CURRENT WORLD FERTILIZER Trend and OUTLOOK

CURRENT WORLD FERTILIZER
TREND AND OUTLOOK

TO 2005/2006

TREND AND OUTLOOK
TO 2005/2006
FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION OF THE UNITED NATIONS

Rome, 2001
Current world fertilizer trend and outlook to 2005/2006

TREND AND OUTLOOK TO 2005/2006
This report presents world nitrogen, phosphate and potash fertilizer supply
and demand projections for the period 2001/2002 to 2005/2006. The
FAO Industry Working Group (FWG) made the forecasts in May 2001.
The balances, Annex 1-3, present a medium-term indication for possible
changes in fertilizer nutrient demand and supply by region and subregion.
Changes in installed supply capacity, operating rates and demand vary
annually. Nominal capacity is defined as the name plate capacity over
330 days per year and the supply capability is the estimated production
capability based on a potential operating rate.
All nutrient balances show a declining trend. Nitrogen surplus regions
in the world may export ammonia and various nitrogen containing
fertilizers. Deficit regions may cover their needs with imports of ammonia
and various nitrogen containing fertilizers. Similarly, regions can import
and export phosphoric acid and phosphate containing fertilizers. The
potash mine capacity is adjusted for potash for technical requirements
to arrive at the volume of potash available for potash fertilizer.
Analysis of accuracy in past consumption forecasts shows a deviation
of less than 5 percent for all nutrients except for nitrogen (actual
consumption appeared to be slightly higher). The accuracy of projections
at the beginning of the projection period is well within that range. The
information base of the FWG continues to expand.
Annex 4 of this report presents the list of countries under the regional
classification. This report has been prepared as an information source to
FAO member countries and for general distribution. The contributions
of participating agencies, fertilizer industry associations, institutions and
individuals are gratefully acknowledged.
Nitrogen demand, Annex 1, shows an expansion of 1.7 percent per
annum for the next five years and potential availability by 1.3 percent.
World Surplus Nitrogen Capacity Projection

14,000
'000 tonnes N per year
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
2000 Projection
4,000
2001 Projection
2,000
0
2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06
The world nitrogen balance shows an average compounded decline at

some 4 percent per year over the period that reduces the surplus balance
from
2 11 percent to 8 percent of projected world consumption. The
regional balances, however, show distinct contrasting differences. The
negative balances in North America and South Asia regions are to increase
by 16 and 14 percent per year respectively. The surplus balances in West
Asia (Middle East) and Latin America regions are forecast to increase
by 9 and 14 percent per year. The negative balance in South Asia will
become the largest in the world at almost 5 percent of global consumption.
The considerable surplus balance in East Europe and Central Asia region
is expected to continue to persist and is forecast to decline with 1 percent
per year. Availability and consumption in East Asia are to grow at some
2 percent per year, the negative balance is forecast to increase by almost
3 percent per year.
The world phosphate balance, Annex 2, shows a forecast decline in
surplus at 22 percent per year in the next five years. Demand is projected
to grow by 2 percent per year and availability by 1 percent. The surplus
World Surplus Phosphate Capacity Projection
'000 tonnes P2O5 per year
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
2000 Projection
2001 Projection
2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06
is to decrease from 7 percent to 2 percent of world consumption. While

the deficit balance in the South Asia region increases by some 7 percent
per year, the deficit in the East Asia region increases by less than 1
percent per year. Africa will become at the end of the projection period
the largest surplus region in the world followed by the North America
region. Phosphate fertilizer consumption continues to decline in the West
Europe region, and the deficit of the region may become smaller than
the deficit of the Latin America region in the next five years. The West
Asia region surplus projection declines by 7 percent per year, which is
entirely due to steady increases in regional phosphate fertilizer
consumption.
World potash consumption is projected to grow by 2 percent per year
against availability by 0.5 percent. The surplus balance projection
declines at almost 6 percent per year to some 4.8 million tonnes in 2005/
06, which constitutes 19 percent of world potash consumption against
28 percent at present. Highest consumption growth is envisaged in the
East Europe and Central Asia and the Africa regions, albeit from a very
World Surplus Potash Capacity Projection

7000
'000 tonnes K2O per year
6000
5000
4000
2000 Projection
3000
2001 Projection
2000
1000
0
2000/01
2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
low base. The West Asia, South Asia and Latin America regions are
projected to grow at a considerable pace, while potash consumption in
the West Europe region is expected to decline. Growth in potash
4
availability for fertilizers in the West Asia region is to grow by over 20
percent, again from a rather low base. Major sources of supply remain
the North America, West Asia, and West Europe regions.
Annex 1
World and regional potential nitrogen supply
and demand balances ('000 tonnes)
WORLD TOTAL
2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
NH3 Nominal Capacity

NH3 Supply Capability
NH3 Available for Ferts.
By-product N Fert.
N Ferts. Consumption
NH3 Surplus (-Deficit)
125 721
116 675
92 677
2 820
86 094
9 403
127 732
118 589
94 259
2 820
87 963
9 116
128 838
120 308
95 672
2 820
89 982
8 510
129 855
121 865
96 943
2 820
91 874
7 889
132 805
123 890
98 692
2 820
93 723
7 789
AFRICA
2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
3 783
3 278
2 621
35
2 526
130
3 783
3 343
2 680
35
2 577
138
3 783
3 395
2 727
35
2 643
119
3 783
3 395
2 727
35
2 709
53
3 783
3 395
2 727
35
2 786
(24)
2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
27 296
25 065
18 026
530
17 770
786
27 785
25 691
18 509
530
18 003
1 036
27 785
26 174
18 862
530
18 266
1 126
27 785
26 442
19 013
530
18 484
1 059
28 285
27 102
19 525
530
18 708
1 347
2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
18 741
17 487
11 580
450
12 745
(715)
18 741
17 487
11 488
450
12 860
(922)
18 741
17 487
11 396
450
13 000
(1 154)
18 741
17 487
11 302
450
13 090
(1 338)
18 741
17 487
11 206
450
13 180
(1 524)

By-product N Fert.
AMERICA
By-product N Fert.
North America
By-product N Fert.
Latin America
By-product N Fert.
ASIA
By-product N Fert.
West Asia
By-product N Fert.
6
South Asia
By-product N Fert.
East Asia
By-product N Fert.
2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
8 555
7 578
6 446
80
5 025
1 501
9 044
8 204
7 021
80
5 143
1 958
9 044
8 687
7 466
80
5 266
2 280
9 044
8 955
7 711
80
5 394
2 397
9 544
9 615
8 319
80
5 528
2 871
2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
56 164
53 164
45 350
815
49 775
(3 610)
57 698
54 307
46 342
815
51 233
(4 076)
58 786
55 421
47 309
815
52 810
(4 686)
59 803
56 696
48 435
815
54 253
(5 003)
62 253
58 061
49 690
815
55 550
(5 045)
2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
6 379
6 036
5 416
15
3 130
2 301
6 597
6 201
5 568
15
3 157
2 426
6 819
6 474
5 819
15
3 200
2 634
7 362
6 788
6 107
15
3 235
2 887
9 416
7 713
6 958
15
3 275
3 698
2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
14 761
13 787
12 567
400
15 427
(2 460)
14 776
13 802
12 581
400
16 099
(3 118)
14 862
13 882
12 655
400
16 668
(3 613)
14 862
13 882
12 655
400
17 220
(4 165)
14 979
13 917
12 687
400
17 749
(4 662)
2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
35 024
33 341
27 367
400
31 218
(3 451)
36 325
34 304
28 193
400
31 977
(3 384)
37 105
35 065
28 835
400
32 942
(3 707)
37 579
36 026
29 673
400
33 798
(3 725)
37 858
36 431
30 045
400
34 526
(4 081)
EUROPE
2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
18 458
16 920
11 616
960
12 073
503
18 446
16 907
11 598
960
12 019
539
18 464
16 922
11 611
960
11 950
621
18 464
16 922
11 611
960
11 900
671
18 464
16 922
11 611
960
11 900
671
2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
7 525
5 818
4 606
200
2 273
2 533
7 513
5 805
4 594
200
2 319
2 475
7 531
5 820
4 607
200
2 350
2 457
7 531
5 820
4 607
200
2 400
2 407
7 531
5 820
4 607
200
2 450
2 357
2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06

By-product N Fert.
10 933
11 102
7 010
760
9 800
(2 030)
10 933
11 102
7 004
760
9 700
(1 936)
10 933
11 102
7 004
760
9 600
(1 836)
10 933
11 102
7 004
760
9 500
(1 736)
10 933
11 102
7 004
760
9 450
(1 686)
East Europe and

Central Asia
By-product N Fert.
2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
19 031
17 491
14 795
400
2 580
12 615
19 031
17 491
14 776
400
2 699
12 477
19 031
17 491
14 758
400
2 816
12 342
19 031
17 491
14 739
400
2 962
12 177
19 031
17 491
14 721
400
3 141
11 980
OCEANIA
2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
989
757
269
80
1 370
(1 021)
989
850
354
80
1 432
(998)
989
905
405
80
1 497
(1 012)
989
919
418
80
1 566
(1 068)
989
919
418
80
1 638
(1 140)

By-product N Fert.
Central Europe
By-product N Fert.
West Europe

By-product N Fert.
Annex 2
World and regional potential phosphate supply and
demand balances (000 tonnes)
WORLD
Capacity
Production Capability
Available for Fertilizer
P Fert. Consumption
H3PO4 Fert. Demand
Non H3PO4 demand
Surplus (-Deficit)
AFRICA
Capacity
P Fert. Consumption
H3PO4 Fert. Demand
Non
8 H3PO4 demand
Surplus (-Deficit)
AMERICA
Capacity
P Fert. Consumption
H3PO4 Fert. Demand
Non H3PO4 demand
Surplus (-Deficit)
North America
Capacity
P Fert. Consumption
H3PO4 Fert. Demand
Non H3PO4 demand
Surplus (-Deficit)
2001/02
40 259
33 680
27 635
35 049
25 036
10 013
2 599
2002/03
40 986
34 577
28 404
36 090
26 056
10 034
2 347
2003/04
41 566
35 237
28 864
36 977
27 014
9 962
1 850
2004/05
41 871
35 675
29 254
37 885
27 834
10 051
1 420
2005/06
41 839
35 932
29 452
38 779
28 693
10 086
759
2001/02
6 782
6 222
5 454
1 043
875
168
4 579
2002/03
7 279
6 618
5 831
1 066
894
172
4 938
2003/04
7 379
6 845
6 046
1 088
913
175
5 133
2004/05
7 379
6 970
6 166
1 111
933
179
5 233
2005/06
7 379
6 987
6 182
1 135
952
182
5 229
2001/02
14 468
14 407
11 719
8 153
7 149
1 004
4 570
2002/03
14 538
14 442
11 660
8 400
7 359
1 041
4 301
2003/04
14 638
14 524
11 563
8 610
7 531
1 080
4 032
2004/05
14 638
14 573
11 584
8 839
7 717
1 122
3 866
2005/06
14 638
14 573
11 570
9 070
7 907
1 164
3 664
2001/02
12 597
12 597
10 842
4 495
4 405
90
6 437
2002/03
12 597
12 597
10 809
4 605
4 513
92
6 296
2003/04
12 597
12 597
10 743
4 665
4 572
93
6 171
2004/05
12 597
12 597
10 733
4 730
4 635
95
6 098
2005/06
12 597
12 597
10 733
4 800
4 704
96
6 029
Latin America
Capacity
P Fert. Consumption
H3PO4 Fert. Demand
Non H3PO4 demand
Surplus (-Deficit)
2001/02
1 871
1 810
876
3 658
2 743
914
(1 867)
2002/03
1 941
1 845
851
3 795
2 846
949
(1 995)
2003/04
2 041
1 927
820
3 945
2 959
986
(2 139)
2004/05
2 041
1 976
851
4 109
3 082
1 027
(2 231)
2005/06
2 041
1 976
837
4 270
3 203
1 068
(2 365)
ASIA
Capacity
P Fert. Consumption
H3PO4 Fert. Demand
Non H3PO4 demand
Surplus (-Deficit)
2001/02
8 956
6 698
5 740
19 939
12 689
7 194
(7 005)
2002/03
9 116
7 039
6 064
20 629
13 491
7 146
(7 419)
2003/04
9 446
7 324
6 334
21 194
14 233
6 997
(7 863)
2004/05
9 661
7 547
6 545
21 730
14 844
7 000
(8 184)
2005/06
9 661
7 750
6 705
22 260
15 450
6 952
(8 603)
West Asia
Capacity
P Fert. Consumption
H3PO4 Fert. Demand
Non H3PO4 demand
Surplus (-Deficit)
2001/02
2 377
1 934
1 712
1 434
1 273
162
439
2002/03
2 377
1 934
1 712
1 468
1 303
165
409
2003/04
2 377
1 934
1 711
1 503
1 334
169
377
2004/05
2 377
1 934
1 711
1 539
1 366
173
345
2005/06
2 377
1 934
1 677
1 576
1 399
177
279
South Asia
Capacity
P Fert. Consumption
H3PO4 Fert. Demand
Non H3PO4 demand
Surplus (-Deficit)
2001/02
1 859
1 113
972
5 959
4 648
1 311
(3 676)
2002/03
1 859
1 119
978
6 536
5 098
1 438
(4 120)
2003/04
1 859
1 119
978
6 989
5 451
1 538
(4 473)
2004/05
2 019
1 167
1 024
7 411
5 781
1 630
(4 757)
2005/06
2 019
1 215
1 069
7 827
6 105
1 722
(5 036)
East Asia
Capacity
P Fert. Consumption
H3PO4 Fert. Demand
Non H3PO4 demand
Surplus (-Deficit)
2001/02
4 720
3 651
3 056
12 546
6 818
5 728
(3 763)
2002/03
4 880
3 986
3 374
12 624
7 083
5 541
(3 709)
2003/04
5 210
4 271
3 645
12 702
7 416
5 286
(3 771)
2004/05
5 265
4 446
3 811
12 780
7 596
5 184
(3 785)
2005/06
5 265
4 601
3 958
12 857
7 820
5 037
(3 862)
10
EUROPE
Capacity
P Fert. Consumption
H3PO4 Fert. Demand
Non H3PO4 demand
Surplus (-Deficit)
2001/02
3 105
2 542
1 248
3 940
3 174
766
(1 925)
2002/03
3 105
2 542
1 258
3 947
3 178
769
(1 920)
2003/04
3 105
2 542
1 267
3 956
3 184
772
(1 917)
2004/05
3 105
2 542
1 267
3 983
3 205
778
(1 937)
2005/06
3 105
2 542
1 267
4 020
3 233
787
(1 966)
Central Europe
Capacity
P Fert. Consumption
H3PO4 Fert. Demand
Non H3PO4 demand
Surplus (-Deficit)
2001/02
1 605
1 109
903
595
464
131
439
2002/03
1 605
1 109
903
637
497
140
407
2003/04
1 605
1 109
903
676
527
149
376
2004/05
1 605
1 109
903
721
562
159
341
2005/06
1 605
1 109
903
778
607
171
297
West Europe
Capacity
P Fert. Consumption
H3PO4 Fert. Demand
Non H3PO4 demand
Surplus (-Deficit)
2001/02
1 500
1 433
345
3 345
2 709
636
(2 365)
2002/03
1 500
1 433
354
3 310
2 681
629
(2 327)
2003/04
1 500
1 433
364
3 280
2 657
623
(2 293)
2004/05
1 500
1 433
364
3 262
2 642
620
(2 278)
2005/06
1 500
1 433
364
3 242
2 626
616
(2 262)
East Europe-Central Asia

Capacity
P Fert. Consumption
H3PO4 Fert. Demand
Non H3PO4 demand
Surplus (-Deficit)
2001/02
6 483
3 534
3 231
549
302
247
2 929
2002/03
6 483
3 564
3 260
598
329
269
2 931
2003/04
6 533
3 631
3 323
650
358
293
2 965
2004/05
6 623
3 671
3 361
716
394
322
2 968
2005/06
6 591
3 708
3 396
760
418
342
2 978
OCEANIA
Capacity
P Fert. Consumption
H3PO4 Fert. Demand
Non H3PO4 demand
Surplus (-Deficit)
2001/02
465
279
243
1 424
798
627
(554)
2002/03
465
372
332
1 451
813
638
(481)
2003/04
465
372
332
1 478
828
650
(496)
2004/05
465
372
332
1 506
843
662
(512)
2005/06
465
372
332
1 534
859
675
(527)
10
11
Annex 3
World and regional potential potash supply
and demand balances (000 tonnes)
WORLD TOTAL
Potash Mine Capacity
Potash Mine Supply Capability
Potash Fertilizer Consumption
Surplus (-Deficit)
AFRICA
Surplus (-Deficit)
AMERICA
Surplus (-Deficit)
North America
Surplus (-Deficit)
Latin America
Surplus (-Deficit)
2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

37 443
33 183
29 956
23 410
6 546
37 460
33 212
29 984
23 960
6 024
37 778
33 523
30 286
24 560
5 726
37 797
33 558
30 319
25 240
5 079
38 257
34 012
30 764
25 855
4 909
2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

0
0
0
560
(560)
0
0
0
580
(580)
0
0
0
600
(600)
0
0
0
620
(620)
0
0
0
650
(650)
2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

15 734
14 886
13 342
8 630
4 712
15 751
14 914
13 370
8 810
4 560
15 899
15 056
13 508
8 940
4 568
16 006
15 161
13 611
9 070
4 541
16 336
15 485
13 926
9 200
4 726
2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

14 869
14 049
12 690
4 850
7 840
14 886
14 065
12 706
4 900
7 806
15 014
14 187
12 825
5 000
7 825
15 121
14 288
12 925
5 100
7 825
15 361
14 516
13 148
5 200
7 948
2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

865
837
653
3 480
(2 827)
865
850
665
3 560
(2 895)
885
870
684
3 640
(2 956)
885
873
686
3 720
(3 034)
975
969
778
3 800
(3 022)
12
ASIA
Surplus (-Deficit)
West Asia
Surplus (-Deficit)
South Asia
Surplus (-Deficit)
East Asia
12
Surplus (-Deficit)
EUROPE
Surplus (-Deficit)
Central Europe
Surplus (-Deficit)
2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

3 578
3 578
3 143
8 473
(5 330)
3 578
3 578
3 143
8 819
(5 676)
3 748
3 748
3 307
9 138
(5 831)
4 010
4 010
3 563
9 521
(5 958)
4 140
4 140
3 693
9 829
(6 136)
2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

3 200
3 200
3 026
300
2 726
3 200
3 200
3 026
315
2 711
3 320
3 320
3 140
330
2 810
3 440
3 440
3 254
345
2 909
3 440
3 440
3 254
355
2 899
2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

0
0
-78
2 000
(2 078)
0
0
-78
2 075
(2 153)
0
0
-78
2 150
(2 228)
0
0
-78
2 225
(2 303)
0
0
-78
2 300
(2 378)
2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

378
378
195
6 420
(6 225)
378
378
195
6 640
(6 445)
428
428
245
6 860
(6 615)
570
570
387
7 150
(6 763)
700
700
517
7 370
(6 853)
2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

5 835
5 818
5 109
4 510
599
5 835
5 818
5 109
4 540
569
5 835
5 818
5 109
4 570
539
5 485
5 485
4 783
4 610
173
5 485
5 485
4 783
4 650
133
2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

0
0
(200)
650
(850)
0
0
(200)
700
(900)
0
0
(200)
750
(950)
0
0
(200)
800
(1 000)
0
0
(200)
850
(1 050)
13
West Europe
Surplus (-Deficit)
East Europe and
Central Asia
Surplus (-Deficit)
OCEANIA
Surplus (-Deficit)
2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

5 835
5 818
5 309
3 860
1 449
5 835
5 818
5 309
3 840
1 469
5 835
5 818
5 309
3 820
1 489
5 485
5 485
4 983
3 810
1 173
5 485
5 485
4 983
3 800
1 183
2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

12 296
8 902
8 362
900
7 462
12 296
8 902
8 362
950
7 412
12 296
8 902
8 362
1 000
7 362
12 296
8 902
8 362
1 050
7 312
12 296
8 902
8 362
1 100
7 262
2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

0
0
0
390
(390)
0
0
0
400
(400)
0
0
0
410
(410)
0
0
0
420
(420)
0
0
0
430
(430)
14
Annex 4
Regional country classification
A F R IC A
A lg e ria
A n g o la
Senegal
S e y c h e lle s
SaoTom e &
B e n in
B o ts w a n a
P rin c ip e
S ie rra
Leone
B u rk in a F a s o S o m a lia
B u ru n d i
S o u th A fric a
N e th e rla n d s
N o rw a y
P o rtu g a l
S p a in
Sweden
S w itz e rla n d
U n ite d
K in g d o m
P e ru
S u r in a m e
S t. K itts &
N e v is
S a in t L u c ia
S a in t V in c e n t
Japan
K o re a D P R
K o re a R e p .
T rin id a d &
Tobago
M o n g o lia
M yanm ar
U ru g u a y
V e n e z u e la
V irg in Is la n d s
P h ilip p in e s
S in g a p o re
T a iw a n
T h a ila n d
V ie t N a m
Laos
M a la y s ia
C a m e ro o n
C a p e V e rd e
CAR
Chad
C o m o ro s
C ongo R ep
C te d 'Iv o ire
Sudan
S w a z ila n d
T a n z a n ia
Togo
T u n is ia
Uganda
W . S a h a ra
A M E R IC A
N o rth A m e ric a
Canada
U n ite d S ta te s
L a tin A m e ric a
A rg e n tin a
D jib o u ti
Z a ire
Baham as
C y p ru s
Egypt
E q . G u in e a
E ritre a
E th io p ia
E th io p ia
G abon
G a m b ia
G hana
G u in e a
G u in e a
B is s a u
Kenya
L e s o th o
Z a m b ia
Z im b a b w e
B a rb a d o s
B e liz e
B e rm u d a
EUROPE
B o liv ia
E a s t E u ro p e B ra z il
Ira n
Ira q
Is ra e l
J o rd a n
K u w a it
EAST
EUROPE
CENTRAL
A S IA
A rm e n ia
A z e rb a ija n
B e la ru s
E s to n ia
G e o rg ia
A lb a n ia
B u lg a ria
C zech R ep.
Y u g o s la v ia 2
Lebanon
O m an
Q a ta r
S a u d i A ra b ia
K a z a k h s ta n
K y rg y z s ta n
L a tv ia
L ith u a n ia
S y r ia
T u rk e y
M o ld o v ia
R u s s ia n
14
L ib e ria
L ib y a
M adagascar
M a la w i
M a li
M a u rita n ia
M a u ritiu s
M o ro c c o
M o z a m b iq u e
N a m ib ia
N ig e r
N ig e ria
Rwanda
R e u n io n
S t H e le n a
H u n g a ry
P o la n d
C h ile
C o lo m b ia
C o s ta R ic a
Cuba
D o m in ic a
D o m in ic a n
Rep.
R o m a n ia
Ecuador
S lo v a k R e p . E l S a lv a d o r
W est
F re n c h
E u ro p e
G uyana
A u s tria
G re n a d a
B e lg iu m
G u a d e lo u p e
D e n m a rk
G u a te m a la
F in la n d
G uyana
F ra n c e
H a iti
G e rm a n y
H o n d u ra s
G re e c e
J a m a ic a
Ic e la n d
M a rtin iq u e
Ire la n d
M e x ic o
Ita ly
N ic a ra g u a
L u x e m b o u rg P a n a m a
M a lta
P a ra g u a y
A S IA
W e s t A s ia
B a h ra in
U . A . E m ira te s F e d e r a tio n
Yem en
T a jik is ta n
S o u th A s ia
T u rk m e n is ta n
A fg h a n is ta n
B a n g la d e s h
B h u ta n
In d ia
Nepal
P a k is ta n
S ri L a n k a
E a s t A s ia
B ru n e i
C a m b o d ia
C h in a
In d o n e s ia
1 T h e c la s s ific a tio n a tte m p ts a p u re ly g e o g ra p h ic a l a p p ro a c h to fa c ilita te e a s ie r c o m p a ris o n o f h is to ric a l d a ta .

2
B o s n ia -H e rz e g o v in a , C ro a tia , M a c e d o n ia , S lo v e n ia , Y u g o s la v ia (S e rb ia & M o n te n e g ro ).
U k ra in e
U z b e k is ta n
O C E A N IA
A u s tra lia
C a le d o n ia
F iji
F re n c h
P o ly n e s ia
N e w Z e a la n d
Papua N. G .

CURRENT WORLD FERTILIZER Trend and OUTLOOK

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CURRENT WORLD FERTILIZER Trend and OUTLOOK

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CURRENT WORLD FERTILIZER

TREND AND OUTLOOK

CURRENT WORLD FERTILIZER

FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION OF THE UNITED NATIONS

Current world fertilizer trend and outlook to 2005/2006

CURRENT WORLD FERTILIZER

World Surplus Nitrogen Capacity Projection

'000 tonnes N per year

The world nitrogen balance shows an average compounded decline at

Current world fertilizer trend and outlook to 2005/2006

World Surplus Phosphate Capacity Projection

'000 tonnes P2O5 per year

2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

is to decrease from 7 percent to 2 percent of world consumption. While

World Surplus Potash Capacity Projection

'000 tonnes K2O per year

Current world fertilizer trend and outlook to 2005/2006

NH3 Nominal Capacity

NH3 Nominal Capacity

Current world fertilizer trend and outlook to 2005/2006

NH3 Nominal Capacity

East Europe and

NH3 Nominal Capacity

NH3 Nominal Capacity

Current world fertilizer trend and outlook to 2005/2006

East Europe-Central Asia

Current world fertilizer trend and outlook to 2005/2006

2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

Current world fertilizer trend and outlook to 2005/2006

2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

1 T h e c la s s ific a tio n a tte m p ts a p u re ly g e o g ra p h ic a l a p p ro a c h to fa c ilita te e a s ie r c o m p a ris o n o f h is to ric a l d a ta .

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