most likely that in five years all competitors will have the same technology. In addition, the business plan
would have outlined the expense involved in undertaking the venture, so - if the decision-making board
had invited him to discuss final details - it means they are interested despite costs.
So how does the new entrepreneur set up a strategy? There are four essential elements which have
to be taken into account when drawing up a general business strategy. They are:
The general business strategy is the basis for creating a foundation to develop marketing and sales
strategies. They are outlined in the following sections.
Marketing strategies
This section should concentrate on how the entrepreneur targets a specific market to promote his
product and sets out how he will achieve this.
Two tables are used to outline marketing strategies. The first looks at general marketing tactics and the
second highlights more specific strategies. When writing down answers to the first table, keep answers to
one line, e.g. Question: Will you market your product locally, internationally or both.? Answer:
Internationally. However, answers to the second table have to be more comprehensive.
What methods do you propose to use to penetrate the target market? i.e. television, newspapers etc.
What promotional methods do you plan to use, i.e. advertising, public relations, door-to-door
promotions or print media?
In marketing the product, what benefits will you offer clients? i.e. product support,
discounts.
Have you set marketing priorities for your different products? i.e. have you decided which products
to market first?
volume
- 104 -
Questions to answer
Set out target markets Which markets and segments of that market will you target? Why?
& segments
How does your marketing mix (product, price, promotion, perception and
distribution) compare with present market demands?
How does the company propose to market its products?
Promotion Strategy
What is your initial promotional strategy? Will you use mass promotion,
i.e. offer clients products at cost price for a number of months? This
method is effective to spread the word about your business to potential
customers, but there are no guarantees that clients will continue to buy
your product when prices are increased.
What promotional means will you use and why? i.e. advertising, direct
mail orders, radio etc.
Distribution Strategy
Marketing Programs
Sales strategies
How do you intend to sell your product and how will you maintain those sales? Do you need a
sales force and, if so, how many salesmen will you require?
Similar to Marketing Strategy, this section uses two tables to set out sales strategies.
How will you sell your product? Through a sales force, middlemen, retailers?
How will you identify prospective customers? Consider all types of companies, i.e. from sole
proprietorships to listed companies. Who are your main clients?
Do you already have signed contacts. From whom and for how much?
- 105 -
Questions to answer
Sales Programme
Pricing Strategy
Distribution channels
What is the split between sales personnel hired on contract and hired full
time?
What is the size of your sales force? Will you train them?
What efficiency do you expect, i.e. calls per hour, per salesperson
Explain your present and future distribution channels.
Sales Forecast
Many entrepreneurs believe that to forecast sales without a company financial history is guesswork and,
therefore pointless to add to a business plan, because lenders will not fund these projects. These
pessimists say that without a solid sales history and forecasts based on these trends, lenders will not be
interested. This is patently untrue. Without a sales forecast, there is no means of forecasting profits
(income statement) or drawing up a financial profile of the company (balance sheet).
The way to approach the problem in forecasting sales is to clearly state the assumptions you have
made in undertaking the forecast. There are two sets of figures that have to be assessed, namely the
expected quantity of sales the entrepreneur will achieve and, secondly, average prices for products sold.
These two figures are multiplied to calculate sales values and, in this manner, the entrepreneur can create
a value for a number of products, i.e. calculates sales values for different product lines.
- 106 -
One criteria that has to be carried out for a lender to look at the business plan, is to include a
month-by-month breakdown of sales for the first year of your plan, followed by another two years of
forecasts. The question is how do you forecast sales without some form of history from which you can
create trend lines. While you may not have a profit history, there will always be statistical sources from
which to draw information that can be used in your forecast.
Published statistics from government organisations, like the Central Statistical Services. This
organisation will provide a variety of details on different products (volume, price, indices),
demographics and new building plans passed gives an idea of areas where people are concentrating
and the types of businesses that are being established etc. Find published data that is similar to the
product you intend to sell and draw on this information to determine your own trend.
There are societies/organisations that collate statistics for most products and industries, i.e. The
Textile Federation would have details on their sector etc. These statistics are useful in that it can tell
you whether companies are under-recovering costs or not. For instance, if it costs Company XYZ
R10 to buy raw materials to manufacture Product X and it costs the company an additional R10 in
labour and fixed costs, it has effectively cost Company XYZ R20 to manufacture the product. If the
company can only sell the item for R18 due to falling demand (other environmental factors), it has
under-recovered costs by R2 or by 10 percent. This information can be used in your forecast.
Results from your own market analysis will provide a feel for the sector, how well it is doing and
how it could do in the near future. Use this information to determine whether environmental factors
(outlined in Chapter 5) will affect the trend and by how much?
SALES
Yea
Year
r
1
10
11
12
Total
100
110
100
112
110
115
110
122
123
127
132
138
1399
1540
1693
Product A
100
110
100
112
110
115
110
111
112
115
120
125
1340
1283
1411
Price (R)
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.04
1.2
1.2
500
440
440
450
500
500
500
500
510
520
520
530
5910
6800
7820
Product B
50
44
44
45
50
50
50
50
51
52
52
53
591
680
782
Price (R)
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
Gross Sales
600
550
540
562
610
615
610
622
633
647
652
668
7309
8340
9513
FORECAST
SALES:
Sales A
Sales B
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
1,200
1320
1452
Product B
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
600
660
726
Total cost
150
150
150
150
150
150
150
150
150
150
150
150
1800
1980
2178
Net sales
450
400
390
412
460
465
460
472
483
497
502
518
5509
6360
7335
Cash
400
360
360
374
406
410
406
414
422
430
434
445
4861
5000
5700
Credit
200
190
180
188
204
205
204
208
211
217
218
223
2448
3340
3813
600
550
540
562
610
615
610
622
633
647
652
668
7309
8340
9513
Gross sales
i.
is equal to units sold, multiplied by the price charged for the item
Gross sales revenue: Year 1 = 66,6% Cash : 33,3% Credit. However, a forecast rise in interest rates in Year 2 and
Year 3 has prompted a change in sales mix. Year 3 = 60% Cash : 40% Credit sales.
Cash received versus credit sales. Advantage of credit sales over cash sales results in clients being charged for the
delay in receiving cash for the article (Hire-Purchase). The disadvantage lies in debtors failing to pay and thus bad debts
accrue to the company. The main factor that affects gross cash revenue is discounts for quantity purchases by clients.
The best scenario would be to have a reasonable portion of sales on credit, but the main income must come from cash
sales (discounts and credit terms must be clearly stated in the business plan)
Prices: In Year 1, the price of Product A was increased in August to R1.10 from R1.00 and further increased to R1.20 a
product in Year 2 and maintained at this price in Year 3. There were no increases in the Price of Product B, due to all
sales been taken up by a corporation and virtually the entire product is manufactured by new, computerised equipment.
No work stoppages are foreseen for this sector and high productivity is forecast.
Demand for Product A is forecast to grow by 10 percent a year and Product B by 15 percent a year. The higher increase
for the more expensive Product B, is due to predicted greater purchasing power as the economic upswing takes effect.
Unit costs are unchanged for Product A and B. A 10 percent rise is expected in Year 2 & Year 3.
Total sales are calculated by deducting the value of sales from cost of sales.
- 108 -
Note that the above table is not meant to be a substitute for an income statement, but an outline of forecast
sales, to show the lender the value of gross sales. The full income statement is outlined in Chapter 10.
The table can also be displayed as a graph, but entrepreneurs must note that lenders prefer - often
insist - on a sales forecast table. It is thus better to include a graph in a business plan as an extra visual
effect and not in place of the table.
YEAR 2
Credit
33%
YEAR 3
Credit
Cash
40%
67%
Credit
Cash
60%
40%
Cash
60%
The Schedule creates an impression that you are forward thinking and analytical. It shows that the
entrepreneur is able to translate and transfer theoretical planning into practice, i.e. show that strategies
outlined in a business plan can be carried out. This should be made one of the most important sections
of the business plan as it forces the entrepreneur to think issues through logically and systematically
when answering: What should be done (set out in priorities), when should it be done and by whom
should it be done?
Milestones are used to fix specific dates and objectives for all the business activities included in the
plan. This is where what might be time wasted in theoretical planning and long-term strategy
becomes time invested in concrete planning and implementation.
Project objectives
These are examples and, as such, do not include all issues that would be included in a list of schedules
(also called a Business Plan Timetable). Table 1 is used to help new entrepreneurs picture what a business
plan path looks like, i.e. from idea to implementation. Table 2 shows business objectives in date
sequence, while Table 3 is set out per department. The fictitious Company ASAP (Pty) Ltd. intends to
start operations on June 1, 1997.
Table 1: Milestones & Schedules - Date sequence path
- 109 -
DETERMINE:
Step 1:
IMPORTANT DATES
When should the viability study ...
... commence
... be finalised
Step 2:
Step 3:
Step 4:
Step 5:
Step 6:
- 110 -
Responsibility
Dates
Name
Department
Target
A. Fords
General Manager
11-01-97
11-12-96
P. Somms
Business Analyst
3.
Completed
statement
O. Human Engineering
03-01-97
02-01-97
product development
R. Passat
Director: Products
05-01-97
04-01-97
target markets
A. Fords
General Manager
05-01-97
05-01-97
sales strategies
J. Lock
Director: Sales
11-01-97
08-01-97
marketing strategies
K. Jones
Marketing
11-01-97
08-01-97
B. Todd
Managing Director
18-01-97
18-01-97
A. Kenny
Director: Finance
20-02-97
28-02-97
6. Patent prototype
L. Alan
Company lawyer
03-03-97
15-04-97
A. Fords
20-04-97
Z. Sanerson Chairman
15-05-97
A. Fords
General Manager
30-05-97
all analysis
P. Somms
Business Analyst
11-01-97
08-01-97
internal structures
B. Todd
Managing Director
18-01-97
18-01-97
A. Kenny
Director: Finance
20-02-97
28-02-97
Z.Sanerson Chairman
15-04-97
A. Fords
General Manager
20-04-97
L. Alan
Company lawyer
03-03-97
General Manager
Overseers
- 111 -
Name
Responsible for:
DATES
Target Completed
Head office:
Chairman
Z.Sanerson
15-04-97
15-05-97
Managing Director
B. Todd
18-01-97
18-01-97
General Manager
A. Fords
11-01-97
11-12-96
20-02-97
28-02-97
technology
product development
target markets
sales strategies
marketing strategies
03-01-97
05-01-97
05-01-97
11-01-97
11-01-97
02-01-97
04-01-97
05-01-97
08-01-97
08-01-97
03-03-97
20-04-97
30-05-97
Director: Finance
A. Kenny
Business Analysis
Business Plan co-ord
Engineering
Director: Products
General Manager
Director: Sales
Marketing
P. Somms
O. Human
R. Passat
A. Fords
J. Lock
K. Jones
Company lawyer
L. Alan
Overseers
Business Analyst
Managing Director
P. Somms
B. Todd
all analysis
internal structures
11-01-97
18-01-97
08-01-97
18-01-97
A. Kenny
L. Alan
20-02-97
03-03-97
28-02-97
-
Director: Finance
Company lawyer
Patent prototype
Chairman
Z.Sanerson signing client contracts
15-04-97
General Manager
A. Fords
signing suppliers' contracts
20-04-97
Both tables have to include a "Notes" section to explain what the Milestones & Schedules mean. These
would be the same for both tables, except for the sequence of information.
- 112 -
Table 1 sets out the milestones in the order of dates, which shows nearly all research was
completed prior to deadlines set by management. Financial profiles often fall behind schedule as
the process of compiling the information is usually laborious and requires the impute of a host of
employees, consultants and other financial experts.
Table 2 sets out the same information, but concentrates rather on department success in achieving
these target dates.
The advantage of the second table is that it shows the amount of work delegated to any particular
department.
These columns are merely examples and the entrepreneur should establish his own criteria.
Remember the dates and objectives which have already been achieved represent milestones, while
objectives that are still been completed are called Schedules.
In a company which has been in operation for several years, it would be better to separate
milestones and schedules.
The role of an overseer is to control the flow of information. For instance, if an employee is slow
in producing the goods, the overseer can shift the workload to another staff member.
The intention of setting out a schedule is to show financial lenders that you are confident you can achieve
objectives and that you are not afraid of committing yourself to objectives and deadlines. This is
especially true for companies with a history that establishes it as having achieved milestones regularly
and timeously.
Once milestones and schedules have been drawn up, it is fundamental to review these at least
every quarter. This has to be relayed to lenders, but for personal use, it is important to undertake an
assessment of milestones and schedules - discussed under the following section.
- 113 -
ASSESSMENT SYSTEM
Milestones & Schedules
Regular reviews
Review schedules
YES
NO
* staff
member
* Department
Is the problem ...
* Subsidiary/associate
* Company
* Group
YES
Can the problem be solved?
NO
NO
YES
There is a fundamental problem which needs immediate action by the Board
Explanation:
If the list of schedules has not been met, the analyst has to assess where the problem lies. He would start
at the bottom of the triangle, i.e. Can the problem be from the group policy, structure or communications
network? If not, the analyst narrows his search to the company, followed by subsidiaries/associates,
departments and finally individuals. The analyst would be looking for some form of pattern, such as the
inability of a staff member to keep to deadlines. Maybe a certain person within a specific department has
constantly not achieved set goals?
Once the problem has been uncovered, he has to assess whether it can be solved, thus he would
look for steps to correct it. If the problem can be corrected, he would make recommendations to
management on how to resolve it. Usually necessary changes would be made and the list of schedules
would be drawn up for the next quarter.
However, if the problem cannot be solved, the analyst has to determine whether the list of
schedules was realistic. If he decides they are not, he would make recommendations on how to alter
schedules to be "more realistic." For instance, if a schedule said a market analysis would have to be
completed within two weeks and be submitted to directors on December 31, 1995, it is most likely not
going to happen.
- 114 -
The person who set up that schedule either had a malicious intention behind the goal, or was
simply not thinking that South Africa almost comes to a standstill in the two weeks prior to and after New
Year. If this was the case, the goal was unrealistic and the analyst would suggest a postponement to at
least the end of January.
If the problem cannot be solved and the schedule is realistic, there is a fundamental problem
within the group, i.e. the problem is deeper than a lax department or individual. The analyst would ask for
a board meeting, where he would ask for assistance from financial experts and for this to be given top
priority.
Financial Comparison
Forecast results relative to actual past performance
1.60
1.40
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00
Turnover
Gross Profit
Operating income
ACTUAL RESULTS
1993
1994
1995
Turnover days
FORECAST
1996
1997
CHAPTER SUMMARY: This section of Part 2 of the book explained how to draw up a general
business strategy, which creates the foundation for a marketing and sales strategy. These were
outlined and explained. A list of milestones and schedules was set out, showing that these
ultimately become targets for the entrepreneur.
- 115 -
A statement of how many staff are needed today and in the future.
An outline of how enviromental factors will change staff requirements, i.e. skills needed.
An overview of where you will find such staff and how you will train them for their specific
tasks.
A detailed synopsis of how the department will promote and train employees and how they
will deal with hiring and firing of staff.
Staffing requirements
There are different reasons for including a section on employees in a business plan. The first is to state
which specific employee will implement your business plan schedules. This has already been discussed in
Chapter 8. However, that chapter dealt with schedules rather than an outline of your proposed plan for
hiring staff, for securing specialised employees with skills that have to correspond with your prospective
financial statements (See Chapter 10). Remember, employing the right staff will show investors that you,
as the entrepreneur, have the ability to understand and combine economic, technological and other
environmental factors before making a choice of staff.
There are a number of general areas that have to be addressed before employing staff.
- 116 -
How many employees will you need? Who are your key managers?
What are their skills and experience? How will this contribute to the success of the venture?
What will their main duties be and in which department will they be based?
How will employees be recruited? e.g. offer competitive salaries, share options, incentive or
productivity bonuses, 13th cheques or profit sharing
Will you need to train staff and, if so, what training method will you adopt?
Do you have a system to work out future employee compensation?
Highlight your present and future organisational structure (see Group Structure in this chapter).
These are not issues that can be lightly dismissed. Any accountant will tell you that wages and salaries
form a major part of expenditure and over staffing can create not only financial problems, but place you
in a predicament with unions. You cannot simply fire staff at will! So, consider the above table carefully
when drawing up your business plan - some lenders will require a Personnel Expenditure Statement.
This statement must include a staff head count, costs of staff and other expenditure including
medical aid, pension or provident funds. It is important to break down the table into type of staff, numbers
employed and to provide a line for a total staff expenditure. The first year must be split into months and
the totals for an additional two years must be added. The table must therefore reflect an organised and
logical listing of numbers of staff and payroll expenditures per department. The following Personnel
Expenditure Statement Table is only an example and entrepreneurs must fill in their own requirements
and expected expenditure. If you use a spreadsheet, the table can be used as for "What-if" scenarios.
Consider the following before assessing the Personnel Expenditure Statement
There are only four departments (Production, Marketing, Sales and Administration) in this
example.
Management remuneration are not usually included in this table as they would be included under
Director remuneration in an Income Statement and not under wages and salaries.
The totals outlined in the table have to be consistent with your Financial Statements. It would be
wise to consult a financial consultant once you have drawn up your business plan.
- 117 -
Year
Year
10
11
12
Total
4,000
4,000
4,000
4,000
4,000
4,000
4,000
4,000
4,000
4,000
4,000
4,000
48,000
52,800
90,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
12,000
13,000
15,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
36,000
61,200
61,200
1,500
1,500
1,500
1,500
1,500
1,500
1,500
1,500
1,500
1,500
1,500
1,500
18,000
20,400
20,400
500
500
500
500
500
500
500
500
500
500
500
500
6000
24,000
24,000
500
500
500
500
500
500
500
500
500
500
500
500
6000
12,000
12,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
12,000
12,000
12,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
12,000
12,000
12,000
10
12
Total wage
8,500
8,500
8,500
8,500
8,500
8,500
8,500
8,500
8,500
8,500
8,500
8,500
* Other
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
12,000
12,000
12,000
9,500
9,500
9,500
9,500
9,500
9,500
9,500
9,500
9,500
9,500
9,500
9,500
114,000
162000
199200
Notes
1. Production
Ave. wage
Staff
2. Marketing
Ave. wage
Staff
3. Sales
Ave. wage
Staff
4. Admin.
Ave. wage
Staff
5. Total staff
5. Total cost
- 118 -
Notes
Staff requirements
Wages
1. Production
will increase staff to shifts - thus higher increase, pushed the total
six by Year 3 - forecast costs are incurred
demand rises.
2. Marketing
3. Sales
In Year 1 only two Wages are expected to The slight wage increase in
staff are required to rise by 13% in Year 2, Year 2, plus the additional
market the company.
As production increases, it is forecast
that an additional
member will be needed
in Year 2 and 3.
The R500 a month is The R12,000 cost is marthe basic payment ginal and not of concern.
made to sales staff.
Other income is derived
from
com-
Only
one
admin. Wage of R1,000 is No increase is foreseen until
employee is needed as low, but within market Year 4, when we expect to
bookkeeper
demands.
hire a financial director
5. Total
- 119 -
The first page should hold personal details (contact numbers/address/date of birth/nationality and
marital status) and an outline of your employment history (start with current position and work
backwards to about three positions back - state name of firm/telephone number/job description/dates
employed/remuneration package)
Who are the directors of this firm? State names, what their functions will be and who are founder
members of the company? State percentage shareholding of each member.
Will you need other directors in the near future? Indicate in the business plan which positions you
still have to fill and when you intend to do this. If you have weak areas, state what these are and
how you will solve them.
Are there any restraints of trade restricting any directors? How do you intend to keep these
directors with your company, i.e. golden parachute or handcuffs?
Who will constitute your Board of Directors? Have you planned what kind of person you want on
your board? i.e. it is pointless having a person on the board, simply because he is a friend. It is
important to have people who will help the company in its quest for success. For instance, do you
have an accountant, a stockbroker, a banker, an entrepreneur and lawyer on your board?
What is the legal structure of the business? (See Chapter 4)
Who are the shareholders and what shares do they own? See Group Structure in this chapter.
- 120 -
Group structures
Shareholders and proposed venture
There are numerous methods of drawing up and explaining organisation diagrams. The first method is to
have a diagram which highlights the existing group and shareholder structure and proposed structure for
the new venture.
The following diagram highlights this. Note, however, that it is up to the entrepreneur what he
adds to the diagram. Again, this is not a means of negotiating a deal with a lender, but a way of
highlighting your existing structure and future growth - the reason why you drew up the business plan.
100%
ABC BANKS
J & X Industrials
100%
Subsidiary A
SHAREHOLDERS
75%
Subsidiary B
51%
100%
Chairman: X. Ronald
Subsidiary D
Financial director: A. Jones
MD: D. Jones
Explanation:
The diagram shows who the ultimate shareholder is. Being a well respected bank, through its own
industrial subsidiary, provides a base for other support. The lender would look at the structure and
know that their support for the group's ventures was a safety net during recessionary conditions.
It highlights Jones & X Holding's subsidiary, J & X Industrial's, venture into the print media. It
intends to keep control of the venture through a 51 percent holding, but is offering the remainder of
the shares to a select number of shareholders.
The diagram highlights proposed management structure for the new venture.
- 121 -
UK Investments
60%
58%
SA Banks Limited
100%
MacHolds
40%
Pioneer Books
Printers
Funny
Comics
40%
10%
33,3%
33%
80%
50%
75%
50%
Magazines
33,3%
20%
Comics
Fincancial books
25%
50%
J & X Industrials
ABC BANKS
Explanation:
There are three main competitors - Time And Leisure Holdings, Thor Books and J & X Industrials for the proposed venture to acquire Holden Books
Each of the competitors have local market share, but none in foreign markets.
The diagram shows the three companies shareholdings of the main markets, foreign books, text books,
magazines, comics and financial books.
The advantage of this diagram over the previous one is that it shows the lender there is urgency in
coming to a decision to fund the project.
- 122 -
Location
In this part of the business plan, you have to define what you will use your premises for, state
reasons for having them there and outline factors which influence your decision.
A business address is important for a multitude of reasons, not all of them financial. This part of the
chapter aims to highlight some of the more crucial elements in choosing premises. The one reason seldom
mentioned in text books is the snob value of having offices in "expensive" areas. The "right" address
often impresses lenders, simply because some believe that if you can afford expensive office suites, then
you must surely know how to run a business. There is, in fact, a grain of truth in this somewhat arrogant
statement.
In South Africa, with its volatile political and socio-economic climate, many top businessmen
refuse to hold meetings in areas they consider unsafe. This may only be their personal views - and often
incorrect as political upheaval can take place anywhere and at any time - but they are valid in that they
will only deal in those areas. In addition, many businessmen will not fund or be part of ventures where the
factory or manufacturing plant is situated in these unsafe areas. Therefore, when selecting premises, talk
to estate agents and get them to find suitable accommodation - not too expensive, but with some snob
value, i.e. those areas which are considered safe (See Chapter 3). The following three tables highlight the
main areas that have to be covered under this section of the business plan. Each question has to be
answered for each product or service you intend to produce and sell.
Site of business
Depending on the type of business you intend to operate, you may need to separate the head office from
the plant, or have different legal and State requirements to fulfill. Obviously, the more sites you have, the
more complex the communication network becomes and the more expensive it is for the directors to visit
the different divisions of the group. Entrepreneurs starting out in business usually find it easier and less
expensive to have the head office and plant at the same site.
However, this is not always possible. If your plant has to be placed near a river, for instance, but
your main clients are in the metropolitan areas, then you may be forced to have the plant outside town and
the head office in the city centre.
SITE OF BUSINESS
- 123 -
Pre-requisites
Have you undertaken a thorough inspection of all legal requirements? Are you sure you have all the
correct documents signed and sealed before you undertake the expense of moving machinery onto the
premises? Here is where you have to consult experts (see Chapter 3), including lawyers, estate agents and
quantity surveyors and conclude contracts, check on safety and other State requirements etc. Have you
asked the local municipalities whether they have any intention of building a road through your proposed
business? That the required telephone lines are already in place, that the area has all necessary roads, gas
works, electricity etc.? Answer the following questions for each of your proposed premises.
PRE-REQUISITES
Financial Considerations
What are your forecasts for the future of the area in which you have decided to do business? If you
believe the area has growth potential, it may be better to buy the property than to rent. This would be an
investment, but it would tie up capital. One way to solve the problem of renting and then not having
future lease contracts renewed, is to negotiate with a property company to acquire the property (in full or
in part) and to lease the location to you for a pre-determined period of time. Include an option to renew or
to buy. Answer the following questions and then refer these to experts for verification.
FINANCIAL CONSIDERATIONS
What will the monthly bond payments be if you buy the property? What will the rental be if
leased?
What insurance and other policies will be required to maintain the premises in good condition?
If leased, when do the contracts run out and do you have an option to re-new or buy?
CHAPTER SUMMARY: Together with Chapters 6, 7 and 8, this chapter sets the basis for the
final section of the business plan. The lender now understands who you are, what you are
planning to sell, how you will market this, where you will be based, what your group structure
will be and who will run your business. The final chapter outlines how all this will be financed.
- 124 -
No alternative
As stated before, financial information must cover at least three years, no matter how small or
large the proposed enterprise is. This is not a simple task, but it is important if you are to get a
lender to part with enough funds to set up and maintain your business.
Business analysts understand that new entrepreneurs find it difficult to sit down and draw up boring
financial statements, particularly when there is no financial history. Like all brilliant ideas, the
entrepreneur wants to be out there, operating and managing and making money. But first things first - a
few financial figures stated for a few months is simply not good enough to get venture capitalists to give
your business plan more than a cursory glance.
The idea of business is long-term survival and prosperity and not a short-term, get rich quick
scheme. It would be very easy to establish a company to sell informal sector-type goods and to make a
profit over a few months. After all, you could get all your friends and relatives to buy your products, but
can you survive for one year? What about two years? If your company is successful, will competitors
enter the market and saturate demand? Will the product sell as well in the winter months as it did during
the high demand before the Christmas holidays?
Another reason for a three-year forecast is that most new firms take time to reach break-even and
then produce a profit. Start-up costs may take months to recoup, so your business plan should show that
profits can be made within this three-year period, or lenders will also lose interest. Smaller businesses
should make a profit by Year 2, while larger businesses should break even in that year.
By Year 3 all viable firms should show a profit. To sum up, in Year 1 you are expected to make a
loss as you absorb start-up costs, break-even in Year 2 and make a profit in Year 3. To reflect this in
financial statements takes considerable expertise, therefore it is suggested that once you have collected all
relevant information, hand it to a financial consultant who can pull the statements together. Do this before
approaching potential investors and lenders, as it may take time for him to complete the statements.
If you approach a lender first, he would expect you to deliver the completed business plan within a
specified time. If the consultant cannot complete the statements before the due date, it would reflect a lack
of professionalism.
General information
New entrepreneurs must outline general financial data before drawing up financial statements, as they do
not have a financial history. For existing entrepreneurs, the financial history must be outlined. However,
both entrepreneurs must present a plan showing how they intend to obtain required capital and what they
estimate their return on capital will be. For listed companies, say what the effect will be on the share price
and how an increase in the number of shares issued will affect (dilute) future dividend payments.
It is crucial when trying to attract new investment that you do not alienate existing investors, who
are concerned that the future value and liquidity of their investments will be affected by new investment.
You can address their concerns by holding a General Meeting to discuss the expansion or entry into new
projects. You could also make an offer to existing shareholders first - as would be done by a listed
company. The following table highlights the type of questions that have to be answered when drawing up
a general financial information profile.
- 125 -
much?
Provide the split between equity and debt. Give a breakdown of each, outlining terms and
conditions established.
How will you use these funds? Provide a breakdown, i.e. for capital expenditure, working
capital, repayment of debt, acquisition of new machinery or new project funding.
Do you plan to list your company? When?
Financial Data
This part of the business plan is the financial picture of all information presented in the other sections of
the plan and details five financial statements that have to be presented . These are historical financial
statements and projections for the next three years:
STATEMENT
MEANING OF STATEMENT
Income statement (Also It reflects revenue (sales and interest received from money in the bank)
called a Profit and Loss and expenditure paid during the year - made up of actual amounts paid
account)
(not incurred), e.g. owed R100 for repairs, but paid R90. The latter figure
would be stated in Income Statement.
This profit and loss statement is broken down by month for the first year
and annually for the second and third years.
Balance sheet
This is a statement of assets and liabilities, i.e. what assets you have and
how these were funded. It is a "picture" of the firm's financial strength at
the end of each year. The figures reflected in the balance sheet are
amounts actually owing and not paid, e.g. repairs owing R100 at the
beginning of Year 1. R80 paid during Year 1, so the balance sheet
amount at the end of Year 1 = R20.
This is another name for Source of funds and Application (use) of funds.
It reflects flow of cash, e.g. Repairs owed = R100 in Year 1. During the
year R80 is paid (R20 in cash and R60 with credit) - affect on cash flow
in Year 1 = R20.
Capital budgets
Set out a statement outlining requirements for equipment and other assets
and how they will be paid.
Break-even point
- 126 -
Assumptions
This section is a precursor to the financial statements and is important as it gives the lender an
understanding on how you derived the figures. These assumptions should reflect your understanding of
the market and how you will participate in that market. Some business analysts will insist on three
financial scenarios. The "best case," "the worst case," and the "most likely case," financial forecast.
However, one does not have unlimited space in writing a business plan, so it would be better to undertake
the three forecasts, but only include the "most likely case" in the plan.
The meaning of the three types of forecasts is:
FORECAST SCENARIOS
The best case scenario is when all factors are positive, i.e. you believe there will not be political
upheaval, interest rate hikes, sanctions or other negative market forces during the period of your
forecast. This is an optimistic outlook, but does set a ceiling on the maximum profit or loss that
you expect to incur during the period under review.
The worst case prediction looks at operating in a market where everything that can go wrong does
go wrong, which could include violence exceeding acceptable limits, demand for goods will drop
and the economic cycle will stagnate. This pessimistic outlook is unrealistic, but sets a minimum
floor for forecasts.
The most likely case scenario is somewhere in-between the best and worst cases. It is more
realistic and takes cognisance of the economic, political, financial and fundamental factors as
outlined n Part One of this book in analysing and determining forecasts.
Use the following guidelines to draw up key assumptions for your prospective financial statements.
Always err on the side of caution. It is better to understate profit projections than to be optimistic
and end up incorrect and place doubt on all your other projections and projects.
Say less. The more you say, the more things can go wrong. This is a general principle used by many
analysts in forecasting company results.
Check your sources, market surveys and all data on which you base your assumptions to determine
your financial forecast.
Refer to and do not repeat assumptions made in other sections of the business plan, i.e. the sales
forecast (in Chapter 8) and the personnel plan (Chapter 9).
State the projected financial statements (income statements, cash flow and balance sheet) for the first
12 months and for the next two years.
- 127 -
State the month and year you intend to start your company
sheet)
Commission rates (used to calculate commissions costs in the Sales and Marketing Expenses)
Collection days
Split between cash and credit sales
Inventory turnover
6. Tax rates (used to calculate taxes in the profit and loss analysis)
For existing companies, plug in past performance data. This will enable the entrepreneur to
compare his projected plans to past performance and draw up Financial Comparison Charts (See
Chapter 8).
There are five sections which follow the assumptions and draw on figures highlighted in previous
chapters. These are the pro-forma Income Statement to outline your projected profit and loss for Years 1,
2 and 3, the balance sheet, cash flow, financial ratios and the last section is a break-even analysis.
Notes
1993
Months 1 - 12
1994
1995
Turnover
2605
6100
Operating profit
Net interest received
2
3
198
1
463
42
199
-10
505
118
209
-45
380
-93
Attributable income
164
287
76
160
76
60
100
88
138
127
22
226
149
Other appropriations
Transfers to non-distributable reserve
Dividends
- 128 -
- 129 -
The entrepreneur must understand that the above statement and notes are merely an definition of how to
calculate the figures - it is not an accounting textbook explanation, but a means of helping the
entrepreneur to gather information so his accountant can draw up the relevant financial books. Before you
move on to the Balance Sheet, make sure the following figures have been checked:
Wages & salaries (Personnel Plan) are used in the income statement. These must include
Administrative Expenses.
If necessary, enter additional cost of sales assumptions (other than those in the Sales Forecast) in the
income statement.
Use Cost of Sales to calculate Gross Margin [ Sales - Cost of Sales]. Acceptable gross margins depend
entirely on type, size and nature of your industry, but make sure your company has similar ratios to
close competitors.
Enter other general and administrative expenses - other than salaries - under Operating Expenses. If
you use an Income Statement add a "Note" to Operating Income and then add an explanation of how
you derived the total figure. Operating expenses include water and electricity, rent, stationery and
telephone accounts.
Once operating expenses has been calculated, interest expenses and tax expense items are the next two
items to be subtracted. Make sure the rates in assumptions have not been changed in the Statement "to
make figures fit."
On the one side, state how your capital has been obtained (employed). This is how you have funded
your business and consists of capital and loans.
The second part of the Balance Sheet consists of how you have used (employed) the capital. These
are the investments you have made, fixed assets you have bought and working capital (current assets
less current liabilities).
Gather the net, updated value of all your assets (remember to state what depreciation method you intend
to use) and hand all these figures to your financial expert, who will draw up not only the accounts, but
also the important notes to the financial statements. He will do them in the prescribed accounting method.
An example of a Balance Sheet is outlined on the next page.
- 130 -
1994
1995
790
9
304
1870
9
531
1103
2
265
2410
3
253
Total
1370
2666
EMPLOYMENT OF CAPITAL
Fixed assets & Investments
1039
1539
1419
2246
1000
419
1136
1110
1088
1119
10
633
377
68
50
804
151
114
1370
2666
CAPITAL EMPLOYED
Share capital and premium
Non-distributable reserve
Distributable reserve
Ordinary shareholders interest
Minorities
Long-term liabilities
Current assets
Stock
Accounts receivable
Current liabilities
Bank overdraft and short-term loans
Accounts payable
Taxation
Dividends due to shareholders
Total
increases in capital and liabilities generate cash, i.e. capital refers to shares issued, new
partners' contributions among others, while liabilities refer to an increase in long-term
loans
increases in assets absorb cash, i.e. purchase of vehicles, buildings and equipment
- 131 -
Cash flows are divided into two sections, but the structure is only laid down by law for listed companies.
The first example is a better form for the entrepreneur who is just starting out in business, while the
second is more conventional and is used by companies with a profit history.
1996
Net Profit
1,000
PLUS:
60
Depreciation
10
Accounts payable
10
10
10
10
Capital input
10
Sub-total
1,060
50
LESS:
Accounts Receivable
10
Stock
10
10
Capital Expenditure
10
10
Dividends
11
10
1,010
NOTES - FORM 1
Notes
Explanation
Function of first part of cash flow: All cash items that do not show on a profit and loss account, i.e.
depreciation, new capital and loans - are added to Net Profit
Depreciation
Other liabilities
New capital
- 132 -
- 133 -
Explanation
The second section of cash flow: subtracts items that absorb cash, i.e. purchase of assets absorbs cash,
while sale of assets generates cash
Change in accounts receivable
Sales shown in profit and loss account, but cash not yet
received, i.e. should thus be subtracted from cash flow
8/9
Capital expenditure
10
Payments of dividends
11
1996
10,370
1
Investment income
Utilised to increase working capital
1,000
2
-300
3
-10
10,990
Finance costs
Taxation paid
10,000
-200
10,490
-120
-596
505
-45
550
-1101
-300
-480
Patents purchased
-321
9,774
-17,000
10
2,000
11
5226
Cash utilised
-9,774
- 134 -
Explanation
1
Taxation paid
Dividend paid
Add the book value of assets sold and the profit (subtract
losses) made on the sale
Long-term loans
Short-term loans
10
Rights issue
11
Financial Ratios
The use of ratios tends to get vehement reaction form entrepreneurs and financial experts alike. They are
either seen as a means of building up financial models and solving problems when they arise or are
dismissed as useless and dangerous. The latter surfaces because different ratios apply to various industries
and businesses, depending on the nature of the business. However, the use of ratios can be useful if
assumptions on their application are set out first.
The general principle is to look at ratios for a particular industry and a specific company within
that industry over a period of time. You can then assess a company within its own industry and can, with
reasonable accuracy, determine the financial strength of the company. It is important to look at the ratios
and changes to those ratios over at least a three-year period. This is how the business analyst determines
whether it would be feasible to invest in a company.
While there are a multitude of financial ratios available to entrepreneurs, only the standard ones
are explained in this book.
Profitability
Return to equity or return on investment (ROI) is one of the indicators the lender would look at first. The
lender looks at the yield and compares this with other investments at his disposal. If your company does
not yield more than the relatively risk free bond rate, the lender is likely to advise you to sell your
business and place the money in better, higher yielding investments. Return on assets and net profit
- 135 -
margin provides a solid basis to compare your company with others in the industry and gives a fair
evaluation of how the company has performed and how it will perform in the future.
Ratio
Calculation
Activity
If your company cannot collect its debt within an acceptable time, either the quality of debtors - the
method you use to select who gets credit - is weak or your collection methods are inefficient. It is
generally considered excellent if your administrative staff can collect debt within one month. Two months
is considered adequate, but three months and longer places the debt in a "bad debt" situation. The length
of time it takes to collect debt varies between industries, but 90 days or longer can be considered a
problem for any business.
Financial analysts calculate the average time it takes to collect debt by using a businesss sales on
credit and accounts receivable balance. However, when drawing up a set of financial statements, it is up
to the entrepreneur to insert his own collection period - one he believes he will achieve - in pre-financial
statement assumptions. Entrepreneurs should remember that when the average collection period is
increased, you effectively are decreasing the cash you would receive monthly. The opposite would
increase the cash received.
The accounts payable days calculations are opposite to the collection days. As the payment period
increases, so cash outflow drops. There is a simple method to determine realistic payment days - ask
yourself: how many days, on average, do you wait to pay accounts that are due? If you use this
assumption to determine most general concepts, you are bound to be quite near the mark.
Ratio
Accounts
Calculation
receivable Accounts receivable [Turnover 365]
days
Days sales outstanding
Explanation
An
collection
[Accounts receivable x 360] Turnover
Stock turn
An
payment
Total assets turnover
but
retailers
have
high
- 136 -
Debt
This highlights a company's ability to pay its debt. It is particular important to lenders and - for listed
companies - shareholders. The higher the debt relative to its equity base, the higher the risk of a company
defaulting on debt repayments, i.e. the higher the debt, the higher the interest bill.
Ratio
Calculation
Liquidity
These are all measures of the overall financial position of a company and its ability to pay short-term debt
out of current income and is, therefore, important to lenders. While there are various reliable methods to
test liquidity, many business analysts believe the acid test is the most reliable measure of a companys
ability to pay all its obligations without problems.
Ratio
Calculation
Current
adjusted
asset
Explanation
ratio Current assets (short-term Used for small businesses, to allow debts
liabilities + owner debt)
owed to founders
Quick
ratios
(also [Current assets - stock] Liquidity means ability to convert from
called Acid Test Ratio) short-term liabilities
asset to cash - inventory is often difficult to
convert, it is thus is considered a better
measure of liquidity
Quick ratio adjusted
Net working
adjusted
Interest cover
- 137 -
Factor
Calculation
Formula
Cost of sales total Fixed Cost [Unit Price - Unit Variables Costs]
units sold
It is difficult to draw assumptions as there are no obvious figures which can be easily read from a
financial statement. You have to take annual estimates of the first year (sales or operating profit whatever you are trying to calculate) and divides these figures by 12 to assess monthly fixed expenses.
Even this figure is not the accurate fixed cost figure, but it can be used to determine a break-even point.
Once this has been done, break-even points can be determined for any month or year. The following
example is a break-even analysis of a new company's first 12 months of operation. Note, no sales were
made in the first month.
The following has been calculated from assumptions and financial data:
Fixed costs
=
R15,000
Variable unit costs
=
R100
Unit price
=
R1000
Profits
=
Sale income - (units sold x unit variable cost) - Fixed costs
Operations
Units sold
Sales income
Profit
MONTHS
1
0
0
-15,000
2
2
2000
-13,200
3
4
4000
-11,400
4
6
6000
-9,600
5
8
8000
-7,800
6
10
10000
-6,000
7
12
12000
-4,200
8
14
14000
-2,400
9
16
16000
-600
10
18
18000
1,200
11
20
20000
3,000
12
22
22000
4,800
Break-even calculation:
Break-even (monthly)
Units Break-even
Calculation
=
Fixed Cost
[Unit
price
[ R1,000
900
=
R15,000
100]
=
R15,000
=
16,67
= Fixed Cost
[1
- (Unit Variables Cost Unit Price)]
Sales Break-even
= R15,000
[1
(R100 R1,000)
= R15,000
[1
R0,10 ]
= R15,000
0.9
= R16,667
It takes + 9 months to break-even, i.e. 16,67 items are sold & sales income = R16,667
- 138 -
The above calculations are graphically displayed in the following two charts:
-2
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
-4
-6
-8
Units sold
16.67
-10
-12
-14
-16
Unit sales
R16,667
-10000
-12000
-14000
-16000
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
Sales (Rands)
18000
20000
22000
- 139 -
CHAPTER SUMMARY: The Financial Plan is the last section to be assessed by venture
capitalists and other lenders. It is the essence of the business plan and, as such, must reflect how
much the venture will cost. It must include how and when profits are expected (profit and loss
account) and when the company will break-even. The company's financial profile must also be
reflected.
PART 3
A SAMPLE PLAN
- 140 -
- 141 -
The business plan is being drawn up for a company called Van Rykes Investment Holdings (Pty)
Ltd. This is an electronics company that produces industry-specific electronic components called
SilicoFonts, which has a different microchip structure from standard SilicoFonts. Its main clients
are Building & Construction companies that supply raw building materials to rural areas.
The development department has allocated the task of the plan to analyst Peter Sommers, who is
responsible for reviewing and updating the business plan according to the Rhine Portfolio's board of
directors' objectives and targets. This company is the major shareholder of Van Rykes. The analysis
is for the second quarter of 1996 and the plan has to be submitted by the end of May 1996.
The business plan has to be submitted to Mr Robert Plains, the chief executive of Rhine Portfolios.
This company controls 53 percent of Van Rykes Investments shares.
The company has had phenomenal growth in the past year, due to strong capital inflows into the
Building & Construction industry from government initiatives to build 300,000 new homes a year
in rural areas. In addition, the economic upswing has reached the investment stage of the cycle, with
demand for new offices and homes surpassing Van Rykes's expectations.
The second quarter forecasts have to be reviewed in view of higher than expected demand in the
first quarter.
- 142 -
Assembling data
Before the business analyst can start reviewing Van Rykes's objectives, the following information has to
be obtained:
Forecasts of the latest economic trends and the effect of such trends on Van Rykes
Investment and the Building & Construction sector.
Undertake an analysis of political trends, i.e. will government's focus on building homes in
rural areas finally take off?
Discussions were held with Van Rykes and Rhine Portfolio directors to assess new target
objectives, which included fundamental factors that could affect the firm and target markets,
technical factors (new competitive products coming onto the market), financial forecasts, ratio
analysis and risk-to-return profiles.
Market, sales and employee trends were reassessed. The development department has
access to international markets and other information via the Internet and full use is made of
these systems. In addition, the department has direct contacts with stockbrokers' research
departments, government-controlled statistics (at provincial level) and others, such as Central
Statistical Services.
Financial forecasts have been reassessed for the second quarter of 1996. These include the
balance sheet, income statement, cash flow and ratio analysis.
Structure of report
A number of objectives have to be fulfilled and outlined in the report. These include:
Word
structure
directors.
Writing in a simple form does not mean that you have to be patronising.
Layout
Contents
- 143 -
Use a logical approach to analysis, i.e. the report must be structured so that any item
can be accessed without more than a cursory search
Information must be clear, yet concise - market surveys can always be handed in to
venture capitalists on demand
Make full use of tables and graphs to break up text.
Make effective use of Appendices.
Cover page
Name of the company being analysed - Van Rykes Investment Holdings (Pty.) Ltd.
Title should reflect the aim of the report, i.e. revision of business objectives.
Sub-title - For the second quarter of 1996.
Names - who wrote the report and the name of the person the report is submitted to.
Date - when the report is submitted.
Main body
Introduction. Outlines who the principal players are, the nature of the report and the
peculiarities involved in producing the report.
Table of contents facilitates easy access to various sections of the report.
Executive summary should follow the table of contents. This provides the reader
with a quick reference to the contents of the document.
Company Profile provides a succinct overview of the company being assessed
Other
The report should be typed on a 1.5 times spacing, with clear fonts
While the structure is important, it must always be uppermost in your mind that information is continually
changing and, therefore, the business plan will have to be upgraded and changed over time. The lender's
first impression of a company business plan is crucial, but ultimately the entrepreneur must show that the
plan is a starting point for his business and not a once-off means to obtain venture capital. The following
text is a sample report to the directors of Van Rykes Investments and Rhine Portfolios.
NOTE:
The following report is only a sample - the company and
its "product" are fictitious. The example does not
purport to have all the answers, but shows what a report
should look like, i.e. figures are fictitious and financial
books do not correspond.
- 144 -
Submitted to:
Submitted by:
Date:
- 145 -
Introduction
This report was written after extensive discussions with the directors of Rhine Portfolios, VRI, our
economic division, political consultants and engineers. Recent political upheaval in urban areas,
particularly in KwaZulu/Natal and in the Eastern Cape, has placed pressure on building supplies to these
areas, which indirectly affects demand for our product. These factors are taken into account in reviewing
this company's business objectives for the second quarter of 1996.
Van Rykes Investment is an important constituent in major shareholder Rhine Portfolios group
structure. The extent of cross directorship in both companies leaves little doubt that Rhine intends to
continue imposing its will on the company. In the past year, this control has been illustrated in strong
directorship and maintenance of business plan targets.
Business development believes that Van Rykes's engineering division - income is derived from
sales to the Building & Construction companies - will continue to perform well into the year ahead, but
expectations are being downgraded for this period. The Building and Construction Index displayed a
phenomenal 80 percent compound annual growth to April 1996, while the Overall Index climbed by just
over 50%. Growth in the Building & Construction Index was 30 percent higher than expected, thus the
downgrade for the second quarter.
INDUSTRIAL SECTORS
IN PERCENTAGE TERMS
'95 - '96
'94 - '93
'93 - '92
194
89
22
Manganese
157
39
80
38
11
Coal
79
50
21
Investment Trusts
71
Stores
57
32
Mining Houses
55
14
50
27
46
13
Mining Holdings
39
-2
Objective:
To review the strengths & weaknesses of VRI and to update the business plan.
Structure of report:
Assumes not all directors have seen VRI previous business plans, so this report is a
full plan, written to include updates. It was therefore necessary to take all factors
into account, including VRI's recent performance, economic variables, fundamental,
ratio and technical factors. All the information is used to assess the group's future
potential and to update financial forecasts.
Timeframe:
Outlines factors that could affect VRI's finances for the second quarter of 1996.
CONTENTS
- 146 -
PAGE
Introduction
Executive Summary
143
145
Company Profile
Product history
Location and facilities
Financial profile
146
146
146
147
Technology
147
Product
Description
Competitive advantages
Product sourcing
Research & Development
147
147
148
148
149
Market Analysis
Industry analysis
Participants
Market segmentation
The economic environment
Distribution channels
Keys to success
Main competitors
Market forecast
149
149
149
150
150
150
151
151
152
Strategies
Marketing strategy
Sales strategy
Assumptions and strategies
Sales forecast
Milestones & Schedules
152
153
154
154
155
155
The organisation
Structure
Management
Personnel plan
156
156
156
156
Financial Profile
Assumptions
Forecast
157
157
157
Appendices
1. VRI Promotional Schedule
2. Market Forecast
3. Sales Forecast
4. Time Table
5. Personnel Plan
6. Financial Forecast
A. Income Statement
B. Balance Sheet
C. Cash Flows
158
158
159
160
161
162
163
163
164
165
Executive Summary
- 147 -
VRI
produces
industry-specific
electronic
components
called
Objective
potential
&
Sales
Organisation
Financial Data
- 148 -
Company Profile
VRI develops and manufactures microchips for the building and construction sector. It was formed by
Van Rykes as a private company in Johannesburg in 1982. Two years later, he formed a partnership with
Burt Blank. Following Blank's death in 1993, Van Rykes continued operations for a further two years
before selling a majority stake to Rhine Portfolios.
It has two major shareholders, namely founder John Van Rykes and Rhine Portfolios. There are
several minority shareholders, who also sit on the board of Rhine Portfolios. They are:
Product history
Location
Headquarters
Factory
assembly
plants
Utility
Owned by VRI
Rental at R20pm per
month. Renewal in October
1999.
20,000
Owned by VRI
21
55,000
St
Road,Port Elizabeth
- 149 -
Financial profile
This chart highlights historic turnover, operating profit and profit margin for the years 1993 to 1995.
1,00
Net profit
0.80
Cash Flow
0.60
0.40
0.20
0
1993
1994
1995
The appendix includes basic financial data for the past three years, including income statements, sources
and uses of cash, balance sheets and financial ratios.
Technology
For competitive reasons, no details are provided in this report regarding the technical aspects of how
the product is manufactured.
Some detail and confidential product information will be made available to lenders on signing loan
agreements.
All relevant patents, trademarks and copyrights have been obtained in South Africa and in countries we
expect to operate in the near term , i.e. India, the US and Canada.
Product
Description
During 1995, VRI developed two new versions of its product. Demand for the different versions came
when problems surfaced in installing the product under different atmospheric altitudes. The three versions
of the SilicoFonts are:
- 150 -
Heatless Microchip
Competitive advantages
The VRI products include several important features that set them apart from other products which may
be considered competitive:
Quality
Delivery
time
Follow up
service
Excellent
Excellent
Excellent
1,000.00 Local
Micro-processors
889.00 Local
Good
Good
Excellent
Software Place
995.00 Local
Poor
Average
Poor
XYZ Limited
1,000.00 Imported
Poor
Excellent
Good
Age-old Computers
Excellent
Excellent
None
1,255.00 Imported
Excellent
Poor
Poor
Note to readers:
Make sure "notes to tables" are included to state why you are set apart from competitors
Product Sourcing
VRI develops, manufactures, assembles and ships its own products. It uses local contractors, employees,
materials and services. All documentation and print materials are sub-contracted to AP Jones Printers, but
plans are underway to print all materials in-house from 1997.
- 151 -
Term
Plans
Short to medium-term
Long-term
Market Analysis
The microchip market was worth about R10,5 billion per annum at end 1995. We forecast a minimum
growth in this market of 15 percent a year, which has been calculated by our in-house industrial and
development team in association with political and economic consultants. The VRI Association, a
division of Rhine Portfolios, estimates total sales of R15 billion in 1996, of which 70 percent market
share is taken up by standard microchips. Our prediction for 1996 is a 23 percent market share, up from
18 percent in 1995. We forecast further inroads into market share of up to 37 percent in 1997 and further
in the long term.
Present market leaders are Jones Corporation, KK International, Landon Software and Jackson
Corporation. However, the industry is changing as demand for homes increase. Present systems are
unable to cope and it is for this reason that VRI has grown so quickly.
Industry Analysis
Consists of outlining who the market participants are, market segmentation, an overview of the economic
environment and distribution channels.
Participants
Industrial microchips for home electrification are new and an almost untouched industry in South Africa.
Little research has been conducted overseas, so VRI forecasts high growth rates, high barriers to entry
internationally and few competitors in this new field for the short to near term. The industry has only been
in operation since VRI founder explored and developed the product between 1982 and 1992. It only came
to the fore when Rhine Portfolios saw its potential and bought a major stake in the company, providing
funds to develop and manufacture the microchip.
- 152 -
The following table displays market participants and the technology they use:
Participants
Technology
VRI
Market share
23%
field
Jones Corporation
40%
KK International
10%
Landon Software
12%
Jackson Corporation
8%
Market Segmentation
The microchip industry is renowned for its fast pace and competitive forces. It is usually a matter of time
before competitors enter a new market and improve on it. To assess the potential of new competitors
entering the VRI MicroFont market, the economics environment and buying patterns were assessed as
these incorporate product type differences in a practical manner.
The economic environment
Large companies are continuously emerging with power to become major threats for small companies.
Unfortunately, these new electronic firms seldom become giants. They are usually swallowed up by the
main players, but not before there are a lot of losers left behind.
Despite the host of new companies trying to enter this sector, it is not a concentrated market. Even
the largest companies report low net revenues, with only four companies controlling 70 percent of the
market. Another 10 additional companies control the remaining seven percent and they have incomes of
less than R70,000 a year.
Developing a new product costs in time and substantial funds, with no guarantee that the result
will be successful. Marketing costs that follow are high and it generally takes a large corporate brother to
continually fund the project to fruition. As such, the "big boys" grow stronger, with better channels of
communication and distribution networks. Their products become known in the market and consumers
favour these products as they perceive that they are better, simply because they are known quantities.
For a competitor to break into a new market, perseverance, dedication and a keen belief in the
product is a priority. Therefore, the composite financial performance of these market leaders is usually
better than for smaller companies. However, the advantages for newcomers are low fixed overheads, few
employees and marketing costs.
Distribution Channels
Changing political attitudes, new trends of non-payment for services rendered in rural areas, the
inaccessibility of roads and difficulties in delivering materials have caused serious supply bottlenecks.
These factors affect delivery of our products to the building and construction industry, which has told us
that orders will remain low until these problems are ironed out.
In addition to problems stated above, VRI has suffered from a further slowdown in demand. These
problems are outlined on the next page.
- 153 -
Buyers want brand names, so they demand standard microchips. Selling and promotional costs have
thus been high. However, using Rhine Portfolio distribution networks has expedited delivery of
SilicoFonts and has proved to be efficient and cost effective
While buyers prefer brand names, once persuaded that a product works well and saves time and
money, they tend to change their minds and start a cycle of referrals. VRI has already benefited by
referrals, as highlighted by an increase in market share.
Keys to success
VRI has four keys to its success. These are:
Unique product
Cost effective, saves time and easily installed, hard wearing and can be sold
internationally
Management
The company produces and delivers on time, has excellent follow through
customer support
Product quality
Since its inception, 300,000 homes have been built with the SilicoFont
electrification method and less than one percent have been returned due to a
manufacturing fault
Marketing
Team can sort out channel problems and barriers to entry quickly and
efficiently
Main Competitors
VRI has started a new era in microchips and intends to become the market leader in this new technology.
Our competition comes only from manufacturers of standard microchips. A complete SWOT
analysis has been undertaken and this is available on demand. However, only the strengths and
weaknesses of our main competitors are outlined on the following page:
COMPETITORS
STRENGTHS
KK International
Too simplistic
Cannot be used in extreme
business forecasting.
Most successful product is
BusChip
established
among partnerships
WEAKNESSES
- 154 -
COMPETITORS
STRENGTHS
Landon Software
WEAKNESSES
Tend
people
Company provides solid
back-up service
Used by local authorities
to
break
down
in
clients
NOTE TO READERS
A COMPLETE SWOT ANALYSIS IS IMPORTANT FOR EACH COMPETITOR
Market Forecast
General market analysis was carried out and the final forecast displayed:
The largest growth segment is in the rural home industry and this projected an annual grow rate of at
least 15 percent in 1994. An unchanged growth rate has been forecast for 1995 and 1996. This
represents a total market value of R15 billion or an annual growth of R2,25 billion per annum.
The market forecast table is included in the Appendices and is based on the following important
assumptions:
MARKET ASSUMPTIONS
Continued growth in the South African economy. VRI does not expect any significant fluctuation in
stock markets, interest rates and political violence
No unexpected entrance of new competitors into the SilicoFont market
No unexpected production cost increases
Little or no labour unrest
Strategies
The main strategies include marketing and sales, which are based on:
STRATEGY ASSUMPTIONS
To remain market leaders by expanding the existing product into new spheres
VRI's marketing and sales strategies are based on customer care with quick and efficient service
The rural home industry remains our niche market, but other markets are being explored
- 155 -
Marketing Strategy
Strategy starts with general assumptions, followed by an assessment of target markets, pricing strategies,
product promotion and distribution and an outline of marketing programmes.
To continue to use television and radio to market the product. To use newspapers in the future
Promotional methods include strong public relations from Rhine Portfolios
VRI will continue to focus marketing locally, but in 1997 will enter the international market
VRI will continue to offer strong 24-hour product support
All three of VRI's products will be marketed equally from 1997
Pricing strategy
The price remains competitive, but market perception must still accept
that the new technology is superior to present standards
VRI products are priced low enough to attract new buyers, and, once
captured, should retain these clients
In the long term, VRI has plans to use ABC Consulting to generate sales
volume. Their royalty fee for each 1000 products sold will represent a 0,1
percent increase on present prices
Promotion Strategy
Long-term goals: To leverage the product line into urban and corporate
industries, and to enter the overseas market. VRI intends to achieve this in
two ways:
1. Through our strong public relations services
2. Television and radio advertising and a promotion to financial
journalists
- 156 -
The one area that has still to be addressed is VRI's corporate image. There
is too much secrecy surrounding the company. Plans are underway to
draw up a marketing programme to iron out this problem
VRI's promotions department is planning a new programme to market
SilicoFonts overseas, and completion is expected by the end of 1997
Direct mail promotion is being considered, but no programme has been
drawn up
Sales Strategy
Assumptions and strategies
The overall sales strategy is first outlined, followed by more specific plans:
VRI's product is sold through a sales force, but plans are underway to use Rhine's distribution
network to move products to end-users. This will facilitate the expansion of the department or
sourcing all sales to a consultant firm. No plans have yet been decided on
Nearly all sales are to building and construction companies at present, but corporate clients will be
targeted from 1997
All sales take place only after contracts have been signed. No product is sold to individuals
Sales Programme
- 157 -
Pricing Strategy
Sales force
All clients are charged the same price per product, but new policies will
take discounts for mass sales into consideration
All personnel are full-time employees of VRI, but future plans are to
possibly source out sales.
There are 18 employees.
Each sales team is expected to complete five appointments per day. This
has been consistently achieved over the past year as the team is thorough
and persistent.
Distribution channels
Sales forecast
See Appendices
- 158 -
The Organisation
Structure
VRI is organised into a number of main divisions. These include:
Divisions
Responsibility
Product development
Business development
Corporate finance
Management
The following text highlights the main directors of VRI and areas where management needs improving.
Position
Age
Qualification
Details
Chairman
52
CA (SA)
Founder
Harry Rhine
Managing director
49
B.Com
Ken Show
General manager
60
B.Dip
Don Law
Financial director
45
B.A (Lit)
Peter Gag
Company secretary
40
CA (SA)
James Cohen
Political consultant
39
BA (Politics)
Kerry Johnson
Corporate lawyer
55
B.Juris LLB
MANAGEMENT PROBLEMS
The present team needs a sales director to manage and control sales
Business development needs experienced analysts
A lack of engineers and scientists has slowed down the pace of development of SilicoFonts into
new areas
Personnel Plan
See Appendices
VRI does not hire personnel often. This is due to good pay scales, which tend to create a loyal and
focused team. Short-term personnel plans are directed at finding a sales director, who will draw up a plan
for a sales staff to tackle overseas markets. This plan will be highlighted in the next business plan.
- 159 -
Financial Profile
Consists of assumptions to forecast and the forecast, i.e. revision of financial performance for the second
quarter of 1996.
Assumptions
ASSUMPTIONS
We want to finance growth mainly through cash flow, which will lead to a slowdown in growth,
therefore the revision of financial forecasts
VRI intends to issue new shares to Rhine, further diluting founder Van Rykes's control over the
company
The cash from the share issue will be used to expand the research and development team
Financial assumptions include 90-day payments of accounts payable and 60-day collection of
accounts receivable
It is unlikely that prices of staff, raw materials and manufacturing costs will change beyond that
taken into account in the plan
It is assumed that the trend for demand for goods will not fluctuate wildly
Interest rates are not expected to change, but under our conservative accounting methods VRI
assumes a one percentage rise in the prime overdraft rate. Therefore, short-term interest rates are
assessed at 18 percent a year and the long bond rate at 15 percent per annum
Forecast
See Appendices
- 160 -
When and
where it
appeared
Cost of promotion
Expected returns
and exposure
Notes
Promotion
Note
Details
Date
Item
Expected returns/exposure
Cost
- 161 -
Unit price
Totals
Notes
1.1
1.2
Heatless Micro-chip
1.3
Total
Price (Rands)
2.1
2.2
Heatless Micro-chip
2.3
3.1
3.2
Heatless Micro-chip
3.3
Total
1993
1994
1995
Forecast
1996
1997
- 162 -
SALES FORECAST
YEAR 1 - MONTHS
1
SALES:
Van Ryke SilicoFont
Unit sales
Price (Rands)
Anti-freeze chip
Unit sales
Price (Rands)
Heatless Micro-chip
Unit sales
Price (Rands)
+ Gross Sales (Rands)
Cost of Sales (Rands)
Van Ryke SilicoFont
Anti-freeze chip
Heatless Micro-chip
Total cost
Net sales *
Gross Sales derived as (Rands):
Cash sales
Credit sales
Total sales
10
11
12
Total
Notes
Year
2
Year
3
- 163 -
Fill in the table for the various sections of your organisation's business plan
Include the following:
Issues that have to
be completed during
the following period
Person in charge
DATES
Target
Notes
completed
- 164 -
Breakdown must
include staff numbers
per division and
average salary per
staff
YEAR 1 - MONTHS
Notes
1. Production
Ave. wage
Staff
2. Marketing
Ave. wage
Staff
3. Sales
Ave. wage
Staff
4. Admin.
Ave. wage
Staff
5. Total staff
Total wage
* Other
5. Total cost
10
11
12
Total
Notes
Year
Year
- 165 -
Forecast must be
Notes
Y 1 - Months
Notes
Turnover
Operating profit
Attributable income
Other appropriations
Transfers to non-dist. reserve
Dividends
Retained income -- for year
Retained income beginning of year
Retained income -- year end
10
11
12
- 166 -
Forecast must be
for three years
Notes
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
- 167 -
Include a period of
at least three years
Notes
Notes
Net Profit
PLUS:
Depreciation
Accounts payable
Capital input
Sub-total
LESS:
Accounts Receivable
Stock
Capital Expenditure
10
Dividends
11
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
- 168 -
GLOSSARY
Like all professions, business development analysts use a host of jargon in the course of their job. In
addition to common accounting terms, they have their own peculiar words for profiles, plans, targets,
takeovers, mergers and ventures. It would be a valuable exercise to be familiar with their terminology
before approaching institutions with your business plan.
Accounts payable
Accounts receivable
Accumulated depreciation
Acid test
Asset turnover
Break-even Point
Burden rate
Capital assets
Capital expenditure
- 169 -
Capital input
Cash
Collections Days
Commissions percent
Cost of sales
Creditors
People or companies that you owe money to. This is the old name
for accounts payable.
Current assets
Current debt
Current liabilities
Short-term liabilities.
Debtors
Depreciation
Dividends
Earnings
- 170 -
EBIT
Equity
Fiscal costs
Fiscal Year
Going concern
Gross margin
Interest expense
Inventory
Inventory
Inventory turnover
- 171 -
Inventory turns
Labour
Liabilities
Liquidity
Location
Assets like plant and equipment that are depreciated over terms of
more than five years, and are likely to last that long too.
Materials
Included in the cost of sales. These are not just any materials, but
materials involved in the assembly or manufactured of goods for
sale.
Monopoly
Net profit
This is usually
The same as
Net worth
This is the same as assets minus liabilities, and the same as total
equity.
- 172 -
Oligopoly
Other ST liabilities
These are short-term debts that dont cause interest expenses. For
example, they might be loans from founders or accrued taxes
(taxes owed, already incurred, but not yet paid)
Overheads
Paid-in capital
Payment days
Payroll burden
Product Development
Receivable turnover
- 173 -
Retained earnings
Earnings (or loss) that have been reinvested into the company, not
paid out as dividends to the owners. When retained earnings are
negative, the company has accumulated losses.
Return on Assets
Return on Investment
Return on Sales
ROI
Sales Break-even
Sales on credit
Scrape value
Short term
Starting year
- 174 -
Taxes incurred
Units Break-even
The unit sales volume at which the fixed and variable costs are
exactly equal to sales
Write-off
- 175 -
Bibliography
Name
1 A Guide to Business Growth
2 Corporate Strategy
3 Economics of the Firm
4 How to Prepare a Business Plan
5 Its your Business!
6 New Venture Creation:
Entrepreneurship for the 21st Century
7 Preparing a Business Plan: A Guide for
the Emerging Company
8 Principles of Accounting
9 Privatisation in South Africa
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Author
Touche Ross
Ansoff, H.
Thompson, AA
Ernst & Young
Pithey, Maureen
Timmons, JA
Publisher
Touche Ross & Co
McGraw-Hill
Prentice-Hall
Ernst & Young
Chameleon Press
Irwin Press
Date
1986
1965
1973
1993
1994
Helmkamp, John
Edited by
McGregors
Henderson, Bill
Britzuis, Oscar
McLeod, Guy
1982
1987
1991
1988
1991
Johnson, Ron
Silver, David A.
Juta & Co
Juta & Co
Oxford University
Press
Century Business
John Wiley & Sons
Maskew Miller
1976
Rudman, Theo
Sexton, D &
Kasarda, J
Silver, David A.
Business Dynamics
KWS-Kent
1989
1992
1985
1990
1980