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Ghanas population is estimated to 25million with per capital income of $1,776.113 and GDB of
$51.509 billion.
Although Ghana has registered relatively commendable economic growth for the past decade,
the economy has been faced with major challenges in the form of sharp currency depreciation,
deepening energy crisis, deteriorating macroeconomic imbalance, and rising inflation and
interest rates.
Over the medium term, the economy is projected to recover, bolstered mainly by higher oil and
gas production, combined with increased private sector and public infrastructure investments, as
well as an improved macroeconomic framework and political stability.
Ghanas accelerated economic growth over the past decade has helped the country achieve the
MDG goal of halving poverty, although there is evidence of growing disparities in spatial
development and income inequality across regions, especially in the three northern regions.
Progress in the achievement of other MDGs remains mixed, with the 2015 targets likely to be
missed.
Ghanas economy is expected to slow down for the fourth consecutive year to an estimated 3.9%
growth rate in 2015, owing to a severe energy crisis, unsustainable domestic and external debt
burdens, and deteriorated macroeconomic and financial imbalances. Provisional gross domestic
product (GDP) figures issued by Ghana Statistical Services (GSS) further suggest that the
economy expanded by 4.2% in 2014, less than the growth of 7.3% recorded in 2013. The drivers
of growth continue to be the service sectors, which constitute 50.2% of the economy, followed
by industry and agriculture at 28.4% and 19.9% respectively. In 2016 the economy is expected to
recover, registering a growth of around 6%, bolstered by an increase in oil and gas production,
private sector investment, improved public infrastructure and the countrys political stability.
Nonetheless, the prevailing low international oil prices could slow the pace of economic growth
in
the
future.
High growth rates over recent years have been accompanied by the build-up of macroeconomic
imbalances. In 2014 current account and fiscal deficits widened to 9.2% and 10.4% of GDP
respectively, and the rate of inflation averaged 17.0%. By the end of December 2014, foreign
reserves were at 3.2 months of import cover, thanks to inflows from the Eurobond of USD 1
billion and a cocoa syndicate loan of USD 1.7 billion. The domestic currency, the cedi (GHS)
depreciated by over 30% in nominal terms over the first nine months of the year compared to a
depreciation of 4.1% during the corresponding period in 2013. The continued growth in the
budget deficit resulted in public debt increasing from 55.8% of GDP in December 2013 to 67.1%
of GDP by the end of December 2014 and this is projected to be more than 70% by the close of
the year 2015. To address the increasingly unsustainable fiscal and current account imbalances,
the Ghana government has successfully negotiated a stabilisation programme with the
International Monetary Fund (IMF) began in the 2nd quarter of 2015.
INSURANCE
The Ghanaian Insurance industry is categorized into two, the life and non- life insurances
The Ghanaian life insurance market is consolidated with the top five companies accounting for
about 80% share in 2012 (up from 78% in 2011). There were 19 life insurers as at May 2014.
In 2012, the life insurance gross written premium (GWP) stood at GHS355.8 million, witnessing
a growth of 31.7% (y-o-y).
Ghanas top three life insurers performance in 2012 is summarised below:
SIC Life Insurance collected GHS100.3 million representing a premium growth of 39%
(y-o-y). SIC is listed on the Ghana Stock Exchange and owned by government (40%) and
others including institutions and individuals (60%)
Glico Life Insurance reported a gross premium of GHS36 million witnessing 4.65%
growth (y-o-y)
The Ghanaian non-life insurance market is relatively fragmented with the presence of 26 players
as at May of 2014
The top five companies accounted for 60.6% share of the total market in 2012 (little
Challenges affecting the growth of the industry includes low patronage, limited knowledge, and
lack of confidence in the system, delays in claim payments, fraudulent claims and price
undercutting
The National Insurance Commission (NIC) on April 1, 2014 began to implement the No
premium, no cover policy, which requires insurance firms to collect premiums upfront before
providing insurance cover. It implies that insurance companies will no longer be required to sell
insurance products on credit to customers.
Future Developments
The discovery of oil in Ghana is expected to transform the economy in the years ahead. The
insurance industry is expected to position itself by enhancing its balance sheet size in order to
underwrite huge oil and gas related policies.
Large demand capacities exist in corporate institutions, government agencies, professional and
other bodies, new companies being established, and among high net-worth individuals.
Moreover, a large number of shops do not have any insurance policy. The informal sector
(workers who are mostly self-employed and engaged in trading or other business outside the
formal stream) has been largely ignored by insurance companies who usually target only the
formal sector (government and privately employed workers who are captured on the national tax
database and also on the social security and national insurance scheme. The formal sector is
more attractive due to the stable and predictable flow of income).
With the introduction of agricultural insurance and the implementation of compulsory insurance
of commercial buildings, the industry is expected to grow significantly, going forward.
Agricultural insurance which currently covers the production of maize in northern Ghana is
expected to be extended to cover other crops like rubber and cocoa as well as livestock.
The new draft bill which is pending approval from parliament has a provision for an appropriate
micro insurance regulatory framework. This aims at targeting low income households in the
informal sector by providing them with affordable insurance products that will meet their needs.
All these initiatives are expected to lead to growth in the insurance industry and increase
insurance penetration. With this, the contribution of insurance services to gross domestic product
will also increase
.
Key trends
The concept of Banc assurance was introduced in the country in 2007 by the National Insurance
Commission (NIC). It aims at selling insurance products through other financial institutions,
particularly the banks. As at September 2013, there were about 19 Banc assurance collaborations
between commercial banks and insurance companies
The Food and Beverages Sub-sector is currently the largest contributor to the manufacturing
GDP, according to the 2011 GDP figures released by the Ghana
Statistical Service (GSS) accounting for about 30.0% of manufacturing value added in 2011 and
employs several hundreds of people directly and indirectly.
The Food & Beverages sub-group comprises industries processing food and beverages and these
companies are spread across all districts, municipalities and metropolis in the country.
The sub-group plays a critical role in the countrys economy in ensuring food security and
provision of raw materials (in the form of crops, fruits, vegetables, etc.) to the manufacturing
subsector in the country.
The activities of the sub-group ensures that during the bumper harvest crops, vegetables and
other agro-based materials are stored to be used during the lean season through processing. This
way, the Food & Beverages Sub-group:
GGBL is one the leading companies in the food and beverages sector and was recently adjudged
the leader in the food and beverage sector on the 2015 AGI awards.
Five Financial years Summary
Directors of the company are: David Harlock - Chairman. Peter Ndegwa - Managing. E. M.
Boye, Mr. Charles Kimeria Mwangi, Mr. Didier Francis Martial Leleu, Mr. James Kweku
Inkoom, Katherine Joanna Seljeflot, H. Essie Humphrey-Ackuney, Mr. Leo Breen, Mr. Simon
Harvey, Mr. Boudewijn Nicolaas Haarsma, Mr. Kofi Sekyere
Enterprise Insurance Co. Ltd was established in 1924 and is the oldest insurance company in
Ghana. Enterprise Insurance was listed on the Ghana Stock Exchange (GSE) in 1991 becoming
the first insurance company to be publicly listed on the Ghana Stock Exchange.
In the year 2000, Enterprise Life was incorporated in a partnership between EIC and African Life
through the instrumentality of the IFC.Enterprise Life has seen impressive growth since 2001
and currently is the second biggest Life Assurance Company.
Enterprise Life has been adjudged CIMG Life Insurance Company of the Year, has been ranked
No. 1 in the Financial Services Sector and the 3rd Most Prestigious Company in Ghana among
other awards. Currently, Enterprise Life has a presence in the Gambia.
For the purposes of sustained growth and the ability to take advantage of profitable business
opportunities in sectors of the economy other than insurance as well as continually returning
increased value to shareholders, clients and employees, new subsidiaries have been established
which include Trustees and Properties.
Incorporated in 2010, Enterprise Trustees is a pension administration company while Enterprise
Properties is a real estate development and investment wing of the Group.
The Enterprise Group was listed on the Ghana Stock Exchange in 2010. The group is managed
by a team of proven and accomplished professionals who bring their experience and expertise to
bear in steering the affairs of the Group, ensuring exceptional service to clients, job enrichment
to staff and increased returns to shareholders and all stakeholders. In August 2010, the Board and
Management of Enterprise Insurance Company (EIC) on August 12, 2010, were given the
mandate by their shareholders to re-organize Enterprise Insurance Co Ltd and the relationship
between the company and its subsidiaries.
The Enterprise Group currently has four subsidiaries that operate in and target different parts of
the financial services industry, namely Enterprise Insurance, Enterprise Life, Enterprise Trustees,
and Enterprise Properties. With an annual turnover of in GHS 132,288.00 2012, and a total asset
base of over 220 million Ghana Cedis, Enterprise is one of Ghana's Premier financial services
group.
Enterprise Insurance is the highest ranked general Insurer according to the prestigious GC100
(2011) and operates in the non-life insurance industry with products that include motor, fire,
home, marine among a host of other corporate and personal line insurances.
Enterprise Life is one of Ghana's fastest growing insurance companies and is the highest ranked
company (financial sector) in the Ghana Club 100 (2011).Enterprise Life has various products
including the Funeral Finance Plan among a variety of life products.
Enterprise Trustees is the pension subsidiary of the Group and provides world class pension
solutions under Tiers 2 and 3 of the National Pensions Act 766.
Enterprise Properties ensures the Group's assets are put to the best and most efficient use,
providing facilities that meet the strictest international standards while making a good return on
investment for shareholders.
2005
50.82
128.2
6
23.81
-14.3
2006
28.62
2007
2008
47.43
141.5
4
29.94
76.82
2004
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Total
25.49
20.83
291.6
7
595.
39
(E(GG
M
Em)
Gm)
(E-Em)2
-5.26
16.55
1.09 -63.09
1.19
0.11
11.42 29.57 -57.72
874.26
16.54
45.96
8.29 -41.29
68.76
438.1
154.67 85.73 380.27 7350.00
124.78
91.33 66.34
66.95 4400.71
-39.06
-29.72 56.83 -96.89 3229.41
19.48
5.21 13.91 -38.35
193.43
33
31.21
4.90 -24.83
24.03
62.6
58.16 99.01
4.77 9803.40
-32.5
-46.58 72.47 -90.33 5251.59
15.56
119.3
14243.9
32.25
5 -42.27
1
-1.92
-3.1 68.02 -59.75 4626.43
41.6
23.81 21.70 -16.23
470.80
136.64
249.1
62071.8
78.81
4
78.81
1
809.67 469.9
112609
8
.73
(G(E-Em)x(G2
Gm)
Gm)
3980.80
-68.91
3332.01
1705.16
144602.
56
1706.76
-342.41
32601.06
4481.82
-4441.08
9388.36
5506.25
1471.00
616.71
533.42
-121.74
22.72
471.93
8160.15
6546.28
1787.05
5045.26
3570.49
4064.31
263.53
352.23
6210.45
189592.
82
19634.00
71487.37
Average
E = E/n
= 595.39/14
Average
Em= 42.53
1 Variance E
G = G/n
= 809.67/14
Gm= 57.83
Average
M = M/n
= 469.98/14
Mm= 33.57
Variance G
2= (E-Em)2/n-1
2= (G-Gm) 2/n-1
= 189592.82/14-1
= 14584.06
= 112609.73/14-1
= 8662.29
2 STANDARD DEVIATION E
STANDARD DEVIATION G
E = 2
G = 2
= 8662.29
= 14584.06
=
= 93.07
120.76
3 Covariance EG
CovEG = (E-Em) (G-Gm)/n-1
=71487.37/14-1 =
5499.03
r= Cov
/(
EG
E)( G)
= 5499.03/(93.09)(120.76)
= 0.49
5 Coefficient of Determination (r2)
r2= (r)2
=(0.49)2 = 0.24
E
43.62
12.96
50.82
128.2
6
23.81
-14.3
(E-Em)
-5.26
0.11
16.54
438.1
16.55
11.42
45.96
154.67
1.09
-29.57
8.29
85.73
124.7
8
-39.06
91.33
-66.34
-29.72
-56.83
(M(E-Em)(M- (M(G(G-Gm)
(G2
Mm)
Mm)
Mm)
Gm)
(M-Mm)
Gm)
-17.02
-18.59 289.68 -63.09
1073.85 398
-22.15
654.93 490.62 -57.72
1278.58 333
12.39
102.74 153.51 -41.29
-511.63 170
121.1
10382.16 14665.
380.2
46050.26 144
21
7
57.76
-3831.67 3336.2
66.95
3866.83 448
2
-63.29
3596.64 4005.6 -96.89
6132.39 938
28.62
47.43
141.5
4
29.94
76.82
25.49
20.83
291.6
7
595.3
9
19.48
33
62.6
5.21
31.21
58.16
-13.91
4.90
99.01
-28.36
-2.36
24.59
394.43
-11.57
2434.71
-32.5
-46.58
-72.47
-80.15
5808.30
15.56
32.25
-119.35
-1.32
157.54
-1.92
-3.1
-68.02
-36.67
2494.21
41.6
136.6
4
809.6
7
23.81
78.81
-21.70
249.14
-9.76
45.24
211.77
11271.19
469.98
33646.78
2
804.29
5.57
604.67
-38.35
-24.83
4.77
1087.71
58.61
117.21
147
61
2
6424.0
2
1.74
-90.33
7240.24
816
-42.27
55.80
178
1344.6
9
95.26
2046.6
6
34267
.76
-59.75
2191.16
357
-16.23
78.81
158.44
3565.20
26
621
72364.65
189
6 Covariance EM
CovEM = (E-Em) (M-Mm)/n-1
=33646.78/14-1
=
2588.21
Covariance
GM
CovGM = (G-Gm)(M-Mm)/n-1
=72364.65/14-1
=
5566.51
CovEM/(
E)( M)
CovGM/(
G)( M)
= 2588.21/(93.07)(16.31)
= 1.71
= 5566.51/(120.76)(16.31)
= 2.83
Coefficient of determination r2
Coefficient of determination r2
r2= (r)2
=(1.71)2 = 2.92
r2= (r)2
=(2.83)2 = 8.01
8 Variance M
2= (M-Mm)2/n-1
= 34267.76/14-1
= 2635.98
Standard Deviation of the market
M = 2
= 2635.98
= 16.31
9 Beta E
Beta G
E= CovEM/ m
= 2588.21/2635.98
= 0.98
10 Expected Return (Kd) E
KdE= Rf + E (Rm-Rf)
G= CovGM/ 2m
= 5566.51/2635.98
= 2.11
Expected Return (Kd) G
KdG= Rf + G (Rm-Rf)
11 Jensens AlphaE
Jensens AlphaE = Total Portfolio
Jensens AlphaG
Jensens AlphaG = Total Portfolio
Risk free)]
Risk free)]
= 42.53-25.2- [ 0.98(33.57-
= 57.58-25.2- [ 2.11(33.57-
25.2)]
25.2)]
= 9.137
= 14.97
SI= Rp-Rf/
G= Standard Deviation of
portfolio
theportfolio
SI= 42.53-25.2/93.07
SI= 57.83-25.2/120.76
= 0.19
= 0.27
13 Treynor Index E
Treynor Index G
TI= Rp-Rf/E
TI= Rp-Rf/G
A variance of 8662.29 of stock E (EIC) indicates how far the stock returns are
from the mean (average return) of the stock. With a mean of 42.53 and a variance
of 8662.29, we can say that the amount of the stock returns is far from each other
and also far from the mean which also indicates that the difference is large and as
such there is a high volatility in stock EIC. This high volatility indicates that stock
EIC is a risky stock.
A variance of 14,584.06 for stock G(GGBL) also indicates that that there is high
volatility in stock GGL because of the distance it is from the mean. This indicates
that stock GGL is a risky stock. Comparatively, stock GGBL is riskier then stock
EIC.
Standard Deviation
A Standard Deviation of 93.07 indicates how much the returns of stock EIC has deviated
from the normal expected return (mean= 42.53). Like the variance, this is also a measure
of volatility which will be use as a gauge for the amount of expected volatility. A high
volatility of this stock (stdv=93.07) indicates that this investment is a risky investment.
A standard deviation of 120.76 indicates also indicates how much stock GGBL has
deviated from normal expected return (mean= 57.83). This large deviation indicates a
stock that is highly volatile. And because of it high volatility, we can say that this
investment is a risky investment. This investment is much risky as compare to investing
in stock EIC.
Coefficient of Determination r2
A 0.24 coefficient of determination indicates that a 24% change in the
returns of stock EIC or GGBL is determine by the change in GGBL or EIC.
Beta of EIC
A beta of 0.98 which is less than 1
Beta of GGBL
A beta of 2.11 which is greater
additional return
investment.
Stock Valuation
In calculating the value of the stock, well the Gordon growth model. This model is a method
for calculating the intrinsic value of a stock, exclusive of current market conditions.
P= D1/r-g
D1 = next year's expected annual dividend per share
Average of five year dividend= 0.292/5= 0.0584
r = the investor's discount rate or required rate of return
KdE = Expected return of EIC = r
g = present earning per share previous earning per share/ previous earning per share
= 0.29-0.24/0.24
= 0.21
P= 0.0584/0.43- 0.21
= 0.27
P= D1/r-g
D1 = next year's expected annual dividend per share
Average of five year dividend= 0.06/5= 0.012
r = the investor's discount rate or required rate of return
KdE = Expected return of EIC = r
g = present earning per share previous earning per share/ previous earning per share
= 0.041-0.086/0.086
= -0.52
P= 0.012/0.43- (-0.52)
= 0.013