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Solucin.
E ( X )= X ( P ( X ) )
E ( X )=2
= ( x ) P ( X )
E ( X )=
2=1,9
El valor esperado
E(X)
es de 1,9.
Solucin.
E ( X )= X ( P ( X ) )
E ( X )=17,80
2= ( x )2 P ( X )
E ( X )=
2=1,66
E(X)
El valor esperado
y la varianza
es de 1,66.
Solucin.
E ( X )= X ( P ( X ) )
E ( X )=4,00
2= ( x )2 P ( X )
E ( X )=
=2,52
El valor esperado
E(X)
es de 2,52.
E ( X )=100000
El valor esperado
E(X)
prospectos es de 100000.
DISTRIBUCION BINOMIAL.
()
n x
f ( x )= n px ( 1 p )
x
n!
(nx)= x ! ( nx
)!
E ( x )=np
V ( x ) =np ( 1 p )
1 p : Probabilidad de fracaso
px : Probabilidad favorable .
nx : Numero de fracasos deseados .
E ( x ) : Valor esperado .
V ( x ) :Varianza.
n=4
p=0,90
x=4
1 p=0,10
px =0,6561
nx=0
()
0
P ( x=4 )= 4 0,6561 ( 0,10 )
4
Solucin.
n=4
p=0,90
x=3
1 p=0,10
px =0,729
nx=1
()
1
P ( x=3 )= 4 0,729 ( 0,10 )
3
Solucin.
n=4
p=0,90
x=3
1 p=0,10
x
p =0,729
nx=1
()
1
P ( x=3 )= 4 0,729 ( 0,10 )
3
n=4
p=0,90
x=2
1 p=0,10
px =0,81
nx=2
()
2
P ( x=2 )= 4 0,81 ( 0,10 )
2
n=4
p=0,90
x=1
1 p=0,10
px =0,90
nx=3
()
3
P ( x=1 )= 4 0,90 ( 0,10 )
1
n=4
p=0,90
x=0
1 p=0,10
px =1
nx=4
()
4
P ( x=0 )= 4 1 ( 0,10 )
0
P ( x < 4 ) =37,72
a.
P ( x=8|n=20, p=0,30
n=20
p=0,30
x=8
1 p=0,70
px =0,00006561
nx=12
( )
12
P ( x=8 )= 20 0,00006561 ( 0, 70 )
8
b.
n=20
p=0,30
x=10
1 p=0,70
px =0,000005904
nx=10
( )
10
P ( x=10 )= 20 0, 000005904 ( 0,70 )
10
n=20
p=0,30
x=11
1 p=0,70
px =0,000001771
nx=9
( )
9
P ( x=11 )= 20 0,000001771 ( 0,70 )
11
n=20
p=0,30
x=12
1 p=0,70
x
p =0,00000053 1
nx=8
( )
8
P ( x=12 )= 20 0, 000000531 ( 0,70 )
12
n=20
p=0,30
x=13
1 p=0,70
px =0,000000159
nx=7
( )
7
P ( x=13 )= 20 0,000000159 ( 0,70 )
13
n=20
p=0,30
x=14
1 p=0,70
x
p =0,000000047
nx=6
( )
6
P ( x=14 )= 20 0, 000000047 ( 0,70 )
14
n=20
p=0,30
x=15
1 p=0,70
px =0,000000014
nx=5
( )
5
P ( x=15 )= 20 0,000000014 ( 0,70 )
15
n=20
p=0,30
x=16
1 p=0,70
x
p =0,000000004
nx=4
( )
4
P ( x=16 )= 20 0,000000004 ( 0,70 )
16
n=20
p=0,30
x=17
1 p=0,70
px =0,00000000 1
nx=3
( )
3
P ( x=17 )= 20 0,00000000 1 ( 0,70 )
17
n=20
p=0,30
x=18
1 p=0,70
px =3.87420489 x 1010
nx=2
( )
2
P ( x=18 )= 20 3.87420489 x 1010 ( 0,70 )
18
x=19
1 p=0,70
x
10
p =1,162261467 x 10
nx=1
( )
1
P ( x=19 )= 20 1.162261467 x 1010 ( 0,70 )
19
n=20
p=0,30
x=20
1 p=0,70
( )
0
P ( x=20 )= 20 3. 486784401 x 1011 ( 0,70 )
20
11
P ( x=20 )=3.486784401 x 10
0,000000003
P ( x 10 )=0,048 4,8
c.
P ( x 5| n=20, p=0,30
n=20
p=0,30
x=5
1 p=0,70
x
p =0,00243
nx=15
( )
15
P ( x=5 )= 20 0,00243 ( 0,70 )
5
n=20
p=0,30
x=4
1 p=0,70
px =0,0081
nx=16
( )
16
P ( x=4 )= 20 0, 0081 ( 0,70 )
4
n=20
p=0,30
x=3
1 p=0,70
px =0,027
nx=17
( )
17
P ( x=3 )= 20 0,027 ( 0,70 )
3
n=20
p=0,30
x=2
1 p=0,70
px =0,09
nx=18
( )
18
P ( x=2 )= 20 0, 09 ( 0,70 )
2
n=20
p=0,30
x=1
1 p=0,70
px =0,30
nx=19
( )
19
P ( x=1 )= 20 0,30 ( 0,70 )
1
n=20
p=0,30
x=0
1 p=0,70
px =1
nx=20
( )
20
P ( x=0 )= 20 1 ( 0,70 )
0
P ( x 5 )=17,89+13,04+7,16+ 2,78+0,68+0,08
P ( x 5 )=0,4163 41,63
d.
P ( x=5|n=10 , p=0,4 0
n=10
p=0,40
x=5
1 p=0,60
px =0,01024
nx=5
( )
5
P ( x=5 )= 10 0,0 1 024 ( 0, 6 0 )
5
P ( x=5 )=0, 20 2 0, 00
e.
P ( x >5|n=10 , p=0,4 0
n=10
p=0,40
x=6
1 p=0,60
px =0,004096
nx=4
( )
4
P ( x=6 )= 10 0,004096 ( 0,60 )
6
x=7
1 p=0,60
px =0,0016384
nx=3
( )
3
P ( x=7 )= 10 0,001 6384 ( 0,60 )
7
n=10
p=0,40
x=8
1 p=0,60
px =0,00065536
nx=2
( )
2
P ( x=8 )= 10 0,00065536 ( 0,60 )
8
n=10
p=0,40
x=9
1 p=0,60
x
p =0,000262144
nx=1
( )
1
P ( x=9 )= 10 0,000262144 ( 0,60 )
9
P ( x=9 )=0,0016 0, 16
n=10
p=0,40
x=10
1 p=0,60
px =0,000104857
nx=0
( )
0
P ( x=10 )= 10 0, 000104857 ( 0,60 )
10
f.
P ( x <5|n=10 , p=0,4 0
x=4
1 p=0,60
px =0,0256
nx=6
( )
6
P ( x=4 )= 10 0, 0256 ( 0,60 )
4
n=10
p=0,40
x=3
1 p=0,60
px =0,064
nx=7
( )
7
P ( x=3 )= 10 0,064 ( 0,60 )
3
n=10
p=0,40
x=2
1 p=0,60
px =0,16
nx=8
( )
8
P ( x=2 )= 10 0, 16 ( 0,60 )
2
n=10
p=0,40
x=1
1 p=0,60
px =0,40
nx=9
( )
9
P ( x=1 )= 10 0,40 ( 0,60 )
1
n=10
p=0,40
x=0
1 p=0,60
x
p =1
nx=10
( )
10
P ( x=10 )= 10 1 ( 0,60 )
0
a.
n=12
p=0,70
x=4
1 p=0,30
px =0,2401
nx=8
( )
8
P ( x=4 )= 12 0,2401 ( 0,3 0 )
4
b.
P ( x 9|n=12 , p=0,7 0
n=12
p=0,70
x=9
1 p=0,30
x
p =0,040353607
nx=3
( )
3
P ( x=9 )= 12 0, 040353607 ( 0,30 )
9
n=12
p=0,70
x=10
1 p=0,30
px =0,028247524
nx=2
( )
2
P ( x=10 )= 12 0, 028247524 ( 0,30 )
10
n=12
p=0,70
x=11
1 p=0,30
x
p =0,019773267
nx=1
( )
1
P ( x=11 )= 12 0,019773267 ( 0,30 )
11
n=12
p=0,70
x=12
1 p=0,30
px =0,013841287
nx=0
( )
0
P ( x=9 )= 12 0,013841287 ( 0,30 )
12
P ( x 9 )=23,97+16,78+ 7,12+1,38
P ( x 9 )=0,4925 49,25
c.
P ( x 3| n=8 , p=0,6 0
x=3
1 p=0,20
x
p =0,216
nx=5
()
5
P ( x=3 )= 8 0 ,216 ( 0, 2 0 )
3
n=8
p=0,60
x=2
1 p=0,20
px =0,36
nx=6
()
6
P ( x=2 )= 8 0, 3 6 ( 0,20 )
2
n=8
p=0,60
x=1
1 p=0,20
x
p =0,60
nx=7
()
7
P ( x=1 )= 8 0,6 0 ( 0,20 )
1
n=8
p=0,60
x=0
1 p=0,20
px =1
nx=8
()
8
P ( x=0 )= 8 1 ( 0,20 )
0
P ( x 3 )=0,0046 0,46
d.
P ( x <3|n=8 , p=0,6 0
x=2
1 p=0,20
px =0,36
nx=6
()
6
P ( x=2 )= 8 0,36 ( 0,20 )
2
n=8
p=0,60
x=1
1 p=0,20
px =0,60
nx=7
()
7
P ( x=1 )= 8 0,60 ( 0,20 )
1
n=8
p=0,60
x=0
1 p=0,20
px =1
nx=8
()
8
P ( x=0 )= 8 1 ( 0,20 )
0
P ( x <3 ) =0,065+0,0061+0,00026
e.
P ( x=5|n=10 , p=0,90
n=10
p=0,90
x=5
1 p=0,10
x
p =0,59049
nx=5
( )
5
P ( x=5 )= 10 0,59049 ( 0,10 )
5
f.
n=10
p=0,90
x=8
1 p=0,10
px =0, 43946721
nx=2
( )
2
P ( x=8 )= 10 0, 43946721 ( 0,10 )
8
n=10
p=0,90
x=9
1 p=0,10
px =0,387420489
nx=1
( )
1
P ( x=9 )= 10 0,387420489 ( 0,10 )
9
n=10
p=0,90
x=10
1 p=0,10
x
p =0,34867844
nx=0
( )
0
P ( x=10 )= 10 0, 34867844 ( 0,10 )
10
Solucin.
a.
P ( x >5 )
n=10
p=0, 4 0
x=6
1 p=0,6 0
px =0,004096
nx=4
( )
4
P ( x=6 )= 10 0,004096 ( 0, 6 0 )
6
n=10
p=0,40
x=7
1 p=0,60
x
p =0,0016384
nx=3
( )
3
P ( x=7 )= 10 0, 0016384 ( 0,60 )
7
n=10
p=0,40
x=8
1 p=0,60
px =0,00065536
nx=2
( )
2
P ( x=8 )= 10 0, 00065536 ( 0,60 )
8
n=10
p=0,40
x=9
1 p=0,60
x
p =0,000262144
nx=1
( )
1
P ( x=9 )= 10 0,000262144 ( 0,60 )
9
n=10
p=0,40
x=10
1 p=0,60
px =0,000104857
nx=0
( )
0
P ( x=10 )= 10 0, 000104857 ( 0,60 )
10
b.
P ( x <5 )
x=4
1 p=0,60
x
p =0,0256
nx=6
( )
6
P ( x=4 )= 10 0,0256 ( 0,60 )
4
n=10
p=0,40
x=3
1 p=0,60
px =0,064
nx=7
( )
7
P ( x=3 )= 10 0,064 ( 0,60 )
3
n=10
p=0,40
x=2
1 p=0,60
x
p =0,16
nx=8
( )
8
P ( x=2 )= 10 0,16 ( 0,60 )
2
n=10
p=0,40
x=1
1 p=0,60
px =0,40
nx=9
( )
9
P ( x=1 )= 10 0,40 ( 0,60 )
1
n=10
p=0,40
x=0
1 p=0,60
px =1
nx=10
( )
10
P ( x=10 )= 10 1 ( 0,60 )
0
P ( x >5 )
a.
n=10
p=0, 6 0
x=6
1 p=0, 4 0
x
p =0,046656
nx=4
( )
4
P ( x=6 )= 10 0, 46656 ( 0, 4 0 )
6
n=10
p=0, 6 0
x=7
1 p=0, 4 0
x
p =0,0 279936
nx=3
( )
3
P ( x=7 )= 10 0, 0279936 ( 0, 4 0 )
7
n=10
p=0, 6 0
x=8
1 p=0, 4 0
px =0,01679616
nx=2
( )
2
P ( x=8 )= 10 0, 01679616 ( 0, 4 0 )
8
n=10
p=0, 6 0
x=9
1 p=0, 4 0
x
p =0,010077696
nx=1
( )
1
P ( x=9 )= 10 0,010077696 ( 0, 4 0 )
9
n=10
p=0, 6 0
x=10
1 p=0, 4 0
px =0,0 06046617
nx=0
( )
0
P ( x=10 )= 10 0, 006046617 ( 0, 4 0 )
10
P ( x <5 )
b.
n=10
p=0, 6 0
x=4
1 p=0, 4 0
x
p =0,129 6
nx=6
( )
6
P ( x=4 )= 10 0, 12 96 ( 0, 4 0 )
4
n=10
p=0, 6 0
x=3
1 p=0, 4 0
px =0,216
nx=7
( )
7
P ( x=3 )= 10 0, 216 ( 0, 4 0 )
3
n=10
p=0, 6 0
x=2
1 p=0, 4 0
px =0,36
nx=8
( )
8
P ( x=2 )= 10 0, 36 ( 0, 4 0 )
2
n=10
p=0, 6 0
x=1
1 p=0, 4 0
x
p =0,60
nx=9
( )
9
P ( x=1 )= 10 0, 60 ( 0, 4 0 )
1
x=0
1 p=0, 4 0
px =1
nx=10
( )
10
P ( x=0 )= 10 1 ( 0, 4 0 )
0
( lambda -