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  • The Map of X-Risk-Preventing Organizations, People and Internet Resources

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    Turchin Alexei
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    Three known attempts to make a map of x-risks prevention in the field of science exist. First is the list from the Global Catastrophic Risks Institute in 2012-2013, and many links there are already not working: http://gcrinstitute.org/organization-directory/ The second was done by S. Armstrong in 2014: http://lesswrong.com/lw/k81/organisations_working_on_multiple_global/ And the most beautiful and useful map was created by Andrew Critch: http://acritch.com/x-risk-2015/ But its ecosystem ignores organizations which have a different view of the nature of global risks (that is, they share the value of x-risks prevention, but have another world view). In my map I have tried to add all currently active organizations which share the value of global risks prevention. It also regards some active independent people as organizations, if they have an important blog or field of research, but not all people are mentioned in the map. If you think that you (or someone) should be in it, please write to me at alexei.turchin@gmail.com I used only open sources and public statements to learn about people and organizations, so I can’t provide information on the underlying net of relations. I tried to give all organizations a short description based on its public statement and also my opinion about its activity. In general it seems that all small organizations are focused on their collaboration with larger ones, that is MIRI and FHI, and small organizations tend to ignore each other; this is easily explainable from the social singnaling theory. Another explanation is that larger organizations have a great ability to make contacts. It also appears that there are several organizations with similar goal statements. It looks like the most cooperation exists in the field of AI safety, but most of the structure of this cooperation is not visible to the external viewer, in contrast to Wikipedia, where contributions of all individuals are visible. It seems that the community in general lacks three things: a united internet forum for public discussion, an x-risks wikipedia and an x-risks related scientific journal. Ideally, a forum should be used to brainstorm ideas, a scientific journal to publish the best ideas, peer review them and present them to the outer scientific community, and a wiki to collect results. Currently it seems more like each organization is interested in creating its own research and hoping that someone will read it. Each small organization seems to want to be the only one to present the solutions to global problems and gain full attention from the UN and governments. It raises the problem of noise and rivalry; and also raises the problem of possible incompatible solutions, especially in AI safety. The pdf is here: http://immortality-roadmap.com/riskorg5.pdf

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    Three known attempts to make a map of x-risks prevention in the field of science exist. First is the list from the Global Catastrophic Risks Institute in 2012-2013, and many links there are already not working: http://gcrinstitute.org/organization-directory/ The second was done by S. Armstrong in 2014: http://lesswrong.com/lw/k81/organisations_working_on_multiple_global/ And the most beautiful and useful map was created by Andrew Critch: http://acritch.com/x-risk-2015/ But its ecosystem ignores organizations which have a different view of the nature of global risks (that is, they share the value of x-risks prevention, but have another world view). In my map I have tried to add all currently active organizations which share the value of global risks prevention. It also regards some active independent people as organizations, if they have an important blog or field of research, but not all people are mentioned in the map. If you think that you (or someone) should be in it, please write to me at alexei.turchin@gmail.com I used only open sources and public statements to learn about people and organizations, so I can’t provide information on the underlying net of relations. I tried to give all organizations a short description based on its public statement and also my opinion about its activity. In general it seems that all small organizations are focused on their collaboration with larger ones, that is MIRI and FHI, and small organizations tend to ignore each other; this is easily explainable from the social singnaling theory. Another explanation is that larger organizations have a great ability to make contacts. It also appears that there are several organizations with similar goal statements. It looks like the most cooperation exists in the field of AI safety, but most of the structure of this cooperation is not visible to the external viewer, in contrast to Wikipedia, where contributions of all individuals are visible. It seems that the community in general lacks three things: a united internet forum for public discussion, an x-risks wikipedia and an x-risks related scientific journal. Ideally, a forum should be used to brainstorm ideas, a scientific journal to publish the best ideas, peer review them and present them to the outer scientific community, and a wiki to collect results. Currently it seems more like each organization is interested in creating its own research and hoping that someone will read it. Each small organization seems to want to be the only one to present the solutions to global problems and gain full attention from the UN and governments. It raises the problem of noise and rivalry; and also raises the problem of possible incompatible solutions, especially in AI safety. The pdf is here: http://immortality-roadmap.com/riskorg5.pdf

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    268 views1 page

    The Map of X-Risk-Preventing Organizations, People and Internet Resources

    Uploaded by

    Turchin Alexei
    Three known attempts to make a map of x-risks prevention in the field of science exist. First is the list from the Global Catastrophic Risks Institute in 2012-2013, and many links there are already not working: http://gcrinstitute.org/organization-directory/ The second was done by S. Armstrong in 2014: http://lesswrong.com/lw/k81/organisations_working_on_multiple_global/ And the most beautiful and useful map was created by Andrew Critch: http://acritch.com/x-risk-2015/ But its ecosystem ignores organizations which have a different view of the nature of global risks (that is, they share the value of x-risks prevention, but have another world view). In my map I have tried to add all currently active organizations which share the value of global risks prevention. It also regards some active independent people as organizations, if they have an important blog or field of research, but not all people are mentioned in the map. If you think that you (or someone) should be in it, please write to me at alexei.turchin@gmail.com I used only open sources and public statements to learn about people and organizations, so I can’t provide information on the underlying net of relations. I tried to give all organizations a short description based on its public statement and also my opinion about its activity. In general it seems that all small organizations are focused on their collaboration with larger ones, that is MIRI and FHI, and small organizations tend to ignore each other; this is easily explainable from the social singnaling theory. Another explanation is that larger organizations have a great ability to make contacts. It also appears that there are several organizations with similar goal statements. It looks like the most cooperation exists in the field of AI safety, but most of the structure of this cooperation is not visible to the external viewer, in contrast to Wikipedia, where contributions of all individuals are visible. It seems that the community in general lacks three things: a united internet forum for public discussion, an x-risks wikipedia and an x-risks related scientific journal. Ideally, a forum should be used to brainstorm ideas, a scientific journal to publish the best ideas, peer review them and present them to the outer scientific community, and a wiki to collect results. Currently it seems more like each organization is interested in creating its own research and hoping that someone will read it. Each small organization seems to want to be the only one to present the solutions to global problems and gain full attention from the UN and governments. It raises the problem of noise and rivalry; and also raises the problem of possible incompatible solutions, especially in AI safety. The pdf is here: http://immortality-roadmap.com/riskorg5.pdf

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    of 1

    Organizations, sites and people involved in x-risks prevention

    Known
    very well

    and large
    amount of work
    is done

    MIRI

    (Former Singularity institute)


    E.Yudkowsky
    link

    Still exist!
    Were famous in 1970s when they produced Limits of growth Link

    OpenAI

    Oxford Martin
    Programme

    CSER

    has been created, but not


    much people
    knows them

    Foundational
    research
    institute

    Global catastrophic risks


    institute,
    Seth Baum

    Phil Torrres

    Interesting articles by its


    main author, focus on existential terrorism and religion
    link

    Interesting newsletter, many


    articles in scientific journals
    link

    Skoll Global
    Threats Fund

    Global
    challenges

    X-risks
    net

    Leveraged
    research

    Alexei Turchin
    Creating full database on
    x-risks and prevention plan

    Elon Musk
    Want AI safety through Open
    AI and human on Mars as a
    backup plan

    the site is almost empty now


    link

    link

    The Center for International Security and Cooperation is


    Stanford Universitys hub for researchers tackling some of the
    worlds most pressing security and international cooperation
    problems
    Nuclear, cybersecurity, bio, antiterrorism, link

    To safeguard humanity from


    global threats
    Climate, water security, pandemics, nuclear proliferation, link

    Currently, our research focuses on reducing risks of dystopian futures in the context of
    emerging technologies.
    Interesting work on AI safety

    Convergence

    Lifeboat
    foundation

    Justin Shovelain
    Collective think tank concentrated on mathematical modeling of
    x-risks
    link

    Stimson
    Center

    The Stimson Center is a


    nonpartisan policy research
    center working to solve the
    worlds greatest threats to
    security and prosperity.
    non-prolifiration
    link

    Saving
    Humanity

    Very large scientific boards which


    dont actually do anything, but
    some useful discussion is going
    in its mail list
    site

    Public
    figures

    Arctic news
    Sam Carana

    Irreversible global warming


    because of methane hydrates
    eruption
    link

    The Lawrence
    Livermore National
    Laboratory

    has a division called the Global Security Principal Directorate which researches on behalf of the government
    issues such as bio-security, counter-terrorism, etc. Link

    Forum about risks of flu pandemic

    Supports the smartest


    minds and most effective organizations to reduce nuclear stockpiles, prevent new
    nuclear states, and increase
    global security
    Link

    Impact
    risks

    Nano
    risks

    Diffusing nuclear
    threat

    NASA

    Foresight
    institute

    link

    Has its own foundation and vision


    of global risks

    link

    link

    Zoltvan
    Istavn

    Stephen
    Hawking
    Warned about risks of
    aliens and AI

    Writers

    has its Emerging Pandemic Threats


    Program which aims to prevent and
    contain naturally generated pandemics
    at their source.[129]

    Ploughshares
    Fund

    Bill Gates

    investor in x-related
    projects, wiki

    Invested
    in MIRI

    includes a division called the Global


    Alert and Response (GAR) which monitors and responds to global epidemic
    crisis. GAR helps member states with
    training and coordination of response to
    epidemics. link

    flutrackers.com

    Small one person organisation


    without any actual work
    link

    Jaan Tallinn

    Peter Thiel

    Bill Joy
    Wrote famous article but now seems to
    lost interest

    World Health
    Organization
    (WHO)

    The United States


    Agency for International Development
    (USAID)

    from Homo Sapiens

    mail list - good one

    Sam Altman
    Y combinator,
    Confounded
    Open AI

    International
    panel of climate
    change

    Nuclear
    threat initiative link

    CISAC

    link

    The Global Challenges Foundation


    works to raise awareness of the
    Global Catastrophic Risks. Primarily focused on climate change, other
    environmental degradation and politically motivated violence as well
    as how these threats are linked
    to poverty and rapid population
    growth, link

    and important
    figures

    GCRI

    Famous doomsday
    clock
    link

    Bio-risks

    IPCC

    Cambridge center of existential risks


    Martin Rees, link

    on the Impacts of Future


    Technology, link

    link

    Laszlo Szombatfalvy

    Investors

    X-risks
    institute

    Bulletin of
    atomic
    scientists

    Club of Rome

    Future of humanity institute


    Oxford, link
    Nick Bostrom

    Elon Musk
    wiki

    Global Priorities Project

    Nuclear

    Future of life institute


    Elon Musk
    link

    Effective altruism
    EA forum

    Created Global catastrophic risk


    report-2016
    Collaborate with UK government
    Dr. Toby Ord is member
    Connected with EA movement

    FHI

    FLI

    EA

    Large and
    interesting
    research

    General x-risks

    AI risks

    Size and level of


    influence

    Global
    warming

    Presidential candidate
    from transhumanist party
    Wrote about x-risks

    Vernor Vinge

    Greg Igen
    writer
    Permutation
    city

    writer, created
    Singularity idea

    David Brin

    John Barnes

    writer,
    Existence

    Mother of
    strorms
    Holocen
    impact working
    group
    Estimate risks of recent impacts
    link

    Scientists
    and researchers

    Open
    places for
    discussion

    A. Sandberg

    Adrian
    Kent

    Participated in
    FHI and co-authored papers

    LHC risks

    Tobi Ord
    site
    existential
    hope

    Milan Circovic
    Stevenson probe,
    Anthropic shadow
    Fermi paradox
    Site

    Bruce Tonn
    Editor and writer
    link

    Max Tegmark
    Wrote articles together
    with Bostrom

    Norvegian
    transhumanists

    Lesswrong

    Facebook

    Existential risks (Adam Ford)


    Global Catastrophic Risks Research and Discussion (Evan
    Gaensbauer)
    Global catastrophic risks
    Stop existential risks

    Robin
    Hanson
    Blog
    Societal collapse
    risks

    Katja Grace

    Willard Wells

    R. Freitas

    Fermi paradox
    and DA
    blog
    AI impacts

    Author of Apocalypses when


    and prevention
    plan

    Nanotech risks

    X-risks
    on
    Reddit
    Existentiarisk
    Control problem

    Resource depletion risks

    David
    Denkenberger
    agricultural risks

    Large group of people working


    on AI safety,
    including, but not limited to:
    Steve Omohundro
    Luke Muehlhauser
    Stuart Armstrong
    Roman Yampolsky
    Nate Soares
    Vladimir Nesov
    Kaj Sotala
    Benja Fallenstein
    Riva Melissa Tez
    Jason Gaverick Matheny, wiki
    Andrew Critch, blog
    Paul Christiano
    Karl Shulman
    Anna Salamon

    Dennis
    Medows

    Alexander
    Kononov
    Coined term
    indestructibility of
    civilization

    R.Carrigan

    Aaron Dar

    Bill Napier

    Risks of SETI

    Risks of
    supernovas

    Risks of dark
    comets

    Longecity
    subforum

    Wikiresources

    link

    LW-wiki

    EA forum
    link

    Intelligent
    agents forum

    Technical discussion
    on AI safety
    link

    Discussion in
    comments
    IEET
    Futureoflife

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