Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2015 Outlook
27 January 2015
David Brown, PwC China and Hong Kong Transaction Services Leader
Christopher Chan, PwC China and Hong Kong Advisory Partner
PwC
PwC
Key messages
PwC
Nearly all sub-sectors achieved new volume records - led by domestic strategic
M&A which increased by nearly two thirds compared to the prior year
Deals sizes were also bigger in nearly all sub-sectors 2014 China M&A at
US$407bn was more than half as much again as the previous high set in 2013
Domestic and Foreign-Inbound Strategic
Strategic M&A surged 52% by volume and 63% by value to reach record highs;
ongoing consolidation in Chinas maturing domestic economy and firms seeking
equity capital through reverse takeovers of listed shells were key drivers
Technology, consumer-related and financial services deals were important industry
sectors, reflecting to some extent the development of the broader economy, but real
estate continued to attract the biggest dollar numbers with developers seeking new
sources of capital
Foreign-inbound strategic M&A also hit a record high in value terms with some
sizable deals in banking and FS in particular
PwC
Fundraising by PEs remained healthy, with the strongest US$ fundraise since 2008 and
a slight uptick in Renminbi fundraising despite some disintermediation of domestic GPs
2014 was a banner year for new investments by PEs and financial-buyers with record
volumes (up 51%) and values (up 101%); participation in SOE reforms and - for the first
time at scale - outbound deals involving Chinese GPs and financial buyers underpinned
this performance
PE deals in technology and consumer-related sectors accounted for more than half the
total reflecting investment plans intended to align with the strategic direction of the
wider economy; a similar trend was seen in deal values: in total there were 15 PE /
financial-buyer deals valued at more than US$1bn in 2014, another record
Outbound investment by local PEs and financial buyers almost doubled in volume terms
and outbound deal values also reached a record high; PEs typically look for overseas
businesses which have a strong China-angle in their growth strategies
As expected, there was a rebound in the number of PE exits; trade sale exits by M&A hit a
record high, but IPO activity although at a three year best - remains well below the
levels seen in 2010/11
The longer term overhang of new investments compared to exits continues to present a
challenge to the PE industry
PwC
The number of China outbound deals surged by more than a third to reach a record
high; at US$56.9bn, outbound transaction values have been exceeded only once (in
2012) despite a lack of mega-deals
There was strong outbound investment activity in all three sub-sectors, but M&A
activity from privately owned enterprises continues to lead the way in terms of deal
numbers with financial buyers and PEs making a meaningful contribution to the
numbers for the first time
SOEs continue to do deals in the industrials, resources and energy sectors; POEs
are looking for technologies and brands to bring back to the China market; PEs and
financial buyers have backed some of these strategic deals as well as investing on
their own account
PwC
Overview
PwC
China M&A surged by 55% in both volume and value terms to reach
record levels in 2014
Total deal volume and value, from 2008 to 2014
2008
Volume
2009
3,006
614
3,620
Value
(US$bn)
150.4
19.3
169.7
369
694
1,063
Strategic buyers
Domestic
Foreign
Total Strategic buyers
Financial buyers
Private Equity
VC
Total Financial buyers
Total
Volume
2011
2010
Volume
2,774
409
3,183
Value
(US$bn)
101.9
11.5
113.4
22.0
1.8
23.8
264
712
976
22.8
1.8
24.6
434
1,011
1,445
27.0
2.6
29.5
529
903
1,432
41.0
1.9
42.9
358
473
831
27
95
4
126
6.8
2.0
1.7
10.4
37
97
10
144
23.3
6.3
3.7
33.3
60
119
9
188
34.1
6.8
1.4
42.1
40
139
27
206
29.1
6.2
8.2
43.5
156
6.7
152
6.3
171
19.4
183
4,961
208.9
4,445
173.9
5,281
251.9
5,538
2,947
539
3,486
2013
2012
Value Volume
Value Volume
Value
(US$bn)
(US$bn)
(US$bn)
143.9
3,262
120.8
2,667
90.3
18.5
482
17.7
286
9.3
162.3
3,744
138.5
2,953
99.6
Volume
2014
2,704
275
2,979
Value
(US$bn)
149.2
15.2
164.4
34.3
1.0
35.3
392
738
1,130
40
125
26
191
36.7
19.9
10.3
66.9
8.5
166
225.1
4,115
Volume
4,180
354
4,534
Value
(US$bn)
243.6
24.0
267.6
36.4
0.9
37.2
593
1,334
1,927
57
118
25
200
39.4
11.4
1.1
51.9
13.1
164
204.6
4,448
% Diff
% Diff
volume
value
2014 vs. 2014 vs.
2013
2013
55%
29%
52%
63%
58%
63%
73.2
1.4
74.6
51%
81%
71%
101%
63%
101%
78
145
49
272
27.9
14.7
14.3
56.9
37%
23%
96%
36%
-29%
29%
1200%
10%
9.7
215
22.4
31%
131%
262.1
6,899
407.2
55%
55%
* Some financial buyer backed outbound deals are also recorded in private equity deals, but they are not double counted in the total deal volume and
deal value in the table above
Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis
PwC
272*
5,500
593*
4,500
206
126
369
3,500
614
188
434
144
264
409
354
529
482
191
358
286
539
200
392
275
2,500
4,180
1,500
3,006
2,774
2,947
2009
2010
3,262
2,667
2,704
2012
2013
500
-500
2008
2011
2014
* 49 financial buyer backed outbound deals are also recorded in private equity deals
Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis
PwC
10
Deals sizes were also bigger in nearly all sub-sectors 2014 China
M&A at US$407bn was more than half as much again as the
previous high set in 2013
Deal value by main category
US$ billion
450
400
56.9*
350
300
73.2*
250
24.0
200
150
10.4
22.0
19.3
100
33.3
22.8
11.5
43.5
27.0
18.5
41.0
17.7
150.4
143.9
101.9
50
51.9
42.1
120.8
66.9
34.3
9.3
36.4
15.2
243.6
149.2
90.3
0
2008
2009
2010
Foreign Strategic Buyers
2011
2012
Private Equity Deals
2013
2014
* US$14.3bn of financial buyer backed outbound deals are also recorded in private equity deals
Source: ThomsonReuters, ChinaVenture and PwC analysis
PwC
11
Strategic buyers
PwC
12
Strategic M&A surged 52% by volume and 63% by value to reach record
highs; ongoing consolidation in Chinas maturing domestic economy and
firms seeking equity capital through reverse takeovers of listed shells were
key drivers
Strategic buyer deals, from 2008 to 2014
No.
US$ billion
5,000
300
4,500
243.6
4,000
3,500
250
200
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
143.9
150.4
2,006
2,774101.9
2,947
149.2
4,180
3,262120.8
2,667
90.3
100
2,704
1,000
500
150
50
19.3
614
0
2008
11.5
409
2009
18.5
539
2010
17.7
482
2011
9.3
286
275
2012
2013
15.2
354
24.0
0
2014
PwC
13
469
4000
3500
3000
2500
296
308
194
241
698
642
432
358
120
253
664
404
106
2000
1500
1000
500
0
179
248
369
137
353
190
272
372
384
252
668
614
539
522
508
500
274
176
203
273
264
295
167
235
315
300
570
429
402
400
439
434
381
446
428
475
372
310
320
395
352
404
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
529
High Technology
Real Estate
Industrials
Energy and Power
575
Consumer Related
Healthcare
Raw Materials
Others
501
550
568
659
766
2014
Financial Services
PwC
14
250
200
150
39.4
100
9.2
1.8
10.1
6.8
33.0
50
27.4
11.6
4.8
11.6
5.1
31.1
15.4
23.2
9.1
21.7
17.9
10.6
3.0
8.8
2.5
12.9
14.2
10.6
12.2
20.7
20.0
2008
2009
Real Estate
Raw Materials
Energy and Power
11.6
9.8
4.9
11.3
8.0
22.6
22.9
5.4
22.6
18.5
16.5
12.6
22.7
8.8
6.4
2.2
8.8
2.0
17.1
10.8
14.1
16.5
12.8
2010
2011
2012
High Technology
Media and Entertainment
Others
Financial Services
Consumer Related
15.4
12.7
4.2
19.3
6.3
20.6
20.9
13.1
21.6
30.2
2013
28.8
30.3
35.5
37.2
44.4
2014
Industrials
Retail
PwC
15
25
0.8
1.2
2.2
20
2.4
15
10
3.0
0.3
0.6
3.6
3.4
4.3
2.0
0.8
1.3
2.4
0.2
1.5
0.8
1.8
1.0
2008
2009
SE Asia
UK
British Virgin/Cayman
Other North Amercia
5.4
2.2
1.6
2010
US
Other Asia
Canada
Russia
1.2
0.4
2.2
5.9
1.8
2.9
2011
EU
Africa
South America
Others
0.6
0.7
1.2
1.3
1.3
3.5
1.0
2012
4.4
7.2
0.9
11.1
3.7
2013
Japan
Oceania
Other Europe
2014
PwC
16
PwC
17
No.
US$ billion
60
300
277
250
50
249
200
40
17.6
172
150
165
50.0
21.6
15.6
123
130
30
28.4
19.8
100
96
20
30.7
9.7
50
20.8
20.3
4.9
6.8
2008
2009
13.3
15.6
2013
2014
10
2010
2011
2012
Fund Volume
PwC
18
2014 was a banner year for new investments by PEs and financial-buyers
with record volumes (up 51%) and values (up 101%); participation in SOE
reforms and - for the first time at scale - outbound deals involving Chinese
GPs and financial buyers underpinned this performance
Private Equity deals, from 2008 to 2014
No.
US$ billion
550
80
73.2
500
70
450
60
400
350
50
300
250
200
150
593
41.0
529
34.3
434
27.0
369
22.0
264
358
22.8
36.4
40
30
392
20
100
10
50
0
0
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
PwC
19
500
23
35
35
450
400
73
350
32
20
47
300
250
200
60
11
34
150
48
100
77
50
0
32
14
20
50
85
24
30
62
49
22
46
99
89
98
74
73
40
23
34
55
36
49
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
High Technology
Financial Services
Materials
Consumer related
Media and Entertainment
Retail
Industrials
Real Estate
Others
102
85
46
126
54
19
33
224
2014
Healthcare
Energy and Power
PwC
20
and a similar trend was seen in deal values: in total there were 15
PE / financial-buyer deals valued at more than US$1bn in 2014,
another record
PE deal value by industry sector
US$ billion
80
70
2.6
4.0
60
9.6
50
9.8
40
10.4
30
20
10
0
3.5
2.4
0.4
7.1
3.0
3.2
1.0
0.3
2008
1.0
11.5
3.1
0.5
0.8
2009
Retail
Industrials
Telecommunications
1.1
3.0
6.3
7.9
1.2
0.6
2010
High Technology
Financial Services
Healthcare
7.8
0.9
12.3
1.2
9.4
1.5
0.9
2011
3.0
2.0
3.5
3.3
0.5
2012
Consumer related
Media and Entertainment
Energy and Power
1.7
2.6
4.4
3.9
4.3
6.3
0.0
2013
13.6
15.7
2014
Real Estate
Raw Materials
Others
PwC
21
50
40
30
49
20
27
26
25
2011
2012
2013
10
10
2009
2010
4
2008
2014
Financial buyers
PwC
22
14.3
10.3
8.2
3.7
1.4
2009
2010
1.1
2011
2012
2013
2014
Financial buyers
PwC
23
300
83
250
7
91
200
5
111
150
92
84
100
212
171
85
44
50
114
98
88
46
35
0
2008
2009
2010
IPO
2011
M&A - trade
2012
2013
2014
M&A - PE
PwC
24
200
30
11
150
39
11
18
26
100
727
50
4
2
12
13
17
2
11
11
118
38
106
70
6-
48
29
21
45
2008
2009
Shenzhen
2010
Hong Kong
2011
Shanghai A
2012
NYSE/ NASDAQ
2013
2014
Others
PwC
25
No.
2,000
1,800
593
1,600
1,400
434
1,200
529
1,000
800
369
392
264
400
1,334
358
600
1,011
200
2008
212
88
89
46
51
903
712
694
2009
171
97
91
2010
VC deals
738
2011
PE deals
473
98
100
2012
M&A exit
114
118
35
91
2013
2014
IPO exit
PwC
26
PwC
27
US$ billion
300
80
70
66.9
250
51.9
56.9
200
50
150
43.5
42.1
272
33.3
100
50
60
188
206
191
30
200
20
144
126
40
10.4
10
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
PwC
28
There was strong outbound investment activity in all three sub-sectors, but
M&A activity from privately owned enterprises continues to lead the way in
terms of deal numbers with financial buyers and PEs making a meaningful
contribution to the numbers for the first time
No.
300
US$ billion
45
40
39.4
250
49
36.7
35
34.1
200
27 29.1
26
25
145
10
4
20
19.9
119
139
100
118
125
97
95
27.9
23.3
150
50
30
25
11.4
10.3
6.8
27 1.7
2
2008
37
6.3
3.7
2009
60
8.2
6.2
6.5
1.4
2010
40
40
2011
2012
14.7
14.3
10
78
57
1.1
2013
15
5
0
2014
PwC
29
No.
70
60
13
50
40
17
3
30
21
27
7
1
14
13
20
13
10
19
15
14
3
17
11
0
Industrials
Raw Materials
2014 POE
24
12
18
10
32
10
30
20
1
4
5
10
5
2013 SOE
14
26
2013 POE
1
High Technology
2
Others
PwC
30
96
Europe
82
51
Russia
63
Asia
5
64 33
11
South America
7 8
Africa
17 29
Oceania
2014
2013
Source: ThomsonReuters and PwC analysis
PwC
31
Outlook
PwC
32
Overall
PwC
33
PwC
Education
Healthcare
Restaurants
34
Healthcare:
-
PwC
China Outbound
PwC
Diversified investments
36
PwC
37
Excluded Deals
Property/real estate for individual properties
Rumoured transactions
Options granted to acquire an additional stake when not 100%
of the shares has been acquired
Any purchase of brand rights
Land acquisitions
Equity placements in funds
Stake purchases by mutual funds
Open market share buyback/retirement of stock unless part of
a privatisation
Balance sheet restructuring or internal restructuring
Investments in greenfield operations
Going private transactions
38
Thank you
2015 PricewaterhouseCoopers. All rights reserved. "PricewaterhouseCoopers" refers to the Hong Kong firm of
PricewaterhouseCoopers or, as the context requires, the network of member firms of PricewaterhouseCoopers
International Limited, each of which is a separate and independent legal entity.