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development of India.
SECTION-A
While big trends drive dramatic technological changes, people are the
key to channelling technology for maximum competitive advantage
During the last 20 years, globalisation has drastically changed the manufacturing
world. No longer bound by geography many companies moved their production
elsewhere solely based on the reduction in labor costs. As a result, moredeveloped countries lost their manufacturing industry, and with it a significant
share of jobs. Today, this trend is slowly reversing, due in part to the increase in
the labor costs in many emerging economies, as well as to a revisiting of the
factors which originally led to relocation.
There is a widespread view that countries no longer need to industrialise in order
to develop. However, in India manufacturing remains the core driver of GDP
growth and direct employment while other sectors particularly many services
sectors are likely to increase employment on the basis of growing demand
flowing from a growing GDP. A nuanced understanding of the direct and indirect
linkages through which diversified manufacturing growth can boost economywide employment is essential.
1. Introduction
As India ponders its chronic unemployment problem, it is useful to set out
a framework for thinking through the contribution of the manufacturing
sector to growth and the generation of employment. There is a widespread
view held more strongly before than after the global economic crisis and
ongoing recession that the global economy has achieved a postindustrial state in which development does not rely on industrialisation.
Evidence cited in support of this view is the large and growing share of
production and employment accounted for by service sectors in most
advanced and many developing countries.
Here, I argue that, In India, manufacturing continues to be the key driver
of rapid economic growth and the associated creation of employment,
both directly and indirectly. A biological metaphor may be useful. While
the largest human organ is the skin, few would argue that this renders key
organs like the heart and lungs of secondary importance. There is
considerable accumulated evidence that manufacturing still functions as
the heart of the economic development process.
The Indian economy is firmly on the path of steady growth. Even during
the last decade when other countries were in the grip of a massive
slowdown, India continued to enjoy a comfortable economic position. This
recent spurt in growth is propelled by radical reforms such as the removal
of restrictions on foreign investment and industrial de-licensing. Tailoring
the EXIM policy to promote exports and aligning the import duties to meet
WTO commitments further contributed to this development. This trend is
expected to continue over the next five years, driven by a favourable
international trade with over 70 per cent of the seven trillion dollar market
being in processed manufacturing, strongly indicates the necessity of
developing global competitiveness in this sector.
Thus the above 8% growth of manufacturing industry in India is critical to
ensure healthy balance of income parity, employment generation and
sustenance of growth.
-manufacturing absorbs surplus agricultural labour
The manufacturing sector is crucial for employment generation and
development of an economy. Historically, the development process has
witnessed a trend of people shifting from agriculture to non- farm activities
such as manufacturing and services. This renders manufacturing crucial for
indias development and employment objectives. It is especially true as
agriculture comprises a minor
share of gdp, but account for a
disproportionately large share in employment.
In coming years, India is expected to witness significant demographic
growth and a disproportionate expansion in the working age population. To
absorb much of this labour force, the manufacturing sector would need to
play an important role. Currently, the sector accounts for 12 per cent of
the total employment in the country, well below its true potential.
To boost employment generation in the manufacturing sector, it is
imperative to lay greater emphasis on building human capital-certain
manufacturing industries such as transport equipment, petroleum and
electrical machinery require specialised training that can be met through a
skilled labour force. Apart from focusing on human capital, it is also
essential to promote growth in labour-intensive industries such as wood,
paper products and textiles.
Small and medium enterprises (SMEs) and micro small and medium
enterprises (MSMEs) account for 95 per cent of the total industrial activity
in India and can play a vital role in boosting employment generation.
Estimates suggest, the SME-MSME sector offers maximum opportunities
for self-employment as well as jobs, after the agriculture sector. In
addition, the labour-capital ratio tends to be higher for SMEs and MSMEs.
The National Manufacturing Policy is a positive step; the policy envisages
increasing the share of manufacturing to 25 per cent of GDP by 2022 and
provide employment to 100 million people. The policy is expected to focus
on: (i) improving the business environment and facilitating easy
technology acquisition and development; (ii) providing access to capital
for SMEs; and (iii) enhancing the private sector's role in skill development.
-MSMEs play a significant role in employment generation:
The Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) have witnessed the
highest
growth rate in manufacturing sector employment in recent years. As per
the
PART-B
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