Professional Documents
Culture Documents
pg. 1
Contents
1.
Executive Summary............................................................................................. 1
2.
Introduction.......................................................................................................... 2
3.
4.
2.1.
Project Background........................................................................................ 2
2.2.
2.3.
2.4.
Project Location............................................................................................. 3
2.5.
2.6.
Bypasses/Realignments................................................................................. 4
2.7.
Market Analysis.................................................................................................... 5
3.1.
3.2.
Existing Facilities............................................................................................ 5
3.3.
3.3.1.
Projected Traffic....................................................................................... 6
3.3.2.
Trend Analysis.......................................................................................... 7
3.3.3.
Willingness to Pay.................................................................................... 9
3.3.4.
Tollable Traffic.......................................................................................... 9
Technical Analysis................................................................................................ 9
4.1.
4.1.1.
Road Inventory...................................................................................... 10
4.1.2.
4.1.3.
4.1.4.
4.1.5.
Roughness Survey................................................................................. 11
4.1.6.
Topographic Surveys.............................................................................. 12
4.2.
4.3.
Vertical Profile.............................................................................................. 13
4.4.
4.5.
DESIGN OVERLAY......................................................................................... 14
4.6.
SERVICE ROAD............................................................................................. 14
pg. 2
5.
6.
Financial Analysis............................................................................................... 14
5.1.
General........................................................................................................ 14
5.2.
Quantification.............................................................................................. 14
5.3.
5.4.
5.5.
Project Assumptions..................................................................................... 18
5.6.
Project Cost.................................................................................................. 19
Economic Analysis.............................................................................................. 20
6.1.
7.
6.1.1.
Construction Costs................................................................................. 20
6.1.2.
6.1.3.
6.1.4.
6.1.5.
Interest.................................................................................................. 23
6.1.6.
6.1.7.
6.2.
6.3.
Project Viability............................................................................................ 25
Ecological Analysis............................................................................................. 25
7.1.
ENVIRONMENTAL SCREENING......................................................................26
Impact on Climate................................................................................. 26
7.1.3.
7.1.4.
7.1.5.
7.1.6.
7.2.
8.
SOCIAL SCREENING...................................................................................... 27
7.2.1.
7.2.2.
7.2.3.
Categories of PAFs.................................................................................29
7.2.4.
Stakeholders Consultation....................................................................29
7.2.5.
Recommendations.............................................................................................. 31
pg. 3
8.1.
8.2.
Proposed Structures..................................................................................... 31
8.2.1.
8.3.
Proposed Facilities........................................................................................ 32
8.3.1.
8.3.2.
8.3.3.
Highway Lighting................................................................................... 33
8.3.4.
Safety Appurtenances........................................................................... 33
List of Tables
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
1: Construction Package.................................................................................... 6
2: Bypass Details............................................................................................... 6
3: Way side Amenities....................................................................................... 7
4: The traffic surveys conducted for this project includes:................................8
5: Classified Traffic Volume Count at two Locations...........................................8
6: Traffic Growth rate Estimates......................................................................10
7: Projected Growth rates of Vehicles in Haryana............................................10
8: Percentage of People Willing to pay for improved Facility...........................11
9: Tollable traffic in Homogenous Section........................................................11
10: Existing carriageway with schedule..........................................................12
11: VDF Values................................................................................................ 13
12: Required Pavement Composition for Service Road (mm)..........................16
13: Adopted Unit Rates................................................................................... 18
14: Construction Costs.................................................................................... 24
15: Economic Cost of Different Vehicles..........................................................25
16: Maintenance Labour and Crew Costs (Cost in Rs. per hour)......................26
17: Summary of Economic Analysis (Base Case).............................................28
18: Demographic Profile of the Project Area....................................................31
19: Distribution of Entitled PAFs......................................................................32
20: Resettlement Action Plan (RAP) Implementation Schedule.......................34
21: Recommendations on Cross Drainage Structures of the Project................35
22: Bus Bays and Bus Stops Locations............................................................36
pg. 4
1. Executive Summary
Ministry of Road Transport and Highways, Government of India has decided to take
up the development of various National Highways Corridors where the intensity of
traffic has increased significantly and there is requirement of augmentation of
capacity for safe and efficient movement of traffic.
This project is a part of the above mentioned programme and the project is
rehabilitation and up-gradation of the existing 2- lane National Highway71 to four
lanes configuration in the State of Haryana. The National Highways Authority of
India (NHAI) has been entrusted with implementation of the development of this
corridor from Ministrys Plan Funds.
The scope of this DPR includes:
few locations, which require modification. However, camber has worn out for most
of the lengths and requires correction for quick dispersal of surface water.
There are 6 numbers of major junctions along the project section of the project road
and 47 minor junctions. The approach roads are basically feeder roads connecting
to villages, agricultural fields and factories along the project road. Mostly these are
WBM roads. Rest of the intersections is of lower significance with local roads in
urban settlements, village roads and earthen roads.
The traffic surveys have been carried out along the corridor to establish base year
traffic as well as travel characteristics. The baseline traffic characteristics are very
important for the assessment of future traffic and travel pattern. Traffic surveys
were conducted during the month of July August 2010.
Existing pavement composition forms important information, in formulating the
rehabilitation designs. From the composition details, it can be seen that the asphalt
surface thickness varies from 35 mm to 300 mm. The existing Base layer thickness
varies from 100 mm to 370 mm. As sub base layer various combination of different
materials have been observed comprising of moorum, sand, old BT and WBM along
the project road length.
The paved carriageway configuration shall be 7.25m wide carriageway with 1.50m
shoulder on both side comprising 17.50m excluding earthen shoulders and median.
Median width shall be 4.50m in rural section and 1.5m in built-up section.
As per IRC 73 1980 recommended normal ROW for rural highways in open areas
shall be normally 45 m or within the range of 30-60m and in built-up areas ROW
should be normally 30m or in the range of 30 to 60m. However, keeping in view the
objective of NHDP, Policy of NHAI regarding the ROW, and expansion of the
proposed Dual 2-lane highway to Dual 3-lane configuration at a future date it is
recommended to have a 60 m ROW with the proposed dual two lane highway
concentrically placed. The Project Highway shall be widened to Four lane dual
configuration with or without Service Roads. Realignments and bypasses have been
proposed where it is not feasible to improve the existing alignment of 2-lane road to
the desired design standards. Service road has been proposed at urban area like
Narwana and Uchana town where dense commercial activities found along the
project road.
Social and Environment impact assessment has also been carried out. The project
cost is worked out according to the improvement proposal detailed under financial
analysis. Cost of civil works is calculated bill wise and other non civil items like R&R
cost, land acquisition cost, Utilities relocation cost, Environmental cost,
contingencies etc are added to arrive the total project cost.
Similarly economic analysis has also been carried out for the project.
pg. 6
2. Introduction
2.1.
Project Background
Ministry of Road Transport and Highways, Government of India has decided to take
up the development of various National Highways Corridors where the intensity of
traffic has increased significantly and there is requirement of augmentation of
capacity for safe and efficient movement of traffic.
This project is a part of the above mentioned programme and the project
awarded to Consultant for rehabilitation and up-gradation of the existing 2National Highway71 to four lanes configuration in the State of Haryana.
National Highways Authority of India (NHAI) has been entrusted
implementation of the development of this corridor from Ministrys Plan Funds.
2.2.
was
lane
The
with
2.3.
pg. 8
2.4.
Project Location
pg. 9
2.5.
2.6.
Bypasses/Realignments
There is one bypass in the project highway. All the bypasses as well as the
realignment shall be of four lane configuration with paved shoulder. The details of
stretches to be bypass are given in Table below
pg. 10
2.7.
There are 88 existing CD structures on the project road and 43 culverts along Jind
Bypass. There are four existing Minor Bridges, (6.0 m < Total Length < 60.0m) along
Existing road and one minor bridge along Jind Bypass.
The total number of structure on the site is as noted below:
(a) No. of Major Bridge Nil
(b) No. of Railway Over Bridge Nil
(c) No. of Flyover Nil
(d) No. of Minor Bridge 5 Nos.
(e) No. of Vehicular and Non Vehicular Underpasses Nil
(f) No. of Box Culverts Nil
(g) No. of Slab Culverts 26 (including 2 no in proposed Jind bypass)
(h) No. of Arch Culverts 1
(i) No. of Pipe Culverts 100 (including 41 no. in proposed Jind bypass)
(j) All of the minor bridges are to be reconstructed as they have been designed
for 40R
3. Market Analysis
Before the production actually starts, the entrepreneur needs to anticipate the
possible market for the product. He has to anticipate who will be the possible
customer for his product and where his product will be sold. This is because
production has no value for the producer unless it is sold. In fact, the potential of
the market constitutes the determinant of possible reward from entrepreneurial
career. Thus knowing the anticipated market for the product to be produced
becomes an important element in business plan. The commonly used methods to
estimate the demand for a product are as follows:
a) Opinion polling method - In this method, the opinion of the ultimate users. This
may be attempted with the help of either a complete survey of all customers or
by selecting a few consuming units out of the relevant population.
b) Life Cycle Segmentation Analysis - It is well established that like a man, every
product has its own life span. In practice, a product sells slowly in the beginning.
Barked by sales promotion strategies over period its sales pick up. In the due
course of time the peak sale is reached. After that point the sales begins to
decline. After sometime, the product loses its demand and dies. This is natural
death of a product. Thus, every product passes through its life cycle.
pg. 11
3.1.
The Project Corridor generally has a good geometry and has a design speed of 7080 Kmph. The corridor has few substandard curves with a low radius that are of
concern. The vertical gradients are gentle for majority of its length except at very
few locations, which require modification. However, camber has worn out for most
of the lengths and requires correction for quick dispersal of surface water.
3.2.
Existing Facilities
Various Way side Amenities have been observed at many places along the project
corridor. The list of bus stops is given in Table below
Table 3: Way side Amenities
3.3.
The traffic surveys have been carried out along the corridor to establish base year
traffic as well as travel characteristics. The baseline traffic characteristics are very
important for the assessment of future traffic and travel pattern. Traffic surveys
were conducted during the month of July August 2010. The survey locations were
finalised in consultation with NHAI.
The primary objectives of these traffic surveys are to determine the characteristics
of traffic movement on the project corridor, collect historical data on traffic growth,
assess the future traffic growth rate during the design life of the project, determine
the travel pattern as well as type and weight of commodity carried by trucks,
determine the spectrum of axle loads and vehicle damage factors for different types
of commercial vehicles, determine the turning movement pattern of traffic at road
intersections and determine traffic bottlenecks.
Table 4: The traffic surveys conducted for this project includes:
pg. 12
pg. 13
Traffic Growth:
The growth rates estimates were subjected to scenario analysis and the most likely
case was adopted for the purpose of the present study. The traffic growth estimates
scenario is based on the likely growth of the Indian economy and its relationship to
the growth in the state economy. Information presented in Table below reveals that
traffic growth is more than 7% in initial years of project.
Table 7: Projected Growth rates of Vehicles in Haryana
pg. 15
4. Technical Analysis
Technical analysis implies the adequacy of the proposed plant and equipment to
prescribed norms. It should be ensured whether the required know how is available
with the entrepreneur. The following inputs concerned in the project should also be
taken into consideration.
Availability
Availability
Availability
Availability
Availability
4.1.
of
of
of
of
of
Following are the various engineering surveys and investigations other than traffic
surveys.
pg. 17
pg. 18
4.2.
4 lanes Section: 7 m carriageway with 4.5 m median in rural area. The paved
shoulder width of 1.5m and earthen shoulder width of 2.0 m on both sides is
provided. Keeping these basic requirements various typical cross sections are
developed to meet the need of land use along the project road. The widening has
been finalized keeping in view the geometry, utilities, Transformers, pump houses,
temples and other important features, which are difficult to shift for the road
widening.
pg. 19
pg. 20
4.3.
Vertical Profile
4.4.
Using the design chart of IRC: 37-2001, the total pavement thickness requirements
for both the homogenous sections, for the design CBR value of 7% and respective
10 years design traffic, pavement composition is given below
pg. 22
The composition of pavement has been worked out on the basis of:
4.5.
DESIGN OVERLAY
From the BBD analysis strengthening of existing pavement is not required however,
in order to improve the riding quality of the existing surface after pre-treatment
40mm BC is proposed.
4.6.
SERVICE ROAD
Bituminous service road has been designed for 5 msa traffic and 8% sub-grade CBR.
Accordingly based on IRC guidelines, the composition will be as given
Table 12: Required Pavement Composition for Service Road (mm)
5. Financial Analysis
Finance is one of the most important prerequisites to establish an enterprise. It is
finance only that facilitates an entrepreneur to bring together the labour, machines
and raw materials to combine them to produce goods. In order to adjudge the
financial viability of the project, the following aspects need to be carefully
analysed : Cost of capital Means of finance Estimates of sales and production
Cost of production Working capital requirement and its financing Estimates of
working results Break-even point Projected cash flow Projected balance sheet.
The activity level of an enterprise expressed as capacity utilization needs to be well
spelled out. However the enterprise sometimes fails to achieve the targeted level of
capacity due to various business vicissitudes like unforeseen shortage of raw
material, unexpected disruption in power supply, instability to penetrate the market
mechanism etc.
5.1.
General
The cost estimation have been prepared for the project corridor, for widening of the
existing 2-lane road to 4 lane configuration including strengthening of the existing
pavement, bypasses, reconstruction/ widening of road section at Urban/Village area,
reconstruction/ widening of cross drainage structures, lined/unlined longitudinal
pg. 23
drains, road furniture, bus bays, project facilities etc. Over and above these
construction costs, provision has been made for social and environmental costs and
land acquisition costs for road widening, bypasses, and truck lay byes, bus bays, toll
plazas etc.
5.2.
Quantification
The main construction items covered in costs estimating are; site clearance, earth
work, base and sub-base works, pavement in carriageway/service road and
shoulders, bridges and culverts, ROBs, underpasses and miscellaneous items such
as side drains, road furniture, retaining walls, intersections, bus bays, truck lay
byes, toll plaza etc.
The quantification of the road items that are uniformly accruing is calculated as per
typical cross sections. The quantification of structures is based on actual quantities
worked from the general arrangement drawings (GAD) for each structure for
widening and reconstruction.
5.3.
The unit rates for construction items are adopted from Schedule of Rates of Haryana
PWD, edition 2009 for National Highways as discussed and agreed with NHAI. An
escalation of 5% is incorporated for the year 2010 and 2011. These rates are used
in the standard data book, published by MORT&H, and rates for the work items are
analysed.
For the purpose of rate analysis, the Input rates of plant, Machinery, labour and
materials have been determined as:
i)
ii)
iii)
The Hire Charges of Plant and machineries are as per Standard Data Book
base year on 2001-2002 and applying escalation of 49% (as per wholesale
Price Index issued by economic adviser).
The cost of materials has been taken as per prevailing market rates and
labour has been taken as per Common Schedule of Rates, Haryana HSR.
Aggregate and stones for the road construction are considered from
Khanak (Bhiwani) stone quarry with a lead of 60 kms to the plant site.
Abstract of unit rates adopted for major items are given in the Table below.
pg. 24
5.4.
Cost of civil works is calculated bill wise and other non-civil items like R&R cost, land
acquisition cost, Utilities relocation cost, Environmental cost, contingencies etc are
added to arrive the total project cost. The summary of Total Project Cost is
presented under table
pg. 25
pg. 26
5.5.
Project Assumptions
In addition the project cost includes interest during construction (IDC), professional
fees, documentation charges, lenders engineers and other expenses. The
assumptions of such items and other parameters that were considered for the
financial analysis of the project are given below:
pg. 27
5.6.
Project Cost
It is also assumed that the project concession period (25 years) includes the periods
for financial closure (6 months) and also construction (30 months). The project is
expected to commence on 2010 for this analysis. The project road, thus, is expected
to open to traffic on 1st April 2013 and is likely to have toll revenue-earnings.
pg. 28
6. Economic Analysis
Requirements for raw material Level of capacity utilization Anticipated
Anticipated expenses Proposed profits Estimated demand It is said
business should have always a volume of profit clearly in view which will
other economic variable like sales, purchase, expenses and alike. Cost
analysis
sales
that a
govern
benefit
6.1.
The Benefit Stream will comprise the cost saving in operation of vehicles and
maintenance of the road between Do-nothing and Project options. As the
economic analysis indicates the impact of the project on the economy, all the
financial costs and benefits of the project are adjusted to reflect the economic costs.
The economic cost is derived by removing taxes and duties from financial cost so as
to reflect the resource cost.
On the benefit stream also, the financial cost is converted into economic cost using
appropriate factors. The vehicle operation cost consists of, inter alia, cost of fuel,
vehicle depreciation, crew wages, tyres, repairs etc. that will have to be converted
to appropriate economic cost by excluding taxes and duties.
pg. 29
A construction period of 3 years (2011, 12 and 13) has been envisaged with a
phasing of 30%, 30% and 40% respectively.
pg. 30
Based on the prevailing rates for routine maintenance cost for the analysis with
base year 2004 is taken as:
` 2,00,000 per km per year- for existing double lane bituminous road, for DoNothing case;
` 1,50,000 per km per year-for proposed 6-lane rehabilitated bituminous road,
for With Project case; and
General Assumptions
The following values have been considered while preparing the input data:
3 years (2012 to 2030) with cost phasing of 25% in 1 st and 35% in 2nd year
and 40% in 3 year.
rd
Based on the market survey and inquiries from the various organisations in Punjab,
the maintenance labour cost/hr and wages/hour has been evaluated. The crew
salary for LCV (Driver and Conductor), Heavy Trucks (Driver and cleaner) and
Passenger Bus (Driver and Conductor) are found to be around `10000/-, Rs. 12000/and Rs. 17000/- per month respectively based on 300 hours of working per month.
Keeping this in view the cost Rs./hr. has been calculated for the different categories
of crew. Rates have been compared with that adopted for the recent studies before
arriving at reasonable values. Adopted values are given below:
Table 16: Maintenance Labour and Crew Costs (Cost in Rs. per hour)
and trunk routes in the Study for Updating Road User Cost Data, 1992. Passenger
time-delay cost for the project road has been derived from the same corresponding
to leisure trips @ 25% of the value of non-leisure trips (recommended by RUCS,
1992) as given below:
6.1.5. Interest
An economic interest rate of 11% has been adopted based on opportunity cost of
capital.
pg. 33
6.2.
An individual economic analysis for the two scenarios has been performed .
Sensitivity Analysis
Two critical factors could affect the viability of the project and these are the Capital
Cost and traffic level. The capital cost can increase or the expected traffic growth
could not materialise or both factors could occur simultaneously sensitivity check
using the following parameters has been carried out:
Cost benefit streams for each link and combined for individual NH Sections are
calculated. Decrease in MT time costs reported in these tables represents the cargo/
pg. 34
freight time costs. The EIRR and NPV (at 12%) for each link and section along with
sensitivity analysis have been presented as follows:
Table 17: Summary of Economic Analysis (Base Case)
The project road is found to be economically viable with EIRR more than the
resource cost of capital @ 12% for Base case and sensitivity 1 for 4 Laning only and
is Viable for all the scenarios of 4 Laning with Bypass.
6.3. Project Viability
Financial Internal Rate of Return (FIRR) has been worked out based on Discounted
Net Cash Flow technique by comparing both cost stream and revenue stream. FIRR
(%) has been worked out for with 25 years of concession period and the results are
given below:
From the above table it can be interpreted that the project is viable for the
concession period of 25 Years with 40% VGF OR for a concession period of 30 years
with 35% VGF. However the project is not viable in 20 years concession period with
maximum possible 40% grant.
7. Ecological Analysis
In recent years, environmental concerns have assumed great deal of significance.
Ecological analysis should also be done particularly for major projects which have
significant implication like power plant and irrigation schemes, and environmental
pollution industries like bulk-drugs, chemical and leather processing. The key factors
considered for ecological analysis are : Environmental damage Restoration
measure
7.1.
ENVIRONMENTAL SCREENING
The following are the main findings of the environmental screening survey and has
been detailed out in this report.
mathematical modelling that both day time and night time equivalent noise levels
are within the permissible limits right from start of project life.
Noise sensitive receptors have been identified along the project road. The noise
sensitive receptors include school, hospitals, colleges, etc. The predicted levels
indicate that the noise levels in future years will not exceed permissible limits right
from start of project life. Hence there is no need to protect these noise sensitive
receptors.
7.2.
SOCIAL SCREENING
The available right of way according to the PWD records is 20-30m. Using available
records with the PWD, boundaries of legal right of way as well as boundaries of
pg. 37
private properties within ROW has been verified. The limit of displacement will be
limited not to the legal right of way but to the corridor of impact. The corridor of
impact is the corridor required for the actual construction of the road, including
carriageway, shoulders, embankments and longitudinal drainage. Within this
corridor there should be no structures or hindrances.
pg. 38
pg. 39
As per LA Plan, about 199 ha land is to be acquired. Out of 199 ha of land, 11.6 ha is
Govt land and remaining 187.4 ha is private land. The total preliminary cost for
agricultural land is about Rs. 109.45 crores (@55 lakhs/ha). The approximate cost of
acquisition of properties will be 3.56 crore. Total cost of LA and R&R work out to be
139.35 crore. The costs have been determined based on information obtained
from revenue department for agricultural, built-up area and Barren land. Likewise
structures are also classified in pucca, semi-pucca and Katcha structure and cost
determined accordingly. Acquisition of government land, forest land will be done by
resumption of these lands from State Government and respective Departments.
Table 20: Resettlement Action Plan (RAP) Implementation Schedule
8. Recommendations
8.1.
Proposed Improvement for Junctions / Intersections (At
Grade)
Following aspects shall be considered for design of at-grade junctions:
pg. 41
a) Adequately designed junctions with channelization, all right turn and left turn
(acceleration and deceleration) lanes (auxiliary) at all intersections for safe and
smooth movement of traffic.
b) Auxiliary acceleration and deceleration lanes for left turning traffic at entrances
to major roadside facilities such as Wayside Amenities, Service Area and traffic
merging/diverging locations
8.2.
Proposed Structures
8.3.
Proposed Facilities
pg. 43
pg. 44