Cuenca : Ro Chilln

Estacin : Canta
Ao
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
Media
DesvEst.

Pp.Mx.en 24 horas (mm)

16.0
13.6
15.0
22.7
12.1
21.3
51.2
13.2
25.7
23.6
16.9
18.6
18.2
32.8
17.6
16.4
14.6
23.5
8.0
9.0
8.3
2.0
0.9
9.4
15.5
12.4
16.7
30.0
30.5
24.1
19.2
33.5
18.0

Cuenca : Ro Chilln

No.Orden

Weilbull

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

0.03
0.06
0.09
0.12
0.15
0.18
0.21
0.24
0.26
0.29
0.32
0.35
0.38
0.41
0.44
0.47
0.50
0.53
0.56
0.59
0.62
0.65
0.68
0.71
0.74
0.76
0.79
0.82
0.85
0.88
0.91
0.94
0.97

Ao
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979

Estacin : Canta
Pp.Mx.en 24 horas (mm)
16.0
13.6
15.0
22.7
12.1
21.3
51.2
13.2
25.7
23.6
16.9
18.6
18.2
32.8
17.6
16.4

Pp.Mx.en 24 horas (mm)

14.6
23.5
8.0
9.0
8.3
2.0
0.9
9.4
15.5
12.4
16.7
30.0
30.5
24.1
19.2
33.5
18.0

o Chilln
Pp24hr

LN (Pp24hr)

Dist.Norm

Dist.Log.Norm.

51.2
33.5
32.8
30.5
30.0
25.7
24.1
23.6
23.5
22.7
21.3
19.2
18.6
18.2
18.0
17.6
16.9
16.7
16.4
16.0
15.5
15.0
14.6
13.6
13.2
12.4
12.1
9.4
9.0
8.3
8.0
2.0
0.9
18.5
9.8

3.94
3.51
3.49
3.42
3.40
3.25
3.18
3.16
3.16
3.12
3.06
2.95
2.92
2.90
2.89
2.87
2.83
2.82
2.80
2.77
2.74
2.71
2.68
2.61
2.58
2.52
2.49
2.24
2.20
2.12
2.08
0.69
-0.05
2.73
0.75

37.1
33.9
31.8
30.2
28.8
27.6
26.6
25.6
24.7
23.8
23.0
22.2
21.4
20.7
20.0
19.2
18.5
17.8
17.0
16.3
15.6
14.8
14.0
13.2
12.3
11.4
10.4
9.4
8.2
6.8
5.2
3.1
-0.1

4.15
3.91
3.75
3.62
3.52
3.43
3.35
3.27
3.20
3.14
3.07
3.01
2.95
2.90
2.84
2.78
2.73
2.67
2.62
2.56
2.50
2.44
2.38
2.32
2.25
2.18
2.11
2.03
1.94
1.83
1.71
1.55
1.30

Ejemplo:
Evaluar si los datos de PP Max 24 horas siguen
las distribuciones normal y log-normal respectivam
Asimismo calcule la magnitud correspondiente a u
segn un % de Riesgo y No. aos de Vida Util

40.0
f(x) = 0.88131
R 35.0
= 0.912481
30.0
25.0
Pp Max 24 h - Dist Norm.

20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0

Pp Max 24 h

f(x) = 1.0466917895x - 0.1736631586

4.5
R = 0.8380640327
4
3.5
3
2.5
Ln(Pp Max 24 h) Dist Norm.

2
1.5
1
0.5
0
0

Ln(Pp Max

datos de PP Max 24 horas siguen

nes normal y log-normal respectivamente.
ule la magnitud correspondiente a un Tr
e Riesgo y No. aos de Vida Util
40.0
f(x) = 0.8813164694x + 2.1956453168
R 35.0
= 0.9124814567
30.0
25.0

24 h - Dist Norm.

20.0
15.0

Dist.Norm

10.0

Linear (Dist.Norm)

Distribucin Normal
R
0.05
N
50
Tr
975
P(X>=x)
0.001
P(X<x)
0.999
48.79

0.1
50
475
0.002
0.998
46.62

Distribucin Log Normal

R
0.05
N
50
Tr
975
P(X>=x)
0.001
P(X<x)
0.999
5.05
Dist.Norm.Inv.
156.29
Dist.Log.Inv.
156.29

0.1
50
475
0.002
0.998
4.89
132.34
132.34

5.0
0.0

Pp Max 24 h

66917895x - 0.1736631586
4.5
0640327
4
3.5
3
2.5

ax 24 h) Dist Norm.

Dist.Log.Norm.

Linear
(Dist.Log.Norm.)

1.5
1
0.5
0
0

Ln(Pp Max 24 h)

Dist.Gumbel
Kolmogorov Smirnov
14.136
0.373
1.020
0.339
1.192
1.926
2.464
1.989
1.179
1.119
1.698
3.008
2.841
2.491
1.954
1.625
1.600
1.075
0.646
0.309
0.059
0.208
0.598
0.419
0.879
0.989
1.664
0.026
0.808
1.461
2.780
1.127
14.136

12.395
16.289
9.605
6.951
3.760
5.136
4.323
2.775
1.097
0.327
0.322
1.150
0.587
0.085
0.881
1.411
1.587
2.215
2.703
3.056
3.279
3.477
3.755
3.417
3.667
3.509
3.850
1.796
2.054
2.039
2.470
2.710
16.289

7.6578

Y variable
reducida

14.0788
4.84753
2.53615
2.44474
2.14439
2.07909
1.51757
1.30863
1.24334
1.23028
1.12581
0.94299
0.66876
0.59041
0.53817
0.51206
0.45982
0.36841
0.34229
0.30312
0.25088
0.18559
0.12030
0.06806
-0.06252
-0.11476
-0.21923
-0.25840
-0.61099
-0.66322
-0.75463
-0.79381
-1.57733

P(X<x)
0.99218
0.92388
0.91691
0.88946
0.88246
0.80313
0.76324
0.74945
0.74661
0.72297
0.67742
0.59909
0.57459
0.55777
0.54922
0.53185
0.50066
0.49158
0.47782
0.45927
0.43578
0.41203
0.39290
0.34489
0.32576
0.28791
0.27394
0.15846
0.14356
0.11921
0.10950
0.00789

1.00000
0.90000
f(x) = 0.9450234638x + 0.0129125
0.80000
R = 0.9861416181
0.70000
0.60000
0.50000
Gumbel
Column AB
0.40000
0.30000
Linear (Column
0.20000
0.10000
0.00000
0.00 0.50 1.00
Weilbull

0.20000
0.10000
0.00000
0.00 0.50 1.00
Weilbull

Dist. Gumbel Met VT Chow

P(X>=x)
0.00782
0.07612
0.08309
0.11054
0.11754
0.19687
0.23676
0.25055
0.25339
0.27703
0.32258
0.40091
0.42541
0.44223
0.45078
0.46815
0.49934
0.50842
0.52218
0.54073
0.56422
0.58797
0.60710
0.65511
0.67424
0.71209
0.72606
0.84154
0.85644
0.88079
0.89050
0.99211

Tr
127.92577
13.13752
12.03475
9.04658
8.50764
5.07940
4.22360
3.99118
3.94651
3.60971
3.10003
2.49433
2.35067
2.26125
2.21836
2.13606
2.00263
1.96686
1.91507
1.84936
1.77236
1.70077
1.64717
1.52647
1.48315
1.40431
1.37729
1.18830
1.16762
1.13535
1.12297
1.00795

K Pp Max 24 h Gumbel
3.33125
51.22922
1.52816
33.51403
1.45685
32.81342
1.22255
30.51145
1.17162
30.01102
0.73358
25.70733
0.57059
24.10596
0.51965
23.60553
0.50946
23.50544
0.42797
22.70475
0.28535
21.30355
0.07143
19.20175
0.01030
18.60124
-0.03044
18.20089
-0.05082
18.00072
-0.09157
17.60038
-0.16287
16.89978
-0.18325
16.69960
-0.21381
16.39935
-0.25456
15.99900
-0.30549
15.49857
-0.35643
14.998145
-0.39717
14.59780
-0.49904
13.59694
-0.53979
13.19660
-0.62129
12.39591
-0.65185
12.09566
-0.92690
9.39334
-0.96764
8.99299
-1.03895
8.29239
-1.06951
7.99214
-1.68073
1.98699

60.00000

f(x) = 0.9450234638x + 0.0129125576

R = 0.9861416181

Column AB
Linear (Column AB)

50.00000
f(x) = 1.0008583885x - 0.014730538
R = 1
40.00000
30.00000
Gumbel - Met. Ven Te Chow
20.00000
10.00000
0.00000

0 0.50 1.00

lbull

Weillbul

Column AF
Linear (Column AF)

10.00000
0.00000

0 0.50 1.00

lbull

Weillbul

.0008583885x - 0.014730538

ul

Column AF
Linear (Column AF)

ul

Ao
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980

Cuenca : Ro Chilln
Estacin : Canta
Pp.Mx.en
Ao
24 horas
(mm)
16.0
1986
13.6
1987
15.0
1988
22.7
1989
12.1
1990
21.3
1992
51.2
1993
13.2
1994
25.7
1995
23.6
1996
16.9
1997
18.6
1998
18.2
1999
32.8
2000
17.6
2001
16.4
2002
14.6
Media
DesvEst.

Ro Chilln
n : Canta

Pp.Mx.en 24
horas (mm)
23.5
8.0
9.0
8.3
2.0
0.9
9.4
15.5
12.4
16.7
30.0
30.5
24.1
19.2
33.5
18.0
0.0
0.0