Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Structure
15.0
Objectives
15.1
Introduction
15.2
15.3
15.4
15.5
Introduction
Meaning of Debt Management
Principles of Public Debt Management
Short- term and Long- term Interest Rates
Maturity Mix
The Need for the Investors
Monetization of Public Debt
Interest Ceiling
Debt Size
15.6
15.7
Floating Debt
15.8
Refunding of Debt
15.9
Advantages of Repayment
15.9.2
Methods of Repayment
15.0
OBJECTIVES
36
understand the relationship between price level, debt and debt management;
15.1
INTRODUCTION
Management of Public
Debt
Public debt has an important role to play in making good the deficit whenever the
current expenditure exceeds the aggregate revenues of a government. It helps to
mobilize the savings of the community and keep the inflation under check. Moreover
debt resources are necessary in a developing country to finance economic
development. For instance, the government of India used public borrowing on a
massive scale to undertake planned economic development under the Five-Year
Plans. But Public debt is bound to cause a burden to the economy and the people.
It leads to additional doses of taxation. Also only a very small part of the total
volume of debt is of perpetual nature, the remainder being managed or repaid as per
the maturity. The debt is to be managed by following scientific and economic principles
so that it causes the minimum possible burden and it creates the least economic
disadvantage. This assumes importance as the debt repayment and management of
debt have their own impact on the entire economy.
Before explaining various aspects of debt management let us know briefly about the
composition of public debt. The total volume of public debt comprises both of
internal debt ad external debt. While borrowing, undertaken from the governments
and financial institutions from other nations is external debt, internal debt consists of
various types of loans mobilized by the government within the national boundary.
The components of loans and their relative share in the total internal debt vary from
a country to country. For example, in India, besides external debt, government
borrows directly from households, banks and other financial institutions including
the Reserve Bank of India. In India the Internal Debt consists of market loans,
compensation and other bonds such as National Rural Development Bonds and
Capital Investment Bonds, Special Bearer Bonds, Treasury Bills, Special Floating
and other loans and special securities issued to the Reserve Bank. The other liabilities
of government comprises, which are not secured under the Consolidated Fund of
India but are shown as part of public account, post office savings, deposits, deposits
under small savings schemes, loans raised through post office cash certificates,
provident funds, interest-bearing reserve funds of departmental undertakings like
Indian Railways, Telecommunications etc. What is important is whether an internal
debt or external debt, it needs to be managed by redeeming/ repaying the debt. So
what follows is an attempt to know more about the management of debt issues.
37
Public Debt
Price rise or inflation also amounts to be a method of debt redemption. It means the
real value of public debt depreciates because of a fall in the value of the monetary
standard due to inflation consequent upon a currency expansion. If the government
tries to liquidate the debt by a method of currency expansion it will loose its credibility
and future borrowing may be difficult to the government. The central bank has to
guarantee and provide unlimited support to the government bond market in order to
stabilize the prices of government bonds, in an underdeveloped economy. But such
a policy may have inflationary impact on the economy.
Check Your Progress 1
1)
Write three or four sentences about the relationship of price level and debt
Management.
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15.3
In both the developing countries and developed countries the techniques of debt
management are more or less same. But the maneuverability of using these techniques
widely vary. The objectives of debt management in developed economies are:
38
a)
b)
c)
d)
a big task as it demands resourcefulness, foresight and judicious planning which may
stain the resources of the monetary authorities to the utmost and which may not be
available in these countries at the required level.
15.4
Management of Public
Debt
Public Debt is to be serviced by paying interest charges. Tax raised to pay the
interest payments impose a burden on the economy. The taxes which are necessary
to be imposed to finance the interest payments places a burden on the economy.
Following R.A. Musgrave and P.B. Musgrave the additional tax burden can be
measured with the following equation.
t = idY/(Y+idY) = id/ (1+id)
Where i is the interest rate and d is the ratio of debt of national income Y. If i equals
to 5% and d equals to 40% t equals 2%. If d rises to say 100% t increases to 5%
and if d rises to 500%, t increases to 20%. In an economy having the above mentioned
conditions, if required t for financing other public services is 20% the corresponding
total levels of t would be 22%, 25%, and 40% respectively.
E.D.Domar, an American economists defined the burden of public debt as the ratio
of the total debt to the national income. He stated that the problem of debt is
essentially the problem of achieving a growing national income increase. If the
national income grows, taxation required to finance interest liabilities on public debt
would not impose an unbearable burden on the economy. According to him, the
conditions under which the burden would increase or decrease over time is as follows.
(S.K.Singh, 2004)
Let D = amount of debt outstanding at the beginning of a year.
i = rate of interest paid on debt.
T = amount of taxes necessary to cover the interest charge on debt.
So T = Di
t = fraction of income (Y) taken through tax to pay interest.
t = T / Y = Di / Y =
iD
Y
It may be explained from the above equation that the tax rate necessary to pay
interest on debt depends on the ratio of the size of debt multiplied by the rate of
interest to income. This tax rate may be related to growth of income and the budget
deficit which can be stated in the following equation.
t=
Where
1
b
= 1
G
(1/ i )( a / b )
The increase or decrease of the burden of debt can be shown by the above equation.
In order to understand the above relationship the following examples are given.
39
Public Debt
Case 1
i = 3%
G = 3%
b = 3%
Then the taxes necessary for debt servicing (t) will be 3%
Case 2
i = 3%
G = 6%
b = 3%
If i and b remain constant, then doubling the rate of growth of income (6%) means
having the tax rate, that is, t=1.5.%. It mans that the debt burden is cut by half.
Case 3
i = 3%
G = 3%
b = 1.5%
Then t= 6%.. A fall in the rate of growth of income increases the debt burden.
Case 4
i = 3%
G = 4%
b = 4%
Then t remains at 3% as in Case1. It means that an increase in deficit (so rise in
public debt) followed by an equal rate of increase in income leaves the debt burden
unaltered.
It follows that the borrowed funds need to be invested in productive purposes by
the government, so that it leads to an increase in National income thereby reducing
the burden of debt. However, once the government undertakes loans, they are to
be serviced and repaid. Here lies the importance of public debt management.
15.5
15.5.1 Introduction
40
Public debt management refers to a set of operations relating to the magnitude and
structure of the debt, distribution of ownership of the debt among banks, non-banks
and other institutions, individuals, maturity mix, structure of interest rates, refunding
and repayment. In a liberal sense it refers to a set of operations which are necessary
to maintain the existing debt at a minimum cost. According to C.C. Abbot
Management of debt is meant the choice of debt forms and the proportionate
amounts of the different types used, the selection of the pattern of debt maturities,
the amount of debt placed with the different classes of holders, the decision to repay
or refund maturing obligations, the refunding terms offered, the treatment given to
different classes of debt and different types of bondholders, determination of the
provisions attached to new bond issues, adoption of new issues to the needs of
prospective holders, policies pursued in the retirement or creation of new debt and
the relative weights given to all these matters in the Governments general fiscal
policy. The methods and policies of debt management depends on the objective
economic conditions existing in different countries and at different times in the same
country. The above definition clearly explains the meaning and mechanism of public
debt management.
Management of Public
Debt
It follows that the management of public debt is concerned with the determination of
the structural features of public debt like maturity period, rate of interest etc. The
debt policy or management of public debt has a lot of significance as the changes in
the stock of public debt and its portfolio may cause significant effects on the
functioning of the economy. These changes may promote or contradict the existing
monetary and fiscal policies. Therefore, there is greater need for close coordination
between these policies. Such an important mechanism of management of debt should
be governed by some principles.
The policies pursued must be able to extract from the public, without undue
coercion, the necessary loans to finance a deficit or to replace maturing securities,
and this should be done at the lowest feasible interest cost,
b)
The entire transactions should serve the economic objectives of stable growth.
c)
The debt should be so placed as to minimize the need to enter the market when
it is inconvenient or unpropitious to do so.
However, we should admit that there exist conflicts among these objectives.
It may be noted from the above first principle that debt management should be
capable of providing the required amount from the lending market. Also, loan amount
need to be procured at reasonable cost as interest payments have a bearing on
revenue account of the budgets. The first principle also requires a number of debt
instruments capable of tapping the loanable funds in the economy. It also implies the
freedom and maneuverability to offer the terms like maturities and interest rates. Of
course, this requires cooperation from the monetary authorities to create favorable
money conditions.
41
Public Debt
With regard to the second principle, debt management policy requires flexibility to
achieve stable economic growth. If the debt management policy, along with other
economic policies, fails to achieve the price stability, it amounts to detracting the first
principle also. The third principle stated above can best be served by lengthening
maturities like the British Consols which never mature. In such a case retiring and
refunding of debt takes place at the choice of the Treasury. The above mentioned
principles of public debt management may be discussed in more detail below.
Check Your Progress 2
1)
2)
42
The implications of the term structure of interest rates for debt management suggest
asking whether interest cost is minimized by selling those bonds which can be placed
at the lowest cost to maturity. Possibly the answer is no. Following Musgraves, for
example that the Treasury borrows for one year at 5 per cent and for 20 years at 7
per cent. It may not be advisable to take one-year issue because by year end the
opportunity to borrow at 7 per cent may be lost if the level of rates has risen. On the
other hand suppose the treasury can borrow for 20 years at 5 per cent and for one
year at 7 per cent. The former choice need not necessarily be preferable as the
rates may decline before the 20 years have passed. Here what is important is the
direction in which the Treasury expects the interest rates to change. If the Treasury
expects the rates to rise, the choice is long-term bonds and if the rates are expected
to decline, the choice would be short-term issues. What one has to observe here is
that once interest cost contracted for should have to be carried for the entire period
even though rates do fall. Similarly the benefits of a low rate would continue even if
the rates do rise. For example, if the Treasury borrows Rs. 1000 in the market in
which a 20 year bond, if selling at par, must carry a coupon rate of 6 per cent.
Suppose after one year the market yield on a 19 year bond falls to 5 per cent. As
a result, the price of the old bond will rise to Rs. 1,117, i.e., the present value of
Rs. 1000 due in 19 years plus 19 annual coupon payments of Rs. 65 as discounted
at 5 per cent. In such a case, if the Treasury were to retire the old bond and to
issue a new 19 year bond at 5 per cent, it would have to raise Rs. 1117 rather
than Rs. 1000 to replace the outstanding issue. This would leave its position unchanged
as the present values of the two cash flows i.e., Rs. 1000 in 19 years plus nineteen
annual payments of Rs. 65 or Rs. 1117 in 19 years plus 19 annual coupon payments
of Rs. 61.40 discounted at 5 per cent are the same and each is equal to Rs. 1117.
The same type of reasoning applies in a situation where interest rates rise and bond
prices fall. It follows that nothing would be lost by replacing the old bond with a new
one. It may also be noted that though the former could be retired at a lower price,
the latters coupon rate would have to be correspondingly higher. Musgraves further
opine that debt management is a fine art of which requires a shrewd appraisal of
market prospects for a considerable time ahead.
Management of Public
Debt
43
Public Debt
always suggests long term maturities. This is mainly because debt indexation
neutralizes effects of inflation on debt. In the absence of indexation, shorter maturities
are better as longer maturities tend to exacerbate expectations of high inflation.
Length of
Debt
Money
Demand
Interest
Rate
Fig. 15.1
Source: S.K. Singh, Public Finance in Theory and Practice
44
In the diagram demand for money is represented on the horizontal axis and length of
debt and interest rate is represented on the vertical axis. It may be observed from
the diagram that an increase in the length of debt from OD to OD' results in an
increase in the money demand from OM to OM'. As a result, the rates of interest
rise from r to r'. This is because of the fact that holding of debt instead of money
means purchasing liquidity. The investors will accept such a situation if they are
offered higher rates. But higher rates in turn may exert restrictive influence on private
investment which is welcome during a period of boom. But very long term debt too
would inject rigidity into the financial structure and may lack adequate liquidity in the
economy which may have adverse effects. If the economy is experiencing a fall in
employment, shortening the debt is the right policy. It all depends upon the immediate
objectives of the stabilization policy which largely decides the debt management
policy.
Management of Public
Debt
15.5.10
In order to overcome the inflationary effects of yield of bonds and securities especially
to protect the small investors, inflation profit bonds have been suggested. These
are also known as stable purchasing or constant power purchasing bonds. The
significance of these bonds is that the redemption value would vary according to the
cost of living index which protects the small investors against any loss of purchasing
power from inflation as well as depriving of a gain if prices should fall. Countries like
Austria, France, Finland and Israel besides U.S.A used this method either in private
or public lending operations. It was supported on the ground that it would defeat
inflation and provides an escalator clause to the small saver and investor. However,
this innovative method has been criticized on the ground that it would generate
pressure for adopting such an escalator clause in other sectors also.
45
Public Debt
Write four sentences about minimizing the interest costs as part of debt
management.
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2)
Explain about imposing an upper limit on the national Debt Size in five sentences.
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3)
15.6
46
1)
2)
Its composition.
With regard to regulation, in several countries including India, the Central government
controls and regulates the external borrowings. Not only the individuals, even the
sub central governments do not have access to the external borrowings directly. In
India only in recent years the regulations of external borrowing by the state
governments have been liberalized. Regarding the composition of foreign debt,
debt management would be easier as a larger proportion of foreign debt is institutional
and non-commercial. External debt can be repaid or serviced only through foreign
exchange earnings which is possible by increasing the export earnings. If foreign
borrowings are invested in such industries and activities which bring foreign exchange
so that the foreign loans can be repaid and serviced effectively. On the other hand
if the foreign loans are utilized for unproductive purposes repayment of the loans
become difficult. The size or aggregate level of foreign debt depends on the growth
rate of the economy and its export performance. It is necessary that the growth rate
of the economy should be faster than the rate of interest on long term borrowing to
keep the country solvent. Also it is necessary that the rate of growth of exports
exceed the rate of interest to avoid any liquidity crisis. In some countries the debt
service exports ratio limit is fixed for efficient debt management. For instance in
Philippines a 20 per cent limit is fixed since the balance of payments crisis in
1969- 70. In some countries statutory limits are imposed on the quantum of external
borrowing itself. Of course, its not the volume of debt alone that matters but the
efficient management of it is important.
15.7
Management of Public
Debt
FLOATING DEBT
Floating debt here means debts made by the government of temporary nature like
that of the Ways and Means Advances from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in
India. They may be in the form of special securities issued to Reserve Bank of
India. For example, the Central Government takes loans of temporary nature from
the Reserve Bank of India and issues special securities which are non-negotiable
and non-interest bearing (generally issued for not more than 12 months). This type
of floating debt aims at providing short-term debt to the government to bridge the
gap between revenue and expenditure. Such debt needs to be redeemed at the
specified dates/time of maturity. Many a time, the floating debt carries either nil or
less rate of interest if the debt is redeemed. When the government fails to redeem,
it may be converted as permanent debt and becomes a burden due to an increase in
the interest rate. So the floating debt should be repaid as per the maturity of the
loan. The Central Bank of the country generally stipulates the amount of floating
debt that can be undertaken by government. For example, the Reserve Bank of
India fixes limits on the amount of Ways and Means Advances (which is an important
component of floating debt) that the Central and State Governments borrow. Such
a measure will help in the effective debt management of the governments. For instance,
the limits of Ways and Means Advances (WMA) to the Central Government for the
fiscal year 2005-06 were retained at Rs.10000 crore during the first half of the year
(April-September) and Rs.6000 crore during the second half of the year (OctoberMarch). The interest rate on WMA has been the bank rate and that on overdraft at
2 per centage points above the bank rate.
15.8
REFUNDING OF DEBT
47
Public Debt
but adequate techniques are developed in recent time simplified the matters.
Refunding operations rather face a management problem that it is necessary to
estimate the yields precisely as demanded by the market.
15.9
2)
3)
4)
5)
6)
Repayment also saves the future generations from paying additional doses of
taxation
7)
After understanding various advantages from the repayment, let us now know about
the methods of repayment.
48
Repudiation means refusal to pay a debt. But this is not a common practice or
method of repayment. However, there are some countries which have resorted to
this practice such as the Soviet Government in 1917 which repudiated the debt
similarly some States in the USA before the civil war (1861-65) which repudiated
the debts owed to the English citizens. Under this method the government refuses to
repay the public debt and the liability for public debt is extinguished. In fact this
amounts to confiscation of the property of debt holders to the extent of their size of
debt. If the government adopts this method, it will be penalizing the wealthier and
relatively wealthier class compared to other categories of people. In other words, it
leads to inequity. In fact, other category of people, the non-bondholders, will be
benefited through a possible reduction in taxation, as the governments obligation to
pay interest will be reduced to the extent of repudiation. Moreover people invested
their savings in Government bonds would suffer and people having equal amount in
other forms of wealth would be benefited. The governments credit suffers and it
would be very difficult to loans in future when government repudiates its debt.
Management of Public
Debt
If the government repudiates an external debt, it may lead to problems like facing
economic sanctions by the creditor nation and even a war besides losing its credit at
the international level. Under normal circumstances, no rational government will be
resort to this method as it reflects the insolvency of the government. Generally
governments use this method following social or political revolution when they feel
that it is almost impossible to honor the debt obligations.
Conversion
Conversion is also considered as another method of debt redemption. Governments
occasionally use this method when they have an immediate obligation to pay the old
debts and when resources are not readily available. Under such circumstances the
government issues conversion loans or fresh bonds to the existing bondholders. In
fact, this is not exactly debt redemption and does not lead to any reduction in the
total debt obligation of the government. But if the government manages the fresh
loans at lower interest rates, servicing burden of public debt will decline. Government
generally try to convert their high cost loans with low rates of interest when the rate
of interest is falling. Such an arrangement will minimize the burden on the government
though there is no change in the debt stock of the government as such.
According to Hugh Dalton conversion method does not really reduce the debt burden
as reduction in interest rates reduces the ability of the bondholders to pay taxes
resulting in loss of government revenues thereby reducing the capacity of government
to redeem or repay the loans. A successful use of this method ensures efficient
management of public debt.
Here, it is necessary to note that the methods of refunding and conversion are often
used interchangeably . Refunding is the postponement of debt payment while
conversion is the change or rearrangement of interest rates and other terms of the
debt except the postponement of debt maturities. Often, both the methods can be
used in a combined way.
Sinking Fund
Sinking fund is a fund which aims at sinking the debt obligation. It facilitates for
regular retirement of public debt. It operates in such a way that the government
deposits a fixed amount of revenues into this fund every year aiming at the regular
retirement of public debt. Many economists believed that this is best method of debt
redemption. Under this method, the Fund accumulates over a period of time by
setting aside a small amount every year from the revenue budget which increase at
compound interest rate. So that it will be useful by the time the debts mature. Sinking
fund is accumulated from the beginning until the debt is matured. But now it is not a
49
Public Debt
very effective instrument as the stock of debt has exceeded number of times than the
real size of the sinking fund.
According to Hugh Dalton sinking fund should be financial and accumulated out of
current revenues of the government and should not be financed from borrowing
sources. If the sinking fund is financed with borrowing resources, it does loose its
purpose and cannot be called as sinking fund. In many countries sinking fund is not
accumulated from year to year over a period of time. Generally some amount of
resources from the revenue account is allocated from the current year budget
allocations which are used for repayment of debt in the same year. But the existence
of such fund with small annual accrual has become irrelevant in view of the
mountainous and fast growing debt obligation in India as well as in several other
countries in the world.
Theoretically, sinking fund is a good means for orderly retirement of public debt. But
this is a slow process of repayment of debt and there is every chance of diverting the
resources from the fund for other uses at the time of resource crunch. The sinking
fund was in practice as early as in 1934-35 when the government of India made a
provision of Rs.3 crores annually from the revenue budget for reduction or avoidance
of debt. Subsequently this amount was raised to Rs.5 crores from 1946-47 in view
of the growth of public debt due to the World War II. This arrangement in India at
the central Government continued until 1969-70 and discontinued from 1970-71
onwards.
Surplus Budget
It has been argued that a surplus budget on revenue account may be used to clear
off or reduce public debt gradually instead of creating a separate fund like the sinking
fund. Of course, the use of this method depends upon the state of the revenue
budget. In other words, this method is less certain than making a fixed amount every
year to the sinking fund which aims at reduction of debt. But in the modern times
surplus budget is a rare phenomenon due to the fast growth of revenue expenditure.
Moreover, surplus budget policy cannot be followed at all economic situations. In
other words, surplus budget cannot be followed when deflationary conditions prevail
in the economy and so this is the limitation of the present method.
Terminal Annuities
This is also considered as an important method wherein the government issues terminal
annuities maturing every year a part of the debt in the serial order announced or
decided by the government by a lottery system. Under this method the debt burden
is cleared besides a reduction in the interest. This is something like repaying the debt
amount in installments. Consequently, the burden of debt diminishes year to year
and the amount would be paid by the maturity time.
Capital Levy
50
Capital levy is a heavy levy imposed once for all on property, wealth or any of the
capital assets above a certain fixed value. Capital levy is generally imposed after
war to liquidate the unproductive war debts. According to R.N.Bhargava the
government may redeem its public debt by levying a heavy additional tax only once,
or at the most twice. This special heavy tax to repay public debt is generally called
a capital levy; asset is assessed on the value of capital held by the people. Sometimes
it is called a special levy, when the heavy tax is imposed on an index of ability other
than capital. After World War I in the UK it was proposed to impose a capital levy
to repay the heavy debt incurred while waging the war. The Labour Party in the
U.K. in election manifesto in October 1922 made a promise that Labour recognized
the urgent need of lifetime from the trade and industry of the country to receive the
country from the dead weight burden of the National debt. It, therefore, proposes
the creation of a war debt redemption fund by a special graduated levy on fortunes
exceeding 500 (Bhargava R.N.)
Management of Public
Debt
51
Public Debt
2)
3)
15.11
Consol
52
KEY WORDS
: A consol is an obligation of the Government
to pay a fixed amount of interest annually
without any maturity.
Deflation
Inflation
Maturity
Bond Holder
Debt Swapping
Management of Public
Debt
15.13
Public Debt
2)
2)
3)
2)
For regular and orderly retirement. Retiring the debt on maturity with resources
of revenue budget.
3)
To liquidate the war debt with a once for all heavy dose of tax.
15.14 EXERCISES
54
1)
2)
3)
4)
5)
6)
What is capital levy? Give justification for its imposition to liquidate the debt.
Notes
Unit 1
Unit 2
Unit 3
Unit 5
Unit 6
Block 3
Unit 7
Unit 8
Mechanism Design
Unit 9
Block 4
Economics of Taxation
Unit 10
Commodity Taxes
Unit 11
Direct Taxes
Unit 12
Block 5
Public Debt
Unit 13
Unit 14
Unit 15
Block 6
Fiscal Federalism
Unit 16
Unit 17
Unit 18
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