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Moodys Global
Rating
Methodology
Asset Management
October 2007
Table of Contents:
Summary
Moodys Universe of Rated Asset
Management Firms
Framework for Rating Asset
Management Firms
Rating Summary Profile
Key Rating Factors
Other Considerations
Appendix I
Moodys Related Research
1
2
3
4
5
15
18
20
Analyst Contacts:
New York
1.212.553.1653
12 Benjamin Goldberg
Associate Analyst
Joel Levine
Senior Vice President
Robert L Riegel
Team Managing Director
Ted Collins
London
44.20.7772.5454
Asset management firm and asset manager are used synonymously throughout this methodology.
Rating Methodology
In determining the long-term debt ratings of asset management firms on a stand-alone basis, Moodys begins
with an analysis of the following business and financial characteristics shown in Figure 1.
Financial Profile
Number of Firms
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
Aaa
Aa
Baa
Ba
Caa
For links to Moodys rating methodologies pertaining to fund level ratings (credit ratings and operational quality ratings), please see the Related
Research links on page 17 of this report.
October 2007 Rating Methodology Moodys Asset Management - Moodys Global Rating Methodology for Asset Management Firms
Rating Methodology
Ticker
Senior Debt/
Issuer Rating
Outlook
Aa3
Negative
BLK
A1
Stable
AllianceBernstein L.P.
792 US
AB
A1
Stable
624 US
BEN
A1
Stable
280 Bermuda
A2
Positive
992 US
LM
A2
Stable
INVESCO PLC
492 UK
IVZ
A3
Stable
154 US
EV
A3
Stable
172 US
JNC
Baa1
RUR
EMG.L
Baa1
Stable
67 UK
52 US
WDR
Baa2
Stable
30 US
GBL
Baa2
Negative
188 US
JNS
Baa3
Stable
48 UK
Ba3
Stable
18 US
B1
Stable
Total
$6,646
October 2007 Rating Methodology Moodys Asset Management - Moodys Global Rating Methodology for Asset Management Firms
Rating Methodology
Aaa
Aa
Baa
Ba
Caa
Business Profile
Market Position (20%)
Distribution Channels
Services Positioning
Diversification & Retention of AUM (20%)
Retention Rate
Financial Profile
Financial
Flexibility (25%)
Total Debt / EBITDA
EBITDA / Interest
Managed Investments / Equity
October 2007 Rating Methodology Moodys Asset Management - Moodys Global Rating Methodology for Asset Management Firms
Rating Methodology
Relevant Metrics
Market Share of AUM:
Rating Methodology
Aa
Baa
Ba
Caa
> = 16%
16% - 10%
10% - 4%
4% - 1%
> = 16%
16% - 10%
10% - 4%
4% - 1%
Making a corporatewide determination of investment performance is challenging. To create parameters that define it is quite difficult, for many
reasons. For instance, data that meets consistent reporting standards can be the first difficulty. Retail mutual fund performance is readily found, but
standard reporting of institutional composites can be hard to obtain and even harder to publicly evaluate. Even if standard reporting were to be
readily accessible across a full range of a firms AUM, establishing a definition of a good level of performance is complicated by significant
variation in investors objectives.
October 2007 Rating Methodology Moodys Asset Management - Moodys Global Rating Methodology for Asset Management Firms
Rating Methodology
Relevant Metrics
Distribution Channels:
Example of Sale
1. Retail Direct
Purchase fund product on a firms internet site or through its call center
2. Retail Supermarket
Purchase fund product through a third party internet site or call center
3. Retail Financial Advisor Major brokerage Financial advisor of global wirehouse facilitates the sale
4. Retail Financial Advisor non-Major
brokerage
Same as above, but the advisor is not affiliated with a major, nationally
recognized brokerage house (e.g. buy a fund through a life insurance agent)
6. Institutional Direct
Purchase service directly through firms internal channels, without any third
party consultant support or referral
7. Institutional Consultant
Services Positioning:
Institutional Service
1. Insurance
1. Research
2. Brokerage
2. Securities Clearance
3. Advisory
4. Benefits Administration
5. Trust/Custody
5. Commercial Lending
6. Research
6. Insurance Trusts
7. Banking
8. Private Banking
8. Advisory/Portfolio Strategy
9. Securities Execution
10. Brokerage
11. Securities Lending
12. Risk Analytics
October 2007 Rating Methodology Moodys Asset Management - Moodys Global Rating Methodology for Asset Management Firms
Rating Methodology
Aaa
Aa
Baa
>=7
Firm offers
limited (12) services.
No clear
leadership
or
competitive
differentiati
on for any
services.
Firm offers
very limited
to no
services but
can claim
niche
leadership
in its
respective
specialty.
Firm offers
very limited
to no
services and
is not
viewed as a
niche
leader.
Firm offers a
Firm offers a
Firm offers
spectrum (>10) of broad array (6- several (3-6)
services to retail
10) of services
services to
and institutional
to retail and
retail or
customers.
institutional
institutional
Commanding
customers.
customers.
leadership and
Leadership and
Limited
meaningful
meaningful
leadership or
competitive
competitive
competitive
differentiation can differentiation differentiation
be cited for more can be cited for in services
than one service.
offered.
at least one
service.
Ba
Caa
1
October 2007 Rating Methodology Moodys Asset Management - Moodys Global Rating Methodology for Asset Management Firms
Rating Methodology
The retention rate of AUM is important because a high base of AUM is only meaningful if it will be in place for
an extended period. The asset retention metric is actually driven by AUM redemptions occurring over the past
year, which can be an important determinant of impending credit deterioration. Asset redemptions are related
to considerations such as the contractual nature of the invested assets, product characteristics (e.g. closed
end funds vs. open end funds), investment performance, industry competition, and or broad market shifts in
investors preferences. In conjunction with our gross flows evaluation incorporated in Factor 1 Market
Position, the retention rate metric rounds out our evaluation of asset flows.
Relevant Metrics
Diversity of Product Classes:
Analyst judgment may be used to alter the categories such that they fairly measure the companys diversification.
For firms with private wealth customers, there should be evidence that the firm itself is providing an elevated level of advisor attention that is somehow differentiated from the
service level offered to either retail or institutional clients.
6
October 2007 Rating Methodology Moodys Asset Management - Moodys Global Rating Methodology for Asset Management Firms
Rating Methodology
If there are 3 categories, then to be perfectly diversified, each category would be 33.3% of the total
("perfect diversification").
A
U Each sub-category contributes to a final diversity score in the following manner:
M
Step 1: Take the sum of the absolute value of the "perfect diversification" score (in %) - the actual
percentage
in each category.
D
i
Step 2: Convert the sum of the category scores to a single percentage by taking 1 - (sum of category
v
scores / max possible sum of category score)
e
r This process is best understood with an example.
s
i
Step 1:
f
i
"Perfect"
Category
Scores
c % in Category Diversity 1 Calculation
25% Category 1 : (60% of total) Absolute value of (25 - 60) = 35
35
a 60%
t 3%
25% Category 2 : (3% of total) Absolute value of (25 - 3) = 22
22
i 17%
25% Category 3: (17% of total) Absolute value of (25 - 17) = 8
8
o
20%
25% Category 4: (20% of total) Absolute value of (25 - 20) = 5
5
n
Sum of Category
Scores
&
Step 2:
RDiversification
' => (1 - 70/150) = .53
53% => (on scale of 0-100;
100%=best, 0%=worst)
e Metric Score in %
t1 "Perfect diversity" will typcially be defined as equal slices of an AUM pie chart, but can be defined otherwise in rare or
e special cases.
n
t
Sample Diversity Pie Chart
i
o
Category D
20%
n
W
h
y
I
t
Category C
17%
Category A
60%
Category B
3%
M
a
10
October 2007 Rating Methodology Moodys Asset Management - Moodys Global Rating Methodology for Asset Management Firms
Rating Methodology
Aa
Baa
Ba
Caa
<
80%
80% - 60%
60% - 45%
45% - 30%
30% - 20%
20% - 5%
<=
5%
<
80%
80% - 60%
60% - 45%
45% - 30%
30% - 20%
20% - 5%
<=
5%
Retention Rate
>= 90%
90% - 85%
85% - 80%
80% - 75%
75% - 70%
70% - 65%
<=
65%
11
October 2007 Rating Methodology Moodys Asset Management - Moodys Global Rating Methodology for Asset Management Firms
Rating Methodology
EBITDA / Interest expense and preferred dividends (5 year average or pro forma)
Self-Managed Funds:
12
Excess cash can be uniquely defined for each firm, but typically, it will be will be cash above the amount needed for working capital, regulatory
requirements, and any other future needs or management preferences.
For some rated asset managers, the amounts constrained by regulators have been very significant. In the US, all registered broker dealers are
required by the NASD Uniform Net Capital Rule (15c3-1) to maintain a prescribed amount of liquid capital. Similar regulatory capital requirements
are common outside the US. Capital may also be constrained for periods by regulars as a penalty for allegations of wrongdoing.
October 2007 Rating Methodology Moodys Asset Management - Moodys Global Rating Methodology for Asset Management Firms
Rating Methodology
Firms that have negative equity are automatically scored at a single-B level for this metric.
13
October 2007 Rating Methodology Moodys Asset Management - Moodys Global Rating Methodology for Asset Management Firms
Rating Methodology
Aa
Baa
Ba
Caa
<
0.2
0.2 - 1
12
2-3
3-4
46
>= 6
EBITDA / Interest
>=
16
16 - 12
12 8
84
42
21
<= 1
2.5%
2.5 - 7.5%
7.5% 15%
15% - 25%
25% - 40%
40% - 60%
Managed Investements/Equity
<
>=
60%
14
Revenue will be adjusted to include gains and losses from investments, as well as interest and dividend income.
October 2007 Rating Methodology Moodys Asset Management - Moodys Global Rating Methodology for Asset Management Firms
Rating Methodology
Aa
>
40%
40% - 25%
>=
Baa
Ba
100% 0%
B
5% 0%
Caa
<=
0%
< - 20%
11
12
15
Note that the stability of revenue growth is the inverse of the coefficient of variation of quarterly revenue growth rates.
For research regarding corporate governance specifically, see Moodys Special Comment: Assessing Corporate Governance As A Ratings Driver
For North American Financial Institutions, April, 2006 (#97279) for further information.
October 2007 Rating Methodology Moodys Asset Management - Moodys Global Rating Methodology for Asset Management Firms
Rating Methodology
Corporate Governance
Incorporating corporate governance into the rating evaluation includes gaining an understanding of the boards
independence, expertise, and involvement, as well as its ability to align governance practices with proper
oversight of the management team and corporate strategy. Independent reviews of the key financial reporting
and risk management processes are important, as is oversight of compliance and regulatory issues.
The board plays a central role in ensuring that management sets the appropriate ethical tone within the
company. Compensation schemes and the boards oversight of compensation practices are also considered
for their potential impact on managements motivations. Plans that reward management and employees for
building long-term value in the company tend to be viewed positively from a credit perspective.
Moodys also contemplates the interests, motivations, track-record, and resources of large shareholders in
order to anticipate how they may be expected to behave and respond with regards to their investment, both in
the normal course of events and in times of stress. The often-conflicting interests of shareholders and creditors
are also taken into account when considering an asset managers governance. A reasonably balanced
approach that meets both constituents in a fair manner is expected for higher rating levels.
Risk Management
Managements and the boards abilities to identify, monitor, manage, and mitigate risks to the company go to
the heart of its success in minimizing unexpected events and volatility and in protecting the interests of its
creditors and other stakeholders. Taking risks, whether in investment, sales practices, acquisitions, or other
areas, is a necessary activity for an asset management firm. However, it is vitally important that management
(and the board of directors) fully understand the risks assumed and engage in active measures to manage
those risks in order for the company to maintain its financial performance and flexibility, reputation, market
position, and confidence in the capital markets. The risk management discipline at an asset management firm
will be of higher importance for firms where the financial assets of the firm are placed more at risk.
16
October 2007 Rating Methodology Moodys Asset Management - Moodys Global Rating Methodology for Asset Management Firms
Rating Methodology
Litigation
Asset management firms, particularly US-based firms, have operated in an increasingly litigious environment.
Often, this is a result of rogue employees, poor judgment, or misunderstandings with counterparties.
Arbitration panels are increasingly being utilized to avoid costly and lengthy court battles with employees who
increasingly are under employment contracts.
Where contingent liabilities may begin to influence ratings is not dissimilar to the regulation cases. If the
liabilities could significantly impair further ability of the firm to conduct business or may significantly impair the
financial flexibility of the firm, rating action will be likely.
17
October 2007 Rating Methodology Moodys Asset Management - Moodys Global Rating Methodology for Asset Management Firms
Rating Methodology
Appendix I
Using the Methodology as a Rating Predictor Model
As a complement to detailed fundamental analysis necessary to
develop an asset management firms senior debt rating, Moodys
has used the backbone of the rating methodology presented to
develop a Rating Predictor Model. This can be useful as a guide to
estimating the likely range into which an asset managers rating
may fall, based on reference to the various rating level guidelines
outlined with this methodology.
The rating predictor model is composed of the 12 metrics outlined
in this methodology. Each metric is scored on a scale of 1 - 18
(with 1 being the best score, and 18 the weakest) based on the
metrics expectations for given rating levels.
Each factor is evaluated, and then weighted according to its
importance within Moodys rating approach for the industry
generally using the factor weightings shown in Figure 16. A
weighted average of all the factors is calculated, which is mapped
back (based on a mid-point convention) to the Aaa through Caa
rating scale. The resulting rating is an objective, quantitatively
derived stand-alone senior debt rating before management and
governance, regulation and litigation, and accounting policy and
disclosure considerations are taken into account.
Number
Aaa
Aa1
Aa2
Aa3
A1
A2
A3
Baa1
Baa2
Baa3
10
Ba1
11
Ba2
12
Ba3
13
B1
14
B2
15
Figure 16
Factors for Asset Managers
Factor 1 : Market Position
Assets Under Management Market Share
Weightings
20%
50%
20%
Distribution Channels
50%
Services Positioning
Factor 3: Diversification & Retention of AUM
50%
20%
33.3%
33.3%
Retention Rate
Factor 4: Financial Flexibility
33.3%
25%
60%
EBITDA / Interest
20%
18
50%
20%
15%
50%
50%
October 2007 Rating Methodology Moodys Asset Management - Moodys Global Rating Methodology for Asset Management Firms
Rating Methodology
Number of Firms
7
6
5
4
4
3
2
1
1
-
7%
0%
7%
53%
27%
7%
0%
-3
-2
-1
# Notches that the Predicted Rating is Low er (-) / Higher(+) vs. Actual
19
October 2007 Rating Methodology Moodys Asset Management - Moodys Global Rating Methodology for Asset Management Firms
Rating Methodology
Special Report:
Moody's Approach to Evaluating and Assigning Investment Manager Quality Ratings to Asset Management
Companies, August 2005 (SF60845)
To access any of these reports, click on the entry above. Note that these references are current as of the date of publication
of this report and that more recent reports may be available. All research may not be available to all clients.
To order reprints of this report (100 copies minimum), please call 1.212.553.1658.
Report Number: 104923
Author
Production Specialist
Matthew Noll
Nita Desai
Copyright 2007, Moodys Investors Service, Inc. and/or its licensors and affiliates including Moodys Assurance Company, Inc. (together, MOODYS). All rights
reserved. ALL INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS PROTECTED BY COPYRIGHT LAW AND NONE OF SUCH INFORMATION MAY BE COPIED OR
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FOR SUBSEQUENT USE FOR ANY SUCH PURPOSE, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, IN ANY FORM OR MANNER OR BY ANY MEANS WHATSOEVER, BY ANY
PERSON WITHOUT MOODYS PRIOR WRITTEN CONSENT. All information contained herein is obtained by MOODYS from sources believed by it to be accurate
and reliable. Because of the possibility of human or mechanical error as well as other factors, however, such information is provided as is without warranty of any
kind and MOODYS, in particular, makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, timeliness, completeness, merchantability or fitness
for any particular purpose of any such information. Under no circumstances shall MOODYS have any liability to any person or entity for (a) any loss or damage in
whole or in part caused by, resulting from, or relating to, any error (negligent or otherwise) or other circumstance or contingency within or outside the control of
MOODYS or any of its directors, officers, employees or agents in connection with the procurement, collection, compilation, analysis, interpretation, communication,
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limitation, lost profits), even if MOODYS is advised in advance of the possibility of such damages, resulting from the use of or inability to use, any such information.
The credit ratings and financial reporting analysis observations, if any, constituting part of the information contained herein are, and must be construed solely as,
statements of opinion and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, sell or hold any securities. NO WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO
THE ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR ANY PARTICULAR PURPOSE OF ANY SUCH RATING OR
OTHER OPINION OR INFORMATION IS GIVEN OR MADE BY MOODYS IN ANY FORM OR MANNER WHATSOEVER. Each rating or other opinion must be
weighed solely as one factor in any investment decision made by or on behalf of any user of the information contained herein, and each such user must accordingly
make its own study and evaluation of each security and of each issuer and guarantor of, and each provider of credit support for, each security that it may consider
purchasing, holding or selling.
MOODYS hereby discloses that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and
preferred stock rated by MOODYS have, prior to assignment of any rating, agreed to pay to MOODYS for appraisal and rating services rendered by it fees ranging
from $1,500 to approximately $2,400,000. Moodys Corporation (MCO) and its wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary, Moodys Investors Service (MIS), also
maintain policies and procedures to address the independence of MISs ratings and rating processes. Information regarding certain affiliations that may exist
between directors of MCO and rated entities, and between entities who hold ratings from MIS and have also publicly reported to the SEC an ownership interest in
MCO of more than 5%, is posted annually on Moodys website at www.moodys.com under the heading Shareholder Relations Corporate Governance Director
and Shareholder Affiliation Policy.
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October 2007 Rating Methodology Moodys Asset Management - Moodys Global Rating Methodology for Asset Management Firms