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1 Abstract
Pipeline simulation is currently usually perceived merely as an engineering
tool for solving technical tasks. The new idea presented in this paper is to
extend the scope of pipeline simulation to include commercial applications.
The paper reports on how this new application is used at VNG Verbundnetz Gas Aktiengesellschaft, a gas importer and pipeline operator.
The pipeline simulator computes calorific values as input data for thermal
billing. The application has received statutory approval for billing purposes,
and has been routinely used since fall of the year 2000.
2 Background
VNG is a major natural gas importer and pipeline operator in Germany, with
a market share of 16 %. VNG wholesales natural gas of different
composition, mainly from the North Sea and from Russia. In 2000, deliveries
totaled 520 trillion BTU (152.2 billion kWh).
To conduct this business, VNG owns and operates a high-pressure
transmission system spanning 4,500 miles throughout the eastern part of
Germany. For comparison, VNGs supply area matches New York state,
both in size and population. For seasonal load management and for
ensuring reliable gas deliveries to customers, VNG also operates
underground storage facilities with a total capacity of 15 % of annual
deliveries.
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Figure 1:
Since the composition of natural gas varies and since there are frequent
changes in the composition of the gas purchased, VNG needed to
implement a thermal gas billing procedure. However, the necessary
metering infrastructure was not available at the time VNG began to operate
following unification of the two German states. This situation sparked the
innovative idea of using pipeline simulation to compute gas composition for
customer billing, in order to cut investment and operating costs in gas
analysis metering equipment that would be otherwise have been inevitable.
VNG opted for the SIMONE pipeline simulator sold by LIWACOM. The
solution has been in use since fall 2000. It has received statutory approval
for use in customer billing from the Bureau of Weights and Measures. This
approval was mandatory, as consumer protection interests are affected. The
simulation-based thermal billing approach has not only reduced costs for
VNG, but has also resulted in excellent transparency of business processes.
This has improved customer retention, and provides a good basis for
optimizing VNG's commercial and technical operations.
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3 Thermal Billing
In the past, gas deliveries were often simply billed on the basis of the volume
delivered. More accurate billing taking into account the thermal energy of the
gas delivered is acquiring greater importance for many reasons. As gas
pipeline systems become increasingly interconnected, variations in the
composition of the gas they carry tend to be more frequent and intense. In
addition, gas consumers wish to have freedom of choice regarding natural
gases of different compositions offered by various vendors, and rising gas
prices require more accurate billing. Last but not least, thermal billing is
mandatory for deregulated energy markets to allow fair accounting between
the gas shipper and the pipeline operator.
Thermal billing requires the re-scaling of volume measurements (SCF) into
calorific quantities (BTU). Hence, the energy content of the gas delivered
must be known in addition to the volume. Usually, the energy content is
defined as the heating value (BTU/SCF). It is classically measured by
calorimeters. Nowadays, these have been substituted by process
chromatographs (PGC). They also supply other important gas composition
data, such as density or CO2 content.
Due to the high costs involved, gas analysis is only carried out at strategic
locations along the pipeline grid. A rough estimate by VNG puts the
investment cost of one gas composition measurement sequence at US$
100,000, plus annual operating costs of some US$ 10,000. This is why VNG
usually measures gas composition at the custody transfer stations where the
gas is fed into the VNG system, and when the gas leaves underground
storage.
The task, therefore, is to assign the gas composition measured at a different
location to the volume measurement at a custody transfer point where VNG
delivers gas to a customer in such a way that the assignment is accurate in
terms of both location and time.
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take well in excess of 24 hours. That is why the respective time period
affected by the model error has to be re-simulated after model
correction, starting with the last correct distribution of the gas
composition parameters.
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8 Operating Experiences
Having obtained official approval, the application presented in this paper has
been operational at VNG since fall of the year 2000. Operating experience to
date shows good application stability.
The official approval issued proves that it is possible to fulfill the high
accuracy requirements prescribed by the Bureau of Weights and Measures.
Several criteria are used to judge the quality of the simulation results.
The simulation application is often assessed by comparing the computed
pressure profile with reference measurements. The implemented simulation
package meets this criterion in full.
For the billing application, however, the quality of modeling flow processes
governs the accuracy of flow process modeling. This is because the
composition parameters crucial for the billing application are transported
through the pipeline system with the speed of the gas flow.
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In practice, the quality of flow process modeling may vary, having in all
cases good simulation results with respect to the pressure profile. The
quality can be assessed by comparing the temporal trends of simulated gas
composition parameters with reference measurements.
The ideal case is the exact coincidence of the two temporal trends.
Diverging from this ideal case, but nevertheless still with an accurate
pressure profile, the temporal trend of the simulated flow process may have
the same shape as the one given by the reference measurement, but with a
shift in time. If the composition transients are in the normal range, a shift of
several hours can be considered non-critical. This is due to the fact that for
billing, daily mean values are calculated, thus tending to compensate the
error over time.
The values that are used in billing may be degraded only if the time shift
becomes extreme (more than 10 hours) and in the event of significant
composition transients.
The status of the application as achieved at VNG is the result of a lengthy
period of fine tuning over quite a time, implementing different measures
along the way.
In order to track the correct shape of the temporal trend of composition
parameters even for very low flow situations such as those which may occur
during summer time, the storage area for composition flags assigned in the
simulation software has been increased to a value of 400,000 (this is for the
4,500 miles of pipelines at VNG). This yields a fine spatial discretization of
the composition parameters. However, areas of the pipeline system where
the flow speed is 0.3 ft/s or less over a longer period are still problematic.
Under these conditions, simulation software is no longer able to reliably
predict the speed of flow, as the software must rely on the input data
provided by field instrumentation which only has limited accuracy.
Simulation accuracy can be increased by modeling outlet pressure control
valves as flow-driven devices (for this, flow measurement must be available).
This forces the simulation model to exactly follow the temporal trend of the
flow through the control valve.
With respect to the user of such an application, it is crucial to ensure good
input data acquisition. This means, for example, that a time manually
entered for a valve position change needs to be close to the actual time of
valve movement.
The real-time model can supply additional useful information. For example,
artificial gas composition parameters can be defined for each intake
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9 Biographies
Jrg Seeliger is a senior engineer in the Gas Transport Process Information
Department at VNG - Verbundnetz Gas Aktiengesellschft. He holds a
Master's Degree in electrical engineering from Leipzig Technical University.
Mr. Seeliger played a key role in the specification and implementation of
VNG's gas management system. His main task was pipeline simulation,
especially thermal billing applications.
Joerg.Seeliger@vng.de
Gnter Wagner is director, shareholder and co-founder of LIWACOM. He
holds a PhD in electrical power engineering from the University of Aachen
(Germany). Mr. Wagner has twenty-five years of experience in simulation
and optimization of pipeline and power systems.
gw@liwacom.de
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