Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Prepared for:
Prof Safri B. Ya
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Abstract
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Introduction
Monetary policy is defined as the action by which the government, central bank, or other
regulatory committee determine the size and growth rate of the money supply, which
affected the interest rates, by controlling the supply of money, availability of money, and
the cost of money or interest rate in achieving economic growth and stability. It is also
known as credit policy. There are several questions that related to the monetary policy
that should be thinking of:
From these questions, it shows that what the monetary policy all about is. We can say
that it is related to the demand and supply of money.
According to Prof Harry Johnson:
"A policy employing the central banks control of the supply of money as an instrument
for achieving the objectives of general economic policy is a monetary policy."
According to A.G. Hart:
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b. When deflation occurs, Bank Negara Malaysia will use easy money
policy to encourage investment and economy growth. Usually, according
to the policy, it will decrease interest rate paid by bank to borrow money
as a way to increase economy activity. Lower bank borrowing rate will
6. Neutrality of money
The role of money is not just to make exchange but it is more than that. Monetary
policy should regulate the supply of money. The change in money supply creates
monetary disequilibrium. Thus monetary policy has to regulate the supply of
money and neutralize the effect of money expansion.
7. Equal income distribution
Monetary policy can help and play a supplementary role in attainting an
economic equality. Monetary policy can make special provisions for the neglect
supply such as agriculture, small-scale industries, and village industries and then
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Besides that, when economic conditions are weak, funds will be injected into the
banking system to reduce interest rates. With lower interest rates, spending and
borrowing would increase. The resulting increase in consumption and investment would
stimulate further economic activity, leading to higher income, employment and
economic growth.
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There are several instruments of monetary policy used by central bank, depending on
the level of economic development, especially the financial sector. The first instrument
that is commonly used by the central bank is reserve requirement. The central bank
may require Deposit Money Banks to hold a fraction or a combination of their deposit
liabilities (reserves) as vault cash or deposits with it. The fractional reserve will limit the
amount of loans that banks can make to the domestic economy, and, thus limit the
money supply. The assumption is that Deposit Money Banks generally maintain a stable
relationship between their reserve holdings and the amount of credit they extend to the
public.
During inflation, commercial banks can buy treasury bills with excess reserves
and do not have to reduce the amount of time deposits so that the money supply
in the economy is not reduced. Finally the bank rate hike policy and operational
sell treasury bills or government bonds in the open market will fail.
During deflation, the ratio of reserves (statutory and liquid assets) should be
lowered by the central bank to increase the ability of commercial banks to
provide credit and therefore to increase the investments in the country. Finally,
the money supply in the economy improves and deflation can be overcome.
The second instrument of monetary policy is open market operations. The central
bank buys or sells securities to the banking and non-banking public, that is in the open
During inflation, money supply in the economy should be reduced. The central
bank will sell treasury bills or government bonds to commercial banks and the
public. With this, the money held by the commercial banks and the public is
reduced, thus the amount of money that can be spent on the transaction can be
reduced as well, inflation finally overcomes.
During deflation, the money supply in the economy should be added. The central
bank will buy Treasury bills or government bonds from commercial banks and the
public. With this, the money held by the commercial banks and the public
increases, thus the amount of money that can be spent on the transaction can be
improved as well, eventually overcome deflation.
The other instrument of monetary policy commonly used by the central bank is interest
rate, where the central bank lends to financially sound Deposit Money Banks at a most
favorable rate of interest, called the minimum rediscount rate (MRR). The MRR sets the
floor for the interest rate regime in the money market, the nominal anchor rate, and
thereby affects the supply of credit, the supply of savings (which affects the supply of
reserves and monetary aggregate) and the supply of investment (which affects full
employment and Gross Domestic Product, GDP).
During inflation, the central bank will raise interest rates to raise the cost of loans
granted by commercial banks to their borrowers. This is to reduce the borrower's
ability to do business, this causes reduced aggregate demand and thus lower the
general price level, inflation is finally resolved.
During deflation, the central bank will lower interest rates to reduce the cost of
loans granted by commercial banks to their borrowers. This is to increase the 10
ability of the borrower to perform the transaction, this causes increased
aggregate demand and thus increase the level of employment, deflation finally
resolved.
Besides, exchange rate is also one of the monetary policy instruments commonly used
by the central bank. In the selling or buying foreign exchange, the central bank will
ensure that the exchange rate is at levels that do not affect domestic money supply in
undesired direction, through the balance of payments and the real exchange rate. The
misaligned real exchange rate will affect the current account balances as its impact on
external competitiveness.
The qualitative instrument of monetary policy that is commonly used by the central bank
is moral suasion. The central bank issues licenses or operating permit to Deposit
Money Banks and also regulates the operation of the banking system. From this
advantage, it can persuade banks to follow certain paths such as credit restraint or
expansion, increased savings mobilizations and promotion of exports through financial
support, which otherwise they may not do, on the basis of their risk ore return
assessment.
During inflation, the central bank will persuade commercial banks to reduce the
amount of loans for speculative purposes.
During deflation, the central bank will persuade commercial banks to increase
the amount of loans for speculative purposes.
Other than that is consumer credit regulation. Under this method, consumer credit
supply is regulated through hire-purchase and installment sale of consumer
goods. Under this method the down payment, installment amount, loan duration,
etc is fixed in advance. This can help in checking the credit use and then inflation
in a country.
During inflation, the central bank will stop people from buying the vehicle
on installment credit by increasing the minimum down payment, reducing 11
the amount of credit loan and shorten the payback period of installment
credit; this will reduce the ability of people to buy vehicles on credit
installments.
During deflation, the central bank will encourage people to buy vehicles on
credit installments by lowering the minimum payment rate, increasing the
credit amount and extend the loan repayment installment credit; this will
increase the ability of people to buy vehicles on credit installments.
Central bank also uses fixing margin requirements method. The margin refers to the
proportion of the loan amount which is not financed by the bank. A change in a
margin implies a change in the loan size. This method is used to encourage credit
supply for the needy sector and discourage it for other non-necessary sectors.
This can be done by increasing margin for the non-necessary sectors and by
reducing it for other needy sectors.
During inflation, the central bank will stop people from buying stocks for
speculative purposes by raising margin requirements to reduce the loan
amount allowed by speculators.
During deflation, the central bank will encourage people to buy the shares
for speculative purposes by lowering margin requirements in order to
increase the loan amount allowed by speculators.
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Monetary transmission is referred to the process through which monetary policy action
is transmitted into economy. There are several channels of monetary policy
transmission, but functioning and effectiveness of these mechanisms vary across
countries due to differences in the extent of financial intermediation, the development of
domestic capital markets, and structural economic conditions.
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The central bank provides funds to the banking system and charges interest. Given its
monopoly power over the issuing of money, the central bank can fully determine this
interest rate.
The change in the official interest rates affects directly money-market interest rates and,
indirectly, lending and deposit rates, which are set by banks to their customers.
Affects expectations
agents expectations
of
future
inflation
and
thus
influence
price
Changes in interest rates affect saving and investment decisions of households and
firms. For example, everything else being equal, higher interest rates make it less
For example, higher interest rates increase the risk of borrowers being unable to pay
back their loans. Banks may cut back on the amount of funds they lend to households
and firms. This may also reduce the consumption and investment by households and
firms respectively.
Changes in consumption and investment will change the level of domestic demand for
goods and services relative to domestic supply. When demand exceeds supply, upward
price pressure is likely to occur. In addition, changes in aggregate demand may
translate into tighter or looser conditions in labour and intermediate product markets.
This in turn can affect price and wage-setting in the respective market.
Changes in policy rates can affect banks marginal cost for obtaining external finance
banks differently, depending on the level of a banks own resources, or bank capital.
This channel is particularly relevant in bad times such as a financial crisis, when capital
is scarcer and banks find it more difficult to raise capital. In addition to the traditional
bank lending channel, which focuses on the quantity of loans supplied, a risk-taking
channel may exist when banks incentive to bear risk related to the provision of loans is
affected. The risk-taking channel is thought to operate mainly via two mechanisms.
First, low interest rates boost asset and collateral values. This, in conjunction with the
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The effectiveness of monetary policy transmission mechanism varies and evolves over
time, depending on structural economic and financial conditions. Although monetary
policy transmission channels have distinctive effects on the real economy, there are
also possible interlink ages between the channels through which they may magnify or
counteract the influence of other channel in the monetary transmission process.
7.0
The labor market is the most important components of economic transition which occurs
in rural and urban areas. The early stages of Malaysia and Asia economy started from
the rural area (agricultural and mining sector).Transformation of this rural area economy
to urban areas since 1990s to manufacturing and services sectors which created job
and opportunities in the urban area. As the economy is growing, there is an increased
competition among nations where greater labor market flexibility and good jobs need to
be created in achieving globalization.
Malaysia averaged high in all time from 2000 until 2012. The growth of population
grows faster than the employment opportunities generated in the market. Affected by it
are the low rate of unemployment in Malaysia which are large corporate buffer and the
presence of foreign labors.
Migration is the biggest threatened to Malaysia economy. There are significant numbers
of workers which migrate abroad especially high and educated people. Their migration
is due to the high demand and better job opportunities from abroad for particular skills
and professions. This large population of skilled migrate works for particular profession
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7.1
As we all know, Malaysian are divided into three groups according to ethnicity which are
Indian, Chinese and Malay. During the colonial rule, British introduced palm oil and
rubber trees for commercial purposes. British also allowed the migration of Chinese and
Indian to work under mines and plantation sectors in Malaysia. In this case, the British
colonial system at the early years has eventually divided Malaysian into three groups
according to ethnicity. The Malays living in a poor condition because they are more
focused in their traditional villages which are their incomes are mainly focused on the
agriculture activities. The Chinese were dominating the Malaysian commerce while
Indians focused on their plan activities. Somehow, educated or Malay nobleman at that
time was given the chance to enjoy a better social life served as civil servants under the
British colonial system. Later Malaysia Five Year Plan was introduced in the year 1955
just after independence to reduce poverty and increase per capita income and living
standards of the country. However, after the First and Second Malayan Plan, the plans
had transformed Malaysia to an emerging multi-sector economy. Moving forward to
2020, Malaysia had investing in high technology industry, biotechnology, services and
Islamic finance.
Malaysia should continue to increase the amount of demand and reduce the reliance of
imports. Besides, Malaysia should increase the amount of exports because they acted
as the important components to boost the economy growth. The exports of Malaysia
include electronics, palm oil, oil and gas and rubber. In 2012, Malaysias economy is
growing at a steady pace of 4% to5% and cover governments fund of 40%. The
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Monetary policy plays an important role during financial crisis. An increasing frequency
after the advent of financial liberalization and deregulation in the 1970s lead to the
financial crisis. Between 1970s and 2007, there have been 124 banking and financial
crisis worldwide, compared to the infrequency of such crisis when banking was
regulated and capital flows were controlled from 1940s to 1970s. The Asian Financial
Crisis in 1997 came as a surprise and caught most people by surprise not only by the
speed but also the severity of the crisis. Malaysia and other Southeast Asian countries
experienced their worst financial crisis from 1997 to 1999 as a result of financial
deregulation. International Monetary Funds (IMF) and the United States government
pushed for liberalization of capital accounts and banking sectors in developing
countries.
Unregulated capital flows and pegged exchange rates brought an increment in capital
flows into Southeast Asian economies taking advantage of arbitrage opportunities.
Malaysia was not excluded even its external debt burden was not too much. In 1997,
the ringgit value goes down from RM2.40 to a low of RM4.90 to US$1. Net portfolio
investment shrunk RM22 billion, from positive RM10.3 billion in 1996 to negative
RM12.9 billion in 1997. This led to a collapse of the stock market, the ballooning of
foreign debt, massive corporate defaults and non- performing loans resulting in a
banking crisis. Malaysia did not apply for any IMF assistance due to the relatively low
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On the macro-economic policy front, it raised interest rates with the view of stemming
capital outflows, the currency was floated to allow for free capital flows, and it reduced
public expenditure by 18%. On the financial sector side, it changed the definition for
non-performing loans from 6-months arrears to 3-months arrears. Unfortunately, with
the implementation of these policies, what started as a financial and currency crisis,
soon became a full-blown economic crisis. Aggregate domestic demand declined in
1998 for the first time since 1986, due to a significant negative contraction in private
investments by 55% and private consumption by 10%. The real economy contracted
14%, with GDP growth plunging from positive 7.7% in 1997 to negative 6.7% in 1998.
The stock market plummeted by over 70% and the ringgit fell to its lowest of RM4.9 to
US$1 in January of 1998.
By early 1998, it was clear the IMF macro-economic policies of pro-cyclicality were not
working. Dr. Mahathir, then Prime Minister of Malaysia, changed direction, set up the
National Economic Action Council and centralized decision-making and policies. In July
1998, he launched the National Economic Recovery Plan that was seen as an
alternative to the IMF orthodox policies. The objectives of this plan were to stabilize the
local currency, restore market confidence, maintain financial markets stability,
restructure corporate debt, recapitalize and restructure the banking sector and revitalize
the economy. These policies were implemented in stages.
To counter the recession, on the monetary and financial sector front, Bank Negara
reduced interest rates gradually from 11% in July 1998 to 6% May and 3% in December
1999. The statutory reserve requirement was also lowered from 13.5% in July to 4% by
October 1998. The non-performing loan definition was changed back to 6 months
arrears instead of 3 months. Bank Negara also set targets for banks to increase their
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The primary objectives of the Malaysian governments monetary and capital control
policies are to ensure stability in the ringgit-foreign exchange rate so as not to disrupt
trade flows; at the same time to maintain a steady and relatively low interest rate to
sustain economic growth. In choosing the appropriate monetary and other less
conventional instruments to achieve the above objectives, the government is guided by
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9.0
rate in Malaysia
There are two macroeconomics policies used by government to combat high inflation
and unemployment in Malaysia which known as fiscal policy and monetary policy. From
the article that we read, it tells us about the monetary policy which is an economic
attempts to relieve broad objects of policy stability of employment and prices,
economic growth and balance of payment through control of monetary system,
economic open market operation, credit multiplier, operating monetary magnitudes
control such as supply of money, level and structure of interest rates and conditions that
effect availability credit by Bank Negara Malaysia.
Monetarists agree that quantity of money supplied affects the overall price level, interest
rate, exchange rate, unemployment rate and level of output in the market. The kind of
monetary policy depends on the Malaysia situation. There are tight monetary policy
which restrain the economy and also easy monetary policy which aggressively expand
money supply and lower interest rate and also increase the investment.
The benchmark interest rate in Malaysia was last recorded at 3 percent. Interest rate in
Malaysia averaged 2.93 percent from 2004 until 2014, reaching an all time high of 3.50
percent in April of 2006 and a record low of 2 percent in February of 2009. Interest rate
in Malaysia is reported by the Central Bank of Malaysia.
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On 8th May 2014, Bank Negara Malaysia left the overnight policy rate unchanged at 3
percent. The central bank cited firm growth prospects and stable inflation, but hinted it
may need to tighten monetary policy in the near future to curb financial imbalances like
rising household debt.
For Malaysia, exports will continue to benefit from the recovery in the advanced
economies and regional demand. Private sector spending is expected to remain robust.
Investment activity is supported by broad-based capital spending, particularly in the
manufacturing and services sectors. Private consumption will be underpinned by stable
income growth and favorable labor market conditions. The prospects are therefore for
the growth momentum to be sustained.
In the recent months, inflation shows a good condition due to the impact of the price
adjustments for utilities and energy moderate. However, inflation is expected to remain
above its long run average due to the higher domestic cost factors. So, from that, the
monetary policy should be enhancing in order to ensure that the risks arising from the
accumulation of these imbalances would not undermine the growth prospects of the
Malaysian economy.
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Inflation Rate in Malaysia 2014 : People of Kuala Lumpur did not anticipate the rise of
the inflation rate in Malaysia this year. The rise of the inflation Malaysia rate is
equivalent to 3.4 percent. This is recorded in January 2014.
Aside from this, there is also a 15 percent obvious adjustment in the electricity tariff.
According to the experts, the market expectation for the inflation rate in Malaysia is 3.3
percent. With this, there is a great difference in what has come out this year.
The inflation rate in Malaysia was recorded at 3.50 percent in March of 2014. Inflation
Rate in Malaysia averaged 3.72 Percent from 1973 until 2014, reaching an all time high
of 23.90 Percent in March of 1974 and a record low of -2.40 Percent in July of 2009.
Inflation Rate in Malaysia is reported by the Department of Statistics Malaysia.
There are different reasons that can be attributed to the rise in the inflation rate. One of
these is the rise in the manufacturing cost of the regular beverages and food. This
affected the economic value of ringgit against dollar.
The inflation rate had contributed the fluctuations of unemployment rate in Malaysia.
The famous populous economist from Wellington, A.W Phillip appeared that in 1929,
the economic depression had impacted the raising of unemployment rate.
There are bonded between inflation rate and unemployment rate which is known if the
inflation rate is high, the level of unemployment is low. It indicates the reciprocal linkage
between inflation unemployment rates of people.
There are three types of unemployment in Malaysia which are unemployment frictional,
unemployment structural and unemployment circle cyclical.
i.
Unemployment Frictional
Raised from normal labor market turnover where people are deciding to move
among job of the people, careers options and working location. It is known as
fixed and healthy conditions which are resulted from the mismatching between
workers and jobs.
ii.
Unemployment Structural
Occurred during the changes in technology and foreign competition. It can be the
result of mismatch of skills of unemployed works and availability jobs in the
market. Seasonal employment can be part of the structural unemployment too.
Example, fishing, agriculture or construction work.
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Unemployment Circle-cyclical
Related to the dynamics of economic growth and factors of production in the
cycle of business. At some peak situation cyclical unemployment will be
considered lower than normal unemployment and when business cycle are at
their normal unemployment, cyclical unemployment is higher than normal
unemployment. It also arises when economic facing recession because the
market labor supply exceeds the demands from the employers due to the
widespread decreased in spending and consumption in the economy. For
example, a person lost his job during economy recession and rehired again when
the economy experiences expansion.
In order to avoid unemployment from raising, Bank Negara Malaysia will using easy
money policy which increase the total supply of money in the economy more rapidly
than usual by lowering interest rate in the hope that easy credit will entice business into
expanding.
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10.0
Conclusion
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