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Monthly Update

July 15, 2016

Health Check

Sector View
Neutral

USFDA plant clearances on the rise

Index Performance as on July 13, 2016


Return (%)
Return (%)

1M

3M

YTD

1Y

CNX 500

Nifty

NSE Pharma

-3

-9

Stocks Performance
Mcap

Return (%)
Company

1M

3M

Sun Pharma.Inds.

YTD

1Y

13-Jul

-8

-6

Lupin

14

-10

-14

74521

Dr Reddy's Labs

60903

-16 185436

15

15

15

-5

Aurobindo Pharma

-1

-12

45324

Cipla

-21

-23

41271

Cadila Health.

15

14

12

-4

37515

Divi's Lab.

14

24

31027

Glaxosmit Pharma

-6

29688

Torrent Pharma.

-3

-1

24134

10

-8

-19

23967

Glenmark Pharma.
Apollo Hospitals

-6

19146

Biocon

30

39

52

14377

Ajanta Pharma

21

14168

Alembic Pharma

-15

-23

11161

Wockhardt

-8

-38

-36

10515

Strides Arcolab

-10

-7

10391

Natco Pharma

13

30

28

10120

Pfizer

12

-18

-8

8875

Syngene Int.

18

NA

8430

Ipca Labs.

-5

-37

-32

5919

Jubilant Life

-12

-22

-25

56

4904

Unichem Labs.

19

31

Unichem Labs.

19

31

Indoco Remedies

Market cap in | crore

Price movement
15000
14000
13000
12000
11000
10000
9000
8000
7000
6000
5000
Jul-15

Oct-15

Jan-16

CNX Pharma

Research Analyst
Siddhant Khandekar
siddhant.khandekar@icicisecurities.com
Mitesh Shah
mitesh.sha@icicisecurities.com

In the last two or three months, there was a marked increase in the receipt
of Establishment Inspection Reports (EIR) from the USFDA. EIR receipt
indicates that the facility is in compliance with cGMP standards required by
the USFDA. Among our covered companies, Cadilas Moraiya
manufacturing facility received EIR from the USFDA. Lupins Goa facility
also received EIR with respect to the July 2015 inspection. However, the
March 2016 inspection observations (483) are still pending. Alembic also
received EIR for Karakahadi API III plant, which was inspected in April 2015.
On the Q1FY17 earnings front, we expect companies under I-Direct
healthcare to deliver YoY growth of 12.4% on a consolidated basis to
| 38162 crore. US sales from the select pack are expected to grow 27.6% to
| 12750 crore on the back of 1) rupee depreciation vis--vis US$ (5.5%
YoY), 2) exclusivity launches (gGleevec by Sun, gGlumetza by Lupin)
3) consolidation of acquisitions and 4) incremental product launches & price
hikes (gFortamet by Lupin). However, increased competition in existing
products, especially in gAbilify and price erosions, elsewhere, have partly
offset overall US growth. Domestic formulations from the select pack are
likely to grow ~5.2% YoY to | 7770 crore. NLEM and FDC related issues are
likely to impact domestic growth in Q1. Also, currency headwinds in
emerging economies such as Russia, Brazil, Venezuela and some African
countries will impact the overall performance negatively. We expect the
EBITDA of the I-direct healthcare coverage to grow ~14% YoY to | 10017
crore. EBITDA margins are likely to remain strong at ~26% YoY due to a
better product mix. We expect the net profit of the I-direct healthcare
coverage to grow 19.9% YoY to | 6267 crore mainly due to a strong
operational performance and lower taxation.

The Indian pharmaceutical market (IPM) grew 7.7% in June 2016. The
growth was mainly driven by price hikes 5.0%, and new product launches
11
30
2692
2.9%, while volumes declined 4.4%. The lower growth was mainly
11
30
2692
attributable to channel disturbances on account of 1) Fixed Dosage
-12
-21
2645 M Combinations (FDC) ban imposed by the government on 344 drugs as
despite stay by the Delhi HC, some state governments continued with the
order, 2) New price list for NLEM drugs based on WPI, which was negative
in FY16 and 3) new additions in NLEM 2015 list.
12000
Pharma in metamorphosis mode; valuations reflect near term headwinds
10000
After enjoying a near seamless journey in the US, thanks to the patent cliff
ride, the companies are facing headwinds not only in the US but also in
8000
India and some important emerging markets as discussed earlier. By virtue
6000
of this, most stocks are down 20-40% from their FY16 peaks. The
companies are bracing for the new normal whereby frequent and random
4000
USFDA audits will be common, so will be the cost on remediation and
Apr-16
Jul-16
improvement besides capex for alternate arrangements. Secondly, the R&D
Nifty (RHS)
spend is likely to spike as companies prepare for complex launches in the
US such as oncology injectables, respiratory, derma, ophthalmic and
biosimilars to mitigate the pricing impact and consolidation. However, this
metamorphosis is fraught with front-loaded costs and longer gestation
periods. We prefer companies that are best placed to tackle new challenges.
Our top picks are Lupin, Dr Reddys, Aurobindo, Torrent Pharma, Natco and
Syngene. Although there was a rise in EIRs recently, we believe USFDA,
NLEM and FDCs related issues are likely to weigh in the near term.

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Regulatory approvals
Exhibit 1: Summary of USFDA approvals for June, 2016
Company
Aurobindo Pharma
Jubilant Life
Aurobindo Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma
Cadila Healthcare
Natco Pharma
Lupin
Unichem
Glenmark Pharma
Taro Pharma

Drug Name
Hydrocodone Bitartrate And Ibuprofen
Levetiracetam
Amiodarone Hydrochloride
Minocycline Hydrochloride
Gemfibrozil
Glycopyrrolate tablets
Estradiol and Norethindrone Acetate
Donepezil Hydrochloride
Nystatin; Triamcinolone Acetonide
Adapalene gel

Company
Taro Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma
Sun Pharma
Glenmark Pharma

Drug Name
BETAMETHASONE VALERATE
Pregabalin tablets
Omeprazole
Efavirenz
Dalfampridine
Olmesartan Medoxomil

Final Approvals
Therapeutic Area
Pain Management
Epilepsy
CVS
Anti-biotic
CVS
Anti-Ulcerent
OC
CNS
Derma
Derma
Tentative Approvals
Therapeutic Area
Dermatology
CNS
Gastro Intestinal
Antivirtal
Multiple Sclerosis
CVS

Innovator company
Abbvie
Ucb
Wyeth Pharms
Medicis
Pfizer
Merz Pharms
Amneal Pharma
Eisai Inc.
G And W Labs
Galderma Lab

Generic Version of
Vicoprofen
Keppra
Cordarone
Solodyn
Lopid
Cuvposa
Activella
Aricept
Mykacet
Differin

Market Size
NA
NA
NA
NA
US$ 44 million
NA
US$ 95.6 million
US$ 52.3 million
US$ 37.5 million
NA

Innovator company
G And W Labs
Forest
Astrazeneca
Bristol Myers Squibb
Acorda
Daiichi Sankyo

Generic Version of
BETA-VAL
Lyrica
Prilosec
Sustiva
Ampyra
Benicar

Market Size
NA
NA
US$ 185 million
US$ 150 million
NA
NA

[5

CNS: Central Nervous System; CVS: Cardiovascular,GI: Gastro Intestinal, NA: Not available;
Source: USFDA, ICICIdirect.com Research

M&As, demergers, tie-ups and JVs

Cipla in pact with Russian firm for HIV, Hepatitis C drugs


Cipla has inked a pact with Russia's National Immunobiological Company
(Nacimbio) to collaborate on HIV and Hepatitis C drugs, entailing an
investment of 2.8 billion roubles (~| 290 crore). As per Nacimbio, the
company will finalise construction and validation of the manufacturing plant
in 2017 and products will start to get commercialised from 2018.
Cadila Healthcare acquires two ANDAs from Teva
Cadila Healthcare has acquired two ANDAs from Teva that are being
divested as a pre-condition to its acquisition of Allergan's generic business.
The acquisition would be financed through internal accruals. One product
has already been commercialised while the other is in the pipeline
(Transdermal patch). The market size of the two ANDAs is ~US$200 million.
Apollo Hospitals ties up with HESCG to develop hospital in China
Apollo Hospitals has signed an agreement with Chinese infrastructure firm
Hainan Ecological Smart City Group (HESCG) to jointly develop an
integrated modern healthcare services facility and systems China. HESCG
will provide land and funding for the construction, commissioning and
equipping the hospital while Apollo will be responsible for planning and
commissioning, besides handling the operations and management of the
hospital and other related facilities.
Torrent Pharma to acquire Glochem's Vizag-based API unit
Torrent Pharma will acquire the Vizag API manufacturing facility of Glochem
Industries along with a few DMFs as a slump sale on a going concern basis.
The API unit was approved by USFDA and European regulatory authorities
and will be used by Torrent Pharma for vertical integration of its ANDA
filings in the future. The facility currently has three blocks for advanced
intermediates manufacturing and four blocks for API manufacturing.

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 2

Aurobindo Pharma said to enter fray for $1.5 billion Teva portfolio
As per media sources, Aurobindo Pharma is considering joining the race to
buy assets of over US$1 billion from Teva that are being divested by the
Israel-based company in the UK, Ireland and Iceland as a precondition to
Tevas acquisition of Allergan generic business.
Price cuts, new launches, recalls, approvals

NPPA cuts prices of 42 drugs


NPPA has fixed/revised ceiling prices of 45 scheduled formulations of
Schedule-I under Drugs (Price Control) Amendment Order, 2016. Out of the
45, it has capped the prices of 42 essential medicines by reducing their cost
by ~15%. The capped drugs are used in the treatment of various ailments
including tuberculosis, cancer, cardiac diseases, tuberculosis, asthma,
epilepsy, rheumatoid arthritis and depression.
Lupin, DRL recall drugs in US over deviated results
Lupin Pharma is recalling 59,520 bottles of Lisinopril and Hydrochlorothiazid
tablets from US due to deviation from current good manufacturing practice
(CGMP). DRL is also recalling 84,240 bottles of Famotidine 10 mg tablets
due to an out of specification results has been determined for an individual
related substance during stability testing. As per the report, all the recalls
are fall under a class III recall category.
DRL recalls 9,330 bottles of Sirolimus tablets in US
DRL is recalling 9,330 bottles of Sirolimus tablets, used for prevention of
organ rejection after kidney transplant, in the US due to presence of
impurities. This recalls is fall under a class III recall category.
Cadila to launch AG of Asacol HD in US
Cadila Healthcare will start selling authorised generic (AG) of Asacol HD
(mesalamine delayed release) in the US from August 1, 2016. This drug is
used to treat a certain bowel disease (ulcerative colitis).
Biocons Insulin Glargine Launched in Japan
Biocons Japanese partner Fujufilm Pharma (FFP) has launched Insulin
Glargine in Japan. The company has received approval for its Insulin
Glargine from the Japanese regulator in March 2016. Insulin Glargine BS
Injection Kit (FFP) has been developed and manufactured by Biocon, and is
being commercialised by FFP in Japan. The product is a ready-to-use,
prefilled disposable pen with 3 ml of 100IU Insulin Glargine.
Lawsuits, court rulings, settlements, regulatory issues

Government relaxes FDI norms in pharma


The government has relaxed FDI policy norms for the pharma sector.
According to these norms, up to 74% FDI under the automatic route in
brownfield projects will be allowed (from 49% earlier) while government
approval would be needed beyond 74%.
Bombay HC imposes stay order on government move to cap drug prices
The Bombay High Court has imposed an interim stay on the government's
decision to further cut prices over the negative WPI of 530 drugs. The court
said companies need not take any further price cuts over WPI, which would
be under the revision of the national list of essential medicines.

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 3

Medicines Patent Pool (MPP) has signed nine new sub-licensing agreements
Medicines Patent Pool (MPP) has signed nine new sub-licensing agreements
including Aurobindo, Lupin and Cadila for the generic manufacturing of HIV
and hepatitis C (daclatasvir) treatments. The agreement sub-licences to
produce and sell anti-retroviral drugs and Daclatasvir in 112 low and middle
income countries.
Cadila receives EIR for Moraiya Facility
Cadilas Moraiya manufacturing facility has received an Establishment
Inspection Report (EIR) from the USFDA. EIR indicates closure of the
inspection points (483s) raised based on the inspection carried out between
August 28, 2014 and September 05, 2014. Though this is a positive step
towards the resolution of the warning letter, it does not indicate resolution
of the warning letter. The company is still following up with the USFDA for
resolution of the warning letter.
Lupin receives EIR from US for Goa, July 2015
Lupin has received Establishment Inspection Reports (EIR) from USFDA for
Goa facility, which was inspected in July 2015. However, observations from
the March 2016 inspection for the same plant are still being reviewed.
Lupin Dabhasa unit gets two observations; voluntary action indicated only
Lupins Dabhasa facility has received two Form 483 observations from
USFDA. The plant was inspected by USFDA from June 29 to July 6, 2016.
The inspection has been classified as voluntary action indicated (VAI).
Alembic received EIR from USFDA for Karakhadi API unit
Alembic has received an Establishment Inspection Report (EIR) from USFDA
for Karakahadi API III plant, which was inspected in April 2015.
Others

Crisil downgrades Ipcas long term debt rating


Crisil has reduced Ipcas long term debt and non-convertible debenture
rating to AA -/Stable (from AA/Negative) while it has reaffirmed Ipcas short
term debt rating (A1+ rating).

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 4

Exhibit 2: Patent litigations (12 months)


Innovator
Month
Jul-15
Eli Lilly
Jul-15
Fresenius Medical
Jul-15
Alcon Research
Aug-15
Allergan
Aug-15
Galderma Labs
Sep-15
Jazz Pharma
Sep-15
Gilead Sciences Inc.
Sep-15
Horizon Pharma
Sep-15
Bayer Pharma
Oct-15
Merck
Oct-15
Salix Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Oct-15
Takeda Pharma
Oct-15
Janssen Pharma
Oct-15
Novartis Pharma
Oct-15
Otsuka Pharma
Oct-15
AstraZeneca
Nov-15
AstraZeneca
Nov-15
Novartis Pharma
Nov-15
Allergan
Nov-15
Shire Pharma
Nov-15
Dexcel Pharma
Nov-15
Dexcel Pharma
Nov-15
Cephalon Inc.
Nov-15
Cosmo Techs
Nov-15
Pfizer
Nov-15
Vanda Pharma
Nov-15
Forest Labs
Nov-15
Jazz Pharma
Nov-15
Otsuka Pharma
Nov-15
Symed Labs
Dec-15
UCB Inc.
Dec-15
Unimed Pharma
Dec-15
Helsinn Healthcare
Dec-15
Sanofi-Aventis
Dec-15
Otsuka Pharma
Dec-15
Merz Pharma
Jan-16
Dow Pharma
Jan-16
Cubist Pharma
Feb-16
Bayer Pharma
Feb-16
Bristol Myers Squibb
Feb-16
Janssen Products LP
Mar-16
Shire Canada
Mar-16
Daiichi Sankyo
Apr-16
Daiichi Sankyo
May-16
Daiichi Sankyo
Jun-16
Apicore
Jun-16
UCB, Inc.
Jun-16
Gilead
Jun-16
Janssen Biotech
Jun-16
Sanofi-Aventis
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

ANDA Filer

Brand Name

Lupin
Gavis Pharma
Lupin
Lupin
Taro Pharma
Lupin
Lupin
Lupin
Alembic Pharma
Lupin
Taro Pharma
Aurobindo
Aurobindo
Natco Pharma
Zydus Pharma
Alembic Pharma
InvaGen Pharma
Dr. Reddy's Labs
Aurobindo Pharma
Lupin
Sun Pharma
Dr. Reddy's Labs
Aurobindo Pharma
Lupin
Dr. Reddy's Labs
Lupin
InvaGen Pharma
Sun Pharma
Alkem Labs
Glenmark Pharma
InvaGen Pharma
Dr. Reddy's Labs
Dr. Reddy's Labs
Glenmark Pharma
Ajanta Pharma
Taro Pharma
Taro Pharma
Dr. Reddy's Labs
InvaGen Pharma
Cipla
Lupin
Lupin
Torrent Pharma
Alembic Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma
Glenmark Pharma
Cadila Healthcare

Axiron
Phoslo
TravatanZ
Namenda
Epiduo
Xyrem
Tamiflu
Pennsaid
Staxyn
Beyaz
Moviprep
Prevacid
Xarelto
Gleevec
Abilify
Brilinta
Brilinta
Exelon Patch
Acular LS
Lialda
Omeprazole
Omeprazole
Nuvigili
Uceris
Toviaz
Fanapt
Viibryd
Xyrem
Abilify
Zyvox
Zyrtec-D
Androgel
Aloxi
Multaq
Abilify
Naftin
Onexton
Cubicin
Xarelto
Reyataz
Prezista
Daliresp
Benicar
Benicar
Benicar
LYMPHAZURIN
VIMPAT
EMTRIVA
ZYTIGA
MOZOBIL

API
Hypogonadism
Calcium Acetate
Travoprost Ophthalmic solution
Memantine Hydrochoride
Adapalene & Benzoyl peroxide
Sodium Oxybate
Oseltamivir
Diclofenac
Vardenafil Hydrochloride
Drospirenone
Polyethylene glycol electrolyte soln
lansoprazole
Rivaroxaban
Matinib Mesylate
Aripiprazole
Ticagrelor
Ticagrelor
Rivastigmine
Ketorolactromethamine
Mesalamine
Omeprazole
Omeprazole
Modafinil
Budesonide
Fesoterodine
Iloperidone
Vilazodone
Gamma-hydroxybutyric acid
Aripiprazole
Linezolid
Cetirizine
Testosterone
Palanosetron
Dronedarone
Aripiprazole
Naftifine Hydrochloride
Cindamycin Phosphate and Benzoyl Peroxide
Daptomycin
Rivaroxaban
Atazanavir
Darunavir
Roflumilast
Olmesartan
Olmesartan
Olmesartan
isosulfan blue
lacosamide
emtricitabine
abiraterone
plerixafor

Used for
Testosterone
Kidney Disease
Elevated Intraocular pressure
Alzheimer's Disease
Acne
Narcolepsy
Influenza
Osteoarthritis
Sex Stimulant
Birth control
Gastro Intestinal
Stomach ulcers
Blood Thinner
Anti-cancer
Schizophrenia
CVS
CVS
Dementia
Ocular Pain
Ulcerative Colitis
GI
GI
CNS
GI
Urotherapy
Schizophrenia
Anti-depressant
CNS
Schizophrenia
Anti-Infective
Respiratory
Low Testosterone
Nausea
Atrial Fibrillation
Schizophrenia
Fungal Infection
Acne
Antibiotic
Blood Thinner
HIV
HIV
Respiratory
Anti-depressant
Anti-depressant
Anti-depressant
lymphatic imaging agent
partial-onset seizures
HIV
Oncology
non-Hodgkin's lymphoma

[5

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 5

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

6.4

8.1
3.8

6.7

9.7

9.7

20

Feb-16

Jan-16

12.5

10.6

10

Dec-15

Nov-15

23.0Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

15

5
0
-5

Indian Pharma Market

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base ; As per AIOCD MAT June 2016


(%)

7.1

Unichem

Torrent

Sun Pharma

3.6

Pfizer

Ipca Labs
4.0

3.5
1.1

4.7

11.5

9.1

11.4 11.3

Novartis

10

Lupin

15

Indoco

GSK Pharma

Glenmark

DRL

Cipla

Cadila

Exhibit 4: Companies growth in domestic market in June, 2016


Biocon

SubChronic,
20240.24,
20.2%

13.7

20

Ajanta

Acute,
48126.05,
48.1%

Jul-15

25

Industry acute to chronic therapy ratio percentage


Chronic,
31651.12,
31.6%

12.9

Exhibit 3: Domestic formulations - growth trend

Alembic

Brand
Company Therapy
June' 16 June' 15 Gr. (%)
Corex
Pfizer
Respiratory
319.8
240.1
33.2
Spasmo Prox Wockhardt GI
309.0
215.2
43.6
Augmentin GSK
Anti-Infectives 302.5
329.6
-8.2
Lantus
Sanofi
Anti Diabetic
291.5
235.5
23.8
Galvus Met Novartis
Anti Diabetic
290.6
199.7
45.5
Clavam
Alkem
Anti-Infectives 245.3
224.7
9.2
Volini
Ranbaxy
Pain
230.1
206.3
11.5
Becosules Sun Pharma Vitamins
219.8
255.6 -14.0
Foracort
Cipla
Respiratory
200.7
179.3
12.0
Pan
Alkem
GI
200.5
177.9
12.7
Source: AIOCD data base

The Indian pharmaceutical market (IPM) grew 6.4% YoY to | 8460 crore
in June. The growth was mainly driven by price hikes - 3.8%, and new
product launches - 3.2% while volumes declined 0.6%
The fixed dosage combination (FDCs) related market de-grew 14.6% to
| 186 crore
Drugs under the NLEM list declined 1.5% to | 963 crore while nonNLEM drugs posted growth of 8% to | 7120 crore. Volume growth in
NLEM was 3% while it declined 1.5% in non-NLEM
Among companies under I-direct coverage, Indoco, Ajanta and Alembic
registered decent growth of 11.5%, 11.4% and 11.3%, respectively.
Cipla, Glenmark, Lupin and Sun registered growth of 9.1%, 7.1%. 4.7%,
and 3.6%, respectively, while among the worst performers Torrent
Pharma de-grew 2.7%
Therapy wise, 10 therapies have outpaced the IPM growth. Notable
among them with growth rates- anti diabetic 11.7%, Urology 9.4%,
Gastro 8.8%, Derma 8.8%, Ophthal 8.8% and Respiratory8.2%.
In all, 324 new brands were launched in June 2016
On a MAT basis, IPM growth was at 10.6% YoY to | 100017 crore.
Domestic companies have grown 7.6% while MNC companies have
grown 2.0% in June 2016

Jun-15

Top brands in Indian pharma market

15.3

Therapy
June' 16 June' 15 YoY (%) May' 16 MoM (%)
Anti-Infectives
1162
1124
3.4
1165
-0.3
Cardiac
1061
1021
3.9
1097
-3.3
Gastro Intestinal
1088
1000
8.8
1063
2.3
Vitamins / Minerals /
806
758
6.4
794
1.5
Anti Diabetic
736
659
11.7
751
-2.0
Respiratory
530
490
8.2
526
0.8
Pain / Analgesics
576
557
3.5
575
0.2
Neuro / Cns
524
498
5.2
538
-2.7
Derma
519
479
8.5
516
0.7
Gynaecological
448
419
7.1
446
0.6
Ophthal / Otologicals
159
147
8.4
163
-2.2
Hormones
136
133
2.2
144
-6.0
Vaccines
133
142
-6.3
135
-1.3
Anti-Neoplastics
145
134
7.8
133
8.8
Blood Related
103
101
1.5
105
-1.8
Others
116
87
33.6
110
4.9
Urology
100
92
9.4
101
-0.8
Sex Stimulants / Reju
45
43
4.6
46
-1.8
Anti Malarials
35
36
-2.4
33
7.9
Stomatologicals
37
35
5.1
37
0.0
Source: AIOCD data base

IPM grows 6.4% in June

(%)

Therapy wise performance (| crore)

7.0
3.6

1.5

0
-0.9

-5
-10

-2.7

-6.7

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 6

Therapy wise performance (| crore)

The Indian pharmaceutical market (IPM) grew 6.4% YoY to | 25411


crore in Q1FY17. The growth was mainly driven by price hikes- 4.4%,
and new product launches- 3.1% while volumes declined 1.0%
The fixed dosage combination (FDCs) related market de-grew 15.2% to
| 580 crore
Drugs under the NLEM list declined 0.2% to | 2989 crore while nonNLEM drugs posted growth of 7.5% to | 21240 crore. Volume growth in
NLEM was 0.4% while the decline was 3.4% in non-NLEM
Among companies under I-Direct coverage Ajanta, Alembic and
Glenmark registered decent growth of 10.7%, 9.4% and 8.2%,
respectively. Cipla, Sun and DRL registered growth of 5.7%, 4.8% and
1.1%, respectively, while, among the worst performers Lupin and
Torrent Pharma de-grew 1.0% and 1.5%, respectively
Therapy wise, 12 therapies have outpaced IPM growth. Notable among
them with growth rates- Anti diabetic 14.5%, Urology 10.6%, Derma
8.6%, CNS 8.5% and Cardiac8.1%.

Exhibit 5: Domestic formulations - quarterly growth trend

(%)

Therapy
Q1FY17 Q1FY16 YoY (%) Q4FY16 QoQ (%)
Anti-Infectives
3497
3448
1.4
3568
-2.0
Cardiac
3266
3021
8.1
3132
4.3
Gastro Intestinal
3209
2995
7.1
2777
15.6
Vitamins / Minerals /
2374
2215
7.2
2048
15.9
Anti Diabetic
2225
1943
14.5
2039
9.1
Respiratory
1633
1613
1.2
2056 -20.6
Pain / Analgesics
1728
1668
3.6
1618
6.8
Neuro / Cns
1601
1475
8.5
1543
3.8
Derma
1550
1428
8.6
1454
6.6
Gynaecological
1335
1253
6.6
1211
10.2
Ophthal / Otologicals
486
450
8.0
436
11.5
Hormones
419
397
5.4
417
0.5
Vaccines
400
409
-2.2
373
7.3
Anti-Neoplastics
399
411
-2.9
355
12.4
Blood Related
306
287
6.7
262
17.0
Others
330
249
32.4
270
22.3
Urology
302
273
10.6
260
16.2
Sex Stimulants / Reju
140
130
7.3
145
-3.8
Anti Malarials
100
111
-10.1
94
7.0
Stomatologicals
110
102
8.4
99
11.8
Source: AIOCD data base

IPM grows 6.4% in Q1FY17

19.0
17.0
15.0
13.0
11.0
9.0
7.0
5.0
3.0
1.0
-1.0
-3.0

16.8
13.6
1.5

10.8
1.1
0.1

3.3

10.9

4.6

9.6

14.8

3.3
5.2

3.3

4.8
8.4

6.6

2.5
Q1FY15 Q2FY15

Q3FY15 Q4FY15

Volumes

11.9

3.0
9.3

3.0

5.0

1QFY16

Price Increases

6.4

2.9

4.6

5.1

7.5

14.7

3.1
5.0

6.7

4.2

4.4

1.4

2QFY16 3QFY16

-1.0
4QFY16 1QFY17

New Products
[

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

(%)

12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
(2.0)
(4.0)
(6.0)

9.4
6.8

Unichem

Torrent

Sun Pharma

Sanofi

Pfizer

Novartis

Lupin

Ipca

Indoco

Glenmark

GSK Pharma

Dr Reddy's

Cipla

Biocon

10.7

Alembic

Ajanta

Exhibit 6: Company wise growth trends in Q1FY17

8.2
5.7

5.2

5.5
3.7

5.3

4.8

3.0

1.1

1.1

(1.0)

(1.5)

(4.3)

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 7

Sun Pharmaceuticals

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT June16)

Stock Performance

Chronic,
3959.54,
45.3%

150
130
110
90
70
50

SubChronic,
1195.58,
13.7%

Acute,
3582.85,
41.0%

Jul-15

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

CNX Pharma

May-16

Jul-16

Sun Pharma

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

11 to 20

21 to 30

31 to 50

Others

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16
12.3
18.8

6.4
3.6

5.6

3.8
5.2

8.1

6.7
12.3

9.7

Exhibit 9: Top 10 brands performance

9.6
8.9

8.9 8.9 9.0 8.8 8.9 8.9


8.7 8.7

(| crore)

Brand

Therapy

Volini

Pain

June' 16 June' 15 Var. (%) May' 16 Var. (%)


19.3

14.7

31.1

20.5

-5.9

Rosuvas

Cardiac

17.2

12.7

35.2

16.4

4.8

Istamet

Anti Diabetic

15.4

13.1

17.5

14.8

4.1

7.8

Gemer

Anti Diabetic

14.7

13.5

9.3

14.2

4.1

7.2

Levipil

Neuro

14.3

12.2

17.2

12.9

10.3

6.6

Susten

Gynaecological

13.2

13.2

-0.5

13.9

-5.2

Pantocid

Gastro Intestinal

11.6

11.9

-2.7

12.0

-3.6

Revital H

Vitamins

10.8

6.7

61.0

11.7

-7.5

Pantocid Dsr

Gastro Intestinal

10.0

10.2

-2.4

10.3

-3.4

Storvas

Cardiac

9.7

10.3

-5.5

10.5

-7.5

8.4
(%)

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 8: Market share in Indian formulations market

9.2

6.7

8.2

Indian Pharma Market

Source: AIOCD data base

9.0

Jan-16

12.5
9.7
3.1

5
0

Top 10

Dec-15

Nov-15

23.0Oct-15

10.6
10.8

10

10.0

(%)

7%
10%

13.7

15

9%
57%

15.3
21.7

20

17%

12.9
15.9

25

16.6

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jun-15

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT June16)

Jul-15

Exhibit 7: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Source: AIOCD data base

8.4 8.3 8.3

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jul-15

Jun-15

6.0

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research * Included Ranbaxys sales

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 10: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT June16)

Exhibit 11: Therapy wise performance

Derma
7%

Cardiac
29%

Anti-Infectives
18%

Gastro
Intestinal
19%

Neuro
27%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Therapy
Cardiac
Neuro

(| crore)

June' 16
141.6

June' 15
132.5

YoY (%)
6.9

May' 16
144.9

QoQ (%)
-2.3

130.1

124.8

4.3

132.9

-2.1

Gastro Intestinal

92.9

92.1

0.9

91.7

1.4

Anti-Infectives

80.1

79.2

1.1

79.4

0.9

Derma

37.4

34.2

9.3

70.4

-46.9

Anti Diabetic

69.5

68.2

1.9

52.9

31.2

Gynaecological

30.5

31.4

-2.9

38.2

-20.1

Pain

54.2

51.3

5.7

29.5

83.6

Respiratory

23.6

23.1

2.0

31.2

-24.6

Vitamins

32.8

30.0

9.1

23.4

40.0

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 8

Cipla

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT June16)

July 15, 2016

Stock Performance
Chronic,
1975.31,
39.8%

140
120
100
80
60

SubChronic,
620.67,
12.5%

Acute,
2370.80,
47.7%

Jul-15

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

CNX Pharma

Jul-16

Cipla

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Others

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Indian Pharma Market

6.4
9.1

6.4

3.8

6.7

8.1

12.3
10.0

11.6

9.7

12.5
16.7

2.1

31 to 50

3.5

21 to 30

4.6

5
11 to 20

9.7
15.9

21.0

13.7

10.6

10

12.9

15

11.1

8%

11.6

(%)

12%

23.0Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jun-15

20

44%

15.3
16.7

25

24%

12%

Jul-15

Exhibit 12: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT June16)

Top 10

May-16

Cipla

Source: AIOCD data base


Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 13: Market share in Indian formulations market

Exhibit 14: Top 10 brands performance

(| crore)

5.4

Brand

Therapy

5.2

Foracort

Respiratory

16.4

14.6

12.1

16.6

-1.2

Budecort

Respiratory

10.7

9.9

8.3

12.9

-16.6

Asthalin

Respiratory

9.6

9.9

-3.1

9.7

-0.2

Seroflo

Respiratory

10.4

10.5

-0.5

10.5

-0.4

Duolin

Respiratory

10.2

8.7

16.7

9.5

7.6

5.1

5.0
4.8

(%)

4.8

5.2

5.1

5.2

5.0 4.9

5.2
4.9
4.8 4.8

4.6 4.7

4.6
4.4

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jul-15

Jun-15

4.2

Cipla

June' 16 June' 15 Var. (%) May' 16 Var. (%)

Aerocort

Respiratory

7.3

7.3

0.3

7.6

-3.2

Azee

Anti-Infectives

6.2

6.9

-10.7

5.3

15.1

Montair Lc

Respiratory

5.8

5.1

13.2

6.3

-8.0

Novamox

Anti-Infectives

5.2

5.9

-12.3

5.6

-6.4

Emeset

Gastro Intestinal

6.8

6.3

7.5

6.2

8.9

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 15: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT June16)

Exhibit 16: Therapy wise performance

Other
19%

Urology
5%
Gastro
Intestinal
8%

Cardiac
12%

Respiratory
29%

Anti-Infectives
27%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Therapy
Respiratory
Ant i- Infect iv es

(| crore)

June' 16
111.1
102.9

June' 15
100.7
95.5

YoY (%)
10.4
7.7

May' 16
113.1
102.3

Q oQ (%)
-1.8
0.5

Cardiac

51.4

Gas tro Intes tinal

38.5

48.8

5.2

52.7

-2.5

32.7

17.6

35.0

Urology
Neuro

19.9
14.2

9.8

18.6
15.2

7.2
-6.6

20.0
14.6

-0.5
-2.7
-5.9

Ophthal

14.4

13.3

8.6

15.3

Pain

13.0

10.2

27.0

12.8

1.6

Derma
Vitamins

10.4
9.2

9.8
7.4

6.3
24.9

10.1
8.5

3.1
8.1

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Dr. Reddys Labs

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT June16)


Chronic,
716.58,
30.1%
Acute,
1177.47,
49.4%

Stock Performance) Stock Performance


140
120
100
80
60

SubChronic,
489.83,
20.5%

Jul-15

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

CNX Pharma

May-16

Jul-16

Dr. Reddys

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jun-15

Jul-15

Exhibit 17: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT June16)

11 to 20

21 to 30

31 to 50

Others

Source: AIOCD data base

1.5

6.4

8.1

-1.5

3.4

3.8

6.7

Exhibit 19: Top 10 brands performance

2.9
2.7

2.7
2.4

2.3 2.3
2.3
2.2

2.3

2.6
2.6

2.5

2.3

2.1

2.2 2.2 2.3

1.9
Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jul-15

1.7
Jun-15

Dr. Reddys Laboratories

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 18: Market share in Indian formulations market

(%)

31.6

-10
Indian Pharma Market

2.5

12.3

9.7

26.6

27.6
12.5

9.7

6.7

0
Top 10

23.8

23.0
30.9
10.6
7.8

10

13.7

(%)

12% 9%

15.1

20

16%

12.9
27.2

30

15.3

29%

34%

31.9

40

Dr. Reddys Laboratories

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Gastro
Intestinal
22%

Cardiac
14%

Anti-Infectives
8%
Respiratory
9%

Therapy

June' 16 June' 15 Var. (%) May' 16 Var. (%)

Omez

Gastro Intestinal

10.6

10.8

-1.3

10.9

-2.5

Omez D

Gastro Intestinal

8.8

7.5

17.2

7.4

19.7

Econorm

Gastro Intestinal

7.4

6.2

19.4

6.2

19.0

Stamlo

Cardiac

4.2

5.2

-19.0

4.9

-15.2

Grafeel

Anti-Neoplastics

2.4

5.2

-53.1

5.6

-56.3

Nise

Pain

4.9

4.3

12.5

5.4

-9.4

Razo D

Gastro Intestinal

5.3

4.5

18.3

4.4

20.3

Mintop

Derma

3.7

3.4

9.2

3.5

6.0

Razo

Gastro Intestinal

4.3

4.1

5.8

3.9

10.5

Reditux

Anti-Neoplastics

4.1

5.1

-18.1

3.2

29.1

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 20: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT June16)


Other
36%

(| crore)

Brand

AntiNeoplastics
11%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Exhibit 21: Therapy wise performance


Therapy
Gastro Intestinal

(| crore)

June' 16
47.1

June' 15
45.7

YoY (%)
3.1

May' 16
42.8

QoQ (%)
9.9

Cardiac

26.1

31.2

-16.5

26.6

-1.8

Anti-Neoplastics

22.7

18.4

23.6

20.5

11.0
14.3

Respiratory

15.5

13.7

13.9

13.6

Anti-Infectives

14.5

12.8

13.5

13.9

4.2

Derma

12.4

13.3

-6.5

12.2

1.8

Pain

13.0

13.9

-6.4

12.5

3.7

Anti Diabetic

13.1

14.0

-6.1

13.3

-1.5

Urology

8.3

8.1

3.3

7.6

9.6

Stomatologicals

6.6

6.8

-3.5

6.4

3.5

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 10

Lupin

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT June16)

Stock Performance

Chronic,
1643.67,
49.0%

140
120
100
80
60

SubChronic,
651.19,
19.4%

Acute,
1057.53,
31.5%

Jul-15

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

CNX Pharma

May-16

Jul-16

Lupin

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

8.1

20.5
-4.4

-4

-2.8

3.8

6.4
4.7

6.7

12.3
18.4

Feb-16

Jan-16
9.7
13.0

12.5
14.4

9.7

Dec-15

Nov-15

23.0 Oct-15

7.1

2.6

8.4

(%)

13% 9%

12.0

12

11%

10.6

13.7
20.8

20

20%

12.9

47%

15.3

28

21.7

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jun-15

Jul-15

Exhibit 22: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT June16)

-12
Top 10

11 to 20

21 to 30

31 to 50

Others

Indian Pharma Market

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Exhibit 23: Market share in Indian formulations market

Exhibit 24: Top 10 brands performance


Brand

3.7
3.5
3.3 3.2

3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4


3.3 3.4

3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3

3.2

Therapy

(| crore)

June' 16 June' 15 Var. (%) May' 16 Var. (%)

Gluconorm-G

Anti Diabetic

Tonact

Cardiac

13.4

10.8

24.7

14.3

-5.9

7.1

8.4

-15.1

8.4

-14.6

4.3

-5.7

3.8

6.5

2.5

Rablet

Gastro Intestinal

4.1

4.6

-10.6

4.1

0.0

2.3

Ramistar

Cardiac

3.4

4.3

-20.4

3.7

-7.3
-1.3

Jun-16

4.0

May-16

Respiratory

Apr-16

Esiflo

Mar-16

2.7

Feb-16

-3.8

Jan-16

-1.3

4.8

Dec-15

7.3

1.7

Nov-15

22.1

4.6

Oct-15

5.9

4.6

Sep-15

7.2

Gastro Intestinal

Aug-15

Respiratory

Rablet-D

Jul-15

Budamate

2.9

3.1

Jun-15

(%)

3.3

Lupin

Lupin

R-Cinex

Anti-Infectives

3.7

3.4

8.6

3.7

Cetil

Anti-Infectives

3.9

3.0

27.9

3.8

0.2

Tazar

Anti-Infectives

3.6

3.3

6.9

3.5

2.9

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 25: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT June16)

Exhibit 26: Therapy wise performance

Other
22%

Cardiac
26%

Gastro
Intestinal
8%

Anti Diabetic
11%

Anti-Infectives
21%
Respiratory
12%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Therapy
Cardiac

(| crore)

June' 16
66.3

June' 15
67.8

YoY (%)
-2.3

May' 16
72.2

QoQ (%)
-8.2

Anti-Infectives

54.7

54.9

-0.3

55.2

-0.8

Respiratory

30.9

29.0

6.6

31.8

-2.8

Anti Diabetic

34.8

27.6

25.9

36.4

-4.3

Gastro Intestinal

22.8

21.8

4.6

22.8

-0.1

Vitamins

14.9

16.8

-11.3

15.7

-4.6

Neuro

13.9

12.8

8.2

14.7

-5.4

Pain

12.2

12.6

-3.3

12.7

-3.7

Gynaecological

10.6

9.0

17.5

10.6

0.0

2.1

1.8

16.1

2.3

-6.7

Ophthal

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 11

Cadila Healthcare

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT June16)

Stock Performance

Chronic,
1643.67,
49.0%

140
120
100
80
60

SubChronic,
651.19,
19.4%

Acute,
1057.53,
31.5%

Jul-15

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

CNX Pharma

May-16

Jul-16

Cadila Healthcare

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Aug-15
13.7
16.8

Oct-15

Jul-15
12.9
16.9

Sep-15

Jun-15
15.3
17.6

Exhibit 27: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT June16)

3.8

Indian Pharma Market

Source: AIOCD data base

6.4

6.7

8.1

12.3
11.7

9.7

7.5

Others

1.1

31 to 50

5.8

21 to 30

3.0

11 to 20

7.1

Top 10

7.3

10

12.5

15

11.3

(%)

13% 9%

9.7

20

11%

18.8

25

20%

10.6

47%

23.0
27.2

30

Cadila Healthcare

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

4.0
3.9
3.9

4.0

3.9

3.9 3.9

3.9

Jun-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

3.8

Feb-16

Nov-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jul-15

Oct-15

3.9

Jan-16

4.0
3.9

Dec-15

4.0

Exhibit 29: Top 10 brands performance

May-16

4.1
4.1
4.0
4.0
3.9
3.9
3.8
3.8
3.7
3.7
Jun-15

(%)

Exhibit 28: Market share in Indian formulations market

Cadila Healthcare

(| crore)

Brand

Therapy

June' 16 June' 15 Var. (%) May' 16 Var. (%)

Skinlite

Derma

15.3

13.7

11.2

16.3

-6.4

Atorva

Cardiac

7.8

10.9

-28.3

11.0

-28.8

Mifegest Kit

Gynaecological

11.0

9.1

21.0

10.4

5.5

Deriphyllin

Respiratory

7.5

7.7

-2.3

8.1

-7.3

Pantodac

Gastro Intestinal

9.6

8.3

15.4

9.5

1.6

Falcigo

Anti Malarials

3.8

6.3

-40.7

3.5

8.7

Amlodac

Cardiac

5.3

6.8

-22.0

5.4

-1.8

Aten

Cardiac

5.0

6.9

-27.1

5.3

-5.2

Zyrop

Blood Related

6.3

5.8

8.4

8.6

-26.8

Clopitorva

Cardiac

4.5

4.8

-6.5

5.0

-10.3

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 30: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT June16)

Exhibit 31: Therapy wise performance

Other
38%

Therapy
Cardiac

Cardiac
16%
Gastro
Intestinal
14%
Gynaecological
11%

Pain
10%

Respiratory
11%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

(| crore)

June' 16
49.7

June' 15
56.8

YoY (%)
-12.5

May' 16
55.6

QoQ (%)
-10.6

Gastro Intestinal

48.5

42.6

13.9

47.3

2.7

Gynaecological

33.5

37.0

-9.6

34.6

-3.2

Respiratory

29.8

29.1

2.5

31.0

-3.8

Pain

31.3

28.7

8.9

32.3

-3.0

Derma

26.9

24.8

8.6

26.9

-0.1

Anti-Infectives

22.6

22.0

3.1

23.4

-3.4

Anti-Neoplastics

22.1

18.6

19.0

20.6

7.2

Vitamins

14.7

13.0

12.6

14.4

2.0

5.0

6.8

-26.0

4.7

7.9

Anti Malarials

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 12

GlaxoSmithKline

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT June16)

Stock Performance

Chronic,
424.60,
13.1%
SubChronic,
700.87,
21.7%

Acute,
2108.18,
65.2%

140
120
100
80
60
Jul-15

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

CNX Pharma

May-16

GSK Pharma

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

31 to 50

Jun-16
6.4
-6.7

21 to 30

0.3

-6.4

-3.5

3.8

6.7

8.1

12.3
6.9

9.7
9.9

-5
11 to 20

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15
12.5
11.9

9.7
9.9

5.8

2.8

1.3

10.6

10

16%

4.9

(%)

13.7

15

51%

9%

12.9

20

15.3

25

10%

Nov-15

23.0
27.2

30
14%

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jun-15

Jul-15

Exhibit 32: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT June16)

Top 10

Jul-16

-10

Others

Indian Pharma Market

Glaxosmithkline Pharmaceuticals

Source: AIOCD data base


Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 33: Market share in Indian formulations market


3.6

3.5

3.4

3.3

3.4 3.4

3.3

Brand

Therapy

Augmentin

Anti-Infectives

(| crore)

June' 16 June' 15 Var. (%) May' 16 Var. (%)


16.7

26.5

-36.9

20.5

-18.7
-11.4

Synflorix

Vaccines

16.4

14.3

14.7

18.5

Calpol

Pain

13.8

13.3

3.3

13.1

5.3

Zinetac

Gastro Intestinal

13.5

12.5

8.4

15.0

-10.0

2.6

Betnovate C

Derma

10.2

11.9

-14.5

11.0

-7.1

2.4

Betnovate N

Derma

10.1

12.4

-18.6

11.5

-12.6

Rotarix

Vaccines

8.7

5.7

52.4

10.0

-13.1

Eltroxin

Hormones

11.9

10.9

9.2

12.7

-6.7

Ceftum

Anti-Infectives

10.1

11.7

-13.3

9.9

1.6

Betnesol

Hormones

5.9

7.9

-25.7

6.6

-11.1

3.2
(%)

3.3

3.4

Exhibit 34: Top 10 brands performance

3.2

3.1 3.1

3.0

3.0 3.1
2.9

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jul-15

Jun-15

2.8

Glaxosmithkline Pharmaceuticals

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 35: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT June16)


Anti-Infectives
23%

Other
26%

Respiratory
8%
Pain
9%

Derma
19%
Vaccines
15%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Exhibit 36: Therapy wise performance


Therapy
Anti-Infectives

(| crore)

June' 16
51.6

June' 15
57.0

YoY (%)
-9.5

May' 16
53.7

QoQ (%)
-3.9

Derma

45.3

56.4

-19.7

49.2

-7.9

Vaccines

39.4

38.0

3.8

44.5

-11.3

Pain

23.6

21.7

8.7

23.7

-0.3

Respiratory

16.4

16.0

2.7

17.5

-6.2

Hormones

18.3

20.4

-10.2

19.9

-8.2

Vitamins

22.0

21.7

1.4

21.1

4.4

Gastro Intestinal

15.3

13.9

10.0

17.0

-10.1

Cardiac

4.5

5.8

-21.4

4.8

-4.5

Gynaecological

3.2

2.9

12.9

3.5

-6.7

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 13

Wockhardt

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT June16)

Stock Performance
Chronic,
266.61,
19.8%

Acute,
926.55,
68.9%

400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0

SubChronic,
150.77,
11.2%

Jul-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

CNX Pharma

Source: AIOCD data base

May-16

Jul-16

Wockhardt

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Jun-16

Apr-16
3.8
4.8

May-16

Mar-16
6.7
2.5

Feb-16

Jan-16

1.8

6.4

8.1
9.4

9.7

12.5

12.3

29.7

38.3
9.7

10

Others

5.5

31 to 50

9.9

21 to 30

10.6

15.3

(%)

20

23.0

36.0

30

14%

42.2

40

56%

Dec-15

50.4

50

8%

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15
13.7
24.4

60

8%

11 to 20

Jul-15

Jun-15

14%

12.9
29.2

Exhibit 37: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT June16)

Top 10

Sep-15

0
Indian Pharma Market

Source: AIOCD data base

Wockhardt

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 39: Top 10 brands performance


Brand

1.8
1.7
1.6
1.5
1.4
1.3
1.2
1.1
1.0

Therapy

24.7

29.9

-17.4

22.5

9.9

Vitamins

7.9

6.5

21.1

8.9

-11.9

Tryptomer

Neuro

5.4

5.0

6.4

5.8

-7.1

Bro Zedex

Respiratory

2.9

3.1

-5.6

3.2

-9.5

Methycobal

Vitamins

4.9

4.2

15.1

4.9

0.4

Biovac V

Vaccines

2.3

6.2

-62.9

3.0

-23.9

Biovac A

Vaccines

2.0

4.2

-53.1

2.5

-21.3

Zedex

Respiratory

2.0

2.2

-9.0

2.0

0.6

Practin

1.23

Jun-16

1.29

1.26

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jul-15

1.28

1.41 1.39
1.37 1.38 1.35
1.37 1.35 1.39
1.34

Wockhardt

(| crore)

June' 16 June' 15 Var. (%) May' 16 Var. (%)

Spasmo Proxyvon PluGastro Intestinal

Jun-15

(%)

Exhibit 38: Market share in Indian formulations market

Ace Proxyvon

Pain

2.2

2.8

-23.3

2.2

-0.6

Wosulin

Anti Diabetic

2.4

2.0

20.6

3.0

-19.0

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 40: Contribution of therapies to domestic


sales (MAT June16)
Gastro

Exhibit 41: Therapy wise performance

Intestinal
25%

Other
33%

Therapy
Gastro Intestinal
Vitamins
Respiratory
Neuro

Vitamins
15%
Anti-Infectives
7%

Neuro
8%

Respiratory
12%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Anti-Infectives

(| crore)

June' 16
27.0

June' 15
27.4

YoY (%)
-1.2

May' 16
24.8

QoQ (%)
9.0

19.2

16.0

19.7

20.5

-6.3

9.1

8.4

8.0

9.4

-2.9

10.0

7.4

35.9

10.6

-4.8

4.9

6.6

-25.4

5.6

-11.8
-1.8

Derma

7.4

6.6

12.6

7.5

Pain

7.5

6.3

18.3

6.9

7.9

Anti Diabetic

7.7

6.2

23.9

8.5

-9.6

Vaccines

4.3

8.9

-51.5

5.6

-22.6

Hormones

2.6

2.3

13.5

2.8

-3.9

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 14

Glenmark Pharmaceuticals

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT June16)

Stock Performance

Chronic,
908.04,
37.6%

200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60

SubChronic,
563.30,
23.3%

Acute,
945.56,
39.1%

Jul-15

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

CNX Pharma

Jul-16

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

6.4

8.1

6.7
14.8

12.3
19.7

9.7
16.3

13.1

9.7

12.5
18.6

23.0

43.6

Oct-15

Sep-15
10.6

30.9

34.6

Indian Pharma Market

Source: AIOCD data base

7.1

Others

8.9

31 to 50

3.8
8.7

21 to 30

11.5

11 to 20

13.7
28.1

13%

10%

12.9

13%

Aug-15

Jun-15
(%)

35%

15.3

29%

50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0

Jul-15

Exhibit 42: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT June16)

Top 10

May-16

Glenmark

Glenmark Pharmaceuticals

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 43: Market share in Indian formulations market

Exhibit 44: Top 10 brands performance


Therapy

Telma

Cardiac

12.5

14.8

Telma H

Cardiac

12.1

Ascoril Plus

Respiratory

7.1

Candid

Derma

2.1

Candid-B

Derma

Telma Am

1.9

Ascoril Ls

2.7
2.5
2.4 2.3
2.3

2.3

2.5 2.5

2.4

2.6

2.5

2.4 2.4

2.4

2.3

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jul-15

2.2

Jun-15

(%)

(| crore)

Brand

Glenmark Pharmaceuticals

Exhibit 45: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT June16)


Anti Diabetic
8%

Derma
30%

Anti-Infectives
13%
Respiratory
15%

-15.8

13.6

-7.9

11.4

6.1

12.7

-4.8

7.5

-5.9

5.7

23.9

11.1

8.8

25.6

10.6

4.6

8.5

8.3

2.6

7.5

14.4

Cardiac

6.3

6.1

2.9

6.8

-7.9

Respiratory

2.5

2.9

-12.1

2.6

-1.8

Zitamet

Anti Diabetic

0.1

7.0

-98.3

0.2

-26.8

Onabet

Derma

3.8

3.0

25.5

3.2

16.5

Zita(Glenmark)

Anti Diabetic

1.1

4.7

-77.3

1.5

-28.5

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Other
11%

June' 16 June' 15 Var. (%) May' 16 Var. (%)

Cardiac
23%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Exhibit 46: Therapy wise performance


Therapy
Derma

June' 16
63.8

(| crore)

June' 15
55.3

YoY (%)
15.3

May' 16
59.5

QoQ (%)
7.3

Cardiac

44.4

44.6

-0.4

46.6

-4.7

Respiratory

23.1

21.9

5.5

20.7

11.6

Anti-Infectives

26.1

24.3

7.4

22.9

13.7

Anti Diabetic

15.0

17.1

-12.1

15.1

-0.3

Vitamins

6.7

5.0

34.4

6.2

8.0

Gastro Intestinal

5.6

4.8

17.6

5.0

12.5

Pain

4.3

4.1

5.6

4.2

1.8

Gynaecological

3.5

3.4

3.4

3.7

-4.3

Ophthal

3.0

2.9

3.0

2.5

20.2

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 15

Torrent Pharmaceuticals

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT June16)

Stock Performance

Chronic,
1156.47,
51.0%

200
160
120
80
40

SubChronic,
564.71,
24.9%

Acute,
545.88,
24.1%

Jul-15

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

CNX Pharma

May-16

Jul-16

Torrent Pharma

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jun-15

Jul-15

Exhibit 47: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT June16)

31 to 50

Others

6.4

1.4

2.4

3.8

6.7

8.1

12.3
10.2

9.7

-5
Indian Pharma Market

Source: AIOCD data base

-2.7

21 to 30

-3.0

11 to 20

3.8

5.4

0
Top 10

12.5

19.9

7.4

10

9%

9.7

14%

12%

10.6
16.0

(%)

15

13.7
21.7

20

12.9
18.3

28.3

32%

15.3

25
33%

23.0

30

Torrent Pharmaceuticals

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 48: Market share in Indian formulations market

Exhibit 49: Top 10 brands performance

2.8
2.51

2.4
(%)

2.36

2.25 2.23

2.23
2.17 2.20

2.30

2.35

2.33 2.30
2.23 2.26

2.0

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jul-15

Jun-15

1.6

Torrent Pharmaceuticals

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Cardiac
29%

Pain
8%

Gastro
Intestinal
15%
Vitamins
16%

Therapy

Shelcal

Vitamins

Chymoral Forte
Nikoran
Dilzem

(| crore)

June' 16 June' 15 Var. (%) May' 16 Var. (%)


17.4

20.2

-13.7

16.3

6.7

Pain

9.8

10.6

-7.4

9.6

2.1

Cardiac

7.1

6.5

9.5

7.3

-2.6

Cardiac

5.3

5.1

5.0

5.9

-10.1

Nebicard

Cardiac

5.0

5.0

0.9

5.4

-6.7

Azulix-Mf

Anti Diabetic

5.4

4.8

13.5

5.8

-5.3

Nexpro Rd

Gastro Intestinal

4.6

4.3

8.6

4.4

5.4

Nexpro

Gastro Intestinal

4.2

4.1

3.5

4.0

6.6

Shelcal Ct

Vitamins

4.2

2.6

59.2

4.5

-8.1

Alprax

Neuro

3.0

3.3

-9.0

3.2

-6.1

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 50: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT June16)


Other
16%

Brand

Neuro
16%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Exhibit 51: Therapy wise performance


Therapy
Cardiac

June' 16
54.2

(| crore)

June' 15
57.4

YoY (%)
-5.5

May' 16
58.0

QoQ (%)
-6.6

Neuro

31.0

32.3

-4.1

32.1

-3.6

Vitamins

33.0

30.8

7.2

32.5

1.5

Gastro Intestinal

29.7

30.3

-2.0

28.2

5.1

Pain

15.8

15.5

1.5

15.7

0.5

Anti Diabetic

12.4

11.6

6.9

12.6

-2.2

Anti-Infectives

6.8

10.3

-34.1

6.2

9.2

Derma

5.4

4.5

17.8

5.2

3.6

Gynaecological

3.1

3.5

-11.5

3.1

-1.8

Urology

1.0

0.7

50.0

1.0

5.3

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 16

Ipca Laboratories

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT June16)

Stock Performance
150
125
100
75
50

Chronic,
350.08,
27.5%

Acute,
843.66,
66.3%

SubChronic,
78.28, 6.2%

Jul-15

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

CNX Pharma

Ipca

21 to 30

31 to 50

Source: AIOCD data base

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

6.4

8.1

4.0

3.7

3.3

3.8

6.7
1.5

11.5

9.1

Exhibit 54: Top 10 brands performance

1.5 1.4

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2


1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

1.3
1.2 1.3

Jul-15

Ipca Laboratories

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 53: Market share in Indian formulations market

Jun-15

12.3

9.7

12.5
11.8

-10

Others

Indian Pharma Market

(%)

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15
9.7
6.3

-0.1

-5.5

0
-5

3.0

16%

10.6

10

3.6

(%)

11%

13.7

15

13%

12.9

20

37%

15.3

25

23%

11 to 20

23.0
25.8

30

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jun-15

Jul-15

Exhibit 52: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT June16)

2.0
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.0
0.8
0.6

Jul-16

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Top 10

May-16

Ipca Laboratories

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Anti-Infectives
6%

Brand

Therapy

Zerodol Sp

Pain

7.4

7.7

-3.3

7.5

-1.3

Zerodol P

Pain

5.4

5.2

4.9

5.9

-7.9

Hcqs

Anti Malarials

5.1

6.0

-15.7

5.5

-8.1

Larinate

Anti Malarials

2.9

3.4

-12.8

2.9

0.4

Rapither-Ab

Anti Malarials

2.8

4.0

-29.1

2.5

11.4

Glycinorm M

Anti Diabetic

3.0

3.1

-3.2

3.3

-10.5

Folitrax

Anti-Neoplastics

3.0

2.9

5.0

3.0

1.4

Lariago

Anti Malarials

1.6

2.2

-25.3

1.6

4.0

Zerodol

Pain

2.3

2.4

-4.2

2.3

1.3

Lumerax

Anti Malarials

1.6

2.1

-25.7

1.5

4.7

Pain
26%

Exhibit 56: Therapy wise performance


Therapy
Pain

Anti Malarials
19%
Cardiac
17%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

June' 16
26.5

(| crore)

June' 15
26.3

YoY (%)
0.7

May' 16
27.3

QoQ (%)
-3.1

Anti Malarials

16.4

15.5

6.0

15.8

4.2

Cardiac

18.7

17.8

4.9

19.0

-1.7

9.4

9.3

1.3

9.6

-2.5

Gastro Intestinal

Gastro
Intestinal
8%

June' 16 June' 15 Var. (%) May' 16 Var. (%)

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 55: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT June16)


Other
24%

(| crore)

Anti-Infectives

5.9

5.9

0.1

5.5

6.9

Anti Diabetic

5.4

5.2

4.3

5.8

-6.8

Respiratory

3.0

2.7

10.3

3.0

-1.1

Anti-Neoplastics

4.9

4.1

20.7

5.0

-1.4

Neuro

3.9

4.2

-8.7

3.7

3.7

Derma

3.1

3.0

4.3

2.7

16.7

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 17

Biocon

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT June16)

Stock Performance

Chronic,
243.16,
71.2%

140
120
100
80

SubChronic,
29.19, 8.5%

Acute,
69.38,
20.3%

60
Jul-15

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

CNX Pharma

Jul-16

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

21 to 30

31 to 50

May-16
8.1
9.4

Jun-16

Apr-16
3.8
7.7

Mar-16

6.4
3.5

6.7

14.5

Feb-16
12.3
11.3

5.3

5.2

9.7

12.5

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15
9.7

23.0
Oct-15

10.6

-5
-10

Others

-11.2

11 to 20

-0.8

2%

6.0

(%)

5%

7.3

10

6%

13.7

15

11%

4.8

76%

15.3

20

12.9

25

10.0

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jun-15

Jul-15

Exhibit 57: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT June16)

Top 10

May-16

Biocon

-15

Source: AIOCD data base

Indian Pharma Market

Biocon

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 58: Market share in Indian formulations market


0.39

Brand

0.38

0.37

0.36

0.36

0.35

0.34

0.33

0.33

0.33
0.31

0.31

0.35 0.350.35

0.34

0.34
0.32

Therapy

(| crore)

June' 16 June' 15 Var. (%) May' 16 Var. (%)

Insugen

Anti Diabetic

7.3

7.5

-2.9

7.8

-7.3

Basalog

Anti Diabetic

5.2

5.0

3.9

5.3

-2.2

Erypro

Blood Related

2.3

2.3

1.4

2.4

-5.2

Canmab

Anti-Neoplastics

1.7

1.4

18.8

1.5

14.2
16.2

152.4

1.1

117.2

Biomab Egfr

Anti-Neoplastics

0.0

0.1

-100.0

1.0

-100.0

Insugen N

Anti Diabetic

0.6

0.9

-29.8

0.6

5.6

Psorid

Anti-Neoplastics

0.7

0.5

53.9

0.7

-1.8

Jun-16

0.9

May-16

2.3

Apr-16

Anti-Neoplastics

Mar-16

8.2

Abraxane

Feb-16

1.4

Jan-16

1.2

-2.6

Dec-15

-9.6

1.6

Nov-15

1.5

1.5

Oct-15

1.4

Anti Diabetic

Sep-15

Anti Diabetic

Insugen R

Jul-15

Blisto Mf

0.27
Aug-15

0.29
Jun-15

(%)

Exhibit 59: Top 10 brands performance

Biocon

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 60: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT June16)


Cardiac
5%
Blood Related

Derma
3%

Other
5%

6%

AntiNeoplastics
22%

Anti Diabetic
59%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Exhibit 61: Therapy wise performance


Therapy
Anti Diabetic

(| crore)

June' 16
17.2

June' 15
16.3

YoY (%)
6.1

May' 16
17.6

Anti-Neoplastics

6.5

Blood Related

2.3

Cardiac
Derma

QoQ (%)
-2.0

5.5

18.2

6.1

7.9

2.7

-12.9

2.4

-4.8

1.5

1.8

-20.0

1.5

-4.5

0.9

0.8

12.7

0.7

27.6

Anti-Infectives

0.5

0.9

-38.4

0.4

47.3

Gastro Intestinal

0.1

0.1

38.4

0.1

1.9

Others

0.2

0.3

-14.9

0.3

-11.8

Vitamins

0.2

0.2

-3.2

0.1

47.0

Pain

0.0

0.0

-16.7

0.1

-62.7

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 18

Pfizer

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT June16)

Stock Performance

Chronic,
454.57,
15.7%
SubChronic,
563.59,
19.4%

Acute,
1882.66,
64.9%

200
160
120
80
40
Jul-15

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

CNX Pharma

Pfizer

21 to 30

31 to 50

Source: AIOCD data base

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

6.4

8.1
2.8

7.3

3.8

6.7

-0.9
Pfizer

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 63: Market share in Indian formulations market

Exhibit 64: Top 10 brands performance

3.2
2.94 2.97 2.94 2.91 2.94
2.91 2.92 2.93

2.8

2.84

2.89

2.96
2.85
2.74

2.6

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jul-15

2.4
Jun-15

3.5

5.1

-10

Others

Indian Pharma Market

(%)

Mar-16

12.3

9.7
-3.4

0
-5

11 to 20

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15
12.5

3.5

19%

0.9

9.9

(%)

10

9.7

15

50%

10%

15.3
20.3

20

10%

10.6

25

11%

Nov-15

23.0
25.4

30

Oct-15

Aug-15
13.7
19.7

Sep-15

Jul-15

Jun-15

12.9
17.3

Exhibit 62: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT June16)

3.0

Jul-16

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Top 10

May-16

Pfizer

(| crore)

Brand

Therapy

June' 16 June' 15 Var. (%) May' 16 Var. (%)

Corex

Respiratory

20.2

25.4

-20.4

22.4

Becosules

Vitamins

20.1

20.7

-3.1

19.1

4.9

Magnex

Anti-Infectives

11.1

13.4

-17.3

10.3

7.7

Gelusil Mps

Gastro Intestinal

10.5

12.4

-15.2

10.4

0.9

Dolonex

Pain

10.9

11.6

-6.4

11.3

-3.9

Minipress Xl

Cardiac

9.3

10.0

-7.2

12.3

-24.6

10.0

9.0

11.0

10.2

-2.7

8.0

7.0

13.6

8.9

-10.7

Mucaine

Gastro Intestinal

Wysolone

Hormones

Folvite

Blood Related

7.1

6.9

2.4

7.5

-5.4

Dalacin C

Anti-Infectives

5.4

6.8

-20.5

5.9

-9.0

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 65: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT June16)

Exhibit 66: Therapy wise performance

Anti-Infectives
16%
Other
40%

Respiratory
14%
Gastro
Intestinal
11%

Hormones
9%

Vitamins
10%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

-9.7

Therapy
Anti-Infectives

June' 16
32.2

(| crore)

June' 15
37.9

YoY (%)
-15.0

May' 16
32.5

QoQ (%)
-1.0

Respiratory

26.1

23.7

9.9

28.7

-9.2

Gastro Intestinal

25.9

25.4

2.1

26.3

-1.3

Vitamins

25.2

26.8

-6.0

24.6

2.6

Hormones

20.5

20.0

2.4

22.3

-8.2
-1.5

Gynaecological

20.5

17.8

15.2

20.8

Neuro

16.7

16.2

3.2

18.4

-9.2

Cardiac

15.4

18.5

-16.7

18.0

-14.5

Pain

15.5

15.8

-2.1

16.4

-5.5

7.6

7.3

3.7

7.9

-4.4

Blood Related

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 19

Novartis

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT June16)

Stock Performance

Chronic,
503.68,
42.2%

190
140
90

SubChronic,
168.35,
14.1%

Acute,
520.86,
43.7%

40
Jul-15

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

CNX Pharma

Novartis India

31 to 50

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

6.4

8.1

3.6

3.8
3.7

4.2

5.5

9.5

6.7

9.7
-2.7

-2.0

0.0

Novartis India

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 68: Market share in Indian formulations market


1.3

1.24

1.22

1.2

(%)

12.3

12.5

7.8
Indian Pharma Market

Source: AIOCD data base

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15
9.7

10.6
-1.7

-5

Others

13.7

-1.0

4.2

78%

21 to 30

12.9

10

3.1

(%)

15

23.0Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jun-15
20

15.3

25

2%
12% 4%4%

11 to 20

Jul-15

Exhibit 67: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT June16)

1.18

1.16

1.2

Jul-16

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Top 10

May-16

1.20 1.20

1.19

Exhibit 69: Top 10 brands performance


1.22

1.23

1.18 1.18
1.131.13

1.1

Jun-16

Apr-16

May-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Oct-15

Nov-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jul-15

Jun-15

1.1

Novartis India

(| crore)

Brand

Therapy

June' 16 June' 15 Var. (%) May' 16 Var. (%)

Galvus Met

Anti Diabetic

23.5

Voveran

Pain

16.8

Galvus

Anti Diabetic

9.9

Rabipur (Novartis)

Vaccines

7.9

Tegrital

Neuro

Voveran

Pain

Regestrone

Gynaecological

Methergin

-0.9

24.5

-4.2

16.2

3.7

18.0

-6.3

11.2

-11.4

9.7

1.7

7.9

0.0

6.4

23.8

4.3

5.0

-14.7

4.6

-7.1

3.3

3.2

3.2

3.3

1.8

2.7

3.2

-15.3

2.9

-6.7

Gynaecological

2.2

2.7

-15.8

2.2

1.5

Genteal

Ophthal

2.4

2.7

-9.2

2.4

1.9

Syntocinon

Gynaecological

2.3

1.9

21.2

2.3

2.7

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 70: Contribution ofOther


therapies to domestic sales (MAT June16)

Exhibit 71: Therapy wise performance

17%
Anti Diabetic
35%

Gynaecological
8%

Vaccines
9%
Vitamins
10%

Pain
21%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Therapy
Anti Diabetic

23.7

(| crore)

June' 16
33.9

June' 15
29.9

YoY (%)
13.4

May' 16
34.8

Pain

21.7

Vitamins

11.5

Vaccines
Gynaecological

QoQ (%)
-2.6

18.7

16.0

22.8

-4.7

9.4

21.8

8.9

29.3

7.9

8.6

-7.4

6.4

25.0

7.5

7.9

-5.3

7.7

-2.2

Neuro

4.3

5.9

-26.7

4.6

-7.1

Anti-Infectives

2.7

4.3

-37.4

4.0

-32.6

Ophthal

2.6

3.3

-20.5

3.0

-13.2

Respiratory

1.6

1.6

-4.3

1.6

-3.0

Cardiac

0.8

1.1

-25.4

0.8

-2.1

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 20

Unichem Laboratories

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT June16)

Stock Performance

Chronic,
528.17,
58.2%

160
130
100
70

Acute,
324.77,
35.8%

SubChronic,
55.19, 6.1%

Jul-15

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

CNX Pharma

May-16

Jul-16

Unichem Labs

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jun-15

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT June16)

Jul-15

Exhibit 72: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Source: AIOCD data base

11 to 20

21 to 30

31 to 50

12.3

6.4
7.0

5.3

3.8
3.5

2.1

5.6

5.2

6.7

8.1

9.7
11.0

Exhibit 74: Top 10 brands performance


Brand

1.10
0.970.98

0.97
0.92

0.90

0.94
0.89

0.88 0.87
0.88
0.86 0.87

0.89

0.93

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jul-15

0.80
Jun-15

Unichem Laboratories

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 73: Market share in Indian formulations market

(%)

9.7

Indian Pharma Market

Others

Source: AIOCD data base

1.00

2.5

0
Top 10

10.6

2.7

0.6

13%

20.5

10

9%

13.7

15

11.1

(%)

11%

12.9

20

45%

15.3

25

22%

12.5

23.0
26.6

30

Unichem Laboratories

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Neuro
14%

Losar H

Cardiac

8.7

6.9

26.0

8.4

3.6

Ampoxin

Anti-Infectives

5.2

5.3

-1.7

5.5

-4.9

Losar

Cardiac

5.8

5.6

2.7

5.6

3.1

Unienzyme

Gastro Intestinal

5.2

5.9

-12.3

6.2

-16.2

Vizylac

Gastro Intestinal

4.7

2.8

64.5

3.8

21.3

Trika

Neuro

1.9

2.2

-10.7

1.9

4.0

Serta

Neuro

2.0

1.9

7.5

2.0

0.2

Unistar (Unichem)

Cardiac

1.8

1.5

22.1

1.8

2.9

Telsar

Cardiac

1.5

1.5

-0.1

1.6

-4.2

Arkamin

Cardiac

1.5

1.2

28.3

1.4

2.3

Exhibit 76: Therapy wise performance


Therapy
Cardiac

Other
11%

Gastro
Intestinal
12%

(| crore)

June' 16 June' 15 Var. (%) May' 16 Var. (%)

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 75: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT June16)


Pain
4%

Therapy

Cardiac
42%

Anti-Infectives
17%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

(| crore)

June' 16
36.0

June' 15
31.5

YoY (%)
14.2

May' 16
35.3

QoQ (%)
1.9

Anti-Infectives

11.8

Neuro

11.0

13.1

-9.8

12.0

-1.8

9.8

12.4

10.8

2.0

Gastro Intestinal

-1.4

11.4

11.4

-0.8

11.5

Pain

3.4

3.0

13.3

3.3

2.0

Anti Diabetic

3.6

2.5

44.8

3.4

6.2

Vitamins

1.7

2.5

-30.6

1.8

-1.8

Respiratory

1.6

1.8

-11.8

1.6

3.4

Derma

2.0

1.2

59.6

2.0

0.2

Gynaecological

0.4

0.5

-22.9

0.4

3.7

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 21

Indoco Remedies

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT June16)

Stock Performance
Acute,
575.31,
82.3%

140
120
100
80
60

Chronic,
41.04, 5.9%
SubChronic,
82.32,
11.8%

Jul-15

Sep-15

Nov-15

Indoco

11 to 20

31 to 50

-5

Others

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

6.4
11.5

5.2

3.8
-1.0

0.7

6.7

8.1

12.3
5.4

5.6

11.0

9.7

12.5

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15
9.7

23.0Oct-15

10.6

-1.3

21 to 30

13.7

10.3
1.2

16%

3.7

(%)

10

9%

-6.4

47%

12.9

15
11%

16.2

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jul-15

Jun-15
15.3

20

17%

-10
Indian Pharma Market

Source: AIOCD data base

Indoco Remedies

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 78: Market share in Indian formulations market


0.7

Exhibit 79: Top 10 brands performance

0.7
0.7 0.7 0.7

0.7 0.7 0.7

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.7

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jul-15

0.6
Jun-15

Jul-16

Exhibit 77: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

25

(%)

May-16

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT June16)

0.8
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.6
0.6
0.6

Mar-16

CNX Pharma

Source: AIOCD data base

Top 10

Jan-16

Indoco Remedies

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

(| crore)

Brand

Therapy

June' 16 June' 15 Var. (%) May' 16 Var. (%)

Febrex Plus

Respiratory

4.8

5.4

-10.5

Cyclopam

Gastro Intestinal

4.3

4.5

Oxipod

Anti-Infectives

2.8

2.6

Cital

Urology

3.2

Sensodent-K

Stomatologicals

Atm

Anti-Infectives

Sensodent-Kf
Cloben G

4.2

14.5

-3.4

3.8

13.0

7.7

2.6

8.1

3.0

6.5

3.9

-16.3

3.2

2.8

14.4

3.0

3.7

2.1

2.1

0.3

1.9

14.5

Stomatologicals

1.7

2.0

-14.4

1.8

-4.4

Derma

2.0

2.0

1.9

1.9

8.6

Karvol Plus

Respiratory

1.0

1.0

6.6

1.0

5.1

Cyclopam

Gastro Intestinal

2.2

2.0

10.0

1.8

23.6

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 80: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT June16)


Other
27%

Anti-Infectives
18%

Exhibit 81: Therapy wise performance


Therapy
Anti-Infectives
Respiratory

Respiratory
18%

Vitamins
7%
Gastro
Intestinal
14%

Stomatological
s
16%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

June' 16
9.3

(| crore)

June' 15
7.8

YoY (%)
19.7

May' 16
8.7

QoQ (%)
6.9
13.6

8.1

7.4

8.5

7.1

Stomatologicals

10.2

9.0

13.2

9.9

2.9

Gastro Intestinal

9.9

8.8

12.1

8.5

16.5

Vitamins

4.8

4.3

13.1

4.7

4.0
-14.3

Urology

3.8

3.3

14.9

4.4

Ophthal

3.1

2.8

9.6

3.0

1.9

Derma

2.7

2.3

14.6

2.4

10.4

Pain

2.6

2.4

8.1

2.6

1.8

Anti Diabetic

1.9

1.8

5.3

1.9

-2.8

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 22

Ajanta Pharmaceuticals

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT June16)

Stock Performance
Chronic,
238.66,
48.9%

290
240
190
140
90
40

SubChronic,
56.84,
11.6%

Acute,
192.80,
39.5%

Jul-15

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

CNX Pharma

Ajanta

25

23%

21 to 30

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

31 to 50

Others

6.4

8.1

11.4

13.1

6.9

3.8

7.6

6.7
7.6

9.7

12.3
10.5

12.5
14.3

5
11 to 20

Dec-15

Nov-15
9.7
6.5

9.9

10.9

10

12%

10.0

(%)

10.6
12.6

13.7
18.3

15

13%

12.9

15.3

20

42%

10%

23.0
Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jun-15

Jul-15

Exhibit 82: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT June16)

0
Indian Pharma Market

Source: AIOCD data base

Ajanta Pharma

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 83: Market share in Indian formulations market

Exhibit 84: Top 10 brands performance

(| crore)

Brand

Therapy

Met Xl

Cardiac

4.6

3.7

23.9

4.9

Melacare

Derma

3.0

3.6

-18.1

3.1

-5.4

Atorfit Cv

Cardiac

2.9

2.9

1.7

2.9

-0.3

Soft Drops

Ophthal

1.3

1.1

15.5

1.4

-8.6

Rosufit Cv

Cardiac

1.3

1.1

19.1

1.2

6.6

0.4

Feburic

Pain

1.1

1.1

-1.7

1.3

-9.9

0.4

Met Xl Am

Cardiac

1.2

0.9

30.8

1.2

-4.7

Cinod

Cardiac

0.9

0.7

22.7

0.9

-0.4

Rosutor Gold

Cardiac

1.0

0.6

70.1

0.9

17.5

Olopat

Ophthal

0.9

0.7

18.1

0.8

5.9

0.5
0.5

0.51 0.52

0.5

0.49

0.48 0.48 0.48

0.510.50

0.51
0.48 0.48

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

0.45

Feb-16

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jul-15

Jun-15

0.4

Jan-16

0.46

0.5

Dec-15

0.5

Nov-15

(%)

Jul-16

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Top 10

May-16

Ajanta Pharma

June' 16 June' 15 Var. (%) May' 16 Var. (%)

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 85: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT June16)

Exhibit 86: Therapy wise performance

Pain
5%
Vitamins
6%

Derma
22%

Others
9%
Cardiac
34%

Ophthal
24%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

-7.1

(| crore)

Therapy
Cardiac

June' 16
15.5

June' 15
13.0

YoY (%)
19.0

May' 16
15.7

QoQ (%)
-1.2

Ophthal

10.4

9.1

14.3

10.8

-3.2

Derma

8.3

8.4

-1.4

8.4

-2.0

Vitamins

2.3

2.5

-8.4

2.2

4.7

Pain

1.9

2.1

-8.7

2.1

-7.9

Gastro Intestinal

1.0

1.1

-10.0

1.0

3.6

Neuro

0.9

0.8

12.0

0.9

6.7

Anti-Infectives

0.8

0.5

52.7

0.7

12.2

Anti Diabetic

0.6

0.0

NA

0.5

20.9

Respiratory

0.2

0.2

-1.4

0.2

4.0

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 23

Alembic Pharmaceuticals

Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT June16)

Stock Performance
Chronic,
302.59,
21.6%

200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40

SubChronic,
261.36,
18.6%

Acute,
839.15,
59.8%

Jul-15

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

CNX Pharma

May-16

Jul-16

Alembic Pharma

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

11 to 20

31 to 50

Others

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Indian Pharma Market

6.4

11.3

8.1
11.4

3.8
5.7

6.7
8.1

12.3
13.7

23.1
12.5

19.0
6.1

21 to 30

9.7

10

14%

9.7

15

10.6

(%)

13%

13.7
21.5

25
20

10%

23.0

36%

24.1

30

27%

Jan-16

31.6

35

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

Jul-15
12.9
17.3

Aug-15

Jun-15
15.3
18.4

Exhibit 87: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT June16)

Top 10

Mar-16

Alembic Pharma

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research


Source: AIOCD data base

Exhibit 89: Top 10 brands performance


Brand

1.6
1.5
1.5
1.4
1.4
1.3
1.3
1.2
1.2

1.49 1.50 1.49


1.43 1.44

1.44

1.33

1.32 1.30 1.33

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jul-15

1.27

Jun-16

1.37

May-16

1.41

Jun-15

(%)

Exhibit 88: Market share in Indian formulations market

Alembic Pharma

Therapy

(| crore)

June' 16 June' 15 Var. (%) May' 16 Var. (%)

Azithral

Anti-Infectives

7.4

11.6

-35.8

8.7

-14.8

Althrocin

Anti-Infectives

6.4

6.9

-7.2

6.6

-3.7

Roxid

Anti-Infectives

4.3

4.4

-3.6

4.1

4.1

Gestofit

Gynaecological

5.4

4.8

13.1

5.3

2.1

Wikoryl

Respiratory

2.5

2.6

-3.1

2.5

-0.6

Ulgel

Gastro Intestinal

2.7

3.0

-10.1

2.7

0.4

Rekool D

Gastro Intestinal

2.6

3.0

-12.9

2.4

11.2

Rekool

Gastro Intestinal

2.2

2.2

-1.0

2.0

6.0

Zeet

Respiratory

1.3

1.6

-22.7

1.3

-3.4

Rekool L

Gastro Intestinal

2.1

2.1

-0.6

1.9

13.1

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 90: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT June16)

Exhibit 91: Therapy wise performance

Other
24%

Anti-Infectives
24%

Gynaecological
11%

Therapy

Cardiac
14%

Gastro
Intestinal
14%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

June' 15

YoY (%)

May' 16

QoQ (%)

Anti-Infectives

21.7

23.1

-6.1

22.8

Gastro Intestinal

16.8

15.3

9.7

15.9

5.4

Cardiac

17.6

14.3

22.5

16.8

4.7
-1.2

Respiratory

Respiratory
13%

June' 16

(| crore)

-4.9

9.6

9.5

1.4

9.7

Gynaecological

14.5

11.9

22.7

13.7

5.8

Vitamins

10.3

8.1

27.7

10.2

0.7

Anti Diabetic

8.1

6.4

27.1

7.6

7.0

Pain

4.5

4.1

8.7

4.7

-5.3

Urology

2.8

1.8

52.0

2.4

15.6

Derma

2.0

2.5

-20.8

2.0

-2.7

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 24

ICICIdirect.com coverage universe (Healthcare)


CMP
(|)

TP
(|)

Rating

M Cap
(| Cr)

EPS (|)
PE(x)
EV/EBITDA (x)
RoCE (%)
RoE (%)
FY16P FY17E FY18E FY16P FY17E FY18E FY16P FY17E FY18E FY16P FY17E FY18E FY16P FY17E FY18E

Company

I-Direct
Code

Ajanta Pharma

AJAPHA 1602 1,780

Buy

14100.6

45.7

52.4

63.6

35.1

30.6

25.2

22.7

19.3

16.3

43.7

37.9

35.6

34.4

30.0

Apollo Hospitals

APOHOS 1371 1,420 Hold

19076.1

22.2

35.0

49.2

61.8

39.2

27.9

26.6

19.2

15.3

8.2

10.9

13.3

8.9

12.6

15.4

Aurobindo Pharma

AURPHA

774

990

Buy

45295.1

33.9

37.7

45.1

22.8

20.5

17.2

24.8

22.0

18.5

25.0

24.6

26.4

28.1

24.3

22.9

Alembic Pharma

ALEMPHA 585

620

Hold

11029.1

38.2

19.6

28.3

15.3

29.8

20.7

12.6

23.9

17.3

58.0

24.8

29.7

51.5

22.3

26.2

28.2

Biocon

BIOCON

713

545

Hold

14254.0

22.1

28.3

30.5

32.3

25.2

23.4

8.7

7.3

6.0

9.1

10.9

11.1

10.9

12.7

12.5

Cadila Healthcare
Cipla

CADHEA
CIPLA

364
511

390
470

Buy
Hold

37305.2
41056.2

15.0
18.8

15.5
19.9

20.6
26.2

24.4
27.2

23.5
25.6

17.7
19.5

14.2
16.6

14.1
14.8

10.8
11.8

27.9
12.1

24.6
13.1

29.5
16.0

28.6
12.7

24.4
12.1

26.3
14.1

Divi's Laboratories

DIVLAB

1156 1,260

Buy

30680.2

41.7

45.8

52.4

27.7

25.2

22.1

19.2

16.9

14.4

30.6

29.1

28.4

25.8

23.6

22.6

Dr Reddy's Labs

DRREDD 2974 3,480

Buy

61068.0

142.1 139.2 174.0

20.9

21.4

17.1

13.1

12.8

10.2

15.1

15.1

18.3

18.9

16.1

16.8

Glenmark Pharma

GLEPHA

858 1,000

Buy

23944.6

32.2

41.4

50.1

26.7

20.7

17.1

17.0

13.9

11.5

16.2

18.8

20.3

21.2

21.7

21.0

Indoco Remedies

INDREM

291

365

Buy

2677.9

9.3

15.1

20.4

31.2

19.2

14.3

16.1

11.6

9.2

13.2

19.7

24.4

14.7

20.9

24.2

Ipca Laboratories
Jubilant Life Sciences
Lupin

IPCLAB

469

455

Hold

5912.5

10.0

24.1

30.4

46.8

19.4

15.4

17.9

11.1

8.9

5.8

12.4

14.5

5.5

12.0

13.3

VAMORG

309

405

Buy

4920.0

26.0

41.6

56.1

11.9

7.4

5.5

7.6

6.1

4.8

12.0

15.1

17.8

14.2

18.9

20.6

1658 1,850

Buy

74752.0

50.4

66.0

74.1

32.9

25.1

22.4

19.4

13.5

11.8

18.6

22.5

23.1

20.7

22.1

19.9

Natco Pharma

NATPHA

LUPIN

581

600

Buy

10115.2

8.9

10.9

13.0

65.2

53.1

44.6

30.0

26.9

22.8

16.1

16.4

17.3

12.0

13.0

13.7

Sun Pharma

SUNPHA

770

785

Hold

185356.2

23.4

26.2

31.3

32.9

29.4

24.6

20.8

18.1

15.2

18.6

19.5

20.1

18.0

17.3

17.6

445

Syngene International

SYNINT

421

Buy

8425.0

8.8

11.1

15.6

43.3

34.2

24.3

26.1

20.5

16.7

19.5

13.3

16.7

20.7

21.2

23.5

Torrent Pharma

TORPHA

1440 1,650

Buy

24370.2

115.5

67.8

75.0

12.5

21.2

19.2

8.3

14.2

12.8

51.1

27.0

26.8

57.7

27.0

24.4

Unichem Laboratories

UNILAB

298

Buy

2711.2

12.3

15.5

22.1

24.2

19.2

13.5

14.5

11.6

8.3

13.8

16.2

20.4

11.7

13.4

16.8

310

Exhibit 92: One year forward P/E of CNX Pharma vs. Sensex
35

29.5%Premium

30
25

20
15
10
5

CNX Pharma

Jan-16

Jul-15

Jan-15

Jul-14

Jan-14

Jul-13

Jan-13

Jul-12

Jan-12

Jul-11

Jan-11

Jul-10

Jan-10

Jul-09

Jan-09

Jul-08

Jan-08

Jul-07

Jan-07

Jul-06

Sensex
[

Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 25

RATING RATIONALE

ICICIdirect.com endeavours to provide objective opinions and recommendations. ICICIdirect.com assigns


ratings to its stocks according to their notional target price vs. current market price and then categorises them
as Strong Buy, Buy, Add, Reduce and Sell. The performance horizon is two years unless specified and the
notional target price is defined as the analysts' valuation for a stock.
Sector view:
Over weight compared to index
Equal weight compared to index
Under weight compared to index
Index here refers to BSE 500

Pankaj Pandey

Head Research

pankaj.pandey@icicisecurities.com

ICICIdirect.com Research Desk,


ICICI Securities Limited,
1st Floor, Akruti Trade Centre,
Road No. 7, MIDC,
Andheri (East)
Mumbai 400 093
research@icicidirect.com

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 26

ANALYST CERTIFICATION
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accurately reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or
view(s) in this report.

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ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 27

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