Professional Documents
Culture Documents
By
YONAS FANTAYE
January 2006
Alemaya University
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diploma, or certificate.
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BIOGRAPHICAL SKECTH
The author was born in October 1979 in Addis Ababa. He attended elementary school at Gergi
elementary and junior school in Addis Ababa. He completed his senior secondary education at
Bole senior and secondary school in Addis Ababa. He joined the Alemaya University of
Agriculture in 1997 and graduated with B.Sc. degree in Agricultural Extension in 2000. He then
joined the school of graduate studies at Alemaya University in 2001 and has studied for M.Sc.
degree in Agricultural and Food Marketing.
1.1.1
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
I am deeply indebted to my major advisor, Dr. Dawit Alamu, the Division of Socio-economics at
Melkasa Agricultural Research Centre, and my ex-major advisor, Professor V.P.S Arora, the
Department Agricultural Economics, Alemaya University for their timely and constructive
advise in the thesis and proposal writing up.
Moreover, I would like to thank Alemaya University for granting me financial support to
undertake my thesis research work as well as to the Addis Ababa abattoirs, for giving me the
required information.
Finally, I would like to carry my deepest gratitude to all of my families for covering all the
required costs of the M.Sc. program including tuition fee, research fund, computer and other
facilities. I sincerely appreciate all my friends who assisted me during data collection period so
that I was able to develop the thesis.
AM=Anti Meridian
CSA= Central Statistical Authotity
DDP=Desirable Dietary Pattern
Ec=Ethiopian calendar
FAO=Food and Agriculture Organization
GDP=Gross Domestic Product
Hh=household
ILRI= International Livestock Research Institutes
Kg=kilogram
NGOS=Non governmental organizations
Pm=post meridian
Table of Content
Page
2. REVIEW OF LITERATURE.........................................6
2.1 Theoretical Background...................................................................6
2.1.1. The Concept of Meat Demand.6
2.1.2. Factors Related to Meat Consumption.....................................6
2.2. Review of Empirical Evidence .....................................................7
2.2.1. Related Studies in Africa..7
2.2.2. Related Studies in the Rest of the World ................................9
Tables
Page
15
23
25
26
27
28
29
30
10
35
37
A study on Demand for beef was conducted to examine food ways for beef, to identify factors
influencing the demand for meat and to forcast demand for beef in Addis Ababa. Consumption
habit of the people of Addis Ababa is various. The habit of variation is on cut and kind of meat
eating preference. Eating preferences of cut of beef (shint or sirloin comprised a larger
percentage, followed by Tanash (Hind quarter), and Talak (top round), respectively). The
majority of Addis Ababians prefer raw beef, Steaks and Fried come next. The other variation
among households was observed in terms of the kind of meat preferred. About 62% opf
respondents ranked beef as their first preference as compared to other kind of meat. The quality
indicators for beef considered are color and fatness, with 55.3% and 22.8% responses,
respectively. Another variation on beef consumption pattern is due to communalism and
11
Religious motivation. About 56% of the households utilized sharing the body part of the animals
(kircha) as a means of acquiring beef. On the other hand, religious affiliation also creates
variation on demand for beef, as there are days and periods of fasting time when livestock and
livestock products are not consumed.
A double- log functional form of regression model was fitted to the data so as to readily interpret
the coefficients as elasticity since, the value of R2 is higher than the linear regression model. The
analysis of demand beef reveals that income, own price, and price of sheep are important
determinants of household beef consumption patterns in Addis Ababa. While, price of chicken
and family size were not found to influence the demand for beef Projected demand for beef using
growth rate of population and real per capital income reveal that 5.10 million kg beef would be
consumed by the year 2009.
12
1. INTRODUCTION
1.1. Background and Justification
Ethiopia has the largest livestock population in Africa and has the highest
draught animal population in the continent (EARO, 2000; Zerbini and Alemu,
1996). According to FAO, there are approximately 35 million Cattle, 39
million Sheep, and Goats, 8.6 million Equine, 1 million Camels, and 55.4
million Chickens in the country (FAO, 1999). Mengesha (1998) states that
livestock production is a major contributor to economic growth. it provides
increased income, employment, food and foreign exchange earning, as well as
better nutrition.
13
Soedjana (1998) showed that the formulated desirable dietary pattern (DDP)
with 20% animal products may not always be applicable to every country and
that adjustment therein according to geographic condition, genetic, social,
economic, cultural, and lifestyle of the people is considered important. Beef is
not only of good nutrition value; it is very much liked by Ethiopians. However,
changes in the beef form to improve its competitive position have been slow
and relatively unsuccessful. Price sensitive, health conscious and frequent beef
consumers were willing to pay a lower premium for such a product than other
consumers. Socioeconomic characteristics of consumers were important
indicators of the premium they were willing to pay for a fresh beef product
(Dumler, 2000).
The country has been able to supply most of its meat demand presently.
However, the ability of the nation to meet demand in future is uncertain. The
demand for products from animal origin in general and for beef in particular is
rising very fast in view of growing population and growing economic status.
Further, with in the meat industry, there is a need for long-term forecasts of
demand for beef for planning purposes.
14
Government policy of most countries in the world gives high priority to food
and nutrition programs for the society by way of establishing food security and
diversification in food consumption concepts to provide enough food with
affordable price to the society. But, except on a few state and private
commercial beef farms, production of meat has been carried out for
subsistence rather than as a commercial activity. Along with this, there is
attribution of increased population growth, urbanization and income in the
major urban centers of the country.
The production of meat has fallen drastically; this is probably the most
proximate factor that explains the fall in per capita production of livestock in
Ethiopia. Because of decreased per capita production, the real retail price of
meat may have increased. The prices varied also according to the health and
weight of the animals ranging from birr 1 to 2.82 per kg. And weight loss due
to trekking to Addis Ababa was high, by 69%, during the dry season compared
to the rainy season (CSA, 1999).
15
According to FAO annual trade yearbook (1999), between 1974 and 1998,
human population increased by 78% while cattle, sheep and goat population
have increased by 31 and -5.6%, respectively. As income increases with
economic development, the share of animal products (like, beef) in the total
food budget increases faster than that of cereals. This occurs because of the
relatively high-income elasticity of demand for animals products (Mengesha,
1998). Therefore, increased population coupled with increased urbanization
and higher income will increase demand for meat. This situation calls for the
management of demand for beef besides supply management thereof. Demand
management requires the analysis of beef consumption pattern as well as
demand influencers.
The general purpose of this study was to examine the demand for beef in Addis
Ababa. The specific objectives were:
16
Due to time and resource constraints, the researcher could not conduct
comprehensive survey of household consumption and market survey in all the
zones of the city. The study had to be restricted to only manageable samples.
Moreover, the scope of this study is confine to beef and its major demand
determinants and not of all animal products.
17
2. REVIEW OF LITERATURE
2.1. Theoretical Background
2.1.1. The Concept of Meat Demand
The theory of demand states that demand is the functional relationship between
prices and quantities of a product that buyers will purchase in a specified
market, ceteris paribus. When consumers are willing to buy a larger quantity at
the same price, or are willing to buy the same quantity, as before at a higher
price, it could be said that there has been a real increase in demand. On the
other hand, if consumers take the same quantity of goods only if the price is
reduced, or take smaller quantity if the price remains the same, demand may be
said to have decreased. Thus, demand refers to a quantity removed from a
market in response to a variety of condition that includes: the price of the
commodity, the consumers' income, prices' of the substitutes, family size,
preferences, age, etc (Lesser, 1993).
Many factors are related to the quantity of meat consumed and to the amount
of money spent on meat. These differences are largely reflections of more
basic factors, of which the more important are price of product, level of family
income, and prices of competing products. Other factors are type of
occupation, religious beliefs, personal tastes and preferences and the like.
18
The size and composition of the individual family also influence the family's
demand for meat. Total household consumption of food increases with increase
in the number of persons in the household but that consumption per person
declines as household size increases. Children use less meat and fats than
adults. Thus, the actual composition of the family contributes to the total
demand.
Economists have devised empirical means of estimating the short- and longrun demands for meat. This is done by using alternate approaches: one is based
on replicated family expenditure records across a wide area with different
prices, tastes, and incomes. According to the arguments, these data provide a
view of long- term consumption adjustments. And in the other approach data
are taken from price, consumption and income records for these factors over a
period of weeks, months, or years.
19
long- term effects of these factors on beef consumption habits, policy makers
are more worried about the appropriate period necessary for households to
make complete adjustments in consumption since this information is vital for
planning production. The results of this study show that although growth in per
capita beef consumption appeared moderate, the trend in demand seemed to be
dictated by income and price changes. The same study reported that, beef is
classified as a normal good with substantial substitutes between beef, pork and
fish.
20
Nieuwoudt (1998) presents the demand for protein feed in South Africa.
Protein feed consumption is projected for future years (2010, & 2020), derived
from the projected consumption of animal products (beef poultry meat, pig
meat, eggs, milk, dried milk &cheese). Results show significant increases in
the demand for protein feed.
Armstrong,s (1988) study, on Indiana,s cattle, beef buying, selling and pricing,
concentrated on demand factors. He mentioned income, population growth,
and taste and preferences determine meat consumption. For example, in U.S.
real income increment and growth in population number increased both percapita and total meat consumption
Discrepancies on Mexicos demand increment recorded in Peel,s study (2001).
The study recorded government officials, analysts, and the countrys livestock
industrialists reflection. These groups of people agreed beef demand is on its
increase while official data sources revealed the opposite. According to the
aggregate consumer surveys, income and meat consumption is growing. The
overall beef consumption per capita is 15.3 kilograms. This fact reveals
consumption is less compared to what the government officials put. Rather the
data reconciles with consumer surveys on expenditures and meat consumption.
Freeman (1997) conducted a study of ASEAN livestock and feed markets, and
reported that the significant income growth in the ASEAN region has led to an
increase in meat consumption. The region has been able to supply most of its
meat product demand as well as the majority of associated feed inputs. Against
21
this background, the paper discusses ASEAN meat consumption trends, meat
production and trade; feed markets, government policies impacting on the
livestock and feed sectors, and external and internal pressures for policy
change.
Maradols, et al., (2002) studied the demand for beef in Indonesia and its
implications for Australian Agribusiness. The results suggest that the focus of
the Indonesian government on strengthening the domestic poultry industry is
well placed, as the demand for chicken is likely to respond more quickly to
income growth than the demand for beef. Further, consumers seem more likely
to adapt their consumption patterns to chicken price changes than they will for
beef price changes. However, these differences are relatively minor and there
is still a major opportunity for Australian agribusiness firms in the cattle and
beef sectors to take advantage of the projected rapid growth in Indonesian beef
demand.
22
product and domestic supply (sheep meat). Specifically, the beef producer
price in Turkey is derived using a price transmission equation that depends on
the world price for beef. The domestic producer price of sheep meat is
determined by the quantity of sheep meat supplied and the beef price.
The analysis of the status and forecast for development of the meat market by
Tyurina and Dem' Yanou (2000) for 1999 indicate a continuing decline in
Russia's livestock sector following fodder and feed grain shortfalls, reduction
in stock number, and serious economic problems in the pedigree breeding
sector. Meat production was reported to have dropped twofold in the preceding
8 years as a result of low profitability and high import competition, while
consumer demand had declined because of falling incomes. The first quarter of
2000 saw a reduction in meat prices, influenced by lower seasonal demand,
23
Peel (2002) presents the major factors Affecting the Mexican beef and cattle
Industry. Apparent economic and income growth is resulting in increased beef
demand in Mexico and changes in beef consumption preferences. Beef demand
growth is the major driver of a sweeping set of changes affecting domestic
Mexican cattle and beef production and international trade patterns.
Faminow (1997) described the spatial economics of local demand for cattle
products in Amazon development. He concluded that the rapid growth in the
urban population and overall urban purchasing power in the region created a
huge local demand deficit for cattle products such as beef and milk, thereby
stimulating investment in cattle.
24
Many studies have shown that, the result of structural change in consumption
patterns and develop an empirical model of meat demand and try to determine
whether events have impacted demand. Finally, the results presented above
give us a highlight and the need for additional data and analysis on Ethiopia
especially the capital city beef demand
25
3. METHODOLOGY
3.1. Data Requirement and Method of Data Collection
The study was conduct in Addis Ababa, the capital city. Both primary and
secondary sources of data were used in the study. Due to the nature of the
required data, multistage sampling method was used to collect the primary
data. Three zones out of the 6 zones in the city were selected randomly. From
each of the selected zones 2 woredas were randomly sampled. Again, from
each of the selected woredas, 2 Kebeles were chosen randomly. Finally,
households were selected using systematic random sampling however, due to
the unwillingness of most of the selected households, the researcher was forced
to interview those willing placed next to the selected household. This may bias
the selection.
The data was then collected using questionnaire (with open and close-ended
questions). In addition, secondary data were collected from CSA, ILRI, and
other concerned institutions to supplement the primary data.
The consumption pattern of sample households for beef was examined using
descriptive statistics. The double log multiple regression function was used to
identify factors affecting the demand. The double log demand function is
presented as follows:
26
Variable
Measure
Family size
No of family +
members
Birr /year
Sign
Rationale
Birr /kg
Birr/kg
Price of beef
Birr/kg
27
The function was estimated by using the Ordinary Least Squares Method. The forecast
was done for the year 2009. Using this forecasting technique, consumers were asked
directly about their buying intentions with regard to beef. Their answers were pooled to
arrive at a forecast. Typically, surveys of intentions to purchase consumers' goods are
used as general indicators of the direction of demand. The method described by
Holtzman (1988) was used to make projections i.e., Dbc=pop+ (Ei * Yi), where Dbc,
pop and Yi are percent changes in beef consumption, population and real per capita
income, respectively, and Ei is income elasticity of demand for beef.
28
The beef marketing system can be broadly divided into formal and
informal. The formal one is dominated by the kera abattoir. The abattoir
cater services such as a medical check up for the animals to be slaughtering,
and distributing meat to the butcheries, supermarkets and other institutions
that supply meat to consumers in different forms and quantity. The informal
meat marketing system involves cattle directly sold to individuals or group
of individuals i.e., for purpose of kircha and for slaughtering at home.
The kera abattoir is the main branch in the city and it has a branch around
Akaki area. There are also other licensed abattoirs in the city, which cover
peripheral areas of the city such as, Burayu, Gurdsholla, kara, kolfe, and
semen-mazegaja. The reason for giving license to these areas is due to a
long-distance from the main abattoir in the city.
29
There were 979 butcheries in the city that take from kera abattoir in October
2002 that directly sell to consumers. Among these 116 butcheries are
Muslim and the rest 863 butcheries are for Christian. The number of
butcheries is still increasing from time to time. For instance, there were: on
average, 800 butcheries in 1997/98 and 824 in 1998/99, 836 in 1999/00, 887
in 2000/01, and 921 butcheries in the year 2001/02.
The distribution method of beef meat from the kera Abattoir is using
specially modified lorries. The slaughtering and distribution service of the
Abattoir are made not only to butcheries but also to educational institutes,
hospitals, to individuals who have a ceremony like wedding, Teskar, or
holiday.
30
The biggest problem that was facing kera stockyard is the lack of follow up
by heath officers in the city. This situation has lead to the death of cattle in
the stockyard and the problem become serious if the disease is
transmittable. The other problem observed was illegal slaughter of animals
locally or at home mainly to avoid service charges required (70 birr / ox
and 10 birr / goat or sheep).
4.2.4.
Butcheries usually consider prices and qualities of beef in the city when
they buy cattle from kera stockyard as well as, from any market that
satisfies their customers. The criteria used for choosing the animals include:
build, shape, out line or contour of the animals, and different primary parts
related to the quoted prices.
The prices of live animals depend on supply and demand, which is heavily
influenced by the season of the year and the occurrence of religious and
cultural festivals. There is a variation of price with in the year and among
the years and also depending on the origins of the animals. For example,
31
Hararge cattle are most preferable and are widely available between
September and lent (i.e., Hudade fasting times).
32
The average age of the sampled household heads was about 52 years with
average family size of 5.56 members. A household often consists of the
head, the spouse, their children and some other persons residing in the
household. A person is considered to be a member of a household if he has
the same cooking arrangement with the other members (CSA, 1994). On
average, there were 2.35 adult males, 2.46 adult females and 0.76 children
per household (Table 2).
33
The average monthly income per household is 971.14 birr. However, there
is high variation as the standard deviation is about 824.57. The income
estimation is done considering the earnings of all household members.
Furthermore, the data bases were stratified into three groups on the basis of
the households total annual expenditure capacity. This is because income
or expenditures elasticity shows variation in different income groups.
Accordingly, 41 households with annual income <4200 Birr were
categorized as low-income earners. The other 83 households with annual
income between 4200 and 9000 birr were grouped as medium income
groups. The remaining 76 households (with annual income 9000 Birr)
constituted the high-income earner group. According to the household
income, consumption and expenditure survey by CSA (1999-2000), were
the basis for the income categorization.
34
Socioeconomic
characteristics
Educational
status
Occupational
status
Religion
Category
No
Illiterate
Elementary
Secondary
University
Employee of
private
enterprise
NGO employee
Business
person
Civil servant
Pensioned
Others
Orthodox
Muslim
Others(Catholic
& Protestant)
3
41
97
59
37
19
88
14
6
165
26
9
51.65
5.56
2.35
2.46
0.76
Standard
deviation
10.06
1.96
1.14
1.37
0.82
971.14
824.57
Average
Age
Household size
Adult males
Adult females
Children
Household
monthly
income (birr)
36
35
36
Form of Usual
consumption by households
Households
Type of cuts
Usual
Form
Consumption
of
Total
Percentage
Raw
Fried
Steaks
17
19
12
48
24
13
15
7.5
Shint (sirloin)
32
17
11
60
30
16
13
37
18.5
12
10
22
11
10
Total
77
58
65
200
100
Percentage
38.5
29
32.5
100
According to the data in the table above, Addis Ababians prefer Tanash.
Most of them, 38.5 percent, of the household prefer raw beef. Next to raw
meat 32.5 percent and 29 percent of the sample households prefer Steaks
and Fried beef, respectively..
Meat preferences and meat used by the sample households in the city also
varies among the kind of meat. Table 4 presents the type of meat used and
their preferences at first rank by the sample households.
37
In the table below, all the sample households consume beef and chicken.
Where as, only 3 households consume goat meat and from these families,
their preferences at the first rank were only one household as a percentage
of 0.5 percent of the total sampled. 197 households consumed sheep meat,
among this number of households; only 9 percent are ranked at first
position. On the other hand, beef was preferred by 61.5 percent followed by
chicken meat as a percentage of 29 percent of the households put at a first
position.
of
households used
the
types
of
meats
No.
of
% of households
households with
with
first
first preference
preference
Beef
200
123
61.5
Sheep
197
18
Chicken
200
58
29
Goat
0.5
In the city, beef seem easily available and affordable for all income groups.
This is because at least three times a year even the lowest income group
households can buy a kilogram or half a kilogram of beef from butcheries.
Taking this into consideration, households that rank first quality attribute
such as color and fattiness followed by body part (Table 5).
38
No.
Of
households
%age
households
Tenderness
10
8.1
Flavor
4.9
Color
68
55.3
Fattiness
28
22.8
11
8.9
Total
123
100
39
of
Tenderness
10
23
14
60
30
48
18
37
22
10
15
10
10
20
99
34
21
200
Shint (sirlion)
Firmba
and
Gibita
(Briskel)
Worch (fore quarter)
Tuncha
and
Nebro
(shank)
Godin tedabit (chunk
roast)
Bete saligene (chunk
steak)
Total no of households 25
of the beef
40
preference
Income category
Total
(rank)
Low
Medium
High
1st
11.5 (23)
28.5 (57)
21.5 (43)
61.5 (123)
2nd
6 (12)
5 (10)
11 (22)
22 (44)
3rd
3 (6)
8 (16)
5.5 (11)
16.5 (33)
Total
20.5 (41)
41.5 (83)
38 (76)
100 (200)
X2 test
8.24*
* Significant at 10%
41
Income category
Total
visits to butcheries
Once in a month
0.5 (1)
19.5 (39)
30.5 (61)
50.5 (101)
6 (12)
12.5 (25)
18.5 (37)
4.5 (9)
0.5 (1)
5 (10)
Twice a week
1 (2)
6.5 (13)
7.5 (15)
5.5 (11)
8 (16)
1(2)
14.5 (29)
4 (8)
4 (8)
Total
20.5 (41)
41.5 (83)
38 (76)
100 (200)
42
X2 test
173.03*
In addition to butcheries, people usually get beef from the so-called Kircha
(local name for buying live animal and sharing meat after slaughtering
animal) especially on holidays and festivals. All low-income groups did not
use kircha, whereas, medium income groups share on average 9.4 kg and
high income groups share about 14.84 kg beef per year from Kircha.
5.2.5 The Role of Religion in the Consumption Pattern of Beef
The average consumption of beef from both sources (butchery and Kircha)
per household is estimated to be 22.53 kg per year. However, there was
significant statistical difference (F-value =134.88 and = 0.01) on the level
of beef consumption among income groups. High-income groups consume
41.35 kg, medium groups consume 14.77 kg, and low-income groups
consume 3.33 kg beef per year.
43
Factors that are hypothesized to determine the demand for beef are
presented below.
Family size: Family size is hypothesized to influence the demand for beef
positively. This is because as the number of household members increases
the demand for beef also increases.
Price of sheep and chicken meat: As price for sheep and chicken meat
increases the demand for them decreases resulting in the increased demand
for beef.
44
Many factors shape and/or related to the quantity of meat in several as well
as, beef in particular and also to the amount of money spent for beef in the
capital city (in Addis Ababa). These differences are largely reflections of
more basic factors, of which the more important are price of beef product,
level of family income, price of competing products, and family size of the
households. Other factors or things were assumed to be random in this part
of analysis. Since, our primary concern is with factors that affect the
quantity consumed per person; emphasis was placed on the above
mentioned only.
To test the significance of the overall multiple regression, the F-test statistic
was used. The F ratio is a ratio of mean squares. The analysis of variance
(ANOVA) procedures must be applied to this particular multiple regression
45
The estimated income elasticity is positive which implies that demand for
beef can be expected to increase as income increases. The estimated
expenditure elasticity was also less than unity i.e., income inelastic goods as
well as, it is highly significant. For example, the estimated value is (.800)
suggests that if total expenditure on beef increases by ten percent then the
quantity demanded for beef will increase by 8.00 percent, all other things
equal.
The cross price elasticities estimated in this study suggests that sheep &
chicken price are positive and negative respectively. While, price elasticity
of chicken is insignificant in the sample case and therefore sheep is the only
substitute for beef significantly.
46
Results obtained from the study of Demand for Beef in Indonesia (Maradols
& et.al, 2002) indicated, that estimating price elasticities, particularly crossprice elasticities, is more difficult than income or expenditure elasticities,
partly because of correlated prices & partly because of the level of
aggregation. Thus, this problem is typically compounded with crosssectional data where price variation is generally small, & when some budget
shares are small in Addis Ababa.
Estimated Coefficients
t-value
Constant
-9.130*
-11.333
Ln(f-size)
.007
.203
Ln (Income)
.008*
14.185
Ln (Pr-Sheep)
.220*
4.127
Ln (Pr-chick)
-.028
-.708
Ln (Pr-beef)
-.125*
-3.138
Adjusted R-square
.831
Model test F
193.921*
Durbin-Watson statistic
2.140
47
Households demand for beef in Addis Ababa is projected for the year 2009
using base year 2005 consumption figures. Growth in population and per
capita income and income elasticities are used to make projections
following the method described by Holtzman (1988) as follows: Dbc= Pop
+ (Ei * Yi), where Dbc, Pop and Yi are percent changes in beef
consumption, population and real per capita income, respectively, and Ei is
income elasticity of demand for beef. Population and real per capita income
are assumed to grow at rates of 5.5 % in Addis Ababa (CSA, 1996) and 0.9
% (CSA 1999/2000), respectively.
Households
Consumption
(million)
(million)
(million Kg)
2005
4.00
0.72
3.83
2006
4.22
0.76
4.35
2007
4.45
0.80
4.57
2008
4.69
0.84
Year
4.81
2009
4.95
0.89
5.10
Source: Author s calculation based on CSA 1996 population data in Addis Ababa.
48
Butcheries usually consider price and quality of beef in the city when they
buy live animals. In addition price depends on supply and demand, which is
49
heavily influenced by the season of the year and the occurrence of religion
and cultural festivals. So, there are price differences in the city woredas or
kebele butchery. The average purchase price of beef reported by the sample
households was 16.50 birr/kg along with average distance households walk
about 623.5 meters to butchery. There were significant differences in the
level of beef consumption among income groups. Households in every
groups of income wanted to consume chicken, Sheep, and goat meat as
supplementary or together with beef at the time of holiday, occasion, and
any other ceremonies.
Double log functional form of the demand model was fitted to the data so as
to readily interpret the coefficients as elasticity. The demand analyses of
beef reveal that income, own price, and price of sheep are important
determinants of household beef consumption patterns in Addis Ababa.
While price of chicken and family were not found to influence the demand
for beef, the relatively richer section of the population was found to
consume more beef product than the less favored section of the population.
Projected demand for beef using growth rate of population and real per
capita income reveal that 5.10 million Kg would be consumed by the year
2009. Therefore, attempts to adjust prices to the normal would be necessary
to permit households achieve the desired optimal level. And, if this demand
level has to be met, the livestock development objective to increase the state
as well as national production of beef must be addressed more seriously.
This could happen through provision of the necessary credit facilities and
incentives in the production process. In addition a well organized research
activity should be undertaken to provide farmers the necessary information
50
on the methods of production and management of the cattle, in line with the
presence of the number of qualified human resources should increase so as
to tide care of the animal health, nutrition and feeding system.
Thus, the overall findings of this study shows that the existences of greater
beef demand by all dwellers in the city. Private investment in the beef
industry is expected to play a substantial role in satisfying the demand. In
addition, policies on marketing of beef cattle from countryside to the city
could be followed by facilitating infrastructure including roads and
transportation so that, it will advocate both farmers and private investors to
stay in the sector.
51
7. REFERENCE
52
53
54
Tyurina, E.B., Dem' yanov, N.S., 2000. An Analysis of the State and
Forecast for Development of the Meat Market in 1999-2000 in Russia:
CABI, P.43-46.
Waren, N., 1999. Consumer Requirements. In: Is there a future for Swedish
beef production? Conference. CAB1, P.15-18.
Zerbini, E., Alemu Gebrewold, 1996. Prospects for Animal Traction
Research and Development in Ethiopia. Proceedings on forth conference,
ESAP, 18-19, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
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56
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