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ORIGINAL
ARTICLE
ABSTRACT
Aim The boreal tree line is a prominent biogeographic feature, the position of
which reflects climatic conditions. Pollen is the key sensor used to reconstruct
past tree line patterns. Our aims in this study were to investigate pollen
vegetation relationships at the boreal tree line and to assess the success of a
modified version of the biomization method that incorporates pollen
productivity and dispersal in distinguishing the tree line.
Location Northern Canada (307 sites) and Alaska (316 sites).
Methods The REVEALS method for estimating regional vegetation composition
from pollen data was simplified to provide correction factors to account for
differential production and dispersal of pollen among taxa. The REVEALS-based
correction factors were used to adapt the biomization method and applied as a set
of experiments to pollen data from lake sediments and moss polsters from the
boreal tree line. Proportions of forest and tundra predicted from modern pollen
samples along two longitudinal transects were compared with those derived from
a vegetation map by: (1) a tally of correct versus incorrect assignments using
vegetation in the relevant map pixels, and (2) a comparison of the shape and
position of northsouth forest-cover curves generated from all transect pixels and
from pollen data. Possible causes of bias in the misclassifications were assessed.
Results Correcting for pollen productivity alone gave fewest misclassifications
and the closest estimate of the modern mapped tree line position (Canada,
+ 300 km; Alaska, + 10 km). In Canada success rates were c. 4070% and all
experiments over-predicted forest cover. Most corrections improved results over
uncorrected biomization; using only lakes improved success rates to c. 80%. In
Alaska success rates were 7080% and classification errors were more evenly
distributed; there was little improvement over uncorrected biomization.
Main conclusions Corrected biomization should improve broad-scale
reconstructions of spatial patterns in forest/non-forest vegetation mosaics and
across climate-sensitive ecotones. The Canadian example shows this is
particularly the case in regions affected by taxa with extremely high pollen
productivity (such as Pinus). Improved representation of actual vegetation
distribution is most likely if pollen data from lake sediments are used because the
REVEALS algorithm is based on the pollen dynamics of lake-based systems.
1792
Keywords
Alaska, biomization, boreal forest, climatic change, northern Canada, palaeoecology, REVEALS, tree line, tundra, vegetation dynamics.
http://wileyonlinelibrary.com/journal/jbi
doi:10.1111/j.1365-2699.2011.02507.x
H. A. Binney et al.
Larix forest, there was an over-abundance of sites classified as
tundra, probably reflecting poor production and/or dispersal
of Larix pollen.
Bigelow et al. (2003) carried out a biomization for the
circum-polar north. They excluded pollen taxa that were
< 0.5% of the pollen sum (normal practice) and applied a
weighting to Larix ( 15) to compensate for the low pollen
productivity of this taxon. The major patterns of forest and
tundra matched observed vegetation well in virtually all
regions, as assessed by a visual comparison of biome and
vegetation maps. Site-by-site comparisons revealed classification errors, with misclassifications likely of deciduous
(Larix) forest as tundra in Siberia, and tundra as boreal
forest in central Canada. They noted that lacustrine samples
better reflected regional vegetation while moss polsters better
reflected local vegetation a function of the size of the
pollen catchment. Williams et al. (2000) experimented with
simple modifications to the procedure to overcome the
effects on biomization of over-representation (Pinus
excluded below 5%, Quercus below 2.5%). However, these
adjustments, and the Larix up-weighting by Bigelow et al.
(2003) described above, amounted to tuning of the
biomization to produce a better fit with the observed data
in a region, and were not based on empirical data or
palaeoecological theory.
Studies of pollenvegetation relationships and attempts to
calibrate these relationships through estimates of pollen
productivity, dispersal and pollen source area have significantly advanced our ability to reconstruct past plant cover on a
quantitative basis. Davis (1963) assigned correction factors
for over- and under-represented pollen taxa and Parsons &
Prentice (1981) produced theoretical models of pollenvegetation relationships; these were developed further by Sugita
(1993, 1994), who attempted to define the pollen source area
concept and proposed a simulation approach (POLLSCAPE).
Sugita (2007a,b) developed the landscape reconstruction
algorithm (LRA), which combines the modelling and simulation approaches for vegetation reconstruction at both local and
regional scales. The two models within the LRA reconstruct
vegetation at regional (REVEALS) and local (LOVE) scales.
The validation of these two models is currently under way in
Europe (Hellman et al., 2008; Nielsen & Odgaard, 2010) and
North America (Sugita et al., 2010). In this study we incorporate correction factors estimated from the REVEALS model
into biomization to account for differential pollen productivity
and dispersal using the North American northern tree line as
the test case.
Study regions
Two transects running approximately southnorth through the
boreal tree line were the focus of the study. Transect 1 is
located in northern Canada (Fig. 1) and runs from southern
Manitoba ()98.42 W, 52.17 N) to the southern shore of
Melville Island in the Northwest Territories ()110.63 W,
74.51 N); it is c. 2500 km long and 1000 km wide. The
1794
500
250
1000 km
70N
60N
50N
110W
100W
90W
Biomes
Pollen site
Cool mixed forest
Transect
Ecotone boundaries
Figure 1 Location of transect 1 in northern Canada showing pollen sites with the underlying Kaplan & New (2006) vegetation map.
H. A. Binney et al.
250
1000 km
500
70N
60N
160W
150W
140W
Figure 2 Location of transect 2 in Alaska showing pollen sites with the underlying Kaplan & New (2006) vegetation map. See Fig. 1 for
legend. The location of the Brooks Range divide is indicated by a dashed line.
Original model
The REVEALS model (Sugita, 2007a) is a modified and more
generalized version of the original R-value model (Davis, 1963)
and is expressed as:
R
1
Z max
ni;k ^ai R
gi zdz
^ i;k
V
1
R
1 :
Pt
Z max
gj zdz
aj R
j1 nj;k ^
^ i;k is the
The symbols in equation 1 are defined as follows: V
estimate of the regional vegetation composition of species i in
proportion, based on pollen data from site k (dimensionless),
ni,k is the pollen count of species i at site k (grains), ^ai is the
estimate of pollen productivity of species i relative to a
reference taxon (dimensionless; pollen productivity is a
Modified REVEALS
To make the REVEALS model applicable to the biomization
process we simplified it and assumed the following.
1. Pollen dispersal and deposition followed Prentices model
(Prentice, 1985), which was developed for describing the
pollenvegetation relationship on bogs and mires. This is
simpler than other models and thus appropriate for a first
approximation method such as the approach we are describing
here.
2. All pollen came from within a 500-km radius from each site,
which corresponded to the 9095% characteristic source
radius of very light pollen types (Table 1) (Prentice, 1985;
Sugita, 1993).
3. Basin radius, R, was set to 500 m at all sites to portray all
sampling basins as large sites (see above) and thus appropriate for the REVEALS applications (Sugita, 2007a). In reality
many sites were smaller, particularly as some samples were
from moss polsters. Nevertheless, we used all samples because
modern and fossil pollen datasets tend to have mixed sources
(from moss polsters and lakes, and from small to large basins),
and we wished to assess whether our approach could detect a
signal regardless of basin size and type.
Then equation 1 becomes,
ai Ci
^ i;k Ptni;k =^
V
aj Cj
j1 nj;k =^
where
Ci e2:174bi e5:157bi
and
4:0vg;i
bi p
n pCz u
(Prentice, 1985).
Table 1 The assignment of five pollen dispersal factors (C; value shown in column 5 and named in column 1) based upon the fall speed (vg,
derived from pollen size, mass and morphology, column 2); the resulting mean values for types assigned into that category (column 3); and a
standardized value relative to the intermediate value (column 4, rounded in column 5).
Pollen type
Averaged
C value
Standardized relative
to intermediate value
Very heavy
Heavy
Intermediate
Light
Very light
vg 0.065
0.065 > vg 0.050
0.050 > vg 0.035
0.035 > vg 0.020
0.020 > vg
0.01416
0.04400
0.09652
0.19627
0.28874
0.147
0.455
1.000
2.003
2.991
0.15
0.45
1.00
2.00
3.00
1797
H. A. Binney et al.
The mean wind speed, u, was set to 3.0 m s)1, the empirical
constant to express the atmospheric condition, n, was set to
0.250 (i.e. neutral conditions) and the vertical diffusion
constant, Cz, was set to 0.12 (Tauber, 1965; Prentice, 1985).
Fall speed of pollen, vg,i, is species dependent (i.e. for species i).
Therefore, Ci (hereafter we term this the dispersal factor of
species i) is a function of fall speed of pollen of this species.
Given pollen counts, dispersal factors and productivity values
of pollen grains of constituent taxa, pollen proportions were
converted to the vegetation proportions that were less biased
than uncorrected estimates. We call equation 2 the REVEALSbased correction for the biomization method.
To increase the ease of application of the REVEALS
correction, we made further simplifications. The fall speed of
pollen grains, vg in (m s)1), was classified into five pollen type
categories based on pollen size, mass and morphology: (1) very
heavy, vg > 0.065; (2) heavy, 0.065 vg > 0.050; (3) intermediate, 0.050 vg > 0.035; (4) light, 0.035 vg > 0.020; and (5)
very light, 0.020 vg. When measured and observed values of
fall speed were not available for a given taxon, values were
estimated by Stokes law (Gregory, 1973), based mostly on
pollen size and morphology (i.e. long and short axes, and
shape factor). For each category, we calculated the mean value
of the dispersal factor, Ci, within the range of each of the fall
speed categories given above. We then standardized the
dispersal factors relative to that of the intermediate value, as
shown in Table 1.
Accurate pollen productivity estimates are available only in a
limited number of regions in the world (Brostrom et al., 2008),
although boreal and tree line taxa are among the most studied
to date. Here, the pollen productivity, a, was set to one of only
three classes: in our initial experiments these were 2.0, 1.0 and
0.5 for high, intermediate and low pollen producers, respectively. This simplified system allowed us to portray semiquantitatively relative differences in pollen productivity of
constituent plant taxa in a region where knowledge of their
ecology, phenology and reproductive biology is, though
incomplete, relatively well understood. To explore the importance of the relative values of the three classes of a we also
experimented with additional classes that expand the range of
the corrections for high and low pollen producers: (1) a
3:1:0.5; (2) a 3:1:0.333; and (3) a 4:1:0.25, the latter was the
most extreme correction for high and low pollen producers.
The original biomization algorithm includes a square-root
transformation of pollen percentage calculations, which stabilizes variance and increases the methods sensitivity to less
abundant taxa (Prentice et al., 1996). It is also potentially a
way of reducing the relative importance of high pollen
producers (i.e. a correction). We therefore also included
experiments where square-root transformation was not used in
the biomization calculations.
Finally we investigated how Pinus affects the location of the
tree line in northern Canada. Empirical evaluations of pollen
productivity in Europe showed that Pinus sylvestris has a
higher pollen productivity estimate than Picea abies (Brostrom
et al., 2008). Whilst the species in North America are different,
1798
Pollen taxon
Pollen
Fall speed productivity,
Dispersal
of pollen, a (initial
classes)
factor, C
vg
aC
(combination)
Larix
Picea
Pinus
Juniperus
Betula
Alnus
Populus
Salix
Poaceae
Cyperaceae
Ericales
Asteraceae
All other NAP
0.100
0.056
0.031
0.016
0.024
0.021
0.025
0.022
0.035
0.035
0.038
0.051
0.15
0.45
4.00
3.00
4.00
4.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.225
1.0
1.0
2.0
1.0
2.0
2.0
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.15
0.45
2.00
3.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.45
Depending
on vg
H. A. Binney et al.
(a)
Transect 1 (Canada)
(b)
Transect 2 (Alaska)
(i) 1.0
1.0
50:50 = c. 700km
0.4
0.2
0.2
500
1000
1500
1.0
2000
(PAIN)
PAINPollen
(with
)
0.8
0.6
1300km
1350km
100
(ii)
400
500
600
700
PAIN (with )
360km
+40km
0.4
0.2
0
500
(iii) 1.0
1000
1500
2000
0.8
0.6
1000km
(iii)
100
200
1.0
300
400
500
600
700
0.8
0.6
+300km
0.4
330km
+10km
0.4
0.2
0.2
500
1000
(iv) 1.0
1500
initial
0.8
2000
correction (2:1:0.5)
1200km
+500km
0.4
100
200
(iv) 1.0
(with )
0.6
300
400
500
600
700
0.8
0.6
305km
-15km
0.4
0.2
0.2
0
300
0.6
0.2
200
1.0
0.8
+650km
0.4
50:50 = c. 320km
0.6
0.4
0.8
0.6
(ii)
(i)
0.8
0
500
1000
(v) 1.0
1500
C correction (with )
0.8
100
2000
(v)
200
300
400
1400km
+700km
0.4
600
700
1.0
C correction (with )
0.8
0.6
500
0.6
425km
+105km
0.4
0.2
0.2
0
500
(vi) 1.0
1000
1500
0.8
0.6
2000
1275km
100
300
400
500
600
700
0.8
+575km
0.4
200
(vi) 1.0
0.6
365km
+45km
0.4
0.2
0.2
500
1000
1500
2000
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Forest
Tundra
Figure 3 The proportions of forest and tundra recorded for (a) transect 1, Canada, and (b) transect 2, Alaska, by (i) the vegetation map
(sampled by grid squares) and (ii) the Pan-Arctic Initiative (PAIN) pollen biome assignments, compared with the results obtained using
four correction factors [(iii) to (vi)]. Panel (iii) for both transects represents the best performing correction factor for that transect. The
arrow shows the 50% transition point for each transect with the offset from the vegetation forest/tundra transition shown to the right.
a, pollen productivity. C, pollen dispersal.
1800
Biomization method
(a) All Canadian sites
a 4:1:0.25
a 4:1:0.25 no
No Pinus or factors with
a 3:1:0.33
Original PAIN
C only with
C only with no
(b) Canadian lake sites
a 4:1:0.25
a 4:1:0.25 no
No Pinus or factors with
a 3:1:0.33
Overall
success
rate (%)
Tundra vegetation
shown as forest
by the pollen (%)
67.1
66.8
64.7
64.1
45.8
43.1
39.7
85.6
93.9
94.2
91.5
100.0
100.0
100.0
79.1
84.6
83.5
82.4
47.4
85.7
73.3
68.8
Table 4 Analysis of the spatial distribution of the misclassification errors of tundra vegetation shown as forest by the pollen data
for the three sections of the Canadian transect (forest, ecotone and
tundra) using the best performing REVEALS-based correction
factor (pollen productivity, a 4:1:0.25 with square root) for (a) all
sites on the transect and (b) a subset of lake-only sites. Column 3
shows error due to tundra vegetation shown as forest by the pollen
(the reverse error is 100 minus the value in column 3).
Sector
(a) All sites
Forest
Ecotone
Tundra
(b) Lakes only
Forest
Ecotone
Tundra
Overall
success
rate (%)
Tundra vegetation
shown as forest by
the pollen (%)
80.0
82.0
61.0
0.0
44.4
98.8
78.4
70.0
84.9
0.0
66.7
100.0
Biomization method
Overall
success
rate (%)
Tundra vegetation
shown as forest by
the pollen (%)
a 3:1:0.33 no
a 2:1:0.5
a 3:1:0.5
Original PAIN
79.4
79.1
79.1
78.8
55.4
40.9
40.9
74.6
H. A. Binney et al.
Table 6 Analysis of the spatial distribution of the misclassification errors of tundra vegetation shown as forest by the pollen data
for the three sections of the Alaskan transect (forest, ecotone and
tundra) using the best performing REVEALS-based correction
factor (pollen productivity, a 3:1:0.33 with no square root, ).
Column 3 shows error due to tundra vegetation shown as forest by
the pollen (the reverse error is 100 minus the value in column 3).
Sector
Overall
success
rate (%)
Tundra vegetation
shown as forest by
the pollen (%)
Forest
Ecotone
Tundra
74.2
54.0
94.1
25.0
60.9
54.5
CONCLUSIONS
While pollen corrections have been used since the 1960s, they
have typically been used for small-scale vegetation reconstructions. The combination of REVEALS-based correction
and biomization increases the accuracy of broad-scale vegetation reconstructions, which may have relevance for use in
assessing long-term land-cover change and vegetationclimate
interactions. In this study, the most notable improvements in
pollen representation of vegetation are seen across the
relatively flat, broad mosaic landscape of the Canadian
foresttundra ecotone. High pollen productivity appears to
be the critical factor to correct, rather than dispersal. As
expected from theory, pollen data from lakes respond best to
REVEALS-based correction. The method will probably be
most applicable to regions and time periods for which there
is relatively good site coverage, such as the Holocene of
Europe and North America.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
This work was funded by the Natural Environment Research
Councils (NERC) Quantifying and Understanding the Earth
(QUEST) programme (Theme 2), PalaeoQUMP (to M.E.E.
and H.A.B.) and the Estonian Science Foundation Mobilitas
Programme (MTT3) (to S.S.). The work was partially inspired
by the participation of H.A.B., S.S. and M.E.E. in the
POLLANDCAL network (Nordforsk) and LANDCLIM project
and network sponsored by the Swedish Science (VR) and
Nordic (NordForsk) Research Councils, respectively. We thank
Jed Kaplan (Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne,
Switzerland) for permission to use the vegetation data (shown
in Figs 1 & 2) and to Jack Williams and three anonymous
referees for their comments which improved the manuscript.
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Journal of Biogeography 38, 17921806
2011 Blackwell Publishing Ltd
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H. A. Binney et al.
SUPPORTING INFORMATION
Additional Supporting Information may be found in the
online version of this article:
Appendix S1 Site names, grid reference and original PAIN
biome assignment for the modern pollen samples from Alaska
and Canada.
Appendix S2 Description of characteristic taxa of biomes
used in this study (Table S1) and comparison of the overall
percentage correct match for pollen biomes versus vegetation
for Canada (Table S2) and Alaska (Table S3).
Appendix S3 Dispersal (C) and initial productivity factors
(a) for taxa contributing to the pollen sum.
As a service to our authors and readers, this journal provides
supporting information supplied by the authors. Such materials are peer-reviewed and may be re-organized for online
delivery, but are not copy-edited or typeset. Technical support
issues arising from supporting information (other than
missing files) should be addressed to the authors.
1806
BIOSKETCH
Heather Binney is a post-doctoral research assistant at the
University of Southampton. She is a palynologist with special
interests in late Quaternary pollenvegetation relationships
and vegetation dynamics since the Last Glacial Maximum.
Author contributions: H.A.B. undertook the analyses and took
primary responsibility for writing the paper; P.W.G. and
J.M.N. provided theoretical input and undertook the data
computations; S.S. provided the theoretical input for the
adaptation of the biomization procedure; M.E.E. had primary
responsibility for the project; she conceived the study and
contributed significantly to the writing.