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Culture Documents
Health Check
Neutral
1M
3M
YTD
1Y
CNX 500
Nifty
NSE Pharma
-4
-8
-10
-5
Stocks Performance
Return (%)
Company
Mcap
1M
3M
YTD
Sun Pharma.Inds.
-6
-13
-9
Lupin
-9
-22
-21
-16
65359
Dr Reddy's Labs
-5
-1
-7
52603
Aurobindo Pharma
1Y
13-Jun
-8 180550
-4
-14
18
44002
-11
-12
-27
-19
38004
Cadila Health.
-2
-8
-2
-8
32709
Glaxosmit Pharma
29536
Divi's Lab.
12
-2
29
30161
Cipla
Glenmark Pharma.
-11
-7
-16
-12
21735
Torrent Pharma.
-3
-6
22743
Apollo Hospitals
-1
-7
-10
12
18283
Ajanta Pharma
12
19
13938
Biocon
14
48
38
60
14279
Alembic Pharma
-5
-11
-20
-1
10483
Strides Arcolab
-6
-14
9962
Wockhardt
-1
-7
-40
-30
10212
Pfizer
-22
-5
8418
9058
Natco Pharma
15
-10
29
Syngene Int.
-4
-8
NA
7698
Jubilant Life
-10
-9
-15
105
5583
-1
-15
-38
-28
5838
For Q4FY16, the I-direct pharma universe registered YoY revenue growth of
17.1% to | 36766.2 crore, driven by 27.8% YoY growth to | 11785.7 in the
US and 14.4% YoY growth to | 7135.7 crore in domestic formulations
(select pack). EBITDA for the universe grew 51.3% YoY to | 8897.5 crore.
Higher growth vis--vis revenue was on account of margin expansion (547
bps YoY) as the stronger US traction nullified the currency impact in
emerging markets and higher R&D spends. Adjusted net profit grew 38.0%
YoY to | 5540.2 crore driven by the operational performance. The delta vis-vis EBITDA growth was on account of lower other income.
On the revenue front, Natco Pharma (~103%), Lupin (~36%), Divis Labs
(~34%), Syngene (~31%) and Torrent (~30%) were standout performers.
On the other hand, Ipca, Dr Reddys and Jubilant reported a weak set of
numbers due to lack of product approvals, impact of currency volatility and
regulatory issues.
US growth was driven by one-off opportunities at Lupin from gGlumetza
(anti-diabetic), Torrent from gAbilify (CNS) and Sun Pharma from gGleevec
(anti-cancer) besides consolidation of new acquisitions (Natrol by
Aurobindo). Note that US growth has not captured gNexium (GI) traction for
Cipla and gAbilify traction for Alembic for nondisclosure of specific traction.
Companies like Aurobindo and Glenmark have also registered strong YoY
growth whereas Cadila and Dr Reddys were laggards on account of the
base effect, slowdown in product approvals and regulatory issues.
Domestic growth was driven by strong volume growth, new product
launches as well as base effect. Among companies, Cipla, Sun Pharma,
Lupin, Ajanta, Glenmark, Dr Reddys and Unichem witnessed strong growth.
The Indian pharmaceutical market (IPM) grew 7.7% in May 2016. Growth
was mainly driven by price hikes 5.0%, and new product launches 2.9%
Indoco Remedies
8
0
-14
-21
2584
while volumes declined 4.4%. The lower growth was mainly attributable to
Unichem Labs.
-1
7
-8
36
2225 M channel disturbances on account of 1) fixed dosage combinations (FDC) ban
Market cap in | crore
imposed by the government on 344 drugs as despite the stay by the Delhi
High Court, some state governments continued with the order, 2) New price
Price movement
list for NLEM drugs based on WPI, which was negative in FY16 and 3) new
15000
12000
additions in NLEM 2015 list.
14000
13000
10000
Accelerating approvals, plant resolution, low base to drive FY17
12000
11000
After outperforming the broader indices for five fiscals, the Nifty Pharma
10000
8000
9000
Index underperformed in FY16, thanks to scores of USFDA related cGMP
8000
6000
issues, which weighed on sentiments. Paradoxically, the fiscal witnessed
7000
6000
the highest number of USFDA product approvals in the last five years.
5000
4000
Companies like Sun, Dr Reddys, Cadila and Ipca received warning letters.
Jun-15
Sep-15
Dec-15
Mar-16
Jun-16
Scores of others received Form 483 observations for different facilities.
CNX Pharma
Nifty (RHS)
What came as a surprise even for industry players was the frequency of
inspections and the random nature of issues flagged in the scrutiny. This,
we believe, is likely to be the new normal for generic players and can be a
Research Analyst
blessing in disguise as they will be inclined to focus more rigorously on the
quality aspects. We expect some spillover effect in H1FY17 as well.
Siddhant Khandekar
siddhant.khandekar@icicisecurities.com
However, accelerated USFDA approvals (180 ANDA approvals in FY16 vs.
92 in FY15), plant resolution or at least key product site transfers from
Mitesh Shah
H2FY17 and low base, especially in emerging markets, will support FY17
mitesh.sha@icicisecurities.com
growth. We expect the I-direct pharma universe sales, EBITDA and PAT to
Nandan Kamat
grow at a CAGR of 13.1%, 12.5% and 14.8%, respectively, in FY16E-18E.
nandan.kamat@icicisecurities.com
Ipca Labs.
Regulatory approvals
Exhibit 1: Summary of USFDA approvals for May, 2016
Company
Aurobindo Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma
Ajanta Pharma
Ajanta Pharma
Cadila Healthcare
Cadila Healthcare
Cadila Healthcare
Glenmarrk Pharma
Lupin
Taro Pharma
Drug Name
Fenofibrate
Zolmitriptan
Hydromorphone Hydrochloride
Bupivacaine Hydrochloride
Methocarbamol
Zolmitriptan
Voriconazole
Glyburide
Voriconazole
Amantadine Hydrochloride
Rufinamide
Ethinyl Estradiol; Northindrone Acetate
Fluocinolone Acetonide
Company
Aurobindo Pharma
Strides Shasun
Strides Shasun
Drug Name
Dalfampridine
Efavirenz
Roflumilast
Final Approvals
Therapeutic Area
CVS
CNS
Pain Management
Anaesthetic
Pain Management
CNS
Anti-Infection
Anti-diabetic
Anti-Infection
Antiviral
Anti-Epilepsy
Contraceptive
Anti-inflammatory
Tentative Approvals
Therapeutic Area
Multiple Sclerosis
Antivirtal
Anti-Inflammatory
Innovator company
Skyepharma
IPR
Purdue Pharma
App Pharms
Eurohlth Intl
IPR
PF Prism CV
Sanofi Aventis
PF Prism CV
Endo Pharma
Eisai
Warner Chilcott
Medimetriks Pharma
Generic Version of
Triglide
Zomig
Dilaudid
Sensorcaine
Robaxin
Zomig
Vfend
Diabeta
Vfend
Symmetrel
Banzel
Estrostep
Synalar
Market Size
US$ 412 million
US$ 46.7 million
US$ 50 million
US$ 5.6 million
NA
US$ 46.7 million
US$ 92.8 million
NA
US$ 92.8 million
US$ 40.1 million
US$ 121.8 million
US$ 38.6 million
NA
Innovator company
Acorda
Bristol Myers Squibb
Astrazeneca
Generic Version of
Ampyra
Sustiva
Daliresp
Market Size
NA
US$ 150 million
US$ 174 million
[5
CNS: Central Nervous System; CVS: Cardiovascular,GI: Gastro Intestinal, NA: Not available;
Source: USFDA, ICICIdirect.com Research
Page 2
DRL moves Delhi High court to fix ceiling prices for certain drugs
Dr Reddys moved the Delhi High Court (HC) against the central
governments move to fix the ceiling price for several drugs. The
government, through successive notifications under the Drug Price Control
Order (DPCO), revised the price of certain drugs.
Sun Pharma launches Derma OTC brand
Sun Pharma has launched its sunscreen brand 'Suncros' through the
company's global consumer healthcare business vertical. The company will
focus on dermatology as the fourth engine of growth for its OTC business.
Cipla receives approval to sell HIV drug in India
Cipla received regulatory approval in India to sell its version of Truvada as a
preventive that can be given to healthy people to reduce their risk of getting
HIV.
Glenmark launches Digihaler for COPD patients
Glenmark Pharma has launched Digihaler, the countrys first digital dose
inhaler (DDI), for asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD)
patients. This next-gen inhaler provides accurate digital dose counter along
with low dose warning indicator to enable asthma and chronic obstructive
pulmonary disease (COPD) patients to track adherence to their therapy. The
device (Digihaler) will enable patients to track the number of doses that
have been consumed while prominently placed indicators provide a low
dose warning which is beneficial to patients. This will further enable doctors
to determine the patients adherence to the prescribed therapy regime.
Lupin recalls anti-bacterial injection
Lupin has recalled over 54,000 vials of anti-bacterial injection Ceftriaxone
manufactured at its Mandideep facility in Madhya Pradesh due to violation
of current good manufacturing norms. According to the report on the
USFDA website, it is a class III recall. The company also recalled 741.171 kg
of Ceftriaxone Sodium (Sterile) active pharmaceutical ingredient as its API
intermediates failed specifications.
Page 3
Page 4
Page 5
revenues de-grew 14.4% YoY to | 662. EBITDA margins increased 523 bps
YoY to 21.3% on the back of a 112 bps YoY increase in pharma segment.
EBITDA margins to 27.4% and 752 bps YoY increase in life science
ingredients margins to 16%. EBITDA increased 29.4% YoY to | 320 crore.
Adjusted net profit de-grew 29.2% to | 54 crore on the back of depreciation
and higher taxation.
Cipla - margins impacted by one-offs
Revenues grew 5.6% YoY to | 3267 crore on account of 15.8% growth in
domestic formulations to | 1258 crore. Export formulations grew 3.2% YoY
to | 1744 crore. EBITDA margins declined 971 bps to 6.7% on account of 1)
inventory write-off and reduction, 2) incremental R&D spending and 3) other
one-offs. EBITDA de-grew 56.9% YoY to | 219 crore. Net profit de-grew
68.9% YoY to | 80.9 crore, mainly on account of a poor operational
performance.
Apollo - margins affected by expansion
Revenues increased 16% YoY to | 1396 crore on the back of 8.5% YoY
increase in healthcare business to | 787 crore and 27.4% YoY increase in
pharmacy business to | 609 crore. EBITDA margins declined 133 bps to
13.2% due to higher marketing expenditure. EBITDA increased 5.3% YoY to
| 184 crore. Adjusted net profit de-grew 1.7% to | 76 crore on account of
higher interest cost and depreciation.
Natco - Q4FY16 numbers driven by Hepatitis C group sales
Revenues grew 102.7% YoY to | 407 crore mainly on account of strong
traction from the Hepatitis-C segment and Venezuela tender sales (FY16
sales recorded in Q4). EBITDA margins declined 190 bps YoY to 22.7%
mainly due to higher raw material and other expenditure. EBITDA grew 87%
to | 93 crore. Adjusted net profit increased 158.9% YoY to | 60 crore mainly
on the back of the strong operational performance and lower interest
expenses.
Indoco Remedies - margins decline on account of high R&D and one-offs
Revenues grew 25.5% YoY to | 263 crore mainly due to 47.3% YoY growth
in export formulations to | 111 crore. Domestic formulations grew 6.4% to
| 131 crore. EBITDA margins declined 227 bps YoY to 15.5% mainly on
account of an increase in employee expenditure and R&D spend. EBITDA
grew 9.5% to | 41 crore. Net profit grew 6.7% YoY to | 20 crore.
Divis Labs - registered healthy Q4FY16 numbers
Revenues grew 34.1% YoY to | 1095 crore. The generics business grew
47% to | 566 crore. The custom synthesis (CS) business grew 25.7% at
| 482 crore YoY. EBITDA margins increased 224 bps YoY to 36.3 due to a
change in the product mix (skewed towards low margin generics). EBITDA
increased 26.3% YoY to | 398 crore. Net profit witnessed YoY increase of
40.8% to | 322 crore owing to higher-than-expected sales growth and
lower-than-expected tax rate.
Sun Q4 driven by robust growth in Taro and gGleevec exclusivity
Revenues grew 7.8% QoQ to | 7634 crore due to 22.2% QoQ increase in US
sales to | 3910 crore. US sales growth was due to gGleevec launch under
exclusivity & Taro sales (US$265 million). Domestic sales fell 4.4% QoQ to
| 1807 crore. EBITDA margins increased 239 bps QoQ to 33% due to strong
margins in Taro. Taros EBITDA margins improved 119 bps QoQ to 69.8%.
EBITDA grew 16.2% QoQ to | 2520 crore. Net profit grew 21% QoQ to
| 1714 crore mainly due to a better operational performance and lower
taxation.
Aurobindo Incremental product launches lead to strong US sales
Revenues grew 18.5% YoY to | 3747 crore on account of 24.3% growth in
the US to | 1666 crore. The Europe business grew 9.3% to | 841 crore.
EBITDA margins increased 280 bps YoY to 23.5% on account of lower other
Page 6
expenditure. EBITDA grew 34.5% to | 882 crore. Adjusted PAT grew 38.7%
YoY to | 558 crore mainly due to a better operational performance.
Ipca - Q4 numbers disappoint yet again
Revenues de-grew 0.5% YoY to | 625 crore mainly due to 25.6% YoY degrowth in API sales to | 114 crore. Domestic formulations grew 9% to | 250
crore while export formulations grew 3.5% to | 249 crore. EBITDA margins
increased 480 bps YoY to 10% on account of the low base in Q4FY15.
Adjusted net profit in Q4FY16 was at | 43 crore against a net loss of | 31
crore in Q4FY15.
Page 7
Q4FY16
116.7
259.6
101.0
767.4
539.8
130.8
249.5
761.5
1258.0
526.7
1806.5
447.0
171.3
7135.7
India
Q4FY15 Var. (%) Q3FY16 Var. (%)
97.6
19.5
128.0
-8.9
232.1
11.8
288.3
-9.9
98.0
3.1
104.5
-3.3
679.7
12.9
713.0
7.6
440.6
22.5
488.0
10.6
123.0
6.4
135.7
-3.6
229.0
9.0
308.4
-19.1
663.7
14.7
871.2
-12.6
1086.0
15.8 1194.0
5.4
474.4
11.0
580.5
-9.3
1569.0
15.1 1890.3
-4.4
399.0
12.0
446.0
0.2
146.2
17.1
188.9
-9.3
6238.2
14.4 7336.8
-2.7
(| crore)
Aurobindo
Cadila
Glenmark
Lupin
Dr Reddy's
Sun Pharma
Torrent
Q4FY16
1666.3
961.0
652.0
2187.1
1895.0
3910.3
514.0
US
Q4FY15 Var. (%) Q3FY16 Var. (%)
1340.5
24.3 1570.6
6.1
978.9
-1.8 1071.7
-10.3
536.3
21.6
608.9
7.1
1377.9
58.7 1404.9
55.7
1715.4
10.5 1941.7
-2.4
3047.7
28.3 3200.3
22.2
224.0
129.5
558.0
-7.9
Total
11785.7
(| crore)
Aurobindo
Cadila
Glenmark
Dr Reddy's
Lupin
Torrent
Total
Q4FY16
840.7
70.6
270.5
175.9
125.4
190.0
1673.1
Europe
Q4FY15 Var. (%) Q3FY16 Var. (%)
769.1
9.3
778.6
8.0
74.0
-4.6
76.2
-7.3
243.3
11.2
176.4
53.4
234.1
-24.9
193.7
-9.2
89.1
40.7
101.0
24.2
209.0
-9.1
195.0
-2.6
1618.6
3.4 1520.9
10.0
(| crore)
Cadila
Glenmark
Torrent
Total
Q4FY16
55.3
241.6
119.0
415.9
Latin America
Q4FY15 Var. (%) Q3FY16 Var. (%)
54.7
1.1
54.4
1.7
181.0
33.5
123.7
95.3
140.8
-15.5
118.0
0.8
376.5
10.5
296.1
40.5
(| crore)
Aurobindo
Alembic
Cadila
Glenmark
Indoco
Ipca Labs
Lupin
Cipla
Dr Reddy's
Sun Pharma
Unichem
Total
Q4FY16
774.6
166.9
92.2
222.9
12.0
114.2
283.8
204.0
576.6
392.5
20.1
2859.8
API
Q4FY15 Var. (%) Q3FY16 Var. (%)
676.5
14.5
695.2
11.4
85.3
95.7
101.2
64.9
87.0
6.0
83.8
10.0
154.7
44.0
145.0
53.7
13.0
-7.6
13.3
-9.7
153.6
-25.6
144.6
-21.0
307.5
-7.7
276.0
2.8
205.0
-0.5
143.0
42.7
741.5
-22.2
508.2
13.5
298.2
31.6
461.2
-14.9
21.5
-6.5
21.2
-5.2
2743.8
4.2 2592.7
10.3
9220.7
27.8 10356.0
13.8
For Q4FY16, the I-direct pharma universe registered YoY revenue growth of
17.1% to | 36766.2 crore, driven by 27.8% YoY growth to | 11785.7 in the
US and 14.4% YoY growth to | 7135.7 crore in domestic formulations
(select pack). EBITDA for the universe grew 51.3% YoY to | 8897.5 crore.
Higher growth vis--vis revenue was on account of margin expansion (547
bps YoY) as the stronger US traction nullified the currency impact in
emerging markets and higher R&D spends. Adjusted net profit grew 38.0%
YoY to | 5540.2 crore driven by the operational performance. The delta vis-vis EBITDA growth was on account of lower other income.
Exhibit 2: Actual s vs. estimates
Company
Ajanta Pharma
Alembic Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma
Biocon
Cadila Healthcare
Divi's Lab
Cipla
Dr. Reddys
Glenmark
Indoco Remedies
IPCA Labs
Jubilant Life Sc.
Lupin
Natco Pharma
Sunpharma
Syngene International
Torrent Pharma
Unichem Laboratories
Apollo Hospitals
Total
Revenues
Q4FY16E
437.4
840.2
3644.7
860.5
2488.8
963.2
3195.7
3913.2
1849.6
268.5
695.3
1499.8
4033.0
312.8
7604.8
316.1
1558.6
311.1
1494.1
36287.4
Q4FY16
425.7
626.6
3746.8
978.8
2449.1
1095.4
3266.5
3756.2
2281.3
263.4
624.6
1501.3
4181.2
407.0
7634.2
331.5
1499.0
301.5
1396.3
36766.2
EBITDA
Q4FY16E
160.0
226.9
865.9
197.1
497.8
378.3
565.4
976.4
391.5
46.7
118.2
341.5
1129.2
79.8
2531.4
106.2
483.2
38.1
209.7
9343.3
Q4FY16
140.5
143.3
882.3
213.1
581.4
397.9
219.0
810.4
302.6
40.8
63.5
320.2
1367.4
92.5
2520.3
103.1
484.0
31.2
183.8
8897.5
Net profit
Q4FY16E
Q4FY16
103.7
106.3
165.5
91.2
557.4
562.9
102.5
92.5
359.9
388.1
281.0
322.2
299.1
80.9
578.2
499.6
210.1
171.5
23.1
20.0
62.4
42.5
134.1
54.2
810.6
807.1
47.4
60.2
1817.3
1713.7
70.6
66.5
379.4
357.0
28.1
28.1
106.9
75.7
6137.3
5540.2
Revenues
Q4FY16 Q4FY15 Var.(%)
425.7
371.5
14.6
626.6
503.0
24.6
3746.8 3162.1
18.5
978.8
837.3
16.9
2449.1 2288.2
7.0
1095.4
817.1
34.1
3266.5 3092.7
5.6
3756.2 3870.4
-3.0
2281.3 1775.8
28.5
263.4
209.9
25.5
624.6
627.9
-0.5
1501.3 1536.5
-2.3
4181.2 3078.2
35.8
407.0
200.8 102.7
7634.2 6157.0
24.0
331.5
251.8
31.7
1499.0 1154.0
29.9
301.5
256.0
17.8
1396.3 1203.7
16.0
36766.2 31394.0
17.1
EBITDA
Q4FY16 Q4FY15 Var.(%)
140.5
130.4
7.7
143.3
98.7
45.2
882.3
656.1
34.5
213.1
184.9
15.3
581.4
495.9
17.2
397.9
315.1
26.3
219.0
507.7
-56.9
810.4
825.6
-1.8
302.6
281.4
7.5
40.8
37.3
9.5
63.5
33.7
88.6
320.2
247.4
29.4
1367.4
789.4
73.2
92.5
49.5
87.0
2520.3
792.4 218.1
103.1
83.4
23.6
484.0
162.0 198.9
31.2
14.8 110.6
183.8
174.5
5.3
8897.5 5880.0
51.3
Profit
Q4FY16 Q4FY15 Var.(%)
106.3
79.9
33.0
91.2
70.9
28.5
562.9
403.8
39.4
92.5
114.7
-19.4
388.1
349.2
11.1
322.2
228.9
40.8
80.9
259.7
-68.9
499.6
514.4
-2.9
171.5
197.7
-13.2
20.0
18.8
6.7
42.5
-30.6
LP
54.2
76.6
-29.2
807.1
547.0
47.5
60.2
23.3
158.9
1713.7
886.9
93.2
66.5
55.6
19.6
357.0
130.0
174.7
28.1
9.8
186.7
75.7
77.0
-1.7
5540.2 4013.6
38.0
On the revenue front, Natco Pharma (~103%), Lupin (~36%), Divis Labs
(~34%), Syngene (~31%) and Torrent (~30%) were the standout
performers. On the other hand, Ipca, Dr Reddys and Jubilant reported a
weak set of numbers due to lack of product approvals, impact of currency
volatility and regulatory issues.
Page 8
34843
33971
34581
12000
10000
31391
8978
8791
8897
Q1FY16
Q2FY16
Q3FY16
Q4FY16
8000
| crore
30000
| crore
8832
25000
6000
5891
4000
20000
2000
0
15000
Q4FY15
Q1FY16
Q2FY16
Q3FY16
Q4FY15
Q4FY16
EBITDA
Revenues
5439
5280
5584
5540
25
4030
4000
20
%
| crore
25.8
3000
15
2000
26.0
25.4
15.5 15.6
16.1
24.2
18.8
12.8
15.1
10
1000
0
Q4FY15
Q1FY16
Q2FY16
Q3FY16
Profits
Q4FY16
Q4FY15
Q1FY16
Q2FY16
Q3FY16
Q4FY16
Page 9
Company
Ajanta Pharma
Initial Rating
BUY
Current Rating
BUY
Deviation from
estimates
Remarks
Inline
Apollo Hospitals
HOLD
HOLD
Below
Aurobindo Pharma
Alembic Pharma
Biocon
BUY
BUY
HOLD
BUY
HOLD
HOLD
Inline
Below
Above
Cadila Healthcare
BUY
BUY
Above
Cipla
BUY
HOLD
Below
Divi's labs
BUY
BUY
Above
Dr Reddy's Labs
BUY
BUY
Below
Glenmark Pharma
BUY
BUY
Below
Indoco Remedies
BUY
BUY
Below
Ipca labs
BUY
HOLD
Below
Miss vis--vis our expectations was due seasonality impact. Also higher than expected
remedial cost and employee expenses have impacted EBITDA
HOLD
BUY
Below
Lupin
BUY
BUY
Inline
Natco Pharma
BUY
BUY
Above
Sun Pharma
HOLD
HOLD
Inline
Torrent Pharma
BUY
BUY
Inline
Unichem Labs
BUY
BUY
Inline
Beat vis--vis our expectation was due to higher than expected sales in Hepatitis C segment
and Venezuela tender business
Page 10
Month
Innovator
ANDA Filer
Brand Name
API
Used for
May-15
Apotex Inc.
Lupin
Paxil CR
Paroxitine Hydrochloride
Anti-Anxiety
May-15
Galderma Labs
Glenmark
Epiduo
Acne
May-15
Horizon Pharma
Vimovo
Osteoporosis
May-15
Merz Pharma
Taro Pharma
Naftin
Naftifine Hydrochloride
Fungal Infection
May-15
Takeda
Zydus Pharma
Daliresp
Roflumilast
CVS
May-15
Takeda
Strides
Daliresp
Roflumilast
CVS
May-15
Sun Pharma
Ampyra
Dalframpridine
Multiple Sclerosis
May-15
Merck
Lupin
Safyral
May-15
Kowa
Lupin
Livalo
Pitavastatin Calcium
High Cholestrol
Jun-15
Millenium Pharmaceuticals
Valcade
Bortezomib
Anti-Cancer
Jun-15
Millenium Pharmaceuticals
Sun Pharma
Valcade
Bortezomib
Anti-Cancer
Jun-15
Mucinex
Bronchial Conjestion
Jul-15
Eli Lilly
Lupin
Axiron
Hypogonadism
Testosterone
Jul-15
Fresenius Medical
Gavis Pharma
Phoslo
Calcium Acetate
Kidney Disease
Jul-15
Alcon Research
Lupin
TravatanZ
Aug-15
Allergan
Lupin
Namenda
Memantine Hydrochoride
Alzheimer's Disease
Aug-15
Galderma Labs
Taro Pharma
Epiduo
Acne
Sep-15
Jazz Pharma
Lupin
Xyrem
Sodium Oxybate
Narcolepsy
Sep-15
Lupin
Tamiflu
Oseltamivir
Influenza
Sep-15
Horizon Pharma
Lupin
Pennsaid
Diclofenac
Osteoarthritis
Sep-15
Bayer Pharma
Alembic Pharma
Staxyn
Vardenafil Hydrochloride
Sex Stimulant
Oct-15
Merck
Lupin
Beyaz
Drospirenone
Birth control
Oct-15
Taro Pharma
Moviprep
Gastro Intestinal
Oct-15
Takeda Pharma
Aurobindo
Prevacid
lansoprazole
Stomach ulcers
Oct-15
Janssen Pharma
Aurobindo
Xarelto
Rivaroxaban
Blood Thinner
Oct-15
Novartis Pharma
Natco Pharma
Gleevec
Matinib Mesylate
Anti-cancer
Oct-15
Otsuka Pharma
Zydus Pharma
Abilify
Aripiprazole
Schizophrenia
Oct-15
AstraZeneca
Alembic Pharma
Brilinta
Ticagrelor
CVS
Nov-15
AstraZeneca
InvaGen Pharma
Brilinta
Ticagrelor
CVS
Nov-15
Novartis Pharma
Exelon Patch
Rivastigmine
Dementia
Nov-15
Allergan
Aurobindo Pharma
Acular LS
Ketorolactromethamine
Ocular Pain
Nov-15
Shire Pharma
Lupin
Lialda
Mesalamine
Ulcerative Colitis
Nov-15
Dexcel Pharma
Sun Pharma
Omeprazole
Omeprazole
GI
Nov-15
Dexcel Pharma
Omeprazole
Omeprazole
GI
Nov-15
Cephalon Inc.
Aurobindo Pharma
Nuvigili
Modafinil
CNS
Nov-15
Cosmo Techs
Lupin
Uceris
Budesonide
GI
Nov-15
Pfizer
Toviaz
Fesoterodine
Urotherapy
Nov-15
Vanda Pharma
Lupin
Fanapt
Iloperidone
Schizophrenia
Nov-15
Forest Labs
InvaGen Pharma
Viibryd
Vilazodone
Anti-depressant
Nov-15
Jazz Pharma
Sun Pharma
Xyrem
Gamma-hydroxybutyric acid
CNS
Nov-15
Otsuka Pharma
Alkem Labs
Abilify
Aripiprazole
Schizophrenia
Nov-15
Symed Labs
Glenmark Pharma
Zyvox
Linezolid
Anti-Infective
Dec-15
UCB Inc.
InvaGen Pharma
Zyrtec-D
Cetirizine
Respiratory
Dec-15
Unimed Pharma
Androgel
Testosterone
Low Testosterone
Dec-15
Helsinn Healthcare
Aloxi
Palanosetron
Nausea
Dec-15
Sanofi-Aventis
Glenmark Pharma
Multaq
Dronedarone
Atrial Fibrillation
Dec-15
Otsuka Pharma
Ajanta Pharma
Abilify
Aripiprazole
Schizophrenia
Dec-15
Merz Pharma
Taro Pharma
Naftin
Naftifine Hydrochloride
Fungal Infection
Jan-16
Dow Pharma
Taro Pharma
Onexton
Acne
Jan-16
Cubist Pharma
Cubicin
Daptomycin
Antibiotic
Feb-16
Bayer Pharma
InvaGen Pharma
Xarelto
Rivaroxaban
Blood Thinner
Feb-16
Cipla
Reyataz
Atazanavir
HIV
Feb-16
Janssen Products LP
Lupin
Prezista
Darunavir
HIV
Mar-16
Shire Canada
Lupin
Daliresp
Roflumilast
Respiratory
Mar-16
Daiichi Sankyo
Torrent Pharma
Benicar
Olmesartan
Anti-depressant
Apr-16
Daiichi Sankyo
Alembic Pharma
Benicar
Olmesartan
Anti-depressant
May-16
Daiichi Sankyo
Aurobindo Pharma
Benicar
Olmesartan
Anti-depressant
Page 11
The Indian pharmaceutical market (IPM) grew 7.7% YoY to | 8449 crore
in May. The growth was mainly driven by price hikes- 5.0%, and new
product launches- 2.9% while volumes declined 4.4%
Fixed dosage combination (FDCs) related market de-grew 14.6% to
| 196 crore
Drugs under NLEM list registered growth of 2.6% to | 1010 crore while
non-NLEM drugs posted growth of 8.6% to | 7046 crore. Volume
growth in NLEM was 0.8% while declining 3.1% in non-NLEM
Among companies under I-direct coverage, Ajanta and Alembic have
registered decent growth of 13.1% and 11.3%, respectively. Cipla, Sun
Indoco, Glenmark and DRL registering growth of 6.4%, 5.6%. 5.2%,
4.7% and 4.1%, respectively, while Lupin de-grew 2.8%
Therapy wise, 14 therapies outpaced IPM growth. Notable among them
with growth rates- diabetic 19.2%, CNS 14.9%, Derma 14.2% and
CVS 13.2% and Anti-Infective -- 6.0%
In all, 360 new brands were launched in May 2016
On a MAT basis, IPM growth was at 11.1% YoY to | 99476 crore.
Domestic companies have grown 7.9% while MNC companies have
grown 7.0% in Mau 2016
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
12.3
Jan-16
6.6
7.7
20
12.5
Dec-15
Nov-15
9.6
10
10.5
15
22.9 Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
13.6
20
15.8
25
3.6
5
0
Source: AIOCD data base; Date as per MAT May 16 & May 15
Jul-15
Therapy
May' 16 May' 15 Gr. (%)
Anti-Infectives 317.5
319.0
-0.5
Respiratory
310.9
228.6
36.0
GI
309.3
178.2
73.5
Anti Diabetic
273.0
220.8
23.6
Anti Diabetic
272.1
187.5
45.1
225.4
6.4
Anti-Infectives 239.9
Vitamins
228.6
243.8
-6.2
Pain
217.0
212.1
2.3
Respiratory
196.1
169.1
16.0
Vaccines
195.1
151.9
28.5
(%)
Brand
Company
Augmentin GSK
Corex
Pfizer
Spasmo Prox Wockhardt
Lantus
Sanofi
Galvus Met Novartis
Clavam
Alkem
Becosules Pfizer
Volini
Sun Pharma
Foracort
Cipla
Synflorix
GSK
13.4
Jun-15
Therapy
May' 16 May' 15 YoY (%) Apr' 16 MoM (%)
Anti-Infectives
1156
1126
2.7
1162
-0.5
Cardiac
1093
992
10.2
1103
-0.9
Gastro Intestinal
1051
992
5.9
1046
0.5
Vitamins
798
727
9.8
777
2.7
Anti Diabetic
741
645
14.9
728
1.7
Pain
575
547
5.1
578
-0.5
CNS
539
489
10.3
541
-0.2
Respiratory
524
522
0.6
576
-8.9
Derma
516
475
8.6
516
0.0
Gynaecological
446
412
8.4
442
1.0
Hormones
144
129
12.0
139
3.5
Vaccines
134
129
4.2
132
1.6
Ophthal
134
122
9.7
137
-2.2
Anti-Neoplastics
133
131
1.3
122
9.3
Others
115
81
42.8
108
6.6
Others
104
96
8.5
99
5.4
Urology
101
91
11.3
100
0.5
Sex Stimulants
46
42
9.7
49
-6.2
Stomatologicals
37
33
13.8
36
2.8
Anti Malarials
33
38
-13.2
32
1.1
Source: AIOCD data base
12.9
-5
15
(%)
Unichem
Torrent
Sun Pharma
Pfizer
Novartis
Lupin
Ipca Labs
Indoco
GSK Pharma
Glenmark
DRL
Cipla
Cadila
13.1
11.3
10
Biocon
SubChronic,
20263.51,
20.4%
Ajanta
Acute,
47758.82,
48.0%
Chronic,
31453.56,
31.6%
9.5
9.4
6.4
4.6
7.3
4.5
4.7
5.2
3.7
2.0
0.3
3.2
1.4
0
-5
-2.8
Page 12
Sun Pharmaceuticals
Stock Performance
Chronic,
3915.49,
3941.39,
45.2%
45.3%
Acute,
3562.32,
3572.42,
41.1%
41.0%
150
130
110
90
70
50
Sub-Chronic,
1190.45,
1196.07,
13.7%
Jun-15
Aug-15
Oct-15
Dec-15
Feb-16
CNX Pharma
Sun Pharma
21 to 30
31 to 50
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
5.6
3.6
5.2
7.7
6.6
12.3
9.6
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jul-15
Jun-15
May-15
(%)
6.7
8.2
Others
12.3
18.7
12.5
9.6
3.0
5
11 to 20
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
16.6
10.5
10
10.8
10%
9%
10.0
(%)
15
7%
7%
56%
57%
13.6
9%
9%
12.9
14.5
20
13.4
15.9
17%
19%
15.8
21.7
25
22.9Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jul-15
Jun-15
May-15
12.0
11.4
10.8
10.2
9.6
9.0
8.4
7.8
7.2
6.6
6.0
Jun-16
Top 10
Apr-16
Cardiac
29%
Anti-Infectives
18%
Gastro Intestinal
19%
Neuro
27%
(| crore)
Brand
Therapy
Volini
Pain
14.7
31.1
20.5
-5.9
Rosuvas
Cardiac
17.2
12.7
35.2
16.4
4.8
4.1
Istamet
Anti Diabetic
15.4
13.1
17.5
14.8
Gemer
Anti Diabetic
14.7
13.5
9.3
14.2
4.1
Levipil
Neuro
14.3
12.2
17.2
12.9
10.3
Susten
Gynaecological
13.2
13.2
-0.5
13.9
-5.2
Pantocid
Gastro Intestinal
11.6
11.9
-2.7
12.0
-3.6
Revital H
Vitamins
10.8
6.7
61.0
11.7
-7.5
Pantocid Dsr
Gastro Intestinal
10.0
10.2
-2.4
10.3
-3.4
Storvas
Cardiac
9.7
10.3
-5.5
10.5
-7.5
(| crore)
May' 16
144.9
May' 15
129.6
YoY (%)
11.8
Apr' 16
141.8
132.7
91.7
QoQ (%)
2.2
126.7
4.8
129.5
2.5
90.0
1.8
91.4
0.3
2.0
Anti-Infectives
79.4
77.3
2.7
77.8
Derma
37.8
33.5
12.8
36.3
4.2
Anti Diabetic
70.4
66.4
6.0
68.0
3.5
Gynaecological
29.5
31.1
-5.0
30.3
-2.7
Pain
52.9
49.8
6.3
54.2
-2.3
Respiratory
23.4
23.6
-1.0
24.8
-5.7
Vitamins
31.7
27.2
16.9
32.7
-2.8
Page 13
Cipla
Stock Performance
Chronic,
1963.95,
39.8%
140
120
100
80
60
SubChronic,
612.89,
12.4%
Acute,
2356.37,
47.8%
Jun-15
Aug-15
Oct-15
Dec-15
Feb-16
CNX Pharma
Apr-16
Cipla
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
7.7
3.6
6.6
11.6
10.0
9.6
12.3
12.5
16.7
6.4
Others
2.1
31 to 50
3.5
21 to 30
4.6
5
11 to 20
Feb-16
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
9.6
15.9
21.0
10.5
13.6
11.1
15.8
11.6
(%)
10
13.4
15
8%
12.9
15.9
20
12%
16.7
44%
22.9Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jul-15
May-15
25
24%
12%
Jun-15
Top 10
Jun-16
Cipla
(| crore)
Brand
Therapy
Foracort
Respiratory
16.6
14.9
10.9
18.3
-9.6
Budecort
Respiratory
12.9
10.5
22.6
14.1
-8.7
Seroflo
Respiratory
10.5
10.9
-4.1
11.3
-7.3
Asthalin
Respiratory
9.7
10.2
-5.2
11.4
-15.5
Duolin
Respiratory
9.5
8.4
12.0
10.7
-12.0
4.4
Aerocort
Respiratory
7.6
8.1
-6.7
9.0
-15.3
4.2
Dytor
Cardiac
7.1
6.2
13.3
6.5
9.5
Montair Lc
Respiratory
6.3
5.7
10.1
7.1
-12.1
Emeset
Gastro Intestinal
6.2
6.5
-4.5
6.3
-1.8
Urimax
Urology
5.9
5.2
13.2
5.6
5.2
5.4
5.2
5.1
5.0
4.8
(%)
4.8
4.8
5.2
5.1
5.2
5.0 4.9
5.2
4.9
4.8
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jun-15
May-15
Jul-15
4.6 4.6
4.6
Cipla
Other
19%
Respiratory
29%
Urology
5%
Gastro Intestinal
8%
Cardiac
12%
Anti-Infectives
27%
Therapy
Respir at or y
Anti-Infect iv es
May' 16
113.1
(| crore)
May' 15
108.0
YoY (%)
4.8
Apr' 16
128.0
Q oQ (%)
-11.6
-10.1
102.3
96.7
5.8
113.7
Cardiac
52.1
49.6
5.0
54.7
-4.8
35.0
20.0
31.3
18.8
12.1
6.5
37.2
20.0
-5.9
0.1
Neuro
14.6
14.3
2.1
15.2
-4.1
Pain
12.8
11.5
11.1
13.7
-7.0
Derma
10.1
9.3
8.6
11.5
-12.5
Ophthal
10.7
10.0
7.2
11.4
-5.6
Vitamins
8.5
8.1
5.5
8.9
-4.3
Page 14
Dr Reddys Labs
Chronic,
723.47,
30.1%
140
120
SubChronic,
490.61,
20.4%
Acute,
1186.42,
49.4%
100
80
60
Jun-15
Aug-15
Oct-15
Dec-15
Feb-16
CNX Pharma
Apr-16
Jun-16
Dr. Reddys
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jul-15
May-15
Jun-15
Top 10
11 to 20
33.3
21 to 30
31 to 50
7.7
-0.5
4.5
3.6
6.6
12.3
0
-10
Others
2.9
2.7
2.5
2.6
2.5
2.3 2.3
2.3
2.3
2.1
2.7
2.6 2.7
2.4
2.2
2.3
2.2
(| crore)
Brand
Therapy
Omez
Gastro Intestinal
11.2
-2.2
10.3
5.6
Omez D
Gastro Intestinal
7.4
7.8
-5.6
7.4
-0.5
Razo D
Gastro Intestinal
6.5
3.4
87.6
5.9
8.6
Econorm
Gastro Intestinal
6.2
6.9
-10.2
6.4
-2.6
Grafeel
Anti-Neoplastics
5.6
4.2
33.4
3.9
43.0
3.5
11.2
3.6
10.0
3.8
2.8
37.1
3.7
4.2
Stamlo Beta
Cardiac
3.8
4.5
-14.3
4.3
-11.5
May-16
3.9
Respiratory
Apr-16
Gastro Intestinal
Atarax
Mar-16
Razo
Feb-16
-3.9
Jan-16
9.3
5.1
Dec-15
4.9
-6.1
Oct-15
-7.8
5.3
Sep-15
5.9
4.9
Aug-15
5.4
Cardiac
Jul-15
Pain
Stamlo
Jun-15
Nise
1.7
May-15
1.9
Nov-15
(%)
9.6
7.9
9%
2.3
27.9
28.1
12.5
24.1
9.6
10.5
13.6
28.0
13.4
15.8
12.9
23.8
10
8.7
16%
16.1
12%
(%)
20
33.1
30
30%
33%
22.9
31.6
40
Gastro Intestinal
23%
Cardiac
15%
Anti-Infectives
8%
Respiratory
8%
AntiNeoplastics
11%
(| crore)
May' 16
44.9
May' 15
43.2
YoY (%)
3.9
Apr' 16
42.7
QoQ (%)
5.0
Cardiac
26.6
28.3
-6.2
27.9
-4.6
Anti-Neoplastics
20.3
19.2
5.7
18.3
11.1
Respiratory
13.6
12.7
6.8
14.1
-3.2
Anti-Infectives
13.9
12.6
10.0
14.3
-3.3
Derma
12.2
10.7
14.5
12.5
-2.8
Pain
12.5
12.9
-3.0
12.0
3.8
Anti Diabetic
13.3
12.4
7.7
13.1
1.6
Urology
7.6
6.8
12.0
8.1
-6.0
Stomatologicals
6.4
6.3
1.0
6.4
-0.5
Page 15
Lupin
Stock Performance
Chronic,
1673.88,
49.0%
140
120
100
80
60
SubChronic,
669.21,
19.6%
Acute,
1076.25,
31.5%
Jun-15
Aug-15
Oct-15
Dec-15
Feb-16
CNX Pharma
Apr-16
Jun-16
Lupin
11 to 20
21 to 30
31 to 50
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jul-15
Jun-15
May-15
Lupin
(%)
7.7
-12
Others
3.9
3.7
3.5
3.3
3.1
2.9
2.7
2.5
2.3
-2.8
3.6
6.6
-4
Top 10
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
20.5
Feb-16
12.3
18.4
9.6
13.0
12.5
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
21.7
-4.4
14.4
(%)
13% 9%
7.1
12
11%
10.5
20
20%
12.0
47%
12.9
15.4
28
9.6
Aug-15
13.6
20.8
22.9 Oct-15
Jul-15
13.4
24.6
Sep-15
Jun-15
May-15
15.8
18.0
Lupin
(| crore)
Brand
Therapy
Gluconorm-G
Anti Diabetic
14.3
12.3
16.2
13.3
7.7
Tonact
Cardiac
8.4
8.4
-0.5
8.7
-4.1
Budamate
Respiratory
7.3
7.4
-1.3
7.4
-1.8
Rablet-D
Gastro Intestinal
4.8
5.1
-5.1
5.0
-4.6
Rablet
Gastro Intestinal
4.1
4.5
-7.8
4.5
-7.2
Cetil
Anti-Infectives
3.8
2.9
32.8
3.4
12.0
-4.7
Esiflo
Respiratory
3.8
4.7
-19.6
4.0
R-Cinex
Anti-Infectives
3.7
4.7
-21.8
3.9
-5.5
Ramistar
Cardiac
3.7
4.8
-22.6
4.6
-20.5
Gluconorm-Pg
Anti Diabetic
3.5
3.9
-10.2
3.3
7.9
Other
22%
Cardiac
26%
Gastro Intestinal
8%
Anti Diabetic
11%
Anti-Infectives
21%
Respiratory
12%
Therapy
Cardiac
May' 16
72.2
(| crore)
May' 15
73.5
YoY (%)
-1.8
Apr' 16
73.8
QoQ (%)
-2.3
Anti-Infectives
55.2
62.3
-11.5
55.4
-0.4
Respiratory
31.8
33.8
-5.8
33.3
-4.5
Anti Diabetic
36.4
32.5
11.9
34.1
6.5
Gastro Intestinal
22.8
24.4
-6.6
23.3
-2.5
Vitamins
15.6
17.9
-12.8
15.4
1.5
Neuro
14.7
14.6
0.7
14.9
-1.5
Pain
12.7
14.1
-9.7
12.2
4.4
Gynaecological
10.6
9.8
8.1
9.8
8.5
2.2
2.1
3.0
2.1
5.0
Ophthal
Page 16
Cadila Healthcare
Stock Performance
Chronic,
1673.88,
49.0%
140
120
SubChronic,
669.21,
19.6%
Acute,
1076.25,
31.5%
100
80
60
Jun-15
Aug-15
Oct-15
Dec-15
Feb-16
CNX Pharma
Apr-16
Jun-16
Cadila Healthcare
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
Aug-15
13.6
16.6
Oct-15
Jul-15
13.4
16.7
Sep-15
Jun-15
May-15
15.8
17.5
6.6
4.6
11.6
7.7
12.3
3.6
Others
2.2
31 to 50
7.3
21 to 30
6.8
11 to 20
7.1
Top 10
11.0
10
9.6
15
12.5
12.9
14.9
(%)
13% 9%
9.6
20
11%
18.6
25
20%
10.5
47%
22.9
27.0
30
Cadila Healthcare
Skinlite
Derma
16.3
14.1
Atorva
Cardiac
11.0
Mifegest Kit
Gynaecological
10.4
Pantodac
Gastro Intestinal
Deriphyllin
Respiratory
3.8
Zyrop
3.8
4.1
4.1
4.0
3.9
May-16
3.9
3.9
3.9 3.9
Apr-16
Sep-15
Jul-15
Jun-15
May-15
3.9
Aug-15
3.9
3.9
Mar-16
3.9
Feb-16
4.0
Jan-16
3.9
Nov-15
4.0
4.0
Dec-15
4.0 4.0
Oct-15
4.0
(%)
(| crore)
Brand
Cadila Healthcare
16.7
10.0
10.5
11.6
-4.7
14.5
-28.5
12.9
-19.5
9.5
7.5
26.0
8.9
5.8
8.1
7.7
4.4
8.6
-5.9
Blood Related
5.5
6.0
-8.4
5.0
9.1
Ocid
Gastro Intestinal
5.4
3.6
49.5
4.9
9.8
Amlodac
Cardiac
5.4
6.9
-21.8
5.8
-6.7
Aten
Cardiac
5.3
5.3
0.3
5.1
4.1
Clopitorva
Cardiac
5.0
3.8
30.3
5.1
-2.2
Other
38%
Therapy
Cardiac
Cardiac
17%
Gastro Intestinal
14%
Gynaecological
11%
Pain
10%
Respiratory
10%
-2.2
(| crore)
May' 16
55.6
May' 15
52.8
YoY (%)
5.2
Apr' 16
56.2
QoQ (%)
-1.2
Gastro Intestinal
47.3
Gynaecological
34.6
42.3
11.8
47.6
-0.7
40.4
-14.3
38.0
Respiratory
30.4
-9.0
28.8
5.7
32.3
-5.7
Pain
32.1
27.7
15.8
33.7
-4.5
Derma
26.9
24.7
9.0
27.0
-0.2
-7.7
Anti-Infectives
23.4
21.4
9.4
25.4
Anti-Neoplastics
20.6
18.3
12.6
20.3
1.6
Vitamins
14.5
12.7
14.2
14.1
2.8
4.7
6.9
-32.1
3.9
20.0
Anti Malarials
Page 17
GlaxoSmithKline
Stock Performance
Chronic,
427.39,
13.1%
SubChronic,
700.97,
21.6%
Acute,
2122.81,
65.3%
140
120
100
80
60
Jun-15
Aug-15
Oct-15
Dec-15
Feb-16
CNX Pharma
Apr-16
Jun-16
GSK Pharma
0.3
6.9
-3.5
3.6
6.6
7.7
12.3
9.6
9.9
11 to 20
21 to 30
31 to 50
-6.4
-5
Top 10
-10
Others
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
Jan-16
Dec-15
11.9
9.6
9.9
5.8
2.7
1.3
4.8
3.4
10.5
13.6
10
(%)
15%
13.4
15
52%
9%
15.8
20
10%
12.9
25
12.5
22.9
27.2
30
14%
Nov-15
Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jul-15
May-15
Jun-15
Glaxosmithkline Pharmaceuticals
3.8
3.6
3.5
(%)
3.4
3.3 3.3
3.2
3.2
3.3
3.4
3.4 3.4
3.3
3.1 3.1
3.0
3.0 3.1
2.8
2.6
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jul-15
Jun-15
May-15
2.4
Glaxosmithkline Pharmaceuticals
Anti-Infectives
23%
Respiratory
8%
Pain
9%
Therapy
Augmentin
Anti-Infectives
(| crore)
24.7
-16.7
23.2
-11.5
Synflorix
Vaccines
18.5
14.0
32.2
17.9
3.2
Zinetac
Gastro Intestinal
15.0
14.4
4.4
14.0
6.9
Calpol
Pain
13.1
11.5
13.3
14.9
-12.0
Eltroxin
Hormones
12.7
10.9
16.9
11.0
15.7
Betnovate N
Derma
11.5
11.7
-1.4
12.2
-5.9
Betnovate C
Derma
11.0
14.9
-26.6
10.7
2.2
Rotarix
Vaccines
10.0
3.1
223.9
9.6
3.9
Ceftum
Anti-Infectives
9.9
10.7
-7.1
10.1
-1.6
T Bact
Derma
8.8
8.6
2.3
1.2
613.9
Brand
Derma
19%
Vaccines
14%
(| crore)
May' 16
53.7
May' 15
58.6
YoY (%)
-8.4
Apr' 16
59.0
QoQ (%)
-9.0
Derma
49.2
60.3
Vaccines
44.5
25.9
-18.3
43.5
13.1
71.6
42.0
Pain
23.7
22.0
6.0
7.5
24.4
-3.2
-8.2
Respiratory
17.5
17.6
-0.3
19.1
Hormones
19.9
20.6
-3.3
19.4
2.7
Vitamins
21.1
20.1
4.7
20.3
3.8
Gastro Intestinal
17.0
17.1
-0.2
16.6
2.5
Cardiac
4.8
5.9
-19.0
4.1
16.1
Gynaecological
3.5
2.8
22.1
3.3
5.1
Page 18
Wockhardt
Stock Performance
Chronic,
263.60,
19.6%
Acute,
930.04,
69.3%
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
SubChronic,
148.49,
11.1%
Jun-15
Aug-15
Oct-15
Dec-15
Feb-16
CNX Pharma
Apr-16
Jun-16
Wockhardt
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
13.6
24.4
50.4
38.3
2.5
7.7
9.4
3.6
4.8
6.6
12.3
29.7
22.9
10
Others
5.5
31 to 50
9.6
9.9
21 to 30
12.5
20
12.9
22.2
(%)
30
10.5
14%
15.8
36.0
40
9.6
56%
42.2
50
8%
11 to 20
Jul-15
60
8%
Top 10
13.4
29.2
May-15
14%
Jun-15
Wockhardt
Therapy
1.26
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jun-15
1.24
1.28
1.42 1.39
1.37 1.38 1.35 1.29
1.37 1.35 1.39
1.34
Jul-15
1.4
1.3
1.2
1.1
1.0
Wockhardt
Gastro Intestinal
25%
0.7
23.8
-5.5
6.0
49.1
8.0
12.2
-5.9
Neuro
5.8
3.9
NA
6.1
Methycobal
Vitamins
4.9
3.5
37.2
4.6
6.8
Bro Zedex
Respiratory
3.2
3.3
-2.0
3.4
-3.8
Biovac V
Vaccines
3.0
6.9
-56.5
2.9
2.4
Wosulin
Anti Diabetic
3.0
1.9
NA
2.9
1.8
Biovac A
Vaccines
2.5
2.8
-10.7
2.5
1.9
Libotryp
Neuro
2.5
1.5
71.3
2.3
11.3
Ace Proxyvon
Pain
2.2
2.7
-17.8
2.2
-0.1
Vitamins
15%
Neuro
8%
22.3
8.9
Tryptomer
Respiratory
Anti-Infectives
7%
22.5
Vitamins
(| crore)
May-15
(%)
1.8
1.7
1.6
1.5
Respiratory
12%
Anti-Infectives
(| crore)
May' 16
24.8
May' 15
24.5
YoY (%)
1.4
Apr' 16
25.7
QoQ (%)
-3.4
20.5
15.8
30.0
19.0
7.7
9.4
10.3
-9.4
10.0
-6.1
10.6
7.1
48.6
10.6
-0.8
5.6
5.8
-3.6
7.0
-20.0
Vaccines
5.6
9.8
-42.9
5.5
2.3
Derma
7.5
6.4
18.4
7.3
2.8
Pain
6.9
6.2
10.9
6.8
1.5
Anti Diabetic
8.5
6.0
42.3
8.4
1.7
Hormones
2.8
2.0
40.4
2.7
1.6
Page 19
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals
Stock Performance
Chronic,
899.55,
37.8%
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
SubChronic,
549.64,
23.1%
Acute,
931.50,
39.1%
Jun-15
Aug-15
Oct-15
Dec-15
Feb-16
CNX Pharma
Jun-16
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
7.7
12.3
19.6
4.7
9.6
16.3
9.6
12.5
18.6
22.9
43.6
Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
13.6
28.0
30.9
13.4
34.6
3.6
4.5
Others
6.6
10.4
31 to 50
11.5
21 to 30
10.5
13.1
11 to 20
15.8
13%
10%
Jul-15
May-15
13%
29.9
(%)
35%
12.9
29%
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Jun-15
Top 10
Apr-16
Glenmark
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals
2.7
(%)
2.5
2.4
2.4 2.3
2.3
2.3
2.5 2.5
2.6
2.5
2.4
2.3
2.3
2.2
2.1
2.1
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jul-15
Jun-15
May-15
1.9
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals
Derma
29%
Anti-Infectives
13%
Respiratory
15%
Therapy
Telma
Cardiac
(| crore)
13.4
-2.7
12.7
2.3
Telma H
Cardiac
12.2
10.3
18.5
13.1
-6.7
Candid
Derma
10.2
8.7
17.4
11.2
-9.4
Candid-B
Derma
7.2
6.5
10.8
8.3
-13.7
Telma Am
Cardiac
6.5
5.8
11.8
7.1
-8.3
Ascoril Plus
Respiratory
5.5
5.5
0.5
8.6
-35.9
Zitamet Plus
Anti Diabetic
3.2
0.0
NA
2.9
9.2
Onabet
Derma
3.1
2.4
29.4
3.2
-2.9
Zita Plus
Anti Diabetic
2.7
0.0
NA
2.4
13.9
Bon K2
Vitamins
2.7
2.6
0.9
2.7
-1.5
Other
11%
Brand
Cardiac
23%
(| crore)
Therapy
Derma
May' 16
57.2
May' 15
51.8
YoY (%)
10.2
Apr' 16
61.2
Cardiac
44.8
Respiratory
19.8
QoQ (%)
-6.6
41.3
8.6
46.2
-3.0
20.1
-1.4
26.4
-25.0
Anti-Infectives
22.0
23.7
-7.0
22.9
-3.9
Anti Diabetic
14.5
15.5
-6.7
14.5
0.2
Vitamins
6.0
4.5
33.8
5.6
6.1
Gastro Intestinal
4.8
5.1
-5.2
5.4
-11.6
Pain
4.0
3.7
8.8
4.0
1.6
Gynaecological
3.5
3.1
14.7
3.8
-6.4
Otologicals
2.4
2.8
-14.4
2.3
1.9
Page 20
Torrent Pharmaceuticals
Stock Performance
Chronic,
1159.51,
51.0%
200
160
120
80
40
SubChronic,
562.61,
24.8%
Acute,
550.43,
24.2%
Jun-15
Aug-15
Oct-15
Dec-15
Feb-16
CNX Pharma
Apr-16
Jun-16
Torrent Pharma
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jul-15
May-15
Jun-15
21 to 30
31 to 50
1.4
2.4
3.6
6.6
7.7
12.3
10.2
9.6
7.4
3.8
9.6
5.4
Others
12.5
19.9
13.6
21.7
28.3
-3.0
11 to 20
10
9%
10.5
16.0
12%
Top 10
(%)
15
14%
13.4
18.3
12.9
20
15.8
27.4
25
32%
33%
22.9
30
-5
Indian Pharma Market
Torrent Pharmaceuticals
2.8
2.48 2.50
2.4
(%)
2.35
2.25 2.23
2.23
2.17 2.21
2.35
2.30
2.232.27
2.34
2.0
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jul-15
Jun-15
May-15
1.6
Torrent Pharmaceuticals
(| crore)
Brand
Therapy
Shelcal
Vitamins
16.3
18.2
-10.4
16.0
1.9
Chymoral Forte
Pain
9.6
10.3
-6.7
9.9
-2.7
Nikoran
Cardiac
7.3
6.4
13.8
7.3
1.0
Dilzem
Cardiac
5.9
5.4
10.4
5.3
10.7
Azulix-Mf
Anti Diabetic
5.8
4.7
23.1
5.1
11.7
Nebicard
Cardiac
5.4
4.9
8.9
5.5
-1.6
Shelcal Ct
Vitamins
4.5
3.0
52.4
4.4
4.2
Nexpro Rd
Gastro Intestinal
4.4
4.4
0.5
4.4
-0.8
Nexpro
Gastro Intestinal
4.0
3.9
1.2
3.8
4.8
Deplatt-A
Cardiac
3.3
3.1
8.9
2.9
15.0
Other
16%
Cardiac
29%
Pain
8%
Gastro Intestinal
15%
Vitamins
16%
Neuro
16%
Therapy
Cardiac
May' 16
58.0
(| crore)
May' 15
55.0
YoY (%)
5.5
Apr' 16
56.5
QoQ (%)
2.6
Neuro
32.1
30.8
4.1
31.2
2.7
Vitamins
32.5
30.3
7.2
31.5
3.3
Gastro Intestinal
28.2
30.4
-7.1
27.5
2.8
Pain
15.7
15.2
3.4
15.5
1.5
Anti Diabetic
12.6
10.9
15.9
11.6
9.4
Anti-Infectives
6.2
10.1
-38.5
6.4
-2.7
Derma
5.2
4.4
17.7
5.6
-7.5
Gynaecological
3.1
3.8
-17.0
2.7
15.1
Urology
1.0
0.8
NA
0.9
10.7
Page 21
Ipca Laboratories
Stock Performance
150
125
100
75
50
Chronic,
349.06,
27.5%
Acute,
842.34,
66.4%
SubChronic,
76.67, 6.0%
Jun-15
Aug-15
Oct-15
Dec-15
Feb-16
CNX Pharma
Ipca
21 to 30
31 to 50
1.8
1.6
1.5 1.4
1.3
1.0
0.8
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jul-15
0.6
Jun-15
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
3.7
3.3
1.5
3.6
6.6
7.7
12.3
11.5
9.1
2.0
May-15
Ipca Laboratories
(%)
9.6
12.5
11.8
9.6
6.3
-10
Others
1.2
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
25.8
10.5
3.6
-5.5
-5.8
0
-5
-0.1
16%
13.6
10
3.0
(%)
11%
13.4
15
13%
15.8
20
37%
12.9
25
23%
11 to 20
22.9
30
Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jul-15
May-15
Jun-15
1.4
Jun-16
Top 10
Apr-16
Ipca Laboratories
Pain
26%
Anti-Infectives
6%
Brand
Therapy
Zerodol Sp
Pain
7.5
7.1
6.2
7.8
-3.5
Zerodol P
Pain
5.9
5.5
8.0
7.9
-25.5
Hcqs
Anti Malarials
5.5
4.8
13.9
5.9
-6.2
5.6
Glycinorm M
Anti Diabetic
3.3
2.9
15.3
3.1
Folitrax
Anti-Neoplastics
3.0
2.5
21.5
2.7
9.9
Larinate
Anti Malarials
2.9
2.6
14.5
2.5
18.7
Rapither-Ab
Anti Malarials
2.5
3.6
-28.9
2.9
-13.6
Zerodol
Pain
2.3
2.4
-3.7
2.5
-9.9
Perinorm
Gastro Intestinal
2.1
2.2
-5.9
1.8
20.8
Ctd
Cardiac
2.0
1.6
24.6
2.0
-3.1
Anti Malarials
19%
Cardiac
17%
May' 16
27.3
(| crore)
May' 15
26.0
YoY (%)
5.2
Apr' 16
30.0
QoQ (%)
-9.0
Anti Malarials
15.8
17.1
-7.7
16.4
-3.7
Cardiac
19.0
17.3
10.2
18.5
2.7
9.6
10.0
-3.6
9.4
3.0
-2.0
Gastro Intestinal
Gastro Intestinal
8%
(| crore)
Anti-Infectives
5.5
6.2
-11.3
5.7
Anti Diabetic
5.8
5.4
7.0
5.7
1.5
Respiratory
3.0
3.2
-6.8
3.5
-14.3
Anti-Neoplastics
5.0
3.6
37.5
4.6
8.3
Neuro
3.7
3.3
12.5
3.6
4.0
Derma
2.7
2.4
10.0
2.8
-4.5
Page 22
Biocon
Stock Performance
Chronic,
242.94,
71.3%
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
SubChronic,
28.73, 8.4%
Acute,
69.06,
20.3%
Jun-15
Aug-15
Oct-15
Dec-15
Feb-16
CNX Pharma
Jun-16
21 to 30
31 to 50
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
3.6
7.7
6.6
7.7
9.4
14.5
Feb-16
12.3
11.3
5.3
5.2
9.6
12.5
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
9.6
10.0
10.5
13.6
-0.8
0
-5
-10
Others
-11.2
11 to 20
3.7
2%
7.3
10
13.4
6%
5%
6.0
15
4.8
11%
(%)
76%
12.9
20
15.8
25
22.9
Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jul-15
May-15
Jun-15
Top 10
Apr-16
Biocon
-15
Biocon
0.39
0.38
0.37
0.36
0.36
0.35
0.34
0.34
0.33
0.33
0.35 0.35
0.34
0.34
Therapy
(| crore)
Insugen
Anti Diabetic
7.8
7.0
12.2
7.5
4.0
Basalog
Anti Diabetic
5.3
4.1
28.0
5.1
2.8
Erypro
Blood Related
2.4
1.6
53.5
1.9
29.9
Canmab
Anti-Neoplastics
1.5
1.7
-13.1
2.2
-32.7
0.29
Insugen R
Anti Diabetic
1.4
1.3
8.3
1.4
0.3
0.27
Blisto Mf
Anti Diabetic
1.2
1.5
-19.7
1.2
-2.8
Abraxane
Anti-Neoplastics
1.1
1.4
-21.7
1.7
-35.1
Biomab Egfr
Anti-Neoplastics
1.0
0.2
502.6
1.0
-4.9
Psorid
Anti-Neoplastics
0.7
0.5
55.7
0.6
26.0
Insugen N
Anti Diabetic
0.6
0.8
-23.2
0.6
6.9
May-16
Apr-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Jan-16
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jul-15
Jun-15
May-15
Nov-15
0.31
0.31
0.32
Dec-15
0.33
Oct-15
(%)
Brand
Biocon
Derma
3%
Other
5%
6%
AntiNeoplastics
22%
Anti Diabetic
59%
(| crore)
May' 16
17.6
May' 15
16.0
YoY (%)
9.9
Apr' 16
17.0
QoQ (%)
3.7
Anti-Neoplastics
6.1
5.5
Blood Related
2.4
1.6
9.9
7.2
-16.2
54.5
1.9
Cardiac
1.5
1.6
-5.9
1.5
28.9
2.4
Derma
0.7
0.8
-14.9
0.7
-2.0
Anti-Infectives
0.4
0.6
-39.8
0.6
-37.5
Gastro Intestinal
0.1
0.1
4.2
0.0
146.6
Others
0.3
0.2
25.4
0.2
41.2
Vitamins
0.1
0.2
-29.6
0.1
12.3
Pain
0.1
0.0
240.1
0.0
162.8
Page 23
Pfizer
Stock Performance
Chronic,
456.49,
15.7%
SubChronic,
561.72,
19.3%
Acute,
1884.77,
64.9%
200
160
120
80
40
Jun-15
Aug-15
Oct-15
Dec-15
Feb-16
CNX Pharma
Pfizer
31 to 50
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
7.7
7.3
2.8
3.6
6.6
3.5
5.1
-5
21 to 30
12.3
9.6
-3.4
0.9
11 to 20
Feb-16
Jan-16
Dec-15
9.6
3.5
19%
9.9
11.8
(%)
10
10.5
15
50%
10%
12.9
20
10%
15.8
20.3
25
12.5
22.9
25.4
30
11%
Nov-15
Oct-15
Aug-15
13.6
19.7
Sep-15
Jul-15
13.4
17.3
May-15
Jun-15
-10
Others
Pfizer
2.93
2.96 2.94
2.91
2.95
2.90
2.86
(%)
2.8
2.6
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jul-15
Jun-15
2.4
May-15
Jun-16
Top 10
Apr-16
Pfizer
Therapy
Corex
Respiratory
(| crore)
19.8
13.1
27.6
-18.8
Becosules
Vitamins
19.1
22.4
-14.5
18.8
2.0
Minipress Xl
Cardiac
12.3
10.1
22.0
15.4
-20.1
Dolonex
Pain
11.3
10.2
10.5
10.8
4.6
Gelusil Mps
Gastro Intestinal
10.4
11.3
-8.3
10.6
-1.7
Magnex
Anti-Infectives
10.3
11.0
-6.2
9.4
9.7
Mucaine
Gastro Intestinal
10.2
7.9
30.4
9.7
5.0
Wysolone
Hormones
8.9
6.3
41.6
7.8
14.6
Folvite
Blood Related
7.5
6.1
23.2
7.3
3.3
Ovral L
Gynaecological
5.9
4.3
37.2
6.0
-1.0
Other
41%
Gastro Intestinal
10%
Hormones
9%
Brand
Vitamins
10%
May' 15
34.4
YoY (%)
-5.4
Apr' 16
34.6
QoQ (%)
-6.1
Respiratory
28.7
24.7
16.5
34.3
-16.3
Gastro Intestinal
26.3
24.8
5.8
26.0
0.9
Vitamins
24.6
28.0
-12.2
24.2
1.7
Hormones
22.3
18.4
21.1
20.9
6.6
Gynaecological
20.8
17.1
21.6
21.0
-1.2
Neuro
18.4
15.9
15.8
19.6
-6.4
Cardiac
18.0
16.3
10.2
21.2
-15.1
Pain
16.4
15.1
8.4
15.0
8.7
7.9
6.7
18.4
7.7
2.6
Blood Related
May' 16
32.5
(| crore)
Page 24
Novartis
Stock Performance
Chronic,
502.12,
42.2%
190
140
90
SubChronic,
167.09,
14.0%
Acute,
520.36,
43.7%
40
Jun-15
Aug-15
Oct-15
Dec-15
Feb-16
CNX Pharma
Novartis India
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
9.5
3.7
-2.7
4.2
3.6
6.6
7.7
12.3
5.5
9.6
12.5
0.0
7.8
-10
Others
Novartis India
1.3
1.3
1.24
1.22
1.2
(%)
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
9.6
10.5
13.6
4.2
-2.0
-5
-1.7
-7.1
31 to 50
13.4
3.1
5
-1.0
(%)
10
78%
21 to 30
15.8
12.9
20
22.9
Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jul-15
May-15
25
15
11 to 20
Jun-15
2%
4%4%
12%
1.18
1.16
1.2
1.20 1.20
1.20
1.22
1.23
1.19 1.18
1.13
1.12
1.1
Jun-16
Top 10
Apr-16
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jul-15
May-15
Jun-15
1.1
Novartis India
Respiratory
8%
Vaccines
8% Vitamins
9%
Therapy
Galvus Met
Anti Diabetic
24.5
17.8
37.8
25.2
-2.9
Voveran
Pain
18.0
13.5
33.0
19.5
-7.9
Galvus
Anti Diabetic
9.7
9.2
5.6
10.1
-3.3
Rabipur (Novartis)
Vaccines
6.4
8.5
-25.4
11.0
-42.4
Tegrital
Neuro
4.6
4.5
2.4
5.0
-8.2
Voveran
Pain
3.3
2.7
19.4
3.4
-4.3
Regestrone
Gynaecological
2.9
3.0
-1.6
3.0
-3.0
Genteal
Ophthal
2.4
2.7
-13.1
2.5
-6.9
Syntocinon
Gynaecological
2.3
1.7
33.6
2.0
10.8
Methergin
Gynaecological
2.2
2.5
-10.9
2.5
-12.7
Other
23%
(| crore)
Brand
Pain
20%
(| crore)
May' 16
34.8
May' 15
27.6
YoY (%)
26.0
Apr' 16
35.9
QoQ (%)
-2.9
22.8
18.0
26.8
24.4
-6.7
Vitamins
8.9
9.1
-2.2
9.6
-7.8
Vaccines
6.4
8.6
-26.4
11.0
-42.5
Gynaecological
7.7
7.3
4.9
7.8
-1.9
Neuro
4.6
5.8
-19.7
5.1
-8.7
Anti-Infectives
4.0
4.2
-3.4
3.6
12.8
Pain
Ophthal
3.0
3.2
-7.9
3.1
-3.8
Respiratory
1.6
1.5
9.3
1.8
-12.4
Cardiac
0.8
1.1
-20.5
0.8
1.8
Page 25
Unichem Laboratories
Stock Performance
Chronic,
519.57,
57.7%
Acute,
325.13,
36.1%
160
130
100
70
SubChronic,
55.05, 6.1%
Jun-15
Aug-15
Oct-15
Dec-15
Feb-16
CNX Pharma
Apr-16
Jun-16
Unichem Labs
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jul-15
Jun-15
May-15
21 to 30
31 to 50
0.97
0.920.95
0.94
0.92
0.90
0.88
0.88 0.88
0.86 0.87
0.89 0.90
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jul-15
Jun-15
0.80
May-15
12.3
1.5
3.2
3.6
6.6
2.2
5.8
5.3
2.5
7.7
9.6
9.6
10.5
1.10
(%)
Unichem Laboratories
0.99
0.6
12.4
Others
1.00
2.7
5
0
11 to 20
11.0
13%
11.1
10
9%
Top 10
13.6
15
13.4
(%)
11%
12.9
20
46%
15.8
20.5
25
21%
12.5
22.9
26.6
30
Unichem Laboratories
Neuro
13%
Losar H
Cardiac
8.2
7.3
12.8
7.9
3.1
Unienzyme
Gastro Intestinal
6.1
7.4
-18.1
5.2
16.7
Losar
Cardiac
5.5
5.3
3.9
5.8
-5.4
Ampoxin
Anti-Infectives
5.4
7.0
-23.1
5.1
4.2
Vizylac
Gastro Intestinal
3.8
3.6
4.7
2.8
32.7
Serta
Neuro
2.0
1.7
16.2
2.0
-1.6
Trika
Neuro
1.8
2.2
-17.2
2.0
-8.8
Unistar (Unichem)
Cardiac
1.7
1.5
17.1
1.6
9.8
Telsar
Cardiac
1.5
1.6
-3.1
1.3
15.0
Ranx
Cardiac
1.4
0.9
57.5
1.4
2.8
Other
11%
Gastro Intestinal
12%
Therapy
(| crore)
Brand
Cardiac
43%
Anti-Infectives
17%
(| crore)
May' 16
34.6
May' 15
31.0
YoY (%)
11.7
Apr' 16
33.8
QoQ (%)
2.2
Anti-Infectives
11.8
13.6
-13.0
11.0
6.9
Neuro
10.5
9.6
10.3
11.2
-5.9
Gastro Intestinal
11.3
12.6
-10.7
9.4
20.6
Pain
3.2
2.9
10.8
3.0
9.8
Anti Diabetic
3.3
2.4
38.4
3.3
2.1
Vitamins
1.7
2.2
-20.4
1.8
-3.3
Respiratory
1.5
1.9
-18.0
1.6
-2.5
Derma
1.9
1.3
55.1
1.9
4.2
Gynaecological
0.4
0.6
-35.4
0.4
-0.3
Page 26
Indoco Remedies
Stock Performance
Acute,
569.74,
82.3%
140
120
100
80
60
Chronic,
41.00, 5.9%
SubChronic,
81.85,
11.8%
Jun-15
Aug-15
Oct-15
Feb-16
CNX Pharma
Apr-16
Jun-16
Indoco
21 to 30
31 to 50
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
5.2
3.6
7.7
-1.0
12.3
6.6
5.6
5.4
9.6
12.5
11.0
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
9.6
16.2
10.3
-5
Others
10.5
-1.3
3.7
0.7
11 to 20
2.6
16%
1.2
(%)
10
9%
-6.4
47%
13.6
15
11%
13.4
12.9
20
17%
15.8
25
22.9Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jul-15
May-15
Jun-15
Top 10
Dec-15
-10
Indian Pharma Market
Indoco Remedies
0.8
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7 0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jul-15
Jun-15
0.6
May-15
(%)
Indoco Remedies
Respiratory
18%
Vitamins
7%
Gastro Intestinal
14%
(| crore)
Febrex Plus
Respiratory
4.2
5.1
-17.7
4.3
-0.9
Cital
Urology
3.9
3.3
17.2
3.9
0.4
Cyclopam
Gastro Intestinal
3.8
4.0
-5.7
3.6
4.6
Sensodent-K
Stomatologicals
3.0
2.5
23.9
3.2
-4.3
Oxipod
Anti-Infectives
2.6
2.3
12.3
2.6
-3.0
Cloben G
Derma
1.9
1.6
16.2
1.8
4.8
Atm
Anti-Infectives
1.9
2.0
-5.2
1.9
-1.7
Cyclopam
Gastro Intestinal
1.8
1.9
-9.1
1.7
3.9
Sensodent-Kf
Stomatologicals
1.8
1.5
15.7
1.7
2.1
Sensoform
Stomatologicals
1.7
1.5
15.0
1.7
1.5
Therapy
Anti-Infectives
18%
Stomatologicals
16%
(| crore)
May' 16
7.1
May' 15
7.9
YoY (%)
-10.6
Apr' 16
7.5
QoQ (%)
-5.2
Anti-Infectives
8.7
8.1
6.9
8.5
2.1
Stomatologicals
9.9
8.3
19.8
9.8
1.7
Gastro Intestinal
8.5
9.1
-7.0
8.0
5.3
Vitamins
4.6
4.2
10.4
4.0
14.5
Urology
4.4
3.6
21.4
4.2
3.4
Derma
2.4
2.2
11.8
2.3
3.3
Pain
2.6
2.2
16.5
2.3
9.9
Ophthal
2.2
2.2
1.8
2.1
7.6
Anti Diabetic
1.9
1.7
12.8
1.7
12.5
Page 27
Ajanta Pharmaceuticals
Stock Performance
Chronic,
235.73,
48.7%
290
240
190
140
90
40
SubChronic,
56.73,
11.7%
Acute,
191.48,
39.6%
Jun-15
Aug-15
Oct-15
Dec-15
Feb-16
CNX Pharma
Apr-16
Jun-16
Ajanta
11 to 20
21 to 30
31 to 50
7.7
3.6
7.6
6.6
7.6
5
Top 10
May-16
13.1
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
12.3
10.5
9.6
6.9
12.5
14.3
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
9.6
6.5
10.5
12.6
9.9
9.5
10.0
10
12%
10.9
(%)
10%
13.6
18.3
15
12%
13.4
12.9
20
43%
15.8
25
23%
22.9
Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jul-15
May-15
Jun-15
Others
0
Indian Pharma Market
0.5
0.5
0.51 0.52
0.49
0.5
0.49
0.46
0.51
0.51
0.48 0.48
0.45
Brand
Therapy
Met Xl
Cardiac
Melacare
Derma
Atorfit Cv
Cardiac
Soft Drops
Ophthal
(| crore)
3.8
30.7
3.4
45.8
3.1
3.6
-13.5
3.2
-1.2
2.9
3.0
-1.3
2.9
1.1
1.4
1.2
19.6
1.2
17.4
1.2
5.9
32.3
1.3
-5.4
0.4
Met Xl Am
Cardiac
1.2
1.0
22.8
1.2
5.1
Cinod
Cardiac
0.9
0.7
24.9
0.8
7.3
Rosutor Gold
Cardiac
0.9
0.4
93.9
0.8
3.8
Olopat
Ophthal
0.8
0.7
22.8
0.8
4.2
Jan-16
Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jul-15
Jun-15
May-15
May-16
44.0
0.9
Apr-16
0.9
1.2
Mar-16
1.3
Cardiac
Feb-16
Pain
Rosufit Cv
Dec-15
Feburic
0.4
0.4
Nov-15
(%)
0.5
0.5
Ajanta Pharma
Ajanta Pharma
Pain
5%
Others
10%
Vitamins
6%
Derma
22%
Cardiac
34%
Ophthal
23%
(| crore)
Therapy
Cardiac
May' 16
15.7
May' 15
12.7
YoY (%)
23.2
Apr' 16
13.7
QoQ (%)
14.3
Ophthal
9.9
8.9
11.4
9.8
0.6
Derma
8.4
8.7
-3.2
8.6
-1.8
Vitamins
2.2
2.4
-7.8
2.2
1.4
Pain
2.1
1.9
11.3
2.0
5.6
Gastro Intestinal
1.0
1.0
-8.5
0.9
2.7
Neuro
0.9
0.9
-0.6
0.7
19.4
Anti-Infectives
0.7
0.5
53.0
0.7
13.3
Ophthal
0.9
0.5
70.1
0.7
22.9
Anti Diabetic
0.5
0.0
NA
0.5
-5.0
Page 28
Alembic Pharmaceuticals
Stock Performance
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
Chronic,
300.17,
21.6%
Acute,
831.89,
59.8%
SubChronic,
257.93,
18.6%
Jun-15
Aug-15
Oct-15
Dec-15
CNX Pharma
Feb-16
Apr-16
Jun-16
Alembic Pharma
11 to 20
21 to 30
31 to 50
Others
1.43 1.44
1.44
1.37
1.32
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jul-15
Jun-15
May-16
1.32 1.31
1.26 1.26
May-15
(%)
Alembic Pharma
May-16
Apr-16
7.7
11.3
Therapy
Azithral
Anti-Infectives
9.8
-10.7
9.0
-2.9
Althrocin
Anti-Infectives
6.6
5.4
23.3
5.8
14.3
Gestofit
Gynaecological
5.3
4.6
16.5
5.3
0.5
Roxid
Anti-Infectives
4.1
4.3
-4.6
4.3
-3.2
Ulgel
Gastro Intestinal
2.7
2.6
2.8
2.7
-0.7
Wikoryl
Respiratory
2.5
2.2
12.0
2.7
-6.4
Richar
Gynaecological
2.3
1.4
62.8
2.0
16.5
Rekool D
Gastro Intestinal
2.3
2.4
-1.9
2.5
-6.2
Rekool
Gastro Intestinal
2.0
1.7
21.9
2.0
3.0
Rekool L
Gastro Intestinal
1.9
1.9
-2.0
1.9
-3.7
Anti-Infectives
24%
Gynaecological
11%
Therapy
May' 15
YoY (%)
Apr' 16
QoQ (%)
22.8
23.0
-0.9
22.5
1.5
Gastro Intestinal
15.9
15.0
6.3
15.6
2.0
Cardiac
16.8
13.7
22.1
17.6
-4.8
9.7
10.2
-5.2
11.2
-13.5
Gynaecological
Gastro Intestinal
14%
May' 16
(| crore)
Anti-Infectives
Respiratory
Cardiac
14%
3.6
5.7
6.6
8.1
Brand
Respiratory
13%
Mar-16
12.3
13.7
9.6
(| crore)
Other
24%
Feb-16
Jan-16
23.0
24.0
12.5
9.6
Alembic Pharma
10.5
14%
10%
6.0
(%)
10
13%
Top 10
15
12.9
15.2
20
36%
13.6
21.2
25
18.8
22.9
30
27%
Dec-15
31.4
35
Nov-15
Oct-15
Jul-15
13.4
17.0
Sep-15
Jun-15
15.8
18.1
May-15
Aug-15
13.7
11.4
21.0
13.4
2.3
Vitamins
8.5
6.5
32.4
8.4
1.8
Anti Diabetic
7.4
6.0
24.1
7.7
-4.5
Pain
4.7
3.8
22.9
4.5
5.1
Derma
2.0
2.2
-7.1
2.1
-4.4
Urology
2.4
1.8
30.6
2.3
2.2
Page 29
TP
(|)
I-Direct
Code
Ajanta Pharma
Buy
13701.5
45.7
52.4
63.6
34.1
29.7
24.5
22.7
19.3
16.8
43.7
37.9
35.6
34.4
30.0
Apollo Hospitals
18469.6
22.2
35.0
49.2
59.8
38.0
27.0
26.6
19.2
15.3
8.2
10.9
13.3
8.9
12.6
15.4
Aurobindo Pharma
Buy
43893.6
33.9
37.7
45.1
22.1
19.9
16.6
24.8
22.0
18.5
25.0
24.6
26.4
28.1
24.3
22.9
Alembic Pharma
ALEMPHA 551
620
Hold
10394.8
38.2
19.6
28.3
14.5
28.1
19.5
12.6
23.9
17.3
58.0
24.8
29.7
51.5
22.3
26.2
Biocon
Hold
14269.0
22.1
28.3
30.5
32.3
25.2
23.4
8.7
7.3
6.0
9.1
10.9
11.1
10.9
12.7
12.5
Cadila Healthcare
Cipla
Buy
Hold
32667.6
38748.1
15.0
18.8
15.5
19.9
20.6
26.2
21.3
25.7
20.6
24.2
15.5
18.4
14.2
16.6
14.1
14.8
11.0
11.9
27.9
12.1
24.6
13.1
29.5
16.0
28.6
12.7
24.4
12.1
26.3
14.1
Divi's Laboratories
DIVLAB
1113 1,260
Buy
29545.3
41.7
45.8
52.4
26.7
24.3
21.3
19.2
16.9
15.3
30.6
29.1
28.4
25.8
23.6
22.6
Dr Reddy's Labs
Buy
52819.3
20.9
21.4
17.1
13.1
12.8
9.7
15.1
15.1
18.3
18.9
16.1
16.8
M Cap
(| Cr)
28.2
Glenmark Pharma
GLEPHA
Buy
21722.6
32.2
41.4
50.1
26.7
20.7
17.1
17.0
13.9
11.4
16.2
18.8
20.3
21.2
21.7
21.0
Indoco Remedies
Buy
2582.0
9.3
15.1
20.4
30.1
18.6
13.7
16.1
11.6
9.2
13.2
19.7
24.4
14.7
20.9
24.2
IPCLAB
455
Hold
5852.5
10.0
24.1
30.4
46.3
19.2
15.2
17.9
11.1
8.6
5.8
12.4
14.5
5.5
12.0
13.3
Buy
5570.7
26.0
41.6
56.1
13.5
8.4
6.2
7.6
6.1
4.8
12.0
15.1
17.8
14.2
18.9
20.6
Ipca Laboratories
Jubilant Life Sciences
Lupin
LUPIN
858 1,000
Rating
EPS (|)
PE(x)
EV/EBITDA (x)
RoCE (%)
RoE (%)
FY16P FY17E FY18E FY16P FY17E FY18E FY16P FY17E FY18E FY16P FY17E FY18E FY16P FY17E FY18E
Company
464
Buy
65407.8
50.4
66.0
74.1
28.8
22.0
19.6
19.4
13.5
12.1
18.6
22.5
23.1
20.7
22.1
19.9
Natco Pharma
1451 1,850
Buy
8988.3
8.9
10.9
13.0
57.9
47.1
39.6
30.0
26.9
22.8
16.1
16.4
17.3
12.0
13.0
13.7
Sun Pharma
SUNPHA
181156.4
23.4
26.2
31.3
32.1
28.7
24.0
20.8
18.1
14.9
18.6
19.5
20.1
18.0
17.3
17.6
753
785
Hold
445
Syngene International
SYNINT
399
Buy
7971.0
8.8
11.1
15.6
43.3
34.2
24.3
26.1
20.5
17.0
19.5
13.3
16.7
20.7
21.2
23.5
Torrent Pharma
TORPHA
1342 1,650
Buy
22703.4
115.5
67.8
75.0
11.6
19.8
17.9
8.3
14.2
12.1
51.1
27.0
26.8
57.7
27.0
24.4
Unichem Laboratories
UNILAB
249.3 310
Buy
2265.1
12.3
15.5
22.1
20.3
16.0
11.3
14.5
11.6
8.4
13.8
16.2
20.4
11.7
13.4
16.8
Exhibit 97: One year forward P/E of CNX Pharma vs. Sensex
25.9%Premium
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
CNX Pharma
Mar-16
Mar-15
Mar-14
Mar-13
Mar-12
Mar-11
Mar-10
Mar-09
Mar-08
Mar-07
Mar-06
Sensex
[
Page 30
RATING RATIONALE
Pankaj Pandey
Head Research
pankaj.pandey@icicisecurities.com
Page 31
ANALYST CERTIFICATION
We /I, Siddhant Khandekar CA-INTER Mitesh Shah MS (Finance) Nandan Kamat MBA Finance, Research Analysts, authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views
expressed in this research report accurately reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the
specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report.
Page 32