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:1
(HBS) MorningstarRusell
(SCS)Frank Russell Salomon Brother
2
(RBS) sharp
sharpRusell
87-93
Farrell(1996)
71 91
20.14%
p1
p1
p2
1. ....................................................................................................................................3
1.1.
1.2.
1.3.
...........................................................................................................................3
.......................................................................................................3
...................................................................................................................4
1.3.1.
() ................................................................................................4
1.3.2.
() ....................................................................................................5
2. ....................................................................................................................................6
2.1.
2.2.
...........................................................................................................................................6
...........................................................................................................................7
2.2.1.
...............................................................................................................................7
2.2.2.
...........................................................................................................................8
2.2.3.
SCS ...........................................................................................................................9
2.2.4.
(Frank Russell)(Salomon Brother) ....................9
2.2.5.
.....................................................................................................................10
2.2.6.
.........................................................................................................................11
3. .................................................................................................................................. 11
3.1.
3.2.
3.3.
3.4.
3.5.
3.6.
.................................................................................................11
.................................................................................................................................11
3.2.1.
/ VS / ...........................................................................................11
3.2.2.
/............................................................................12
.............................................................................................14
.........................................................................................15
.............................................................................................................15
.....................................................................................................................16
p2
14 9 11
2 of 18
p3
1.
1.1.
1.2.
p3
P/E
3 of 18
p4
1.3.
p4
1.3.1. ()
4 of 18
p5
2 1972 12 -1974 7
500
Beta
T.Rowe Price
39.8%
24.0%
20.0%
16.2%
100%
80.2%
8.7%
4.1%
7.0%
100%
10.5%
57.5%
18.0%
14.0%
100%
1.00
-29%
1.11
-16%
-1.09
-42%
1972 12 -1974 7
29% 42% 16%
1.3.2. ()
100 45
p5
5 of 18
p6
500 145
2.
2.1.
Beta
P/E P/B
P/CF D/P
EPS BPS
p6
6 of 18
p7
1990-1994
3000
14.56%
3 1990-1994
3000
14.56%
11.78%
9.11%
16.68%
12.82%
12.62%
0.58
0.54
0.33
2.2.
:1
(HBS)(Morningstar)(Rusell)
(SCS)(Frank Russell)(Salomon
Brother)2(RBS)
2.2.1.
5
Value
Blend
Growth
Mid
Small
Large
p7
Valuation
Size
Morningstar
7 of 18
p8
33
(Size)
10 50 10-50
(Valuation)
500
500 2
1.75 2.25 1.75-2.25
2.2.2.
1
2
--
3
A
1/3
4
p8
50.00%
12.50%
12.50%
12.50%
12.50%
50.00%
12.50%
12.50%
12.50%
12.50%
8 of 18
p9
Morningstar
2.2.3. SCS
(Rusell)(Style Classification SystemSCS) 6
Russell
2500 6 P/B
P/E
Russell 3000
1
B/P
/(GV)
1- 1
1
p9
GV
5
10%
10%
9 of 18
p10
6 /(GV)
2.2.5.
1 500 (B/P)
B/P
2 500
80%
5
500
500
12
0.5
1 12
p1
1
2
10 of 18
p11
24-60
2.2.6.
(HBS)(RBS)
Radcliffe1989HBS
41.8%RBS
47.9% RBS
HBS
RBS
RBS
HBS
3.
3.1.
1991
57% 1993
48%
3.2.
p1
3.2.1. / VS /
1987-1993
18
9 S&P500
5 50
11 of 18
p12
( PE ) 50
/
/
6
Amcap Fund
American Capital Pace
Fidelity Destiny
GE S&S Program
Growth Fund of America
Nicholas Fund
Smith Barney Shearson Appreciation Fund
T.Rowe Price Growth Stock
Twentieth Century Select
Affiliated Fund
American Mutual
Dreyfus Fund
Investment Company of American
Mutual Shares
Pioneer II
Putnam Growth & Income
Washington Mutual
Windsor Fund
7 (1987-1993)
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
3.2.2. /
p1
//
S&P500 50
( PE) PB
PCF PS DDM
/
DDM
DDM
12 of 18
p13
8 (1987-1993)
PCF
DDM
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
-40
1987
1988
PB
PS
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
7 12 (1987-1993)
PB
PCF
PS
DDM
0.81
0.86
0.78
0.72
PB
PCF
PS
0.96
0.98
0.78
0.97
0.87
0.80
DDM
9 (1987-1993)
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
p1
13 of 18
p14
8 12 (1987-1993)
0.63
0.85
0.71
0.87
0.94
0.92
3.3.
Richard Roll E/P
B/P
1984 4 -1994 3
500
Robert Arnott, David and Christopher 1
P/B 1975 1 -1995
6
9 1975 1 -1995 6 1
1
23
42
37
12
14
14
24
10
5
9
64.3%
75.0%
270.0%
140.0%
55.6%
p1
RollRobert
Roll CAPM
14 of 18
p15
3.4.
31.93%
13.20%
18.73%
(Wiltshire)500
29.67%
13.98%
15.69%
Farrell(1996)
1971 12 31 -1991 12 31
20.14%
11 500 1971-1991 %
1970/12-1972/06
1972/06-1973/06
1973/06-1974/06
1974/06-1975/06
1975/12-1976/12
1976/12-1980/12
1978/12-1983/12
1980/12-1984/12
1983/12-1985/12
1984/12-1987/12
1985/12-1988/12
1988/12-1991/12
48.50
22.50
8.50
45.00
41.00
85.00
56.00
17.00
41.00
40.00
28.00
89.00
43.56
500
21.70
0.20
-14.50
12.40
24.00
48.00
42.00
6.00
32.00
25.00
17.00
66.00
23.32
26.80
22.30
23.00
32.60
17.00
37.00
14.00
11.00
9.00
15.00
11.00
23.00
20.14
p1
3.5.
Yingying Shao and Craig G.
Rennie(2007)
1
15 of 18
p16
63%
FTSE
FTSE 350
Logistic
3.6.
p1
16 of 18
: CPA2006
()2005
2006
17 of 18
168 29
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