Professional Documents
Culture Documents
(a)
The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the effective after tax cost of the different sources of finance used by a
company. The costs of the different sources are normally weighted by their market values. WACC is often used to discount
the incremental cash flows of an investment in order to estimate the NPV (net present value), the expected change in
corporate value resulting from the investment. In order to add value for shareholders it is necessary for the return from an
investment to exceed the WACC. WACC is therefore a very useful tool to assist in project evaluation and the measurement of
wealth creation. However, it has some problems and limitations. It is sometimes not clear about whether or not to include
short-term finance such as overdrafts in the estimate of the weighted average cost of capital and in theory WACC should not
be used when:
(i)
There is a significant change in the capital structure of the company as a result of the investment.
(ii)
(iii) The investment has complex tax payments and tax allowances, and/or periods when tax is not paid.
(iv) There are subsidised loans or other benefits associated explicitly with an individual project.
In such circumstances the adjusted present value (APV) may be a better technique to analyse investments than the WACC
with NPV. APV requires the estimation of the base case NPV of operating cash flows (discounted at the ungeared cost of
equity), and, separately, the present value of any financing side effects. It allows more complex financing situations to be dealt
with, and the different types of cash flow, with different risks, to be discounted at a rate specific to the individual risk.
However, APV also has theoretical and practical problems.
In order to estimate the APV it is necessary to correctly identify all of the financing side effects, and the risk of each individual
side effect. This is not an easy task, especially for international investments. APV also relies on some of the unrealistic
assumptions of the Modigliani and Miller model (with tax), for example the equation for asset betas used in most APV
estimates assumes that cash flows are perpetuities, which is normally not the case.
(b)
Year
Auction fees
Outflows:
IT maintenance costs
Telephone costs
Wages
Salaries
Allocated head office overhead
Marketing
Royalty payments for use of technology
Lost contribution
Rental of premises
Tax allowable depreciation
Total outflows
Profit before tax
Tax (245%)
500
680
1,180
(1,180)
289
(891)
(2,700)
(400)
(3,991)
(3,991)
3
8,100
4
8,200
5
8,364
6
8,531
1,210
1,215
1,460
400
50
420
500
80
280
540
6,155
(1,855)
454
(1,401)
540
1,850
1,910
1,520
550
55
200
300
80
290
432
7,187
(567)
139
(428)
432
1,920
2,230
1,680
600
60
200
200
80
300
432
7,702
398
(98)
300
432
2,125
2,420
1,730
650
65
200
310
432
7,932
268
(66)
202
432
2,168
2,468
1,765
663
66
200
316
432
8,078
286
(70)
216
432
2,211
2,518
1,800
676
68
200
323
432
8,228
303
(74)
229
432
(24)
(885)
0909
(804)
(24)
(20)
0826
(17)
(25)
707
0751
531
(26)
608
0683
415
(10)
638
0621
396
509
1,170
0564
660
15
Notes:
(i) The discount rate for the base case NPV should be the ungeared cost of equity, taking into account the risk of the
investment. In order to reflect the risk of the investment, the ungeared equity beta of the Internet auction sector will be
used.
Assuming corporate debt to be virtually risk free:
Beta ungeared = Beta equity x
E + D (1 t)
67
= 1035
67 + 33 (1 0245)
Using CAPM
Keug = Rf + (Rm Rf) beta
Keug = 4% + (95% 4%) 1035 = 969%
10% will be used as the discount rate to estimate the base case NPV.
(ii)
(iii) Working capital is assumed to be released at the end of year 6. Working capital in year 5 is assumed to increase by the
2% inflation rate in Singapore.
The financing side effects of the investment are the tax relief on interest payments, the issue costs and the benefit from the
government subsidy.
Tax relief on interest payments
The benefit from the tax shield will be estimated based upon the debt used for the investment, although it could be argued
that this should be based upon the percentage debt capacity of the company.
Total borrowing for the investment is $3,100,000
Annual tax relief on borrowing $3,100,000 x 45% (net of the subsidy) x 245 = $34,177.
The discount rate used will be the risk free rate as the tax relief is offered by a highly stable government in Singapore.
The present value of tax relief for 6 years is:
$34,177 x 5242 = $179,158
Government subsidy
The benefit from the government subsidy is an interest saving of 1% per year.
$3,100,000 x 1% = $31,000
The present value for six years, discounted at the risk free rate, is $31,000 x 5242 = $162,502
Issue costs
Issues costs are $3,100,000 x 15% = $46,500
The estimated present value of the financial side effects is:
$179,158 + $162,502 $46,500 = $295,160
The estimated APV of the investment is ($2,810,000) $295,160 = ($2,514,840)
From a financial perspective this appears to be a very poor investment.
However, there are a number of other factors to consider. The data contains no information about what happens after four
years, or in the case of the revised estimates, six years. Although major new investment would be needed after six years there
is likely to be a realisable value or going concern value at that time which could be substantial. Several real options could
exist at year six, including the option to reinvest and possibly expand operations, or perhaps to use the existing Internet
auction clientele for other purposes such as Internet marketing. The initial investment decision should ideally take into
account the expected present value from real call options such as these, although even if sophisticated option pricing models
are used, real options are very difficult to accurately value. It would also be useful to investigate the effect on cash flow of the
option to abandon the project part way through its expected life (effectively a put option).
Other important factors might be:
(i) The accuracy of data. How confident is Trosoft that the forecast sales and costs will occur?
(ii) Sensitivity and/or simulation analysis would be useful to investigate the impact of different assumptions on net cash
flows.
(iii) Has the risk of the venture been accurately assessed? The discount rate of the operating cash flows is based on CAPM,
and is subject to its theoretical and practical problems.
(iv) Are there new technologies involved in the investment which are not yet fully developed and proven?
(v) What will be the reaction of other Internet auction providers? Will they cut auction listing costs?
(vi) Are there alternative investments that would provide a better strategic fit for Trosoft?
(vii) Are there existing or possible future government regulations that would affect the investment?
16
(a)
They allow companies to undertake foreign currency hedging, often for longer periods than is possible with forwards.
(ii)
They are usually cheaper than long term forwards, where such products exist.
(iii) Finance may be obtained at a cheaper rate than would be possible by borrowing directly in the relevant market. This
occurs by taking advantage of arbitrage if a company has a relative funding advantage in one country.
(iv) They may provide access to finance in currencies that could not be borrowed directly, e.g. due to government restrictions,
or lack of a credit rating in the overseas market.
(v)
Currency swaps offer the opportunity to restructure the companys debt profile without physically redeeming debt or
issuing new debt.
(vi) Currency swaps might be used to avoid a countrys exchange control restrictions.
Potential problems include:
(i)
If the swap is directly with a corporate counterparty the potential default risk of the counterparty must be considered.
Swaps arranged with a bank as the direct counterparty tend to be much less risky.
(ii)
Political or sovereign risk, the possibility that a government will introduce restrictions that interfere with the performance
of the swap.
(iii) Basis risk. With a floating to floating swap basis risk might exist if the two floating rates are not pegged to the same
index.
(iv) Exchange rate risk. The swap may result in a worse outcome than would have occurred if no swap had been arranged.
(b)
(i)
(205%)
Floating rate
PIBOR + 2%
PIBOR + 15%
05%
The overall arbitrage opportunity from using a currency swap is 255% per year. Banks fees are 075% per year leaving
18%. 75% of 18% is 135% that would be the benefit per year to Galeplus in terms of interest saving from using a
currency swap.
(ii)
Assuming inflation rates in Perdia are between 15% and 50% per year, the best and worse case exchange rates are:
Rubbits/
Best case
Worst case
Spot
18540
18540
Year 1
19821
12810
Year 2
11294
19215
Year 3
12988
28823
Year
Purchase cost
Fees
Sale price
0
(2,000)
(2,000)
1
(2,000)
40
40
0870
1348
40
0756
3024
3
111140
114,000
114,040
110658
2,65832
With a currency swap 2,000 million of the year 3 cash flows will be at the current spot rate of 8540 rubbits/, with
the remainder at the end of year 3 spot rate.
Worst case rates
Estimated NPV
Best case rates
Estimated NPV
2007
2575
The financial viability of the investment depends upon exchange rate movements. The greater the depreciation in the
value of the rubbit relative to the pound, the worse the outcome of the investment. This is due to the year 3 price of the
telecommunications centre remaining constant no matter what the exchange rate is at the time.
These estimates assume that exchange rates remain in the above range. In reality they could be better or worse.
Additionally non-financial factors such as political risk would influence the decision. For example given the governments
current cash flow position how likely is the payment of 4,000 million rubbits to be made in 3 years time? Other factors
such as taxation in the UK would also need to be considered.
17
Unless there are strong strategic reasons for buying the centre, for example possible future cash flow benefits beyond
year 3, the investment is not recommended. In order for the investment to take place a better hedge against currency
risk would need to be found, or the price to be received in year 3 renegotiated to reflect the impact of adverse exchange
rate changes.
(c)
(i)
A swaption is an option on a swap. It allows the buyer to choose whether or not to undertake the swap, depending upon
exchange rates in three years time. The swap rate in this example is the current spot rate of 85.40 rubbits/. A swaption
at this exercise price would offer no benefit to Galeplus relative to the straight swap unless the rubbit were to strengthen
relative to 8540/, in which case the swap would not be used as the end of year 3 spot rate would be more favourable
to Galeplus. Given the relative inflation rates in the UK and Perdia, according to the purchasing power parity theory it
is very unlikely that the rubbit will strengthen relative to the pound. The use of a swaption is not recommended.
(ii)
The currency put option will limit the downside risk of the year 3 cash flows whilst allowing Galeplus to take advantage
of favourable exchange rate movements. Using the worst case exchange rate forecasts, the option would be exercised
at the end of year 3.
Year
Present values
Worst case rates
Less option premium
Estimated NPV
0
(2,000)
(2342)
17 million
(808 million)
3
2,65832
1661
Using the best case exchange rate forecasts, the option would not be exercised at the end of year three as the expected
spot exchange rate at that time is more favourable.
Year
Present values
0
(2,000)
3
2,65832
2047
In both cases the outcome from the put option is very poor. The end of year 3 exchange rate of the rubbit would have
to be much stronger than 160/ in order for the option to be the preferred hedge. The rate would have to move to
approximately 108 rubbits/, which is unlikely. Unless Galeplus is prepared to take the risk of this happening the use
of currency options is not recommended.
18
Turnover
Profit
RPI
Share price
Stock market
Turnover
Profit
RPI
Share price
Stock market
2000
100
100
100
100
100
Asertia
Indexed trends
2001
2002
1312
1604
1382
1855
1355
1717
1257
1531
1199
1489
2003
1875
2291
2052
1891
1892
20001
312
382
355
257
199
% growth
20012
222
342
267
218
241
20023
169
235
195
235
271
2000
100
100
100
100
100
Knowland
Indexed trends
2001
2002
2003
1036
1092
1214
1089
1261
1380
1043
1071
1108
1814
1864
1970
1872
1913
1927
20001
136
189
143
(186)
(128)
% growth
20012
154
158
127
162
148
20023
112
195
135
123
115
investment beta
For an investor who is not well diversified, a measure using total risk (the standard deviation of returns) is more appropriate.
investment return risk free rate
19
(b)
A benchmark with which to draw comparisons, preferably data for companies in the same industries as the two
companies in Asertia and Knowland.
(ii)
(iii) Information about whether or not profits, RPI and other data are calculated in the same way in the two countries.
(iv) Total returns from the relevant stock markets and for investors in the companies. The data provided only shows the return
from share price movements, and excludes the dividend yield, which might be significant.
(v)
Exchange rate movements between the two countries and the UK. The client is likely to be interested in returns in
sterling, not in foreign currencies.
(a)
The suggestion by the managing director is intuitively attractive in that most companies believe they need to attract the best
managers, and high remuneration is necessary to achieve this. Whilst this may be the case the link between a high salary
and managerial performance is not proven. Paying more than the current going rate also has the effect of leading to
continuing increases in senior management salaries, which might be unpopular with shareholders, employees and other
stakeholders. There is also no suggestion of remuneration linked to performance.
Suggestion (ii), linking salary to turnover, is probably the least credible. Although sales growth and market share might be
important, this should not be at the expense of cash flow and wealth creation. An extreme example would be that turnover,
and hence the managing directors remuneration, could be increased by halving the price of the companys products. This is
not, however, very likely to create wealth.
Suggestion (iii) relates to share options, which have been commonly used by companies for many years. They are intended
to motivate senior managers to take decisions that will result in share price increases and wealth creation, and goal
congruence between shareholders and managers. To some extent they may achieve this, but potential problems are:
(i)
Share price increases may be caused by factors outside of the control of managers, yet they will still be rewarded for
such increases
(ii)
Many large companies have recently been criticised for offering share options deals that are too generous.
Suggestion (iv) relates to EVA. Economic value added measures the annual wealth creation after taking into account a charge
for the amount of capital employed. Remuneration schemes linked to EVA are intended to reward the creation of value to
the organisation. This is a valid objective, but EVA is not suitable for all types of organisation (e.g. financial services
companies), and may be creatively increased by relatively low levels of investment at least in the short term. If an EVA
based incentive scheme is to be used it might be better to base it on a percentage of the incremental EVA achieved by the
new managing director rather than a percentage of the total EVA.
(b)
The value of a call option on a share may be estimated using the put-call parity theorem, PP = PC PS + XerT
The option exercise price is 120 pence x 75% or 90 pence, and the put option price is given at 35 pence.
Therefore 35 = PC 120 + 90e (004)(1)
Solving, PC = 6853 pence
Call options on 3,000,000 shares would have an approximate value of 2,055,900, which appears to be quite generous to
an unproven manager. It would be better to fix the call option exercise price above the current market price rather than below
it. The managing director would then be more likely to be rewarded for his own performance if the share price increases,
although, as previously mentioned, share price movements are not always the result of good management. The period of the
option at only one year is also very short; an option over a three or five-year period would give more time for the policies of
the new managing director to be reflected in the share price.
EVA estimates require a number of adjustments to profit. In order to estimate NOPAT (net operating profit after tax)
advertising is normally removed from the profit and loss account and added to capital employed. Three years will be added,
but this is subjective. It is necessary to add back interest paid, as this will be included in the capital charge, the weighted
average cost of capital. Additionally taxation will need to be increased by the benefit taken in the profit and loss account from
tax relief on interest payments (such tax relief is included in WACC), and the tax relief on the advertising expense.
20
Turnover
Cost of sales
Depreciation
Taxation
NOPAT
million
546
369
52
378 (27 + (26 + 10) x 3)
872
Capital employed should be based upon capital at the start of the year. Adjusting for three years advertising, the capital
employed is 450 million.
EVA is NOPAT (Capital employed x cost of capital)
EVA is 872 (450 x 0095) = 4445 million.
If the managing director were to receive 15% of EVA this would be 666,750, much less than the share option. However,
as previously mentioned, it might be better to link a remuneration scheme to incremental EVA after the manager is in post.
(a)
Reducing the total tax paid by a multinational company by allowing better use to be made of credits from foreign tax
payments by overseas subsidiaries against a domestic tax liability. This is typically due to the taxable income from
overseas subsidiaries, if channelled via a tax haven holding company, being treated as coming from one source rather
than several separate sources. This may allow more overseas tax credits to be fully utilised.
(ii)
Reduction of capital gains tax when taxable gains are made in foreign subsidiaries. Such gains may escape tax if they
are deemed to accrue in the tax haven.
(iii) A reduction in withholding tax. Diverting income through tax havens may reduce the withholding tax liability relative to
making distributions direct from a subsidiary to a parent company.
(iv) Holding companies may be tax efficient refinancing centres, which allow the efficient redistribution within the group of
cash generated by overseas subsidiaries, without the cash being distributed via the parent company.
(b)
(i)
Taxable income
Local corporate income tax
Available for distribution
Amount paid as dividend to UK before withholding tax
Withholding tax on dividend
Distribution to UK gross of withholding tax
Grossed up for UK tax (x 100/(100 local tax rate))
UK tax liability (30%)
Foreign tax credit
UK tax payable
Annovia
100
140
160
142
42
000
Cardenda
100
125
175
130
Sporoon
100
120
180
164
32
142
170
121
121
130
140
112
110
112
164
180
124
192
148
Overseas taxation is 924 (40 + 25 + 20 +42 +32). Total taxation is 992 (overseas tax plus UK tax).
If the UK government taxes gross income:
000
Annovia
Cardenda
Sporoon
Income
100
100
100
Local corporate income tax
140
125
120
132
1
100
130
130
21
100
130
125
115
100
130
232
168
(ii)
Current situation
136
190
157
157
924
300
190
190
924
In both cases using what is sometimes known as a dividend mixer company in a tax haven will reduce the total tax
payable, by reducing the UK tax payable. This is because Boxless can make more use of the credits available in the UK
from foreign tax that has been paid, especially in the relatively high tax country of Annovia. In the case of the proposed
new tax rule, Boxless has paid sufficient foreign tax to save 118 in UK tax relative to not using the tax haven holding
company.
22
Another view is that capital structure is strongly influenced by managerial behaviour. There are potential conflicts of objectives
between owners and managers (agency problems). Capital structure will be influenced by senior managers personal objectives,
attitudes to risk, compensation schemes and availability of alternative employment. A risk averse manager seeking security may
use relatively little debt. Free cash flow (cash flow available after replacement investment) is sometimes perceived to be used by
managers for unwise acquisitions/investments which satisfy their personal objectives, rather than returning it to shareholders. Many
such managerial/agency aspects may influence capital structure, and this does not give clear guidance as to capital structure
strategy.
No matter what the conclusion about the impact of capital structure on cash flows it is likely that some financing packages may
be more highly regarded by investors than others. For example, securities designed to meet the needs of certain types of investor
(zero coupon bonds etc), securities that are more liquid, securities with lower transactions costs, and securities which reduce
conflict between parties concerned with the company, especially shareholders, managers and the providers of debt.
Conclusion
It is likely that the choice of capital structure can directly affect cash flows and shareholder wealth, but too high a level of gearing
will increase risk. The impact on cash flows and corporate value of the capital structure decision is far less than the impact of
capital investment decisions.
23
This question requires analysis of an investment decision where a company is diversifying into a new sector. It also requires
understanding of the weighted average cost of capital and adjusted present value, and the circumstances in which such techniques
might be used.
(a)
WACC
Adjusted present value
Max
(b)
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
1
1
11
3
3
1
1
Other factors:
Real option discussion
Other discussion. Look for strategic fit, alternatives, realisable value,
Non-financial factors accuracy of data, risk etc.
Total
Marks
45
45
40
This question requires analysis and understanding of currency swaps, and some alternative techniques that might be used to
protect against a three year foreign exchange risk.
(a)
Advantages
Disadvantages
Max
(b)
(c)
(i)
Arbitrage opportunity
Benefit to Galeplus
(ii)
45
45
8
3
3
6
2
2
2
2
(i)
Understanding of swaption
Discussion/calculation of the usefulness of swaption
1
23
(ii)
2
2
1
30
Max
Total
25
(a)
(b)
(a)
(b)
Max
Marks
4
45
2
10
Total
15
Max
12
1
2
2
6
Total
3
1
4
1
15
Max
(a)
(b)
(i)
4
3
(ii)
15
Total
15
26