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RECOMMENDED CITATION: Pew Research Center, November, 2016, Low Marks for Major Players in 2016 Election Including the
Winner
www.pewresearch.org
www.pewresearch.org
For most voters, the 2016 presidential campaign was one to forget. Post-election evaluations of the
way that the winning candidate, the parties, the press and the pollsters conducted themselves
during the campaign are all far more negative than after any election dating back to 1988.
The quadrennial postelection survey by Pew
Research Center, conducted
November 10-14 among 1,254
voters who were originally
interviewed before the
election, finds that half are
happy that Trump won the
election, while nearly as
many (48%) are unhappy.
That is little different from
initial reactions to the
election result four years ago,
when 52% were happy that
Barack Obama won.
Voters give Trump worse grades than they have for any
winning candidate in recent decades
% of voters who give each candidate a grade of A or B for the way they
conducted themselves over the course of the campaign
75
Winning
candidate
64
57
49
52
55
57
46
44
53
43
40
38
30
1988
1988
1992
1992
33
1996
1996
30
Losing
candidate
2000*
2000
2004
2004
2008
2008
2012
2016
2016
Bush
Bush
Dole
Bush
Bush McCain Romney Trump
But voters grades for the
Dukakis Clinton Clinton
Gore
Kerry Obama Obama Clinton
way Trump conducted
Kerry
Notes: Percent of A or B grades on an A, B, C, D, F scale.
himself during the campaign
*In 2000, Bush is labeled as winning candidate, Gore as losing candidate, though at the
time of the survey the results of the election had not been declared.
are the lowest for any
Source: Voter callback survey conducted Nov. 10-14, 2016.
victorious candidate in 28
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
years. Just 30% of voters give
Trump an A or B, 19% grade
him at C, 15% D, while about a third (35%) give Trump a failing grade. Four years ago, most voters
(57%) gave Obama an A or B, and after his 2008 election, 75% gave him an A or B.
www.pewresearch.org
2
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
For the first time in Pew Research Center postelection surveys, voters give the losing
candidate higher grades than the winner.
About four-in-ten (43%) give Clinton an A or
B, which is comparable to the share giving
Mitt Romney top letter grades in 2012 (44%)
and 13 percentage points higher than Trumps
(30%).
After a bitter and contentious campaign,
voters are deeply polarized in their reactions
to Trumps victory and expectations for his
presidency. Among all voters, 56% expect
Trump to have a successful first term, which is
lower than the share saying that about
Obamas first term eight years ago (67%), but
on par with expectations for Obamas second
term in November 2012 (also 56%).
Virtually all of Trumps supporters (97%) say
they expect Trumps first term to be
successful; a smaller, but still overwhelming
majority of Clinton supporters (76%) say
Trump will be unsuccessful.
10
88
Willing to give
Trump a chance to
see how he
governs
58
By contrast, Clinton voters express little or no confidence in Trump to deal with major issues. And
while a majority of Clinton voters (58%) say they are willing to give Trump a chance and see how
he governs as president, nearly four-in-ten (39%) say they cant see themselves giving Trump a
chance because of the kind of person he has shown himself to be.
www.pewresearch.org
3
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Equally important, most Democrats would like to see their partys leaders stand up to Trump
rather than work with him. In fact, Democratic support for cooperation with the president-elect
today is substantially less than GOP support
for working with Obama eight years ago.
Nearly two-thirds of Democratic and
Democratic-leaning voters (65%) say
Democratic leaders should stand up to
Donald Trump on issues that are important to
Democratic supporters, even if means less gets
done in Washington. Just 32% want the
partys leaders to work with Trump if it means
disappointing Democrats.
In November 2008 a time when voters
generally felt much better about the election
and its outcome Republicans and
Republican leaners were more favorably
disposed to their partys leaders working with
Obama. Nearly six-in-ten (59%) said GOP
leaders should work with Obama, while 36%
wanted them to stand up to the new
president.
November 2016
Work with Trump to Stand up to Trump on
get things done, even issues important to
if it disappoints Dems, even if less gets
supporters done in Washington
All voters
59
39
Rep/Lean Rep 84
14
Dem/Lean Dem
32
65
November 2008
% of voters saying Republican leaders should
Work with Obama to Stand up to Obama on
get things done, even issues important to Reps,
if it disappoints even if less gets done in
supporters Washington
All voters
74
22
www.pewresearch.org
4
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
For their part, more than half of Republican and Republican-leaning voters (53%) say Trump
should work with Democratic leaders in
Congress, who are in the minority in both the
Relatively few Trump backers want him
House and Senate, while 39% say he should
to appoint Democrats to key positions
stand up to Democratic leaders.
However, few Trump voters have a positive
view of Trump reaching across partisan lines
for appointments to his administration.
Only about a quarter (26%) of Trump voters
say the president-elect should appoint
Democrats to serve in his administration.
Twice as many (52%) say it does not matter,
while 21% say Trump should not name
Democrats to his cabinet.
In 2008, after Obamas first victory, 52% of
voters who supported him said he should
appoint Republicans to his cabinet, double the
share of Trump backers who favor Democrats
in his cabinet today.
Should
not
55
10
33
26
21
52
84
15
1
November 2016
All
voters
Trump
voters
55
10
26
Doesn't matter
33
21
Clinton
voters
84
52
15
November 2008
% of voters who said Barack Obama ____ appoint
Republicans to serve in important positions in his
administration.
All
voters
Obama
voters
McCain
voters
60
52
69
35
41
2
27
www.pewresearch.org
5
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
% who give
each A or B
30
Average
grade
C-
Clinton
43
Rep Party
22
D+
Dem Party
26
C-
The press
22
D+
The pollsters
21
D+
The voters
40
C+
More mudslinging
72
68
49
68
54
46
Less mudslinging
36
34
92
27
14
16
96
00
04
08
19
12
www.pewresearch.org
4
16
6
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
51
Proud
36
Uneasy
53
Sad
41
Scared
41
Angry
31
Note: Q45.
Source: Voter callback survey conducted Nov. 10-14, 2016.
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
www.pewresearch.org
7
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
67
Trump voters
Happy
101
Clinton voters
Shocked
60
Surprised
68
Disappointed
46
Relieved
45
Disgusted
29
Shocked
36
Surprised
26
Hopeful
29
Horrified
26
Elated
18
Sad
25
Great
16
Devastated
18
Ecstatic
16
Fearful
16
Excited
14
Disbelief
15
Glad
10
Stunned
12
Awesome
Scared
12
Good
Dismayed
11
Pleased
Sickening
10
Change
Unbelievable
Thankful
Disastrous
N=533
N=587
www.pewresearch.org
8
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
All voters
17
Men
16
79
81
Women
18
78
Trump voters
17
78
Clinton voters
17
81
www.pewresearch.org
9
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Bush
53
53
1996
2004
Obama
Obama
Trump
52
50
2012
2016
58
2008
Note: Q39.
Source: Voter callback survey conducted Nov. 10-14, 2016.
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Trump voters
Clinton voters
Surprised
27
40
73
60
12
87
www.pewresearch.org
10
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Voters express a mix of emotional reactions to the election of Donald Trump. On the positive side,
51% say that Trumps election makes them feel
hopeful; somewhat fewer say it makes them
Many voters say they feel uneasy about
feel proud (36%).
the election of Trump
On the negative side, 53% say Trumps election
makes them feel uneasy. About four-in-ten say
his election makes them feel sad (41%) or
scared (41%), and 31% say the election of
Trump makes them feel angry.
Eight years ago, voters emotional reactions to
Obamas election were somewhat more
positive. In response to a slightly differently
worded question that asked about how Obama
made them feel as opposed to how the
election of Obama made them feel fully 69%
of voters said he made them feel hopeful, while
just 35% said that he made them feel uneasy.
51
Proud
36
Uneasy
53
Sad
41
Scared
41
Angry
31
Note: Q45.
Source: Voter callback survey conducted Nov. 10-14, 2016.
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
www.pewresearch.org
11
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Nearly all Trump supporters (96%) say that his election makes them feel hopeful. A somewhat
smaller but still wide majority of Trump supporters say that his election makes them feel
proud (74%).
Among Clinton supporters, the most
widespread reaction to Trumps victory is
unease: 90% say the election of Trump makes
them feel uneasy. About three-quarters say his
election makes them feel sad (77%) or scared
(76%). While less widespread than other
negative reactions, most Clinton supporters
(62%) also say Trumps election makes them
feel angry.
Clinton voters
96
7
74
13
Uneasy
Though majorities of Clinton supporters
90
across demographic groups express unease,
4
Sad
77
sadness, fear and anger about the election of
5
Scared
Trump, Clinton voters with college degrees are
76
more likely than those with less education to
1
Angry
62
express anger and sadness. About seven-in-ten
Note: Q45.
Clinton voters with a bachelors degree or
Source: Voter callback survey conducted Nov. 10-14, 2016.
higher (69%) say Trumps election makes
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
them feel angry; a narrower 56% majority of
Clinton voters with less education say this.
And while 70% of Clinton voters who have not graduated from college say Trumps election makes
them feel sad, fully 85% who have college degrees say that it does.
www.pewresearch.org
12
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
On balance, voters are optimistic about Trumps first term: 56% say its more likely that Trump
will have a successful first term, while 39% say
its more likely that hell have an unsuccessful
More expect Trumps first term to be
first term. Overall views on this question are
successful than unsuccessful
about the same as they were four years ago,
% of voters who say ___ will have a successful first
after Barack Obamas reelection, but are less
term
positive than in 2008. Following Obamas
Unsuccessful
Successful
victory over John McCain eight years ago, 67%
Trump 2016
39
56
of voters expected Obama would have a
successful first term.
An overwhelming 97% of Trump voters expect
him to have a successful first term; this is
comparable to the 92% of Obama voters who
said this about their candidate in 2008.
Views of Trumps first term among Clinton
voters are broadly negative and they are more
negative than expectations were for Obamas
first term among John McCains supporters in
2008. Overall, just 15% of Clinton supporters
think Trumps first term will be successful,
while 76% think it will be unsuccessful. In
2008, nearly four-in-ten McCain supporters
(39%) thought Obama would have a successful
first term.
Obama 2008
22
67
97
2008
Obama
92
15
2008
McCain
39
Note: Q40.
Source: Voter callback survey conducted Nov. 10-14, 2016.
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
www.pewresearch.org
13
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
39
58
Clinton voters under the ages of 18-49 are somewhat less likely to say they are willing to give
Trump a chance (52%) than are Clinton supporters age 50 and older (64%). There are only modest
differences across other demographic groups among Clinton supporters.
In the wake of Trumps election, there is little
sign of concern among his voters about the
type of president he will be. Overall, 88% of
Trump voters say they are confident about the
kind of president he will be, while just 10% say
they have serious concerns about the kind of
president he will be.
www.pewresearch.org
14
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Trump voters
Clinton voters
46
51
16
75
84
20
www.pewresearch.org
15
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
About half of voters (48%) say they think Trump will change the way things work in Washington
for the better, 25% think he will change things for the worse and 25% do not think he will change
things much either way.
Overwhelmingly, Trump voters expect their
candidate to bring positive change to
Washington: 89% think he will change the way
things work for the better, while just 9% dont
think hell change things much either way and
1% say hell change things for the worse.
Clinton voters are split in their views: 48%
think Trump will change the way things work
in Washington for the worse, while 39% dont
expect him to change things much either way
and just 9% think he will change Washington
for the better.
All voters
25
Trump voters
25
Clinton voters
For better
48
89
48
39
www.pewresearch.org
16
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
49
Trump voters
12
Clinton voters
84
87
14
www.pewresearch.org
17
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Voters offer a mix of ideas for what Trumps first priority should be as president. In an open-ended
question, 20% of voters suggest health care as
Trumps first priority the most of any other
What should Trumps first priority be as
president?
issue area voters named. Roughly one-in-ten
name the economy (12%), immigration (10%),
% of voters saying Trumps first issue priority should
be...
unifying the country (8%) and jobs and
All
Trump Clinton
unemployment (8%) as the top priority issues
voters voters voters
Trump should address as president.
%
%
%
Health care/Obamacare
20
29
12
Economy
12
15
Immigration/Secure border
10
15
12
Jobs/Unemployment
Change personal behavior/
Address divisions he has created
10
11
Defense/National security
Environmental issues/
Climate change
Foreign policy
Among Clinton voters, about a quarter (23%) offer as their top priority for Trump suggestions
about healing divisions: 12% say that Trump should prioritize unifying the country, while 11%
want to see him change his personal behavior and address divisions he created during his
campaign.
www.pewresearch.org
18
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
When asked how much confidence they have in Trump to do the right thing dealing with five
major issues, Trump performs best when it
comes to dealing with the economy: 62% of
Voters most confident in Trump doing
voters have a great deal or a fair amount of
right thing on economy and terrorism
confidence in him in this area, including 36%
% of voters who say they have confidence in Donald
Trump to do the right thing when dealing with
who express a great deal of confidence in
Trump, while 37% say they have little or no
A great deal A fair amount Not too much None at all
confidence in him. And 56% have at least a fair
Economy
36
27
17
20
amount of confidence in Trump to do the right
Threat of terrorism
32
23
18
26
thing regarding the threat of terrorism, while
Health care
28
24
19
28
44% say they have little or no confidence in
Illegal immigration
27
25
15
32
him on this issue.
Foreign policy
23
25
20
www.pewresearch.org
32
19
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
At least nine-in-ten Trump voters say they have at least a fair amount of confidence in him on each
of these five issues. However, the share
Trump voters confident he will do right
expressing a great deal of confidence in Trump
thing on issues; Clinton voters are not
varies by issue. Seven-in-ten of his voters have
% of voters who say they have confidence in Donald
a great deal of confidence that he will do the
Trump to do the right thing when dealing with
right thing on the economy (70%), and nearly
A great deal A fair amount Not too much None at all
as many (64%) say this about the threat of
Among Trump voters
terrorism. Yet fewer express a great deal of
Economy
70
29 1
confidence that he will do the right thing when
it comes to health care (58%) or illegal
Threat of terrorism
64
32
4
immigration (55%), and only about half (47%)
Health care
58
38
3
of Trump voters express a great deal of
confidence in him on foreign policy.
Illegal immigration
55
Foreign policy
41
47
44
23
33
Threat of terrorism 3 13
Health care 1 9
33
33
Illegal immigration 3 8
24
Foreign policy
29
40
51
55
64
63
www.pewresearch.org
20
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Voters are skeptical that Trumps election as president will lead to better race relations in the
United States: Just a quarter (25%) think this is the case. By contrast, 46% of voters say race
relations will get worse after Trumps election, and 26% say his election will make no difference.
Voters were much more optimistic that Obama
would have a positive impact on race relations
More voters expect race relations to
in the days following his 2008 election: 52%
worsen than say they will improve
said his election would lead to improving race
% of voters who say election of (Trump/Obama) will
lead to ____ race relations
relations, while just 9% said they would
worsen (36% expected little change).
Better
No difference
Worse
There are stark differences by vote choice in
opinion on progress for race relations after
Trumps election. Half of Trump voters (50%)
expect race relations to get better, and 38%
think his election will make no difference; just
9% think race relations will get worse.
Trump (2016)
Obama (2008)
25
26
52
46
36
38
Trump (2016)
Trump voters
50
www.pewresearch.org
21
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Get worse
2016
All voters
27
45
27
Among those
who voted for ...
Trump
47
Clinton 10
2008
All voters
43
46
9
43
37
42
18
Among those
who voted for ...
Obama
McCain
55
18
34
49
7
31
There was somewhat more optimism about improved partisan relations eight years ago, after
Obamas first victory. At that time, 37% expected relations between Republicans and Democrats to
get better, while just 18% said they would get worse; 42% expected little change.
Trumps supporters are slightly less optimistic about improvements in partisan relations than
Obama voters were eight years ago (47% of Trump voters expect improvements, 55% of Obama
voters did in 2008). And Clinton voters are more likely than McCain voters were in 2008 to say
relations will get worse (43% of her voters say this today, 31% of McCains said this in 2008).
www.pewresearch.org
22
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Almost three quarters (73%) of all voters including 55% of his own supporters and fully 90% of
Clintons say that Donald Trump should try as best he can to work with Democratic leaders in
Washington to accomplish things, even if it
means disappointing some groups of
Most voters say Trump should try as
best he can to work with Democrats
Republican supporters.
% of voters who say Donald Trump should
73
Trump voters
Clinton voters
Stand up to Democrats
on issues important to
Republicans, even if it
means less gets done
22
55
90
37
9
www.pewresearch.org
23
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
While a large majority wants Trump to work with Democrats, somewhat fewer say the reverse:
59% of voters say Democratic leaders should
try to work with Trump even if it means
Many Clinton voters want Democrats to
disappointing some Democrats. Nearly fourstand up to Trump on important issues
in-ten (39%) want Democrats to stand up to
% of voters who say Democratic leaders should
Trump, even if it means less is accomplished.
More than eight-in-ten Trump voters (83%)
say Democratic leaders should work with
Trump to get things done even if it means
disappointing their supporters, but that view is
held by just 35% of Clinton voters. Nearly twothirds (63%) of Clinton voters say that
Democrats should stand up to Trump on
issues that are important to Democrats even if
it means less gets done in Washington.
This contrasts with the feelings among those
who voted for the losing candidate in 2008,
when 58% of McCain voters said Republican
leaders should try their best to work with
Obama.
Trump voters
Stand up to Trump on
issues important to
Democrats, even if it
means less gets done
59
39
83
Clinton voters
Among Clinton
voters who say they...
Are willing to give
Trump a chance
Can't give Trump
a chance
15
35
46
63
51
20
78
Among the majority of Clinton voters (58%) who say they are willing to give Trump a chance and
see how he governs, about half (51%) still want Democratic leaders to stand up to Trump. Among
the 39% of Clinton backers who say they cant see themselves giving Trump a chance, 78% say the
same.
www.pewresearch.org
24
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
More conservative
Nov 2016
36
60
Nov 2014
35
60
Nov 2012
35
57
Nov 2010
36
59
Nov 2008
35
60
More liberal
47
55
57
52
57
49
38
33
33
33
www.pewresearch.org
25
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
45
Trump voters
Clinton voters
Happy
52
3
87
94
10
www.pewresearch.org
26
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Trump
A or B
30
19
Clinton
Rep Party
Dem Party
Press
43
22
25
35
16
22
26
19
15
20
26
22
21
30
20
21
28
38
Pollsters
21
24
21
30
Hillary Clintons grades are
better than Trumps, which
marks the first time a losing
Voters
40
29
15
candidate has received more
Note: Dont know responses not shown. Q24.
positive grades than the
Source: Voter callback survey conducted Nov. 10-14, 2016.
winner. Clinton receives an A
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
or B from 43% of voters; 20%
award Clinton a C, while
nearly four-in-ten give Clinton a D (16%) or F (21%). Clintons average grade is a C.
13
Few voters give high ratings to the political parties. Only about a quarter overall give the
Republican Party (22%) and Democratic Party (26%) an A or B; roughly three-in-ten give each of
the parties an F (30% for the Republican Party, 28% for the Democratic Party). On average, the
GOP receives a D+, while the Democratic Party gets a C-.
The press and pollsters also are viewed negatively for their performance during the campaign.
Only 22% give the press an A or B grade; 38% give them a failing grade. For pollsters, just 21% give
them an A or B, while three-in-ten (30%) give them an F.
www.pewresearch.org
27
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Voters also are not particularly positive about their own conduct in the campaign. Just 40% say
the voters deserve a grade of A or B, 29% give them C, 15% D and 13% F. Still, on average, voters
give themselves C, which is higher than grades they give other campaign actors aside from Clinton.
11
13
5
7
21
26
11
8
9
10
11
22
27
22
10
5
5
14
18
8
16
15
A
or
B
49
19
75
64
57
52
57
55
30
1988
Bush
1992 1996
Clinton Clinton
2000* 2004
Bush
Bush
7
13
12
16
20
18
A
or
B
53
33
30
1988 1992
Dukakis Bush
14
13
1996
Dole
10
14
17
15
21
16
25
35
23
20
46
40
44
43
34
33
38
10
10
25
40
35
Notes: *In 2000, Bush is labeled as winning candidate, Gore as losing candidate, though at
the time of the survey the results of the election had not been declared.
Dont know responses not shown. Q24.
Source: Voter callback survey conducted Nov. 10-14, 2016.
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
www.pewresearch.org
28
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
10
12
15
18
13
18
31
31
34
12
12
14
19
15
24
39
38
30
15
29
22
25
A
or
B
46
45
29
50
28
28
37
22
9
10
7
13
6
6
9
11
8
11
29
30
9
16
26
D
45
7
6
15
17
12
18
37
C
A
or
B
58
33
47
20
26
69
48
28
54
37
26
Although the Republican Party won the White House and retained control of the House and
Senate, Trump voters are less positive about the performance of the GOP than Romneys
supporters were four years ago. Just 38% of Trump voters give the GOP an A or B for its campaign
www.pewresearch.org
29
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
16
19
33
15
16
29
18
20
19
18
33
31
16
19
32
24
26
15
12
26
29
38
21
19
A
or
B
29
36
28
28
33
34
31
22
11
12
6
9
29
27
10
11
29
14
15
8
9
33
8
6
23
9
10
30
27
21
28
24
A
or
B
43
47
34
29
41
51
43
21
www.pewresearch.org
30
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
supporters give the press an A or B when compared with Obama supporters in 2008 (53% A or B)
and 2012 (48%).
And voters offer very negative evaluations of the pollsters. Only 21% of voters give the pollsters a
grade of A or B, while 30% give the pollsters an F for their performance. That is the highest
percentage giving the pollsters a failing grade in any election dating to 1988.
These low marks for pollsters are shared by Clinton and Trump voters. Only 17% of Trump
supporters and 24% of Clinton supporters give pollsters an A or B grade, while about a third (36%)
of Trump supporters offer an F, as do 26% of Clinton voters.
As is almost always the case, the voters receive lower grades from supporters of the losing
candidate than from those who back the winning candidate. Just 27% of Clinton supporters give
the voters a grade of A or B; by contrast, a majority of Trump backers (55%) give top grades to the
voters.
However, Trump supporters are not as positive about the performance of the voters as Obama
supporters were in 2008 (83% A or B) or 2012 (70%). For their part, Clinton voters give the voters
lower grades than McCain voters did in 2008 (43% A or B), and about the same grades as Romney
supporters gave to the voters in 2012 (29%).
www.pewresearch.org
31
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Voters satisfaction with the choice of presidential candidates is at its lowest point for any of the
last eight presidential elections. And for the first time in this period, a majority of voters (55%) say
that ultimately they were not satisfied with
their choices for president. Just 44%
For the first time in eight elections,
expressed satisfaction with their options.
62
68
61
66
67
70
51
55
44
46
37
37
32
31
28
27
Not very/Not at all satisfied
63
45
37
31
Among those who voted for losing candidate
36
36
25
www.pewresearch.org
32
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
68
More mudslinging
than usual
72
49
36
Less mudslinging
than usual
34
27
14
96
68
54
46
16
92
92
00
04
08
19
12
16
65
57
46 47
34
92
36
25
96
42
73
51
34 38
23
00
16
04
08
12
www.pewresearch.org
33
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
While most say there was far less discussion of issues, the vast
majority of voters (81%) say that they learned enough about
the candidates and issues to make an informed choice. The
percentage who feels they learned enough to choose a
candidate fell slightly from 2012 (87%) but is on par with other
recent elections.
83 86 85 87 81
Learned enough
15 13 14 11 18
88 92 96 00 04 08 12 16
% of voters who say they found the
presidential debates ___ in deciding
who to vote for
70
48
Very/somewhat helpful
67 66
63
62 62
48
49
41
24
33 31 31 35
30
Not too/Not at all helpful
88 92 96 00 04 08 12 16
Note: Q17F2 & Q18F2.
Source: Voter callback survey conducted
Nov. 10-14, 2016.
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
www.pewresearch.org
34
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
A 57% majority of voters say news organizations had too much influence on the outcome of this
years presidential election, while 13% say the press had too little influence and 27% say the press
had the right amount of influence. The share saying news organizations had too much influence on
the outcome of the presidential election is the
highest it has been since 2000, while the share
More say press had too much
of those saying the press had about the right
influence on outcome of the election
amount of influence is the lowest in Pew
% of voters saying news organizations had ___
Research Center polling going back to 1992.
influence on the outcome of the presidential election
About half of those who voted for Clinton
(50%) say news organizations had too much
influence on the outcome of the election. This
is nearly twice the share of Obama voters who
said that the press had too much influence on
the outcome in 2012 (29%) or in 2008 (18%),
and higher than the 41% of Kerry voters who
said this in 2004.
49
46
39
46
47
45
53
43
13 Too little
48
42
27 About the
right amount
46
48
57 Too much
www.pewresearch.org
35
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
27
Trump voters 4
32
20
Clinton voters
39
Too tough
74 44
39
74
49
44
Hillary Clinton
Total
45
Trump voters
Clinton voters
33
78
12
50
21
15 5
37
www.pewresearch.org
36
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Somewhat
2016
2008
22
73
2004
22
68
24
2012
45
31
2008
2004
19
68
2016
Not at all
71
2012
Not too
37
44
43
48
41
37
The share very confident in the counting of votes across the country is on par with 2004 and 2008,
but is higher than it was four years ago, when confidence was lower than it had been in recent
years: In 2012, only about three-in-ten (31%) voters were very confident that votes across the
country were accurately counted.
www.pewresearch.org
37
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
R+54
R+3
72
56
42
47
44
29
21
18
Nov 2004
Nov 2008
Nov 2012
Nov 2016
www.pewresearch.org
38
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Voters express more confidence about the vote count now than they did earlier in the campaign
cycle. In August, about six-in-ten registered voters were very (28%) or somewhat (34%) confident
that votes across the country
would be accurately counted;
82% of those who voted say
In August, Trump supporters voiced low confidence in
this now.
6
11
19
37
31
2
10
8
12
11
41
30
32
47
49
44
12
34
28
37
45
11
5
4
19
13
17
2
2
20
2
5
25
8
6
18
29
31
www.pewresearch.org
39
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
The same pattern exists in confidence that ones own vote was accurately counted: 75% of Trump
voters now say they are very confident their own vote was counted accurately, double the share
of Trump supporters who said in August that they were very confident their vote would be counted
accurately in the November election. By comparison, the 67% of Clinton voters who now say they
are very confident their vote was counted accurately is identical to the share of Clinton supporters
who expected that their votes would be counted accurately in August.
www.pewresearch.org
40
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
About six-in-ten voters say they cast their ballot on Election Day (59%), while 41% say they voted
early. The share of voters casting a ballot before Election Day has risen steadily in recent years. In
2004, just 20% of those who voted said they did so before Election Day. In the current survey,
Trump and Clinton voters are about equally likely to say they voted early (39% and 42%,
respectively).
Among all in-person voters, 39% reported
having to wait in line to vote, while a majority
(61%) did not have to wait. Nearly a quarter of
all voters (23%) waited less than 30 minutes,
while 15% waited longer.
Voted early
Voted Election Day
52
65
Waited
<30 min
Waited
30+ min
23 15 39
26
22
48
22 13 35
www.pewresearch.org
41
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Trump
voters
%
Clinton
voters
%
15
14
14
During/After conventions
32
33
34
22
21
23
Before 2016
20
20
22
100
100
100
www.pewresearch.org
42
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Methodology
The analysis in this report is based on telephone interviews conducted November 10-14, 2016
among a national sample of 1,254 voters (Voters are those who said they voted in the 2016
election). The interviews were conducted among registered voters, 18 years of age or older
previously interviewed in one of two Pew Research survey conducted of 1,567 registered voters in
August 9-16, 2016 and 2,120 registered voters in October 20-25, 2016 (for more on the
methodologies of the original surveys, see here and here). The survey was conducted by
interviewers at Princeton Data Source under the direction of Princeton Survey Research Associates
International. Interviews were conducted on both landline telephones and cell phones (312
respondents for this survey were interviewed on a landline telephone, and 942 were interviewed
on a cell phone). Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. Interviewers asked to speak
with the respondent from the previous interview by first name, if it was available, or by age and
gender. For detailed information about our survey methodology, see
http://www.pewresearch.org/methodology/u-s-survey-research/
Weighting was performed in two stages. The weight from the original sample datasets was used as
a first-stage weight for this project. This first-stage weight corrects for different probabilities of
selection and differential non-response associated with the original interview. The sample of all
registered voters contacted for this survey was then raked - by form - to match parameters for sex
by age, sex by education, age by education, region, race/ethnicity, population density, phone use.
The non-Hispanic, white subgroup was also raked to age, education and region. These parameters
came from the weighted demographics of registered voters interviewed from the original surveys
from which sample was drawn. In addition, a parameter was added to the weighting so that the
vote results reported in the survey match the actual popular vote results. Sampling errors and
statistical tests of significance take into account the effect of weighting.
www.pewresearch.org
43
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
The following table shows the unweighted sample sizes and the error attributable to sampling that
would be expected at the 95% level of confidence for different groups in the survey:
Weighted proportion
of voting public
100%
Trump voters
Republican/Lean Rep half form
Clinton voters
Democrat/Lean Dem half form
Republican/Lean Rep
Republican/Lean Rep half form
Democrat/Lean Dem
Democrat/Lean Dem half form
Unweighted
sample size
1,254
Plus or minus
3.4 percentage points
47%
533
--
248 (min)
48%
587
--
275 (min)
47%
580
--
274 (min)
48%
609
--
288 (min)
Sample sizes and sampling errors for other subgroups are available upon request.
In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question wording and practical
difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion polls.
Pew Research Center undertakes all polling activity, including calls to mobile telephone numbers,
in compliance with the Telephone Consumer Protection Act and other applicable laws.
Pew Research Center is a nonprofit, tax-exempt 501(c)(3) organization and a subsidiary of The
Pew Charitable Trusts, its primary funder.
www.pewresearch.org
44
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
ASK ALL:
Q.1
A lot of people have been telling us they didn't get a chance to vote in this presidential election.
How about you... did things come up that kept you from voting, or did you happen to vote?
Nov 10-14
2016
100
Nov
2004
51
45
4
Nov
2000
46
47
7
Nov
1996
51
42
7
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Gary Johnson
Jill Stein
Other candidate/Dont know/Cant remember/Refused (VOL.)
The survey was weighted to approximately reflect the margin of the election results.
www.pewresearch.org
45
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Clinton Supporters
Pro-Clinton
Anti-Trump
Dont know/Refused (VOL.)
Trump Supporters
Pro-Trump
Anti-Clinton
Dont know/Refused (VOL.)
Other/Dont know/Cant Remember/Refused (VOL.)
www.pewresearch.org
46
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
[N=533]
Happy
Surprised
Relieved
Shocked
Hopeful
Elated
Great
Ecstatic
Satisfied
Excited
Glad
Awesome
Good
Pleased
Change
Thankful
Fantastic
Joy/Jubilation
Wonderful
Wow
Amazed
Amazing
Clinton voters
Nov 10-14
2016
101
68
45
36
29
18
16
16
14
10
9
8
8
8
7
6
6
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
Shocked
Disappointed
Disgusted
Surprised
Horrified
Sad
Devastated
Fearful
Disbelief
Stunned
Scared
Dismayed
Sickening
Unbelievable
Disastrous
Appalled
S*** (expletive)
Frightened
Outraged
Amazed
Despair
Horrible
Nausea
Wow
[N=587]
NOTE: The numbers listed represent the number of respondents who offered each response; the numbers
are not percentages.
www.pewresearch.org
47
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
[N=623]
Relief/Relieved
Happy/Happiness
Excited
Satisfied
Elated
Pleased
Glad
Great
Good
Ecstatic
Thrilled
Expected
Hope/Hopeful
Yes/Yeah
Grateful
Surprised
Delighted
Thank God
Wonderful
Hooray
Fantastic
Overjoyed
Unsurprised
Romney voters
Nov 8-11
2012
182
Disappointed/Disappointment
35
Disgusted
14
Shocked
12
Surprised
11
Fear
11
Sad
10
Depressed
10
Devastated
9
Unhappy
9
Upset
7
Expected
7
Horrible/Horrified
7
Unsurprised
6
Disaster/Disastrous
6
Dissatisfied
6
Dismay/Dismayed
6
Sick/Sickening
5
Angry
5
Frustrated
5
OK
4
Concerned
4
Discouraged
4
Hope/Hopeful
4
Resigned
4
Terrible
[N=514]
NOTE: The numbers listed represent the number of respondents who offered each response; the numbers
are not percentages.
www.pewresearch.org
48
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Happy
Hope/Hopeful
Excited
Ecstatic
Elated
Relieved
Great
Change
Pleased
Satisfied
Good
Historic
Thrilled
Surprised
Glad
Joy
Amazed
Proud
Awesome
Fantastic
Optimistic
Delighted
Hallelujah
Jubilant
Thankful
Exhilarated
OK
Shocked
Wonderful
Wow
Excellent
Not surprised
McCain voters
Nov
2008
139
30
27
21
18
18
15
11
10
10
9
8
7
7
6
6
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
Disappointed
Not surprised
Expected
Surprised
Hope/Hopeful
Scared
Fear/Fearful
Historic
Satisfied
Shocked
Concerned
Fine
Disgusted
OK
Terrified
Worried
Apprehensive
Good luck
Happy
Afraid
Disbelief
Dismay
Good
Indifferent
Nervous
Not happy
Sad
[N=611]
NOTE: The numbers listed represent the number of respondents who offered each response; the numbers
are not percentages.
www.pewresearch.org
49
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
39
1
2
Nov 10-14
2016
39
60
1
44
55
Nov 10-14
2016
59
40
*
2
3
57
43
In Nov. 2000, question was asked of George W. Bush, based on Bush voters.
In Nov. 2000, question was asked of Al Gore, based on Gore voters.
www.pewresearch.org
50
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
ASK FORM 1 RESPONDENTS WHO CHOSE A CANDIDATE IN Q.4 (FORM=1 AND Q.4=1-5)
[N=613]:
Q.10F1 When did you make up your mind definitely to vote for [IF Q.4=1: Hillary Clinton; IF Q.4=2
Donald Trump; IF Q.4=3: Gary Johnson; IF Q.4=4: Jill Stein, IF Q.4=5: The candidate
of your choice]? [OPEN END. DO NOT READ PRECODES. INTERVIEWER: GET TIME AS
SPECIFICALLY AS POSSIBLE]
Nov 10-14
2016
4
*
*
2
5
10
10
22
13
9
22
20
-2
1
Nov
2000
Nov
1996
Nov
1992
Nov
1988
On Election Day
On Monday (day before the election)
Over the last weekend
In the last week
In the last few weeks
During or just after the Presidential debates
Before debates/after the Conventions
4
1
1
2
-10
9
4
1
1
3
-11
6
5
2
2
5
-17
9
6
3
2
6
--12
9
4
4
8
-12
6
10
9
1
7
1
6
7
4
3
8
---
12
---
15
---
16
41
0
1
4
23
38
0
4
2
21
20
-6
3
13
39
*
6
2
18
12
8
5
1
19
9
-4
2
NO QUESTIONS 11-13
ASK ALL WHO VOTED (Q.1=1):
Q.14
Overall, are you surprised that Donald Trump won the presidential election, or not surprised?
Nov 10-14
2016
73
27
*
Surprised
Not surprised
Don't know/Refused (VOL.)
Nov
2004
33
33
16
16
2
NO QUESTION 16
www.pewresearch.org
Nov
2000
24
44
18
9
5
Nov
1996
18
33
24
22
3
Nov
1992
24
37
21
16
2
Nov
1988
26
36
20
17
1
6
3
2
4
--16
51
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
(VOL.)
DK/Ref
1
2
1
1
2
2
3
2
Very
helpful
25
29
28
24
25
13
31
13
Somewhat
helpful
38
37
39
38
37
28
39
35
Not too
helpful
15
14
17
14
14
23
11
24
Not at all
helpful
21
17
14
19
16
25
13
25
(VOL.)
Did not watch
the debates
1
3
2
4
7
10
5
3
(VOL.)
DK/Ref
*
1
*
1
1
1
1
*
NO QUESTIONS 19-23
ASK ALL WHO VOTED (Q.1=1):
Q.24
Students are often given the grades A, B, C, D, or Fail to describe the quality of their work.
Looking back over the campaign, what grade would you give to each of the following groups for
the way they conducted themselves in the campaign? First... [READ AND RANDOMIZE;
OBSERVE FORM SPLITS; ITEM G. FULL FORM] How about [NEXT ITEM]? [IF NECESSARY:
What gradeA, B, C, D, or F would you give to [ITEM] for the way (they/he/she) conducted
(themselves/himself/herself) in the campaign?]
(VOL.)
DK/Ref
9
9
5
17
10
4
4
11
14
29
23
33
35
23
25
34
25
29
38
24
31
39
34
31
22
15
19
12
10
18
18
12
30
15
14
12
9
13
15
10
*
3
1
2
5
3
4
2
7
20
26
19
34
43
26
18
17
20
12
6
28
15
7
*
1
1
www.pewresearch.org
52
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Q.24 CONTINUED
2004
2000
1996
1992
1988
A
9
14
12
18
7
B
28
33
36
40
26
C
37
30
29
26
45
D
16
11
11
6
13
F
9
8
9
6
7
(VOL.)
DK/Ref
1
4
3
4
2
The pollsters
Nov 10-14, 2016
Nov 8-11, 2012
November, 2008
November, 2004
November, 2000
November, 1996
November, 1992
November, 1988
6
16
20
16
7
11
15
13
15
27
31
26
22
23
31
29
24
27
23
33
28
29
27
29
21
10
6
9
15
11
9
12
30
9
8
8
14
10
6
11
5
11
12
8
14
16
12
6
6
8
9
8
6
6
11
8
16
23
25
24
22
22
25
22
19
29
26
32
31
33
29
33
21
12
15
19
18
19
16
19
38
26
24
16
20
18
15
16
1
2
1
1
3
2
4
2
12
31
20
16
21
25
45
15
17
20
26
9
32
30
31
36
37
38
29
16
14
25
25
22
21
40
8
5
13
10
8
7
13
18
5
14
10
11
5
7
1
1
2
2
2
3
1
21
19
15
35
13
10
22
15
7
4
15
31
30
34
37
26
26
34
23
35
22
27
34
33
26
15
14
10
10
20
18
13
17
10
11
9
12
16
11
1
1
1
2
1
3
1
18
23
33
22
27
31
29
22
18
15
10
6
13
13
8
2
6
4
November,
November,
November,
November,
November,
c.F1
g.F2
Hillary Clinton
Nov 10-14, 2016
TRENDS FOR
COMPARISON:
Nov 8-11, 2012 Obama
November, 2008 Obama
November, 2004 Kerry
November, 2000 Gore
November, 1996 B.Clinton
November, 1992 B.Clinton
November, 1988 Dukakis
Donald Trump
Nov 10-14, 2016
TRENDS FOR
COMPARISON:
Nov 8-11, 2012 Romney
November, 2008 McCain
November, 2004 Bush
November, 2000 Bush
November, 1996 Dole
November, 1992 Bush, Sr
November, 1988 Bush, Sr
ASK ALL:
g.
The voters
Nov 10-14, 2016
Nov 8-11, 2012
November, 2008
www.pewresearch.org
53
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Q.24 CONTINUED
November,
November,
November,
November,
November,
2004
2000
1996
1992
1988
A
30
22
12
32
18
B
30
31
27
29
31
C
20
25
29
20
28
D
7
7
13
5
10
F
8
4
10
5
7
(VOL.)
DK/Ref
5
11
9
9
6
More
Less
Same (VOL.)
Don't know/Refused (VOL.)
Nov 8-11
2012
38
51
6
4
Nov
2008
57
34
6
3
Nov
2004
47
42
7
4
Nov
2000
46
36
13
5
Nov
1996
25
65
6
4
Nov
1992
59
34
4
3
More
Less
Same (VOL.)
Don't know/Refused (VOL.)
Nov 8-11
2012
68
19
11
2
Nov
2008
54
27
16
3
Nov
2004
72
14
12
2
Nov
2000
34
46
16
4
Nov
1996
49
36
12
3
Nov
1992
68
16
14
2
NO QUESTIONS 27-31
ASK ALL WHO VOTED (Q.1=1):
Next,
Q.32
How much influence do you think news organizations had on the outcome of this year's
presidential election... too much, too little or about the right amount?
Nov 10-14
2016
57
13
27
3
Too much
Too little
About the right amount
Don't know/Refused (VOL.)
Nov 8-11
2012
48
6
42
3
Nov
2008
46
3
48
3
www.pewresearch.org
Nov
2004
43
7
45
5
Nov
2000
53
4
39
4
Nov
1996
47
4
46
3
Nov
1992
46
2
49
3
54
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
a.
Too easy
Hillary Clinton
November 10-14, 2016
45
TRENDS FOR COMPARISON (BASED ON GP):
October 6-9, 20164
35
September 15-18, 2016
33
April 25-28, 2008
20
March 20-24, 2008
21
February 29-March 3, 2008
19
February 1-4, 2008
24
Obama
September 20-23, 2012
28
May 17-20, 2012
28
November 3-6, 2011
26
July 21-24, 2011
27
November 18-21, 20105
23
September 9-12, 2010
27
July 15-18, 2010
27
April 9-12, 2010
29
October 3-6, 2008
31
April 25-28, 2008
26
March 20-24, 2008
23
February 29-March 3, 2008
28
February 1-4, 2008
23
b. Donald Trump
November 10-14, 2016
27
TRENDS FOR COMPARISON (BASED ON GP):
October 6-9, 20166
23
September 15-18, 2016
27
Romney
September 20-23, 2012
20
May 17-20, 2012
21
February 2-5, 2012
19
November 3-6, 2011
12
July 21-24, 2011
16
McCain
October 3-6, 2008
15
April 25-28, 2008
20
March 20-24, 2008
18
February 29-March 3, 2008
14
February 1-4, 2008
14
Too tough
Fair
(VOL.)
DK/Ref
21
33
12
16
18
17
18
20
38
37
57
55
58
48
15
13
5
7
5
8
15
19
22
23
21
23
24
21
7
17
15
8
8
46
41
41
41
46
37
39
42
60
52
55
58
61
11
13
11
9
9
13
10
8
2
5
7
6
8
39
32
24
23
36
37
17
14
21
15
14
9
9
46
47
47
53
45
13
18
19
26
30
23
8
9
14
9
60
65
62
64
63
2
7
11
8
14
NO QUESTIONS 34-38
4
5
6
In Oct. 6-9, 2016 and Sept. 15-18, 2016 surveys, this question was worded Thinking about recent news coverage, would
you say the press has been too easy, too tough or fair in the way it has covered Hillary Clinton? Based on general public.
In November 18-21, 2010 survey, this question was not asked in a list. For all other trends, this was a list item.
In Oct. 6-9, 2016 and Sept. 15-18, 2016 surveys, this question was worded Thinking about recent news coverage, would
you say the press has been too easy, too tough or fair in the way it has covered Donald Trump? Based on general public.
www.pewresearch.org
55
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Nov 10-14
2016
50
Happy
48
Unhappy
2
Don't know/Refused (VOL.)
Nov 10-14
2016
56
39
1
5
Nov 10-14
2016
49
49
1
2008
57
34
9
NO QUESTION 42
In 2012, question read Barack Obama was reelected president?; in 2004, question read George Bush was reelected
president?; in 1996, question read Bill Clinton was reelected as president?
In 2012, question asked whether Obama would have successful/unsuccessful second term; in 2004, question asked whether
Bush would have successful/unsuccessful second term; in 1996, question asked about whether Clinton would have
successful/unsuccessful second term and was worded: Thinking ahead to the year 2000, as I read the following pairs,
please tell me which is more likely to happen and was asked as part of a series.
In LA Times/Bloomberg survey, question was asked of Barack Obama, based on registered voters.
www.pewresearch.org
56
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Change for
the worse
Wouldnt change
things much
either way
(VOL.)
DK/Ref
25
25
44
21
Health care/Obamacare
Economy
Immigration/Secure border
Unify the country
Jobs/Unemployment
Change his personal behavior/Address divisions he has created
Defense/National security
Environmental issues/Climate change
Foreign policy
Supreme Court nomination
Budget/Deficit
Taxes
Education/Student loans
Resign/Be impeached
Other
None
Dont know/Refused (VOL.)
10
In Jun 15-26, 2016 survey, question read Do you think Donald Trump would change the way things work in Washington
[RANDOMIZE: for the better/for the worse] or dont you think he would change things much either way. Based on
registered voters.
www.pewresearch.org
57
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
(VOL.)
DK/Ref
3
Unhappy
45
(VOL.)
Happy Unhappy DK/Ref
52
56
53
51
48
65
42
40
41
44
39
27
6
4
6
5
13
8
51
50
61
49
48
58
38
34
25
37
33
32
11
16
14
14
19
10
a.
b.
11
12
Hopeful
Nov 10-14, 2016
TRENDS FOR COMPARISON:
Obama
Nov 8-11, 201211
Sep 12-16, 2012 (RVs)
Sep 22-Oct 4, 2011 (RVs)
Mar 10-14, 2010 (RVs)
November, 2008
March, 200812 (RVs)
Proud
Nov 10-14, 2016
TRENDS FOR COMPARISON:
Obama
Nov 8-11, 2012
Sep 12-16, 2012 (RVs)
Sep 22-Oct 4, 2011 (RVs)
Mar 10-14, 2010 (RVs)
November, 2008
March, 2008 (RVs)
Yes
No
(VOL.)
DK/Ref
51
49
54
50
43
52
69
54
45
48
55
46
29
43
1
2
2
2
2
3
36
63
53
51
45
48
65
42
45
45
52
48
32
53
2
3
3
4
3
5
For all Nov 2008-Nov 2012 trends, the question was worded Does Barack Obama make you feel [INSERT FIRST ITEM;
RANDOMIZE] or not? Does Obama make you feel [NEXT ITEM] or not?
For all March 2008 trends, the question was worded Has Barack Obama ever made you feel [INSERT ITEM] or not?
www.pewresearch.org
58
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Q.45 CONTINUED
Yes
No
(VOL.)
DK/Ref
31
68
21
31
31
31
9
26
78
68
68
67
91
71
1
1
1
2
*
3
53
47
41
42
35
38
58
56
64
60
1
1
1
2
41
59
41
59
c.
d.
Angry
Nov 10-14, 2016
TRENDS FOR COMPARISON:
Obama
Nov 8-11, 2012
Sep 12-16, 2012 (RVs)
Sep 22-Oct 4, 2011 (RVs)
Mar 10-14, 2010 (RVs)
November, 2008
March, 2008 (RVs)
Uneasy
Nov 10-14, 2016
TRENDS FOR COMPARISON:
Obama
Nov 8-11, 2012
Sep 22-Oct 4, 2011 (RVs)
November, 2008
March, 2008 (RVs)
a.
13
14
15
A great
deal
A fair
amount
36
27
17
20
22
20
21
32
33
32
32
38
38
42
16
17
18
13
14
27
27
21
13
7
2
4
2
4
4
In September 2012, question was worded How much confidence do you have in Barack Obama to do the right thing when it
comes to fixing the economy a great deal of confidence, a fair amount, not too much, or no confidence at all? in a list with
Mitt Romney, based on general public.
In December, September and January of 2009, economy was asked in a list of issues. Based on general public.
Item asked in a list about confidence in Obama, Democratic leaders in Congress, and Republican leaders in Congress. Based
on general public.
www.pewresearch.org
59
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Q.46 CONTINUED
b.
32
23
18
26
31
40
16
27
25
15
32
28
24
19
28
23
25
20
32
e.
d.
A fair
amount
c.
A great
deal
Nov 10-14
2016
25
46
26
3
Better
Worse
Wont make a difference
52
9
36
16
17
Nov
2008
85
12
3
Yes
No
Don't know/Refused (VOL.)
In January 2009, question was asked of Obama and worded How much confidence do you have in Barack Obama to do the
right thing when it comes to preventing terrorist attacksa great deal of confidence, a fair amount of confidence, not too
much confidence, or no confidence at all? Based on general public.
In Nov 2008, question was asked of Barack Obamas election as president.
www.pewresearch.org
60
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Nov
2008
66
34
19
14
1
*
Nov
2006
80
20
---*
Nov
2004
80
20
---*
Nov
2002
85
15
---*
ASK IF VOTED IN PERSON BEFORE ELECTION DAY (Q.48=1) OR ON ELECTION DAY (Q.47=1):
Q.49
Did you have to wait in line to vote, or not?
ASK IF YES, WAITED IN LINE (Q.49=1):
Q.50
How long did you wait to vote? [OPEN END]
BASED ON VOTERS WHO VOTED IN PERSON BEFORE ELECTION DAY OR ON ELECTION
DAY [N=1,000]:
Yes,
waited
<15
mins
15-29
mins
30-59
mins
1-2
hrs
2+
hrs
(VOL.)
No,
DK/Ref didnt wait
39
48
35
14
15
14
9
11
8
9
11
8
4
9
2
2
1
2
*
*
0
61
52
65
0
0
0
23
22
23
13
16
13
5
4
5
1
0
1
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
77
78
77
0
0
0
38
43
37
14
15
13
8
7
8
9
10
9
6
7
5
2
4
1
0
0
0
62
57
63
0
0
0
36
48
33
11
12
11
8
15
5
7
8
7
6
8
6
4
5
4
*
0
*
64
52
67
*
0
*
28
14
72
42
13
11
10
58
18
19
In 2008 and earlier, question read Did you have to wait in line at your polling place, or not?
In 2006 and 2004, only asked of Election Day voters.
www.pewresearch.org
(VOL.)
DK/Ref
61
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Nov 8-11
2012
8
91
1
Yes
No
Dont know/Refused (VOL.)
(RVs)
Nov 4-7
2010
6
93
2
Yes
Republican candidates
Democratic candidates
Other candidates or issues (VOL.)
Both (VOL.)
Urged to vote, but not for any particular candidate (VOL.)
Dont know/Refused (VOL.)
No
Don't know/Refused (VOL.)
Nov 8-11
2012
8
5
*
*
*
2
*
91
1
ASK IF ATTEND CHURCH AT LEAST ONCE OR TWICE A MONTH AND VOTED IN THE ELECTION
(ATTEND=1-3 IN PREVIOUS INTERVIEW AND Q.1=1):
Q.R2
Was information on political parties or candidates for the recent election made available in your
place of worship, or not?
BASED ON VOTERS WHO ATTEND RELIGIOUS SERVICES AT LEAST ONCE A MONTH [N=618]:
Yes
14
13
16
15
25
27
14
28
No
82
84
81
82
72
71
83
69
www.pewresearch.org
(VOL.)
DK/Ref
3
3
3
3
3
2
3
3
62
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
ASK IF ATTEND CHURCH AT LEAST ONCE OR TWICE A MONTH AND VOTED IN THE ELECTION
(ATTEND=1-3 IN PREVIOUS INTERVIEW AND Q.1=1):
Q.R3
And did the clergy at your place of worship urge you to vote a particular way in the recent
election, or not?
ASK IF YES (Q.R3=1):
Q.R4
Were you urged to vote for [READ AND RANDOMIZE:]
BASED ON VOTERS WHO ATTEND RELIGIOUS SERVICES AT LEAST ONCE A MONTH [N=618]:
Nov 10-14
2016
5
2
2
0
*
1
*
-92
3
(RVs)
Nov 8-11 Nov 4-7 Nov
2012
2010 2008
Yes
5
6
8
Republican candidates
3
2
-Democratic candidates
*
1
-Other candidates or issues (VOL.)
*
--Both (VOL.)
0
*
-Urged to vote, but not for
any particular candidate (VOL.)
2
--Dont know/Refused (VOL.)
0
--Other/Dont know/Refused (VOL.) -2
-No
93
93
92
Don't know/Refused (VOL.)
2
1
*
(RVs)
Nov
2006
8
3
2
-1
Nov
2004
11
-----
Nov
2000
6
-----
Nov
1996
7
-----
--2
91
2
---89
*
---93
1
---91
2
ASK IF ATTEND CHURCH AT LEAST ONCE OR TWICE A MONTH AND VOTED IN THE ELECTION
(ATTEND=1-3 IN PREVIOUS INTERVIEW AND Q.1=1):
Q.R3
And did the clergy at your place of worship urge you to vote a particular way in the recent
election, or not?
ASK IF YES IN Q.R3 (Q.R3=1):
Q.R5
Were you urged to vote in a particular way in the PRESIDENTIAL race, a Congressional race, a
state race a local race or on specific ballot issues? [ACCEPT MUTIPLIE RESPONSES]
BASED ON VOTERS WHO ATTEND RELIGIOUS SERVICES AT LEAST ONCE A MONTH [N=618]:
Nov 10-14
2016
5
2
1
1
*
*
1
92
3
Yes
Presidential
Ballot issues
Congressional
State
Local
Dont know/Refused (VOL.)
No
Don't know/Refused (VOL.)
Nov 8-11
2012
5
3
2
1
1
1
1
93
2
Nov
2008
8
3
3
*
1
*
1
92
*
www.pewresearch.org
Nov
2004
11
7
4
2
2
2
1
89
*
Nov
2000
6
4
-2
2
2
2
93
1
Nov
1996
7
5
-3
3
3
2
91
2
63
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Nov 10-14
2016
59
39
2
54
43
5
36
11
(VOL.)
DK/Ref
3
7
8
6
8
6
20
21
22
In January 2007 and November 2006 the question was rotated. Figures are based only on those who received this question
first in the rotation. The question also began This year
In Jan 2011 and Jan 2012, the question began This year
November 2008 question was rotated and figures are based only on those who received the question first in the rotation.
www.pewresearch.org
64
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Q.55F2 CONTINUED...
TREND FOR COMPARISON:
Next year should Barack Obama... [READ]
Try as best he can to work with
Republican leaders to accomplish
things, even if it means
disappointing some groups of
Democratic supporters
Nov 6-9, 2014 (GP)
62
Nov 8-11, 2012
72
Jan 11-16, 201223 (GP)
59
Jan 5-9, 2011 (GP)
65
Nov 4-7, 2010 (GP)
62
Stand up to Republicans
on issues that are important
to Democratic supporters,
even if it means less gets
done in Washington
30
21
28
28
27
(VOL.)
DK/Ref
8
7
13
7
11
NO QUESTIONS 56-60
ASK ALL WHO VOTED (Q.1=1):
Now thinking about election night...
Q.61
Did you happen to follow election returns on Tuesday night, or not?
Nov 10-14
2016
84
16
*
Yes
No
Don't know/Refused (VOL.)
Nov 8-11
2012
78
21
*
Nov
2008
82
18
*
Nov
2004
84
16
*
Nov
2000
88
12
0
23
Yes
No
Don't know/Refused (VOL.)
Did not follow returns
election night
In Jan 2011 and Jan 2012, the question began This year
www.pewresearch.org
22
Nov 2008
Followed All
returns voters
96
79
4
3
0
0
--
18
Nov 2004
Followed All
returns voters
97
81
3
3
0
0
--
16
65
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Nov 2004
Followed All
returns voters
19
16
------81
68
*
*
-16
Nov 2008
Followed All
returns voters
13
10
81
67
6
5
*
*
-18
NO QUESTION 64
24
In 2008 and earlier, question read Did you follow election returns on the Internet or not?
www.pewresearch.org
66
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Nov
2008
73
22
3
2
*
Nov
2006
70
23
3
2
2
Nov
2004
68
24
4
3
1
Very
confident
49
57
57
58
62
Somewhat
confident
29
31
28
29
26
Not too
confident
12
6
8
9
7
Not at all
confident
10
4
4
3
4
(VOL.)
DK/Ref
1
2
3
1
1
Nov 10-14
2016
45
37
11
6
1
TREND FOR
COMPARISON:
(RVs)
Aug 9-16
201625
28
34
21
15
2
25
(GP)
(GP)
(RVs)
Nov 6-9 Jan 15-19 Nov 8-11 Nov 4-7
2014
2014
2012
2010
Get better
18
15
31
22
Get worse
26
22
14
28
Stay about the same
55
59
52
48
Dont know/Refused (VOL.)
2
4
3
3
Nov
2008
37
18
42
3
(GP)
Jan
2007
28
19
49
4
(GP)
Nov
2006
29
20
46
5
In Aug 9-6, 2016 survey, question was asked of registered voters prior to the election: How confident are you that the
votes across the country will be accurately counted in the upcoming election? [READ IN ORDER]
www.pewresearch.org
67
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Should
Should not
Doesnt matter
Dont know/Refused (VOL.)
Obama/Republicans
Nov
2008
60
4
35
1
Increase
Decrease
Stay about the same
Dont know/Refused (VOL.)
Oct 20-25
201626
55
17
26
2
Give equal priority to the needs of all Americans, even those who did not support him
Give greater priority to the needs of those who supported him
Neither/Other (VOL.)
NO QUESTIONS 71-77
ASK ALL WHO VOTED (Q.1=1):
PARTY In politics TODAY, do you consider yourself a Republican, Democrat, or Independent?
ASK IF INDEP/OTHER/NO PREF/DK/REF (PARTY=3-9):
PARTYLN
As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to the Republican Party or the Democratic Party?
26
Republican
30
(VOL.) (VOL.)
No
Other (VOL.)
Democrat Independent preference party DK/Ref
33
36
1
*
*
Lean
Rep
17
Lean
Dem
15
In October 20-25, 2016, question was asked of registered voters and worded If Donald Trump wins the presidential
election, do you think political divisions in this country will increase, decrease or stay about the same?
www.pewresearch.org
68
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
ASK REPUBLICANS AND REPUBLICAN LEANERS WHO VOTED ((PARTY=1 OR PARTYLN=1) AND
Q.1=1):
Q.78
Would you like to see Republican leaders in Washington move in a more conservative direction
or a more moderate direction?
BASED ON REPUBLICAN AND REPUBLICAN-LEANING VOTERS [N=580]:
More
conservative
60
52
57
53
54
57
56
57
51
60
More
moderate
36
39
39
42
41
35
38
37
42
35
(VOL.)
No change
1
2
1
1
2
3
2
2
2
1
(VOL.)
DK/Ref
3
7
4
4
4
5
5
5
5
4
More
liberal
49
39
41
37
36
33
34
34
35
33
www.pewresearch.org
More
moderate
47
52
52
53
57
57
54
54
53
57
(VOL.)
No change
1
3
2
3
2
4
3
4
2
2
(VOL.)
DK/Ref
3
6
5
8
5
7
10
8
9
8