Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Faculty of Engineering
Department of Civil Engineering
Prepare by:
Feb.2010
Question 1:
1) What is a statistical Hypothesis?
Solution:
Statistical Hypothesis a statistical test provides a mechanism
for making quantitative decisions about a process or
processes.
2) What type of errors is associated with hypothesis testing?
Solution:
Types of errors:
-Type (1) error occurs when we reject a true null
hypothesis.
-Type (2) error occurs when we dont reject a false null
hypothesis.
3)
X= 0,1,2,3,4
P(x=0) = 0.1216
P(x=1) = 0.2702
P(x=2) = 0.2852
P(x=3) = 0.1901
P(x=4) = 0.0898
P(x 4)= P(0)+ P(1)+ P(2)+ P(3)+ P(4) = 0.9568
Thus, its about 96% probable that pat will not more than
4 out of 20 will not work.
Using Normal Distribution:
n= 20, p= 0.1, q= p-1=0.9
Question 2:
The pumping Rate of Two Concrete Pumps are as follows:
Concrete
Concrete Pump1
Pump2
40.3
47
38.7
34
34.4
38
43.0
47
41.5
32
37.0
25
38.0
54
36.5
1. Check the claim of the first pump manufacturer that the
average pumping rate is more than 40 m3/hr.
2. The 90%, 95% and 99% Limits for the mean pumping rate
for the first pump.
3. The First pump manufacturer that it pumping rate is as good
as the second.
Solution:
1-n= 8, = 0.05, =40
Concrete Pump1 in table:
X1= 38.675
S1= 2.818
H0: =40
H1: >40
t0.05,8= 1.8946
Since t = -1.3298< 1.8946 (t.05), we do not reject H0
The average pumping rate is not more than 40 m3/hr
2-a-90% = 0.1, t0.05= 1.8946
n= 8, S= 2.818
n= 8, S= 2.818
n= 8, S= 2.818
S1= 2.818
Concrete Pump2 in table:
X2= 39.571
S2= 10.179
H0: 1-2=0
H1: 1-20
Check equal or not equal using F test
H0:
H1:
F0.025,7,6= 5.695
V= 6.81 = 7
t= -0.2256
t0.025,7= 2.3646
Since t = -0.2256<2.3646 (t.025,7), we reject H0 in favor of
H1
Concrete pump1 is not as Concrete pump2
Question 3:
The level of contamination in a certain river was measured for 10
weeks along with the concentration of two sources A and B as
follows:
Contaminatio
n Level
18.2 16.0 12.2 19.8 11.4 13.7 12.2 19.8 11.4 15.2
Contaminatio
nA
Contaminatio
nB
3.0
24.3 9.9
0.8
24.3 6.1
22.0
3.8
6.8
2.3
20.5 3.0
CONT.
18.2
A
3
B
24.3
CONT*
A
54.6
CONT*B
442.26
CONT2
331.24
16
12.2
19.8
16
9.9
0.8
316.8
195.2
158.4
9.76
256
148.84
19.8
11.4
12.2
0.8
24.3
6.1
241.56
9.12
481.14
69.54
392.04
129.96
13.7
19.8
3.8
271.26
52.06
187.69
12.2
19.8
11.4
12.2
22
2.3
2.3
20.5
3
148.84
435.6
26.22
28.06
405.9
34.2
148.84
392.04
129.96
A2
9
392.0
4
256
148.8
4
0.64
392.0
4
148.8
4
484
5.29
B2
590.49
98.01
0.64
590.49
37.21
14.44
5.29
420.25
9
sum
15.2
149.
9
22
130.
1
6.8
334.4
101.8
2033.6
103.36
1784.6
8
231.04
2347.6
5
484
2320.
69
46.24
1812.0
6
n( xy ) ( x )( y )
( n( x ) ( x ) 2 )(n( y 2 ) ( y ) 2 )
2
n( xy ) ( x )( y )
(n( x 2 ) ( x ) 2 )( n( y 2 ) ( y ) 2 )
A
3
19.8
16
12.2
0.8
19.8
12.2
22
B
24.3
9.9
0.8
24.3
6.1
3.8
2.3
20.5
A*B
72.9
196.02
12.8
296.46
4.88
75.24
28.06
451
A2
9
392.04
256
148.84
0.64
392.04
148.84
484
B2
590.49
98.01
0.64
590.49
37.21
14.44
5.29
420.25
SUM
2.3
22
3
6.8
6.9
149.6
130.1
101.8
1293.86
5.29
484
2320.
69
9
46.24
1812.06
r12.3 = 0.9858651
Percentage variation in the level of contamination
explained by concentration of A and B = 98.6%
Question 4:
Explain the type of errors that can occur in hypothesis testing
(illustrate using diagrams). Explain how the probability of error
can be minimized when the acceptance of the null hypothesis can
endanger human lives.
1. To determine the strength of concrete 50 samples in a dam
were taking with the following results.
Number of
Range
samples
<35.2
1
35.2 - 37
4
37 - 38.8
11
38.8 - 40.6
10
40.6 - 42.4
12
42.4 - 44.2
8
>44.2
4
inter
val
<35.2
35.237
3738.8
38.840.6
40.642.4
42.444.2
>44.2
sum
fre
q
1
4
11
10
12
8
4
50
mi
d.
34.
3
36.
1
37.
9
39.
7
41.
5
43.
3
45.
1
mid*fr
eq.
(mid.
xbar)
2
f*(mi
d.xbar)
2
z=(l.lxbar)/sig
ma
34.3
36.58
36.58
-2.45
144.4
18.05
72.2
-1.72
416.9
5.99
65.89
-0.99
397
0.42
4.2
-0.26
498
1.33
15.96
0.47
346.4
8.71
69.68
1.2
180.4
22.58
1627.
96
90.32
354.8
3
1.92
2017.4
X=40.35, =2.469
area
from
char
t
0.00
71
0.04
27
0.16
11
0.39
74
0.68
08
0.88
49
0.97
26
abs(ar
ea0.5)
0.4929
0.4573
0.3389
0.1026
0.1808
0.3849
0.4726
0.5
inter
val
prob.
0.035
6
0.118
4
0.236
3
0.283
4
0.204
1
0.087
7
0.027
4
expecte
d.=n
p(x)
esti
.E
(fofe)^2
/fe
1.78
0.5
5.92
0.67
11.82
12
0.08
14.17
14
1.14
10.21
10
0.4
4.39
1.8
1.37
49.66
50
13.59
df=5,=.05
We do not reject H0