Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Landscape
Selected
Private
Companies
Financial Technology
Innovators,
August 2015
Michael Grondahl
Research Analyst
Diversified Business Services and Technology
612 303-6459
dain.a.haukos@pjc.com
Eric Robinson
Research Analyst
Financial Services and Technology
612 303-6156
eric.m.robinson@pjc.com
Piper Jaffray does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may
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investment decisions. This report should be read in conjunction with important disclosure information, including an attestation under Regulation Analyst
certification, found on pages 183 - 185 of this report or at the following site: http://www.piperjaffray.com/researchdisclosures
August 2015
F I N T EC H I N N O VA TI O N
Six Categories of
FinTech
August 2015
TABLE OF CONTENTS
August 2015
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August 2015
Exhibit 1
Robo-Advisors
Money Transfer
Payments
Corporate Services
Crowdfunding
AssetAvenue
Acorns
Azimo
2Checkout
Advyzon
Angel.me
Auxmoney
Betterment
Boom Financial
Adyen
Algomi
AngelList
Avant
BillGuard
PeerTransfer
Apriva
Ayasdi
AngelsDen
BetterFinance
Blooom
Regalii
Bigcommerce
BlueVine
appbackr
Biz2Credit
Credit Karma
Remit2India
Bill.com
Digital Reasoning
Appsfunder
Bond Street
Credit Sesame
Remitly
BillTrust
ebankIT
bolstr
C2FO
Digit
Ripple Labs
Bindo
Expensify
Causes
Can Capital
DriveWealth
Skrill
FeedZai
CircleUp
Etoro
BlueSnap
Finsphere
Crowdcube
CircleBackLending
Financial Guard
Boku
FINTRX
Crowdfunder
CommonBond
FlexScore
TransferWise
Cardflight
FundBox
Crowdrise
Credibly
FutureAdvisor
Venmo
CashStar
Kensho
EarlyShares
Daric
Hedgeable
WeSwap
Datacap Systems
Kusiri
Equitynet
Dealstruck
HedgeCoVest
WorldRemit
Dwolla
Lootsie
Experiment
DriverUp
Jemstep
Edo Interactive
MarketProphit
FirstGiving
Earnest
Kapitall
Fortumo
Meniga
Fundable
FinancieIt
Loyal3
GoCardless
MiiCard
FundAnything
Fundera
MarketRiders
inDiniero
Money.net
FundersClub
Funding Circle
Motif Investing
Intubus
Namely
FundingTree
Groundfloor
Nutmeg
iZettle
Nomis Solutions
FundRazr
Jimubox
Openfolio
Klarna
OpenGamma
FundRise
Kabbage
Personal Capital
Lightspeed
Orchard Platform
GiveForward
Kiva
Propel(x)
MineralTree
Quantopian
GoFundMe
Lendico
Qapital
Miura Systems
Robinhood
Gust
LendingHome
Rebalance IRA
Mozido
SecureKey
HealthiosXChange
lendio
SigFig
OoBi
Symphony
HoneyFund
Lendkey
SmartAsset
Payfirma
Trulioo
Ifunding
LendStreet
TradeHero
PayitSimple
Ycharts
Indiegogo
LiftForward
Wealthfront
Payleven
Zenefits
InvestedIn
LoanDepot
Wealthminder
PayNearMe
ZenPayroll
InvestinZone
Lufax
WealthyX
Payoneer
KickStarter
MarketInvoice
WiseBanyan
Paytm
MicroVentures
Money360
Powa Technologies
OneVest
P2BInvestor
Poynt
Patreon
Patch of Land
Revel Systems
Prodigy Network
Pave
SayPay Technologies
Quirky
Peerform
Sellfy
Razoo
PPDAI
ShopKeep
SecondMarket
Pret D'Union
SimplyTapp
SeedInvest
Primarq
Spreedly
Seedrs
Prodig Finance
Square
SharesPost
Prosper
Stripe
StartEngine
Rate Setter
Subledger
WeFunder
Realty Mogul
SumUp
YouCaring
Realty Shares
SupportPay
Receivables Exchange
Swipely
Renrendai
Tabbedout
Sofi
Taulia
Upstart
Trustly
Zopa
Vend
WePay
Zuora
August 2015
Financial Institutions
in FinTech
Venture capital and corporate M&A in the payments space has been strong due to large
growth opportunities and a low interest rate environment. Notably, we have seen banks
and legacy financial institutions make significant investments in FinTech startups
(American Express [AXP], MasterCard [MA], Visa [V], JP Morgan [JPM], Goldman Sachs
[GS] and many others) and we have also seen financial institutions acquire more mature
startups (Heartland Payment Systems [HPY], Blackhawk Network Holdings [HAWK],
Intuit [INTU] and Ingenico). In total, according to a report by Accenture, global FinTech
investment in 2014 was ~$12.2B with the U.S. receiving just less than $10B of that total. We
believe that current demographics and the fusing of financial institutions and technology
will continue to provide numerous opportunities.
Notable Recent
FinTech Transactions
Below we highlight some of the recent notable transactions within the FinTech space:
Exhibit 2
TransferWise
LevelMoney
Lending Club
Stripe
Kensho
WealthFront
HiFX
Acquirer/ Investor
Multiple Parties
Envestnet
Visa, AXP, PE Firms
Multiple Parties
Multiple parties
Multiple parties
EEFT
PayPal
HAWK
EEFT
Multiple parties
Blackhawk Netowrk
Public
Multiple parties
Multiple parties
D+H
MasterCard
NorthwesternMutual
Global payments
PayPal
Visa
Samsung
Technology Crossover
Ventures
Accel
Andreessen Horowitz
Index Ventures
CapitalOne
Public
Multiple parties
Multiple parties
Multiple parties
EEFT
Business
Payments
Financial Data
Payments
Marketplace Lending
Marketplace Lending
Marketplace Lending
Online currency data platform
Money Transfer
Corporate Incentives
Money Transfer
Money Transfer
Rewards
Payments
Commission Free Trading
Cloud based HR/Payroll
Payments
Data Analytics
Robo-Advisor
Payments
Payments
Payments
Payments
Money Transfer
Transaction
Series E
Acquisition
Not Disclosed
Series E
Series A
Debt Financing
Acquisition
Acquisition
Acquisition
Acquisition
Series B
Acquisition
IPO
Series B
Series C
Acquisition
Acquisition
Acquisition
Acquisition
Acquisiton
Acquisition
Acquisition
Series B
Date
Amount ($M)
8/12/2015
$50
8/10/2015
$590
7/28/2015
<$100M
7/24/2015
$120
7/21/2015
$18
7/20/2015
$250
7/6/2015
$100
7/1/2015
$890
6/30/2015
$110
6/22/2015
$83
6/15/2015
$20
6/11/2015
$110
5/21/2015
$1,270
5/7/2015
$50
5/6/2015
$500
4/30/2015
$1,250
4/27/2015
$600
3/25/2015
$250
3/25/2015
$125
3/2/2015
$280
2/27/2015 Not Disclosed
2/18/2015
$250
2/17/2015
$100
Money Transfer
Series C
1/25/2015
$58
Personal Finance
P2P Lending
Payments
Financial Analytics
Robo-Advisor
Money Transfer
Acquisiton
IPO
Series C
Series A
Series D
Acquisition
1/12/2015
12/11/2014
12/2/2014
11/24/2014
10/27/2014
3/11/2014
Not Disclosed
$1,000
$70
$15
$64
$242
August 2015
Over the last several years, we have seen numerous transactions with top venture capital
funds into various FinTech companies. These names include the above plus: RRE Ventures
(Boom Financial, OnDeck), Y Combinator (WePay and Coinbase), Andreesen Horowitz
(Coinbase and Dwolla), and Google Ventures (Poynt and ZenPayroll), among others. We
believe that this showcases the large melding of the markets between financial institutions
and technology companies as the tech side catches up with financial institutions need for
security, compliance and mobile platforms, while meeting consumer demands for ease and
convenience.
We have already seen that capital for FinTech startups continues to be readily available and
we believe that much of this availability is due to the ease in finding an exit point for the
original venture capital partners. This is highlighted by the steady growth seen within the
FinTech market for mergers and acquisitions as well as IPOs. We highlight that according
to CB Insights, the FinTech sector saw 76 M&A deals and one IPO during the March
quarter after 53, 53, 55 and 53 transactions (both IPO and M&A) in 4Q14, 3Q14, 2Q14 and
1Q14 respectively. We believe that this level of activity will remain solid as businesses and
financial institutions continue to embrace FinTech into their respective business models.
FinTech Acquirers
While the venture capital funds continue to focus on investment in the more early stage
startups, corporate business development and private equity funds are providing the exit
capital for the original venture funds. Notably, some of the leaders in FinTech M&A have
been smaller, more processing and payment oriented names but we do see a few blue chip
corporate acquisitions (SAP, Xerox, Capital One Financial, Blackhawk Network,
MasterCard and Google).
Exhibit 3
Category
Corporate - Payment processing
2 Intuit
PE
4 Avalara
5 Bankrate
6 Blackhawk Network
8 Epicor Software
9 Huobi
10 Ingenico
Targets
Touchnet Information SystemsMCS Software
Payroll 1
Dinerware
PC America
Xpient
Liquor POS
PaySuite
KDK Software
Acrede
ZeroPaper
PlaybookHR
Prestwick Services
Check
GoodApril
Tibco Software
Transfirst
Blackbaud
SumTotal
VAT Applications
Eztax
Moseo
Caring, Inc.
Wallaby Financial
Achievers
Parago
InteliSpend
CardLab
Retailo
Monsoon
Level Money
AmeriCommerce
Adaptive Path
ClearXchange
Spectrum HR
NSB Retail Systems
Quickwallet
Qukuai.com
GlobalCollect
August 2015
Conferences
Below we have listed out several of the upcoming important FinTech conferences in the
U.S:
Exhibit 4
FINTECH CONFERENCES
Conference
Location
Date
Mobile Payments Conference
Chicago
August 31-September 2, 2015
ATM & Mobile Innovation Summit
Washington DC
September 9-11, 2015
WesPay Payments Symposium
Las Vegas
September 15-16, 2015
Finovate Fall
NYC
September 16-17, 2015
PayThink
Las Vegas
September 28-30, 2015
Mobile Banking and Payments USA 2015
NYC
October 5-6, 2015
FinDEVr
San Francisco
October 6-7, 2015
Mobile Shopping Summit 2015
Palm Springs
October 14-16, 2015
Money 20/20
Las Vegas
October 25-28, 2015
Investors' Conference on Marketplace Lending
NYC
October 29, 2015
Small Business Banking
Nashville
November 16-18, 2015
Marketplace: Lending & Investing
NYC
November 4-5, 2015
International Money Transfer World (IMTC)
Miami
November 9-12, 2015
Inside Bitcoins San Diego
San Diego
December 14-16, 2015
Finovate Spring
San Jose
May 10-11, 2016
Source: Piper Jaffray Research
August 2015
Financial Institutions
in FinTech
Banks and financial institutions have not typically been early adopters of new technological
advancements, partly due to the significant amount of regulation within the industry. In the
past, when a bank wanted to develop a new technology, it would hire a team to work
within the bank and build whatever was required. This method limited technology
adoption within the banks and financial institutions in two ways: 1) A banks core
competency and service offerings are not the same as a tech companys and they attract a
different set of human capital than a tech company would. This limited what banks could
and could not undertake as far as technology projects were concerned. 2) Organizing,
developing and managing a massive technology project was outside of the realm of many
bank management teams. This also slowed/stunted technology adoption.
We are now seeing greater adoption of new technologies within financial institutions
thanks to a variety of factors, though we believe there are two main drivers behind the
current rate of adoption:
Direct Investment
From Financial
Institutions
1.
Consumer demand. In the U.S. alone, Millennials are a rising generation with
~76M members, the vast majority of whom are perfectly comfortable using their
smart phones for transactions vs. going to the local bank branch.
2.
In addition to opening the platform interface, we are beginning to see established financial
institutions place direct investments in start-ups. Large financial institutions have
significant amounts of capital that need to generate a return, where FinTech start-ups often
lack the capital of the established financial institutions but often times have more return
generating opportunities. We highlight several blue chip financial institutions that have
opened venture capital funds including American Express, JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs,
MasterCard, Visa, BBVA, HSBC, Santander and Sberbank, to name a few.
JP Morgan: JP Morgan (JPM, not covered) has made investments in Motif Investing
(personal finance/robo-advisor), Prosper (P2P lending), Square (mobile payments and
processing), Symphony (financial institution workflow software) and Can Capital
(alternative capital platform for small business).
August 2015
Goldman Sachs: We highlight that Goldman Sachs (GS, not covered) also has an
ownership interest in Motif Investing and Square but the rest of its notable investments
are more focused around high frequency trading (Perseus), data/analytics (Kensho) and
digital currencies (Circle).
MasterCard: MasterCard (MA, covered by Jason Deleeuw) has also been actively
investing in FinTech in a variety of companies including Dynamics (interactive,
programmable magnetic stripe), Monitise (mobile banking technology), Mozido
(cloud-based white label payments platform) and Nymi (biometric authentication), to
name a few. While MA has generally been seen as an innovator in the FinTech
industry, they also remain active in M&A activity acquiring eight companies alone in
14 including C-sam (digital/mobile wallet engineering) and Pinpoint (loyalty &
rewards services). Most recently, MA announced the acquisition of Applied Predictive
Technologies (cloud-based analytics).
Visa: Visa (V, covered by Jason Deleeuw) has also been viewed as a large innovator in
the FinTech space and similar to MA, remains active in making direct investments. V
has made investments in many FinTech companies including DocuSign (Online secure
transactions) and LoopPay (mobile commerce). Most recently in 2015, Visa announced
an investment in Stripe (e-commerce payment gateway).
Exhibit 5
AXP VENTURES
Investment Description
Bill.com
Invoicing/cash flow/bill payment
management software for small
businesses
Capillary
Cloud based CRM
Cignifi
Enigma
If Only
Instacart
Intacct
Kiip
$4.5M Venture
Round
Data analytics
$4.9M Series B
Database of public records
$4.5M Series A
Marketplace for purchasing experiences $12M Series A
with celebrities
Online grocery service
$44M Series B
Finance/accounting software
Mobile rewards
Venture Round
Ness
Restaurant
Purchased by OpenTable
recommendation
Persado
Copywriting automation
Radius
Small business analytics $8.4M Series A
Retail Next Analytics platform
$125M Series E
Saving Star Paperless coupon
Stripe
Payments
Skytree
Machine learning
Series Investment
Purchased by Northwestern
Mutual
$9.1M Series D
$70M Series D
$18M Series A
August 2015
# 1 : M A R K E T P L A C E L E N D IN G
Marketplace lenders have emerged as a new breed of lender by providing a highly efficient
platform for matching borrowers and investors at an interest rate that can enable
significant interest expense savings for borrowers and attractive relative risk-adjusted
returns for investors. A form of crowdfunding, marketplace lending platforms have created
a new avenue to access credit outside of traditional means.
New Lending Model
With Significant
Growth Potential
Marketplace lending platforms leverage their web-based and data driven technologies to
provide certain consumer and business loan products more effectively than traditional
lending institutions. Some platforms enable investors to bid on loans offering the lowest bid
interest rate, while others set defined interest rates based on proprietary underwriting
models. We estimate total U.S. marketplace lending originations of ~$10B in 14 (our
estimate assumes ~$6B/$4B in consumer/small business loan originations), which is very
small relative to the addressable markets in the product categories currently targeted by
marketplace lenders.
The most successful marketplace lending product thus far has been an unsecured consumer
installment loan typically used to refinance high-cost credit card debt, but also for other
personal loan uses. For instance, the largest marketplace lender, Lending Club (LC, not
covered), reports that it saves borrowers an average of 32% on interest costs by reducing
the interest rate an average of 7% points vs. the rate on outstanding credit card balances.
The marketplace lending model has also proven viable for the refinance and new
origination of education loans and medical loans, in addition to small business lending
products and auto loans.
Exhibit 6
August 2015
Marketplace Lending
Differentiation
Marketplace platforms may match borrowers and investors through peer-to-peer (P2P),
peer-to-business (P2B), investor to peer (B2P) or investor-to-business (B2B). Some platforms
enable direct contact between investors and borrowers, while others like Lending Club set
defined interest rates for lenders. Models like Funding Circle allow for lenders to bid on
loans offering borrowers the lowest bid rate. Some marketplaces deploy money from large
and small investors, while other marketplaces raise lending capital only from institutions
and accredited investors. Other marketplace lenders hold loans (credit and interest rate
risk) on their balance sheet. Some platforms apply the marketplace lending model to fund
real estate investment projects and transactions including house flipping loans and
commercial real estate loans. In general, the marketplace lending model has grown in loan
product categories where the marketplace can more efficiently access borrowers and fund
those borrowers at lower interest rates than traditional lending institutions.
Exhibit 7
Consumer
Unsecured Installment
Student/Education
Medical
Auto
Investor Types
Small Business
Debt Consolidation
Purchase Finance
Working Capital
Remodel/Expansion
Retail, Accredited &
Institutional
Company
Examples
Real Estate
Debt Financing
Short Term/Bridge
Term Debt
Accredited &
Institutional
August 2015
Marketplace Lending
Transaction
Examples
Exhibit 8
Step 2
Platform Performs
Credit Check
A borrower files an
application for a certain
$ amount loan using
Lending Club's
marketplace.
Platform's underwriting
process verifies the
borrower's identity,
history and credit (FICO,
credit reports, data &
analytics from
application process). If
approved, a unique LC
Loan Grade credit grade
and interest rate are
assigned to borrower.
Step 3
Loan Request Placed
In Marketplace
Step 4
Borrower's Loan
Is Funded By WebBank
Step 5
LC Purchases Loan
From WebBank
Step 6
LC Manages &
Services The Loan
Exhibit 9
Step 2
Platform Performs
Credit Check
Step 3
Loan Listing Published
& Verification Check
Step 4
Investors Commit
Funds to Loan
Step 5
Borrower's Loan
Is Funded
Step 6
Prosper Manages &
Services The Loan
Platform's underwriting
process verifies the
borrower's identity,
history and credit
(Experian, credit reports,
data & analytics from
application process). If
approved, a unique
Prosper Rating credit
grade and interest rate
are assigned to borrower.
Borrower publishes
customoized loan listing
(including a title and
description of loan
purpose/financial
situation) to attract
investors to fund request.
During this period, Prosper
is also performing
additional verification
checks on the borrower.
The higher the verification
stage of a borrower, the
more attractive they are to
investors.
August 2015
Marketplace Lending
Economics
Marketplace lenders typically generate revenue from collecting origination and servicing
fees for loans originated through their platform. Generally, the origination fee is paid by the
borrower and the servicing fee is paid by the investors. To illustrate how a marketplace
lender makes money, refer to the following example using Lending Club fees:
Exhibit 10
Origination Fee
Servicing Fee
Borrowers
Investors
1% of monthly P&I
Delinquent Loans:
No Litigation
Required: 18%
collection fee of
amount recovered
from delinquent
borrowers 16+ days
Litigation Required:
30% collection fee
of hourly attorneys
fees plus costs, up
to the amount
collected
Exhibit 11
Origination Revenue
Loan Amount
Origination Fee
Origination Revenue
$10,000
4%
$400
$9,600
Servicing Revenue
Interest Rate (APR)
Monthly P&I (36 mo. Loan)
Servicing Fee
Servicing Revenue / Month
9.97%
$309.63
1%
$3.10
August 2015
Competitive Barriers
As lending marketplaces grow, their competitive barriers grow due to positive network
effects. We believe the key competitive barriers are built upon:
1)
2)
3)
4)
5)
Marketplace lenders operate their platforms online, saving them from the costly fixed
infrastructure of traditional lenders and enabling those savings to be passed onto consumers
in the form of lower interest rates. The lower interest rates attract more borrowers, which
increases the appeal of the marketplace to investors supplying capital, and that, in turn,
increases the appeal of the marketplace to borrowers. Hence, a growing lending
marketplace creates larger competitive barriers and provides greater marketplace value to
borrowers and lenders via attractive interest rates and liquidity. The larger marketplaces
also have more robust data history on repeat borrowers, which should enable better
underwriting and a lower risk premium to investors.
Exhibit 12
Less Of A Disruption
To Lending, More Of
An Expansion
August 2015
Exhibit 13
S A M P L E OSample
F I NInterest
T E R ERate
S T Ranges
R A T EFor
S Personal
& F E ELoans
S FO
M A RMarketplace
K E T P L ALenders
CE LENDERS
At R
Selected
APR
Loan
Grade
Interest Rate
Origination
Fee
36-Mo.
60-Mo.
Highest
Lowest
A
G
5.32 - 7.96%
26.77% - 28.99%
1% - 4%
5%
5.99% - 9.97%
30.71% - 32.99%
7.02% - 9.63%
29.42% - 31.70%
Highest
Lowest
AA
HR
6.00% - 7.36%
27.75% - 31.90%
1% - 2%
5%
6.68% - 8.73%
31.72% - 35.97%
8.65% - 8.65%
n/a
None
None
5.50% 7.99%
4.04% 6.79%
6.615% 9.00%
4.79% 7.165%
Company
LendingClub
Loan
Amount
$1k - $35k
Prosper
$2k - $35k
Social Finance
$5k - $100k
Fixed
Variable
Institutional Capital
Has Helped To
Accelerate/Diversify
Marketplace Lending
Growth
Institutional investors such as hedge funds, asset managers, pensions, insurance companies
and banks continue to grow as a percentage of marketplace funding mix vs. retail investors.
Institutional capital inflows into marketplace platforms have been aided by attractive yields
in a low interest rate environment. The inflow of institutional capital has accelerated the
pace of industry origination growth and diversified the investor base. From the eyes of a
borrower seeking a loan, this distinction has not impacted the overall lending process but
has increased the supply of funding available to borrowers.
Attracting Borrowers
And Investors To
Marketplace Lending
Platforms
Many marketplace lenders market to borrowers via online channels, mail drives,
partnerships and word of mouth to build brand awareness and reputation. On the investor
side, marketplace lenders market to retail investors, build relationships with the
institutional investor community, and have formed partnerships with banks. For instance,
Lending Clubs bank partnerships offer referrals between the two parties depending on the
size and type of loan product while also giving access to each others customer lists.
Depending on the product niche of the marketplace, advertising with respective industry
websites also helps drive inbound traffic by association.
Contributing to the growth of marketplace lending has been the prevalence of internet
technologies, increasing regulations on traditional financial institutions, and innovation by
marketplace lenders. Many marketplace lenders apply their own metrics and algorithms
combined with traditional consumer data from the credit bureaus and additional borrower
data sources. For instance, employment data can be leveraged thanks to partnerships with
payroll processors. Also, behavioral data can be used such as how long and how an
applicant fills out an application.
While most marketplace credit underwriting has not yet been subject to the test of a credit
cycle, we believe that over time those platforms with sophisticated and differentiated
underwriting technology will prevail. A strong underwriting track record will contribute to
a platforms reputation and bolster the confidence necessary for investors to continue to
lend through a platform even in the midst of a credit cycle.
August 2015
U.S. Unsecured
Consumer
Marketplace Lending
Market Size
Unsecured Consumer Loans Market size and growth outlook in the U.S. According to
data from the Federal Reserve, there was $890B of U.S. revolving consumer credit
outstanding as of the 1Q15. We believe that the total addressable market for these types of
unsecured consumer loans is smaller, however, given the amount of transactors and low
outstanding balances on some credit card products. Lending Club and Prosper have
dominated the U.S. market for unsecured consumer credit marketplace lending, each
originating ~$4.4B and $1.4B loans in 2014, respectively. We estimate approximately ~$6B
consumer unsecured marketplace loans were originated in 2014, assuming a combination of
origination data available from LC and Prosper as well as our own estimates. Lending Club
has noted in its corporate presentations that its unsecured consumer loan addressable
market is $380B after excluding consumers that are unlikely to refinance their credit card
debt because they continue to transact with their cards or carry a small balance. We assume
the $380B TAM is reasonable as you filter out transactors (individuals who pay off all of
their credit card balances monthly), credit card outstanding balances that are too small to
refinance (under $1,000), and borrowers that are not looking to refinance and want to
continue using a credit product.
Exhibit 14
Growth Forecast
August 2015
Exhibit 15
Sources: Federal Reserve, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Company Data, Bloomberg, Piper Jaffray
August 2015
Small business loans - market size and growth outlook in the U.S. The marketplace lending
model has proven successful in small business lending, as platforms like publically traded
OnDeck Capital (ONDK, not covered) target small business loans. The small-to-medium
size business (SMB) loan market is very fragmented making it challenging for growing
businesses to secure financing. Oftentimes traditional banks only lend to larger, more
established businesses leaving a market opportunity for riskier but growing SMBs.
Marketplace and online lending platforms for small businesses are more fragmented than
consumer platforms, though OnDeck, CAN Capital and Kabbage have made significant
strides in the U.S., and players like Prosper and Lending Club participate in both markets.
We estimate approximately ~$4B small business marketplace loans were originated in 2014,
assuming a combination of origination data available from ONDK and our own estimates.
According to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, total small business commercial
and industrial (C&I) loans outstanding under $1M were ~$306B in 1Q15. The size of the
SMB loans offered by different online marketplace lenders varies by their investment style,
risk profile and investor base. Online SMB lender Prosper will lend a company up to $35k,
while other online platforms like Dealstruck and U.K. based Funding Circle will lend up to
$250k and $500k, respectively.
Exhibit 17
We believe the opportunity for marketplace SMB lenders lies primarily in the sub $250,000
loan range with some penetration in the $250k-$1M market. We believe SMBs requiring
funds in excess of $250k are likely more established, less risky businesses that have begun to
foster community banking relationships and as such would not be as attracted to online
funding. Therefore, we make certain assumptions to arrive at our SMB lending TAM:
1.
2.
3.
In addition, management consultancy Oliver Wyman estimates that there is a potential $80120B in unmet demand for SMB lines of credit. If we take the midpoint of that estimated
range, we arrive at a marketplace SMB loan total addressable market of approximately
~$290B.
August 2015
Exhibit 18
Growth Forecast
We estimate that marketplace and online lenders originated ~$4B (approximately 1.3%
penetration of total market) in small business loans in 2014. We assume that U.S. small
business loans outstanding as a percentage of U.S. nominal GDP continues to grow in line
with GDP and that small business marketplace lendings addressable market grows at an
84% CAGR from 2014 to 2017. We forecast small business lending through marketplaces to
grow to ~$25B in annual originations by 2017, with a mix of new share being created and
partially from share gains over traditional bank incumbents market share. The $25B
estimate of small business marketplace originations by 2017 represents a ~7.5% penetration
rate of total small business loan originations.
Exhibit 19
Sources: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Company Data, Bloomberg, Piper Jaffray
August 2015
Other small business and entrepreneurial lending opportunities. Following the peer-to-peer
and marketplace lending blueprint, new entrants have targeted entrepreneurs and startups
in increasingly niched fields like real estate. Real estate focused platforms generally do not
maintain balance sheet risk, but create a marketplace for individuals and institutions to
invest in products such as loans to house flippers and smaller commercial real estate
developers often secured by the property they are investing in. Platforms such as
RealtyMogul, Patch of Land, AssetAvenue, Money360 and LendingHome all leverage data
(including local real estate data) similar to other marketplace lenders and enable lenders to
invest in real estate across the nation, not just in their local market. This type of
marketplace lending presents a whole new set of unique opportunities and challenges as
real estate can be heavily local with no two properties sharing the same characteristics and
the fear of the next downturn in cyclical real estate markets clouding investor sentiment.
We highlight that U.S. commercial real estate debt totaled $2.4 trillion in 1Q15 according to
the Federal Reserve, giving us a flavor for the size of the overall market for commercial real
estate marketplace lending. It is important to note that these types of real estate loans
represent a subset of that total and are generally unattractive to banks creating an
opportunity for real estate focused marketplaces to facilitate these loans, in our view.
Marketplace Lending
Has Taken Off
Internationally As
Well
Online marketplace lenders have also enjoyed significant growth overseas in markets like
Europe (especially the U.K.), China and Australia. Below we highlight some key insights
from some of those international markets:
United Kingdom. The U.K. for example has received considerable support from regulators
helping to grow its online lending geography, particularly with small businesses. In this
spirit, the U.K. has established a rule that requires banks to refer rejected small business
loan applicants to alternative providers of credit like London-based Funding Circle.
Government in the U.K. has largely been supportive of marketplace lenders, writing
regulations specifically designed for peer-to-peer lending such as rules making it easier for
consumers to invest their retirement savings in marketplace loans. The mix of capital
sources also differs slightly in the U.K. as retail investors remain the primary source of
capital versus accredited and institutional investors in U.S. based online lending platforms.
Zopa and RateSetter, both U.K. based online lenders, offer marketplace investment
products that maintain reserves that are used to compensate investments in loans that go
bad, creating a loan product for retail investors similar to a savings account (albeit at lower
yields than most U.S. based online marketplace lenders).
China. Chinese online lending platforms have also enjoyed significant growth recently as
Chinese small businesses have a difficult time accessing credit from state banking
institutions. According to Wangdaizhijia.com, a Chinese online marketplace lending portal,
the number of online lending platforms in China has grown significantly from ~50 in 2011
to ~1,575 in 2014. The size of the Chinese population and market represents significant
opportunity for online lending; however, market fragmentation could hinder growth until
consolidation occurs and market leaders emerge. Despite significant growth in Chinese
markets, many marketplace lenders have reportedly gone bankrupt due to
inaccurate/unreliable data, fraud, excessive defaults and other problems creating the need
for additional underwriting measures to be taken such as sending employees to inspect
physical assets. Borrower data integrity remains a key concern for Chinese marketplace
lending players, sometimes forcing the need to physically inspect assets. Despite the
impressive growth of marketplace lenders in China, financial regulators have largely
remained on the sidelines as marketplace loans outstanding (according to Wangdaizhijia
there were 103.6B yuan marketplace loans outstanding as of 4Q14) represent a fraction of
the estimated 90 trillion yuan outstanding in the Chinese banking system.
August 2015
Responses Of
Traditional Lending
Institutions
2.
3.
Build/buy their own online lending platforms: Banks and other lenders may also
respond by developing their own online lending platforms. A bank that develops
their own online lending platform could benefit even more in a rising interest rate
environment if the lender holds the loan assets on their balance sheet, leading to
higher revenues and profits. We believe reports of Goldman Sachs interest in a
marketplace lending platform helps to validate the existing market and the
opportunity it presents
Marketplace lending platforms remain unproven in their ability to comply with new and
ongoing legislative and regulatory requirements. Furthermore, the recent state of credit
availability has helped marketplace lending platforms grow, however uncertainty remains
around how these models will be tested when economic conditions turn. Key questions to
consider include:
August 2015
Regulatory
The U.S. regulatory environment for marketplace lending has largely been undefined. We
believe a major concern for investors is the uncertainty surrounding how federal and state
regulatory agencies will ultimately interact with online lending marketplaces. Traditional
lending by bank and non-bank institutions has historically been highly regulated. Other
than the U.S. Treasury Departments Request for Information (RFI) in July 2015,
regulators/policymakers have largely not been involved in the marketplace lending space
giving them a competitive advantage due to their lower operating and compliance costs. If
strict rules were to be imposed (such as those placed on banks) it is difficult to estimate the
economic impact of higher compliance costs on the marketplace business model.
U.S. Treasury RFI. The U.S. Treasury Department recently published a Request
for Information (RFI) asking the public to comment on marketplace lending and
its role in expanding access to credit for consumers and small businesses. The RFI
acknowledges that marketplace lending is still a small component of the total
consumer and small business lending market, though it is a rapidly growing sector
that is shifting the way some consumers and small businesses seek credit. The RFI
states that the Treasury Department would like to advance their dialogue with the
public and key stakeholders in the industry to better understand the industry. The
RFI cites a handful of key questions, including the potential for platforms to
expand access to credit to historically underserved market segments, whether
marketplace lenders should have skin in the game, and how the financial
regulatory framework should evolve to support the safe growth of the industry.
While no new rules or regulations have been established, we believe this sort of
dialogue is important between stakeholders to promote ongoing future
cooperation and may signal where policymakers are headed.
Legal
Madden v. Midland Funding U.S. judicial case a risk factor to marketplace lenders. The
case of Madden v. Midland Funding presents a risk factor to marketplace lending platforms
in regards to state usury laws, the Fair Debt Collection Practices Act (FDCPA) and the
National Bank Act (NBA). In May 2015, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit
issued its decision in Madden v. Midland Funding that interpreted the scope of federal
preemption under the National Bank Act and held that a non-bank assignee of a loan
originated by a national bank, based on the facts of that case in which the national bank no
longer had any interest in the loan, was not entitled to the benefits of federal preemption of
claims of usury. The Court's decision is binding on federal courts located in Connecticut,
New York and Vermont, but the decision could also be adopted by other courts. In August,
the Second Circuit rejected a request for a rehearing of the Madden v. Midland case. The
case is being considered for appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court.
Operational
Servicing Different Product Loans and the potential challenges for marketplace lenders.
Different types of loans require different levels of servicing involvement. For example,
servicing a mortgage loan is different than servicing an auto or medical loan. Many
marketplace lenders currently debit a borrowers bank account directly via an ACH transfer
and withdraw funds periodically to pay down loan balances. While this has worked well for
consumer unsecured loans of relatively low dollar values, this model has not yet been tested
with larger balance loans or during an economic downturn where bank account
withdrawals may not fare as well. As marketplace lenders increase their loan product types,
their loan servicing may become more challenging and involved as they cannot apply a onesize-fits-all approach. Delinquent loan payments in a challenging credit environment may
further complicate marketplace lenders as servicing delinquent borrowers requires a lot of
August 2015
August 2015
C O M P A NY O V E R V I E W S
AssetAvenue
Auxmoney
August 2015
Avant
August 2015
BetterFinance
Biz2Credit
August 2015
Bond Street
C2FO
August 2015
Can Capital
August 2015
CircleBack Lending
CommonBond
August 2015
Credibly
Daric
August 2015
Dealstruck
DriverUp
August 2015
Earnest
Financeit
August 2015
Fundera
Funding Circle
August 2015
Groundfloor
Jimubox
August 2015
Kabbage
Kiva
August 2015
Lendico
LendingClub
August 2015
LendingHome
Lendio
August 2015
LendKey
Lendstreet
August 2015
LiftForward
loanDepot
August 2015
Lufax
MarketInvoice
August 2015
Money360
Founded: 2010
Type: Real Estate
Ownership: Private
Headquarters: Ladera Ranch, CA
Domain: www.money360.com/
Company Description: Money360 is an online marketplace for commercial real estate
loans. Money360 enables borrowers to directly access affordable commercial real estate
loans through an innovative online lending platform, eliminating the overhead and
processing costs associated with traditional banking models. Loans are funded by banks,
insurance companies, pension funds or other accredited investors through an online
marketplace, enabling borrowers to obtain competitive rates, flexible terms and efficient
service while enabling investors to receive better returns than those offered by traditional
investment vehicles.
Founder, CEO: Evan Gentry
Co-Founder, President: Dan Vetter
Source:
https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/money360
https://www.money360.com/
P2Binvestor
August 2015
Patch of Land
Pave
August 2015
Peerform
PPDAI
August 2015
Pret DUnion
PRIMARQ
Founded: 2010
Type: Real Estate
Ownership: Private
Headquarters: San Francisco, CA
Domain: http://www.primarq.com/
Company Description: PRIMARQ is an integrated capital market system that intermediates
equity investing in owner-occupied residential real estate between homebuyers and
homeowners with a market of investors seeking to participate in home price movement.
Rather than the traditional single investor single owner proposition utilizing excessive
mortgage debt financing, PRIMARQ envisions a deleveraged housing finance system in
which investor equity capital supplements a homeowners down payment, thereby reducing
the amount of debt financing utilized, while sharing home price risk. This improves overall
affordability and sustainable homeownership. As part of its model, PRIMARQ
encompasses both primary and secondary investing and trading, wherein investors may at
their discretion sell their investments on a secondary basis within PRIMARQ, thereby not
relying on the homeowner to sell or refinance his/her property to monetize the equity
investor.
Co-Founder, Chairman: Steve Cinelli
Senior Managing Director: Kenneth Herzberg
Source:
http://primarq.com/
August 2015
Prodigy Finance
Prosper
August 2015
OnDeck
Ratesetter
August 2015
Realty Mogul
RealtyShares
August 2015
Receivables
Exchange
Renrendai
August 2015
SocietyOne
SoFi
August 2015
Upstart
Zopa
August 2015
# 2 : T O D A Y S W E A L T H M A N A G E M E N T : R O B O - A D V I S O R S
Back before minute-by-minute coverage of the stock market was available to the general
public, American households were much less focused on their investment assets. In 1970,
only 15% of people in the United States owned any stock and mutual fund assets were a
mere $48.3B, or $296B adjusted for inflation. This 15% was affluent enough to garner the
attention of stock brokers, but as we progressed into the 1980s and 90s, mutual funds saw
a rapid inflow of assets driven by increased wages and increasing prosperity of the general
population. Between 1990-99, the amount of money in employer-sponsored pension plans
and IRAs jumped from $200B to $2.4T. During that same period, total mutual fund assets
increased from a little over $1T to nearly $7T. During the early part of the decade mutual
fund fees were steep, with the average expense ratios reaching as high as 100bps annually,
with many specialized funds charging an additional load fee as high as over 5%. However,
as assets increased, average fees dropped 26% to 74bps. And then along came exchange
traded funds (ETFs)
ETFs
While mutual fund assets swelled and their fees had dropped, another new and even lower
cost investment vehicle emerged: exchange traded funds (ETFs). ETFs are essentially
cheaper mutual funds that are actively traded on the open-market just as an individual
security. Many of these ETFs are structured as index funds that passively follow segments
of the market, such as the SPDR SPY ETF, which seeks to correspond to the S&P 500. ETFs
provide investors with diversification. In addition, ETFs are significantly more cost
effective compared to an actively managed fund. For example, the Vanguard Total Stock
Market ETF has an expense ratio of 0.05% compared to Fidelitys Contrafund which has
an expense ratio of 0.64% .These advantages are evidenced by the surge in assets in the last
15 years as total assets invested in ETFs increased from $79B in 2000 to nearly $3T in 2015.
Stockbrokers And
Online Trading
Firms
Similar to the emergence of the ETF as a low-cost alternative to traditional mutual funds, a
comparable transition occurred within the legacy stock brokerage business. In the 1980s,
brokers handled trades person-to-person and charged customers trading fees well into the
hundreds of dollars on large orders. As technology has advanced, however, it has brought
the stock brokerage industry into a new era in which more and more retail trading is done
online through brokerages such as Charles Schwab, TD Ameritrade, Vanguard, E*TRADE
and Fidelity. As brokers moved more of their business online, it opened up an opportunity
for the financial advisory business to leverage this shift and conduct more business online.
Specifically, the financial advisors began providing clients with financial guidance on
everything from retirement planning to asset allocation strategies via the internet. This
service was more convenient for customers and helped drive a larger online presence for the
financial advisors as the brokerages were already pushing into the space.
Todays RoboAdvisors
Just as the brokerage industry transitioned online, the financial advisory business is in the
process of a similar transition. The economics of the business are in flux as ETFs proliferate
August 2015
and new asset managers enter the space. These new robo-advisors are using price, lower
minimums, scale, ETFs and a millennial-focused digital strategy to attract the masses in
addition to potentially taking high value clients from traditional firms. The 11 largest firms
(Wealthfront, Betterment, AssetBuilder, Covestor, Financial Guard, FutureAdvisor,
Jemstep, MarketRiders, Personal Capital, Rebalance IRA, and SigFig) had a combined
AUM of almost $19B at the end of 2014, up 65% from just over $11B in April 2014,
according to Corporate Insights. Within 36 months, Wealthfront, one of the largest online
wealth managers, has seen their assets climb from under $10M initially to more than $2B.
Exhibit 20
Billions
$14
$12
$10
$8
$6
$4
$2
$0
April 14'
January 15'
Why Robo-Advisors?
The idea behind these robo-advisors is simple: technological progress has opened up a huge
new market for the financial advisory business by increasing scale and inefficiency within
business models. New advances in technology have proven to be positive supply shocks to
the advisory business, accomplishing the same task at lower costs and with smaller
minimum portfolio balances. At the same time, the demand for financial advice is huge and
growing as stock market participation in the United States is around 50%, up from 15% in
1970, according to a Gallup poll. This adds up to an industry that is primed for a surge in
growth as firms tap into a previously untouched new market of investors. In our opinion,
there are five primary reasons robo-advisors are growing rapidly:
1.
Price: Robo-advisors are cheaper than traditional money managers. With advisors
charging as high as 1% fees in addition to the fee to invest in mutual funds or
ETFs, the costs add up quickly. With robo-advisors, you see your fee (sometimes
0%) upfront. In addition, the average mutual fund expense ratio is 0.70% vs. the
ETF average of 0.44%, making it significantly cheaper to invest in ETFs.
August 2015
2.
3.
Scale: Due to their digital structure, use of technology and the ability of Modern
Portfolio Theory-based asset allocation strategies to be calculated online, there is
an inherent scalability advantage. These businesses have little overhead as they are
predominately run through financial software, and with the lack of a ceiling on
how much in assets can be managed, these ventures have potential to significantly
grow their asset bases without incurring additional expenses.
4.
Leveraging low-cost ETFs: Just as index funds have seen assets rise recently with
$114B of new cash inflows in 2013 alone, more and more people are taking
advantage of the proliferation of index funds to passively invest their assets. These
types of investments are a good fit for people who do not want to have to worry
about their money on a daily basis or take the time to individually select stocks.
5.
Digital and Millennial Bias: All robo-advisors provide easy to use mobile, tablet
and desktop applications to track a portfolio. This adds another aspect of
simplicity to the picture and is aiming to take advantage of the generational shift
towards mobile-based and technology-adopting platforms.
Leveraging Modern
Portfolio Theory for
the Masses
First theorized by Nobel Laureate Harry Markowitz, Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT)
suggests that investors can limit volatility in their portfolios while improving performance
through diversification in various types of securities, specifically in assets whose
performance is not correlated. Managers do this through diverse asset allocation in ETFs
and other low-cost index funds to cut down on expenses and diversely invest clients assets
across asset classes. MPT posits that a portfolio exhibits certain levels of risk and return in
correlation with its composition. In other words, an individual can select a certain level of
risk, and then MPT will generate the appropriate asset allocation strategy. The reason
popularity is surging among many MPT-driven robo-advisors is that they cost significantly
less compared to traditional advisors, in addition to the much lower minimum balances due
to the scalable business model. MPT is enabling firms to allocate investor resources quickly
and automatically through automated asset allocation software.
How Do These
Robo-Advisors
Work?
To really see how some of these new companies can add value to the everyday retail
investor, investors need to understand how the businesses work. We believe the largest
three robo-advisors (Betterment, Personal Capital, and Wealthfront) are generally
representative of the industry as a whole.
August 2015
Betterment
August 2015
What is Personal Capital? Personal Capital is a company with a slightly different business
model that combines financial software and personal financial advisors and has $1B assets
under management. The company has two segments: financial software and asset
management.
Financial Software: Personal Capitals financial software allows clients to link accounts
from more than 10K financial institutions, and then track their personal finances quickly
and easily. The software presents a main dashboard that gives clients access to information
on their net worth, cash flow, investment performance, current fee analyzer and market
activity in one place. From here clients are able to see breakdowns of their asset class,
sector, individual security allocations and recent transactions. The financial software
segment is free and currently tracks $150B in assets.
Wealth Management: The Personal Capital wealth management experience starts with a
phone consultation with a personal financial advisor. The advisor asks prospective clients
about their goals, risk tolerance, time horizon, retirement planning and household cash
flow. The advisor then works with the companys investment team to select an appropriate
asset allocation strategy with a mix of at least 60 individual stocks to a handful of low-cost
ETFs. From there, clients can choose either to implement Personal Capitals investment
strategy for 89bps/annually (up to $1M), which will be held by Pershing Advisor services, or
continue to only track finances on Personal Capitals financial software.
Exhibit 22
August 2015
Robinhood
Wealthfront
What is Wealthfront? Wealthfront is a robo-advisor with more than $2B in assets under
management that provides financial advice and invests clients money.
What is the process for a client to get started investing with Wealthfront? Wealthfronts
process starts with a simple survey of the investors background, age and risk tolerance by
asking investors the following questions:
1. What are you looking for in a financial advisor?
2. What is your current age?
3. What is your annual after-tax income?
4. What is the total value of your cash and liquid investments?
5. When deciding how to invest your money, which do you care about more?
Maximizing gains, minimizing losses, or both equally
6. The global stock market is often volatile. If your entire investment
portfolio lost 10% of its value in a month during a market decline, what
would you do?
Sell all, sell some, keep all, or buy more
After answering the 6 questions online, Wealthfronts software then processes the answers,
ranks the client on a 0.5-10 risk profile scale, and then for free, recommends a mix of ETFs.
August 2015
How does the company invest? Wealthfront uses Modern Portfolio Theory to recommend a
mix of ETFs, choosing from 11 ETFs incorporating stock, bond and alternative (real estate
and natural resource) funds, with the majority managed through Vanguard and iShares. If
an investor has a 10/10 risk profile, they will give him/her more exposure to both domestic
and international equities and fewer assets in municipal bonds.
Exhibit 23
On the flip side, if an investor has a 1.5/10 risk tolerance level, Wealthfront decreases
his/her foreign equity exposure and bumps up his/her municipal bond and Treasury
inflation-Protected Securities. From here, a client is then able to input his/her personal
information and have the option of self-executing their plan, or paying 25bps (after the first
$10k) for Wealthfront to manage, rebalance, and perform tax-loss harvesting on client
assets.
August 2015
Exhibit 24
How does Wealthfront rebalance client portfolios? Wealthfront will periodically rebalance
client portfolios to maintain the appropriate weighting and asset allocation. This process is
dependent on whenever deposits are made or dividends are earned sufficient enough to add
to asset classes that are under-weighted in the portfolio. There is no strict date or rule when
this will occur within an individual clients portfolio.
August 2015
Fee Comparison
To see the price competition within the robo-advisor space, below is a breakdown of fees
for 19 major robo-advisors compared with six mutual funds and ETFs.
Exhibit 25
FEE COMPARISON
Date of Inception
Segment
Company
Fees
Minimum Deposit
1/1/2008
Robo-Advisor
Betterment
0.15%-0.35% annually
$0
1/1/2013
Robo-Advisor
Blooom
$0
4/7/2009
Robo-Advisor
Hedgeable
0.3%-0.75%
$0
9/22/2003
ETF-Bond
iShares AGG
0.08%
$0
5/15/2000
ETF- Equity
iShares IVV
$0
7/22/2002
ETF-Bond
iShares LQD
0.15%
$0
5/1/2007
Robo-Advisor
LearnVest
$0
1/1/2008
Robo-Advisor
Loyal3
N/A
$0
1/15/2008
Robo-Advisor
MarketRiders
$0
1/22/1993
ETF- Equity
$0
5/24/2001
ETF- Equity
Vanguard VTI
$0
4/3/2007
ETF-Bond
Vanuard BND
0.08%
$0
2/19/2013
Robo-Advisor
WiseBanyan
N/A
$10
5/24/2012
Robo-Advisor
DriveWealth
$50
12/0/1973
$250
6/1/2010
Robo-Advisor
Motif Investing
$250
12/1/2011
Robo-Advisor
WealthFront
$500
1/1/2010
Robo-Advisor
Financial Guard
$1k
5/11/1987
Mutual Fund-Bond
$1k
9/18/1986
$1k
1/1/2008
Robo-Advisor
SigFig
$2k
5/17/1967
Fidelity Contrafund
0.64%
$2.5k
6/9/2000
0.20%
$3k
4/27/1992
0.17%
$3k
3/9/2015
Robo-Advisor
N/A
5k
8/1/2014
Robo-Advisor
Propel(x)
N/A
$5-$25k
1/1/2005
Robo-Advisor
Covestor
$10k
1/1/2010
Robo-Advisor
Future Advisor
0.50% annually
$10k
1/1/2010
Robo-Advisor
HedgeCoVest
2.50%
$30k
7/1/2009
Robo-Advisor
Personal Capital
0.49%-0.89% annually
$100k
8/1/2011
Robo-Advisor
Rebalace IRA
$100k
August 2015
Robo-Advisory
Market
These new robo-advisors are attempting to tap into and disrupt the traditional money
management and mutual fund industries. As these robo-advisors support taxable accounts
as well as IRAs and 401K rollovers, they aim to take share from the legacy players. As of
2014 IRAs and 401Ks held nearly $$7.5T and $4.5T, respectively, there is an immense
opportunity for new players to continue to take share. In addition, FinTech financial
planners are poised to take market share from the traditional personal financial advisory
business which is expected to boom over the next seven years with a 32% growth rate,
according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Recent success has shown that the industry has
a place for technologically savvy ventures as FinTech wealth managers have continued to
gain momentum into 2015 with Betterment as an example having grown their asset base
from $135M in Feb 2013, to $1.4B in February 2015a CAGR of 322%.
Exhibit 26
Schwab/Fidelity/
Vanguard Enter The
Robo Space
As these new companies enter the space, the traditional legacy players are jumping in with
an attempt to take advantage of the industry tailwinds fueling the widespread growth.
Charles Schwab, a traditional mutual fund and ETF supermarket with over $2.5T in client
assets, recently launched their own independent robo-advisor services Schwab calls
Intelligent-Portfolios that charge no advisory fees on assets. Since it launched in midMarch, Intelligent Portfolios have more than $2B in AUM with 30K clients. Schwabs
solution is web-based; clients answer 12 questions and a portfolio mix of ETFs across 20
asset classes is created. The big benefit and surprise is that Schwab offers its services for
free as opposed to the AUM-based fees that others charge. Users have noted that
although the company does not charge a management fee, clients are placed into more
expensive ETFs and cash savings vehicles managed through Schwab. There is not definitive
answer on which type of model has a lower average expense ratio, as it all depends upon
each individual investment style and risk profile.
Fidelity has launched its own ventures into the space. Fidelity has partnered with both
Betterment and LearnVest to expand its services offered to clients. With Betterment,
Fidelitys financial advisors can provide clients with a Betterment portfolio and then
manage the investments through the same platform. The company has also partnered with
LearnVest, which is a FinTech startup that was acquired by Northwestern Mutual in
March 2015 for $250M. LearnVest provides financial advice through its online platform
August 2015
designed for people with all ranges of personal finance knowledge. It provides clients with a
financial planner and a customized financial plan that helps clients plan for retirement,
emergency funds, home-buying and debt repayment.
Vanguard also recently rolled out a robo-hybrid advisor service; clients initially talk to a
real adviser via videoconference about goals and risk profile, and then software creates an
optimized portfolio based on preferences. After a two-year beta test, Vanguard already has
$17B in its personal advisory business yet another sign of the fast-growing nature of this
emerging industry.
Financial Engines:
Leading The RoboAdvisor Pack
Many of the robo-advisors in this report are following a similar path already taken by
Financial Engines (FNGN). While Wealthfront, Betterment and Personal Capital have had
strong growth, total AUM is relatively modest (Wealthfront $2B, Betterment $2B, Personal
Capital $1.5B) compared with the $109.2B in AUM and $1,003B of AUC (assets under
contract) at FNGN as of 1Q15. In the following paragraphs we lay out FNGNs story, how
it works and its current market valuation.
Founding and
History
FNGN was co-founded by William Sharpe (Nobel Prize in economics, originator Capital
Asset Pricing Model, Sharpe ratio, binomial options pricing, among others), Joseph
Grundfest and Craig Johnson in 1996 with the vision of bringing high quality investment
advisory services to the masses. FNGN eventually went public in 2010 pricing 10.6M shares
at $12.00/share ($127.2M market cap) and currently has a market cap of $2.3B.
FNGN Description
and Model
Key FNGN
Definitions
Plan Provider: These are the companies that hold the 401Ks. Examples are Aon, Fidelity,
Voya, JPMorgan, Mercer, TRowe Price and Vanguard. FNGN has to be connected with
the plan providers to offer its services to the members who enroll with FNGN.
Plan Sponsor: These are the companies that offer the 401Ks to their employees. These
companies must hold their 401Ks at the plan providers for FNGN to be able to offer its
services and must choose FNGN to offer the service to its employees. FNGN does not
charge the sponsors for offering this service to employees but charges the individual
approximately 40-50 bps per year.
Plan Participant: These are the actual individual employees that have the 401Ks. These
individuals must elect to have FNGN as an advisor.
August 2015
Campaign: These are FNGN-sponsored marketing events that take place once a year via
mailings to individual employees or via an integrated offering with the individuals 401K
balance website. This is how FNGN converts assets under contract (AUC) into assets under
management (AUM).
AUC: Assets under contract. These are total assets within the plan sponsors that are eligible
for FNGNs services; this was $1.003T at 1Q15.
AUM: These are assets that have elected to use FNGN as an advisor and are paying fees;
this was $109.2B at 1Q15.
26-month penetration rates: Equal to AUM/AUC for assets that have been under contract
for at least 26 months. As of 1Q15 this number was ~13.0% and we note a 1% increase in
penetration generated ~$10B of incremental AUM.
Professional Services
Model Example
A Delta mechanic is a participant in Deltas sponsored 401K program that uses a plan
provider (noted above) connected to FNGN as its 401K plan provider. If Delta elects to
provide FNGNs service to its employees, all of Deltas employee 401K assets would be
counted as assets under contract. If the mechanic elected to use FNGNs services his/her
assets would be counted as assets under management (which would increase FNGNs
penetration rate) and he would begin paying fees to FNGN.
FNGN has three key metrics that truly drive its model: assets under contract, assets under
management and penetration rate, which shows the connection between the two. FNGNs
entire model is based on its ability to drive the penetration rate higher (13% as of 1Q15) by
converting its assets under contract into assets under management through its campaign
efforts. Recall, FNGN earns 40-50 bps on AUM, which represents $4.0M-$5.0M on each
incremental billion of AUM. We note that with $1,003B in AUC, a 1% increase in
penetration drives ~$10B in incremental AUM. We also highlight that ~10%-15% of
potential enrollees use FNGNs platform service while not electing to use FNGN as an
advisor. This puts true penetration for all of FNGNs services at ~25%.
August 2015
Exhibit 27
2010
Sponsors
Y/Y growth
Assets Under Contract (AUC)
Y/Y growth
AUM, Beginning of Period
AUM from Enrollment, Net of Cancellations
Other (employee/employer contrib./mkt adj.)
AUM, End of Period
Average AUM
Y/Y growth
Q/Q growth
2011
2012
2013
1Q15
2014
1Q16E
2015E
2016E
414
16.9%
477
15.2%
513
7.5%
553
7.8%
602
8.9%
$376,000
39.8%
$467,000
24.2%
$575,000
23.1%
$786,000
36.7%
$895,000
13.9%
$1,058,594
18.3%
$1,217,383
15.0%
$25,700
6,300
5,700
$37,700
$31,340
46.7%
$37,700
7,600
2,200
$47,500
$42,400
26.0%
$47,500
15,400
5,500
$63,900
$56,160
34.5%
$63,900
17,000
12,300
$88,200
$75,840
38.0%
$88,200
18,300
4,000
$104,400
$96,980
18.4%
$104,400
4,600
7,600
$124,400
$114,400
19.2%
$124,400
8,000
$145,409
$134,876
16.9%
12.8%
(0.0%)
13.4%
29.0%
11.9%
4.8%
6.1%
10.0%
10.2%
11.1%
11.2%
11.7%
11.8%
11.9%
11.9%
12.6%
12.7%
13.2%
13.3%
$79.1
51%
0.253%
(3.6%)
$108.2
37%
0.255%
1.1%
$150.9
39%
0.269%
5.3%
$202.8
34%
0.267%
(0.5%)
$245.8
21%
0.253%
(5.2%)
$285.0
16%
0.249%
(1.7%)
$333.1
17%
0.247%
(0.8%)
Members
Y/Y growth
472,000
20.7%
567,000
20.1%
660,000
16.4%
753,000
14.1%
848,000
12.6%
$79.9
21.6%
$83.8
4.9%
$96.8
15.6%
$117.1
21.0%
$123.1
5.1%
$91.1
25.4%
$99.6
9.4%
$124.6
25.1%
$159.5
28.0%
$173.4
8.7%
Key Financials
Revenue
Y/Y
$111.8
$144.1
28.9%
$185.8
29.0%
$239.0
28.6%
$281.9
18.0%
$319.1
13.2%
$368.9
15.6%
$28.4
$40.8
43.7%
28.3%
$55.8
36.9%
30.0%
$79.3
42.1%
33.2%
$98.6
24.3%
35.0%
$98.8
0.2%
31.0%
$115.6
17.0%
31.3%
Adjusted EBITDA
Y/Y
Margin %
25.4%
$19.3
$0.39
$18.6
$0.38
-3.3%
$25.0
$0.50
32.9%
$39.0
$0.75
50.3%
$48.9
$0.92
22.1%
$51.6
$0.97
5.6%
$61.7
$1.15
18.9%
$63.6
$1.37
$15.1
$0.31
-77.6%
$18.6
$0.37
20.7%
$30.0
$0.57
54.7%
$37.0
$0.69
21.2%
$35.7
$0.67
-3.3%
$44.4
$0.83
23.8%
August 2015
C O M P A NY O V E R V I E W S
Acorns
Betterment
August 2015
BillGuard
Blooom
August 2015
Credit Karma
Credit Sesame
August 2015
Digit
DriveWealth
August 2015
eToro
Financial Guard
August 2015
FlexScore
FutureAdvisor
August 2015
Hedgeable
HedgeCoVest
August 2015
Jemstep
Kapitall
August 2015
Loyal3
Market Riders
August 2015
Motif Investing
Nutmeg
August 2015
Openfolio
Personal Capital
August 2015
Propel(x)
Qapital
August 2015
Rebalance IRA
SigFig
August 2015
RobinHood
SmartAsset
August 2015
TradeHero
Wealthfront
August 2015
Wealthminder
WealthyX
August 2015
WiseBanyan
August 2015
With $583B in money transfers in 2014 estimated by the World Bank and only two major
players operating in a quasi-duopoly, this market is ripe for new players. In this section we
will look to answer the following questions.
1. What is a money transfer?
a. Domestic
b. International
2. What are the money transfer business models?
a. Online
b. Agency
c. Hybrid
3. How are startups competing?
4. Why are startups competing?
5. Who are these startups?
Why All The
Competition?
Of all the parts of the FinTech sector, one could argue that money transfer has seen some of
the most competition and disruption from startups. We believe that there are 5 major
reasons for this and we dig deeper into each of these later in this section:
1. Huge market
2. Slow moving, sizable and established players
3. Lack of price transparency
4. Changing global demographics
5. Scalability of mobile/internet strategy
What Is A Money
Transfer?
Dictionary.com defines a remittance (or money transfer) in two ways: 1) As the sending of
money, checks, etc. to a recipient at a distance or 2) Money or its equivalent sent from one
place to another. For our purposes, we bucket money transfers into two categories:
domestic and international:
Domestic: This is sending money within a countrys borders. The consumer is only
required to pay a transaction fee and no currency exchange is required.
International: This is sending money from one country to another. The consumer
pays the transaction fee but is also likely paying an additional amount related to
the spread between the FX rate provided to the consumer and the FX rate available
in currency markets. We highlight that several startups, most notably
TransferWise are competing specifically with the traditional money transfer
providers on the size of the FX spread. The traditional players rely on wider
spreads and the newer players tighter spreads (i.e. lower prices to consumers)
continue to add pressure to that model. Notably, much of TransferWises
marketing efforts are centered around the mid-market exchange rate that is
provided to customers and easily verifiable using 3rd party data sources.
Money Transfer
Business Models
Agency, Online And
Hybrid
In addition to the two types of money transfers, we categorize the types of money transfer
business models into 3 separate categories: online, agency based (brick and mortar) and
hybrid. We note that almost every money transfer player will have to some degree, a hybrid
August 2015
model. However, the traditional players tend to lean more agency based and the start-ups
tend to lean more online based.
Agent based: This was the original money transfer model. Under this model, a
customer could walk into the local send agent office/location carrying cash. The
agent would collect that cash from the customer and would send the money to a
different receiving agent office/location for pick-up by the receiver. Examples of
these are the traditional players such as Western Union (WU; covered by Mike
Grondahl), MoneyGram (MGI; covered by Mike Grondahl) and Ria/Euronet
Worldwide (EEFT, covered by Mike Grondahl).
Online based: As technology has improved and a younger global consumer base
has demanded more services available via the internet or smartphone, the money
transfer market has seen the arrival of largely online websites and mobile
platforms offering account to account transfers via internet/smart phone.
Examples of these would be XOOM, TransferWise, Venmo, PayPal and Azimo.
We note TransferWise, Venmo and PayPal remain fully online offering no options
for physical cash but XOOM partners with a variety of banks to offer cash pickup
(AXA Banque, Banque Chaix, Caisse Depargne, HSBC France among others) and
Azimo offers home delivery in the Philippines and a variety of pickup locations in
many of its receive destinations.
Hybrid: This is arguably the most common money transfer model today as we
have seen agent based models such as WU, MGI and Ria (EEFT) make significant
investments to each companys respective online/mobile platform. Similarly, we
have seen the 100% online players such as XOOM and Azimo begin to offer some
options for physical cash pick-up. We do note that most of the formerly 100%
online services still require either a bank account or a credit/debit card to fund the
actual transaction vs. allowing cash to be dropped off. This hybrid model is driven
off of increasing consumer demands for convenience (online/mobile requirements)
with strong demand for physical cash pickup options.
Lastly we highlight that the global money transfer market is dominated by WU and MGI
with what we believe to be 15% and 5% market share, respectively. In the U.S., where
Ria/MGI have largely cornered grocery stores, pharmacies, banks, and Walmart, the two
companies have an even more dominant share of the market representing 40%-50% in
total.
Startups Competing
On Price And FX
We believe that the startups see a large opportunity for revenues with a very inefficient
pricing mechanism. Domestically, where traditional players WU and MGI control ~40%50% of the total market weve historically seen tiered pricing. However, competition has
picked up extensively. Notably, WMTs white label product offered by Ria (launched May
2014) now provides domestic transfers up to $800 for just $9.50 and startups PayPal and
Venmo offer free transfers domestically. We highlight that prior to the WMT offering, an
$800 transfer through MGI/WU would have cost $62 and $75, respectively. We believe
WMT2WMT powered by Ria did approximately 4M transactions last quarter.
On an international transfer, the startups are competing with the traditional players both
on a transfer fee basis and the FX spread fee. Recall that on an international transfer, the
traditional players will earn a transfer fee and will also earn a spread between the FX rate
provided to the transfer customer versus the FX rate available in the currency markets.
Startups like TransferWise have been particularly aggressive advertising this inefficiency.
We believe that the startups are looking to create a market where consumers can make
August 2015
apples to apples comparisons easily as the winner with the lowest cost option taking the
majority of the transactions.
Summary Of Pricing
To study this FX spread, we looked at the U.S. to India, U.S. to China, U.S. to Philippines,
U.S. to Mexico and U.S. to France channels. We note that any variety of factors can impact
the cost of a transfer including principal (total amount), method of payment (credit, debit,
bank account, cash), method of send (online/telephone/agent) and method of pickup (cash,
bank account). As such, for each provider, we tried to collect prices for the widest range of
combinations possible. The results of this are presented in Exhibits 29, 30, 31 and 32 and we
point readers to the columns titled Transaction Fee, Implied FX Fee and Total Fee. Note,
for each of our channels we sorted the results by Total Fee which is highlighted in yellow.
Exhibit 28
France
TransferWise
WeSwap
WeSwap
August 2015
U.S. to India: India is the largest money transfer market in the world and the increased level
of competition is evident. We note traditional players, EEFT and WU, are foregoing any
transfer fee and are only discounting the currency offered to the customer vs. the market by
0.44% and 0.54%, respectively. We note that some of this may be driven by the fact that
India is the largest send destination in the world with the World Bank anticipating sends of
$68.8B in 2015. Additionally, we believe that EEFT and WU are actively working to
pressure XOOM and TransferWise in this market.
Exhibit 29
PRICING US TO INDIA
Send Location
Receive Location
Principal:
USA
India
$300.00
Date Tested
EEFT/RIA
6/22/2015
EEFT/RIA
6/22/2015
WU
6/22/2015
WU
6/22/2015
WU
6/22/2015
Remitly
6/22/2015
Remitly
6/22/2015
TransferWise
6/22/2015
EEFT/RIA
6/22/2015
EEFT/RIA
6/22/2015
XOOM
6/22/2015
WU
6/22/2015
WU
6/22/2015
Remit2India
6/22/2015
MGI
6/22/2015
WorldRemit
6/22/2015
XOOM
6/22/2015
XOOM
6/22/2015
WU
6/22/2015
WU
6/22/2015
MGI
6/22/2015
MGI
6/22/2015
EEFT/RIA
6/22/2015
EEFT/RIA
6/22/2015
MGI
6/22/2015
Remitly
6/22/2015
Small World Financial Services 6/22/2015
WU
6/22/2015
WU
6/22/2015
WU
6/22/2015
EEFT/RIA
6/22/2015
EEFT/RIA
6/22/2015
Method of
Send
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Agent/Phone
Agent/Phone
Agent/Phone
Online
Online
Agent/Phone
Agent/Phone
Agent/Phone
Online
Online
Method of
Pickup
Bank Account
Cash
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Cash
Bank Account
Cash
Cash
Bank Account
Cash
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Cash
Cash
Cash
Cash
Bank Account
Cash
Cash
Bank Account
Cash
Cash
Cash
Cash
Bank Account
Cash
Method of
Payment
Days to Receive
Bank Account
4-5 Days
Bank Account
4-5 Days
Bank Account
3-4 Days
Credit
0-1 Days
Debit
0-1 Days
Bank Account
3 Days
Debit Card
In minutes
Bank Account
2-3 Days
Debit
Minutes
Debit
Minutes
Bank Account Minutes - 5 days
Bank Account
3-4 Days
WU Pay
3-4 Days
Bank Account
5-6 Days
Bank Account
Minutes
Bank Account
3-5 Days
Credit
Minutes
Debit
Minutes
Credit
Minutes
Debit
Minutes
Credit
Minutes
Debit
Minutes
Cash
Minutes
Cash
Minutes
Cash
Minutes
Credit Card
In minutes
Bank Account
3-5 Days
Bank Account
Minutes
Credit
Minutes
Debit
Minutes
Credit
Minutes
Credit
Minutes
Destination
Currency
Received
18,966.00
18,966.00
18,950.25
18,950.25
18,950.25
18,978.00
18,930.00
18,766.10
18,966.00
18,966.00
18,840.00
18,950.25
18,950.25
18,810.00
18,938.68
18,783.00
18,840.00
18,840.00
18,950.25
18,950.25
18,938.68
18,938.68
18,966.00
18,966.00
18,995.84
18,930.00
18,855.01
18,846.59
18,846.59
18,846.59
18,966.00
18,966.00
Transaction
Fee
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$1.99
$1.99
$4.50
$4.00
$4.00
$2.99
$5.00
$5.00
$3.00
$4.99
$3.99
$5.99
$5.99
$8.00
$8.00
$8.00
$8.00
$9.00
$9.00
$11.00
$10.99
$10.39
$11.00
$11.00
$11.00
$16.00
$16.00
FX given
63.2200
63.2200
63.1675
63.1675
63.1675
63.2600
63.1000
63.5063
63.2200
63.2200
62.8000
63.1675
63.1675
62.7000
63.1289
62.60845
62.8000
62.8000
63.1675
63.1675
63.1289
63.1289
63.2200
63.2200
63.3194
63.1000
62.8500
62.8219
62.8219
62.8219
63.2200
63.2200
FX in
Implied FX
Market Difference
Fee
Total Fee
63.5000 -0.44%
$1.32
$1.32
63.5000 -0.44%
$1.32
$1.32
63.5111 -0.54%
$1.62
$1.62
63.5111 -0.54%
$1.62
$1.62
63.5111 -0.54%
$1.62
$1.62
63.4615 -0.32%
$0.95
$2.94
63.4615 -0.57%
$1.71
$3.70
63.5063 0.00%
$0.00
$4.50
63.5000 -0.44%
$1.32
$5.32
63.5000 -0.44%
$1.32
$5.32
63.4685 -1.05%
$3.16
$6.15
63.5111 -0.54%
$1.62
$6.62
63.5111 -0.54%
$1.62
$6.62
63.4805 -1.23%
$3.69
$6.69
63.4905 -0.57%
$1.71
$6.70
63.4900 -1.39%
$4.17
$8.16
63.4685 -1.05%
$3.16
$9.15
63.4685 -1.05%
$3.16
$9.15
63.5111 -0.54%
$1.62
$9.62
63.5111 -0.54%
$1.62
$9.62
63.4905 -0.57%
$1.71
$9.71
63.4905 -0.57%
$1.71
$9.71
63.5000 -0.44%
$1.32 $10.32
63.5000 -0.44%
$1.32 $10.32
63.4745 -0.24%
$0.73 $11.73
63.4615 -0.57%
$1.71 $12.70
63.4800 -0.99%
$2.98 $13.37
63.5465 -1.14%
$3.42 $14.42
63.5465 -1.14%
$3.42 $14.42
63.5465 -1.14%
$3.42 $14.42
63.5000 -0.44%
$1.32 $17.32
63.5000 -0.44%
$1.32 $17.32
August 2015
U.S. to China: We note that several of our money transfer service providers could not
provide USD to CNY (Renminbi) transfers and instead only offered USD to USD or USD to
EUR options. For each provider, we recorded what was offered. EEFT was the cheapest
option for sending $300 USD but we note there was no CNY transfer option. For the CNY
option, WU was the next cheapest at $8.09. However, we do note that the FX given by
WUs website did not always closely match the FX trading in the market which may not
accurately represent the fee charged there. We believe that WU is making a fee but likely
sets its rates using the exchange rate provided by its bank partners in China and not easily
checkable to market rates. Notably, we do not see a significant amount of start-up players
in the market which we believe is due to the complicated banking and capital restrictions in
China.
Exhibit 30
U.S.
China
$300.00
Date Tested
EEFT/RIA
7/15/2015
EEFT/RIA
7/15/2015
WU
7/15/2015
MGI
7/15/2015
EEFT/RIA
7/15/2015
Small World Financial Services 7/15/2015
EEFT/RIA
7/15/2015
MGI
7/15/2015
MGI
7/15/2015
MGI
7/15/2015
WU
7/16/2015
WU
7/16/2015
WU
7/16/2015
WorldRemit
7/15/2015
Small World Financial Services 7/15/2015
XOOM
7/15/2015
MGI
7/15/2015
WU
7/15/2015
WU
7/15/2015
MGI
7/15/2015
MGI
7/15/2015
MGI
7/15/2015
WU
7/15/2015
WU
7/15/2015
WU
7/15/2015
WU
7/15/2015
MGI
7/15/2015
MGI
7/15/2015
XOOM
7/15/2015
XOOM
7/15/2015
WU
7/15/2015
WU
7/15/2015
MGI
7/15/2015
MGI
7/15/2015
WU
7/15/2015
WU
7/15/2015
WU
7/16/2015
WU
7/16/2015
Method of
Send
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Agent/Phone
Agent/Phone
Agent/Phone
Agent/Phone
Agent/Phone
Agent/Phone
Agent/Phone
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Agent/Phone
Agent/Phone
Method of
Pickup
Cash
Cash
Bank Account
Bank Account
Cash
Cash
Bank Account
Cash
Cash
Bank Account
Cash
Cash
Cash
Bank account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Cash
Cash
Bank Account
Bank Account
Cash
Cash
Cash
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Cash
Cash
Cash
Cash
Cash
Cash
Cash
Cash
Method of
Payment
Bank Account
Debit Card
Bank Account
Bank Account
Credit Card
Bank Account
Cash
Cash
Bank Account
Cash
Bank Account
Cash
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
WU Pay
Bank Account
Credit Card
Debit Card
Bank Account
WU Pay
Bank Account
Credit Card
Debit Card
Credit Card
Debit Card
Debit Card
Credit Card
Credit Card
Debit Card
Credit Card
Debit Card
Credit Card
Debit Card
Credit Card
Debit Card
Days to Receive
4-5 Days
Minutes
4-8 Days
1 Day
Minutes
4-5 Days
Minutes
Minutes
1 Day
Minutes
Minutes
Minutes
Minutes
1 Day
4-5 Days
1 Day
1 Day
3 Days
4 Days
Minutes
Minutes
1 Day
3 Days
4 Days
1-5 Days
1-5 Days
Minutes
Minutes
Minutes
Minutes
Minutes
Minutes
Minutes
Minutes
Minutes
Minutes
Minutes
Minutes
Destination
Currency
Received
$300.00
$300.00
CNY 1,862.58
CNY 1,856.13
$300.00
$300.00
$300.00
$300.00
$300.00
CNY 1,856.13
$300.00
$300.00
CNY 1,862.79
$300.00
$300.00
CNY 1,824.60
$300.00
CNY 1,862.58
CNY 1,862.58
CNY 1,856.13
CNY 1,856.13
$300.00
$300.00
$300.00
CNY 1,862.58
CNY 1,862.58
$300.00
$300.00
CNY 1,824.60
CNY 1,824.60
CNY 1,862.58
CNY 1,862.58
$300.00
$300.00
$300.00
$300.00
CNY 1,862.79
CNY 1,862.79
Transaction
Fee
$5.00
$8.00
$8.00
$8.88
$10.00
$10.39
$12.00
$12.00
$12.00
$12.00
$14.00
$14.00
$14.00
$10.99
$14.69
$8.88
$20.00
$20.00
$20.00
$20.00
$20.00
$22.00
$22.00
$22.00
$23.00
$23.00
$25.00
$25.00
$20.00
$20.00
$28.00
$28.00
$30.00
$30.00
$30.00
$30.00
$30.00
$30.00
FX in
Implied FX
FX given Market Difference
Fee
Total Fee
1.0000 1.0000
0.00%
$0.00
$5.00
1.0000 1.0000
0.00%
$0.00
$8.00
6.2086 6.2104
-0.03%
$0.09
$8.09
6.1871 6.2094
-0.36%
$1.08
$9.96
1.0000 1.0000
0.00%
$0.00
$10.00
1.0000 1.0000
0.00%
$0.00
$10.39
1.0000 1.0000
0.00%
$0.00
$12.00
1.0000 1.0000
0.00%
$0.00
$12.00
1.0000 1.0000
0.00%
$0.00
$12.00
6.1871 6.2094
-0.36%
$1.08
$13.08
1.0000 1.0000
0.00%
$0.00
$14.00
1.0000 1.0000
0.00%
$0.00
$14.00
6.2092 6.2100
-0.01%
$0.04
$14.04
6.1334 6.2086
-1.21%
$3.63
$14.62
1.0000 1.0000
0.00%
$0.00
$14.69
6.0820 6.2097
-2.06%
$6.17
$15.05
1.0000 1.0000
0.00%
$0.00
$20.00
6.2086 6.2104
-0.03%
$0.09
$20.09
6.2086 6.2104
-0.03%
$0.09
$20.09
6.1871 6.2094
-0.36%
$1.08
$21.08
6.1871 6.2094
-0.36%
$1.08
$21.08
1.0000 1.0000
0.00%
$0.00
$22.00
1.0000 1.0000
0.00%
$0.00
$22.00
1.0000 1.0000
0.00%
$0.00
$22.00
6.2086 6.2104
-0.03%
$0.09
$23.09
6.2086 6.2104
-0.03%
$0.09
$23.09
1.0000 1.0000
0.00%
$0.00
$25.00
1.0000 1.0000
0.00%
$0.00
$25.00
6.0820 6.2097
-2.06%
$6.17
$26.17
6.0820 6.2097
-2.06%
$6.17
$26.17
6.2086 6.2104
-0.03%
$0.09
$28.09
6.2086 6.2104
-0.03%
$0.09
$28.09
1.0000 1.0000
0.00%
$0.00
$30.00
1.0000 1.0000
0.00%
$0.00
$30.00
1.0000 1.0000
0.00%
$0.00
$30.00
1.0000 1.0000
0.00%
$0.00
$30.00
6.2092 6.2100
-0.01%
$0.04
$30.04
6.2092 6.2100
-0.01%
$0.04
$30.04
August 2015
U.S. to Philippines: In the Philippines, TransferWise offers two different transactions which
are the cheapest for the Philippines channel and earn no FX fee ($2.85, $3.00). EEFT is next
at $3.94, followed by MGI at $8.01, Remitly at $8.39, WorldRemit at $10.26 and WU at
$10.39.
Exhibit 31
U.S.
Philippines
$300.00
Date Tested
TransferWise
7/1/2015
TransferWise
7/1/2015
EEFT/RIA
7/6/2015
EEFT/RIA
7/6/2015
EEFT/RIA
7/6/2015
EEFT/RIA
7/6/2015
EEFT/RIA
7/6/2015
EEFT/RIA
7/6/2015
EEFT/RIA
7/6/2015
EEFT/RIA
7/6/2015
EEFT/RIA
7/6/2015
MGI
7/6/2015
Remitly
7/1/2015
MGI
7/6/2015
WorldRemit
7/1/2015
WorldRemit
7/1/2015
WorldRemit
7/1/2015
WorldRemit
7/1/2015
WU
7/1/2015
WU
7/1/2015
MGI
7/6/2015
MGI
7/6/2015
MGI
7/6/2015
MGI
7/6/2015
Small World Financial Services
7/6/2015
Small World Financial Services
7/6/2015
Small World Financial Services
7/6/2015
Remitly
7/1/2015
Remitly
7/1/2015
WU
7/1/2015
WU
7/1/2015
XOOM
7/1/2015
WU
7/1/2015
WU
7/1/2015
XOOM
7/1/2015
XOOM
7/1/2015
MGI
7/6/2015
MGI
7/6/2015
EEFT/RIA
7/6/2015
EEFT/RIA
7/6/2015
EEFT/RIA
7/6/2015
WU
7/1/2015
WU
7/1/2015
WU
7/1/2015
WU
7/1/2015
WU
7/16/2015
WU
7/16/2015
WU
7/16/2015
Method of
Send
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Agent/Phone
Agent/Phone
Agent/Phone
Agent/Phone
Agent/Phone
Online
Online
Online
Online
Agent/Phone
Agent/Phone
Agent/Phone
Method of
Pickup
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Courier
Cash
Bank Account
Courier
Cash
Bank Account
Courier
Cash
Bank Account
Bank Account
Cash
Bank Account
Cash
Mobile Money
Door to Door
Bank Account
Bank Account
Cash
Cash
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Courier
Cash
Bank Account
Bank Account
Cash
Cash
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Cash
Bank Account
Bank Account
Courier
Cash
Cash
Cash
Mobile Wallet
Mobile Wallet
Bank Account
Cash
Mobile Wallet
Method of
Payment
Days to Receive
Bank Account
4-5 Days
Bank Account
2-3 Days
Bank Account
4-5 Days
Bank Account
4-5 Days
Bank Account
4-5 Days
Debit Card
Minutes
Debit Card
Minutes
Debit Card
Minutes
Credit Card
Minutes
Credit Card
Minutes
Credit Card
Minutes
Bank Account
Minutes
Bank Account
3 Days
Bank Account
Minutes
Bank Account
Minutes
Bank Account
Minutes
Bank Account
Minutes
Bank Account
1 Day
WU Pay
5 Days
Bank Account
6 Days
Debit Card
Minutes
Credit Card
Minutes
Debit Card
Minutes
Credit Card
Minutes
Bank Account
3-5 Days
Bank Account
3-5 Days
Bank Account
3-5 Days
Credit Card
Minutes
Debit Card
Minutes
WU Pay
3 Days
Bank Account
4 Days
Bank Account
3-5 Days
Credit Card
2 Days
Debit Card
2 Days
Credit Card
Minutes
Debit Card
Minutes
Cash
Minutes
Cash
Minutes
Cash
Minutes
Cash
2-3 Days
Cash
Minutes
Credit Card
Minutes
Debit Card
Minutes
Credit Card
Minutes
Debit Card
Minutes
Cash
2 Days
Cash
Minutes
Cash
Minutes
Destination
Currency
Transaction
Received
Fee
PHP 13,413.41
$2.85
PHP 13,413.41
$3.00
PHP 13,477.28
$3.00
PHP 13,477.28
$3.00
PHP 13,477.28
$3.00
PHP 13,477.28
$5.00
PHP 13,477.28
$5.00
PHP 13,477.28
$5.00
PHP 13,477.28
$6.00
PHP 13,477.28
$6.00
PHP 13,477.28
$6.00
PHP 13,158.85
$0.00
PHP 13,173.00
$0.00
PHP 13,253.52
$2.99
PHP 13,269.00
$3.99
PHP 13,269.00
$3.99
PHP 13,269.00
$3.99
PHP 13,269.00
$3.99
PHP 13,079.01
$0.00
PHP 13,079.01
$0.00
PHP 13,253.52
$6.00
PHP 13,253.52
$6.00
PHP 13,158.85
$4.00
PHP 13,158.85
$4.00
PHP 13,443.41
$10.39
PHP 13,443.41
$10.39
PHP 13,443.41
$10.39
PHP 13,173.00
$3.99
PHP 13,173.00
$3.99
PHP 13,079.01
$2.99
PHP 13,079.01
$2.99
PHP 13,143.00
$4.99
PHP 13,079.01
$4.00
PHP 13,079.01
$4.00
PHP 13,143.00
$5.99
PHP 13,143.00
$5.99
PHP 13,253.52
$9.99
PHP 13,253.52
$9.99
PHP 13,241.83
$12.00
PHP 13,241.83
$12.00
PHP 13,241.83
$12.00
PHP 13,079.01
$6.00
PHP 13,079.01
$6.00
PHP 13,079.01
$6.00
PHP 13,079.01
$6.00
PHP 13,125.57
$8.00
PHP 13,125.57
$10.00
PHP 13,125.57
$10.00
FX given
45.1630
45.1630
44.92425
44.92425
44.92425
44.92425
44.92425
44.92425
44.92425
44.92425
44.92425
43.8628
43.91
44.1784
44.2291
44.2291
44.2291
44.2291
43.5967
43.5967
44.1784
44.1784
43.8628
43.8628
44.8113
44.8113
44.8113
43.91
43.91
43.5967
43.5967
43.8100
43.5967
43.5967
43.8100
43.8100
44.1784
44.1784
44.47
44.47
44.47
43.5967
43.5967
43.5967
43.5967
43.7519
43.7519
43.7519
FX in
Implied FX
Market Difference
Fee
Total Fee
45.1630 0.00%
$0.00
$2.85
45.1630 0.00%
$0.00
$3.00
45.0660 -0.31%
$0.94
$3.94
45.0660 -0.31%
$0.94
$3.94
45.0660 -0.31%
$0.94
$3.94
45.0660 -0.31%
$0.94
$5.94
45.0660 -0.31%
$0.94
$5.94
45.0660 -0.31%
$0.94
$5.94
45.0660 -0.31%
$0.94
$6.94
45.0660 -0.31%
$0.94
$6.94
45.0660 -0.31%
$0.94
$6.94
45.0660 -2.67%
$8.01
$8.01
45.1735 -2.80%
$8.39
$8.39
45.0660 -1.97%
$5.91
$8.90
45.1735 -2.09%
$6.27 $10.26
45.1735 -2.09%
$6.27 $10.26
45.1735 -2.09%
$6.27 $10.26
45.1735 -2.09%
$6.27 $10.26
45.1605 -3.46%
$10.39 $10.39
45.1605 -3.46%
$10.39 $10.39
45.0660 -1.97%
$5.91 $11.91
45.0660 -1.97%
$5.91 $11.91
45.0660 -2.67%
$8.01 $12.01
45.0660 -2.67%
$8.01 $12.01
45.0660 -0.57%
$1.70 $12.09
45.0660 -0.57%
$1.70 $12.09
45.0660 -0.57%
$1.70 $12.09
45.1735 -2.80%
$8.39 $12.38
45.1735 -2.80%
$8.39 $12.38
45.1605 -3.46%
$10.39 $13.38
45.1605 -3.46%
$10.39 $13.38
45.1760 -3.02%
$9.07 $14.06
45.1605 -3.46%
$10.39 $14.39
45.1605 -3.46%
$10.39 $14.39
45.1760 -3.02%
$9.07 $15.06
45.1760 -3.02%
$9.07 $15.06
45.0660 -1.97%
$5.91 $15.90
45.0660 -1.97%
$5.91 $15.90
45.0660 -1.32%
$3.97 $15.97
45.0660 -1.32%
$3.97 $15.97
45.0660 -1.32%
$3.97 $15.97
45.1605 -3.46%
$10.39 $16.39
45.1605 -3.46%
$10.39 $16.39
45.1605 -3.46%
$10.39 $16.39
45.1605 -3.46%
$10.39 $16.39
45.2035 -3.21%
$9.63 $17.63
45.2035 -3.21%
$9.63 $19.63
45.2035 -3.21%
$9.63 $19.63
August 2015
U.S. to Mexico: EEFT, WU and MGI are the 3 cheapest service providers but we also note
that the service is not yet offered by TransferWise and we wonder if we are also seeing
some promotional pricing by the traditional players. We believe competition for this
channel will likely continue to pick up overtime.
Exhibit 32
U.S.
Mexico
$300.00
Date Tested
MGI
7/1/2015
EEFT/RIA
7/1/2015
EEFT/RIA
7/1/2015
MGI
7/1/2015
MGI
7/1/2015
MGI
7/1/2015
WU
7/1/2015
WU
7/1/2015
EEFT/RIA
7/1/2015
EEFT/RIA
7/1/2015
WorldRemit
7/1/2015
WorldRemit
7/1/2015
MGI
7/1/2015
MGI
7/1/2015
MGI
7/1/2015
WU
7/1/2015
WU
7/1/2015
EEFT/RIA
7/6/2015
EEFT/RIA
7/6/2015
WU
7/1/2015
WU
7/1/2015
WU
7/1/2015
WU
7/1/2015
EEFT/RIA
7/1/2015
EEFT/RIA
7/1/2015
XOOM
7/1/2015
WU
7/16/2015
WU
7/16/2015
MGI
7/1/2015
Small World Financial Services
7/1/2015
Small World Financial Services
7/1/2015
XOOM
7/1/2015
XOOM
7/1/2015
WU
7/16/2015
WU
7/16/2015
Method of
Send
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Agent/Phone
Online
Online
Agent/Phone
Agent/Phone
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Agent/Phone
Agent/Phone
Agent/Phone
Online
Online
Online
Online
Agent/Phone
Agent/Phone
Method of
Pickup
Cash
Bank Account
Cash
Cash
Cash
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Cash
Bank Account
Cash
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Cash
Cash
Bank Account
Cash
Cash
Cash
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Cash
Bank Account
Cash
Bank Account
Cash
Cash
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Cash
Cash
Method of
Payment
Days to Receive
Bank Account
Minutes
Bank Account
4 - 5 Days
Bank Account
4 - 5 Days
Credit Card
Minutes
Debit Card
Minutes
Bank Account
Minutes
WU Pay
5 Days
Bank Account
6 Days
Debit Card
Minutes
Debit Card
Minutes
Bank Account
3-5 Days
Bank Account
3-5 Days
Credit Card
Minutes
Debit Card
Minutes
Cash
Minutes
WU Pay
3 Days
Bank Account
4 Days
Cash
Minutes
Cash
Minutes
Credit Card
Minutes
Debit Card
Minutes
Credit Card
Next Day
Debit Card
Next Day
Credit Card
Minutes
Credit Card
Minutes
Bank Account Minutes - 5 days
Cash
Minutes
Cash
3 Days
Cash
Minutes
Bank Account
3-5 Days
Bank Account
3-5 Days
Credit Card
Minutes
Debit Card
Minutes
Credit Card
Minutes
Debit Card
Minutes
Destination
Currency
Received
MXN 4,652.35
MXN 4,632.00
MXN 4,632.00
MXN 4,652.35
MXN 4,652.35
MXN 4,633.50
MXN 4,609.89
MXN 4,609.89
MXN 4,632.00
MXN 4,632.00
MXN 4,624.01
MXN 4,624.01
MXN 4,633.50
MXN 4,633.50
MXN 4,628.78
MXN 4,609.89
MXN 4,609.89
MXN 4,686.00
MXN 4,686.00
MXN 4,609.89
MXN 4,609.89
MXN 4,609.89
MXN 4,609.89
MXN 4,632.00
MXN 4,632.00
MXN 4,590.00
MXN 4,617.57
MXN 4,617.57
MXN 4,628.78
MXN 4,636.97
MXN 4,636.97
MXN 4,590.00
MXN 4,590.00
MXN 4,617.57
MXN 4,617.57
Transaction
Fee
$4.00
$4.00
$4.00
$5.00
$5.00
$4.00
$2.99
$2.99
$5.00
$5.00
$3.99
$3.99
$5.00
$5.00
$5.00
$4.00
$4.00
$10.00
$10.00
$4.99
$4.99
$4.99
$4.99
$7.00
$7.00
$4.99
$6.99
$8.00
$9.99
$10.39
$10.39
$8.99
$8.99
$21.00
$21.00
FX given
15.5078
15.4400
15.4400
15.5078
15.5078
15.4449
15.3663
15.3663
15.4400
15.4400
15.41337
15.41337
15.4449
15.4449
15.4292
15.3663
15.3663
15.6200
15.6200
15.3663
15.3663
15.3663
15.3663
15.4400
15.4400
15.3000
15.3919
15.3919
15.4292
15.4565
15.4565
15.3000
15.3000
15.3919
15.3919
FX in
Implied FX
Market Difference
Fee
Total Fee
15.7872 -1.77%
$5.31
$9.31
15.7572 -2.01%
$6.04 $10.04
15.7572 -2.01%
$6.04 $10.04
15.7872 -1.77%
$5.31 $10.31
15.7872 -1.77%
$5.31 $10.31
15.7872 -2.17%
$6.50 $10.50
15.7808 -2.63%
$7.88 $10.87
15.7808 -2.63%
$7.88 $10.87
15.7572 -2.01%
$6.04 $11.04
15.7572 -2.01%
$6.04 $11.04
15.8010 -2.45%
$7.36 $11.35
15.8010 -2.45%
$7.36 $11.35
15.7872 -2.17%
$6.50 $11.50
15.7872 -2.17%
$6.50 $11.50
15.7789 -2.22%
$6.65 $11.65
15.7808 -2.63%
$7.88 $11.88
15.7808 -2.63%
$7.88 $11.88
15.7467 -0.80%
$2.41 $12.41
15.7467 -0.80%
$2.41 $12.41
15.7808 -2.63%
$7.88 $12.87
15.7808 -2.63%
$7.88 $12.87
15.7808 -2.63%
$7.88 $12.87
15.7808 -2.63%
$7.88 $12.87
15.7572 -2.01%
$6.04 $13.04
15.7572 -2.01%
$6.04 $13.04
15.7920 -3.12%
$9.35 $14.34
15.8065 -2.62%
$7.87 $14.86
15.8065 -2.62%
$7.87 $15.87
15.7789 -2.22%
$6.65 $16.64
15.7950 -2.14%
$6.43 $16.82
15.7950 -2.14%
$6.43 $16.82
15.7920 -3.12%
$9.35 $18.34
15.7920 -3.12%
$9.35 $18.34
15.8065 -2.62%
$7.87 $28.87
15.8065 -2.62%
$7.87 $28.87
August 2015
U.S. to France (Europe): In the U.S. to France, we note that startups TransferWise and
WorldRemit are the two cheapest options offering a $300 transfer for $3 and $6.21,
respectively. Notably, TransferWise, as advertised, does not charge any FX fee leaving only
a flat rate and WorldRemit only applied a 0.74% discount to the market exchange rate.
EEFT is very competitive at $8.65 charging a 1.22% FX discount and a $5 fee. The most
notable item in this channel is the distance with which traditional players WU and MGI
miss the market. From our findings, WUs cheapest offering was $20.17 while MGIs
cheapest offering was $24.73.
Exhibit 33
TransferWise
WeSwap
WeSwap
WeSwap
WorldRemit
WorldRemit
EEFT/RIA
EEFT/RIA
EEFT/RIA
EEFT/RIA
XOOM
EEFT/RIA
EEFT/RIA
Small World Financial Services
PayPal
WU
Skrill
XOOM
XOOM
MGI
EEFT/RIA
EEFT/RIA
MGI
MGI
WU
WU
WU
WU
MGI
WU
WU
WU
USA
France
$300.00
Date Tested
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
6/22/2015
Method of
Send
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Agent/Phone
Agent/Phone
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Online
Agent/Phone
Online
Online
Agent/Phone
Method of
Pickup
Bank Account
Swap Account
Swap Account
Swap Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Cash
Bank Account
Cash
Bank Account
Bank Account
Cash
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Cash
Bank Account
Cash
Cash
Cash
Cash
Bank Account
Cash
Bank Account
Cash
Cash
Cash
Cash
Method of
Payment
Bank Account
Swap Account
Swap Account
Swap Account
Bank Account
Credit Card
Bank Account
Bank Account
Debit
Debit
Bank Account
Credit
Credit
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Bank Account
Credit
Debit
Bank Account
Cash Only
Cash Only
Credit
Debit
Bank Account
Credit
WU Pay
Debit
Cash
Credit
Debit
Cash
Time To Receive
2-3 Business Days
5 Days
3 Days
Minutes
1-3 Business Days
1-3 Business Days
3-5 days
3-5 days
Minutes
Minutes
1-2 Business Days
Minutes
Minutes
3-5 Business Days
Minutes
5 Days
Minutes
1-2 Business Days
1-2 Business Days
Minutes
Minutes
Minutes
Minutes
Minutes
4 Days
Next Day
3 Days
Next Day
Minutes
Minutes
Minutes
Minutes
Destination
Currency Transaction
FX in
Implied FX
Received
Fee
FX given Market Difference
Fee
Total Fee
261.52
$3.00
0.8805 0.8805
0.00%
$0.00
$3.00
264.15
$3.00
0.8805 0.8805
0.00%
$0.00
$3.00
264.15
$3.90
0.8805 0.8805
0.00%
$0.00
$3.90
264.15
$4.20
0.8805 0.8805
0.00%
$0.00
$4.20
262.05
$3.99
0.8735 0.8800
-0.74%
$2.22
$6.21
262.05
$3.99
0.8735 0.8800
-0.74%
$2.22
$6.21
260.82
$5.00
0.8694 0.8801
-1.22%
$3.65
$8.65
260.82
$5.00
0.8694 0.8801
-1.22%
$3.65
$8.65
260.82
$8.00
0.8694 0.8801
-1.22%
$3.65 $11.65
260.82
$8.00
0.8694 0.8801
-1.22%
$3.65 $11.65
257.94
$4.99
0.8598 0.8804
-2.34%
$7.02 $12.01
260.82
$10.00
0.8694 0.8801
-1.22%
$3.65 $13.65
260.82
$10.00
0.8694 0.8801
-1.22%
$3.65 $13.65
259.69
$10.39
0.8656 0.8816
-1.81%
$5.44 $15.83
260.79
$12.00
0.8693 0.8931
-2.66%
$7.99 $19.99
250.62
$5.00
0.8354 0.8799
-5.06%
$15.17 $20.17
255.05
$10.00
0.8502 0.8804
-3.43%
$10.30 $20.30
257.94
$15.99
0.8598 0.8804
-2.34%
$7.02 $23.01
257.94
$15.99
0.8598 0.8804
-2.34%
$7.02 $23.01
251.03
$10.00
0.8367 0.8799
-4.91%
$14.73 $24.73
260.55
$21.00
0.8685 0.8805
-1.36%
$4.09 $25.09
260.55
$21.00
0.8685 0.8805
-1.36%
$4.09 $25.09
251.03
$20.00
0.8367 0.8799
-4.91%
$14.73 $34.73
251.03
$20.00
0.8367 0.8799
-4.91%
$14.73 $34.73
250.62
$20.00
0.8354 0.8799
-5.06%
$15.17 $35.17
250.62
$20.00
0.8354 0.8799
-5.06%
$15.17 $35.17
250.62
$20.00
0.8354 0.8799
-5.06%
$15.17 $35.17
250.62
$20.00
0.8354 0.8799
-5.06%
$15.17 $35.17
248.39
$24.00
0.8279 0.8799
-5.91%
$17.73 $41.73
250.62
$27.00
0.8354 0.8799
-5.06%
$15.17 $42.17
250.62
$27.00
0.8354 0.8799
-5.06%
$15.17 $42.17
248.21
$24.00
0.8273 0.8809
-6.08%
$18.25 $42.25
Pricing Wrap-Up
Overtime, we believe that competition in all the channels will continue to pick up as
consumers continue to become more and more aware of pricing differentials due to the easy
ability to compare the various offerings. We estimate that the winner of this game will be
the money transfer company that can most effectively manage the staggering compliance
costs across the most efficient platform. We believe FX spreads will be the first casualty of
this battle followed by continued competition on the transaction fee. While the traditional
players carry sizeable economies of scale advantages right now, the startups have the
benefit of technology minded human capital and significant investment by venture capital
and private equity.
XOOM is a Silicon Valley based international money transfer company that was founded
in 2001 by Kevin Hartz (one of the original investors in PayPal). XOOM successfully raised
funds several times with the backing of Sequoia Capital, New Enterprise Associates, SVB
August 2015
Capital and Fidelity Ventures, among others, before going public 2/15/13. On 7/1/2015,
PayPal announced it would pay $25/share for XOOM a 32% premium over the 3 month
weighted average stock price, which put XOOMs enterprise value at $890M. XOOM
expands PayPals service into 37 additional channels, notably Mexico, India, the
Philippines, China and Brazil and offers a sizable cross-selling opportunity with PayPals
68M U.S. users. We believe this shows the trend towards investment in FinTech as well as
money transfer in particular. We highlight XOOM because we believe it showcases the
overall potential for at least some of the companies listed in this report. Recall, XOOM was
created to attack the heavily entrenched, incumbent players in the money transfer market,
such as MGI/WU and to a lesser extent EEFT. XOOMs original strategy was to offer a
more convenient way to transfer funds via online and mobile platforms. XOOM targeted
its products specifically at the immigrant community and offered several options for cash
delivery at significantly discounted prices to MGI/WU. Additionally XOOM leveraged its
online and mobile platforms to drive transactions which grew 27.8% and 50.9% for 2014
and 2013 respectively vs. MGI (+2%/13%), WU (+5.2%/4.9%) and EEFT (+38.6%, 14.7%;
WMT2WMT launch May 2014).
Alibaba Affiliate
Moves To P2P
Payments
On 7/8/2015, Ant Financial, an affiliate of Alibaba, announced that it was upgrading its
mobile wallet Alipay Wallet to include additional capabilities for money transfer. While
Alibaba is not a startup by any means, it is a massive company focused on the largest
country in the world, China, with its 1.3B people and 79% bank account penetration.
Additionally, we highlight that China is the #2 send destination in the world with ~$64B in
money transferred into China in 2014. We believe we will likely continue to see this type of
foray into money transfer by the established companies due to the size of the overall
market.
Similar to the move made by Alibaba with its use of Ant Financial to enter the money
transfer market, we see similar trends developing here in the U.S. with names such as
Google, Facebook and Twitter looking to combine their already robust online platforms
with a money transfer offering. We believe that these social media/internet companies are
looking to leverage the fact that users are already active on the networking sites to
communicate and are simply adding money transfer as an additional value added service.
Google: Google now offers users the ability to send money via its g-mail service in
conjunction with its wallet offering. We highlight that all users are required to do is set up a
Google wallet account and he/she can then send money to anyone via attaching money to a
g-mail message. The receiving person is required to set up a Google Wallet account but
there is no fee. We note the service is currently only available in the U.S. but we anticipate
that as Google continues to refine the service it could expand internationally. We also
highlight that sending and requesting money from individuals is free.
Facebook: Facebook has entered the money transfer market by allowing users to
send/receive money directly through Facebook messaging. Notably, Facebooks offering is
very convenient as Facebook already has a very broad user base, many of which have
already loaded debit card information into the site in order to pay for things such as games.
Facebooks service is only available in the U.S. but we would not be surprised to see an
international offering as Facebook continues to refine the service.
Twitter: Twitter has also stepped into the world of money transfer. While Facebook and
Google are allowing users to send money similar to how the user would send a picture or a
file, Twitter is partnering with banks and enabling anyone with a twitter handle and a bank
account the ability to send money. The major difference between the services is that the
Twitter offering is public for your twitter followers to see, where the Google and Facebook
August 2015
options remain private and between the sender/receiver. While details are relatively sparse
on the total mechanics of the service, users direct message the bank providing the service
with a specifically formatted message. The bank then provides the sender with a pin
number which the sender provides to the recipient and the bank alternatively sends a tweet
to the recipient which allows the bank to collect the pin from the recipient as well as any
other necessary bank information. While there is no definitive list of partner banks that will
send money on twitter we note that BCPE bank in France and ICICI Bank in India are
involved.
EEFTs XE Strategy
EEFT recently announced the acquisition of XE. XE runs the websites XE.com (top 500
website globally) and x-rates.com which combined to provide for ~1.6B page views
annually across 200M annual unique users, of which, ~49% are looking to do a money
transfer transaction. We believe that EEFT plans to use HiFXs simple platform (~65% of
transactions do not require human interaction) to drive better conversion rates with the XE
user base. We highlight that management expects to grow revenues to $22M from $10M in
XEs second year of operations (assumes no benefit from better conversion). XEs 3rd party
vendor contract for money transfer expires in 12 months at which point we anticipate EEFT
will begin making changes to drive higher conversion.
Of all the parts of the FinTech sector, one could argue that money transfer has seen some of
the most competition and pressure from start-ups. We believe that there are 5 major reasons
for this:
1. Huge market
2. Slow moving, sizable and established players
3. Lack of price transparency
4. Changing global demographics
5. Scalability of mobile/internet strategy
1.) Huge Market Opportunity
The global money transfer market is vast. The World Bank estimates that the total
amount of money sent around the world in 2014 was $583B with projected growth
rates of 0.40%, 4.1% and 4.3% during 2015, 2016 and 2017, respectively. With
numbers this large, the companies operating in the industry only need to capture a
small percentage of this to generate relatively significant revenues. We note that World
Bank estimates the cost to remit $200 is ~7.7%. While this rate has been declining, it
still puts the total revenue opportunity at $45.1B, $46.9B and $49.0B, respectively for
2015, 2016 and 2017 using the World Banks projected remittance levels. We believe
that the startups like the odds of developing a platform that could stand to capture/take
away some of this pie from the established players which would be a meaningful (and
lucrative) win for the startup.
2.) Slow Moving, Sizable And Established Players
WU and MGI are perfect examples of the type of financial institutions that FinTech
companies want to compete against. We note WU/MGI dominate much of the
international market with 15% and 5%, respectively, and an even greater share in the
U.S. with ~40%-50% combined. We do note, the U.S. market share may have
decreased somewhat due to EEFTs launch of the white label product at WMT but we
believe it is relatively close. While we agree in part the traditional players hold
significant barriers to entry created by the regulatory environment and agent locations,
we wonder if technology and changing consumer demands (more mobile/less brick and
mortar) will erode the value of some of these prior advantages. Additionally, we do
August 2015
believe that the startups estimate there is potential for a new technology platform to
more efficiently create scale across the business. This new platform could potentially
provide for similar bottom line results despite a lower potential fee environment.
Lastly, we estimate that the human capital and relatively entrepreneurial nature of
these small start-ups may provide a competitive advantage due to the rapidly changing
technology surrounding the service.
3.) Lack Of Price Transparency
Throughout its history, the proliferation of the internet has made it easier to find deals
on everything. However, due to the quasi-duopolies in the money transfer market
created by WU/MGI and the slow moving banks, this shift has yet to fully develop in
the money transfer market. Specifically, we highlight the tiered pricing structure seen
within the traditional players transaction fee and the FX spread on international
transfers. We believe that the startups are entering the market to compete specifically
on transparency of pricing. TransferWise is one of the most aggressive showing a low
transaction fee (based on size of send) with no FX bid offer spread being earned.
TransferWise also shows the consumer the FX rate being applied to the transaction
which matches the pricing seen in foreign currency markets on data systems such as
FactSet. We note most of the traditional players exchange rates were significantly
lower than the exchange rates offered in the market. We believe the startups are
looking to take market share by offering a lower and more transparent fee structure
and driving lower total economics to take market share.
4.) Changing Global Demographics
The worlds population is young and massive. According to the U.S. Census Bureau,
approximately 50.2% of the global population is between the ages of new born and 30.
This represents 3.6B people who are likely very comfortable with technology, especially
if those cohort members were born in the developed world where mobile technology
has been relatively advanced for most of the individuals lives. In more simple terms,
there are about as many people in the world today under 30 as there were people from
any age range in 1970. As such, the potential market for money transfer companies is
massive.
Smartphone penetration continues within global population. A June 2014 study by
eMarketer estimated that by the end of 2015 there would be 2.04B smartphone users in
the world or 28% of the total population. We believe that as the phones continue to get
more and more connected overtime there will be overwhelming consumer demand for
the mobile platform. While WU, MGI and to some extent EEFT (Ria) have a bit of an
advantage due to scale in the agent model, we believe that the deck is more evenly
stacked as mobile continues to become more prevalent.
Internet penetration will continue to erode brick and mortar competitive advantage. As
weve already highlighted, the worlds population is young. We believe that this
population will grow up surrounded by technology and will be increasingly
comfortable interacting with a largely online world. We also highlight that as
technology continues to advance, we anticipate significant portions of the developing
world population to gain access to the online world. We note that according to the
World Bank, only 38 in 100 people in the World have internet access as of 2013. Using
the internet penetration rate applied to the corresponding population, we estimate that
there are 2.6B people in the top 10 most populated countries in the world who are not
internet users. We believe that this rising young cohort with expanding internet access
globally will continue to put further pressure on the traditional brick and mortar
model.
August 2015
Bank account penetration. Much of the new model of money transfer involves consumers
transferring money directly from one bank account to another. We believe that part of the
demographic tail wind that the start-ups are looking to exploit is the increasing penetration
of bank accounts into the global population. According to the World Bank, only 60.69% of
the population over the age of 15 is believed to have any type of account at a financial
institution as of 2014. Looking more specifically, if we apply the respective bank account
penetration rate to the corresponding populations of the top 10 countries, we believe there
remains 1.3B people yet to have a bank account in just those top 10 countries, let alone the
rest of the world. Again, this demographic tailwind fits nicely into the bank-to-bank
transfers being pursued by the start-ups.
Exhibit 34
In addition to the startup companies like TransferWise and Azimo, we also highlight that
more business focused money transfer organizations are starting as well. Specifically, we
highlight Currency Cloud which provides B2B transfer services (TransferWise is actually a
customer) via the cloud. They offer a variety of services to businesses to help manage
international payments and transfers. We also note that, EEFTs HiFX offers a similar
solution for businesses and high net worth clients that were looking to transfer larger $
amount transfers. We believe that there is likely a significant market for these types of
enterprise wide transfer platforms but we estimate that the level of technological disruption
is still below critical mass where the consumer side has already reached that point.
August 2015
C O M P A NY O V E R V I E W S
Azimo
Boom Financial
August 2015
PeerTransfer
Remit2India
Founded: Unknown
Ownership: Privately held
Headquarters: London
Domain: http://www.remit2india.com/
Company Description: Online transfer company providing money transfer services from
several developed nations (U.S., U.K., Australia, Singapore, Canada, U.A.E., Germany,
Spain and two other European countries).
Source:
http://sendmoneytoindia.remit2india.com/usa-new-10paisaextra/index.asp?keyw=remit2india&gclid=CL2GuMSElcYCFYJEaQodwhUAQw
August 2015
Remitly
Regalii
August 2015
Ripple Labs
Skrill
August 2015
Small World
Financial Services
August 2015
Transferwise
Venmo
August 2015
WeSwap
WorldRemit
August 2015
# 4 : N E W P A YM E NT S I N N O V A T O R S
With nearly 150B electronic transactions facilitated globally by the three largest card
networks (Visa, MasterCard, American Express) in 2014, the payments and billing
technology industry is large and growing. In recent years, numerous new and innovative
business models have emerged in the payments space, largely targeting 1)
digital/ecommerce/mobile payments and 2) point-of-sale (POS) payment systems. Thus far,
most of the new payments entrants have bolted their technologies/business models onto the
existing payments ecosystem, expanding the reach of electronic payments to new merchants
in addition to increasing conversion rates by enhancing the consumer experience through
increased security and simplicity as well as added channels to reward customer loyalty.
Why Payments
Technology?
New entrants are aiming to simplify the complex world of payments for both the merchant
and the consumer by providing all-in-one solutions that enable various forms of payments
from NFC and EMV to debit, credit, and prepaid cards. Triggered by the adoption of new
payments technologies like NFC and EMV/chip security, coupled with a rapidly expanding
ecommerce business, the payments technology space is heating up. We note that there are
five major areas where new firms are aiming to prove innovative:
1.
Consumer simplicity: The demand for simplicity has increased as the technology
enabling it has improved over time. This is a key factor in determining the winners and
losers in payments over the next several years. Within the space, new firms are
competing not only on price, but on levels of simplicity and integration even down to
the number of clicks required to make a purchase. The winners will be the best at
implementing technology that increases the ease of doing business for both consumers
and merchants.
2.
3.
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 101
August 2015
4.
5.
As this market is very fragmented and comprised of many niche startups, there is a large
variety of businesses and business models in operation today as well as a growing number
of new businesses currently being developed. We highlight below some of the new
payments entrants driving innovation in the digital/ecommerce/mobile payments and POS
payment systems. The company profiles of Boku, Dwolla, Klarna, and Square are used as
representatives of the broad payments industry across multiple geographies.
Direct Carrier Billing
Boku
August 2015
What is Dwolla? Dwolla is a free web-based software platform that enables users to send,
receive, and request funds from other users. Based in Iowa, the company has constructed its
own electronic payment network as an alternative to credit card networks and Automated
Clearing House (ACH) transfers. Essentially, they want to replace the credit card network
rails that power a majority of electronic payments by charging users a monthly fee of as low
as $25/month.
What are the advantages? There are two main advantages to Dwollas payments network
that separate it from its competitors. 1) Payments can be made instantaneously instead of
the 2-3 days or more that are associated with ACH. 2) Users avoid hefty fees charged by the
credit card companies, and instead pay only $0.25 per transaction, with payments under $10
being free. In fact, in Dwollas home state of Iowa, citizens can use Dwolla to pay taxes or
other fees online, which reduces costs from $5.45 to $0.40.
Challenges of taking on credit card networks and ACH payments: While taking on the
traditional payments ecosystem can be valuable to its users and all consumers, the value of
the underlying infrastructure and technology is as valuable as the number of users it has.
Credit card networks like Visa and MasterCard have spent many years and invested
significant capital in building their technology infrastructure and global network. For
Dwolla to succeed, it will need to build a scalable network and sign on enough users to
benefit from network effects.
Easy sign-on: Origninally, users had to sign on to Dwolla on the website by entering their
banking credentials and other personal information. However, Dwolla verifies users bank
or credit union accoutns using a third-party provider so that users dont even need to
provide routing or account numbers. Dwolla hopes this easy sign-on will help them gain
traction with users and continue to add value to its existing customer base.
What else can Dwolla do? Besides individual payments, Dwolla is also capable of
processing mass and recurring payments. These enable users and businesses alike to easily
collect or receive thousands of payments on an automated basis for events such as payroll
periods and subscriptions.
Who backs Dwolla? Dwolla has raised $30M from VC funds including Andreessen
Horowitz and Union Square Ventures among many others.
Klarna
What is Klarna? Klarna is a Swedish ecommerce payment platform provider that has raised
over $275M. Klarna offers merchants solutions that enable commerce on both desktop and
mobile devices. For merchants, it offers a vastly simplified and easy way to accept Visa,
MasterCard, Discover, and American Express.This catch-all business model makes it easier
for SMBs to get paid without having to set up and maintain multiple payment gateways
which facilitate the online transactions with the card networks. If the merchant selects
Klarna, merchants can allow Klarna to take care of the end-to-end payment process.
Offerings include one-touch buying for return customers, payment after receiving his/her
order, and increased security. A differentiating factor between Klarnas experience and
other streamlined checkout processes is that Klarna pays merchants first and takes on all
the risk of fraud and payment default themselves. Klarna takes care of the credit card
processing and verification process so that merchants dont have to in exchange for variable
setup and transaction fees.
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 103
August 2015
What is the process for a first time Klarna user? For customers, the experience starts when
they begin to checkout. If it is their first-time paying through Klarna, they will be prompted
to enter their name, email, and delivery address. They can then choose to pay after
receiving the order, or up to 14 days from the order date, and complete the process later.
When paying, customers are prompted to enter the credit or debit card number per usual
and the process is completed.
How big is Klarna? According to their website, Klarna serves more than 35M customers
and manages payments for 50k merchants, and processes more than 250k transactions per
day across 11 European countries.
Exhibit 35
Note on U.S. competitor Stripe: Stripe is as U.S. based company that provides a suite of
APIs that act as a payments gateway and make online payments easy for both the merchant
and the consumer. Klarna and Stripe will begin to compete for market share as Stripe has
recently announced an expansion into Northern Europe, which they believe will build on
their already large base in North America.
Similar to Klarna, Stripe wants to make the process as easy as possiblewhich means no
separate payment gateways that users have to navigate through. However, in addition to
the payments gateway that Stripe provides through their APIs, Stripe provides recurring
billing, data analytics, PCI compliant security, and the ability to integrate with everything
from email to merchants existing accounting systems. Stripe has been raising money and
expanding geographies into Europe, Australia and Japan and currently supports over 100
currencies, including Bitcoin. The competition between these two large and fast growing
companies will be a story to watch, as Stripe has received over $200M in funding and
backing from the likes of Elon Musk, Peter Theil, and Sequoia Capital.
August 2015
What is Square? Square is an electronic payments and point-of-sale company that has raised
nearly $600M since inception and enables small and medium sized businesses with the
ability to accept different forms of payment (credit, debit, etc.) in an efficient manner.
What are Squares products? Square offers merchants three products: a POS terminal stand,
a magstripe reader, and a contactless + chip card reader. The product that most are
familiar with is the magstripe reader, otherwise known as a Dongle, which attaches into the
headset jack of a merchants smartphone or tablet, and works with both iOS and Android
software. With the Dongle, Square is targetting micro-merchants such as food trucks that
need a way to accept mobile electronic payments. To begin using the Dongle, merchants
simply have to sign-up online or in-store and a dongle will be provided free of charge. After
signing up and receiving the reader, merchants need to download an app on the mobile
device that will be connected to the reader, which will manage and track payments and
inventory for the merchant. After proper installation and implementation, merchants can
easily swipe credit cards on the mobile Dongle accessory and can do business outside the
walls of a brick and mortar store with Square collecting a 2.75% fee of each transaction
which includes the credit card fee.
How is Square preparing for the EMV liability shift? With the October 1st deadline for the
EMV trasition looming, Square has released a complementary piece of hardware that
accepts both EMV and traditional cards, and is offereing it free to existing merchants or
merchants first implementing Squares technology. The new Dongle looks the same, is
compatible with the same devices, and accepts payments in the same way as the traditional
Dongle but can now accept EMV cards.
Exhibit 36
SQUARE PRODUCTS
Source: Square
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 105
August 2015
The Square Stand and contactless reader: Additionally, Squares two other products, the
POS stand and the contactless + chip reader are both designed to further allow the SMB
owner to accept any form of payment from any location. Priced at $99, the stand is just like
what it sounds, a POS hardware terminal enabling merchants to accept card payments,
send digital receipts, gather sales information and manage inventory. It transforms an iPad
(not included in the $99 price) into a POS system with a free app that runs the software.
The contactless + chip card reader (coming Fall 2015) is a free standing card reader that
accepts NFC and EMV payments. It wirelessly connects to a merchants iOS or Android
device, or Square Stand, and helps merchants prepare for both the October 1 switch to
EMV enabled cards and the increased technology requirements of accepting NFC payments
such as Apple Pay and Android Pay.
What are Squares services offerings? On top of their three main POS products, Square
offers a suite of solutions to complement the terminals. Free products include inventory
management, invoicing, data analytics, online store setup and a pre-ordering online system.
The rest come at an additional cost and include appointment scheduling, a CRM solution
and gift cards. These are all easily integrated through initial sign-up and improve the
overall payment and business software experience for merchants. Square products are easily
paired with applications such as QuickBooks and Bigcommerce which efficiently addresses
clients accounting and online store management needs.
What is Square Payroll? Square payroll is a payroll services solution for small businesses.
Fully integrated with their POS stand terminal, Square Payroll offers merchants digital
timecards for hourly staff as well as automatic salaried staff payroll. In addition to
employee payroll, it provides merchants with automated federal and state tax filing, and
easy employee onboarding that employees handle themselves. Priced at $20/month
+$5/month per employee paid, Square Payroll is a cost-effective solution for small
businesss payroll needs.
What is Square Cash? Square Cash is a payment enabling website and application that
allows individuals and businesses to send money through $Cashtags, which is a unique
identifier for an individual or business using Square Cash to other parties who are signed up
on the network. Users can send or accept payments via an app on their mobile device or on
their personalized Square Cash webpage. The service is 100% free when being used
between individuals, but costs 1.5% per transaction when used to accept payment for goods
and services for businesses.
Integrated business lines: When all business lines are combined, Square is an end-to-end
payment company that caters its services toward a wide-variety of SMBs, from entirely
mobile merchants who are best served by the card readers, to more traditional merchants
with permanent physical locations most likely to use the fully integrated Square Stand.
Square is the largest and most-well known startup in the POS terminal space, and has used
its size and reach to expand past the initial card reader into niche areas such as custom gift
cards issuance and an employee booking system for businesses. We note that although
Square is the biggest player in the space currently, competition is high with several different
technologies and business models attacking the same problem: inefficient payments.
Square files for IPO: It has been recently reported by the Wall Street Journal and other
media sources that Square has confidentially filed for an IPO under the JOBS Act. If this is
true, Square will be the latest FinTech startup to go public which is the ultimate goal for
many of these new and emerging companies.
August 2015
C O M P A NY O V E R V I E W S
2Checkout
Adyen
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 107
August 2015
Apriva
Bigcommerce
August 2015
Bill.com
BillTrust
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 109
August 2015
Bindo
Bluefin Payment
Systems
August 2015
BlueSnap
Boku
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 111
August 2015
CardFlight
CashStar
August 2015
Datacap Systems
Dwolla
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 113
August 2015
Edo Interactive
Fortumo
August 2015
GoCardless
inDinero
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 115
August 2015
Intubus
iZettle
August 2015
Klarna
Lightspeed
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 117
August 2015
MineralTree
Miura Systems
August 2015
Mozido
OoBi
Founded: 2015
Type: POS, Ecommerce & Marketplace Lending
Ownership: Private
Domain: N/A
Company Description: OoBi (Out Of Bank Interactions) is a secure mobile wallet with an
in-app marketplace for revolving consumer credit at the point-of-sale. Self-described as the
Uber app of the credit card industry, OoBis app platform offers in-app marketplace
lending which can offer lower interest rates than credit cards with the convenience of
financing at the point-of-sale. OoBi uses existing mobile wallet and card network
infrastructure (no new hardware or software required), enabling users to upload their
existing credit cards and payment options. OoBis mobile wallet offers a secure platform
that tokenizes transactions and automates each transactions card selection by selecting the
cheapest financing option available. OoBi claims that it can initially cut 2.5-3% off of the
average 15% average credit card interest rate. OoBis revenues are driven by origination
fees on card spending volumes from marketplace originated credit.
Co-Founder: Ed Manicka
Co-Founder: Manjunathan Padua
Co-Founder: Sankar MadhavaRao
Co-Founder: Bradley Berning
Source:
Brad Berning (contact information: brad@oobinet.com)
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 119
August 2015
Payfirma
PayItSimple
August 2015
Payleven
PayNearMe
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 121
August 2015
Payoneer
Paytm
August 2015
Powa Technologies
Poynt
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 123
August 2015
Revel Systems
SayPay Technologies
August 2015
Sellfy
ShopKeep
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 125
August 2015
SimplyTapp
Spreedly
August 2015
Square
Stripe
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 127
August 2015
Subledger
SumUp
August 2015
SupportPay
Swipely
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 129
August 2015
TabbedOut
Taulia
August 2015
Trustly Group
Vend
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 131
August 2015
WePay
Zuora
August 2015
# 5 : C O R P O RA T E S ER V I C E S
The corporate services industry is wide-ranging in scope, with companies entering the space
providing solutions such as data analytics, trading platforms, HR services, and fraud
prevention. Given the breadth of the industry, we believe the infusion of technology into the
space will open up new doors for innovative startups to change the way corporate services
are provided.
What is a corporate service? A corporate service in the context of financial technology is
one which enables small-to-medium businesses as well as enterprise level institutions to
improve operational performance. Whether it is in enhanced efficiency, tighter security, or
increased access to information, new corporate services are changing the way institutions
operate. An early example of a service can be traced back to 1985 when the first version of
Microsoft Excel was launched. More recently, the implementations of data services such as
Bloomberg, FactSet, and Thomson Reuters serve as examples that have also seen significant
adoption. Wide-ranging in nature, there is no single way to encapsulate the vast array of
ways corporate service technologies can enable institutions to run more efficiently and
better serve their clients.
What can they do? Today more than ever before, technology is acting as an enabler for
many different segments of the business community. For small businesses, automated HR
technology solutions are allowing them to run with fewer overhead costs. For the entire
payments industry, fraud detection and prevention technologies are aiming to lessen the
costs for insecure payment transactions. For the larger investment banks, technology is
improving the inefficient and illiquid fixed income trading market. And for everyone, data
analytics, or big data, provides a new tool with new ways to peer into both companies
and the greater markets as a whole. We believe that the vast size of the market for these
technologies provides ample opportunity for nimble startups to pick their target market and
gain traction in the emerging corporate services tech industry.
Why Corporate
Service Tech?
As corporate services are increasingly broad in their applications, institutions are leveraging
the technological innovation of startups to increase efficiency, security, and operational
capabilities. We believe there are four main drivers for growth in the industry: Leveraging
technology for increased efficiency, increasing demand for heightened security, regulation
within the financial industry, and the expanding possibilities that big data can bring.
1.
Efficiency: With intense competition comes a large appetite for technology that enables
businesses to run lean business models. The movement towards leveraging technology
to enhance efficiency within corporations is strongpushing firms to automate what
can be automated and evolve with financial technology to remain competitive.
2.
Security: With the recent high-profile security breaches, firms are scurrying to
strengthen their security. As FBI Director James Comey said, There are two kinds of
companies in the United States, those who know they have been hacked, and those that
dont know they have been hacked. As a result of seeing the damage security breaches
can cause, there is strong demand for the technologically advanced security solutions
that can protect businesses from cyber-attacks that the new FinTech companies
provide.
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 133
August 2015
3.
Regulation: Since the financial crisis of 2008, regulation has become a prominent issue
within the entire financial services industry. With heightened regulatory pressures come
increased compliance and all the costs associated with maintaining proper compliance.
These increased costs are mostly burdened on the SMBs that do not have the resources
to spend on additional HR personnel. As the regulatory environment continues to
evolve, automated and computerized software is a tool that firms can use to
automatically keep up with the constantly changing regulations and limit the time
spent on HR.
4.
Drive for Data: According to the Council on Foreign Relations, as recently as 2000 only
of the worlds stored information was digital. Using the internet as an enabler, big
data is changing the way we as a society make decisions. As the desire to quantify
information increases the use of big data will continue to grow within all aspects of
business. With that, the drive for innovative technologies that advance the capabilities
of big data will increase as we continue to become a data dependent society.
Due to the wide-range of possible solutions these firms are targeting, it is important to
really understand how some of the larger players are addressing their respective niches.
Although Ayasdi, Kensho, and Fundbox are not exhaustive examples of the entire space,
they paint a representative picture of how firms are leveraging technology to solve specific
issues within corporate services.
Algomi
What is Algomi? Algomi has created a network that enables market participants to securely
and intelligently harness data to increase efficiency and transparency within the fixedincome trading market.
What problem is it solving? Since 2008 and the regulatory changes that have followed, sellside investment banks are no longer holding the trading inventory that they once used to
facilitate trades for their clients. Instead, they are acting more as a distributor by buying
and selling individual blocks of securities as opposed to having them warehoused within the
firm to be able to fulfill a clients order. This has created a lack of transparency within the
market, as buy-side firms are blind as to who would be best able to fulfill their order.
What does Algomi do? For the banks, Algomis Honeycomb network has created a realtime network to their internal and external clients. Using their own data, Honeycomb
allows banks to identify trade opportunities and encourages internal collaboration. For
investors, the Honeycomb network provides insight and data into which bank would be
best able to facilitate their trade at the right time. This enables the investor to deal
discretely and in size via voice trading.
How does it work? By providing software to the sell-side it allows buy-side subscribers to
look into the trading history of the different firms to essentially see which type of product
each firm trades. Algomi plugs into each banks trading systems to utilize their internal
data, as well as external aggregators and sources to predict which client will need what
product at a point in time. This data is then shared internally within the bank as well as to
buy-side subscribers that get to use this information to see how to best execute their
prospective trade. Algomi is essentially providing smart marketing to the fixed-income
trading market, which then combats illiquidity and increases transparency.
August 2015
Exhibit 37
Source: Algomi
Ayasdi
What is Ayasdi? Ayasdi is a company that was founded after a decade of research at
Stanford focusing on Topological Data Analysis (TDA) combined with machine learning
algorithms. This highly advanced technique Ayasdi refers to as Machine Intelligence and
is the backbone of their main product, the Ayasdi Core.
What does Ayasdi actually do? Starting with large data sets, the Ayasdi Core applies
statistics, geometry and machine learning to analyze thousands of subtle nuances in the
data to find and explain all the significant patterns hidden within the data. Using topology,
which is a branch of mathematics concerned with the study of geometric properties and
spatial relations unaffected by the continuous change of shape or size of figures. In other
words, Ayasdi is able to map the hidden connections in massive datasets. Think about a
social graph of LinkedIn connections, where maps show the relationships between us and
our connections. Ayasdi will create a similar map, but instead of LinkedIn connections it
could create a map of data related to breast cancer data.
What are the implications of this technology? The implications of this revolutionary new
way to see into massive data sets has unlimited implications. Whether it is giving cancer
researchers more insight into patterns of breast cancer, business executives seeing more into
how to both optimize their companys operation and into the massive global financial
markets, or helping security analysts unlock the largest challenges concerning national
security, Ayasdi is revolutionizing the world of big data and unlocking the patterns hidden
within.
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 135
August 2015
Exhibit 38
Source: Ayasdi
Who currently uses Ayasdi? Ayasdis current customers are some of the worlds leading
organizations, including Citi Bank, Merck, Lockheed Martin, Mount Sinai, US State
Department, US Department of Homeland Security, GE, Siemens, and Credit Suisse among
others. In addition, Ayasdi has collaborators on the leading edge of research across a
variety of fields, and these institutions include Columbia University, Stanford University,
Harvard Medical School, The Food and Drug Administration, and the Miami Heat
basketball organization.
Implementation within financial institutions: Within financial institutions, there are 3 main
segments where Ayasdi operates: customer insights, market insights, and risk insights.
Customer insights include taking customer segmentation to a whole new level. As an
example, Ayasdi can dive into complex data to determine whether an investor is risk
averse based on past trading history. Market insights include forecasting liquidity and
asset allocation strategies for the buy-side. Lastly, risk insights enable large institutions to
better forecast revenues from both an operations perspective and in terms of helping firms
pass regulatory/compliance rules.
Who backs Ayasdi? Ayasdi has raised over ~$100M from leading VC funds such as Khosla
Ventures, Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers, GE Ventures, Institutional Venture Partners,
and Citi Ventures just to name a few.
Fundbox
What is Fundbox? Fundbox is a small business solution designed to fill in the gaps of small
businesses cash flow patterns. Fundbox does this by clearing outstanding invoices so that
small business can have full certainty at all times regarding their cash flow.
August 2015
How does it work? According to their website, it takes about 20 seconds to create a free
account. You then link your already-in-place accounting application to your new Fundbox
account, choose the invoices you want to clear, and receive payment in your bank account
in 1-3 business days. Fundbox is able to clear all 30, 60, or 90 day invoices for a variable fee.
For a $1k, a three month invoice, fees range from $52-$72. For a $14k invoice, fees range
from $720-$1,020
Who do they partner with? For accounting software, they partner with the largest providers
such as Intuits QuickBooks, Xero, FreshBooks, Harvest, and Wave.
Who backs Fundbox? Fundbox has raised nearly $60M in 2 rounds from backers such as
Khosla Ventures, SVAngel, LionBird, Blumberg Capital, General Catalyst partners, and
Vikram Pandit.
Exhibit 39
FUNDBOX DASHBOARD
Kensho
What is Kensho? Kensho is a data analytics company that aims to create a Google-like
search to stock picking that is backed by firms such as Google Ventures, Goldman Sachs,
CNBC, New Enterprise Partners, and Accel Partners.
How does it work? Their global data platform searches through more than 90,000 actions
such as price history, policy changes, economic reports, and political events to determine
their impact on financial assets.
What kind of questions can users ask? For the end users, they simply have to ask questions
such as which asset classes have performed best after the Federal Reserve raises rates? and
it will give you an answer based on the data it has scraped and analyzed. Per a Forbes
article, Kensho could even answer questions like Which cement stocks go up the most
when a Category 3 hurricane hits Florida? The answerTexas Industries.
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 137
August 2015
What is the end product? The answer comes in an easy to use visual that can be changed
based on parameters such as time frame or companies in the study. In addition, the
software, which they have named Warren (after Mr. Buffet himself,) can be turned on
autopilot to find price disparities that breakout of historical norms completely on its own.
As Daniel Nadler, the CEO and founder says, We could all get hit by a bus, and it would
continue to find price disparities.
Who uses it? This tool may turn out to be the future of how investors analyze historical
data, and its already seeing adoption from firms such as CNBC and Goldman Sachs who
both use Kensho and hold minority stakes in the company. Goldman Sachs has forged a
unique partnership that included a launch of Kenshos data analytics platform across the
firm. Additionally, CNBC has added a segment called Kensho Stat Box where CNBC
incorporates Warrens platform to help predict things such as what the Iran nuclear deal
could mean for the oil market. It enables financial firms to complete research in seconds
what may have taken analysts hours of pouring over data and charts.
August 2015
C O M P A NY O V E R V I E W S
Advyzon
Algomi
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 139
August 2015
Ayasdi
BlueVine
August 2015
Digital Reasoning
ebankIT
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 141
August 2015
Expensify
Feedzai
August 2015
Finsphere
FINTRX by Capital
Hedge
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 143
August 2015
Fundbox
Kensho
August 2015
Kusiri
Lootsie
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 145
August 2015
Market Prophit
Meniga
miiCard
August 2015
Money.net
Namely
Nomis Solutions
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 147
August 2015
OpenGamma
Orchard Platform
August 2015
Quantopian
SecureKey
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 149
August 2015
Symphony
Trulioo
August 2015
YCharts
Zenefits
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 151
August 2015
Zen Payroll
August 2015
# 6 : C R O W D F U N D IN G
Crowdfunding has become a new avenue and tool for entrepreneurs and investors alike to
expand the channels of investable assets and bring to life an idea, charity, or new business
concept that like-minded individuals believe in. Crowdfunding platforms have the potential
to increase entrepreneurship by expanding the audience of investors into new sources of
funding that have similar ideas and a desire to support a cause. While still growing rapidly,
we believe crowdfunding will serve as a powerful channel for capital to entrepreneurs and
communities alike as investors recognize the opportunity to invest in like-minded ideas and
their communities.
What is
Crowdfunding?
Crowdfunding is the practice of funding a project or venture by raising funds from a large
number of people typically through an online platform. Crowdfunding serves
entrepreneurs, startups and small businesses that are in the funding gap between backing
from friends/family/venture capital and mainstream financing/institutional capital. We
believe crowdfunding can be broken down into four general categories: 1) Rewards/Perks,
2) Charitable/Donations, 3) Debt/Lending, and 4) Equity investment-based platforms. This
section focuses on equity-based crowdfunding, but also highlights other key crowdfunding
platforms in the rewards and charity models. Debt crowdfunding, like those performed on
marketplace lending platforms like Lending Club, operate similarly to the other two types
and are covered in the Marketplace Lending section of this report
Crowdfunding
Platforms Enable
Investors To Reach
Untapped Markets
We believe that crowdfunding models offer new businesses, especially entrepreneurs and
start-up level companies, a new channel through which to secure equity and debt funding as
an alternative to angel investments, venture capital, private equity, and traditional debt and
banking products. The concept of crowdfunding has gained particular traction in the
United States following the passage of the Jumpstart Our Business Startups (JOBS) Act in
2012, enabling new ways for investors to fund startup businesses. Globally, crowdsourcing
has gained steam particularly in Europe (especially the United Kingdom) as well as Asia. As
crowdfunding has evolved, crowdfunding platforms have also evolved to target the specific
niches of the individuals seeking funds. Some crowdfunding sites specialize in nonprofits or
certain product niches; others might focus on startup equity ownership or even artists.
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 153
August 2015
Exhibit 40
Rewards / Perks
Equity
Charitable / Donation
Company
Examples
Crowdfunding Basics
The crowdfunding model is driven by 1) the initiator that proposes the project/idea to be
funded, 2) individuals or groups that support the project/idea by funding it, and 3) the
platform that facilitates the transaction by bringing all parties together. Reward and
donation-based crowdfunding platforms like Kickstarter, Indiegogo, and GoFundMe
enable companies and individuals to raise capital in exchange for rewards or perks
depending on the nature of the campaign. Equity crowdfunding platforms like
Crowdfunder and Fundrise enable entrepreneurs and startups to raise capital in exchange
for equity in the company or even real estate.
Crowdfunding platforms generally earn revenue from a success fee based on a percentage of
the funded project or campaign, up to 5%+ on some platforms. Platforms also charge a
payment processing fee typically between 3% and 5% to cover the cost of accepting
payments from credit cards, etc. If a crowdfunding campaign is not successful, platforms
generally do not charge any fees. Most platforms track and measure their success ratio for
funding campaigns.
Exhibit 41
Campaign
5% of total funds
raised
August 2015
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 155
August 2015
Exhibit 43
Rest of world. We believe crowdfunding platforms have had particular growth success in
worldwide markets including Asia, Europe, and Latin America. In particular, developing
markets stand to benefit from crowdfunding as the ability to invest in local communities
becomes easier and more democratized through efficient crowdfunding platforms.
According to a report by The World Bank and the Information for Development Program
(infoDev) published in 2013, crowdfunding platforms in developing countries may reach an
estimated $90-96B funded globally per year by 2025. According to the report, the greatest
potential lies in China, which accounts for up to ~$50B of the total, with the rest of East
Asia, Central Europe, and Latin America/Caribbean also representing significant
opportunity.
Equity
Crowdfunding: A
New Avenue To
Invest In Startups
Equity crowdfunding enables startups and small businesses to raise capital through online
platforms from individual investors in exchange for shares of ownership in the company.
Startups and small businesses (SMB) often face challenges in securing capital to expand
their businesses. Many startups and SMBs often reach out to angel investors, venture
capitalists, community bank lenders, or even family and friends for capital. Equity
crowdfunding provides a new avenue for capital-raising, making it easier for smaller
companies to facilitate capital-raising from willing investors.
Recently enacted SEC equity crowdfunding regulations (known as Regulation A+) are
encouraging for startups and small businesses seeking funding. Until recently only
accredited investors (someone that makes over $200,000 in annual income or has a net
worth of over $1m) such as angel investors or VCs could invest in private startups through
crowdfunding platforms. Now, nonaccredited investors can participate in certain
thresholds of equity crowdfunding as well and benefit from the potential returns that the
investments can offer. This has diversified and increased the channels through which
startups can receive capital funding.
August 2015
Exhibit 44
Equity based crowdfunding allows for entrepreneurs to raise funds by offering shares to
investors. The investor receives unlisted shares of the company, usually in its early stages, in
exchange for the money invested. Equity crowdfunding websites like Angel.ME provide a
platform through which a startup can present itself to potential investors. Startups typically
disclose their business plan, selected financial information, and the desired use of funds on
these platforms, enabling investors to search and research different investment
opportunities. Similar to other crowdfunding platforms, equity crowdfunding platforms
earn revenue by charging a success fee if the project is funded (as much as 5%+) as well as a
payment processing fee in some cases to cover the cost of transferring funds through
mediums like credit cards, etc. Many platforms do not charge startups any fee if their
campaign is not successful, and the committed investment dollars are returned to investors.
Recent Regulatory
Changes Serve As A
Catalyst: Reg A+
Recent SEC rules adopted in March 2015 came into effect in June and have made it easier
for companies to secure capital funding through equity crowdfunding, assuming they are
compliant with a specific set of laws and standards. According to Title IV of the 2012
Jumpstart Our Business Start-up (JOBS) Act, Regulation A+ enables companies to raise up
to $50m from unaccredited investors, which make up ~98% of the total investor base. The
new, SEC approved system allows for companies to test the waters of an equity sale by
gathering investment interest in a business after having a securities attorney perform due
diligence. If interest in the company is well received, a list of potential investors is compiled
(equity is not sold during the campaign) and a licensed broker dealer can sell the equity to
those investors.
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 157
August 2015
Exhibit 45
Step 2
Testing
the Waters
Publicize the potential
offering (for instance
through social media)
to collect expressions
of interest (nonbinding).
Step 3
Filing with
the SEC
Step 4
Conducting
the Offering
Step 5
Filing Ongoing
Reports
According to SEC Regulation A+, there are two tiers for small companies able to employ
crowdfunding as a capital-raising mechanism:
Both Tiers have similar requirements but Tier 2 investment requires further disclosure. It is
important to note that between the disclosure requirements, legal and administrative costs a
Regulation A+ equity capital raise may not be well suited for early stage startups but rather
for later-stage companies. A benefit from the rule is that businesses can take indications of
interest before committing to the time and expenses of a securities filing offering.
Importantly, non-accredited equity crowdfunding investors may not be able to sell their
shares if the selling shareholder accounts for more than 30% of the total dollar amount
offered in the Reg A+ offering. Shareholders who are not affiliates and have held their
shares for at least one year will generally be able to sell their shares under SEC Rule 144
without the need for any registration.
The new crowdfunding rules are designed to make it easier for startups and small
businesses to seek funding while also providing strong protection to investors. We believe
Regulation A+ creates significant opportunity for equity crowdfunding as investments are
no longer limited to accredited investors, increasing and diversifying the pool of potential
capital that a startup or small business can raise to expand its operations.
Crowdfunding
Market
Opportunities
Rather than replacing traditional banking and lending institutions, we believe equity
crowdfunding will become a useful tool for entrepreneurs and investors alike to expand the
channels of investable assets. The scope of equity crowdfunding is sizeable, yet limited
given that many institutional investors will not like the risk vs. reward of many of these
illiquid investments. The types of companies that will seek investments under Regulation
A+ from unaccredited investors may not be the same type of company that would typically
go public or be an acquisition candidate. The added complexity of limited exit
opportunities makes many of these risky startups less attractive for institutional investors
used to the traditional buyout or IPO monetization event.
However, we believe there is attractive potential as local investors (accredited or
unaccredited) focus on equity crowdfunded investments within their communities. Equity
August 2015
crowdfunding could serve as the vehicle through which local investors support and take
ownership in their community, benefiting from the rewards of a successful local enterprise.
Local startups like restaurants, gyms or local manufacturing could benefit from community
investor support and ownership. As such, we believe there is significant opportunity for
equity crowdfunding as a vehicle for capital raising in todays economy.
Challenges & Risks
To Crowdfunding
Platforms
While the advent of new equity crowdfunding platforms has created new avenues for
capital raising and investing, there are a number of factors and risks that should be
considered by both parties involved. Particularly, unaccredited investors may not fully
understand all of the risks and liabilities associated with ownership of small, volatile
startups. We highlight some of the key risks and challenges below:
Unclear exit opportunities for investors and businesses: Many of the businesses
requiring equity crowdfunding may not ever have the same exit opportunities as
other types of businesses. As such, investment returns may be more sporadic and
unpredictable. Startups and small businesses will need to prove that they have a
viable exit opportunity for investors that require a monetization event.
Cost for startups may still be prohibitive: While relatively easier than a traditional
Initial Public Offering (IPO), equity crowdfunding can be expensive given the costs
to incorporate, legal fees, audit fees, and administrative fees. Many small startups
and small businesses may not be able to fund this kind of transaction, making
other forms of capital more attractive like marketplace loans or traditional
crowdfunding where the product or service is offered to investors.
Timing of funding may not be fast enough: The timeline for receiving funds
through equity crowdfunding could take several weeks if not months; small
businesses looking for fast funding may prefer to seek debt through an online
marketplace lender like Lending Club or OnDeck Marketplace. Online lending
marketplaces can typically fund loans in a couple of days, making the timing of the
funds received faster.
Less regulatory scrutiny could enable fraudulent fundraising: While rules and
regulations have been established under Reg. A+, time will tell if fewer
requirements lends to higher occurrences of fraudulent equity crowdfunding.
Traditional crowdfunding is also subject to fraud as individuals or donors put up
cash/donations for a project or idea that was never intended to come to fruition.
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 159
August 2015
C O M P A NY O V E R V I E W S
Angel.Me
AngelList
August 2015
AngelsDen
appbackr
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 161
August 2015
AppsFunder
Bolstr
August 2015
Causes
CircleUp
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 163
August 2015
Crowdcube
Crowdfunder
August 2015
Crowdrise
EarlyShares
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 165
August 2015
EquityNet
Experiment
August 2015
FirstGiving
Fundable
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 167
August 2015
FundAnything
FundersClub
August 2015
Funding Tree
FundRazr
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 169
August 2015
FundRise
GiveForward
August 2015
GoFundMe
Gust
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 171
August 2015
Healthios Xchange
HoneyFund
August 2015
iFunding
Indiegogo
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 173
August 2015
Invested.in
InvestingZone
August 2015
KickStarter
MicroVentures
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 175
August 2015
OneVest
Patreon
August 2015
Prodigy Network
Quirky
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 177
August 2015
Razoo
Second Market
August 2015
SeedInvest
Seedrs
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 179
August 2015
SharesPost
StartEngine
August 2015
Wefunder
YouCaring
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 181
August 2015
A P P E N DI X
Exhibit 46
COVERAGE UNIVERSE
Company
Symbol
Rating
V
MA
AXP
FLT
WEX
OW
OW
N
N
N
ADS
VNTV
GPN
PAY
EEFT
HAWK
HPY
CATM
GDOT
N
N
N
N
OW
N
OW
OW
OW
$295.00
$45.00
$116.00
$38.50
$75.00
$45.50
$75.00
$41.00
$24.00
Financial Engines
Charles Schwab^
TD Ameritrade^
Wisdom Tree^
Mitek Systems
Higher One
FNGN
SCHW
AMTD
WETF
MITK
ONE
N
OW
N
OW
N
OW
$45.00
$39.00
$43.00
$28.00
$5.00
$5.00
Visa*
MasterCard*
American Express
FleetCor
WEX Inc.
Money Transfer
Western Union
MoneyGram
WU
MGI
N
N
$18.50
$9.50
Encore Capital
ECPG
OW
$51.00
8.2x 2016E EV/EBITDA, assumes $2.095B net debt and 519.8M shares outstanding
6.5x 2016E EV/EBITDA assuming $909M net debt and 62.1M shares outstanding
Consumer Finance
8.8x 2016E EPS of $5.83
OW
$46.00
OW
N
OW
OW
N
OW
N
OW
N
OW
OW
$57.00
$43.00
$35.00
$48.00
$17.00
$14.00
$17.50
$23.00
$16.00
$22.50
$46.50
12x CY16E EV/EBITDA based on $920M EBITDA, $3.2B Net Debt, $506M NPV of net oper losses & 147M shares
August 2015
Count
Percent
Count
Percent
BUY [OW]
418
59.21
98
23.44
HOLD [N]
270
38.24
12
4.44
18
2.55
0.00
SELL [UW]
Note: Distribution of Ratings/IB Services shows the number of companies currently in each rating category from which Piper Jaffray and its
affiliates received compensation for investment banking services within the past 12 months. FINRA rules require disclosure of which ratings
most closely correspond with "buy," "hold," and "sell" recommendations. Piper Jaffray ratings are not the equivalent of buy, hold or sell, but
instead represent recommended relative weightings. Nevertheless, Overweight corresponds most closely with buy, Neutral with hold and
Underweight with sell. See Stock Rating definitions below.
Research Disclosures
Piper Jaffray was making a market in the securities of American Express Company at the time this research report was published. Piper
Jaffray will buy and sell American Express Company securities on a principal basis.
Piper Jaffray was making a market in the securities of Euronet Worldwide, Inc. at the time this research report was published. Piper Jaffray
will buy and sell Euronet Worldwide, Inc. securities on a principal basis.
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 183
August 2015
Piper Jaffray was making a market in the securities of Financial Engines, Inc. at the time this research report was published. Piper Jaffray
will buy and sell Financial Engines, Inc. securities on a principal basis.
Piper Jaffray usually provides bids and offers for the securities of Heartland Payment Systems, Inc. and will, from time to time, buy and
sell Heartland Payment Systems, Inc. securities on a principal basis.
Piper Jaffray usually provides bids and offers for the securities of MasterCard Incorporated and will, from time to time, buy and sell
MasterCard Incorporated securities on a principal basis.
Piper Jaffray was making a market in the securities of MoneyGram International, Inc. at the time this research report was published. Piper
Jaffray will buy and sell MoneyGram International, Inc. securities on a principal basis.
Piper Jaffray was making a market in the securities of Visa Inc. at the time this research report was published. Piper Jaffray will buy and
sell Visa Inc. securities on a principal basis.
Piper Jaffray was making a market in the securities of Western Union Co. at the time this research report was published. Piper Jaffray will
buy and sell Western Union Co. securities on a principal basis.
Rating Definitions
Stock Ratings: Piper Jaffray ratings are indicators of expected total return (price appreciation plus dividend) within the next 12 months.
At times analysts may specify a different investment horizon or may include additional investment time horizons for specific stocks.
Stock performance is measured relative to the group of stocks covered by each analyst. Lists of the stocks covered by each are available
at www.piperjaffray.com/researchdisclosures. Stock ratings and/or stock coverage may be suspended from time to time in the event that
there is no active analyst opinion or analyst coverage, but the opinion or coverage is expected to resume. Research reports and ratings
should not be relied upon as individual investment advice. As always, an investors decision to buy or sell a security must depend on
individual circumstances, including existing holdings, time horizons and risk tolerance. Piper Jaffray sales and trading personnel may
provide written or oral commentary, trade ideas, or other information about a particular stock to clients or internal trading desks reflecting
different opinions than those expressed by the research analyst. In addition, Piper Jaffray offers technical research products that are based
on different methodologies, may contradict the opinions contained in fundamental research reports, and could impact the price of the
subject security. Recommendations based on technical analysis are intended for the professional trader, while fundamental opinions are
typically suited for the longer-term institutional investor.
Overweight (OW): Anticipated to outperform relative to the median of the group of stocks covered by the analyst.
Neutral (N): Anticipated to perform in line relative to the median of the group of stocks covered by the analyst.
Underweight (UW): Anticipated to underperform relative to the median of the group of stocks covered by the analyst.
August 2015
Piper Jaffray Investment Research Overview Of The Evolving FinTech Landscape | 185
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