Professional Documents
Culture Documents
You have fifteen (15) minutes reading time. Use it to study the examination paper
carefully so that you understand what to do in each question. You will be told when
to start writing.
2.
Section B:
3.
Enter your student number and your National Registration Card number on the front
of the answer booklet. Your name must NOT appear anywhere on your answer
booklet.
4.
5.
The marks shown against the requirement(s) for each question should be taken as
an indication of the expected length and depth of the answer.
6.
7.
8.
Graph paper (if required) is provided at the end of the answer booklet.
The nth term of a sequence is Tn=n2+3. What are the first four terms of this
sequence?
A.
B.
C.
D.
1.2
NPV.
Discount factor.
Internal rate of return.
None of the above.
(2 marks)
K 6,000
K 8,000
K 20,000
K 18,000
(2 marks)
1.5
(2 marks)
A sum of money is divided in the ratio 4:3. The largest part is K24,000.What is the
smaller part?
A.
B.
C.
D.
1.4
4, 7, 12.
12, 19, 28.
7, 12, 19
12, 19, 28.
The discount rate at which the net present value is zero is called:
A.
B.
C.
D.
1.3
3,
7,
4,
4,
9
4000
225
1000
9
100000
25
100000
(2 marks)
Standard deviation
Range
median
variance
(2 marks)
1.6
The sampling method in which each data item has an equal chance of being selected
and it is mostly applicable to homogeneous population is called :
A.
B.
C.
D.
1.7
(2 marks)
The following table show the scores of a group of students in a test question :
Mark
Frequency
0
10
1
5
2
8
3
y
4
3
Required:
What is the value of y if the mean of these marks is 1.5?
A.
19
B.
4
C.
2
D.
8
1.8
(2 marks)
Mrs Banda wants to have K20, 000,000 in five years time. How much should she
deposit monthly in the account at 12% compounded monthly for her to raise the
required amount?
A.
B.
C.
D.
1.9
K244,888.95
K11, 348, 537.11
K10, 559, 432.45
K354, 753.12
(2 marks)
Given the equation of a straight line as y = 3x 5, the intercept and gradient are:
A.
B.
C.
D.
1.10
5, 3
3, 5
5, 3
3, 5
(2 marks)
0
1
2
3
4
0.134 0.245 0.341 0.202 0.280
Required:
Find P(X 2):
A.
0.341
B.
0.379
C.
0.621
D.
0.720
(2 marks)
[Total: 20 marks]
SECTION B
Attempt any FOUR questions in this section.
QUESTION TWO
(a)
(b)
x + 2y = 3
2y=x7
The age distribution of an international company is shown below:
Age group
21-25
26-30
31-35
36-40
41-45
46-50
(4 marks)
Number of staff
600
100
500
300
150
50
Required:
(c)
(i)
(ii)
(2 marks)
(2+4+4 marks)
The Board of Directors of Euro Africa has warned that there is a 70% probability that
the company will be closed down unless its workforce improves its productivity. The
Company Manager has estimated that the probability of success in agreeing a
productivity deal with the workforce is only 20%. Determine the probability that the
company will be closed.
(4 marks)
[Total: 20 marks]
QUESTION THREE
3
1
x5 x2
(a)
(b)
(c)
The distribution of prices and quantities of blankets, shirts and shorts of 2007 and
2008 of Kwathu ntemba is shown in the table below:
ITEM
2007
PRICE
QUANTITY
K 40 000/
50
blanket
K 25 000/shirt
100
K 10 000/ short
95
BLANKET
SHIRT
SHORT
(4 marks)
2008
PRICE
K 45 000/blanket
K 30 000/shirt
K 15 000/short
QUANTITY
35
70
80
Required:
Calculate the weighted quantity index number taking 2007 as the base year.
(7 marks)
(d)
A sales agent visits three shops daily. The probability of making a successful sale at
each shop is 0.75. Find the probability that on a particular day;
(i) No successful sale is made.
(2 marks)
(ii)
(3 marks)
[Total: 20 marks]
QUESTION FOUR
(a)
A firm has the following total revenue and total cost functions:
TR = 100,000 + 160x x2
TC = 40,000 100x + x2
Where x is the number of units of the products, (in thousands).
Required:
Find:
(i)
(2 marks)
(ii)
(4 marks)
(iii)
(2 marks)
(b)
(c)
A bowl contains 7 balls, 3 blue and 4 yellow. Two balls are drawn successively
without replacement. What is the probability that
(i)
(2 marks)
(ii)
(2 marks)
(5 marks)
(ii)
Suppose we add the same number to all the values of the data set. Which of
the two quantities (median and variance) will remain the same? Explain briefly.
(3 marks)
[Total: 20 marks]
QUESTION FIVE
(a)
6 weeks after planting, the heights of 30 bean plants were measured correct to the
nearest cm. The frequency distribution is given below:
Height (cm)
3-5
6-8
9-11
12-14
15-17
18-20
Frequency
11
10
Required:
(b)
(i)
Construct the cumulative frequency table with lower and upper boundaries
clearly shown.
(5 marks)
(ii)
(iii)
Using the ogive drawn in (ii), estimate the number of plants that were less
than 10cm tall.
(3 marks)
(iv)
(2 marks)
Mr Chanda estimates that he needs K20,000,000 in five years time for his University
education. How much must he invest quarterly at 4% compounded quarterly to
achieve his aim.
(5 marks)
[Total: 20 marks]
QUESTION SIX
(a)
Mongu in Western province has more annual rainfall than any other place in Zambia.
The Meteorological department wishes to analyze data showing weekly hours of
sunshine (X-data) and weekly millimeters of rain (Y- data) during the rain season:
The observations for that period are shown in the following table.
Week number
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Sunshine
(hours per week X)
22.82
68.53
51.95
14.87
81.19
60.67
70.40
6.38
58.60
13.31
68.90
36.25
70.33
X 624.2, X
Rainfall (millimetres Y)
97.10
42.15
73.25
67.85
55.45
46.85
72.30
75.90
64.70
72.05
58.05
58.75
53.15
Required:
(b)
(i)
(7 marks )
(ii)
(3 marks)
The net cash flows for two project A (fast foods) and B (amusements), is as follows:
Year
Project A
Project B
0
-420,000
-95,000
1
-5000
-10,000
2
120,000
110,000
3
130,000
200,000
4
148,000
110,000
5
150,000
50,000
Required:
(i)
(ii)
END OF PAPER
(9 marks)
(1 mark)
[Total: 20 marks]
STATISTICAL FORMULAE
1.
I=
PRT
100
(i)
Simple Interest
(ii)
A
(1 i ) n
(iii)
(iv)
where i
R
100
(1 i ) n 1
A P
i
where
P Annuity
(1 i) n 1 1
P
A P
i
(v)
(vi)
r 1 r n
(vii)
Pv
R
i
Where R is a perpetuity payable at the end of each interest period worth i per interest
period.
2.
n xy x y
(ii)
rs 1
(iii)
n 2
4.
(i)
a y bx
OR
n
Standard error for a proportion:
pq
p
n
Arithmetic mean (grouped data):
5.
y
x
b
n
n
Z-test statistic:
z
(ii)
n(n 2 1)
n
a
(i)
6 d 2
3.
[n x 2 ( x) 2 ][n y 2 ( y ) 2 ]
f
f
(ii)
(i)
fx 2
SD =
(ii)
f 1
SD =
(iii)
( fx ) 2
( x ) 2
n 1
Mean deviation:
(iv)
6.
(i)
n
Mean deviation(Grouped data)
f
f
n th term of geometric series:
Tn ar n1
(ii)
Sum of the first n terms of a geometric series:
a r n 1
a 1 rn
OR
Sn
Sn
r 1
1 r
Where a is the first term and r is the common ratio; r 1
(iii)
Tn a (n 1)d
(iv)
7.
Probability distribution:
(i)
Binomial
P( x) n CxP X q n x
(ii)
OR
n x n x
p q
x
where q 1 p
Poisson
m x e m
P(x)
x!
Where x = 0,1,2,3, ; and where m is Mean Value.
(iii)
Normal Distribution
Z=
A
](b a)%
A B
8.
IRR a% [
9.
Quadratic formula:
b b 2 4ac
x
2a
10
10.
Index Numbers:
Price Relative = 100 * P1/P0
Coefficient of skewness:
Psk
3( x median)
X Mode
OR Psk
S
5
11
Q1
0 100
w
w Q
12
SECTION A
SOLUTION ONE
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
1.10
C
C
D
A
C
A
B
A
B
D
SECTION B
SOLUTION TWO
(a)
2y=x7 be equation 2
25
30
35
40
45
50
Mid-point x
Frequency f
23
28
33
38
43
48
total
600
100
500
300
150
50
1700
13
Cumulative
frequency
600
700
1300
1600
1750
1800
fx
13800
2800
16500
11400
6450
2400
53350
(ii)
Mean( x)
fx 53350 31.38
f 1700
2 F
850 700
5 31 2 32.5
Median= L
h 31
500
f
D1
600
5 21 2.7272 23.7272
Mode= L
h 21
500 600
D1 D2
(b) If outcome A is the shutdown of the company and the outcome B is he failure to
improve productivity;
P( A B) P( B) P( A / B)
= 0.80 x 0.70
= .560
14
SOLUTION THREE
(a)
3
1
, implying
x5 x2
(1)
3 x 2 1 x 5,
implyig
3x 6 x 5
Like terms together, we have
3x x 5 6
2 x 11
therefore , x
11
2
(b)
2 x2 -x = 3
Implying
2 x2 -x 3=0
a = 2 b= 1 c = -3
product = 2x(1)=-6
sum=-1.
The two numbers that gives us the product equal to -6 and sum equal to -1 are -3
and 2.
Implying,
x2 3x+2x 3=0
implying
x(2x 3)+1(2x 3)=0
implying
(x+1)(2x3)=0
implying
(x+1)=0 or (2x3)=0
Therefore,
x=1 or x=3/2
(c)
PQIN
P x100
P
q1 1
q1 1
q0
50
100
95
q1
35
70
80
PQIN =
p1
45 000
30 000
15 000
q0 p1
2 250 000
3 000 000
+ 1 425 000
q0 p1= 6 675 000
4,875,000
x 100
6,675,000
= 0.7303 x 100
= 73.03%
15
q1 p 1
1 575 000
2 100 000
1 200 000
q1 p1= 4 875 000
SOLUTION FOUR
(a)
(i) Profit = TR TC
= (100,000+160x-x2) (40,000-100x+x2)
60,000+260x-2x2
b b 2 4ac
2a
x= -120 or x=250
Level of output at breakeven point is x=250
(iii) Actual amount of Profit = 60,000+260x-2x2.
60,000+260(250)-2(250)2= 0
(b)
Let
Let
Let
Let
B1 be
B2 be
Y1 be
Y2 be
(i)
the event of
the event of
the event of
the event of
(ii)
4 3 4 2
0.2857
7 6 14 7
3 4 4 3 2 2 4
0.5714
7 6 7 6 7 7 7
16
(c)
x
1
2
3
4
5
Variance=
x2
x 16
x
n 1
66
=
162
5
5 1
66
66 51.2 14.8
3.7
4
4
x
4
7
10
13
16
19
f
1
2
11
10
5
1
17
fx
cf
LCB
4
1
2.5
14
3
5.5
110
14 8.5
130
24 11.5
80
29 14.5
19
30 17.5
f=30 fx=357
UCB
5.5
8.5
11.5
14.5
17.5
20.5
(ii)
18
(iii)
Estimating the number of plants that were less than 10cm tall is 7.5 or less
(iv)
19
(b)
(1 i ) n 1
A P
i
n = 20
where
P Annuity
i = 0.01
(1 i ) 1
A P
i
20
(1 0.01) 1
20,000,000 P
0.01
20,000,000 P22.0190039
Therefore P 908,306.30
SOLUTION SIX
(a) (i)
n
n 2
y
x
b
n
n
n
a
Now, b=
n 2
, implying
13(37454.94) (624.2)(837.55)
13(38025.26) (624.2) 2
35,884.49
=
104,702.74
0.342668415
Therefore b=-0.343
y
x
b
n
n
837.55
624.2
(0.342668415)
13
13
64.42692308 16.45335574
80.88
a
Therefore y=80.88-0.343x
(ii)
20
(b)
YEAR
1
2
3
4
5
PROJECT A.
R = 10%
CASHFLOW
-5 000
120 000
130 000
148 000
150 000
DF(1.1)-n
0.90909
0.82645
0.751315
0.68301
0.62092
DF(CASH)
0.90909(-5 000)
0.82645(120 000)
0.751315(130 000)
0.68301(148 000)
0.62092(150 000)
(1 mark)
PV
-4545.45
99174
97670.95
101085
93138
PV=386522
NPV = PV - COST
= 386522-420 000 = K-33478
PROJECT B
R = 10%
YEAR
1
2
3
4
5
CASHFLOW
-10 000
110 000
200 000
110 000
50 000
DF(1.1)-n
0.90909
0.82645
0.751315
0.68301
0.62092
(1)
DF(CASH)
0.90909(-10 000)
0.82645(110 000)
0.751315(200 000)
0.68301(110 000)
0.62092(50 000)
PV
-9090.9
90909
150263
75131
31046
PV=338258
NPV = PV - COST
= 338258 95 000 = K243258
INTERPRETATION: Project B is more profitable because its NPV is positive or NPV is greater
than zero.
21